Theories of Retail Development • Retail development can be looked at from theoretical perspective • No single theory is universally applicable or acceptable as the application varies from market to market, retailer to retailer and depends on the socio – economic conditions in the market. • The theories developed to explain the process of retail development revolve around the importance of competitive pressures, investments in organizational capabilities and creation of sustainable competitive advantage. Theories of Retail Development Theories of retail development can be broadly classified as: A. Environmental – where a change in retail is attributed to a change in the environment in which the retailers operate. B. Cyclical – where change follows a pattern and phases can have definite identifiable attributes associated with them C. Conflictual – where the competition or conflict between two opposite types of retailers leads to a new format being developed. Environmental Theory • The theory of natural selection in retailing is given by Charles Darwin, popularized by the phrase ‘Survival of the Fittest’. • According to this, the retail types/organizations which best adjust to their environment are the most likely to survive. In this theory, environmental factors play major role in survival. • The major environmental factors affecting retailing are: i. Changes in the consumer characteristics Demographic factors including age of the population. Social factors including preferences of products and services. Economic factors including changes in real income. ii. Changes in technology iii. Changes in competition Environmental Theory • Thus retail institutions are economic entities and retailers confront an environment which is made up of consumers, changing technology and competitors. • This environment can alter the profitability of the retailer. Thus, the birth, success or decline of different forms of retail enterprises is attributed to the business environment. • For example, the decline of department stores in the Western markets is attributed to the general inability of those retailers to react quickly and positively to environmental change • The retailers who are aware of the operating environment and react without delay, gain from the changes. • The ability to adapt to change successfully is the core of this theory. Cyclical Theory – Wheel of Retailing • Retail sector is one of the most dynamic sectors as it is affected by the political, economic, social, technological, legislative, environmental factors, customer demands, intense competition etc. • All these changes have led to creation of new opportunities even as they are affecting the existing businesses. For instance, the internet and web technologies have itself created ample opportunities for web- based business model of retailing. • The ‘Wheel of Retailing’ concept was first propagated by Professor McNair of Harvard to describe how the retail institutions transform during their evolutionary life cycles. Cyclical Theory – Wheel of Retailing • The theory suggests that retail innovators often first appear as low-price operators with low-cost structure and low-profit margin requirements, offering some real advantages, such as specific merchandise which enables them to take customers away from more established competitors. • As they prosper, they develop their business, offering greater range or acquiring more expensive facilities, but this can mean they lose focus that was important when they entered the market. Such ‘trading up’ occurs as the retailer becomes established in his own right. • This, in turn, gives chance to competitors to enter the market and repeat the process. They then become vulnerable to new discounters and lower – cost structures that take place along the wheel. • ‘Scrambled merchandising’ occurs as the retailer adds goods and services that are unrelated to each other and the firm’s original business to increase the overall sales and profit margins. Cyclical Theory – Wheel of Retailing The Wheel of Retailing theory states that the evolution process comprises three stages: • Entry Phase • Trade-up Phase • Vulnerable Phase This theory is diagrammed as a large wheel with three spokes dividing the wheel into three segments or stages Cyclical Theory – Wheel of Retailing 1. Entry Phase • Starts with offering limited merchandise with low prices and retail organizations, as a strategy, have low margins in order to increase penetration of the market. • When these retail outlets are successful, others rival retailers rapidly imitate and adapt those characteristics. 2. Trade-up Phase • As the store progresses in its growth, the organization enters the second stage, which is the trade-up stage where the organization offers full services and a range of merchandise in full prices, without any discounts. • These retail institutions simultaneously increase their margins and prices and appeal to more middle and upper income consumers rather than bargain hunting and lower income consumers. It is during this stage that the firms have an increase in sales, high profits and a strong cash flow due to the improvement of their store mix. Cyclical Theory – Wheel of Retailing 3. Vulnerable Phase • In the third stage, according to the Wheel of Retailing Theory, the wheel turns as the store matures in its growth and faces more competition. • As a retailer reaches this stage, he will reduce prices and scale down services too in order to reduce operating costs. • The innovative store matures into an established firm and becomes vulnerable to the new innovator who enters the market. • The strategy is to drop prices and continuous innovations and sound management practices will help the retailer to sustain growth in this phase. • An example of this theory is that the Kiraana stores were replaced by the chain stores like Apna Bazar, which in turn faced severe competition from supermarkets and big stores like Big Bazar and D-Mart. Cyclical - General–Specific–General Cycle or Accordion Theory • This theory of retail institutional change, evolved by Hollander (1966), suggests that retail institutions go from outlets with wide assortments to specialized narrow line store merchants and then back again to the more general wide assortment institution. • It explains the development of retail in less developed markets, where the introduction may occur at high price. • Hollander used the analogy of an orchestra comprising exclusively of accordion players to describe the dynamically shifting retail structure • The so-called accordion effect describes how general stores moved to specialize, but then widened their range of merchandise again as new classes of products were added • Hollander suggested that the players either have ‘open accordions’, representing general retailers with broad product range or ‘closed accordions ’, indicating a narrow range of products with specific merchandise. Cyclical - General–Specific–General Cycle or Accordion Theory • According to Hollander, at any point in time, one type of retailer would outnumber the other, but the situation would continually change through the arrival and departure of different stores. • This analogy illustrates the complexity of the retail scene and the way different attitudes of successful retailing will come in and go out of fashion at different times. • There is a switch to the ‘special’ store from the ‘general’ store because: There was greater variety of customer goods available that could not be accommodated in the old general stores. There was growth of cities which meant that consumer markets allowed profitable segmentation. It provided a social satisfaction to the shopping trip, which was required as society became more complex Conflict Theory • Conflict always exists between operators of similar formats or within broad retail categories. • It is believed that retail innovation does not necessarily reduce the number of formats available to the consumer, but leads to the development of more formats. • Retailing thus, evolves through a dialectic process, i.e., the blending of two opposites to create a new format. This can be applied to developments in retailing as follows: a. Thesis: Individual retailers as corner shops all across the country. b. Antithesis: A position opposed to the thesis develops over a period of time. These are the department stores. The antithesis is a "challenge" to the thesis. c. Synthesis: There is a blending of the thesis and antithesis. The result is a position between the thesis and antithesis. Supermarkets and hypermarkets thrive. This synthesis becomes the thesis for the next round of evolution. Concept of Life Cycle in Retail • The concept of product life cycle as explained by Philip Kotler, is also applicable to retail organizations as they pass through identifiable stages of: 1. Innovation 2. Development 3. Maturity 4. Decline. • This is commonly termed as the Retail Life Cycle. • The Retail Life cycle is a theory about the change through time of the retailing outlets. • It is claimed that the retail institutions show ‘s-shaped' development through their economic life, that has been classified into four main phases. Concept of Life Cycle in Retail 1. Innovation • A new organization is born — it improves the convenience or creates other advantages to the final customers that differ from those offered by other retailers. • Stage of innovation, where there are fewer competitors • Rate of growth is fairly rapid • Management fine-tunes its strategy through experimentation. • Levels of profitability are moderate • This stage can last up to five years depending on the organization. Concept of Life Cycle in Retail 2. Accelerated Growth • Rapid increases in sales. • Few competitors emerge. • Since the company has been in the market for a while, it is now in a position to anticipate the conditions in the market by establishing a position of leadership. • Since growth is imperative, the investment level is also high, as is the profitability. Investment is largely in systems and processes. • This stage can last from five to eight years. Concept of Life Cycle in Retail 3. Maturity • Retail organization still grows, but competitive pressures are felt from newer forms of retailing that tend to arise. Thus, the growth rate tends to decrease. • Gradually, as markets become more competitive, the rate of growth slows down and profits also start declining. • Retail organization needs to rethink its strategy and reposition itself in the market. • Change may occur not only in the format but also in the merchandise mix offered. Concept of Life Cycle in Retail 4. Decline • Retail organization looses its competitive edge and there is a decline in sales. Thus it needs to decide if it is still going to continue in the market. • The rate of growth is negative, profitability declines further and overheads are high. • The retail business in India has only recently seen the emergence of organized, corporate activity. Traditionally, most of the retail business in India has been small owner-managed business. • It is hence, difficult to put down a retail organization, which has passed through all the four stages of the retail life cycle. References 1. Michael Levy & Barton A Weitz, “Retailing Management”, 8th Edition, Tata Mc Graw Hill. 2. Swapna Pradhan, “Retailing Management – Text and Cases”, 5th Edition, Tata Mc Graw Hill. 3. Nagpal, Sharma “Retail Management”, TYBMS, Sheth Publishers 4. Nagpal, Sharma “Retail Management”, M. Com, Vipul Prakashan.