Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Chapter 8
Lecturer
Wu Tingting
Chapter Eight
INTERNATIONAL
MANAGEMENT
Fourthrate
instruments for hedging long-term interest Edition
Chapter Outline
●●
● Types
Types of Swaps
of Swaps Rate Swaps
8.1 Interest
Size of
●● Size of the
the Swap
Swap Market
Market
The Swap
●● The Swap Bank
Bank
Swap Market
●● Swap Market Quotations
Quotations
◆ To hedge long-term foreign
Interest Rate
●● Interest Rate Swaps
Swaps
exchange
Currency
●● Currency Swapsrisk: currency swaps
Swaps
To hedge
Variations
Variations
●● ◆ of long-term
of Basic
Basic Interest interest
Interest Rate
Rate rateSwaps
and Currency
and Currency Swaps
risk:
Risks
●● Risks of interest
of Interest
Interest Raterate
Rate and swaps Swaps
and Currency
Currency Swaps
Is the
●● Is the Swap
Swap Market
Market Efficient?
Efficient?
●1.
● Types
Definition
Types of Swaps
of Swaps
& Types of Interest Rate Swaps
2.
●● Size
Swap
Size of the
of the
Banks
Swap
Swap &Market
Market
Interest Rate Swap Quotations
3.
●● The
A Mini-case
The Swap Bank
Swap Bankof Interest Rate Swaps
●● Swap Market
Swap Market Quotations
Quotations
●● Interest Rate
Interest Rate Swaps
Swaps
●● Currency Swaps
Currency Swaps
●● Variations of
Variations of Basic
Basic Interest
Interest Rate
Rate and
and Currency
Currency Swaps
Swaps
●● Risks of
Risks of Interest
Interest Rate
Rate and
and Currency
Currency Swaps
Swaps
●● Is the
Is the Swap
Swap Market
Market Efficient?
Efficient?
swaps?
A Mini-case
B.
Case Analysis
in terms of currency A.
periodic intervals.
currency ones
狭义利率互换:货币单⼀
■ Amortizing 摊销/分期付款(本⾦逐渐减少)
■ ……
10
国际货币
■ U.S. dollar
■ Japanese yen
■ Euro
■ Swiss franc
■ British pound
11
Swap Bank
an independent operator.
独⽴运营者
■ A broker 中间商作为dealer,有⻛险与pricegap,
12
Table 1
Brokers No Commissions
a price gap
13
4-year 3.06
fixed-rate5.17
3.09 5.12
euro payments
1.73
at 3.82%
1.81 4.25 4.28
5-year 3.23
against receiving
3.26 5.11 5.16
euro LIBOR
1.93 2.01
or it will
4.37 4.39
14
各⾃具有⽐较优势且被对⽅需要
risk
15
A Mini-case of Interest Rate Swaps
● Bank A is an AAA-rated international bank and wants to
raise $10 millions to finance floating-rate Eurodollar
loans.
■ It is considering to issue 5-year fixed-rate Eurodollar bonds at 10%
or issue floating-rate notes at LIBOR.
● Firm B is a BBB-rated company and needs to raise $10
millions to finance a capital investment with a five-year
economic life.
■ It is considering to issue 5-year fixed-rate Eurodollar bonds at
11.75% or issue 5-year floating-rate notes at LIBOR+0.5%.
16
Table 1 Borrowing Opportunities of A and B
Firm B Bank A
Fixed rate 11.75% 10%
Floating rate LIBOR + 0.5% LIBOR
17
Quality Spread Differential
◆ General meaning: the potential gains from a
swap transaction shared among all the swap
participants
◆ Specific definition: the difference between the
default-risk premium differential on the fixed-rate
debt and the default-risk premium differential on
the floating-rate debt.
18
QSD Calculating Methods
● Method 1: according to its meaning
■ Total financing cost without swap - Total financing
cost with swap
● Method 2: according to its definition
■ Default-risk premium differential on the fixed-rate
debt - Default-risk premium differential on the
floating-rate debt
19
Table 1 Borrowing Opportunities of A and B
Firm B Bank A
20
Table 1 Borrowing Opportunities of A and B
Firm B Bank A
Fixed rate 11.75% 10%
Floating rate LIBOR + 0.5% LIBOR
➢ Method 2: according to its definition
Default-risk premium differential on the fixed-rate
debt - Default-risk premium differential on the
floating-rate debt
= (11.75% -10%) – [(LIBOR+0.5%) –LIBOR] =
1.75% - 0.5% = 1.25%
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How to share the QSD?
●There is no reason to presume that the swap benefits will
be shared equally.
●Lower credit rating Firm B: less of the QSD.
●Higher credit rating Bank A: more of the QSD.
22
● Why does the QSD exist?
● Why the two counterparties can reduce the
financing cost through an interest-rate swap?
Two Famous International Trade Theories
● Absolute Advantage Theory (Adam Smith)
23
Table 1 Borrowing Opportunities of A and B
Firm B Bank A
Fixed rate 11.75% 10%
Floating rate LIBOR + 0.5% LIBOR
24
Three Steps to Realize Swap Benefits
25
A Mini-case of Interest Rate Swaps
FIRM B BANK A
Fixed rate 11.75% 10%
Floating rate LIBOR + 0.5% LIBOR
26
A Mini-case of Interest Rate Swaps
Cost savings per year
0.5%×$10 million =
①Interests Saved on the
$50,000
Cost savings for 5 years Swap floating-rate debt:
= $250,000 LIBOR- (LIBOR - 0.125%)
Bank =0.125%
10.375% ②Profits earned on the
fixed-rate debt:
LIBOR – 0.125%%
10.375% - 10% = 0.375%
10% Bank A ①+②=0.5%
FIRM B BANK A
Fixed rate 11.75% 10%
Floating rate LIBOR + 0.5% LIBOR
27
A Mini-case of Interest Rate Swaps
28
A Mini-case of Interest Rate Swaps
Cost savings per year
0.5% ×$10 million =
①Interest Losses on the $50,000
Swap Cost savings for 5 years
floating-rate debt:
Bank = $250,000
LIBOR + 0.5% -
(LIBOR-0.25%) = 0.75% 10.5%
②Interest savings on the LIBOR – 0.25% LIBOR
fixed-rate debt: + 0.5%
11.75% - 10.5% = 1.25% Firm B
Net saved interest payment
= ② - ① = 0.5%
FIRM B BANK A
Fixed rate 11.75% 10%
Floating rate LIBOR + 0.5% LIBOR
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A Mini-case of Interest Rate Swaps
0.25%+0.5%+0.5%
= 1.25% = QSD
The swap bank makes 0.25%
Swap 0.25%×$10 million =
$25,000 per year for 5
Bank years.
10.375% 10.5%
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Content of “8.2 Currency Swaps”
◆ (1)Preliminaries of Currency Swaps
➢ Definition
➢ Types
➢ Reasons
➢ Double Problems
◆ (2)A Mini-case of Currency Swaps
31
Definition of Currency Swaps
➢In a currency swap, one counterparty
exchanges the debt service obligations
denominated in one currency for the debt
service obligations of the other counterparty
denominated in another currency.
32
Types of Currency Swaps
33
What can we do with a currency
swap?
■To save financing cost
■To hedge long-term foreign exchange
rate risk
34
An Example of a Currency Swap
35
The Double Problems
Faced by a MNC
• Double Problems
• Be confronted with long-term transaction
exposure
• Borrow at a disadvantageous rate
36
What is a mirror-image financing need?
● Firm A needs currency B and Firm B needs
currency A.
● The value of the two financing needs is the same
in terms of either currency A or currency B,
with consideration of the current spot rate.
● The maturities of the two financing needs
should also be the same.
37
A Mini-case of Currency Swaps
Table 1
$ £
Firm A 8.0% 11.6%
Firm B 10.0% 12.0%
A has a comparative advantage in raising dollars.
B has a comparative advantage in raising pounds.
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What should A and B do?
■A borrowed dollars, B borrowed pounds[Current
spot exchange rate: S0($/£)= $1.6/£ 16 million debt
= £10 million]
■ To sign a currency swap contract
39
● However, in the real life, it’s difficult for a
MNC to find another MNC with the mirror-
image financing need. So they usually resort
to a financial institution.
● A swap bank familiar with the financing
needs of the two MNCs could arrange a
currency swap that would solve the double
problems of each MNC which we talked
about just now.
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A Mini-case of Currency Swaps
Firm A saved
£0.6%: Swap
(11.6%-11%) ×
£10 million Bank
= £60,000 per year $8%
£11%
$8% Firm < £11.6%
A
$ £
Firm A 8.0% 11.6%
Firm B 10.0% 12.0%
41
A Mini-case of Currency Swaps
Firm B saved
£0.6%:
(10%-9.4%) × $16
Swap million
= $96,000 per year
Bank
$9.4%
< 10%
£12%
Firm £12%
B
$ £
Firm A 8.0% 11.6%
Firm B 10.0% 12.0%
42
A Mini-case of Currency Swaps
Swap
Bank
$8% $9.4%
£11% £12%
Firm Firm
A B
Swap bank lost 1% Swap bank gained
on £: (11%-12%) × 1.4% on $:
£10 million (9.4%-8%) × $16
= - £100,000 per year million
= $ 224,000 per year
43
A Mini-case of Currency Swaps
45
How to solve a problem of a
currency swap : A Step Summary
● The Solving Process:
● Step 1: Analyze each counterparty’s comparative
advantage and arrange a currency swap with/without a
swap bank.
● Step 2: Calculate the QSD (pay special attention to this).
● Step 3: Calculate how much interest payment should be
given to the counterparty each year over the term of the
currency swap and calculate the contractual exchange
rate according to the interest payments denominated in
different currencies.
46
What are the functions of a currency
swap?
● Function (1): It can solve the double problems of
each MNC.
● Function (2): Each MNC can not only solve its
double problems, but also benefit from a currency
swap.
● Function (3): It serves to contractually lock in a
series of future exchange rates for the debt service
obligations of each counterparty over the term of
the swap, which can help each MNC avoid foreign
exchange risk.
47
Swap Risks
● Credit Risk
● Exchange rate Risk
● Sovereign Risk
● Mismatch Risk
● Interest Rate Risk
● Basis Risk
48
Risks of Interest Rate
and Currency Swaps
● Credit Risk
■ This is the major risk faced by a swap dealer—the risk
that a counter party will default on its end of the swap.
● Exchange rate Risk
■ In the example of a currency swap given earlier, the
swap bank would be worse off if the pound appreciated
or the dollar depreciated.
● Sovereign Risk
■ The risk that a country will impose exchange
restrictions (exchange control) that will interfere with
performance on the swap.
49
Risks of Interest Rate
and Currency Swaps (continued)
● Mismatch Risk
■ It’s hard to find a counterparty that wants to borrow the right
amount of money for the right amount of time.
● Interest Rate Risk
■ Interest rates might move against the swap bank after it has
only gotten half of a swap on the books, or if it has an
unhedged position.
● Basis Risk
■ If the floating rates of the two counterparties are not pegged
to the same index.
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Concluding Remarks
● The growth of the swap market has been
astounding.
● Swaps are off-the-books transactions.
● Swaps have become an important source of
revenue and risk for banks.
● For a swap to be possible, a QSD must exist.
Beyond that, creativity is the only limit.
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