Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Chinchwad, Pune
Department of MBA
Ay 2020-21
Project Outline Report for Summer Internship Project
• Specialization- Finance
Title of the project- Fundamental and Technical Analysis of Selected Stocks and
Strategies of Investment
1. Introduction
• In trading of stocks, it is mandatory to carry out certain analysis so as to find out
whether the investment in that share is profitable in short term or long term.
Traders need to be very efficient while conducting this analysis as stock market is
unstable and in order to predict whether the stock will be bullish or bearish in near
future. Analysis helps an investor to take appropriate decision whether to buy or
sell the share.
• At a broad level, there are two disciplines to conduct the stock analysis.
1. Fundamental Analysis - This analysis is conducted through evaluation of
company’s financial data such as Balance Sheet, Cash Flow Statement, Income
Statement, Financial ratios and many more. Analysing is done on qualitative and
quantitative parameters.
2. Technical Analysis- Traders who carry out the Technical analysis feel that to
analyse the stock there is no need to go in deep data of fundamentals of the
company. How stock will perform in the near future can be derived only from the
price change of stocks everyday. They study the everyday price change pattern of
the stock to analyse or predict about the price in future. Technical analyst consider
the price and the volume of the stock for conducting the Technical Analysis. They
are of the opinion that the trend in the price of the stock tends to repeat over time
and investors react in the similar pattern.
• To conduct a detailed study of the companies related to the sector in order to assess
the risk and provide a comparative picture on the risk parameters.
Capital market has always been susceptible to the variety of variables pertaining the prices,
trading, behavior, settlement, liquidity, economy and listed companies. Every time one kind
of formula or principle does not work that's why the I have planned to conduct the research
work on the present topic.
Technical and fundamental analyses are the important tools for the security analysis. If we
think about security analysis then it is easy to predict the future stock price trend on the
basis of technical analysis and show the profitability position on the basis of fundamental
analysis. All stake holders (investors, brokers, management, merchant bankers, regulatory
agencies, Government and researchers etc.) of the stock market have benefited by taking the
use of technical and fundamental analysis.
PROGRESS REPORT: - 20 )
(202202220
Email-Id : neharshah061097@gmail.com
ContactNumber : 9579076077
2ndSESSION / WEEK
13th June 2020 Scope of the study Completed
3rdSESSION / WEEK
20ndJune 2020 Industry profile Completed
rd
23 June 2020 Company profile Completed
th
4 SESSION / WEEK
th
27 June 2020 Theoretical Background Completed
5thSESSION / WEEK
30st June 2020 Research Methodology Completed
6thSESSION / WEEK
5th July 2020 Data analysis and Interpretation Completed
7thSESSION / WEEK
23stJuly 2020 Findings from the project Completed
th
26 July 2020 Learning from the project Completed
8thSESSION / WEEK
28th July Conclusion Completed
31st July Bibliography Completed
REMARKS
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SCHEDULE OF THE PROJET SUBMISSION
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SUBMITTED TO
“SAVITRIBAI PHULE PUNE UNIVERSITY”
SUBMITTED BY
NEHA RAKESH SHAH
BATCH (2019-21)
I honestly express that the formation is not collected with any commercial
intention and motivation. Thus the sole object of collecting information is of academic
purpose and I sure that collected information is of academic purpose shall be only for
fieldwork Report and Nothing else.
Name.
Sign.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
I like to thank my project guide Dr. Shweta Jain for constant follow-up and valuable
suggestions provided throughout. She has always been an everlasting source of
inspiration and guidance. Also, thank to for helping me to find these nice company for
project.
I also thank to BISCON CONSULTANTS who have given their valuable time, views
and authentic information for this project.
I am also grateful to all of them who are directly or indirectly involved in driving this project to a
success. I would like to thank my friends, and colleagues for their continuous support.
INDEX
Executive Summary 1
1 Introduction 3
2 Industry Profile 7
3 Company Profile 11
4 Theoretical Background 13
5 Literature Review 19
6 Research Methodology 22
8 • Findings 44
• Suggestions
Bibliography 49
Annexure 50
BISCON
CONSULTANTS
Date: 20-08-2020
TO WHOMSOEVER IT MAY CONCERN
CERTIFICATE OF INTERNSHIP
This is to certify that MS. NEHA SHAH has undertaken Summer Internship with BISCON
CONSULTANTS and has successfully completed the project titled “FUNDAMENTAL AND
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF SELECT STOCKS AND STRATEGIES FOR INVESTMENT” during
1st June 2020 to 31st July 2020.
I congratulate her for putting best efforts during the course of her work with BISCON
CONSULTANTS and would like to extend my best wishes for all her future endeavours.
Dr. Ravi Phadke
Consultant and Promoter
BISCON CONSULTANTS
1
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
3
INTRODUCTION
In trading of stocks, it is mandatory to carry out certain analysis so as to find out
whether the investment in that share is profitable in short run or long run. Traders
need to be very efficient while conducting this analysis as stock market is unstable
and in order to predict whether the stock will be bullish or bearish in near future.
Analysis helps an investor to take appropriate decision whether to buy or sell the
share.
At the broad level, there are two disciplines to conduct the stock analysis.
• Fundamental Analysis
• Technical Analysis
Both the analysis can be carried only after thorough study of the stocks. Both
type of analysis vary completely depending upon the market participants,
financial profiles and time horizons.
4
current economic and business environment. It also involves to identify the
best company of the sector for the actual investment.
• Bottom – Up Approach – In this approach, a reverse path is followed as the
analyst first starts with the company and analyze qualitative and quantitative
factors, before moving up to broader variables like industry and economy.
5
• To find out kind of strategy of investment which investors look while
investing in a company.
6
CHAPTER – 2
INDUSTRY PROFILE
7
INDUSTRY PROFILE
AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY
Introduction
India became the fifth largest auto market in 2019 with sales reaching to 3.81 million
units. It was the seventh largest manufacturer of commercial vehicles in 2019.
The two wheelers segment dominate the market in terms of volume owing to a
growing middle class and a young population. Moreover, the growing interest of the
companies in exploring the rural markets further aided the growth of the sector.
Market Size
Domestic automobiles production increased at 2.36 per cent CAGR between FY16-20
with 26.36 million vehicles being manufactured in the country in FY20. Overall,
domestic automobiles sales increased at 1.29 per cent CAGR between FY16-FY20
with 21.55 million vehicles being sold in FY20.
Two wheelers and passenger vehicles dominate the domestic Indian auto market.
Passenger car sales are dominated by small and mid-sized cars. Two wheelers and
passenger cars accounted for 80.8 per cent and 12.9 per cent market share,
respectively, accounting for a combined sale of over 20.1 million vehicles in FY20.
8
Some of the recent/ planned investments and developments in the automobile sector
in India are as follows:
➢ In April 2020, TVS Motor Company bought UK’s iconic sporting motorcycle
brand, Norton, for a sum of about Rs 153 crore (US$ 21.89 million), making
its entry into the top end (above 850cc) segment of the super bike market.
➢ As of May 2019, Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) launched its locally assembled
Range Rover Velar, making JLR cars more affordable by quite some margin.
➢ In March 2020, Lithium Urban Technologies partnered with renewable energy
solutions provider, Fourth Partner Energy, to build charging infrastructure
across the country.
➢ In January 2020, Tata AutoComp Systems, the auto-components arm of Tata
Group entered a joint venture with Beijing-based Prestolite Electric to enter
the electric vehicle (EV) components market.
➢ In December 2019, Force Motors planned to invest Rs 600 crore (US$ 85.85
million) in order to develop two new models over the next two years.
➢ In December 2019, Morris Garages (MG), a British automobile brand,
announced plans to invest an additional Rs 3,000 crore (US$ 429.25 million)
in India.
➢ Audi India planned to launch nine all-new models including Sedans and SUVs
along with futuristic E-tron EV by end of 2019.
Government Initiatives
The Government of India encourages foreign investment in the automobile sector
and has allowed 100 per cent foreign direct investment (FDI) under the automatic
route.
Some of the recent initiatives taken by the Government of India are –
➢ Under Union Budget 2019-20, the Government announced to provide
additional income tax deduction of Rs 1.5 lakh (US$ 2,146) on the interest
paid on the loans taken to purchase EVs.
➢ Under NATRiP, the Government of India is planning to set up R&D centre at
a total cost of US$ 388.5 million to enable the industry to be on par with
global standards
➢ The Ministry of Heavy Industries, Government of India has shortlisted 11
cities in the country for introduction of EVs in their public transport systems
9
under the FAME (Faster Adoption and Manufacturing of (Hybrid) and
Electric Vehicles in India) scheme. The Government will also set up
incubation centre for start-ups working in the EVs space.
Achievements
Following are the achievements of the Government in the last four years:
➢ In H12019, automobile manufacturers invested US$ 501 million in India’s
autotech start-ups according to Venture intelligence.
➢ Investment flow into EV start-ups in 2019 (till end of November) increased
nearly 170 per cent to reach US$ 397 million.
➢ NATRiP’s proposal for “Grant-In-Aid for test facility infrastructure for EV
performance Certification from NATRIP Implementation Society” under the
FAME Scheme was approved by Project Implementation and Sanctioning
Committee (PISC) on 3rd January 2019.
➢ Under NATRiP, following testing and research centre have been established
in the country since2015o International Centre for Automotive Technology
(ICAT), Manesaro National Institute for Automotive Inspection.
➢ SAMARTH Udyog – Industry 4.0 centres: ‘Demo cum experience’ centres
are being set up in the country for promoting smart and advanced
manufacturing helping SMEs to implement Industry 4.0 (automation and data
exchange in manufacturing technology).
Road Ahead
The automobile industry is supported by various factors such as availability of skilled
labour at low cost, robust R&D centres, and low-cost steel production. The industry
also provides great opportunities for investment and direct and indirect employment
to skilled and unskilled labour.
Indian automotive industry (including component manufacturing) is expected to reach
Rs 16.16-18.18 trillion (US$ 251.4-282.8 billion) by 2026.
10
CHAPTER-3
COMPANY PROFILE
11
COMPANY PROFILE
BISCON CONSULTANT
12
CHAPTER- 4
THEORETICAL
BACKGROUND
13
THEORETICAL BACKGROUND
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
All stock analysis tries to determine whether a security is correctly valued within the
broader market. Fundamental analysis is usually done from a macro to micro
perspective in order to identify securities that are not correctly priced by the market.
Analysts typically study, in order, the overall state of the economy and then the
strength of the specific industry before concentrating on individual company
performance to arrive at a fair market value for the stock.
Fundamental analysis uses public data to evaluate the value of a stock or any other
type of security. For example, an investor can perform fundamental analysis on a
bond's value by looking at economic factors such as interest rates and the overall state
of the economy, then studying information about the bond issuer, such as potential
changes in its credit rating.
For stocks, fundamental analysis uses revenues, earnings, future growth, return on
equity, profit margins, and other data to determine a company's underlying value and
potential for future growth. All of this data is available in a company's financial
statements.
Some of the Financial statements that we can analyse of different companies while
conducting Fundamental analysis are as follows:
14
The Income Statement
While the balance sheet takes a snapshot approach in examining a business, the
income statement measures a company's performance over a specific time frame.
Technically, you could have a balance sheet for a month or even a day, but you'll only
see public companies report quarterly and annually.
The income statement presents information about revenues, expenses and profit
that was generated as a result of the business' operations for that period.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
Technical analysis operates from the assumption that past trading activity and price
changes of a security can be valuable indicators of the security's future price
movements when paired with appropriate investing or trading rules. Professional
analysts often use technical analysis in conjunction with other forms of research.
Retail traders may make decisions based solely on the price charts of a security and
similar statistics, but practicing equity analysts rarely limit their research to
fundamental or technical analysis alone.
Today the field of technical analysis builds on Dow's work. Professional analysts
typically accept three general assumptions for the discipline:
15
1. The market discounts everything
16
trade on price movements. Some indicators are focused primarily on identifying the
current market trend, including support and resistance areas, while others are focused
on determining the strength of a trend and the likelihood of its continuation.
Commonly used technical indicators and charting patterns include trend lines,
channels, moving averages and momentum indicators. In general, technical analysts
look at the following broad types of indicators:
➢ Price trends
➢ Chart patterns
➢ Volume and momentum indicators
➢ Oscillators
➢ Moving Averages
➢ Support and resistance levels
In Technical Analysis, I have conducted Candlestick Chart Analysis.
Support level
Support, or a support level, refers to the price level that an asset does not fall below
for period of time. An asset's support level is created by buyers entering the market
whenever the asset dips to a lower price. In technical analysis, the simple support
level can be charted by drawing a line along the lowest lows for the time period being
17
considered. The support line can be flat or slanted up or down with the overall price
trend.
Resistance level
Resistance, or a resistance level, is the price at which the the price of an asset meets
pressure on its way up by the emergence of a growing number of sellers who wish to
sell at that price. Resistance levels can be short-lived if new information comes to
light that changes the overall market’s attitude toward the asset, or they can be long-
lasting. In terms of technical analysis, the simple resistance level can be charted by
drawing a line along the highest highs for the time period being considered.
Bearish
Bears think things are going to get worse (i.e. bearish) and therefore enter the market
with a sell. After entering a bearish position in the market, you’re what is called
‘short’. Price movement from this point up or down will change a bear’s account
value in increments of the chosen market. When the opening price is higher than the
closing price of the stock than it is said as Bearish stock. It is shown with a red candle
stick.
Bullish
Bulls are the opposite–they think the prices are going up (bullish), and therefore enter
the market with a buy. After entering a bullish position in the market, naturally, you
are what is called ‘long’. Once again, price movement from this point up or down will
change a bull’s account value in increments of the chosen market. When the closing
price is higher than the opening price than it is considered as Bullish. It is shown with
the help of Green Candlestick.
18
CHAPTER- 5
LITERATURE REVIEW
19
LITERATURE REVIEW
(Mishra 2016) Stated the extent to which trading profitability using technical
analysis indicators explains the ‘risk premium’ or ‘risk compensation’ for investing in
equity markets as against the assets which are relatively risk free using multiple
regression analysis. It is advised that traders , retail investors and fund managers,
while evaluating portfolios, can rely on technical indicators based trading strategies
other than fundamental analysis.
(Pandya, 2013) Conducted study for information technology sector companies and
technical analysis is done for them. He carried out retail research for technical
analysis of the securities of the selected companies from the information technology
sector and to assist portfolio decisions in this sector, since information technology
sector is one of the most upcoming and booming sectors in the Indian Market. It has
proven to be one of the most important and fastest growing sectors of the Indian
Economy.
(Boobalan, 2014) carried out Technical Analysis of the securities of the selected
companies from industry and to assist investment decisions in the Indian market.
Technical Analysis through this study does not result in absolute predictions about the
future with regard to forecasting.
(Roy,2015) done fundamental analysis and stated that one should examine the
economic environment, industry performance and company performance before
20
making an investment decision. One of the livelier and long- lasting debates in
securities research is the relative merits of fundamental research and technical
research.
(Mutswenje, 2014) tested the tenets of the behavioural finance theory on the factors
that influence investment decisions under conditions of uncertainty.
(Venkatesh, 2011) reports the result of a questionnaire survey in June/ July 2010 on
the use of Fundamental and Technical analysis by brokers/ fund managers in Indian
stock market to form their forecasts of share price movements. Fundamental analysis
is a method of finding out the future price of a stock which an investor decides to buy.
It relates to examination of the intrinsic worth of the company to find out whether the
current market price is fair or not, whether it is overpriced or underpriced.
(Peachavanish, 2016) proposes a method using cluster analysis to identify the group
of stocks that has the best trend and momentum characteristics at a given time, and
therefore are most likely to outperform the market during a short time period.
(Bhupesh, 2013), proposes a method of stock pricing and finding access point of
investment in stocks using a hybrid method consisting of self- organizing maps and
selected technical indicators.
(Hon- Snir, 2011) studied that investors use financial statements and support and
resistance lines together as a primary tool for the investment behaviour. For many
years investors used various tools to support of their buying and selling stock
decisions. Two sets of tools are commonly used by investors... Fundamental and
technical analysis.
21
CHAPTER-6
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
22
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
INTRODUCTION:
A research methodology or involves specific techniques that are adopted in research
process to collect, assemble and evaluate data. It defines those tools that are used to
gather relevant information in a specific research study. Surveys, questionnaires and
interviews are the common tools of research.
NEED OF THE PRESENT STUDY:
Capital market has always been susceptible to the variety of variables pertaining the
prices, trading, behaviour, settlement, liquidity, economy and listed companies. Every
time one kind of formula or principle does not work that's why the I have planned to
conduct the research work on the present topic.
Technical and fundamental analyses are the important tools for the security analysis.
If we think about security analysis then it is easy to predict the future stock price
trend on the basis of technical analysis and show the profitability position on the basis
of fundamental analysis. All stake holders (investors, brokers, management, merchant
bankers, regulatory agencies, Government and researchers etc.) of the stock market
have benefited by taking the use of technical and fundamental analysis.
SCOPE AND AREA OF THE STUDY:
There are thousands of companies listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange and
National Stock Exchange. There are many indices for both the stock exchange. It is
very difficult to conduct technical and fundamental analysis of all listed companies on
BSE or NSE. So, I have studied the 4 companies Automobile industry.
PROFILE OF THE COMPANIES:
The 4 Company’s profile which I have selected to conduct fundamental and
Technical analysis are as follow:
23
TATA MOTORSLTD
It is listed on the BSE with a BSE Code of 570001 and the NSE with an NSE Code of
TATAMTRDVR. Tata Motors Limited, formerly Tata Engineering and Locomotive
Company (TELCO) , is an Indian multinational automotive manufacturing company
headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India. It is a part of Tata Group, an Indian
conglomerate. Its products include passenger cars, trucks, vans, coaches, buses, sports
cars, construction equipment and military vehicles.
It is listed on the BSE with a BSE Code of 500520 and the NSE with an NSE Code of
M&M. Mahindra & Mahindra Limited operates in nine segments. The automotive
segment includes sales of automobiles, spare parts and related services. Farm
equipment segment includes sales of tractors, spare parts and related services;
information technology (IT) services, which consists of services rendered for IT and
telecom; financial services includes services relating to financing, leasing and hire
purchase of automobiles and tractors etc.
24
MARUTI SUZUKI INDIALTD
It is listed on the BSE with a BSE Code of 532500 and the NSE with an NSE Code of
MARUTI. Maruti Suzuki India Limited (MSIL) is engaged in the business of
manufacture, purchase and sale of motor vehicles, automobile components and
spareparts(automobiles).TheotheractivitiesoftheCompanyconsistoffacilitation of pre-
owned car sales, fleet management and car financing.
HERO MOTOCORPLTD
It is listed on the BSE with a BSE Code of 500182 and the NSE with an NSE Code of
HEROMOTOCO. Hero MotoCorp is the World`s single largest two- wheeler
motorcycle company. Hero Honda became the first company in the country to
introduce four-stroke motorcycles and set the standards for fuel efficiency, pollution
control and quality. They have an excellent distribution and service network spread
throughout the country.
RESEARCH DESIGN
The present study is empirical-cum-analytical in nature. It is based on tools of
technical analysis on the basis of observation or experience and fundamental analysis
is conducted on the secondary data collected from the company’s annual report. So, it
is empirical by nature. It has examined the profitability of companies with the help of
suitable statistical tools. So, it is analytical by nature.
25
SAMPLING DESIGN
4 companies listed on Bombay Stock Exchange and National Stock Exchange
related to automobile industry is the population. Non-probability sampling
technique was used for the study.
VARIABLES STUDIED
The profitability position have been calculated on the basis of some fundamental
analysis tools like, return on capital employed, return on net worth, gross profit ratio,
net profit ratio, earning per share and dividend per share. The valuation of companies
has been calculated on price-earning ratio and price to book ratio. It involves
investment, investment process, security analysis, technical analysis, fundamental
analysis. It gives an overview of Capital Market, risk-return analysis. This study
involves how stock prices fluctuate in short term, medium term and long term
analysis.
STATISTICAL TECHNIQUES/ TOOLS USED:
To analyze the stocks of the company Candle Stick Chart Analysis is done for short
term, Medium term and Long term. Support and Resistance and marked on the basis
of price and volume of the share.
26
CHAPTER- 7
DATA ANALYSIS
AND
INTERPRETATION
27
DATA ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION
BALANCE SHEET
• Total share capital has been diluted much in this period of 5 years which is not good
for the health of the company.
• Reserves and Surplus has decreased this year which is not a good indicator for the
progress of the company.
• Total debt has also decreased which is good sign for the company.
• Total current assets and total current liabilities has increased making an unstable
current ratio.
• Total Revenue has decreased this year which is not a good indicator for the
financial health of the company.
• Total expenses has also decreased which is not a good sign for the company.
• Company has suffered Net Loss this year which means company has not performed
financially well this year.
CASH FLOW STATEMENT
• There has been a Net decrease in the Cash Equivalents which is not a good sign for
the company.
• Cash Reserves at the end of the year has decreased which is not good for the
company.
FINANCIAL RATIOS
• Book Value has decreased this year which means the worth of the shares has
decreased this year.
• Company has faced loss before interest and taxes per share which is not good for
the company.
• Company is facing Net loss per share.
28
• Company has suffered negative return on capital employed which indicates a
negative impact on the company.
• Current Ratio has decreased which is not good for that company.
• Total Share Capital has diluted only little in this 5 years which is good for the
financial health of the company.
• Limited Growth has been seen in the reserves and surplus of the funds which means
no enough growth is seen in the reserves.
• Non- current liabilities has increased which is not a good sign for the company.
• Total Non- Current Assets has increased but not at a high pace which is not good
for the company.
PROFIT AND LOSS STATEMENT
• Total Revenue has decreased this year which is not good for the financial health of
the company.
• Total expense has also decreased which is not good for the financial health of the
company.
• Company’s profit has decreased this year which is not good for the financial health
of the company.
• Total Tax expenses has also increased which is not good for the company.
• Net increase in Cash equivalents has decreased this year which is not good for the
company.
• Cash reserves has increased and company has enough reserves to maintain liquidity
of the company.
FINANCIAL RATIOS
• Book Value has increased this year which means the worth of the share has
increased.
29
• The profit before interest and taxes has decreased this year which is not good for
the health of the company.
• Net profit per share has also decreased this year which is not good for the financial
health of the company.
• Return on Assets employed has decreased which is not good for the health of the
company.
• BALANCE SHEET
• The share capital has not diluted in this period of 5 years which is very good for the
health of the company.
• Total Reserves have increased in this 5 years which is good for the financial health
of the company.
• Debt has also increased which is not good for the financial health of the company.
• Total Revenue has decreased this year which is not good for the financial health of
the company.
• Along with Total revenue, total expense has also increased which is not good for
the financial health of the company.
• Profit before tax has decreased this year which is not good for the financial health of
the company.
• Total Tax has decreased this year which is good for the company.
• There has been increase in the cash equivalents which is good for the company’s
financial performance.
• Company has enough cash reserves to maintain the liquidity position.
• FINANCIAL RATIOS
• Book value has increased each year which means the worth of the share has
increased each year.
• Profit before Interest and Tax has decreased this year which is not good for the
company.
30
• Net profit margin percentage has decreased this year which is not good for the
financial health of the company.
• Return on Assets has also decreased.
• This shows that there has been decrease in the financial year 2019-20 which means
company has not performed financially well this year only.
• BALANCE SHEET
• Share Capital has not diluted in this 5 years which is good for the financial health of
the company.
• Reserves and Surplus has increased in this 5 years which is a good sign for the
growth of the company.
• Total debt has increased but at a low rate which is good for the financial health of
the company.
• This clearly shows an example of Good Balance Sheet.
• Total Revenue has decreased this year which is not a good sign for the financial
health of the company.
• Along with the total revenue, total expense has decreased which is good for the
financial health of the company.
• Profit before tax has decreased this year which is not a good sign for the company.
• Total Tax expense has decreased which is good for the financial health of the
company.
• Net cash equivalents has decreased this is not good for the financial health of the
company.
• Cash reserves at the end of the year has increased which is good for the financial
health of the company.
• FINANCIAL RATIOS
31
• Book Value of the share has increased which means the worth of the share has
increased.
• Profit before interest and tax has decreased this year which is not good for the
financial health of the company.
• Net Profit Margin percent has increased each year which is good for the financial
health of the company.
• Return on Capital employed has decreased as compared to previous year which is
not good for the financial health of the company.
• Current and Quick Ratio has increased each year which is good for the financial
health of the company and company’s liquidity position in improving each year.
32
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF TATA MOTORS LTD
33
ANALYSIS OF CHART OF TATA MOTORS LTD:
• SHORT TERM
• A short term candlestick chart analysis was conducted for a period of 1 week
ranging from 11th September 2020 to 18th September 2020.
• In this period of 1 week, the stocks are mostly seen bullish which means the closing
price was higher than the opening price.
• On two days, the stocks are seen to be bearish which means the opening price is
higher than the closing price.
• Short Term analysis shows that the stocks are performing well in this period of 1
week.
• Support level was drawn at Rs 141.67 and Resistance level was drawn at Rs 154.30
considering the highest and lowest price of the stock.
• MEDIUM TERM
• A medium term candlestick chart analysis was conducted for a period of 3 months
ranging from 18th June 2020 to 18th September 2020.
• In this period of 3 months, on most of the days the stocks were seen to be bullish as
the closing price was higher than the opening price.
• However, on some days, the stocks were bearish as the opening price was higher
than the closing price.
• This stocks creates a confusion for the investor whether to buy or sell the share.
34
• Support level was drawn at Rs 91.91 and Resistance level was drawn at Rs 155.20
considering the highest and lowest price of the stock.
• LONG TERM
• A Long term candlestick chart analysis was conducted for a period of 1 year
ranging from 18th September 2019 to 18th September 2020.
• In this period of 1 year, the stocks are seen to be bullish which means the closing
price is higher than the opening price.
• This company is performing well in this period of 1 year and is good chance for the
investors who wish to invest in the stock for a long period.
• Some days the stocks were bearish as the opening price was higher than the closing
price.
• Support level was drawn at Rs 63.63 and Resistance level was drawn at Rs 200.91
considering the highest and lowest price of the stock in this period of 1 year.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF MAHINDRA AND MAHINDRA LTD
Short Term Candle Stick Chart Analysis of Mahindra and Mahindra Ltd
35
Medium Term Candle Stick Chart Analysis of Mahindra and Mahindra
Ltd
36
CHART ANALYSIS OF MAHINDRA AND MAHINDRA LTD
• SHORT TERM
• A Short term candlestick chart analysis was conducted for a period of 1 week
ranging from 11th September 2020 to 18th September 2020.
• In this period of 1 week, the stocks have mostly remained bullish which means the
closing price is higher than the opening price which is good for the company.
• On 2 days, the stocks were seen to be bearish which means the opening stock is
higher than the closing stock.
• Support level was drawn at Rs 612.04 and Resistance level was drawn at Rs 649.88
considering the highest and lowest price of the stock in this period of 1 week.
• MEDIUM TERM
• A Medium term candle stick chart analysis was conducted for a period of 3 months
ranging from 18th June 2020 to 18th September 2020.
• In this period of 3 months, the stocks have mostly stayed bullish which means the
closing price is higher than the opening price.
• This stocks are good for the investment purpose.
• The investors who are looking for media term investment can invest in this stocks.
• Support level was drawn at Rs 492.31 and Resistance level was drawn at Rs 655.68
considering the highest and lowest price of the stock in this period of 3 months.
• LONG TERM
• Long term candlestick chart analysis was conducted for a period of 1 year ranging
from 18th September 2019 to 18th September 2020.
• In this period of 1 year, the stocks have mostly seen to be bullish which means the
closing price is higher than the opening price.
• This stocks are good for investment purpose.
• Investors who are looking for long term investment can invest in this stocks.
• Support level was drawn at Rs 246.03 and Resistance level was drawn at Rs 656.00
considering the highest and lowest price of the stocks in this period of 1 year.
37
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF MARUTI SUZUKI INDIA LTD
Short Term Candle Stick Chart Analysis of Maruti Suzuki India Ltd
38
Long Term Candle Stick Chart Analysis of Maruti Suzuki India Ltd
• A Short term candle stick chart analysis was conducted for a period of 1 week
ranging from 11th September 2020 to 18th September 2020.
• In this period of 1 week the stocks were mostly seen to be bearish which means the
opening price is higher than the closing price.
• This stock is not good for the short term investment purpose.
• Support level was drawn at Rs 6961.65 and Resistance level was drawn at Rs
7350.74 considering the highest and lowest price of the stock in this period of 1
week.
• MEDIUM TERM
• A Medium term candlestick chart analysis was conducted for a period of 3 months
ranging 18th June 2020 to 18th September 2020.
• In this period of 3 months, the stocks have fluctuated much.
39
• On most of the days, the stocks have been bullish which means the closing price is
higher than the opening price.
• And on some days the stocks were seen to be bearish which means the opening
price is higher than the closing price.
• It is a risky investment and investors who like to take risk can invest in this stock.
• Support level was drawn at Rs 5397.45 and Resistance level was drawn at Rs
7350.74 considering the highest and lowest price of the stock in this period of 3
months.
• LONG TERM
• Long term candle stick chart analysis was conducted for a period of 1 year ranging
from 18th September 2019 to 18th September 2020.
• In this period of 1 year, the stocks were mostly seen to be bullish which means the
closing price is higher than the opening price.
• This stock is good for the long term investment purpose.
• Although on some days the stocks were bearish, as the opening price is higher than
the closing price.
• Support level is drawn at Rs 4023.28 and Resistance level was drawn at Rs 7757.16
considering the highest and lowest price of the stock in this period of 1 year.
40
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF HERO MOTOCORP LTD
41
Long Term Candlestick Chart Analysis of Hero MotoCorp Ltd
• SHORT TERM
• A Short term candle stick chart analysis was conducted for a period of 1 week
ranging from 11th September 2020 to 18th September 2020.
• In this period of 1 week the stocks were completely bullish which means the
closing price is higher than the opening price.
• This stocks are best source of investment for a short term.
• Investors who do not wish to take risk and want to earn good returns in short term
can invest in this stock.
• Support level was drawn at Rs 2889.04 and Resistance level was drawn at Rs
3105.00 considering the highest and lowest price of the stock in this period of 1
week.
• MEDIUM TERM
• A medium term candlestick chart analysis was drawn for a period of 3 months
ranging from 18th June 2020 to 18th September 2020.
42
• In this period of 3 months, mostly the stocks are seen to be bullish as the closing
price was higher than the opening price.
• However, on some days the stocks were seen bearish which means the opening
price is higher than the closing price.
• Support level is drawn at Rs 2316.67 and Resistance level was drawn at 3105.00
considering the highest and the lowest price of the stock in this period of 3 months.
• LONG TERM
• A Long term candle stick chart analysis for a period of 1 year ranging from 18th
September 2019 to 18th September 2020.
• In this period of 1 year, the stocks are mostly seen to be bullish as the closing price
is higher than the opening price.
• On some days, the stocks were also bearish.
43
FINDINGS
2. INVESTMENT POSITION
For the investment position on the basis of Technical Analysis, I can conclude that
Mahindra and Mahindra Ltd is the best option for investment followed by Hero
MotoCorp Ltd, TATA Motors Ltd in the automobile sector.
3. LIQUIDITY POSITION
On the basis of Fundamental Analysis, the liquidity position of Hero MotoCorp Ltd
is better than the other companies.
4. PROFITABILITY POSITION
On the basis of the analysis, Hero MotoCorp Ltd has better profitability position as
compared to others.
5. STOCKS PERFORMANCE
All stocks are performing well when medium term and long term performance is
taken into consideration.
6. RISKY STOCKS
Maruti Suzuki stock is more risky as compared to other as lot of fluctuation is seen
in the stock and there is no stability.
7. RISK PARAMETERS
44
SUGGESTIONS
According to the Technical Analysis, the stocks of Hero MotoCorp Ltd, Mahindra
and Mahindra Ltd and TATA Motors Ltd can be hold for the short term.
2. WHICH STOCK CAN BE HOLD FOR THE LONG TERM
According to the Technical Analysis, stocks of all the companies are performing
well. So all the stocks are suitable for the long term investment.
3. WHAT KIND OF STRATEGY OF INVESTMENT SHOULD AN
INVESTOR LOOK WHILE INVESTING IN THE COMPANY
While investing in the Automobile industry, the first preference that the investors
give is safety of the investment and they try to select a stock which has overall less
risk and more returns.
Before investing in any company they need to conduct proper research on the past
performance of the stocks of the company or any new changes the company will
bring in the near future.
Management Selection is also an important criteria which an investor looks into as a
good management team can only bring profits to the company.
45
LEARNING THROUGH THE PROJECT
• I have learned how to read the Annual report of any company and what important
points in the Annual report has to be taken into consideration.
• Candlestick Chart Analysis was completely a new concept for me and this project
help me to know about it.
• I learnt how to keep a track of the stocks and how they are performing the market.
• I have learnt that how different factors affect the price of the stock and how price
keeps fluctuating.
• I have learnt about automobile industry and many other industries.
• I have learnt that fundamental analysis comprises of company analysis, industry
analysis and economy analysis.
46
CONCLUSION
47
CONCLUSION
It was really a great pleasure for me that I got an opportunity to work at Biscon
Consultants and to do my research project in their company. It was all together a very
new and exhilarating experience for me and I will cherish this for years to come.
It helped me to upgrade my skills and gave a overall exposure about how to work
professionally in my life ahead.
After completing the research on the companies of Automobile sector I can see that
automobile sector is booming at a accelerated rate and it there are many competitors
in this sector. Knowledge sessions were conducted every week by the owner of the
organisation where he used to give us tips of how to keep good knowledge of the
stocks and how to keep a regulate updates of the stocks in the market.
Many people are still confused as which option they need to choose when they want
to find which stocks are better to invest. On the basis of the research I can conclude
that if the investor is looking to invest for a short term than Technical Analysis is the
best option and it can be conducted on regular basis. But if the investor is looking to
invest for a longer term than they must rely on the Fundamental Analysis of the
company and they need to thoroughly study the past performance of the company.
Both, Fundamental and Technical Analysis are important and have their own pros and
cons. So knowledge of both type of analysis is beneficial for a person who is looking
to invest in the stock.
48
BIBLIOGRAPHY
• www.moneycontol.com
• www.ibef.org
• m.heromotocorp.com
• www.mahindra.com
• www.marutisuzuki.com
• www.tatamotorsltd.com
49
ANNEXURE:
SHAREHOLDER'S FUNDS
NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES
CURRENT LIABILITIES
ASSETS
NON-CURRENT ASSETS
50
Intangible Assets 5,667.73 3,970.22 3,411.23 2,875.80 3,502.56
NON-CURRENT INVESTMENTS
CURRENT INVESTMENTS
INCOME
51
EXPENSES
TAX EXPENSES-CONTINUED
OPERATIONS
52
PROFIT/LOSS AFTER TAX AND -7,289.63 2,020.60 -1,034.85 -2,429.60 160.61
BEFORE EXTRAORDINARY
ITEMS
OTHER ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION
-
2,429.60
53
Net CashFlow From Operating -1,454.59 6,292.63 4,133.94 1,453.45 2,702.98
Activities
Net Cash Used From Financing 7,749.21 -2,529.70 -3,105.63 1,208.80 -78.87
Activities
Cash And Cash Equivalents Begin 487.40 546.82 228.94 427.07 1,066.47
of Year
Cash And Cash Equivalents End Of 2,145.30 487.40 546.82 228.94 427.07
Year
54
Dividend / Share(Rs.) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20
PROFITABILITY RATIOS
LIQUIDITY RATIOS
55
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
(%)
VALUATION RATIOS
SHAREHOLDER'S FUNDS
56
33,871.32
NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES
CURRENT LIABILITIES
ASSETS
NON-CURRENT ASSETS
57
FIXED ASSETS 14,404.05 12,501.54 10,988.12 9,811.44 9,158.14
Long Term Loans And Advances 138.86 37.55 43.01 34.12 1,223.55
CURRENT ASSETS
Short Term Loans And Advances 512.02 673.40 975.16 506.51 486.76
OTHER ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION
CONTINGENT LIABILITIES,
COMMITMENTS
58
CIF VALUE OF IMPORTS
Stores, Spares And Loose Tools 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
EXPENDITURE IN FOREIGN
EXCHANGE
REMITTANCES IN FOREIGN
CURRENCIES FOR DIVIDENDS
EARNINGS IN FOREIGN
EXCHANGE
BONUS DETAILS
NON-CURRENT INVESTMENTS
CURRENT INVESTMENTS
59
PROFIT & LOSS ACCOUNT OF MAR 20 MAR 19 MAR MAR 17 MAR 16
MAHINDRA AND MAHINDRA (in 18
Rs. Cr.)
INCOME
TOTAL REVENUE
47,155.59 55,302.97 49,721.91 45,398.96 41,725.00
EXPENSES
60
Other Expenses 5,384.59 5,867.23 5,614.45 4,880.33 4,469.50
TAX EXPENSES-CONTINUED
OPERATIONS
OTHER ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION
61
TOOLS
- - -
Net Cash Used In Investing Activities -2,575.72 -2,548.71
5,110.42 2,781.83 3,537.93
-1,015.46 -1,555.22
62
Adjustments On Amalgamation Merger 0.00 0.00 0.00 -75.19 0.00
Demerger Others
NET INC/DEC IN CASH AND CASH 85.93 819.63 884.06 -308.42 -74.80
EQUIVALENTS
Cash And Cash Equivalents Begin of 2,237.58 1,417.95 533.89 842.31 917.11
Year
Cash And Cash Equivalents End Of 2,323.51 2,237.58 1,417.95 533.89 842.31
Year
63
Net Profit/Share (Rs.) 11.15 40.25 36.61 61.38 54.07
PROFITABILITY RATIOS
LIQUIDITY RATIOS
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 89.23 19.43 21.24 23.08 26.42
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 33.41 14.00 15.85 16.26 19.82
Cash Earnings Retention Ratio (%) 66.59 86.00 84.15 83.74 80.18
VALUATION RATIOS
64
MarketCap/Net Operating Revenue 0.75 1.49 1.81 1.73 1.75
(X)
SHAREHOLDER'S FUNDS
NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES
65
CURRENT LIABILITIES
ASSETS
NON-CURRENT ASSETS
Long Term Loans And Advances 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.30 0.40
66
34,094.00
CURRENT ASSETS
CURRENT ASSETS
Short Term Loans And Advances 16.90 16.00 3.00 2.50 147.80
OTHER ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION
CONTINGENT LIABILITIES,
COMMITMENTS
Stores, Spares And Loose Tools 64.00 58.50 66.10 20.10 62.90
EXPENDITURE IN FOREIGN
EXCHANGE
REMITTANCES IN FOREIGN
CURRENCIES FOR DIVIDENDS
67
Dividend Remittance In Foreign -- -- -- -- 424.50
Currency
EARNINGS IN FOREIGN
EXCHANGE
BONUS DETAILS
NON-CURRENT INVESTMENTS
CURRENT INVESTMENTS
INCOME
68
TOTAL OPERATING REVENUES 75,610.60 86,020.30 79,762.70 68,034.80 57,538.10
EXPENSES
TAX EXPENSES-CONTINUED
OPERATIONS
69
Current Tax 1,374.80 2,932.30 3,349.50 2,335.60 2,041.40
OTHER ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION
70
Tax On Dividend 496.80 496.80 461.20 215.20 153.80
Net Cash Used From Financing -3,100.00 -2,947.80 -3,446.00 -1,129.30 -1,236.40
Activities
Cash And Cash Equivalents Begin of 177.00 69.90 13.00 38.40 17.70
Year
Cash And Cash Equivalents End Of 18.20 177.00 69.90 13.00 38.40
Year
71
Cr.)
PROFITABILITY RATIOS
72
Return on Networth / Equity (%) 11.66 16.25 18.49 20.17 17.95
LIQUIDITY RATIOS
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 42.76 32.21 29.34 14.38 14.07
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 26.33 22.97 21.61 10.62 9.22
Cash Earnings Retention Ratio (%) 73.67 77.03 78.39 89.38 90.78
VALUATION RATIOS
112,352.
Enterprise Value (Cr.) 129,575.25 201,456.04 267,706.83 182,403.66
02
73
12 mths 12 mths 12 mths 12 mths 12 mths
SHAREHOLDER'S FUNDS
11,728.94
11,768.88
NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES
CURRENT LIABILITIES
74
TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES 3,976.06 4,130.36 4,343.32 4,093.33 4,048.82
ASSETS
NON-CURRENT ASSETS
Long Term Loans And Advances 67.27 59.96 45.68 48.36 870.42
CURRENT ASSETS
Short Term Loans And Advances 22.36 25.03 27.56 24.18 521.46
OTHER ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION
75
CONTINGENT LIABILITIES,
COMMITMENTS
Stores, Spares And Loose Tools 1,001.45 1,620.58 1,011.15 992.82 0.00
EXPENDITURE IN FOREIGN
EXCHANGE
REMITTANCES IN FOREIGN
CURRENCIES FOR DIVIDENDS
BONUS DETAILS
NON-CURRENT INVESTMENTS
CURRENT INVESTMENTS
Current Investments Unquoted Book Value 4,559.92 3,146.42 5,591.12 4,419.80 2,987.22
76
INCOME
EXPENSES
77
Cost Of Materials Consumed 19,867.19 23,346.10 21,857.79 18,974.11 19,321.72
TAX EXPENSES-CONTINUED
OPERATIONS
78
Tax For Earlier Years 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
OTHER ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION
79
Imported Stores And Spares 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.78
Net Cash Used From Financing -2,419.77 -2,293.98 -2,046.66 -2,095.63 -1,683.95
Activities
80
NET INC/DEC IN CASH AND 107.23 6.30 18.98 -11.55 -41.50
CASH EQUIVALENTS
Cash And Cash Equivalents Begin 40.68 34.38 15.40 26.95 97.97
of Year
Cash And Cash Equivalents End Of 147.91 40.68 34.38 15.40 56.47
Year
PROFITABILITY RATIOS
81
Return on Capital Employed (%) 26.52 37.15 42.35 44.00 37.77
LIQUIDITY RATIOS
Dividend Payout Ratio (NP) (%) 53.32 56.05 45.91 51.44 45.89
Dividend Payout Ratio (CP) (%) 43.52 47.58 39.91 44.89 40.23
Cash Earnings Retention Ratio (%) 56.48 52.42 60.09 55.11 59.77
VALUATION RATIOS
82