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The Interpretation of Dummy Variables

in Semilogarithmic Equations
By ROBERT HALVORSEN AND RAYMOND PALMQUIST*

A number of recent articles on dis- centage effect on Y of a small change in


crimination, education, and income misin- that variable.
terpret the regression of coefficients of some Since a dummy variable enters the equa-
variables, and as a result report incorrect tion in dichotomous form, the derivative of
estimates of their effects. Examples appear- the dependent variable with respect to the
ing in this Review include articles by Eric dummy variable does not exist. Instead, the
Hanushek and John Quigley, David Hart- coefficient of a dummy variable measures
man, Robert Lucas, James Smith and Finis the discontinuous effect on Y of the pres-
Welch, Barry Chiswick, and Emily Hoff- ence of the factor represented by the
man. An analogous error appears in the dummy variable. The appropriate interpre-
literature on hedonic price indexes, in- tation of the coefficient of a dummy vari-
cluding frequently cited articles by Zvi able can be shown directly by a transforma-
Griliches, Jack Triplett, and A. T. Court. tion of equation (1).
This common error involves the interpre- For simplicity, it will be assumed that
tation of the coefficients of dummy vari- there is a single dummy variable. Equation
ables in semilogarithmic regression equa- (1) can then be written as
tions. The articles cited above assume that
the coefficient of a dummy variable, multi-
plied by 100, is equal to the percentage
(2) Y= (1 + g)Dexp(a+ E biXi)
effect of that variable on the variable being
explained. However, it is easily shown that where g is the relative effect on Y of the
this interpretation, while correct for con- presence of the factor represented by the
tinuous variables, is not correct for dummy dummy variable.' Thus the coefficient of
variables and can result in substantial errors the dummy variable in equation (1) is c=
in the reporting of results. ln(I + g). The relative effect on Y is g =
The general form of the equations esti- exp(c) - 1, and the percentage effect is
mated in the articles cited above is equal to2

lOO*g= 100 *{exp(c) - }


(1) InY=a+2 bIXI+ cDj

The results reported in the studies cited


where the Xi represent continuous variables above are based on the incorrect assump-
and the Dj represent dummy variables. The tion that c = g. The relationship between c
coefficient of a continuous variable is and g when the absolute value of g is less
than one can be examined by expansion

alnY 1 aY
b == 'Thus g=(Y,- YO)/Yo where Y, and YO are the
axi Y axi values of the dependent variable when the dummy
variable is equal to one and zero, respectively.
2When time dummies are used to estimate hedonic
Thus the coefficient of a continuous vari-
price indexes, c is equal to the rate of change in price
able, multiplied by 100, is equal to the per- which, when continuously compounded, yields g, the
relative change in price during the period. The value of
*University of Washington. We are grateful to the price index at the end of the period is equal to exp
Taylor Dennen and Gerald Glandon for discussion of (c), not 1 + c as assumed in the hedonic studies cited
the topic of this note. above.

474

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VOL. 70 NO.3 HALVORSEN AND PALMQUIST: DUMMY VARIABLES 475

TABLE 1 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN DUMMY VARIABLE whereas the correct result implied by their
COEFFICIENTS AND RELATIVE EFFECTS
regression is 90 percent.

Coefficient of the
Dummy Variable Relative Effect REFERENCES
(c) (g)
B. R. Chiswick, "Sons of Immigrants: Are
1.50 3.48
They at an Earnings Disadvantage?,"
1.25 2.49
1.00 1.72
Amer. Econ. Rev. Proc., Feb. 1977, 67,
0.75 1.12 376-80.
0.50 0.65 A. T. Court, "Hedonic Price Indexes with
0.25 0.28 Automotive Examples," in The Dynamics
0.00 0.00
of Automobile Demand, New York 1939.
-0.25 -0.22
-0.50 -0.39 Z. Griliches, "Hedonic Price Indexes for Au-
-0.75 -0.53 tomobiles: An Econometric Analysis of
-1.00 -0.63 Quality Change," in his Price Indexes and
-1.25 -0.71
Quality Change, Cambridge 1971.
-1.50 -0.78
E. A. Hanushek and J. M. Quigley, "Implicit
Investment Profiles and Intertemporal
Adjustments of Relative Wages," Amer.
of c, Econ. Rev., Mar. 1978, 68, 67-79.
D. G. Hartman, "What Do Economics Majors
Learn?," Amer. Econ. Rev. Proc., May
c=ln(l +g)=g- g2+ I3_ .. I l <1 1978, 68, 17-22.
E. P. Hoffman, "Faculty Salaries: Is There
For small values of g, c is approximately
Discrimination by Sex, Race, and Disci-
equal to g. When g is positive, c is smaller
pline? Additional Evidence," Amer. Econ.
than g, and when g is negative, c is algebra-
Rev., Mar. 1976, 66, 196-98.
ically smaller than g but larger in absolute
R. E. B. Lucas, "Hedonic Wage Equations
value.
and Psychic Wages in the Returns to
Table 1 shows the magnitude of the rela-
Schooling," Amer. Econ. Rev., Sept. 1977,
tive change g, implied by selected values for
67, 549-58.
the coefficient of the dummy variable c. The
J. P. Smith and F. R. Welch, "Black-White
errors involved in assuming that c is equal
Male Wage Ratios: 1960-70," Amer.
to g can be substantial for values of c within
Econ. Rev., June 1977, 67, 323-38.
the range estimated in the cited studies. For
J. E. Triplett, "Automobiles and Hedonic
example, Hanushek and Quigley (p. 74) re-
Quality Measurement," J. Polit. Econ.,
port that a postgraduate degree increases
May/June 1969, 77, 408-17.
the wages of a black worker by 64 percent,

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