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Systematic

Systematic reviews reviews

Mortality among people who inject drugs: a systematic review and


meta-analysis
Bradley M Mathers,a Louisa Degenhardt,b Chiara Bucello,b James Lemon,b Lucas Wiessing c & Mathew Hickman d

Objective To systematically review cohort studies of mortality among people who inject drugs, examine mortality rates and causes of
death in this group, and identify participant- and study-level variables associated with a higher risk of death.
Methods Tailored search strings were used to search EMBASE, Medline and PsycINFO. The grey literature was identified through online
grey literature databases. Experts were consulted to obtain additional studies and data. Random effects meta-analyses were performed to
estimate pooled crude mortality rates (CMRs) and standardized mortality ratios (SMRs).
Findings Sixty-seven cohorts of people who inject drugs were identified, 14 of them from low- and middle-income countries. The pooled
CMR was 2.35 deaths per 100 person–years (95% confidence interval, CI: 2.12–2.58). SMRs were reported for 32 cohorts; the pooled SMR was
14.68 (95% CI: 13.01–16.35). Comparison of CMRs and the calculation of CMR ratios revealed mortality to be higher in low- and middle-income
country cohorts, males and people who injected drugs that were positive for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). It was also higher during
off-treatment periods. Drug overdose and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) were the primary causes of death across cohorts.
Conclusion Compared with the general population, people who inject drugs have an elevated risk of death, although mortality rates vary
across different settings. Any comprehensive approach to improving health outcomes in this group must include efforts to reduce HIV
infection as well as other causes of death, particularly drug overdose.

Introduction death.3–5 Findings from other reviews have also suggested that
rates of death among people who are dependent on opioids are
People who use drugs, especially by injection, are at higher
different from the rates of death observed in people who are
risk of dying from both acute and chronic diseases, many of
dependent on stimulants such as cocaine and amphetamine
which are related to their drug use, than people who do not
type stimulants.3–5
use these drugs. Fatal overdose and infection with human im-
In recent years the number of studies reporting on mor-
munodeficiency virus (HIV) and other blood-borne viruses
tality among people who inject drugs has increased. Hence,
transmitted through shared needles and syringes are the most
the objective of this review was to determine the following:
common causes of death in this group.1 Understanding causes
• overall crude mortality rates (CMRs) and excess deaths
of death is important when setting priorities for programmes
across cohorts of people who inject drugs, by sex;
designed to reduce deaths from the use of drugs. Longitudinal
• causes of death across studies, particularly from drug over-
studies of people who inject drugs are critical for assessing
dose and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS);
the magnitude, nature and correlates of the risk of death in
differences in mortality rates and causes of death among
this population.
HIV-positive (HIV+) and HIV-negative (HIV−) people
A systematic review conducted in 2004 identified 30 pro-
who inject drugs;
spective studies published between 1967 and 2004 that dealt
• differences in mortality rates across cohorts by geographi-
with “problematic drug users” or people who inject drugs.2
cal location and country income level;
These reviews have consistently shown that the practice of
• mortality rates by type of drug injected (e.g. opioids versus
injecting drugs is associated with an elevated risk of death,
stimulants);
particularly from the complications of HIV infection, drug
• mortality rates during in-treatment and off-treatment
overdose and suicide. Since these reviews were conducted,
periods.
the number of studies examining mortality among cohorts
of people who inject drugs has risen substantially. This has
made it possible to perform fine-grained analyses that were not
feasible in earlier reviews. Furthermore, those earlier reviews Methods
did not examine the potential impact of study-level variables,
Identifying studies
variation across countries, or of participant-level variables that
could affect both mortality rates and differences in causes of A recent series of reviews identified cohort studies among opi-
death, yet study-level evidence suggests that males who inject oid, amphetamine and cocaine users to examine mortality.3–5 In
drugs may be at higher risk of dying than females and that these reviews tailored search strings were used to search three
different types of drugs are associated with different risks of electronic databases for studies published between 1980 and

a
The Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia.
b
National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
c
Scientific Division, European Monitoring Centre for Drugs and Drug Addiction, Lisbon, Portugal.
d
School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, England.
Correspondence to Bradley M Mathers (e-mail: bmathers@kirby.unsw.edu.au).
(Submitted: 31 May 2012 – Revised version received: 26 November 2012 – Accepted: 28 November 2012 )

102 Bull World Health Organ 2013;91:102–123 | doi:10.2471/BLT.12.108282


Systematic reviews
Bradley M Mathers et al. Mortality among people who inject drugs

2012: Medline, EMBASE and PsycINFO. cohorts. We included in the analysis in the analyses (Fig. 1). These studies
The search strings contained keywords only studies of drug users that included were further assessed using STROBE
and database-specific terms (MeSH mortality data disaggregated by partici- reporting guidelines.7
headings, EMTREE terms and explode pants’ injecting drug use; studies were
Data extraction
terms; Box 1). All results were limited included only if more than 70% of the
to human subjects. We identified grey cohort was composed of people who Once we had identified all studies, one
literature sources reporting on mortality injected drugs. of the authors (JL) extracted the data
by searching online grey literature data- The searches yielded a total of 5981 into an Excel database (Microsoft, Red-
bases, library databases and the web sites studies of mortality related to the use of mond, United States of America) and
listed in a published technical report.6 To opioids, amphetamines and cocaine. We two others rechecked them (BM, CB).
make sure that no relevant papers had identified another 79 articles by search- This yielded the basic data set for the
been missed, we sent the draft lists of the ing the reference lists of reviews on mor- statistical analyses. We extracted infor-
papers identified through these searches tality related to drug use. Experts pro- mation on the location of each study, the
to experts for their review. vided additional studies for 16 cohorts. period of recruitment and duration of
For the current study we exam- From these 5981 articles we excluded a follow-up, the number of people in the
ined all papers found in the reviews of total of 5762: 4999 did not focus on drug cohort, the percentage of people in the
drug-related mortality but selected only dependence or mortality, 118 did not cohort who injected drugs, the number
cohorts composed of people who in- include raw data, 292 were case series, of person–years (PY) of follow-up and
jected opioids and other drugs. We used and 600 had insufficient mortality data the number of deaths.
the strategy outlined in the preceding on people who inject drugs. In total, we We extracted CMRs and standard-
paragraph to further search for these selected 67 cohort studies for inclusion ized mortality ratios (SMRs). We ex-

Box 1. Strategy for search of the peer-reviewed literature


Database specific search terms were developed and combined using Boolean operators as follows:
( < opioids > OR < cocaine > OR < amphetamine type stimulants > ) AND < drug use > AND < mortality > AND < longitudinal studies > 
All results were limited to human subjects and publication years between 1980 and 2012. The full search strings used for each database were as follows:
Medline: ((heroin or opiate$ OR opium OR opioid$ OR Exp Opium/ OR exp Narcotics/ OR exp Heroin Dependence/ OR exp Heroin/ OR exp
Morphine/ OR exp Opioid-Related Disorders/ OR exp Opiate Alkaloids/ OR exp Methadone/ OR exp Analgesics, Opioid/) OR (Cocaine exp Cocaine-
Related Disorders/ or exp Cocaine/ or exp Crack Cocaine/) OR (ATS OR amphetamine type stimulant$ OR amphetamine$ OR methamphetamine OR
deoxyephedrine OR desoxyephedrine OR Desoxyn OR madrine OR metamfetamine OR methamphetamine hydrochloride OR methylamphetamine
OR n-methylamphetamine OR d-amphetamine OR dextroamphetamine sulfate OR dexamphetamine OR dexedrine OR dextro-amphetamine sulfate
OR dextroamphetamine sulfate OR d-amphetamine sulfate OR stimulant$ exp amphetamines/ or exp amphetamine/ or exp dextroamphetamine/
or exp p-chloroamphetamine/ or exp 2,5-dimethoxy-4-methylamphetamine/ or exp p-hydroxyamphetamine/ or exp iofetamine/ or exp
methamphetamine/ or exp benzphetamine/ or exp phentermine/ or exp chlorphentermine/ or exp mephentermine/ or exp amphetamine-related
disorders/)) AND (drug abuse$ OR drug use$ OR drug misuse$ OR drug dependenc$ OR substance abuse$ OR substance use$ OR substance misuse$
OR substance dependenc$ OR addict$ OR Exp Substance-related disorders/) AND (Mortal$ OR fatal$ OR death$ OR exp “death and dying”/ OR exp
mortality/ OR exp hospitalization) AND (“cohort” OR “longitudinal” OR “incidence” OR “prospective” OR “follow-up” OR exp cohort studies/ OR exp
longitudinal studies/ OR exp follow-up studies/ OR exp prospective studies/)
EMBASE: ((heroin OR opioid$ OR opiate$ OR opium OR exp Diamorphine/ OR exp Opiate/ OR exp Methadone treatment/ OR exp Methadone/) OR
(Cocaine exp Cocaine-Related Disorders/ or exp Cocaine/ or exp Crack Cocaine/) OR (ATS OR amphetamine type stimulant$ OR amphetamine$ OR
methamphetamine OR deoxyephedrine OR desoxyephedrine OR Desoxyn OR madrine OR metamfetamine OR methamphetamine hydrochloride
OR methylamphetamine OR n-methylamphetamine OR d-amphetamine OR dextroamphetamine sulfate OR dexamphetamine OR dexedrine OR
dextro-amphetamine sulfate OR dextroamphetamine sulfate OR d-amphetamine sulfate OR stimulant$ exp amphetamines/ or exp amphetamine/
or exp dextroamphetamine/ or exp p-chloroamphetamine/ or exp 2,5-dimethoxy-4-methylamphetamine/ or exp p-hydroxyamphetamine/ or
exp iofetamine/ or exp methamphetamine/ or exp benzphetamine/ or exp phentermine/ or exp chlorphentermine/ or exp mephentermine/ or
exp amphetamine-related disorders/)) AND (Drug abuse OR drug use$ OR drug misuse OR drug dependenc$ OR substance abuse OR substance
use$ OR substance misuse OR substance dependenc$ OR addict$ OR exp substance abuse/ OR exp drug abuse/ OR exp analgesic agent abuse/
OR exp drug abuse pattern/ OR exp drug misuse/ OR exp drug traffic/ OR exp multiple drug abuse/ OR exp addiction/ OR exp drug dependence/
OR exp cocaine dependence/ OR narcotic dependence/ OR exp heroin dependence/ OR exp morphine addiction/ OR exp opiate addiction/) AND
(Mortal$ OR fatal$ OR death$ OR exp death/ OR exp “cause of death”/ OR exp accidental death/ OR exp sudden death/ OR exp fatality/ OR exp
mortality/ OR exp hospitalization/) AND (“cohort” OR “longitudinal” OR “incidence” OR “prospective” OR “follow-up” OR exp cohort analysis/ OR exp
longitudinal study/ OR exp prospective study/ OR exp follow up/)
PsychINFO: ((“heroin” OR “opium” OR “opiate$” OR “methadone” OR exp Opiates/ OR exp METHADONE/ OR exp HEROIN ADDICTION/ OR exp HEROIN)
OR (Cocaine exp Cocaine-Related Disorders/ or exp Cocaine/ or exp Crack Cocaine/) OR (ATS OR amphetamine type stimulant$ OR amphetamine$
OR methamphetamine OR deoxyephedrine OR desoxyephedrine OR Desoxyn OR madrine OR metamfetamine OR methamphetamine hydrochloride
OR methylamphetamine OR n-methylamphetamine OR d-amphetamine OR dextroamphetamine sulfate OR dexamphetamine OR dexedrine OR
dextro-amphetamine sulfate OR dextroamphetamine sulfate OR d-amphetamine sulfate OR stimulant$ exp amphetamines/ or exp amphetamine/
or exp dextroamphetamine/ or exp p-chloroamphetamine/ or exp 2,5-dimethoxy-4-methylamphetamine/ or exp p-hydroxyamphetamine/ or
exp iofetamine/ or exp methamphetamine/ or exp benzphetamine/ or exp phentermine/ or exp chlorphentermine/ or exp mephentermine/ or
exp amphetamine-related disorders/)) AND (Drug abuse OR drug use$ OR drug misuse OR drug dependenc$ OR substance abuse OR substance
use$ OR substance misuse OR substance dependenc$ OR addict$ OR Exp drug abuse/ OR exp drug addiction/ OR exp addiction/ OR exp drug
usage) AND (Mortal$ OR fatal$ OR death$ OR exp “death and dying”/ OR exp mortality/ OR exp hospitalization) AND (“cohort” OR “longitudinal” OR
“incidence” OR “prospective” OR “follow-up” OR Exp age differences/ OR exp cohort analysis/ OR exp human sex differences)
Note: $ indicates wildcard.

Bull World Health Organ 2013;91:102–123 | doi:10.2471/BLT.12.108282 103


Systematic reviews
Mortality among people who inject drugs Bradley M Mathers et al.

Fig. 1. Flowchart showing study selection process for systematic review of studies on levels of heterogeneity between stud-
mortality in people who inject drugs ies because of the marked differences
between the samples of people inject-
ing drugs; accordingly, we applied a
Total from random effects model to all analyses.
5981
initial search The appropriateness of this a priori
decision was confirmed by the resultant
χ2 and the I-squared statistic. To further
Hand search: investigate this heterogeneity, when the
79
data permitted we divided the cohorts
into subgroups and used CMR ratios to
compare differences in mortality.11 We
6060 made comparisons between subgroups
as follows: sex (male versus female); pri-
From experts: mary drug injected at baseline (opioids
16 versus stimulants); HIV status (HIV+
versus HIV−); and treatment for drug
6076 dependence (in-treatment period versus
off-treatment period).
Not drug/mortality focused:
We examined the following as po-
4999 tential sources of heterogeneity in CMRs
or SMRs using random effects univariate
1077
meta-regressions in STATA: geographic
region, country income group (based on
World Bank categories), percentage of
No raw data: sample that injected drugs, were male
118 or were HIV+ at baseline; presence of
opioid users in the cohort; and the year
959 in which the follow-up period ended.12,13

Case series studies: Results


292
We included 67 cohorts in the analysis;
14 were from low- and middle-income
667
countries (Table 1). Studies from Eu-
rope, North America and Australasia
Insufficient mortality data on people were the most common; nine studies
who inject drugs: 600 were from Asia and one was from South
America. The pooled CMR across the 65
cohorts for which a CMR was provided
67
was 2.35 deaths per 100 PY (Fig. 2). Co-
horts from Asia had the highest pooled
CMRs (5.25), followed by the cohorts
pressed CMRs as the number of deaths number of PYs, the number of deaths from North America (2.64) and western
per 100 PY of follow-up. We reported and mortality rates. Europe (2.31); cohorts from Australasia
SMRs as calculated in the source pa- had the lowest pooled CMR (0.71).
Statistical analysis
pers. In several cases standard errors, SMRs were reported for 31 cohorts;
confidence intervals (CIs) and CMRs We performed meta-analyses to estimate their pooled SMR was 14.68 (Fig. 3).
were not reported, so we estimated them pooled all-cause CMRs and all-cause Since the heterogeneities (I 2) of the
using standard calculations. We also put SMRs, and pooled estimates of deaths pooled CMR and SMR were both very
into the database CMRs and SMRs that from specific causes, as in previous re- high (98.6% and 98.3%, respectively), we
were reported according to sex, HIV views.8 To perform the meta-analyses we stratified estimates by subgroups.
status, treatment status and type of drug used the “metan” command in STATA
Sex differences in mortality
injected, as well as data on deaths from version 10.1 (StataCorp LP, College Sta-
drug overdose or AIDs-related causes. tion, USA). The “metan” command uses Thirty-seven studies presented CMRs
We included in the analyses studies inverse-variance weighting to calculate by s e x . 1 4 , 1 7 – 1 9 , 2 1 – 2 4 , 2 6 , 2 8 , 3 0 – 3 2 , 3 4 , 3 6 – 3 8 , 4 3 ,
that specified treatment status if they random effects pooled summary esti- 45–50,52,54,57,58,62,66–72,74
The pooled CMR
classified the data by mutually exclusive mates and their confidence limits, true ratio for males versus females was 1.32
treatment groups or periods. We only effect differences between studies and (Fig. 4), which suggests that crude mor-
included studies in which the exact dates study heterogeneity.9,10 Random effects tality was higher among males. Nineteen
of entry into and exit from the study had models allow for heterogeneity between studies reported SMRs by sex;14,17,21,24,
been recorded and used to calculate the and within studies. We expected high 26,28,30,32,34,38,43,46,52,54,58,66,67,70,74
the pooled

104 Bull World Health Organ 2013;91:102–123 | doi:10.2471/BLT.12.108282


Table 1. Studies included in this systematic review of studies on mortality among people who inject drugs

Study Country Country Sampling n People who Males Drug(s) Recruitment End of PYs of CMR 95% CI SMR 95% CI
income frame inject drugs (%) used period follow-up follow-up
(%) period
Antolini et al. (2006)14 Italy High DTS 4644 100 79.1 O, S 1975–1999 1999 39 667 2.01 1.80–2.16 13.01 12.11–13.91
Bradley M Mathers et al.

Azim et al. (2008)15 Bangladesh Low DTS 552 100 100 O 2002–2004 2007 901.6 6.32 4.68–7.96 – –
Azim et al. (2009)16 Bangladesh Low DTS 675 100 100 O 2005–2007 2007 1191.7 3.52 2.46–4.59 – –
Bargagli et al. (2001)17 Italy High DTS 11 432 84 82.2 O 1980–1995 1997 80 787 2.15 2.05–2.25 17.3 16.5–18.2
Bauer et al. (2008)18 Austria High DTS 114 99a 58.8 O 1998–1999 2004 534.8 5.42 3.45–7.40 29.13 19.27–44.04
Brancato et al. (1995)19 Italy High DTS 138 100 76.8 O 1985 1994 1272 2.04 1.26–2.83 – –
Cardoso et al. (2006)20 Brazil Middle NSP 478 100 78.7 S 2000–2001 2001 612 2.77 1.45–4.09 – –
Ciccolallo et al. (2000)21 Italy High DTS 4260 100 78.0 – 1975–1995 1995 28 424 2.26 2.08–2.43 30.7 17.3–44.0
Clausen et al. (2008)22 Norway High DTS 3789 90–95 68.1 O 1997–2003 2003 10 934 1.95 1.7–2.23 – –
Cornish et al. (2010)23 United High HC 5577 ≥ 70b 69 O 1990–2005 2005 17 731.5 1.00 0.86–1.15 – –
Kingdom

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Copeland et al. (2004)24 United High DTS 660 100 67.4 – 1980–2001 2001 6244 2.45 2.06–2.84 17.45 14.59–20.3
Kingdom
Davoli et al. (2007)25 Italy High DTS 10 454 72 80 O 1998–2001 2001 13 538.2 0.74 0.59–0.88 – –
Degenhardt et al. Australia High DTS 42 676 ≥ 70b – O 1985–2006 2006 425 998 0.89 0.86–0.92 6.4 6.2–6.6
(2009)26
DiGiusto et al. (2004)27 Australia High DTS 1244 ≥ 70b 65.0 O 1998 2002 394 1.27 0.4–2.29 – –
Eskild et al. (1993)28 Norway High T&C 1009 100 64.0 O, S 1985–1991 1991 3136.4 2.77 2.22–3.42 31 24.6–37.4
Esteban et al. (2003)29 Spain High DTS 1487 85 – O 1990–1997 1997 4352 3.68 3.11–4.25 – –
EMCDDA (2011)30 Bulgaria Middle DTS 652 > 80 81.6 O 1999 2008 6011 1.18 0.91–1.46 – –
EMCDDA (2011)30 Croatia Middle DTS 3059 > 73 78.0 O 2000–2006 2007 15 968 1.09 0.93–1.25 10.3 8.9–12
EMCDDA (2011)30 Latvia Middle DTS 3644 > 98 80.0 O 2000–2009 2009 21 294 1.60 1.43–1.77 9.0 8.0–10.0
EMCDDA (2011)30 Romania Middle DTS 2707 > 94 30.8 O 2001–2006 2010 20 188 0.57 0.47–0.68 6.5 5.4–7.7
EMCDDA (2011)30 Sweden High DTS 678 > 72 – O 1981–1988 2007 10 307 3.33 2.98–3.68 27.6 24.9–30.7
Evans (2012)31 USA High OR 644 100 68.3 O, S 1997–2007 2007 4167 0.91 0.62–1.20
Ferri et al. (2007)32 Italy High DTS 10 376 72 85.6 O 1998–2001 2001 15 369 – – 7.77 6.7–8.95
Fingerhood et al. USA High DTS 175 100 O, S 1994–1998 5 yearsc 742.5 7.14 5.22–9.06 – –
(2006)33
Frischer et al. (1997)34 United High DTS 459 100 99.4 O 1982–1993 1994 2547 2.08 1.52–2.64 22 16.5–28.8
Kingdom
Fugelstad et al. (1995)35 Sweden High DTS, other 472 100 – O, S 1986–1990 1990 1793 3.85 2.94–4.76 – –
Fugelstad et al. (1997)36 Sweden High DTS 1640 ≥ 70a 69.2 O, S 1981–1988 1992 10 772 1.99 1.72–2.25 – –
Fugelstad et al. (1998)37 Sweden High DTS 101 100 55.4 O 1986–1988 1993 515.3 7.76 5.54–10.58 – –
Mortality among people who inject drugs
Systematic reviews

105
(continues. . .)
(. . .continued)

106
Study Country Country Sampling n People who Males Drug(s) Recruitment End of PYs of CMR 95% CI SMR 95% CI
income frame inject drugs (%) used period follow-up follow-up
(%) period
Galli & Musicco (1994)38 Italy High DTS 2432 100 78.3 O 1980–1998 1991 16 415 2.52 2.28–2.77 20.5 20.02–24.34
Systematic reviews

Goedert et al. (1995)39 Italy High DTS 4962 99d – O 1980–1990 1990 21 130 1.57 1.41–1.75 – –
Goedert et al. (2001)40 USA High DTS 6570 100 66.0 – 1987–1991 1998 28 900.2 4.67 4.42–4.92 – –
Golz et al. (2001)41 Germany High DTS 178 100 58.0 – 1996–2000 2000 805 4.22 2.80–5.64 – –
Haarr & Nessa (2007)42 Norway High DTS 146 100 70.0 O 1997–2006 2006 574 1.92 0.95–3.44 – –
Hickman et al. (2003)43 United High DTS 881 76 74.5 O 1997–1999 2001 2075 1.59 1.13–2.23 – –
Kingdom
Mortality among people who inject drugs

Jafari et al. (2010)44 Islamic Middle DTS 66 100 – O – – 196 4.08 1.25–6.91 – –
Republic of
Iran
Jarrin et al. (2007)45 Spain High PR 6575 100 77.2 – 1987–1996 2004 73 901 2.02 1.92–2.12 – –
Lejckova et al. (2007)46 Czech High DTS 12 207 80 67.5 O, S 1997–2002 2002 38 131.2 0.84 0.75–0.93 8.15 7.28–9.09
Republic
Liu et al. (2011)47 China Middle DTS 860 95.2 96.1 O 2005–2011 2011 2192.9 6.85 5.79–7.98
Lumbreras et al. Spain High DTS, other 3247 100 77.4 – 1990–1996 2002 26 826 2.18 2.00–2.36 – –
(2006)48
Manfredi et al. (2006)49 Italy High DTS 1214 100 75.5 O 1977–1996 2002 13 280.3 2.04 1.8–2.3 – –
McAnulty et al. (1995)50 USA High OR, HC 1769 100 73.3 – 1989–1991 1992 3149 1.05 0.69–1.41 8.3 5.71–11.66
Mezzelani et al. (1998)51 Italy High DTS 6248 100 – – 1991 1991 6158.5 2.91 2.48–3.33 14.28 12.28–16.56
Miller et al. (2007)52 Canada High SIF 572 100 53.1 O, S 1966–2004 2004 1608 1.37 0.80–1.94 16.4 9.1–27.1
Moroni et al. (1991)53 Italy High DTS 2279 100 – O 1981–1988 1989 13 069 2.43 2.16–2.69 – –
Moskalewicz et al. Poland Middle DTS 656 100 74.2 O 1983–1992 1992 3594 2.28 1.81–2.83 12.06 9.6–15.0
(1996)54
Muga et al. (2007)55 Spain High DTS 1181 100 79.5 O 1987–2004 2004 10 116 3.74 3.38–4.14 – –
Nyhlén (2011)56 Sweden High DTS 561 79 68 O, S 1970–1978 2006 15 203.1 1.30 1.12–1.48 5.94 5.5–6.8
O’Driscoll et al. (2001)57 USA High DTS, other 2849 100 63.9 O, S 1994–1997 1997 4591 1.59 1.22–1.96 – –
Oppenheimer et al. United High DTS 128 100 72.7 O 1969 1991 2349.7 1.83 1.28–2.38 11.9 8.64–16.09
(1994)58 Kingdom
Quan et al. (2007)59 Thailand Middle DTS 346 100 93.1 O, S 1999 2002 571.4 3.85 2.42–5.83 13.9 8.71–21.04
Quan et al. (2010)60 Viet Nam Middle DTS 894 100 100 O 2005 2007 710.1 6.30 4.60–8.50 13.4 11.4–15.3
Rahimi-Movaghar et al. Islamic Middle DTS 79 100 – O 2007 2007 20.7 4.83 0–14.30 – –
(2009)61 Republic of
Iran
Reece (2010)62 Australia High DTS 2773 100 72.8 O 2000–2007 2007 9362.4 0.50 0.36–0.65 – –

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Bradley M Mathers et al.

(continues. . .)
(. . .continued)
Study Country Country Sampling n People who Males Drug(s) Recruitment End of PYs of CMR 95% CI SMR 95% CI
income frame inject drugs (%) used period follow-up follow-up
(%) period
Sánchez-Carbonell et Spain High DTS 135 88 71.0 O 1985 1995 1205.9 3.4 2.36–4.44 28.58 14.65–42.65
al. (2000)63
Bradley M Mathers et al.

Seaman et al. (1998)64 United High DTS 316 100 100 O 1983–1994 1994 1416.9 2.33 1.6–3.27 – –
Kingdom
Solomon et al. (2009)65 India Middle DTS, other 1158 100 100 O 2005–2006 2008 1998 4.25 3.35–5.16 11.1 8.85–13.7
Sørensen et al. (2005)66 Denmark High DTS 101 100 67.3 O 1980–1984 1999 1232.3 3.49 2.44–4.53 15.75 11.4–21.2
Stenbacka et al. (2007)67 Sweden High Multiple 817 83 79.2 O, S 1967 2003 22 468.2 2.12 1.93–2.31 4.38 3.99–4.78
Stoov et al. (2008)68 Australia High OR, SB 220 100 56.4 O, S 1990–1995 2006 3151 0.83 0.56–1.21 – –
Tait et al. (2008)69 Australia High DTS 894 ≥ 70b 59.6 O 2001–2001 2005 4166.9 0.54 0.28–0.72 – –
van Haastrecht et al. Netherlands High DTS, other 509 100 61.9 O, S 1985–1992 1993 2229 3.23 2.56–4.07 24.8 19.41–31.23
(1996)70
Vlahov et al. (2005)71 USA High OR, SB 3593 100 77.3 O, S 1988 2005 25 736 4.50 4.24–4.76 – –

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Vlahov et al. (2008)72 USA High OR, SB 2089 100 62.3 O, S 1997–1999 2002 8629.3 0.71 0.54–0.88 – –
Zabranksy et al. (2011)73 Czech High OR 151 100 43 O, S 1996–1998 2008 1659.7 0.48 0.15–0.81 14.4 9.31–19.49
Republic
Zaccarelli et al. (1994)74 Italy High DTS 2029 100 75.5 – 1985–1991 1991 7872.2 2.30 1.96–2.63 31.92 27.44–36.93
Zhang et al. (2005)75 China Middle DTS 376 100 82.8 O 2002 2003 382.4 7.73 4.87–10.6 47.62 31.63–68.71
CI, confidence interval, CMR, crude mortality rate; DTS, drug treatment service; HC, health clinic; NSP, needle and syringe programme; O, opioids; OR, outreach; PR, HIV prevention service; PY, person–years; S, stimulants; SB, snowballing; SIF, supervised
injecting facility; SMR, standardized mortality ratio; T&C, HIV testing and counselling; USA, United States of America.
a
Not explicitly stated, but implied in the paper.
b
The proportion of subjects who injected drugs was not reported but was assumed to be at least 70% because of the predominance of injecting as a route of administration among opioid-dependent people in this country.
c
Subjects were followed for 5 years after the date of enrolment.
d
Data on history of drug use was available for 62% of the subjects, and of these, 99% had a history of injecting drugs.
Note: Some CMRs and PYs of follow-up were calculated (formulae available from the corresponding author).
Mortality among people who inject drugs
Systematic reviews

107
Systematic reviews
Mortality among people who inject drugs Bradley M Mathers et al.

Fig. 2. Crude mortality rates for people who inject drugs, by region
%
Cohort CMR (95% CI) Weight

Western Europe
Antolini 2006 (Italy) 2.01 (1.79, 2.16) 1.83
Bargagli 2001 (Italy) 2.15 (2.05, 2.25) 1.84
Bauer 2008 (Austria) 5.42 (3.45, 7.40) 0.77
Brancato 1995 (Italy) 2.04 (1.26, 2.83) 1.51
Ciccolallo 2000 (Italy) 2.26 (2.08, 2.43) 1.83
Clausen 2008 (Norway) 1.95 (1.70, 2.23) 1.80
Copeland 2004 (UK) 2.45 (2.06, 2.84) 1.75
Cornish 2010 (UK) 1.00 (0.86, 1.15) 1.83
Davoli 2007 (Italy) 0.74 (0.59, 0.88) 1.83
EMCDDA 2011 (Sweden) 3.33 (2.98, 3.68) 1.77
Eskild 1993 (Norway) 2.77 (2.22, 3.42) 1.64
Esteban 2003 (Spain) 3.68 (3.11, 4.25) 1.66
Frischer 1997 (UK) 2.08 (1.52, 2.64) 1.66
Fugelstad 1995 (Sweden) 3.85 (2.94, 4.76) 1.43
Fugelstad 1997 (Sweden) 1.99 (1.72, 2.25) 1.80
Fugelstad 1998 (Sweden) 7.76 (5.54, 10.58) 0.57
Galli 1994 (Italy) 2.52 (2.28, 2.77) 1.81
Goedert 1995 (Italy) 1.57 (1.41, 1.75) 1.83
Golz 2001 (Germany) 4.22 (2.80, 5.64) 1.08
Haarr 2007 (Norway) 1.92 (0.95, 3.44) 1.19
Hickman 2003 (UK) 1.61 (1.13, 2.23) 1.67
Jarrin 2007 (Spain) 2.02 (1.92, 2.12) 1.84
Lejckova 2007 (Czech Republic) 0.84 (0.75, 0.93) 1.84
Lumbreras 2006 (Spain) 2.18 (2.00, 2.36) 1.83
Manfredi 2006 (Italy) 2.04 (1.80, 2.30) 1.81
Mezzelani 1998 (Italy) 2.91 (2.48, 3.33) 1.74
Moroni 1991 (Italy) 2.43 (2.16, 2.69) 1.80
Muga 2007 (Spain) 3.74 (3.38, 4.14) 1.76
Nyhlen 2011 (Sweden) 1.30 (1.12, 1.48) 1.83
Oppenheimer 1994 (UK) 1.83 (1.28, 2.38) 1.67
Sanchez−Carbonell 2000 (Spain) 3.40 (2.36, 4.44) 1.33
Seaman 1998 (UK) 2.33 (1.60, 3.27) 1.48
Sorensen 2005 (Denmark) 3.49 (2.45, 4.53) 1.33
Stenbacka 2007 (Sweden) 2.12 (1.93, 2.31) 1.82
VanHaastrecht 1996 (Netherlands) 3.23 (2.56, 4.07) 1.54
Zabransky 2011 (Czech Republic) 0.48 (0.15, 0.81) 1.78
Zaccarelli 1994 (Italy) 2.30 (1.96, 2.63) 1.78
Subtotal (I−squared = 97.4%, p = 0.000) 2.31 (2.06, 2.56) 60.26
.
Asia
Azim 2008 (Bangladesh) 6.32 (4.68, 7.96) 0.94
Azim 2009 (Bangladesh) 3.52 (2.46, 4.59) 1.31
Jafan 2010 (Islamic Republic of Iran) 4.08 (1.25, 6.91) 0.48
Liu 2011 (China) 6.89 (5.79, 7.98) 1.29
Quan 2007 (Thailand) 3.85 (2.42, 5.83) 0.91
Quan 2010 (Viet Nam) 6.30 (4.60, 8.50) 0.78
Rahimi-Movahgar 2009 (Islamic Republic of Iran) 4.83 (0.00, 14.30) 0.10
Solomon 2009 (India) 4.25 (3.35, 5.16) 1.43
Zhang 2005 (China) 7.73 (4.87, 10.60) 0.47
Subtotal (I−squared = 74.3%, p = 0.000) 5.25 (4.16, 6.35) 7.71
.
Latin America
Cardoso 2006 (Brazil) 2.77 (1.45, 4.09) 1.14
Subtotal (I−squared = .%, p = .) 2.77 (1.45, 4.09) 1.14
.
Australasia
Degenhardt 2009 (Australia) 0.89 (0.86, 0.92) 1.85
Digusto 2004 (Australia) 1.27 (0.40, 2.29) 1.40
Reece 2010 (Australia) 0.50 (0.36, 0.65) 1.83
Stoove 2008 (Australia) 0.83 (0.56, 1.21) 1.78
Tait 2008 (Australia) 0.50 (0.29, 0.72) 1.82
Subtotal (I−squared = 89.7%, p = 0.000) 0.71 (0.46, 0.96) 8.68
.
Eastern Europe
EMCDDA 2011 (Romania) 0.57 (0.47, 0.68) 1.84
EMCDDA 2011 (Croatia) 1.09 (0.93, 1.25) 1.83
EMCDDA 2011 (Bulgaria) 1.18 (0.91, 1.46) 1.80
EMCDDA 2011 (Latvia) 1.60 (1.43, 1.77) 1.83
Moskalewicz 1996 (Poland) 2.28 (1.81, 2.83) 1.69
Subtotal (I−squared = 97.1%, p = 0.000) 1.31 (0.82, 1.80) 8.99
.
North America
Evans 2012 (USA) 0.91 (0.62, 1.20) 1.79
Fingerhood 2006 (USA) 7.14 (5.22, 9.06) 0.80
Goedert 2001 (USA) 4.67 (4.42, 4.92) 1.81
McAnulty 1995 (USA) 1.05 (0.69, 1.41) 1.77
Miller 2007 (Canada) 1.37 (0.80, 1.94) 1.65
O’Driscoll 2001 (USA) 1.59 (1.22, 1.96) 1.76
Vlahov 2005 (USA) 4.50 (4.24, 4.76) 1.80
Vlahov 2008 (USA) 0.71 (0.54, 0.88) 1.83
Subtotal (I−squared = 99.4%, p = 0.000) 2.64 (1.25, 4.02) 13.22
.
Overall (I−squared = 98.6%, p = 0.000) 2.35 (2.12, 2.58) 100.00

NOTE: Weights are from random effects analysis

−10 −5 0 5 10 15

Image produced using Stata (StataCorp. LP, College Station, TX, United States of America).
CI, confidence interval; CMR, crude mortality rate.

108 Bull World Health Organ 2013;91:102–123 | doi:10.2471/BLT.12.108282


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Bradley M Mathers et al. Mortality among people who inject drugs

Fig. 3. Standardized mortality ratios for people who inject drugs, by region
%
Cohort SMR (95% CI)) Weight

Western Europe
Antolini 2006 (Italy) 13.01 (11.38, 13.09) 4.08
Bargagli 2001 (Italy) 17.30 (16.50, 18.20) 4.08
Bauer 2008 (Austria) 29.13 (19.27, 44.04) 1.26
Ciccolallo 2000 (Italy) 30.70 (17.30, 44.00) 1.13
Copeland 2004 (UK) 17.45 (14.59, 20.30) 3.68
EMCDDA 2011 (Sweden) 27.60 (24.90, 30.70) 3.67
Eskild 1993 (Norway) 31.00 (24.60, 37.40) 2.57
Ferri 2007 (Italy) 7.77 (6.70, 8.95) 4.05
Frischer 1997 (UK) 22.00 (16.50, 28.80) 2.65
Galli 1994 (Italy) 20.50 (20.02, 24.33) 3.86
Lejckova 2007 (Czech Republic) 8.15 (7.28, 9.09) 4.08
Mezzelani 1998 (Italy) 14.28 (12.28, 16.56) 3.86
Nyhlen 2011 (Sweden) 5.94 (5.50, 6.80) 4.10
Oppenheimer 1994 (UK) 11.90 (8.64, 16.09) 3.42
Sanchez−Carbonell 2000 (Spain) 28.58 (14.65, 42.65) 1.06
Sorensen 2005 (Denmark) 15.75 (11.40, 21.20) 3.04
Stenbacka 2007 (Sweden) 4.38 (3.99, 4.78) 4.12
VanHaastrecht 1996 (Netherlands) 24.80 (19.41, 31.23) 2.72
Zabransky 2011 (Czech Republic) 14.40 (9.31, 19.49) 2.98
Zaccarelli 1994 (Italy) 31.92 (27.44, 36.93) 3.09
Subtotal (I−squared = 98.8%, p = 0.000) 17.52 (14.62, 20.43) 63.51
.
Asia
Quan 2007 (Thailand) 13.90 (8.71, 21.04) 2.64
Quan 2010 (Viet Nam) 13.40 (11.40, 15.30) 3.91
Solomon 2009 (India) 11.10 (8.85, 13.70) 3.80
Zhang 2005 (China) 47.62 (31.63, 68.71) 0.68
Subtotal (I−squared = 81.2%, p = 0.001) 14.47 (9.95, 19.00) 11.02
.
Australasia
Degenhardt 2009 (Australia) 6.40 (6.20, 6.60) 4.12
Subtotal (I−squared = .%, p = .) 6.40 (6.20, 6.60) 4.12
.
Eastern Europe
EMCDDA 2011 (Romania) 6.50 (5.40, 7.70) 4.05
EMCDDA 2011 (Croatia) 10.30 (8.90, 12.00) 3.98
EMCDDA 2011 (Latvia) 9.00 (8.00, 10.00) 4.07
Moskalewicz 1996 (Poland) 12.06 (9.60, 15.00) 3.72
Subtotal (I−squared = 87.7%, p = 0.000) 9.25 (7.22, 11.28) 15.82
.
North America
McAnulty 1995 (USA) 8.30 (5.71, 11.66) 3.65
Miller 2007 (Canada) 16.40 (9.10, 27.10) 1.88
Subtotal (I−squared = 64.4%, p = 0.094) 11.19 (3.58, 18.80) 5.53
.
Overall (I−squared = 98.3%, p = 0.000) 14.68 (13.01, 16.35) 100.00

NOTE: Weights are from random effects analysis

−68.7 0 68.7

Image produced using Stata (StataCorp. LP, College Station, TX, United States of America).
CI, confidence interval; SMR, standardized mortality ratio.

CMR ratio suggests that females had 1.38 times higher (Fig. 7) among males (Fig. 9). 28,33–36,38–41,48,49,60,65,70,72,74 When
significantly greater excess mortality than among females.14,17,19,21,24,32,38,49,52,57,58 we examined mortality from causes
than males in similar age groups in the In 20 studies CMRs were pro- other than AIDS, we found it to be
general population (Fig. 5). Only two vided separately for people who inject 1.63 times higher among HIV+ than
of the nineteen studies presented SMRs drugs according to their HIV sta- among HIV− people who inject drugs
for males that were greater than those tus.15,16,18,28,34,36–40,45,48,49,55,57,60,65,70,72,74 All- (Fig. 10).28,34,36,38–40,48,49,60,65,70,72,74
for females.30,74 cause mortality was three times higher Mortality from drug overdose was
among HIV+ than among HIV− sub- presented by HIV status in 9 stud-
Causes of death
jects (CMR ratio: 3.15) (Fig. 8). Much ies. 28,34,36,38,39,49,65,70,74 Pooled estimates
Several studies reported specific causes of this elevated mortality appeared showed mortality to be twice as high
of death. The pooled CMR for death to result from AIDS deaths among among HIV+ than among HIV− people
from drug overdose was 0.62 per 100 PY HIV+ users of injecting drugs. The who inject drugs (CMR ratio: 1.99)
across 43 studies (Fig. 6). Eleven stud- pooled estimate of AIDS-related mor- (Fig. 11). Further analyses across 13
ies reported CMRs for death from drug tality for the 16 studies for which data studies conducted on HIV+ people
overdose by sex: overall the CMR was were available was 2.55 per 100 PY who inject drugs showed no significant

Bull World Health Organ 2013;91:102–123 | doi:10.2471/BLT.12.108282 109


Systematic reviews
Mortality among people who inject drugs Bradley M Mathers et al.

Fig. 4. Ratios of crude mortality rates in males versus females who inject drugs
%
Cohort CI)
RR (95% CI Weight

Antolini 2006 (Italy) 1.30 (1.09, 1.55) 4.98


Bargagli 2001 (Italy) 0.97 (0.86, 1.09) 5.63
Bauer 2008 (Austria) 2.62 (1.18, 5.81) 1.01
Brancato 1995 (Italy) 1.14 (0.44, 3.01) 0.72
Ciccolallo 2000 (Italy) 1.32 (1.09, 1.61) 4.76
Clausen 2008 (Norway) 1.14 (0.85, 1.53) 3.68
Copeland 2004 (UK) 1.23 (0.87, 1.74) 3.13
Cornish 2010 (UK) 1.67 (1.16, 2.40) 2.99
Degenhardt 2009 (Australia) 1.58 (1.47, 1.70) 6.03
EMCDDA 2011 (Croatia) 2.57 (1.56, 4.24) 2.05
Eskild 1993 (Norway) 1.08 (0.70, 1.67) 2.44
Evans 2012 (USA) 1.60 (0.76, 3.37) 1.12
Ferri 2007 (Italy) 1.51 (1.06, 2.16) 3.06
Frischer 1997 (UK) 0.99 (0.57, 1.72) 1.77
Fugelstad 1997 (Sweden) 1.35 (0.99, 1.84) 3.52
Fugelstad 1998 (Sweden) 1.74 (0.93, 3.26) 1.48
Galli 1994 (Italy) 1.14 (0.89, 1.45) 4.19
Hickman 2003 (UK) 2.01 (0.78, 5.18) 0.75
Jarrin 2007 (Spain) 1.36 (1.19, 1.55) 5.50
Lejckova 2007 (Czech Republic) 1.88 (1.44, 2.45) 3.95
Liu 2011 (China) 0.80 (0.39, 1.66) 1.17
Lumbreras 2006 (Spain) 1.50 (1.21, 1.86) 4.56
Manfredi 2006 (Italy) 1.14 (0.86, 1.51) 3.77
McAnulty 1995 (USA) 1.59 (0.66, 3.84) 0.85
Miller 2007 (Canada) 0.64 (0.27, 1.53) 0.88
Moskalewicz 1996 (Poland) 1.80 (1.00, 3.23) 1.63
O’Driscoll 2001 (USA) 1.10 (0.68, 1.78) 2.15
Oppenheimer 1994 (UK) 0.86 (0.45, 1.64) 1.41
Reece 2010 (Australia) 3.31 (1.31, 8.36) 0.77
Sorensen 2005 (Denmark) 0.68 (0.37, 1.24) 1.58
Stenbacka 2007 (Sweden) 1.24 (0.98, 1.56) 4.35
Stoove 2008 (Australia) 3.49 (1.32, 9.22) 0.71
Tait 2008 (Australia) 1.09 (0.43, 2.76) 0.77
VanHaastrecht 1996 (Netherlands) 1.42 (0.87, 2.32) 2.11
Vlahov 2005 (USA) 1.20 (1.04, 1.38) 5.39
Vlahov 2008 (USA) 1.21 (0.73, 1.99) 2.04
Zaccarelli 1994 (Italy) 1.22 (0.86, 1.74) 3.09
Overall (I−squared = 63.9%, p = 0.000) 1.32 (1.21, 1.44) 100.00
NOTE: Weights are from random effects analysis

.5 1 2 3 4
Image produced using Stata (StataCorp. LP, College Station, TX, United States of America).
CI, confidence interval; RR, relative risk.

difference in deaths from drug overdose stimulants) (Table 2). Pooled estimates


Mortality according to treatment
and from AIDS in this group (CMR of all-cause mortality by primary type
ratio: 1.35; P = 0.554) (Fig. 12).28,33–36,38, of drug injected showed no overall dif- Six studies provided information on
39,41,49,65,70,71,74
ference across studies (CMR ratio: 1.25; mortality during in-treatment and
Only four studies presented data by 95% CI: 0.60–2.61; P = 0.553).36,46,57,70,71 off-treatment periods at follow-up: the
sex and HIV status.37,47,49,74 They showed The same was true of studies of mortal- meta-analysis suggested that mortality
no significant difference in CMRs be- ity resulting from drug overdose (CMR was 2.52 times higher during off-treat-
tween HIV+ males and HIV+ females ratio: 1.85; 95% CI: 0.75–4.56; P = 0.18). ment periods than during in-treatment
who inject drugs (CMR ratio: 1.13; In three of the four studies mortality as- periods (Fig. 15).22,23,25,26,35,37
Fig. 13), but HIV– males had a pooled sociated with drug overdose was higher
Heterogeneity in mortality
CMR 1.81 times greater than that of among people injecting opioids than
HIV– females who inject drugs (Fig. 14). among those injecting stimulants.36,46,71 We performed univariate analyses to
In the fourth study, people who injected determine if the heterogeneity in overall
Mortality by primary drug
primarily stimulants had higher rates of CMRs and SMRs could be explained by
injected at baseline
drug overdose; however, the deaths from participant characteristics and method-
Five studies estimated mortality by overdose in this group were later shown to ological variables. The results showed
primary drug injected (opioids versus have been caused by opioid use.57 that high-income countries had lower

110 Bull World Health Organ 2013;91:102–123 | doi:10.2471/BLT.12.108282


Systematic reviews
Bradley M Mathers et al. Mortality among people who inject drugs

Fig. 5. Ratios of standardized mortality ratios for males versus females who inject drugs
%

Cohort RR (95% CI) Weight

Antolini 2006 (Italy) 0.60 (0.50, 0.71) 6.94

Bargagli 2001 (Italy) 0.41 (0.36, 0.46) 7.24

Ciccolallo 2000 (Italy) 0.50 (0.41, 0.61) 6.83

Copeland 2004 (UK) 0.67 (0.47, 0.95) 5.74

Degenhardt 2009 (Australia) 0.68 (0.63, 0.73) 7.40

EMCDDA 2011 (Croatia) 1.05 (0.64, 1.73) 4.60

Eskild 1993 (Norway) 0.43 (0.28, 0.67) 5.06

Ferri 2007 (Italy) 0.29 (0.21, 0.42) 5.68

Frischer 1997 (UK) 0.43 (0.25, 0.74) 4.21

Galli 1994 (Italy) 0.36 (0.28, 0.46) 6.50

Hickman 2003 (UK) 0.95 (0.37, 2.45) 2.30

Lejckova 2007 (Czech Republic) 0.99 (0.76, 1.29) 6.35

Miller 2007 (Canada) 0.24 (0.10, 0.57) 2.60

Moskalewicz 1996 (Poland) 0.55 (0.31, 0.99) 4.00

Oppenheimer 1994 (UK) 0.81 (0.42, 1.53) 3.66

Sorensen 2005 (Denmark) 0.37 (0.20, 0.67) 3.93

Stenbacka 2007 (Sweden) 0.60 (0.47, 0.75) 6.60

VanHaastrecht 1996 (Netherlands) 0.79 (0.49, 1.29) 4.68

Zaccarelli 1994 (Italy) 1.44 (1.01, 2.05) 5.70

Overall (I−squared = 87.3%, p = 0.000) 0.58 (0.49, 0.69) 100.00

NOTE: Weights are from random effects analysis

.5 1 1.5

Image produced using Stata (StataCorp. LP, College Station, TX, United States of America).
CI, confidence interval; RR, relative risk.

CMRs than low- and middle-income high mortality associated with injecting observed no significant difference in
countries (Fig. 16). Cohorts with greater drug use. The pooled SMR of 14.68 also pooled SMRs. This suggests that the
proportions of males and HIV+ partici- shows that mortality is much higher higher CMRs may reflect higher over-
pants at baseline also had higher CMRs. in those who inject drugs than in the all mortality in the general population
Cohorts whose follow-up periods ended general population. Differences by sex in low- and middle-income countries
in more recent years had lower SMRs were evident: across all studies that than in high-income countries. The
(Table 3). Study data were not sufficient reported mortality by sex, males had lowest and highest mortality rates were
to allow for multivariate analyses. higher CMRs, yet females who inject documented in cohorts in Australasia
drugs had a much higher elevation in and Asia, respectively. Differences across
mortality relative to their age-matched high-income countries probably reflect
Discussion peers in the general population than did differences in HIV infection prevalence,
Although previous reviews have exam- males who inject drugs. coverage of HIV prevention and cov-
ined mortality among people who inject Most of the cohorts identified were erage of opioid agonist maintenance
drugs, to our knowledge this is the most from 14 high-income countries; togeth- treatment.76,77
comprehensive systematic review of er these 14 counties represent 78% of Drug overdose and AIDS-related
the topic and the first to employ novel the total estimated population of people mortality were by far the most com-
approaches to search for the available who inject drugs in such countries.76 mon causes of death. The pooled CMR
evidence. These approaches ranged from Studies from only 11 low or middle for death from drug overdose was 0.62
standard searches of the peer-reviewed income countries were identified; these per 100 PY, higher among males than
literature to comprehensive searches of countries account for only 40% of the females who inject drugs, and higher
the non-peer reviewed literature and estimated number of people inject- among HIV+ people who inject drugs
multiple expert consultations, as well ing drugs in low- or middle-income than among those who were HIV−.
as examination of both participant- and countries.76 In three of the four studies comparing
study-level factors potentially associated Although pooled CMRs were drug overdose among people injecting
with the risk of death. higher among people injecting drugs opioids compared to those injecting
The pooled CMR of 2.35 deaths in low- and middle-income countries stimulants, CMRs were higher among
per 100 PY provides evidence of the rather than high-income countries, we the former group, as expected.36,46,71 In

Bull World Health Organ 2013;91:102–123 | doi:10.2471/BLT.12.108282 111


Systematic reviews
Mortality among people who inject drugs Bradley M Mathers et al.

Fig. 6. Crude mortality rates for death from drug overdose in people who inject drugs
%
Cohort CMR (95% CI
CI) Weight

Antolini 2006 (Italy) 0.61 (0.53, 0.69) 3.27


Bargagli 2001 (Italy) 0.52 (0.47, 0.57) 3.32
Bauer 2008 (Austria) 2.06 (0.84, 3.27) 0.40
Brancato 1995 (Italy) 0.80 (0.30, 1.30) 1.50
Ciccolallo 2000 (Italy) 0.69 (0.60, 0.80) 3.21
Clausen 2008 (Norway) 1.03 (0.84, 1.22) 2.85
Copeland 2004 (UK) 0.61 (0.43, 0.83) 2.79
Davoli 2007 (Italy) 0.40 (0.09, 0.72) 2.24
Degenhardt 2009 (Australia) 0.43 (0.41, 0.45) 3.36
Digusto 2004 (Australia) 0.76 (−0.10, 1.62) 0.71
Eskild 1993 (Norway) 1.85 (1.37, 2.33) 1.57
Ferri 2007 (Italy) 0.46 (0.39, 0.56) 3.24
Fingerhood 2006 (USA) 0.81 (0.30, 1.76) 0.91
Frischer 1997 (UK) 0.98 (0.63, 1.45) 1.83
Fugelstad 1995 (Sweden) 2.30 (1.64, 3.10) 0.91
Fugelstad 1997 (Sweden) 0.97 (0.78, 1.15) 2.88
Galli 1994 (Italy) 0.92 (0.77, 1.07) 3.04
Goedert 1995 (Italy) 0.30 (0.23, 0.37) 3.28
Goedert 2001 (USA) 0.64 (0.55, 0.74) 3.22
Haarr 2007 (Norway) 1.22 (0.32, 2.12) 0.66
Hickman 2003 (UK) 1.01 (0.58, 1.44) 1.73
Jarrin 2007 (Spain) 0.32 (0.28, 0.36) 3.34
Lejckova 2007 (Czech Republic) 0.18 (0.14, 0.23) 3.33
Manfredi 2006 (Italy) 0.45 (0.34, 0.56) 3.16
McAnulty 1995 (USA) 0.41 (0.22, 0.71) 2.58
Miller 2007 (Canada) 0.25 (0.07, 0.64) 2.39
Moroni 1991 (Italy) 0.93 (0.77, 1.12) 2.94
O’Driscoll 2001 (USA) 0.70 (0.48, 0.98) 2.54
Oppenheimer 1994 (UK) 0.77 (0.46, 1.22) 1.95
Quan 2007 (Thailand) 0.89 (0.11, 1.67) 0.83
Seaman 1998 (UK) 1.41 (0.86, 2.18) 1.06
Solomon 2009 (India) 1.10 (0.64, 1.56) 1.63
Stenbacka 2007 (Sweden) 0.05 (0.02, 0.08) 3.35
Stoove 2008 (Australia) 0.44 (0.26, 0.75) 2.58
Tait 2008 (Australia) 0.14 (0.03, 0.26) 3.15
van Haastrecht 1996 (Netherlands) 0.72 (0.41, 1.17) 1.96
Vlahov 2005 (USA) 0.71 (0.61, 0.82) 3.19
Vlahov 2008 (USA) 0.31 (0.21, 0.46) 3.12
Zaccarelli 1994 (Italy) 0.55 (0.40, 0.74) 2.94
Zhang 2005 (China) 4.71 (2.53, 6.88) 0.14
Nyhlen 2011 (Sweden) 0.30 (0.22, 0.39) 3.25
Zabransky 2011 (Czech Republic) 0.12 (0.00, 0.29) 3.04
Quan 2010 (Viet Nam) 1.69 (0.73, 2.65) 0.60
Overall (I−squared = 96.2%, p = 0.000) 0.62 (0.53, 0.70) 100.00
NOTE: Weights are from random effects analysis

−2 0 2 4 6

Image produced using Stata (StataCorp. LP, College Station, TX, United States of America).
CI, confidence interval; CMR, crude mortality rate.

a fourth study, however, drug overdose mortality from causes other than AIDS were around 2.5 times higher in off-
was higher among people who injected was also higher among those who were treatment periods than in in-treatment
stimulants, 57 although further inves- HIV+. Overdose-related mortality was periods. Variation in exposure to treat-
tigation revealed that the deaths from also higher among HIV+ people who ment could also explain differences
overdose in this group were more often inject drugs in many cohorts. These between cohorts in mortality from drug
linked to the injection of opioids than differences in mortality may reflect dif- overdose, although this variation was
to the injection of stimulants. This find- ferences in risky behaviour, physical not explicitly measured across cohorts.
ing highlights the fact that people who health and social disadvantage. The prevention of HIV transmis-
inject drugs often use more than one The observational evidence exam- sion among people who inject drugs is
drug type, even if they have a particular ined in this review is consistent with the clearly a public health priority.79,80 There
drug of choice. evidence from randomized controlled is growing evidence that opioid agonist
The prevalence of HIV infection trials that opioid agonist maintenance maintenance treatment, antiretrovi-
varied widely. As expected, overall mor- treatment is associated with a reduced ral treatment and needle and syringe
tality was much higher among HIV+ risk of death.78 Among cohorts for which programmes reduce HIV transmis-
than among HIV− people who inject in-treatment and off-treatment periods sion.81–83 These interventions have been
drugs (pooled CMR ratio: 3.15), but were carefully tracked, mortality rates implemented in many countries, but

112 Bull World Health Organ 2013;91:102–123 | doi:10.2471/BLT.12.108282


Systematic reviews
Bradley M Mathers et al. Mortality among people who inject drugs

often on a limited scale only.77 Clearly,


Fig. 7. Ratios of crude mortality rates for death from drug overdose in males versus
however, AIDS is only one of several females who inject drugs
common causes of death in this group:
a comprehensive approach to improving %

health outcomes among people who Cohort RR (95% CI) Weight

inject drugs must also include efforts to Antolini 2006 (Italy) 1.83 (1.27, 2.64) 15.22
reduce other causes of death frequently Bargagli 2001 (Italy) 1.41 (1.07, 1.85) 17.94
found among them, particularly drug Brancato 1995 (Italy) 0.63 (0.16, 2.40) 2.82
overdose.84 Ciccolallo 2000 (Italy) 1.84 (1.23, 2.74) 14.29
Limitations of the evidence Copeland 2004 (UK) 1.05 (0.53, 2.08) 8.16
Ferri 2007 (Italy) 0.65 (0.36, 1.17) 9.88
Evidence on mortality rates among users
Galli 1994 (Italy) 1.03 (0.70, 1.54) 14.32
of injecting drugs is still predominantly
Manfredi 2006 (Italy) 3.00 (1.29, 6.97) 6.07
from high-income countries, particu-
larly in western Europe. Interestingly, Miller 2007 (Canada) 3.36 (0.35, 32.19) 1.08

however, this review has shown that O’Driscoll 2001 (USA) 1.49 (0.69, 3.22) 6.94

despite marked differences in CMRs Oppenheimer 1994 (UK) 1.91 (0.56, 6.59) 3.27

across countries, the extent to which Overall (I−squared = 46.5%, p = 0.044) 1.38 (1.08, 1.76
1.76) 100.00

this mortality exceeds that of the general NOTE: Weights are from random effects analysis
population may show less pronounced
.5 1 5
differences. It would be inappropriate
to assume that mortality is equally high Image produced using Stata (StataCorp. LP, College Station, TX, United States of America).
CI, confidence interval, RR, relative risk.
among all people who inject drugs. New
research in this area is needed, especially

Fig. 8. Ratios of crude mortality rates in HIV-positive versus HIV-negative people who inject drugs
%
Cohort RR (95% CI) Weight

Azim 2008 (Bangladesh) 4.08 (2.26, 7.38) 3.23

Azim 2009 (Bangladesh) 0.42 (0.06, 3.02) 0.40

Bauer 2008 (Austria) 3.31 (1.63, 6.70) 2.50

Eskild 1993 (Norway) 2.24 (1.46, 3.43) 4.86

Frischer 1997 (UK) 3.53 (1.55, 8.05) 1.96

Fugelstad 1997 (Sweden) 3.75 (2.84, 4.95) 7.08

Fugelstad 1998 (Sweden) 1.38 (0.74, 2.57) 3.00

Galli 1994 (Italy) 2.41 (1.98, 2.94) 8.50

Goedert 1995 (Italy) 10.00 (5.59, 17.88) 3.32

Goedert 2001 (USA) 3.47 (3.11, 3.86) 9.92

Jarrin 2007 (Spain) 3.35 (3.00, 3.75) 9.85

Lumbreras 2006 (Spain) 3.02 (2.54, 3.60) 8.89

Manfredi 2006 (Italy) 2.18 (1.58, 2.99) 6.42

Muga 2007 (Spain) 2.91 (2.24, 3.77) 7.41

O’Driscoll 2001 (USA) 2.48 (0.92, 6.67) 1.44

Quan 2010 (Viet Nam) 3.56 (2.04, 6.21) 3.52

Solomon 2009 (India) 2.93 (1.94, 4.44) 5.01

VanHaastrecht 1996 (Netherlands) 3.62 (2.27, 5.79) 4.37

Vlahov 2008 (USA) 2.46 (1.18, 5.12) 2.36

Zaccarelli 1994 (Italy) 5.31 (3.75, 7.53) 5.95

Overall (I−squared = 66.8%, p = 0.000) 3.15 (2.78, 3.58) 100.00

NOTE: Weights are from random effects analysis

.5 1 2 4 6

Image produced using Stata (StataCorp. LP, College Station, TX, United States of America).
CI, confidence interval; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; RR, relative risk.

Bull World Health Organ 2013;91:102–123 | doi:10.2471/BLT.12.108282 113


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Mortality among people who inject drugs Bradley M Mathers et al.

Fig. 9. Crude mortality rates for AIDS-related deaths in people injecting drugs who were HIV-positive at baseline
%
Cohort CMR (95% CI) Weight

Eskild 1993 (Norway) 0.62 (0.01, 1.23) 7.11

Fingerhood 2006 (USA) 3.91 (2.48, 5.33) 5.84

Frischer 1997 (UK) 3.41 (−0.45, 7.27) 2.44

Fugelstad 1995 (Sweden) 0.39 (0.10, 0.68) 7.38

Fugelstad 1997 (Sweden) 0.48 (0.26, 0.70) 7.42

Galli 1994 (Italy) 2.97 (2.36, 3.58) 7.10

Goedert 1995 (Italy) 1.73 (1.43, 2.02) 7.38

Goedert 2001 (USA) 9.12 (8.13, 10.10) 6.59

Golz 2001 (Germany) 1.74 (0.83, 2.65) 6.70

Lumbreras 2006 (Spain) 1.94 (1.69, 2.20) 7.40

Manfredi 2006 (Italy) 2.73 (2.28, 3.17) 7.27

Solomon 2009 (India) 3.37 (1.61, 5.14) 5.22

van Haastrecht 1996 (Netherlands) 1.71 (0.74, 2.68) 6.61

Vlahov 2008 (USA) 1.24 (0.25, 2.23) 6.57

Zaccarelli 1994 (Italy) 2.83 (2.25, 3.42) 7.13

Quan 2010 (Viet Nam) 8.64 (3.94, 13.34) 1.84

Overall (I−squared = 96.9%, p = 0.000) 2.55 (1.81, 3.28) 100.00

NOTE: Weights are from random effects analysis

−5 0 5 10

Image produced using Stata (StataCorp. LP, College Station, TX, United States of America).
AIDS, acquired immunodeficiency syndrome; CI, confidence interval; CMR, crude mortality rate; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus.

Fig. 10. Ratios of crude mortality rates for non-AIDS-related deaths in HIV-positive versus HIV-negative people who inject drugs
%
Cohort RR (95% CI) Weight

Eskild 1993 (Norway) 1.96 (1.28, 3.01) 7.65


Frischer 1997 (UK) 1.77 (0.78, 4.02) 4.68
Fugelstad 1997 (Sweden) 2.80 (2.12, 3.70) 8.85
Galli 1994 (Italy) 1.15 (0.94, 1.40) 9.38
Goedert 1995 (Italy) 3.77 (2.11, 6.74) 6.38
Goedert 2001 (USA) 1.31 (1.18, 1.46) 9.81
Lumbreras 2006 (Spain) 1.98 (1.67, 2.36) 9.51
Manfredi 2006 (Italy) 0.57 (0.42, 0.79) 8.55
Quan 2010 (Viet Nam) 1.52 (0.87, 2.65) 6.58
Solomon 2009 (India) 1.83 (1.21, 2.77) 7.75
VanHaastrecht 1996 (Netherlands) 2.66 (1.66, 4.25) 7.30
Vlahov 2008 (USA) 0.62 (0.30, 1.29) 5.26
Zaccarelli 1994 (Italy) 1.96 (1.38, 2.78) 8.31
Overall (I−squared = 88.4%, p = 0.000) 1.63 (1.28, 2.08) 100.00

NOTE: Weights are from random effects analysis

.5 1 2 3 4

Image produced using Stata (StataCorp. LP, College Station, TX, United States of America).
AIDS, acquired immunodeficiency syndrome; CI, confidence interval; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; RR, relative risk.

114 Bull World Health Organ 2013;91:102–123 | doi:10.2471/BLT.12.108282


Systematic reviews
Bradley M Mathers et al. Mortality among people who inject drugs

Fig. 11. Ratios of crude mortality rates for death from drug overdose in HIV-positive versus HIV-negative people who inject drugs

%
Cohort RR (95% CI) Weight

Eskild 1993 (Norway) 2.02 (1.18, 3.45) 13.24

Frischer 1997 (UK) 2.41 (0.58, 10.05) 5.74

Fugelstad 1997 (Sweden) 3.51 (2.33, 5.28) 14.52

Galli 1994 (Italy) 1.04 (0.70, 1.56) 14.57

Goedert 1995 (Italy) 3.90 (1.36, 11.18) 8.22

Manfredi 2006 (Italy) 0.77 (0.43, 1.38) 12.75

Solomon 2009 (India) 2.18 (0.92, 5.16) 9.88

VanHaastrecht 1996 (Netherlands) 3.63 (1.32, 9.94) 8.58

Zaccarelli 1994 (Italy) 2.09 (1.14, 3.83) 12.50

Overall (I−squared = 73.4%, p = 0.000) 1.99 (1.31, 3.04) 100.00

NOTE: Weights are from random effects analysis

.5 1 2 4 6

Image produced using Stata (StataCorp. LP, College Station, TX, United States of America).
CI, confidence interval; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; RR, relative risk.

Fig. 12. Ratios of crude mortality rates for AIDS-related death versus death from drug overdose in HIV-positive people who inject drugs
%
Cohort RR (95% CI) Weight

Eskild 1993 (Norway) 0.20 (0.07, 0.56) 6.84

Fingerhood 2006 (USA) 4.83 (2.02, 11.57) 7.34

Frischer 1997 (UK) 1.50 (0.26, 8.76) 4.60

Fugelstad 1995 (Sweden) 0.17 (0.08, 0.38) 7.57

Fugelstad 1997 (Sweden) 0.18 (0.10, 0.32) 8.25

Galli 1994 (Italy) 3.13 (2.06, 4.73) 8.62

Goedert 1995 (Italy) 5.08 (3.34, 7.72) 8.61

Golz 2001 (Germany) 2.00 (0.81, 4.93) 7.24

Manfredi 2006 (Italy) 1.81 (1.13, 2.88) 8.51

Solomon 2009 (India) 1.75 (0.74, 4.13) 7.39

van Haastrecht 1996 (Netherlands) 1.20 (0.52, 2.76) 7.47

Vlahov 2005 (USA) 1.70 (1.42, 2.04) 8.99

Zaccarelli 1994 (Italy) 3.56 (2.29, 5.53) 8.56

Overall (I−squared = 92.5%, p = 0.000) 1.35 (0.79, 2.31) 100.00

NOTE: Weights are from random effects analysis

.0719 1 13.9

Image produced using Stata (StataCorp. LP, College Station, TX, United States of America).
AIDS, acquired immunodeficiency syndrome; CI, confidence interval; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; RR, relative risk.

Bull World Health Organ 2013;91:102–123 | doi:10.2471/BLT.12.108282 115


Systematic reviews
Mortality among people who inject drugs Bradley M Mathers et al.

Fig. 13. Ratios of crude mortality rates in HIV-positive males versus HIV-positive females who inject drugs

%
Cohort RR (95% CI) Weight

Fugelstad 1998 (Sweden) 1.45 (0.65, 3.23) 3.99

Liu 2011 (China) 1.01 (0.81, 1.26) 52.62

Manfredi 2006 (Italy) 1.22 (0.89, 1.68) 25.88

Zaccarelli 1994 (Italy) 1.30 (0.89, 1.91) 17.50

Overall (I−squared = 0.0%, p = 0.537) 1.13 (0.96, 1.32) 100.00

NOTE: Weights are from random effects analysis

.5 1 3

Image produced using Stata (StataCorp. LP, College Station, TX, United States of America).
CI, confidence interval; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; RR, relative risk.

Fig. 14. Ratios of crude mortality rates in HIV-negative males versus HIV-negative females who inject drugs
%
Cohort RR (95% CI Weight

Fugelstad 1998 (Sweden) 2.14 (0.77, 5.93) 27.67

Manfredi 2006 (Italy) 1.46 (0.62, 3.44) 39.31

Zaccarelli 1994 (Italy) 2.02 (0.79, 5.15) 33.02

Overall (I−squared = 0.0%, p = 0.820) 1.81 (1.06, 3.09) 100.00

NOTE: Weights are from random effects analysis

.5 1 2 4

Image produced using Stata (StataCorp. LP, College Station, TX, United States of America).
CI, confidence interval; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; RR, relative risk.

in countries where drug injecting is explanation for this discrepancy might The ability to detect differences in
taking place but little research has been lie in the extent of drug injection among mortality in cohort studies according to
conducted about it. the groups examined, whether people HIV status is subject to limitations. HIV
In this review we found no signifi- used multiple drugs (polydrug use be- status was typically measured at baseline
cant differences in the risk of death by ing the norm), or the possibility, seldom only, and some subjects who contracted
type of primary drug injected. This con- examined, that some people in the co- HIV infection during follow-up would
trasts with the findings of other reviews horts switched from one primary drug remain assigned to the HIV− group for
of people dependent on different drug to another during the follow-up period. the entire follow-up period. Nonethe-
types, which, despite their own limita- All of these factors would have reduced less, this would only serve to underesti-
tions, have suggested differences in our capacity to detect any differences in mate the relative differences in mortality
mortality among opioid-, amphetamine- mortality among people injecting differ- between HIV+ and HIV− people who
and cocaine-dependent persons.3–5 An ent types of drugs. inject drugs. The markedly higher all-

116 Bull World Health Organ 2013;91:102–123 | doi:10.2471/BLT.12.108282


Table 2. Comparison of risk of dying from all causes and from drug overdose among people injecting opioids and those injecting stimulants

Study Users of opioids Users of stimulants All-cause CMR ratio Overdose CMR ratio Opioid use defini- Stimulant use defi-
PY All- All- Deaths OD PY All- All- Deaths OD Ratio b
95% CI Ratio b
95% CI tion nition
cause cause from CMRa cause cause from CMRa
Bradley M Mathers et al.

deaths CMRa OD deaths CMRa OD


(No.) (No.) (No.) (No.)
Fugelstad 3022.7 133 4.40 72 1.67 3938 39 0.99 15 0.38 4.44 3.12–6.33 4.39 3.46–5.53 Hospital records – at Hospital records
et al. least once had a – if had no heroin
(1997)36 diagnosis of heroin dependence
dependence –opioid diagnosis and at
user least once had a
diagnosis of ATS
dependence
Lejckova et 13 323.9 114 0.86 36 0.27 9748.4 48 0.49 8 0.08 1.74 1.24–2.44 3.29 2.35–4.61 ICD-10 code F11 ICD-10 code
al. (2007)46 opioid dependence F15 – stimulant
dependence

Bull World Health Organ 2013;91:102–123 | doi:10.2471/BLT.12.108282


O’Driscoll 2984.9 40 1.34 19 0.64 544.6 14 2.57 7 1.29 0.52 0.29–0.95 0.50 0.20–1.24 Primary drug – Primary drug –
et al. heroin cocaine or speed
(2001)57
van 268 9 3.36 – – 326 15 4.60 – – 0.73 0.33–1.64 – – Main drug injected – Main drug injected
Haastrecht heroin – cocaine or ATS
et al.
(1996)70
Vlahov et 2047 85 4.15 16 0.78 3727 175 4.70 20 0.54 0.88 0.69–1.14 1.44 1.12–1.86 Heroin Any cocaine or crack
al. (2005)71
Pooled – – – – – – – – – – 1.25c 0.60–2.61 1.85d 0.75–4.56 – –
estimate
CI, confidence interval; CMR, crude mortality rate; ICD-10, International Classification of Diseases; OD, overdose; PY, person–years; S, stimulant.
a
Deaths per 100 PY of follow-up.
b
Represents the CMR ratio for people injecting opioids (numerator) versus people injecting stimulants (denominator).
c
Meta-analysis of all-cause CMR ratio: Test of estimate = 1;P = 0.553; heterogeneity (χ2) = 67.99; P < 0.0005; I2 = 94.1%.
d
Meta-analysis of overdose CMR ratio: Test of estimate = 1:P = 0.18; heterogeneity (χ2) = 20.10; P < 0.0005; I2 = 85.1%.
Note: Values reported in papers appear in plain text; italicized values were derived from other available data.
Mortality among people who inject drugs
Systematic reviews

117
Systematic reviews
Mortality among people who inject drugs Bradley M Mathers et al.

Fig. 15. Ratios of crude mortality rates in people who inject drugs during in-treatment period versus off-treatment period

%
Cohort RR (95% CI) Weight

Clausen 2008 (Norway) 1.96 (1.50, 2.56) 18.67

Cornish 2010 (UK) 1.90 (1.40, 2.59) 18.32

Davoli 2007 (Italy) 10.86 (7.25, 16.26) 17.30

Degenhardt 2009 (Australia) 1.92 (1.79, 2.05) 19.85

Fugelstad 1995 (Sweden) 1.19 (0.58, 2.45) 13.37

Fugelstad 1998 (Sweden) 2.55 (1.15, 5.66) 12.49

Overall (I−squared = 93.0%, p = 0.000) 2.52 (1.59, 4.00) 100.00

NOTE: Weights are from random effects analysis

1 5 10 15

Image produced using Stata (StataCorp. LP, College Station, TX, United States of America).
CI, confidence interval; RR, relative risk.

ported in various forms, including odds


Table 3. Univariate associations between study-level variables and all-cause crude
ratios, relative risks, hazard ratios and
mortality rates (CMRs) and standardized mortality ratios (SMRs)
CMRs. Most studies did not report
SMRs and many failed to report standard
Characteristic CMR SMR
parameters such as PY, or were seldom
n t P n t P easy to calculate, particularly for disag-
Geographic region 53 −1.05 0.298 23 0.74 0.466 gregated mortality estimates. As a result,
Country income 67 3.03 0.004 33 0.65 0.519 only a subset of studies could be included
Percentage of cohort who inject drugs 60 1.49 0.141 26 2.04 0.052 in many of the analyses.
Percentage of males 57 3.40 0.001 31 0.29 0.771 Causes of death were not uniformly
or consistently coded. Deaths from
Percentage of cohort HIV+ at baseline 30 2.42 0.022 9 1.00 0.349
drug overdose might have been missed
Presence of people using opioids 67 −0.07 0.945 33 −1.28 0.209
(alone or with other drugs) in cohort in countries with limited capacity to
conduct toxicological tests or where
Year in which follow-up ceased 59 0.26 0.795 32 −2.80 0.009
recording a death as being from a drug
overdose is surrounded by stigma. As
cause mortality that we observed among HAART.55 Unfortunately, we were un- a result, we may have underestimated
HIV+ people who inject drugs is there- able to examine the impact of treatment CMRs and SMRs for death from drug
fore probably a conservative estimate of for HIV infection across studies because overdose. Misattribution of deaths by
the elevation in mortality in that group. mortality was rarely reported separately HIV status may have occurred, since
Misattribution of cause of death as either for the periods before and after the in- most cohorts were assessed for HIV
AIDS- or non-AIDS-related could have troduction of HAART.77 However, the status at the beginning of the study only
occurred as well. observed association between cohorts and people infected during follow-up
Treatment for HIV infection has with more recent follow-up periods and could have been missed. Again, this may
improved greatly and has become more lower SMRs might have to do with the have resulted in conservative estimates
widely available. In some cohorts, mor- greater availability in recent years of ef- of mortality among HIV+ people who
tality was examined for the periods be- fective interventions for the prevention inject drugs and in lower effect sizes. In
fore and after highly active antiretroviral and treatment of HIV infection. future research, assessing individuals’
therapy (HAART) was introduced. The Reporting quality was poor. Few HIV status at several time points during
findings suggest that mortality among studies met criteria in consensus state- the follow-up period would allow a more
HIV+ people who inject drugs decreased ments for the reporting of observational accurate measurement of mortality in
after the widespread introduction of studies.7 Mortality estimates were re- relation to HIV status.

118 Bull World Health Organ 2013;91:102–123 | doi:10.2471/BLT.12.108282


Systematic reviews
Bradley M Mathers et al. Mortality among people who inject drugs

Fig. 16. Crude mortality rates for people who inject drugs, by country income group

%
Cohort CMR (95% CI) Weight

high income
Antolini 2006 (Italy) 2.01 (1.79, 2.16) 1.83
Bargagli 2001 (Italy) 2.15 (2.05, 2.25) 1.84
Bauer 2008 (Austria) 5.42 (3.45, 7.40) 0.77
Brancato 1995 (Italy) 2.04 (1.26, 2.83) 1.51
Ciccolallo 2000 (Italy) 2.26 (2.08, 2.43) 1.83
Clausen 2008 (Norway) 1.95 (1.70, 2.23) 1.80
Copeland 2004 (UK) 2.45 (2.06, 2.84) 1.75
Cornish 2010 (UK) 1.00 (0.86, 1.15) 1.83
Davoli 2007 (Italy) 0.74 (0.59, 0.88) 1.83
Degenhardt 2009 (Australia) 0.89 (0.86, 0.92) 1.85
Digusto 2004 (Australia) 1.27 (0.40, 2.29) 1.40
EMCDDA 2011 (Sweden) 3.33 (2.98, 3.68) 1.77
EMCDDA 2011 (Croatia) 1.09 (0.93, 1.25) 1.83
Eskild 1993 (Norway) 2.77 (2.22, 3.42) 1.64
Esteban 2003 (Spain) 3.68 (3.11, 4.25) 1.66
Evans 2012 (USA) 0.91 (0.62, 1.20) 1.79
Fingerhood 2006 (USA) 7.14 (5.22, 9.06) 0.80
Frischer 1997 (UK) 2.08 (1.52, 2.64) 1.66
Fugelstad 1995 (Sweden) 3.85 (2.94, 4.76) 1.43
Fugelstad 1997 (Sweden) 1.99 (1.72, 2.25) 1.80
Fugelstad 1998 (Sweden) 7.76 (5.54, 10.58) 0.57
Galli 1994 (Italy) 2.52 (2.28, 2.77) 1.81
Goedert 1995 (Italy) 1.57 (1.41, 1.75) 1.83
Goedert 2001 (USA) 4.67 (4.42, 4.92) 1.81
Golz 2001 (Germany) 4.22 (2.80, 5.64) 1.08
Haarr 2007 (Norway) 1.92 (0.95, 3.44) 1.19
Hickman 2003 (UK) 1.61 (1.13, 2.23) 1.67
Jarrin 2007 (Spain) 2.02 (1.92, 2.12) 1.84
Lejckova 2007 (Czech Republic) 0.84 (0.75, 0.93) 1.84
Lumbreras 2006 (Spain) 2.18 (2.00, 2.36) 1.83
Manfredi 2006 (Italy) 2.04 (1.80, 2.30) 1.81
McAnulty 1995 (USA) 1.05 (0.69, 1.41) 1.77
Mezzelani 1998 (Italy) 2.91 (2.48, 3.33) 1.74
Miller 2007 (Canada) 1.37 (0.80, 1.94) 1.65
Moroni 1991 (Italy) 2.43 (2.16, 2.69) 1.80
Muga 2007 (Spain) 3.74 (3.38, 4.14) 1.76
Nyhlen 2011 (Sweden) 1.30 (1.12, 1.48) 1.83
O’Driscoll 2001 (USA) 1.59 (1.22, 1.96) 1.76
Oppenheimer 1994 (UK) 1.83 (1.28, 2.38) 1.67
Reece 2010 (Australia) 0.50 (0.36, 0.65) 1.83
Sanchez−Carbonell 2000 (Spain) 3.40 (2.36, 4.44) 1.33
Seaman 1998 (UK) 2.33 (1.60, 3.27) 1.48
Sorensen 2005 (Denmark) 3.49 (2.45, 4.53) 1.33
Stenbacka 2007 (Sweden) 2.12 (1.93, 2.31) 1.82
Stoove 2008 (Australia) 0.83 (0.56, 1.21) 1.78
Tait 2008 (Australia) 0.50 (0.29, 0.72) 1.82
VanHaastrecht 1996 (Netherlands) 3.23 (2.56, 4.07) 1.54
Vlahov 2005 (USA) 4.50 (4.24, 4.76) 1.80
Vlahov 2008 (USA) 0.71 (0.54, 0.88) 1.83
Zabransky 2011 (Czech Republic) 0.48 (0.15, 0.81) 1.78
Zaccarelli 1994 (Italy) 2.30 (1.96, 2.63) 1.78
Subtotal (I−squared = 98.8%, p = 0.000) 2.17 (1.92, 2.42) 83.99
.
low and middle income
Azim 2008 (Bangladesh) 6.32 (4.68, 7.96) 0.94
Azim 2009 (Bangladesh) 3.52 (2.46, 4.59) 1.31
Cardoso 2006 (Brazil) 2.77 (1.45, 4.09) 1.14
EMCDDA 2011 (Romania) 0.57 (0.47, 0.68) 1.84
EMCDDA 2011 (Bulgaria) 1.18 (0.91, 1.46) 1.80
EMCDDA 2011 (Latvia) 1.60 (1.43, 1.77) 1.83
Jafan 2010 (Islamic Republic of Iran) 4.08 (1.25, 6.91) 0.48
Liu 2011 (China) 6.89 (5.79, 7.98) 1.29
Moskalewicz 1996 (Poland) 2.28 (1.81, 2.83) 1.69
Quan 2007 (Thailand) 3.85 (2.42, 5.83) 0.91
Quan 2010 (Viet Nam) 6.30 (4.60, 8.50) 0.78
Rahimi-Movahgar 2009 (Islamic Republic of Iran) 4.83 (0.00, 14.30) 0.10
Solomon 2009 (India) 4.25 (3.35, 5.16) 1.43
Zhang 2005 (China) 7.73 (4.87, 10.60) 0.47
Subtotal (I−squared = 97.0%, p = 0.000) 3.53 (2.81, 4.24) 16.01
.
Overall (I−squared = 98.6%, p = 0.000) 2.35 (2.12, 2.58) 100.00
NOTE: Weights are from random effects analysis

−10 −5 0 5 10 15

Image produced using Stata (StataCorp. LP, College Station, TX, United States of America).
CI, confidence interval; CMR, crude mortality rate.

Bull World Health Organ 2013;91:102–123 | doi:10.2471/BLT.12.108282 119


Systematic reviews
Mortality among people who inject drugs Bradley M Mathers et al.

reference lists. Meta-analytical methods AIDS-related mortality in settings with a


Limitations of the review and
were originally developed to aggregate high prevalence of HIV infection. HIV+
meta-analysis
the findings of randomized controlled people who inject drugs have higher
Our review has limitations. The lag trials, 85 which have the advantage of mortality not just from HIV-related
time between the date when the studies allowing for control or adjustment of causes but also from drug overdose.
were conducted and when they were pre-conditions and sample-related fac- Mortality varies by participant- and
published in peer-reviewed journals was tors that could influence the outcomes study-level characteristics, which sug-
generally long. In light of this we used of interest. Controlling for such factors gests that multiple factors contribute
several methods to search for published is not possible in observational studies, to the higher risk of death observed in
and unpublished studies. We reviewed like the ones included in our review. people who inject drugs. Many of these
primarily English-language papers, factors are probably modifiable, since
although we also reviewed the abstracts certain predominant causes of death ac-
of non-English-language peer-reviewed
Conclusion count for most of the mortality observed
articles when they were available in People who inject drugs have a much in this group. ■
English. When studies seemed relevant, higher risk of death than those who do
we had them translated; we engaged ex- not. Major causes of death in this group Competing interests: None declared.
perts from a range of different countries are often poorly specified, but death
and language groups to review these from drug overdose is common, as is

‫ملخص‬
‫ استعراض منهجي وحتليل وصفي‬:‫معدل الوفيات بني األشخاص الذين يتعاطون املخدرات عن طريق احلقن‬
14.68 ‫الثنتني وثالثني جمموعة؛ وكانت نسبة الوفيات املوحدة‬ ‫الغرض استعراض الدراسات األترابية املعنية بمعدل الوفيات بني‬
‫ وأظهرت مقارنة‬.)16.35 ‫ إىل‬13.01 :% 95 ‫(فاصل الثقة‬ ‫األشخاص الذين يتعاطون املخدرات عن طريق احلقن عىل نحو‬
‫معدالت الوفيات األولية وحساب نسب معدالت الوفيات‬ ،‫ ودراسة معدالت الوفيات وأسباب الوفاة يف هذه الفئة‬،‫منهجي‬
‫األولية ارتفاع معدل الوفيات يف البلدان املنخفضة واملتوسطة‬ ‫وحتديد متغريات مستوى املشاركني والدراسة املرتبطة بارتفاع‬
‫الدخل بني املجموعات والذكور واألشخاص اإلجيابيني لفريوس‬ .‫خطر الوفاة‬
‫) الذين تعاطوا املخدرات عن طريق‬HIV( ‫العوز املناعي البرشي‬ ‫الطريقة تم استخدام عبارات بحث خمصصة للبحث يف قواعد‬
.‫ وكان املعدل مرتفع ًا كذلك خالل فرتات وقف العالج‬.‫احلقن‬ ‫ وتم حتديد‬.PsycINFO‫ و‬Medline‫ و‬EMBASE ‫بيانات‬
‫وكان فرط جرعة املخدرات ومتالزمة العوز املناعي املكتسب‬ ‫الكتابات غري الرسمية من خالل قواعد بيانات الكتابات غري‬
.‫(األيدز) السببني الرئيسيني للوفاة بني املجموعات‬ ‫ وتم استشارة اخلرباء للحصول‬.‫الرسمية عىل شبكة اإلنرتنت‬
‫ يتعرض األشخاص الذين‬،‫االستنتاج مقارنة بعامة السكان‬ ‫ وتم إجراء التحليالت الوصفية‬.‫عىل دراسات وبيانات إضافية‬
‫ عىل الرغم‬،‫يتعاطون املخدرات عن طريق احلقن خلطر وفاة مرتفع‬ ‫للتأثريات العشوائية لتقييم معدالت الوفيات األولية املجمعة‬
‫ وجيب أن‬.‫من تفاوت معدالت الوفيات بني البيئات املختلفة‬ .)SMRs( ‫) ونسب الوفيات املوحدة‬CMRs(
‫يتضمن أي هنج شامل لتحسني حصائل الصحة يف هذه الفئة جهود ًا‬ ‫النتائج تم حتديد سبع وستني جمموعة من األشخاص الذين‬
‫خلفض عدوى اإلصابة بفريوس العوز املناعي البرشي باإلضافة‬ ‫ أربع عرشة منها من البلدان‬،‫يتعاطون املخدرات عن طريق احلقن‬
.‫ والسيام فرط جرعة املخدرات‬،‫إىل غريها من أسباب الوفاة‬ ‫ وكان معدل الوفيات األويل املجمع‬.‫املنخفضة واملتوسطة الدخل‬
‫ فاصل‬،% 95 ‫سنة (فاصل الثقة‬-‫ شخص‬100 ‫ وفاة لكل‬2.35
‫ وتم اإلبالغ عن نسب الوفيات املوحدة‬.)2.58 ‫ إىل‬2.12 :‫الثقة‬

摘要
药物注射人群的死亡率:系统回顾和荟萃分析
目的 系统回顾药物注射人群死亡率的队列研究,检查该群 集的SMR为14.68(95% CI:13.01-16.35)。CMR的比
体的死亡率和死亡原因,并确定与较高死亡风险相关的参 较和CMR比率的计算表明,中低收入国家的队列、男性
与水平和研究水平变量。 以及艾滋病毒(HIV)呈阳性的药物注射人群中的死亡率
方法 使用定制的搜索字符串搜索EMBASE、Medline和 较高。治疗结束期间死亡率也较高。药物过量和艾滋病
PsycINFO。通过网上灰色文献数据库识别灰色文献。咨询 (AIDS)是各个队列的主要死亡原因。
专家以获取更多的研究和数据。执行随机效果荟萃分析来 结论 尽管不同环境中的死亡率各异,与普通人群相比,药
估计汇集的粗死亡率(CMR)和标准化死亡率(SMR)。 物注射人群的死亡风险更高。任何改善该群体的健康疗效
结果 确定67 个药物注射人群队列,其中14 个来自中低 的综合方案都必须包括减少艾滋病毒感染以及其他死亡致
收入国家。汇集的CMR为每100 人年2.35 例死亡(95% 因(尤其是药物过量)的努力。
置信区间,CI:2.12-2.58)。报告32 个队列的SMR;汇

120 Bull World Health Organ 2013;91:102–123 | doi:10.2471/BLT.12.108282


Systematic reviews
Bradley M Mathers et al. Mortality among people who inject drugs

Résumé
Mortalité chez les personnes qui s’injectent des drogues : revue systématique et méta-analyse
Objectif Examiner systématiquement les études de cohortes de la Les TMS étaient indiqués pour 32 cohortes, avec un TMS groupé de 14,68
mortalité chez les toxicomanes par injection, étudier les taux de mortalité (IC de 95%: 13,01 – 16,35). La comparaison des TBM et le calcul des taux
et les causes de décès dans ce groupe, et identifier les variables, au niveau de TMS ont révélé une mortalité plus élevée parmi les cohortes des pays
des participants et des études, associées à un risque accru de décès. à revenu faible et intermédiaire, les sujets masculins et les toxicomanes
Méthodes Des critères de recherche spécifiquement adaptés ont été par injection séropositifs. Elle était également plus élevée pendant
utilisés pour les recherches réalisées sur EMBASE, Medline et PsycINFO. les périodes d’interruption thérapeutique. L’overdose et le syndrome
La littérature grise a été identifiée par le biais de bases de données de d’immunodéficience acquise (SIDA) étaient les causes principales des
littérature grise disponibles en ligne. Des experts ont été consultés pour décès parmi ces cohortes.
obtenir des données et des études supplémentaires. Des méta-analyses Conclusion Si l’on compare avec la population globale, les personnes
des effets aléatoires ont été réalisées afin d’estimer les taux bruts de qui s’injectent des drogues ont un risque élevé de décès, bien que les
mortalité (TBM) groupés et les taux de mortalité standardisés (TMS). taux de mortalité varient selon les contextes. Toute approche exhaustive
Résultats Soixante-sept cohortes de personnes qui s’injectent des visant à améliorer les résultats de ce groupe en matière de santé doit
drogues ont été identifiées, dont 14 appartenant à des pays à revenu comprendre des efforts en vue de diminuer l’infection par le VIH, ainsi
faible et intermédiaire. Le TBM groupé était de 2,35 décès pour que d’autres causes de décès, notamment l’overdose.
100 personnes-années (intervalle de confiance de 95%, IC: 2,12 – 2,58).

Резюме
Смертность среди лиц, вводящих наркотики внутривенно: систематический обзор и мета-анализ
Цель Провести систематический обзор когортных исследований интервал, ДИ: 2,12–2,58). СКС фиксировался для 32 когорт;
смертности среди лиц, вводящих наркотики внутривенно, суммарный СКС составлял 14,68 (95% ДИ: 13,01-16,35). Сравнение
изучить уровни смертности и причины смерти в данной группе и ОПС и расчет коэффициентов ОПС выявил высокий уровень
определить переменные на уровне участников и исследований, смертности в когортах, относящихся к странам с низким и
связанные с высоким риском смерти. средним уровнями доходов, среди мужчин и лиц, вводивших
Методы Поиск исследований осуществлялся по базам данных наркотики внутривенно, которые имели положительные
EMBASE, Medline и PsycINFO по специализированным критериям результаты на вирус иммунодефицита человека (ВИЧ). Высокий
поиска. Поиск литературы для служебного пользования уровень также отмечен вне периодов лечения. Передозировка
осуществлялся по онлайновым базам данных литературы для наркотиков и синдром приобретенного иммунодефицита (СПИД)
служебного пользования. С целью получения дополнительных являлись основными причинами смерти в когортах.
данных и исследований проводились консультации с экспертами. Вывод По сравнению с населением в целом, лица, вводящие
Для определения суммарных общих показателей смертности наркотики внутривенно, подвержены повышенному риску
(ОПС) и стандартизированных коэффициентов смертности (СКС) смерти несмотря на то, что уровни смертности варьируются
выполнялся мета-анализ случайных эффектов. в зависимости от условий. Любой комплексный подход к
Результаты Были выявлены шестьдесят семь когорт лиц, улучшению результатов мероприятий по охране здоровья в
вводящих наркотики внутривенно, 14 из которых относятся к данной группе должен включать в себя меры по сокращению
странам с низким и средним уровнями доходов. Суммарный ОПС уровня ВИЧ-инфекции, а также других причин смерти, в
составлял 2,35 смертей на 100 человеко-лет (95% доверительный особенности, передозировки наркотиков.

Resumen
La mortalidad entre consumidores de drogas inyectables: una revisión sistemática y meta-análisis
Objetivo Revisar de forma sistemática los estudios de cohortes sobre la para 32 cohortes; la tasa bruta combinada de mortalidad fue de 14,68
mortalidad entre los consumidores de drogas inyectables, examinar las (IC 95%: 13,01-16,35). La comparación de las tasas brutas combinadas
tasas de mortalidad y las causas de muerte en este grupo e identificar de mortalidad y el cálculo de las proporciones de la mortalidad
las variables relacionadas con el estudio y los participantes asociadas a bruta combinada revelaron que la mortalidad fue superior en las
un mayor riesgo de muerte. cohortes de países con ingresos bajos y medios, en varones y entre
Métodos Se emplearon cadenas de búsqueda adaptadas para registrar consumidores de drogas inyectables que dieron positivo para el virus
EMBASE, Medline y PsycINFO. La literatura gris se identificó por medio de de la inmunodeficiencia humana (VIH), así como durante los periodos
bases de datos de literatura gris en línea. Se consultaron expertos a fin sin tratamiento. Las sobredosis y el síndrome de la inmunodeficiencia
de obtener datos y estudios adicionales y se llevaron a cabo metaanálisis adquirida (SIDA) fueron las causas principales de muerte en las cohortes.
de efectos aleatorios para calcular las tasas brutas combinadas de Conclusión En comparación con la población general, los consumidores
mortalidad y las tasas de mortalidad estandarizadas. de drogas inyectables presentan un riesgo elevado de muerte, si bien
Resultados Se identificaron diecisiete cohortes de consumidores las tasas de mortalidad varían en los distintos lugares. Cualquier enfoque
de drogas inyectables, 14 de las cuales en países con ingresos completo para mejorar los resultados sanitarios en este grupo deberá
bajos y medios. La tasa bruta combinada de mortalidad fue de 2,35 esforzarse por reducir la infección por VIH, así como las otras causas de
fallecimientos por cada 100 años-persona (intervalo de confianza del muerte, en especial, la sobredosis.
95%, IC: 2,12-2,58). Se declararon las tasas de mortalidad estandarizadas

Bull World Health Organ 2013;91:102–123 | doi:10.2471/BLT.12.108282 121


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Mortality among people who inject drugs Bradley M Mathers et al.

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