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Economics and the

World of Business
What do Economists Study?

 Tackling the problem of scarcity


 meaning of scarcity
 production and consumption
• role of the business economist
• study of consumer behaviour
• study of firms
Capital:
 factors of production - Physical
• human resources – labour - Human

• natural resources – land and raw materials


• manufactured resources – capital
Entrepreneurship
What do Economists Study?

 Demand and supply


 actual and potential demand and supply
 the role of firms in satisfying demand – response to
demand or creation of demand; efficient use of
resources; quantity produced; price charged;
investment decisions.

 Dividing up the subject


 macroeconomics

 microeconomics
The Macroeconomic Environment

 Aggregate demand and supply


 Macroeconomic issues
 the objective of economic growth
• cyclical fluctuations in the economy
• recessions

 unemployment

 inflation

 balance of trade deficits


Macroeconomic performance of four industrialised countries
(average annual figures)

Unemployment Inflation Economic growth Balance on current account


(% of workforce) (%) (%) (% of national income)

USA Jap Ger UK USA Jap Ger UK USA Jap Ger UK USA Jap Ger UK

1961–70

1971–80

1981–90

1991–00

2001–10

2011–13

Source: based on data in European Economy (Commission of the European Union)


Macroeconomic performance of four industrialised countries
(average annual figures)

Unemployment Inflation Economic growth Balance on current account


(% of workforce) (%) (%) (% of national income)

USA Jap Ger UK USA Jap Ger UK USA Jap Ger UK USA Jap Ger UK

1961–70 4.8 1.3 0.6 1.7

1971–80 6.4 1.8 2.2 3.8

1981–90 7.1 2.5 6.0 9.6

1991–00 5.6 3.3 7.8 7.9

2001–10 6.1 4.7 8.9 5.6

2011–13 8.0 4.4 5.3 8.7

Source: based on data in European Economy (Commission of the European Union)


Macroeconomic performance of four industrialised countries
(average annual figures)

Unemployment Inflation Economic growth Balance on current account


(% of workforce) (%) (%) (% of national income)

USA Jap Ger UK USA Jap Ger UK USA Jap Ger UK USA Jap Ger UK

1961–70 4.8 1.3 0.6 1.7 2.4 5.6 2.7 4.0

1971–80 6.4 1.8 2.2 3.8 7.0 8.8 5.2 13.4

1981–90 7.1 2.5 6.0 9.6 4.5 1.8 2.6 6.2

1991–00 5.6 3.3 7.8 7.9 2.2 0.5 1.8 3.2

2001–10 6.1 4.7 8.9 5.6 2.4 –0.3 1.6 2.1

2011–13 8.0 4.4 5.3 8.7 2.4 –0.2 2.2 3.0

Source: based on data in European Economy (Commission of the European Union)


Macroeconomic performance of four industrialised countries
(average annual figures)

Unemployment Inflation Economic growth Balance on current account


(% of workforce) (%) (%) (% of national income)

USA Jap Ger UK USA Jap Ger UK USA Jap Ger UK USA Jap Ger UK

1961–70 4.8 1.3 0.6 1.7 2.4 5.6 2.7 4.0 4.2 10.1 4.4 2.8

1971–80 6.4 1.8 2.2 3.8 7.0 8.8 5.2 13.4 3.2 4.4 2.9 2.0

1981–90 7.1 2.5 6.0 9.6 4.5 1.8 2.6 6.2 3.2 4.6 2.3 2.7

1991–00 5.6 3.3 7.8 7.9 2.2 0.5 1.8 3.2 3.4 1.2 2.1 2.5

2001–10 6.1 4.7 8.9 5.6 2.4 –0.3 1.6 2.1 1.6 0.8 0.9 1.7

2011–13 8.0 4.4 5.3 8.7 2.4 –0.2 2.2 3.0 2.2 0.9 2.1 0.8

Source: based on data in European Economy (Commission of the European Union)


Macroeconomic performance of four industrialised countries
(average annual figures)

Unemployment Inflation Economic growth Balance on current account


(% of workforce) (%) (%) (% of national income)

USA Jap Ger UK USA Jap Ger UK USA Jap Ger UK USA Jap Ger UK

1961–70 4.8 1.3 0.6 1.7 2.4 5.6 2.7 4.0 4.2 10.1 4.4 2.8 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.2

1971–80 6.4 1.8 2.2 3.8 7.0 8.8 5.2 13.4 3.2 4.4 2.9 2.0 0.9 0.5 1.1 –0.7

1981–90 7.1 2.5 6.0 9.6 4.5 1.8 2.6 6.2 3.2 4.6 2.3 2.7 –1.7 2.3 2.6 –1.4

1991–00 5.6 3.3 7.8 7.9 2.2 0.5 1.8 3.2 3.4 1.2 2.1 2.5 –1.6 2.5 –0.7 –1.5

2001–10 6.1 4.7 8.9 5.6 2.4 –0.3 1.6 2.1 1.6 0.8 0.9 1.7 –4.6 3.4 4.5 –2.2

2011–13 8.0 4.4 5.3 8.7 2.4 –0.2 2.2 3.0 2.2 0.9 2.1 0.8 –4.3 3.1 5.8 –2.2

Source: based on data in European Economy (Commission of the European Union)


The Macroeconomic Environment

 Aggregate demand and supply


 Macroeconomic issues
 the objective of economic growth
• cyclical fluctuations in the economy
• recessions
 unemployment
 inflation
 balance of trade deficits
 Macroeconomic policy and business
 demand-side policy Fiscal (gov) and monetary (central banks) policy

 supply-side policy
The Macroeconomic Environment

 The circular flow of income

 firms and households

 real and monetary flows


The circular flow of goods and incomes

Households
Firms
The circular flow of goods and incomes
Goods and services
The circular flow of goods and incomes
Goods and services


Consumer
expenditure
The Macroeconomic Environment

 The circular flow of income

 firms and households

 real and monetary flows

 goods and factor markets


The circular flow of goods and incomes
Goods and services


Consumer
expenditure
The circular flow of goods and incomes
Goods and services


Consumer
expenditure

Services of factors of production (labour, etc)


The circular flow of goods and incomes
Goods and services


Consumer
expenditure

Wages, rent
dividends, etc.

Services of factors of production (labour, etc)


The Macroeconomic Environment

 The circular flow of income

 firms and households

 real and monetary flows

 goods and factor markets

 macroeconomics: aggregate flows


The circular flow of goods and incomes
Goods and services


Consumer
expenditure

Wages, rent
dividends, etc.

Services of factors of production (labour, etc)


The Macroeconomic Environment

 The circular flow of income

 firms and households

 real and monetary flows

 goods and factor markets

 macroeconomics: aggregate flows

 microeconomics: individual markets


The circular flow of goods and incomes
Goods and services


Consumer
expenditure

Wages, rent
dividends, etc.

Services of factors of production (labour, etc)


Microeconomic Choices

 Microeconomics and choice remind: scarcity

 What?

 How?

 For whom?

 Choice and opportunity cost


 the meaning of opportunity cost
 rational choices

 marginal costs and benefits


Techniques of Economic Analysis

 Use of diagrams in economics


Effect of a rise in income

Entertainment

Food
Expenditure (€)

O
Individual’s income (€)
Techniques of Economic Analysis

 Use of diagrams in economics


 Representing statistics
 time-series data - Time series graphs make trends
easy to spot. These trends are important as they
can be used to project into the future as variables
exhibit cyclical patterns: the variable being studied
does not exhibit a continual increase or decrease,
but instead goes up and down depending upon the
time of year. These cyclical patterns are also easy
to see with a time series graph.
Investment in the EU(15) (% changes from previous year)
1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997
–4.5 –1.3 0.3 1.7 3.0 4.2 5.0 8.7 7.0 3.8 –0.2 –0.5 –5.9 3.0 3.2 2.2 3.3
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
7.2 5.7 4.5 0.9 -0.8 1.0 2.7 3.1 5.9 5.5 –1.9 –12.8 0.4 1.1 –2.5 0.1

10
8
6 Growth in
Investment (annual % change)

investment
4
2
0
-2
-4
-6
-8
-10
-12
-14
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Economic growth and changes in investment in the EU(15)
1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997
0.2 1.1 1.8 2.6 2.5 2.8 2.8 4.2 3.7 3 1.8 1.1 -0.3 2.8 2.5 1.7 2.7
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
3 3 3.9 2.1 1.2 1.3 2.4 1.9 3.1 3 0 –4.3 2.1 1.4 –0.4 0.3

10
National income, Investment (annual % change)

8
6 Growth in
investment Growth in
4 investment
2
0
-2
-4
-6
-8
-10
-12
-14
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Economic growth and changes in investment in the EU(15)
1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997
0.2 1.1 1.8 2.6 2.5 2.8 2.8 4.2 3.7 3 1.8 1.1 -0.3 2.8 2.5 1.7 2.7
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
3 3 3.9 2.1 1.2 1.3 2.4 1.9 3.1 3 0 –4.3 2.1 1.4 –0.4 0.3

10
National income, Investment (annual % change)

8
6 Growth in
investment GrowthEconomic
in
4 investment
growth
2
0
-2 Economic
growth
-4
-6
-8
-10
-12
-14
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Techniques of Economic Analysis

 Use of diagrams in economics


 Representing statistics
 time-series data
 cross-section data - different observations made
at the same time. For example, we could show
market shares of firms in the same industry,
quantities of two goods (food, clothing, electrical
appliances) bought at different levels of income,
opinion polls during a pre-election campaign,
production cost for different quantities, etc.
UK market shares of cider brands
2009 (%) 2011 (%)
Strongbow 28.5 27.2
Own-label 8.6 7.9
Magners 8.3 7.5
Lambrini 6.5 4.5
Bulmers Original 4.5 3.8
Frosty Jack's 2.9 4.1
Bulmers Pear cider 2.8 2.6
Jacques Fruits De Bois 2.7 2.2
Scrumpy Jack 2.5 2.4
Kopparberg 1.7 2.2
Stella Artois Cidre n/a 3.2
Others 31.0 32.4
100.0 100.0
Source: Mintel Cider UK Report, February 2012
Market share (%)

0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Strongbow
Own-label
Magners
Lambrini
Bulmers Original
Frosty Jack's
Bulmers Pear cider
Jacques Fruits De Bois
2007

Scrumpy Jack
Kopparberg

Source: Mintel Cider UK Report, February 2012


Others

Market share (%)

0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40

Strongbow
Own-label
Magners
Lambrini
Bulmers Original
Frosty Jack's
UK market shares of cider brands

Bulmers Pear cider


2011

Jacques Fruits De Bois


Scrumpy Jack
Kopparberg
Stella Artois Cidre
Others
UK market shares of cider brands

Strongbow
Own-label
Magners
Lambrini
Bulmers Original
Frosty Jack's
Bulmers Pear cider
Jacques Fruits De Bois
Scrumpy Jack
Kopparberg
Stella Artois Cidre
Others

2009 2011

Source: Mintel Cider UK Report, February 2012


Techniques of Economic Analysis

 Index numbers
 constructing an index
Constructing an index
UK manufacturing and service industry output: 2003 = 100

1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

Output of manufacturing

78.8 73.9 73.8 75.4 78.2 80.4 81.5 85.4 91.6 95.2 95.1 90.4 90.3 91.6 95.9 97.4

Output of services

49.6 49.8 50.5 52.2 54.1 55.8 58.1 60.5 63.3 64.6 65.5 65.3 65.7 67.7 70.7 73.1

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Output of manufacturing

98.1 99.9 100.5 101.6 103.9 102.5 100.3 100.0 102.1 102.0 103.9 104.9 102.3 92.3 95.8 97.9

Output of services

75.8 79.0 83.1 86.9 91.1 94.3 96.6 100.0 103.0 107.5 111.0 116.2 116.0 113.5 114.8 116.2

Source: based on data in National Accounts, Blue Book data. Sourced from www.ons.gov.uk
Constructing an index
UK manufacturing and service industry output: 2003 = 100

1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

Output of manufacturing

78.8 73.9 73.8 75.4 78.2 80.4 81.5 85.4 91.6 95.2 95.1 90.4 90.3 91.6 95.9 97.4

Output of services

49.6 49.8 50.5 52.2 54.1 55.8 58.1 60.5 63.3 64.6 65.5 65.3 65.7 67.7 70.7 73.1

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Output of manufacturing

98.1 99.9 100.5 101.6 103.9 102.5 100.3 100.0 102.1 102.0 103.9 104.9 102.3 92.3 95.8 97.9

Output of services

75.8 79.0 83.1 86.9 91.1 94.3 96.6 100.0 103.0 107.5 111.0 116.2 116.0 113.5 114.8 116.2

Source: based on data in National Accounts, Blue Book data. Sourced from www.ons.gov.uk
Constructing an index
UK manufacturing and service industry output: 2003 = 100

1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995

Output of manufacturing

78.8 73.9 73.8 75.4 78.2 80.4 81.5 85.4 91.6 95.2 95.1 90.4 90.3 91.6 95.9 97.4

Output of services

49.6 49.8 50.5 52.2 54.1 55.8 58.1 60.5 63.3 64.6 65.5 65.3 65.7 67.7 70.7 73.1

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Output of manufacturing

98.1 99.9 100.5 101.6 103.9 102.5 100.3 100.0 102.1 102.0 103.9 104.9 102.3 92.3 95.8 97.9

Output of services

75.8 79.0 83.1 86.9 91.1 94.3 96.6 100.0 103.0 107.5 111.0 116.2 116.0 113.5 114.8 116.2

Source: based on data in National Accounts, Blue Book data. Sourced from www.ons.gov.uk
Techniques of Economic Analysis

 Index numbers
 constructing an index
 using index numbers to measure % changes
 price index
 use of weighted averages
Constructing a weighted average index
Constructing a weighted average index
Constructing a weighted average index
Techniques of Economic Analysis

 Index numbers
 constructing an index
 using index numbers to measure % changes
 price index
 use of weighted averages

 Functional relationships
 simple linear functions
Graph of the function: y = 4 + 2x
y 16

14 x y
Y = 4 + 2x
a 0 4
12
1 6
2 8
10 3 10
4 12
8 5 14

4
a
2

0
0 1 2 3 4 5
x
Graph of the function: y = 4 + 2x
y 16

14 x y
Y = 4 + 2x
0 4
12
b 1 6
2 8
10 3 10
4 12
8 5 14

6
b
4

0
0 1 2 3 4 5
x
Graph of the function: y = 4 + 2x
y 16

14 x y
Y = 4 + 2x
0 4
12
1 6
c 2 8
10 3 10
4 12
8 5 14
c
6

0
0 1 2 3 4 5
x
Graph of the function: y = 4 + 2x
y 16

14 x y
Y = 4 + 2x
0 4 f
12
1 6
2 8
e
10 d 3 10
e 4 12 d
8 f 5 14

0
0 1 2 3 4 5
x
Graph of the function: y = 4 + 2x
y 16

14 x y
Y = 4 + 2x
0 4
12
1 6
c 2 8 d
10 d 3 10
4 12 c 2
8 5 14
1
6

0
0 1 2 3 4 5
x

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