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ENGINEERING&AND&TECHNOLOGY&MANAGEMENT&

ETM501&
APPLIED&STATISTICS&AND&
DESIGN&&&ANALYSIS&OF&EXPERIMENTS&&&
&
Ali&R.&Kaylan&
kaylan@boun.edu.tr&
&
Boğaziçi&University&
Department&of&Industrial&Engineering&
Bebek,&İstanbul,&Turkey&
&

Lec$4.$Comparison$of$K$Populations$and$
Kaylan$/$ETM501$ 1$
Block$Designs$
COMPARISON&OF&K[POPULATIONS&AND&BLOCK&DESIGNS&

OUTLINE((
&
I.&Completely&Randomized&Designs&
&
II.&Model&Adequacy&Checking&
&
III.&Tensile&Strength&Experiment&
&
IV.&Randomized&Block&Design&
&
V.&Hardness&TesZng&Experiment&
&
VI.$Latin$Square$Design&

Lec$4.$Comparison$of$K$Populations$and$
Kaylan$/$ETM501$ 2$
Block$Designs$
What&if&there&are&more&than&two&factor&levels?&

The&t[test&does&not&directly&apply.&
&
There&are&lots&of&pracZcal&situaZons&where&there&are&
either&more&than&two&levels&of&interest,&or&there&are&
several&factors&of&simultaneous&interest.&
&
The&analysis&of&variance&(ANOVA)&is&the&appropriate&
analysis& engine &for&these&types&of&experiments.&

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


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and Block Designs 3
What&if&there&are&more&than&two&factor&levels?&

The&ANOVA&was&developed&by&Fisher&in&the&early&1920s,&
and&iniZally&applied&to&agricultural&experiments.&
&
Used&extensively&today&for&industrial&experiments.&
&
The&name& analysis&of&variance &stems&from&a&
parZZoning&of&the&total&variability&in&the&response&
variable&into&components&that&are&consistent&with&a&
model&for&the&experiment&
(
Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations
Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 4
EXPERIMENTS&TO&COMPARE&k&AVERAGES&

QuesZon:&Do&all&the&techniques&give&essenZally&the&same&results?&

# H 0 : µA = µB = µC = µD
"
!H1 : At least one mean differs

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 5
EXPERIMENTS&TO&COMPARE&k&AVERAGES&

EXAMPLE(1((Montgomery):(
Three&brands&of&baeeries&are&under&study.&It&is&suspected&that&the&
lives&(in&weeks)&of&the&three&brands&are&different.&Five&baeeries&of&
each&brand&are&tested&with&the&following&results.&
& Brand 1 Brand 2 Brand 3
108 96 74
100 92 83
98 91 79
94 96 79
100 100 75
TOTAL 500 475 390
MEAN 100 95 78
S.Square 104 52 52

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


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and Block Designs 6
EXPERIMENTS&TO&COMPARE&k&AVERAGES&

EXAMPLE(1(a)(State the type of design, the mathematical


model and the underlying assumptions.!
&
Completely Randomized Design. Fixed Effects Model
&
Yij = µ + τ j + ε ij , j = 1,2,3, i = 1,2,...,5
µ = Overall mean
τ j = jth treatment effect
ε ij ~ IIDNormal (0, σ 2 )

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 7
EXPERIMENTS&TO&COMPARE&k&AVERAGES&

EXAMPLE(1(b)(Check homoscedasticity (common variance)


using F statistics.

H 0 : σ 12 = σ 22
H 1 : σ 12 ≠ σ 22
104
F= = 2 < F0.05, 4, 4 = 6.39
52

Do not reject H0 at 5% level of significance.

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 8
EXPERIMENTS&TO&COMPARE&k&AVERAGES&

EXAMPLE(1(c)(Construct a 99% interval estimate on the mean


difference between the lives of battery brands 1 and 3. !

99% Confidence Interval on µ1 − µ 3 :


( y1. − y 3. ) ± t 0.005,12 2 MSE / 5
(100 − 78) ± 3.06 2 * (208 / 12) / 5

22 ± 3.06 * 2.63
22 ± 8.05
13.95 ≤ µ1 − µ 3 ≤ 30.05

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 9
EXPERIMENTS&TO&COMPARE&k&AVERAGES&

EXAMPLE(1(d)(Which&brand&would&you&select&for&use?&If&the&
manufacturer& will& replace& without& charge& any& baeery& that&
fails& in& less& than& 85& weeks,& what& percentage& would& he&
expect&to&replace?&

Select&Brand&1&(longest&life).&&
Assuming&normality,&

( 85 − 100 %
Φ&& ## = Φ(−3.603) = 0.0002
' 17.333 $

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 10
COMPLETELY&RANDOMIZED&DESIGN&

EXAMPLE(2.(Comparison&of&four&Techniques&(A,&B,&C,&D)&
Design&Issues:&24&Experiments&with&4,&6,&6,&8&replicaZons&
respecZvely.&In&what&order&to&carry&out&experiments?&
TECHNIQUE
A B C D
20 12 16 23
2 9 7 3
11 15 1 6
10 14 17 18
4 13 22
8 21 19
5
24

Numbers&in&the&layout&designate&the&order&of&the&tests.&&
Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations
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and Block Designs 11
COMPLETELY&RANDOMIZED&DESIGN&

The(underlying(mathemaCcal(model:(((
( Y = µ + τ + ε
ij j ij
Y = µ + ε
ij j ij
where&
&Yij&=&ith&observaZon&in&group&j&
&µj&=&True&mean&of&group&j&
&εij&=&Error&
&&

& ε ij : IIDN (0, σ 2 )

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


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COMPLETELY&RANDOMIZED&DESIGN&
Carry&out&the&24&experiments&in&the&specified&completely&randomized&order.&

A B C D
62 63 68 56
60 67 66 62
63 71 71 60
59 64 67 61
65 68 63
66 68 64
63
59
GROUP AVER. 61 66 68 61
GROUP VAR. 3,33 8,00 2,80 6,86
N 4 6 6 8
WITHIN S.S. 10 40 14 48
GRAND AVER. 64
GROUP DEV. -3 2 4 -3

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


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and Block Designs 13
COMPLETELY&RANDOMIZED&DESIGN&

CalculaCon(of(Variance(:(
Within(groups:(
( k nj
2
( y
∑ ∑ ij - y j )
2 j =1 i =1
sw =
N −k
Between(groups:( nj
k
2
(y
∑∑ j - y )
2 j =1 i =1
s =
b
k −1

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 14
COMPLETELY&RANDOMIZED&DESIGN&

While&sums&of&squares&cannot&be&directly&compared&to&test&the&
hypothesis&of&equal&means,&mean&squares&can&be&compared.&
&
A&mean&square&is&a&sum&of&squares&divided&by&its&degrees&of&
freedom.&
&
If&Ho&is&true&(the&treatment&means&are&equal),&the&treatment&and&
error&mean&squares&will&be&(theoreZcally)&equal.&&
&
If&H1&is&true&(treatment&means&differ),&the&treatment&mean&square&
will&be&larger&than&the&error&mean&square.&
(

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 15
COMPLETELY&RANDOMIZED&DESIGN&
Analysis(of(Variance(Table:(
(
SOURCE SSq. Dof MeanSq. F-RATIO
Mean 98304 1
Between 228 3 76,00 13,57
Within 112 20 5,60
TOTAL 98644 24

F3,20,0.01&=&4.94,&F3,20,0.05&=&3.10&
&
Do&not&accept&Ho&at&5%&level&of&significance.&
&

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


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and Block Designs 16
COMPLETELY&RANDOMIZED&DESIGN&
DecomposiCon(of(observaCons:&
&

62 63 68 56 1 -3 0 -5
60 67 66 62 -1 1 -2 1
63 71 71 60 2 5 3 -1
59 64 67 61 = 64 + -3 2 4 -3 + -2 -2 -1 0
65 68 63 -1 0 2
66 68 64 0 0 3
63 2
59 -2

OBSERVATION& Grand&Mean& Group&deviaZon& Error&

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


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and Block Designs 17
COMPLETELY&RANDOMIZED&DESIGN&

The(AddiCve(property(of(sum(of(squares:(((
(
D=T-M
k nj k nj
2 2 2
(y
∑∑ ij - y) = y
∑∑ ij - N y
j=1 i =1 j=1 i =1

D = G+ R
k nj k k nj
2 2 2
∑ ∑(y ij - y) = ∑n j (y j - y ) + ∑ ∑ (y ij - yj)
j =1 i =1 j= 1 j= 1 i= 1

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 18
COMPLETELY&RANDOMIZED&DESIGN&

SST = SSTreatments + SS E
k nj k k nj
2 2 2
(y
∑∑ ij - y) = n (y
∑ j j - y) + (y -
∑∑ ij jy )
j=1 i =1 j=1 j=1 i =1

SSTreatments&&&:&&A&large&value&reflects&large&differences&in&treatment&
means.&
A&small&value&likely&indicates&no&differences&in&treatment&means.&

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 19
COMPLETELY&RANDOMIZED&DESIGN&

ObservaCon(=(Mean(+(Treatment(Effect(+(Residual(
(((((((((((T((((((((=((((((M(((+(((D(
(((((((((((((T((((((((=((((((M(((+(((((((((((((G(((((((((((((((+(((((((R(

Orthogonality(:(((
(
D⊥M G ⊥R M ⊥R M ⊥G

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 20
MODEL&ADEQUACY&

(Checking(AssumpCons:(
(
& & &Normality&
& & &Constant&variance&
& & &Independence&
&
Have%we%fit%the%right%model?%
%
(
Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations
Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 21
MODEL&ADEQUACY&

Residual(Analysis:(
(InvesCgate(if(there(are(any(apparent(abnormaliCes.(
(
1.  Residual(Dot(diagrams(
(
2.(((Residuals(by(techniques(
(
3.(((Residuals(in(Cme(sequence(
(
(

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 22
TENSILE&STRENGTH&EXPERIMENT&

EXAMPLE(3.((Montgomery,(3.10(p.132):(
A&product&development&engineer&is&interested&in&invesZgaZng&
the&tensile&strength&of&a&new&syntheZc&fiber&that&will&be&used&to&
make&cloth&for&men’s&shirts.&The&engineer&knows&from&previous&
experience&that&the&strength&is&affected&by&the&weight&percent&
of&coeon&used&in&the&blend&of&materials&for&the&fiber.&
Furthermore,&he&suspects&that&increasing&the&coeon&content&will&
increase&the&strength,&at&least&iniZally.&He&also&knows&that&
coeon&content&should&range&between&about&10&percent&and&40&
percent&if&the&final&cloth&is&to&have&other&quality&characterisZcs.&

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 23
TENSILE&STRENGTH&EXPERIMENT&

The&engineer&decides&to&test&specimens&at&five&levels&of&coeon&
weight&percent:&15&percent,&20&percent,&25&percent,&30&percent,&
and&35&percent.&He&also&decides&to&test&five&specimens&at&each&
level&of&coeon&content.&
a=&5&levels&
n=&5&replicates&&
25&runs&should&be&made&in&random&order.&

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 24
TENSILE&STRENGTH&EXPERIMENT&

2
Observed Tensile Strength (lb/in )
% Weight 1 2 3 4 5 Totals (yi ) Aver.
15 7 7 15 11 9 49 9,80
20 12 17 12 18 18 77 15,40
25 14 18 18 19 19 88 17,60
30 19 25 22 19 23 108 21,60
35 7 10 11 15 11 54 10,80

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 25
TENSILE&STRENGTH&EXPERIMENT&

Does&changing&the&coeon&
weight&percent&change&the&
mean&tensile&strength?&
Is&there&an&opCmum&level&for&
coeon&content?&

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 26
TENSILE&STRENGTH&EXPERIMENT&

Source of Variation S.Sq. D.o.f. M.Sq. F0


Cotton Weight % 475,76 4 118,94 14,76
Error 161,2 20 8,06
Total 636,96 24

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 27
TENSILE&STRENGTH&EXPERIMENT&

Reference&DistribuZon:&

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
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ANOVA&Computer&Output&(Design[Expert)&

&Response:&Strength&
&((((((((ANOVA(for(Selected(Factorial(Model&
&Analysis(of(variance(table([ParCal(sum(of(squares]&
& &Sum(of & &Mean &F &&
&Source&&&&Squares &DF &Square &Value &Prob(>(F&
&Model &475.76 &4 &118.94 &14.76 &<&0.0001&
&A &475.76 &4 &118.94 &14.76 &<&0.0001&
&Error &161.20 &20 &8.06&
&CorTotal &636.96 &24&
&
&
&Std.&Dev. &2.84 & &R[Squared &0.7469&
&Mean &15.04 & &Adj&R[Squared &0.6963&
&C.V. &18.88 & &Pred&R[Squared &0.6046&
&PRESS &251.88 & &Adeq&Precision &9.294&

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 29
GRAPHICAL&VIEW&OF&RESULTS&

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 30
MODEL&ADEQUACY&CHECKING&
DE S IG N-E X P E RT P l o t Normal plot of residuals
S tre n g th

ExaminaCon(of(residuals( 99

Design^Expert(generates( 95

the(residuals.(

Norm al % probability
90

80

( 70

Residual(plots(are(very( 50

useful.( 30
20

( 10

Normal(probability(plot(of(
1
residuals.(

-3.8 -1.55 0.7 2.95 5.2

Res idual

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OTHER&RESIDUAL&PLOTS&
DE S IG N-E X P E RT P l o t Residuals vs. P redicted
DE S IG N-E X P E RT P l o t Residuals vs. Run
S tre n g th
S tre n g th
5.2
5.2

2.95
2.95
2

Res iduals
Res iduals

2
0.7
0.7
2
2

-1.55
-1.55

2
2

2 -3.8
-3.8

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25
9.80 12.75 15.70 18.65 21.60

Run Num ber


Predicted

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Post[ANOVA&Comparison&of&Means&

The(ANOVA(tests(the(hypothesis(of(equal(treatment(means.(If(
that(hypothesis(is(rejected,(we(don t(know(which(specific(means(
are(different.(
(
(Assume(that(the(model(is(valid.((Residual(analysis(yields(
saCsfactory(results.)(
(
Determining(which(specific(means(differ(following(an(ANOVA(is(
called(the(mulCple(comparisons(problem.(
(
(Pairwise(t^tests(on(means((Also(called(Fisher s(Least(Significant(
Difference(Method(or(Fisher s(LSD).(

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DESIGN[EXPERT&OUTPUT&

&(Treatment(Means((Adjusted,(If(Necessary)&
& &EsCmated & &Standard&
& &Mean & &Error&
&&1[15 &9.80 & &1.27&
&&2[20 &15.40 & &1.27&
&&3[25 &17.60 & &1.27&
&&4[30 &21.60 & &1.27&
&&5[35 &10.80 & &1.27&
&
& &Mean & &Standard &t(for(H0 &&
&Treatment &Difference &DF &Error &Coeff=0 &Prob(>(|t|&
&&&1&vs&&2 &[5.60 &1 &1.80 &[3.12 &0.0054&
&&&1&vs&&3 &[7.80 &1 &1.80 &[4.34 &0.0003&
&&&1&vs&&4 &[11.80 &1 &1.80 &[6.57 &<&0.0001&
&&&1&vs&&5 &[1.00 &1 &1.80 &[0.56 &0.5838&
&&&2&vs&&3 &[2.20 &1 &1.80 &[1.23 &0.2347&
&&&2&vs&&4 &[6.20 &1 &1.80 &[3.45 &0.0025&
&&&2&vs&&5 &4.60 &1 &1.80 &2.56 &0.0186&
&&&3&vs&&4 &[4.00 &1 &1.80 &[2.23 &0.0375&
&&&3&vs&&5 &6.80 &1 &1.80 &3.79 &0.0012&
&&&4&vs&&5 &10.80 &1 &1.80 &6.01 &<&0.0001&
&
&

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


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GRAPHICAL&COMPARISON&OF&MEANS&

Tensile&strength&averages&from&the&coeon&weight&percentage&experiment&in&
relaZon&to&a&t&distribuZon&with&a&scale&factor&&
& &(MSE/n)0.5=(8.06/5)0.5=&1.27&

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 35
RANDOMIZED&BLOCK&DESIGN&

Blocking(Principle:(
(Blocking&is&a&technique&for&dealing&with&nuisance&factors.(
(
•  A&nuisance(factor&is&a&factor&that&probably&has&some&affect&on&
the&response,&but&it s&of&no&interest&to&the&experimenter…&
However,&the&variability&it&transmits&to&the&response&needs&to&
be&minimized.&
•  Typical&nuisance&factors&include&batches&of&raw&material,&
operators,&pieces&of&test&equipment,&Zme&(shiws,&days,&etc.),&
different&experimental&units.&
•  Many&industrial&experiments&involve&blocking.&
•  Failure&to&block&is&a&common&flaw&in&designing&an&experiment&
(Consequences?)&
Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations
Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 36
RANDOMIZED&BLOCK&DESIGN&

Blocking(Principle:(
(If&the&nuisance&variable&is&&
& &known&and&controllable,&we&use&blocking. ( ((
( (known(and(uncontrollable,&&
& & &someZmes&we&can&use&the&analysis(of(covariance&to&
remove&the&effect&of&the&nuisance&factor&from&the&analysis.&
( (unknown(and(uncontrollable&(a& lurking (variable),&&
& & &we&hope&that&randomizaCon&balances&out&its&impact&
across&the&&experiment&
&
SomeZmes&several&sources&of&variability&are&combined&in&a&block,&
so&the&block&becomes&an&aggregate&variable&

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


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and Block Designs 37
RANDOMIZED&BLOCK&DESIGN&

A B C D E SUM
I 16,9 18,2 17 15,1 18,3 85,5
II 16,5 19,2 18,1 16.,0 18,3 88,1
III 17,5 17,1 17,3 17,8 19,8 89,5
SUM 50,9 54.5 52,4 48,9 56,4 263,1

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 38
RANDOMIZED&BLOCK&DESIGN&

The(underlying(mathemaCcal(model:(((
( Y = µ + βi + τ + ε
ij j ij
where&
&Yij&=&ith&observaZon&in&group&j&
&µ=&Grand&Mean&
&βi=&Block&i&&
&τj=&Treatment&j& &&
&εij&=&Error&
&&
2
& ε ij : IIDN (0, σ )

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 39
RANDOMIZED&BLOCK&DESIGN&

DecomposiZon&of&the&Sums&of&squares&:&&
&
SST = SSTreatments + SS Blocks + SS E
Degrees&of&freedom&decomposiZon&are&as&follows:&
&
&
ab − 1 = a − 1 + b − 1 + (a − 1)(b − 1)
RaZos&of&sums&of&squares&to&their&degrees&&of&freedom&result&
in&mean&squares.&
RaZo&of&the&mean&square&for&treatments&to&the&error&mean&
square&is&an&F&staZsZc&that&can&be&used&to&test&the&
hypothesis&of&equal&treatment&means.&

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


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RANDOMIZED&BLOCK&DESIGN&

ANOVA(TABLE(:(((

SOURCE SSq. Dof. MSq. F-RATIO


DUE TO MEAN 4614.77 1
BLOCKS 1.65 2 0.825 0.944
TREATMENT 11.56 4 2.89 3.308
RESIDUAL 6.99 8 0.874
TOTAL 4634.97 15

F4,8,.05&=&3.84,&F4,8,.10&=&2.81&
&
Treatment&effect&is&significant&at&10%&but&not&at&5%&level.&

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


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HARDNESS&TESTING&EXPERIMENT&

EXAMPLE( 4.( Suppose& we& wish& to& determine& whether&


or&not&four&different&Zps&produce&different&readings&on&
a& hardness& tesZng& machine.& An& experiment& such& as&
this&might&be&part&a&gage&capability&study.&The&machine&
operates&by&pressing&the&Zp&into&a&metal&test&coupon,&
and& from& the& depth& of& the& resulZng& depression,& the&
hardness& of& the& coupon& can& be& determined.& The&
experimenter&has&decided&to&obtain&four&observaZons&
for&each&Zp.&&

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 42
HARDNESS&TESTING&EXPERIMENT&

Single Factor Design: One Factor – tip type


16 different metal test coupons are required.
Response is measured in Rockwell C scale hardness
minus 40.
Completely randomized design:
Randomly assigning each one of the 4x4=16 runs to an
experimental unit (metal coupon) and observing the
hardness reading that results.
(Potentially serious problem. Why?)

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 43
HARDNESS&TESTING&EXPERIMENT&

Structure of a completely randomized experiment


(Potentially serious problem. Why?)

•  Assignment of the tips to an experimental unit ( test


coupon) which may be a source of nuisance variability .

•  Alternatively, the experimenter may want to test the tips


across coupons of various hardness levels.

The need for blocking

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 44
HARDNESS&TESTING&EXPERIMENT&

To conduct this experiment as a RBD:


Assign all 4 tips to each coupon
Each coupon is called a block ; that is, it s a more
homogenous experimental unit on which to test the tips.
Variability between blocks can be large, variability within
a block should be relatively small.
In general, a block is a specific level of the nuisance
factor.
A complete replicate of the basic experiment is conducted
in each block.
A block represents a restriction on randomization .
All runs within a block are randomized .

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 45
HARDNESS&TESTING&EXPERIMENT&
Two-way structure of the experiment:
Interested in testing the equality of treatment means, but now we
have to remove the variability associated with the nuisance
factor coupon(the blocks)
(Coded Data)
Coupon (Block)
Type of Tip 1 2 3 4 yi.

1 -2 -1 1 5 3
2 -1 -2 3 4 4
3 -3 -1 0 2 -2
4 2 1 5 7 15
y.j -4 -3 9 18 20

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 46
HARDNESS&TESTING&EXPERIMENT&

(Randomized Block Design:

Source of Variation S.Sq. D.o.f. M.Sq. F0


Type of Tip 38,5 3 12,83 14,44
Coupons 82,5 3 27,5
Error 8 9 0,89
Total 129 15

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 47
HARDNESS&TESTING&EXPERIMENT&

Incorrect Analysis (Completely Randomized Design):

Source of Variation S.Sq. D.o.f. M.Sq. F0


Type of Tip 38.5 3 12.83 1.7
Error 90.5 12 7.54
Total 129 15

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 48
HARDNESS&TESTING&EXPERIMENT&

Design-Expert Output
(Response:&&Hardness&
&((((((((ANOVA(for(Selected(Factorial(Model&
&Analysis(of(variance(table([ParCal(sum(of(squares]&
& &Sum(of & &Mean &F &&
&Source &Squares &DF &Square &Value &Prob(>(F&
&Block &82.50 &3 &27.50&
&Model &38.50 &3 &12.83 &14.44 &0.0009&
&A &38.50 &3 &12.83 &14.44 &0.0009&
&Residual &8.00 &9 &0.89&
&Cor&Total&129.00 &15&
&
&Std.&Dev. &0.94 & &R[Squared &0.8280&
&Mean &1.25 & &Adj&R[Squared &0.7706&
&C.V. &75.42 & &Pred&R[Squared &0.4563&
&PRESS &25.28 & &Adeq&Precision &15.635&
Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations
Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 49
HARDNESS&TESTING&EXPERIMENT&
Design-Expert
DE S IG N-E X P E RT P l o t Output – Residual Analysis
Normal plot of residuals
Ha rd n e ss

99

95

Norm al % probability
90

80
70

50

30
20

10

-1 -0.375 0.25 0.875 1.5

Res idual

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 50
HARDNESS&TESTING&EXPERIMENT&
Design-Expert Output – Residual Analysis
DE S IG N-E X P E RT P l o t Residuals vs. P redicted
DE S IG N-E X P E RT P l o t Residuals vs. Run
Ha rd n e ss Ha rd n e ss
1.5 1.5

0.875 0.875
Res iduals

Res iduals
0.25 2 0.25

-0.375 -0.375

-1
-1

-2.75 -0.31 2.13 4.56 7.00


1 4 7 10 13 16

Predicted Run Num ber

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 51
HARDNESS&TESTING&EXPERIMENT&
Design-Expert Output – Residual Analysis

Basic residual plots indicate that normality and


constant variance assumptions are satisfied.
No obvious problems with randomization .
Can also plot residuals versus the type of tip
(residuals by factor) and versus the blocks.
These plots provide more information about the
constant variance assumption, possible outliers.

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 52
HARDNESS&TESTING&EXPERIMENT&
Multiple Comparisons: Which tips are different?

Treatment Means (Adjusted, If Necessary)


Estimated Standard
Mean Error
1-T1 0.75 0.47
2-T2 1.00 0.47
3-T3 -0.50 0.47
4-T4 3.75 0.47

Mean Standard t for H0


Treatment Difference DF Error Coeff=0 Prob > |t|
1 vs 2 -0.25 1 0.67 -0.38 0.7163
1 vs 3 1.25 1 0.67 1.87 0.0935
1 vs 4 -3.00 1 0.67 -4.50 0.0015
2 vs 3 1.50 1 0.67 2.25 0.0510
2 vs 4 -2.75 1 0.67 -4.13 0.0026
3 vs 4 -4.25 1 0.67 -6.38 0.0001

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 53
LATIN&SQUARE&DESIGN&

Used&to&simultaneously&control&(or&eliminate)&two(
sources(of(nuisance(variability.&
• &A&significant&assumpZon&is&that&the&three&factors&
(treatments,&nuisance&factors)&do(not(interact.&
&
• &If&this&assumpZon&is&violated,&the&LaZn&square&design&
will&not&produce&valid&results.&
&
• &LaZn&squares&are&not&used&as&much&as&the&RCBD&in&
industrial&experimentaZon.&&

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 54
LATIN&SQUARE&DESIGN&

Position (j)
Run(i) 4 2 1 3
II A B D C
III D C A B
I C D B A
IV B A C D

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 55
LATIN&SQUARE&DESIGN&

Position (j)
Run(i) 4 2 1 3 Sum Aver.
II 251 241 227 229 948 237
III 234 273 274 226 1007 251,75
I 235 236 218 268 957 239,25
IV 195 270 230 225 920 230
Sum 915 1020 949 948 3832
Aver. 228,75 255 237,25 237 239,5

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 56
LATIN&SQUARE&DESIGN&

MATHEMATICAL MODEL :

Y = µ + βi + τ + ηk + ε
ijk j ijk

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 57
LATIN&SQUARE&DESIGN&

ANOVA TABLE :

SOURCE SSq. Dof. MSq. F-RATIO


DUE TO MEAN 917764 1
POSITIONS 1468,5 3 489,5 7,99
RUNS 986,5 3 328,83 5,37
MATERIALS 4621,5 3 1540,5 25,15
RESIDUAL 367,5 6 61,25
TOTAL 925208 16

F3,6,.05&=&4.76&
&

Lec 4. Comparison of K Populations


Kaylan / ETM501
and Block Designs 58

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