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Nomura | Bukalapak 06 August 2021
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Nomura | Bukalapak 06 August 2021
Company profile
Bukalapak was founded in 2010 by Achmad Zacky Syaifudin, Muhammad Fajrin Rasyid, and Nugroho Herucahyono, as a 3P online marketplace
that enables small and medium enterprises to go online. In 2017, Mitra Bukalapak was launched. This O2O platform connects Warungs with
consumer goods distributors and enables Warungs to offer additional online services and virtual products. Bukalapak provides both online and
offline services to users across Indonesia, as it has an ‘All-commerce’ business model. With Buka Pengadaan, Bukalapak has three highly
synergistic business pillars. The company went public in 2021. Bukalapak currently has more than 1,800 employees and 37 business divisions.
Current controlling shareholders are PT Kreatif Media Karya, which is controlled by PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, API (Hong Kong) Investment
Limited (Ant Financial), Archipelago Investment Pte Ltd (GIC), and Achmad Zacky Syaifudin. Other notable shareholders of Bukalapak include Mirae
Asset, Microsoft, Naver, New Hope Group, Shinhan Bank, and Standard Chartered.
Valuation Methodology
We derive our TP of IDR1,620 based on a target EV/GMV of 0.45x on FY23F (pre-monetization phase) and EV/Sales growth of 0.24x, assuming
71.1% CAGR over 2021-2023 CAGR, translating into 17.1x EV/Sales FY23F (post-monetization phase), applying 50% weight for both methods. The
benchmark index for the stock is JCI Index
ESG
Bukalapak is strongly committed to its ESG efforts to better the lives of Indonesian citizens, and at the same time achieve long-term sustainability
and success. Bukalapak educates its customers, employees, and sellers about safe environmental practices. It also engages employees in activities
related to the environment. In terms of social aspects, Bukalapak believes in the need to provide a fair economy to all that can bridge the social gap.
It helps communities, specifically in improving digital, financial, and economic inclusion. Furthermore, Bukalapak actively focuses on human capital,
business ethics, and social responsibility. It provides training to employees. Bukalapak also provides products and services that improve the public’s
participation and supports government efforts.
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Background
The twilight of brick-and-mortar retailers
In 1969, retailer Sears accounted for 1% of the entire US economy GDP. Between 2007
and 2018, Sears’ position as the dominant retailer fell due to the emergence of e-
commerce players such as Amazon (AMZN US, NR). Sears’ revenue and net profit for
2007 came in at USD50.7bn and USD826mn, respectively, while Amazon’s revenue and
net profit were at USD14.8bn and USD476mn. In 2017, Sears’s revenue was down to
USD16.7bn and the company recorded a net loss of USD383mn, whereas Amazon’s
revenue and net profit jumped to USD3.9tn and USD3bn, respectively. In 2018, Sears
filed for bankruptcy, signaling the end of America’s most recognizable brick-and-mortar
retailer. While other factors such as mismanagement also played a role in its downfall, for
the most part, we attribute Sears’ decline to the company's failure to adapt and switch to
an e-commerce business model (and its failure to set up a consolidated and centralized IT
system).
Walmart (WMT US, NR) is another retailer whose dominance is being eroded by e-
commerce players. In order to adapt to the new trend, Walmart launched its website
Walmart.com in 2000, and started selling goods online in 2007. However, it did not create
its e-commerce marketplace (with third-party sellers) until 2009, nearly a decade after
Amazon. Furthermore, Walmart continues to operate using a hybrid model, with both
online and physical stores. Walmart’s e-commerce business has been growing rapidly,
with sales up 82% y-y between 2019 and 2020. On the other hand, its brick-and- mortar
business grew only 5% over the period.
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Fig. 3: US sales – stores vs e-commerce Fig. 4: China sales – stores vs e- Fig. 5: India sales – stores vs e-
(USD bn) commerce (CNY bn) commerce (INR bn)
Fig. 7: Indonesia – total e-commerce sales for select companies (IDR tn)
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We have also noted that financial literacy and access for Indonesia has improved.
Between 2010 and 2020, credit card penetration in Indonesia grew significantly from 0.6%
to 1.8%. In the same manner, between 2015 and 2020, e-wallet transactions in Indonesia
increased significantly from IDR5.3tn to IDR205tn. We believe that access to
debt/payment instruments such as credit cards and e-wallets is integral for the survival of
e-commerce and other internet companies. We note that due to its intangible nature,
growth of internet companies has been interlinked with growth in digital/electronic
payments as opposed to cash.
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The ongoing COVID-19 (C19) pandemic has accelerated digital adoption in Indonesia, in
our view. This has accelerated digital consumption in the country as first-time users are
trying new digital services. About one-third of the first-time users of e-commerce in
Indonesia—who are predominantly from non-metro areas—have come during the
pandemic. Whilst C19 has hurt many sectors, particularly tourism-related (e.g., online
travel) and/or online transportation, we note that many sectors have seen accelerated
adoption. These include e-commerce, food delivery services, as well as digital financial
services. We have also seen new digital service categories gaining accelerated adoption,
such as online health (e-health) and/or online education (e-education) services, as well as
online video and/or music. With a projected 3.2-fold increase in Indonesia’s internet
economy to USD139bn in 2025 (from USD44bn in 2020), as well as the country’s rising
GDP per capita, we see a better path to profitability for e-commerce players, as well as
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digital financial services. Based on our industry survey, we see room for take rates for e-
commerce platforms in Indonesia to go up. This, coupled with rising GDP per capita,
indicates a visible path to profitability, in our view.
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Key strategies
Promoting growth in the micro segment
Bukalapak offers e-commerce and other services, such as financial services, for
Indonesia’s medium, small, and micro enterprises (MSMEs), which is known as Mitra
(translated as partner in English), through its Mitra Bukalapak app. As of 1Q21, there
were an estimated 63mn MSMEs in Indonesia.
Corporate 0.04%
Medium 0.1% (~60,000 units)
Small 1.25% (~785,000 units)
Tapped micro
& ultra micro 50.9% (~32 million units)
Untapped
micro & ultra
micro 47.72% (~30 million units)
Source: Bank Rakyat Indonesia, Indonesia Ministry of Cooperatives and Small and Medium Enterprises
These 63mn MSMEs accounted for 57% of Indonesia’s GDP, according to the Ministry of
Finance. McKinsey estimates that MSMEs account for 97% of employment in Indonesia.
Growth for MSMEs in Indonesia is expected to remain strong, given that internet
penetration and financial literacy/inclusion has been improving for Indonesians.
Furthermore, we noted that the Indonesian government wants to provide a conducive
environment for MSMEs to flourish. These include programs to facilitate business
partnerships and access to financing for MSMEs, as well as stimulus packages to sustain
MSMEs during the COVID-19 pandemic. The government has also implemented
tightening of predatory pricing, preventing foreign products from being sold at low prices
through e-commerce platforms, which allows MSMEs to compete. Furthermore, the
Omnibus Law contains several provisions for the development of MSMEs, which include
incentives provisions, integrated management of MSMES, ease of financing, and legal
assistance and protection. We see room for likely continued growth of Indonesian
MSMEs, and believe a lot of these MSME’s can benefit from the services offered by
Bukalapak.
In synergy with the government’s initiative, Bukalapak is participating in the ‘Ayo Jualan
Online’ movement, aimed at enabling MSMEs to sell their product online. Bukalapak has
shown several key strengths in this area, including lower prices (prices on Mitra
Bukalapak are cheaper vs offline distribution channels), greater availability of products
and timely delivery (updated information on inventory and faster delivery), and micro-loan
offerings for working capital (Bukalapak connects Mitras to financial institutions that can
provide credit).
However, we see certain challenges for these MSMEs. These challenges include limited
access to finance and financial information (despite significant improvements over the p
ast decade), low quality of human capital, lack of technology (despite significant
improvements over the past decade), challenges in goods distribution channels, as well
as legal/permit issues regarding unregistered MSMEs. Bukalapak hopes to overcome the
challenges faced by MSMEs and become a facilitator of growth. In fact, Mitra Bukalapak
works closely with the offline micro retail market to facilitate growth and address
challenges in the micro segment. Bukalapak provides low pricing for its customers (new
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Furthermore, this prevents the risk of Mitras facing out of stock delays. Additionally, Mitra
Bukalapak offers a wholesale buying feature (Grosir), which allows price-competitive bulk
orders for Mitras.
In addition to their e-commerce business model, which caters directly to Mitras,
Bukalapak also offers an all-inclusive ecosystem to provide additional features for
promoting Mitra growth.
Grab (unlisted) is one of Southeast Asia’s leading superapps. It offers essential everyday
services to over 670mn people across Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand,
Philippines, Vietnam, Cambodia, and Myanmar. These essential services consist of
deliveries (food, groceries, packages), ride-hailing/mobility (4-wheel, 3-wheel, 2-wheel),
financial services (lending, insurance, cashless payments and wealth management),
enterprise and others.
Its various features make Bukalapak’s ecosystem a very attractive and sticky platform for
mitras and customers alike. Partnership collaborations with both internet and traditional
platforms should further accelerate customer acquisitions for Bukalapak. This would be
one of the key factors to differentiate Bukalapak from other e-commerce players in
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Indonesia. EMTEK, as one of the largest shareholders in the company, should further
embolden its ecosystem partnerships, in our view. Moreover, Grab’s investment in the
company will likely further project Bukalapak’s strength in the e-commerce landscape in
Indonesia, we believe.
Overall, Bukalapak enhances its value proposition by offering a range of products and
ecosystems for Mitras to connect to. By cutting off the middlemen and by offering a range
of suppliers, Bukalapak offers competitive prices for Mitras. In addition, the company
offers business improvements for Mitras through its inventory management system,
through its application and through the T+1 delivery feature. These features can be fully
utilized by Mitras through the training offered by the company, thereby making Bukalapak
a strong platform for Mitra growth in non-tier 1 cities in Indonesia.
Future strategies
Moving forward, management has stressed six key strategies that should pave the road to
profitability for Bukalapak. The first strategy is for Bukalapak to increase its product
offerings of both physical and digital goods. This is to ensure that Mitras can have further
synergies and cross-sell, thereby driving Mitra growth. The second strategy is to broaden
partnerships with product providers. Using the data Bukalapak has collected, the
company can provide additional value-added services for FMCGs, and negotiate better
prices for Mitras. Furthermore, the company can partner to provide better financial
services and distribution channels, ultimately improving value and monetization for the
company and its Mitras. The third strategy is to improve profitability by increasing the
take-rate of products while at the same time maintaining its low-cost customer acquisition
strategy; Bukalapak aims to increase the take rate by further diversifying its offline and
online product mix. The fourth strategy is to expand the company’s network beyond mom-
and pop stores. Bukalapak can tap into other verticals of the offline business, such as
apparel, electronic, and automotive stores in order to further its growth. The final key
strategy is to implement a reverse e-commerce aggregator platform, where
Bukalapak builds up from its Mitra Bukalapak fundamentals to connect stores to
various e-commerce platforms (e.g. TIkTok, Shopee, Tokopedia), similar to Shopify
(SHOP US, NR).
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The number of annual transacting Mitras (126% 2018-2020 CAGR) has also increased at
a much faster rate than overall annual transacting users (34% 2018-2020 CAGR),
signifying more robust growth in the Mitra segment (Fig 16 -17 ), which is also in line with
our view. We believe that the increase in Mitra contribution is in line with our thesis that
Bukalapak’s future growth lies in its Mitra business. According to our discussions with the
company, Mitra Bukalapak has 1.5mn monthly transaction users with an average
transaction value of IDR3.7mn, whereas the Bukalapak marketplace has 3.5mn monthly
transaction users with an average transaction value of IDR3.2mn per month.
Fig. 14: Annual Transacting Mitras Fig. 15: Annual Transacting Users
Including Mitras
Revenue drivers: Bukalapak marketplace still makes the bulk of its total revenue.
However, based on our analysis, given Bukalapak’s strong mitra ecosystem, we believe
Mitra Bukalapak will likely become the company’s key revenue driver in the future.
Indeed, Mitra Bukalapak's revenue has registered a 115% CAGR for 2018-20.
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Fig. 17: Net revenue (IDRbn) Fig. 18: Gross profit (IDRbn)
Source: Company data, Nomura estimates Source: Company data, Nomura estimates
The largest expense component for Bukalapak, as of end-2020, was selling and
marketing expenses. This consists mainly of online/offline advertising (content creation
activities), vouchers, seller / Mitra acquisition cost and support services, coordination and
payment channel expenses. We expect this cost component to increase in the
foreseeable future with the company’s growth, but decline as a percentage of revenues as
its economies of scale likely grow. The company’s selling and marketing expenses were
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cut to IDR1.5tn in 2020, from IDR2.3tn in 2019. We believe that Bukalapak has been able
to lower its selling and marketing expense as the company has been utilizing its existing
Mitra for marketing (cross-sell from offline channels), and has reduced its customer
acquisition cost by 64% from 2018 to 2020.
The second expense component is general and administrative expense. This consists
primarily of salaries, depreciation and amortization, wages and employee benefits,
internet, hosting, data storage and maintenance expenses, utilities, stock-based
compensation expense, recruitment and office expenses, as well as accounting,
insurance, and investor relations. We expect this to increase in absolute amounts in the
near term due to the anticipated growth of the business.
According to the company’s statement of cash flows, its net operational cash flows have
been improving. In 2018, its net cash flow used in operating activities stood at -IDR1.8tn,
and worsened to -IDR3.1tn in 2019 before improving to -IDR1.2tn in 2020. Improvement
in net cash flow used in operating activities has been driven by increased monetization
and improvements in operational efficiency.
Similar cash flow improvements can be seen in the company’s net cash flow used in
investing activities. In 2018 the company booked –IDR547bn in net cash flow used in
investing activities, and the number improved to -IDR83bn in 2019 and -IDR1bn in 2020.
This improvement resulted from a shift towards cloud-based servers and IT outsourcing,
leading to lower capex requirements.
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Net cash flow from financing activities declined from IDR4.2tn in 2018 to IDR2.0tn in 2019
and IDR1.75tn in 2020. In 2021, we forecast a jump in financing cash flow due to the
company’s IPO.
The company plans to raise around IDR21tn from the proposed IPO. Most of the
proceeds will be used for working capital. A cash-rich balance sheet, we believe, will
enable BUKA to boost its transaction value as well as to defend its market share going
forward. Fig. 22 Proposed use of IPO proceeds outlines the proposed use of the IPO
proceeds for BUKA.
Moving forward
We forecast net revenue growth to maintain its current trajectory. The company expects
to improve its bottom line significantly by 2025F, where we predict that the company will
make its first yearly profit. We believe that the company will likely gain market share for its
Mitra business through its more diverse virtual product offerings, as well as from its higher
commission provision to mitras and the lower cost Bukalapak assigns to its merchants.
Therefore, we expect increases in the company’s opex in the long run, given marketing
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and selling expenses should be ramped up over time. We believe that as it gains market
share, the company will likely strive to improve its take rate by lowering commissions; this
should open the door to profitability for the company, in our view.
Fig. 23: Operating expense (IDR bn) Fig. 24: EBITDA (IDR bn)
Source: Company data, Nomura estimates Source: Company data, Nomura estimates
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FY23 forecast
Pre-monetization Valuation
Fair Value Using EV/GMV
GMV - 2023F (IDRbn) 429,860.1
EV/GMV Target (x) 0.45
Enterprise Value (IDRbn) 193,437.1
Net Cash - 2022F (IDRbn) 20,925.1
Minority - 2022F (IDRbn) 10.6
Equity Value (IDRbn) 214,351.6
Number of Shares (bn) 103.1
Target price (IDR/share) 2,079.9
Post-monetization Valuation
Fair Value using EV/Sales Growth
Sales - 2023F (IDRbn) 5,834.1
Sales CAGR 2021-23 (%) 71.1
EV/Sales Growth (x) 0.24
EV/Sales - 2023F (x) 17.1
Enterprise Value (IDRbn) 99,553.0
Net Cash - 2022F (IDRbn) 20,925.1
Minority - 2022F (IDRbn) 10.6
Equity Value (IDRbn) 120,467.5
Number of Shares (bn) 103.1
Target price (IDR/share) 1,168.9
Source: Nomura estimates for rated stocks, Bloomberg consensus for others. Note: Bukalapak is based on the IPO price
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Fig. 31: BUKA’s MCAP weight analysis vs other constituents of the JCI
Price in IDR; as of 4 Aug 2021
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Fig. 32: BUKA's free float MCAP weight analysis vs other constituents of the JCI
Price in IDR; as of 4 Aug 2021
Ffmcap (IDR FF mcap
No Ticker Shares (mn) Price Market cap (IDR tn) Free Float %
tn) weight
1 BBCA 24,408 30,075 734 45% 331 9.0%
2 BBRI 122,112 3,870 473 43% 204 9.0%
3 TLKM 99,062 3,010 298 48% 143 6.8%
4 BMRI 46,200 5,900 273 40% 109 5.2%
5 ASII 40,484 4,880 198 50% 99 4.7%
6 ARTO 13,718 14,000 192 28% 54 2.5%
7 CPIN 16,398 6,400 105 44% 47 2.2%
8 BUKA 100,062 850 85 54% 46 2.16%
9 MDKA 22,905 3,050 70 55% 38 1.8%
10 EMTK 61,198 2,800 171 22% 37 1.8%
11 BBNI 18,462 4,760 88 40% 35 1.7%
12 DCII 2,384 59,000 141 24% 34 1.6%
13 TOWR 51,015 1,330 68 46% 31 1.5%
14 UNTR 3,730 20,050 75 41% 30 1.4%
15 TBIG 22,657 3,300 75 39% 29 1.4%
16 INDF 8,780 6,425 56 50% 28 1.3%
17 UNVR 38,150 4,860 185 15% 28 1.3%
18 KLBF 46,875 1,325 62 43% 27 1.3%
19 AMRT 41,525 1,335 55 47% 26 1.2%
20 SMGR 5,932 8,850 52 49% 26 1.2%
Source: Company data, Nomura research. Note: Bukalapak is based on the IPO price
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Differentiating features
Mitra Bukalapak
Overall, the Mitra Bukalapak application is user-friendly and easy to navigate.
Bukalapak’s focus on making this application user-friendly is strategic, in our view, given
lots of its potential Mitras are unlikely to be tech-savvy. The process of registering as a
Mitra is simple and requires very little information (phone number or e-mail address, and
name, and maybe KTP if the Mitra wants to do virtual transactions such as Kirim Uang
[money transfer]). This application is available only on Google Play (Android), fitting the
target market of Bukalapak, as a majority of Warung owners are unlikely to have an
iPhone, in our view.
The transaction and loan bookkeeping system has enough, not-so-complex features that
Mitras would need for daily transactions. The system takes notes on income, COGS,
note, and date of transaction. The formatting, such as red and green font colors for
income and cost, makes it easier for the Mitras to see their money inflow and outflow,
including profit and loss. Additionally, the Hutang Piutang system allows Mitras to keep
track of customers’ debts. This bookkeeping feature would help traditional Mitras who
used to have no bookkeeping system in place, or who used paper to keep track of the
records, which is inefficient.
As for the Grosir (wholesale), the products are extensive, and we get to see whether it is
located in a distributor agent or Bukalapak’s warehouse. Bukalapak claims that they are
price-competitive. However, Bukalapak is not price-competitive for each one of its
products. Furthermore, once per day, the Mitras get to have a free one-day delivery.
However, when testing the service, the products are not delivered during that day or a day
later. Additionally, there is a minimum purchase amount, which varies across products
and distributors. The minimum amount ranges from around IDR100,000 to IDR1,500,000.
The transaction status is visible, making it easy for Mitras to keep track of the whole
process. If the order is not successfully delivered, the money paid is returned in full.
Mitras benefit from virtual products as they get an additional revenue stream; this enables
Mitras to tap into a new virtual product market that was previously unavailable to them.
With the Top Up Digital or Kirim Uang features, Mitras serve as offline touchpoints, which
we think can help promote financial inclusion in underserved and under-banked
populations.
In the application, Mitras will use their Saldo Mitra (Mitra balance) for transactions. The
payment methods available include Indomaret, Alfamart, Pos Indonesia, Transfer Virtual
Account, Transfer Manual, BRILink. The various choices available increase convenience
for Mitras. The transfer nominal is in increments of IDR50,000. Mitras can transfer money
from Saldo Mitra to DANA, but can only use DANA to pay for phone data purchases.
Also, the Bukalapak Marketplace application is linked in this Mitra Bukalapak application.
This is a way to help promote the synergies between the Bukalapak ecosystem and to
direct offline traffic to online traffic. Another way to promote synergies is for Bukalapak
mitras to receive points that can be used in Bukalapak Marketplace.
Furthermore, the Buka Bantuan (Buka help) feature in the application is operational 24/7.
It is a customer service in which Mitras can send a question, critique, or even suggestion
to Bukalapak.
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Tokopedia, Mitras can use either Saldo Mitra or OVO, whilst for Mitra Bukalapak, Mitras
can only use Saldo Mitra.
Fig. 33: Price comparisons between Mitra Bukalapak, Mitra Tokopedia and Bukalapak marketplace
Product Mitra Bukalapak (IDR) Mitra Tokopedia (IDR) % diff Bukalapak Marketplace (IDR) % diff
Indomie Goreng Spesial 85g per dus isi 40 97,950 98,350 0.4% 98,000-125,000 0.1%
Aqua Air Mineral 600ml per dus isi 24 44,900 44,900 0.0% 45,000 -53,000-58,000 0.2%
Sampoerna A mild Merah 12's per pack 16,500 16,100 -2.4% 17,100-18,000 3.6%
Fortune minyak goreng pouch 2L 28,000 not available 0.0% 28,000-33,250 0.0%
Frisian Flag susu kental manis 370g 10,000 10,000 0.0% 11,000 10.0%
Rose brand minyk 1L 13,900 15,300 10.1% 20,000-33,250 43.9%
Rinso Anti Noda Classic 44g 4,950 4,750 -4.0% 5,400-6,500 9.1%
Bango kecap manis 550ml 22,400 21,975 -1.9% 24,300-24,900 8.5%
Dove Shampo 9 ml 9,500 9,050 -4.7% 10,900-13,000 14.7%
Roma Malkist Abon Sachet 8,900 8,600 -3.4% 8,500-9,500 -4.5%
Kapal Api special mix sachet 10,300 10,300 0.0% 10,000-10,5000 -2.9%
Average -0.5% 7.5%
As Fig. 33 shows, price differences are on 10 items for Mitra Bukalapak, compared with
Mitra Tokopedia and Bukalapak marketplace. Mitra Shopee does not have its own Mitra
e-commerce platform; rather, its Mitra platform focuses only on virtual product offerings.
The difference in prices between Mitra Bukalapak and Bukalapak marketplace is quite
significant. For the 10 items that we surveyed, prices are about +7.5% higher for
Bukalapak Marketplace. We believe that this makes a huge difference for warungs that
may need to place a bulk order and purchase many of the same goods.
Prices between Mitra Bukalapak and Mitra Tokopedia are fairly similar (-0.5% cheaper for
Mitra Tokopedia). However, to open a Mitra Tokopedia account, the KYC is stricter and it
has less virtual offerings compared to Mitra Bukalapak. We believe that the ease for
consumers in accessing Mitra Bukalapak (from its more relaxed KYC), as well as its
added virtual product offerings, gives a competitive edge to Bukalapak’s mitra business.
Regulatory risk is very minimal because it is not a financial institution. Hence, relating to
KYC, it is more an internal risk control/monitoring by Bukalapak to ensure Mitra
performance meets the company standard.
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Considering how similar the applications are, Bukalapak seems to have little competitive
advantage. Gaining portions of the market share seems to be rather significantly affected
by brand recognition and awareness. The more well-known the platform, the higher the
number of users it is likely to have.
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different products available with the name of the product, price, star rating (out of 5), # of
products sold, and place (city). At the top part, there are filters, including newest,
bestseller, and more. All three platforms offer membership rewards or points as a way to
entice users to purchase more, and make more transactions in the respective platforms.
ShopeeLive, Tokopedia Play, and BukaLive are the three platforms’ live streaming
features. It mainly consists of sellers promoting their products. In addition, Bukalapak has
BukaMall, Shopee has ShopeeMall and Tokopedia has an Official Store. These
malls/stores consist of official, exclusive sellers with products that are of high quality,
more expensive, and well-known both locally and globally. In general, quality is more
credible. For BukaMall, some brands include Unilever, Canon, Puma, and many more.
Putting the similarities aside, there are slight differences between the three platforms.
Tokopedia seems to have the most delivery options, with various price and time ranges,
followed by Shopee, and lastly Bukalapak. Both Shopee and Tokopedia have the ‘Feed’
feature, which is basically like Instagram, including the Explore page. It allows users to
like, comment, or share posts. This is a way for sellers to promote their products.
The only feature that Bukalapak has, that others do not, is the ‘Favorit’ page, where users
get to like their desired products. Bukalapak also has some competitive advantages in the
virtual products or services offerings, as it offers an extensive list of products and
services.
For payment methods, Bukalapak and Tokopedia have more options than Shopee.
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Gerai retail
v v v
(Alfamart/Alfamidi/etc)
Internet Banking v v -
Kartu Kredit/Debit v v v
OneKlik BCA v v v
OVO - v -
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BMoney
BMoney is an investment application launched by PT Buka Investasi Bersama (a
subsidiary of Bukalapak – Not Listed) as a result of the collaboration between Bukalapak
and PT Ashmore Asset Management Indonesia Tbk (AMOR - NR). This application is a
way for Bukalapak to achieve its mission of ‘Fair Economy for All’. Users can start
investing from IDR1,000, and there is no transaction fee. This platform offers a variety of
products. Each product is explained in detail, including a prospectus document and fact
sheet. Additionally, there is a transaction and portfolio page, where users can keep track
of the total asset value, profits, and returns.
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Company profile
Bukalapak was founded in 2010 by Achmad Zacky Syaifudin, Muhammad Fajrin Rasyid,
and Nugroho Herucahyono, as a 3P online marketplace that enabled small and medium
enterprises to go online. In 2017, Mitra Bukalapak was launched. This O2O platform
connects Warungs to consumer goods distributors and enables Warungs to offer
additional online services and virtual products. Bukalapak provides both online and offline
services to users across the nation, as it adopts the “All-commerce” business model. With
Buka Pengadaan, Bukalapak has three highly synergistic business pillars. The company
went public on 6 August 2021 in IDX. Bukalapak currently has more than 1,800
employees and 37 business divisions.
The company’s current controlling shareholders are PT Kreatif Media Karya (unlisted)
which is controlled by PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk (ETMK IJ, NR), API (Hong Kong)
Investment Limited (unlisted), (Ant Financial [unlisted]), Archipelago Investment Pte Ltd
(unlisted), (GIC [unlisted]), and Achmad Zacky Syaifudin. Other notable shareholders of
Bukalapak include Mirae Asset (006800 KS, NR) , Microsoft (MFST US, NR), Naver
(035720 KS, Neutral), New Hope Group (unlisted), Shinhan Bank (unlisted), and Standard
Chartered (STAN UK, NR).
Shareholding structure
• PT Kreatif Media Karya (31.9%)
• API (Hong Kong) Investment Limited (17.4%)
• Archipelago Investment Pte Ltd (12.6%)
• Achmad Zacky Syaifudin (3.76%)
• Others (32.34%)
Board of directors
Muhammad Rachmat Kaimuddin – Chief Executive
Mr Kaimuddin has worked in various industries, including engineering and financial
management. He earned his Bachelor of Science degree from Massachusetts Institute of
Technology and Master of Business Administration degree from Stanford University. He
started his career as a senior associate in the Boston Consulting Group in 2003. Prior to
Bukalapak, he worked in PT Bank Bukopin Tbk as commissioner (2014-18) and director
of finance and planning (2018-20).
Teddy Nuryanto Oetomo – President
Mr Oetomo manages the finance, management, investment, and legal aspects of
Bukalapak. He earned a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Sydney in 2005. Prior
to Bukalapak, Mr Oetomo was the head of equity research for Credit Suisse Indonesia
from 2006 to 2014. After that, he was the head of intermediary business at PT Schroders
Investment Indonesia for three years.
Willix Halim – Chief Operating Officer
Willix oversees Bukalapak’s operations and product management. He graduated from the
University of Melbourne in 2009, majoring in Computer Science and mechatronics. Prior
to Bukalapak, Willix was the senior vice president of growth at Freelancer.com, one of the
biggest startups in Australia, from 2011 to 2016.
Natalia Firmansyah – Chief Financial Officer
Natalia is in charge of Bukalapak’s finances and e-procurement. After graduating from
Trisakti University, she led the finance team in several multinational companies for 17
years. Prior to being the chief financial officer, she was the country chief financial officer.
She is also an active promoter of ‘womenpreneurship’ – women entrepreneurship.
Currently, she leads the Kartini Bukalapak initiative.
Board of commissioners
Bambang Permadi Soemantri Brodjonegoro – President Commissioner and
Independent Commissioner
Bambang, an Indonesian citizen, has been Bukalapak’s president commissioner and
independent commissioner since 2021. Prior to Bukalapak, he was Indonesia’s Minister of
Research and Technology (2019-21), Minister of National Development Planning (2016-
19), Steering board of Economic and Financial Syariah national committee (2014-16), and
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Nomura | Bukalapak 06 August 2021
many more.
Adi Wardhana Sariaatmadja – Commissioner
Adi Wardhana became Bukalapak’s commissioner since 2021. He is currently the
president director of PT Kreatif Media Karya since 2012 and has been serving as the vice
chairman of PT Elang Andalan Nusantara since 2017. He earned his Bachelor of
Commerce from the University of Sydney in 2005. Previously, he was a director at Plan B
Media Pte. Ltd from 2015 to 2017.
Lau Eng Boon – Commissioner
Lau Eng Boon, a Singaporean citizen, has been serving as Bukalapak’s commissioner
since 2019. Currently, he is the Head, Portfolio & Head, TMT & Business Services Global
Investments, Strategy & Risk Private Equity in GIC Limited. Previously, he was the chief
executive officer and president of TELUS International from 2004-09.
Lu Zhang – Commissioner
Lu Zhang, a Chinese citizen, became a commissioner of the company in 2020. He has
been serving as the investment director of the Ant Group since 2014. Previously, he was
a senior manager at Ernst and Young, from 2004 to 2014.
Dra Zannuba Arifah (Yenny Wahid) – Independent Commissioner
Dra Zannuba Arifah became Bukalapak’s independent commissioner in 2021. Currently,
she is also an advisor at Government Counter Violent Extremism, director at The Wahid
Foundation, and an independent commissioner at Garuda Indonesia, and also holds
some leadership positions in other committees and organizations. Previously, she was a
Member of Global Council on Faith at the World Economic Forum in 2009.
Subsidiaries
PT Buka Mitra Indonesia (unlisted): B2B platform for various products, aiming to digitize
the Indonesian conventional markets.
PT Buka Investasi Bersama (unlisted): a technology financial company founded in June
2019.
PT Buka Pengadaan Indonesia (Not Listed): serves as a digital procurement partner.
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Appendix
Appendix A: Merchant fees
Bukalapak
Pelapak Biasa Super Seller
Service Fee None 0.50%
Source: Company data
Tokopedia
Power
Regular Power Official
Merchant
Merchant Merchant Store
Pro
Service Fee 0.50% 1.25% 1.50%
Depends
on
Service Fee (with Free Shipping) 3.00% 2.25% 1.50%
agreement
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Nomura | Bukalapak 06 August 2021
Shopee
Home supplies Gallon pump, stove & gas, chair, portable sealer, regulator.
Camera and drone Lens, lens accessories, camera accessories, camera drone, etc.
Home appliances All products, except light, essential oil, garden chair, chair, sealer
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Nomura | Bukalapak 06 August 2021
Motorcycle Motorcycle Accessories, Ignition & Engine Parts, Fuel Systems, Braking Systems, Shocks, Struts & Motorcycle Suspensions, Batteries &
Accessories, Horns & Accessories, Cables & Hoses, Motorcycle Body & Frames, Motorcycle Mufflers, Wheels, Rims & Accessories, Motorcycle 5%
Tires & Accessories, Motorcycle Lights, Other Motorcycle Parts, Motorcycle Helmets & Accessories,
Dietary Supplements, Medical Devices, Mosquito Repellent, Massage & Therapy Devices 1%
Health Health Other, Adult Diapers, Eye Care, Ear Care, Feminine, Oral Care, Condoms, Lubricants, Performance Support 3%
Hand Sanitizer, Feminine 5%
Mobile, Starter Card, Tablet, Smartwatch & Fitness Tracker, Wearable Accessories, USB Fan, Memory Card, Casting Tool 1%
Walkie Talkie, USB & Mobile Light, Stylus, Powerbank & Battery, Modem 3%
Handphone & Accessories
VR Devices, GPS Trackers, Selfie Accessories, Phone Screen Protectors, Phone Straps & Hangers, Phone Holders, Cellphones & Other
5%
Accessories, Phone Pouches, Phone Lenses, Phone Selfie Flashes & Lights, Cases & Skins, Cables, Chargers & Converters
Amplifier & Mixer, Earphones, Headphones & Headsets, Audio Devices & Speakers, Media Players, Microphones & Accessories 3%
Audio
Audio & Video Cables & Converters 5%
Cameras, Security Cameras, Camera maintenance, Lens Accessories, Lenses 1%
Camera & Drone
Camera Accessories, Drones, Drone Accessories 5%
Dress, Top, Hijab, Bottom, Accessories, Muslim Swimsuit, Mukena, Cap, Prayer Mat, Prayer Equipment Set, Men's Abayas, Trousers, Sarong,
Muslim Fashion Girls Muslim Clothing, Boys Muslim Clothing, Cardigans, Coats, Jackets, Vest, Muslim Sportswear, Other Muslim Fashion, Travel Mukena, Malay 5%
Clothing
Travel & Tourism, Stickers & Coloring Books, Science & Math, Romance, Religion & Philosophy, Cookbooks & Cooking, Psychology &
Relationships, Politics, Law & Social Sciences, Parenting & Family, Other Books & Magazines, Music, Medicine, Dictionary , Hobbies, History &
Culture, Health, Fitness & Diet, Fantasy, Education, Computers & Technology, Comics, Classics Literature, Children's Books, Personal & Career 1%
Books and Magazine Development, Business & Investment, Biography & Memoirs, Baby Books, Audiobooks , Art, Design & Photography, Agriculture, Forestry &
Fisheries, Action, Crime & Thrillers, E-Books
Magazines and newspaper 5%
Ticket, voucher, services Travel & Tour, Event Ticket, Shopee, Shopping, Service, Telco, Food & Beverage, Electricity, Gas & Water, Streaming, Gaming 3%
Body Care, Hand, Foot & Nail Care, Hair Care, Men's Care, Perfumes & Fragrances, Cosmetics, Beauty Tools, Facial Treatments, Beauty
Beauty & Care 5%
Packages & Sets
Watches Women's Watches, Men's Watches, Couple's Watches, Watch Accessories, 5%
Women shoes Boots, Sneakers, Flats, Heels, Wedges, Flip Flops & Other Sandals, Shoe Accessories & Care, Women's Shoes More 5%
Men shoes Boots, Sneakers, Slip-Ons & Mules, Loafers, Oxfords, Sandals Accessories & Shoe Care 5%
Women's Backpacks, Laptop Bags, Clutches, Women's Waist Bags, Tote Bags, Top Handle Bags, Women's Sling & Shoulder Bags, Women's
Women Bag 5%
Wallets, Bag Accessories
Men Bag Men's Backpacks, Laptop Bags, Tote Bags, Briefcases, Clutches, Men's Waist Bags, Men's Sling & Shoulder Bags, Wallets 5%
Baggage and travel bags Luggage, Travel Bags, Travel Accessories, Luggage & Other Travel Bags 5%
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Nomura | Bukalapak 06 August 2021
Lazada
LazMall
Commission 0% 0.9%-4.5%
Payment fee 1.80%
Source: Company data
Blibli
Direct shipment Fulfilment by Blibli
Comission 8% 10%
Source: Company data
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Nomura | Bukalapak 06 August 2021
Mitra Tokopedia
Product Benefits
All Goods IDR1,000 mitra balance per succesful transaction
Mitra Shopee
Product Benefits
Phone Credit Best Price
Data Plan
Mitra Bukalapak
Product Benefits
Wholesale Economical price, can COD, widest coverage area
Phone credit Direct Discounts
Data Plan Direct Discounts
Electricity Token Direct Discounts
Digital Top Up Direct Discounts
Gaming Voucher Complete product selection, low prices, fast processing
Electronic Money Easy balance top-up, direct cashback
Remittances (cash transfer) IDR10.000 cashback
Cash Deposit Easy to savings to Bank Mandiri, fee of only IDR1,200
QRIS Free admin fees, can be from various digital wallets
Postpaid Electricity Bill Cashback up to IDR2,500
BPJS Kesehatan (Health Social Security) Cashback up to IDR1,000
PDAM (Water) Cashback up to IDR1,000
Telkom/Indihome Cashback up to IDR700
Credit Installment Cashback up to IDR7,500
e-Samsat Cashback up to IDR1,000
Penerimaan Negara Only available at Mitra Bukalapak
Gold Savings Cashback up to IDR5,000
Shipping Agent Cashback up to 3%
Millionaire (spending amount) Free shipping up to IDR30,000
Bus Ticket Cashback up to 3%
Train Ticket Cashback up to IDR4,500
Source: Company data
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Nomura | Bukalapak 06 August 2021
Appendix A-1
Analyst Certification
I, Ahmad Maghfur Usman, hereby certify (1) that the views expressed in this Research report accurately reflect my personal views
about any or all of the subject securities or issuers referred to in this Research report, (2) no part of my compensation was, is or will
be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this Research report and (3) no part of my
compensation is tied to any specific investment banking transactions performed by Nomura Securities International, Inc., Nomura
International plc or any other Nomura Group company.
Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) IDR 850 (05-Aug-2021) Buy (Sector rating: N/A)
Chart Not Available
Valuation Methodology We derive our TP of IDR1,620 based on a target EV/GMV of 0.45x on FY23F (pre-monetization phase)
and EV/Sales growth of 0.24x, assuming 71.1% CAGR over 2021-2023 CAGR, translating into 17.1x EV/Sales FY23F (post-
monetization phase), applying 50% weight for both methods. The benchmark index for the stock is JCI Index
Risks that may impede the achievement of the target price We believe that BUKA is still in the expansion phase; thus, negative
cash flow generation should be understandable. Our earnings projections on BUKA show net losses until 2024, which are more
conservative than the co-profit expectation in 2023F. As start-up status, key risks are execution and competition from other e-
commerce companies.
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37
Nomura | Bukalapak 06 August 2021
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Nomura | Bukalapak 06 August 2021
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