Daily demand Probability Cumulative Probability Lower Random Number

0 0.10 0.10 0
10 0.20 0.30 10
20 0.15 0.45 30
30 0.25 0.70 45
40 0.10 0.80 70
50 0.20 1.00 80

Random Experiment

Day Random Number Demand Stock Situation

1 48 30 0
2 78 40 -10
3 19 10 20
4 51 30 0
5 56 30 0
6 77 40 -10
7 15 10 20
8 14 10 20
9 68 30 0
10 9 0 30
Total
Upper Random Number Daily Demand
9 0.00
29 10.00
44 20.00
69 30.00
79 40.00
99 50.00

Average demand 23
 Weekly Receipts Probability Cumulative Probability Lower Random Number
3000 0.2 0.2 0
5000 0.3 0.5 20
7000 0.4 0.9 50
12000 0.1 1 90

Weekly Payments Probability Cumulative Probability Lower Random Number

4000 0.3 0.3 0
6000 0.4 0.7 30
8000 0.2 0.9 70
10000 0.1 1 90
Upper Random Number Weekly Receipts Week Random Number Weekly Receipts
19 3000 1 3 3000
49 5000 2 91 12000
89 7000 3 38 5000
99 12000 4 55 7000
5 17 3000
6 46 5000
7 32 5000
8 43 5000
9 69 7000
10 72 7000
11 24 5000
12 22 5000

Upper Random Number Weekly Payments Week Random Number Weekly Payments
29 4000 1 61 6000
69 6000 2 96 10000
89 8000 3 30 6000
99 10000 4 32 6000
5 3 4000
6 88 8000
7 48 6000
8 28 4000
9 88 8000
10 18 4000
11 71 8000
12 99 10000
Weekly Balance
5000
7000
6000
7000
6000
3000
2000
3000
2000
5000
2000
-3000

3750
 Situation of A Probability Cumulative Probability Lower Random Number
Defect occuring 0.15 0.15 0
Defect not occuring 0.85 1 15

Situation of B Probability Cumulative Probability Lower Random Number

Defect occuring 0.2 0.2 0
Defect not occuring 0.8 1 20

Situation of C Probability Cumulative Probability Lower Random Number

Defect occuring 0.1 0.1 0
Defect not occuring 0.9 1 10

Items Random Number Situation of A Random Number

1 48 Defect not occuring 47
2 55 Defect not occuring 36
3 91 Defect not occuring 57
4 40 Defect not occuring 4
5 93 Defect not occuring 79
6 1 Defect occuring 55
7 83 Defect not occuring 10
8 63 Defect not occuring 13
9 47 Defect not occuring 57
10 52 Defect not occuring 9
 Upper Random Number Situation
14 Defect occuring
99 Defect not occuring

Upper Random Number Situation

19 Defect occuring
99 Defect not occuring

Upper Random Number Situation

9 Defect occuring
99 Defect not occuring

Situation of B Random Number Situation of C

Defect not occuring 82 Defect not occuring
Defect not occuring 95 Defect not occuring
Defect not occuring 18 Defect not occuring
Defect occuring 96 Defect not occuring
Defect not occuring 20 Defect not occuring
Defect not occuring 84 Defect not occuring
Defect occuring 56 Defect not occuring
Defect occuring 11 Defect not occuring
Defect not occuring 52 Defect not occuring
Defect occuring 3 Defect occuring
No. of items scrapped due to A 1
No. of items with no defect 5
Time to rework 165
Selling Price Probability Cumulative Probability Lower Random No. Upper Random No.
4 0.3 0.3 0 29
5 0.5 0.8 30 79
6 0.2 1 80 99

Variable cost Probability Cumulative Probability Lower Random No. Upper Random No.
2 0.1 0.1 0 9
3 0.6 0.7 10 69
4 0.3 1 70 99

Sales volume Probability Cumulative Probability Lower Random No. Upper Random No.
3000 0.2 0.2 0 19
4000 0.4 0.6 20 59
6000 0.1 0.7 60 99

Trials Random No. Paste SpecialRandom No. Selling Price Random No.
1 1 59 5 36
2 7 61 5 43
3 3 92 6 31
4 58 11 4 86
5 68 80 6 89
6 53 27 4 99
7 37 8 4 8
8 42 91 6 56
9 61 34 5 21
10 90 19 4 32
 Selling Price
4
5
6

Variable cost
2
3
4

Sales volume
3000
4000
6000

Paste SpecialRandom No. Variable cost Random no. Paste SpecialRandom No. Sales volume
75 4 8 57 4000
91 4 98 43 4000
95 4 83 47 4000
80 4 95 8 3000
1 2 71 29 4000
25 3 11 33 4000
26 3 31 41 4000
38 3 17 80 6000
88 4 21 64 6000
4 2 98 90 6000
Profit Average profit 2600
-1000
-1000
3000
-5000
11000
-1000
-1000
13000
1000
7000
Direct Labor Cost p.u. Probability Cumulative Probability Lower Random No.
43 0.1 0.1 0
44 0.2 0.3 10
45 0.4 0.7 30
46 0.2 0.9 70
47 0.1 1 90

Random no. for direct

Trials labor cost Paste special random no. Direct labor cost p.u.
1 67 13 44
2 34 80 46
3 68 21 44
4 12 30 45
5 38 29 44
6 29 54 45
7 35 57 45
8 9 19 44
9 7 87 46
10 87 77 46
11 63 65 45
12 3 25 44
13 74 23 44
14 11 91 47
15 39 85 46
16 30 39 45
17 25 5 43
18 93 37 45
19 4 70 46
20 61 66 45
21 71 9 43
22 47 82 46
23 1 22 44
24 92 54 45
25 19 85 46
26 22 40 45
27 31 89 46
28 76 25 44
29 14 26 44
30 77 6 43
31 93 1 43
32 24 57 45
33 28 82 46
34 17 49 45
35 73 37 45
36 66 3 43
37 61 86 46
38 83 97 47
39 89 98 47
40 17 62 45
41 58 39 45
42 51 47 45
43 80 76 46
44 65 15 44
45 59 4 43
46 11 87 46
47 1 90 47
48 12 56 45
49 6 32 45
50 34 48 45
51 39 59 45
52 71 34 45
53 46 90 47
54 71 77 46
55 32 95 47
56 13 93 47
57 7 6 43
58 96 44 45
59 54 15 44
60 55 82 46
61 11 99 47
62 98 34 45
63 20 2 43
64 52 35 45
65 40 35 45
66 33 68 45
67 85 4 43
68 9 91 47
69 77 95 47
70 44 59 45
71 1 80 46
72 49 22 44
73 78 87 46
74 9 72 46
75 52 94 47
76 85 89 46
77 63 41 45
78 52 92 47
79 60 8 43
80 96 95 47
 81 9 0 43
82 65 82 46
83 79 76 46
84 66 48 45
85 93 41 45
86 78 37 45
87 21 26 44
88 54 56 45
89 23 84 46
90 34 67 45
91 73 88 46
92 52 36 45
93 15 73 46
94 63 87 46
95 65 4 43
96 9 2 43
97 46 89 46
98 68 27 44
99 18 70 46
100 53 52 45
Upper Random No. Direct Labor Cost p.u.
9 43
29 44
69 45
89 46
99 47

Random no. for part Random no. for Paste special for
cost Paste special random no. sales volume random no. Profit
83.77 90.04 13711.47 19104.37 1196301.16
92.76 89.84 10675.72 15927.78 802410.46
90.63 88.10 15955.74 13254.94 549517.95
96.44 82.13 13174.50 7450.07 -92055.17
92.22 91.14 20264.08 17640.15 1008557.54
91.49 91.22 17350.33 10921.98 231767.90
90.18 96.38 13132.02 6682.43 -280854.83
84.02 86.93 13025.55 8951.31 56914.24
91.53 94.47 17824.26 10768.53 168727.93
95.79 95.32 14646.81 10658.44 147725.33
93.08 91.66 13308.20 18940.65 1127810.28
95.41 93.80 25820.11 13864.39 541712.88
81.66 92.97 21446.14 19137.58 1143989.06
90.17 83.13 16721.53 18907.06 1247532.26
95.46 85.28 11092.88 16428.55 934029.67
90.49 85.47 13352.69 19204.77 1276296.53
97.72 94.66 16804.43 15756.04 754335.68
83.64 84.87 13545.87 8664.30 32191.70
85.55 85.66 13665.76 16212.31 902427.92
96.37 90.94 19411.76 15890.71 796575.66
98.89 84.74 12256.58 8755.83 61767.89
92.64 80.98 12880.50 13438.20 639711.33
88.89 98.85 13169.44 13959.62 481814.18
93.78 91.78 6635.06 19841.42 1226595.53
89.51 81.93 20965.44 12296.10 488707.03
83.74 91.72 17544.71 16075.63 804913.53
92.29 99.19 16534.30 12150.07 261306.66
95.82 87.04 12186.84 15685.40 850276.16
98.20 97.84 8336.76 9574.19 25978.26
90.27 95.02 11267.18 18712.17 1076601.52
80.08 83.82 6238.79 11686.07 427771.94
99.16 93.39 16691.76 19723.20 1181631.02
95.51 91.50 12691.36 14798.27 650056.45
88.39 94.67 17666.73 15625.87 708401.54
85.67 88.11 23713.35 18694.29 1166421.03
92.72 95.59 17445.37 17796.70 964946.94
94.28 88.04 18515.38 17542.75 1016658.62
96.57 82.54 12196.43 7617.16 -90078.48
84.74 92.80 10315.19 17639.54 926306.16
99.18 99.95 19371.83 21637.88 1251401.85
81.87 95.75 8893.90 15715.42 701161.47
97.74 88.19 13593.76 12287.47 423021.31
87.69 85.59 15506.68 12975.59 523450.46
86.51 84.07 13117.91 14329.14 732838.91
81.31 97.74 13015.65 17578.84 903126.02
81.90 89.94 14481.59 14488.19 638021.11
98.23 80.09 16017.80 12087.14 473514.33
94.10 97.50 15224.70 12669.21 349274.67
89.55 96.31 17958.92 17133.99 845206.28
90.07 89.55 10381.65 18477.38 1114655.27
93.79 93.01 13415.85 16627.70 845485.07
89.75 88.24 6684.83 9170.29 61533.82
94.08 87.38 19873.09 7265.96 -167188.87
80.48 93.77 20234.86 15581.04 701871.69
89.49 84.82 9320.35 11753.21 377204.50
96.33 87.42 12403.11 12555.86 438694.77
97.63 88.22 14059.36 15127.89 781745.93
91.92 87.30 7698.97 17295.64 1018372.89
82.68 82.99 9448.33 13496.24 646676.09
84.22 93.21 19567.34 19093.05 1096176.33
87.57 91.43 9600.46 12600.12 393172.40
94.00 90.74 10717.49 15554.48 761760.35
99.96 89.24 13932.07 20518.20 1395758.63
97.28 85.72 14527.44 14488.78 713777.31
89.10 98.95 15394.59 15912.06 671567.70
81.78 97.74 14217.06 22905.72 1433951.03
90.18 80.91 14987.20 15298.90 913771.28
89.11 80.89 20613.65 15065.71 824554.77
81.24 86.11 798.88 19013.34 1203419.23
83.51 85.69 10204.28 13772.05 629339.30
85.21 81.56 16934.08 19419.53 1358366.30
90.57 97.22 14906.74 11522.76 241870.81
98.57 91.64 19097.58 17347.07 931854.29
97.35 96.97 22090.59 17234.66 827343.77
98.93 96.45 18014.85 10188.16 75316.72
95.98 91.80 15963.55 11495.61 278366.98
91.31 83.97 17033.88 19354.04 1323099.69
95.13 95.29 15966.62 19192.83 1048026.08
80.53 83.54 15611.47 6043.90 -259838.24
98.79 89.53 10040.66 10394.49 169095.17
90.59 83.54 9184.26 9825.59 203192.60
91.62 96.66 13481.05 21304.60 1265497.85
96.70 92.25 14446.84 13496.51 494698.29
97.91 94.99 18763.89 11652.30 270249.13
87.43 80.29 25060.41 16397.10 1028497.21
83.72 90.84 19237.95 11937.19 350769.93
83.10 94.53 18871.85 13791.17 523573.46
95.40 88.86 9693.13 8213.00 -54329.16
85.20 89.08 20032.08 22094.36 1516891.93
90.01 91.15 11487.47 18739.07 1114748.02
89.20 88.32 8595.17 13178.93 511320.70
92.70 85.61 12176.93 15098.42 787459.68
82.69 89.76 15676.65 7495.80 -151155.54
87.28 94.94 19546.45 15740.77 700912.00
95.35 82.01 12581.78 14936.30 851896.58
88.13 83.21 20768.76 9113.82 119115.68
95.63 89.03 9726.69 14536.41 656726.51
98.04 97.50 16955.09 11673.67 254953.23
90.48 89.36 16220.06 16212.23 842359.50
80.93 83.92 9674.24 11856.23 423721.34
Average profit 658176.18
Standard deviation 430461.643
Minimum profit -280854.83
Maximum profit 1516891.93
Number of losses 7
Probability of loss 0.07
C.P. of each fan 75
S.P. of each fan 125
Profit of each fan 50
Inventory holding cost 15
Shortage cost 30

Random no. for Paste special

Month demand random no. Profit
1 128.84 69.71 3030.99
2 116.18 80.17 3711.36 Average profit 4232.43
3 92.31 116.38 4508.63
4 122.56 121.80 4346.06
5 58.87 88.38 4244.43
6 111.29 64.37 2684.24
7 133.01 93.50 4577.64
8 97.49 115.78 4526.63
9 83.82 103.88 4883.48
10 97.88 99.45 4964.14
11 120.76 102.22 4933.35
12 75.47 83.78 3945.40
13 104.98 57.98 2268.84
14 81.15 120.87 4373.92
15 80.74 81.33 3786.16
16 108.86 81.19 3777.13
17 92.85 112.71 4618.62
18 82.56 106.55 4803.56
19 118.55 95.42 4702.36
20 95.10 117.86 4464.05
21 103.31 74.00 3309.78
22 82.57 98.01 4870.85
23 96.12 93.73 4592.71
24 89.75 115.92 4522.37
25 141.24 129.21 4123.70
26 131.19 128.21 4153.72
27 100.04 81.25 3781.20
28 120.90 120.98 4370.54
29 107.51 97.58 4842.49
30 99.38 73.65 3287.06
31 136.26 85.78 4075.58
32 92.69 83.08 3900.12
33 127.72 90.45 4379.12
34 90.70 67.86 2910.67
35 70.39 104.05 4878.40
36 113.64 105.30 4840.86
37 100.39 74.89 3368.05
38 75.41 106.64 4800.78
39 154.16 76.31 3460.25
40 104.72 96.32 4761.05
41 97.47 151.17 3464.88
42 123.50 93.06 4549.04
43 129.72 111.84 4644.93
44 82.83 70.71 3096.35
45 74.52 102.84 4914.90
46 76.61 80.41 3726.66
47 124.37 106.92 4792.50
48 67.69 76.64 3481.43
49 105.12 104.96 4851.08
50 102.00 107.42 4777.51
51 127.91 99.33 4956.62
52 110.21 79.19 3647.43
53 136.97 91.40 4440.83
54 96.85 59.13 2343.58
55 132.02 109.87 4703.78
56 116.93 79.33 3656.53
57 121.58 80.64 3741.60
58 109.91 103.70 4888.91
59 83.50 111.75 4647.56
60 106.00 114.87 4553.94
61 100.24 94.10 4616.31
62 102.41 75.49 3406.94
63 122.58 102.20 4934.09
64 118.84 131.47 4055.93
65 147.36 134.06 3978.16
66 78.38 98.36 4893.10
67 125.04 88.35 4243.06
68 74.73 100.52 4984.38
69 79.29 95.80 4726.96
70 109.81 97.97 4867.78
71 107.51 60.48 2431.31
72 124.20 95.89 4732.71
73 128.20 95.30 4694.74
74 105.00 91.49 4446.67
75 94.12 105.89 4823.21
76 116.31 104.05 4878.62
77 101.16 101.87 4943.80
78 48.76 109.84 4704.75
79 59.44 101.44 4956.87
80 114.65 103.09 4907.28
81 120.02 101.26 4962.31
82 119.73 142.60 3722.07
 83 89.90 99.74 4983.10
84 73.87 81.62 3805.43
85 103.43 58.35 2293.07
86 134.80 119.11 4426.69
87 117.40 105.06 4848.22
88 109.42 121.08 4367.53
89 116.12 149.61 3511.64
90 88.14 107.98 4760.74
91 101.28 124.02 4279.34
92 82.38 89.80 4336.97
93 117.27 91.80 4467.10
94 95.70 76.36 3463.56
95 117.39 77.08 3510.21
96 89.42 114.69 4559.45
97 125.90 80.02 3701.37
98 130.79 85.04 4027.81
99 98.01 98.17 4880.74
100 88.66 82.29 3848.69