Professional Documents
Culture Documents
26 April 2021
Abstract
explored and ideal methods of implementation are analyzed for viability in emissions reduction
capabilities and economic feasibility. With an ultimate goal of limiting global warming to 1.5°C,
a single, overly narrow approach to addressing climate change on the global scale severely
reduces the probability of achieving such an essential impact, thus necessitating change on
multiple fronts. Natural climate solutions were found to reduce CO2 emissions by an impactful
management of lumber resources, efficient nitrogen based fertilizer usage, biochar fuel usage,
data-driven optimization of grazing farmland, rice residue management, and wetland and
peatland preservation, for a total of 14.08 GtCO2/yr emissions reduction. Technological climate
solutions included a 25%/35% global electrical energy generation split between solar
photovoltaic and wind energy required a significant initial investment of $9.1-$14 trillion and
sizable land requirements of 3.3 million km2, while reducing CO2 emissions by 27.0 GtCO2/yr.
Social changes and enactment of policy including food waste reduction, climate change
infrastructure, and the introduction of additional public works programs were found to reduce
change were projected to reduce emissions by 51.4 GtCO2/yr, . Despite a wide variety of
obstacles which arise from a multifaceted approach, the potential of achieving a 50 GtCO2
reduction by 2050 was found to drastically increase, along with the additional benefit of a
Introduction
Since WWII the planet has seen unprecedented change. Amazing new technologies and
an increasingly connected world have seen historic decreases in global poverty and increases in
global welfare. [1] Climate change is an existential threat to this progress. It promises a period
characterized by extreme weather events, crop failures, mass displacement of climate refugees,
and a sharp decline in biodiversity, resulting in intense political and economic insecurity.
Fortunately, the 20th century provides a model through which these dire consequences
can be avoided. Properly addressing climate change will require a mobilization of global
resources akin to that of WWII. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), a
United Nations body tasked with evaluating climate science, reported that although limiting
warming to 1.5°C is possible, it would require significant transitions in all aspects of society. [2]
Mitigating the consequence of climate change is a difficult task requiring the resources of WWII.
Yet unlike WWII there are no losers. Rather, all nations benefit and the resources committed are
used for generation rather than destruction. A concerted global response is required that will as
the IPCC stated will require “significant transitions”. [2] The transitions as a result of climate
change however are far more destructive and require a comprehensive approach. There is no
“golden bullet” to solve climate change but rather through a variety of natural, technological, and
social innovations we can ensure a safe future for the planet and usher in a new era of
responsible prosperity.
Methods
certainty, we set a goal of 1.5°C total warming which allows for a greatly reduced impact
compared to 2.0°C. This would require a reduction of roughly 30 GtCO2/yr by 2030 and 50
GtCO2/yr by 2050 [2]. Furthermore we attempted to reduce the spending required to achieve
these climate goals by limiting spending to $100/tCO2eq . Based on these qualifications, social
and natural solutions were determined based on pricing and carbon reduction figures determined
through literature research. Similarly, we propose solar PV and wind energy to make up our
technological climate solutions, determining the installed capacity needed as well as calculating
a holistic approach is necessary. NCS represents a relatively inexpensive, short term mitigation
strategy that can be employed while technological solutions are refined or social solutions
mature to their mitigation potential. In particular family planning and female education offer
strong carbon reduction potential but will take multiple decades to fully mature. In order to avoid
extensive use of expensive carbon capture, including direct air capture, immediate action is
required with NCS representing a key tentpole of near future carbon mitigation due to a
In order to maximize the effect of NCS, we recommend a linear increase in the various
NCS techniques described to 2030. This will ensure saturation of the techniques employed while
maintaining $100/tCO2eq. or lower. This gradual but motivated rollout will allow us to nearly
meet the emission reductions set by 2030 while also allowing food, lumber, and fiber markets to
disruption. It also importantly allows for these industries to meet the projected demand of an
increasing population [5]. Ultimately these recommendations look to balance increased land use
Forests possess the largest amount of low cost mitigation, a 5.654 GtCO2/yr reduction.
Targeted reforestation represents the largest portion of this reduction with a projected 3.311
based on land use rather than cost. Due to their negative albedo contributions, boreal forests were
excluded from reforestation. [6] Aforestation was also studied and at $100/tCO2 result in a 1.816
GtCO2/yr emission reduction with a maximum of 3.603 GtCO2/yr with boreal forests once again
being exempted. These forestation efforts would largely be targeted at Brazil, Southeast Asia,
and The Congo and represent 342 Mha of new forests. (Appendix A: Figure 1, Figure 2) This
would require a strong regulatory framework, accurate and transparent federal monitoring, and
key supply chain interventions in order to be successful with Brazil’s actions in the 2010’s
further reduces emissions. These practices along with reforestation would also offset lumber
losses arising from the aforementioned avoided forest conversion. These practices must include
expanded logging rotation cycles to maximize yield while increasing carbon stocks, expansion of
reduced impact logging, and improved land tenure. New international regulatory requirements,
including certification, would need to be implemented and enforced but would also result in a
Also while it does not directly reduce emissions, fire management should be expanded to
include more prescribed burns for temperate forests in the U.S. and Europe, the establishment of
fire breaks between pasturelands and tropical rainforests in South America and southeast Asia,
and early season burns in the African savannah to mitigate the threat of larger, more devastating
fires. [8]
Improved management of cropland inputs offers the largest low cost mitigation potential
of any agricultural strategy researched. This is primarily achieved through the reduction of
excessive fertilizer use through better management of the timing, placement, and form of
fertilizer used. This would be achieved through a cap and trade modeled system for fertilizer to
incentivize responsible nitrogen use, natural fertilizer use, and innovation in nitrogen reduction.
[9] Other effective techniques to reduce emissions are the use of cover crops during fallow
periods [10] and silvopasture, where trees are planted in croplands when it does not negatively
impact output. These trees can be utilized as windbreaks, integrated into existing farmland with
alley cropping, and used in farmer managed natural regeneration (FMNR). This practice of
scattered tree planting has seen great success in Africa for improving yield, soil equality and
preventing erosion. [11] Cumulatively these farming techniques are estimated to reduce
of pyrolysis this residue can be used to increase soil carbon stocks providing an avenue of
Furthermore this maximum might be increased through projected efficiency increases as the
In addition to crop agriculture, data driven optimization can also be used to reduce
pasture based emission through intensity optimization shifting grazing from overgrazed to
undergrazed areas. Additional low cost solutions include incentivizing the planting of legumes in
planted grazing areas and cereal based food stock for animal protein cultivation. This would have
the dual benefit of increased productivity (decreased land use) as well as reduced emissions from
practices also be funded and developed, most notably research into improved genetics and
reproductive performance in order to further increase production and reduce land use in the cattle
industry. [14] These actions would result in an estimated 0.263 GtCO2/yr emission reduction as
well as improving animal welfare. Certification with independent oversight before allowing
Due to its importance in the global food supply rice cultivation improvements seem
integral to agriculture climate reform. Currently, rice residue and improvements to fertilization
may reduce emissions by a modest 0.08 GtCO2/yr. However continued research into techniques
such as midseason drainage and alternate wetting and drying possess potential for further climate
reduction. [15]
Wetland preservation also presents a promising avenue for carbon abatement but is
dependent on reducing impact rather than restoring wetlands to meet cost criteria. This would
Additionally improvements in land tenure especially in mangrove forests are required to reduce
emissions. An immediate moratorium on mangrove displacement for charcoal production and
shrimp farming is essential. By doing so a projected 0.182 GtCO2/yr can be mitigated. [16]
provided to encourage palm oil plantation sourcing to non peatland areas. Furthermore, unlike
wetlands, a limited program of peatland restoration should also be enacted in low cost areas
through a combination of rewetting as well as planting of native species. [17] Through these
Altogether potential emission reductions total 14.08 GtCO2/yr with land use constraints
and 23.73 being possible when unconstrained by land use. However a high degree of certainty
exists due to a lack of data in scaling to the levels described and represent a conservative
therefore represent a comprehensive but flexible starting plan that should be adapted as
uncertainty ranges decrease. One last caveat is that many of the activities described will reach
saturation between 2050-2100 and therefore a shift to other technological and social strategies
relationship with our planet and our role as its caretaker and develops sustainable yet profitable
fiber, food and forestry markets over unsustainable exploitation of natural resources. These
improvements also have a wide variety of benefits to air, water, soil, and biodiversity (Table 1)
which though difficult to quantify are likely to reduce health costs further reducing relative
carbon mitigation costs. Despite these advantages, resistance to change is likely to arise and
Industry push back is likely as the proposals will result in a move away from short
sighted profit driven agricultural practices to a more sustainable model. Corporate food suppliers
will likely try to externalize these new costs to consumers and price fixing may be required.
Furthermore smaller farmers may require subsidies to prevent food monopolies from forming in
the transition.
To meet global food demand while simultaneously allowing for the land use required by
these recommendations also requires a roughly 20% decrease in meat consumption globally
which would largely be absorbed by western nations and especially the U.S. The social
opposition will likely be strong but may partially be mitigated by a public health campaign.
Current data suggests that the environmental and animal cruelty arguments towards meat
outreach should be considered both in the U.S as well as rapidly developing international
markets. [14].
wealthier nations likely contributing the necessary capital and poorer nations contributing land
use. The threat to stability however is a global issue, requiring collective action as well as
collective sacrifice. NCS provides temporary relief to the climate challenge but requires the
As of 2020, global GHG emissions totaled up to approximately 50 GtCO2 equiv per year,
a value which has constantly increased as growth in sectors such as energy use in industry
(24.2%), agriculture (18.4%), and transportation (16.2%) drastically expand. [18] As we proceed
towards a net zero emissions future, it is of utmost importance to account for subsequent growth
of energy consumption in the next several decades. In rapidly developing countries around the
world, energy demands are expected to grow at an average rate of 3%, as compared to 0.9%
growth throughout industrialized countries. [19] Historically, developing countries have typically
used their domestic energy to produce and export products to other countries; however, the last
15 years has seen developing countries push towards usage of additional energy in favor of the
domestic consumption of goods and services. [20] As a result, energy demands at the global level
have increased to unprecedented amounts in the 21st century. [20] Due to the drastic increase in
global energy usage occurring at present times, it is necessary to transition towards renewable
energy technologies which are presently available. We propose the scale up of the two most
prominent and readily available renewable technologies, solar photovoltaic and wind energy,
such that an impact on the reduction of global CO2 emissions can occur as soon as possible,
gradually replacing the fossil fuel industry for electricity production by 2050.
In achieving our climate goal of net-zero emissions by 2050, we may look at worldwide
thereby delivering significant carbon emissions reduction. Solar power uses energy from the sun
to be converted into thermal or electrical energy, proving to be a clean and abundant renewable
source of energy. The world has added more photovoltaic (PV) capacity since 2010 than in the
previous decades, where the global solar PV capacity reached 629 GW by the end of 2019. [21]
Although solar energy is promising for its zero GHG emissions and environmental
impact, GHG emissions from manufacturing and production of solar panels should also be
accounted for. These emissions are a consequence of using energy from fossil fuels to produce
solar cell materials, as well as production and manufacturing facilities. [22] Previous studies on
estimated GHG emissions of 39-110 g CO2-equiv/kWh. [22] Other estimates for CO2 produced
from manufacturing would be around 50 g CO2/kWh. [23] The estimated energy payback time
(EPBT), or the time it takes for the PV system to generate the amount of energy that was used
towards production, would be 3-6 years. [22] That is, in this amount of time, these solar systems
generate as much energy that was used for the initial production and installation.
In our goal of meeting the necessary CO2 emission reductions by 2050, we propose that
the share of solar PV systems to global electricity generation be 25%, previously only 2.1% in
the year 2019. [24] The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects the global
electricity generation in 2050 to be 45 trillion kWh [25], 25 percent of which would be 1.125×
1013 kWh. From this value, we are able to estimate the cumulative solar PV installed capacity
needed by 2050. The specific yield will be used as the performance metric for the solar PV
system, which gives the ratio (kWh/kW) of the total annual energy produced to the installed
capacity, and is helpful for comparing different locations and engineering designs of PV systems.
Multiple factors are to be considered for determining the electricity production of a PV system,
including degradation of its nameplate capacity over its lifetime, and uncertainty from
an average estimation of the specific yield with consideration of these given factors would be
1377 kWh/kWp (kilowatt-hour/kilowatts peak). [26] This allows us to perform the following
systems will generate enough electricity to make up 25% of the total world electricity generation.
Under the assumption that this increase in the share of PV systems in electricity generation
replaces electricity generation from coal-fired plants, the amount of CO2 emission avoided may
be calculated using the basis that 1 kg CO2-eq is emitted per kWh of energy produced by a
Such a large scale deployment of solar energy to achieve an ambitious carbon emission
reduction goal may pose concern on its significant land use. The International Renewable Energy
Agency (IRENA) provides a solar PV outlook to 2050, projecting that of the total solar PV
capacity, 60% would be utility-scale, and the remaining 40% distributed (rooftop). [27] At the
utility scale, 60% of the proposed installed capacity (8200 GW) equates to approximately 99,600
to 199,000 sq. km of land use (Appendix B). This was determined on the basis that a utility-scale
solar power plant of 1 MW of generating capacity requires 5-10 acres of land. [28] While
daunting, land that is currently unused and neither has much potential for other productive use
may be suitable for solar energy installations, such as deserts and dry scrublands. Solar Energy
Industries Association (SEIA) also reports that the expansion of utility-scale solar installations
do not pose a significant risk to agricultural land loss in the face of concerns with potential
competition between solar and agricultural land use. [29] Furthermore, with an increase in panel
and space efficiency brought by technological advances, total land use may be less than
projected.
Costs associated with solar PV systems may also raise doubts in its installation and
large-scale deployment. Based on SEIA’s national average cost figures in Q1 2020, solar farm
installations can range from $0.82 to $1.36 per watt across market segments, including
residential, non-residential, and utility-scale solar. [30] This equates to $6.7-$11 trillion in
installation cost alone for the proposed 8200 GW cumulative solar PV installed capacity by 2050
(Appendix B). However, IRENA reports solar PV installation costs to decline from now to 2050.
At a national level in the U.S., there has been a 66% to 84% decline in the average cost of
utility-scale solar PV projects from 2010 to 2018, while other nations including Germany,
France, China, and Italy witnessed a similar reduction of 70-80%. [27] Such rapid decline in
installation costs sets solar PV to be among the cheapest sources of power by 2050, accompanied
by the estimate that the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) will fall between USD 0.08/kWh and
Wind
energy at scale is production of electricity from wind energy. Wind energy is harvested using
wind turbines, which convert the kinetic energy of air into a usable and storable form as
electricity. There are variations on the design of the wind turbine with the purpose of maximizing
efficiency based on operating conditions, including number of blades and orientation of the
rotational axis, as well as more subtle changes such as structural design and control systems. [31]
Estimates state that 20% of the global wind power potential could supply up to 123
petawatt-hours of electricity every year, accounting for approximately 7 times the global
electricity consumption, as of 2009. [32] Solely based on wind power potential estimates, wind
energy has the ability to completely replace nonrenewable energy resources, including future
amount of open space land required to implement wind turbines at the proper scale. At the
6
required global scale, it is estimated that a total of 3.20 × 10 sq. km of land is required to
accomodate wind turbines. [33,34] Despite the massive land figure required for wind farms,
wind turbines themselves take up less than 1% of the actual land area, allowing installation on
Furthermore, offshore wind farms offer an alternative in instances where land use is a
concern. Offshore wind offers land-constrained regions the ability to establish wind farms with
near zero impact on land availability. The implementation of offshore wind farms are therefore
ideal for islands and regions adjacent to the ocean. It is important to note the cost disadvantage of
offshore wind energy compared to onshore wind energy. The deployment of offshore wind farms
requires additional construction, maintenance, and extended electrical network costs beyond
those of their onshore analogues. [36] The economic impact is most evident in the levelized cost
of electricity (LCOE) between the two implementations, with onshore wind having a lower
LCOE value at $60-90 /MWh as compared to $120 /MWh for offshore. [36] According to
IRENA, the LCOE of both onshore and offshore wind is expected to drop to $20-30 /MWh and
$30-70 /MWh, respectively, by 2050. [38] The option of onshore or offshore wind offers greater
versatility than other technologies, both renewable and nonrenewable, as each strategy can be
Wind energy is a near net-zero emissions technology of energy generation, with the only
source of CO2 emissions arising from the manufacturing of wind turbines. [35] The
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) 2018 reports GHG emissions of 8-20g
CO2-equiv./kWh for wind energy in total. [37] Wind turbines generate sufficient energy to offset
the energy costs of manufacturing, installation, future maintenance, and decommissioning in the
first 3-6 months of operation and have an estimated lifetime of 20-25 years, giving wind energy
the lowest lifecycle emissions of any other energy generation technology. [35]
To achieve a total of 86% global renewable energy generation and significantly reduce
Energy Agency (IRENA), we propose that wind energy make up 35% of the total global
electricity generation by 2050. [38] As of 2018, wind energy accounted for just above 5% of the
necessary. [39] Based on EIA projections for electricity demand in 2050, a total of 1.575×1013
kWh of electricity should be produced by wind turbines to maintain a 35% wind energy goal.
[25] The amount of CO2 emissions avoided once the 35% goal has been achieved was calculated,
In order to achieve such a remarkable value of CO2 abatement within the next several
decades, significant investment is required to establish both onshore and offshore wind farms
with a sufficient number of wind turbines. The average capacity of wind turbines introduced as
of 2020 is 2 MW for onshore turbines and 3-5 MW for offshore turbines, while some
commercially available wind turbines have achieved capacities of up to 8 MW. [40] In this
analysis, a capacity of 2.75 MW was selected to account for usage of both onshore and offshore
wind energy. From the average capacity of each wind turbine, the number of wind turbines
The most significant cost associated with wind energy is the capital costs from the initial
installation of the wind turbines, grid connections, and road construction, accounting for nearly
80% of the total costs over the lifetime of the wind farms. [41] Capital costs, which take into
account the aforementioned factors, are approximately $1323-1683 /kW (converted from euros).
[41] To achieve the 35% wind energy goal in 2050, a total investment of $2.4-3.0 trillion (see
IRENA predicts that capital costs of establishing wind farms will continuously decrease through
the year 2050, driving capital costs to likely fall below current estimates. [38]
LCOE - 2030
Global Electricity Capital Costs projected Land Usage CO2 Reductions
Technology Generation (USD) (per kWh) (sq. km) (GtCO2/yr)
Solar PV 25% $6.7-$11 trillion $0.02-0.08 [27] 99,600 11.25
$0.03 (onshore) [38]
Wind 35% $2.4-$3.0 trillion $0.05 (offshore) [38] 3.2 × 106 15.75
Based on our analysis, significant scale up of both solar PV and wind energy is necessary
to drastically decrease CO2 emissions to 27.0 GtCO2 by 2050, solely from a technological
standpoint. Despite cost and land availability barriers, a diversified approach including both solar
and wind energy based on localized requirements is definitely feasible appropriate planning and
funding.
A shift towards solar PV and wind energy inevitably leads to questions about energy
consumption at peak hours, when solar and wind energy cannot keep up with demand and thus
voltage fluctuations may arise. To counteract situations in which supply cannot meet demand,
sufficient storage is necessary to offset energy requirements during peak hours. Many
technologies are currently being explored as a means of energy storage, including thermal,
compressed air energy storage (CAES), pumped hydroelectric storage (PHS), and advanced
battery energy storage (ABES) technologies. [42] Of these readily available storage technologies,
ABES offers the highest degree of flexibility and efficiency. In particular, lithium-ion battery
technology offers high energy density, energy efficiency, and long cycle life relative to other
battery technologies, such as lead-acid and nickel-based, making them ideal candidates for
grid-level energy storage. [43] The modularity of battery technologies facilitates distribution of
energy storage throughout all types of regions throughout the world. [43] As a result, lithium-ion
battery storage offers a readily available solution, able to compensate for power draw
propose the implementation and expansion of a smart grid. Renewable energy sources are
typically located in remote locations, due to their land requirements, while most of the energy
demand is allocated toward urban and residential areas. [44] The widespread usage of smart
grids, alongside storage technologies, allows for significant manipulation of power distribution
as required to meet energy usage fluctuations. The widespread implementation of a smart grid is
estimated to reduce CO2 emissions by up to 18% through both direct and indirect means. [45]
The combination of energy storage and smart grids complement the variability and intermittent
Mitigating existing policy barriers are also necessary for the scale-up and deployment of
solar PV and wind power in the coming decades. Currently, issues arise from time-consuming
Renewable electricity standards (RESs) are regulatory mandates for utility companies to source a
certain amount of energy generated or sold from renewable sources like wind and solar within a
given area [46]. As such, designating wind and solar set-asides within a country’s RESs are
necessary for providing a market signal that the nation is prioritizing deployment of these
Consideration of project size, land use, as well as location also allows policymakers to provide
better guidelines for large scale wind and solar plants, further ensuring that their deployment
does not impact agricultural and other productive land use. Additionally, Feed-in-tariffs (FITs)
refer to a payment for surplus electricity fed into the supply grid from a renewable energy source
such as wind and solar [48]. FIT implementation programs may then encourage the adoption of
renewable energy technologies in its ability to provide market certainty and offer long-term
Climate change, together with its results, has increased harmingly to the point that it can
not be ignored. With the alarming rate that is present, technological innovation and natural
reductions are not enough to suffice it. The international community and every individual must
be able to take concerted action and change social behaviors if the desire to control the negative
outcomes of climate change is wanted. With every change of habits and action done by both an
individual, and organizations, collectively together substantial changes can be made to shift the
course of global release of greenhouse gases and carbon dioxide. For this proposal brief, we
theorized that social changes and behaviors are significantly important to aid the reduction of our
One of the most effective solutions to stop climate change is to reduce food waste. CO2
emission from food waste is greater than yearly emissions of most countries in the world,
excluding China and the USA. [49] Up to 35% of the foods produced are wasted along with the
energies used to produce and transport the products among the high-income households. [50] As
a result, around 3.3 billion tonnes of CO2 is wasted every year. [50] Global social movement is
essential to reduce the GHG emission effectively such as stopping the overproduction of food.
Cereals generate food waste significantly more and have the highest carbon footprint percentage
among the commodities: 25% of the total wastage and above 30% of the carbon footprint. [49]
Therefore, focusing on the production rate of cereals and other overproduced foods can help to
reduce the emission by 1.4 billion tonnes of CO2 every year. [50]
To accelerate the global action to eradicate the effects of climate change, school
education must emphasize more on the result that climate change has brought upon us. The
survey of middle school and high school educators around the U.S. said that about 42% of them
teach the students about climate change and about half of them teach without scientific
reasonings. [51] Giving a clear and proper education about climate change is essential for both
current and future generations in order to achieve sustainable development. According to the
World Bank’s analysis, the absence of 12 years of schooling can result in up to 5 children per
woman in developing countries. Family planning and education can increase welfare, reduce
poverty, and slow down population growth which can yield environmental sustainability. [52]
The UN estimates that the population will reach 9.7 billion by 2050 and it can be larger without
proper family planning. [52] These actions also have the potential to reduce our carbon
Water efficient housing can be one of the highest potential solutions that can reduce GHG
emissions. Water usages can be significantly reduced by changing the showerheads, taps, toilets
and appliances that use less water and reduce the energy consumption of water heaters. [54]
Also, considering insulation, lighting can improve the energy efficiency of the housing and
The last major solution would be to encourage society to adopt plant-based diets. Cattle,
as mentioned by project drawdown, would be the world's third largest emitter if they were a
country. [56] And if about half of the world's population eats a plant-centric diet, a decrease of
around 2.2 gigatonnes of CO2 emissions per year is achievable, even if they are not vegetarians
or vegans. [57] This approach encourages consumers to reduce their desire for these foods, and
The final approaches are all on a much smaller scale than the previous ones, but they are
equally significant. Improving transportation infrastructure, for example, has the potential to
decrease pollution by 0.87 gigatonnes a year over the course of our plan. Increasing cycling
facilities, making more benefits for carpooling, creating cleaner and faster mass transportation,
and improving car fuel efficiency are all examples of this. Many of these solutions are more
easily enforceable by governments in response to societal pressures and desires, and they should
be emphasized for a sustainable future. In particular, rising car efficiency is now a priority with
yearly targets, with increased efficiency rates expected in the United States under the Biden
administration.
The technological scale-up outlined here is made possible by a policy context that is
similarly practicable. Economies of scale would reduce the levelized cost of wind and solar
without the need for subsidies (Figure 3). This portfolio then heavily relies on a broad
carbon-free energy standard, similar to California's SB 100, that will rise linearly from present
levels to 100 percent in 2050. Governments can order energy providers to withdraw from their
fossil fuel supplies without having to invest vast sums of money on prohibitively costly climate
solutions. Demand response technologies (such as energy storage) and grid expansion would be
included in this regulation, which will speed up the deployment of wind and solar. Increased
transmission, preferably through national or even global HVDC networks, will be the most direct
policy interference in this mechanism. [58] These massive public works programs will help to
unite the world in the quest to achieve net zero emission, both literally and figuratively.
Conclusion
We aim to achieve not only our target of net zero emissions by 2050 through our climate
strategy, but also to build a more sustainable future. We do so by offering a cost-effective and
long-term portfolio of climate solutions that serve as the beginning of a greener global economy
and community. This should ensure that enough time and money are allocated to implementing
these significant reforms and developments. Technological breakthrough, social revolution, and
nature itself have been and will continue to be the three primary drivers of transformation in the
world (Appendix A: Figure 4). With this combination of climate solutions, we estimate
approximately 51.4 GtCO2-eq/yr in carbon emissions reduction, meeting our 2050 goal. Looking
forward, further attempts should be made towards segmenting all carbon mitigation targets
(natural, technological, and social solutions) into pre-2030, as not meeting our 2030 CO2
emissions reduction goal may result in a small overshoot of global warming before reaching our
1.5°C target in 2050. There is a general lack of information on how this temporary overheating
might affect the planet however by expanding natural climate solutions (NCS) to
$115/tCO2eq-$120/tCO2eq it should be possible to meet the original 2030 target. The goals of
this research warrant rapid and far-reaching change, and this ambitious approach recognizes that
in order to combat one of humanity's most challenging problems yet, all three would have to
work together in the same direction. We will effectively minimize the carbon emissions of
electricity generation and storage by bolstering solar and wind power with expansive technical
advancement, reverse some of the harm we've caused by using natural sinks and give back to
nature, and continue to aspire for a better society through collective movement and concerted
responses.
Appendix A
Figure 1. Map of maximum reforestation possible based on land use. Hues indicate density,
numbers indicate TgCO2e/yr [2]
Figure 2. Map of maximum avoided forest conversion possible based on land use. Hues indicate
density, numbers indicate TgCO2e/yr [2]
Figure 3: Predicted costs of least expensive sources of electricity production in
business-as-usual and net-zero scenarios. All costs depicted are unsubsidized. The drop in PV
and wind cost occurs exclusively due to a carbon-free mandate.
Adapted from data provided by [45] Energy Policy Solutions
Figure 4(a): Breakdown of climate solutions (natural, technological, and social) in this portfolio
by percentage of GtCO2eq/yr emission reductions in 2050.
Figure 4(b): A complete breakdown of all climate solutions (natural, technological, and social)
in this portfolio by percentage of GtCO2eq/yr emission reductions in 2050.
Mitigation Strategy Air Water Soil Biodiversity
Overgrazing results in a
Reduced water use for Lessens insect diversity
Grazing (Intensity) reduction in the soils ability
grazing loss from overgrazing
to trap contaminants
Improved Rice
Reduced water use
Growing
Cross-system nutrient
Reduction in airborne Serves as a key nutrient
Avoided Wetland Value in waste water transfer to coral reefs and
pollutants and source to commercially
Impacts treatment protection of coastal
particulates important fish and shrimp
systems
Table 1. Carbon dioxide unrelated Improvements to air, water, soil, biodiversity based on
mitigation strategy
Appendix B
3 10 𝑎𝑐𝑟𝑒𝑠 1 𝑠𝑞. 𝑘𝑚
High estimate: 0. 6 (8200 × 10 𝑀𝑊) × 1 𝑀𝑊
× 247.105 𝑎𝑐𝑟𝑒𝑠
≈ 199, 000 𝑠𝑞. 𝑘𝑚 𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑
9 𝑈𝑆𝐷 1.36
High estimate: (8200 × 10 𝑀𝑊) × 1𝑊
≈ $11 𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑜𝑛
𝑘𝑊ℎ 1 𝑦𝑟 $1683 12
High estimate: 1.575×1013 𝑦𝑟
× 8760 ℎ × 1 𝑘𝑊
= $3. 0 × 10
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