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st

1 Meeting

The Investment
Environment
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©2021 McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. Authorized only for instructor use in the classroom.
No reproduction or further distribution permitted without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.
Chapter Overview
• “Real” versus financial assets

• Risk-return trade-off and efficient pricing of


financial assets

• Financial crisis of 2008


• Illustrated connections between financial system
and “real” side of the economy
• Lessons about systemic risk

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©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 1-2
Real Assets vs. Financial Assets

Real Assets Financial Assets


• Used to produce goods • Claims to the income
and services generated by real assets
or claims on income from
the government
• Examples: Land, • Do not directly contribute
buildings, machines, to the productive capacity
intellectual property of the economy

• Examples: Stocks, bonds

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©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 1-3
Types of Financial Assets
• Fixed-income / Debt securities
• Promises either a fixed stream of income or a stream
of income determined by a specified formula (e.g.,
corporate bond)
• Equity
• Represents ownership share in a firm (e.g., common
stock)
• Derivative securities
• Payoff depends on the value of other financial
variables such as stock prices, interest rates, or
exchange rates
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©2021 McGraw-Hill Education
Other Types of Financial Markets
• Currency
• $2 trillion of currency traded each day in London
alone

• Commodities
• E.g., corn, wheat, natural gas

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©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 1-5
Financial Markets and the Economy
• The Informational Role

• Consumption Timing

• Allocation of Risk

• Separation of Ownership and Management


• Agency problems

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©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 1-6
Financial Markets and the Economy
(Continued)

• Mechanisms to mitigate potential agency


problems
• Compensation plans tie the income of managers
to the success of the firm
• Monitoring from the board of directors
• Monitoring by large investors and security
analysts
• Threat of takeover for poor performers

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©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 1-7
Financial Markets and the Economy
(Concluded)

• Corporate Governance and Corporate Ethics


• Accounting scandals
• Enron, Rite Aid, HealthSouth
• Auditing scandals
• Arthur Andersen (Enron’s auditor)
• Sarbanes-Oxley Act (aka “SOX”)
• Passed in 2002 in response to ethics scandals
• Focused on corporate governance

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©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 1-8
The Portfolio Management Process
1. Policy statement - Focus: Investor’s short-term and
long-term needs, familiarity with capital market history,
and expectations
2. Examine current and project financial, economic,
political, and social conditions - Focus: Short-term and
intermediate-term expected conditions to use in
constructing a specific portfolio
3. Implement the plan by constructing the portfolio - Focus:
Meet the investor’s needs at the minimum risk levels
4. Feedback loop: Monitor and update investor needs,
environmental conditions, portfolio performance

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


What is a Portfolio Management Process?

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The Portfolio Management Process
1. Policy statement
• specifies investment goals and
acceptable risk levels
• should be reviewed periodically
• guides all investment decisions

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What is a Planning Step?
• Planning Step – Stages:
A. Identification and specifying the Investor’s
Objectives and Constraints
B. Creating the Investment Policy Statement
C. Forming Capital Market Expectation
D. Creating the Strategic Asset Allocation

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


What is a Planning Step?
A. Identification and specifying the Investor’s
Objectives and Constraints
• Investment Objectives – Desired investment
Outcomes
• Constraints – Limitations (Internal & External)
• Internal – Client’s Specific Liquidity needs,
time and unique
• External – Tax issues and legal & regulatory
requirements

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


What is a Planning Step?
B. Creating the Investment Policy Statement
• Governing document for all investment decision making
• Includes –
• Brief client description
• Purpose of establishing policies and guidelines
• Duties and responsibilities of parties
• Statement of investment goals, objectives and
constraints
• Schedule of review
• Performance measures
• Guidelines for rebalancing the portfolio on feedback

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


What is a Planning Step?
B. Creating the Investment Policy Statement
• Elaboration of Investment Strategy – Clarifies
the basis for investment Decisions.
• Three Approaches:
a. Passive Investment Approach – Does not
react to changes in Capital market
expectations
b. Active Investment Approach – Portfolio manager
will respond to changing CME
c. Semi active , risk-controlled active or
enhanced index approach
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What is a Planning Step?
C. Forming Capital Market Expectation
• Long run forecast
• Risk and return characteristics
• Asset classes
• Maximize expected return and minimize risk

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What is a Planning Step?
D. Creating the Strategic Asset Allocation
• Determine target asset class weights
• Combine IPS and Capital market expectations
• Specification of risk control mechanism
(Single-period and Multi-period perspectives)
• Single period – Advantage of Simplicity
• Multi-period – Liquidity and Tax
considerations

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


The Portfolio Management Process
2. Study current financial and
economic conditions and forecast
future trends
• determine strategies to meet goals
• requires monitoring and updating

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


The Portfolio Management Process
3. Construct the portfolio
• allocate available funds to minimize
investor’s risks and meet investment
goals

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The Portfolio Management Process
4. Monitor and update
• evaluate portfolio performance
• Monitor investor’s needs and market
conditions
• revise policy statement as needed
• modify investment strategy
accordingly

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


The Need For A Policy Statement

• Helps investors understand their own


needs, objectives, and investment
constraints
• Sets standards for evaluating portfolio
performance
• Reduces the possibility of
inappropriate behavior on the part of
the portfolio manager
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Constructing A Policy Statement

Questions to be answered:
• What are the real risks of an adverse financial
outcome, especially in the short run?
• What probable emotional reactions will I have to
an adverse financial outcome?
• How knowledgeable am I about investments and
the financial markets?

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


Constructing A Policy Statement
• What other capital or income sources do I
have? How important is this particular
portfolio to my overall financial position?
• What, if any, legal restrictions may affect
my investment needs?
• What, if any, unanticipated consequences
of interim fluctuations in portfolio value
might affect my investment policy?
INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS
Investment Objectives

• Risk Tolerance
• Absolute or relative percentage
return
• General goals

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Investment Objectives
General Goals
• Capital preservation
• minimize risk of real loss
• Capital appreciation
• Growth of the portfolio in real terms to meet
future need
• Current income
• Focus is in generating income rather than
capital gains
INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS
Investment Objectives

General Goals
• Total return
• Increase portfolio value by capital gains and by
reinvesting current income
• Maintain moderate risk exposure

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Investment Constraints

• Liquidity needs
• Vary between investors depending upon age,
employment, tax status, etc.
• Time horizon
• Influences liquidity needs and risk tolerance

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Investment Constraints

• Tax concerns
• Capital gains or losses – taxed differently from
income
• Unrealized capital gain – reflect price appreciation
of currently held assets that have not yet been sold
• Realized capital gain – when the asset has been
sold at a profit
• Trade-off between taxes and diversification – tax
consequences of selling company stock for
diversification purposes

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Investment Constraints

• Tax concerns (continued)


• interest on municipal bonds exempt from
federal income tax and from state of issue
• interest on federal securities exempt from
state income tax
• contributions to an IRA may qualify as
deductible from taxable income
• tax deferral considerations - compounding

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


The Portfolio Management Process
1. Policy statement - Focus: Investor’s short-term and
long-term needs, familiarity with capital market history,
and expectations
2. Examine current and project financial, economic,
political, and social conditions - Focus: Short-term and
intermediate-term expected conditions to use in
constructing a specific portfolio
3. Implement the plan by constructing the portfolio - Focus:
Meet the investor’s needs at the minimum risk levels
4. Feedback loop: Monitor and update investor needs,
environmental conditions, portfolio performance

INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS


The Investment Process
• Portfolio: Collection of investment assets

• Asset allocation
• Choice among broad asset classes (e.g., stocks,
bonds, real estate, etc.)
• Security selection
• Choice of securities within each asset class

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©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 1-31
The Investment Process
(Continued)

• Security analysis involves the valuation of


particular securities that might be included in
the portfolio
• “Top-down” approach
• Asset allocation followed by determination of
particular securities to be held in each asset class
• “Bottom-up” approach
• Investment based on attractively priced securities
without as much concern for asset allocation
INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS
©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 1-32
Markets Are Competitive
• Financial markets are highly competitive
• There will almost always be risk associated
with investments

• Risk-return trade-off - Higher-risk assets are


priced to offer higher expected returns than
lower-risk assets

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©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 1-33
Markets Are Competitive
(Continued)

• You should rarely expect to find bargains in


the security markets
• See Ch. 11 for a discussion of the theory and
evidence of the efficient market hypothesis

• Efficient market hypothesis


• The prices of securities fully reflect available
information
• If this were true, there would exist neither
underpriced nor overpriced securities
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©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 1-34
Markets Are Competitive
(Concluded)

• Passive management
• Highly diversified portfolio
• No attempt to improve investment performance
by identifying mispriced securities

• Active management
• Focus on improving performance by finding
mispriced securities or by timing the performance
of broad asset classes
INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS
©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 1-35
The Players
(1 of 4)

1. Firms
• Net demanders of capital
• Raise capital now to pay for investments in plant and
equipment
2. Households
• Typically net suppliers of capital
• Purchase securities issued by firms that need to raise
funds
3. Governments
• Can function as borrowers or lenders, depending on
the relationship between tax revenue and
government expenditures
INVESTMENTS | BODIE, KANE, MARCUS
©2021 McGraw-Hill Education
The Players
(2 of 4)

• Financial intermediaries bring the suppliers of


capital (investors) together with the
demanders of capital (primarily corporations
and the federal government)
• Examples
• Investment companies
• Banks
• Insurance companies
• Credit unions

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©2021 McGraw-Hill Education 1-37

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