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doi:10.1093/jrs/feab034 Advance Access Publication 3 May 2021
CONSTANTIN REINPRECHT
Department of Politics and International Relations, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
constantin.reinprecht@politics.ox.ac.uk
RENATA SUTER
Kiron Open Higher Education gGmbH, Berlin, Germany
BRONWYN PARRY
Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, King’s College London, London,
UK
FLORIAN RAMPELT
Stifterverband, Berlin, Germany
The displacement of a large number of Syrians has resulted in interrupted and pro-
tracted education pathways for many young Syrians. Although access to higher edu-
cation (HE) has been recognised as central to avoid creating a ‘lost generation’,
refugees in host countries face considerable barriers to access HE, such as cost, cap-
acity and lack of documents. Online and blended learning opportunities have been
proposed as one solution in resource-constrained environments. However, refugees’
online learning capabilities and preferences remain poorly understood, as existing
research has mainly relied on key stakeholders without involving refugees directly.
This article presents results from a survey of 350 secondary level educated Syrian
refugees in Jordan and Lebanon conducted in 2017. We assess their online learning
capabilities and subject preferences, and show how adapting online learning materi-
als to enable smartphone learning with low bandwidth would significantly increase
the potential pool of online education students. We discuss how educational organ-
isations can best adopt these findings to improve access to HE for refugees.
3198 Constantin Reinprecht et al.
Keywords: refugee, online learning, blended learning, higher education, mobile
technology
Introduction
The war in Syria has resulted in the displacement of more than 5 million Syrians to
Turkey, Lebanon and Jordan, with almost a third aged 5–17 whose education has
Method
Sampling and Recruitment
Purposive sampling was used to identify Syrian refugees, aged 18 and above,
currently displaced to Jordan and Lebanon who have at least completed second-
ary school. We identified participants via local partner organisations (see
Supplementary Table A1, for an overview), coordinated by the Jordan office of
the nonprofit organisation Kiron Open Higher Education. In Jordan, the study
was conducted in Amman (urban), the Al Shajara area (rural) and the Za’atari
refugee camp. In Lebanon, the study was conducted in Beirut and Tripoli (urban)
and the Bekaa Valley (rural). There are no formally run refugee camps in
Lebanon; Syrian refugees typically live in non-residential structures such as
3202 Constantin Reinprecht et al.
garages, shops, work sites or informal tented settlements within and between
existing communities in rural locations such as Bekaa (UNHCR, UNICEF and
WFP 2016). These areas were chosen, as they have high concentrations of refugees
and due to our well-established contacts with local institutions that helped gain
access to potential students. While most respondents were not yet enrolled in
preparatory programmes or studying at a university, a substantial minority never-
theless had already enrolled.
Participants
In total, 439 Syrian refugees were surveyed, 159 in Jordan and 280 in Lebanon. 34
respondents did not provide their highest educational level or had not achieved
upper secondary education (ISCED level 3) and a further 55 did not provide their
age or were younger than 18. Of the remaining 350 participants, 111 were Syrian
refugees in Jordan and 239 in Lebanon. Table 1 presents summary statistics of the
demographic characteristics and survey responses. Females are slightly over-
represented in the Lebanese sample compared to the Jordanian sample. As there
are generally only marginal differences in means between men and women, these
will only be discussed if statistically significant. Unless stated otherwise, statistical
significance in this paper refers to p-values below the standard significance level of
5% for two-sided tests of the null hypothesis of no difference in means. The mean
age of respondents is 22 years. Differences between groups of Syrian refugees
within the two countries—i.e. those settled in urban areas, rural areas or in
camps—will be highlighted if they are statistically significant and qualitatively
and quantitatively relevant to refugees’ potential for online HE. Supplementary
Tables A2 and A3 display the summary statistics for these subgroups. The sub-
group results should be treated with some caution, as the sample sizes are generally
relatively small, particularly for Jordan.
No Longer a ‘Lost Generation’? 3203
Table 1
Descriptive statistics of Syrian refugees surveyed in Jordan and Lebanon.
(Continued)
3204 Constantin Reinprecht et al.
Table 1 (continued)
Variable Syrian (Jordan) Syrian (Lebanon)
Prob. getting a job 1.4 0.56 1 3 106 1.51 0.63 1 4 230 0.1035
Like working contents 1.4 0.58 1 3 107 1.5 0.66 1 4 226 0.1702
Personal interest 1.38 0.59 1 3 106 1.42 0.64 1 4 228 0.5422
Contents significant 1.43 0.6 1 3 104 1.52 0.66 1 4 227 0.2153
The right column shows the p-value for the null hypothesis of no difference in mean values of Syrian
refugees in Jordan and Lebanon. It is presented in bold for statistically significant differences between
the two means, i.e. p 0.05. 1. English language level was assessed using a six-point scale, ranging from
‘I don’t speak English.’ to ‘C1 or above (I can express myself spontaneously without much obvious
searching for expressions and can produce clear, detailed text on complex subjects)’; 2. Yes/No; 3.
Yes/No to whether a recognised document of completion of the highest level of education is available;
4. 4-point scale (Fast (You can make video calls (Skype, Hangouts, . . .) without any problems.);
Medium (I can watch videos without any problems.); Slow (Usually it’s too slow to watch videos.); I
don’t have regular access to the Internet.); 5. Participants indicated which of 14 suggested subject areas
they find interesting; it was possible to select more than one subject area. 6. Participants indicated how
much they agreed with different study forms. For instance, to what extent they agreed with the
statement ‘I would be interested in completing a certificate programme’ using a 4-point Likert scale
(strongly agree, agree, disagree, strongly disagree); 7. 4-point Likert scale (strongly agree, agree,
disagree, strongly disagree).
Results
This section addresses the first two research questions concerning refugees’ capa-
bilities for online study programmes and the relation between the availability of
study devices (laptop, tablet, smartphone) and the potential pool of online edu-
cation students. We define capabilities broadly as including study interest and
prerequisites for online learning. We discuss the implications of our findings for
the delivery of online or technology-enhanced HE to refugee students in the sub-
sequent Discussion section.
Study Interest
Respondents expressed a high interest in undertaking different types of study
programmes, including non-formal online certificate programmes. This contra-
dicts prior findings that suggest that refugees prefer formal degree programmes
and have little interest in certificates (UNESCO 2015b; Sherab and Kirk 2016).
This difference in findings could be that refugees surveyed in earlier studies did not
properly understand the concept of online or blended learning. Some respondents
in our sample were recruited by partner organisations with the intention of expos-
ing them to more information about online study programme opportunities. This
has probably increased the students’ awareness. It could also be that barriers to
formal HE access, alongside higher digital literacy skills have increased their
interest in online study programmes. Perhaps surprisingly, given prior findings,
80–90 per cent of respondents strongly agreed or agreed with the statement that
they would like to study in an online programme. Fewer people in Jordanian
No Longer a ‘Lost Generation’? 3205
camps (69%) were interested in online study programmes compared to the mean.
This may be due to their limited access to fast and reliable Internet connections
(see Supplementary Table A2) or they may be less interested simply because they
do not feel they could successfully pursue online programmes. For all groups,
intrinsic and extrinsic motivations to study were very high.
Figure 1.
Syrian refugees who fulfil time-invariant online study conditions.
3206 Constantin Reinprecht et al.
discuss the role of smartphones and their utility for online learning in greater detail
below.
Having explored the time-invariant conditions, we turn to respondents’ avail-
able study time and their access to a quiet study place, electricity and the Internet
(participants were asked for the number of hours they have access to each of them;
Table 1 above shows variable means; Supplementary Figure A1, Appendix
presents the distributions). Syrian refugees in Jordan and Lebanon indicate they
have, on average, 24–25 hours a week to study, have electricity for 18 h per day,
and access to the Internet for 14 hours per day. These findings are in line with prior
research (REACH 2014). However, there are significant differences within coun-
tries (Supplementary Tables A2 and A3). Respondents in Jordanian refugee
camps indicate that they have 28 hours of available weekly study time but merely
have access to the Internet for four and to electricity for 10 hours per day. They
also report slow Internet connections. Residents in camps have thus significantly
more available time at their hands but significantly worse infrastructural condi-
tions than Syrian refugees in urban or rural Jordan.
Most respondents indicate that they have access to a quiet place to study for 6 or
less hours a day and not more than 20 hours available to study per week (see
heavily left-skewed distributions in Supplementary Figure A1). Figure 3 shows the
complementary cumulative distribution function for available study time. It
shows the proportion of respondents (vertical axis) who indicate to have at least
a certain amount of available study time per week (horizontal axis). The figure
demonstrates that about 80 per cent of the Syrian refugees in our sample have 10
hours or more to study per week—which in turn means that 20 per cent of those
surveyed have less than 10 hours to study per week. Almost half of all participants
indicate to have less than 20 hours a week available to study. Hence, they might
not be able to study full time. This is in line with prior findings that refugees in
Jordan are time-constrained due to other commitments, such as work, study and
family responsibilities (Crea and McFarland 2015; Crea 2016).
Respondents who have less available study time did not indicate that they spend
significantly more time on other activities. However, the sum of available study
time and current time commitment to all other activities exceeds 40 hours per week
for a third of respondents. Respondents might overstate their available study time,
No Longer a ‘Lost Generation’? 3207
as they might reduce the time spent on other activities in the future once study
opportunities come up. However, it might also reflect the fact that Syrian refugees
frequently have to engage in a range of activities to secure their livelihoods.
Having shown how different prerequisites for online study programmes inhibit
access to online education for refugees in Jordan and Lebanon in Figures 1 and 2,
we combine the two sets of conditions and conduct a funnel analysis to examine
how many Syrian refugees fulfil all required conditions for online learning.
Figure 4 presents funnel graphs with four different thresholds for available study
time: at least 5, 10, 15, and 20 hours per week. Each panel should be read top-to-
bottom. The first horizontal bar is the total sample size: 350 secondary-educated
Syrian refugees in Jordan and Lebanon. The next bar is the available study time,
i.e. at least 5, 10, 15, or 20 hours a week. The thresholds for the accessibility of a
quiet place, electricity, and the Internet follow from these values and are 1, 2, 3,
and 4 hours a day, respectively. We divided total available weekly study time by 5
working days to get these results. The third bar represents the amount and pro-
portion of refugees that have enough available study time and sufficient access to a
quiet place (again for 1, 2, 3, and 4 hours a day). This logic continues. The bot-
tommost bar hence represents the pool of potential online study programme
students: those with sufficient time to study, access to a quiet place, electricity,
high speed Internet access, a laptop or desktop and interest in online study pro-
grammes. Depending on the threshold for available study time, we identify be-
tween 49 (14%) and 28 (8%) potential online study programme students in our
sample.
Figure 4 clearly shows that study time, a quiet place, Internet speed and access
to a laptop or desktop computer are critical levers to increase the number of
3208 Constantin Reinprecht et al.
potential online students. In the top-left panel, for instance, more than two-thirds
(237) indicate they have at least 5 hours a week to study, 1 hour a day access each to a
quiet place, electricity, and the Internet. However, almost 100 of these people indicate
they do not have high speed Internet access, a vital requirement for successful par-
ticipation in online study. Of those with high-speed Internet, almost another 100
people indicate they do not have regular access to a laptop or desktop. The situation
is qualitatively similar but quantitatively worse for the other three scenarios with
higher thresholds for available study time. The graph in the bottom right corner
shows that almost every second refugee surveyed has less than 20 hours a week of
available study time. Another third of those who do have sufficient time indicate they
do not have access to a quiet place for at least 4 hours a day. Again, insufficient
Internet speed and lack of access to a laptop or desktop computer are other factors
impeding potential participation in digital programmes.
These results are an interesting addition to the literature, as prior studies have
usually evaluated online study conditions individually and have found that lap-
tops are relatively rare, Internet access is slow, and that electricity might not be
widespread in some geographical locations, such as refugee camps (Colucci et al.
2017). We have evaluated conditions for online studies both individually
(Figures 1, 2, and Supplementary A1) but have also explored their cumulative
effects (Figure 4).
The funnel analyses clearly demonstrate the successive attrition of potential
students along different study prerequisites. The analyses are based on the as-
sumption that access to a laptop or desktop is a necessary condition for online
learning. Figure 5 relaxes this assumption and is not bound to time thresholds. It
shows the proportion of Syrian refugees in our sample (vertical axis) that fulfil all
No Longer a ‘Lost Generation’? 3209
online study prerequisites discussed above, at different values for available study
time (horizontal axis). The three lines correspond to the availability of a study
device. The top curve shows the proportion of participants who have regular
access to any device—laptop, desktop, tablet or smartphone—the middle one
those with access to a laptop, desktop or tablet, and the bottom one those with
access to a laptop or desktop. Two findings are worth explaining. First, comparing
the curves with that of Figure 3 (which shows the time available for learning
without further conditions) reveals that time-invariant conditions, such as high-
speed Internet, and time-variant ones, such as access to a quiet place, significantly
reduce the number of potential online students, even at very low values for min-
imum weekly available study time and for those with access to any device. For
instance, whereas around 80 per cent of respondents report to have at least 10
hours a week to study (Figure 3), only between 13 and 33 per cent, depending on
the device, seem to be able to study once we consider all other requirements
(Figure 5). Second, the ratio between the top and bottom curves decreases with
increasing study time. This implies that enabling online studying via smartphones
would increase the pool of potential online students disproportionately for those
who indicate they have less than 15 hours of available weekly study time.
Before discussing the implications of these results for the design, implementa-
tion, and delivery of online learning programmes in the next section, we briefly
outline the study subject preferences of our respondents.
Subject Preferences
Interest for different subjects was very similar for the samples of Syrian refugees in
Jordan and Lebanon (Table 1). Figure 6 shows that public health (including
3210 Constantin Reinprecht et al.
Discussion
Having presented the main results in the previous section, we critically examine
their implications for the design, implementation and delivery of online study
programmes for Syrian refugees in Jordan and Lebanon. We further contrast
our results with the theoretical and empirical literature. First, we discuss how
barriers to access could be removed by focusing on the provision of online learning
via smartphones as well as better connectivity. Secondly, we discuss refugees’
study subject preferences and the resulting legal and practical issues of providing
certain subjects in a digital way. We provide concrete policy recommendations for
online learning based on our findings in the subsequent section.
Recommendations
Based on the survey results and the previous discussion, we make three overarch-
ing recommendations to increase refugees’ access to online study programmes.
Conclusion
Online learning opportunities can support access to quality education for ref-
ugees in environments with limited resources. However, for Syrian refugees to
participate in these programmes, organisations providing online and blended
education should focus on services and educational resources that can be
adapted to the technological and non-technological needs of their learners.
This study has shown that a key lever for improving the accessibility, scalability
and impact of online learning for Syrian refugees in the MENA region is to
adapt learning materials and platforms to enable online learning via smart-
phones. This includes making online learning accessible via older smartphones,
No Longer a ‘Lost Generation’? 3217
providing low-bandwidth learning materials and downloadable content but
also providing fast and affordable Internet connections. We discussed good
practice examples of stakeholder cooperation in adapting educational pro-
grammes to learners’ needs. Such cooperation is also important for joint advo-
cacy to work towards legislation that recognises digital learning opportunities,
including fully online and blended learning.
Acknowledgements
The survey was developed as part of the Partnership for Digital Learning and
Increased Access (PADILEIA) project in mid-2017. PADILEIA is a five-
member consortium led by King’s College London (KCL) that brings to-
gether Higher Education Institutions, private and not-for-profit organiza-
tions. The partnership includes a local university in Jordan (Al al-Bayt
University) and in Lebanon (American University of Beirut) and is designed
to be sensitive to local HE and labour market contexts in Jordan and
Lebanon. It aims to support Syrian refugees and host communities seeking
access to HE. The partnership provides blended academic programmes,
including Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs), targeted online learning,
and classroom-based learning to Syrian refugees and members of the host
communities. Technology-enhanced learning environments will broaden ac-
cess to high-quality educational programmes, providing a foundation for
further HE and potentially preparing students to contribute to the rebuilding
of post-conflict Syria and integration into the workforce more broadly. Prior
to the implementation phase of the project a key stakeholder analysis and a
large-scale needs assessment was conducted. The latter serves as the main
data source for this article. The survey has received ethics clearance from
KCL (REC Reference Number HR-16/17–4776). We thank KCL and Kiron
staff for their help designing, conducting, and evaluating the survey, particu-
larly Dr Steffen Brandt, Dr Daniel Jones, Dr Tania Lima, Grace Atkinson,
Dr Suzanne Harkins, Dr Kyle R. Dyer, Kal Breadmore and Steve Thorpe.
We further thank Heba Dakhlallah, Léa Batal, Anna Miller, Allison Church
and Franziska Pfeifer for valuable comments on earlier versions of this
article.
3218 Constantin Reinprecht et al.
Funding
The data collection for this study was conducted as part of the Partnership
for Digital Learning and Increased Access (PADILEIA) project. PADILEIA
is funded by the UK Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office
(FCDO), through the Strategic Partnerships for Higher Education
Innovation and Reform (SPHEIR) programme (www.spheir.org.uk).
SPHEIR is managed on behalf of FCDO by a consortium led by the
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