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GWEC.NET 3
4 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021
Foreword
Another year has passed and GWEC the region work together will be A case in point is the United States,
is proud to share with you its Global interesting to watch, and whether where the Biden administration has
Offshore Wind Report 2021. the economies of scale and regional embraced offshore wind as part of
cooperation that happened in Europe the green recovery, setting a target
At the end of 2020, we had a total of will play out in Asia. of 30 GW by 2030. It is also great
35 GW of offshore wind across the to see the Vineyard Wind project
world, that is 14 times higher than One dynamic we continue to see receive approval of the construction
10 years ago. New capacity was around the world is the dramatic and operation of the first large-scale,
stable last year at 6.1 GW, roughly fall in the Levelised Cost of Energy US offshore wind project, located off
equivalent to 2019. It’s good to note (LCOE) from offshore wind. Prices Massachusetts.
that the COVID-19 pandemic did not are becoming more and more Alastair Dutton
heavily impact the sector, though attractive for countries that have Over the last year we have seen a Chair of Global Offshore
there were delays in permitting and the fundamentals for offshore wind much wider appreciation of how Wind Task Force, GWEC
some projects have taken longer to and are looking for a high-capacity offshore wind can contribute at scale alastair.dutton@gwec.net
install. renewable energy to bridge fossil in tackling climate change. One of
fuels, solar PV, and onshore wind. the drivers is the increasing number
Offshore wind is a healthy sector with of countries, cities, and companies
a very promising future. When talking with governments declaring a net zero commitment.
around the world, low-cost, high- When they look at how they are
And that future is alive and well as quality, renewable energy is very going to meet their commitments,
Europe expands, the US takes flight, desirable, but it is the associated offshore wind features large in their
and particularly in Asia. Notably, benefits which make it even more plans.
China is a substantial part of the attractive. The benefits that I hear
market throughout this decade most about are reducing imports In the last year we’ve seen floating
and beyond. This year China will whilst tackling climate change; the wind move from concept to practical
overtake the UK as having the largest huge economic growth in terms reality. The size of these projects is
installed capacity. However, other of investment; and the creation of increasing, and fully commercial
markets within the region are moving jobs that makes it compelling for scale projects can be expected
from early stages to concerted politicians. towards the end of this decade.
deployment. How countries in Next decade, we expect floating
GWEC.NET 5
wind to compete directly with than 15% higher than last year’s installations, reaching 20% by 2025 in
fixed foundations, partly because assessment. This is the decade capacity terms.
floating wind trebles the size of the when offshore wind truly comes
addressable market. of age and, to meet the IEA and In the run up to the COP26
IRENA’s 1.5°C scenario, we need to conference later this year,
The next innovation that will spur ramp up significantly over the next considerable effort is going into
offshore wind to even greater two decades. asking governments to make further
deployment is the topic of energy commitments to offshore wind. The
islands. In Denmark this has moved In 2021 GWEC expects that newly time is right to attract trillions of
forward with locations in the North installed capacity will be more dollars to a sector that has proven its
Sea and Baltic Sea being identified than double 2020’s figure, driven credentials and is going from strength
and survey work commenced. mostly by a boost in China where to strength.
The plan is to have the first phases projects seek to secure the feed-
operational in the early 2030s. in-tariff that expires at the end of GWEC looks forward to working
the year. GWEC’s outlook is that with governments, industry and
In terms of going wider, the offshore wind will continue to grow wider stakeholders, as we realise the
subject of hydrogen and Power- as a proportion of global wind new massive and broad benefits of offshore
to-X is expanding and creates wind to nations and their people.
numerous routes to market which
don’t require a large local power
demand. It is interesting to note
that this area is a focus for oil In the run up to the COP26 conference later this year,
and gas players who bring their considerable effort is going into asking governments to
considerable experience and skills
to the opportunity. make further commitments to offshore wind. The time is right
to attract trillions of dollars to a sector that has proven its
The health of the offshore wind
sector is reflected in GWEC’s credentials and is going from strength to strength.
outlook for 2030 which is more
GWEC.NET 7
cumulatively deployed more than 35 potential. The size of the turbines our climate goals. We can bring the
GW of wind offshore. now being designed and deployed lessons learned from established
dwarves those upon which we have markets, sharing best practices and
For those of us who have been built our industry. Floating turbines designing optimal market structures
working in offshore for some time, it will be a key part of the mix in that can ensure offshore wind can
is sometimes difficult to believe how the future and we are now seeing satisfy the energy, environmental and
far we have come. But our industry´s important steps taken in the journey economic needs of new markets.
success in delivering a safe and to making Offshore wind a key energy
affordable source of sustainable provider to the emerging hydrogen We need to build a new and enlarged
energy should give us all confidence economy. Advances in digitalisation workforce and support them with a
that GWEC´s outlook of a further are helping us to make our machines commercial environment in which
235 GW installed by the end of 2030 safer, more productive and more each part of the wind energy value
is within our collective grasp. efficient. chain can thrive. We also need to
ensure that our own activities evolve
With new markets such as the US Are there challenges? Of course. Our in a sustainable way.
and Taiwan coming on stream and industry needs greater clarity and
accelerated targets in northern support from policy and regulatory These are not new challenges,
Europe, which has been the cradle for frameworks in both new and mature however. We have faced them down
Offshore development and remains markets. Governments and industry before and built an industry of which
a key hub for development and must continue to work together to we can all be proud. And we will do
deployment. significantly reduce the timelines for it again, expanding our promise to
offshore wind projects. The current safely design, develop, build and
Everywhere you look there is install wind turbines that can deliver
cycle of, in some cases, over 10
evidence of the innovation and the clean, renewable energy our
years from volume announcement
resourcefulness that will be required planet so clearly needs.
to first power will not see us reach
to deliver to offshore wind’s full
GWEC.NET 9
The world is in uncharted waters On the other hand, consensus on the pathway by up to 14%, according to
when it comes to climate action. On scale of change needed, from energy Climate Action Tracker.
the one hand, there is a narrowing systems to behavioural change, has
window of time to act decisively in never been stronger. There is growing Offshore wind will be a key vector
this decade to halt global warming. momentum from policymakers in the global response to climate
Under current policies and pledges recognising climate change as the change. Energy production accounts
as of May 2021 – and these are still preeminent challenge facing our way for around three-quarters of global
to be implemented – the global of life. The spate of NDC updates and greenhouse gas emissions and will
average temperature increases net zero targets made over the last be the focal area for climate change
will hit 2.4°C by end of century, year from the US, the EU, China, Japan, mitigation efforts.
spelling out significant hardship the UK and other nations have closed The map of hitherto competing
and unprecedented environmental the emissions reduction gap required policy recommendations has become
impacts ahead1. by 2030 for a Paris-compliant 1.5˚C much clearer, now that the leading
international energy institutions are
in agreement on the primary role of
2100 Warming projections renewable energy required to meet
Emissions and expected warming based on pledges and current policies the Paris targets and deliver carbon
200
neutrality by 2050.
Global greenhouse gas emissions GtCO2e / year
Warming projected
150
by 2100 Both the IEA and IRENA have mapped
Baseline
4.1 – 4.8 C
O
out roadmaps whereby wind and
solar PV energy supply around 70%
100
of electricity generation by 2050,
Current policies
2.7 – 3.1 C
O
and both technologies dramatically
50 Pledges & Targets
2.3 – 2.6 C
O
scale up to deliver the required deep
Historical Optimistic
net zero targets emissions reductions.2 From now
2.0 C
to 2050, offshore wind becomes
O
0
2 C consistent
O
1.6 – 1.7 C
a central plank of global
O
1.5 C consistent
O
1.3 C
O
1 https://climateactiontracker.org/publications/global-update-climate-summit-momentum/
2 https://www.iea.org/reports/net-zero-by-2050; https://www.irena.org/publications/2021/Jun/World-Energy-Transitions-Outlook
3 https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/dataset/global-offshore-wind-technical-potential; the IEA’s World Energy Outlook 2020 identifies global electricity capacity as 7,484 GW in 2019
4 https://gwec.net/offshore-wind
GWEC.NET 11
Where could 2,000 GW of offshore wind by 2050 be built?
640
760
360
EU
127 “Green Deal“
2050 Target
US 2050 Target (300)
25 Total announced
0 29 (110)
109 2030/2035/2040
2020 2030e 2050e targets by China,
2020 2030e 2050e 10 Japan, South Korea,
North America
Asia
120
40
0 0 80
Pacific
Unit: GW Installations as of 2020 Regional forecast by 2050, based on 2,000 GW global target
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence Installations by 2030 under current policies Current regional or national targets
GWEC.NET 13
systems, system operators will focus renewables, on comparable with the have brought offshore wind LCOE far
on optimising clean power sources to most efficient gas-fired power plants, below what industry experts could
ensure predictability, dispatchability as shown in the graph below. New have predicted.
of generation and consistency of offshore wind projects are delivering
load factors, particularly as large capacity factors ranging from 40-50% A 2020 expert elicitation survey of
commercial and industrial users in utilising 5 MW turbines, while floating more than 140 wind experts found
energy-intensive sectors commit to wind projects like Hywind Scotland that cost reduction pathways for
lowering emissions. delivered a record-breaking average offshore wind had been drastically
capacity factor of 57% in its third year underestimated over the last five
Offshore wind can support energy of operation to March 20205. years7. Surveyed experts now predict
security by displacing fossil fixed-bottom offshore LCOE to
fuels baseload generation with The daily generation profile for continue declining from 35-49% from
clean power operating at lower offshore wind also reflects greater 2035 to 2050, while floating offshore
intermittency compared to other consistency, with around half of the wind will decline from 17-40% from
renewable energy technologies, hourly fluctuation typically seen in 2035 to 2050. This reduction will
particularly when paired with storage solar PV. As turbine sizes continue be driven by innovation in turbine
solutions. Offshore wind offers to scale to 15 MW power rating and technology, as well as improvements
the highest capacity factors of all beyond in the decade ahead, average in cost of capital, project design life,
capacity factors at operational overall capacity factors and OPEX
Average annual capacity factor (%) by offshore wind farms will continue to optimisation.
technology in year 2018
increase, particularly for projects with
63 Continued innovation will be needed
large aggregation of turbines.
to harness offshore wind from
52
Cost reduction should not be a wider variety of geographies,
43
understated either. Around one-third including strengthening turbine
of offshore wind project lifetime costs resilience in regions prone to tropical
29 21 29 are drawn from wind turbines and cyclones, typhoons or hurricanes,
22
installation, while nearly 30% is drawn as well as pushing towards the
10 from OPEX6. The evolving efficiency commercialisation of floating wind
of manufacturing, installation and before 2030 (see: Floating Wind
Efficient Solar PV Onshore Offshore O&M, combined with increasing chapter). These factors in turn pose
Gas Wind Wind
turbine size and economies of scale, a regulatory challenge to ensure
Source: IEA
5 https://www.iea.org/reports/offshore-wind-outlook-2019 ; https://www.equinor.com/en/news/20210323-hywind-scotland-uk-best-performing-offshore-wind-farm.htm
6 https://guidetoanoffshorewindfarm.com/wind-farm-costs
7 We note that members of GWEC Secretariat took part in the expert elicitation survey; https://www.nature.com/articles/s41560-021-00810-z.pdf.
GWEC.NET 15
wind, where projects like the EU’s Conclusion
to exceed 25% within five years, • Supply chain carbon MAREWIND initiative aim to identify
driven by offshore wind. In Asia, footprint: Strategies to solutions for next-generation offshore While those in the industry are bullish
a plate market around ten times decarbonise supply chains wind materials and coatings to about offshore wind’s capacity to
larger than Europe, the plate are widespread and have a increase resilience, corrosion/erosion innovate and deliver competitive
demand from wind is smaller but particular resonance within protection and recyclability. costs, the unprecedented scale of
rising. renewable energy. Offshore deployment required over the next
wind will be a strong future Industry consortiums have also been three decades will require political
If we look at the relationship from source of demand for low-CO2 formed in 2021, with public-sector will as much as favourable economics
the other end, steel is also a big steel. But steel is a “hard-to- backing, to enable blade recycling: and sustainable expansion of the
deal for the offshore wind sector, abate” sector with enormous DecomBlades project is a cross- industrial supply chain.
with 25% of CAPEX coming from technological and commercial sector consortium which seeks
foundation and tower1. There is a to accelerate commercialisation The price volatility of oil and gas
challenges to decarbonise.
huge mutual dependency between of composite recycling for wind markets during the pandemic has
CRU’s Emissions Analysis Tool
steel producers and offshore wind turbines; while the Circular Economy only accentuated the strategic
shows that on average liquid
developers. In that context, the for Thermosets Epoxy Composites considerations for energy
steel emits almost 2t CO2/t.
following key challenges can be (CETEC) initiative aims to deliver independence, which can be
highlighted: • Managing price risk: a solution for disassembly of blade supported by offshore wind as
Offshore wind requires large thermoset composites into fibre an indigenous natural resource.
• Security of supply: Amid volumes of steel over long time Governments must go a step further
and epoxy, which will then be
competing demands, there is periods. But steel prices are and avoid the risk of stranded assets
“chemcycled” into base components
a need to ensure that the right volatile; for example, steel plate by curbing spending and support for
for manufacture of new blades.
amount of the right steel can prices in Germany increased carbon-intensive generation, which
be secured at the right time. by over 120% between July Improving project circularity, would otherwise lock in expensive
The world market is complex 2020 and July 2021. Many extending wind turbine lifecycles for and polluting fossil fuels for decades
and always changing, subject companies in the wind supply greater economy and innovation for to come. Meanwhile, an evolving set
to multiple forces. Business chain are choosing to manage refined materials and commercial of mechanisms offer market levers
intelligence to support this price risk by indexing their recycling processes will all be to disincentivise fossil fuel offtake
managing that complexity is commercial contracts to CRU’s necessary components of improving and generation, from carbon border
vital. steel prices. offshore wind sustainability. Progress adjustment mechanisms to portfolio
in these areas will require strong standards.
Find out more: public-private partnerships,
https://www2.crugroup.
academic/R&D investment and cross-
com/l/707643/2021-07-01/zvs6y
sector coordination.
1 IRENA (2016), The Power to Change: Solar and Wind Cost Reduction Potential to 2025.
9 https://unfccc.int/climate-action/marrakech-
partnership/reporting-tracking/pathways/oceans-
and-coastal-zones-climate-action-pathway
GWEC.NET 17
MARKET STATUS 2020
in the pipeline.
Offshore share of new 2-3% 4% 8% 7-10%
installations 1%
* Compound Annual Growth Rate
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021
GWEC.NET 19
FLOATING WIND
• 16.83 MW floating
wind installed in 2020,
of which 16.8 MW
is from Portugal and
0.03 MW from Spain;
• As of 2020, a total
of 73.33 MW net
floating wind was
installed globally,
of which 32 MW is
located in the UK, 25
MW in Portugal,12
MW in Japan, 2.3MW
in Norway and 2 MW
in France.
New offshore wind Total offshore wind New offshore wind Total offshore wind
installations by country installations by country installations by region installations by region
0.3% 0.4%
1.0% 0.5% 0.4%
3.9% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
8% 4.8% 0.7%
6.4%
28.9% 29.5%
7.4%
11.6%
6.1 GW 50.4% 51.4% 6.1 GW 48.4% 35.3 GW
35.3 GW 70.4%
21.9%
24.6% 28.3%
China Netherlands Belgium The UK China Germany Netherlands North America Europe
Europe APAC APAC North America
The UK Germany South Korea Belgium Denmark Sweden South Korea
Portugal United States Taiwan Vietnam Others
GWEC.NET 21
MARKET OUTLOOK 2030
GWEC Market Intelligence expects 2020 2021e 2022e 2023e 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e 2030e
that over 235 GW of new offshore
*CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate
wind capacity will be added over the Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021
next decade, bringing total offshore
GWEC.NET 23
wind capacity to 270 GW by 2030. global auction results and announced
30% of this new volume will be offshore wind tenders worldwide. For
installed in the first half of the decade the medium-term market outlook,
(2021-2025), with the remaining to aside from existing project pipelines,
be connected in the latter half (2026- a top-down approach has also been
2030). The volume of annual offshore used, which takes into account
wind installations is expected to more existing policy, support schemes,
than triple, from 6.1 GW in 2020 to offshore wind auction plans and
23.1 GW in 2025, bringing its share of medium/long-term national and
global new installations from today’s regional level offshore wind targets.
6.5% to 20% by 2025.
in 1991, which makes Europe the The UK Germany Denmark Netherlands France
New installations
birthplace of the offshore wind GW, offshore Belgium Poland Ireland Norway Rest of Europe
industry. Through close collaboration
among European countries and
experienced stakeholders in the 1.00
CAGR* 1.00 1.00
past three decades, a robust offshore
+12.7% 0.85 19.531.00
wind supply chain has been built in 0.72
countries neighbouring the North Sea 1.00 1.00
and Baltic Sea. As of today, offshore 1.00 18.07 4.00
0.77 0.79
wind has not only established itself as
0.50 0.50 0.72
a cost-competitive power generation 0.80 0.90 0.60 1.00 4.00
CAGR*
of choice for governments in +26.3% 0.52 0.72 1.00 2.40
0.70 0.27 14.55
European continent, but also created
0.16 0.70 12.74
nearly 100 thousand of jobs and 0.10 2.00
0.90 2.40
0.01 0.45
boosted the local economic growth. 0.01 9.44
4.00
0.02 0.10 0.33 0.70 10.84
3.25 1.50
0.03 0.60 0.72 2.00
0.71 0.03
In the past decade (2011-2020), 0.39 0.27 0.72
1.49 0.54
the European offshore wind market 0.61 6.31 4.16 3.50 1.80 2.00
0.24 0.77 1.80 1.50
enjoyed double-digit annual growth 2.94 0.34 1.54 5.09
2.89
0.48
(12%), making it the world’s largest 3.17
1.53 1.80
2.00
2.00
1.86 2.40 1.25
regional market in total offshore wind 1.39
1.493
installations as at the end of 2020. 2.05 1.71 1.35 2.00
4.63
1.31 1.47
Looking at potential growth, GWEC 2.60
1.64
Market Intelligence believes that
Europe will maintain double digital 2020 2021e 2022e 2023e 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e 2030e
growth rate in this decade (2021-
*CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate
2030), as offshore wind has become Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021
GWEC.NET 25
where no new offshore wind capacity
European executed offshore tenders / auctions 2015-2020
Awarded capacity (GW), average winning bid (EUR/ MWh)*
is predicted in 2021. However, the
European offshore market is likely
MW awarded EUR/MWh to bounce back in 2023 when utility
6000 160 scale projects will also come online
154 5500
146 140 in new markets like France, and new
5000 installations in Europe are likely to
120 double in 2023 compared with 2020.
103
4000 100
Considering more offshore wind
73 81 capacity is likely to be built in
80
3000 63
62 established European markets like
50 55 47 60
44 “zero bid” 44 47 the UK, Germany and Denmark after
2000 2336 “zero bid”
40 2025 and the fact that installations
1490 1610 in new markets bordering the Baltic
1000 714 752 732 740 860 759 20
400 448
600 600 Sea will not take place before 2025,
350
GWEC Market Intelligence expects
0 0
that 73.8% of total predicted offshore
NL - Borssele 1+2
DK - Near shore
DK - Kriegers Flak
NL - Borssele 3+4
NL - Hollandse
Kust 1+2
FR -Dunkirk
NL- Hollandse
Kust V (Noord)
UK - 3rd CfD
wind capacity will be built in the
second half of the decade. New
installations in Europe are likely to
exceed 10 GW in 2026 and then
potentially approach 20 GW by 2030.
*Tenders above 100MW capacity and no innovation auctions, tenders in order of execution from 2015 to end of 2020
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, GWEC Global Auction Database Q1 2021 The UK
the most competitive electricity Last November, the European According to GWEC Market As the world’s leader in offshore wind
generation technology after onshore Commission presented its offshore Intelligence’s Q3 2021 global offshore energy, the UK continues to tell a
wind and solar PV - but with renewable energy strategy as part of wind market outlook, 2021 and successful story in the past 12 months.
considerable advantages in terms the EU Green Deal. It sets a target of 2022 are expected to be relatively In September 2020, Prime Minister
being able to deploy at scale, making 300 GW of offshore wind by 2050 for slow years for Europe, with new Boris Johnson set out commitments to
it a key energy source to help Europe the EU, which makes offshore wind installations staying the same level boost the government’s previous 30
to meet its Nationally Determined a crucial pillar in Europe’s power as that in the past four years (2017- GW target to 40 GW and set a 1 GW
Contributions (NDCs) and achieve mix and a core part of its net zero 2020), which is mainly due to the by 2030 floating offshore wind target,
the 2050 net zero target. implementation strategy. lower level of activities in Germany as part of the Build Back Greener
GWEC.NET 27
Case study: Mastering design review for fixed offshore wind
Provided by: Bureau Veritas
For countries that border shallow Bureau Veritas was called on to towers, work platforms, secondary more than 10,000 scenarios using
water, installing offshore wind farms provide key certification services structures, anodes and more. a representative pool of possible
can be a key path to producing for this project, ensuring the loads. In less than two months,
clean electricity. However, operators structural integrity of the Moray Based on this, Bureau Veritas could our experts conducted design
must be certain that these complex East wind turbines. Each of the 100 perform independent calculations review, performed all necessary
structures can safely withstand harsh turbines rests on a tower supported to assess turbine strength and calculations, worked with the
offshore conditions. This means by a three-legged jacket resting on fatigue. Our experts chose designer to resolve discrepancies
taking an in-depth approach to the seabed. Bureau Veritas’ task was representative structural aspects and certified the project’s
design review for all aspects of wind to verify the calculations for asset of the wind turbines and evaluated components.
turbines, from blades to towers to fatigue and integrity provided by the them using proprietary digital
jackets. wind turbine designer for all turbine modeling tools. The calculations The Moray East project is expected
components. included: integrated load analysis; to be operational by the end of 2021.
Fixed offshore wind is now a mature substructure design analysis; By providing design review and
sector, with commercial projects Evaluating the impact of harsh ultimate strength analysis; time performing key calculations, Bureau
reaching completion around the offshore conditions domain fatigue analysis; and an Veritas is helping ensure the safety
world. Among the largest offshore assessment of fatigue and service and longevity of this innovative
wind farms currently under To do this, our experts first limit states. We were also able project.
construction is the Moray East performed a site conditions to calculate potential cumulative
project in the UK. Located 22 km assessment, evaluating the effects of damage on areas vulnerable to Find out more:
off the coast of Moray Firth, and different environmental conditions fatigue and corrosion, thereby https://group.bureauveritas.com/
consisting of 100 fixed-bottom on the wind turbines. We evaluated assessing turbine lifecycle.
turbines, this wind farm is set to the impact of strong winds, powerful
meet 40% of Scotland’s energy waves and major weather events on Overall, Bureau Veritas’ millions
needs. principal and support structures, of hours of computations created
GWEC.NET 29
Asia
Asia built its first offshore wind GWEC Market Intelligence forecasts toward end of this decade when new
project, totalling 1.3 MW, in Japan in that China’s market share in this capacity is also likely to be built in
2003, but the regional offshore market region is likely to drop from 76% in emerging markets such as India and
was not ready to take off in earnest 2021 to 56% in 2026. This decline is the Philippines.
until 2014, when the Chinese National expected to continue, to reach 48%
Energy Administration released the
National Offshore Wind Development
Plan (2014-2016). Annual installations Global offshore wind growth to 2030 in Asia
in Asia region passed the milestone
of 1.5 GW in 2018 when China also New installations, Asia Rest of Asia India Vietnam Taiwan
surpassed the UK as the world’s top GW, affshore S.Korea Japan China
market in new installations. Last year, X%
Share of Chinese
offshore market
Asia replaced Europe as the leading CAGR* 0.70
+10.1% 0.70 0.80
regional offshore wind market in new
14.40 14.50
installations for the first time. 0.70
0.50
CAGR* 0.60 0.60
GWEC Market Intelligence’s latest 9.83 0.40 0.50 11.70
+23.5% 0.64
0.60
0.10
market outlook predicts that China 0.30
10.20
11.10
0.77
will continue to install the lion’s share 0.50 8.96 7.00 7.00
1.00 0.45
of offshore in Asia in the first half of 7.50 0.14 0.26
0.36 0.43
this decade. Taiwan is expected to 7.21
6.00
6.50
5.49 6.00
be the largest offshore market in Asia 0.06
5.14 5.00
3.12 1.50 1.50
after China in new installations in the
5.00
same period. 4.00
1.50 1.50 2.00 2.00
3.06 4.00 1.50
1.13 1.96
However, the market will become 1.00
1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50
1.00 1.00 1.00
more diversified from 2025 onward, 1.20 1.00 1.00
1.00 1.00
when more large-scale offshore wind
2020 2021e 2022e 2023e 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e 2030e
projects are set to be commissioned
98% 76% 73% 78% 69% 56% 59% 55% 56% 49% 48%
in Japan, South Korea and Vietnam.
* CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021
GWEC.NET 31
be terminated. The pace of offshore the power mix by 2030, South Korea offshore wind by 2030 and 30-45 GW
wind growth in China thereafter is planning to bring its offshore wind by 2040. This government-industry
will depend on whether support capacity currently 133 MW, to 12 GW deal has been welcomed by the
provided by provincial governments by the end of this decade. In order local and international offshore wind
will be available and whether the to make this happen, an agreement industry, as it brings in volume, scale,
offshore wind industry can reach to develop an 8.2 GW offshore wind jobs and long-term visibility.
price parity with competing power complex in South Jeolla was signed
sources before 2025. by more than 30 public and private Vietnam
entities based in South Korea in
Taiwan Similar to Taiwan, no offshore wind
February 2021. Three months later, turbine was grid-connected last
President Moon Jae-in announced that
Although no offshore wind projects year due to COVID-19 disruption,
the Korean government will invest in
were commissioned in 2020 due to but more than 1.5 GW of offshore
6 GW of floating offshore wind in the
the impact of COVID-19, Taiwan is still wind projects are under construction
coast of Ulsan by 2030.
positioned to become the second- at present, of which 1.2 GW are
largest offshore wind market in this Japan expected to come online before the
region. Previously the government current FiT expiry in November 2021.
pledged to connect 5.5 GW of new Offshore wind development in Japan GWEC Market Intelligence predicts
offshore wind by 2025 and another 10 has been jeopardised by a lack of that new installations are expected
GW by 2035, but the target for 2026- ambitious targets and a cumbersome to fall from 2022, but the Vietnamese
2035 was upgraded by 50% in May permitting and licensing framework, offshore wind market is likely to
2021 when the government released but great progress has been made bounce back once the offshore target
draft regulations for the Round 3 in the past two years. The country’s is confirmed in the government’s final
auctions. This upgrade not only first ever auctions for floating and Power Development Plan VIII (PDP8)
provides the visibility and certainty fixed bottom offshore wind were and when the upcoming offshore
needed to help build a local offshore launched in 2020, after the offshore wind auction scheme is clear for
wind industry and supply chain, but wind zones were nominated by the developers and investors.
would also allow Taiwan to exceed government. At the end of last year,
the 2030 targets set by South Korea following a major cost reduction study
and Japan. commissioned by GWEC and JWPA
and a series of industry-government
South Korea dialogues, the Japanese government
also approved the “Offshore Wind
To reach the “Renewable Energy
Industry Vision” targeting 10 GW of
3020” target of 20% renewables in
4.00
4.25 4.00 4.00 4.00
3.50 3.56
1.07
2020 2021e 2022e 2023e 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e 2030e
* CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021
GWEC.NET 33
United States the US offshore wind industry; third,
DOE and BOEM plan to advance new
The US had only 42 MW of offshore lease sales and complete review of at
wind projects in operation at the least 16 COPs by 2025, representing
end of 2020, but the level of offshore more than 19 GW of offshore wind
wind development activity remains capacity to be installed off the U.S.
impressively high. Although the coasts; fourth, an offshore target was
permitting process, especially the announced in North Carolina in June
final approval from BOEM for the and existing targets have also been
Construction and Operations Plan increased in Massachusetts and
(COP), slowed project development Virginia, bringing the total state-level
during the Trump Administration, offshore wind development targets up
2021 has so far become an to 38.5 GW.
unprecedented year for US offshore
wind. First, the Biden Administration GWEC Market Intelligence predicts
announced the ambitious 30 GW by a total of 28.4 GW of offshore wind
2030 offshore wind target in March; could be built in the US by the end
second, the 800 MW Vineyard Wind of this decade, which is 25% higher
1 project received the final major than what was predicted for this
federal approval from BOEM in May, market a year ago. However, we keep
which truly represents the start of our forecast for Canada unchanged
compared with last year.
10 One job is defined as one calendar year of full-time employment (260 working days) for one person. This
assumes an 8-hour workday, 5-day working week and 52 working weeks in a year, in line with a standard
calculation of one FTE year based on one individual working 2,080 hours in one year. See: https://gwec.net/
wind-can-power-over-3-3-million-jobs-over-the-next-five-years/
11 Data originally provided by IRENA in person-days; jobs were determined by dividing the person-day figure by
260, the typical number of working days in a year. See:
https://www.irena.org/publications/2018/May/Leveraging-Local-Capacity-for-Offshore-Wind
GWEC.NET 35
replacing oil and gas-fired boilers offshore wind). Offshore wind can
and other forms of employment.12 generate jobs in steel manufacturing
for foundations, substations and
Offshore wind adds unique value in installation vessels, sub-sea cables
revitalising coastal communities that and offshore transport. All these
are often far from urban economic areas can leverage the capabilities
centres. Around 40% of the world’s of workers accustomed to offshore
population lives within 100 km of a environments, particularly when
coastline. Industrial development and coupled with public sector
activity in these areas can contribute programmes for targeted transition
to a thriving local economy, spurring training and reskilling.
the creation of indirect and induced
jobs. A study by NYSERDA found The socioeconomic benefits from
that two-thirds of offshore wind jobs offshore wind extend beyond
would be localised and fulfilled by job creation to savings in public
US-based workers.13 For countries healthcare costs, cleaner air, lower
relying on imported offshore wind water consumption as fossil fuel
content, there would still be a need generation is replaced and more14.
for domestic mobilisation of workers But for offshore wind to continue
for installation, grid connection, O&M delivering these benefits, it must
and decommissioning activities in the maintain a culture of health and safety
offshore wind project lifetime. as it expands. The sector’s “license
to operate” is based on a strong
There is a relatively low-barrier track record of safe and reliable
workforce transition pathway to delivery, continued learning and
offshore wind for the offshore performance improvement, as well as
oil and gas, marine engineering protection of its workers’ welfare. As
and ancillary sectors which face a sector transforming the livelihoods
labour dislocation in the energy of millions, offshore wind has a
transition (see: Expanding a safe, responsibility to create a legacy of
skilled and capable workforce for safety and security.
12 https://www.groennejob.dk/nyheder-fra-groenne-job/groenne-job
13 https://www.nyserda.ny.gov/-/media/Files/Publications/Research/Biomass-Solar-Wind/Master-Plan/US-job-
creation-in-offshore-wind.pdf
14 https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2019/12/the-true-cost-of-reducing-greenhouse-gas-emissions-
gillingham.htm
GWEC.NET 37
Part 1: Evolving challenges and opportunities
bidding schemes in mature offshore United Kingdom Annual Installations (MW) 5,155
wind markets are even delivering United Kingdom Forecast Installations (MW)
to move towards cost reduction Credit: GWEC and RCG, “Vietnam’s Future Transition to Offshore Wind Auctions: International Best Practices and Lessons Learned,” 2021.
and efficiency, such as through
15 https://www.irena.org/publications/2021/Jun/Renewable-Power-Costs-in-2020
GWEC.NET 39
Often these consultation processes This programme focused on has led to transitions to schemes Corporate PPAs (CPPAs), or direct
will highlight further considerations, simplified technical and competency with remuneration at a premium PPAs secured bilaterally between
such as an optimal volume to criteria, instead of a least-cost determined by performance of the project owner and a corporate
go to tender to achieve cost- approach, to ensure offshore wind wholesale electricity prices. In offtaker, are also emerging as a
competitiveness, required lead time investment continued in the transition. Germany and the Netherlands, such model for procurement without
for implementation and feasibility of This enabled the UK to foster and competitive tenders have resulted in government-mandated revenue
local content requirements. Imposing sustain an active pipeline of offshore winning bids which require no price support. CPPAs have already been
overly strict local content rules at wind projects through the transition support (“zero-subsidy” bids) – this deployed in Germany, the UK and
an early stage is detrimental to phase and subsequent CfD-based is made possible due to government- Taiwan, are common in the onshore
investment, as the costs of supply competitive tender rounds (termed funded site development and wind sector in the US and are being
chain investment in a market with Allocation Rounds), positioning it as transmission infrastructure, and is not eyed in South Korea. Where a bilateral
limited capacity and experience can the world’s leading offshore wind economic in most new markets. market is available, CPPAs can
weaken the economics of a project.16 market today with more than 21 GW support project financing decisions
of installed capacity. It is also important to note that by offering higher remuneration than
Key to the design of a successful schemes which put the onus on in a regulated auction; however, they
support scheme is transparency and In addition to remuneration support, operators taking full wholesale are more common in established
visibility of when and how to transition investment incentives can also be market price risk are sub-optimal in markets where offshore wind costs
to a more price-competitive scheme. provided as fiscal mechanisms such the view of GWEC and its member have already been reduced through
For instance, the UK transitioned from as tax credits, rebates or reliefs. For associations, as this means basing stable support schemes.
a Renewables Obligation scheme instance, in the US, tax incentives long-term investment decisions on
which granted RECs for generation are provided in the offshore wind markets which will be impacted
of renewable energy to a CfD-based sector in the form of the Investment by increasing levels of variability
auction framework in 2014. The UK Tax Credit (ITC) and the Production from large-scale renewable energy
was one of the first group of countries Tax Credit (PTC), with the former sources (and hence susceptible to
to implement auctions for offshore incentivising CAPEX and the latter “price cannibalisation”). Schemes
wind. In this transition, it introduced incentivising generation of energy which do not provide some form of
a grace period and two-year interim (similar to a premium). long-term price visibility have been
procurement phase under its Final shown to strongly increase financing
Investment Decision enabling for As established markets achieve costs and hence the final cost to the
Renewables (FIDeR) programme in cost-competitiveness and stable consumer.17
2012. project pipelines, governments seek
to reduce revenue support. This
16 https://gwec.net/vietnams-future-transition-to-offshore-wind-auctions-international-best-practices-and-lessons-learned/
17 Prol, Steininger and Zilberman, “The cannibalization effect of wind and solar in the California wholesale electricity market,” Energy Economics, 2019; Aurora Energy Research, “The New Economics of Offshore Wind,” 2018;
Cornwall Insight, “Wholesale Power Price Cannibalisation,” 2018.
• The Renewables Obligation (RO/ROC), a • Denmark financed RE projects through the • The German Renewable Energy Act (EEG) that
subsidy scheme for large renewable electricity PSO (Public Service Obligation) tariff. During came into force in April 2000 provided greater
projects applied in 2002, supported deployment the liberalisation of the Danish electricity funding support to operators through two FiT
of 5 GW offshore wind installation until March sector (2000-2002), a guaranteed price with funding models: Basic Model and Acceleration
2017. balancing subsidy for the first 10 years from Model. It remained applicable for wind farms
commissioned by December 2020. The EEG
• Thereafter, UK has employed a CfD scheme, the grid connection and premium FiT with
has been modified several times since then and
introduced in 2013 under the Electricity Market balancing subsidy until 20 years was provided.
remained applicable as the guideline for wind
Reform, which: 1) Provides direct protection This was followed by: 1) Feed-in-premium for
farms. Following the EEG Reform (EEG 2017) in
from volatile wholesale prices to consumers up to 22,000 full load hours, with balancing 2017 and the Offshore Wind Act (WindSeeG),
and developers and 2) Incentivises the upfront subsidy for the entire life through the competitive the tariff-based auction was made compulsory for
investment costs for offshore project developers. tendering process 2) FiT for up to 50,000 full offshore wind projects for cost reduction purposes.
load hours (i.e. ~11-12 years of operation), • While guaranteed support schemes shifted to an
• This CfD scheme, amended in November 2020
wherein connection to the grid was an additional auction-based mechanism in 2017, Germany had
ahead of Allocation Round 4 (AR4), introduced a
subsidy given to offshore wind farms and paid by two zero-subsidy bids until 2018. No schedule
separate definition and administrative strike price
consumers. for offshore wind project allocation was provided
for floating offshore wind projects and changes to
• In 2016 an agreement established that the PSO during 2019-2020.
Supply Chain Plans and the CfD contract.
tariff would be phased out from 2017-2022 • In March 2021, European Commission approved
and projects would be financed through national modified ‘WindSeeG’, a support scheme
budget. applicable until 2026. It is based on centralised
auction model wherein the state pre-selects
• In November 2019, Denmark chose the CfD
and awards specific sites for offshore wind in
model to award the Thor offshore wind project competitive tenders. Payments are granted for 20
with a 20-year PPA. years in the form of a premium on top of the market
• In March 2021, the European Commission price, that will be set on the basis of the lowest bid
approved a two-way CfD premium-based Danish in open and transparent competitive tenders.
aid scheme to procure renewable electricity • This scheme will increase the target for installed
through a competitive tender organised in 2021- offshore wind capacity from 15 GW to 20
2024. The 1.2 GW Hesselø offshore wind GW by 2030 with a goal of 40 GW by
project (tender delayed as of June 2021) will be 2040. German Federal Network Agency
the second project in Denmark, after Thor, under (Bundesnetzagentur) has also opened tenders for
three new offshore wind sites of ~ 958 MW in
such a scheme.
February 2021.
GWEC.NET 41
The Netherlands Taiwan Vietnam
• During 2003-2007, MEP subsidy (Milieukwaliteit • For the implementation of targets set in its • Vietnam offers a FiT scheme for renewable energy-
Elektriciteitsproductie subsidie) was implemented “Thousand Wind Turbines Promotion Project”, based power procurement including offshore wind
through two policy instruments: FiT and a reduced Taiwan offered a “Demonstration Incentive projects under National Power Development Plan
ecotax Program” grant scheme designed to award (PDP) 7. Several support measures promote the
• Although the MEP FiT was effective, it cost too much two offshore wind farm projects in 2012. A development of renewable energies, including
for the government without leading to decrease the guaranteed PPA with the FiT mechanism was incentives on the corporate income tax, the import
amount of FiT support in five years (2003-2007). provided since 2013 with gradual reduction in tax, the land use fee, and project escrow.
Thus, it was replaced with Sustainable Energy FiT rates. • In September 2018, the government set a 20-
Incentive Scheme (SDE: Feed-in Premium) for the • To capture cost reductions, a competitive year FiT at US$9.8c/kWh for offshore wind
period of 2008-2011 intending to develop at least bidding/auction process with lower FiT rates projects to be commissioned before 1 November
450 MW of offshore wind project before 2011. was introduced in 2018, followed by the 2021, which has applied primarily to intertidal/
With lead-time between the submission of three government’s announcement of 7.6% lower FiT nearshore projects.
application in 2009 and the realization of a project, rates for offshore wind in 2020. At that time, • The government has also announced its vision for
the Dutch government supposed projects expensive the offshore wind target was increased to 5.5 a competitive power market with direct PPA pilot
despite there was sufficient budget hence, it did not GW by 2025, initial 3.5 GW out of 5.5 GW scheme operating from 2021 to 2023.
lead to installation of new capacities until 2011. allocated through FiT and remaining 2 GW
• Since the draft PDP8 was released in March
• In 2011, the Netherlands established a tendering allocated through the Competitive Bidding to
2021, with true offshore wind targets by
scheme with subsidies (premium FiT) under the drive down the price.
2030 and 2045 included for the first time,
Dutch Sustainable Energy Incentive Scheme (SDE+), • For offshore wind projects signing 20-year PPAs the government has not stated the procurement
targeting 4.5 GW offshore wind power capacity in 2021, Taiwan has further reduced its FiT by mechanism for offshore wind once the current
by 2023; it secured its two first offshore wind 8.5%, compared with 2020 rates. intertidal/nearshore FiT expires in November
projects at Borssele sites in 2016. • The Bureau of Energy plans to tender total 15 2021. There is the prospect for a transition to
• Soon after the target announcement, a prerequisite GW offshore wind capacity in Round 3 for competitive auctions in the future.
target of ‘40% cost reduction over the period 2015- installation by 2035, across three tendering
2019’ was achieved in first phase tenders during rounds from 2022 to 2024.
2017, following the German precedent of zero-
subsidy bids at Hollandse Kuts.
• In the Offshore Wind Energy Roadmap, about
11 GW offshore wind capacity is planned to be
installed by 2030 through competitive tenders up to
Q4 2025.
• The Renewable Energy Law was released in • Following the approval of the Renewable Energy • Initially, the government provided a FiT scheme.
2006, as the foundation for policy of offshore Bill in 2011, Japan introduced a FiT for wind It was replaced by the Renewable Energy
wind power planning and development, energy in June 2012. At the time, offshore wind Portfolio Standard (RPS) scheme introduced
economic incentive policies, grid connection was priced the same as onshore, although that in 2012 obliging energy suppliers to supply
policy and technical standards. has since changed. In March 2014, the Ministry annual estimated percentage of energy from
• China’s first round of concession bidding started of Economy Trade and Industry (METI) announced offshore wind at fixed price or purchase RECs
in 2010. In 2014, FiTs were introduced for new wind tariffs for 2014/15 (¥22/kWh corresponding to any shortfall in such RPS
offshore wind farms (CNY 0.85/kWh for (€ 0.17/kWh) for onshore and ¥36/kWh obligation. Currently, the mandatory RPS quota
offshore projects, CNY 0.75/kWh for intertidal (€0.28/kWh) for offshore) for 20 years. stands at 9% in 2021 and will go up to 10% in
projects). Although the purchase prices were high, complex 2022 and beyond 2023.
permitting, and approvals made wind energy
• Following the new regulation released in 2018, • Under the 3rd Basic Plan for Energy 2019-
development a daunting process in Japan.
offshore projects approved in 2019 and 2020 2040 announced in June 2019, government is
will go to competitive auction, with the price cap • In November 2018, Japan introduced competitive contemplating to rationalise the energy pricing
set at CNY 0.80/kWh and CNY 0.75/kWh bids for pre-identified promotion zones in a new model by adopting green pricing or implementing
respectively. national framework for offshore wind projects. corporate PPA.
Under the Act, developers will compete not just on
• At the end of 2021, the central government’s • Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy announced
tariff, but also on the suitability of their occupancy
offshore wind subsidy will be phased out. the introduction of a Korean RE100 system in
plans in promotion zones.
However, subsidies provided by provincial January 2021. Its key elements for renewable
governments are encouraged to provide • In March 2020, METI announced FiT for fiscal power procurement including offshore wind
continuity of support. Guangdong province will year 2020 auctions of fixed bottom offshore wind generation are: Third-party PPAs (Electric Utility
subsidise offshore wind projects at incrementally power and floating offshore wind at 36 JPY/ Act Enforcement Decree Amendment will allow
reducing rates from CNY 1500/kW in 2022 kWh, to further boost investor interest. renewable power generators, Korea Electric
to CNY 500/kW in 2024, but projects must be • Approval of Offshore Wind Industry Vision in Power Corporation, and electricity consumers
approved by 2018 and commissioned between December 2020 led Japan to set high offshore to enter into PPAs); Green Premium and REC
2022 and 2024. wind installation targets of 10 GW by 2030 purchase.
• As coastal provinces release their Five-Year Plans and 30-45 GW by 2040. These targets will
to 2025, there will be more visibility around local be counted based on approved projects under
support schemes for financing. FiT through transparent auctions targeting cost
reduction to JPY 8-9/kWh by 2030 to 2035.
GWEC.NET 43
United States France
• The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) administers • France has been awarding offshore wind energy
incentives for private investment for renewable projects through competitive tenders since 2011.
energy technologies including offshore wind energy. • First two offshore wind tenders organised in
Incentives are tax credits and financing mechanisms 2011 and 2013, under EU Commission’s State
such as tax-exempt bonds, loan guarantee Aid Guidelines of 1 April 2008, a FiT scheme
programs, and low-interest loans. was provided. A limited number of categories
• Tax Credits which can be claimed are 1) Renewable of installations generating renewable energies,
Electricity Production Tax Credit (PTC) allows owners including some floating wind installations, can
and developers to claim estimated allowable cents/ now fall under the FiT without a tender process.
kWh for a period of 10 years, it has been extended • Further, a new 20-year CfD/feed-in premium
for renewable facilities beginning the construction by support scheme, complément de remuneration,
the end of 2021; 2) Business Energy ITC is one-time aiming to provide certainty created in 2015 is
credit for owners and developers of offshore wind used wherein EDF is obliged to enter into PPA set
facilities commencing construction prior to 2026 are at fixed reference tariff by the winning tenderer
eligible for a 30% tax credit. and market price difference is then reimbursed
• Since 2018, states-issued competitive solicitations to EDF by the State through a tax on energy
have been driving offshore wind market in US; consumption called CSPE 48.
most of the state’s authority enter into contracts to
buy Offshore Wind Renewable Energy Certificates
(ORECs) and sell it to utilities and other load serving
entities (LSEs), which are required to purchase
clean energy credits; authorities in other states like
Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and Connecticut enter
into direct PPAs with utilities also allowing RECs.
• In May 2021, the federal government set an
ambitious 30 GW target for offshore wind by
2030. Solicitations are expected to continue for
long-term in most of the States, considering their
proposed solicitation schedule and offshore wind
targets up to 2035.
6.2 6.1
4.5 4.4
1.0 1.3 1.7 1.7 3.4 2.3
0.035TW
GWEC.NET 45
Case study: How can lidar support all phases of an offshore wind project?
Provided by: Vaisala
While the offshore wind market by observing offshore sites from SSE Renewables wanted to carry out
continues its exponential growth, multiple positions, further increasing blade erosion repairs, they leveraged
offshore wind farms present new measurement accuracy. lidar to determine the impact of the
challenges—and new opportunities. repairs on turbine performance.
WindCube Offshore and Floating
As turbines grow taller and offshore Lidar Systems (FLS) can also In operation, one or several
sites become more expansive, finding facilitate WRA. AKROCEAN has WindCube Offshore systems are
new ways to obtain precise wind data revealed the FLS could go from port used permanently at the wind farm to
and maximize the potential of offshore to assessment site in just a week, provide continuous quality wind data
wind farms is increasingly critical. speeding the process of project to monitor production and identify
Lidar technology is quickly becoming permitting. Moreover, as exhibited by potential losses or perform diagnosis.
a proven and comprehensive Mainstream Renewable Power, on-site Wind lidar is also increasingly used
measurement solution for every stage fixed offshore lidar measurements for R&D purposes, which now include
of an offshore project. improve project bankability by wake loss, blockage effect and
reducing extrapolation uncertainty. boundary layer studies, active turbine
During development, an accurate and wind farm control and short-term
performance and production Before commissioning, contractual forecasting.
estimate requires the most power curve verification is crucial.
precise measurements possible Siemens Gamesa Renewable Lidars are comprehensive,
to reduce uncertainty. For a recent Energy uses WindCube Nacelle compatible, and simple to deploy and
Wind Resource Assessment in place of met masts because repurpose throughout the lifecycle
(WRA) campaign, wpd deployed of the faster and more accurate of an offshore project. With the right
a WindCube Scan to ensure calculations the nacelle-mounted tools, offshore wind farms are not just
greater measurement heights and lidar provides. WindCube Nacelle technically feasible but financially
confirm wind speeds with on-site ensures correct and IEC-compliant sound.
measurements, achieving its goals of Power Performance Testing (PPT),
increased wind data certainty while and WindCube Insights - Analytics Find out more:
keeping the campaign highly efficient software streamlines simplified http://www.windcubelidar.com/
and cost-effective. Scanning lidar and transparent PPT reporting and
also supports dual lidar to provide analysis. WindCube Nacelle can
even more comprehensive insights also aid during operations: When
In most European countries, offshore decade for the learning process to supply chain and infrastructure
wind project development is now yield a robust industry and supply establishment. Although a slow
possible within around eight years, chain. An initial 1 GW concession project permitting process was widely
mainly because of the transition program, consisting of four offshore recognised as a challenge under
from an “open-door” model to a wind projects in Jiangsu province, the previous federal administration,
“one-stop shop” model. Under was launched in 2010, but project under the Biden administration there
the former model, the developer development was delayed primarily is a determined political agenda and
takes responsibility for initiating site due to conflict between various active engagements with relevant
selection and verification, applying government bodies including the authorities and stakeholders. This
for all permits and approvals, and oceanic administration, maritime has advanced the US as a market
establishing the project at the end. administration and other functions which is meeting critical permitting
However, lessons learned in the like the military, fishery and natural milestones.
initial stage of offshore wind buildout reserves. The market did not take
have led Denmark, Germany, the off until the National Offshore Wind Offshore wind farm development
UK and the Netherlands – where Development Plan (2014-2016) and still takes more than ten years in
more than 60% of global offshore offshore wind FiT were released emerging markets like Japan and
wind installations are based – to by National Energy Administration South Korea, due to complex and
transition to the more simplified (NEA) in 2014. Most importantly, the time-intensive permitting procedures.
“one-stop shop” model. This Management Measures for Offshore Both countries have made bold
model reduces administrative Wind Power Development and offshore wind targets (10 GW by
procedures for developers, Construction was jointly released 2030 in Japan and 12 GW by 2030 in
making government agencies by the NEA and State Oceanic South Korea), but without a sensible
responsible for site selection in Administration (SOA) in 2016, permitting environment in place
either a zonal or site-specific aligning permitting and development to ensure smooth and expeditious
approach, pre-site investigations, guidelines between various project timelines, those targets will be
licensing, Environmental Impact government bodies and stakeholders. challenging to meet.
Assessment (EIA), grid connection to
decommissioning. As an emerging offshore wind
market, the US has demonstrated how
China is the world’s leading offshore project consenting and permitting
wind market today by cumulative can slow down or speed up
installations. It took more than a project development and domestic
GWEC.NET 47
Case Study: Denmark’s “one-stop shop” for timely project permitting
Long-term planning, as well as development. According to the Act, description and plan of activities in consenting offshore wind farms.
a stable and supportive policy the Danish Energy Agency (DEA) to carry out on the offshore site. The licenses required are prepared
framework, have been fundamental has the mandate to both plan and • License to establish the offshore and granted by the DEA through
to the success of Danish offshore issue permits for offshore wind wind turbines, granted if an iterative process involving
wind development. The concept of a projects within territorial waters preliminary investigations show contributions from the relevant
single point of access, or a “one-stop and Denmark’s Exclusive Economic that the project is compatible authorities. The DEA conveys
shop”, for project permitting not only Zone (EEZ). The three licenses with the relevant interests at sea. relevant project specific knowledge
speeds up the consenting process, required to establish an offshore to the other authorities in order
• License to exploit wind power
but also reduces uncertainties and wind farm are granted by the DEA, to mitigate conflicting interests.
for a certain number of years,
delays. which serves as a “one-stop shop” Once the concession has been
and an approval for electricity
for the project developer: granted, the DEA will continue to
The Act on Promotion of Renewable production.
• License to carry out preliminary operate as a single point of contact
Energy defines the rules, if the developer needs assistance
investigations, granted after the According to the DEA, the “one-
requirements and procedures for on issues related to the granted
developer submits a project stop shop” model ensures a smooth
issuing licenses for offshore wind licences and procedures.
and administratively lean process
GWEC.NET 49
Maryland) lined up to 2028. To meet least 16 COPs by 2025, including the
the scale of interest and targeted environmental review the 2.3 GW
growth, BOEM has established Vineyard Wind South wind project
14 Intergovernmental Renewable and up to 10 additional projects in
Energy Task Forces as of May 2021 2021. These steps and improved
to help inform its planning and engagements between relevant
leasing process and plug critical authorities and stakeholders have
data gaps. turned the US into a good example
of an action-oriented administration
There are also new permitting resolving permitting hurdles to foster
deadlines: BOEM plans to review at offshore wind growth.
Construction
Planning and Analysis Leasing Site Assessment and Operations
BOEM publishes call for BOEM determines Lease conducts site Lease may conduct
information and whether competitive characterization studies additional site
nominations interest exists characterization
Lease submits site
BOEM identifies priority If competitive interest assessment plan (SAP) Lease submits
Wind Energy Areas exists, BOEM notifies the construction and
(WEAs) offshore, WEAs public and developers of BOEM conducts
operations plan (COP)
are locations that appear its intent to lease through environmental and
most suitable for wind sale notices before technical reviews of SAP, BOEM conducts
energy development, or holding a lease sale eventually deciding to environmental and
approve, with technical reviews of COP,
Processes unsolicited If competitive interest does modification, or eventually deciding to
application for lease not Exist, BOEM disapprove the SAP approve, with
negotiates a lease (note: modification, or
BOEM may prepare an issuance may be If approved, lease
environmental assessment disapprove the COP
combined with plan assesses site (usually with
for lease issuance and site approval) meteorological towers If approved, lease builds
assessment activities and bodys) wind facility
In October 2020, South Korea via an ‘open-door’ model. The project As of March 2021, 42 projects totalling
declared its carbon neutrality by 2050 developer takes responsibility for site 7.7 GW have acquired an Electric
goal. In support of this goal, and a selection, site verification, preparing Business License (EBL). The EBL
key plank of the country’s Renewable and submitting applications for is the first permit applied for after
Energy 3020 Implementation Plan all approvals and permissions, a successful wind measurement
from 2018, is a target to install 12 GW as well as managing consultation campaign and is therefore a
of offshore wind capacity by 2030. with local authorities, residents good indicator of early project
By 2030, South Korea is expected to and stakeholders. Developers development. There is 140 MW
emerge as East Asia’s hottest floating are generally granted a four-year operational in the country today,
offshore wind market, housing exclusivity period which begins and most projects are developed
some of the world’s biggest floating when the permits to install the over periods of 8-11 years from
offshore wind farms. meteorological measurements EBL to COD. Generally, offshore
equipment is granted. wind project development is a
South Korea has granted permits for fragmented and lengthy process in
offshore wind project development South Korea, lacking a mediation
Offshore wind project development process in South Korea forum for resolving challenges and residents and the fishing industry.
grievances from various stakeholders, This plan called for a new “one-stop
uncertainties regarding grid shop” permitting organisation but is
Wind
Site assessment Feasibility connection and disparity in central facing implementation delays due
Site selection measurement
and site surveys review
campaign and local authorities’ goals. to lack of inter-agency alignment
and continued opposition from local
Currently, permit applications fisheries and diver groups.
Power resources Other permits must be submitted to multiple
Offshore wind Electricity
development and grid business license ministries, resulting in delays and Despite strong political support for
implementation farm design connection application
plan application development uncertainties. In offshore wind and the financial clout
July 2020, the Ministry of Trade, of both domestic and foreign players,
Consultation on Start of
Industry and Energy (MOTIE), it remains challenging for South
Contracting and Offshore wind Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries
resident commercial Korea to realise its ambitious offshore
financial close farm construction
compensation operation (MOF) and Ministry of Environment wind targets on time in view of its
(MOE) jointly issued an ‘Offshore lengthy permitting and stakeholder
Source: Aegir, COWI, Pondera, “Accelerating offshore wind through partnerships,” 2021.
Wind Collaboration Plan’ with local consultation procedures.
GWEC.NET 51
Advancing offshore wind through a holistic
MSP process
The ocean holds a wealth of solutions of decent work and livelihoods for
to address global challenges. Offshore millions (Goal 8).
wind is a vital ocean-based climate
solution in the future energy mix, However, the demand for ocean space
supporting the significant GHG is rising with the combination of both
emissions reduction needed to meet new and established users, from
the Paris Agreement. fishing, tourism, military and shipping,
to offshore renewables like offshore
The ocean also plays an important role wind and aquaculture. Over the next
in reconciling the climate and nature two decades, more ocean users will
crisis. The restoration and rehabilitation undoubtedly emerge, such as marine
of so-called blue carbon ecosystems pharmaceuticals.
such as seagrass, mangroves, coral
reefs and saltmarshes, can both Ocean management tools, such as
recover ecosystem biodiversity Marine Spatial Planning (MSP), can
and function while accounting for reconcile the decarbonisation agenda,
carbon sequestration and increasing the biodiversity agenda and the SDGs.
climate resilience. A sustainable MSP uses an evidence-based approach
ocean economy can deliver on all to improve coordination among marine
17 of the Sustainable Development stakeholders, while minimising cross-
Goals (SDGs), from food security and sector conflicts, tapping into synergies
nutrition (Goals 2 and 3) to provision and encouraging science-based
GWEC.NET 53
Grid challenges and innovations in offshore wind
As the number and size of planning. The third party-owned
offshore wind projects that are model separates the developer from
under development grow at the transmission assets.
unforeseen rates, offshore grids
have become a topic of much Mature European markets, such
interest. The emergence of new as Germany, the Netherlands and
transmission technologies, such as Belgium, have adopted the TSO-
superconductivity, gas-insulated owned model, whereas in the US,
assets, HVDC and Power-to-X, are Mainland China and Taiwan, the
paving the way to a holistic approach developer-owned model has been
to offshore grid planning and adopted. Denmark evolved from
buildout. more than 20 years of the TSO-owned
model to the developer-owned model
Transmission ownership models in 2018, to further drive competition
and lower costs. The UK has utilised
There are mainly three models the third party-owned model, wherein
of ownership for offshore grids: transmission assets are usually built
developer-owned, Transmission by the developer, and by law, at
System Operator (TSO)-owned, commercial operation, the developer
and third party-owned. Under must sell the transmission asset to a
the developer-owned model, the Third-Party Offshore Transmission
developer is responsible for the Owner (OFTO). There are advantages
offshore transmission infrastructure and disadvantages to each model,
planning, installation, operations and which vary based on the political and
maintenance, whereas in the TSO- fiscal preferences of each market, but
owned model, the system operator they all work.
is responsible and typically makes
it part of broader power system
18 Offshore Wind Submarine Cabling Overview. Fisheries Technical Working Group, Final Report. NYSERDA, April 2021.
GWEC.NET 55
insurance supplier.19 In 2021, Ørsted interconnection delays. These risks offshore storage solutions such
identified a cabling issue during an are particularly high in a developer- as iLand.23 Furthermore, seven
inspection at Race Bank Offshore owned model, where transmission European TSOs have signed a
Wind Farm, where unstabilised costs can escalate quickly over time Memorandum of Understanding for
cables connecting its offshore wind as opposed to a TSO-planned and the launch of Eurobar, an initiative
turbines had been moving across owned approach. These costs stem for interconnecting offshore wind
the scour protection (rocks placed from the limited number and options platforms across Europe.24
on the seabed around the turbine of landing sites, cable spacing and
foundations to avoid seabed erosion), crisscrossing with other infrastructure, In the UK, National Grid estimates
abrading its cable protection system. impact on fisheries, local community that the benefits of an integrated
Ørsted is now planning to place a and environment, congested approach for all offshore projects
cover around the damaged cables transmission systems (existing grids to be delivered from 2025 would
and stabilise them against the rocks, were not designed for massive influx amount to nearly £6 billion between
potentially saving hundreds of of offshore wind power), and in turn now and 2050, as well as significant
millions of dollars over the project can lead to curtailments, higher environmental and social benefits
lifetime. The first offshore wind onshore upgrade costs and other (for example, the number of new
projects had a layer of rocks on top adverse outcomes.21 The industry electricity infrastructure assets,
of the cable to help stabilise them has also seen delays of more than 12 including cables and onshore landing
against ocean movement. The new months in grid connections, such as in points, could be reduced by around
solution, without this layer of rocks, Germany.22 50%).25
was introduced a few years back
and has been adopted by most In Europe, ENTSO-E, the association
operational projects worldwide.20 for European TSOs, supports the
planning of the future offshore grid
Another offshore grid challenge by assessing the benefits of over 43
is around a lack of centralised offshore projects all over Europe,
planning and coordination, which including offshore interconnectors,
leads to incremental transmission innovative projects such as the
costs, project development and North Sea Wind Power Hub and
19 https://www.reutersevents.com/renewables/wind/growing-findings-offshore-cable-damage-hike-pressure-protection
20 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-14/orsted-readies-divers-to-fix-wind-power-cables-on-sea-floor
21 https://www.brattle.com/news-and-knowledge/news/planned-offshore-wind-transmission-system-for-new-york-could-provide-cost-savings-of-over-500-million-according-to-study-
by-brattle-economists
22 https://www.offshorewind.biz/2012/06/25/germany-deals-with-further-grid-connection-delays/
23 https://eepublicdownloads.blob.core.windows.net/public-cdn-container/tyndp-documents/TYNDP2020/Foropinion/TYNDP2020_Highlights.pdf
24 https://www.offshorewind.biz/2021/04/15/european-tsos-form-eurobar-to-standardise-offshore-grids/
25 https://www.nationalgrideso.com/news/final-phase-1-report-our-offshore-coordination-project
7GW 7GW
3.5GW
3.5GW
3.1GW Key
3.1GW
High Voltage Direct
Current point-to-point Link
Multiple windfarms
HVDC multi-terminal
8.1GW
2.6GW 2.6GW
Meshed HVDC substation
0.3GW
0.3GW OWF connection to existing
HVDC converter station
Lines demonstrate the number of links, not the number of individual cables.
Some of the links shown may be formed by a number of cables.
GWEC.NET 57
Schematic representation of the Kriegers Flak Combined Grid Solution
Source: 50Hertz
In addition, the Kriegers Flak Offshore Transmission Networks’ With regards to subsea inspections, This vastly expedites the process,
Combined Grid Solution project, (PROMOTioN), completed in 2020, the industry has traditionally used removes people from hazardous
completed in 2020, is the world’s first concluded there are no technological divers and remotely operated environments and reduces vessel
project combining grid connections showstoppers for multi-terminal underwater vehicles (ROV). With the sizes.27 For example, the Woods Hole
to offshore wind farms with an HVDC transmission networks, advancement of new technologies Oceanographic Institution designed
interconnector between Denmark and although significant standardisation such as simultaneous localisation the torpedo-shaped REMUS ocean
Germany.26 work is required. and mapping (SLAM), increasingly robot to map the seafloor around
autonomous ROV and machine cables in order to collect detailed
There are many other offshore grid Offshore grid innovations learning, operators are offered with information such as gaps in the
challenges, but making offshore the capability to process video sediment protecting the cable.28
HVDC systems interoperable, Many companies and research
feeds in discrete frames, recognising
flexible, modular, scalable, reliable institutions are looking at the According to research institute MaREI,
structural key features, anomalies,
and resilient, remain some of the next frontier for offshore grids, at University College Cork, current
automatically tagging and grading
greatest. The EU-funded project from robotics and digital twin superconducting cable technology
them according to predefined levels.
‘PROgress on Meshed HVDC technology to superconducting. is not fit for large offshore wind
26 https://www.50hertz.com/en/Grid/Griddevelopement/Offshoreprojects/CombinedGridSolution; https://en.energinet.dk/Infrastructure-Projects/Projektliste/KriegersFlakCGS
27 https://www.zdnet.com/article/the-undersea-robots-driving-offshore-wind-generation/
28 https://www.whoi.edu/oceanus/feature/a-new-way-of-seeing-offshore-wind-power-cables/
29
https://www.entsoe.eu/Technopedia/techsheets/
high-temperature-superconductor-hts-cables
GWEC.NET 59
Offshore wind financing
A record-breaking period for offshore 2019’s record full-year figure, a financing using a corporate finance
wind financing revised US$31.9 billion. approach.
Last year, what will eventually The first half of 2020 saw 28 Over the last decade, from 2011 to
be the planet’s largest offshore investment commitments reach 2020, the breakdown of financing
wind farm reached a significant financial close for offshore wind approaches is as follows: corporate
milestone – financial close on the farms, including the largest ever at balance sheet financing of €47billion
first two 1.2 GW phases of the 3.6 the time, the 1.5 GW Hollandse Kust using a corporate finance approach;
GW Dogger Bank Wind Farm off the Zuid off the coast of the Netherlands and €21.7 billion of non-recourse
east coast of England in a deal worth at an estimated US$3.9 billion. Several project financing broken down as
approximately US$8 billion. This other major deals followed as projects €15.4 billion of debt and €6.3 billion
marked the largest ever offshore wind and financing ‘ticket’ sizes continue of equity. In recent years, offshore
farm project financing completed to increase, including the 1.1 GW wind investments increasingly lean on
anywhere in the world. Significant Seagreen project in the UK at an project finance due to the high capital
investments such as this transaction estimated US$3.8 billion, and the requirements. 30
have now become commonplace for Fecamp and Saint-Brieuc projects in
France, together totalling 993 MW and Evolution of the offshore wind
the offshore wind industry.
US$5.4 billion. financing ecosystem
There was also an abundance of
According to WindEurope’s latest Fixed-bottom offshore wind
financing activity in the sector as
analysis, total investments in 2020 technology has reached a point of
2020 became a record year for
for offshore wind across the region maturation in Europe, with its rapid
offshore wind financing, despite the
were approximately US$31 billion growth enabled by an expanding
COVID-19 pandemic. Offshore wind
(including offshore transmission line network of financial actors, along
financing in the first six months of
infrastructure). Of this total investment with favourable and increasingly
2020 totalled US$35 billion, up by a
figure, 58% represents non-recourse attractive conditions relating to
record 319% year-on-year, according
debt financing, while just 18% of the country political risk profiles,
to BloombergNEF, representing the
capital raised was on balance sheet available liquidity and weighted cost
most active half-year ever for final
of capital. The recognition of offshore
investment decisions, well above
wind as an infrastructure asset class
30 WindEurope, “Financing and investment trends,” 2019.
In addition, the ecosystem of financial Source: FTI Consulting, GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021
actors involved in offshore wind
transactions has expanded.
GWEC.NET 61
been key to enlarging the pool of risk The evolving trend to watch is the
capital willing to invest in the sector. A move to a ‘zero-subsidy model’ seen
growing number of sovereign wealth in the Netherlands and Germany, for
funds have also begun to enter the example. This development, in terms
offshore wind sector on a similar of market design, signals that the
basis. underlying business fundamentals in
selling power are changing as project
The cost of offshore wind is highly developers will only receive the
sensitive to the cost of debt, making wholesale price of electricity. Under
access to cheaper debt crucial for this wholesale market approach
the sector’s further development. developers must bear the risk of
The industry is increasingly reliant electricity price volatility. This is
on commercial banks entering uncharted territory for many in the
into project financing deals with offshore wind industry, bringing new
additional financing support provided opportunities but also a huge amount
by multilateral banks and national of uncertainty and financial risk,
finance institutions. Key players including the likely compression of
providing debt finance continue to internal rates of return that may make
be commercial banks, export credit offshore wind projects less attractive
agencies, state-owned banks and to investors (see: Support schemes).
multilateral lenders.
Exporting the European experience
Most recently, in March 2021, the
European Investment Bank (EIB) We are now seeing experienced
has granted a US$412 million credit developers, utilities, financial
line to a consortium building a wind investors, and equipment suppliers
farm off the coast of Courseulles-sur- export their proven offshore wind
Mer in France. The financing will be financing approaches to new
guaranteed by the European Fund markets beyond Europe. Export
for Strategic Investments, the central Credit Agencies (ECAs) have played
pillar of the Investment Plan for a crucial role in extending the
Europe - reinforcing offshore wind’s industry beyond Europe, by offering
strategic importance for Europe and guarantees of commercial bank
the EIB’s position as the EU ‘Climate loans to support the offshore wind
Bank.’ industry’s international expansion.
GWEC.NET 63
the Changfang and Xidao 589 MW markets such as the Netherlands Floating offshore wind, which is still
offshore wind project off the coast down this route. at the pre-commercialisation stage
of Changhua County in Taiwan. The of development in both Europe and
589 MW offshore wind farm will be New markets, new risk profiles Asia, is experiencing similar financing
financed through a combination challenges to those faced in financing
Another question now is how these
of equity and senior loans from a fixed-bottom offshore wind projects
established project financing
consortium of 25 international and in new emerging market countries.
models will adapt as offshore wind
Taiwanese banks and financial As utility-scale floating wind is yet to
development proceeds in new
institutions, along with equity be deployed on a commercial basis,
markets, where country risk profiles
financing support from CIP’s Funds it is likely to require either balance-
are higher. This transition into riskier
I and II, Taiwan Life Insurance and sheet financing or more equity
markets, will represent an important
TransGlobe Life Insurance, as well as to be employed as a part of non-
new challenge for offshore wind
with support from six export credit recourse project financing packages.
deployment, where the availability of
agencies. The total project financing According to Green Giraffe, the EIB,
financing could turn from enabler to
raised from commercial banks and a couple of ECAs and a handful of
roadblock.
other financial institutions amounts to commercial banks are prepared to
approximately US$3 billion (NT$ 90 Available liquidity in the global consider lending to a floating wind
billion). financial sector doesn’t flow as easily project with the right “bankability”
to markets with higher risk profiles, profile using more conservative debt
Another Asian market not to be ratios.
such as Brazil, Turkey, India and
ignored in terms of offshore wind Vietnam. The risk profiles of first-
volume is Mainland China, where As the world transitions away from
generation projects in these countries
a unique approach to financing fossil fuels there is also a growing
will also be higher, likely requiring
exists due to the country’s specific trend towards producing “green”
more equity to be deployed and
economic and political environment. hydrogen at massive offshore
in some cases even requiring on
According to BloombergNEF, there electrolysis facilities powered in
balance-sheet financing until projects
were no fewer than 17 Chinese some cases by equally massive
are constructed and significantly
installations financed in 2020, led by offshore wind farms. Such innovative
de-risked. Support schemes such
the Guangdong Yudean Yangjiang infrastructure projects may also
as the one provided by the Brazilian
Yangxi Shapaat 600 MW project face challenges in raising financing
Development Bank (BNDES) to
which required financing of its US$1.8 during their initial deployment
ignite onshore wind development
billion project cost. GWEC notes that period. For example, the recently
in the country could be launched
Mainland China expects to move to announced AquaVentus initiative
as a strategy, in Brazil and in other
a subsidy-free merchant model as has set a goal of achieving 10 GW of
emerging markets for offshore wind.
of 2022, following certain European electrolysis capacity in the North Sea
GWEC.NET 65
Expanding a safe, skilled and capable workforce
for offshore wind
The offshore wind industry is growing these systems into new markets. This ahead. The report concluded that In Europe, training capacity is plentiful
at an unprecedented rate. To manage means thousands more instructors by 2025, over 480,000 GWO-trained with employers enjoying choice and
this rapid growth and achieve a and support staff to help us send out technicians will be required in variety of standardised wind power-
sustainable workforce, the industry a technician workforce with the right construction, installation, operations specific safety and technical training
must expand without compromising skills and safety mindset to avoid and maintenance globally. The at more than 250 locations across the
on safety. injury on site. opportunity for training providers, continent. Around 80,000 technicians
colleges, universities, and other have a valid GWO training record in
This requires alignment and Earlier this year, the Global Wind institutions is tremendous. Europe, many of whom are certified
coordination on a global scale Organisation’s (GWO) sister
amongst policymakers, industry organisation G+ reported that in
representative bodies, employers, Europe, the offshore wind sector
supply chain and educators to ensure experienced fewer than 100 Forecast capacity installations and number of people requiring new training for construction,
sufficient training capacity and recordable injuries for the first installations and O&M globally (2021-2025)
expertise is available. time, decreasing the sector’s Total
Region Onshore Offshore
Recordable Injury Rate (TRIR) to
The narrative to date has focused Installations Training needs Installations Training needs
3.75, representing a 32% year on (MW) (# of people) (MW) (# of people)
purely on one mission: To create an year reduction. This underlines how
injury-free working environment, Europe, Middle East, Africa 92,500 60,057 34,300 44,412
standardised training in basic safety
the world’s largest wind industry and technical skills for wind turbine Asia-Pacific (except China) 39,200 31,227 12,200 32,659
employers have supported technicians is contributing to the Americas (except USA) 26,800 15,660 - -
the operationalisation of safety industry’s safety performance. China 194,500 149,256 34,500 70,099
management by investing in systems USA 46,000 51,624 9,100 25,381
and standards that can be deployed With COP26 on the horizon, GWO
Total (global) 399,000 307,924 90,100 172,281
on a global level. and GWEC widened our focus
with a new report, the Global Wind Total 480,205
In 2021 and beyond the story will Workforce Outlook 2021-2025, (global onshore and offshore)
increasingly consider the job creation which considered the true extent of Credit: Global Wind Workforce Outlook: 2021-2025: Global Wind Organisation and Global Wind Energy
potential associated with propagating the workforce capacity challenge
Council. 2021.
GWEC.NET 67
Part 2. Emerging Markets
Japan
New direction for Asia’s first offshore costs to JPY 8-9/kWh (EUR 0.06-0.07/
wind market kWh) by 2030-35 and to deliver local
content of 60% by 2040. Alongside
2020/21 has been a big year for the industry commitments on cost
offshore wind sector in Japan. Despite and local content, the government
the first projects being installed in is looking at central coordination
2003, the focus in Japan has remained of planning of projects to ensure
on testing and demonstration, and efficient, fair and transparent auctions,
only in 2021 has construction started master planning of the required
on a first generation of commercial- electricity network, and support for
scale offshore projects. skills growth needed in the industry.
Japan fell behind thanks to a GWEC and JWPA policy leadership
combination of complex geography
and regulatory uncertainty. However, GWEC has been actively supporting
Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga’s offshore wind growth in Japan
vow that Japan will achieve carbon since 2018, with efforts stepping
neutrality by 2050, backed up by the up in 2020. In partnership with the
largest national offshore wind target Japanese Wind Power Association,
seen globally with a plan to deliver 10 GWEC established a Japan Offshore
GW by 2030 and 30-45 GW by 2040 Wind Taskforce to bring industry
means increasing sector confidence together. This Taskforce initiated
and growing investment. coordination work to bring industry
and government together to work
The Government’s Offshore Wind on offshore wind acceleration,
Industry Vision includes an agreed through the Public-Private Council
government-industry cost reduction for Strengthening the Industrial
pathway to bring down offshore wind Competitiveness of Offshore Wind.
GWEC.NET 69
or set up local operations, with Progress in government auction
companies seeking to align and work rounds over the past 12 months is
on auction bids. Local players like summarised in the table below.
Marubeni, J-Power, Kansai, TEPCO
and Sumitomo are active in the
market, and are seeking to bring their Japanese offshore auction progress list
experience from investing in offshore
wind in Europe back home to Japan. Stage of progess Round1 (FY2019) Round2 (FY2020)
Initial Progress Initial Progess
Ørsted, Japan Wind Development Co. (July 2019) (July 2020) (July 2020) (November 2020)
(JWD), and Eurus Energy are working Candidate Japan Sea side North, Hiyama, Hokkaido
in partnership to develop projects zones Aomori Japan Sea side South, Mutsu bay, Aomori
off the coast of Akita, with Ørsted Aomori Mutsu bay, Kisakata, Akita-city,
also in partnership with TEPCO on Aomori Happou-cho & Noshiro, Akita
Akita Kisakata, Yusa, Yamagata
other auction bids. Kyuden Mirai, a Akita Murakami & Tainai, Murakami & Tainai,
subsidiary of Kyushu Electric Power Niigata Enoshima Saikai-city, Niigata
Co, has signed a partnership with Nagasaki
RWE, MHI has also signed similar Promising Noshiro, Akita Japan Sea side North,
partnership with CIP, and Equinor areas Yurihonjo, Akita Aomori
is working with Electric Power Choshi, Chiba Japan Sea side South,
Development (J-Power) and JERA. Aomori
Happou-cho & Noshiro,
Spanish company Iberdrola reached Akita
an agreement with Macquarie’s Enoshima Saikai-city,
Green Investment Group (GIG) to Nagasaki
acquire 100% of the Japanese offshore Official Goto, Nagasaki Noshiro, Akita
wind developer Acacia Renewables promotion Yurihonjo North, Akita
in 2020. In Q1 2021 Iberdrola also areas Yurihonjo South, Akita
signed an agreement with Japanese Choshi, Chiba
oil company Cosmo Eco Power Areas with Goto, Nagasaki Noshiro, Akita
(COSMO) and engineering firm Hitz auction already Yurihonjo North, Akita
launched Yurihonjo South, Akita
to jointly develop a 600 MW site in Choshi, Chiba
Aomori prefecture in readiness for the
second round of expected capacity Source: JWPA, July 2021
auctions.
Aomori Pref.
(Japan Sea South)
Aomori Pref.
Hiyama, Hokkaido Pref. (Japan Sea South)
Happou-cho/
Noshiro-city, Akita Pref. Gann-u and Minami-
Shiribeshi, Hokkaido Pref.
Noshiro-city/Mitane-cho/
oga-city, Akita Pref.
Enoshima Saikai-city,
Nagasaki Pref.
Round 1 (4 promising areas), announced in July 2019 for FY2019
Round 2 (4 promising areas), announced in July 2020 for FY 2020
Candidate offshore wind promising areas
Government-led central coordinated research projects
GWEC.NET 71
Growing a Japanese supply chain operation at the end of 2020, GWEC
Market Intelligence forecasts that a
In May 2021, GE Renewable Energy total of 8.2 GW of offshore wind is
and Toshiba announced a strategic likely to be operational in Japan by
partnership agreement to localize 2030, of which 2 GW is expected to
manufacturing of GE’s Haliade-X be floating wind.
offshore wind turbine at Toshiba’s
factory based in Yokohama city.
After Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
ended their 50/50 joint venture with
Vestas, the two companies have now
established a Japanese venture – MHI
Vestas Japan Co. Ltd – to explore
renewable hydrogen opportunities in
Japan. In July 2021, JFE Engineering
announced the plan to produce
monopile and transition piece in new
factories in Japan. Companies like
Hitachi Zosen, Hitz and Marubeni
are working on floating offshore
wind platforms and foundation
technologies more suited to the
Japanese market.
GWEC.NET 73
solar radiation, attention has moved of high R&D intensity in shipbuilding products to overseas offshore projects off the coast of Incheon City.
offshore. Over 12 GW of new offshore and cabling, allowing Samsung markets. Early this summer, Spanish utility
wind capacity needs to be installed and Hyundai to build offshore wind Iberdrola also entered the South
to reach the country’s goals. To installation vessels and local company International partnerships expected to Korean renewable market (including
make this happen, President Moon LS Cable & System to manufacture accelerate offshore wind development offshore wind) by signing an MOU
Jae-in oversaw the agreement to offshore cables for markets in Europe with Korean energy company GS
Leading international offshore players
develop an 8.2 GW offshore wind and the US. Energy.
have recognised the potential for
complex in South Jeolla which was
South Korea also has its own wind offshore wind (particularly floating In addition to partnerships and
signed by more than 30 public and
turbine manufacturers. Of these, offshore) in South Korea and are acquisitions, large-scale floating
private entities based in South Korea
Doosan has the longest track piling into the market. projects are being developed by
in February 2021. In May 2021, the
South Korean Government has also record in offshore wind with 96 MW an international-local consortia.
Early last year, the port city of
announced plans to build a 6 GW installed. With its second production The 200 MW Donghae 1 floating
Ulsan signed a Memorandum of
floating offshore wind farm off the plant completed in Changwon in offshore wind farm, nearly 60
Understanding (MOU) with domestic
coast of Ulsan by 2030. 2021, the company is expanding its kilometres offshore from Ulsan, is
and foreign partners and investors
product line up to an 8 MW platform being developed by Equinor, the
(including Royal Dutch Shell and
Strong local industrial base dedicated from the current 3 MW and 5 MW Korea National Oil Corporation
CoensHexicon, South Korea’s energy
to offshore wind models. In addition, local turbine (KNOC) and Korea East-West Power
company SK E&S and Denmark’s
suppliers Unison and Hyosung are Corporation, for commissioning in
South Korea’s industrial experience in Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners,
seeking opportunities in offshore 2024. In proximity to this project,
steel, shipbuilding and logistics could Macquarie’s Green Investment Group
developments. Most recently, it was Equinor recently commenced LiDAR
translate to competencies in offshore (GIG) and Korea Floating Wind
reported that Hyosung signed a installations to conduct metocean data
engineering and supply chain (KFWind)) to explore large-scale
joint venture with leading Chinese measurements for a potential 800 MW
efficiencies, smoothing the pathway to floating offshore wind development.
offshore turbine producer Shanghai floating offshore wind project.
developing a localised offshore wind In February 2020, Canadian power
Electric in South Korea with the goal
industry. producer Northland Power acquired By 2030, South Korea is expected to
of capitalizing opportunities in the local wind developer Dado Ocean, emerge as East Asia’s hottest floating
offshore wind sector.
For instance, its marine and offshore which owns a portfolio of early-stage offshore wind market, with some of
industry will play a critical role A strong local supply chain also exists offshore wind projects in South Korea. the world’s biggest floating offshore
fabricating offshore wind jacket for forging, with local companies In March, Ørsted signed an MOU with wind farms, boosted by significant
foundations, with local shipyard Hyundai Forging, Hyunjin Materials, Korean POSCO Group to strengthen developer and investor appetite.
company Samkang already delivering Kofco and Taewoong, as well as collaboration on offshore wind and
jacket foundations to the Changhua slewing bearings manufacturers Shilla renewable hydrogen in Korea and the
Demonstration project in Taiwan. and CS Bearing, already exporting latter will support the development
South Korea also has the advantage of Ørsted’s 1.6 GW offshore wind
Ongjingureopdo Offshore Wind Power (233.5) C&I Rejeosaneop Scheduled (Total 9.2GW)
Poongdo Offshore Wind Power (200) IWEST / Uram jonghap geonseol
In operation (Total 142.1MW)
Dangjinnanjidobadawamirae Offshore Wind Power (210) Windeuwei
Farm name (Capacity MW/installation number) Owner
Taean Offshore Wind Power (504) Taeanpungnyeokbaljeon
Gunsan offshore wind power demonstration (3/1) Korea Electric Power Research Institute
Saemangeum offshore wind power (98.8) Saemangeum Offshore Wind Power
YeomSan wind power (38.4) Daemyeong Energy Gochang Offshore Wind Power (69.3) Dongchonpungnyeokbaljeon
Yeonggwang Doouri Wind Power (99.1) Jaewon Energy
Changwoo offshore wind power (151.2/36) CW&RE Wind System Evaluation Center (8) JNTP Dongnamhaean Offshore Wind Power (136/17) SK E&C
Imja offshore wind power (200) Imja offshore wind power Yeonggwang (79.6 (Offshore 34.5) /35)
Sinandaegwang offshore wind power (400) Sinandaegwang offshore wind power Daehan Green Energy / EWP
Yeonggwang Yawol 2 offshore wind power (10.0) Yawol 2 offshore wind power Jeonnam1/2/3 (substantiation complex (2.3/3/4.3) Unison/JNDC/ Unison
Yeonggwang Yawol offshore wind power (49.8/20) Daehan Green Energy Haegi Offshore Wind Power (40) G Wind Sky
Yeonggwang Yaksu Offshore Wind Power (4.3) JNDC
Eoui Offshore Wind Power (99) Sinan Eoui Offshore Wind Power Dadaepo Offshore Wind Power (96) Busan Offshore Wind Power
Wando Offshore Wind Power (148.5/27) IWEST
Apae Wind power1,2 (60) Apaepungnyeokbaljeon Tongyeong Socho Wind Power (9.9) Yeongdongbaljeon
Maewol offshore wind power (96) Maewol offshore wind power
Yokji Offshore Wind Power (352/64) Yokjipungnyeok
Sinan Jeungdo Wind Power (33.0) Win Wind Power
Yokchijwasari Offshore Wind Power (224) HYUNDAI E&C
Shinan Wuyi Offshore Wind Power (396.8) Hanwha E&C/ KOENERGY /SK D&D
Yeosusamsan Offshore Wind Power (320) Yeosusamsan Offshore Wind Power
Shinan Offshore Wind Power (300/47)POSCO Energy/ KOENERGY
Gwangpyeong Offshore Wind Power (808.5) Samhaegaebal
Yeosumundo Offshore Wind Power (400) mundo wind power
Jeonnam 1/2/3 offshore wind power(96/399/399)SK E&S Geumil offshore wind power (200/25) KOENERGY / Cheonghae Remikon
Chunsaeoeui Offshore Wind Power (99) Cheonsaeouipungnyeokbaljeon Geumil 2 offshore wind power (400) KOENERGY Yeosudado1 Offshore Wind Power (256) Dado Ocean Wind Farm
Haenamgunghang Offshore Wind Power (240) Gunghang Offshore Wind Power
Korea Institute of Energy Research’s offshore wind power demonstration (2/1)
Doosan Heavy Industries & Construction's offshore wind power demonstration (3/1)
Hallim Offshore Wind Power (100) KEPCO/KEPCO E&C/KOMIPO/Daelim Industry/Baram Woljeong/Hangwon Offshore Wind Power (125) investment planned
Tamla Offshore Wind Power (30/10) KOENERGY Handong·Pyeongdae Offshore Wind Power (105) investment planned
Daejeong Offshore Wind Power (100) KOSPO/Doosan Heavy Industries & Construction Pyoseon Offshore Wind Power (135) / investment planned
GWEC.NET 75
Fulfilling the promise of South Korean does not always match action, the
offshore wind market will need steadfast public
steering and ambitious long-term
As of the end of 2020, there are targets to drive decarbonisation and
currently five operational offshore diversify the power mix. Still, with
wind projects totalling 132.5 MW, sufficient government commitment
including the latest and largest and industry experience from
60 MW demonstration Southwest neighbouring countries to smooth
Offshore Wind Project completed the learning curve, the future of South
in January 2021 – the first phase Korea’s offshore wind sector looks
of a massive 2.5 GW project. Over bright indeed.
45 offshore wind projects are in
preliminary development (totalling
9.2 GW), as shown below.
GWEC.NET 77
and to ensure the country is ready for
energy transition. Vietnamese annual full-time equivalent years employment created by all vietnamese projects in the high growth scenario, split by cost
element
It is clear that renewable energy is the
key to the future energy transition as 60,000 Development and project managemen t Turbine Balance of plant
the majority of European banks have Installation and commissioning OMS
33 https://ens.dk/sites/ens.dk/files/Globalcooperation/d5_-_input_to_roadmap_for_offshore_wind_development_in_vietnam_full_report_english_final_2020-09-21.pdf
GWEC.NET 79
Unique benefits: High capacity of the energy mix, offshore wind
factor and grid compatibility offers great complementarity
with hydropower. The high wind
The new range of global capacity speed period in Vietnam matches
factors is approximately 40 - 50%, with its dry seasons (November-
with technology progression, it has April) in which the hydro
the potential to reach 60% by 2050. reservoir is at its lowest operation
With this, and a low hourly power capacity. Similarly, the low wind
generation variability, offshore wind speed period collides with the
will eventually match the capacity rainy season (May – October)
factors and efficiency of fossil fuel when the hydro reservoir is
power plants. being replenished and at its peak
operation capacity.
Furthermore, as a country with
hydropower contributing to 30%
Seasonal Average Surface Wind Speed within Five Years from 2007 to 2011
Administration’s ambitious 30 GW by GW by 2050 creating more jobs and Mayflower Wind (804MW)
NJ Empire Wind (816MW)
2030 offshore wind target to Vineyard further economic opportunity for the
Wind’s approval by the Bureau of coast states.
Ocean Energy Management (BOEM),
to the coasts opening off California Regulatory breakthrough at federal Atlantic Shores Offshore Wind
Ocean Wind (1,100 MW)
and Gulf of Mexico, and to more level
DE
Ørsted, PSEG
states increasing or announcing BOEM is responsible for managing Skipjack Wind Farm (120MW)
their offshore wind targets, has made MD
development of offshore resources in MarWin (269MW)
2021 an unprecedented year for US federal waters in the US. In 2009, the
offshore wind. DOI announced final regulations for
Ambitious target set by the New the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS)
Administration Renewable Energy Program, which Unnamed Dominion Energy Project (2,640MW)
GWEC.NET 81
were enacted, BOEM has issued 16 shallow waters between Long Island
commercial and two non-competitive and the New Jersey coast in March.
offshore wind energy leases on the Two months later, DOI, in cooperation
Atlantic, from Cape Cod to Cape of Department of Defence (DOD),
Hatteras, as of the end of 2019. identified an area that will support 3
Although, in total, those offshore GW of offshore wind off California’s
wind leases could support more central coast region, northwest of
than 21 GW of generating capacity, Morro Bay. The processes for the
project permitting, especially the northern and central coasts will
final approval from BOEM for the then be merged in a Proposed Sale
Construction and Operations Plan Notice (PSN) for one lease sale
(COP), has been reported as a major auction, targeted for mid-2022. In
challenge for project development addition, the DOI is also advancing
during the Trump’s presidency. the Humboldt Call Area as a potential
Wind Energy Area (WEA), located
However, a set of bold actions that will off northern California. In total,
catalyse offshore wind development these initial areas could bring up to
was announced since President Biden 4.6 GW of offshore wind including
took over the White House. In January, floating wind to the grid. In June,
DOI’s BOEM and Bureau of Safety BOEM also issued the Request for
and Environmental Enforcement Interest (RFI) in commercial leasing
(BSEE) agreed to a framework for for wind power development on the
coordination in regulating renewable Gulf of Mexico Outer Continental
energy activities on the OCS. To Shelf. The RFI will be focused on the
position the domestic offshore wind western and central planning areas
industry to meet the 2030 target, of the Gulf of Mexico offshore the
BOEM plans to advance new lease states of Louisiana, Texas, Mississippi,
sales and complete review of at least and Alabama.
16 COPs by 2025, representing more
than 19 GW of offshore wind capacity In December 2020, Vineyard Wind
to be installed off the U.S. coasts. To announced that it would temporarily
unlock the deployment potential, withdraw is construction and
BOEM identified new priority wind operations plan for its 800 MW project
energy areas in the New York Bight off the coast of Massachusetts. With
covering nearly 800,000 acres of the Biden Administration taking office,
Additionally, as of July 2021, BOEM caused disruptions across the state, 3500
3558 1760
has started a series of environmental Maryland opened up its second
round of applications for at least 880
reviews of offshore wind projects
1696
including Revolution Wind project, 400 MW offshore wind in Q1 2020.
804
Ocean Wind project, Kitty Hawk NYSERDA also launched its second 130
120 304 1148
offshore wind project and Dominion offshore wind solicitation in July 1066 800 2490
2020, seeking up to 2.5 GW of 755 755
Energy’s Coastal Virginia Offshore 1100
offshore wind, which makes it the 804 804
Wind project. 12 20.7
400
largest in the US history. New Jersey
Strong momentum at the state level followed in September with a second 2020 2021e 2022e 2023e 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e
solicitation, seeking up to 2,400 MW
The East Coast cluster consisting of of offshore wind capacity. Rhode Note: This forecast is only based on projects with commission date announced. For the entire 2021-2030 US
offshore wind forecast, please see the Market Outlook chapter.
Maine, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Island announced a competitive
Massachusetts, New York, New Jersey, Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021
Request for Proposals (RfP) for up
Delaware, Maryland, Virginia and to 600 MW of new offshore wind
North Carolina is driving strong power one month later. State-level database, as of the end of H1 of likely to be built in New York, followed
demand for offshore wind energy. solicitations continues to move on in 2021, the US offshore wind pipeline by New Jersey (25.0%), Virginia
2021 saw an increase of existing 2021. Massachusetts issued its third totalled more than 30 GW in both (17.5%), Massachusetts (10.7%).
offshore targets, first in Virginia and RfP aiming at procuring at 400-1,600 federal and state waters, of which 18 With regards to project ownership,
then Massachusetts. In June, Governor MW of offshore wind capacity in May offshore wind projects have secured the situation is the same as last year
of North Carolina issued an executive and the results are expected to be offtake or won state solicitations and the majority of assets planned to
order calling for the development of announced in late 2021. and announced an anticipated year be built in 2022-2029 are controlled
2.8 GW of offshore wind power by of operation. Developers expect a by European developers including
2030, and 8 GW by 2040. Those new Market ready to take off from 2023 total of 15 GW of offshore wind to be utilities such as Ørsted, Avangrid
targets bring the total announced online between 2022 and 2029 (see Renewables (a subsidiary of Spain’s
offshore wind procurement targets According to GWEC Market
figure on the right). Out of the 15 GW Iberdrola), and EDPR and oil and gas
on the state level, through either Intelligence global offshore wind
of offshore wind capacity, 28.7% is companies like Equinor and Shell. It
GWEC.NET 83
is worth highlighting that oil giant BP GE Renewable Energy (2,024 MW).
acquired a 50% interest in Equinor’s However, the latter increased its US Local supply chain – Balance of plant
Empire Wind and Beacon Wind in offshore order backlog by 66 % after
September 2020 and the consortium the project developer of Vineyard Partnerships with experienced Island, which will be used for their
was selected by NYSERDA as the Wind switched its offshore wind European companies at all levels offshore wind projects in Rhode
winner of the state’s second offshore turbine selection from MHI Vestas of the supply chain and in different Island, Connecticut and New York.
wind solicitation in early 2021. V164-9.5 MW to the GE Haliade-X states have been adopted as a To support the local supply chain,
wind turbine model. Due to the same strategy to maximise US offshore Vineyard Wind has selected the
Compared to GWEC’s US offshore reason, the order backlog of Vestas wind potential. US-based Southwire to design,
wind outlook in last year’s Global in the US dropped to only 21 MW. As manufacture, and install the onshore
Offshore Wind Report, adjustments Last November, the US-based cables for Vineyard Wind 1 wind
of today, the most popular models
have been made for the commission Burns & McDonnell formed a farm. Last but not at least, a US
selected for these projects are SGRE’s
date for projects expected to come strategic alliance with leading offshore wind supply chain study
SG14-222 DD (released by SGRE in
online in the near-term. The primary European foundation supplier Bladt project was launched by state and
May 2020) and GE’s Haliade X- 12MW
reason for the change is due to the Industries to provide steel and federal authorities in May. The
DD.
recent federal approval of the 800 other offshore wind components purpose of the project is to put
MW Vineyard Wind project made Challenges starting to be addressed to along the Eastern coast. Following together a Supply Chain Roadmap
the previous announced project ensure growth the Memorandum of Understanding which will present the collective
commission schedule become (MoU) signed last summer by benefits of a domestic supply chain
realistic. Additionally, in GWEC’s Slow project permitting processes, Ørsted and EEW to work towards and facilitate the acceleration of the
updated US offshore outlook we local supply chain, port infrastructure, establishing a monopile fabrication offshore wind industry in the United
included the four projects that won grid and work force were highlighted facility in Paulsboro, New Jersey for States.
the second offshore wind solicitations as the key challenges by the leading the Ocean Wind project, the two
in both New York and New Jersey in European developers when they Europeans companies together
2021. entered the US offshore wind market. with local members of the building
To pave the road for the industry trades have broken ground for
As of the end of H1 2021, offshore to take off in the US, however, the EEW monopile manufacturing
developers have selected or achievements were made in the past facility in April. In addition, the
announced preferred turbine 12 months in the following areas Danish developer together with the
suppliers for eight offshore projects. (aside from project permitting and joint venture partner Eversource
Thanks to Dominion Energy’s 2,640 consenting breakthrough already are establishing a manufacturing
MW project off the coast of Virginia, mentioned in the early section of this facility for offshore wind foundation
Siemens Gamesa remains as the profile). components at ProvPort in Rhode
largest winner with a 4,354 MW
order backlog in the US, followed by
GWEC.NET 85
Infrastructure – Ports Infrastructure – Grid
To upgrade the country’s ports to assembly and staging to power Massachusetts. The state has In November 2020, the New
accommodate the upcoming surge Revolution Wind, Sunrise Wind, signed lease agreements with Jersey BPU and the regional
in offshore wind projects, the US and South Fork Wind projects Vineyard Wind and Mayflower electricity grid operator
Department of Transportation’s with a combined capacity of Wind to use the terminal PJM signed an agreement
(DOT) Maritime Administration has more than 1.7 GW. as the primary staging and known as a State Agreement
announced a Notice of Funding deployment base for the Approach (SAA) for solicitation
• The South Brooklyn Marine
Opportunity for port authorities and Terminal (SBMT) and the Port construction and installation of of offshore wind transmission
other applicants to apply for USD of Albany, New York. Following their offshore wind projects. solutions, which set New
230 million for port and intermodal Jersey on a path to become
the state’s 2nd offshore wind • Tradepoint Atlantic’s port
infrastructure-related projects solicitation that requires facility in Baltimore County, the first US state to fully align
through the Port Infrastructure developers to includes a Maryland. Ørsted and its offshore wind transmission
Development Program. Currently, multi-port strategy and to Tradepoint Atlantic completed goals with its regional grid
offshore wind ports are under partner with any of the eleven the initial phase of Maryland’s operator’s planning process.
construction in the following states: pre-qualified New York ports, first offshore wind staging The US electric transmission
project developer Anbaric
• New Jersey Wind Port, on the the winners, Equinor and bp, centre in March 2021 and are
eastern shore of the Delaware agreed to partner with the State now beginning preparations for Development Partners has
River. Construction is planned of New York to transform the the second phase of the staging decided to participate the
in two phases with Phase 1 South Brooklyn Marine Terminal centre. solicitation with DNV GL as a
expected to begin in 2021 and (SBMT) and the Port of Albany partner. At the end of last year,
Phase 2, targeted to begin in into large-scale offshore wind the US Department of Energy
2023. The Wind Port has the working industrial facilities. (DOE) has launched a Request
potential to create up to 1,500 for Information (RFI) process
• Arthur Kill Terminal, Staten
regarding the research needs
manufacturing, assembly, and Island, New York. Agreement
operations jobs. for integration of large-scale
with investment funds has been
offshore wind energy generation
• The city port’s State Pier in signed for this offshore wind
into the transmission grid.
New London, Connecticut. The energy staging and assembly
proposed two-phase State Pier port, which is expected to
infrastructure improvement begin operating in late 2025.
project will be used for • The New Bedford Marine
wind turbine generator pre- Commerce Terminal in
GWEC.NET 87
Taiwan
Taiwan is heating up as the second- from 10 GW announced in 2019. Round 3 framework, including how The industry must balance growth
largest offshore wind market in the While the 5.7 GW tranche was much volume will be allocated and with local content requirements that
Asia-Pacific region, after Mainland procured across a selection round when, is due to be published by are expected to be higher in Round 3.
China. Ambitious capacity targets set and auction, the next 15 GW (termed middle of this year.
by the Democratic Progressive Party Round 3) will likely be conducted The Round 3 rules take some
(DPP) government have attracted across two phases; the first phase Critical to the steady progression of industry concerns into account
eager interest from leading offshore (2026-2031) will prioritise projects at the market will be the government’s by removing some items from the
wind developers and technology water depth of less than 50 metres. localisation strategy, which aims to previous Round 2 requirements. It
providers. Already, 128 MW of consolidate the entire supply chain also introduced a mandatory and
offshore capacity has been installed at Following government delays due in Taiwan, from turbine components optional list, and reduced the volume
Formosa 1, Taiwan’s first commercial- to COVID-19, a draft version of the to submarine cables to shipbuilding. of the items mandatory list from 100%
scale offshore wind farm in Miaoli
County, and a further 1.1 GW is
expected to come online from the Progression of Taiwan’s wind procurement mechanisms
Changhua phase 1, Formosa II and
Yulin offshore wind farms by the end Round 3:
of 2021. Phase 2 (2032-2035)
• Totaling 6 GW to be
Round 3: grid connected
New target showing the ambitions, regulations to be
Phase 1 (2026-2031)
but challenges remain • 1.5GW/year released based on the
• Totalling 9 GW to be results from Round 3
Offshore wind is a key component Round 2 (2020-2025) connected from Phase 1
• Selection process 2026-2031
of Taiwan’s green economy vision, allocated 3,836 MW • Auction taking place in
which charts a nuclear-free pathway Round 1 • COD 2020-2025 2022, 2023 and 2024
to generate 20% of electricity through (Demonstration Phase) • Auction process with each auction
• two domonstration allocated 1,664 MW allocated 3 GW (covering
renewable energy by 2025. The projects (128 MW and • COD 2020-2025 two years)
government is aiming to install 5.7 109 MW) • Both selectrion and • Priority to projects with EIA
GW of offshore wind by 2025, and in auction process and at <50m water depth
completed in 2018
May 2021 announced that it would
increase its offshore wind ambitions
237 MW 5.5 GW 9 GW 6 GW
to 15 GW over the 2026-2035 period
Apart from the strict Local Content Development of the supply chain 11308
Requirement (LCR), the Government 9808
is also introducing two factors: a In 2020, positive signs have already 8308
price ceiling and a project cap. The been marked by announcements
6808
Government is introducing a price for an MHI Vestas-Tien Li blade
5308
ceiling in the auction at the avoidance manufacturing facility in Taichung,
cost34 of Taipower. The government an SGRE nacelle production facility
in Taichung and CDWE’s work on 3344
was inspired by the example of 2702
zero-subsidies auction in Europe, as the first Taiwan-built offshore wind 2250
well as the burgeoning Corporate installation vessel. But how flexible 1255
PPA market. However, the price the localisation requirements are in
the forthcoming Round 3 framework 128
ceiling means a very aggressive cost
reduction and would lead to another will be key to determining whether
2020 2021e 2022e 2023e 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e 2030e
11% of cost reduction based on the the nascent offshore wind industry
2025 auction price, where LCR was can develop into a sustainable and Source: GWEC Market Intelligence
not a requirement in the auction for competitive market.
that year. The price ceiling is giving further compels Taiwan to look to
Market outlook for cumulative installed
developers a big challenge as market coastal zones for power production.
offshore wind capacity in Taiwan
demand in the CPPA is not clear and
Power sector reform is also on the
the price ceiling can also deflate the Within the next decade, Taiwan
horizon, with amendments in 2017
CPPA price significantly. The lack of will achieve more than 12 GW of
to the Electricity Business Act which
a long term stable PPA price can also installed offshore wind capacity,
mandated the unbundling of utility
lead to high risks for project financing. becoming an experienced market
Taipower’s generation, transmission
with an established domestic supply
The other factor is the project cap, and distribution business, and the
chain. The sector is supported by a
where projects are limited to 500 MW liberalisation of the electricity market
feed-in tariff, a four-year wind power
(with the possibility to increase 100 to enable multiple business models
promotion plan and a relatively open
MW). The goal of the Government is for direct procurement of renewable
investment environment. Limited land
to encourage competition. However, energy.
space and high energy insecurity
with so many factors, LCR and project
34 Avoidance cost is the average price of coal fired power for Taipower.
GWEC.NET 89
Brazil
Offshore wind in the near future wind projects under evaluation by
IBAMA, the environmental assessment
Within the next decade we will and authorisation body. In April
see the first Brazilian offshore wind 2020, EPE, the government energy
farm begin construction. This may research and planning company,
seem like a very distant future, released ‘Roadmap Eólica Offshore’,
considering the increasingly efficient which shows that Brazil has about 700
development timelines for offshore GW of offshore wind potential to be
wind in European and some Asian explored. The report is a big step for
countries, but Brazil is a market with Brazil because it deals with domestic
its own specificities. It is important to challenges related to the environment,
understand that Brazil has one of the investments, technological
highest levels of renewable energy development and infrastructure.
in its grid, around 49%, in contrast Challenges and opportunities involve
to the world average of 15%. These the creation and adaptation of a
figures demonstrate a very different specialised offshore wind supply
reality from other geographies: The chain, development of a regulatory
country has vast renewable energy framework, connection to the grid
resources at its disposal for energy and other items that will guide
production. Given the abundance stakeholders seeking to develop the
of resources, the country can afford technology in the country.
to implement new technologies
according to availability and, above In line with the EPE Roadmap, the
all, competitiveness. World Bank Group-ESMAP report
“Going Global: Expanding Offshore
With the cost of offshore wind Wind to Emerging Markets” presents
technology dropping, companies Brazil as an emerging market with
and the government have mobilised strong potential for offshore wind.
themselves to prepare for offshore According to this report, Brazil has
wind farms on the Brazilian horizon. an offshore wind potential of around
Today, there are more than 40 offshore 1,200 GW, concentrated in the
GWEC.NET 91
India
The offshore wind market in India gap funding (VGF) to the Ministry done by World Bank-ESMAP suggests
has been under exploration since of Finance in 2019 to support the offshore wind technical potential of
2010. Nodal agency National Institute construction of India’s first 1 GW 195 GW (112 GW fixed and 83 GW
of Wind Energy (NIWE) initiated a offshore wind project in Gujarat. floating) within India’s EEZ. Offshore
call in 2010 to aggregate technical Also in 2019, the draft Offshore Wind wind is seen as a response to
inputs for offshore wind technology. Energy Lease Rules were made growing power demand, competition
The Facilitating Offshore Wind in available for comment. over land availability on land and
India (FOWIND) 2014-2018 project, a system balancing technology.
led by GWEC and funded by the Offshore wind’s role in India’s long- However, no offshore wind project has
EU Delegation to India, focused on term energy transition goals commenced in India to date.
pre-feasibility studies off the coasts of Building on a number of factors, Plans to push for project development
Gujarat and Tamil Nadu. including its Nationally Determined
With growing interest, the Contributions (NDCs), surging The FOWIND studies facilitated
Government of India announced energy demand increasing at 6-7% the identification of 16 potential
the National Offshore Wind Energy year-on-year over the next decade, zones with a concept design for
Policy in 2015 and another EU-funded 24x7 Power for All and power sector demonstration projects of indicative
project, First Offshore Wind Project decarbonisation, the government capacity 150-504 MW in Tamil Nadu
of India (FOWPI) 2016-2019, was has set one of the world’s largest and Gujarat. They found net capacity
initiated for capacity-building. These renewable energy targets of 450 GW factors ranging from 26.9-32% in
projects paved the way to launch a by 2030. This includes targets of 5 Gujarat and 30-38.1% in Tamil Nadu
1 GW Expression of Interest (EOI) GW of offshore wind by 2022, which for 4-10 MW turbine ratings. While
for Gujarat in 2018, which received was later scaled up to 30 GW by the final tender for 1 GW project at
interest from nearly 35 key players. 2030. Pipavav, Gulf of Khambhat, Gujarat is
in the pipeline, industry interest has
However, the EOI has not progressed Deployment of large-scale offshore shifted to the stronger wind resource
any further due to high CAPEX and wind is envisaged to fulfil a power and geotechnical conditions in Tamil
lack of government support schemes. supply gap over the next decade. Nadu.
Taking note of this, the Ministry of Using mesoscale satellite data, NIWE
New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) estimates 36 GW of offshore potential The MNRE is pursuing an offshore
applied for €800 million viability off the Gujarat coast and 35 GW off wind measurement campaign for at
the Tamil Nadu coast. An estimation least 10 GW of valid and accurate
on-site data for feasible offshore fabrication, delivery and installation cost interventions from stakeholders 2019-2021. A World Bank Group
wind siting. NIWE’s plan to have of the support structures for four for offshore wind. The structures roadmap study on offshore wind in
five LiDARs (Light Detection and offshore LiDARs. These interventions for offshore wind PPAs and auction India is also forthcoming.
Ranging) installed by the end of 2021 are likely to enhance the robustness designs are being examined by
would gather precise bankable data of estimates for commercially viable government authorities, and the Opportunities ahead
critical to developing offshore wind offshore wind in India. MNRE, NIWE and the Danish The offshore wind sites identified
projects of up to 7.4 GW indicative Energy Agency have entered into a
Since India already has comparatively off Gujarat and Tamil Nadu will
installable capacity. NIWE has partnership for financial modelling of
cheaper onshore wind and solar require technology and business
already floated tenders for design, offshore wind farms in India (FIMOI)
energy, the MNRE is seeking feasible model customisation alongside
GWEC.NET 93
institutional resource. In April 2021, understanding of the socioeconomic
GWEC India published a statement of benefits associated with offshore
recommendations for offshore wind wind. The true potential for the
development in India, including the offshore wind market in India is
need for the government to frame a recognised as enormous, but urgently
visionary policy towards long-term requires increased government-
cost reduction and energy security, industry coordination and techno-
implement seabed leasing legislation economic studies to be realised in
and provide clarity on the bidding this decade.
process and timelines for tenders. In
addition, expanding the offshore wind
measurement campaign will yield
LiDAR data to identify the potential
zones for bankable offshore wind
projects.
GWEC.NET 95
Country Progress to date Priority themes to create a successful offshore wind industry
GWEC is proud to cooperate with the WBG program on a global scale. The next
few years will see a progressive move towards implementation of projects, therefore
increasing offshore wind’s global reach.
For further information, see: https://esmap.org/esmap_offshore-wind
Development stage Development stage Development stage Development stage Development stage
Pre-approval of 7 offshore wind 1st phase awarded ~5.86 GW Initiated the construction Progress continues on the One study identifies total
projects by government totalling by June 2021 through CfD permit approval process for ground-breaking 2.2 GW Star of technical offshore wind potential
3.5 GW; first offshore wind scheme. During the 2nd phase, Eesti Energia’s 1 GW offshore the South offshore wind energy up to 100 GW in the region.
auction scheduled for 2021 out another 2.5 GW each in 2025 wind project in the Gulf of farm, with contracts signed for Another study assessed 94 GW
of three offshore wind-specific and 2027 to be awarded in Riga, together with Latvia; 1 design of the project’s onshore potential, including 22 GW for
Renewable Energy Support competitive CfD auctions. GW ‘Elwind’ Estonian-Latvian transmission network and grid fixed-bottom. As of today, the
Scheme (RESS) auctions to cross-border project tender connection. Plan submitted Romanian energy companies
meet 5 GW target by 2030; planned for 2026. More than by Australis Energy Ltd for a Hidroelectrica and Romgaz have
development plans for 1.4 GW 12 GW capacity of offshore 300 MW project; while its two made public statements that they
Moneypoint floating farm and wind projects are under projects of ~1 GW are under will invest in offshore wind energy
an offshore wind-to-hydrogen various development stages for planning. technologies.
project unveiled. consenting, EIA, and relevant
preliminary studies etc. Interest for offshore wind in
Australia is increasing as
companies are looking at a total
potential of around 16 GW.
GWEC.NET 97
Ireland Poland Estonia Australia Romania
Political support Political support Political support Political support Political support
Strong and clear political Offshore Wind Act signed Renewable energy to account At the start of 2020, a plan Draft laws for offshore wind
support for a 5 GW offshore into law in January 2021 to for 50% (from current 30%) of for an Offshore Clean Energy projects allocation are under
target by 2030 set in the streamline the permitting, grid final consumption of domestic Infrastructure bill was issued legislative process for finalisation;
Programme for Government in connection rules and supply electricity by 2030, as by the Department of the they propose that the Ministry
2020, referencing ~30 GW chain requirements. Adopted announced in Estonian Energy Environment and Energy. Once of the Economy, Energy and
floating offshore wind potential; important regulation on the Polish Development Plan (ENMAK implemented, the framework will Business Environment introduce
a broader climate neutrality marine spatial planning strategy 2030). Signed Baltic Sea fill an existing regulatory and support mechanisms and grant
target by 2050 is in place. for seabed permitting. In May Offshore Wind Declaration legislative gap that can kickstart projects mainly by means of
Government approved a new 2021, the EU approved 22.5 with six countries to accelerate a viable offshore clean energy concessions, tender procedures,
framework for Ireland’s offshore billion EUR to support offshore the development of offshore industry in Australia. Around or direct licenses.
electricity transmission system wind development through CfD wind capacity and cooperate EUR 2.9 million from Victoria’s
in April 2021 to provide clarity scheme. These two steps are to in spatial planning for maritime Budget 2020/21 allocated
on development, operation allow ~10.9 GW offshore wind areas, grid development, for delivering the offshore
and ownership for transmission capacity to be installed or under capacity planning and support wind regulatory framework.
system. Launched National development by 2030, quicker mechanisms. This budget also includes EUR
Marine Planning Framework than envisaged in the earlier ~333 million for establishing
in July 2021 and approved Energy Policy of Poland which six Renewable Energy Zones,
Maritime Area Planning outlined 10 GW by 2040. For including offshore wind.
Bill 2021 for integrated funding from EU Reconstruction
maritime related planning and Fund, Polish offshore wind
consenting system. Geological development and port upgrades
Survey Ireland awarded 17 are required as per National
assessments over 14 months for Reconstruction Plan.
topics including geotechnical
engineering assessments helpful
for offshore wind farms.
Strategic investment to build an Strengthening and modernising Strengthen Estonian-Latvian Patchy track record on general Challenges regarding existing
indigenous and economically Poland’s grid and transmission cooperation in marine spatial support and policy measures grid and establishment of rules
sustainable local supply chain, network, especially in the north planning for development of to back renewable energy and regulation for offshore grid
including improving port of the country. joint wind farms, to avoid past generation, especially with connections.
infrastructure. Well-organised challenges to offshore projects respect to long-term certainty for
lease and licensing processes, on national security terms. measures such as a Feed-in-Tariff
and clear regulations filling the Russian naval base near Estonian scheme.
gaps around grid connection offshore development zone Baltic
are needed, in addition to robust Sea is among security concerns.
planning and consent.
Next milestone Next milestone Next milestone Next milestone Next milestone
Open qualification process for Need to issue relevant executive Estonia and Latvia work to Policy and regulatory framework Finalise the draft offshore wind
first offshore RESS Auction in regulations by responsible develop guidelines for a formation. laws and outline a clear offshore
2021. ministers such as a regulation collaborative project and wind installation target. Prepare
on maximum price for electricity intensify the cooperation and submit marine spatial
Steps need to be taken to grow generated by offshore wind, for projects to come online. planning strategy.
the local supply chain; currently, technical specifications for Finalisation of the proposed draft
no port in Ireland meets all the installation, marine safety maritime spatial plan.
requirements for offshore wind requirements and principles for
projects. possible purchase of offshore
grid connections by the TSO.
GWEC.NET 99
FLOATING WIND Chapter Sponsor
GWEC.NET 101
The benefits and challenges associated with four dominant floater concepts
Data on platform types used in readiness, as well as familiarity with wind (FOW) project installation
existing demonstration schemes has the technology from oil and gas use. capacity stands at 71.3 MW with the 22%
Barge
shown a preference for spar type Over time, the balance of platform highest share of spar floater type
platform models. However, looking at choice may shift as other concepts as of July 2021. As project activities
56%
schemes now in development, a clear become proven or can demonstrate grow with increasing interest from Spar 22%
shift to semi-submersible platforms opportunities for cost reduction or key players in Tier-1 and Tier-2 FOW Semi-
subme
is easy to spot, with close to two- increased performance, particularly markets, almost 16.5 GW of FOW rsible
thirds of schemes in development for spar, semi-spar and tension leg turbines are forecast to be operational
expected to use different semi- platform variants. by 2030. As per GWEC Market intel
sub technologies. This highlights FOW project database July 2021,
the breadth of semi-submersible According to GWEC Market share of floater types in these global Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021
options with full or near technology Intelligence, global floating offshore FOW projects at various development
GWEC.NET 103
Share of floater type in global FOW projects at various development stages, excluding Selected multi-turbine and integrated floater concepts
commissioned ones
Floating offshore wind is set to Scotland) yields several lessons Return on experience is most workforce, ports and infrastructure.
become a large-scale source learned: effective if incorporated into the These investments will have useful
of affordable renewable energy. early phase of the design process. lives extending beyond individual
Achieving ambitious deployment Each project has unique constraints projects. As a result, successful
levels will require industrialised that require the resolution of a The number of units in a project is markets will be the ones where
supply chains to deliver and series of coupled design problems, an increasingly important driver governments establish conditions
install more than 50 turbines rated where each decision has the for design decisions. As each unit for sustainable, long-term growth.
at 15+ MW in one-two offshore potential to introduce knock-on is identical, smart design decisions
construction seasons. As a result, effects into connected systems and and investments in infrastructure Find out more:
“industrialisation” is one of the processes. As a result, the design can deliver dramatic improvements https://www.principlepowerinc.com/
hottest topics in the industry today; process must holistically address in commercial-scale project LCOE. en/windfloat
but it is also complex, with drivers the full project lifecycle to optimise
cost, performance and schedule, Our ability to flexibly configure
and solutions often misunderstood.
while ensuring appropriate the WindFloat®, and its modular
Principle Power has designed management of risk. architecture, allows us to
WindFloats® for projects ranging accommodate diverse project
from pre-commercial scale (3 Accommodating 15-20 MW requirements. These features
– 5 units) to full industrial-scale turbines requires platform ensure that developers have access
developments of more than 50 configurations that can be efficiently to the broadest range of delivery
units. These projects cover a scaled to manage the increased options to ensure a competitive
wide spectrum of requirements, loads from the wind turbine and supply chain.
including, turbine size, project size, environment. The use of numerical
models that have been validated Turning this vision of floating
environmental conditions, local
against operational experience offshore wind into reality will
content, infrastructure constraints,
brings confidence to all parties require a coordinated effort
and others.
involved. from developers, designers and
Our experience designing, contractors to build supply chains
constructing and operating Feedback from full-scale projects is that are adapted to local conditions.
WindFloat Atlantic (25 MW, an essential input for establishing Delivering commercial-scale
Portugal) and Kincardine (50 MW, industrialisation requirements. projects will require investment in
GWEC.NET 105
Image credit: Principle Power
Turbine integration and sail-out at the Port of Ferrol for WindFloat Atlantic, a project with 3 x 8.4 MW turbines off the coast of northern Portugal.
Floating offshore wind market status and activities - Tier 1 and Tier 2 Markets
Target or
Tier-1
development Development Stage/activity Selected Key Players
Markets
potential
30 MW Hywind Scotland Pilot Park and 50 MW Kincardine floating wind farm scheduled for BW Ideol, Principle Power,
1 GW FOW
commissioning August 2021; Government in March 2021 launched a £20 million competitive TotalEnergies, EDF Renewables,
capacity installation
funding scheme The Floating Offshore Wind (FOW) Demonstration Programme to focus on mid- Equinor, Copenhagen Offshore Partners
by 2030; Major
technology readiness level under Net Zero Innovation Portfolio; The Crown Estate has awarded three (COP), Shell, RWE, SSE Renewables,
UK Potential lies off the
Test & Demonstration projects of total 300 MW capacity in Celtic Sea; ScotWind seabed leasing Falck, Ørsted, BayWa r.e., Flotation
Coast of Scotland
round results awaiting by January 2022; FOW projects of over 4 GW capacity in UK including Energy, Cobra Group, DP Energy FPP,
and the Southwest of
Scotland are at various stages of initial planning to be ready for consenting and development Simply Blue Energy, ERM, Cerulean
the UK
process, larger capacity outside of that is being planned to offset UK oil & gas footprint. Winds, Bechtel, Hexicon
GWEC.NET 107
Target or
Tier-1
development Development Stage/activity Selected Key Players
Markets
potential
To tender 8.75 With 2 MW Floatgen FOW demo installed to date, consented projects of ~118 MW capacity
GW offshore wind are expected to be commissioned by 2022-2023; Multi-annual energy program (Plan de
TotalEnergies, EDF Renewables, Engie,
capacity including programmation pluriannuelle del’Energie (PPE), April 2020 have planned commercial FOW
France EOLFI, BW Ideol, Principle Power,
FOW by 2020- tenders of total 1.25 GW capacity by 2024 (off the Mediterranean and Brittany coast), out
Equinor
2028, but no of which first tender of 270 MW off the south Brittany is launched in April 2021; From 2024
specific FOW target onwards France will plan tenders of 1 GW/year depending on the floating cost.
No official FOW
target, but a total of
25-27 GW FOW With a stated ambition of more than 30 GW of floating wind in its deep Atlantic waters, a total
Simply Blue Energy, Shell, Saipem,
potential area of 800 MW capacity FOW projects is in the consenting stage; >3 GW capacity projects are
Ireland Iberdrola, Equinor, ESB, DP Energy, BW
identified without at initial planning stage including recently unveiled development plan for 1.4 GW Moneypoint
Ideol, Cobra and Flotation Energy
likely significant FOWF on site of ESB coal power station.
environmental
impact
Construction work is expected to start at the first phase of 6 GW FOWF Ulsan at Donghae 1 gas KNOC, Korea East-West Power,
field site in 2022 with full commissioning of the entire project expected in 2030; Multi-GW FOW KHNP, TotalEnergies, GIG, CIP,
South 6 GW FOWF project plans by local players and government, including foreign investors, - projects of over 1 Shell, Macquarie, Ørsted, Equinor,
Korea installation by 2030 GW are under consenting while interests have been shown with initial plans of developing greater Ocean Winds, Aker Solutions, EDP
than 4.5 GW FOW projects; Local players have also shown R&D plans to develop new floating Renewables, Principle Power, Samsung,
foundation design and power offshore Hydrogen plants through FOW turbines. Hyundai, SK E&S and Doosan, POSCO
4 GW by 2030 and
18 GW by 2050
according to JWPA
roadmap; With
12 MW FOW capacity commissioned to date; METI and MLIT launched Japan’s first auction in JERA, Iberdrola, BW Ideol, Green
FOW potential of
July 2020 for a floating offshore wind farm (8 turbines, not less than 16.8 MW total) off Goto City Investment Group, Hitachi Zosen &
~500 GW as per
Japan in Nagasaki Prefecture. The sole bidder, a consortium led by Toda Corporation, was selected in Naval Energies, Mitsubishi, Marubeni,
JWPA since larger
June 2021. Japan unveiled its vision for offshore wind, including targets of 10 GW by 2030 and Toda Corporation, MOL, Principle
part of Japanese
30-45 GW by 2040, however it does not specify FOW capacity. Power
offshore wind zones
is suitable for FOW
technology than
fixed bottom
35 https://www.montelnews.com/en/news/1189892/italy-aims-for-5-gw-floating-wind-by-2040--anev
36 https://gwec.net/discover-the-potential-for-offshore-wind-around-the-world/
GWEC.NET 109
Challenges in Floating Offshore
Wind Development
The focus of the floating offshore regimes, deep water substations gained more experience and different
wind sector is now on rapid scale and dynamic cabling. The extent concepts have had sufficient time in
up of project size, to support rapid of innovation in the market is best the water. However, to survive in this
learning and cost reduction. This is characterised by the large number market platform companies will need
being supported in different forms by of participants and designs in to secure developer partners and be
a number of countries. In the UK for the floating platform market. The able to supply into this first cluster of
example, the initial focus is on smaller bulk of market activity is in semi- commercial projects, or be confident
test and demonstration projects of submersibles at present, though there that they can deliver significant
up to 100 MW, moving to 300 MW are active market players looking at innovation and cost reduction to
scale projects mid-decade, and barge, spar and tension-leg platform be considered as part of a second
500-1000 GW projects expected by options. The focus of a number of generation of platform options.
end of decade/early 2030s through platform providers is demonstrating
ScotWind leasing. In South Korea, their technologies at full scale ready
Government and developers are to supply into the rapidly emerging
pressing ahead with more ambitious market.
multi-GW schemes, though in
practice these schemes are expected The wide variety of platform concepts
to be delivered in stages to allow highlights some of the different
learning. technical and market challenges
that projects will need to address.
Industry is confident of its ability Port access, water depth, ease of
to scale up floating offshore wind manufacture, turbine integration,
rapidly. Continued innovation is cost and performance are all issues
expected in the market, with new being explored by different platform
technologies and products expected companies. It is not expected that the
to support better mooring and anchor market will consolidate significantly
solutions, longer term maintenance across the decade until industry has
GWEC.NET 111
Case study: FLAGSHIP project leading floating offshore wind power
Provided by: Iberdrola
The European Union has the goal of be operated for a minimum of two demonstrative scenarios will be pave the way to the future climate-
achieving climate neutrality by 2050, years in the North Sea. crucial for the industrialisation of neutral Europe by 2050.
as underlined in the European Green floating offshore wind farms and their
Deal. To help achieve this, offshore FLAGSHIP is currently in the replication all over the world. This project has received funding
wind energy is key: An abundant, design phase, purchasing assets from the European Union’s Horizon
natural and clean source of energy and materials, and about to launch Floating wind is now on the verge of 2020 research and innovation
the manufacturing activities. The becoming a commercial reality, and programme under grant agreement
The cost of floating wind can Norwegian companies Olav Olsen, the FLAGSHIP project is the starting Nº 952979.
be reduced by optimising Aker Solutions and Unitech are in point. The combined efforts of the
industrialisation and mobilising the charge of designing, manufacturing companies that have partnered up This project has received funding from
the European Union’s Horizon 2020
entire supply chain. For that reason, and installing the assets. in FLAGSHIP can accelerate the research and innovation programme
under grant agreement Nº 952979
Iberdrola leads a consortium to commercialisation of floating wind.
develop a floating offshore project The deployment of the floating turbine Together we can develop a clean and Find out more:
funded by the Horizon 2020 program at 200m water depth in the MET profitable energy source that helps https://www.flagshiproject.eu/
of the European Commission: Centre is planned for September
“FLoAtinG offSHore wInd oPtimization 2022. The North Sea is the world’s
for commercialization” (FLAGSHIP). leading region for deployed capacity
and expertise in offshore wind.
FLAGSHIP aims to validate and
demonstrate a cost-effective 10+ MW FLAGSHIP also includes an exercise
Floating Offshore Wind Technology to to raise the maturity of the concept to
ensure the reduction of the Levelised a commercial level, allow its industrial
Cost of Energy (LCOE) in the range of production and pave the way towards
40-60€/MWh by 2030. future developments. This exercise
is supported by other consortium
The main challenge of this project is partners including DTU, CENER,
to design and fabricate an innovative IHCantabria, DNV-GL, CoreMarine,
and cost-effective floating semi- Zabala Innovation, and EDF
submersible concrete structure to collaboration for location analysis.
support the first Wind Turbine bigger
than 10 MW. This demonstration will All the knowledge generated by
FLAGSHIP and the results of the
Image credit: Flagship
GWEC.NET
Next generation of offshore wind turbine
technology
The nominal capacity of each wind offshore model with a rotor diameter
Rotor size and power rating continue to increase
turbine installed 20 years ago at of 220 metres installed in Rotterdam
Based on commercial offshore wind turbine installation
Vindeby, the world’s first offshore wind in 2019 retains the world’s record.
farm, was only 450kW. Since then, However, this is not the end of the 240
220 15-17
offshore wind turbine sizes have grown race. 2020 saw Siemens Gamesa, the MW
significantly with the global average world’s No.1 offshore wind turbine 200 11-13
MW
offshore wind turbine size passing the supplier, release its SG14 DD offshore 180
8.0 9.5
in 2005 and 6.0 MW in 2020. As more metres. The new turbine, that can 140
5 6.2
MW MW
smaller offshore turbines installed in reach 15 MW with Power Boost, will 120
Asia (excluding Taiwan), the average be commercially available from 100 3.6MW
turbine rating for new installations in 2024. In February 2021, Vestas, 80
2.0MW
Europe are even higher. It already the world’s No.2 offshore turbine 60
GWEC.NET 115
Case study: Innovation to increase green energy reliability
Provided by: DuPont
Achieving a global energy transition maintenance, reduced installation and global transformer manufacturers
that is compatible with the world’s operating costs and a more positive have been able to design and build
climate goals is unquestionably a impact on the environment. Turbines over 20 GW (approximately 9,000
formidable task. Much depends, for deployed in 2010 had an average size units) which weigh less, occupy less
example, on the pace of innovation of 2.7 MW, while in 2020 this average space and are significantly more
in new and emerging technologies, increased to 6.5 MW. For 2025, the reliable. At the same time, these
the extent to which citizens are able estimated average turbine size is insulated transformers require less
or willing to change their behaviour, expected to be between 10 MW and servicing, have reduced fire hazard
the availability of sustainable 12 MW. and are environmentally safer,
renewable energy and the extent thereby reducing total ownership
and effectiveness of international Technological advancements costs.
collaboration. supporting larger turbines help
to reduce LCOE. However, higher Find out more here:
From a technological perspective, the power per turbine also means that https://www.dupont.
offshore wind industry has improved the cost of failure has a significantly co.uk/nomex-for-elec-
remarkably in past years. Offshore higher impact on ROI for developers. trical-infrastructure.
wind capacity factors have increased In addition, the cost of replacement of html?src=EMEA_EN_
by 18%, reaching an average of 44% any equipment inside the turbine is Safety_EEQM_Article_
in 2019. These improvements were often prohibitively high. Core turbine GWEC2021
largely driven by R&D innovations in equipment such as generators,
turbine design and manufacturing, converters and transformers need to
contributing to increased hub be extremely reliable and possibly
height, rotor diameter and turbines maintenance-free.
doubling in size. Innovations have
also contributed to enabling deep sea Solutions are needed for more
offshore wind farms. compact and reliable equipment with
extended lifetimes. As an example,
The increase in turbine size with the application of Dupont’s
increases their cost-competitiveness, Nomex® insulation technology in
resulting in fewer and more efficient combination with dielectric liquids
turbines, which in turn require less (typically biodegradable esters),
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
MW
GWEC.NET 117
China is playing catch-up in Offshore Wind Turbine Technology
16
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
MW
1
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Solid line: the installation has been completed; Dashed line: new product was released but the prototype is not installed yet.
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021
OPEX can contribute 35-43% to an connection of power and signal would be around €0.1 million in
offshore wind energy project’s 20- between the pitch box and the CAPEX. However, these advanced
year lifetime costs.37 This percentage battery backup box in the hub, or connectivity solutions could provide a
can increase to more than 50% if a connection of power, signal and cost saving of €2.5 million, equivalent
a project’s lifetime extends to 30 single-mode glass fibers for the to approximately 4% of the total
years of operation. In order to keep highly sensitive slipring, or power CAPEX investment.
these costs down, wind turbine and signal to a yaw motor. All these
manufacturers are turning to plug connections should have an effective Find out more:
and play solutions to simplify their EMC shielding capability which https://www.harting.com/DE/en-gb/
operations. necessitates additional care and capex-opex-wind-energy
effort by maintenance teams when
Even optimally designed wind servicing the subassemblies.
turbines need to be well maintained.
A modern offshore wind turbine Designing “hard-wired connections”
is expected to have at least two with terminal blocks seems
scheduled and seven unscheduled simple but leads to very high
maintenance cases per year. These costs. A HARTING White Paper
are primarily due to failures in on Connectivity in Wind Turbines
the subassemblies - such as the describes a case of ten – 7 MW
pitch systems, auxiliary systems, wind turbines. We found labour,
generators, yaw systems and other training and especially turbine
areas.38 In 20 years of operation, 180 downtime costs could reach as
maintenance cases are expected to high as €2.8 million over the 20-
occur. year turbine lifetime. At the same
time, if the hard-wired connections
In every maintenance case, at in each turbine were replaced
least two electrical or fibre-optic with approximately 150 HARTING
connections must be disconnected plug and play connectors, which
and connected by maintenance incorporate a combination of power,
personnel. These could be a data and signal, the investment
Image credit: HARTING
37 https://eit.europa.eu/sites/default/files/KIC_IE_OffshoreWind_anticipated_innovations_impact.pdf
38 Carroll, McDonald and McMillan. Failure rate, repair time and unscheduled O&M cost analysis of offshore wind turbines. Wind Energy. 2016.
GWEC.NET 119
Power-to-X and Renewable Hydrogen
Power-to-X – a stepping stone to Innovation for multiple end-uses
Power-to-X : Integration of renewable energy into end-uses
achieving global energy transition
Power-to-X refers to the conversion of
Electrification, efficiency and surplus renewable energy into liquid Electricity
renewable energy all play a central or gaseous chemical energy sources
part in reducing emissions across through electrolysis and further By-product Biomass- Imported Re-electrifiction Aviation
A
Aviation
based hydrogen (Power-to-Power)
(Powe
w r-to
t -Pow
ower)
all sectors in IEA’s Net Zero 2050 synthesis processes. Power-to-X is hydrogen
POWER BUILDINGS
roadmap. However, those hard- a promising and innovative storage
to-abate sectors where direct solution for wind that minimises Heavy
v -duty
t
Heavy-duty
to fight climate change, hydrogen chemicals like methanol or ammonia Storage Methanation Blending Fuel-cell
(salt caverns,
trains
tra
r ins
has become one of key pillars of for industrial processes (Power-to-Gas storage tanks)
GWEC.NET 121
for hydrogen generation - will Projects that use hydrogen as the
Offshore wind to hydrogen solution 1(a)
power electrolysers that split water feedstock normally pursue this option.
molecules into hydrogen and oxygen.
Green hydrogen is then compressed Another innovative offshore wind-
and stored in a tank system, waiting to to-hydrogen solution aims at using 1. Water Purification 2. Electrolyses 3. Compression 4. Storage
With an offshore hydrogenation platforms to produce green hydrogen Green Hydrogen Facility
As shipping is a relatively expensive gas pipelines cannot achieve 100% Green Hydrogen Facility
form of transportation, electrolysers decarbonisation, it can still be a Offshore wind farm Onshore
can also be deployed in coastal areas contributing solution in the short term
connected by HV subsea cables to as the existing natural gas supply will Hydrogen pipeline
substations to transport the green continue to be used to balance power
hydrogen directly with on-land systems in the immediate future and Offshore wind to hydrogen solution 2
hydrogen pipelines or by truck after blending green hydrogen helps to
compression (see Illustration1(b)). partially decarbonise this flow. The
The 10 GW NortH2 green PosHYdon green hydrogen project
hydrogen project currently under located in the Dutch North Sea and
1. Water Purification 2. Electrolyses
GWEC.NET 123
Project Location Developers Commissioning Status as of H1 2021
and Capacity
Hyoffwind Zeebrugge, Belgium A consortium comprising the Belgian 25 MW (first Plan to obtain the necessary permits by mid-2021.
offshore wind developer Parkwind, production from
Fluxys, and Eoly 2023)
Westküste 100 Germany A consortium includes Ørsted, EDF 700 MW Already secure EUR 30 million funding in 2020.
Germany, Holcim Germany, OGE, and (Phase one at 30
others MW)
Lingen Refinery project Germany Ørsted and bp 50 MW (2024) Jointly agreement signed in November 2020.
500 MW (long term
plan)
Sluiskil Green Zeeland, Netherlands Ørsted and fertilizer producer Yara 100 MW by A final investment decision to build the new plant could be
Ammonia project 2024/2025 taken late 2021 or early 2022.
SeaH2Land Netherlands Ørsted 1 GW by 2030 The development plan was announced in March 2021
VindØ Denmark A consortium of PensionDanmark and 2030 Artificial island with initial 3 GW of offshore wind capacity;
PFA, utility company Andel and CIP plan to connect 10 GW offshore wind and host energy
storage and Power-to-X facilities on this North Sea energy
island.
Ulsan floating offshore Ulsan, South Korea Ten major South Korean companies, 100 MW (pilot Development plan announced in May 2021.
wind-hydrogen project municipalities, and organisations plant 2025), 1.2
including Hyundai GW (2030)
Ishikari offshore wind- Northern island of A consortium comprising of Hokkaido 550 tonnes Development plan announced in July 2021
hydrogen project Hokkaido, Japan Electric Power, Green Power hydrogen per year
Investment, Nippon Steel Engineering, (2024)
and industrial gas provider Air Water
Source: company news, GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021
Denmark was one of the first electrolyser coupled with offshore In May 2021, Ørsted and HOFOR by HOFOR in the Oresund Strait.
countries to set out a legally binding wind, CO2 capture and chemical (Greater Copenhagen Utility) entered The offshore wind farm’s substation
target of carbon neutrality by 2050. synthesis to produce sustainable into an agreement to secure green will be placed at the premises of
To achieve the net zero target, the renewable e-methanol for maritime power for part of the GFDK project. Avedøre Power Station, which is
Danish government and industries transport and renewable e-kerosene As agreed, Ørsted will offtake the owned and operated by Ørsted
have started exploring Power- for aviation. green power produced at the 250 and where the GFDK project will
to-X technologies with the goal of MW Aflandshage offshore wind be located. The power from the
generating green fuels that can Phase 3 (2027-2030+): Further project, which is planned to be built Aflandshage wind farm is expected
decarbonise sectors where direct scale-up to reach a combined
electrification is challenging, such as electrolyser capacity of 1.3
heavy transport, aviation and maritime. GW, corresponding to 30% The view of Avedøre Power Station
of Copenhagen Airport’s fuel
The Green Fuels for Denmark consumption, a large proportion of
(GFDK) project is a good example truck and bus operations in Greater
and presents Denmark’s ambitious Copenhagen and a full-sized
vision for using the large-scale container vessel.
production of sustainable fuels to
support its energy transition. The The first partnership for this project
project, located in Copenhagen, will was formed in May 2020 and it
be built in three phases, each phase consists of leading companies
with approximately 10 MW, 250 MW, across the value chain, including
and 1,300 MW in total electrolysis Copenhagen Airports, SAS (aviation),
capacity, respectively. A.P. Moller–Maersk, DFDS, Molslinjen
(shipping/ferry), DSV Panalpina
Phase 1 (2021-2023): Establishing a (heavy-duty transport), Everfuel, NEL,
single electrolyser module of 10 MW Haldor Topsoe, COWI (Power-to-X
producing renewable hydrogen for technology and solutions), Ørsted
use in fuel cell buses and trucks in (renewable energy developer) and
Denmark. the Municipality of Copenhagen
(Denmark’s Capital Region).
Phase 2 (2023-2027): Scale-up and
commercial operation of a 250 MW
Photo credit: Ørsted
GWEC.NET 125
to meet the power demand for GFDK
project’s first phase and enable parts of
green fuels production for the project’s
second phase. According to Ørsted, it
will continue to pursue opportunities
to secure green power from additional
sources for GFDK project towards the
commissioning of the planned Danish
energy island in Bornholm located in the
Baltic Sea, which is one of energy islands
approved by the Danish government in
2020.
GWEC.NET 127
Offshore wind: Charting the way to installed globally, across China (3
net zero GW), the Netherlands (nearly 1.5 Key takeaways
GW), Belgium (700 MW) and other
Last year’s Global Offshore Wind • 2020 was the second-best record year of growth after 2019, with 6.1 GW
European countries. 2020 also saw
Report 2020 reflected on a decade of capacity added and cumulative global installations of 35.3 GW.
more offshore turbines spinning
of dramatic progress in the offshore in South Korea and the US, as well • Offshore wind now accounts for 5% of total global wind capacity, as of the
wind sector across technology as more than 16 MW of floating end of 2020.
innovation, cost reduction and offshore wind capacity that was grid- • Europe remains the largest offshore wind region by cumulative capacity.
expanding installations in Europe and connected in Portugal.
Mainland China. This year’s edition • The sector is taking off in Asia where more than 10 GW is installed, and
Looking ahead to 2030, GWEC China led new installations globally in 2020 with more than 3 GW of
highlights offshore wind’s role in the
offshore wind reaching grid connection.
decades ahead, as one of the central Market Intelligence is seeing greater
planks of the world’s future energy promise in the sector compared to • More than 235 GW of new offshore wind capacity is forecast through a
system and a necessary vector in its outlook from last year. New annual 36 GW increase from last year’s Business-as-Usual outlook, bringing the
global climate change mitigation installations are expected to sail past cumulative offshore wind capacity to 270 GW by 2030.
efforts. 20 GW in 2026 and potentially reach • The volume of annual offshore wind installations is expected to pass the 20
40 GW in 2030. Over 235 GW of new GW milestone in 2025, increasing its share of global new installations from
Offshore wind ambitions are capacity is expected to be added today’s 6.5% to 20% by 2025.
emerging from nearly every region over the next 10 years, bringing total
• The forecast for floating offshore wind has majorly increased from 6.5 GW
of the world, as policymakers offshore wind capacity by the end of of new capacity by 2030 in last year’s outlook to 16.5 GW, spurred by
increasingly recognise the the decade to 270 GW. Two-thirds of ambitious government targets and major investors’ development plans.
sector’s capacity to transform these installations will occur in the
electricity systems and accelerate • Turbine technology continues to innovate, with turbine sizes set to increase
latter half of the decade.
decarbonisation beyond the power as the sector is under pressure to reach grid parity in Europe and China.
sector. Still, the roadmaps which set • Horizon-scanning for sustainability challenges will be necessary as the
out milestones to reach global carbon sector grows, where constraints can come from existing supply chain and
neutrality and sustain a 1.5°C pathway infrastructure limitations, the carbon footprint and circularity of materials,
aim for around 2,000 GW of offshore foundation design and geopolitical factors.
wind capacity by 2050 – and that • To reach the necessary volumes of growth for a net zero by 2050 scenario,
means a long way to go from the 35 policy and regulatory frameworks in new and early-stage offshore wind
GW installed as of the end of 2020. markets must reflect sector learnings in support schemes and competitive
tenders, permitting, marine spatial planning, grid integration, financing and
Last year was the second-best workforce capacity.
year for offshore wind in terms
of new installations, with 6.1 GW
GWEC.NET 129
APPENDIX
GWEC reports installed and fully GWEC collects installation data from
commissioned capacity additions regional or country wind associations,
and total installations. However, alternatively, from industry experts.
considering the delay of grid Historic installation data has been
connection in China, GWEC uses adjusted based on the input GWEC
installation data from the Chinese received. The 2021 Global Offshore
Wind Energy Association (CWEA) for Wind Report shows the accurate
China instead of grid-connected data. current and historic data.
New installations are gross figures
not deducting decommissioned Used terminology
capacity. Total installations are net GWEC uses terminology to the best
figures, adjusted for decommissioned knowledge. With the wind industry
capacity. transitioning certain terminology
Definition of regions is not yet fixed or can have several
connotations. GWEC is continuously
GWEC adjusted its definition of adapting and adjusting to these
regions in 2018 and maintains these developments.
in the 2021 edition of this report,
specifically for Latin America and
Europe.
GWEC.NET 131
Abbreviation
CAPEX Capital Expenditures
CfD Contracts for Difference
CPPA Corporate Power Purchase
Agreement
ECAs Export Credit Agencies
EOI Expression of Interest
FiT Feed-in Tariff
FOW Floating Offshore Wind
FOWF Floating Offshore Wind Farm
ITC Investment Tax Credits
LCOE Levelised Cost of Energy
LiDAR Light Detection and Ranging
MSP Marine Spatial Planning
MOU Memorandum of
Understanding
O&M Operations and Maintenance
OPEX Operating expenditures
PPA Power Purchase Agreement
PTC Production Tax Credit
R&D Research and Development
RfP Request for Proposal
RECs Renewable energy credits
ROI Return on Investment
SDGs Sustainable Development
Goals
Market Intelligence
GWEC Market Intelligence provides a Market Insights
Policy and Regulations Asset Owners
series of insights and data-based analysis Market statistics,
Country profiles, policy Database of asset owners
on the development of the wind industry. market outlook,
updates, offshore updates in key markets
This includes a market outlook, country auction/tender updates
GWEC.NET 133
Reports Frequency
1. Wind Energy Stats/ Market Data
Wind Stats 2020 (and historic) Annual
Global Wind Report 2021 Annual
Wind Energy Statistics (Wind energy penetration rate, jobs) Annual
3. Market Outlook
Global Wind Market Outlook 2021-2025 (Q1 and Q3) Semi-Annual
5. Auction/ Tender
Auction Trends and Learnings Annual/ Quarterly
Global Auction Results (database) Quarterly
7. Components Assessment
Gearbox (2019), Blade (2020), Generator (2021), followed by other components Special Report
9. O&M
O&M Service Provider Database (ISP - OEM - Self-perform) Annual
Supporting Sponsors
Associate Sponsors
Contact Information
GWEC.NET 135
Global Wind Energy Council
@GWECGlobalWind
@Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC)
@Global Wind Energy Council
www.gwec.net