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GLOBAL OFFSHORE

WIND REPORT 2021

GWEC.NET
Leading Sponsor

Supporting Sponsors

Associate Sponsors

2 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Table of Contents
Foreword5
Offshore wind charting new waters in the Race to Net Zero 9
Market status 2020 18
Market outlook 2030 22
Transforming livelihoods for a sustainable future 35
Taking offshore global 37
Floating wind 100
Offshore wind technology 113
Conclusion127
Appendix130
Methodology  131
Abbreviations132

Global Wind Energy Council Lead Authors Published Sponsored by


Rue du Commerce 31, Joyce Lee, Feng Zhao 9 September 2021
1000, Brussels, Belgium
T. +32 490 56 81 39 Contributing Authors Design
info@gwec.net Alastair Dutton, Ben Backwell, Aspire Design, New Delhi
www.gwec.net Liming Qiao, Wanliang Liang,
Emerson Clarke, Anjali Lathigara,
Martand Shardul, Maf Smith, Dana
Younger, Tan Weng Han, Lisias Abreu

GWEC.NET 3
4 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021
Foreword
Another year has passed and GWEC the region work together will be A case in point is the United States,
is proud to share with you its Global interesting to watch, and whether where the Biden administration has
Offshore Wind Report 2021. the economies of scale and regional embraced offshore wind as part of
cooperation that happened in Europe the green recovery, setting a target
At the end of 2020, we had a total of will play out in Asia. of 30 GW by 2030. It is also great
35 GW of offshore wind across the to see the Vineyard Wind project
world, that is 14 times higher than One dynamic we continue to see receive approval of the construction
10 years ago. New capacity was around the world is the dramatic and operation of the first large-scale,
stable last year at 6.1 GW, roughly fall in the Levelised Cost of Energy US offshore wind project, located off
equivalent to 2019. It’s good to note (LCOE) from offshore wind. Prices Massachusetts.
that the COVID-19 pandemic did not are becoming more and more Alastair Dutton
heavily impact the sector, though attractive for countries that have Over the last year we have seen a Chair of Global Offshore
there were delays in permitting and the fundamentals for offshore wind much wider appreciation of how Wind Task Force, GWEC
some projects have taken longer to and are looking for a high-capacity offshore wind can contribute at scale alastair.dutton@gwec.net
install. renewable energy to bridge fossil in tackling climate change. One of
fuels, solar PV, and onshore wind. the drivers is the increasing number
Offshore wind is a healthy sector with of countries, cities, and companies
a very promising future. When talking with governments declaring a net zero commitment.
around the world, low-cost, high- When they look at how they are
And that future is alive and well as quality, renewable energy is very going to meet their commitments,
Europe expands, the US takes flight, desirable, but it is the associated offshore wind features large in their
and particularly in Asia. Notably, benefits which make it even more plans.
China is a substantial part of the attractive. The benefits that I hear
market throughout this decade most about are reducing imports In the last year we’ve seen floating
and beyond. This year China will whilst tackling climate change; the wind move from concept to practical
overtake the UK as having the largest huge economic growth in terms reality. The size of these projects is
installed capacity. However, other of investment; and the creation of increasing, and fully commercial
markets within the region are moving jobs that makes it compelling for scale projects can be expected
from early stages to concerted politicians. towards the end of this decade.
deployment. How countries in Next decade, we expect floating

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wind to compete directly with than 15% higher than last year’s installations, reaching 20% by 2025 in
fixed foundations, partly because assessment. This is the decade capacity terms.
floating wind trebles the size of the when offshore wind truly comes
addressable market. of age and, to meet the IEA and In the run up to the COP26
IRENA’s 1.5°C scenario, we need to conference later this year,
The next innovation that will spur ramp up significantly over the next considerable effort is going into
offshore wind to even greater two decades. asking governments to make further
deployment is the topic of energy commitments to offshore wind. The
islands. In Denmark this has moved In 2021 GWEC expects that newly time is right to attract trillions of
forward with locations in the North installed capacity will be more dollars to a sector that has proven its
Sea and Baltic Sea being identified than double 2020’s figure, driven credentials and is going from strength
and survey work commenced. mostly by a boost in China where to strength.
The plan is to have the first phases projects seek to secure the feed-
operational in the early 2030s. in-tariff that expires at the end of GWEC looks forward to working
the year. GWEC’s outlook is that with governments, industry and
In terms of going wider, the offshore wind will continue to grow wider stakeholders, as we realise the
subject of hydrogen and Power- as a proportion of global wind new massive and broad benefits of offshore
to-X is expanding and creates wind to nations and their people.
numerous routes to market which
don’t require a large local power
demand. It is interesting to note
that this area is a focus for oil In the run up to the COP26 conference later this year,
and gas players who bring their considerable effort is going into asking governments to
considerable experience and skills
to the opportunity. make further commitments to offshore wind. The time is right
to attract trillions of dollars to a sector that has proven its
The health of the offshore wind
sector is reflected in GWEC’s credentials and is going from strength to strength.
outlook for 2030 which is more

6 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Foreword
The publication last month of That in turn means, “Increases in We are very proud therefore to
the sixth assessment report on the frequency and intensity of hot be working with our peers in the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate extremes, marine heatwaves, and industry and GWEC in the Global
Change could hardly have been heavy precipitation, agricultural and Wind Energy Coalition for COP26
more timely. It came three months ecological droughts in some regions, with aims including intensifying
before the critical COP26 meeting and proportion of intense tropical engagement with policy makers in
is due to begin in Glasgow. And it cyclones, as well as reductions key wind markets to create wind
arrived at a time when the world was in Arctic sea ice, snow cover and energy acceleration plans that include
experiencing first hand a destructive permafrost”. Which is to say more more ambitious capacity targets and
demonstration of the dangers climate of the catastrophic scenes we have pragmatic, workable regulation for Marc Becker
change brings. seen in these past weeks with project development.
consequences that we cannot begin CEO of Offshore Business Unit,
On the evening I write this, Siracusa in Offshore potential Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy
to imagine.
Italy has registered Europe´s highest
ever temperature of 48.8°C. At the We appear to have reached a pivotal Our industry is ready to meet that
same time wildfires are currently moment in the battle against climate challenge. We have the proven
raging in North America, Siberia, change and what happens between technology, the people, and the
Algeria, Tunisia, Greece, Italy and now and the end of 2021, and in determination to deliver wind
many other places beyond. Not long particular in the resolutions agreed turbines that can accelerate the
before we had witnessed terrible later this year in Scotland. energy transition, and the contribution
flooding in northern Europe, India of offshore wind will be critical.
and China. A great many of those of us working
in the wind energy industry do so This report outlines the incredible
The IPCC report could not be clearer: because we are passionate about progress that has been made in
It is “unequivocal” that human addressing the threat of climate offshore the last decade, but equally
activity has warmed the planet and change and we know that wind shows the scale of the task to come.
that without concerted action to cut energy has a crucial role to play in With 2020 installations of 6.1 GW
carbon emissions “global warming providing clean, affordable sources of of capacity being the second best
of 1.5°C and 2°C will be exceeded energy that can decarbonise energy year for installations in our industry´s
during the 21st century”. supply. relatively short history, we now have

GWEC.NET 7
cumulatively deployed more than 35 potential. The size of the turbines our climate goals. We can bring the
GW of wind offshore. now being designed and deployed lessons learned from established
dwarves those upon which we have markets, sharing best practices and
For those of us who have been built our industry. Floating turbines designing optimal market structures
working in offshore for some time, it will be a key part of the mix in that can ensure offshore wind can
is sometimes difficult to believe how the future and we are now seeing satisfy the energy, environmental and
far we have come. But our industry´s important steps taken in the journey economic needs of new markets.
success in delivering a safe and to making Offshore wind a key energy
affordable source of sustainable provider to the emerging hydrogen We need to build a new and enlarged
energy should give us all confidence economy. Advances in digitalisation workforce and support them with a
that GWEC´s outlook of a further are helping us to make our machines commercial environment in which
235 GW installed by the end of 2030 safer, more productive and more each part of the wind energy value
is within our collective grasp. efficient. chain can thrive. We also need to
ensure that our own activities evolve
With new markets such as the US Are there challenges? Of course. Our in a sustainable way.
and Taiwan coming on stream and industry needs greater clarity and
accelerated targets in northern support from policy and regulatory These are not new challenges,
Europe, which has been the cradle for frameworks in both new and mature however. We have faced them down
Offshore development and remains markets. Governments and industry before and built an industry of which
a key hub for development and must continue to work together to we can all be proud. And we will do
deployment. significantly reduce the timelines for it again, expanding our promise to
offshore wind projects. The current safely design, develop, build and
Everywhere you look there is install wind turbines that can deliver
cycle of, in some cases, over 10
evidence of the innovation and the clean, renewable energy our
years from volume announcement
resourcefulness that will be required planet so clearly needs.
to first power will not see us reach
to deliver to offshore wind’s full

8 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


OFFSHORE WIND CHARTING NEW
WATERS IN THE RACE TO NET ZERO

GWEC.NET 9
The world is in uncharted waters On the other hand, consensus on the pathway by up to 14%, according to
when it comes to climate action. On scale of change needed, from energy Climate Action Tracker.
the one hand, there is a narrowing systems to behavioural change, has
window of time to act decisively in never been stronger. There is growing Offshore wind will be a key vector
this decade to halt global warming. momentum from policymakers in the global response to climate
Under current policies and pledges recognising climate change as the change. Energy production accounts
as of May 2021 – and these are still preeminent challenge facing our way for around three-quarters of global
to be implemented – the global of life. The spate of NDC updates and greenhouse gas emissions and will
average temperature increases net zero targets made over the last be the focal area for climate change
will hit 2.4°C by end of century, year from the US, the EU, China, Japan, mitigation efforts. 
spelling out significant hardship the UK and other nations have closed The map of hitherto competing
and unprecedented environmental the emissions reduction gap required policy recommendations has become
impacts ahead1.  by 2030 for a Paris-compliant 1.5˚C much clearer, now that the leading
international energy institutions are
in agreement on the primary role of
2100 Warming projections renewable energy required to meet
Emissions and expected warming based on pledges and current policies the Paris targets and deliver carbon
200
neutrality by 2050. 
Global greenhouse gas emissions GtCO2e / year

Warming projected

150
by 2100 Both the IEA and IRENA have mapped
Baseline
4.1 – 4.8 C
O
out roadmaps whereby wind and
solar PV energy supply around 70%
100
of electricity generation by 2050,
Current policies
2.7 – 3.1 C
O
and both technologies dramatically
50 Pledges & Targets
2.3 – 2.6 C
O
scale up to deliver the required deep
Historical Optimistic
net zero targets emissions reductions.2 From now
2.0 C
to 2050, offshore wind becomes
O

0
2 C consistent
O

1.6 – 1.7 C
a central plank of global
O

1.5 C consistent
O

1.3 C
O

-50 decarbonisation, transforming


1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
the electricity system in
Source: Climate Action Tracker, May 2021. generation, infrastructure,
flexibility and production of green

1 https://climateactiontracker.org/publications/global-update-climate-summit-momentum/
2 https://www.iea.org/reports/net-zero-by-2050; https://www.irena.org/publications/2021/Jun/World-Energy-Transitions-Outlook

10 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


fuels like hydrogen. Its application and floating offshore wind unlocking IRENA foresees more than 2,000 GW the world, from the Caribbean to East
does not discriminate between tremendous potential for fossil fuels of offshore wind installed capacity by Asia to sub-Saharan Africa.
emerging economies and advanced displacement from 2030 onward. The 2050 in its 1.5°C scenario, nearly one-
economies, nor one region of the IEA calls for offshore wind to grow as quarter of total wind power capacity Based on IRENA’s target OF 2,000
world over another.  a share of total wind deployment, from at that time. GW, which would be required
7% in 2020 to more than 20% from to achieve carbon neutrality and
Offshore wind is a key technology 2021 onward. Its roadmap requires Where will offshore wind be built by sustain a Paris-compliant pathway,
in these net zero scenarios, with offshore wind annual installations 2050? GWEC Market Intelligence foresees
fixed-bottom offshore wind set for to grow 13-fold, from the 6.1 GW Asia emerging as the world’s most
rapid acceleration over this decade We have only begun to scratch the prominent offshore wind region, home
installed in 2020 to 80 GW by 2030. surface of offshore wind potential. to nearly 40% of installations by 2050,
With 35 GW installed today, primarily followed by Europe (32%), North
Closing the offshore wind gap by 2050
in Europe and China, offshore America (18%), Latin America (6%),
Unit: GW 2,000 GW wind comprises less than 0.5% of the Pacific region (4%) and Africa and
of offshore wind by 2050 to global installed electricity capacity.
achieve net zero emissions by 2050 the Middle East (2%).
and maintain a 1.5°C pathway
Nonetheless, the offshore wind
resource available worldwide is
2000
formidable. The World Bank has
1750 identified more than 71,000 GW of
technical resource potential available
1500 worldwide – nearly 10 times the
world’s current installed electricity
270 GW x 8.5 1250
of offshore wind capacity. 3
installations
1000 The Offshore Wind Resource Hub,
globally by 2030
launched by GWEC on World
750
Ocean Day in 2021, consolidates
500 territorial maps of fixed and floating
offshore wind potential in nearly
35 GW 250 100 countries.4 These illustrate the
of offshore wind x7 potential for offshore wind, as an
installed in 2020 0
indigenous and sustainable resource,
2020 2030 2050
to be distributed in every region of
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence; IRENA World Energy Transitions Outlook 2021.

3 https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/dataset/global-offshore-wind-technical-potential; the IEA’s World Energy Outlook 2020 identifies global electricity capacity as 7,484 GW in 2019
4 https://gwec.net/offshore-wind

GWEC.NET 11
Where could 2,000 GW of offshore wind by 2050 be built?

640

760
360

EU
127 “Green Deal“
2050 Target
US 2050 Target (300)
25 Total announced
0 29 (110)
109 2030/2035/2040
2020 2030e 2050e targets by China,
2020 2030e 2050e 10 Japan, South Korea,

Europe 2020 2030e 2050e


Taiwan (150)

North America
Asia

120
40
0 0 80

0 2 2020 2030e 2050e

2020 2030e 2050e Africa & ME


0 3
Latin America
2020 2030e 2050e

Pacific

Unit: GW Installations as of 2020 Regional forecast by 2050, based on 2,000 GW global target
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence Installations by 2030 under current policies Current regional or national targets

12 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


However, the volumes of offshore but will need to raise its ambition
wind required in every region of the and be joined by Canada to meet A message from the UNFCCC Race to Zero Campaign
world are still drastically higher than the continent’s potential. Pathfinder
current targets, and miles ahead of markets will need to activate wider Race to Zero is the UN-backed global campaign rallying non-state
current capacity. Only in Europe is interest and ambition in offshore wind actors across the global economy to take rigorous and immediate action
there a target to 2050, set at 300 GW in each region, such as Brazil and to halve global emissions by 2030 and deliver a healthier, fairer zero
under the EU Offshore Renewable Colombia in Latin America, South carbon world in time. We need all companies to join the race, including
Energy Strategy. Even this falls far Africa and Morocco in Africa and the offshore wind industry. 
short of Europe’s foreseen share for the Middle East and Australia in the
In this race to a resilient, net zero world, ocean-based climate solutions
the world to reach 2,000 GW, although Pacific. 
such as offshore wind play a critical role. We know that the potential
volumes from the UK, Norway, Turkey
To kickstart activity in countries with of offshore wind is high. A key enabler to tap its full potential is a
and Russia will help to make up the
near-zero offshore wind, countries sustainably managed ocean. Therefore, governments, in collaboration
difference.
will need to introduce national policy with relevant stakeholders and informed by science, need to allocate the
The growth story is most pronounced frameworks for offshore wind in this necessary space for the offshore wind industry to grow, in harmonious
in Asia, which GWEC Market decade. Targets alone will not suffice co-existence with other ocean users.
Intelligence forecasts as the to make offshore wind the bridge for
Parallel to this growth, offshore wind companies should contribute to
forerunner for offshore wind in this the fossil fuels-to-clean transition –
the restoration of marine and coastal ecosystems by ensuring that all
century. Around 760 GW of offshore long-term vision, forward-planning
operations have a positive impact on nature. All ocean-based renewable
wind capacity must be delivered in enabling infrastructure and
energy companies should commit to publicly report on actions taken
by China, Japan, South Korea, clear regulation will be required to
to protect and restore marine ecosystems by 2030, as outlined in
Vietnam, the Philippines and other accelerate offshore wind deployment.
the Ocean and Coastal Zones Climate Action Pathway 2021.
geographies in the region; however,
current targets only stretch to 2040 System decarbonisation potential of
With input from: Ignace Beguin, Ocean Lead, UNFCCC Climate
and amount to 150 GW among the offshore wind
Champions
region’s major offshore wind leaders While the carbon-free production
(China, Japan, South Korea and profile and increasing cost-
Taiwan). competitiveness of wind and solar
In other regions of the world, a energy give them an edge in energy “The growth story is most pronounced in Asia, which GWEC
dramatic scale up of offshore wind is markets, system planners are also
focused on the need to maintain Market Intelligence forecasts as the forerunner for offshore
called for over the next three decades
from near-zero capacity levels today. energy security and a balanced grid wind in this century.”
To date, the US has set cumulative as power demand grows. As the
federal and state targets of 110 GW share of renewables grows in energy

GWEC.NET 13
systems, system operators will focus renewables, on comparable with the have brought offshore wind LCOE far
on optimising clean power sources to most efficient gas-fired power plants, below what industry experts could
ensure predictability, dispatchability as shown in the graph below. New have predicted. 
of generation and consistency of offshore wind projects are delivering
load factors, particularly as large capacity factors ranging from 40-50% A 2020 expert elicitation survey of
commercial and industrial users in utilising 5 MW turbines, while floating more than 140 wind experts found
energy-intensive sectors commit to wind projects like Hywind Scotland that cost reduction pathways for
lowering emissions. delivered a record-breaking average offshore wind had been drastically
capacity factor of 57% in its third year underestimated over the last five
Offshore wind can support energy of operation to March 20205. years7. Surveyed experts now predict
security by displacing fossil fixed-bottom offshore LCOE to
fuels baseload generation with The daily generation profile for continue declining from 35-49% from
clean power operating at lower offshore wind also reflects greater 2035 to 2050, while floating offshore
intermittency compared to other consistency, with around half of the wind will decline from 17-40% from
renewable energy technologies, hourly fluctuation typically seen in 2035 to 2050. This reduction will
particularly when paired with storage solar PV. As turbine sizes continue be driven by innovation in turbine
solutions. Offshore wind offers to scale to 15 MW power rating and technology, as well as improvements
the highest capacity factors of all beyond in the decade ahead, average in cost of capital, project design life,
capacity factors at operational overall capacity factors and OPEX
Average annual capacity factor (%) by offshore wind farms will continue to optimisation.
technology in year 2018
increase, particularly for projects with
63 Continued innovation will be needed
large aggregation of turbines.
to harness offshore wind from
52
Cost reduction should not be a wider variety of geographies,
43
understated either. Around one-third including strengthening turbine
of offshore wind project lifetime costs resilience in regions prone to tropical
29 21 29 are drawn from wind turbines and cyclones, typhoons or hurricanes,
22
installation, while nearly 30% is drawn as well as pushing towards the
10 from OPEX6. The evolving efficiency commercialisation of floating wind
of manufacturing, installation and before 2030 (see: Floating Wind
Efficient Solar PV Onshore Offshore O&M, combined with increasing chapter). These factors in turn pose
Gas Wind Wind
turbine size and economies of scale, a regulatory challenge to ensure
Source: IEA

5 https://www.iea.org/reports/offshore-wind-outlook-2019 ; https://www.equinor.com/en/news/20210323-hywind-scotland-uk-best-performing-offshore-wind-farm.htm
6 https://guidetoanoffshorewindfarm.com/wind-farm-costs
7 We note that members of GWEC Secretariat took part in the expert elicitation survey; https://www.nature.com/articles/s41560-021-00810-z.pdf.

14 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


common recognition and certification for eventual deployment in offshore
of project and component design environments.  Case study: UK’s CfD model delivering high volumes at low costs
elements, as the sector continues to Provided by: CRU
expand to new markets. But coordination with heavy
industries, including steel and Steel is a crucial element of 4.75 mm thickness. Offshore wind
As the offshore wind industry concrete, will be the key to offshore wind projects. It is used typically requires thicker plates
expands, so will its demand for decreasing the offshore wind sector’s to build the tower, transition piece, than other applications, even as
structural materials such as concrete carbon footprint. Greater coalition- offshore substation and, most much as 150 mm. The sector has
and steel, critical minerals such building for value chain sustainability importantly, the foundation. A developed rapidly to become the
as copper, nickel, chromium and can strengthen acceptable standards monopile foundation is essentially key demand growth driver for
manganese, and rare earths such as for procurement, support suppliers a big steel tube driven into the this niche steel in Europe. Similar
the neodymium and boron magnets in in switching to renewable energy seabed. Supporting a large turbine dynamics are now emerging in Asia
wind turbines. This not only deepens sources for manufacturing and foster out at sea presents a challenge for and North America.
existing dependencies where peer-to-peer guidance on sustainable material strength and durability, and
minerals and rare earths are mined practices. Collaborative efforts will steel plate provides an excellent From the steel mills’ perspective,
– for instance, China is the main also be needed for cost reduction response to that challenge. offshore wind is a big deal. CRU
exporter of rare earth metals globally of green hydrogen production and calculates that 15-20% of European
– but sheds light on the carbon application to fuel production of steel Plate is a steel product defined demand for reversing mill plate
intensity of upstream processes in the and other products (see: Power-to-X as flat-rolled steel of more than comes from wind. We expect this
offshore wind supply chain.  section).
Wind share of regional mile plate demand (%)
The materials extraction process is Manufacturing capacity will also Europe Asia Other
the primary source of CO equivalent
2
scale up for blades, with latest
emissions in the lifecycle of an models exceeding 100 metres
offshore wind project, dominated by in length. Around 85-90% of a
steel manufacturing, which comprises wind turbine’s weight is already
nearly two-thirds of materials-related commercially recyclable, but blade
emissions8. There are emerging composites, resins and fibres form
innovations to address the steel a hurdle to end-of-life recycling and
challenge, such as Modvion’s management. The concern around
modular wind turbine tower made composite waste creation and
from laminated wood, envisioned circular economy in the onshore wind
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
sector is on the horizon for offshore

8 https://www.siemensgamesa.com/-/media/siemensgamesa/downloads/en/products-and-services/offshore/ Source: CRU


brochures/siemens-gamesa-environmental-product-declaration-epd-sg-8-0-167.pdf

GWEC.NET 15
wind, where projects like the EU’s Conclusion
to exceed 25% within five years, • Supply chain carbon MAREWIND initiative aim to identify
driven by offshore wind. In Asia, footprint: Strategies to solutions for next-generation offshore While those in the industry are bullish
a plate market around ten times decarbonise supply chains wind materials and coatings to about offshore wind’s capacity to
larger than Europe, the plate are widespread and have a increase resilience, corrosion/erosion innovate and deliver competitive
demand from wind is smaller but particular resonance within protection and recyclability.  costs, the unprecedented scale of
rising. renewable energy. Offshore deployment required over the next
wind will be a strong future Industry consortiums have also been three decades will require political
If we look at the relationship from source of demand for low-CO2 formed in 2021, with public-sector will as much as favourable economics
the other end, steel is also a big steel. But steel is a “hard-to- backing, to enable blade recycling: and sustainable expansion of the
deal for the offshore wind sector, abate” sector with enormous DecomBlades project is a cross- industrial supply chain. 
with 25% of CAPEX coming from technological and commercial sector consortium which seeks
foundation and tower1. There is a to accelerate commercialisation The price volatility of oil and gas
challenges to decarbonise.
huge mutual dependency between of composite recycling for wind markets during the pandemic has
CRU’s Emissions Analysis Tool
steel producers and offshore wind turbines; while the Circular Economy only accentuated the strategic
shows that on average liquid
developers. In that context, the for Thermosets Epoxy Composites considerations for energy
steel emits almost 2t CO2/t.
following key challenges can be (CETEC) initiative aims to deliver independence, which can be
highlighted: • Managing price risk: a solution for disassembly of blade supported by offshore wind as
Offshore wind requires large thermoset composites into fibre an indigenous natural resource.
• Security of supply: Amid volumes of steel over long time Governments must go a step further
and epoxy, which will then be
competing demands, there is periods. But steel prices are and avoid the risk of stranded assets
“chemcycled” into base components
a need to ensure that the right volatile; for example, steel plate by curbing spending and support for
for manufacture of new blades.
amount of the right steel can prices in Germany increased carbon-intensive generation, which
be secured at the right time. by over 120% between July Improving project circularity, would otherwise lock in expensive
The world market is complex 2020 and July 2021. Many extending wind turbine lifecycles for and polluting fossil fuels for decades
and always changing, subject companies in the wind supply greater economy and innovation for to come. Meanwhile, an evolving set
to multiple forces. Business chain are choosing to manage refined materials and commercial of mechanisms offer market levers
intelligence to support this price risk by indexing their recycling processes will all be to disincentivise fossil fuel offtake
managing that complexity is commercial contracts to CRU’s necessary components of improving and generation, from carbon border
vital. steel prices. offshore wind sustainability. Progress adjustment mechanisms to portfolio
in these areas will require strong standards.
Find out more: public-private partnerships,
https://www2.crugroup.
academic/R&D investment and cross-
com/l/707643/2021-07-01/zvs6y
sector coordination. 
1 IRENA (2016), The Power to Change: Solar and Wind Cost Reduction Potential to 2025.

16 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


The UNFCCC Climate Action Pathway
for Oceans and Coastal Zones
outlines several milestones to 2050 for
offshore wind to deliver its mitigation
potential: concrete national capacity
targets, concerted environmental
impact assessments, integrated
and sustainable ocean planning,
accelerating allocation of seabed, and
more9. A wave of commitment from
policymakers, industrial consumers,
public funders and other communities
will be needed to achieve these
milestones, phase out fossil fuels and
clear a path for offshore wind. 

Above all, national policymakers


must recognise the role of offshore
wind in their long-term energy
system planning in this COP26
year and within the next decade,
reflected in new or updated NDCs,
country climate strategies and
decarbonisation plans.

9 https://unfccc.int/climate-action/marrakech-
partnership/reporting-tracking/pathways/oceans-
and-coastal-zones-climate-action-pathway

GWEC.NET 17
MARKET STATUS 2020

18 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Offshore wind annual installations  • Outside of China and Europe, two the Netherlands. The project is Island in the US. The rest of the
other countries recorded new the third so called “zero-priced” capacity is from Denmark (800-
• The global offshore wind industry
offshore wind installations in 2020: bid, meaning that the project will 1000 MW) and Japan - the East
had its second-best year ever
in 2020 despite the impact of South Korea (60 MW) and the US receive only the wholesale price Asian country’s first auction for
COVID-19.  (12 MW). of electricity and no additional both floating and bottom-fixed
support or payment. offshore wind.
• China led the world in new • Last year, only 1,005 MW of
installations for the third year in offshore wind capacity was • Although awarded offshore • The offshore wind market has
a row with more than 3 GW of awarded worldwide through wind capacity was relatively low grown from 2.2 GW in 2016 to
offshore wind grid connected in auctioning, of which 759 MW compared to 2019, more than 6.1 GW 2020, bringing offshore’s
2020. was from the Netherlands and 7 GW of offshore wind auction/ share of new wind installations
the remainder from China. A tenders were launched in 2020, from 4% to 7%, which is 3%
• Steady growth in Europe
consortium of Shell and Eneco of which 5.5 GW is through lower than 2019. This is primarily
accounted for the majority of
won the right to build the 759 MW state-issued solicitations in New due to the strong growth spurt of
remaining new capacity, led by
Hollandse Kust North project in Jersey, New York and Rhode onshore wind in 2020.
the Netherlands, which installed
nearly 1.5 GW of new offshore
wind in 2020, followed by New installations Rest of world China Europe
GW, affshare
Belgium (706 MW). 0.1

• The UK and Germany 6.2 6.1

installed 483 MW and 237 MW CAGR*


respectively, making them +22%
0.1 0.03 0.07
the No.4 and No.5 markets in 4.5
4.3 3.6 2.9
new installations in 2020. The
slowdown of growth in the UK 3.4
was due to the gap between 2.7
3.2
the execution of projects in the 0.1 0.4 0.1
2.2
Contracts for Difference (CfD) 1 0.2 0.1
1.7
0.2
0.1 1.7 3.0 3.1
and CfD 2 rounds. In Germany, 1.3
1.6 2.5
1.0 1.0
the slowdown was primarily 0.6 1.6 1.5 1.6
0.5 1.2 1.2
caused by unfavourable market 0.1 0.2
0.9 0.8
0.6
conditions and a lower volume of
short-term offshore wind projects 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

in the pipeline.
Offshore share of new 2-3% 4% 8% 7-10%
installations 1%
* Compound Annual Growth Rate
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021

GWEC.NET 19
FLOATING WIND
• 16.83 MW floating
wind installed in 2020,
of which 16.8 MW
is from Portugal and
0.03 MW from Spain;
• As of 2020, a total
of 73.33 MW net
floating wind was
installed globally,
of which 32 MW is
located in the UK, 25
MW in Portugal,12
MW in Japan, 2.3MW
in Norway and 2 MW
in France.

New offshore wind Total offshore wind New offshore wind Total offshore wind
installations by country installations by country installations by region installations by region
0.3% 0.4%
1.0% 0.5% 0.4%
3.9% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
8% 4.8% 0.7%
6.4%
28.9% 29.5%
7.4%
11.6%
6.1 GW 50.4% 51.4% 6.1 GW 48.4% 35.3 GW
35.3 GW 70.4%

21.9%
24.6% 28.3%

China Netherlands Belgium The UK China Germany Netherlands North America Europe
Europe APAC APAC North America
The UK Germany South Korea Belgium Denmark Sweden South Korea
Portugal United States Taiwan Vietnam Others

20 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Offshore wind cumulative installations
• The global offshore market grew
on average by 22% each year in
the past decade, bringing total
installations to 35.3 GW, which
accounted for 5% of total global
wind capacity as of the end of
2020.
• Europe remains the largest
offshore market as of the end
of 2020, making up 70% of total
global offshore wind installations,
which is 5% lower than the
previous year.
• Cumulative installations in Asia
passed the milestone of 10 GW
by the end of 2020, making it the
second largest regional offshore
market. China currently has a
strong lead in offshore wind
activities, followed by South Korea,
Taiwan, Vietnam and Japan.
• North America has only 42 MW of
offshore wind in operation as of last
year, but deployment in the US is
expected to accelerate from 2023.
• The UK remains in the top spot
globally in terms of cumulative
offshore wind capacity as of the
end of 2020, while China has now
overtaken Germany to become
the world’s second largest offshore
wind market.

GWEC.NET 21
MARKET OUTLOOK 2030

22 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Offshore Market Outlook to 2030
The global offshore wind market
outlook to 2030 has grown even Global offshore wind growth to 2030
more promising over the past 12 New installations Other North America Asia ex China
months as: 1) governments across GW, offshore 1.55
China Europe
the world continue to raise their 1.25
39.98
ambition levels, 2) the sharp drop CAGR*
37.72
of offshore wind LCOE made +12.7%
it one of the most competitive 1.70
energy sources, 3) progress
31.95
continued in commercialisation 0.01
and industrialisation for floating 19.53
28.84
wind, 4) offshore wind increasingly 18.07
played a unique role in facilitating 25.29
14.55
cross industry cooperation and CAGR*
decarbonisation, such as oil and gas +29.3% 21.96
10.84 12.74
sector transition to renewables and
Power-to-X. 1.14
9.44 7.00
1.07 15.80 7.00
With a compound average annual 0.06
12.71 0.02 0.01
0.01 12.52 6.50
growth rate of nearly 30% until 2025 5.09 6.00
2.89 6.00
and 12.7% up to the end of the 5.00
8.68 6.31 7.40 7.50
decade, new annual installations are 6.07 5.00 5.20
3.17 5.10
expected to sail past the milestones of 2.94
7.50
3.96
4.20
20 GW in 2025 and potentially 40 GW 4.00 2.21
4.00 4.00 4.40
3.06 4.25 4.00 4.00
in 2030. 2.33 1.49
3.50 3.56

GWEC Market Intelligence expects 2020 2021e 2022e 2023e 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e 2030e
that over 235 GW of new offshore
*CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate
wind capacity will be added over the Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021
next decade, bringing total offshore

GWEC.NET 23
wind capacity to 270 GW by 2030. global auction results and announced
30% of this new volume will be offshore wind tenders worldwide. For
installed in the first half of the decade the medium-term market outlook,
(2021-2025), with the remaining to aside from existing project pipelines,
be connected in the latter half (2026- a top-down approach has also been
2030). The volume of annual offshore used, which takes into account
wind installations is expected to more existing policy, support schemes,
than triple, from 6.1 GW in 2020 to offshore wind auction plans and
23.1 GW in 2025, bringing its share of medium/long-term national and
global new installations from today’s regional level offshore wind targets.
6.5% to 20% by 2025.

Europe retains its status as the largest


regional offshore wind market as of
the end of 2020, but new installations
outside Europe, predominantly in
Asia, already surpassed Europe last
year for the first time. This situation
is likely to remain through to 2030,
although annual installations in
Europe may pass the milestone of
10 GW in 2026. In the near term
(2021-2023), the majority of growth
outside Europe will come from
Asia – primarily China, Taiwan and
Vietnam, with contributions from the
US.Japan and South Korea will grow in
importance from 2024 onward.

Our near-term offshore wind market


outlook was built using a bottom-up
approach and is based on GWEC
Market Intelligence’s global offshore
wind project database, which covers
projects currently under construction,

24 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Europe
The world’s first offshore wind project
Vindeby was installed in Denmark Global offshore wind growth to 2030 in Europe

in 1991, which makes Europe the The UK Germany Denmark Netherlands France
New installations
birthplace of the offshore wind GW, offshore Belgium Poland Ireland Norway Rest of Europe
industry. Through close collaboration
among European countries and
experienced stakeholders in the 1.00
CAGR* 1.00 1.00
past three decades, a robust offshore
+12.7% 0.85 19.531.00
wind supply chain has been built in 0.72
countries neighbouring the North Sea 1.00 1.00
and Baltic Sea. As of today, offshore 1.00 18.07 4.00
0.77 0.79
wind has not only established itself as
0.50 0.50 0.72
a cost-competitive power generation 0.80 0.90 0.60 1.00 4.00
CAGR*
of choice for governments in +26.3% 0.52 0.72 1.00 2.40
0.70 0.27 14.55
European continent, but also created
0.16 0.70 12.74
nearly 100 thousand of jobs and 0.10 2.00
0.90 2.40
0.01 0.45
boosted the local economic growth. 0.01 9.44
4.00
0.02 0.10 0.33 0.70 10.84
3.25 1.50
0.03 0.60 0.72 2.00
0.71 0.03
In the past decade (2011-2020), 0.39 0.27 0.72
1.49 0.54
the European offshore wind market 0.61 6.31 4.16 3.50 1.80 2.00
0.24 0.77 1.80 1.50
enjoyed double-digit annual growth 2.94 0.34 1.54 5.09
2.89
0.48
(12%), making it the world’s largest 3.17
1.53 1.80
2.00
2.00
1.86 2.40 1.25
regional market in total offshore wind 1.39
1.493
installations as at the end of 2020. 2.05 1.71 1.35 2.00
4.63
1.31 1.47
Looking at potential growth, GWEC 2.60
1.64
Market Intelligence believes that
Europe will maintain double digital 2020 2021e 2022e 2023e 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e 2030e
growth rate in this decade (2021-
*CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate
2030), as offshore wind has become Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021

GWEC.NET 25
where no new offshore wind capacity
European executed offshore tenders / auctions 2015-2020
Awarded capacity (GW), average winning bid (EUR/ MWh)*
is predicted in 2021. However, the
European offshore market is likely
MW awarded EUR/MWh to bounce back in 2023 when utility
6000 160 scale projects will also come online
154 5500
146 140 in new markets like France, and new
5000 installations in Europe are likely to
120 double in 2023 compared with 2020.
103
4000 100
Considering more offshore wind
73 81 capacity is likely to be built in
80
3000 63
62 established European markets like
50 55 47 60
44 “zero bid” 44 47 the UK, Germany and Denmark after
2000 2336 “zero bid”
40 2025 and the fact that installations
1490 1610 in new markets bordering the Baltic
1000 714 752 732 740 860 759 20
400 448
600 600 Sea will not take place before 2025,
350
GWEC Market Intelligence expects
0 0
that 73.8% of total predicted offshore

UK - 2nd CfD 21/22


DK- Horns Rev 3

UK - 1st CfD 17/18

UK - 1st CfD 18/19

NL - Borssele 1+2

DK - Near shore

DK - Kriegers Flak

NL - Borssele 3+4

GER -1st Ofs

NL - Hollandse
Kust 1+2

UK - 2nd CfD 22/23

GER -2nd Ofs

FR -Dunkirk

NL- Hollandse
Kust V (Noord)
UK - 3rd CfD
wind capacity will be built in the
second half of the decade. New
installations in Europe are likely to
exceed 10 GW in 2026 and then
potentially approach 20 GW by 2030.
*Tenders above 100MW capacity and no innovation auctions, tenders in order of execution from 2015 to end of 2020
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, GWEC Global Auction Database Q1 2021 The UK

the most competitive electricity Last November, the European According to GWEC Market As the world’s leader in offshore wind
generation technology after onshore Commission presented its offshore Intelligence’s Q3 2021 global offshore energy, the UK continues to tell a
wind and solar PV - but with renewable energy strategy as part of wind market outlook, 2021 and successful story in the past 12 months.
considerable advantages in terms the EU Green Deal. It sets a target of 2022 are expected to be relatively In September 2020, Prime Minister
being able to deploy at scale, making 300 GW of offshore wind by 2050 for slow years for Europe, with new Boris Johnson set out commitments to
it a key energy source to help Europe the EU, which makes offshore wind installations staying the same level boost the government’s previous 30
to meet its Nationally Determined a crucial pillar in Europe’s power as that in the past four years (2017- GW target to 40 GW and set a 1 GW
Contributions (NDCs) and achieve mix and a core part of its net zero 2020), which is mainly due to the by 2030 floating offshore wind target,
the 2050 net zero target. implementation strategy. lower level of activities in Germany as part of the Build Back Greener

26 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


initiative. Two months later, the UK Germany
Total added between 2021 and 2030
government announced support for
GW, offshore
up to 12 GW of renewable energy The country lost its title as the
projects in the fourth round of the world’s second largest offshore wind Rest of Europe
11%
CfD scheme, which is expected market in total installations to China Norway
to open in December 2021. The in 2020 as it has been struggling 29% Ireland
Round 4 CfD auction will divide with unfavourable market conditions 5%
Poland
renewable technologies into three and a lack of mid-term visibility. Belgium
102.6 10%
so-called ‘pots’. Pot 1 is reserved The positive sign is that in March France
GW
for established technologies such 2021 the European Commission Netherlands
as onshore wind and solar PV, Pot approved, under EU State aid rules, Denmark
12%
2 for less-established technologies a German operating aid scheme to 9%
Germany
including floating offshore wind, further develop offshore wind energy 9% 9% The UK
advanced conversion technologies, generation in the country. The new
and tidal stream, Pot 3 is only for scheme will increase the target for
offshore wind. In February 2021, the installed offshore wind capacity from
Crown Estate announced that six 15 GW to 20 GW by 2030 and set a an agreement on the location of an of six consortia and companies to
proposed new offshore wind projects, target of 40 GW of installed offshore energy hub in the North Sea and a participate in the tender.
totalling 7.98 GW, had been selected capacity by 2040. However, to reach local consortium comprising pension
funds announced it was ready to France
through a competitive seabed the targets and to build a sound
tender process, as part of its Round project pipeline, Germany’s Federal finance the project. The initial surveys Although France has only 2 MW of
4 leasing programme and expected Maritime and Hydrographic Agency of the seabed where the Energy offshore wind power installed as
to enter into agreement for lease with (Bundesamt für Seeschifffahrt und Island will be built in the North Sea of 2020, the Multiannual Energy
successful bidders in Spring 2022. Hydrography) will have to speed kicked off in April 2021. In June, the Programme (Programmation
In addition, the 10 GW ScotWind up to open up more offshore wind Danish Energy Agency also gave pluriannuelle de l’énergie (PPE)),
offshore seabed leasing round that tenders. the green light to Energinet to start that came into force in April 2020
launched last June, closed on 16 July preliminary offshore investigations stipulates that France will tender up
Denmark at the areas in the Baltic Sea where
2021. As the first round of seabed to 8.75 GW of offshore wind capacity
leasing for offshore windfarms in the planned energy island will be
Last summer, the Danish government from 2020 to 2028 and will grow
Scottish waters for a decade, it will built. In addition, progress was made
approved two “energy islands,” operating offshore wind capacity to
play a major role in allowing Scotland at the two 1 GW level offshore wind
one in the North Sea and one in between 5.2 GW and 6.2 GW in the
achieve its net-zero emissions target farms, Thor and Hesselø, in 2021.
the Baltic Sea (with a combined same period. The 2023 operating
by 2045. The Danish Energy Agency has
capacity of 5 GW planned by 2030). capacity target is 2.4 GW. From 2024
published the final tender conditions
In February 2021, Denmark reached onward, France will tender 1 GW
for Thor and pre-qualified a total

GWEC.NET 27
Case study: Mastering design review for fixed offshore wind
Provided by: Bureau Veritas

For countries that border shallow Bureau Veritas was called on to towers, work platforms, secondary more than 10,000 scenarios using
water, installing offshore wind farms provide key certification services structures, anodes and more. a representative pool of possible
can be a key path to producing for this project, ensuring the loads. In less than two months,
clean electricity. However, operators structural integrity of the Moray Based on this, Bureau Veritas could our experts conducted design
must be certain that these complex East wind turbines. Each of the 100 perform independent calculations review, performed all necessary
structures can safely withstand harsh turbines rests on a tower supported to assess turbine strength and calculations, worked with the
offshore conditions. This means by a three-legged jacket resting on fatigue. Our experts chose designer to resolve discrepancies
taking an in-depth approach to the seabed. Bureau Veritas’ task was representative structural aspects and certified the project’s
design review for all aspects of wind to verify the calculations for asset of the wind turbines and evaluated components.
turbines, from blades to towers to fatigue and integrity provided by the them using proprietary digital
jackets. wind turbine designer for all turbine modeling tools. The calculations The Moray East project is expected
components. included: integrated load analysis; to be operational by the end of 2021.
Fixed offshore wind is now a mature substructure design analysis; By providing design review and
sector, with commercial projects Evaluating the impact of harsh ultimate strength analysis; time performing key calculations, Bureau
reaching completion around the offshore conditions domain fatigue analysis; and an Veritas is helping ensure the safety
world. Among the largest offshore assessment of fatigue and service and longevity of this innovative
wind farms currently under To do this, our experts first limit states. We were also able project.
construction is the Moray East performed a site conditions to calculate potential cumulative
project in the UK. Located 22 km assessment, evaluating the effects of damage on areas vulnerable to Find out more:
off the coast of Moray Firth, and different environmental conditions fatigue and corrosion, thereby https://group.bureauveritas.com/
consisting of 100 fixed-bottom on the wind turbines. We evaluated assessing turbine lifecycle.
turbines, this wind farm is set to the impact of strong winds, powerful
meet 40% of Scotland’s energy waves and major weather events on Overall, Bureau Veritas’ millions
needs. principal and support structures, of hours of computations created

28 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


per year of either fixed-bottom or become the leader in offshore wind Planning Bill that was just passed in
floating wind capacity, depending development in the Baltic Sea, with July 2021 and it is expected to speed
on the cost. In May 2021, France a target of 28 GW offshore wind by up the permitting for offshore wind
launched a tendering procedure for 2050. site investigation licences.
a commercial floating offshore wind
project to the south of Brittany with a Norway Sweden
capacity of up to 270 MW. Norway opened up for full-scale No offshore wind project has been
Poland floating and bottom fixed offshore built in Sweden since 2013, but new
wind development, totalling proposed legislation released in May
Poland’s Council of Ministers adopted up to 4.5 GW, in June 2020 and 2021 that will make the Swedish TSO,
a draft bill last September supporting allowed developers to apply for Svenska Kraftnät, responsible for
the development of offshore wind project licenses from January offshore grid connection for future
energy in the Baltic Sea. It would allow 2021. According to the Ministry of offshore wind farms, is expected to
for 5.9 GW of capacity to be offered Petroleum and Energy, the floating accelerate a long-awaited offshore
via CfDs by the end of June 2021. The wind award process will start by wind build-out.
second phase of development will the year end. The government is
include two auctions, the first in 2025 proposing to award at least three
and the second in 2027, both for 2.5 areas for up to 500 MW each at Utsira
GW of capacity, bringing Poland’s Nord area. The government plan is to
total offshore wind capacity either launch the auction for areas in Sørlige
operational or under development to Nordsjø II in the first quarter of 2022.
10.9 GW by 2027. In January 2021,
Poland’s Senate passed the Offshore Ireland
Act, which was later signed into The government adopted a Climate
law by Poland’s President Andrzej Action Plan in July 2019, which will
Duda. As of 30 June, the Polish require renewable energy, at least
Energy Regulatory Office (ERO) has 3.5 GW of offshore wind, to provide
awarded a Contract for Difference 70% of its electricity generation by
(CfD) to seven offshore wind projects, 2030. The 2030 offshore target was
totalling 5.9 GW, exactly the same later increased to 5 GW. Last year,
as it planned. In addition, Poland is the Irish government designed
also one of countries that signed the seven offshore wind projects to be
Baltic Sea Offshore Wind Declaration fast-tracked through a new Marine
last September. The country aims to

GWEC.NET 29
Asia
Asia built its first offshore wind GWEC Market Intelligence forecasts toward end of this decade when new
project, totalling 1.3 MW, in Japan in that China’s market share in this capacity is also likely to be built in
2003, but the regional offshore market region is likely to drop from 76% in emerging markets such as India and
was not ready to take off in earnest 2021 to 56% in 2026. This decline is the Philippines.
until 2014, when the Chinese National expected to continue, to reach 48%
Energy Administration released the
National Offshore Wind Development
Plan (2014-2016). Annual installations Global offshore wind growth to 2030 in Asia
in Asia region passed the milestone
of 1.5 GW in 2018 when China also New installations, Asia Rest of Asia India Vietnam Taiwan
surpassed the UK as the world’s top GW, affshore S.Korea Japan China
market in new installations. Last year, X%
Share of Chinese
offshore market
Asia replaced Europe as the leading CAGR* 0.70
+10.1% 0.70 0.80
regional offshore wind market in new
14.40 14.50
installations for the first time. 0.70
0.50
CAGR* 0.60 0.60
GWEC Market Intelligence’s latest 9.83 0.40 0.50 11.70
+23.5% 0.64
0.60
0.10
market outlook predicts that China 0.30
10.20
11.10
0.77
will continue to install the lion’s share 0.50 8.96 7.00 7.00
1.00 0.45
of offshore in Asia in the first half of 7.50 0.14 0.26
0.36 0.43
this decade. Taiwan is expected to 7.21
6.00
6.50
5.49 6.00
be the largest offshore market in Asia 0.06
5.14 5.00
3.12 1.50 1.50
after China in new installations in the
5.00
same period. 4.00
1.50 1.50 2.00 2.00
3.06 4.00 1.50
1.13 1.96
However, the market will become 1.00
1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50
1.00 1.00 1.00
more diversified from 2025 onward, 1.20 1.00 1.00
1.00 1.00
when more large-scale offshore wind
2020 2021e 2022e 2023e 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e 2030e
projects are set to be commissioned
98% 76% 73% 78% 69% 56% 59% 55% 56% 49% 48%
in Japan, South Korea and Vietnam.
* CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021

30 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


face the challenge of developing China
Total installations
Percentage and GW, offshore a local supply chain and building
the necessary competencies and Last year, China grid connected
Europe China work forces. However, the early more than 3 GW of offshore wind,
Other Asia Other overtaking Germany as the world’s
experience of Taiwan has proven
35 GW 107 GW 270 GW that collaboration with European No. 2 offshore market in cumulative
partners across markets in this region installations. New capacity is likely
1.2% 7.7% 12.7%
28.3% 0.1% 10.8%
15.1% is essential for success. Other Asian to be more than double this year
markets such as Japan and South as Chinese offshore wind industry
33.2%
25.1%
Korea are now following suit. undergoes a rush to bring projects
online before the end of 2021
GWEC Market Intelligence deadline in order to capitalise on the
70.4% 48.3% 47.1%
believes that Europe will remain 0.85 RMB/kWh (or 0.11EUR/kWh) FiT
the largest regional offshore wind for offshore wind. If this happens as
2020 2025e 2030e market in terms of total offshore expected, China will surpass the UK
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021
wind installations through to 2030. as the world’s largest offshore market
Nevertheless, the gap of the global in total installations. However, new
In total, 63% of the predicted offshore market share between the two installations in China are expected
wind for this region is to be built in regions is likely to narrow from to decline sharply from 2022, when
the second half of the decade. New today’s 40% to just 7% in 2030. support from central government will
installations in the region are likely
to exceed 10 GW in 2026 and then Total added between 2021 and 2030
GW, offshore
reach a level of nearly 15 GW by 1.5% 3.5%
Others India
2030. The top five markets in this
Vietnam
region for new installations in this
decade will be China, Taiwan, South 6.5% Japan
Korea, Japan and Vietnam. 8.3%

China is so far the most mature South Korea


offshore wind market in the region 98.5 8.8%

with a domestic supply chain and China 58.9% GW


infrastructure quickly built up in 12.9% Taiwan
the past five years. The rest of the
markets are still at the early stage
of development and most of them

GWEC.NET 31
be terminated. The pace of offshore the power mix by 2030, South Korea offshore wind by 2030 and 30-45 GW
wind growth in China thereafter is planning to bring its offshore wind by 2040. This government-industry
will depend on whether support capacity currently 133 MW, to 12 GW deal has been welcomed by the
provided by provincial governments by the end of this decade. In order local and international offshore wind
will be available and whether the to make this happen, an agreement industry, as it brings in volume, scale,
offshore wind industry can reach to develop an 8.2 GW offshore wind jobs and long-term visibility.
price parity with competing power complex in South Jeolla was signed
sources before 2025. by more than 30 public and private Vietnam
entities based in South Korea in
Taiwan Similar to Taiwan, no offshore wind
February 2021. Three months later, turbine was grid-connected last
President Moon Jae-in announced that
Although no offshore wind projects year due to COVID-19 disruption,
the Korean government will invest in
were commissioned in 2020 due to but more than 1.5 GW of offshore
6 GW of floating offshore wind in the
the impact of COVID-19, Taiwan is still wind projects are under construction
coast of Ulsan by 2030.
positioned to become the second- at present, of which 1.2 GW are
largest offshore wind market in this Japan expected to come online before the
region. Previously the government current FiT expiry in November 2021.
pledged to connect 5.5 GW of new Offshore wind development in Japan GWEC Market Intelligence predicts
offshore wind by 2025 and another 10 has been jeopardised by a lack of that new installations are expected
GW by 2035, but the target for 2026- ambitious targets and a cumbersome to fall from 2022, but the Vietnamese
2035 was upgraded by 50% in May permitting and licensing framework, offshore wind market is likely to
2021 when the government released but great progress has been made bounce back once the offshore target
draft regulations for the Round 3 in the past two years. The country’s is confirmed in the government’s final
auctions. This upgrade not only first ever auctions for floating and Power Development Plan VIII (PDP8)
provides the visibility and certainty fixed bottom offshore wind were and when the upcoming offshore
needed to help build a local offshore launched in 2020, after the offshore wind auction scheme is clear for
wind industry and supply chain, but wind zones were nominated by the developers and investors.
would also allow Taiwan to exceed government. At the end of last year,
the 2030 targets set by South Korea following a major cost reduction study
and Japan. commissioned by GWEC and JWPA
and a series of industry-government
South Korea dialogues, the Japanese government
also approved the “Offshore Wind
To reach the “Renewable Energy
Industry Vision” targeting 10 GW of
3020” target of 20% renewables in

32 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


North America
North America commissioned its first Based on GWEC Market
commercial offshore wind project, the Intelligence’s global offshore wind
30 MW Block Island project, in Rhode project database, no utility-scale
Island in December 2016. The 12 offshore wind projects will come
MW Dominion Virginia demonstration online in North America until 2023.
project installed last year brings the In total, 28.8 GW of offshore wind is
total offshore wind capacity spinning predicted to be built in this region
in the region to 42 MW, making it the in this decade, of which 99% is
only region with commercial offshore expected to come from the United
wind projects outside of Europe and States and only 400 MW is projected
Asia. from Canada.

Offshore wind growth to 2030 in North America


New Installations United States
GW, offshore Canada
4.25 4.40
CAGR* 4.00 4.00 4.00
+78.8
3.50 3.56

4.00
4.25 4.00 4.00 4.00

3.50 3.56

1.07

0.01 0.02 1.07


0
0.01 0.02
0 0.40

2020 2021e 2022e 2023e 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e 2030e
* CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021

GWEC.NET 33
United States the US offshore wind industry; third,
DOE and BOEM plan to advance new
The US had only 42 MW of offshore lease sales and complete review of at
wind projects in operation at the least 16 COPs by 2025, representing
end of 2020, but the level of offshore more than 19 GW of offshore wind
wind development activity remains capacity to be installed off the U.S.
impressively high. Although the coasts; fourth, an offshore target was
permitting process, especially the announced in North Carolina in June
final approval from BOEM for the and existing targets have also been
Construction and Operations Plan increased in Massachusetts and
(COP), slowed project development Virginia, bringing the total state-level
during the Trump Administration, offshore wind development targets up
2021 has so far become an to 38.5 GW.
unprecedented year for US offshore
wind. First, the Biden Administration GWEC Market Intelligence predicts
announced the ambitious 30 GW by a total of 28.4 GW of offshore wind
2030 offshore wind target in March; could be built in the US by the end
second, the 800 MW Vineyard Wind of this decade, which is 25% higher
1 project received the final major than what was predicted for this
federal approval from BOEM in May, market a year ago. However, we keep
which truly represents the start of our forecast for Canada unchanged
compared with last year.

Offshore wind development targets in the US

Maryland 1.2GW (2030)


Conneticut 2GW (2030)
Virginia 5.2GW (2034)
Massachusetts 3.2GW (2035)
New Jersey 7.5GW (2035)
38.5 GW North Carolina 8 GW (2040)
New York 9GW (2035)

34 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Transforming livelihoods
for a sustainable future
The monumental scale of investment on global studies by IRENA which
brought by 380 GW of offshore have found that the job requirement
wind deployed worldwide by for a 500 MW offshore wind project
2030, as outlined by IRENA in its translates to 17.29 jobs per MW, over
1.5°C scenario, will translate into the 25-year lifetime of the project.11
long-term economic benefits for These jobs would encompass a
coastal communities and countries. variety of technical, professional and
As capital-intensive and resource- hard/soft skills, from project planning
intensive infrastructure projects, to manufacturing to transport and
offshore wind will generate a diverse O&M.
value chain of job opportunities, many
of which will be locally based and A growing body of evidence reflects
sustainable as the sector pipeline the strong linkage between offshore
continues to grow.  wind deployment and productive
employment. A recent report by the
Analysis by GWEC Market Economic Council of the Labour
Intelligence has found that installing Movement in Denmark and the United
an additional 70 GW of offshore wind Federation of Danish Workers found
from 2021-2025 would equate to that the permanent employment
the creation of more than 1.2 million effects of offshore wind farms
direct jobs in a dynamic global supply were among the highest of jobs in
chain10. This calculation is based the green economy, compared to

10 One job is defined as one calendar year of full-time employment (260 working days) for one person. This
assumes an 8-hour workday, 5-day working week and 52 working weeks in a year, in line with a standard
calculation of one FTE year based on one individual working 2,080 hours in one year. See: https://gwec.net/
wind-can-power-over-3-3-million-jobs-over-the-next-five-years/
11 Data originally provided by IRENA in person-days; jobs were determined by dividing the person-day figure by
260, the typical number of working days in a year. See:
https://www.irena.org/publications/2018/May/Leveraging-Local-Capacity-for-Offshore-Wind

GWEC.NET 35
replacing oil and gas-fired boilers offshore wind). Offshore wind can
and other forms of employment.12 generate jobs in steel manufacturing
for foundations, substations and
Offshore wind adds unique value in installation vessels, sub-sea cables
revitalising coastal communities that and offshore transport. All these
are often far from urban economic areas can leverage the capabilities
centres. Around 40% of the world’s of workers accustomed to offshore
population lives within 100 km of a environments, particularly when
coastline. Industrial development and coupled with public sector
activity in these areas can contribute programmes for targeted transition
to a thriving local economy, spurring training and reskilling.
the creation of indirect and induced
jobs. A study by NYSERDA found The socioeconomic benefits from
that two-thirds of offshore wind jobs offshore wind extend beyond
would be localised and fulfilled by job creation to savings in public
US-based workers.13 For countries healthcare costs, cleaner air, lower
relying on imported offshore wind water consumption as fossil fuel
content, there would still be a need generation is replaced and more14.
for domestic mobilisation of workers But for offshore wind to continue
for installation, grid connection, O&M delivering these benefits, it must
and decommissioning activities in the maintain a culture of health and safety
offshore wind project lifetime.  as it expands. The sector’s “license
to operate” is based on a strong
There is a relatively low-barrier track record of safe and reliable
workforce transition pathway to delivery, continued learning and
offshore wind for the offshore performance improvement, as well as
oil and gas, marine engineering protection of its workers’ welfare. As
and ancillary sectors which face a sector transforming the livelihoods
labour dislocation in the energy of millions, offshore wind has a
transition (see: Expanding a safe, responsibility to create a legacy of
skilled and capable workforce for safety and security.

12 https://www.groennejob.dk/nyheder-fra-groenne-job/groenne-job
13 https://www.nyserda.ny.gov/-/media/Files/Publications/Research/Biomass-Solar-Wind/Master-Plan/US-job-
creation-in-offshore-wind.pdf
14 https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2019/12/the-true-cost-of-reducing-greenhouse-gas-emissions-
gillingham.htm

36 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


TAKING OFFSHORE WIND GLOBAL

GWEC.NET 37
Part 1: Evolving challenges and opportunities

Support schemes and transitions to auctions


One of the critical factors in
determining the growth of offshore Support schemes in key offshore wind markets
wind in a new or early-stage
market is the support scheme for Former Schemes Current Schemes Upcoming Schemes
Feed-in Tariff
procurement. In markets where UK  
offshore wind has not yet been Denmark   Obligation/Quota with fixed rate (RO/
established at commercial scale, and Germany   ROC/RPS)
lacks a domesticated supply chain, France
market experience and investor Competitive bidding at fixed rate (PPA
The Netherlands   with FiT, REC/OREC)
confidence, the costs for project
Taiwan    
development, CAPEX and OPEX are Obligation/Quota with floating rate
still relatively high.  Vietnam (REC/Green Premium)
Mainland China    
This in turn requires a form of Competitive bidding at fixed premium
Japan   (PPA/REC/Premium FiT)
remuneration support to compensate
South Korea
developers, investors and indeed
actors across the value chain, and United States Contract for Difference
ensure projects can close financing.
As markets become more established Corporate PPAs and RECs
“Costs reduce as experience and volume
after the first few GW of offshore wind
are connected, learning curves set in the market increases.”
Competitive auctions without subsidy
in and smoother routes to market are
established. Costs for offshore wind
a well-designed and robust support which sharpens the focus on
reduce – not necessarily over time, Source: GWEC Market Intelligence; NREL,
scheme for offshore wind. This is bankability conditions, as well as Comparing Offshore Wind. Energy Procurement
but as experience and volume in the
due to offshore wind’s relatively significant dependencies on enabling and Project Revenue Sources Across U.S. States
market increases.  (2020). This graphic has been simplified for
larger time and capital investment infrastructure such as grids, ports, legibility, and is not an exhaustive summary of
Revenue stabilisation and risk requirements compared to other manufacturing and workforce all former, current or upcoming schemes in these
renewable energy technologies, capacity. Certainty and transparency markets
mitigation are among the benefits of

38 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


of remuneration enhances bankability competitive tenders and supply chain with greater price exposure to bids receive a fixed or floating rate of
for foreign investors, as new markets development. Markets like Germany, wholesale markets. support. Clarity on the procedures,
frequently depend on cost and the Netherlands, Mainland China and criteria and remuneration mechanism
availability of international finance Taiwan began with FiTs to minimise Support can be awarded either should be provided by governments,
to support the first batch of offshore risk to developers and investors. through an administrative process, with consultation undertaken directly
wind projects. Once sufficient volume was underway, such as in the first wave of projects with industry to optimise support
they eventually moved to competitive in Taiwan, or through a competitive scheme design and maximise buy-in. 
IRENA data reflects that LCOE for schemes or procurement frameworks process, wherein the lowest-price
offshore wind declined by 48%
over the last decade, and the global UK annual installations and cumulative capacity
weighted-average decreased by 9%
21,339
in 2020 alone, driven by installations
in China and Europe.15 Competitive United Kingdom Cumulative Installed Capacity (MW)

bidding schemes in mature offshore United Kingdom Annual Installations (MW) 5,155

wind markets are even delivering United Kingdom Forecast Installations (MW)

LCOE levels which out-compete


the costs of new coal and fossil fuel
generation. This trend will continue, FIDER AR1 AR2 AR3
albeit at a slower pace, as the offshore
wind sector continues to mature.
9,723
Emerging markets should ensure
that support schemes encourage
the steady deployment and cost 6,651

reduction required to reap the long-


1,855
term socioeconomic and energy 1,715 1,764
1,537
system benefits attached to offshore 2,734
1,312
1,386
1,200
wind.
854 814
90 752 773

Revenue support schemes should be 458


560
483
284
designed to encourage investment 90 100
194
56
and confidence in a new or early-
stage market, with a long-term aim 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

to move towards cost reduction Credit: GWEC and RCG, “Vietnam’s Future Transition to Offshore Wind Auctions: International Best Practices and Lessons Learned,” 2021.
and efficiency, such as through
15 https://www.irena.org/publications/2021/Jun/Renewable-Power-Costs-in-2020

GWEC.NET 39
Often these consultation processes This programme focused on has led to transitions to schemes Corporate PPAs (CPPAs), or direct
will highlight further considerations, simplified technical and competency with remuneration at a premium PPAs secured bilaterally between
such as an optimal volume to criteria, instead of a least-cost determined by performance of the project owner and a corporate
go to tender to achieve cost- approach, to ensure offshore wind wholesale electricity prices. In offtaker, are also emerging as a
competitiveness, required lead time investment continued in the transition. Germany and the Netherlands, such model for procurement without
for implementation and feasibility of This enabled the UK to foster and competitive tenders have resulted in government-mandated revenue
local content requirements. Imposing sustain an active pipeline of offshore winning bids which require no price support. CPPAs have already been
overly strict local content rules at wind projects through the transition support (“zero-subsidy” bids) – this deployed in Germany, the UK and
an early stage is detrimental to phase and subsequent CfD-based is made possible due to government- Taiwan, are common in the onshore
investment, as the costs of supply competitive tender rounds (termed funded site development and wind sector in the US and are being
chain investment in a market with Allocation Rounds), positioning it as transmission infrastructure, and is not eyed in South Korea. Where a bilateral
limited capacity and experience can the world’s leading offshore wind economic in most new markets. market is available, CPPAs can
weaken the economics of a project.16 market today with more than 21 GW support project financing decisions
of installed capacity. It is also important to note that by offering higher remuneration than
Key to the design of a successful schemes which put the onus on in a regulated auction; however, they
support scheme is transparency and In addition to remuneration support, operators taking full wholesale are more common in established
visibility of when and how to transition investment incentives can also be market price risk are sub-optimal in markets where offshore wind costs
to a more price-competitive scheme. provided as fiscal mechanisms such the view of GWEC and its member have already been reduced through
For instance, the UK transitioned from as tax credits, rebates or reliefs. For associations, as this means basing stable support schemes.
a Renewables Obligation scheme instance, in the US, tax incentives long-term investment decisions on
which granted RECs for generation are provided in the offshore wind markets which will be impacted
of renewable energy to a CfD-based sector in the form of the Investment by increasing levels of variability
auction framework in 2014. The UK Tax Credit (ITC) and the Production from large-scale renewable energy
was one of the first group of countries Tax Credit (PTC), with the former sources (and hence susceptible to
to implement auctions for offshore incentivising CAPEX and the latter “price cannibalisation”). Schemes
wind. In this transition, it introduced incentivising generation of energy which do not provide some form of
a grace period and two-year interim (similar to a premium). long-term price visibility have been
procurement phase under its Final shown to strongly increase financing
Investment Decision enabling for As established markets achieve costs and hence the final cost to the
Renewables (FIDeR) programme in cost-competitiveness and stable consumer.17
2012. project pipelines, governments seek
to reduce revenue support. This

16 https://gwec.net/vietnams-future-transition-to-offshore-wind-auctions-international-best-practices-and-lessons-learned/
17 Prol, Steininger and Zilberman, “The cannibalization effect of wind and solar in the California wholesale electricity market,” Energy Economics, 2019; Aurora Energy Research, “The New Economics of Offshore Wind,” 2018;
Cornwall Insight, “Wholesale Power Price Cannibalisation,” 2018.

40 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


UK Denmark Germany

• The Renewables Obligation (RO/ROC), a • Denmark financed RE projects through the • The German Renewable Energy Act (EEG) that
subsidy scheme for large renewable electricity PSO (Public Service Obligation) tariff. During came into force in April 2000 provided greater
projects applied in 2002, supported deployment the liberalisation of the Danish electricity funding support to operators through two FiT
of 5 GW offshore wind installation until March sector (2000-2002), a guaranteed price with funding models: Basic Model and Acceleration
2017. balancing subsidy for the first 10 years from Model. It remained applicable for wind farms
commissioned by December 2020. The EEG
• Thereafter, UK has employed a CfD scheme, the grid connection and premium FiT with
has been modified several times since then and
introduced in 2013 under the Electricity Market balancing subsidy until 20 years was provided.
remained applicable as the guideline for wind
Reform, which: 1) Provides direct protection This was followed by: 1) Feed-in-premium for
farms. Following the EEG Reform (EEG 2017) in
from volatile wholesale prices to consumers up to 22,000 full load hours, with balancing 2017 and the Offshore Wind Act (WindSeeG),
and developers and 2) Incentivises the upfront subsidy for the entire life through the competitive the tariff-based auction was made compulsory for
investment costs for offshore project developers.  tendering process 2) FiT for up to 50,000 full offshore wind projects for cost reduction purposes.
load hours (i.e. ~11-12 years of operation), • While guaranteed support schemes shifted to an
• This CfD scheme, amended in November 2020
wherein connection to the grid was an additional auction-based mechanism in 2017, Germany had
ahead of Allocation Round 4 (AR4), introduced a
subsidy given to offshore wind farms and paid by two zero-subsidy bids until 2018. No schedule
separate definition and administrative strike price
consumers.  for offshore wind project allocation was provided
for floating offshore wind projects and changes to
• In 2016 an agreement established that the PSO during 2019-2020.
Supply Chain Plans and the CfD contract.
tariff would be phased out from 2017-2022 • In March 2021, European Commission approved
and projects would be financed through national modified ‘WindSeeG’, a support scheme
budget.  applicable until 2026. It is based on centralised
auction model wherein the state pre-selects
• In November 2019, Denmark chose the CfD
and awards specific sites for offshore wind in
model to award the Thor offshore wind project competitive tenders. Payments are granted for 20
with a 20-year PPA.  years in the form of a premium on top of the market
• In March 2021, the European Commission price, that will be set on the basis of the lowest bid
approved a two-way CfD premium-based Danish in open and transparent competitive tenders. 
aid scheme to procure renewable electricity • This scheme will increase the target for installed
through a competitive tender organised in 2021- offshore wind capacity from 15 GW to 20
2024. The 1.2 GW Hesselø offshore wind GW by 2030 with a goal of 40 GW by
project (tender delayed as of June 2021) will be 2040. German Federal Network Agency
the second project in Denmark, after Thor, under (Bundesnetzagentur) has also opened tenders for
three new offshore wind sites of ~ 958 MW in
such a scheme. 
February 2021. 

GWEC.NET 41
The Netherlands Taiwan Vietnam

• During 2003-2007, MEP subsidy (Milieukwaliteit • For the implementation of targets set in its • Vietnam offers a FiT scheme for renewable energy-
Elektriciteitsproductie subsidie) was implemented “Thousand Wind Turbines Promotion Project”, based power procurement including offshore wind
through two policy instruments: FiT and a reduced Taiwan offered a “Demonstration Incentive projects under National Power Development Plan
ecotax Program” grant scheme designed to award (PDP) 7. Several support measures promote the
• Although the MEP FiT was effective, it cost too much two offshore wind farm projects in 2012. A development of renewable energies, including
for the government without leading to decrease the guaranteed PPA with the FiT mechanism was incentives on the corporate income tax, the import
amount of FiT support in five years (2003-2007). provided since 2013 with gradual reduction in tax, the land use fee, and project escrow. 
Thus, it was replaced with Sustainable Energy FiT rates.   • In September 2018, the government set a 20-
Incentive Scheme (SDE: Feed-in Premium) for the • To capture cost reductions, a competitive year FiT at US$9.8c/kWh for offshore wind
period of 2008-2011 intending to develop at least bidding/auction process with lower FiT rates projects to be commissioned before 1 November
450 MW of offshore wind project before 2011. was introduced in 2018, followed by the 2021, which has applied primarily to intertidal/
With lead-time between the submission of three government’s announcement of 7.6% lower FiT nearshore projects.
application in 2009 and the realization of a project, rates for offshore wind in 2020. At that time, • The government has also announced its vision for
the Dutch government supposed projects expensive the offshore wind target was increased to 5.5 a competitive power market with direct PPA pilot
despite there was sufficient budget hence, it did not GW by 2025, initial 3.5 GW out of 5.5 GW scheme operating from 2021 to 2023. 
lead to installation of new capacities until 2011. allocated through FiT and remaining 2 GW
• Since the draft PDP8 was released in March
• In 2011, the Netherlands established a tendering allocated through the Competitive Bidding to
2021, with true offshore wind targets by
scheme with subsidies (premium FiT) under the drive down the price.  
2030 and 2045 included for the first time,
Dutch Sustainable Energy Incentive Scheme (SDE+), • For offshore wind projects signing 20-year PPAs the government has not stated the procurement
targeting 4.5 GW offshore wind power capacity in 2021, Taiwan has further reduced its FiT by mechanism for offshore wind once the current
by 2023; it secured its two first offshore wind 8.5%, compared with 2020 rates. intertidal/nearshore FiT expires in November
projects at Borssele sites in 2016.   • The Bureau of Energy plans to tender total 15 2021. There is the prospect for a transition to
• Soon after the target announcement, a prerequisite GW offshore wind capacity in Round 3 for competitive auctions in the future. 
target of ‘40% cost reduction over the period 2015- installation by 2035, across three tendering
2019’ was achieved in first phase tenders during rounds from 2022 to 2024. 
2017, following the German precedent of zero-
subsidy bids at Hollandse Kuts.
• In the Offshore Wind Energy Roadmap, about
11 GW offshore wind capacity is planned to be
installed by 2030 through competitive tenders up to
Q4 2025. 

42 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Mainland China Japan South Korea

• The Renewable Energy Law was released in • Following the approval of the Renewable Energy • Initially, the government provided a FiT scheme.
2006, as the foundation for policy of offshore Bill in 2011, Japan introduced a FiT for wind It was replaced by the Renewable Energy
wind power planning and development, energy in June 2012. At the time, offshore wind Portfolio Standard (RPS) scheme introduced
economic incentive policies, grid connection was priced the same as onshore, although that in 2012 obliging energy suppliers to supply
policy and technical standards. has since changed. In March 2014, the Ministry annual estimated percentage of energy from
• China’s first round of concession bidding started of Economy Trade and Industry (METI) announced offshore wind at fixed price or purchase RECs
in 2010. In 2014, FiTs were introduced for new wind tariffs for 2014/15 (¥22/kWh corresponding to any shortfall in such RPS
offshore wind farms (CNY 0.85/kWh for (€ 0.17/kWh) for onshore and ¥36/kWh obligation. Currently, the mandatory RPS quota
offshore projects, CNY 0.75/kWh for intertidal (€0.28/kWh) for offshore) for 20 years. stands at 9% in 2021 and will go up to 10% in
projects). Although the purchase prices were high, complex 2022 and beyond 2023.
permitting, and approvals made wind energy
• Following the new regulation released in 2018, • Under the 3rd Basic Plan for Energy 2019-
development a daunting process in Japan.
offshore projects approved in 2019 and 2020 2040 announced in June 2019, government is
will go to competitive auction, with the price cap • In November 2018, Japan introduced competitive contemplating to rationalise the energy pricing
set at CNY 0.80/kWh and CNY 0.75/kWh bids for pre-identified promotion zones in a new model by adopting green pricing or implementing
respectively.  national framework for offshore wind projects. corporate PPA.   
Under the Act, developers will compete not just on
• At the end of 2021, the central government’s • Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy announced
tariff, but also on the suitability of their occupancy
offshore wind subsidy will be phased out. the introduction of a Korean RE100 system in
plans in promotion zones.
However, subsidies provided by provincial January 2021. Its key elements for renewable
governments are encouraged to provide • In March 2020, METI announced FiT for fiscal power procurement including offshore wind
continuity of support. Guangdong province will year 2020 auctions of fixed bottom offshore wind generation are: Third-party PPAs (Electric Utility
subsidise offshore wind projects at incrementally power and floating offshore wind at 36 JPY/ Act Enforcement Decree Amendment will allow
reducing rates from CNY 1500/kW in 2022 kWh, to further boost investor interest. renewable power generators, Korea Electric
to CNY 500/kW in 2024, but projects must be • Approval of Offshore Wind Industry Vision in Power Corporation, and electricity consumers
approved by 2018 and commissioned between December 2020 led Japan to set high offshore to enter into PPAs); Green Premium and REC
2022 and 2024. wind installation targets of 10 GW by 2030 purchase.
• As coastal provinces release their Five-Year Plans and 30-45 GW by 2040. These targets will
to 2025, there will be more visibility around local be counted based on approved projects under
support schemes for financing. FiT through transparent auctions targeting cost
reduction to JPY 8-9/kWh by 2030 to 2035.

GWEC.NET 43
United States France

• The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) administers • France has been awarding offshore wind energy
incentives for private investment for renewable projects through competitive tenders since 2011. 
energy technologies including offshore wind energy. • First two offshore wind tenders organised in
Incentives are tax credits and financing mechanisms 2011 and 2013, under EU Commission’s State
such as tax-exempt bonds, loan guarantee Aid Guidelines of 1 April 2008, a FiT scheme
programs, and low-interest loans. was provided. A limited number of categories
• Tax Credits which can be claimed are 1) Renewable of installations generating renewable energies,
Electricity Production Tax Credit (PTC) allows owners including some floating wind installations, can
and developers to claim estimated allowable cents/ now fall under the FiT without a tender process.
kWh for a period of 10 years, it has been extended • Further, a new 20-year CfD/feed-in premium
for renewable facilities beginning the construction by support scheme, complément de remuneration,
the end of 2021; 2) Business Energy ITC is one-time aiming to provide certainty created in 2015 is
credit for owners and developers of offshore wind used wherein EDF is obliged to enter into PPA set
facilities commencing construction prior to 2026 are at fixed reference tariff by the winning tenderer
eligible for a 30% tax credit.  and market price difference is then reimbursed
• Since 2018, states-issued competitive solicitations to EDF by the State through a tax on energy
have been driving offshore wind market in US; consumption called CSPE 48.
most of the state’s authority enter into contracts to
buy Offshore Wind Renewable Energy Certificates
(ORECs) and sell it to utilities and other load serving
entities (LSEs), which are required to purchase
clean energy credits; authorities in other states like
Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and Connecticut enter
into direct PPAs with utilities also allowing RECs.
• In May 2021, the federal government set an
ambitious 30 GW target for offshore wind by
2030. Solicitations are expected to continue for
long-term in most of the States, considering their
proposed solicitation schedule and offshore wind
targets up to 2035. 

With input from: Michael Stephenson, Associate Director, RCG

44 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Streamlined project permitting to support
offshore wind growth
Offshore wind projects require
a 360° techno-environmental Permitting plays a critical role in accelerating annual installations to reach net zero
review on impacts to the marine 2.0TW
ecosystem, socioeconomic impacts GWEC reported historical annual installation
and other dimensions. While this Annual wind installations required under IEA’s NZE2050 scenario 80
process is necessary, it can be time- GWEC reported historical total installation
consuming and costly. Circuitous Total wind installations required under IEA’s NZE2050 scenario
70
and complex consenting processes
or delayed approvals increase
project risks. Therefore, a cohesive
permitting process must be in place
to support and accelerate offshore
wind development. Streamlining
permitting and consenting for
offshore wind will be needed to get
close to the annual offshore wind
installations envisioned in the IEA’s
net zero by 2050 roadmap, and
to reap the wider socioeconomic,
environmental and system benefits
of offshore wind.

6.2 6.1
4.5 4.4
1.0 1.3 1.7 1.7 3.4 2.3
0.035TW

2011 2015 2020 2030 2050


Source: GWEC Market Intelligence; IEA Net Zero by 2050 Scenario (May 2021)

GWEC.NET 45
Case study: How can lidar support all phases of an offshore wind project?
Provided by: Vaisala

While the offshore wind market by observing offshore sites from SSE Renewables wanted to carry out
continues its exponential growth, multiple positions, further increasing blade erosion repairs, they leveraged
offshore wind farms present new measurement accuracy. lidar to determine the impact of the
challenges—and new opportunities.  repairs on turbine performance.
WindCube Offshore and Floating
As turbines grow taller and offshore Lidar Systems (FLS) can also In operation, one or several
sites become more expansive, finding facilitate WRA. AKROCEAN has WindCube Offshore systems are
new ways to obtain precise wind data revealed the FLS could go from port used permanently at the wind farm to
and maximize the potential of offshore to assessment site in just a week, provide continuous quality wind data
wind farms is increasingly critical. speeding the process of project to monitor production and identify
Lidar technology is quickly becoming permitting. Moreover, as exhibited by potential losses or perform diagnosis.
a proven and comprehensive Mainstream Renewable Power, on-site Wind lidar is also increasingly used
measurement solution for every stage fixed offshore lidar measurements for R&D purposes, which now include
of an offshore project. improve project bankability by wake loss, blockage effect and
reducing extrapolation uncertainty. boundary layer studies, active turbine
During development, an accurate and wind farm control and short-term
performance and production Before commissioning, contractual forecasting. 
estimate requires the most power curve verification is crucial.
precise measurements possible Siemens Gamesa Renewable Lidars are comprehensive,
to reduce uncertainty. For a recent Energy uses WindCube Nacelle compatible, and simple to deploy and
Wind Resource Assessment in place of met masts because repurpose throughout the lifecycle
(WRA) campaign, wpd deployed of the faster and more accurate of an offshore project. With the right
a WindCube Scan to ensure calculations the nacelle-mounted tools, offshore wind farms are not just
greater measurement heights and lidar provides. WindCube Nacelle technically feasible but financially
confirm wind speeds with on-site ensures correct and IEC-compliant sound. 
measurements, achieving its goals of Power Performance Testing (PPT),
increased wind data certainty while and WindCube Insights - Analytics Find out more:
keeping the campaign highly efficient software streamlines simplified http://www.windcubelidar.com/
and cost-effective. Scanning lidar and transparent PPT reporting and
also supports dual lidar to provide analysis. WindCube Nacelle can
even more comprehensive insights also aid during operations: When

46 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Global views on the offshore wind permitting process

In most European countries, offshore decade for the learning process to supply chain and infrastructure
wind project development is now yield a robust industry and supply establishment. Although a slow
possible within around eight years, chain. An initial 1 GW concession project permitting process was widely
mainly because of the transition program, consisting of four offshore recognised as a challenge under
from an “open-door” model to a wind projects in Jiangsu province, the previous federal administration,
“one-stop shop” model. Under was launched in 2010, but project under the Biden administration there
the former model, the developer development was delayed primarily is a determined political agenda and
takes responsibility for initiating site due to conflict between various active engagements with relevant
selection and verification, applying government bodies including the authorities and stakeholders. This
for all permits and approvals, and oceanic administration, maritime has advanced the US as a market
establishing the project at the end. administration and other functions which is meeting critical permitting
However, lessons learned in the like the military, fishery and natural milestones. 
initial stage of offshore wind buildout reserves. The market did not take
have led Denmark, Germany, the off until the National Offshore Wind Offshore wind farm development
UK and the Netherlands – where Development Plan (2014-2016) and still takes more than ten years in
more than 60% of global offshore offshore wind FiT were released emerging markets like Japan and
wind installations are based – to by National Energy Administration South Korea, due to complex and
transition to the more simplified (NEA) in 2014. Most importantly, the time-intensive permitting procedures.
“one-stop shop” model. This Management Measures for Offshore Both countries have made bold
model reduces administrative Wind Power Development and offshore wind targets (10 GW by
procedures for developers, Construction was jointly released 2030 in Japan and 12 GW by 2030 in
making government agencies by the NEA and State Oceanic South Korea), but without a sensible
responsible for site selection in Administration (SOA) in 2016, permitting environment in place
either a zonal or site-specific aligning permitting and development to ensure smooth and expeditious
approach, pre-site investigations, guidelines between various project timelines, those targets will be
licensing, Environmental Impact government bodies and stakeholders. challenging to meet. 
Assessment (EIA), grid connection to
decommissioning.  As an emerging offshore wind
market, the US has demonstrated how
China is the world’s leading offshore project consenting and permitting
wind market today by cumulative can slow down or speed up
installations. It took more than a project development and domestic

GWEC.NET 47
Case Study: Denmark’s “one-stop shop” for timely project permitting

Long-term planning, as well as development. According to the Act, description and plan of activities in consenting offshore wind farms.
a stable and supportive policy the Danish Energy Agency (DEA) to carry out on the offshore site. The licenses required are prepared
framework, have been fundamental has the mandate to both plan and • License to establish the offshore and granted by the DEA through
to the success of Danish offshore issue permits for offshore wind wind turbines, granted if an iterative process involving
wind development. The concept of a projects within territorial waters preliminary investigations show contributions from the relevant
single point of access, or a “one-stop and Denmark’s Exclusive Economic that the project is compatible authorities. The DEA conveys
shop”, for project permitting not only Zone (EEZ). The three licenses with the relevant interests at sea. relevant project specific knowledge
speeds up the consenting process, required to establish an offshore to the other authorities in order
• License to exploit wind power
but also reduces uncertainties and wind farm are granted by the DEA, to mitigate conflicting interests.
for a certain number of years,
delays.  which serves as a “one-stop shop” Once the concession has been
and an approval for electricity
for the project developer: granted, the DEA will continue to
The Act on Promotion of Renewable production.
• License to carry out preliminary operate as a single point of contact
Energy defines the rules, if the developer needs assistance
investigations, granted after the According to the DEA, the “one-
requirements and procedures for on issues related to the granted
developer submits a project stop shop” model ensures a smooth
issuing licenses for offshore wind licences and procedures.
and administratively lean process

Roles of DEA in offshore wind permitting process in Denmark

First assessment of the


Government consultations Public consultations and
project suitability and
and information flow involvement when required Implementation and
preparation of draft license
DEA single Maintenance
point of contact

Assessment of Incorporate Final assessment of the


response and conditions and project (Approval/
objectives requirements Rejection)

Source: Danish Energy Agency, 2020

48 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Case Study: The US shows that a determined political agenda
can advance project permitting

The Biden administration has In recent years, permitting was raised


elevated strategic attention to offshore as a prominent hurdle for developers
wind deployment with a 30 GW to meet construction timelines and
federal target by 2030, in addition benefit from the PTC and ITC tax
to a broader net zero by 2050 credit schemes. The 12 MW Virginia
goal. Similar to China, it has been offshore wind project installed in 2020
a learning process for government underwent an eight-year permitting
bodies in the US to enhance inter- process to ensure compliance with
agency coordination and streamline federal laws, state environmental
procedures, in addition to increasing and coastal management plans. The
the human resource required for first large-scale 800 MW Vineyard
technical and environmental review.  project, awarded through a lease
auction in 2018, had been paused
The Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) for 1.5 years due to challenges from
Renewable Energy Program the Construction and Operation Plan
announced by the Department of (COP) and environmental impact
Interior (DOI) in 2009 provides review. It could not receive the green
a framework for issuing leases, light for construction until the new
easements and rights-of way for OCS administration streamlined the federal
activities that support production permitting process in 2021. 
and transmission of energy from
sources. These responsibilities are According to GWEC Market
implemented through the Bureau of Intelligence, 28 GW of offshore wind
Ocean Energy Management (BOEM). could be built in the US by 2030 with
BOEM has outlined a four-phase up to 15 GW fixed-bottom offshore
leasing process based on competitive wind capacity already awarded
or non-competitive auctions to through state-level solicitations or
regulate the overall offshore wind having secured offtake and another
project permitting process.  9.2 GW of competitive solicitations
(in Rhode Island, New Jersey,
Massachusetts, Connecticut and

GWEC.NET 49
Maryland) lined up to 2028. To meet least 16 COPs by 2025, including the
the scale of interest and targeted environmental review the 2.3 GW
growth, BOEM has established Vineyard Wind South wind project
14 Intergovernmental Renewable and up to 10 additional projects in
Energy Task Forces as of May 2021 2021. These steps and improved
to help inform its planning and engagements between relevant
leasing process and plug critical authorities and stakeholders have
data gaps. turned the US into a good example
of an action-oriented administration
There are also new permitting resolving permitting hurdles to foster
deadlines: BOEM plans to review at offshore wind growth.

Phases of BOEM’s Offshore Wind Energy Project Authorization Process 

Construction
Planning and Analysis Leasing Site Assessment and Operations

BOEM publishes call for BOEM determines Lease conducts site Lease may conduct
information and whether competitive characterization studies additional site
nominations interest exists characterization
Lease submits site
BOEM identifies priority If competitive interest assessment plan (SAP) Lease submits
Wind Energy Areas exists, BOEM notifies the construction and
(WEAs) offshore, WEAs public and developers of BOEM conducts
operations plan (COP)
are locations that appear its intent to lease through environmental and
most suitable for wind sale notices before technical reviews of SAP, BOEM conducts
energy development, or holding a lease sale eventually deciding to environmental and
approve, with technical reviews of COP,
Processes unsolicited If competitive interest does modification, or eventually deciding to
application for lease not Exist, BOEM disapprove the SAP approve, with
negotiates a lease (note: modification, or
BOEM may prepare an issuance may be If approved, lease
environmental assessment disapprove the COP
combined with plan assesses site (usually with
for lease issuance and site approval) meteorological towers If approved, lease builds
assessment activities and bodys) wind facility

Inter government Task Force Engagement

Source: BOEM, 2021

50 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Case Study: South Korea’s fragmented and lengthy permitting
process delays project development

In October 2020, South Korea via an ‘open-door’ model. The project As of March 2021, 42 projects totalling
declared its carbon neutrality by 2050 developer takes responsibility for site 7.7 GW have acquired an Electric
goal. In support of this goal, and a selection, site verification, preparing Business License (EBL). The EBL
key plank of the country’s Renewable and submitting applications for is the first permit applied for after
Energy 3020 Implementation Plan all approvals and permissions, a successful wind measurement
from 2018, is a target to install 12 GW as well as managing consultation campaign and is therefore a
of offshore wind capacity by 2030. with local authorities, residents good indicator of early project
By 2030, South Korea is expected to and stakeholders. Developers development. There is 140 MW
emerge as East Asia’s hottest floating are generally granted a four-year operational in the country today,
offshore wind market, housing exclusivity period which begins and most projects are developed
some of the world’s biggest floating when the permits to install the over periods of 8-11 years from
offshore wind farms. meteorological measurements EBL to COD. Generally, offshore
equipment is granted.  wind project development is a
South Korea has granted permits for fragmented and lengthy process in
offshore wind project development South Korea, lacking a mediation
Offshore wind project development process in South Korea forum for resolving challenges and residents and the fishing industry.
grievances from various stakeholders, This plan called for a new “one-stop
uncertainties regarding grid shop” permitting organisation but is
Wind
Site assessment Feasibility connection and disparity in central facing implementation delays due
Site selection measurement
and site surveys review
campaign and local authorities’ goals. to lack of inter-agency alignment
and continued opposition from local
Currently, permit applications fisheries and diver groups. 
Power resources Other permits must be submitted to multiple
Offshore wind Electricity
development and grid business license ministries, resulting in delays and Despite strong political support for
implementation farm design connection application
plan application development uncertainties. In offshore wind and the financial clout
July 2020, the Ministry of Trade, of both domestic and foreign players,
Consultation on Start of
Industry and Energy (MOTIE), it remains challenging for South
Contracting and Offshore wind Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries
resident commercial Korea to realise its ambitious offshore
financial close farm construction
compensation operation (MOF) and Ministry of Environment wind targets on time in view of its
(MOE) jointly issued an ‘Offshore lengthy permitting and stakeholder
Source: Aegir, COWI, Pondera, “Accelerating offshore wind through partnerships,” 2021. 
Wind Collaboration Plan’ with local consultation procedures.

GWEC.NET 51
Advancing offshore wind through a holistic
MSP process
The ocean holds a wealth of solutions of decent work and livelihoods for
to address global challenges. Offshore millions (Goal 8). 
wind is a vital ocean-based climate
solution in the future energy mix, However, the demand for ocean space
supporting the significant GHG is rising with the combination of both
emissions reduction needed to meet new and established users, from
the Paris Agreement.  fishing, tourism, military and shipping,
to offshore renewables like offshore
The ocean also plays an important role wind and aquaculture. Over the next
in reconciling the climate and nature two decades, more ocean users will
crisis. The restoration and rehabilitation undoubtedly emerge, such as marine
of so-called blue carbon ecosystems pharmaceuticals. 
such as seagrass, mangroves, coral
reefs and saltmarshes, can both Ocean management tools, such as
recover ecosystem biodiversity Marine Spatial Planning (MSP), can
and function while accounting for reconcile the decarbonisation agenda,
carbon sequestration and increasing the biodiversity agenda and the SDGs.
climate resilience. A sustainable MSP uses an evidence-based approach
ocean economy can deliver on all to improve coordination among marine
17 of the Sustainable Development stakeholders, while minimising cross-
Goals (SDGs), from food security and sector conflicts, tapping into synergies
nutrition (Goals 2 and 3) to provision and encouraging science-based

“In order for the ocean to deliver on its potential, a


well-managed ocean will be increasingly essential.”

52 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


decision-making harnessing local litigation risks, as well as easing It is not simply a matter of allocating
knowledge.  permitting processes. A lack of new sites. The private sector plays an
spatial planning can lead to delays important role in broader integrated
MSP is important for fair and to offshore wind deployment, incur ocean management: Public-private
sustainable integration of offshore additional costs and incite pushback engagement in legitimate processes
wind into the existing context of from other Ocean users; to date, can be success factors for a thriving
traditional marine uses. Since 2009, offshore wind has faced setbacks sustainable ocean economy. 
MSP has guided offshore energy from the fishing industry in several
through site selection, streamlining nations, from France to South Korea. The offshore wind ector already
development through mitigating catalyses and supports MSP
processes: establishing partnerships
Established economic sectors and sub-sectors of Ocean users with the fishing industry; driving
Sector Sub-Sector new approaches to co-existence
Primary production with other marine users, such
as aquaculture and seaweed
Marine living resources Processing of fish products
mariculture; providing evidence,
Distribution of fish products
development scenarios and non-
Oil and gas commercially sensitive data-sets to
Marine non-living resources the Offshore Renewable Sector
Other minerals relevant authorities; and enabling provides additional best practices on
Offshore wind energy well-informed, future-looking and responsible development of offshore
Marine renewable energy
Wave and tidal energy science-based plans. The offshore wind. 
wind sector is also developing nature-
Cargo and warehousing
Port activities inclusive designs with the potential With input from: Martha Selwyn,
Port and water projects
to enhance marine ecosystems, Manager, UN Global Compact
Shipbuilding enabling positive co-existence
Shipbuilding and repair Sustainable Ocean Business Action
Equipment and machinery between biodiversity and clean Platform 
Maritime transport Passenger transport energy. 
Freight transport
Engagement in MSP processes can
Services for transport
help to further explore and capitalise
Coastal tourism Accommodation on synergies, in turn supporting
Transport the socially and environmentally
Other expenditure responsible engagement of the
offshore wind sector. The UN Global
Source: European Commission (2021). The EU Blue Economy Report. 2021. Publications Office of the
European Union. Luxembourg.
Compact Practical Guidance for

GWEC.NET 53
Grid challenges and innovations in offshore wind
As the number and size of planning. The third party-owned
offshore wind projects that are model separates the developer from
under development grow at the transmission assets.
unforeseen rates, offshore grids
have become a topic of much Mature European markets, such
interest. The emergence of new as Germany, the Netherlands and
transmission technologies, such as Belgium, have adopted the TSO-
superconductivity, gas-insulated owned model, whereas in the US,
assets, HVDC and Power-to-X, are Mainland China and Taiwan, the
paving the way to a holistic approach developer-owned model has been
to offshore grid planning and adopted. Denmark evolved from
buildout. more than 20 years of the TSO-owned
model to the developer-owned model
Transmission ownership models in 2018, to further drive competition
and lower costs. The UK has utilised
There are mainly three models the third party-owned model, wherein
of ownership for offshore grids: transmission assets are usually built
developer-owned, Transmission by the developer, and by law, at
System Operator (TSO)-owned, commercial operation, the developer
and third party-owned. Under must sell the transmission asset to a
the developer-owned model, the Third-Party Offshore Transmission
developer is responsible for the Owner (OFTO). There are advantages
offshore transmission infrastructure and disadvantages to each model,
planning, installation, operations and which vary based on the political and
maintenance, whereas in the TSO- fiscal preferences of each market, but
owned model, the system operator they all work.
is responsible and typically makes
it part of broader power system

54 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Technology, cables and features
Basic HVAC to HVDC technology comparison
Offshore wind projects have
Parameter HVAC HVDC
predominantly utilised a single line
connection, or radial connection, to Cable Cost HIGH MEDIUM
transfer power to the onshore grid. Electrical Losses MEDIUM LOW
If the radial connection fails, there is Practical Maximum Length ~100 km Theoretically Unlimited, Current
less power available for the system (without mitigation) Longest is about 600 km
operator and financial losses for the System Reliability HIGH MEDIUM-HIGH
developer. High voltage alternating OSP/Converter Platform Cost MEDIUM HIGH
current (HVAC) technology has been OSP/Converter Platform Weight 1,500-3,000 T ~12,000 T (Borwin Beta Germany)
widely used in offshore grids. Some
Max Power Per Cable ~ 400 MW Currently Western Link; transmits
offshore projects located more than 2,200 MW
100km to the coast have used a radial
Onshore Footprint MEDIUM LARGE
high-voltage direct current (HVDC)
interlink to shore, such as Sylwin1 Source: NYSERDA, 2021.
(2014), DolWin3 (2017) and Dogger
Bank (2023, planned). stabilization), but it requires larger capacity, technology readiness,
offshore platforms and longer lead delivery times, economics, operations
Both HVAC and HVDC are well- times. HVDC is also less cost efficient and regulations.18
known and proven technologies. for short distances.
While HVAC has lower terminal Offshore grid challenges
station costs, more moderately sized Floating offshore grid applications
require a different high voltage The offshore wind industry is
offshore platforms (larger supply facing challenges around offshore
base) and shorter delivery times, it is dynamic cable technology, as the
cable technology used for fixed- transmission, including unexpected
limited in cable length and typically cable damages, incremental cost of
has higher power losses than HVDC. bottom applications are unable to flex
and withstand a lifetime of constant offshore grids and delays due to lack
On the other hand, HVDC has no of planning and coordination.
limitation in cable length, requires movement without fatigue cracking.
less cabling, has fewer power losses The decision between HVAC and Cables represent up to 80% of
and offers superior operations and HVDC is highly project specific, construction claim payments, but
control features (e.g. black start with several factors to consider, such only 10 to 20% of capital spending,
capability, voltage and frequency as export cable lengths, installed according to GCube, a renewables

18 Offshore Wind Submarine Cabling Overview. Fisheries Technical Working Group, Final Report. NYSERDA, April 2021.

GWEC.NET 55
insurance supplier.19 In 2021, Ørsted interconnection delays. These risks offshore storage solutions such
identified a cabling issue during an are particularly high in a developer- as iLand.23 Furthermore, seven
inspection at Race Bank Offshore owned model, where transmission European TSOs have signed a
Wind Farm, where unstabilised costs can escalate quickly over time Memorandum of Understanding for
cables connecting its offshore wind as opposed to a TSO-planned and the launch of Eurobar, an initiative
turbines had been moving across owned approach. These costs stem for interconnecting offshore wind
the scour protection (rocks placed from the limited number and options platforms across Europe.24
on the seabed around the turbine of landing sites, cable spacing and
foundations to avoid seabed erosion), crisscrossing with other infrastructure, In the UK, National Grid estimates
abrading its cable protection system. impact on fisheries, local community that the benefits of an integrated
Ørsted is now planning to place a and environment, congested approach for all offshore projects
cover around the damaged cables transmission systems (existing grids to be delivered from 2025 would
and stabilise them against the rocks, were not designed for massive influx amount to nearly £6 billion between
potentially saving hundreds of of offshore wind power), and in turn now and 2050, as well as significant
millions of dollars over the project can lead to curtailments, higher environmental and social benefits
lifetime. The first offshore wind onshore upgrade costs and other (for example, the number of new
projects had a layer of rocks on top adverse outcomes.21 The industry electricity infrastructure assets,
of the cable to help stabilise them has also seen delays of more than 12 including cables and onshore landing
against ocean movement. The new months in grid connections, such as in points, could be reduced by around
solution, without this layer of rocks, Germany.22 50%).25
was introduced a few years back
and has been adopted by most In Europe, ENTSO-E, the association
operational projects worldwide.20 for European TSOs, supports the
planning of the future offshore grid
Another offshore grid challenge by assessing the benefits of over 43
is around a lack of centralised offshore projects all over Europe,
planning and coordination, which including offshore interconnectors,
leads to incremental transmission innovative projects such as the
costs, project development and North Sea Wind Power Hub and

19 https://www.reutersevents.com/renewables/wind/growing-findings-offshore-cable-damage-hike-pressure-protection
20 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-14/orsted-readies-divers-to-fix-wind-power-cables-on-sea-floor
21 https://www.brattle.com/news-and-knowledge/news/planned-offshore-wind-transmission-system-for-new-york-could-provide-cost-savings-of-over-500-million-according-to-study-
by-brattle-economists
22 https://www.offshorewind.biz/2012/06/25/germany-deals-with-further-grid-connection-delays/
23 https://eepublicdownloads.blob.core.windows.net/public-cdn-container/tyndp-documents/TYNDP2020/Foropinion/TYNDP2020_Highlights.pdf
24 https://www.offshorewind.biz/2021/04/15/european-tsos-form-eurobar-to-standardise-offshore-grids/
25 https://www.nationalgrideso.com/news/final-phase-1-report-our-offshore-coordination-project

56 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Current approach compared to the integrated approach for Great Britain network designs in 2030

Current approach Integrated approach

7GW 7GW

3.5GW

3.5GW

3.1GW Key
3.1GW
High Voltage Direct
Current point-to-point Link

High Voltage Alternating


Current point-to-point Link

Multiple windfarms

HVDC multi-terminal
8.1GW
2.6GW 2.6GW
Meshed HVDC substation

8.1GW HVDC island switching station


Great Great
Britain Britain HVAC interlink

HVDC multi-pupose interconnector

Onshore HVDC switching station

0.3GW
0.3GW OWF connection to existing
HVDC converter station

Lines demonstrate the number of links, not the number of individual cables.
Some of the links shown may be formed by a number of cables.

Source: NGESO, 2020.

GWEC.NET 57
Schematic representation of the Kriegers Flak Combined Grid Solution

Source: 50Hertz

In addition, the Kriegers Flak Offshore Transmission Networks’ With regards to subsea inspections, This vastly expedites the process,
Combined Grid Solution project, (PROMOTioN), completed in 2020, the industry has traditionally used removes people from hazardous
completed in 2020, is the world’s first concluded there are no technological divers and remotely operated environments and reduces vessel
project combining grid connections showstoppers for multi-terminal underwater vehicles (ROV). With the sizes.27 For example, the Woods Hole
to offshore wind farms with an HVDC transmission networks, advancement of new technologies Oceanographic Institution designed
interconnector between Denmark and although significant standardisation such as simultaneous localisation the torpedo-shaped REMUS ocean
Germany.26 work is required. and mapping (SLAM), increasingly robot to map the seafloor around
autonomous ROV and machine cables in order to collect detailed
There are many other offshore grid Offshore grid innovations learning, operators are offered with information such as gaps in the
challenges, but making offshore the capability to process video sediment protecting the cable.28
HVDC systems interoperable, Many companies and research
feeds in discrete frames, recognising
flexible, modular, scalable, reliable institutions are looking at the According to research institute MaREI,
structural key features, anomalies,
and resilient, remain some of the next frontier for offshore grids, at University College Cork, current
automatically tagging and grading
greatest. The EU-funded project from robotics and digital twin superconducting cable technology
them according to predefined levels.
‘PROgress on Meshed HVDC technology to superconducting. is not fit for large offshore wind
26 https://www.50hertz.com/en/Grid/Griddevelopement/Offshoreprojects/CombinedGridSolution; https://en.energinet.dk/Infrastructure-Projects/Projektliste/KriegersFlakCGS
27 https://www.zdnet.com/article/the-undersea-robots-driving-offshore-wind-generation/
28 https://www.whoi.edu/oceanus/feature/a-new-way-of-seeing-offshore-wind-power-cables/

58 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


applications. Superconductor cables
are made of special materials that
when cooled down to extremely
low temperatures activate the
superconductivity phenomenon.
The primary challenge is to
minimise heat ingress that reduces
performance of the superconducting
over the length of the pipes under
deep-sea high-pressure conditions.
Innovations around optimisation of the
cooling system and manufacturing
process are also needed to bring
superconducting to offshore grid
scales.29

As global economies reaffirm their


renewable energy commitments with
larger targets, robust and proactive
planning and development of offshore
grids will be needed to enable
countries to reach their aims. This
must include significant investment
and R&D in some of the technological
innovations reviewed above, from
subsea cabling to remote O&M to
superconductivity, as well as wide
stakeholder collaboration to ensure
environmentally sound buildout and
industrial efficiency.

29 
https://www.entsoe.eu/Technopedia/techsheets/
high-temperature-superconductor-hts-cables

GWEC.NET 59
Offshore wind financing
A record-breaking period for offshore 2019’s record full-year figure, a financing using a corporate finance
wind financing revised US$31.9 billion. approach.

Last year, what will eventually The first half of 2020 saw 28 Over the last decade, from 2011 to
be the planet’s largest offshore investment commitments reach 2020, the breakdown of financing
wind farm reached a significant financial close for offshore wind approaches is as follows: corporate
milestone – financial close on the farms, including the largest ever at balance sheet financing of €47billion
first two 1.2 GW phases of the 3.6 the time, the 1.5 GW Hollandse Kust using a corporate finance approach;
GW Dogger Bank Wind Farm off the Zuid off the coast of the Netherlands and €21.7 billion of non-recourse
east coast of England in a deal worth at an estimated US$3.9 billion. Several project financing broken down as
approximately US$8 billion. This other major deals followed as projects €15.4 billion of debt and €6.3 billion
marked the largest ever offshore wind and financing ‘ticket’ sizes continue of equity. In recent years, offshore
farm project financing completed to increase, including the 1.1 GW wind investments increasingly lean on
anywhere in the world. Significant Seagreen project in the UK at an project finance due to the high capital
investments such as this transaction estimated US$3.8 billion, and the requirements. 30
have now become commonplace for Fecamp and Saint-Brieuc projects in
France, together totalling 993 MW and Evolution of the offshore wind
the offshore wind industry.
US$5.4 billion. financing ecosystem
There was also an abundance of
According to WindEurope’s latest Fixed-bottom offshore wind
financing activity in the sector as
analysis, total investments in 2020 technology has reached a point of
2020 became a record year for
for offshore wind across the region maturation in Europe, with its rapid
offshore wind financing, despite the
were approximately US$31 billion growth enabled by an expanding
COVID-19 pandemic. Offshore wind
(including offshore transmission line network of financial actors, along
financing in the first six months of
infrastructure). Of this total investment with favourable and increasingly
2020 totalled US$35 billion, up by a
figure, 58% represents non-recourse attractive conditions relating to
record 319% year-on-year, according
debt financing, while just 18% of the country political risk profiles,
to BloombergNEF, representing the
capital raised was on balance sheet available liquidity and weighted cost
most active half-year ever for final
of capital. The recognition of offshore
investment decisions, well above
wind as an infrastructure asset class
30 WindEurope, “Financing and investment trends,” 2019.

60 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


has also helped unlock additional
pools of equity and debt capital from The evolution of the offshore wind financing ecosystem

corporate and institutional investors,


Type  Equity  Debt (non-recourse basis)
including pension funds, insurance
companies and sovereign wealth Traditional Corporates including utilities, IPPs (equity on balance sheet, Commercial banks (including club deals)
players e.g. Ørsted, Vattenfall, RWE)
funds looking for de-risked and
Pension funds (e.g. PGGM, PensionDenmark, PKA) Export Credit Agencies (Public debt sources like Denmark’s EKF)
predictable yield investments.
Insurance funds (e.g. Allianz and Munich Re) Multinational financing organisations (Public debt sources like EIB)
In the early stages of the offshore Sovereign Wealth Funds (such as Masdar Capital, Norwegian State owned or state backed banks such as National development
wind industry, from 1991 to the mid- Sovereign Wealth Fund) banks (public debt sources like KfW)
2000s, the traditional players in terms Infrastructure funds (e.g. Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners, Institutional investors (e.g. Denmark’s pension fund PKA recently
of equity financing were corporates, Macquarie, Global Infrastructure Partners) provided a €120 million subordinated loan in a hybrid debt
structure for  the North Sea Gemini project, backstopped by an
including utilities, energy companies Non- ECA guarantee from Denmark’s EKF)
and independent power producers traditional
newcomers Private equity funds (e.g. Partners Group and BlackRock) Green Bond finance (e.g. Ørsted in Taiwan)
(IPPs), while commercial banks were
Green power corporate investors (direct investment in stakes like
the key players in terms of supplying Colruyt group, Kirkbi or indirect via Corporate PPAs, e.g. Amazon
debt (on a non-recourse basis). The & BASF)
standard project finance debt ratios Citizens equity for smaller projects (engage with local communities
of 60% employed for the first offshore like nearshore projects in Denmark)
wind financings have increased to Oil and gas companies (primarily based in Europe, e.g. Shell,
between 80% and 90% in many cases. Equinor, BP, Total, ENI)  

In addition, the ecosystem of financial Source: FTI Consulting, GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021
actors involved in offshore wind
transactions has expanded.

As key equity investors in offshore


wind, pension funds and insurance
companies have typically sought
partnerships with experienced
project developers who guarantee full
coverage of both technical and cost
overrun risks during construction
and initial operations. Teaming up
with an experienced utility company
capable of managing these risks has

GWEC.NET 61
been key to enlarging the pool of risk The evolving trend to watch is the
capital willing to invest in the sector. A move to a ‘zero-subsidy model’ seen
growing number of sovereign wealth in the Netherlands and Germany, for
funds have also begun to enter the example. This development, in terms
offshore wind sector on a similar of market design, signals that the
basis. underlying business fundamentals in
selling power are changing as project
The cost of offshore wind is highly developers will only receive the
sensitive to the cost of debt, making wholesale price of electricity. Under
access to cheaper debt crucial for this wholesale market approach
the sector’s further development. developers must bear the risk of
The industry is increasingly reliant electricity price volatility. This is
on commercial banks entering uncharted territory for many in the
into project financing deals with offshore wind industry, bringing new
additional financing support provided opportunities but also a huge amount
by multilateral banks and national of uncertainty and financial risk,
finance institutions. Key players including the likely compression of
providing debt finance continue to internal rates of return that may make
be commercial banks, export credit offshore wind projects less attractive
agencies, state-owned banks and to investors (see: Support schemes).
multilateral lenders.
Exporting the European experience
Most recently, in March 2021, the
European Investment Bank (EIB) We are now seeing experienced
has granted a US$412 million credit developers, utilities, financial
line to a consortium building a wind investors, and equipment suppliers
farm off the coast of Courseulles-sur- export their proven offshore wind
Mer in France. The financing will be financing approaches to new
guaranteed by the European Fund markets beyond Europe. Export
for Strategic Investments, the central Credit Agencies (ECAs) have played
pillar of the Investment Plan for a crucial role in extending the
Europe - reinforcing offshore wind’s industry beyond Europe, by offering
strategic importance for Europe and guarantees of commercial bank
the EIB’s position as the EU ‘Climate loans to support the offshore wind
Bank.’ industry’s international expansion.

62 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


State-owned or state-backed banks countries, such as the United States
also play a pivotal role in their and Taiwan.
support of domestic wind industry
participants and infrastructure sector In the US market, an important role
projects more generally, often offering in wind project financing is played
loans and bank loan guarantees at by tax equity investors due to the
lower rates than those offered by availability of lucrative production
commercial banks. The participation tax credits (PTCs). Availability of
of government-supported financing debt should not be an issue for US
institutions has been instrumental offshore wind projects. Most likely
in raising the confidence of private will be the use of 7-to-10-year term
investors in offshore wind, not mini-perm structures with cash
only by illustrating strong political sweeps followed by re-financings to
support but also by lowering the match the PPA tenors of 20-25 years.
cost and availability of conventional There may also be use of term loan
commercial bank debt. B debt and project bonds depending
upon the tenors and rates offered
Commercial banks have also by commercial banks. In addition,
provided a significant amount of non- the U.S. Congress has extended the
recourse debt on a project finance availability of ITCs to offshore wind
basis as they are able to utilise a projects that begin construction
variety of flexible loan instruments before 2026. The stability and
to cover short to medium term visibility offered by these federal tax
financing of infrastructure projects. credits helps to ensure mobilisation
However, these banks typically have of sufficient tax equity investment
a low tolerance for risks that cannot and long-term debt to finance
be readily mitigated. But as offshore the expected expansion of the US
wind’s expansion to new markets has offshore wind market.
been driven by the same European
companies that established the Earlier this year, in a prime example
European wind sector, significant risk of established offshore wind actors
premiums are not being attached and models at work in a new market,
to projects seeking financing in Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners
new markets in investment grade (CIP) of Denmark, announced that
it had reached financial close on

GWEC.NET 63
the Changfang and Xidao 589 MW markets such as the Netherlands Floating offshore wind, which is still
offshore wind project off the coast down this route. at the pre-commercialisation stage
of Changhua County in Taiwan. The of development in both Europe and
589 MW offshore wind farm will be New markets, new risk profiles Asia, is experiencing similar financing
financed through a combination challenges to those faced in financing
Another question now is how these
of equity and senior loans from a fixed-bottom offshore wind projects
established project financing
consortium of 25 international and in new emerging market countries.
models will adapt as offshore wind
Taiwanese banks and financial As utility-scale floating wind is yet to
development proceeds in new
institutions, along with equity be deployed on a commercial basis,
markets, where country risk profiles
financing support from CIP’s Funds it is likely to require either balance-
are higher. This transition into riskier
I and II, Taiwan Life Insurance and sheet financing or more equity
markets, will represent an important
TransGlobe Life Insurance, as well as to be employed as a part of non-
new challenge for offshore wind
with support from six export credit recourse project financing packages.
deployment, where the availability of
agencies. The total project financing According to Green Giraffe, the EIB,
financing could turn from enabler to
raised from commercial banks and a couple of ECAs and a handful of
roadblock.
other financial institutions amounts to commercial banks are prepared to
approximately US$3 billion (NT$ 90 Available liquidity in the global consider lending to a floating wind
billion). financial sector doesn’t flow as easily project with the right “bankability”
to markets with higher risk profiles, profile using more conservative debt
Another Asian market not to be ratios.
such as Brazil, Turkey, India and
ignored in terms of offshore wind Vietnam. The risk profiles of first-
volume is Mainland China, where As the world transitions away from
generation projects in these countries
a unique approach to financing fossil fuels there is also a growing
will also be higher, likely requiring
exists due to the country’s specific trend towards producing “green”
more equity to be deployed and
economic and political environment. hydrogen at massive offshore
in some cases even requiring on
According to BloombergNEF, there electrolysis facilities powered in
balance-sheet financing until projects
were no fewer than 17 Chinese some cases by equally massive
are constructed and significantly
installations financed in 2020, led by offshore wind farms. Such innovative
de-risked. Support schemes such
the Guangdong Yudean Yangjiang infrastructure projects may also
as the one provided by the Brazilian
Yangxi Shapaat 600 MW project face challenges in raising financing
Development Bank (BNDES) to
which required financing of its US$1.8 during their initial deployment
ignite onshore wind development
billion project cost. GWEC notes that period. For example, the recently
in the country could be launched
Mainland China expects to move to announced AquaVentus initiative
as a strategy, in Brazil and in other
a subsidy-free merchant model as has set a goal of achieving 10 GW of
emerging markets for offshore wind.
of 2022, following certain European electrolysis capacity in the North Sea

64 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


by 2035. Despite the participation of focus must shift to issues around
experienced offshore wind investors, market design, especially relating to
the initial process of financing such project permitting (see: Permitting
projects may encounter teething and consenting schemes), grid
problems as the technology involved connections and closer interaction
is increasingly complex and located between industry, the financial
farther offshore. community and government. There
are also uncertainties surrounding
Role of financing in reaching net zero a transition to wholesale energy
markets and its impact on financial
As reflected in the ever-increasing
returns. These issues must be
financing activity in the sector,
carefully managed if the global
competition and innovation
community is to achieve deployment
have helped bring costs down.
of offshore wind and capital at the
Encouragingly, there is still more room
rate required to reach global climate
for improve ment as IRENA’s latest
change mitigation goals.
projections show average offshore
wind LCOE falling by 55% by 2030
compared to 2018.

Financing is not seen to be a major


roadblock to building new offshore
wind projects as many organisations
across the financing ecosystem are
seeking to increase activity in the
sector and there is sufficient liquidity
available in global capital markets.
This means that the financial sector
is already positioned to enable
the required offshore wind growth
needed to achieve collective net zero
commitments.

While there is sufficient liquidity


in global financial markets, the

GWEC.NET 65
Expanding a safe, skilled and capable workforce
for offshore wind
The offshore wind industry is growing these systems into new markets. This ahead. The report concluded that In Europe, training capacity is plentiful
at an unprecedented rate. To manage means thousands more instructors by 2025, over 480,000 GWO-trained with employers enjoying choice and
this rapid growth and achieve a and support staff to help us send out technicians will be required in variety of standardised wind power-
sustainable workforce, the industry a technician workforce with the right construction, installation, operations specific safety and technical training
must expand without compromising skills and safety mindset to avoid and maintenance globally. The at more than 250 locations across the
on safety. injury on site. opportunity for training providers, continent. Around 80,000 technicians
colleges, universities, and other have a valid GWO training record in
This requires alignment and Earlier this year, the Global Wind institutions is tremendous. Europe, many of whom are certified
coordination on a global scale Organisation’s (GWO) sister
amongst policymakers, industry organisation G+ reported that in
representative bodies, employers, Europe, the offshore wind sector
supply chain and educators to ensure experienced fewer than 100 Forecast capacity installations and number of people requiring new training for construction,
sufficient training capacity and recordable injuries for the first installations and O&M globally (2021-2025)
expertise is available.  time, decreasing the sector’s Total
Region Onshore Offshore
Recordable Injury Rate (TRIR) to
The narrative to date has focused Installations Training needs Installations Training needs
3.75, representing a 32% year on (MW) (# of people) (MW) (# of people)
purely on one mission: To create an year reduction. This underlines how
injury-free working environment, Europe, Middle East, Africa 92,500 60,057 34,300 44,412
standardised training in basic safety
the world’s largest wind industry and technical skills for wind turbine Asia-Pacific (except China) 39,200 31,227 12,200 32,659
employers have supported technicians is contributing to the Americas (except USA) 26,800 15,660 - -
the operationalisation of safety industry’s safety performance. China 194,500 149,256 34,500 70,099
management by investing in systems USA 46,000 51,624 9,100 25,381
and standards that can be deployed With COP26 on the horizon, GWO
Total (global) 399,000 307,924 90,100 172,281
on a global level. and GWEC widened our focus
with a new report, the Global Wind Total 480,205
In 2021 and beyond the story will Workforce Outlook 2021-2025, (global onshore and offshore)

increasingly consider the job creation which considered the true extent of Credit: Global Wind Workforce Outlook: 2021-2025: Global Wind Organisation and Global Wind Energy
potential associated with propagating the workforce capacity challenge
Council. 2021.

66 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


beyond the suite of basic safety, in To take this idea further, the Global
skills such as Advanced Rescue, Wind Workforce Outlook 2021-2025
Enhanced First Aid and Blade Repair.  indicates that a country such as the
United States will require a GWO-
Beyond Europe, there are a trained workforce of more than
further 40,000 people with GWO 25,000 to meet its projected offshore
certifications and there is already installations by 2025. This equates
potential to double this number by to around 320 instructors. In China,
the end of 2022 according to current where some 70,000 technicians will
estimates. be needed, the instructor demand for
offshore training is approaching 900
To take us beyond 2022 and the
people.
long-term target of nearly half-
a-million trained technicians, we For this reason, GWO instructor
have a challenge to meet in terms qualification training is a priority, but
of encouraging investment into we must also help bridge the gap
institutions to train the workforce. by encouraging greater knowledge-
sharing with regional industry
Training can be delivered in a
associations and policymakers. Our
variety of ways, but a rough estimate
intention is to support all markets
suggests that a ‘typical’ GWO-
by helping them introduce a system
certified training centre will at a
that complements existing health and
minimum require three instructors to
safety regimes. If we work together,
manage a pipeline of 240 participants
sharing the twin goals of achieving
per year, or one instructor per 80
safety and creating new jobs, we
students.
can achieve great things as a truly
This allows for a participant to sustainable industry.
instructor ratio of 4:1 during the more
With input from: Ralph Savage,
hazardous practical courses such as
Director for Global Development
Working at Heights and Sea Survival,
and Stakeholder Relations, GWO
as opposed to classroom training
for theory elements where a 12:1
ratio is permitted according to GWO
standard.

GWEC.NET 67
Part 2. Emerging Markets

Japan
New direction for Asia’s first offshore costs to JPY 8-9/kWh (EUR 0.06-0.07/
wind market  kWh) by 2030-35 and to deliver local
content of 60% by 2040. Alongside
2020/21 has been a big year for the industry commitments on cost
offshore wind sector in Japan. Despite and local content, the government
the first projects being installed in is looking at central coordination
2003, the focus in Japan has remained of planning of projects to ensure
on testing and demonstration, and efficient, fair and transparent auctions,
only in 2021 has construction started master planning of the required
on a first generation of commercial- electricity network, and support for
scale offshore projects. skills growth needed in the industry.
Japan fell behind thanks to a GWEC and JWPA policy leadership
combination of complex geography
and regulatory uncertainty. However, GWEC has been actively supporting
Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga’s offshore wind growth in Japan
vow that Japan will achieve carbon since 2018, with efforts stepping
neutrality by 2050, backed up by the up in 2020. In partnership with the
largest national offshore wind target Japanese Wind Power Association,
seen globally with a plan to deliver 10 GWEC established a Japan Offshore
GW by 2030 and 30-45 GW by 2040 Wind Taskforce to bring industry
means increasing sector confidence together. This Taskforce initiated
and growing investment. coordination work to bring industry
and government together to work
The Government’s Offshore Wind on offshore wind acceleration,
Industry Vision includes an agreed through the Public-Private Council
government-industry cost reduction for Strengthening the Industrial
pathway to bring down offshore wind Competitiveness of Offshore Wind. 

68 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


This Council aimed to ensure efficient floating project, consisting of 8 units
cooperation and knowledge sharing, of 2.1MW turbine on the spar-type
and to support work to deliver floating foundation, offshore near
economic cost-competitiveness Goto City in the Nagasaki Prefecture.
and socio-economic benefits. The
Taskforce also produced a major Cost In November 2020, the auction
Reduction Study on Offshore Wind, process for Japan’s first fixed bottom
produced by the Mitsubishi Research offshore wind auction opened, closing
Institute and BVG Associates. This to bids at the end of May 2021. That
work played an important role in auction covered four offshore wind
building government confidence in zones, three zones are located off
offshore wind’s ability to bring down Akita Prefecture: Noshiro (Mitane
costs, and shaped agreement on Town and Oga City), Yurihonjo City
future targets.  North, and Yurihonjo City South
and the fourth zone, Choshi City,
Increased sector confidence is situated off Chiba Prefecture.
The winner will be announced in
The Japanese government launched November 2021.
the first offshore wind auction in
June 2020 with 11 auction zones In July 2021, Japan’s METI chose three
now known. These auctions stem government-led central coordinated
from the Japanese Act on Promoting research projects, including Gann-u
the Utilization of Sea Areas for the and Minami-Shiribeshi in Hokkaido
Development of Marine Renewable prefecture, Sakata in Yamagata
Energy Power Generation Facilities. prefecture Hirono in Iwate prefecture.
Wind resource measurement, seabed
Japan’s first floating wind farm auction survey and environmental impact
began last June with the successful assessment for those three projects
bid announced in June 2021. A will be completed by the government
consortium of six companies (Toda before the auction.
Corporation, ENEOS Corporation,
Osaka Gas, Kansai Electric Power, In response to these and future
INPEX, and Chubu Electric Power) auctions, many leading global players
bid successfully (as the only bidder) have now formed joint ventures
for the rights to develop a 16.8 MW with local Japanese companies and/

GWEC.NET 69
or set up local operations, with Progress in government auction
companies seeking to align and work rounds over the past 12 months is
on auction bids. Local players like summarised in the table below.
Marubeni, J-Power, Kansai, TEPCO
and Sumitomo are active in the
market, and are seeking to bring their Japanese offshore auction progress list
experience from investing in offshore
wind in Europe back home to Japan. Stage of progess Round1 (FY2019) Round2 (FY2020)
Initial Progress Initial Progess
Ørsted, Japan Wind Development Co. (July 2019) (July 2020) (July 2020) (November 2020)
(JWD), and Eurus Energy are working Candidate Japan Sea side North, Hiyama, Hokkaido
in partnership to develop projects zones Aomori Japan Sea side South, Mutsu bay, Aomori
off the coast of Akita, with Ørsted Aomori Mutsu bay, Kisakata, Akita-city,
also in partnership with TEPCO on Aomori Happou-cho & Noshiro, Akita
Akita Kisakata, Yusa, Yamagata
other auction bids. Kyuden Mirai, a Akita Murakami & Tainai, Murakami & Tainai,
subsidiary of Kyushu Electric Power Niigata Enoshima Saikai-city, Niigata
Co, has signed a partnership with Nagasaki
RWE, MHI has also signed similar Promising Noshiro, Akita Japan Sea side North,
partnership with CIP, and Equinor areas Yurihonjo, Akita Aomori
is working with Electric Power Choshi, Chiba Japan Sea side South,
Development (J-Power) and JERA. Aomori
Happou-cho & Noshiro,
Spanish company Iberdrola reached Akita
an agreement with Macquarie’s Enoshima Saikai-city,
Green Investment Group (GIG) to Nagasaki
acquire 100% of the Japanese offshore Official Goto, Nagasaki Noshiro, Akita
wind developer Acacia Renewables promotion Yurihonjo North, Akita
in 2020. In Q1 2021 Iberdrola also areas Yurihonjo South, Akita
signed an agreement with Japanese Choshi, Chiba
oil company Cosmo Eco Power Areas with Goto, Nagasaki Noshiro, Akita
(COSMO) and engineering firm Hitz auction already Yurihonjo North, Akita
launched Yurihonjo South, Akita
to jointly develop a 600 MW site in Choshi, Chiba
Aomori prefecture in readiness for the
second round of expected capacity Source: JWPA, July 2021
auctions.

70 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Nominated offshore wind promising areas from Rounds 1, 2 and government-led central coordinated research projects in Japan

Aomori Pref.
(Japan Sea South)
Aomori Pref.
Hiyama, Hokkaido Pref. (Japan Sea South)

Happou-cho/
Noshiro-city, Akita Pref. Gann-u and Minami-
Shiribeshi, Hokkaido Pref.
Noshiro-city/Mitane-cho/
oga-city, Akita Pref.

Katagami-city, Mutsu bay,


Akita Pref. Aomori Pref.

Yurihonjo - city, Akita Pref. Hirono, Iwate Pref. (floating)


(North/ South)
Yusa, Yamagata Pref.
Murakami/ Tainai-city,
Niigata Pref.
Sakata, Yamagata Pref.

Choshi, Chiba Pref.


Goto, Nagasaki Pref.

Enoshima Saikai-city,
Nagasaki Pref.
Round 1 (4 promising areas), announced in July 2019 for FY2019
Round 2 (4 promising areas), announced in July 2020 for FY 2020
Candidate offshore wind promising areas
Government-led central coordinated research projects

Source: METI, MLIT, JWPA, July 2021

GWEC.NET 71
Growing a Japanese supply chain operation at the end of 2020, GWEC
Market Intelligence forecasts that a
In May 2021, GE Renewable Energy total of 8.2 GW of offshore wind is
and Toshiba announced a strategic likely to be operational in Japan by
partnership agreement to localize 2030, of which 2 GW is expected to
manufacturing of GE’s Haliade-X be floating wind.
offshore wind turbine at Toshiba’s
factory based in Yokohama city.
After Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
ended their 50/50 joint venture with
Vestas, the two companies have now
established a Japanese venture – MHI
Vestas Japan Co. Ltd – to explore
renewable hydrogen opportunities in
Japan. In July 2021, JFE Engineering
announced the plan to produce
monopile and transition piece in new
factories in Japan. Companies like
Hitachi Zosen, Hitz and Marubeni
are working on floating offshore
wind platforms and foundation
technologies more suited to the
Japanese market.  

Rapid change on the horizon

After many years of discussion


and much engagement, Japan is
now moving beyond research and
demonstration with an auction
program in place to drive delivery of
new schemes. Local and international
players are active in the market with
growing confidence and investments
being made. From the 65 MW in

72 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


South Korea
South Korea pushing the reset button Portfolio Standard scheme) also debates over its commitment to coal,
on offshore wind dampened growth.  gas and nuclear power, imposing
a drag on the transition to cleaner
Nearly a decade ago, South Korea As a result, South Korea’s initial foray and more secure renewable energy
adopted an ambitious Green into “green growth” and a clean sources. 
Growth Strategy that aimed to energy transition saw little translation
reduce greenhouse gas emissions into action for the better part of the Now, with President Moon in office
by 30% by 2020. This strategy last decade.  and the re-election of the Democratic
marked the beginning of “green Party in 2020, South Korea can press
Nonetheless, at the start of a new ahead with its newly adopted Green
growth” as the direction of travel
decade, the momentum for offshore New Deal. To boost the green sector,
for South Korea’s economic growth,
wind in South Korea is picking South Korea plans to invest a total
sparking the interest of domestic
up with the passage of President of 12.9 trillion won (US$10.8 billion)
industrial conglomerates (such as
Moon Jae-in’s Green New Deal and in green buildings, urban forests
Samsung, Hyundai, Doosan and
a groundswell of interest from an and low-carbon energy production
STX) in renewable energy project
ambitious consortium of local and by 2022 and create 133,000 jobs in
development and equipment supply.
international wind energy developers. the process. Under this plan, South
Following a 2.0 MW STX direct With floating offshore wind now ready Korea has become the first group of
drive offshore turbine and a 3.0 MW for commercial deployment globally, countries in East Asia to pledge to
Doosan geared drive turbine installed South Korea has demonstrated clear reach net zero emissions by 2050.
in early 2010s for testing purpose, ambition to lead scale up in Asia,
the 30 MW Tamra offshore wind using its fixed and floating resource. Through its Third Energy Plan,
farm came online off Geumdeung-ri released in June 2019, South Korea’s
Policy support stronger than ever “Renewable Energy 3020” target for
in Jeju Island in 2016. However, the
sector has been generally slow to 20% of total electricity consumption
Growth in modern South Korea is
take off, due to public opposition on to come from renewable energy
built upon energy-intensive industries
environmental and livelihood (fishing) by 2030 (currently around 6%) and
such as electronics, automotive and
issues. Long permitting periods and to increase that share to 30-35%
shipbuilding, many of which are
a low initial feed-in tariff (prior to by 2040. Given insufficient land
difficult to decarbonise. As such, the
the introduction of the Renewable available for onshore wind and low
nation is still embroiled in public

GWEC.NET 73
solar radiation, attention has moved of high R&D intensity in shipbuilding products to overseas offshore projects off the coast of Incheon City.
offshore. Over 12 GW of new offshore and cabling, allowing Samsung markets. Early this summer, Spanish utility
wind capacity needs to be installed and Hyundai to build offshore wind Iberdrola also entered the South
to reach the country’s goals. To installation vessels and local company International partnerships expected to Korean renewable market (including
make this happen, President Moon LS Cable & System to manufacture accelerate offshore wind development  offshore wind) by signing an MOU
Jae-in oversaw the agreement to offshore cables for markets in Europe with Korean energy company GS
Leading international offshore players
develop an 8.2 GW offshore wind and the US.  Energy.
have recognised the potential for
complex in South Jeolla which was
South Korea also has its own wind offshore wind (particularly floating In addition to partnerships and
signed by more than 30 public and
turbine manufacturers. Of these, offshore) in South Korea and are acquisitions, large-scale floating
private entities based in South Korea
Doosan has the longest track piling into the market.  projects are being developed by
in February 2021. In May 2021, the
South Korean Government has also record in offshore wind with 96 MW an international-local consortia.
Early last year, the port city of
announced plans to build a 6 GW installed. With its second production The 200 MW Donghae 1 floating
Ulsan signed a Memorandum of
floating offshore wind farm off the plant completed in Changwon in offshore wind farm, nearly 60
Understanding (MOU) with domestic
coast of Ulsan by 2030. 2021, the company is expanding its kilometres offshore from Ulsan, is
and foreign partners and investors
product line up to an 8 MW platform being developed by Equinor, the
(including Royal Dutch Shell and
Strong local industrial base dedicated from the current 3 MW and 5 MW Korea National Oil Corporation
CoensHexicon, South Korea’s energy
to offshore wind models. In addition, local turbine (KNOC) and Korea East-West Power
company SK E&S and Denmark’s
suppliers Unison and Hyosung are Corporation, for commissioning in
South Korea’s industrial experience in Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners,
seeking opportunities in offshore 2024. In proximity to this project,
steel, shipbuilding and logistics could Macquarie’s Green Investment Group
developments. Most recently, it was Equinor recently commenced LiDAR
translate to competencies in offshore (GIG) and Korea Floating Wind
reported that Hyosung signed a installations to conduct metocean data
engineering and supply chain (KFWind)) to explore large-scale
joint venture with leading Chinese measurements for a potential 800 MW
efficiencies, smoothing the pathway to floating offshore wind development.
offshore turbine producer Shanghai floating offshore wind project. 
developing a localised offshore wind In February 2020, Canadian power
Electric in South Korea with the goal
industry. producer Northland Power acquired By 2030, South Korea is expected to
of capitalizing opportunities in the local wind developer Dado Ocean, emerge as East Asia’s hottest floating
offshore wind sector. 
For instance, its marine and offshore which owns a portfolio of early-stage offshore wind market, with some of
industry will play a critical role A strong local supply chain also exists offshore wind projects in South Korea. the world’s biggest floating offshore
fabricating offshore wind jacket for forging, with local companies In March, Ørsted signed an MOU with wind farms, boosted by significant
foundations, with local shipyard Hyundai Forging, Hyunjin Materials, Korean POSCO Group to strengthen developer and investor appetite. 
company Samkang already delivering Kofco and Taewoong, as well as collaboration on offshore wind and
jacket foundations to the Changhua slewing bearings manufacturers Shilla renewable hydrogen in Korea and the
Demonstration project in Taiwan. and CS Bearing, already exporting latter will support the development
South Korea also has the advantage of Ørsted’s 1.6 GW offshore wind

74 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Status of offshore wind farm in Korea

Authorization for power generation business (`21.06)

Ongjingureopdo Offshore Wind Power (233.5) C&I Rejeosaneop Scheduled (Total 9.2GW)
Poongdo Offshore Wind Power (200) IWEST / Uram jonghap geonseol
In operation (Total 142.1MW)
Dangjinnanjidobadawamirae Offshore Wind Power (210) Windeuwei
Farm name (Capacity MW/installation number) Owner
Taean Offshore Wind Power (504) Taeanpungnyeokbaljeon

Gunsan offshore wind power demonstration (3/1) Korea Electric Power Research Institute
Saemangeum offshore wind power (98.8) Saemangeum Offshore Wind Power

Southwest Offshore Wind Power (substantiation complex (60/20) KOWP


Southwest Offshore Wind Power (demonstration complex (400) KOWP

Nakwol offshore wind power (354.48) Myeongwoon Saneopgaebal

Anma 2 offshore wind power (304) Anma offshore wind power


Anma offshore wind power (224) Anma offshore wind power

YeomSan wind power (38.4) Daemyeong Energy Gochang Offshore Wind Power (69.3) Dongchonpungnyeokbaljeon
Yeonggwang Doouri Wind Power (99.1) Jaewon Energy

Changwoo offshore wind power (151.2/36) CW&RE Wind System Evaluation Center (8) JNTP Dongnamhaean Offshore Wind Power (136/17) SK E&C

Imja offshore wind power (200) Imja offshore wind power Yeonggwang (79.6 (Offshore 34.5) /35)
Sinandaegwang offshore wind power (400) Sinandaegwang offshore wind power Daehan Green Energy / EWP

Yeonggwang Yawol 2 offshore wind power (10.0) Yawol 2 offshore wind power Jeonnam1/2/3 (substantiation complex (2.3/3/4.3) Unison/JNDC/ Unison
Yeonggwang Yawol offshore wind power (49.8/20) Daehan Green Energy Haegi Offshore Wind Power (40) G Wind Sky
Yeonggwang Yaksu Offshore Wind Power (4.3) JNDC
Eoui Offshore Wind Power (99) Sinan Eoui Offshore Wind Power Dadaepo Offshore Wind Power (96) Busan Offshore Wind Power
Wando Offshore Wind Power (148.5/27) IWEST
Apae Wind power1,2 (60) Apaepungnyeokbaljeon Tongyeong Socho Wind Power (9.9) Yeongdongbaljeon
Maewol offshore wind power (96) Maewol offshore wind power
Yokji Offshore Wind Power (352/64) Yokjipungnyeok
Sinan Jeungdo Wind Power (33.0) Win Wind Power
Yokchijwasari Offshore Wind Power (224) HYUNDAI E&C
Shinan Wuyi Offshore Wind Power (396.8) Hanwha E&C/ KOENERGY /SK D&D
Yeosusamsan Offshore Wind Power (320) Yeosusamsan Offshore Wind Power
Shinan Offshore Wind Power (300/47)POSCO Energy/ KOENERGY
Gwangpyeong Offshore Wind Power (808.5) Samhaegaebal
Yeosumundo Offshore Wind Power (400) mundo wind power
Jeonnam 1/2/3 offshore wind power(96/399/399)SK E&S Geumil offshore wind power (200/25) KOENERGY / Cheonghae Remikon
Chunsaeoeui Offshore Wind Power (99) Cheonsaeouipungnyeokbaljeon Geumil 2 offshore wind power (400) KOENERGY Yeosudado1 Offshore Wind Power (256) Dado Ocean Wind Farm
Haenamgunghang Offshore Wind Power (240) Gunghang Offshore Wind Power
Korea Institute of Energy Research’s offshore wind power demonstration (2/1)
Doosan Heavy Industries & Construction's offshore wind power demonstration (3/1)
Hallim Offshore Wind Power (100) KEPCO/KEPCO E&C/KOMIPO/Daelim Industry/Baram Woljeong/Hangwon Offshore Wind Power (125) investment planned
Tamla Offshore Wind Power (30/10) KOENERGY Handong·Pyeongdae Offshore Wind Power (105) investment planned

Daejeong Offshore Wind Power (100) KOSPO/Doosan Heavy Industries & Construction Pyoseon Offshore Wind Power (135) / investment planned

Source : Korea Wind Energy Industry Association

GWEC.NET 75
Fulfilling the promise of South Korean does not always match action, the
offshore wind market will need steadfast public
steering and ambitious long-term
As of the end of 2020, there are targets to drive decarbonisation and
currently five operational offshore diversify the power mix. Still, with
wind projects totalling 132.5 MW, sufficient government commitment
including the latest and largest and industry experience from
60 MW demonstration Southwest neighbouring countries to smooth
Offshore Wind Project completed the learning curve, the future of South
in January 2021 – the first phase Korea’s offshore wind sector looks
of a massive 2.5 GW project. Over bright indeed.
45 offshore wind projects are in
preliminary development (totalling
9.2 GW), as shown below.

Despite its slow start, South Korea’s


offshore wind sector is now benefiting
from the financial clout coming
from both state-owned and foreign
investors and buoyed by its existing
industrial infrastructure. GWEC
Market Intelligence forecasts that a
total of 8.7 GW of offshore wind is
likely to be built in South Korea by
2030, of which 4.8 GW is expected to
be floating wind.

However, South Korea remains a


challenging market with respect to
terrain complexity, turbulent wind
conditions and strong incumbent
energy and marine actors,
particularly among the coal and
fishing industries. Coupled with
criticism that government rhetoric

76 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Vietnam
The long-awaited Power Development stakeholders look to join force and
Plan VIII (PDP 8) - which outlines enter the blooming OSW market in
the strategies for the next decade Vietnam. 
of renewable energy development
in Vietnam from 2021-2030 with a PDP 8 development and the need to
vision to 2045 - will be finalised at increase offshore wind power in the
the end 2021. This plan could be future energy system
one of the most significant pieces of In the Draft PDP 8, non-hydro
legislation that enables the country renewable energy is set to reach 30%
to move into a green economy with of the total installed capacity by 2030,
better grid stability and a larger share a two-fold increase from the 16%
of renewable energy generation. target previously indicated in PDP 7.31
Offshore wind (OSW), for the first For wind power alone, Vietnam plans
time, was introduced with a separate to develop an additional 15 GW of
target in the PDP 8 draft release in onshore and near-shore wind power,
February. With a modest target of 2-3 and 3 GW of OSW power by 2030.
GW by 2030, and out to 21-36 GW by The total wind power capacity will be
2045, it signals the beginning of a true tripled from 6 GW in PDP 7 to 18 GW
OSW development in Vietnam and under the plan of Draft PDP 8 by 2030.
urging the key industry stakeholders The ratio of wind power capacity will
to prepare the ground to develop account for 12% of the total installed
the first generation of OSW projects. capacity in 2025 and 13% of the total
With the final PDP 8 draft still under installed capacity in 2030. 
revision, the wind industry is asking
for a more ambitious offshore wind The higher ambition for wind and
target of 5 GW or even 10 GW by renewable energy is in-line with the
2030. There is also an increase in Politburo’s Resolution No. 55-NQ/
activities among investors, developers TW to diversify32 the energy mix
and international agencies as different
31 https://www.globalcompliancenews.com/2021/03/13/vietnam-key-highlights-of-new-draft-of-national-power-development-plan-draft-pdp8-04032021-2
32 https://www.bakermckenzie.com/en/insight/publications/2020/02/vietnam-national-energy-development-strategy

GWEC.NET 77
and to ensure the country is ready for
energy transition. Vietnamese annual full-time equivalent years employment created by all vietnamese projects in the high growth scenario, split by cost
element
It is clear that renewable energy is the
key to the future energy transition as 60,000 Development and project managemen t Turbine Balance of plant
the majority of European banks have Installation and commissioning OMS

Full-time equivalent years


50,000
divested from fossil fuel investment,
and more will follow suit with the IEA’s 40,000
Net Zero Report which calls for global
30,000
divestment from fossil-based projects.
With the increasing prioritisation on 20,000
renewable energy and enhancing
10,000
grid infrastructure in the next decade,
PDP 8 will pave the way for Vietnam to 0
rely less on imported coal to meet the 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
rapidly increasing electricity demand
with lower carbon emissions. Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, June 2020

Offshore wind roadmap: Prospects


Vietnamese annual gross value added created by all Vietnamese projects in the high growth scenario, split by cost element
and outlook

Prior to the announcement of Draft


4 Development and project managemen t Turbine Balance of plant
PDP 8, the World Bank Group (WBG)
Gross value added (US$, billion)

Installation and commissioning OMS


and Danish Energy Agency (DEA)
cooperated to develop an Offshore 3
Wind Development Roadmap for
Vietnam which outlines ways to tap 2
on the country’s huge offshore wind
potential. 1

The WBG estimated that the offshore


wind technical potential for Vietnam is 0
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
475 GW (261 GW for fixed foundation
and 214 GW for floating foundation)
and DEA’s estimation indicated that Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, June 2020

Copyright: Dominion Energy


78 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021
after a constraints analysis, Vietnam the whole supply chain. These are People’s Committee to develop a 3.5 how it will impact the returns of the
will be left with a highly realisable important precursors for a promising GW of OSW project. The estimated first-generation offshore wind projects
technical potential of 160 GW.33 OSW market growth. capital expenditure for this project mentioned earlier. The government
amount to 8.5 billion Euro and is is currently at the planning stage
In the near term, under a high In 2020 alone, Vietnam has attracted expected to generate significant of designing an auction system for
offshore wind growth scenario significant foreign investment to number of green jobs and improve wind power, including offshore wind.
modelled by both WBG and DEA, develop two of the biggest OSW the incomes level for the province However, with a highly complex
a 10 GW target is achievable by projects in Binh Thuan province. Some and the country. As of May 2021, the supply chain and high-risk index,
2030. A total capital investment of of these well-known developers are project is undergoing a site evaluation offshore wind auction design will not
over US$500 million is needed to Enterprize Energy, Copenhagen survey study. be an easy task. The wind industry is
deliver the supply chain, in the area of Infrastructure Partners (CIP), currently advocating for a transition
turbine towers, blade manufacturing, Ørsted, Macquarie and Mainstream Industry challenges: Supply chain phase to facilitate a smooth transition
foundation fabrication yard, subsea Renewable Power. Currently, there bottlenecks, FiT expiry and auction into an auction system. The aim is
cables and installation vessels. In are approximately 20 OSW projects design  to provide sufficient time for the
this scenario the cost of energy of in different stages of construction, government to design a robust
the projects is expected to reduce to and GWEC estimates that around 1.2 For the initial stage of development,
auction mechanism unique to the
about US$70-80/MWh by 2030. All GW will be in operation by the end of like any other new offshore wind
Vietnam market and to support and
the local projects will provide about 2021. market, Vietnam will face with a
stabilise the development of the
45,000 full-time equivalent years long list of financial, political, and
existing supply chain. 
(FTE) and a US$6.5 billion of gross In H1 of 2020, the announcement of technical challenges in the areas of
value addition annually to Vietnam’s the development of 3.4 GW Thang marine spatial planning, permitting Another key challenge is the limited
economy by the 2030s. Long project by Enterprize Energy and procurement process, and local bankability of the offshore projects
caught the international attention with supply chain development, as well under international standards. Unlike
Current offshore wind project its one-of-a-kind installation scale. As as building of ports, grid and other solar and the onshore wind sector
development of April 2021, the offshore pre-survey critical infrastructures.  which can be financed domestically,
operation has completed and the the offshore wind sector requires
Vietnam is currently experiencing first 600 MW tranche of the project On top of these common challenges,
much bigger project finance and
a huge wave of capacity building is expected to achieve commercial the approaching expiry of wind
hence the need for international
activities, with Denmark, the UK, operation by the end of 2025. The power feed-in tariff on 31 October st

financing to resolve the PPA


Germany, and USA investors actively remaining tranches will be developed 2021 will pose a great deal of
bankability issues.
investing in the offshore wind sector on a rolling basis, subjected to grid uncertainty for the future wind
and international experts providing availability. Similarly, in H2 of 2020, projects. It is unclear what mechanism
technical assistance to various CIP has signed a memorandum of will be adopted by the government
governmental ministries across understanding (MoU) with Binh Thuan to support future wind projects and

33 https://ens.dk/sites/ens.dk/files/Globalcooperation/d5_-_input_to_roadmap_for_offshore_wind_development_in_vietnam_full_report_english_final_2020-09-21.pdf

GWEC.NET 79
Unique benefits: High capacity of the energy mix, offshore wind
factor and grid compatibility offers great complementarity
with hydropower. The high wind
The new range of global capacity speed period in Vietnam matches
factors is approximately 40 - 50%, with its dry seasons (November-
with technology progression, it has April) in which the hydro
the potential to reach 60% by 2050. reservoir is at its lowest operation
With this, and a low hourly power capacity. Similarly, the low wind
generation variability, offshore wind speed period collides with the
will eventually match the capacity rainy season (May – October)
factors and efficiency of fossil fuel when the hydro reservoir is
power plants. being replenished and at its peak
operation capacity.
Furthermore, as a country with
hydropower contributing to 30%

Seasonal Average Surface Wind Speed within Five Years from 2007 to 2011

80 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


The US
The offshore wind technical resource of Interior (DOI) to speed up the East Coast offshore wind project and lease areas
potential in the United States exceeds offshore wind energy production, the
5,000 GW, but the total offshore wind Biden Administration set a national
installations in the country is only target of 30 GW of installed offshore
42 MW after the 12 MW Dominion wind capacity by 2030 in March 2021.
NY
Virginia demo project was installed According to the White House, the
MA
last year. Nevertheless, the US ambitious offshore wind target will RI
CT
offshore wind market has picked up support about 44,000 direct jobs Bay State Wind
strong momentum in the past few and trigger more than USD 12 billion Revolution Wind (704MW)
Vineyard Wind (800MW)
years. Particularly, a recent series of annual investment in projects on both South Fork Wind Farm
PA
federal and state commitments and U.S. coasts and achieving this target (130MW)
Sunrise Wind (880MW)
announcements – from the Biden also will unlock a pathway to 110 Equinor
Park CIty (804MW)

Administration’s ambitious 30 GW by GW by 2050 creating more jobs and Mayflower Wind (804MW)
NJ Empire Wind (816MW)
2030 offshore wind target to Vineyard further economic opportunity for the
Wind’s approval by the Bureau of coast states. 
Ocean Energy Management (BOEM),
to the coasts opening off California Regulatory breakthrough at federal Atlantic Shores Offshore Wind
Ocean Wind (1,100 MW)
and Gulf of Mexico, and to more level
DE
Ørsted, PSEG
states increasing or announcing BOEM is responsible for managing Skipjack Wind Farm (120MW)
their offshore wind targets, has made MD
development of offshore resources in MarWin (269MW)
2021 an unprecedented year for US federal waters in the US. In 2009, the
offshore wind.  DOI announced final regulations for
Ambitious target set by the New the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS)
Administration Renewable Energy Program, which Unnamed Dominion Energy Project (2,640MW)

provides a framework for issuing VA


Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind (12MW)
A series of milestones have been leases, easements, and rights-of-
achieved since the inauguration of way for OCS activities that support Avangrid Renewables
NC
United States President Joe Biden. production and transmission of
Following the Executive Order on energy from sources other than oil
27 January to direct the Department and natural gas. Since the regulations
Source: BOEM, ACP, January 2021

GWEC.NET 81
were enacted, BOEM has issued 16 shallow waters between Long Island
commercial and two non-competitive and the New Jersey coast in March.
offshore wind energy leases on the Two months later, DOI, in cooperation
Atlantic, from Cape Cod to Cape of Department of Defence (DOD),
Hatteras, as of the end of 2019. identified an area that will support 3
Although, in total, those offshore GW of offshore wind off California’s
wind leases could support more central coast region, northwest of
than 21 GW of generating capacity, Morro Bay. The processes for the
project permitting, especially the northern and central coasts will
final approval from BOEM for the then be merged in a Proposed Sale
Construction and Operations Plan Notice (PSN) for one lease sale
(COP), has been reported as a major auction, targeted for mid-2022. In
challenge for project development addition, the DOI is also advancing
during the Trump’s presidency.  the Humboldt Call Area as a potential
Wind Energy Area (WEA), located
However, a set of bold actions that will off northern California. In total,
catalyse offshore wind development these initial areas could bring up to
was announced since President Biden 4.6 GW of offshore wind including
took over the White House. In January, floating wind to the grid. In June,
DOI’s BOEM and Bureau of Safety BOEM also issued the Request for
and Environmental Enforcement Interest (RFI) in commercial leasing
(BSEE) agreed to a framework for for wind power development on the
coordination in regulating renewable Gulf of Mexico Outer Continental
energy activities on the OCS. To Shelf. The RFI will be focused on the
position the domestic offshore wind western and central planning areas
industry to meet the 2030 target, of the Gulf of Mexico offshore the
BOEM plans to advance new lease states of Louisiana, Texas, Mississippi,
sales and complete review of at least and  Alabama.
16 COPs by 2025, representing more
than 19 GW of offshore wind capacity In December 2020, Vineyard Wind
to be installed off the U.S. coasts. To announced that it would temporarily
unlock the deployment potential, withdraw is construction and
BOEM identified new priority wind operations plan for its 800 MW project
energy areas in the New York Bight off the coast of Massachusetts. With
covering nearly 800,000 acres of the Biden Administration taking office,

82 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Vineyard rescinded its withdrawal in legislation, conditional targets or
early 2021. In May, DOI announced executive orders, from 28.1 GW in Expected annual offshore wind installation by state, 2020-2029
approval of the construction and 2020 to 38.5 GW (see figure on page Maine Ohio Delaware Maryland
operation plan of the Vineyard 32 in Global Market Outlook section). Rhode Island New Jersey Connecticut
Wind project - the first large-scale
In addition, progress has been North Carolina Massachusetts New York
offshore wind farm in the United 4250
made on the state-level solicitations. Virginia
States, truly representing the start of
the US offshore wind development. Although the coronavirus pandemic 270

Additionally, as of July 2021, BOEM caused disruptions across the state, 3500
3558 1760
has started a series of environmental Maryland opened up its second
round of applications for at least 880
reviews of offshore wind projects
1696
including Revolution Wind project, 400 MW offshore wind in Q1 2020.
804
Ocean Wind project, Kitty Hawk NYSERDA also launched its second 130
120 304 1148
offshore wind project and Dominion offshore wind solicitation in July 1066 800 2490
2020, seeking up to 2.5 GW of 755 755
Energy’s Coastal Virginia Offshore 1100
offshore wind, which makes it the 804 804
Wind project. 12 20.7
400
largest in the US history. New Jersey
Strong momentum at the state level followed in September with a second 2020 2021e 2022e 2023e 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e
solicitation, seeking up to 2,400 MW
The East Coast cluster consisting of of offshore wind capacity. Rhode Note: This forecast is only based on projects with commission date announced. For the entire 2021-2030 US
offshore wind forecast, please see the Market Outlook chapter.
Maine, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Island announced a competitive
Massachusetts, New York, New Jersey, Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021
Request for Proposals (RfP) for up
Delaware, Maryland, Virginia and to 600 MW of new offshore wind
North Carolina is driving strong power one month later. State-level database, as of the end of H1 of likely to be built in New York, followed
demand for offshore wind energy. solicitations continues to move on in 2021, the US offshore wind pipeline by New Jersey (25.0%), Virginia
2021 saw an increase of existing 2021. Massachusetts issued its third totalled more than 30 GW in both (17.5%), Massachusetts (10.7%).
offshore targets, first in Virginia and RfP aiming at procuring at 400-1,600 federal and state waters, of which 18 With regards to project ownership,
then Massachusetts. In June, Governor MW of offshore wind capacity in May offshore wind projects have secured the situation is the same as last year
of North Carolina issued an executive and the results are expected to be offtake or won state solicitations and the majority of assets planned to
order calling for the development of announced in late 2021.  and announced an anticipated year be built in 2022-2029 are controlled
2.8 GW of offshore wind power by of operation. Developers expect a by European developers including
2030, and 8 GW by 2040. Those new Market ready to take off from 2023  total of 15 GW of offshore wind to be utilities such as Ørsted, Avangrid
targets bring the total announced online between 2022 and 2029 (see Renewables (a subsidiary of Spain’s
offshore wind procurement targets According to GWEC Market
figure on the right). Out of the 15 GW Iberdrola), and EDPR and oil and gas
on the state level, through either Intelligence global offshore wind
of offshore wind capacity, 28.7% is companies like Equinor and Shell. It

GWEC.NET 83
is worth highlighting that oil giant BP GE Renewable Energy (2,024 MW).
acquired a 50% interest in Equinor’s However, the latter increased its US Local supply chain – Balance of plant 
Empire Wind and Beacon Wind in offshore order backlog by 66 % after
September 2020 and the consortium the project developer of Vineyard Partnerships with experienced Island, which will be used for their
was selected by NYSERDA as the Wind switched its offshore wind European companies at all levels offshore wind projects in Rhode
winner of the state’s second offshore turbine selection from MHI Vestas of the supply chain and in different Island, Connecticut and New York.
wind solicitation in early 2021.  V164-9.5 MW to the GE Haliade-X states have been adopted as a To support the local supply chain,
wind turbine model. Due to the same strategy to maximise US offshore Vineyard Wind has selected the
Compared to GWEC’s US offshore reason, the order backlog of Vestas wind potential.  US-based Southwire to design,
wind outlook in last year’s Global in the US dropped to only 21 MW. As manufacture, and install the onshore
Offshore Wind Report, adjustments Last November, the US-based cables for Vineyard Wind 1 wind
of today, the most popular models
have been made for the commission Burns & McDonnell formed a farm. Last but not at least, a US
selected for these projects are SGRE’s
date for projects expected to come strategic alliance with leading offshore wind supply chain study
SG14-222 DD (released by SGRE in
online in the near-term. The primary European foundation supplier Bladt project was launched by state and
May 2020) and GE’s Haliade X- 12MW
reason for the change is due to the Industries to provide steel and federal authorities in May. The
DD.
recent federal approval of the 800 other offshore wind components purpose of the project is to put
MW Vineyard Wind project made Challenges starting to be addressed to along the Eastern coast. Following together a Supply Chain Roadmap
the previous announced project ensure growth the Memorandum of Understanding which will present the collective
commission schedule become (MoU) signed last summer by benefits of a domestic supply chain
realistic. Additionally, in GWEC’s Slow project permitting processes, Ørsted and EEW to work towards and facilitate the acceleration of the
updated US offshore outlook we local supply chain, port infrastructure, establishing a monopile fabrication offshore wind industry in the United
included the four projects that won grid and work force were highlighted facility in Paulsboro, New Jersey for States. 
the second offshore wind solicitations as the key challenges by the leading the Ocean Wind project, the two
in both New York and New Jersey in European developers when they Europeans companies together
2021. entered the US offshore wind market. with local members of the building
To pave the road for the industry trades have broken ground for
As of the end of H1 2021, offshore to take off in the US, however, the EEW monopile manufacturing
developers have selected or achievements were made in the past facility in April. In addition, the
announced preferred turbine 12 months in the following areas Danish developer together with the
suppliers for eight offshore projects. (aside from project permitting and joint venture partner Eversource
Thanks to Dominion Energy’s 2,640 consenting breakthrough already are establishing a manufacturing
MW project off the coast of Virginia, mentioned in the early section of this facility for offshore wind foundation
Siemens Gamesa remains as the profile). components at ProvPort in Rhode
largest winner with a 4,354 MW
order backlog in the US, followed by

84 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Local supply chain – Vessels

Jones Act compliant offshore wind Corporation (GLDD) is developing


installation vessels are essential the first US-flagged Jones Act
to getting projects built in the US. compliant vessel for subsea rock
Although European wind turbine installation. 
installation vessels (WTIV) were
used for the first two US offshore To support the local growth, the
wind projects, the situation is Florida-headquartered Crowley
likely to change when Dominion Shipping also formed a new
Energy’s Charydis, the first Jones division focusing on the offshore
Act compliant WTIV is delivered wind sector in the United States
in 2023. Early this summer, Ørsted early this year. Crowley Shipping
and Eversource agreed with the expects its expansion in the
owner to charter this WTIV for the offshore wind industry to be as a
construction of two offshore wind total lifecycle service provider, with
farms Revolution Wind and Sunrise tailored solutions in support of the
Wind in the US Northeast.   entire project. In addition, Crowley
has signed partnerships with US
In response to the strong local companies and a joint venture
demand, US companies MiNO agreement with Danish ESVAGT to
Marine and 2nd Wind Marine create a single-source terminal and
also announced the plan last supply chain management solution
summer to start building two and to bolster purpose-built,
Jones Act compliant offshore wind Jones Act vessel in support of the
construction support (feeder) emerging US offshore wind energy
vessels to transport wind turbine market respectively. 
components from US ports to
installation vessels at offshore
wind construction sites. The same
decision was made by Ampelmann
and C-Job in 2021. Additionally, US
based Great Lakes Dredge & Dock

GWEC.NET 85
Infrastructure – Ports  Infrastructure – Grid

To upgrade the country’s ports to assembly and staging to power Massachusetts. The state has In November 2020, the New
accommodate the upcoming surge Revolution Wind, Sunrise Wind, signed lease agreements with Jersey BPU and the regional
in offshore wind projects, the US and South Fork Wind projects Vineyard Wind and Mayflower electricity grid operator
Department of Transportation’s with a combined capacity of Wind to use the terminal PJM signed an agreement
(DOT) Maritime Administration has more than 1.7 GW. as the primary staging and known as a State Agreement
announced a Notice of Funding deployment base for the Approach (SAA) for solicitation
• The South Brooklyn Marine
Opportunity for port authorities and Terminal (SBMT) and the Port construction and installation of of offshore wind transmission
other applicants to apply for USD of Albany, New York. Following their offshore wind projects. solutions, which set New
230 million for port and intermodal Jersey on a path to become
the state’s 2nd offshore wind • Tradepoint Atlantic’s port
infrastructure-related projects solicitation that requires facility in Baltimore County, the first US state to fully align
through the Port Infrastructure developers to includes a Maryland. Ørsted and its offshore wind transmission
Development Program.  Currently, multi-port strategy and to Tradepoint Atlantic completed goals with its regional grid
offshore wind ports are under partner with any of the eleven the initial phase of Maryland’s operator’s planning process.
construction in the following states: pre-qualified New York ports, first offshore wind staging The US electric transmission
project developer Anbaric
• New Jersey Wind Port, on the the winners, Equinor and bp, centre in March 2021 and are
eastern shore of the Delaware agreed to partner with the State now beginning preparations for Development Partners has
River. Construction is planned of New York to transform the the second phase of the staging decided to participate the
in two phases with Phase 1 South Brooklyn Marine Terminal centre. solicitation with DNV GL as a
expected to begin in 2021 and (SBMT) and the Port of Albany partner. At the end of last year,
Phase 2, targeted to begin in into large-scale offshore wind the US Department of Energy
2023. The Wind Port has the working industrial facilities.  (DOE) has launched a Request
potential to create up to 1,500 for Information (RFI) process
• Arthur Kill Terminal, Staten
regarding the research needs
manufacturing, assembly, and Island, New York. Agreement
operations jobs.  for integration of large-scale
with investment funds has been
offshore wind energy generation
• The city port’s State Pier in signed for this offshore wind
into the transmission grid. 
New London, Connecticut. The energy staging and assembly
proposed two-phase State Pier port, which is expected to
infrastructure improvement begin operating in late 2025.
project will be used for • The New Bedford Marine
wind turbine generator pre- Commerce Terminal in

86 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Workforce development

A trained and skilled workforce that can support the national


is one of the critical factors to offshore wind industry. In the same
build the local offshore industry month, the new purpose-built
and meet ambitious targets. Maryland Offshore Wind Training
Last September, the New Jersey Center developed by ARCON
Economic Development Authority Training Centre opens for business
(NJEDA) and the Board of Public after receiving approval from the
Utilities (NJBPU) approved two Global Wind Organization (GWO).
MOUs to support offshore wind Early this summer, Massachusetts
and other clean energy projects. government also announced USD
Under the agreements, New 1.6 million in grant funding to eight
Jersey’s Clean Energy Program organizations to support offshore
(NJCEP) will provide USD 4.5 wind workforce training programs. 
million to support NJEDA-led
workforce development projects With input from: American Clean
to prepare more local workers Power Association
for offshore wind jobs. In January
2021, The State University of
New York (SUNY) and the New
York State Energy Research and
Development Authority (NYSERDA)
have launched the Offshore Wind
Training Institute (OWTI). Through
a partnership between SUNY’s
Farmingdale State College and
Stony Brook University, the USD 20
million investment will advance
offshore wind training programs
and the educational infrastructure
needed to establish a workforce

GWEC.NET 87
Taiwan
Taiwan is heating up as the second- from 10 GW announced in 2019. Round 3 framework, including how The industry must balance growth
largest offshore wind market in the While the 5.7 GW tranche was much volume will be allocated and with local content requirements that
Asia-Pacific region, after Mainland procured across a selection round when, is due to be published by are expected to be higher in Round 3. 
China. Ambitious capacity targets set and auction, the next 15 GW (termed middle of this year.
by the Democratic Progressive Party Round 3) will likely be conducted The Round 3 rules take some
(DPP) government have attracted across two phases; the first phase Critical to the steady progression of industry concerns into account
eager interest from leading offshore (2026-2031) will prioritise projects at the market will be the government’s by removing some items from the
wind developers and technology water depth of less than 50 metres.  localisation strategy, which aims to previous Round 2 requirements. It
providers. Already, 128 MW of consolidate the entire supply chain also introduced a mandatory and
offshore capacity has been installed at Following government delays due in Taiwan, from turbine components optional list, and reduced the volume
Formosa 1, Taiwan’s first commercial- to COVID-19, a draft version of the to submarine cables to shipbuilding. of the items mandatory list from 100%
scale offshore wind farm in Miaoli
County, and a further 1.1 GW is
expected to come online from the Progression of Taiwan’s wind procurement mechanisms
Changhua phase 1, Formosa II and
Yulin offshore wind farms by the end Round 3:
of 2021. Phase 2 (2032-2035)
• Totaling 6 GW to be
Round 3: grid connected
New target showing the ambitions, regulations to be
Phase 1 (2026-2031)
but challenges remain • 1.5GW/year released based on the
• Totalling 9 GW to be results from Round 3
Offshore wind is a key component Round 2 (2020-2025) connected from Phase 1
• Selection process 2026-2031
of Taiwan’s green economy vision, allocated 3,836 MW • Auction taking place in
which charts a nuclear-free pathway Round 1 • COD 2020-2025 2022, 2023 and 2024
to generate 20% of electricity through (Demonstration Phase) • Auction process with each auction
• two domonstration allocated 1,664 MW allocated 3 GW (covering
renewable energy by 2025. The projects (128 MW and • COD 2020-2025 two years)
government is aiming to install 5.7 109 MW) • Both selectrion and • Priority to projects with EIA
GW of offshore wind by 2025, and in auction process and at <50m water depth
completed in 2018
May 2021 announced that it would
increase its offshore wind ambitions
237 MW 5.5 GW 9 GW 6 GW
to 15 GW over the 2026-2035 period

88 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


to 60%. Despite these changes, the cap all together, the Government’s
Cumulative installed offshore wind capacity forecast in Taiwan from 2020 to 2030
requirements in the Round 3 rules are cost reduction target could be very
still very challenging. hard to achieve at the same time. 12808

Apart from the strict Local Content Development of the supply chain 11308
Requirement (LCR), the Government 9808
is also introducing two factors: a In 2020, positive signs have already 8308
price ceiling and a project cap. The been marked by announcements
6808
Government is introducing a price for an MHI Vestas-Tien Li blade
5308
ceiling in the auction at the avoidance manufacturing facility in Taichung,
cost34 of Taipower. The government an SGRE nacelle production facility
in Taichung and CDWE’s work on 3344
was inspired by the example of 2702
zero-subsidies auction in Europe, as the first Taiwan-built offshore wind 2250
well as the burgeoning Corporate installation vessel. But how flexible 1255
PPA market. However, the price the localisation requirements are in
the forthcoming Round 3 framework 128
ceiling means a very aggressive cost
reduction and would lead to another will be key to determining whether
2020 2021e 2022e 2023e 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e 2030e
11% of cost reduction based on the the nascent offshore wind industry
2025 auction price, where LCR was can develop into a sustainable and Source: GWEC Market Intelligence
not a requirement in the auction for competitive market.
that year. The price ceiling is giving further compels Taiwan to look to
Market outlook for cumulative installed
developers a big challenge as market coastal zones for power production.
offshore wind capacity in Taiwan
demand in the CPPA is not clear and
Power sector reform is also on the
the price ceiling can also deflate the Within the next decade, Taiwan
horizon, with amendments in 2017
CPPA price significantly. The lack of will achieve more than 12 GW of
to the Electricity Business Act which
a long term stable PPA price can also installed offshore wind capacity,
mandated the unbundling of utility
lead to high risks for project financing. becoming an experienced market
Taipower’s generation, transmission
with an established domestic supply
The other factor is the project cap, and distribution business, and the
chain. The sector is supported by a
where projects are limited to 500 MW liberalisation of the electricity market
feed-in tariff, a four-year wind power
(with the possibility to increase 100 to enable multiple business models
promotion plan and a relatively open
MW). The goal of the Government is for direct procurement of renewable
investment environment. Limited land
to encourage competition. However, energy.
space and high energy insecurity
with so many factors, LCR and project
34 Avoidance cost is the average price of coal fired power for Taipower.

GWEC.NET 89
Brazil
Offshore wind in the near future wind projects under evaluation by
IBAMA, the environmental assessment
Within the next decade we will and authorisation body. In April
see the first Brazilian offshore wind 2020, EPE, the government energy
farm begin construction. This may research and planning company,
seem like a very distant future, released ‘Roadmap Eólica Offshore’,
considering the increasingly efficient which shows that Brazil has about 700
development timelines for offshore GW of offshore wind potential to be
wind in European and some Asian explored. The report is a big step for
countries, but Brazil is a market with Brazil because it deals with domestic
its own specificities. It is important to challenges related to the environment,
understand that Brazil has one of the investments, technological
highest levels of renewable energy development and infrastructure.
in its grid, around 49%, in contrast Challenges and opportunities involve
to the world average of 15%. These the creation and adaptation of a
figures demonstrate a very different specialised offshore wind supply
reality from other geographies: The chain, development of a regulatory
country has vast renewable energy framework, connection to the grid
resources at its disposal for energy and other items that will guide
production. Given the abundance stakeholders seeking to develop the
of resources, the country can afford technology in the country.
to implement new technologies
according to availability and, above In line with the EPE Roadmap, the
all, competitiveness. World Bank Group-ESMAP report
“Going Global: Expanding Offshore
With the cost of offshore wind Wind to Emerging Markets” presents
technology dropping, companies Brazil as an emerging market with
and the government have mobilised strong potential for offshore wind.
themselves to prepare for offshore According to this report, Brazil has
wind farms on the Brazilian horizon. an offshore wind potential of around
Today, there are more than 40 offshore 1,200 GW, concentrated in the

90 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


northeast region of the country. The supply chain. Leading offshore wind and review of the draft offshore wind
report also outlines Brazil’s primary companies are already active in the Law 576/2021. Technical topics such
challenges linked to transmission country, including manufacturers as measurement criteria, transmission
expansion and grid infrastructure of turbines, blades and other and areas of interference have also
bottlenecks. components, such as GE Renewable been addressed by the group. The
Energy, Siemens Gamesa Renewable group is also focused on creating
A competitive position in the energy Energy, Acciona and others. These an Investor’s Guide, which aims to
mix companies have already been support domestic and international
operating in Brazil for over a decade investors in comprehending the
It is worth noting that the technology
for onshore wind, and will continue to current status of the regulatory
is considered by the Decennial
drive innovation in the sector. environment, stakeholder ecosystem
Energy Plan - PDE 2029, a document
and the panorama of capacity-
developed by the Ministry of Mines Resolving challenges through building in the sector.
Energy (MME), as a source that can collaboration
contribute to the expansion of new ABEEólica will continue to work to
installations into the national energy Despite the great potential raised in meet the local challenges to scaling
matrix. The document emphasises the EPE Roadmap and other global offshore wind; in addition to those
that Brazil will benefit from increased studies, offshore wind will face mentioned above are the creation of
cost-competitiveness already seen in challenges related to the definition the enabling environment for foreign
places like Europe. and creation of a legal and regulatory direct investment and workforce
framework, environmental issues and training in the sector. In the coming
The National Energy Plan – PNE 2050 offshore installations, transmission years, Brazil will have to concentrate
shows that in the next 30 years the and consolidation of the national its efforts to face these challenges,
expansion of the energy sector will supply chain. These challenges need and the role of ABEEólica and
occur through renewable sources, to be faced head-on by investors, local/international partners will be
primarily wind and solar. In this companies and the government in substantial to foster collaborative
sense, the document confirms the order to support the development discussions to drive Brazil’s energy
importance of offshore wind for this and competitiveness of the transition and its deployment of
expansion and states that the cost of technology in the Brazilian context.  offshore wind.
production needs to be reduced by
around 20% to become competitive in These are the most important With input from: Elbia Gannoum,
the market. themes at the centre of ABEEólica’s CEO, ABEEólica 
Offshore Wind Working Group, which
Competitiveness is directly related addresses issues related to the
to the offshore wind industry’s creation of a regulatory framework

GWEC.NET 91
India
The offshore wind market in India gap funding (VGF) to the Ministry done by World Bank-ESMAP suggests
has been under exploration since of Finance in 2019 to support the offshore wind technical potential of
2010. Nodal agency National Institute construction of India’s first 1 GW 195 GW (112 GW fixed and 83 GW
of Wind Energy (NIWE) initiated a offshore wind project in Gujarat. floating) within India’s EEZ. Offshore
call in 2010 to aggregate technical Also in 2019, the draft Offshore Wind wind is seen as a response to
inputs for offshore wind technology. Energy Lease Rules were made growing power demand, competition
The Facilitating Offshore Wind in available for comment.   over land availability on land and
India (FOWIND) 2014-2018 project, a system balancing technology.
led by GWEC and funded by the Offshore wind’s role in India’s long- However, no offshore wind project has
EU Delegation to India, focused on term energy transition goals commenced in India to date.
pre-feasibility studies off the coasts of Building on a number of factors, Plans to push for project development
Gujarat and Tamil Nadu.  including its Nationally Determined
With growing interest, the Contributions (NDCs), surging The FOWIND studies facilitated
Government of India announced energy demand increasing at 6-7% the identification of 16 potential
the National Offshore Wind Energy year-on-year over the next decade, zones with a concept design for
Policy in 2015 and another EU-funded 24x7 Power for All and power sector demonstration projects of indicative
project, First Offshore Wind Project decarbonisation, the government capacity 150-504 MW in Tamil Nadu
of India (FOWPI) 2016-2019, was has set one of the world’s largest and Gujarat. They found net capacity
initiated for capacity-building. These renewable energy targets of 450 GW factors ranging from 26.9-32% in
projects paved the way to launch a by 2030. This includes targets of 5 Gujarat and 30-38.1% in Tamil Nadu
1 GW Expression of Interest (EOI) GW of offshore wind by 2022, which for 4-10 MW turbine ratings. While
for Gujarat in 2018, which received was later scaled up to 30 GW by the final tender for 1 GW project at
interest from nearly 35 key players.  2030. Pipavav, Gulf of Khambhat, Gujarat is
in the pipeline, industry interest has
However, the EOI has not progressed Deployment of large-scale offshore shifted to the stronger wind resource
any further due to high CAPEX and wind is envisaged to fulfil a power and geotechnical conditions in Tamil
lack of government support schemes. supply gap over the next decade. Nadu.
Taking note of this, the Ministry of Using mesoscale satellite data, NIWE
New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) estimates 36 GW of offshore potential The MNRE is pursuing an offshore
applied for €800 million viability off the Gujarat coast and 35 GW off wind measurement campaign for at
the Tamil Nadu coast. An estimation least 10 GW of valid and accurate

92 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Demonstration projects of indicative capacity of 150-504 MW in Gujarat and Tamil Nadu

Category Gujarat Tamil Nadu


One LiDAR commissioned at Zone B in Nov 2017; Two are No LiDAR installed; Three LiDAR proposed for Zone A1, B and
LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging)
Proposed for Zone A & B C1
NIWE’s 100 m guyed mast installed at Rameshwaram shows
Avg. Wind Speed ~7.63 m/a @100m HH as per 6-month LiDAR Data- Zone B 8.62 m/s average wind speed @100m HH and WPD of 603
W/m2 @50 m a.g.l.
Better than Gujarat site – soil profiles for Zone A indicate
Extensive weak clay or soft soil layers (~9m) found in Zone A
significant spatial variation in the southern Tamil Nadu offshore
Geotechnical Condition & B; challenging and costly for foundation design and need
region; ranging from weak/loose sands/clays to strong cemented
customization
sand to depth 
Pipavav port is larger and lively with high vessel availability and
Ports are relatively smaller in size; need significant modification
Infrastructure and Logistics storage facility in the region but need to be optimised for offshore
efforts for readiness for offshore wind farm installation
wind
Rich in biodiversity and has fishing communities up to 10 km off
Strong tradition of fishing communities at the coastal area; precise
Coastal Area the coast; Rapid EIA study is complete; however, detailed EIA
geopolitical, EIA and social acceptance studies are required
study is required
Tender for three LiDARs in Zone A1, B and C1 hae been
EoI invited for Zone B nearest to Pipavav port in Gulf of
conducted; no project tender yet, but plan is to award first
Khambhat- Rapid EIA study, Geotechnical and geophysical
Tender or other activity project of 300-500 MW capacity in Zone B; 75 acres of land
analysis are done. Tender for a LiDAR in Zone A1 has been
in Dhanuskodi site is allocated to NIWE for establishing first
conducted.
National Offshore Research & Testing Facility 2019-29

on-site data for feasible offshore fabrication, delivery and installation cost interventions from stakeholders 2019-2021. A World Bank Group
wind siting. NIWE’s plan to have of the support structures for four for offshore wind. The structures roadmap study on offshore wind in
five LiDARs (Light Detection and offshore LiDARs. These interventions for offshore wind PPAs and auction India is also forthcoming.
Ranging) installed by the end of 2021 are likely to enhance the robustness designs are being examined by
would gather precise bankable data of estimates for commercially viable government authorities, and the Opportunities ahead 
critical to developing offshore wind offshore wind in India. MNRE, NIWE and the Danish The offshore wind sites identified
projects of up to 7.4 GW indicative Energy Agency have entered into a
Since India already has comparatively off Gujarat and Tamil Nadu will
installable capacity. NIWE has partnership for financial modelling of
cheaper onshore wind and solar require technology and business
already floated tenders for design, offshore wind farms in India (FIMOI)
energy, the MNRE is seeking feasible model customisation alongside

GWEC.NET 93
institutional resource. In April 2021, understanding of the socioeconomic
GWEC India published a statement of benefits associated with offshore
recommendations for offshore wind wind. The true potential for the
development in India, including the offshore wind market in India is
need for the government to frame a recognised as enormous, but urgently
visionary policy towards long-term requires increased government-
cost reduction and energy security, industry coordination and techno-
implement seabed leasing legislation economic studies to be realised in
and provide clarity on the bidding this decade. 
process and timelines for tenders. In
addition, expanding the offshore wind
measurement campaign will yield
LiDAR data to identify the potential
zones for bankable offshore wind
projects. 

A first step may be targeting a


feasible scale of demonstration
project, along with a support
scheme framework, which can
demonstrate offshore wind capacity
factors, technology optimisation and
initial costs. Additionally, state-level
roadmaps in Tamil Nadu and Gujarat
with offshore wind targets can foster
development progress.

These challenges will require regular


engagement between GWEC India,
decision-makers at federal, state
and local levels of government,
civil society institutions and local
stakeholder communities, in order to
align the offshore wind development
strategy and strengthen collective

94 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Part 3. Exploring new markets

World Bank Group –


Offshore Wind Development Program
Background Knowledge Creation successful offshore wind market. climate financing to accelerate
It provides lessons learnt and offshore wind deployment.
The World Bank Group’s (WBG) In late 2019 the Program published its good practices appropriate for a
Offshore Wind Development Program first report “Going Global: Expanding developing country setting. Virtual Study Tour
was launched in March 2019. Offshore Wind to Emerging Markets”.
This was followed in 2020 by 56
• Environmental & Social In 2020 GWEC delivered a virtual
The Program’s objective is to Framework for Offshore Wind study tour on behalf of WBG. The
maps of the offshore wind technical
accelerate the deployment of offshore Spatial Planning (FOWSOP): This event was held over three days and
resource potential for WBG client
wind in emerging markets. It provides framework enables WBG client provided a mixt of live study tours,
countries and regions, which have
this support to the public and private governments to plan a country- masterclasses, meet-the-expert
been published on the GWEC
sector by undertaking: scale spatial assessment of sessions and networking with over 20
website in a library of technical
environmental and social aspects hours of content.
1. Knowledge generation, resource maps for nearly 100
associated with offshore wind,
dissemination and exchange countries globally. This resource The event welcomed over 400
in order to lower environmental
2. Market development activities assessment work estimated that delegates from 24 countries. By
and social risks and so improve
including roadmaps and 115 of the world’s countries have a holding the event online, it was
project bankability.
informing regulations technically extractable offshore wind possible to surpass the successful
3. Preparation of projects, supportive potential of over 71,000 GW. • “The Role of Concessional
2019 event in terms of number of
Climate Finance in Accelerating
infrastructure, investment plans, attendees and countries, while also
Further knowledge studies are in Offshore Wind Development in
and competitions achieving greater geographical
preparation: Emerging Markets”: This study
coverage and increasing the breadth
demonstrates how concessional
WBG works closely with GWEC, • “Key Factors for Successful and depth of technical materials. 
which provides market insights, Development of Offshore Wind in finance could be used to reduce
support for events, workshops, Emerging Markets”: This report, the tariff required by initial Countries Engaged
training, peer reviews and more to the together with a series of learning projects in emerging markets. It
Program. materials, covers the essential establishes the role and need for The WBG program has provided direct
elements that comprise a assistance in 10 countries to date:

GWEC.NET 95
Country Progress to date Priority themes to create a successful offshore wind industry

Roadmap completed and published in June 2021. High and


Vietnam low growth scenarios together with 20 recommendations.
Ongoing technical assistance to support market development.
Year 1
Set the vision
Roadmap started November 2020. Focus on development is in – 2050 vision
Sri Lanka
the Gulf of Mannar. Possible link to India via interconnector. – 2030 and 2035 targets
Roadmap started in November 2020. Focus on economic
Turkey analysis, regulatory gaps, and environmental and social risks. Years 2-3
Parallel work to help prepare for a future auction. Create the processes
Successful – Marine spatial plan
India
Started roadmap study in December 2020. Focus on economic offshore – Leasing
benefit and a first pilot project in waters off Tamil Nadu.
wind – Permitting
Roadmap study started in early 2021. Challenges include industry – Power purchase
Azerbaijan transport of large equipment to the Caspian Sea and the oil – Supply chain development
and gas sector transition.
Years 2-15
Started roadmap in March 2021. Key topics are integration
Develop the infrastructure
Colombia with hydroelectric generation and environmental and social
– Transmission
aspects.
– Ports
Commenced roadmap study in March 2021. Focus is on – Supply chain
Philippines floating offshore wind and the displacement of coal fired
generation.
Source: BVG Associates
An early-stage study is underway to scope the opportunity for
South Africa
offshore wind and to plan future support.
Small Island Exploring opportunities and risks for offshore wind in Fiji,
Developing States Papua New Guinea and Caribbean islands.
Despite the lack of a policy framework over 40 GW of offshore
Brazil wind projects have entered planning. WBG is finalising the
terms of reference for a roadmap study.

GWEC is proud to cooperate with the WBG program on a global scale. The next
few years will see a progressive move towards implementation of projects, therefore
increasing offshore wind’s global reach.
For further information, see: https://esmap.org/esmap_offshore-wind

96 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Other new markets

From the perspective of GWEC Still, in all five markets there is an


Market Intelligence, it is important to increasing awareness that offshore
highlight the potential development wind at large scale can provide cost-
for offshore wind in newer markets. competitive and efficient solutions for
Even if actual installations will these countries. 
not happen immediately. The five
selected markets, Ireland, Poland, GWEC Market Intelligence monitors
Estonia, Australia and Romania are activities in 46 markets on a regular
representative of markets with high basis to document the opportunities
offshore wind potential but varying and progress of taking offshore wind
political support and targets to date. global.

Ireland Poland Estonia Australia Romania

Development stage Development stage Development stage Development stage Development stage

Pre-approval of 7 offshore wind 1st phase awarded ~5.86 GW Initiated the construction Progress continues on the One study identifies total
projects by government totalling by June 2021 through CfD permit approval process for ground-breaking 2.2 GW Star of technical offshore wind potential
3.5 GW; first offshore wind scheme. During the 2nd phase, Eesti Energia’s 1 GW offshore the South offshore wind energy up to 100 GW in the region.
auction scheduled for 2021 out another 2.5 GW each in 2025 wind project in the Gulf of farm, with contracts signed for Another study assessed 94 GW
of three offshore wind-specific and 2027 to be awarded in Riga, together with Latvia; 1 design of the project’s onshore potential, including 22 GW for
Renewable Energy Support competitive CfD auctions. GW ‘Elwind’ Estonian-Latvian transmission network and grid fixed-bottom. As of today, the
Scheme (RESS) auctions to cross-border project tender connection. Plan submitted Romanian energy companies
meet 5 GW target by 2030; planned for 2026. More than by Australis Energy Ltd for a Hidroelectrica and Romgaz have
development plans for 1.4 GW 12 GW capacity of offshore 300 MW project; while its two made public statements that they
Moneypoint floating farm and wind projects are under projects of ~1 GW are under will invest in offshore wind energy
an offshore wind-to-hydrogen various development stages for planning. technologies.
project unveiled. consenting, EIA, and relevant
preliminary studies etc. Interest for offshore wind in
Australia is increasing as
companies are looking at a total
potential of around 16 GW.

GWEC.NET 97
Ireland Poland Estonia Australia Romania

Political support Political support Political support Political support Political support

Strong and clear political Offshore Wind Act signed Renewable energy to account At the start of 2020, a plan Draft laws for offshore wind
support for a 5 GW offshore into law in January 2021 to for 50% (from current 30%) of for an Offshore Clean Energy projects allocation are under
target by 2030 set in the streamline the permitting, grid final consumption of domestic Infrastructure bill was issued legislative process for finalisation;
Programme for Government in connection rules and supply electricity by 2030, as by the Department of the they propose that the Ministry
2020, referencing ~30 GW chain requirements. Adopted announced in Estonian Energy Environment and Energy. Once of the Economy, Energy and
floating offshore wind potential; important regulation on the Polish Development Plan (ENMAK implemented, the framework will Business Environment introduce
a broader climate neutrality marine spatial planning strategy 2030). Signed Baltic Sea fill an existing regulatory and support mechanisms and grant
target by 2050 is in place. for seabed permitting. In May Offshore Wind Declaration legislative gap that can kickstart projects mainly by means of
Government approved a new 2021, the EU approved 22.5 with six countries to accelerate a viable offshore clean energy concessions, tender procedures,
framework for Ireland’s offshore billion EUR to support offshore the development of offshore industry in Australia. Around or direct licenses. 
electricity transmission system wind development through CfD wind capacity and cooperate EUR 2.9 million from Victoria’s
in April 2021 to provide clarity scheme. These two steps are to in spatial planning for maritime Budget 2020/21 allocated
on development, operation allow ~10.9 GW offshore wind areas, grid development, for delivering the offshore
and ownership for transmission capacity to be installed or under capacity planning and support wind regulatory framework.
system. Launched National development by 2030, quicker mechanisms. This budget also includes EUR
Marine Planning Framework than envisaged in the earlier ~333 million for establishing
in July 2021 and approved Energy Policy of Poland which six Renewable Energy Zones,
Maritime Area Planning outlined 10 GW by 2040. For including offshore wind.
Bill 2021 for integrated funding from EU Reconstruction
maritime related planning and Fund, Polish offshore wind  
consenting system. Geological development and port upgrades
Survey Ireland awarded 17 are required as per National
assessments over 14 months for Reconstruction Plan.
topics including geotechnical
engineering assessments helpful
for offshore wind farms.

98 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Ireland Poland Estonia Australia Romania

Challenges Challenges Challenges Challenges Challenges

Strategic investment to build an Strengthening and modernising Strengthen Estonian-Latvian Patchy track record on general Challenges regarding existing
indigenous and economically Poland’s grid and transmission cooperation in marine spatial support and policy measures grid and establishment of rules
sustainable local supply chain, network, especially in the north planning for development of to back renewable energy and regulation for offshore grid
including improving port of the country. joint wind farms, to avoid past generation, especially with connections.
infrastructure. Well-organised challenges to offshore projects respect to long-term certainty for
lease and licensing processes, on national security terms. measures such as a Feed-in-Tariff
and clear regulations filling the Russian naval base near Estonian scheme. 
gaps around grid connection offshore development zone Baltic
are needed, in addition to robust Sea is among security concerns.
planning and consent.

Next milestone Next milestone Next milestone Next milestone Next milestone

Open qualification process for Need to issue relevant executive Estonia and Latvia work to Policy and regulatory framework Finalise the draft offshore wind
first offshore RESS Auction in regulations by responsible develop guidelines for a formation. laws and outline a clear offshore
2021.  ministers such as a regulation collaborative project and wind installation target. Prepare
on maximum price for electricity intensify the cooperation and submit marine spatial
Steps need to be taken to grow generated by offshore wind, for projects to come online. planning strategy. 
the local supply chain; currently, technical specifications for Finalisation of the proposed draft
no port in Ireland meets all the installation, marine safety maritime spatial plan. 
requirements for offshore wind requirements and principles for
projects. possible purchase of offshore
grid connections by the TSO. 

GWEC.NET 99
FLOATING WIND Chapter Sponsor

GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Floating offshore wind: Technology
80% of the world’s offshore wind a smooth energy transition, for As illustrate by the floating offshore favour different solutions, and factors
resource potential lies in waters example, bringing their expertise wind platform diagram below, there such as political need, opportunity
deeper than 60m. The best locations in foundation construction and are four dominant types of floating for localization, local infrastructure
for floating wind are Europe, Japan, unparalleled skills in delivering huge wind foundations which are mainly and different turbine design will also
South Korea, Taiwan, South Africa, engineering projects into offshore derived from oil and gas experience come to play in floating foundation
Australia, New Zealand, Argentina, wind while re-skilling workers who namely, Deep-water floating Spar, selection. As the total installations
Chile, off the west coast of the US may be dislocated from the fossil fuel Semisubmersible, Tension-leg for floating wind is relatively lower
and off the south coast of China (see sectors.  platform (TLP) and Barge. Associated than fixed bottom wind, operations
Floating Wind Market Resource benefits and challenges of the basic and maintenance (O&M) solutions
map on page 23). To fully harvest Floating wind technologies floaters are presented in table below. to maintain the floating turbines are
the global offshore wind potential It is worth to mention that no universal still being developed at present and
Beginning with the first MW-scale
and expedite the energy transition solution is available for floating wind. it may favour some types of designs
floating offshore turbine installation
and eventually meet the net zero Different geographical situations will considering the OPEX control.
in Norway in 2009, the offshore
target, it has become imperative industry connected the world’s first
for governments to set up floating Floating offshore wind platform types
commercial floating offshore wind
offshore wind targets, to streamline project, the Hywind Scotland (5 units
the project permitting process, and of SGRE SWT 6.0-154, turbines with
to provide support schemes to help a single floating cylindrical spar
this less-established technology to structure), in the UK in 2017 and
quickly achieve the commercialization commissioned the world largest
and in turn to reduce the cost and floating offshore wind turbine, Vestas
make it an affordable energy source. V164-9.5 MW model, at the 50 MW
As well as providing even better Kincardine project in Scotland this
wind resources and larger technical summer. With turbines installed
potential than bottom-fixed offshore on semi-submersible floating
wind, floating wind could help create structures the Kincardine project is
socio-economic benefits such as also representing the largest floating
jobs and most importantly engage offshore wind project in the world as
the oil and gas industry to complete of today.  Source: WindEurope

GWEC.NET 101
The benefits and challenges associated with four dominant floater concepts

Spar Semisubmersible  TLP Barge

Overview: Overview: Overview: Overview:


• Simplest concept and attractive • Most popular concept and less • Attractive dynamics but not widely • The shallowest draft of all the
dynamics attractive dynamics deployed  floating foundation types
• Minimum depth 80m during whole • Typically requires moveable water • Achieves static stability through • Square footprint
installation process ballast to limit tilt mooring line tension with a submerged • Some barge designs include a
• Achieves stability through ballast • Requires dry dock for fabrication buoyancy tank moonpool to suppress wave-induced
installed below its main buoyancy tank • Achieves static stability by distributing • Typically requires purpose-built loading.
• Complex manufacturing and Weight buoyancy widely at the water plane installation vessel • Weight for 6 MW: 2.000-8.000 t
for 6 MW: ~3.500 t • Weight for 6 MW: ~3.000 t • Weight for 6 MW: ~2.000 t depending on materials
Benefits: Benefits: Benefits: Benefits:
• Inherent stability • Heave plates for reducing heave • High stability, low motions  • Operable at depths starting 30
• Suitable for even higher sea states response  • Having a good water-depth flexibility meters to accommodate complex
• Soil condition insensitivity • Broad weather window for installation • Small seabed footprint and short seabed conditions 
• Cheap & simple mooring & anchoring • Depth independence  mooring lines  • Buildable in steel or concrete,
system • Soil condition insensitivity • Simple & light structure, easy for O&M or hybrids between steel and
• Simple fabrication process  • Cheap & simple mooring & anchoring • Lower material costs due to structural concrete, offering flexibility in using
• Low operational risk  system weight of the substructure the highest local content near the
• Little susceptible to corrosion • Overall lower risk • Onshore or dry dock assembly project  
• Simple installation & decommissioning possible • Simple shape will employ equally
as specialised vessel required simple fabrication techniques
• Scalable to support heavy substation 
Challenges: Challenges: Challenges: Challenges:
• High cost, 5-8 mEUR/MW (based on • Non-industrialised fabrication • Unstable during assembly, requiring • Particularly exposed to wave, so
the 30 MW demo) • Higher exposure to waves leads to the use of special vessel  having greater motions 
• Heavy weight, with long mooring lines lower stability and impacts on turbine  • High vertical load moorings • Demanding more robust mooring
and long & heavy structure • Labour intensive and long lead time • Complex & costly mooring & systems, increasing complexity
• Deep drafts limit port access and large • Large and complex structure, so anchoring system making it the most
seabed footprint complicated in fabrication  expensive floater design type
• Relatively large motions  • Foundation always built in one • Mooring tendons presenting higher
• Assembly in sheltered deep water piece, requiring dry dock or special operational risk in case of mooring
challenging and time-consuming fabrication yard with skid facilities failure and add requirements on site
• High fatigue loads in tower base • Lateral movement presents potential seabed conditions
• Specialised installation vessels needed  problems for the export cable
Source: Stiesdal A/S, NREL, DNV.GL, Carbon Trust, IRENA

102 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Global floating offshore wind resource map
stages excluding commissioned
ones will utilise semi-submersible
floater type with highest share of 64%
followed by spar 13% and barge 10%.
TLP and semi-spar have the lowest
share of 7% and 4%, respectively. TLP
has better flexibility in shallower and
deeper waters; although its current
market share is relatively lower due
to complex installation and needs a
cost reduction strategy for mooring
installation. The names of global
players in providing floater designs
by five types along with the share of
the floater types in FOW projects are
presented in the graph below.  

Share of floater type in global FOW


Source: Q FWE installations, July 2021

Data on platform types used in readiness, as well as familiarity with wind (FOW) project installation
existing demonstration schemes has the technology from oil and gas use. capacity stands at 71.3 MW with the 22%
Barge
shown a preference for spar type Over time, the balance of platform highest share of spar floater type
platform models. However, looking at choice may shift as other concepts as of July 2021. As project activities
56%
schemes now in development, a clear become proven or can demonstrate grow with increasing interest from Spar 22%
shift to semi-submersible platforms opportunities for cost reduction or key players in Tier-1 and Tier-2 FOW Semi-
subme
is easy to spot, with close to two- increased performance, particularly markets, almost 16.5 GW of FOW rsible
thirds of schemes in development for spar, semi-spar and tension leg turbines are forecast to be operational
expected to use different semi- platform variants. by 2030. As per GWEC Market intel
sub technologies. This highlights FOW project database July 2021,
the breadth of semi-submersible According to GWEC Market share of floater types in these global Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021

options with full or near technology Intelligence, global floating offshore FOW projects at various development

GWEC.NET 103
Share of floater type in global FOW projects at various development stages, excluding Selected multi-turbine and integrated floater concepts
commissioned ones

Company  Concept Solutions Scale of Type of Current


Semi-Spar or project concept  floater stage of
Tension Leg Platform Wind float by Principal Power has Highest
name development
4% Share,
7%
Others key designs are Floating Power Hexicon TwinWind  Multi-turbines  Up to 10 MW Semi- Model test
10% Barge Plant (P80), Sailtec SATH, Aerodyn + (Project submersible completed in
(twin-rotor)
Nezzy2, CSIC, Dr,Techn, Otav Olsen, pipeline in June 2021 with
EDF Renewables-Blyth Floater, Eolink 6 markets full-scale test
Semi- 64% 13% Spar (Demonstrator), Ferravial-SATH, Hexicon, picked up this expected in
submersible
Milsui, Nagal Energies, VoltumUS concept) 2023
(University of Maine)
Aerodyn & Nezzy2  Multi-turbines Up to 15 MW Semi- 1:10 prototype
Tetraspar has Highest Share EnBW (twin-rotor) submersible tested in 2020
Floater Suppliers by Floater Type Other key designs are Sea Twirl, JMU,
Pelagic W2Power Multi-turbines Up to 10 MW Semi- 1:6 scale tested
Kvaerner, Navantia Windar, Technip,
Power (twin-rotor) + including 3 submersible in 2016
Toda Corporation
Wave energy  MW wave
Ideol-Dampling Pool
energy
Salpem (Hexafloat)
Glon (SOF) Bombora and InSPIRE Single Up to 12 MW Semi- A 4 MW wind
SBM Offshore TechnipPMC (Integrated turbine wind + 6 MW submersible +2 MW wave
X1 Wind (PivotBuoy) mWave™) +wave wave power demon planned
energy
Floating FPP Single 4-15 MW Semi- Small scale
With an urgent need to achieve cost as wave and hydrogen (Power-to-X) Power Plant Flatform  turbine + wind + 2-4 submersible floater tested in
reduction for floating wind while into the same platform. Table 2 shows (FPP)  wave (or plus MW wave 2020
hydrogen)  power
accelerating the decarbonisation the selected solutions announced
of “hard-to-electrify” sectors, the either by floater designers or project ERM, ERM Single 10 MW wind Semi- A 2 MW proof
Tractebel Dolphyn  turbine + + integrated submersible of concept unit
wind industry is also developing developers, of which none of them
Engie, hydrogen hydrogen up and running
technologies and engineering has entered the commercialisation Principle by 2024
solutions that can host multi-wind stage of development today. It is Power
turbines on one floater (to reduce interesting to see that all the concepts
Acciona lead OCEANH2 Floating Integrated Semi- Spanish
the CAPEX on cables, foundation have pursued the semi-submersible consortium wind+ solar floating submersible government
and installation and maximise the floater concept to host wind turbines including + power plant funded R&D
production) and/or integrate other and other renewable and Power-to-X Wunder hydrogen  with multiple project in 2021
renewable energy technologies such solutions. Hexicon floaters

Source: company news and GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021

104 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Case study: Industrialising floating offshore wind - Five lessons learned
Provided by: Principle Power

Floating offshore wind is set to Scotland) yields several lessons Return on experience is most workforce, ports and infrastructure.
become a large-scale source learned: effective if incorporated into the These investments will have useful
of affordable renewable energy. early phase of the design process.  lives extending beyond individual
Achieving ambitious deployment Each project has unique constraints projects. As a result, successful
levels will require industrialised that require the resolution of a The number of units in a project is markets will be the ones where
supply chains to deliver and series of coupled design problems, an increasingly important driver governments establish conditions
install more than 50 turbines rated where each decision has the for design decisions. As each unit for sustainable, long-term growth.
at 15+ MW in one-two offshore potential to introduce knock-on is identical, smart design decisions
construction seasons. As a result, effects into connected systems and and investments in infrastructure Find out more:
“industrialisation” is one of the processes. As a result, the design can deliver dramatic improvements https://www.principlepowerinc.com/
hottest topics in the industry today; process must holistically address in commercial-scale project LCOE.  en/windfloat
but it is also complex, with drivers the full project lifecycle to optimise
cost, performance and schedule, Our ability to flexibly configure
and solutions often misunderstood.
while ensuring appropriate the WindFloat®, and its modular
Principle Power has designed management of risk.  architecture, allows us to
WindFloats® for projects ranging accommodate diverse project
from pre-commercial scale (3 Accommodating 15-20 MW requirements. These features
– 5 units) to full industrial-scale turbines requires platform ensure that developers have access
developments of more than 50 configurations that can be efficiently to the broadest range of delivery
units. These projects cover a scaled to manage the increased options to ensure a competitive
wide spectrum of requirements, loads from the wind turbine and supply chain.
including, turbine size, project size, environment. The use of numerical
models that have been validated Turning this vision of floating
environmental conditions, local
against operational experience offshore wind into reality will
content, infrastructure constraints,
brings confidence to all parties require a coordinated effort
and others.
involved.  from developers, designers and
Our experience designing, contractors to build supply chains
constructing and operating Feedback from full-scale projects is that are adapted to local conditions.
WindFloat Atlantic (25 MW, an essential input for establishing Delivering commercial-scale
Portugal) and Kincardine (50 MW, industrialisation requirements. projects will require investment in

GWEC.NET 105
Image credit: Principle Power
Turbine integration and sail-out at the Port of Ferrol for WindFloat Atlantic, a project with 3 x 8.4 MW turbines off the coast of northern Portugal.

106 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Floating offshore wind:
Market status and activities
In the past decade MW-scale floating floating wind installations are likely could also be justified by recent Roadmap of floating offshore
technologies have been tested to take off from the second half of development targets announced by wind commercialisation 
through demonstration and pilot this decade (expecting to reach governments in both Europe and
projects in both Europe and Asia. the 1 GW of floating wind annual Asia as well as those announced Demo and trial phase
However, current floater production installations milestone in 2026). partnerships established by oil (2009-2020)
is not industrialised yet and Full commercialisation is expected majors, large European utilities and
development has just entered the pre- to be achieved toward the end of floating technology providers. The Pre-commercial phase
commercial phase.  this decade (when multi-GW level table below summarises the latest (2021-2025)
large scale floating projects could market status and dynamic in tier
According to GWEC Market be connected in both Europe and 1 and tier 2 floating offshore wind Commercial phase
Intelligence’s global offshore East Asia). Our projection for the markets. (from 2026 onward)
floating wind project database, commercialisation of floating wind

Floating offshore wind market status and activities - Tier 1 and Tier 2 Markets

Target or
Tier-1
development Development Stage/activity Selected Key Players
Markets
potential
30 MW Hywind Scotland Pilot Park and 50 MW Kincardine floating wind farm scheduled for BW Ideol, Principle Power,
1 GW FOW
commissioning August 2021; Government in March 2021 launched a £20 million competitive TotalEnergies, EDF Renewables,
capacity installation
funding scheme The Floating Offshore Wind (FOW) Demonstration Programme to focus on mid- Equinor, Copenhagen Offshore Partners
by 2030; Major
technology readiness level under Net Zero Innovation Portfolio; The Crown Estate has awarded three (COP), Shell, RWE, SSE Renewables,
UK Potential lies off the
Test & Demonstration projects of total 300 MW capacity in Celtic Sea; ScotWind seabed leasing Falck, Ørsted, BayWa r.e., Flotation
Coast of Scotland
round results awaiting by January 2022; FOW projects of over 4 GW capacity in UK including Energy, Cobra Group, DP Energy FPP,
and the Southwest of
Scotland are at various stages of initial planning to be ready for consenting and development Simply Blue Energy, ERM, Cerulean
the UK
process, larger capacity outside of that is being planned to offset UK oil & gas footprint. Winds, Bechtel, Hexicon

GWEC.NET 107
Target or
Tier-1
development Development Stage/activity Selected Key Players
Markets
potential
To tender 8.75 With 2 MW Floatgen FOW demo installed to date, consented projects of ~118 MW capacity
GW offshore wind are expected to be commissioned by 2022-2023; Multi-annual energy program (Plan de
TotalEnergies, EDF Renewables, Engie,
capacity including programmation pluriannuelle del’Energie (PPE), April 2020 have planned commercial FOW
France EOLFI, BW Ideol, Principle Power,
FOW by 2020- tenders of total 1.25 GW capacity by 2024 (off the Mediterranean and Brittany coast), out
Equinor
2028, but no of which first tender of 270 MW off the south Brittany is launched in April 2021; From 2024
specific FOW target onwards France will plan tenders of 1 GW/year depending on the floating cost.
No official FOW
target, but a total of
25-27 GW FOW With a stated ambition of more than 30 GW of floating wind in its deep Atlantic waters, a total
Simply Blue Energy, Shell, Saipem,
potential area of 800 MW capacity FOW projects is in the consenting stage; >3 GW capacity projects are
Ireland Iberdrola, Equinor, ESB, DP Energy, BW
identified without at initial planning stage including recently unveiled development plan for 1.4 GW Moneypoint
Ideol, Cobra and Flotation Energy
likely significant FOWF on site of ESB coal power station.
environmental
impact 
Construction work is expected to start at the first phase of 6 GW FOWF Ulsan at Donghae 1 gas KNOC, Korea East-West Power,
field site in 2022 with full commissioning of the entire project expected in 2030; Multi-GW FOW KHNP, TotalEnergies, GIG, CIP,
South 6 GW FOWF project plans by local players and government, including foreign investors, - projects of over 1 Shell, Macquarie, Ørsted, Equinor,
Korea installation by 2030 GW are under consenting while interests have been shown with initial plans of developing greater Ocean Winds, Aker Solutions, EDP
than 4.5 GW FOW projects; Local players have also shown R&D plans to develop new floating Renewables, Principle Power, Samsung,
foundation design and power offshore Hydrogen plants through FOW turbines. Hyundai, SK E&S and Doosan, POSCO
4 GW by 2030 and
18 GW by 2050
according to JWPA
roadmap; With
12 MW FOW capacity commissioned to date; METI and MLIT launched Japan’s first auction in JERA, Iberdrola, BW Ideol, Green
FOW potential of
July 2020 for a floating offshore wind farm (8 turbines, not less than 16.8 MW total) off Goto City Investment Group, Hitachi Zosen &
~500 GW as per
Japan in Nagasaki Prefecture. The sole bidder, a consortium led by Toda Corporation, was selected in Naval Energies, Mitsubishi, Marubeni,
JWPA since larger
June 2021. Japan unveiled its vision for offshore wind, including targets of 10 GW by 2030 and Toda Corporation, MOL, Principle
part of Japanese
30-45 GW by 2040, however it does not specify FOW capacity. Power
offshore wind zones
is suitable for FOW
technology than
fixed bottom

108 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Tier-2 Potential
Development Stage/activity Selected Key Players
Markets Zones/Target
No official FOW
Ministry of Petroleum and Energy plans up to 1.5 GW of FOW projects at Utsira Nord site under
target, but up Equinor, Aker Offshore Wind,
first FOW round of Norway 2021; To date 2.3 MW Hywind FOW Demo is commissioned, two
to 1.5 GW, Statkraft, Fred. Olsen, RWE
projects of total 91.6 MW capacity are under construction, and 10 MW FLAGSHIP FOW demo
Norway consisting of three Renewables, Olav Olsen, Stiesdal,
under consenting process; Country has Norwegian Offshore Wind Cluster aiming to be the
projects, FOW Orsted, Shell, BP, ENI, RWE, Knutsen
strongest global supply chain for floating offshore wind. Local and international partnerships already
capacity proposed Group, BW ideol, Hexicon
established to compete in Norway’s upcoming licensing round. 
at Utsira Nord site 
30 GW offshore More than $100 million in researching, developing, and demonstrating FOW technology; Projects
EnBW, Principle Power, BW Ideol,
wind by 2030, but of 12 MW consented, 40 MW under review and 2.3 GW under planning stage at states along the
RWE Renewables, Aker Offshore
USA without the specific west coast and Maine; Oregon state will have 3 GW FOW plan once Floating Wind Bill enacted;
Wind, Ocean Winds Mitsubishi
FOW target at Biden administration to work on Pacific coast for advancing areas northwest of Morro Bay and off
Corporation, Trident Winds
present  Humboldt County, California, for offshore wind development especially for FOW.
Ministry for the Ecological Transition and the Demographic stated 1-3 GW FOW target by 2030
under the draft roadmap for development of Offshore Wind and Marine Energies in Spain, Greenalia, Iberdrola, RWE
Draft plans for 1-3
which would be finalised after consultation ending by 6 August 2021; The country houses strong Renewables, Saitec, Equinor, Ocean
Spain GW FOW target
multiplayers with floater designs, production and engineering skills; Projects of >2 GW are under Winds, DISA Group, BlueFloat
by 2030 
various stages of initial planning and proposals, ~260 MW FOWP are either under consenting Energy, Falck Renewables 
process or consented.
No official
FOW target, but
~750 MW FOW projects under consenting and planning stage; As per Italian wind association CIP, Ichnusa Wind Power srl, Saipem,
Italy with potential
president35 Italian wind energy sector is targeting 5 GW of FOW between 2030 and 2040. Stiesdal, EDF Renewables
zones located at
Mediterranean Sea
No official FOW
Project pipeline in excess of 1.5 GW envisaged by 2030 under Ocean Winds-Terna Energy
target, GWEC MYTILINEOS, CIP, Equinor, Ocean
Greece collaboration; Legislation is under preparation for offshore wind project development by the Ministry
estimates 413 GW Winds, Terna Energy  
of Environment and Energy which has greatly increased interests of key players in Greece.
FOW potential36 
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, company announcements, industry media, July 2021

35 https://www.montelnews.com/en/news/1189892/italy-aims-for-5-gw-floating-wind-by-2040--anev
36 https://gwec.net/discover-the-potential-for-offshore-wind-around-the-world/

GWEC.NET 109
Challenges in Floating Offshore
Wind Development
The focus of the floating offshore regimes, deep water substations gained more experience and different
wind sector is now on rapid scale and dynamic cabling. The extent concepts have had sufficient time in
up of project size, to support rapid of innovation in the market is best the water. However, to survive in this
learning and cost reduction. This is characterised by the large number market platform companies will need
being supported in different forms by of participants and designs in to secure developer partners and be
a number of countries. In the UK for the floating platform market. The able to supply into this first cluster of
example, the initial focus is on smaller bulk of market activity is in semi- commercial projects, or be confident
test and demonstration projects of submersibles at present, though there that they can deliver significant
up to 100 MW, moving to 300 MW are active market players looking at innovation and cost reduction to
scale projects mid-decade, and barge, spar and tension-leg platform be considered as part of a second
500-1000 GW projects expected by options. The focus of a number of generation of platform options.
end of decade/early 2030s through platform providers is demonstrating
ScotWind leasing. In South Korea, their technologies at full scale ready
Government and developers are to supply into the rapidly emerging
pressing ahead with more ambitious market.
multi-GW schemes, though in
practice these schemes are expected The wide variety of platform concepts
to be delivered in stages to allow highlights some of the different
learning.  technical and market challenges
that projects will need to address.
Industry is confident of its ability Port access, water depth, ease of
to scale up floating offshore wind manufacture, turbine integration,
rapidly. Continued innovation is cost and performance are all issues
expected in the market, with new being explored by different platform
technologies and products expected companies. It is not expected that the
to support better mooring and anchor market will consolidate significantly
solutions, longer term maintenance across the decade until industry has

110 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Floating offshore wind: Market outlook to 2030
2009 saw the world’s first MW-scale global floating offshore project America (10.4%), but the global Floating wind’s current contribution
floating offshore wind turbine grid- pipeline (bottle-up approach), but a market share of Asian countries is to total wind installations is only
connected by Equinor in Norway, top-down approach has been applied likely to more than double in the 0.1%, but it will play an increasingly
but as the end of 2020 only 73 MW in this year’s outlook which takes into second half of this decade, making important role toward the end of this
of net floating wind capacity was in account the floating wind targets and it the largest region in total new decade, accounting for 6.1% of global
operation worldwide. development plans set up by national installations in that period. In total new wind installations in 2030. To
governments and major offshore wind floating wind installations at the end help unlock future potential, GWEC
Nevertheless, progress has been investors. of 2030, however, Europe will retain launched its Floating Offshore Wind
made in the past decade and the title as the largest floating wind Task Force in July 2020.
floating wind is no longer an area Out of the 16.5 GW floating wind market with 47% global market share,
dedicated just for R&D purposes. At installations, we expect only 7.1% (or closely followed by Asia (45%) and
present, floating wind has passed the 1.2 GW) to be built in the first half then North America (8%).
demonstration stage and entered the of this decade; the majority of new
pre-commercial phase. With floating volume will come online from 2026
New Installations Norway France United Kingdom Ireland Spain Italy Grecce
development targets announced by when GW-levels of annual installations MW, floating**
Portugal South Korea Japan China Taiwan United States
governments in Europe and Asia in are likely to be achieved.
the past 12 months, and with more
investors (especially major oil and As of today, the UK, Portugal, Japan,
gas companies) including floating Norway and France are the top
CAGR*
wind as a significant part of their five markets in total floating wind +59.6% 100
6254
300 500
strategies to achieve energy transition installations, but the situation is 250
50 500
288 500
and net zero targets, GWEC Market predicted to change and by the end 200
200
600
250
CAGR*
Intelligence has upgraded its global of this decade, South Korea, Japan, +104.7% 150 504
400
12 100 50 500
100
floating wind forecast and predicts Norway, France and United Kingdom 7 10 10 350 100
3388 2750 250
6 25 27 10 250 100 250 500 500 1000
16.5 GW is likely to be built globally are likely to be the top five floating 48 60 59 200 45 270
4 98 6 2 199.4 1670 1300
in the next 10 years, compared with markets. 17 57 190
113
1000
1000 1000
212 604.4
17 700 900 500
6.5 GW predicted a year ago. 500 500 500
As regards to regional distribution, we
2020 2021e 2022e 2023e 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e 2030e
Our previous year’s outlook was expect Europe to make up 68.2% of
based primarily on the existing total installations added in 2021-2025, * CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate
** Note: this floating wind outlook is already included in GWEC’s global offshore wind forecast
followed by Asia (21.4%) and North Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021

GWEC.NET 111
Case study: FLAGSHIP project leading floating offshore wind power
Provided by: Iberdrola

The European Union has the goal of be operated for a minimum of two demonstrative scenarios will be pave the way to the future climate-
achieving climate neutrality by 2050, years in the North Sea. crucial for the industrialisation of neutral Europe by 2050.
as underlined in the European Green floating offshore wind farms and their
Deal. To help achieve this, offshore FLAGSHIP is currently in the replication all over the world. This project has received funding
wind energy is key: An abundant, design phase, purchasing assets from the European Union’s Horizon
natural and clean source of energy and materials, and about to launch Floating wind is now on the verge of 2020 research and innovation
the manufacturing activities. The becoming a commercial reality, and programme under grant agreement
The cost of floating wind can Norwegian companies Olav Olsen, the FLAGSHIP project is the starting Nº 952979.
be reduced by optimising Aker Solutions and Unitech are in point. The combined efforts of the
industrialisation and mobilising the charge of designing, manufacturing companies that have partnered up This project has received funding from
the European Union’s Horizon 2020
entire supply chain. For that reason, and installing the assets. in FLAGSHIP can accelerate the research and innovation programme
under grant agreement Nº 952979
Iberdrola leads a consortium to commercialisation of floating wind.
develop a floating offshore project The deployment of the floating turbine Together we can develop a clean and Find out more: 
funded by the Horizon 2020 program at 200m water depth in the MET profitable energy source that helps https://www.flagshiproject.eu/
of the European Commission: Centre is planned for September
“FLoAtinG offSHore wInd oPtimization 2022. The North Sea is the world’s
for commercialization” (FLAGSHIP). leading region for deployed capacity
and expertise in offshore wind.
FLAGSHIP aims to validate and
demonstrate a cost-effective 10+ MW FLAGSHIP also includes an exercise
Floating Offshore Wind Technology to to raise the maturity of the concept to
ensure the reduction of the Levelised a commercial level, allow its industrial
Cost of Energy (LCOE) in the range of production and pave the way towards
40-60€/MWh by 2030. future developments. This exercise
is supported by other consortium
The main challenge of this project is partners including DTU, CENER,
to design and fabricate an innovative IHCantabria, DNV-GL, CoreMarine,
and cost-effective floating semi- Zabala Innovation, and EDF
submersible concrete structure to collaboration for location analysis.
support the first Wind Turbine bigger
than 10 MW. This demonstration will All the knowledge generated by
FLAGSHIP and the results of the
Image credit: Flagship

112 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


OFFSHORE WIND
TECHNOLOGY Chapter Sponsor

GWEC.NET
Next generation of offshore wind turbine
technology
The nominal capacity of each wind offshore model with a rotor diameter
Rotor size and power rating continue to increase
turbine installed 20 years ago at of 220 metres installed in Rotterdam
Based on commercial offshore wind turbine installation
Vindeby, the world’s first offshore wind in 2019 retains the world’s record.
farm, was only 450kW. Since then, However, this is not the end of the 240
220 15-17
offshore wind turbine sizes have grown race. 2020 saw Siemens Gamesa, the MW
significantly with the global average world’s No.1 offshore wind turbine 200 11-13
MW
offshore wind turbine size passing the supplier, release its SG14 DD offshore 180
8.0 9.5

Rotor diameter (m)


160 MW
milestone of 1.5 MW in 2000, 2.5 MW model with a rotor diameter at 222 MW

in 2005 and 6.0 MW in 2020. As more metres. The new turbine, that can 140
5 6.2
MW MW
smaller offshore turbines installed in reach 15 MW with Power Boost, will 120

Asia (excluding Taiwan), the average be commercially available from 100 3.6MW
turbine rating for new installations in 2024. In February 2021, Vestas, 80
2.0MW
Europe are even higher. It already the world’s No.2 offshore turbine 60

reached 8.3 MW in 2020 and is likely producer, launched the V236-15 MW 40


0.45MW
to surpass 12 MW in 2025. offshore model. The serial production 20

is expected to take place in 2024. 0


Compared with the first offshore In August 2021, Chinese turbine 1991 2000 2003 2008 2012 2017 2020 2022/ 2024/
2023e 2025e
wind turbine Bonus B35/450kW manufacturer MingYang released the Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021
installed in 1991, the rotor diameter MySE 16.0-242 hybrid drive turbine,
of offshore turbine has also increased making it the world’s largest offshore drive and medium speed drivetrain technology innovation have been
dramatically in the past two decades. wind model. The prototype will be continue to gain popularity for new driven by the following factors:
Siemens Gamesa SG8.4-167DD and turbine with ratings greater than 10
installed in 2023 with commercial • Pressure to reduce LCOE. To
DEC DF10.0-185DD represent the production from 2024. MW. reduce LCOE, size matters. When
largest rotors installed in Europe the bigger offshore turbine is
and Asia respectively last year, but Another trend for the next generation The increase of offshore wind turbine
released with a bigger capacity
GE Renewable Energy’s Haliade X of offshore wind turbine is that direct size and the continuous turbine
rating, larger rotor diameter, and

114 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


higher tower height, technically Rotor size and power rating continue
the capacity factors are better, to increase
which in turn increase the
annual energy production (AEP). Considering the increasing pressure
According to GE Renewable for offshore wind to reach grid parity
Energy, the Haliade-X 14 MW in both Europe and China, GWEC
model can increase the AEP by Market Intelligence believe that
9% compared with the Haliade-X the offshore wind turbine size will
12 MW model. continue to grow moving forward. Our
GWEC offshore wind ambassador
• CAPEX saving for foundations,
Henrik Stiesdal has predicted that
inter-array cables and installation.
the next generation offshore turbine
Although the larger turbine per
technology could probably be around
unit is more costly than a smaller
20 MW with a 275m rotor diameter by
one, a recent Rystad Energy
2030. A recent cost reduction survey
research project shows that using
conducted by NREL and Berkeley
the 14MW turbines for a new 1
LAB also shows experts predict that
GW windfarm offers cost savings
a 17 MW offshore turbine with a rotor
of nearly $100 million versus
size of 250 meter is expected to be
installing the currently available
installed in 2035 in order to reduce
10 MW turbines.
the LCOE.
• OPEX saving due to less turbine
units. O&M costs account for However, the limitation for future
approximately 25-30% of total offshore turbine design will be
project life-cycle costs. Less unit determined by factors such
also means optimization in LCOE. as the existing supply chain
• To enhance the value of wind and infrastructure, drive-train
energy to the electricity optimization, foundation design,
system and energy markets materials constraints, the logistical
through reduced transmission constraints for both transportation and
expenditure, lower balancing installation, and permitting.
costs and improved output
certainty.

GWEC.NET 115
Case study: Innovation to increase green energy reliability
Provided by: DuPont

Achieving a global energy transition maintenance, reduced installation and global transformer manufacturers
that is compatible with the world’s operating costs and a more positive have been able to design and build
climate goals is unquestionably a impact on the environment. Turbines over 20 GW (approximately 9,000
formidable task. Much depends, for deployed in 2010 had an average size units) which weigh less, occupy less
example, on the pace of innovation of 2.7 MW, while in 2020 this average space and are significantly more
in new and emerging technologies, increased to 6.5 MW. For 2025, the reliable. At the same time, these
the extent to which citizens are able estimated average turbine size is insulated transformers require less
or willing to change their behaviour, expected to be between 10 MW and servicing, have reduced fire hazard
the availability of sustainable 12 MW. and are environmentally safer,
renewable energy and the extent thereby reducing total ownership
and effectiveness of international Technological advancements costs.
collaboration. supporting larger turbines help
to reduce LCOE. However, higher Find out more here:
From a technological perspective, the power per turbine also means that https://www.dupont.
offshore wind industry has improved the cost of failure has a significantly co.uk/nomex-for-elec-
remarkably in past years. Offshore higher impact on ROI for developers. trical-infrastructure.
wind capacity factors have increased In addition, the cost of replacement of html?src=EMEA_EN_
by 18%, reaching an average of 44% any equipment inside the turbine is Safety_EEQM_Article_
in 2019. These improvements were often prohibitively high. Core turbine GWEC2021
largely driven by R&D innovations in equipment such as generators,
turbine design and manufacturing, converters and transformers need to
contributing to increased hub be extremely reliable and possibly
height, rotor diameter and turbines maintenance-free.
doubling in size. Innovations have
also contributed to enabling deep sea Solutions are needed for more
offshore wind farms. compact and reliable equipment with
extended lifetimes. As an example,
The increase in turbine size with the application of Dupont’s
increases their cost-competitiveness, Nomex® insulation technology in
resulting in fewer and more efficient combination with dielectric liquids
turbines, which in turn require less (typically biodegradable esters),

116 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Offshore Wind Turbine Technology Road (excluding China)

15

14

13

12

11

10

9
MW

Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021

GWEC.NET 117
China is playing catch-up in Offshore Wind Turbine Technology

16

15

14

13

12

11

10

9
MW

1
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Solid line: the installation has been completed; Dashed line: new product was released but the prototype is not installed yet.
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021

Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021

118 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Case study: How plug and play connectors can reduce project operating costs
Provided by: HARTING

OPEX can contribute 35-43% to an connection of power and signal would be around €0.1 million in
offshore wind energy project’s 20- between the pitch box and the CAPEX. However, these advanced
year lifetime costs.37 This percentage battery backup box in the hub, or connectivity solutions could provide a
can increase to more than 50% if a connection of power, signal and cost saving of €2.5 million, equivalent
a project’s lifetime extends to 30 single-mode glass fibers for the to approximately 4% of the total
years of operation. In order to keep highly sensitive slipring, or power CAPEX investment.
these costs down, wind turbine and signal to a yaw motor. All these
manufacturers are turning to plug connections should have an effective Find out more:
and play solutions to simplify their EMC shielding capability which https://www.harting.com/DE/en-gb/
operations. necessitates additional care and capex-opex-wind-energy
effort by maintenance teams when
Even optimally designed wind servicing the subassemblies.
turbines need to be well maintained.
A modern offshore wind turbine Designing “hard-wired connections”
is expected to have at least two with terminal blocks seems
scheduled and seven unscheduled simple but leads to very high
maintenance cases per year. These costs. A HARTING White Paper
are primarily due to failures in on Connectivity in Wind Turbines
the subassemblies - such as the describes a case of ten – 7 MW
pitch systems, auxiliary systems, wind turbines. We found labour,
generators, yaw systems and other training and especially turbine
areas.38 In 20 years of operation, 180 downtime costs could reach as
maintenance cases are expected to high as €2.8 million over the 20-
occur. year turbine lifetime. At the same
time, if the hard-wired connections
In every maintenance case, at in each turbine were replaced
least two electrical or fibre-optic with approximately 150 HARTING
connections must be disconnected plug and play connectors, which
and connected by maintenance incorporate a combination of power,
personnel. These could be a data and signal, the investment
Image credit: HARTING
37 https://eit.europa.eu/sites/default/files/KIC_IE_OffshoreWind_anticipated_innovations_impact.pdf
38 Carroll, McDonald and McMillan. Failure rate, repair time and unscheduled O&M cost analysis of offshore wind turbines. Wind Energy. 2016.

GWEC.NET 119
Power-to-X and Renewable Hydrogen
Power-to-X – a stepping stone to Innovation for multiple end-uses
Power-to-X : Integration of renewable energy into end-uses
achieving global energy transition
Power-to-X refers to the conversion of
Electrification, efficiency and surplus renewable energy into liquid Electricity
renewable energy all play a central or gaseous chemical energy sources
part in reducing emissions across through electrolysis and further By-product Biomass- Imported Re-electrifiction Aviation
A
Aviation
based hydrogen (Power-to-Power)
(Powe
w r-to
t -Pow
ower)
all sectors in IEA’s Net Zero 2050 synthesis processes. Power-to-X is hydrogen
POWER BUILDINGS
roadmap. However, those hard- a promising and innovative storage
to-abate sectors where direct solution for wind that minimises Heavy
v -duty
t
Heavy-duty

electrification is challenging still waste and maximises efficiency by


require a massive scale up of the deploying stored power for myriad Renew
Renewable
ewable CO 2 (CC) TRANSPORT
Fuel-cell
required technologies like hydrogen uses. Stored electricity can be Electricity
t
Electolyser electric
v
ve
to achieve the energy transition. electrolysed into hydrogen to be
As the world races against time used as feedstock to produce bulk INDUSTRY

to fight climate change, hydrogen chemicals like methanol or ammonia Storage Methanation Blending Fuel-cell
(salt caverns,
trains
tra
r ins
has become one of key pillars of for industrial processes (Power-to-Gas storage tanks)

decarbonisation of the global energy or Power-to-Chemicals) or combined Gas grid High-grad


r e
High-grade Industry
r
heato ffeedsto
t ck
feedstock
system. Continued advancements with captured CO2 to make carbon- Grid (>650 C)
Shipping
in Power-to-X technology and neutral liquid fuels such as gasoline,
falling renewable energy costs, diesel and aviation fuels (Power-to- Source: IRENA, 2018d.
along with government ambition to Liquid Fuels). Stored green power can
integrate hydrogen into their long- generate heat through heat pumps emissions worldwide, and this share
term climate strategies, suggest or electric boilers for houses and is declining due to the expansion
that the unprecedented momentum factories (Power-to-Heat), or contained of renewable generation; transport
around the world could not only in underground formations such as salt and industry make up nearly half
accelerate global decarbonisation, domes and fed back to the grid when of remaining global emissions, with
but also could constitute an emerging needed (Power-to-Power). buildings comprising around 10%.
economically viable business model Each sector and end-use requires
to unlock the benefits of a Power-to-X According to the IEA, the power targeted solutions. Energy carriers and
economy. sector accounts for nearly 40% of CO2 chemical products provide significant

120 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


versatility in renewable energy sourced from an adjacent renewable depends on which energy sources
storage, transport and subsequent asset or on the grid. will be coupled with. Of all the
conversion to end-use products. The renewable electricity options, wind
sector-coupling approach of Power- Expansion and investment of enabling has the highest potential to produce
to-X is a critical response to the infrastructure for hydrogen must sustainable hydrogen because of its
“hard-to-electrify” sectors, such as emphasise green production – this is economic competitiveness. According
heavy trucks, shipping, aviation, steel not only an imperative to meet carbon to BNEF 1H LCOE Update, the LCOE
and cement production and chemicals neutrality goals, but also reflects the of offshore and onshore wind fell by
manufacturing. economics of declining costs for 68% and 57% between 2012 and
renewable power and electrolysers. 2021 respectively. The Future Cost of
Hydrogen production must be green  Driven by R&D and economies of Onshore and Offshore survey results
scale in manufacturing facilities, cost released by NREL and Berkeley LAB
While much has been made of reduction and learning rates could in April show the LCOE can drop by
hydrogen’s applications, the key is make electrolysers 40% cheaper and another 49% for fixed bottom offshore
production: Hydrogen is a clean- green hydrogen cost competitive as and 40% for floating wind by 2050. 
burning gas which emits only soon as 2030, according to IRENA.
water at the point of combustion. IEA’s Net Zero 2050 roadmap also As the best wind resources are out
The emissions challenge is related suggests hydrogen production by at sea, Power-to-X complements
to production: Conversion of fossil 2050 will be almost entirely based on offshore wind perfectly. It aids the
fuels with heat or steam is currently low-carbon technologies and green integration of more offshore wind by
the primary method of production, hydrogen (or water electrolysis) avoiding curtailment or constraint
but this process emits CO2 and accounting for two third of global due to the lack of transmission
creates so-called “grey hydrogen”. production. By 2050, electrolysis will capacity and decouples renewables
Most hydrogen production today is absorb close to 15,000 terawatt-hours power generation from demand.
“grey”, based on methane and coal, (TWh) electricity, or 20% of global The hybrid solution brings about
and emits 830 million tonnes of CO2 electricity supply, of which 95% is increasing flexibility of the power
annually, according to Carbon Brief. from renewable resources. grid, greater energy security and
lower price volatility. At present, there
“Blue hydrogen” pairs this process Offshore wind-to-hydrogen: a flexible are primarily two types of explored
with carbon capture and storage and economical option offshore wind-to-hydrogen solutions.
(CCS) technologies which are
currently capital-intensive. “Green With electrolysers just in their infancy In the first offshore wind-to-hydrogen
hydrogen” is produced via and still expensive, the potential for solution, surplus offshore wind energy
electrolysis, fed by green power hydrogen cost reductions not only that would otherwise be curtailed - or
replies on the electrolysers, but also purpose-built offshore wind capacity

GWEC.NET 121
for hydrogen generation - will Projects that use hydrogen as the
Offshore wind to hydrogen solution 1(a)
power electrolysers that split water feedstock normally pursue this option.     
molecules into hydrogen and oxygen.
Green hydrogen is then compressed Another innovative offshore wind-
and stored in a tank system, waiting to to-hydrogen solution aims at using 1. Water Purification 2. Electrolyses 3. Compression 4. Storage

be offloaded when energy is needed.  excess offshore wind energy to power


O2 H2
electrolysers located on oil and gas H2

With an offshore hydrogenation platforms to produce green hydrogen Green Hydrogen Facility

platform available, liquid hydrogen from seawater. The green hydrogen


Offshore wind farm
(LH2) can be converted to synthetic is blended into the gas export line
natural gas (SNG), better known as and transported to land via existing
H20
methane, before being shipped to gas infrastructure (see Illustration 2).
end-users for multiple purposes. This solution is already widely used Offshore wind to hydrogen solution 1(b)
In the concept of Energy Island in by industrial gas producers to supply
Denmark, the artificial island, VindØ, chemical and refining industries. It is
in the North Sea, is actually also expected that up to 20% of hydrogen
serving as the offshore hydrogenation by volume can be mixed into existing 1. Electrolytes 2. Compression 3. Storage

platform (see Illustration 1(a)).  gas pipeline flows. While blending O2 H2

green hydrogen into existing natural H2

As shipping is a relatively expensive gas pipelines cannot achieve 100% Green Hydrogen Facility
form of transportation, electrolysers decarbonisation, it can still be a Offshore wind farm Onshore
can also be deployed in coastal areas contributing solution in the short term
connected by HV subsea cables to as the existing natural gas supply will Hydrogen pipeline
substations to transport the green continue to be used to balance power
hydrogen directly with on-land systems in the immediate future and Offshore wind to hydrogen solution 2
hydrogen pipelines or by truck after blending green hydrogen helps to
compression (see Illustration1(b)). partially decarbonise this flow. The
The 10 GW NortH2 green PosHYdon green hydrogen project
hydrogen project currently under located in the Dutch North Sea and
1. Water Purification 2. Electrolyses

development by Shell consortium the H-Wind project planned by


O2 H2
H2
including the Groningen Seaports investors in Ireland are examples for Oil & Gas Platform
in the Netherlands is a perfect this option. 
representative for this solution. Offshore wind farm

H20 Natural gas pipeline

122 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Selected Offshore Power-to-X projects under development

Project  Location Developers Commissioning Status as of H1 2021


and Capacity
NortH2 Eemshaven, northern Shell, Equinor, RWE, Gasunie, 10 GW by 2040 Fully powered by offshore wind, feasibility study to be
Netherlands Groningen Seaports (1 GW by 2027, 4 completed by mid-2021.
GW by 2030)
AquaVentus  Heligoland, Germany A consortium of 27 companies and 2035 (30 MW by Early stage, first sub-project by 2025
research institutions, such as RWE, 2025, 5 GW by Note: AquaVentus comprises numerous sub-projects along
Shell, Equnior, Ørsted, Siemens 2030) the value chain from the production of hydrogen in the
Gamesa, Vestas, DNV, Hitachi ABB, North Sea to transport to customers on the mainland, such
Van Oord and more as AquaPrimus, AquaSector (300 MW electrolyser by
2028), AquaDuctus, AquaPortus etc.
PosHYdon Q13a platform, off the A consortium including Eneco, 1 MW (2021) Construction work kicked off in July and production
coast of Scheveningen, Neptune Energy, DEME, EBN B.V. and 100 MW designed expected for the 1 MW electrolyser pilot phase in late
Netherlands TAQA Offshore B.V. hydrogen capacity 2021.
H2RES Demo  Copenhagen, Ørsted and GHS 2 MW (late 2021) Construction already started in May 2021.
Denmark
Greater Copenhagen  Copenhagen, Ørsted, HOFOR, Maersk, DSV 1.3 GW by 2030 Feasibility study under way for this full offshore wind to
Denmark Panalpina, DFDS, SAS, COWI, BCG (10 MW pilot as hydrogen project, with a view to a final investment decision
and others soon as 2023, 250 in 2021.
MW by 2027)
OYSTER Europe A consortium of Ørsted, Siemens 2021-2024 Investigating feasibility of offshore wind and ‘fully
Gamesa, ITM Power and Element marinised’ electrolysers in a shoreside pilot trial.
Energy
‘Deep Purple’ Seabed Norway A consortium led by TechnipFMC along 2021-2023 Construction will commence in late 2021.
Hydrogen Storage Pilot with Vattenfall, ABB, DNV GL and
more
HYPORT® Oostende Belgium  DEME, Oostende Port, and PMV 2025  A 50 MW demonstration project is scheduled. By 2022, the
roll-out of a large-scale shore-based power project, running
on green hydrogen, will start.
Tweede Maasvlakte Port of Rotterdam, Shell consortium  2023 (200 MW) To serve as a steppingstone for the NortH2-project.
project Netherlands

GWEC.NET 123
Project  Location Developers Commissioning Status as of H1 2021
and Capacity
Hyoffwind Zeebrugge, Belgium  A consortium comprising the Belgian 25 MW (first Plan to obtain the necessary permits by mid-2021.
offshore wind developer Parkwind, production from
Fluxys, and Eoly 2023)
Westküste 100 Germany A consortium includes Ørsted, EDF 700 MW           Already secure EUR 30 million funding in 2020. 
Germany, Holcim Germany, OGE, and (Phase one at 30
others MW) 
Lingen Refinery project Germany Ørsted and bp 50 MW (2024) Jointly agreement signed in November 2020.
500 MW (long term
plan)
Sluiskil Green Zeeland, Netherlands Ørsted and fertilizer producer Yara  100 MW by A final investment decision to build the new plant could be
Ammonia project 2024/2025  taken late 2021 or early 2022.
SeaH2Land Netherlands Ørsted 1 GW by 2030 The development plan was announced in March 2021
VindØ  Denmark A consortium of PensionDanmark and 2030 Artificial island with initial 3 GW of offshore wind capacity;
PFA, utility company Andel and CIP plan to connect 10 GW offshore wind and host energy
storage and Power-to-X facilities on this North Sea energy
island.
Ulsan floating offshore Ulsan, South Korea Ten major South Korean companies, 100 MW (pilot Development plan announced in May 2021.
wind-hydrogen project municipalities, and organisations plant 2025), 1.2
including Hyundai GW (2030)
Ishikari offshore wind- Northern island of A consortium comprising of Hokkaido 550 tonnes Development plan announced in July 2021
hydrogen project Hokkaido, Japan Electric Power, Green Power hydrogen per year
Investment, Nippon Steel Engineering, (2024) 
and industrial gas provider Air Water
Source: company news, GWEC Market Intelligence, July 2021

124 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Case study: Green Fuels for Denmark

Denmark was one of the first electrolyser coupled with offshore In May 2021, Ørsted and HOFOR by HOFOR in the Oresund Strait.
countries to set out a legally binding wind, CO2 capture and chemical (Greater Copenhagen Utility) entered The offshore wind farm’s substation
target of carbon neutrality by 2050. synthesis to produce sustainable into an agreement to secure green will be placed at the premises of
To achieve the net zero target, the renewable e-methanol for maritime power for part of the GFDK project. Avedøre Power Station, which is
Danish government and industries transport and renewable e-kerosene As agreed, Ørsted will offtake the owned and operated by Ørsted
have started exploring Power- for aviation.  green power produced at the 250 and where the GFDK project will
to-X technologies with the goal of MW Aflandshage offshore wind be located. The power from the
generating green fuels that can Phase 3 (2027-2030+): Further project, which is planned to be built Aflandshage wind farm is expected
decarbonise sectors where direct scale-up to reach a combined
electrification is challenging, such as electrolyser capacity of 1.3
heavy transport, aviation and maritime.  GW, corresponding to 30% The view of Avedøre Power Station
of Copenhagen Airport’s fuel
The Green Fuels for Denmark consumption, a large proportion of
(GFDK) project is a good example truck and bus operations in Greater
and presents Denmark’s ambitious Copenhagen and a full-sized
vision for using the large-scale container vessel.
production of sustainable fuels to
support its energy transition. The The first partnership for this project
project, located in Copenhagen, will was formed in May 2020 and it
be built in three phases, each phase consists of leading companies
with approximately 10 MW, 250 MW, across the value chain, including
and 1,300 MW in total electrolysis Copenhagen Airports, SAS (aviation),
capacity, respectively.  A.P. Moller–Maersk, DFDS, Molslinjen
(shipping/ferry), DSV Panalpina
Phase 1 (2021-2023): Establishing a (heavy-duty transport), Everfuel, NEL,
single electrolyser module of 10 MW Haldor Topsoe, COWI (Power-to-X
producing renewable hydrogen for technology and solutions), Ørsted
use in fuel cell buses and trucks in (renewable energy developer) and
Denmark.  the Municipality of Copenhagen
(Denmark’s Capital Region). 
Phase 2 (2023-2027): Scale-up and
commercial operation of a 250 MW
Photo credit: Ørsted

GWEC.NET 125
to meet the power demand for GFDK
project’s first phase and enable parts of
green fuels production for the project’s
second phase. According to Ørsted, it
will continue to pursue opportunities
to secure green power from additional
sources for GFDK project towards the
commissioning of the planned Danish
energy island in Bornholm located in the
Baltic Sea, which is one of energy islands
approved by the Danish government in
2020.

Although the project will be located in


Copenhagen, it should be viewed in a
larger regional context since several
Northern European regions (Oslo,
Gothenburg, Malmö, Copenhagen and
Hamburg) are cooperating on solutions to
facilitate a green transformation through
renewable hydrogen. According to the
consortium, the project may consider
onboarding infrastructure companies
(such as electricity and gas TSOs) to
support distribution of produced e-fuels
in the long run.

The GFDK project has the potential


to establish new solutions to global
challenges in relation to energy, climate
and transport and could become a
leading example of how offshore wind
technology can be combined with
Power-to-X solutions to deliver on the vast
European ambitions for sustainable fuels. 

126 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


CONCLUSION

GWEC.NET 127
Offshore wind: Charting the way to installed globally, across China (3
net zero GW), the Netherlands (nearly 1.5 Key takeaways
GW), Belgium (700 MW) and other
Last year’s Global Offshore Wind • 2020 was the second-best record year of growth after 2019, with 6.1 GW
European countries. 2020 also saw
Report 2020 reflected on a decade of capacity added and cumulative global installations of 35.3 GW.
more offshore turbines spinning
of dramatic progress in the offshore in South Korea and the US, as well • Offshore wind now accounts for 5% of total global wind capacity, as of the
wind sector across technology as more than 16 MW of floating end of 2020.
innovation, cost reduction and offshore wind capacity that was grid- • Europe remains the largest offshore wind region by cumulative capacity.
expanding installations in Europe and connected in Portugal.
Mainland China. This year’s edition • The sector is taking off in Asia where more than 10 GW is installed, and
Looking ahead to 2030, GWEC China led new installations globally in 2020 with more than 3 GW of
highlights offshore wind’s role in the
offshore wind reaching grid connection.
decades ahead, as one of the central Market Intelligence is seeing greater
planks of the world’s future energy promise in the sector compared to • More than 235 GW of new offshore wind capacity is forecast through a
system and a necessary vector in its outlook from last year. New annual 36 GW increase from last year’s Business-as-Usual outlook, bringing the
global climate change mitigation installations are expected to sail past cumulative offshore wind capacity to 270 GW by 2030.
efforts. 20 GW in 2026 and potentially reach • The volume of annual offshore wind installations is expected to pass the 20
40 GW in 2030. Over 235 GW of new GW milestone in 2025, increasing its share of global new installations from
Offshore wind ambitions are capacity is expected to be added today’s 6.5% to 20% by 2025.
emerging from nearly every region over the next 10 years, bringing total
• The forecast for floating offshore wind has majorly increased from 6.5 GW
of the world, as policymakers offshore wind capacity by the end of of new capacity by 2030 in last year’s outlook to 16.5 GW, spurred by
increasingly recognise the the decade to 270 GW. Two-thirds of ambitious government targets and major investors’ development plans.
sector’s capacity to transform these installations will occur in the
electricity systems and accelerate • Turbine technology continues to innovate, with turbine sizes set to increase
latter half of the decade.
decarbonisation beyond the power as the sector is under pressure to reach grid parity in Europe and China.
sector. Still, the roadmaps which set • Horizon-scanning for sustainability challenges will be necessary as the
out milestones to reach global carbon sector grows, where constraints can come from existing supply chain and
neutrality and sustain a 1.5°C pathway infrastructure limitations, the carbon footprint and circularity of materials,
aim for around 2,000 GW of offshore foundation design and geopolitical factors.
wind capacity by 2050 – and that • To reach the necessary volumes of growth for a net zero by 2050 scenario,
means a long way to go from the 35 policy and regulatory frameworks in new and early-stage offshore wind
GW installed as of the end of 2020. markets must reflect sector learnings in support schemes and competitive
tenders, permitting, marine spatial planning, grid integration, financing and
Last year was the second-best workforce capacity.
year for offshore wind in terms
of new installations, with 6.1 GW

128 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


In the floating offshore wind sector, continue increasing under pressure finance is creating a greater enabling
GWEC Market Intelligence has to reduce LCOE in Europe and environment for capital-intensive
majorly upgraded its forecast to China. Key Balance of Plant elements, offshore wind projects and levers such
predict that 16.5 GW is likely to be including foundations, cables as carbon border adjustment taxes
installed over the next 10 years, and substations, and installation and renewable portfolio standards are
compared with the 6.5 GW predicted services, are under pressure for disincentivising fossil fuel offtake and
in 2020 – mainly in Europe, East Asia CAPEX reduction, while fewer but generation.
and North America. By the end of the larger units will deliver savings
decade, the top floating markets are in operations and maintenance. It is certain that delivering on offshore
shaping up to be South Korea, Japan, By 2030, next-generation offshore wind’s potential in a net zero world
Norway, France and the UK – which turbine technology could carry a will require a step change in political
will in turn transform regional supply 20 MW rating with a 275m rotor will. But it will also call for greater
chains and establish new export hubs diameter, according to GWEC Market collaboration between policymakers,
for components and services. Intelligence. industrial consumers, public funders,
civil society and the industry itself to
The positive market outlook for Technology innovation and sector learn from the last decade of offshore
offshore wind to 2030 has improved growth cannot happen unchecked. wind’s journey and foster a more
under widening recognition of Offshore wind’s role in delivering sustainable, visible, ambitious and
offshore wind as a key ocean- clean energy means that the carbon shared pathway to growth ahead.
based climate solution, increased footprint of its own supply chain faces
ambition and capacity targets by scrutiny. Improving circularity of
policymakers, a sharp drop in LCOE projects, extending turbine lifecycles
which has enhanced the sector’s and investing in R&D for improved
ability to compete, and finally the materials and commercial recycling
unique role which offshore wind processes, particularly for blades, will
plays in facilitating cross-industry be necessary to achieve sustainable
decarbonisation, including the oil and growth.
gas sector’s transition to renewables,
production of green hydrogen and Evolving considerations are fostering
Power-to-X solutions. offshore wind’s expansion, from
visions of renewable hydrogen export
Turbine technology has drastically and national economy to large-scale
improved over the last two decades, job creation in the post-COVID-19
and offshore wind turbine rating context. Market mechanisms are
and rotor diameter are forecast to changing too, as international climate

GWEC.NET 129
APPENDIX

130 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Methodology and Terminology
Data definitions and adjustments Sources for the report

GWEC reports installed and fully GWEC collects installation data from
commissioned capacity additions regional or country wind associations,
and total installations. However, alternatively, from industry experts.
considering the delay of grid Historic installation data has been
connection in China, GWEC uses adjusted based on the input GWEC
installation data from the Chinese received. The 2021 Global Offshore
Wind Energy Association (CWEA) for Wind Report shows the accurate
China instead of grid-connected data. current and historic data.
New installations are gross figures
not deducting decommissioned Used terminology
capacity. Total installations are net GWEC uses terminology to the best
figures, adjusted for decommissioned knowledge. With the wind industry
capacity. transitioning certain terminology
Definition of regions is not yet fixed or can have several
connotations. GWEC is continuously
GWEC adjusted its definition of adapting and adjusting to these
regions in 2018 and maintains these developments.
in the 2021 edition of this report,
specifically for Latin America and
Europe.

Latin America: South, Central America


and Mexico

Europe: Geographic Europe


including Norway, Russia, Switzerland,
Turkey, Ukraine

GWEC.NET 131
Abbreviation
CAPEX Capital Expenditures
CfD Contracts for Difference
CPPA Corporate Power Purchase
Agreement
ECAs Export Credit Agencies
EOI Expression of Interest
FiT Feed-in Tariff
FOW Floating Offshore Wind
FOWF Floating Offshore Wind Farm
ITC Investment Tax Credits
LCOE Levelised Cost of Energy
LiDAR Light Detection and Ranging
MSP Marine Spatial Planning
MOU Memorandum of
Understanding
O&M Operations and Maintenance
OPEX Operating expenditures
PPA Power Purchase Agreement
PTC Production Tax Credit
R&D Research and Development
RfP Request for Proposal
RECs Renewable energy credits
ROI Return on Investment
SDGs Sustainable Development
Goals

132 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


About GWEC GWEC Market Intelligence Areas

Market Intelligence
GWEC Market Intelligence provides a Market Insights
Policy and Regulations Asset Owners
series of insights and data-based analysis Market statistics,
Country profiles, policy Database of asset owners
on the development of the wind industry. market outlook,
updates, offshore updates in key markets
This includes a market outlook, country auction/tender updates

the offshore market among other insights.

GWEC Market Intelligence derives it


insights from its own comprehensive
databases, local knowledge and leading Technology/ Supply Chain Energy Transition O&M
industry experts. Wind turbine data, technology Shift to value-focused, new ISP - OEM - Self Perform
trends, component assessment wind-based solutions database for key markets
The intelligence team in GWEC consists of
several strong experts with long-standing
industry experience.

GWEC Market Intelligence collaborates


with its regional and country member
wind association as well as with its
corporate members.
GWEC Market Intelligence created
How to access GWEC
a Member only area to provide more
Market Intelligence
• Corporate GWEC-Members in-depth market intelligence to
• Wind energy associations GWEC’s members and their
• Non-GWEC Members employees.

Subscription Click here to get your login


Contact Feng Zhao feng.zhao@gwec.net

GWEC.NET 133
Reports Frequency
1. Wind Energy Stats/ Market Data
Wind Stats 2020 (and historic) Annual
Global Wind Report 2021 Annual
Wind Energy Statistics (Wind energy penetration rate, jobs) Annual

2. Country Profile/ Policy Updates


Country Profiles Onshores/ Country Profiles Offshore Quarterly/Ad-hoc
Ad-hoc policy updates Ad-hoc

3. Market Outlook
Global Wind Market Outlook 2021-2025 (Q1 and Q3) Semi-Annual

4. Supply Side Data


Global Wind Turbine Supply Side Data Report (by market, technology, turbine size and numbers) Annual

5. Auction/ Tender
Auction Trends and Learnings Annual/ Quarterly
Global Auction Results (database) Quarterly

6. Offshore Wind Market


Global Offshore Wind Report Annual
Market Entry Opportunities Database Annual/ Quarterly
Global Offshore Project Pipeline (database, in operation and under construction) Annual/ Quarterly
Global Offshore Turbine Installation Vessel Database Annual/ Quarterly
Vietnam’s Future Transition To Offshore Wind Auctions Special Report

7. Components Assessment
Gearbox (2019), Blade (2020), Generator (2021), followed by other components Special Report

8. Wind Asset Owner/ Operation


Ranking of Wind Asset Owners and Operation Globally (Onshore and Offshore) Annual

9. O&M
O&M Service Provider Database (ISP - OEM - Self-perform) Annual

10. Energy Transition, Digitalisation, Hybrid, Hydrogen


Position papers/studies - Value shift, Corporate PPAs Special Report
Government support to wind and other (“true cost of coal”) Special Report
New solutions, GWEC policy recommendations Special Report

134 GWEC I Global Offshore Wind Report 2021


Leading Sponsor

Supporting Sponsors

Associate Sponsors

Contact Information

Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy David Matthew Lenti, david.lenti@siemensgamesa.com


Principle Power Amisha Patel, apatel@principlepowerinc.com
DuPont Leonardo Galhardo, leonardo.galhardo@dupont.com
Bureau Veritas Joerg Gmeinbauer, joerg.gmeinbauer@bureauveritas.com
CRU Harry Walford​, harry.walford@crugroup.com
HARTING ELECTRIC Guanghai Jin, guanghai.jin@harting.com
Iberdrola Jaime Domínguez Soto, jdot@iberdrola.es
Vaisala David Pepy, dpepy@leosphere.com

GWEC.NET 135
Global Wind Energy Council

Rue de Commerce 31,


1000, Brussels, Belgium
T. +32 490 56 81 39
info@gwec.net

@GWECGlobalWind
@Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC)
@Global Wind Energy Council

www.gwec.net

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