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GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022

GLOBAL WIND ENERGY COUNCIL


Leading Sponsor

Supporting Sponsor

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GWEC.NET
Table of Contents
Foreword 2
Executive Summary 6
Part One: Supply Chain 12
Part Two: Policy 21
Part Three: Sustainability of the Industry 28
Part Four: Technology 39
Market Status 2021 55
Markets to Watch 57
Market Outlook 2022-2031 83
Appendix 98
Global Leaders 102
Sponsors and Contacts 104

GLOBAL WIND ENERGY COUNCIL

Global Wind Energy Council Lead Authors Published


Rue de Commerce 31 Rebecca Williams, Feng Zhao, Joyce Lee 29 June 2022
1000 Brussels, Belgium
Contributors and editing by Design
info@gwec.net
Ben Backwell, Emerson Clarke, Wanliang Liang, Anjali lemonbox
www.gwec.net
Lathigara, Esther Fang, Reshmi Ladwa, Marcela Ruas, www.lemonbox.co.uk
Liming Qiao, Mark Hutchinson, Thang Vinh Bui, Maf
Smith, Nadia Weekes, Alastair Dutton, Martha Selwyn

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 1


FOREWORD

2
Foreword

Welcome to the Global first time or increasing targets in


response to the energy crisis.

Offshore Wind Report 2022 For example, the European


Commission recently released the
REPowerEU plan, aiming to achieve
Welcome to the Global Offshore believes that the only permanent independence for Europe from
Wind Report 2022 - “Offshore Wind way to solve the challenges of Russian fossil fuels well before 2030.
- the Next Horizon”. It feels like the energy security, climate change and The Esbjerg Declaration from the
world has changed substantially affordability is an accelerated North Sea nations of Denmark, the
since our 2021 edition. It also seems transition away from volatile fossil Netherlands, Belgium and Germany
evident that we are working towards fuels towards renewables. Offshore set out a new target of 150 GW of
a new horizon for offshore wind wind represents a key opportunity offshore wind by 2050. We have also Rebecca Williams
technology, where wind will play an for countries to push the energy seen the UK Government raise its Global Head of Offshore Wind,
Global Wind Energy Council
increasingly critical role in energy transition forwards at scale, creating offshore wind target by another 10
systems across the world. significant national and local jobs GW, to 50GW by 2030; and Vietnam
and economic growth and jobs, and is targeting a huge offshore wind
Countries globally are now lowering energy prices, while increase in its PDP8 (Power
grappling with the unprecedented supporting energy security. Development Plan 8).
twin challenge of ensuring secure
energy supplies and meeting I am, therefore, pleased to share with In the United States, the total
climate targets to stem the worst you that 21.1GW of offshore wind announced offshore wind
effects of global heating. 2022 so was connected to the grid last year, procurement targets at the state level
far, has seen consumers globally making 2021 the best ever year for increased by 28.6% to nearly 50 GW
bear the brunt of spiraling fuel and the offshore wind industry. 2022 is within a year. In Australia, the
power prices as well as associated likewise set to be a record-breaking Victoria State Government has set a
inflation, creating a cost of living year for offshore wind growth target of 9 GW of offshore wind by
crisis being felt in every corner of globally. 2030. Crucially governments are
the world. It has also seen record also starting to put in place the right
emissions and temperature Policymakers are now fully waking policy frameworks to achieve their
increases, and ever graver up to the opportunities that offshore goals. We have also seen the
warnings from international climate wind can provide. The last few publication of the Decree
bodies, as encapsulated in the months following COP26 have seen 10,946/2022 in Brazil which lays the
latest IPCCC report. a rapid expansion of ambition for regulatory ground for offshore wind,
offshore wind around the world. We and in Columbia, the government is
As we set out in the Global Wind have seen many governments either moving forwards towards a seabed
Report 2022 earlier this year, GWEC setting offshore wind targets for the leasing framework.

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 3


Foreword

Collectively this increase in New policy solutions will also have to


ambition is taking headline targets be adopted to ensure that the global
for offshore wind close to the 380 supply chain can meet ever
GW by 2030 which GWEC and increasing demand against a
IRENA proposed in their UN Energy backdrop of rising commodity
Compact in 2021. However, prices and shrinking margins.
policymakers and industry will now Continued offshore wind growth
need to make a gargantuan effort to cannot be achieved without a
make sure these targets are met, as buoyant supply chain able to supply
this will require around 70 GW of a growing pipeline of projects across
installations per year, compared to the world.
the current level of around 20 GW.
So far, only China has shown itself As the size of the industry increases,
capable of constructing at close to a sustainable approach to expansion
the required levels to meet its will be key. This year’s report
targets. explores the different challenges that
are being faced by the industry as it
Many countries, such as South scales up and discusses how
Korea, Vietnam, India, and Brazil, offshore wind can be deployed in
have impressive ambitions but are harmony with nature, communities
relatively new to offshore wind. and shared users of the marine
These newer markets will, environment.
therefore, need to be supported by
industry bodies such as GWEC, Offshore wind is ready to play its
experienced national governments part in mitigating climate change
and other institutions to quickly and tackling the energy crisis. Now
kick start their sectors and get is the time to redouble our efforts,
steel in the water in the right time working collaboratively with
frames to meet their targets. policymakers, communities and
Redesigning regulatory wider stakeholders, to accelerate
frameworks to more rapidly lease the transition towards a renewable
seabed and permit sites will be of future.
crucial importance if offshore wind
is to fulfill its role in replacing fossil
fuels. This year’s Global Offshore
Wind Report sets out details of how
this can be achieved.

4 GWEC.NET
Foreword

A lot has changed in the energy Pacific, the US and beyond are is the single largest threat to global
sector over the past year. The looking to offshore wind as a means biodiversity, including in the ocean,
rebound in the world economy from to diversify and decarbonise their the industry also has a
COVID-19 has led to increased energy supply. responsibility to avoid, mitigate and
demand for energy and other address potential environmental
commodities, with sharply rising 2021 was a remarkable year for impacts as offshore wind expands
prices as a consequence. Global new offshore wind capacity with a off our coasts. There are exciting
supply chains have been disrupted, record 21 GW being installed opportunities for innovation by
challenging the ability of industries globally, more than triple the integrating offshore wind at scale
to deliver on time and within budget. capacity deployed in 2020. Europe with energy islands, interconnector
The energy and supply chain crisis had another strong year, installing links and through Power-to-X.
has been further exacerbated by around 3 GW. The big change
Russia’s unwarranted invasion of happened in mainland China, where Delivering on the ambitions for Ulrik Stridbæk
Ukraine. Facing these grave nearly 17 GW was installed, offshore wind capacity deployment Vice President, Group Regulatory Affairs,
Ørsted
challenges, it has become clear that bringing its total installed capacity will require a massive expansion of
the transition away from a fossil- almost up to par with Europe. the supply chain. In Europe, supply
dependent energy system must be Meanwhile, the industry is seeing chain capacity will need to more
accelerated. new build-out targets announced than triple towards 2030, and other
that would be almost unfathomable regions will have to build up supply
Today, the offshore wind industry just a few years ago. These targets chains almost from scratch. A main
finds itself at a new inflection point. hold promise that the record challenge will be to attract the
After a decade of industrialisation installations seen in 2021 will not be necessary investments while
and cost reductions, offshore wind a one-off event. ensuring a healthy and economically
has become a well-established and sound supply chain industry. At the
mature industry. Despite recent The offshore wind industry, same time, the industry needs to
cost inflation, offshore wind is however, cannot rest on its laurels continue to demonstrate the
firmly cost-competitive with and must continue to evolve and sustainability of offshore wind,
fossil-powered alternatives, and innovate. The carbon footprint of including to local communities and
even more so in light of the current the industry needs to be minimised biodiversity.
high price environment for fossil through the decarbonisation of
fuels. supply chains, including the steel Ørsted appreciates the good
that goes into producing wind working relationships in the sector,
There is no longer any doubt that turbines and towers. Offshore wind not least as expressed by GWEC.
large-scale offshore wind will be an needs to be built in balance with We look forward to continuing to
important part of the future nature, carefully managing its work with these important agendas
decarbonised electricity system. impact on the environment and in 2022 and beyond, including at
Governments in Europe, the Asia- biodiversity. While climate change COP27 in Egypt.

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 5


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

6
Executive Summary

The Data: 2021 - The best year in China and 3.6 MW in Norway. As
of 2021, a total of 121.4 MW of
floating wind is installed globally, of
for the offshore wind industry which 110.9 MW (91.4%) is in
Europe and the remaining 10.5 MW
(8.6%) in Asia.
Market status In addition to the new capacity from
2021 saw 21.1 GW offshore wind Asia, Europe is the only region which Market Outlook
reach grid connection worldwide, reported new offshore wind Political commitment to net zero
three times more than in 2020, installations last year. The UK had a gathered global momentum at
setting a new record in the offshore record year in 2021 with more than COP26 in Glasgow. Offshore wind
wind industry. The 21.1 GW of new 2.3 GW reaching grid connection; power is poised to play a vital role
installations brings global cumulative however, it lost its title as the world’s on achieving carbon neutrality. Feng Zhao
offshore wind power capacity to 56 largest offshore wind market in total Coupled with renewed policy Head of Strategy and
Market Intelligence,
GW, showing year-over-year (YoY) installations to China. Coming in urgency for achieving energy Global Wind Energy Council
growth of 58% and representing 7% second for new installations in independence from Russian oil and
of total global cumulative wind Europe is Denmark with 605MW gas, and volatility in fossil fuel
installations. commissioned last year, followed by markets in general, the global
Netherlands (392 MW) and Norway offshore wind market outlook in the
Of the 21.1 GW in new offshore (3.6MW). medium and long-term looks
installations, 80% was contributed by extremely promising.
China. This makes 2021 the fourth In total installations, Europe remains
year that China has led the world in the largest offshore wind regional With an expected compound
new offshore wind installations. This market as of the end of 2021. The average annual growth rate (CAGR)
astounding growth in China was region was responsible for 50.4% of of 6.3% until 2026 and 13.9% up to
chiefly driven by the FiT cut-off for total cumulative global offshore wind the beginning of next decade, new
offshore wind starting from 1 January installations, followed by Asia with annual installations are expected to
2022. A similar situation also 49.5% market share. Outside Europe sail past the milestones of 30 GW in
occurred in Vietnam, which and Asia, North America has 42 MW 2027 and 50 GW in 2030.
commissioned 779 MW of intertidal offshore wind in operation as of the
(nearshore) projects last year, end of last year, contributing only GWEC Market Intelligence expects
making it the third-largest market in 0.1% of total offshore wind that over 315 GW of new offshore
new installations in 2021. Taiwan only installations. wind capacity will be added over the
commissioned the 109 MW next decade (2022-2031), bringing
Changhua demonstration project in Last year also saw 57 MW of new total global offshore wind capacity to
2021, due to COVID-19-related floating wind installed worldwide, of 370 GW by the end of 2031. Of this
disruptions. which 48 MW was in the UK, 5.5 MW new volume, 29% will be connected

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 7


Executive Summary

in the first half of the decade (2022- based on the existing global
2026). This still falls short of the 380 offshore project pipeline, but our
GW offshore wind installation target medium-term outlook (2027-2031)
by 2030 set by GWEC and IRENA in reflects current declared national
its UN Energy Compact in 2021. and regional targets. Given the
energy system reform packages
As the volume of annual offshore still underway in Europe and other
wind installations is expected to regions in response to Russia’s

Offshore’s share of new global wind installations is set


to grow from 23% in 2021 to at least 30% by 2031.

more than double from 21.1 GW in invasion of Ukraine and fossil fuel
2021 to 54.9 GW in 2031, offshore’s price volatility, it is highly likely
share of new global wind that these targets will increase
installations is set to grow from 23% further and GWEC Market
in 2021 to at least 30% by 2031. Intelligence’s 10-year forecast
could be significantly revised
Considering the increased floating upward this year.
wind target in the UK and the
accelerated floating project On the other hand, there is currently
development activities in Europe, an implementation gap between
Asia and North America, which declared targets and the rate of
bring the current global floating annual installations. Enabling an
project pipeline to 120 GW, GWEC acceleration in offshore wind
Market Intelligence has upgraded its energy deployment requires
global floating wind forecast and measures to accelerate permitting
predicts that 18.9 GW is likely to be procedures for wind projects in the
built globally by 2030, of which 11 near-term, policies to initiate
GW will be in Europe, 5.5 GW in structural policy framework
Asia and the rest in North America. changes in the mid-term and
commitments that can justify early
It is important to emphasise that and sustained investment in supply
our near-term outlook is primarily chain and infrastructure.

8 GWEC.NET
Executive Summary

The Story: The next horizon


2021 was a record year for the markets now emerging as serious
offshore wind industry. With 21.1 GW contenders; the US, Vietnam, Brazil
connected, we saw more installations and Australia are poised to
than ever before, and cumulative accelerate offshore wind rapidly in
installations reached 56 GW, the coming years.
contributing 7% of total global wind
power installations. However, there is a growing gap
between installations and targets. To
Countries around the world are now meet net zero globally, according to
focussing on offshore wind, as the IEA, the world needs to install 80
policymakers recognise the sector’s GW of offshore wind annually by
capacity to transform energy 2030 and then 70 GW by 2050.
systems, displace fossil fuels and
provide jobs and economic growth.
Since COP26, we have seen a “race Global governments
to the top” from governments in
terms of setting offshore wind targets.
urgently need to put in
On targets alone, the world is edging place the policy and
closer to the levels of offshore wind
set out in the GWEC-IRENA UN regulatory frameworks
Energy Compact, in alignment with a to deliver against
net zero pathway: 380 GW by 2030
and 2,000 GW by 2050. their promises.
Our market outlook shows that by
2031 cumulative global installations Global governments urgently need
will reach 370 GW. Looking into the to put in place the policy and
coming decade, Asia will replace regulatory frameworks to deliver
Europe as the world’s largest against their promises.
regional offshore wind market by
cumulative installations by the end of This year’s report outlines the
2022, although Europe is expected significant challenges that industry
to recapture this title from 2031. We governments and other stakeholders
also see many new offshore wind face in the rapid scale-up of offshore

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 9


Executive Summary

wind. In Part One, we focus on the


global offshore wind supply chain.
The report asks whether the global
offshore wind supply chain will be
able to scale up to meet rapidly
growing global demand. The chapter
also delves into the significant issues
arising from increasing commodity
prices, shrinking margins and
growing geopolitical considerations
in the sector.

At present, the limited


release of seabed is
causing the market to
overheat.

In Part Two, we focus on the policy


actions that governments need to
enact for a rapid increase in offshore
wind. The report sets out the role of
efficient leasing processes, and
argues that the amount of seabed
being leased needs to increase in
alignment with greater offshore wind
ambitions and targets. At present, as
the limited release of seabed is
causing the market to overheat,
GWEC is calling on governments to
increase and speed up the release of
seabed leasing over the next decade
to meet climate goals, and create a
more sustainable pipeline for the

10 GWEC.NET
Executive Summary

industry. The chapter also explores


global permitting regimes, and
outlines a range of best practice
measures that would rapidly lower
global permitting times.

In Part Three we look at industry


sustainability across the value chain,
examining the future challenges the
industry will face with regard to
critical minerals and the
decarbonised supply chain. The
chapter focuses particularly on the
need for offshore wind to be
deployed in harmony with nature,
and highlights the role that marine
spatial planning can play in balancing
the interests of different marine users.

Part Four looks at new technology


development in the industry,
including offshore wind turbine
technology innovation and trends of
turbine drivetrain. We set out
developments in green hydrogen and
power-to-X, and highlight our recent
report on the role of floating wind.

Our ever-popular “Markets to


Watch” section takes a deep dive
into emerging and maturing offshore
wind markets. In “Exploring New
Markets” we focus on four new
offshore wind markets that are set to
quickly rise through the ranks. Our
detailed market outlook can be
found at the end of the report.

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 11


PART ONE: SUPPLY CHAIN

Chapter Sponsor

12
Part One: Supply Chain

The graphic below sets out the split more diverse. The supply chain for
Securing the supply chain in value for an offshore wind farm,
highlighting that almost two-thirds of
critical components such as cabling
and foundations is dominated by
the value from offshore wind comes European suppliers, but there is also
GWEC Market Intelligence’s Global Based on GWEC Market from non-turbine elements. That deep experience in Asia and the
Wind Supply Side Data 2021 report Intelligence’s the latest offshore wind includes 40% of value from other Middle East. Installation capability is
shows that 10 wind turbine market outlook (see page 84), we capital elements such as focused in countries such as Norway,
manufacturers installed 3,340 units of believe that China has the capacity substructure and foundations, the Netherlands, Belgium and
offshore wind turbines in 2021, to deliver the expected demand in electrical infrastructure, and Denmark, but there is also growth in
making it a record year in offshore this decade. In Europe, no assembly and installation. expertise in other European
wind turbine delivery. Of the 10 bottlenecks are expected for countries as well as South East Asia.
suppliers, seven are based in China, offshore wind turbine supply in the For Chinese projects, this supply
two in Europe and one in Japan. near-term. However, expansion and chain is also based almost entirely As we see ongoing growth in
Thanks to an astounding level of new investment may be required in within China, mirroring the situation important markets like Southeast
offshore wind growth in China driven preparation for strong growth from with OEM supply. However, for the Asia and the US, we are also seeing
by the feed-in tariff cut-off, Chinese 2025 onward. As the offshore market rest of the world, the supply chain is growth in supply chains, through a
suppliers dominated the offshore continues to globalise and moves
wind rankings last year with Siemens into new markets away from Europe Global offshore wind turbine manufacturing capacity, 2021
Gamesa and Vestas dropping out of and China, it is becoming
the top three for the very first time. increasingly imperative for top tier Japan 1.1%
However, the global offshore wind supply chain providers to invest in
market excluding China has been emerging markets ready to supply South Korea 2.6%
dominated by Siemens Gamesa, growing demand. Taiwan 3.8%
Vestas and most recently GE
Renewable Energy, and until 2021, Compared with onshore wind, the
no Chinese offshore wind turbines global supply chain which sits
had been installed outside China. behind offshore wind is more
diverse. It includes not just the OEMs Europe 32.1% China 60.4%
26.5GW
Globally, 16 wind turbine suppliers and key component suppliers of
are still active in the offshore sector, nacelles, blades, generators and
of which 10 OEMs are based in converters, gearboxes, bearings and
China. This makes China the world’s control equipment, but also suppliers
largest offshore turbine of cabling, foundations and
manufacturing base, followed by substations, as well as suppliers to
Europe (including Denmark, engineering, procurement and
Germany, France and the UK), construction (EPCs) and other Note: Wind turbine manufacturing capacity refers to wind turbine nacelle assembly capability and does not represent
Taiwan, South Korea and Japan. installation contractors. actual nacelle production in 2021 Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, June 2022

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 13


Part One: Supply Chain

combination of inward investment, supply chain, not just OEMs. CAPEX for typical fixed-bottom offshore wind farm, 2020
partnerships and diversification of Foundations, towers, cables and
domestic players. installation vessel suppliers are all Insurance During Construction 0.9%
working hard to keep up this rapid Construction Finance 3.9%
Headwinds facing current wind growth, while also looking at the
Contingency 9.3%
supply chain rapidly emerging floating offshore
Continued growth of offshore wind wind sector and its own growth Decommissioning 3%
requires a healthy supply chain able needs. Turbine 34.7%
Plant
to meet the demands of a growing Commissioning 0.9%
pipeline of projects, as well as supply Over the last few years, revenue Lease Price 4.5% Soft Costs
17.9%
into new markets across the world. pressure, pandemic-related Turbine 34.7%

Yet the offshore wind sector’s supply challenges in logistics and workforce
chain remains under pressure from availability, the ongoing US-China Balance of System
47.5%
rising commodity prices and trade conflict and a rise in prices for
shrinking margins, which is raw materials and commodities have
Assembly Development 2.3%
undermining the offshore wind impacted costs and profitability and installation 10.4%
industry’s ability to grow enough to across the offshore wind supply
meet rising global demand and chain. As the recent re-imposition of Electrical Infrastructure 17.6%
address the challenge of restrictions in China has also shown,
decarbonisation. the potential for delays and supply Substructure and Foundation 12.6%
chain bottlenecks due to new and
Source: 2020 Cost of Wind Energy Review, Tyler Stehly and Patrick Duffy, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 2021.
These pressures have been created ongoing lockdowns also remains a Note: The reference project represents a typical 600 MW fixed-bottom offshore wind project comprising 75 wind turbines
by a successful period of growth, concern. at 8.0 MW each, operating for 25 years with no major O&M events.

where the offshore wind sector has


rapidly brought down costs while The global wind supply chain market, with fewer OEMs active as remuneration mechanisms for
demonstrating the ability of offshore responded to cost pressures as the across the supply chain.2 stable cost reductions, will be
wind to deliver at scale. Turbine market grew and as auctions worked increasingly important for mitigating
sizes continue to increase rapidly: to bring cost down in two ways. First Despite this, the sector remains supply chain risks.
rotor diameters have increased by through innovation and working to exposed to headwinds, from
nearly 50% to 163m by 2020, while change the cost base of projects with competition for critical minerals to Investing ahead, scaling up and
turbine sizes have ballooned by a particular emphasis on the use of local content requirements to moving into new markets
138% to an average 8 MW over the larger turbines. Second, with the unexpected geopolitical events. The In the wider supply chain, there is a
last decade.1 exception of the Chinese market need for long-term and adequately need to build confidence so that
where a number of OEMs have ambitious policy frameworks, as well investment continues to support the
The growth in size and capacity has recently moved into offshore wind,
been a story of successful innovation there has been ongoing 1. Renewable technology innovation indicators: Mapping progress in costs, patents and standards, IRENA, 2022
and investment across the whole consolidation in the rest of the global 2. GWEC (2022) Global Wind Market Development – Supply Side Data 2021

14 GWEC.NET
Part One: Supply Chain

next generation of projects built over which concepts or fabricators Component-level LCOE breakdown for typical fixed-bottom offshore wind farm operating
using larger turbines. Installers need they need to be working with. for 25 years, 2020
to invest in new vessels and
equipment to successfully install Not only does the industry need to 77
80
these bigger machines, while invest to maintain growth in mature
infrastructure like ports must also markets like Europe and China, it is Operation and Maintenance

LCOE ($/MWh)
invest to accommodate these larger also seeing a rapid scale-up in the 60
turbines and the anticipated growth US and the rest of Southeast Asia, as Soft Costs
in project volume.3 well as emerging demand in South 40
America and the Pacific. This
This is true even in mature fixed- globalisation of offshore wind will Balance of System
20
bottom markets. In floating offshore test logistics and supply chains that
wind markets, there will be new are already under pressure. There Turbine

challenges: port requirements are will need to be investment in new 0


significantly different, with floating manufacturing and installation

Dvelopment

Substructure and Foundation

Site Access, Staging and Port

Electrical Infrastructure

Assembly and Installation

Lease Price

Insurance During Contraction

Decommissioning Band

Construction Financing

Contingency

Plant Commissioning

Operation

Maintenance

LCOE
Turbine

Engineering Managment
platforms needing additional space capacity in emerging offshore
for fabrication and storage, as well as markets, in part to meet local content
new anchor and mooring fabrication requirements, but also to ensure
and marshalling requirements. These sufficient sector capacity. Most
additional capacity demands will be obviously, the US market is
on top of growing demand for larger continuing to grow with a multi-GW
sites needed for manufacture of pipeline in place across the length of
larger components. In addition, both the Eastern Seaboard, as well as an
fixed-bottom and floating sites emerging pipeline on the west coast. Source: 2020 Cost of Wind Energy Review, Tyler Stehly and Patrick Duffy, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 2021. Note: The reference
project represents a typical 200 MW onshore wind plant in the interior US, comprising 73 wind turbines at 2.8 MW each, operating for 25 years
require space for project staging and Market scale, activist state with no major O&M events.
assembly. legislatures and supply chain laws
will lead to new investments both in
The floating offshore wind market is turbine manufacture and associated growth due to the challenge of other suppliers as these markets
still maturing, however, it has industries. offshore wind developers finding grow.
multiple players and concepts sufficient local capability. In other
approaching a high state of In growing markets like South Korea, markets the presence of existing However, in all of these new markets,
technology readiness. This creates a Japan, Taiwan and Vietnam there are manufacturing conglomerates investment in new manufacturing
challenge for ports in floating differing expectations on local means there are potential partners facilities will be difficult to justify if
offshore wind markets that are content. Most challenging for the looking to work with OEMs and project economics remain
looking to prepare for a growing offshore wind industry has been
volume of floating offshore wind local content provisions in place in 3. See for example this reaction from leading port Esbjerg to the signing of the May Esbjerg declaration raising offshore
wind ambitions in Europe. https://portesbjerg.dk/en/about/news/six-billion-danish-kroner-secure-ambitious-eu-offshore-
activity, but do not yet have clarity Taiwan, which have slowed market wind-targets

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 15


Part One: Supply Chain

challenging. It will be hard for impacted because of the invasion of


Materials breakdown for offshore wind farm
mature market players to justify Ukraine. The offshore wind industry
inward investment decisions based also depends on copper for cabling
on low prices, but equally hard for and electrics, yet is having to 4% Steel
5%
indigenous companies to move into manage price increases of 60%. Electronic scrap
new markets, if economics remain Prices for neodymium and
GFRP
challenging in comparison to dysprosium, the two key rare earth
markets like oil and gas. The risk is elements (REEs) for direct drive and
Copper
221
either that projects are stalled due to hybrid drive wind turbines, have CFRP
t/MW
delays in manufacturing capacity, or tripled in price over the same Rare earth
that local content aspirations cannot period. Aluminium
be delivered upon. Lead
A particular challenge for offshore 90%
Concrete
Industry is increasingly concerned wind is the long-term nature of
that wider commodity and other cost project planning and delivery.
pressures will undermine efforts to Turbine prices for projects are
Source: BloombergNEF. Note: GFRP = Glass fiber reinforced plastic. CFRP - Carbon fiber reinforced plastic.
accelerate offshore wind delivery. negotiated years in advance of
Suppressed demand coming out of manufacturing and delivery,
the global pandemic has created meaning that prices are already contract rates rose after the Suez these challenges are the result of a
global supply chain pressures across locked in, leaving OEMs exposed to Canal crisis in March 2021.4 commodity super-cycle, or just a
the global economy, including price volatility and logistics risks short-term blip as the world adjusts
offshore wind. Growing demand outside of their control. As a result, turbine prices for future to new business realities post
across the economy for materials projects are forecast to rise by 9% in pandemic. What is clear, however, is
like copper, steel and rare earth On top of commodity price risks, the second half of 2021, according to that offshore wind as a sector needs
elements (REEs), coupled with logistics bottlenecks and freight cost the BloombergNEF turbine pricing to grow rapidly, both to support the
supply chain bottlenecks means that increases are also impacting the index. This increase will make it even delivery of global climate ambitions,
demand is outstripping supply, global offshore wind supply chain. more challenging for wind energy to as well as aid action on global energy
leading to long-term sustained price Bottlenecks have caused delivery continue to compete for razor-thin security. As this report sets out,
increases. timescales of some key components margins in tenders and procurement offshore wind needs to accelerate its
to increase from five weeks to as schemes around the world, as well growth to play its part in keeping the
Looking at a materials breakdown many as 50 weeks, while freight as impact on the industry’s ability to world on a trajectory to net zero. But
for offshore wind farms, 90% of costs have also risen: By the middle invest in supply chain growth and these growth ambitions risk being
offshore wind, in tonnes per MW is of last year, spot rates for a 40-foot innovation. held back due to supply chain lead
steel. But over the last two years, ocean freight container from Asia to times and price volatility.
steel prices have increased by 50% the US reached a record-high – 10 While these headwinds are now well
4. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-15/
from the start of 2020 to the end of times higher than rates just a few understood within the sector, there container-rates-to-u-s-top-10-000-as-shipping-crunch-
2021, and are being further years ago, particularly as freight are differing views over whether tightens

16 GWEC.NET
Part One: Supply Chain

These pressures impact not just On top of this, the sector is now
OEMs but the whole supply chain. beginning to plan out and deliver a Share of top three producing countries in total processing of selected minerals
The complexity of offshore wind first generation of new GW-scale and fossil fuels, 2019 (%)
projects compared to onshore, floating offshore wind projects in
means that turbine costs are a lower markets like the UK, France, Korea
proportion of capital costs. This and Japan. The sector has a lot of Oil refining Fossil Fuels

means that changes in the cost base confidence that comes from the
LNG export
of companies providing critical valuable lessons of scaling up fixed
elements of an offshore wind farm, bottom offshore wind. However, Copper Minerals
including the towers, substations, floating offshore wind projects will
cables, jackets, as well as critical need to be able to demonstrate Nickel
components such as generators, can rapid cost reduction, which is made
Cobalt
also have a significant impact on more challenging in the face of
project costs and economic viability. wider cost pressures in the market. Lithium

This wider offshore wind supply Managing supply chain risks Rare earths
chain, of course, faces the same within the industry
0 20 40 60 80 100
pressures on commodity pricing Despite pressures on supply chain,
and supply chain bottlenecks. there is a lot the sector can do to
Installers and shipping providers work together as well as alongside United States Russia Australia Indonesia Finland Argentina Estonia
also face the same issues. These policy makers. China Qatar Chile Japan Belgium Malaysia

companies all need to invest in new


equipment both to meet growing First, it needs to be restated that Sources: IEA (2020b), USGS (2021), World Bureau of Metal Statistics (2020); Adamas Intelligence (2020)
demand, and to adapt to be able to offshore wind, alongside other
deliver bigger projects using bigger renewables, is a vital component of
turbines. Companies must plan for global efforts for decarbonisation want to see local content Public-private cooperation on
the long term and need early and for increasing energy security successfully growing as home supply chain risks
investment to ensure they are ready for all. The sector has delivered markets take off, this also means The supply chain can also do more
to meet future demand, but this rapid cost reductions and is now policy makers taking on board the to cooperate, not just within the wind
means negotiating prices years in able to deliver power at a price need to ensure a sufficient pipeline industry, but with other sectors
advance to secure contracts from comparable to or cheaper than fossil of projects, so that the industry is critical to our global energy
developers or OEMs. Industry is alternatives. able to focus on delivering a transition. A good example of this
used to hedging to help manage sustainable pipeline. Secondly, work is the agreement between GM
different risks, but as a strategy Therefore, the primary focus needs policy makers need to understand and GE to cooperate on REE supply,
hedging is not sustainable if to be creating markets that protect that the energy transition also linking in with related European and
problems such as commodity price consumers while helping fast-track requires economic sustainability in US efforts to manage risks of the
volatility remain over the long term. projects. As many countries also the offshore wind sector. energy transition due to geopolitics

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 17


and supply constraints of critical more efficient use of these materials
minerals.5 European and US efforts or find ways to bring alternatives to
to ensure that the whole energy market.
transition is not derailed because of
lack of access to supplies of these Policymakers can play an important
minerals must continue. At the same role here too. They need to better
time, efforts inside China to ensure understand the challenge of supply
that the extraction and processing of chain pressures and the risks these
minerals is done in a sustainable pose for their own aspirations to
manner, will help ensure that transition their economy to low
externalities are properly costed into carbon industries as they themselves
commodity pricing, helping to shift to clean sources of power and
ensure a level-playing field in the wider electrification.
market.
Policy makers need to better
In the same way that OEMs are understand the impact of geopolitics
leading efforts to ensure blades are on our energy transition, and follow
recyclable, looking at new materials through on policies which aim to
and manufacturing processes, increase diversity of supply in critical
demonstrating sustainability and minerals. In many of the critical
circular economy principles, and minerals needed for offshore wind
forming alliances to bring forward manufacturing, supply is dominated
the commercialisation of green steel, by two or three countries (see the
they can also cooperate with top tier graph below). This consolidation
suppliers to build supply chain needs to be addressed by
relationships. By doing so, they can supporting both sustainable
ensure wider sustainability and extraction and processing of critical
robust supply chains for the minerals so that demand for these
necessary critical materials. OEMs materials is not constrained in the
can also work alongside future.
governments to invest in new
manufacturing processes or Public-private cooperation on price
alternative products that will result in risk and economic sustainability
As well as looking at the supply of
5. https://www.ge.com/news/press-releases/general- critical materials which underpin our
motors-signs-mou-with-ge-renewable-energy-to-develop-
supply-chain-of-rare-earth-support-ev-renewable-energy- energy transition, governments also
growth need to that ensure that policy,

18 GWEC.NET
Part One: Supply Chain

regulatory and tariff frameworks are growth are not held back. The manufacturing, cables, and other
drawn up in a way that can respond design of support systems can inward investments. Contracted
effectively to future upward price better be factored in price risk into tariffs were inflation-index linked,
pressures. long term project management, for protecting contracts and suppliers in
example linking contract pricing to the event of inflation. There is an
The war in Ukraine, and the delivery dates, and ensuring that opportunity to learn from this
subsequent rise in energy prices tariff support programmes are able experience and look at the design of
globally, has forced governments to to account for price changes over tariffs to take account of future price
actively engage in and support time. In the same way that auction risks and changes to capital costs.7
energy markets. This action is vital processes currently take account of Similarly taxation policy has been
for protecting industry and supply chain and project readiness, used in various markets e.g., the US.
consumers, and there is an so they also need to look at how they
understanding that these are issues help remove delivery risks due to What is clear though is that while
beyond the ability of individual changing costs that are outside of an supply chain and cost pressures are
businesses or sectors to manage. A individual project or even the creating headwinds for many in the
parallel challenge exists in our sector’s control. offshore wind industry, the longer-
energy transition, however. term outlook remains strong, but we
There are important lessons that can must avoid delays in scaling up
As renewable energy has matured, it be drawn from how governments offshore wind because of current
has delivered rapid price reductions have supported the growth of and potential persistent cost
that have benefited consumers. Part offshore wind and other industries challenges, that are impacting sector
of the credit for these cost reductions seen as critically important. For profitability and supply chain
must go to governments which have example, within the UK, between the competitiveness, though are not
moved from unilateral tariffs that top closure of the Renewables taking away from the cost
up market prices to mechanisms that Obligation and the commencement competitiveness of offshore wind as
give price stability and create a of the Contract for Difference an energy technology.
ceiling on cost. This shift has been regime, the UK Government wider sustainability goals are
successful in protecting consumers, awarded a series of FIDER (Final There is a need to focus on practical maintained. Economic sustainability
attracting finance and bringing down Investment Decision – Enabling steps within industry and needs to remain part of this effort to
costs. Renewables) contracts.6 These government so that the offshore wind ensure the long-term health of this
contracts successfully created a industry can continue to grow and vital industry.
But with renewables now clearly low pipeline of offshore wind projects deliver on wider ambitions to
cost, there is now a need to look at and avoided the challenge in the decarbonise and deliver new
how to use these mechanisms as a shift between support mechanisms employment. Offshore wind has
6. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/
way of absorbing inflationary leading to a gap in orders at the time shown in its 30-year lifetime how it final-investment-decision-fid-enabling-for-renewables-
pressure, so that investment in new the UK was seeking to capture and can innovate and scale up effectively, investment-contracts
7. https://www.gov.uk/government/news/future-funding-for-
projects and associated supply chain grow investment in blade and it is working hard to ensure that nuclear-plants

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 19


Part One: Supply Chain

Case Study: Building the offshore wind factory of the future workforce, noticeable progress is
Provided by: Bryan O’Neil, Director Global Offshore and Power Generation, The Lincoln Electric Company underway with growing partnerships
made up of local trade unions,
With the urgency to rapidly increase As foundation weight and diameters example, recent improvements in technology and trade schools to close
installed offshore wind capacity by 2030 increase, capacity from the past welding processes and plate preparation the workforce gap. These cooperative
and 2050, key industry leaders and new decades is undersized to meet the is now considered “industry-leading to industry building blocks are critical to
market entrants for fabrication are practical requirements of new wind world-class performance” when narrow increasing the global supply chain
investing significantly in the expansion of tower sizes and installation schedule. grooves are used (photo below ranging capacity to support the ambitious global
the supply chain capacity. Leaders in fixed foundations (jackets from 8° to <16°). At the same time, production required.
and monopiles) and future floating lessons learned from other operations
concepts are investing to build the common to the shipbuilding industry There is no doubt that the evolving
factory of the future to accommodate also apply to new floating foundations complexity of large-scale offshore wind
increasingly larger turbine sizes. concepts. projects will continue testing global
supply chain resiliency and the industry
The factory of the future is underway The adoption of newer manufacturing will need to respond in kind. A key to
now, with new sites under construction technology for offshore wind will drive success will be industry leaders, trade
at all corners of the world. New the requirements to deliver consistent groups and suppliers advocating for the
factories are incorporating the highest quality, with reduced production, expansion of technology, who will also
levels of automation for metal forming, fabrication and installation cost. lead the way to build the factory of the
welding and material handling to future together.
manage the complexity of producing The expansion of higher levels of
such large structures, never fabricated automation technology is driven by Find out more here: https://www.
before. Investment in additional supply economic and resource necessity. This is lincolnelectric.com/en
chain capacity and technical capability only possible through the integration of
will solve many of the constraints advanced adaptive process controls,
existing within the current global industrial robots and customized hard
supply chain. automation and metal processing
equipment for the new industry size and
The factory of the future depends on an weight requirements.
expanding supply chain of new steel mill
capacities to reduce the impact This key industry driver also backfills
acquisition and transport cost. Larger one of the largest challenges the entire
100 mm cross section (avg. steel thickness), plate sizes aid tremendously in the global industry faces: a declining base of
Monopile: 2200 MT weight / 99 M long
Photo courtesy of The Lincoln Electric Company
process of plate lengthening and rolling highly skilled trade workers relative to
for such large diameter foundations. For demand. Concerning the global

20 GWEC.NET
PART TWO: POLICY

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 21


Part Two: Policy

Leasing seabed rights The fees in different markets also


vary. In Denmark there is no fee for
leasing. However, in most countries
‘Leasing’ is a broad term to describe organisations, including government Infrastructure, Transport and there are fees and seabed rental but
how seabed rights for offshore wind departments and public bodies, that Tourism (MLIT) with varying structures. Generally
development and operation are tender and award leases for offshore speaking, operating fees equate to
contracted. wind around the world. For example: Approaches also vary from country 2% of gross revenue though by
to country. In Denmark, the different means.
Equivalent terms for leasing vary O Denmark – Danish Energy Agency Netherlands and Germany specific
from country to country. In Denmark (DEA) project sites are selected and All leasing methods provide
it is called a ‘concession’. In the US it O UK – The Crown Estate (TCE) and detailed data is provided ahead of exclusive rights for:
is a ‘lease’ but with two stages, the Crown Estate Scotland (CES) single-stage bidding. In the UK, US
first is called a ‘Site Assessment’ (for O Netherlands – Rijksdienst voor and Taiwan some data is shared but a. Development which is critical for
five years) and the second, Ondernemend (RVO) the onus is on developers to carry developers to invest up to $100
‘Operations’ (33 years). In the UK it is O Germany – Bundesamt für out detailed surveys and gain million, in environmental,
divided into two separate Seeschifffahrt und Hydrographie consent before entering the second geophysical and geophysical
documents, the first called (BSH) stage of bidding for a power surveys, consent application,
‘Agreement for Lease’ (up to 10 O US – Bureau of Ocean Energy purchase agreement. Both engineering and procurement, up
years) and the second, ‘Lease Management (BOEM) approaches work and some to final investment decision.
Agreement’ (60 years). O Vietnam - Ministry of Natural developers prefer that there are
Resources and Environment diverse approaches which can help b. Operation and maintenance of the
Due mostly to historical precedents, (MONRE) to mitigate risk across their wind farm for power generation
there are very different O Japan - Ministry of Land, portfolios. which is critical to raise typically
USD 1-2 billion of capital for
Examples of rental fees (not including other fees) for offshore wind leases equipment and construction.

Country Public agency Project phase/element Rental Units In two-stage markets it is common
England and Wales The Crown Estate Operation 2% Of gross revenue41 for there to be a wide project area,
Netherlands The Central Government Real Estate Agency Operation €0.98 (US$1.15) Per MWh42 within which the final site can be
Construction €650 (US$763) Per MW per year optimised. The same wide area is
Array cables €3.29 (US$3.86) Per m2 (single, one-off payment) true for cable corridors, giving
Scotland Crown Estate Scotland Operation £1.07 (US$1.48) Per MWh43
flexibility on grid connection points.
United States Bureau of Ocean Energy Management Construction US$3.00 Per acre per year
Each lease agreement has similar
Operation 2% Of gross revenue
but differing terms. It would help the
Export cable US$70.00 Per mile
industry speed up development and
Source: World Bank Group. 2021. Key Factors for Successful Development of Offshore Wind in Emerging Markets. ESMAP, World Bank, Washington, DC. License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0 IGO repeatability if, through good

22 GWEC.NET
practice sharing, greater UK Round 4 Agreements for Lease projects and strives to do everything
commonality of leasing agreements where only two milestones are it can to prevent, manage and
could be arrived at. Some best used – material evidence of initial mitigate them.
practice principles have emerged in site development and consent
offshore wind leasing: application – with flexibility for As the sector grows globally, and the
force majeure events. proportion of sea area that is used
O Leasing should cover Territorial increases, the cumulative effects of
Waters (out to 12 nautical miles) O Sharing of survey data into the sites need to be better understood.
and the Exclusive Economic Zone public domain, which allows other A leading initiative is the North Sea
(out to 200 nautical miles) to sea users to become informed. Net Gain study, led by The Crown
maximise opportunities in each Note wind resource data is Estate in partnership with the
country. commercially sensitive and so its Dutch-led Rich North Sea
release is commonly delayed for programme, which aims to ensure
O Marine spatial planning (MSP) two years or until power price that decisions about the next
should be used to identify large auctions are completed. generation of offshore wind farms
sea areas within which projects are based on the most
can be located. A pragmatic and O Depositing health and safety comprehensive information and will
proportional approach can be (H&S) data into an industry bring about net gains for
utilised. accepted system allows improved biodiversity. The learnings from this
H&S management for the good of work will have relevance for other
O Leasing processes should be all. A good example of such as markets, though they will need to be
robust and transparent. This aids system is the G+ Global Offshore adapted for local and regional
developers in understanding the Wind Health and Safety circumstances.
process. It also reduces the Organisation.
possibilities of legal challenges. During the formative stages of the
O Regular release of seabed, for offshore wind market, the cost of
O Tendering should commence with example every 2-4 years, to give a seabed rights for development was
a prequalification questionnaire steady flow of projects. nominal. However, in 2018, the US
(PQQ) stage to ensure tenderers introduced competitive auctions for
have the capability to deliver on The renewables sector is committed development rights. This was first
projects. to sustainable development and adopted for the Massachusetts award
harmonious co-existence with local of three wind energy areas and
O Leasing should be kept simple communities and ocean users where resulted in option fees that trebled in
and encourage the pace of wind farms are built, as well as comparison to previous awards.
development while maintaining adhering to high environmental and
flexibility in the light of unforeseen social standards. The industry takes Under its constitution BOEM is
obstacles. A good example is the into consideration the impacts of its required to achieve “fair value” for

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 23


Part Two: Policy

its land transactions. Similarly, The attractive sites and fewer bidders,
Crown Estate (TCE), through The but they are still material.
Crown Estate Act 1961, is required to
achieve “best consideration” for its The overriding challenge for leasing
dealings. Therefore, the results of is that the current pipeline of projects
BOEM’s auctions somewhat forced across the world, especially allowing
the hand of TCE to use competitive for attrition and delay, is insufficient
bidding in Round 4. to meet the long-term needs of the
offshore wind sector. Currently there
Unfortunately, the result of Round 4 in are some 700 GW of projects in
the UK, assuming a five-year development,1 however more than
development cycle, was option fees half of these are at the conceptual or
six times higher than those of very early stages. The total amount
Massachusetts on a $/MW basis. The with approved consent or in
subsequent New York Bight auctions operation is just 141 GW.
in 2022 then delivered similar option
fee levels. These fees equate to The industry target (in line with IEA
o
approximately 20% of total project and IRENA 1.5 C scenarios) is 380
capital investment – raising the GW by 2030 and then 2,000 GW by
concern that this will subsequently 2050. GWEC therefore calls on
find its way into prices paid by governments to increase and speed
consumers, and also squeeze out up the release of seabed leasing
smaller local developers at the over the next decade to meet
leasing stage. climate goals, create a more
sustainable pipeline for the industry
This overheating of the market and ensure steady delivery of
appears to be a result of new offshore wind benefits to local
entrants with deep pockets and the communities.
limited release of development
seabed into a hungry market. The
Carolina Long Bay auction of two
wind energy areas in May 2022
resulted in option fees a little under
half those of Round 4 and New York
Bight, likely as a result of less

Source: RenewableUK EnergyPulse database

24
Part two: Policy

Permitting for offshore wind societies and local residents.

In most jurisdictions, developers


As the world’s appetite for large- progress towards these targets. need to secure permits from several
scale offshore wind has grown in line layers of government, ranging from
with increasingly demanding climate The burden of complex permitting local to federal. In the US state of
targets, the complexity of permitting procedures is greater for offshore New Jersey, for example, a minimum
systems continues to constrain wind projects than many other of 7 permits – 5 at state level and 2
developers’ ability to deliver projects renewable energy installations. They federal – are required for offshore
at pace. tend to be much larger than onshore wind projects planned within 3
wind farms, straddle different geographic miles of shore in state
In 2022, industry association jurisdictions or usage zones and waters. A similar number of permits
WindEurope reported that the EU require the use of extensive areas is needed for projects to be sited
was only on-track to install about half both on land and at sea. further away from shore, in federal
of the new wind capacity needed to waters.
achieve its 40% target of renewables The impacts of complex
within the bloc’s energy mix by permitting procedures Even when all consents are granted
2030. The sector could see even Slow, complicated and unpredictable and construction starts, the road to
more of an uphill struggle if the permitting procedures affect both project completion is not necessarily
target is raised to 45%, as recently the more mature offshore wind clear. Construction of the first
proposed by the European countries of northern Europe and commercial-scale offshore wind
Commission. emerging markets such as the US, farm in US waters, Vineyard Wind I,
Japan and South Korea. Everywhere, started in November 2021 after a
Globally, a target of 380 GW of the toxic mix of complexity and multi-year gestation process. A
offshore wind capacity by 2030 has uncertainty damages the investment lawsuit was filed in February 2022
been set under the UN Energy case for offshore wind power challenging the US Department of
Compact signed in 2021 by GWEC development and ultimately hampers the Interior’s (DOI’s) approval of the
and the International Renewable progress for the sector. 800 MW project off Martha’s
Energy Agency (IRENA). This is the Vineyard, Massachusetts. The case
volume required by the end of the Normally, a developer will need an brought by the Responsible Offshore
decade to meet IRENA’s 1.5C and initial permit to conduct site Development Alliance (RODA),
net zero-compliant energy system investigations and decide whether which describes itself as a coalition
roadmap. But despite governments’ the project is worth pursuing. Several of fishing industry associations and
stated intention to prioritise rounds of consultations will usually fishing companies, hinges on an
renewable energy generation, there follow, including with often- alleged breach of several
is widespread concern that oppositional stakeholders such as environmental protection laws by the
permitting delays are hindering fishing organisations, conservation government agencies that

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 25


Part Two: Policy

authorised the project. Mature offshore wind markets such concept in 2020 by leading an part by the energy security crisis
as the UK have not been spared intergovernmental exploratory arising from the military conflict in
At the heart of the similar difficulties. In May 2022 the phase during which any potential Ukraine.
lawsuit is the nature campaigning group Suffolk hurdles to development are cleared
allegation that the Energy Action Solutions (SEAS) filed before an application is processed. A crucial factor of this commitment,
DOI’s Bureau of an application for a judicial review of Once an area is approved for and of the recent REPowerEU Action
Energy the UK government’s decision to development, the applicant is Plan, is to tackle the permitting
Management approve the remaining 1.7 GW of the automatically allowed to carry out bottlenecks that are holding back the
(BOEM) failed to East Anglia Hub offshore wind preliminary investigations, including expansion of wind and solar energy.
adequately “balance cluster of projects.While the two an environmental impact assessment This includes enshrining a principle
ocean resource wind farms will be sited more than (EIA). that renewables are in the
conservation and 30km from the coast, SEAS alleges “overriding public interest”, which
management” when that construction works and onshore In its first offshore wind energy would strengthen the hand of
authorising Vineyard Wind I. This substations would have a detrimental roadmap, dating back to 2018, the developers by prioritising the
sets a dangerous precedent for the impact on the local farmland. Netherlands committed to 11.5 GW buildout of projects on a case-by-
“enormous pipeline of projects the Approval of the 1.7 GW tranche was by 2030 and identified specific areas case basis within the overarching
government plans to facilitate”, the already delayed to allow for more for project development. It also set aim of achieving climate neutrality.
complainant claims. The case extensive consultation, including on out conditions for wind farm
highlights the lack of shared wildlife protection, causing the construction, including on location, Measures to support project
recognition on the balance of developer to miss the deadline for nature protection measures and the deployment
interests between conservation and Round 4 of the UK’s Contracts for necessary permits.1 By researching Streamlined and sensible permitting
renewables development. Difference (CfD) auction. the structure of the site, the seabed, schemes for offshore wind projects
wind speeds and water data in are needed to accelerate
Also in the US, the trailblazing Cape Another UK offshore wind project, advance of bidding, developers have deployment and minimise project
Wind project, which was to install Vattenfall’s 1.8 GW Norfolk Vanguard, up-front access to information attrition. The following measures
468 MW of capacity in the shallow had its initial development consent required for development and should be considered, among
waters off Massachusetts, was quashed following a judicial review, financing. The Netherlands has since others:
“litigated to death” after 16 years but was finally authorised nearly two raised its target to 21 GW by 2030.
and $100 million in private capital. years later. It also missed the O Mandated maximum lead times to
Despite passing stiff environmental deadline for bidding in Round 4 of At a summit in May 2022, the permit wind energy plants, such as
scrutiny from the federal the CfD auction. Netherlands was one of four North 3 years for offshore wind projects,
government, developer Energy Sea countries, alongside Germany, with additional discretionary time
Management Inc (EMI) pulled the Tackling the bottlenecks Belgium and Denmark, to commit to allowance under extraordinary
plug in 2017 after more than 20 The Danish Energy Agency accelerating the buildout of offshore circumstances.
lawsuits. introduced a “one-stop shop” wind to achieve 65 GW of installed
capacity by 2030 and 150GW by O Digitised, searchable and up-to-
https://www.government.nl/topics/renewable-energy/offshore-wind-energy 2050. The pledge was prompted in date databases for siting of

26 GWEC.NET
Part Two: Policy

projects, including an inventory of O Where local opposition and for a modification to the original
local ordinances and records of NIMBYism is particularly project design.
where energy projects have met challenging, policymakers can
community resistance, which can consider encouraging community The increasingly large amounts of
support local authorities with benefit schemes attached to energy that offshore wind projects
zoning for projects. renewables projects to improve generate will need to be delivered to
public support. robust transmission networks. Grid
O Dedicated centralised authorities upgrades are also burdened by slow
and single focal points who can O A clearing house mechanism for bureaucratic procedures, dependent
work with offshore wind legal disputes to prevent extended as they are on significant capital
developers to streamline the siting delays to critical infrastructure investment and community consent.
and permitting process. projects, and a structured and Even in markets where project
time-limited process for development has been fast-tracked,
O More staff and digital resources for developers to provide evidence. for example in China, grid
the various authorities which make constraints have caused connection
decisions during the permitting Making offshore wind the option delays.
process of an offshore wind of choice
project. While investors have shown an Planning for a massive increase in
insatiable appetite for offshore wind, offshore wind installations requires
O Transparent land and ocean use the gap between ambition and several crucial and efficient steps,
guidance, aligned at the national reality appears to be widening. from land allocation to building
and sub-national levels, which Without streamlined procedures that permits to grid connections. While
prioritises DNSH, green grant permits through centralised different markets will choose
economy and nature-positive systems and help developers different approaches, it is clear that a
initiatives, and even identifies navigate approval procedures, more coordinated permitting
areas suitable for wind projects offshore wind projects risk losing out strategy is essential to ensure the
where planning could be fast- to other investment opportunities success of offshore wind deployment
tracked. that are less exposed to the vagaries everywhere.
of multi-layered decisions by
O Active dialogue between different institutions.
communities and industry
throughout the lifecycle of a wind Excessively lengthy permitting
project, particularly in processes can also result in outdated
developing economies where equipment being used on a project,
energy justice and energy given the fast pace of technological
sovereignty are emerging advances and the risk of further
narratives. delaying construction by applying

27
PART THREE: SUSTAINABILITY
OF THE INDUSTRY

Chapter Sponsor

28
Part Three: Sustainability of the Industry

Sustainability of offshore wind industry growth


The offshore wind industry is poised ‘sustainability’ in offshore wind will technologies. The IPCC’s AR5 report, emissions of them all.
to become one of the most important be addressed across two representing the global scientific
custodians of our oceans in the years dimensions. The first being consensus on energy systems and For wind and other renewable
to come. Staggering projected sustainability challenges associated climate change shows that a range of energy technologies, emissions are
growth for the industry is now with the expected growth and technologies can provide electricity mainly associated with
bringing overall industry expansion of offshore wind, in line with less than 5% of the lifecycle manufacturing and installation
sustainability considerations to the with global climate goals. The GHG emissions of coal power – with activities. Further reductions of
fore, as stakeholders inside and sustainability of offshore wind growth offshore wind having the lowest lifecycle GHGs in these segments
outside the industry begin to comes down to the industry’s supply
imagine the volume of wind turbines chain and the materials required,
expected out at sea, and the impact and how both of these are managed Comparative lifecycle GHG emissions by electricity technology
this will have on the environment and and sourced.
economy, both locally and globally. Coal
The second dimension is about
Gas
It is no longer enough for offshore offshore wind’s coexistence with the
wind to simply produce clean natural world, where challenges Biomass*
electrons. As a pillar of our world’s related to the ocean’s biodiversity
future energy mix, a great deal of must be considered. As a Geothermal

responsibility is now attached to the responsible custodian of the ocean, it


Hydropower
anticipated growth trajectory is incumbent on the industry to
expected for offshore wind ensure the health of the environment Nuclear
technology on the road to net zero is both protected and even
Solar PV-Utility
by 2050. The offshore wind enhanced where possible.
industry’s ‘license to operate’ is Wind Onshore
being held to an increasingly high Making offshore wind a truly
standard by governments, wider sustainable energy Wind offshore
industry and civil society. The Offshore wind has the lowest
0 500 1000 1500 2000
industry is proactively answering greenhouse gas emissions (GHG)
(gCO2eq/kWh)
this call, responding to criticism and footprint of all energy technologies.
embracing the responsibility that Full lifecycle GHG emissions Direct Emissions Infrastructure and supply Chain Emissions Methane Lifecycle Emissions as estimated in AR5
comes with being a key pillar of the assessments provide an important
Sources: AR5- IPCC WG III Fifth Assessment Report, (Caduff et al., 2012; Dale and Benson, 2013), (Arvesen and Hertwich, 2011) ,Wind
world’s future energy mix. benchmarking exercise to (Arvesen and Hertwich, 2012), PV (Kim et al., 2012; Hsu et al., 2012), geothermal power (Sathaye et al., 2011), hydropower (Sathaye et al., 2011;
understand the emissions attached Hertwich, 2013), nuclear power (Warner and Heath, 2012), bioenergy (Cherubini et al., 2012). Annex II, Annex II.6.3 and Section A.II.9.3 for
methodological issues and core literature. *Note: Lifecycle emissions from biomass are for dedicated energy crops and crop residues.
The wide-ranging issue of to various electricity generation

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 29


Part Three: Sustainability of the Industry

could be attained through cleaner Enhanced collaboration between


production, raw materials these key upstream materials
alternatives and improvements in sectors such as steel and the
performance and efficiency. Despite offshore wind industry sends a
offshore wind energy’s low full strong demand signal to steel and
lifecycle emissions, sustainability concrete producers. However, a
challenges are being acted upon clear pathway to decarbonising steel
with new innovations to reach net production is still needed, where
zero and “waste zero” through a there is a clear role for wind energy
circular economy approach within to power the decarbonisation of
this decade. these upstream production
processes.
The amount of steel used in one
turbine is in the range of 107-132 kt/ Building a sustainable supply
GW, accounting for 24% of the total chain for critical minerals
materials in an onshore turbine and The sustainability of the sourcing
90% of the total materials in an and processing of rare earth
offshore turbine.1 The steel and elements (REEs) is a particularly
concrete needed for wind turbines key issue for offshore wind.
are largely produced from carbon- According to GWEC Market
intensive processes, which has led Intelligence, nearly 30% of the wind
to the creation of new initiatives turbines installed in 2020 used
such as The Climate Group’s direct and hybrid drive generators
SteelZero – a partnership with which required neodymium and
Responsible Steel to address dysprosium, primary REEs, for
decarbonisation. Leading offshore permanent magnets. That share is
wind developers such as Ørsted, expected to increase to more than
Iberdrola and Vattenfall and turbine 45% by 2025, given that most
manufacturers such as Siemens offshore wind turbine models use
Gamesa have announced their permanent magnet generators. A
commitment to 100% net zero steel. megawatt of direct drive wind
Offshore wind companies that have turbine capacity may require
joined the initiative have set interim around 500 kg of permanent
targets of using 50% low emission magnets, a third of which are made
steel by 2030, setting a clear
pathway to being net zero 1. In a 221 t/MW offshore wind and 640 t/MW onshore
by 2050. wind farm, according to BloombergNEF.

30 GWEC.NET
Part Three: Sustainability of the Industry

Case Study: Three key materials installation costs, it can account for almost 17% of the
MV/HV/EHV subsea cable consumption in
challenges as offshore wind grows total project cost of an offshore wind farm. This is due
offshore wind applications
Provided by: CRU to the extensive usage of high-value subsea export
Cumulative ‘000 core-km and CAGR 2022-2027
and array cables and the sophisticated cable-laying
52.1
Rapid growth in offshore wind capacity offers a strong works required by specialist vessels. CRU forecasts 78

demand opportunity for metals producers. But it also global subsea cable demand in offshore wind
48
presents large challenges for the whole industry supply applications will grow by at least 17% CAGR 15.1
20.8

chain. Here we highlight 3 of them: decarbonisation, between 2022-2027. 22 9.2


15
materials availability, and price volatility.
However, we foresee a clear challenge for subsea North America Europe China North East Asia

Renewables need decarbonised cable producers to meet such exceptional demand. Core length cable CAGR (2022-2027)

materials supply Out of thousands of cable factories worldwide, only


Switching the world to renewable energy is a 30 sites can currently produce subsea cable due to Locking in all project tonnes at one point in the
powerful method of decarbonisation. Supply chains relatively high technical and capital entry barriers. price cycle can give very volatile results
to build that renewables capacity themselves need to Consequently, a European offshore wind or 2,000

German steel plate base price, €/t


be decarbonised to achieve a true energy transition. interconnector project owner may need to wait for up
to five years for cable delivery if placing an order More than 3x change in spot price
Offshore wind is steel-intensive but producing steel today. The issue is further complicated by an
is CO2-intensive. CRU data shows that making plate aversion to non-domestic cable manufacturers. 1,000

steel - typically used for monopile construction -


using a blast furnace today emits a global median of Large, long-life projects need to manage
2.4t CO2/t steel. their price risk 0

/0 1

/0 1

/0 1

/0 1

/0 1

/0 1

/0 1

/0 1

/1 1

/1 1

/1 1

/0 1

/0 2

/0 2

/0 2

/0 2
22
06 1/2

06 2/2

06 3/2

06 4/2

06 5/2

06 6/2

06 7/2

06 8/2

06 9/2

06 0/2

06 1/2

06 2/2

06 1/2

06 2/2

06 3/2

06 4/2
Assuming the above challenges can be resolved

5/
/0
06
Companies developing offshore wind projects are there remains an important question of how to
targeting net zero Scope 3 emissions. Low-CO2 steel manage materials price volatility. This can be
must be sourced to achieve this. But decarbonising extreme: there was a difference of more than 3 times discovered by CRU, offers a powerful such tool. It
steel production is a huge task, requiring massive between the minimum and maximum steel plate removes market timing risk, creates a fair distribution
capital expenditure, process flowsheet change and price in Germany since January 2021. A 100,000t of value between seller and buyer, and allows
sufficient supply of energy and raw materials. The order placed at the highest price would have cost commercial discussions to focus away from the
market opportunity exists but can it incentivise all of €125M more than if it was placed at the lowest price. fraught area of price and instead on other value-
these to occur? adding areas of the supply partnership.
Purchasing teams in offshore wind therefore either
Are enough materials available? have a huge challenge of market timing, or they need Find out more here:
The question of materials supply to offshore wind has to be equipped with risk management tools. https://www.crugroup.com/
particular resonance in wire and cable. Including Indexing their purchases to steel prices, like those

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 31


Part Three: Sustainability of the Industry

up of REEs for direct drive offshore domestic supply chain for REEs and future, as rare earth elements
turbines.2 other important minerals in battery- become scarcer, high-temperature
making such as cobalt and lithium. superconductors could be used in
By 2030, demand for REEs in the offshore wind direct-drive turbines.
wind industry is likely to double from Japan, a country with one of the This new technological development
today’s number. world’s most ambitious offshore wind would not only cut reliance on REEs
targets, was forced to take measures but would also enhance
This higher demand leads to two key to secure its own supply of REEs performance due to an overall
considerations: addressing the following an embargo from China. decrease in weight. However, further
sustainability of the mining and The Japanese government’s cost reductions and technological
processing of REEs through approach to regulating their own REE progress will be necessary before
international cooperation, policy and deposits along with bilateral offtake this technology can be deployed.
regulation, and how innovation can agreements with Australian
reduce offshore wind energy’s producers is now seen as a valuable Coexisting with biodiversity
reliance on REEs. model for the US and other countries, The impact on biodiversity from
as a way of creating a more balanced offshore wind development has
Governments representing leading approach to production, supply and emerged as a crucial issue for
offshore wind markets, such as the demand for REEs. project developers, as the industry
European Union, the United States, positions itself as a responsible
China and Japan are taking proactive Above all, international cooperation custodian of the ocean. It is
steps to address the sustainability of must lead to a fair, sustainable incumbent on the offshore wind
the global supply and demand for market with long term price visibility industry to ensure the health of the
REEs. Europe has established the for buyers and demand certainty for environment is both protected and
European Raw Materials Alliance producers, given REEs’ key role in even enhanced where possible.
(ERMA), which has initially focused the energy transition. What’s more,
on REEs. In the United States, in the public and private sector In order to mitigate negative
context of President Biden’s stakeholders across the global biodiversity impacts, project
sweeping $2 trillion infrastructure offshore wind industry must work developers are investing in new
legislation, an executive order was together to ensure environmental solutions and approaches to better
signed in February 2022 designed and social concerns through the understand marine biodiversity and
to review gaps in the domestic production and processing of REEs how offshore wind can harmoniously
supply chains for REEs, medical are addressed in parallel. coexist with its natural environment.
devices, chips and other key As evidenced by the initiatives
resources. Furthermore, the Innovation also holds significant already in place, achieving an
Department of Energy announced a potential in addressing the acceptable level of coexistence
USD 30 million initiative that will tap sustainability issues associated with 2. Critical materials for the energy transition: Rare earth
into researching and securing the US the projected demand of REEs. In the elements, Technical paper 2/2022, IRENA

32 GWEC.NET
Part Three: Sustainability of the Industry

between offshore wind and marine New innovative technologies are now
life will require unprecedented available to minimise the impact of
cooperation between industry, offshore wind on marine life, to
government, NGOs and academia. better understand marine life activity
and to reduce impacts such as
Significant work is underway in underwater noise through the
current offshore wind markets in the construction phase. In the US, where
North Sea to assess the impacts of significant offshore wind is currently
existing offshore wind farms, and to in development, leading project
better plan for future ones. Across developer, Ørsted, has partnered
the North Sea, where offshore with Rutgers University, Woods Hole
development is most advanced, new Oceanographic Institution and the
initiatives such as the North Sea Gain University of Rhode Island on the
study led by the United Kingdom’s Ecosystem and Passive Acoustic
Crown Estate in partnership with the Monitoring (ECO-PAM). The goal of
Dutch-led Rich North Sea this initiative is to better understand
programme, has created a new the habitat as well as the presence,
international data collation exercise distribution and seasonality of the
bringing together seabed endangered North Atlantic right
biodiversity data from across the whale within Ørsted lease areas.
North Sea into a central data set. The Across designated offshore wind
study aims to respond to an urgent areas from the North Sea, the US and
need to improve understanding of even Taiwan, technologies such as
the biodiversity of the seabed on a the ‘bubble curtain’ are being
larger scale and ensure that employed to reduce underwater
decisions on the next generation of disturbances to marine mammals
offshore wind farms will be based on and other marine wildlife.
the most comprehensive information
and will bring biodiversity net gain. Leading industry players are also
anticipating and mitigating the
GWEC is also working closely with impacts of new technological
UN Global Compact, which is leading developments such as the next
an initiative on marine spatial planning generation of large-scale turbines
(MSP). The focus of this workstream is and floating offshore wind
to establish best practice tools and installations. Ørsted, Ocean Winds,
guidance on MSP, as well as and Vattenfall have recently joined
collaborating on research initiatives. the Sustainable Installation of XXL

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 33


Part Three: Sustainability of the Industry

Monopiles (SIMOX) project that fits all’ approach to addressing


focuses on developing several biodiversity, as conditions vary
innovative technologies that could be between regions and each requires
suitable for the installation of XXL its own specific in-depth
monopiles, as an alternative to understanding.
conventional impact hammering. The
project aims to have innovative Despite the growing consensus on
technologies for the installation of offshore wind as a key climate
large wind turbines commercially solution, and the many of proactive
available within five years from the activities underway to address the
launch by testing multiple overall sustainability of the offshore
techniques to enable the installation wind industry, challenges and
and decommissioning of XXL criticisms are still being voiced.
monopiles in a sustainable, cost- What is clear however is that the
effective, and socially and industry has already made
environmentally responsible manner. significant progress through open
In terms of floating offshore wind, collaboration with a wide range of
Equinor’s Hywind Scotland project stakeholders, both on local, national
team is analysing the environmental and international levels, to address
DNA from water samples to map any its key sustainability issues – from
potential effects from floating decarbonising its supply chain and
offshore wind farms on marine life, sustainably sourcing its critical
instead of employing the traditional materials, to taking innovative steps
method of using dedicated vessels to ensure a harmonious co-existence
to trawl areas over time to perform with biodiversity.
studies.
As the offshore wind industry
As evidenced by these innovative emerges as one of the most
initiatives, the offshore wind industry prominent custodians of our oceans,
is leading the way by bringing in it remains committed to learning
partners across government and lessons from other industries and
academia to collaborate with stakeholders occupying ocean areas
companies’ growing in-house to ensure the development and
capacity to address and minimise geographic expansion of the
biodiversity impacts. However, what industry is grounded in sustainable
is becoming increasingly clear is economic growth and coexistence
that there is no template or ‘one size with the natural world.

34 GWEC.NET
Part Three: Sustainability of the Industry

Case Study: Innovation to Four cameras were installed on the Isle of creation of a ‘digital twin’ of the site. Using
protect and enhance natural May to pilot the use of AI for species LIDAR, Sonar, hydrophones and AI,
habitats around offshore monitoring, gathering footage and amongst other technologies, the digital
automatically detecting and counting the twin will show in real-time what is going
wind farms
birds during their breeding season. The on below the surface of the water,
Provided by: SSE Renewables
AI technology learned not to count the enabling cause and effect to be
same puffin twice in the field of view, modelled in a very transparent way.
Harnessing natural resources for meaning the method produced highly
renewable energy generation is the most accurate results. A requirement of the Dutch Government
sustainable way of mitigating the is that this data must also be open source,
dangerous effects of climate change. But The puffin monitoring project meaning that unprecedented amounts of
as these technologies roll out at scale represented the most sophisticated data will also be collected and shared
over the next decades, there is a risk that, species monitoring SSE Renewables had with the public.
without careful management, the ever undertaken. Core to its success was
transition to net zero could come at the development of the project with By conducting large-scale research into
expense of the surrounding ecosystem environmental and natural heritage the effects of wind farms on the
close to these assets. stakeholders, NatureScot. SSE surrounding ecosystems, SSE Renewables
Renewables has now gone on to use the believes these ground-breaking projects
That’s why SSE Renewables, which is technology for counting salmon at its with Microsoft and Avanade will facilitate
currently constructing more than 4GW of hydro stations, with plans to use the research and collaboration.
offshore wind, have teamed up with technology at more sites.
technology leaders Microsoft and These innovations enable learning in
Avanade on a series of digital innovation SSE Renewables, Microsoft and Avanade real-time on how to limit and avoid
projects which could change the way have gone on to work together to negative impacts, while promoting the
renewable energy is developed, establish what could be the world’s largest positive ones and offering incredible
constructed and operated. digital research project of its kind: SSE opportunities to support the protection
Renewables’ tender application for the and enhancement of natural habitats.
Through the partnership, the companies Hollandse Kust (West) project includes a
have implemented a species monitoring focus on how innovation can assist the Find out more here: https://www.sse.com/
technique using artificial intelligence rollout of offshore wind farms to meet the news-and-views/2021/09/bird-s-eye-view-
(AI). As part of a planning condition for its Dutch Government’s ambitious targets. sse-partners-with-microsoft-avanade-and-
operational Beatrice offshore wind farm naturescot-for-cutting-edge-puffin-
off the northeast coast of Scotland, SSE The consortium plans to understand the monitoring-pilot/
Renewables is required to monitor local impacts of the wind farm on the
puffin colonies. surrounding ecosystem through the

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 35


Part Three: Sustainability of the Industry

Marine spatial planning for offshore wind streamline developments by


mitigating risks of litigation, speed
up delivery and investment and ease
Our oceans hold vital solutions for aquaculture.4 However, at present, However, the significant number of permitting processes.8
meeting the UN’s Sustainable offshore wind represents the chief offshore wind projects that are either
Development Goals (SDGs) and for ocean-based climate mitigation in the pipeline or already developed The process of MSP is an important
supporting climate change solution.5 The continued is leading to rising tensions and way of bringing stakeholders
mitigation, by restoring rich blue advancement of offshore wind should pressures on the amount of available together to explore synergistic
carbon ecosystems such as be a strategic priority for countries ocean space.6 While the demand for co-existence with each other, our
mangroves and seagrasses, and striving to meet the Glasgow Climate ocean space is so far only rising environment and with communities.
through sustainable, low-carbon Pact and create a sustainable future. amongst industry stakeholders, the Multi-stakeholder planning can
amount of space assigned to spatial create management actions that are
conservation measures such as accepted and sustained over time by
The Blue Acceleration marine protected areas (MPAs) is engaging a complex set of
also set to increase.7 stakeholders, their interests and
expectations.
MSP has emerged as an important
process to drive the fair and But MSP needs to adapt to the
sustainable integration of offshore climate emergency. While there is
wind into the context of traditional already considerable effort to
marine uses. MSP has been develop and implement MSP
recognised by both industry and worldwide, there is an urgent need
governments as a tool that can to ensure that MSP is ‘climate-smart’.
improve the level of certainty and Currently, only a few marine spatial
predictability of offshore wind plans integrate adaptation and
development. If done well, MSP, mitigation to climate change in their
accompanied by a Strategic objectives and planning frameworks.
Environmental Assessment (SEA),
can inform site selection, lower MSP is a forum for social and public
government regulatory costs, discussion. If done right – using a

3. United Nations Global Compact, The Ocean-climate Nexus: A Blueprint for a Climate-Smart Ocean to Meet 1.5°C, p. 13
(2021), available at https://ungc-communications-assets.s3.amazonaws.com/docs/publications/_Blueprint%20for%20a%20
Climate-Smart%20Ocean%20to%20Meet%201.5%C2%B0C.pdf.
4. High Level Panel, Ocean as a Solution to Climate Change
5. For an example in France, see “France’s offshore renewable strategy faces pushback from fishermen”; and in South
Korea, see “Fishermen threaten South Korea climate plans”.
6. Blue Acceleration, SRC
Source: “The Blue Acceleration: The Trajectory of Human Expansion into the Ocean,” Jouffray et al., Perspective, January 2020. 7. In the European Union, the North Sea Plan cut the cost of offshore wind permits in the Netherlands by two-thirds

36 GWEC.NET
Part Three: Sustainability of the Industry

climate-smart approach, it can be an Data Collected Methods Types of data MSP uses

opportunity to build climate literacy Metocean Meteorological masts/LIDAR Wind speed and direction High; coastal risk assessments
and ensure a just transition through Acoustic Wave and Current Metres Wave and current data
building social and community Directional Waverider Buoys Wave height and direction
acceptance for net zero policies. In Acoustic Doppler Current Profilers Tidal speed and direction
addition, decision support tools are Geophysical Bathymetry Seabed bathymetry and texture; High; suitable ground conditions
already being used by planners to morphological features; shallow geology;
Side-scan sonar seabed habitats; archaeology; potential
assess the socioeconomic impacts of
Magnetometer unexploded ordnance
planning measures, including siting
Seismic
of offshore wind farms, thereby
seeking to maximise societal Geotechnical Boreholes Site geology; archaeology Low: not needed

benefits for all, in particular Cone Penetration Tests


disadvantaged communities.9 Seabed Communities Grab samples or drop-down video or camera Infaunal and epifaunal species composition;
fish species composition

While MSP is critical to ensuring Trawl samples

that the placement of offshore wind Marine Mammals Aerial surveys and/or acoustic monitoring Marine mammal species densities High; biodiversity targets; generating
sensitivity maps
does no harm to ocean ecosystems, Boat-based surveys
bringing together project planners, Birds Aerial surveys Bird species densities
industry and conservation Shipping and Fishing AIS Information Shipping and fishing types and densities
organisations has also proven Site-specific radar surveys Live monitoring during construction
beneficial for identifying important
Source: UN Global Compact (2021) Roadmap to Integrate Offshore Renewables into Climate-Smart Marine Spatial Planning. With inputs from Scottish Power Renewables and Vattenfall.
areas for future research, as well as
opportunities for synergies with
nature. For example, nature- of an MSP process, facilitated by be an opportunity for active synergy role of governments in mitigating
inclusive design such as smart authorities, have proven exploration, for example through risk, cross-industrial collaboration
offshore wind foundations and scour successful.11 ocean multi-use. Offshore wind can has also been identified as a key
protection serving as an artificial foreseeably be co-located with other enabler for multi-use.14
reef, can boost local biodiversity The same applies for ocean users. marine industries, such as tourism
and support local fish stocks.10 In While MSP has been praised as a (e.g., boat tours), low-trophic The offshore wind industry can also
these examples, informal process to reduce and resolve aquaculture or certain types of support more climate-smart MSP.
engagement opportunities outside conflicts and build trust,12 it can also passive fisheries.13 Alongside the The industry can provide evidence
to enable MSP authorities to develop
8. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/331683126_Spatial_Economic_Benefit_Analysis_Facing_integration_challenges_in_maritime_spatial_planning well-informed plans by providing
9. Orsted/Iberdrola case studies.
10. Dutch community of practice non-commercially sensitive data
11. For example, studies have shown that fishers are significantly more likely to support a plan if they believed the consultation of the plan was adequate (Blau and Green (2015) assets. High-quality, real-time data is
12. Angela Schultz-Zehden and others, Ocean Multi-Use Action Plan (Edinburgh, 2018), available at https://www.submariner-network.eu/images/news/MUSES_Multi-Use_Action_Plan.pdf.
13. Stuvier et al (2020) Stakeholder Involvement in Technological Design: Lessons Learned from the MERMAID and TROPOS Projects. collected at operational sites and is
14. Stuvier et al (2020) Stakeholder Involvement in Technological Design: Lessons Learned from the MERMAID and TROPOS Projects. already being shared through

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 37


Part Three: Sustainability of the Industry

certain platforms and partnerships.15 co-location and multi-use guidelines)


and thus enable robust sector-based
Under the auspices of the UN Global planning while still accommodating
Compact Ocean Stewardship plans for multiple objectives.16
Coalition, industry partners and
planners are coming together, to Taken against the backdrop of our
discuss how to accelerate data- increasingly busy oceans, which in
sharing across regions and further fact, need to get busier to meet the
understand the applicability and SDGs and climate targets, now more
uses of offshore wind data in MSP. than ever, we need a strategic,
This will help to support more sustainable and inclusive vision of
resilient ocean and data-driven our oceans. We cannot operate in
planning which can respond to siloes and solve one challenge,
changes in our climate. without considering how it is part of
and connected to our wider
Under the UN Global Compact planetary and social crises.
Sustainable Ocean Principles,
responsible ocean-going companies For the offshore wind industry, the UN
are encouraged to share relevant Global Compact Sustainable Ocean
data with academia and authorities Principles offer a holistic framework
to strengthen ocean science and to incorporate ocean sustainability
science-based decision making. into business operations and to
consider individual companies within
While a holistic MSP process has been a wider context. And while certainly
criticised by some for delaying the not perfect, MSP offers a framework
rapid scale-up of offshore wind, this to balance objectives, and especially
does not necessarily have to be the when using a climate-smart
case. In addition to avoiding litigation approach, offers win-wins for nature,
or conflict further down the line, people and the climate.
depending on the local conditions and
specific needs, a combination of With input from: Martha Selwyn,
planning mechanisms could even be UN Global Compact
used. For example, having a sectoral
15. For examples, see Ocean Data Platform (https://www.
renewable energy plan nested within oceandata.earth/) and Orsted and NOAA data-sharing
MSP can ensure more detailed siting MoU (https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/noaa-signs-
data-share-agreement-with-offshore-wind-energy-
and elaboration of sector-specific company).
policies (e.g., mitigation measures, 16. Government of Ireland

38 GWEC.NET
PART FOUR: TECHNOLOGY

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 39


Part Four: Technology

Next generation of offshore wind turbine technology


Technology innovation has been a
primary driver in the dramatic cost Rotor size and power rating continue to increase
Based on commercial offshore wind turbine installation
reductions of renewables, allowing
wind power, especially offshore
wind, to move from the margins of 240
the energy sector to the mainstream. 15-17
220
11-13
Rotor size and power rating 200
continue to increase 10

Rotor diameter (m)


180
Since the world’s first offshore wind 8
turbine, the Bonus B35-450kW, was 160
installed at the Vindeby site in 140
Denmark in 1991, the power rating of
6.2
5
offshore wind turbine has grown 120
significantly. The global average 100 3.6
offshore wind turbine size has
passed the milestone of 1.5 MW in 80
2000, 2.5 MW in 2005 and 6.0 MW in 2
60
2020. Excluding China and Vietnam
where more of the smaller offshore 40
0.46
turbine models have been installed, 20 Power rating (MW)
the average turbine rating for new
0
installations reached 8.1 MW in 2021
and expected to pass the 12 MW 1991 2000 2003 2008 2012 2017 2021 2022/2023e 2024/2025e
mark in 2025.
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, June 2022

Drivers of offshore wind turbine


technology innovation cost of energy (LCOE) to make annual energy production (AEP). global offshore average LCOE has
The increase of the power rating and offshore wind a competitive energy For example, Siemens Gamesa’s dropped by more than 65% in the
rotor diameter for offshore wind source. To reduce LCOE, size newest offshore model, the SG past ten years, a key contributor to
turbines has been driven mainly by matters. A bigger turbine has a 14-236 DD, can increase AEP by this has been the scale that the
the following factors: higher power rating, longer blade, more than 30% compared to its deployment of the new supersized
and a higher tower, increased predecessor, the SG 11-200 DD. offshore wind turbines can
O Pressure to reduce the levelised technical capacity increases the According to BloombergNEF, the achieve.

40 GWEC.NET
Part Four: Technology

O CAPEX saving for foundations,


inter-array cables and installation.
Although a larger turbine per unit
is more costly than a smaller one,
recent research from Rystad
Energy estimated that installing
the 14 MW turbine for a new 1 GW
offshore windfarm would create
cost savings of nearly $100 million
compared to the currently
available 10 MW machine.

O OPEX saving due to fewer turbine


units. O&M costs account for
approximately 25-30% of total
project life-cycle costs. Fewer units
means fewer components, as well
as the need for fewer vessels and
fewer technicians.

O Achieving the large-scale


integration of offshore wind
through scale, reduced
transmission expenditure, lower
balancing costs and improved
output certainty.

Direct drive and medium speed


drivetrain continue to gain
popularity
Four different drivetrain technologies
have been used in the offshore wind
industry in the last three decades. As
of today, however, the direct drive
turbine with a permanent magnet
synchronous generator (DD PMSG)
and the medium speed turbine with

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 41


Part Four: Technology

Case Study: Advantages of an turn encoder or resolver the motor is


offshore yaw and pitch motor equipped with, allows for high positioning
with permanent magnet precision which can optimise wind energy
technology harvesting.
Provided by: Bonfiglioli
By nature, PM motors have higher efficiency
With over 30 years of experience with the if compared to traditional AC induction or DC
world’s major wind turbine OEMs, Bonfiglioli motors. They further avoid energy waste
creates, designs and produces advanced during the braking and deceleration phases
solutions to deliver tailor-made Yaw and Pitch of pitch and especially yaw drive. In fact, such
drives both for onshore and offshore wind regenerative energy can be recovered in
applications. This includes an important energy-storing devices (i.e. batteries or
design of the Yaw & Pitch Electric Motor for supercaps) and then reutilised to support
offshore wind, drawing on permanent high energy demand, auxiliary devices or
magnet (PM) motor technology. emergency cases.

Today, PM motor technology (both interior Thanks to four quadrant control modes and
permanent magnet, or IPM, and surface the capability of being controlled with full
permanent magnet, or SPM) represents a torque at zero speed, normal dynamic
key factor for the current and next braking is exclusively electric (then
generation of wind turbines. The clear potentially regenerated). This relegates the
advantages brought by PM to manufacturers mechanical brake to the function of Static
and to power producers include: ease of Holding Brake or Emergency Brake, and
installation, energy efficiency, improved potentially removes the hassles related to
energy harvesting and lower maintenance. mechanical brake maintenance.

More specifically, the obvious advantage Finally, Bonfiglioli’s PM technology, both in


comes from the torque density of electric SPM and IPM configurations, covers all
motors, thus reducing problems of space possible wind turbine models currently
and installation constraints. Such motors operating in the market.
have very low rotor inertia, which combined
with a very high starting torque, enable an Find out more here: https://www.bonfiglioli.
extremely fast and continuous micro- com/international/en
adjustment of blade pitching and nacelle
yawing. This feature, along with the multi-

42 GWEC.NET
Part Four: Technology

increasing commodity prices for key


Trend of offshore wind turbine drivetrain technology
materials including rare earth
Conventional HS PMSG Conventional DFIG Direct Drive PMSG elements (REEs) have put a lot of
Conventional SCIG Medium Speed PMSG pressure on direct drive producers
in 2021. In order to stay on top of the
100 competition, Chinese direct drive
turbine producers, including
Goldwind, the world’s largest DD
80 PMSG producer, have recently
switched to MS PMSG turbine
60 technology for their next generation
of offshore turbines.

40 Among the Chinese turbine OEMs,


Mingyang is the first supplier to
introduce the MS PMSG offshore
20
turbine to the local market. The
company is also the world’s largest
0 MS PMSG offshore turbine supplier,
2016 Europe 2016 China 2021 Europe 2021 China as of 2021. According to the Chinese
offshore wind turbine technology
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, June 2022
road map for the next five years (see
page 45), GWEC Market
a permanent magnet synchronous solution having the highest market Intelligence predicts that the
generator (MS PMSG) are the two share in China until 2021. medium speed drivetrain solution is
primary drivetrain technologies in likely to overtake the DD PMSG
Europe, each with almost equal The DD PMSG technology started solution as the most popular
market share in 2021. gaining market share in the Chinese technology in China before 2025.
offshore market from 2017 and
In China, in addition to these two became the most popular Continuous innovation
technologies, the conventional high technology in 2021 as more large Considering the increasing pressure
speed wind turbines with Double- DD PMSG turbines were installed by for offshore wind to reach grid parity,
Fed Induction Generator (DFIG), local suppliers such as Goldwind, GWEC Market Intelligence believes
Squirrel Cage Induction Generator Shanghai Electric, Dongfang and that the size of offshore wind
(SCIG) and High Speed PMSG (HS Harbin Electric (XEMC). turbines will continue to grow. A cost
PMSG) are still commercially Nevertheless, the severe competition reduction survey conducted by
available with the conventional SCIG based on per MW cost as well as NREL and Berkeley LAB in 2021

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 43


Part Four: Technology

Offshore Wind Turbine Technology Road Map (excluding China)

15
Traditional Fast Speed Direct Drive
14 Medium Speed Floating Turbine
Solid line: the installation has been completed
13 Dashed line: new product was released but the prototype is not installed yet

12

11

10

7
MW

0
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, June 2022

44 GWEC.NET
Part Four: Technology

Offshore Wind Turbine Technology Road Map (China only)

16
15
14
13
12
11
10

7
MW

3
Traditional Fast Speed Direct Drive
2
Medium Speed Floating Turbine
Solid line: the installation has been completed
1 Dashed line: new product was released but the prototype is not installed yet

0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, June 2022

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 45


Part Four: Technology

shows that a 17 MW offshore turbine


with a rotor size of 250m is predicted
for instalment in 2035. GWEC’s
offshore wind ambassador and
pioneer in offshore wind, Henrik
Stiesdal has also predicted that the
next generation offshore turbine
technology could reach 20 MW with
a 275m rotor diameter by 2030.

However, it must be noted that the


possibilities and limits for future
offshore turbine design will be
determined by factors such as the
existing supply chain and
infrastructure, drivetrain
optimisation, foundation design,
materials constraints, the logistical
constraints for both transportation
and installation as well as
permitting. To further unlock the
potential of offshore wind,
technology innovation will remain
key and advances in this area are
expected to continue.

Considering the increasing pressure


for offshore wind to reach grid parity,
GWEC Market Intelligence believes
that the size of offshore wind turbines
will continue to grow.

46 GWEC.NET
Part Four: Technology

Case study: How do you avoid overpressure with dry air to block the salt
connector corrosion in offshore wind corrosion process on the metallic surfaces.
turbines? Additionally, the surface coating is widely
Provided by: HARTING applied for the metallic subsystems and
components, such as generators, converters,
motors and cabinets.
Offshore wind turbines are exposed to harsh
environmental conditions such as high humidity Connectors have become an indispensable
and corrosive salt throughout their lifetime. element of the modern wind industry. They
Although there are no statistics available for the speed up the assembly and disassembly of
offshore wind industry, the economic losses due individual components, encourage modular
to corrosion in industrialised countries can designs, and thus significantly reduce costs over
represent up to 6% of the gross national the entire service life. The metallic connector
product1. Therefore, a complete corrosion hoods and housings from HARTING and many
protection of the turbines’ metallic surfaces other suppliers are generally made of
must function optimally over their planned aluminium using a die-casting process to
operational life of 25 years or more to keep the ensure a very demanding electromagnetic
Levelised Cost of Energy (LCOE) from offshore casting (EMC) functionality and to provide
wind under control. robust mechanical strength. However, precise
guidelines for corrosion protection of
Many corrosion protection methods have been connectors in the wind turbine are not provided
adopted for the offshore wind industry. For the in current industry standards.
external surfaces of the foundations under and
near sea water, the corrosion protection is HARTING recently issued a white paper that
prescribed in current industry guidelines based takes a closer look at the use of connectors and
on experiences from the oil and gas industry. the issue of corrosion. Possible types of
Cathodic protection (CP) of offshore structures corrosion and the resulting problems and
with galvanic anodes is a well-established requirements for connectors are also
corrosion prevention technique2. Inside the considered. Finally, different strategies are
nacelle and tower, the active desalter and discussed for minimising the risks of corrosion
dehumidifier create a relatively constant and ensuring corrosion protection that lasts for
the entire service life of the connector.
1. Corrosion: a challenge for materials science, Crespy, Daniel; Landfester,
Katharina, Yearly Book of Max-Planck-Gesellschaft 2014/2015.
2. Corrosion Risks and Mitigation Strategies for Offshore Wind Turbine
Find out more: https://www.harting.com/UK/
Foundations, Kathy Riggs Larsen, Materials Performance, 05.04.2021 en-gb/markets/wind-energy

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 47


Part Four: Technology

Green hydrogen and Power-to-X


Generating electricity from Green hydrogen is produced via (Power-to-Power). Each sector will
renewables and reducing energy electrolysis, fed by renewable require targeted approaches,
demand are two key planks of the energy sourced from an adjacent especially given the varying costs
transition to net zero. In the hard-to- asset or the grid. Wind-to-green and conversion efficiency rates
abate sectors where direct hydrogen can be compressed and attached to each application.
electrification is challenging, stored in a tank system for offloading
additional technologies will be when needed. Through an offshore Power-to-X is particularly capable of
required to achieve decarbonisation. hydrogenation platform, liquid providing solutions, feedstock and
hydrogen (LH2) can be converted to green fuels for hard-to-electrify
As offshore wind power generation synthetic natural gas (SNG), better sectors such as heavy road transport,
increases, a proportion of the energy known as methane, before being shipping and aviation, as well as
generated may not reach the power shipped to end-users for multiple steel and cement production and
grid due to cost or technical purposes. chemicals manufacturing.
constraints. Locating electrolysers
near offshore wind farms would Applications of Power-to-X While different types of hydrogen
enable the production of green Offshore wind energy can also can bolster energy security by
hydrogen – an attractive proposition power electrolysers located on oil reducing import dependence,
especially for far-from-shore projects and gas platforms to produce green mitigating exposure to fossil fuel
in deep waters. hydrogen using seawater. The green prices and boosting system
hydrogen is blended into the gas flexibility, green hydrogen is
As a clean-burning gas that emits only and transported to land via the naturally best suited to support the
water at the point of combustion, existing infrastructure. It is estimated journey to net zero.
green hydrogen can become an that up to 20% of hydrogen by
important piece in the jigsaw puzzle volume can be mixed into existing Several countries have ambitious
of a net zero energy system. Today’s gas pipeline flows.1 hydrogen roadmaps in place, with
prevalent “grey hydrogen” is IRENA identifying China, the EU,
produced from fossil fuels such as Stored electricity can also be India, Japan, Korea and the US as
methane and coal, emitting large combined with captured CO2 to early adopters. For instance, with
amounts of CO2. “Blue hydrogen” make carbon-neutral liquid fuels or annual consumption of more than 24
relies on the same production process to generate heat through heat pumps million tonnes, China is the world’s
but pairs it with carbon capture and or electric boilers (Power-to-Heat), largest user and producer of
storage (CCS) technologies, adding or contained in underground hydrogen. Although China’s
significant cost and a degree of formations such as salt domes and
inefficiency regarding capture rates. fed back to the grid when needed 1. GWEC, Global Offshore Wind Report 2021.

48 GWEC.NET
Part Four: Technology

hydrogen production is solar and onshore wind – especially But whether green hydrogen can
predominantly coal-based, China in the geographies where these two ultimately play the wide-ranging role
has more than 30 green hydrogen energy sources are widely available. that its proponents envisage is still
projects in the works. The current uncertain, especially as renewable
Five-Year Plan (2021-2025) lists At an estimated cost of around $1/kg electrification and storage
hydrogen as one of China’s six by 2050, green hydrogen is on the technologies continue to advance.
industries of the future, and a path to becoming cost-competitive
number of provinces and cities have with grey or blue hydrogen.2 This is As renewable electricity and
launched hydrogen strategies. especially the case in light of shifting electrolyser costs fall and availability
price dynamics around high-cost rises, green hydrogen could easily
India launched its National Hydrogen gas generation. BloombergNEF has replace grey hydrogen in refineries
Mission in August 2021, with the found that, in the aftermath of and for producing ammonia and
ambition of becoming “a global hub Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the cost methanol. It could also be used to
for green hydrogen production and differential between grey and green produce chemicals and manufacture
export”. The government is hydrogen has already reached the steel, with pilot projects already
considering making it mandatory for tipping point. The levelised cost of happening in Germany’s Saxony-
refineries and fertiliser plants to use grey hydrogen from fossil gas stands Anhalt “chemical triangle” region
some green hydrogen. India is also at $6.71/kg in the EMEA region, and in Australia, where steelmaker
the world’s largest ammonia while green hydrogen produced BlueScope aims to work with the
importer, a key input for fertiliser using European electrolysers costs Commonwealth Scientific and
production. $4.84-6.68/kg. In China, green Industrial Research Organisation
hydrogen is priced at $3.22/kg, (CSIRO) to replace coal with coke
Assessing the competitiveness of against $5.28/kg for grey hydrogen. oven gas, which contains 60%
green hydrogen hydrogen, subsequently adding
Some experts argue that generating IRENA has calculated that, driven by green hydrogen.
green hydrogen from surplus R&D and economies of scale in
renewable energy does not make manufacturing facilities, electrolysers The case for powering heat pumps
sense in a highly connected, could become 40% cheaper by appears weaker, considering how
continent-scale energy system. 2030, making green hydrogen expensive carbon would have to be
While offshore wind is highly cost-competitive with blue hydrogen in order to make green hydrogen
compatible with green hydrogen by the same date. By 2050, the IEA’s competitive with natural gas or
production, it may be unable to Net Zero 2050 roadmap suggests green electricity.
compete on cost with production that hydrogen production will be
based on a combination of cheaper almost entirely based on low-carbon In the transport sector, the use of
technologies, with green hydrogen hydrogen in passenger road
2. https://about.bnef.com/blog/hydrogen-economy-offers- accounting for two thirds of global vehicles is unlikely, given cost-
promising-path-to-decarbonization/ production. competitiveness and convenience

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 49


Part Four: Technology

considerations, but the prospects are Supply Chain), however, could Whatever the pace of green
rosier for long-distance shipping and disrupt a trend of falling costs and hydrogen expansion, offshore wind
aviation, where electrification is slow down growth of green will be a major source of power for
unlikely to provide all the answers. hydrogen. Low electricity prices are it. For instance, following the North
essential for producing competitive Sea Summit in May, Danish
At the power system level, it has green hydrogen. developer Copenhagen
been argued that green hydrogen, Infrastructure Partners (CIP) shared
stored at strategic locations and Scaling green hydrogen on the plans to build an artificial “hydrogen
moved around as needed, could global level island” in the Danish North Sea.
provide resilience when up to 90% of Countries with the potential to Electricity from 10 GW of offshore
generation comes from variable generate large amounts of low-cost wind capacity would power
renewable energy sources. renewable energy are prime electrolysers to produce nearly 1
candidates for becoming producers million tonnes of green hydrogen
According to the IEA, global of green hydrogen, especially if they annually for export to neighbouring
electrolyser capacity stood at 0.3 also have access to water and the northern European countries via 275
GW in 2020, mostly using grid capability to export to large demand kilometres of pipelines.
electricity to produce hydrogen. The centres.
agency estimates electrolyser It is no surprise that intense
capacity to reach almost 17 GW by Several countries with widely international collaboration is ongoing
2026, based on an announced differing locations and conditions to both advance technological
pipeline of 260 GW globally. Almost could become leaders in the green developments and support
half of the planned expansion is hydrogen production race. Scotland, hydrogen production in countries
expected to use existing renewable for example, with its vast offshore with significant renewable energy
capacity, with most announced wind resources and existing oil and generation opportunities. More than
projects ranging from 1 MW to 10 gas infrastructure, is well placed to 30 countries already have hydrogen
MW in size and being located close play a major role. On the other side strategies that include import or
to industrial sites and ports. of the globe, Australia has immense export plans, according to IRENA,
potential for cheap wind and solar and cross-border hydrogen trade
Larger projects of 10-100 MW are generation. With a more favourable looks set to grow considerably in the
expected to rely on some 18 GW of political outlook for net zero policies coming years.
additional renewable capacity than it has enjoyed for decades, it
during 2021-26, most of which could could gain a prime position. Several But whether the technical potential to
come from China, Chile, Spain and countries in Africa and the Middle produce hydrogen at export scale
Australia. East, such as Egypt and the UAE, can be realised will also depend on
are exploring opportunities factors like government support, the
Supply chain pressures in the to become hydrogen investment climate and political
renewables sector (see Part One: exporters. stability.

50 GWEC.NET
Part Four: Technology

Floating offshore wind — five years we expect to see the


delivery of a number of projects
between 100 and 500 MW, and this

a global opportunity learning applied to de-risk delivery


of the first multi-GW floating projects
by the end of the decade in both
Europe and East Asia. GWEC’s
Floating offshore wind has the from the current demonstration forecast is for total installations to
potential to expand rapidly to deliver stage into full commercialisation by reach 18.9 GW by 2030 ( see graph
the renewable energy capacity the the middle of this decade. on page 97). Rapid growth will come
world needs, and 2021 witnessed late in the decade however, with 73%
further breakthroughs in the sector. Market status and activities of this capacity coming in 2028, 2029
In 2021 the UK’s Kincardine floating In the past decade, MW-scale and 2030.
offshore wind farm came online, floating technologies have been
taking global floating offshore wind tested through demonstration and By the end of the decade, we expect
capacity to 139 MW, while Equinor pilot projects in both Europe and South Korea, the UK, the US, Spain
has now commenced construction of Asia. There are now floating and Ireland to be the top five global
its Hywind Tampen floating project. offshore wind farms operating floating markets. It is expected that
Development activity has continued successfully in the UK and Portugal, Europe will retain its dominant
to accelerate in a number of different as well as a significant pipeline of position in leading floating offshore
markets, with leasing activity in projects in different markets across wind development with 59% global
France, the UK and California, and the globe. The success of the UK’s market share, closely followed by
early-stage development activity in a ScotWind leasing round, where 15 Asia (29%) and then North America
wide variety of countries, including GW out of 25 GW of sites awarded (12%).
South Korea, Ireland, Japan, Norway, leasing contracts are for floating
Colombia and Italy. projects, highlights the sector’s Floating wind’s current contribution
appetite to move rapidly to the to total offshore wind installations is
An important feature of floating delivery of large GW-scale only 0.2%, but it will play an
offshore wind is the significant projects. increasingly important role toward
presence of several large European the end of this decade, accounting
oil and gas companies. These However, over the remainder of this for 6.0% of total installed offshore
companies have unparalleled decade, the sector will need to shift wind capacity in 2030. Looking
offshore engineering skills and from a pre-commercial to fully ahead, post-2030, it is expected that
financial strengths. Their deep-water commercial model, and to do this this proportion will continue to rise
experience, combined with successfully it will need to grapple for two reasons. First, as mature and
knowledge from fixed offshore wind with a number of supply chain and maturing markets like the UK and
developers, will take floating wind installation challenges. Over the next US start to experience constraints

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 51


Part Four: Technology

and capability and shift from in emissions reduction. Policy and


Drivers and constraints considered for the next floating wind markets bespoke to mass production of regulatory action are needed to
critical components like platforms, support port infrastructure, supply
Site conditions anchors, mooring systems and chain, grid access and a route to
Wind speeds and bathymetry are key factors to determine the technical dynamic cables. market/revenue.
potential of a market and gauge the attractiveness of sites.
At the start of 2022, GWEC While we have identified five
Policy environment published a report titled, Floating geographies that could become a
Government targets and dependability of the regulatory framework for Offshore Wind – a Global “chasing pack” behind more mature
renewable energy influence market maturity and attractiveness. Opportunity. This report looked at markets, there is a much larger
where we might see the next group of countries where the
Support regime generation of floating offshore wind conditions are right for successful
Available subsidies and precedence from previous renewable projects growth, as other countries seek to floating offshore wind growth. What’s
affect ease of financing for offshore wind projects. emulate pioneer floating markets more, as understanding of this
like the UK, France, South Korea and technology increases through
Permitting regime Japan. We identified 30 markets commercial deployment, costs will
Governance, requirements and clarity of permitting process determine with the right conditions and fall and make floating offshore wind
project development lead-time and cost. profiled five geographies in a clear option for many more
different global regions to look at countries around the globe.
Supply chain and infrastructure. (ports) what conditions needed to be in
Current port capacities, domestic industrial capabilities and potential place and what constraints had to Long timeframes between
synergies from existing industries influence cost of installation. be overcome. inception and energisation mean
that to see floating offshore wind
Transmission grid Drivers and constraints growth from now into the 2030s,
Substations close to connection point, current transmission grid considered for the next floating we need market frameworks over
capabilities, as well as planned buildout affect the offtake situation wind markets the next few years. Our
Our report highlighted opportunities experience of supporting market
in California, Ireland, Italy, Morocco growth in countries like Japan,
and the Philippines. For these Vietnam, Brazil, Colombia and the
geographies to become hubs of Philippines shows that there is
on fixed offshore wind growth, This means that while floating floating offshore wind activity growing appetite across the
floating offshore wind offers a route offshore wind growth across the depends on one critical factor: policy globe, as well as an understanding
to development of new areas. current decade is impressive, these ambition. Governments need to act of the readiness of floating
Second, as costs continue to fall, early commercial schemes are as the catalyst for kickstarting offshore wind to support
new markets where fixed offshore essentially pathfinders, with industry successful floating offshore wind national goals to decarbonise
wind was not an option will rapidly using this experience to bring down deployment, which can bring and meet growing electricity
open up. costs, ramp up supply chain capacity economic advantage and rapid action demand.

52 GWEC.NET
MARKET STATUS 2021

53
Market Status 2021

Annual installations 17 GW of new capacity O With 3.3 GW of offshore wind offshore wind last year, making it
2021 saw 21.1 GW offshore wind connected in 2021. This capacity added in 2021, Europe the largest European offshore
become grid connected worldwide, astounding level of growth was accounted for the majority of the wind market in 2021, followed by
setting a new record in the offshore driven by the expiry of Feed-in- remaining new installed capacity. Denmark (608 MW) and the
wind industry. Tariffs (FiTs) for offshore wind at Netherlands (392 MW).
the end of 2021 - the same O With projects awarded in the
O China led the world in annual policy shifts that created a huge Contracts for Difference (CfD) O No offshore wind turbines were
offshore wind installations for the rush in onshore wind Round 2 in 2017 coming online, installed in Germany during 2021,
fourth year in a row with nearly installations in 2020. the UK installed 2.3 GW of new although there was one small

New offshore installations 2006-2021 (MW)

21106
Europe
China 3317
Rest of world

CAGR*
+36%

16900

6243 6852

4472 4296 2936


3382 3627
2223
1306 1674 1684 3196 2661
622 1031 1002 3018 3845
90 208 459 159 131 1611 39 1455 361 1564 592 1161 1600
2493 889
6 941 90 816 27 1172 3 24 229 3 67 115 35 123 72

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Ofs share of new installations 1% 3% 5-10% 23%

*Compound Annual Growth Rate.


Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, June 2022

54 GWEC.NET
Market Status 2021

offshore wind project under O Taiwan was due to commission cumulative global offshore wind
construction. The slow-down was more than 1 GW of offshore wind installations, 18% lower than the
primarily caused by previously capacity from three projects last previous year. The sharp drop of
unfavourable market conditions year based on the project COD its market share is primarily due to
and a low level of ready-to-build plans, but only the 109 MW the remarkable growth of the
offshore wind projects in the Changhua demonstration project offshore sectors in China and
pipeline. came online. The delays are Vietnam in 2021.
primarily caused by COVID-19
O In 2021 Norway commissioned related disruptions. O As the world’s second largest
the 3.6 MW TetraSpar floating regional market, Asia is trailing
foundation demonstration project O The United States is the only behind Europe by less than 1% in
at the Metcenter Test site. market with an offshore wind cumulative installations. China is
Together with the five units of 9.5 project in operation in the the largest market in the region,
MW floating wind turbines Americas, but no offshore projects followed by Vietnam, Taiwan, South
connected at the Kincardine were built in 2021. Korea and Japan.
floating wind farm in Scotland
and the one 5.5 MW floating Cumulative installations O Outside Europe and Asia, North
prototype unit installed at the The global offshore market grew on America has 42 MW offshore wind
Yangxi Shapa III offshore wind average by 36% per year in the past in operation as of the end of last
farm in China, a total of 57 MW of decade, bringing total installations to year from the Block Island wind
floating wind capacity was 56 GW, which accounted for nearly farm located in the US.
commissioned in 2021. 7% of total global wind capacity as
the end of 2021.
O Outside of China and Europe, two
other countries recorded new O In total installations, the top spot
offshore wind installations in 2021: has been held by the UK since
Vietnam (779 MW, intertidal only) 2009, but as GWEC predicted, Floating wind
and Taiwan (109 MW). China took over the leading
O 57.1 MW of floating wind was O As of 2021, a total of 121.4 MW
position by the end of 2021. The
O Driven by the 1st of November FiT other markets in the global installed in 2021, of which 48 MW of net floating wind is installed
deadline, 20 intertidal projects in top-five are: Germany, the was in the UK, 5.5 MW in China globally, of which 78 MW is
Vietnam fully or partially reached Netherlands and Denmark. and 3.6 MW in Norway. located in the UK, 25 MW in
their commercial operation dates Portugal, 5.9 in Norway, 5.5 MW
O Two floaters were
(COD) last year according to EVN O Europe remains the largest in China, 5 MW in Japan and 2
decommissioned last year. One
(Vietnam Electricity), making it the offshore wind regional market as MW in France.
unit, of 5 MW, in Japan and
third largest market in new of the end of 2021. The region was another, of 2 MW, in the UK.
installations in 2021. responsible for 50.4% of total

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 55


Market Status 2021

New offshore wind installations by market Total offshore wind installations by market

Taiwan 1% Norway 0.5% Others 7%


Netherlands 2%
Denmark 3% Denmark 4%
Vietnam 4%
United Kingdom 11% Netherlands 5%

21.1GW Germany 14% 55.9GW

China 80% China 47%

United Kingdom 22%

New offshore wind installations by region Total offshore wind installations by region
North America 0.1%

Europe 16%

21.1GW APAC 49.5% 55.9GW

APAC 84% Europe 50%

Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, June 2022

56 GWEC.NET
MARKETS TO WATCH

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 57


Markets to Watch

Vietnam commitment to become net zero by


2050. This led to a significant
increase in the wind target in PDP8
proposed in the PDP8 draft to lower
the cost needed for grid upgrades.
Recently, the national assembly has
The long-awaited Power target to 7GW of offshore wind by passed a law to allow private sector
Development Plan VIII (PDP 8) - 2030 and 16GW of ONS, meaning to make investment in the national
which outlines the strategies for the wind will reach 15.8% of the total grid system. All these factors pave
next decade of renewable energy installed capacity by 2030. the way for Vietnam to meet its net
development in Vietnam from zero target by 2050.
2021-2030 with a vision to 2045 - is At the same time, PDP8 still includes
expected to be approved within the coal projects which were in PDP7 Offshore wind route to market
2022. This plan, which was changed but have not been built. These Prior to the announcement of Draft
substantially after COP26, is a projects are likely to be further PDP8, the World Bank Group (WBG)
significant piece of legislation that delayed due to the challenge of and Danish Energy Agency (DEA)
enables the country to move towards obtaining finance for coal projects cooperated to develop an Offshore
a green economy with better grid worldwide. Once these projects are Wind Development Roadmap for
stability and a larger share of late, there a big chance that the Vietnam which outlines ways to tap
renewable energy generation. government will look at renewable into the country’s huge offshore wind
energy, including offshore wind, to potential.
The offshore wind target was replace them.
increased from 2GW in the first draft The WBG estimated that the offshore
to 7GW by 2030 in the most recent The higher ambition of wind and wind technical potential for Vietnam
draft released in April. This draft plan renewable energy is in-line with the is 599 GW (261 GW for fixed
was approved by an appraisal Politburo’s Resolution No. 55-NQ/TW foundation and 338 GW for floating
committee and is waiting for a final to diversify1 the energy mix and to foundation)2 and DEA’s estimation
decision from the Prime Minister at ensure the country is ready for indicated that after a constraints
the time of writing this report. The energy transition. analysis, Vietnam will be left with a
ambitious target will not only cement highly realisable technical potential
Vietnam as a regional offshore wind It is clear that renewable energy is of 160GW.3
leader, but also marks Vietnam as a the key to Vietnam’s energy
global energy leader. In order to transition. However, the increasing The 7GW target of offshore wind by
meet this ambitious target, a clear penetration of renewable energy into 2030 set in PDP8 is very ambitious
and transparent legal framework the system also brings a need for for a new market like Vietnam, yet it
needs to be issued no later than the grid upgrades. A regional target was is achievable if the regulatory
end of 2023. 1. https://www.bakermckenzie.com/en/insight/publications/2020/02/vietnam-national-energy-development-strategy
2. https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/340451572465613444/pdf/Technical-Potential-for-Offshore-Wind-in-
PDP 8 development to date Vietnam-Map.pdf
3. https://ens.dk/sites/ens.dk/files/Globalcooperation/d5_-_input_to_roadmap_for_offshore_wind_development_in_
At COP26, Vietnam made a strong vietnam_full_report_english_final_2020-09-21.pdf

58 GWEC.NET
Markets to Watch

framework is put in place swiftly. To sufficient time to create suitable


meet that target, a route to market guidance, regulations, evaluation
process to enable the installation of criteria and other elements of
7+ GW offshore wind by 2030 needs auction design. Simple renumeration mechanism Robust marine spatial planning
which is quick to implement
to be issued quickly.
O A clear, coordinated and
Currently, Vietnam does not have any streamlined permitting process to
true offshore wind installed. Given the ensure projects can be Clear timeline for Improved PPA bankability
typical development and construction implemented on time and secure implementation of Auction to attract international
Enabling finance
timeline of 5-7 years for projects after seabed exclusivity for 7+ GW of OFW
all the permitting hurdles are cleared, development work; this also Installation by 2030
getting the first generation of offshore requires a centralized and well-
VIETNAM ROUTE TO
wind connected by 2030 will require organized development/permitting Clear streamlined MARKET PROCESS Grid planning and
consultation and establishment of office within the government which permitting process operational upgrades for
OFW integration
policy and regulatory frameworks to can oversee the necessary
begin today. Key components include: licenses and approvals from
various public bodies, with a focus
O A simple remuneration on implementing, collecting and
Centralised & well-organised Other supporting policies
mechanism which is quick to coordinating consultations and development/permitting office such as supply chain
implement: Given how long it comments; within the governmentp development plan etc

takes to develop and run an


effective auction for offshore wind O A marine spatial planning (MSP)
(typically 3-4 years), the first 4-5 approach which allows for a light investment volumes required for deliverability on-schedule and
GW of projects should be mechanism to ensure projects can offshore wind. Domestic banks and concrete guidance on the
developed through a transitional get underway in the next few institutions may not be able to requirements for successful
mechanism made available in the years, while a more robust provide sufficient capital to a new developers; the Government may
next 1-3 years; framework is developed to ensure sector such as offshore wind, also wish to consider mechanisms
smooth mid-term offshore wind particularly given current lending on encouraging private-sector
O A clear timeline for the planning and mitigation of conflict limits. investment in transmission to solve
implementation of an auction by between ocean users; upcoming transmission challenges.
middle of the decade which can O Grid planning and operational
provide a clear signal of O Improved PPA bankability to attract upgrades to facilitate the Besides these issues, the Vietnamese
procurement schedules for international finance, which will be integration of offshore wind, with government also needs other policy
long-term investment4 and required to bring in the large consideration of location (the to develop a strong local supply
proximity to power load centre, chain and infrastructure to supply for
4. GWEC elaborates on the best practices to transition from an initial procurement scheme to a competitive auction for
offshore wind in this report on offshore wind in Vietnam from 2021: https://gwec.net/vietnams-future-transition-to-offshore-
e.g. north and south), well- the offshore wind industry in
wind-auctions-international-best-practices-and-lessons-learned/. managed timelines to ensure Vietnam.

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 59


Markets to Watch

Taiwan totalling 109 MW. This will be


followed by a series of projects
including Greater Changhua 1 & 2a
Taiwan is the third-largest offshore (900 MW), Formosa II (376 MW),
wind market in the Asia-Pacific Yunlin (640 MW) and Changfang
region, after mainland China and Phase 1 (100MW). Greater
Vietnam. With ambitious targets and Changhua 1 & 2a delivered first
a significant and clear pipeline laid power in April 2022 and is expected
out, the market has attracted eager to be completed by the end of 2022.
interest from leading offshore wind Formosa II and Yunlin are both under
developers and technology construction and should make
providers. significant progress in 2022.

As of today, two offshore wind Increased Round 3 offshore wind


projects under the Demonstration target showing green ambition
Incentive Program have come online: Offshore wind is a key component of
Formosa 1, totalling 128 MW, and Taiwan’s green economy vision,
Changhua Demonstration project, which includes a scenario to

Ikh`k^llbhgh_MZbpZglpbg]ikh\nk^f^gmf^\aZgblfl

+6 GW
+9 GW

128 MW +5 GW

Round 1 Round 2 (2020-2025) Round 3 Round 3


(Demonstration Phase) Selection process Phase 1 (2026-2031) Phase 2 (2032-2035)
Two demonstration allocated 3,836 MW 1.5GW/year Totalling 6 GW to be
projects (128 MW and COD 2020-2025 Totalling 9 GW to be grid connected
109 MW) connected from regulations to be
Auction process 2026-2031 released based on the
allocated 1,664 MW results from Round 3
COD 2020-2025 Auction taking place in Phase 1
Both selection and 2022, 2023 and 2024
auction process with each auction
allocated 3 GW
(covering two years)
Photo: Orsted

Priority to projects with


EIA and at <50m
water depth
Source: MOEA, May 2022

60 GWEC.NET
Markets
Markets
to watch
to Watch
2021

Market outlook for cumulative installed offshore wind capacity in Taiwan (MW) held later in 2022, the auction for
2027-2028 capacity (“Phase 1-2”)
15000 will be held in 2023 and that for
2030-2031 (“Phase 1- 3”) in 2024.
14,308
Critical to the steady progression of
12000 12,808
the market will be the government’s
localisation strategy, which aims to
11,308
consolidate the entire supply chain
in Taiwan, from turbine components
9000 9,808 to submarine cables to shipbuilding.
The industry must balance growth
8,308
with local content requirements.
6000 5,308
In the Round 3 documents, the
Industrial Development Bureau (IDB)
3,344 has specified a total of 26 items as
2,702 “key development items”. A bidder
3000 1,610
will have to commit to procure
237
locally all these key development
128 items for at least 60% of its proposed
0 capacity. There will also be
2020 2021 2022e 2023e 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e 2030e opportunities to go beyond the 60%
and receive additional points in the
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, June 2022 scoring system. Despite these
changes, the requirements in the
generate 20% of electricity through Round 3) will likely be conducted in May 2022 with the final rules Round 3 rules are still very
renewable energy by 2025 (which across two phases; the first phase expected by mid-year. challenging.
the government is now saying will (2026-2031) will prioritise projects at
likely happen in 2026 or 2027). In water depth of less than 50 metres. The MOEA is aiming to allocate Apart from the strict Local Content
May 2021 the government 1.5GW of offshore wind Requirement (LCR), the
announced that it would increase its Following government delays due to development each year from 2026 to Government is also introducing two
offshore wind ambitions to 15 GW COVID-19, a draft version of the 2031 for a total of 9 GW. Round 3 factors: a price ceiling and a project
over the 2026-2035 period. While Round 3 framework, including how Phase 1 capacity will be allocated cap. The Government is introducing
the original 5.7 GW tranche was much volume will be allocated and through three (3) auctions. The a price ceiling in the auction at the
procured across a selection round when, was published by The auction of 3GW for 2026-2027 1. Avoidance cost is the average price of coal fired power
and auction, the next 15 GW (termed Ministry of Economic Affairs (MOEA) (“Phase 1-1”) is scheduled to be for Taipower.

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 61


Markets to Watch

avoidance cost1 of Taipower. The In addition to local produced


government was inspired by the nacelles and components that also
example of zero-subsidies auction include transformers, switchgears,
in Europe, as well as the rotor hub, towers, foundations and
burgeoning Corporate PPA market. cables, CDWE, a joint venture
The price ceiling is giving between the Taiwanese shipbuilder
developers a big challenge as CSBC and DEME Offshore, and
market demand in the CPPA is not Dong Fang Offshore are working on
clear and the price ceiling can also the first Taiwanese flag offshore wind
deflate the CPPA price significantly. installation vessel and cable-laying
The lack of a long term stable PPA vessel respectively with the delivery
price can also lead to high risks for expected to take place next year.
project financing.
Within the next decade, Taiwan will
The other factor is the project cap, achieve more than 12 GW of installed
where projects are limited to 500 offshore wind capacity, becoming the
MW (with the possibility to increase second largest offshore wind market
100 MW). The goal of the in Asia after mainland China, with an
Government is to encourage established domestic supply chain.
competition. However, with so many The sector was supported by a
factors, LCR and project cap all feed-in tariff, a four-year wind power
together, the Government’s cost promotion plan and a relatively open
reduction target could be very hard investment environment. Limited land
to achieve at the same time. space and high energy insecurity
further compels Taiwan to look to
Development of the supply chain coastal zones for power production.
Significant supply chain investments
have already been undertaken in Power sector reform is also on the
Taiwan with further progress made horizon, with amendments in 2017 to
in the past 12 months. Following the the Electricity Business Act which
inauguration of Siemens Gamesa’s mandated the unbundling of utility
nacelle assembly facility in Taichung Taipower’s generation, transmission
in September 2021, the Vestas-Tien and distribution business, and the
Li blade manufacturing facility liberalisation of the electricity market
located at the same city built their to enable multiple business models
first blade for V174-9.5 MW offshore for direct procurement of renewable
turbine in April 2022. energy.

62 GWEC.NET
Markets to Watch

India O Beginning with financial year (FY)


2022-2023, offshore wind bids of 4
GW capacity per year for a period
decade. While this development
invites enthusiasm, the following
must be prioritised ahead of any O
and an award by April 2022.

Approval of Viability Gap Funding


India’s offshore wind sector has of three years to be rolled out off capacity bidding: by the Ministry of Finance: Viability
gained momentum as a result of the coast of Tamil Nadu and gap funding or other financial
the Prime Minister’s announcement Gujarat for sale of power through O Result of Floating LiDAR by NIWE: incentives can help to build
of net zero targets at COP26 and open access/captive/bi-lateral NIWE is yet to award the E-tender confidence and drive stakeholder
the country’s strengthened third-party sale/merchant sale. for supply, installation, and participation.
strategic ties with bilateral commissioning of integrated
institutions for harnessing green O For the subsequent five years, an floating buoys for mounting LiDARs O Policy and regulatory clarity:
energy. In a multi-pronged annual bid volume of 5 GW at three locations in Gulf of Mannar, GWEC’s India Offshore Wind
approach to bolster climate action planned until FY 2029-2030. off the Tamil Nadu coast.2 The Working Group is working with
at COP26, India also announced its E-tender has been opened up government and industry
increased ambitions of installing O Power from all offshore wind three times, with the last occasion stakeholders to share global
500 GW of non-fossil fuels-based capacities that will be bid out up to noting closure in early March 2022 experience and advocate for
power generation capacity by FY 2029-2030 shall be evacuated
2030, inclusive of 30 GW offshore and transmitted from offshore Offshore wind planned bid trajectory vs installation target vs earmarked potential
wind capacity. pooling substations to onshore 70
transmission networks free of cost.
Auctions to 2030 to include
offshore wind blocks O The first 8 GW of capacity bids
In March 2022, the Ministry of New shall be eligible for the benefits of
and Renewable Energy (MNRE) held green attributes such as carbon
an industry-wide consultation on its credits.
discussion paper “Establishment of
Offshore Wind Energy Projects to These figures convey that India 37
achieve a target of 30 GW by 2030. would award bids totalling 37 GW of 5
Planned Bid Trajectory (GW) 30
On behalf of the offshore wind capacity from 2022-2029, which can 5
industry, GWEC presented and offset the impact of unfulfilled target 5
submitted inputs to the MNRE of 5 GW by 2022. It is not yet clear 5
outlining enabling features and how much of the capacity allocated 5

prospective gaps. through bids would be installed by 4


4
2030, against the target of 30 GW of
4
After a detailed review, in June 2022, installations by the end of the
2022 203 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 Total Bid 2030 Offshore Offshore Wind
the MNRE announced India’s Capacity Wind Installation Technical Potential
1. https://pib.gov.in/PressReleseDetailm. by 2030 Target in Gujarat and Tamil
offshore wind bid trajectory as per aspx?PRID=1832708 Nadu (NIWE)
below:1 2. (Zone B1, Zone C1 & Zone E2) Credit: MNRE, NIWE, GWEC Market Intelligence

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 63


Markets to Watch

required policy clarity, cost O Under the MoU between India and even avoid this legacy challenge.
reduction strategy, and offshore Denmark, a knowledge hub called
wind roadmap. the Centre of Excellence for The MNRE could exploit India’s
Offshore Wind and Renewable massive offshore wind potential in
Important aspects to outline include: Energy (CoE) was launched in the medium to long-term to
socioeconomic awareness among September 2021 for the adoption strengthen efforts for climate
indigenous/fishing communities; of a comprehensive and coherent resilience and energy security.
developing a robust MSP framework; approach leading to cost-effective Learnings from countries in Europe
building out port and grid offshore wind power, with a view to showcase the promising role of
infrastructure; ensuring vessel mobilising significant investment. offshore wind towards supporting
availability; and offshore wind- An initial report in May 2022 India’s National Green Hydrogen
tailored regulation and standards. estimated the lowest possible mission, clean power demand from
Timely approval of permits and LCOE by 2025 and 2030 could be the commercial and industrial
allocation of clearances, power in the range of 11.2-7.4 INR/kWh segment and energy exports.
evacuation and transmission and 7.8-5.2 INR/kWh, respectively.4
infrastructure commissioning and Enabling offshore wind policies will
adherence to PPA signing timelines The Indian public sector thus be pivotal for driving investor
will also be required to ensure an undertakings (PSUs) have also been participation and project risk
expedient installation timeline. encouraged by the government to Germany-based RWE Renewables mitigation. A long-term non-solar
scale up their renewable energy and utility Tata Power Renewable RPO trajectory specific to offshore
Through strategic alliances and portfolio by participating in the Energy have signed a MoU to jointly wind and a production-linked
institutional partnerships, the forthcoming offshore wind bids. This develop offshore wind projects. incentives scheme for domestic
Governmentt of India is already has opened a door for win-win offshore wind manufacturing could
strengthening its existing expertise partnerships between international Offshore wind is critical to net support a thriving offshore wind
of offshore wind: offshore wind players and PSUs. zero by 2070 goal industry in the country. Alongside
Meeting India’s net zero target other renewable energy
O Renewable Energy Catapult and In recent years, oil and gas company requires a massive push for technologies, offshore wind must be
NIWE have announced a Joint ONGC and the National Thermal decarbonisation and renewable provided “deemed generation”
Declaration of Intent (JDI) to Power Corporation (and largest energy capacity. This will support status.
establish a 5-year collaboration power generator utility NTPC) have the transition from fossil fuels to
programme to support the UK and entered into a Memorandum of clean energy as well as meet Furthermore, a growing pool of
India’s offshore wind industry.3 Understanding (MoU) to explore evolving power demands. While innovative financing mechanisms
offshore wind opportunities. utility-scale renewable energy such as blended finance and Green/
technologies such as wind and solar Masala Bonds for the initial phase of
3. https://www.ukri.org/news/ukri-india-announces-new-initiatives-during-uk-pms-visit-to-india/ face land allocation delays for offshore wind market development
4. These revised estimates are based on recent market changes compared to the 2021 FIMOI report version-1. See:
https://coe-osw.org/first-indian-technology-catalogue-with-offshore-wind-data/. project development, offshore wind could be leveraged to support early
5. Global Wind Report 2022, GWEC has an opportunity to mitigate or project financing.

64 GWEC.NET
Markets to Watch

Brazil framework, culminating in a highly


successful meeting with then-
Minister of Mines and Energy Bento
process of granting offshore wind
farms with auctions, and charges the
payment of special participations to
Brazil is positioning itself as a highly Albuquerque and Senator Jean Paul the Union, states and municipalities
promising offshore wind market with Prates in April 2021. As a result of – resources that are not provided for
an opportunity for regional and this engagement, in the first weeks of in the presidential decree.
global leadership. Offshore wind is 2022, the long-awaited Decree Nº Discussions are ongoing and the
seen as one of the most promising 10.946/2022 was published, setting prospect of approval is still
new renewable energy technologies out the main guidelines for offshore undetermined and dependent on
in the country, contributing to a just wind projects in Brazil. several Senate assessments.
energy transition and benefiting from
green recovery packages, in which
more than R$250 billion ($49 billion) The country already has more than 100 GW
has been provisionally allocated of offshore wind energy projects registered for
over the next 10 years to invest in the
generation and transmission environmental impact assessment by IBAMA and is
infrastructure of renewable energy.
striving to establish its regulatory apparatus
The growth of the offshore wind
sector is associated with having The decree provides a framework When addressing the challenges of
positive socioeconomic benefits, for the assessment of seabed for the offshore wind in the country, it is
such as job creation, which will in development of offshore wind important to highlight Brazil’s
turn reduce the social income gap projects, and shows that the stages of proactive regulatory approach to
that exists in Brazil. Job creation will planning and permitting are being this emerging industry. At a
play a positive part in increasing the defined to ensure the effective rollout national level, environmental
average income of those in the of this technology is being facilitated. legislation and regulations have
workforce by a greater proportion already been developed in line
than that of any other existing Another positive regulatory signal is with increased market demand.
renewable energy technology. the PL 576/2021. This bill is not The country already has more than
limited to the development of 100 GW of offshore wind energy
Critical regulatory breakthroughs offshore wind solely, but also details projects registered for
2021 was a decisive year in Brazil’s the scope to produce renewable environmental impact assessment
offshore wind history. ABEEólica energy at sea, which opens up by IBAMA and is striving to
(Associação Brasileira de Energia possibilities for new technologies in establish its regulatory apparatus,
Eólica and New Technologies) led the future, such as floating offshore which should be specified later in
the charge for the creation and wind. PL 576/2021 creates a 2022, in the details of Decree No.
establishment of a regulatory regulatory framework for the 10,946/2022.

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 65


Markets to Watch

Despite this positive momentum, the institutions to obtain these guidelines


offshore wind industry will still face in 2022, thus directing the path for
significant challenges, such as how carrying out an energy auction in the
to develop a domestic supply chain. coming years. It is anticipated that by
Brazil will also need to accommodate the end of this decade the country
and organise its structure of will have its first wind turbines
maritime routes and ports, operating at sea. This would allow for
incorporating the port-industry a strong market expansion due to its
concept. There are also challenges capacity to supply other renewable
regarding transmission generation chains, such as green
infrastructure, which will need to be hydrogen.
overcome. Lastly there is the
consideration of cost and value There is no doubt that offshore wind
competitiveness within the Brazilian is already a source of investment
market, as offshore wind will need to opportunities, growth and
compete with other more mature modernisation for the Brazilian
and highly competitive supply economy. There is an opportunity for
chains, such as onshore wind and the country to be one of Latin
solar projects. America’s hubs for investment in
renewable energy technology and
What’s next on the horizon offshore wind. For this future to
A first step has already been taken materialize, it is essential that the
with the publication of the decree offshore wind industry be viewed
and the regulation of the transfer of under the concept of new industrial
use for sea areas, which should be planning integrated with energy
released later in 2022. This is the planning.
starting point for defining other
regulatory issues. One of the most
relevant aspects for investors are the
rules that will be established for
energy auctions. After the regulation
of the assignment of areas, the next
step is to hold the first offshore wind
energy auction in the country.

ABEEólica has collaborated with the


main governmental and regulatory

66 GWEC.NET
Markets to Watch

United States of the auction round generated a


revenue of USD 315 million.

Since the ambitious 30 GW by 2023 energy potential. This has been Following the Carolina Long Bay
offshore wind target was released by paired with fast paced leasing lease, completed by BOEM in May, a
the Biden–Harris Administration, auctions in a bid to align output with now clear schedule for the
there has been a noticeably positive ambition. Californian offshore wind market will
attitude towards pushing the rollout see the leasing of 373,268 acres of
of offshore wind on the political The collaborative efforts by BOEM seabed in federal waters of the
agenda. Although no new offshore and a flood of developers in the New Humboldt Call and Morro Bay Call
wind turbines were installed in the York Bight leasing round led to this areas. This boasts a potential of 4.5
US in 2022, the US offshore wind being the largest ever offshore wind GW of installed wind power
market continues to gain strong industry auction in US history. With generation. This auction, which
momentum in both state and federal the proposal being made in January follows the Call for Information and
waters. 2022, and the auction being held in Nominations for offshore wind areas
February 2022, there was a in California in 2018, is planned to
Raised action at federal level shortened timeline which saw this take place in Q4 of 2022 and will be
The Bureau of Ocean Energy auction closed in Q1 of 2022. This the first US project to award offshore
Management (BOEM) is the US leasing round saw the auction of floating wind. BOEM is expected to
organisation that manages and is circa 448,000 acres of seabed off the publish a Proposed Sale Notice in
responsible for the offshore wind coast of New York up to New Jersey Q3 of 2022 that will allow for a public
market in federal waters. Since the allocating 5.6 GW of offshore wind consultation, welcoming comments
issue of the Outer Continental Shelf capacity to six bidders. With a on the details about the two
(OCS) Renewable Energy Program, record USD 4.37 billion being proposed lease areas.2
which made the production and generated in revenue, the auction set
transmission of renewable energy new records. Looking ahead to what can be
sources like offshore wind much expected from the US and the efforts
easier to procure, BOEM has issued Coming in second to this auction of BOEM, the pathway shown in
25 commercial and 10 competitive was the announcement of the wind figure 1 indicates that the next area
offshore wind energy leases in the energy auction in Carolina Long Bay for offshore wind growth is due to be
Atlantic Ocean, ranging from which saw the auction of two leasing the Gulf of Mexico. BOEM has issued
Massachusetts to North Carolina. To areas off the coast of North and a Call for Information and
position the domestic offshore wind South Carolina. At full capacity this Nominations to assess the
industry to meet the 2030 target, region has the potential to produce commercial interest and viability in
BOEM has been extremely active in an output of 1.3 GW of offshore wind this region. In light of this, BOEM is
the past 12 months, working to energy which could power 500,000 scheduled to issue a draft
identify areas of unexplored wind homes. The two winning developers Environmental Assessment for the

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 67


Markets to Watch

Gulf of New Mexico in the middle of


US Offshore Wind Leasing Path Forward 2021-2025 2022. Other areas of interest with
Bureau of Ocean Energy
Management
Offshore Wind Leasing Path Forward 2021–2025 planned auctions include Central
Atlantic and Oregon in 2023 and the
Gulf of Maine in 2024.

Oregon In addition to the Department of


Gulf of Maine
Interior’s approval of the construction
and operation plan of the Vineyard
Northern & Central NY Bight Wind project - the first large-scale
California offshore wind farm in the United
2XUSDWKIRUZDUGZLOOKHOSDFKLHYHWKHŴUVWHYHUnational offshore wind goal States - in May 2021, BOEM has also
Central Atlantic
to deploy 30 gigawatts of offshore wind by 2030, which would create started a series of environmental
nearly 80,000 jobs. reviews of offshore wind projects on
the east coast. These include
Carolina Long Bay
Revolution Wind project, Ocean
Wind project, Kitty Hawk offshore
As of October 202
wind project, Dominion Energy’s
KEY
Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind
Lease Sale Existing Lease Areas

Gulf of Mexico
project and US Wind’s wind project
Wind Energy Area Designation Planning and Analysis
offshore Maryland. The end of last
Estimated Time Range Leasing Process year also saw the announcement of
the Record of Decision (ROD) by
Present 2022 2023 2024 20
BOEM for the South Fork Wind
NY Bight project. Similar to the Vineyard wind
COMPLETE Q1 2022
project, this project is due to come
Carolina Long Bay
online delivering power to New York
COMPLETE MAY 2022

Northern & Central California in 2023.


NOV 2021 SEPT 2022

Gulf of Mexico
LATE 2021 LATE 2022
Growing ambition including
Central Atlantic floating at state level
MID 2022 Q2 2023
At the state level the US has
Oregon experienced a rise in declared
Q3 2022 Q3 2023

Gulf of Maine
ambition, with this year’s standout
2023 2024 announcement of an additional 3 GW
of offshore floating wind installations
Source: BOEM
by 2030 by the California Energy

68 GWEC.NET
Markets to Watch

Commission (CEC). Floating wind is After taking into consideration the Expected annual offshore wind installation by state, 2022-2029 (MW)
establishing its place in the offshore progress made at state level, the total
wind industry as a solution to exploit announced offshore wind
the vast wind potential being offered procurement targets are now 49.5 5000
by sites with deeper waters. This GW. This is a 28.6% increase in state
new technology is enabling even level commitments from the previous 4000
greater ambition than ever before. In year where the target was positioned
addition to the target in California, a at 38.5GW. If these targets are met 3000
new bill outlining a plan to develop 3 this will propel the US to be able to
GW of floating offshore wind make significant changes in global
2000
capacity in Oregon by 2030 has emission contributions.
been introduced in the state’s House
1000
of Representatives. If enacted, the bill Strong market growth expected
will enable planning the from 2025 onwards
development of 3 GW of commercial According to the GWEC Market 0
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
scale floating wind projects within Intelligence global offshore wind
federal waters off Oregon’s coast by database as of June 2022, the US Maine Ohio Delaware Maryland
2030. offshore wind pipeline total has Rhode Island New Jersey Connecticut North Carolina
reached 40 GW for both federal and Massachusetts New York Virginia
Louisiana also announced a 5GW state waters. This includes 21
target of installed offshore wind offshore wind projects which have Note: This forecast is solely based on projects with commission date announced. For the entire 10-year forecast (2022-2031), please see
capacity by the year 2035, making secured offtake or won state Page 94 in Market Outlook section. Source:GWEC Market intelligence, June 2022

this the states first ever policy based solicitations and announced an
Climate Action Plan. This plan anticipated year of operation. assets, planned to be built in online in 2024 and 2025. The
details around eighty four actions Developers expect a total of 18 GW 2023-2029, are controlled by primary reason for this is the change
that must be conducted to enable of offshore wind to be online European developers including of project commission date for some
socioeconomic growth in the state. between 2023 and 2029 (see figure Ørsted, Avangrid Renewables (a projects. Additionally, in GWEC’s
3). Of the 18 GW of offshore wind subsidiary of Spain’s Iberdrola), updated US offshore outlook we
Massachusetts also passed an capacity, 23.4% is likely to be built in EDPR, Ocean Wind and CIP as well included two projects that won the
increased offshore wind target of New York, followed by New Jersey as oil and gas companies like second offshore wind solicitations in
5.6GW by 2027 at state level in late (20.5%), Massachusetts (17.7%), Equinor, BP and Shell. Maryland and another two that won
Q1 of 2022, which is the second time Virginia (14.4 %) and Maryland the third solicitations in
that the state raised its offshore wind (11.2%), making these the top 5 Compared to GWEC’s US offshore Massachusetts at the end of 2021. As
target. So far the state has procured offshore wind states in expected new wind outlook in last year’s Global a result, GWEC Market Intelligence
3.2GW of installed offshore wind installations. With regards to project Offshore Wind Report, adjustments believes that the strong offshore
capacity and so the trajectory is ownership, the situation is the same have been made for the commission wind growth is likely to take place
positive and within reach. as last year and the majority of date for projects expected to come from 2025 instead of 2024.

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 69


Markets to Watch

As of June 2022, offshore developers project-based approach. The market is, however,
have selected or announced experiencing raised private sector
preferred turbine suppliers for ten Local supply chain – efforts to work around these
offshore projects. Thanks to Balance of plant restrictions including the joint
Dominion Energy’s 2,640 MW The US embarked on the venture by Equinor and BP to
project off the coast of Virginia, construction of its first offshore wind support the Empire Wind offshore
Siemens Gamesa remains as the tower manufacturing plant as of wind farm project. Together they
largest winner with a 4,354 MW 2022, a contract awarded by the Port have awarded a long-term service
order backlog in the US. Vestas took of Albany. A US based OEM won a operation vessel (SOV) charter
over GE as the second largest USD 42.7 million contract as part of a agreement to Edison Chouest
supplier after Empire Offshore Wind joint venture with a view to Offshore (ECO), a US-based
- a joint venture between Equinor manufacturing homegrown wind company, in order to be compliant
and BP named the Danish turbine towers by late 2023. with the Jones Act. This SOV will be
manufacturer as the preferred the first in US waters to be hybrid
supplier for the 2.1 GW Empire Another component that is with capability to operate partially
Wind 1 and Empire Wind 2 offshore developing in the US supply chain is on battery power.
wind projects in New York last that of cables. At the end of last year,
October. Although, GE Renewable the UK based Prysmian Group The Danish subsidiary Maersk
Energy’s order backlog in the US is secured USD 880 million in offshore Supply Service has this year
just 1% lower than Vestas. As of today, wind cabling projects, awarded by chartered a wind turbine installation
the most popular models selected Vineyard Wind. As a result, they will vessel (WTIV), which will be used in
for US offshore wind projects are be building a cable plant in the US to the installation of the 15 MW Vestas
SGRE’s SG15-222 DD, Vestas accommodate the commission of the manufactured turbines in both
V236-15.0 MW turbines and GE’s three core cables (HVAC 275 kV) Empire one and two. This vessel is
Haliade X- 13MW DD. with XLPE insulation and single wire expected to come into operation
armouring. around 2025. Maersk mitigated
Overcoming challenges in the US concerns regarding a breach in the
supply chain Local supply chain – Vessels Jones Act by chartering this vessel as
Following the breakthroughs made The Jones Act still stands as a it is constructed with barges and tugs
on the federal and state levels, dominant bottleneck adding to the supplied and managed by Kirby
further progress has been made to lengthy timelines of project Offshore Wind, a US-based company.
address the four challenges that we rollouts in the US offshore wind
assessed last year. Authorities are market. However, the market has Infrastructure – Ports
making ample effort to take adjusted to this to deliver projects Investments in port infrastructure is a
advantage of the expertise of which are, in many cases, critical component of enabling the
Europeans companies and markets supported by European based offshore wind sector to play it’s part
to leverage wind potential in a companies. in reaching decarbonisation targets.

70 GWEC.NET
Markets to Watch

Projects in support of Island have also been awarded O The BOEM Carolina Long Bay
accommodating the development of USD 95 million in state support to Offshore wind auction saw a new
the nations ports include: allow for upgrades to the framework being introduced
infrastructure for upcoming whereby bidders are awarded a
O The Port of Humboldt Bay has projects along the East Coast. This 20% monetary credit which must
received USD 10.5 million in dormant site will be upgraded to be committed to the support of
investment for the ports renovation enable offshore wind related workforce training programs to
in order to support the intended facilities to be developed in line enable the development of the
1.6GW of offshore wind with wind energy related business local supply chain. For this auction
development in the Humboldt call activities in the area. round the total credit awarded for
area. investment in workforce
Infrastructure – Grid development is around USD 42
O There are positive investment A State Agreement Approach (SAA) million.
signals in the growth of offshore has been approved by the Federal
wind coming from regions like Energy Regulatory Commission O The North America Building
Massachusetts where the Baker – (FERC) to implement the wind Trade Union (NABTU) and Ørsted
Politio Administration announced transmission grid solicited in New have collaborated to provide the
plans to invest USD 100 million Jersey. The SAA permits the New announcement of a Project
towards supporting offshore wind Jersey Board of Public Utilities Labour Agreement (PLA) which
ports in the state. (NJBPU) and PJM Interconnection to strives to help the US workforce
use a competitive planning process develop to accommodate the
O The Port of Albany has received for the selection of a provider of a requirements of the offshore wind
USD 29.5 million to invest in the transmission solution. The joint SAA farm supply chain.
necessary development of the received 80 proposals from utility
ports infrastructure to allow it to be companies and developers
transformed into an offshore wind indicating an appetite for finding
tower manufacturing facility. transmission solutions on the supply
side. It is anticipated that a decision
O In August 2021 the Port of Virginia on the outcome of any
leased an area of the Portsmouth recommendations or decisions will
Marine Terminal to Dominion be confirmed later this year.
Energy to aid the development of
the country’s largest offshore wind Workforce Development
project. Dedicated resources for the growth
and development of human capital is
O Port of Davisville and the South essential in enabling the offshore wind
Quay Marine Terminal in Rhode sector to reach it reach its full capacity.

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 71


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Japan Comparison of Fifth & Sixth Strategic Energy Plan Energy Mix by 2030
Sixth Strategic Energy Plan Former Fifth Basic Energy Plan
(Approved in October, 2021) (prepared in 2015)
Considering Japan as an archipelago Photovoltaic 103.5 ~ 117.6 GW 64 GW
with strong wind speeds – even (129 ~146 GWh)
stronger and steadier offshore – the Wind (onshore) 17.9 GW 9.2 GW
development of offshore wind is Wind (offshore) 5.7 GW 0.8 GW
indispensable to increasing Geothermal 1.5 GW 1.4 ~ 1.6 GW
renewable energy supplies. Japan
Hydropower 50.7 GW 48.5 ~ 49.3 GW
has approximately 128 GW of
Biomass 8.0 GW 6 ~ 7 GW
fixed-bottom offshore wind potential
Electric Power to be generated 336.0 ~ 353.0 GWh 236.6 ~251.5 GWh
and 424 GW of floating offshore
wind potential.1 Despite the huge Note: 5.7 GW of offshore wind represents an expected installed capacity. The target of 10 GW by 2030 is defined as
awarded by auction projects set out by the First Vision for Offshore Wind Power Industry.
wind potential, Japan does not have Source: JWPA, Dec 2021
any large-scale commercial wind
operations but times are changing. billion ($1.8 billion), joining the list of Areas for the Development of Marine
major global companies moving Renewable Energy Power
With rising fossil fuel costs and a away from fossil fuels and expand Generation Facilities” (hereinafter
goal to achieve carbon neutrality in their low-carbon business.2 This will referred to as the “Act on Promoting
2050, the Government of Japan has mark the first big purchase of a Utilization of Sea Areas for
recognised offshore wind as a power renewables firm by a top Japanese Renewable Energy Generation”) in
source that can be introduced in oil company. Last December, the first April 2019, Japan has been steadily
large scale without putting significant commercial-scale wind farm, located working to expand offshore wind
burden on the economy and with at Noshiro, Akita, started taking power generation by creating a
significant cost reduction potential. shape as it received its turbine certification system and licensed use
Both the public and private sectors components with a goal of of designated promotional sea areas
are now looking to utilise the commencing commercial operation while maintaining harmonisation
country’s abundant offshore wind in 2022.3 with local communities.
resource and to stay self-reliant.
Making offshore wind the Building on the Act, other key policy
In November 2021, Japan’s biggest main renewable power source documents and regulations such as
refiner, Eneos Holdings, announced in Japan the Vision for Offshore Wind Power
its decision to buy Japan Renewable Since the release of the “Act on Industry (released in Dec 2020), the
Energy (JRE) for about JPY 200 Promoting the Utilization of Sea Green Growth Strategy Through
Achieving Carbon Neutrality in 2050
1. NEDO Offshore Wind Condition Map
2. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/eneos-says-buy-japan-renewable-energy-177-bln-2021-10-11/
(updated and announced in June
3. https://constructionreviewonline.com/biggest-projects/the-akita-noshiro-offshore-wind-farm-project-timeline/ 2021) and the Sixth Strategic Energy

72 GWEC.NET
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Japan Offshore Auction Progress List


Stage of Progress Round 1 (FY2019) Round 1.1 (FY2020) Round 2 (FY2021)
Initial (July 2019) Progress (July 2020) Initial (July 2020) Progress (November 2020) Initial (Sep 2021) Progress (March 2022)

Candidate Zones Japan Sea side North, Aomori Gann-u and Minami-Shiribeshi, Ishikari-city, Hokkaido
Japan Sea side South, Aomori Hokkaido Shimamaki, Hokkaido
Mutsu bay, Aomori Hiyama, Hokkaido Matsumae, Hokkaido
Happou-cho & Noshiro, Akita Mutsu bay, Aomori Kuji-cuty, Iwate
Kisakata, Akita Kisakata, Akita-city, Aware-city, Fukui
Murakami & Tainai, Niigata Akita Hibikinada Kitakyshu, Fukuoka
Enoshima Saikai-city, Nagasaki Yusa, Yamagata Karatsu-city, Saga
Murakami & Tainai,
Niigata Gann-u and Minami-Shiribeshi,
Hokkaido
Hiyama, Hokkaido
Mutsu bay, Aomori
Promising Areas Noshiro, Akita Japan Sea side North, Kisakata, Akita-city,
Yurihonjo, Akita Aomori Akita
Choshi, Chiba Japan Sea side South, Yusa, Yamagata
Aomori Murakami & Tainai,
Happou-cho & Noshiro, Niigata
Akita
Enoshima Saikai-city, Isumi-city, Chiba
Nagasaki Japan Sea Side North, Aomori
Japan Sea Side South, Aomori
Enoshima Saikai-city, Nagasaki
Areas with auction already Goto, Nagasaki Noshiro, Akita *NOTE: Happou-cho & Noshiro,
launched Yurihonjo North & South, Akita Akita Round 2 Auction schedule is
Choshi, Chiba being postponed (Previou bid
submission deadline was set to be
June 2022)
Successfully Auctioned Goto, Nagasaki - 16.8 MW Noshiro, Akita Pref - 478.8 MW
( Won by a consortium of six Yurihonjo North & South, Akita
companies led by Toda Pref - 819 MW
Corporation) Choshi, Chiba Pref - 390.6 MW
(All 3 sites on by Mitsubishi
Corporation Consortium)

Source: JWPA, Dec 2021

Plan (approved by the Cabinet in Power Industry, based on a cost a visible offshore wind project to reach an awarded capacity of 10
Oct 2021) were updated and reduction study by GWEC and the pipeline, a cost-effective power GW by 2030 and 30-45 GW by 2040,
launched with the goal of making Japan Wind Power Association supply chain and a conducive including floating offshore wind.
offshore wind one of the main power (JWPA), was created to boost local business environment as the
sources in Japan. and international investment government set out to designate In the same period, the Green
confidence and facilitate investment 1 GW of promotional zones for Innovation Fund for Offshore Wind
The First Vision for Offshore Wind decisions. This is done by providing auction annually for the next 10 years was launched to accelerate the

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 73


Markets to Watch

next-generation technology Nominated Offshore Wind Areas at General Sea Area in Japan
development with a focus on floating
offshore wind. By October 2021, the Total 23 Areas are under nomination
Ministry of Economy, Trade, and at General Sea Area in Japan
Industry (METI) allocated JYP 119.5
billion ($940 million) for various cost 14. Ishikari, Hokkaido
reduction projects with a maximum 16. Shimamaki, Hokkaido
15. Gann-u and Minami-Shiribeshi, Hokkaido
subsidy period of 12 years (3-5 18. Matsumae, Hokkaido ONew

years for component technology 17. Hiyama, Hokkaido


19. Mutsu bay, Aomori Pref Auction already launched
development and a maximum 8 1. Goto, Nagasaki Pref.
2. Noshiro-city, Akita Pref.
years for testing and demonstration). 11. Aomori Pref. (Japan Sea North)
3. Yurihonjo-city, Akita Pref. (North)
These projects aim to achieve a 12. Aomori Pref. (Japan Sea South)
Developers are decided 4. Yurihonjo-city, Akita Pref. (South)
6. Happou-cho/Noshiro-city, Akita Pref. 5. Choshi-city, Chiba Pref.
generation cost of JPY 8-9/kWh (EUR
0.06-0.07/kWh) with seafloor- 2. Noshiro-city, Akita Pref. Under auction
June 2022: biddng close
mounted turbine by 2030. 3. Yurihonjo, Akita Pref. (North)
Dec: 2022 winner will
4. Yurihonjo, Akita Pref. (South) be announced

Most importantly, in the Sixth 7. Oga Kitakata, Akita-city, Akita Pref. Promoting Area
Strategic Energy Plan announced in 8. Yusa, Yamagata Pref. 6. Happou-cho/Noshiro-city, Akita Pref.
9. Murakami/Tainai-city Niigata Pref.
October 2021, the government
reviewed its energy policy progress 20. Kuji-city, Iwate Pref.
in the decade after the incident at 21. Awari-city, Fukui Pref.
Promising Area
Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power 7. Oga Kitakata, Akita-city, Akita Pref.
Station and increased the share of 8. Yusa, Yamagata Pref.
9. Murakami & Tanai-city Niigata Pref.
renewable installed capacity by O 10. Isumi-city, Chiba Pref.

more than 10% from 22-24% in the 5. Choshi, Chiba Pref.


11. Aomori Pref. (Japan Sea North)
12. Aomori Pref. (Japan South Sea)
Fifth Strategic Energy Plan to 36-38% 10. Isumi-city, Chiba Pref. 13. Enoshima/Saikai-city, Nagasaki Pref.
by 2030. The total of installed wind
energy now accounts for about 5% of
Upcoming Area
Japan’s electricity supply, with 17.9 O14. Ishikari, Hokkaido
GW from onshore wind and 5.7 GW 15. Gann-u and Minami-Shiribeshi, Hokkaido
O16. Shimamaki, Hokkaido
from offshore wind. 17. Hiyama, Hokkaido
O18. Matsumae, Hokkaiodo
22. Hibikinada Kitakyushu, Fukuoka Pref. 19. Mutsu bay, Aomori Pref.
Making a centralised 23. Karatsu-city, Saga Pref O20. Kuji-city, Iwate Pref.

system a reality 13. Enoshima/Saikai-city, Nagasaki Pref.


1. Goto, Nagasaki Pref.
O21. Awara-city, Fukui Pref.

O22. Hibikinada Kitayushu, Fukuoka Pref.


Recognising the lack of high-quality O23. Karatsu-city, Saga Pref.

project development data and the Source: JWPA, June 2022


inefficiency of having many

74 GWEC.NET
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stakeholders involved in early-stage highlighted the lack of relevant wind Council are now working with the
site surveys, the government aims to development data, the process is wind industry to review and adjust
establish a centralised bidding likely to be accelerated. the existing auction bidding
system where it will work with local framework. The JWPA and wider wind
government during the initial stage Round 1 Auction lessons learnt industry have also submitted a
of site development to efficiently and the way forward proposal detailing various
conduct wind and other surveys and In June 2021, a consortium of six improvements necessary to improve
secure the power grid in a timely companies led by Toda Corporation the existing auction system and
manner. Improvements and updates was selected to build a 16.8 MW achieve a good balance of cost
on relevant Acts will be made by the floating wind project offshore Goto reduction, local content and meeting
government to accelerate the City, in the Nagasaki Prefecture. the target. The suggestions include
implementation of projects such as a Soon after, in December 2021, the implementation of appropriate
new scheme for the temporary right consortia led by Mitsubishi information disclosure, two-stage
to grid connection. Corporation successfully won the developer selection, more
development right for all three reasonable price and non-price point
In July 2021, three government-led, fixed-bottom offshore wind projects allocation and early introduction of a
centrally-coordinated research in Noshiro, Yurihonjo North and centralised auction system.
projects, including Gann-u and South, and Choshi with exceptionally
Minami-Shiribeshi in the Hokkaido low tariff prices of: JYP 11.99/KWh All eyes on Japan’s floating
prefecture, Sakata in the Yamagata (Euro 87.85/MWh), JYP 13.26/kWh offshore wind
prefecture and Hirono-cho in the (Euro 97.15/MWh) and JYP 16.49/ With Japan’s floating offshore wind
Iwate prefecture (floating offshore kWh (Euro 120.82/MWh) potential at more than three times its
wind) were initiated as the first batch respectively. With many developers fixed-bottom potential, this is where
of test projects under the still unclear on the precise price and the bulk of the wind resources lie.
government-led centralised system. non-price bidding points Floating offshore wind is still in the
Wind resource measurements, assessment, the Mitsubishi-led early stages of development and cost
seabed surveys, environmental consortia dominated the Round 1 remains high. It was only in 2017 that
impact assessments and local auction by bidding the cheapest the Norwegian energy major,
community surveys for these three electricity price in each project. Equinor, opened Hywind Scotland, a
projects will be completed by the 30 MW first full-scale floating offshore
government before 2025 and made The result raised concerns on wind farm. However, there is a need
ready for future auction rounds bidding procedures and led to the for the industry to accelerate the
postponement of the Round 2 auction development of floating offshore wind
A clear centralised bidding system (Happo-Noshiro zone) bidding and move beyond demonstration
scheme will be established within a application deadline which was projects, by drawing on both local
couple of years and with the recent originally set for June 2022. Japan’s and international experience and
Round 1 Auction result, which government and the Public-Private expertise.

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 75


Markets to Watch

South Korea generated by coal, natural gas and


nuclear energy. While coal phaseout
is also slower than other G20
South Korea has made headlines in the coast of Ulsan by 2030, bringing countries, coal-fired generation
offshore wind in recent years. First, together local and foreign reduced from 41% of the power mix
its Green New Deal announced in developers. in 2015 to 36% in 2020; however, this
2020 set out a target to achieve net has been compensated for by a rise
zero emissions by 2050, with a $52 Most recently in 2022, the country’s in gas generation, which increased
billion green economy investment largest offshore wind turbine was from 22% in 2015 to 27% in 2020.
package. This included $7.7 billion installed at the Korea Wind Power This is partly due to the muted
worth of investments in wind, solar Demonstration Center in South growth of wind and solar
and hydrogen technologies by 2025, Jeolla. The 8 MW prototype, deployment during this period.
and the establishment of a major developed by Doosan as part of an
target of 12 GW offshore wind by industry/academia/research project, The recent election of President Yoon
2030. Its net zero target was passed has a 100m blade and total height of Suk-yeol by a narrow margin
in a bill in September 2021, and a 232.5m.3 presents another factor. His
Nationally Determined Contribution conservative administration is seen
(NDC) submitted to the UNFCCC in Changing dynamics in national as business-friendly, but he has also
December 2021 also aimed to energy policy publicly disagreed with the 2050
reduce greenhouse gas emissions While strides in ambition, public- carbon neutrality goal and pledged
by 40% from 2018 levels to 2030.1 private cooperation and technology to resume construction of the nuclear
development have been made, there plants previously put on hold.5 The
In early 2021, South Korea are several considerations for the revival of nuclear energy is likely to
announced the world’s largest trajectory of offshore wind growth in result in extensions of current
offshore wind project of 8.2 GW off South Korea. operating permits; design, approval
the coast of Shinan, which would and commissioning of new plants
provide power to 12 million residents Generally, the country’s renewables faces local opposition and would not
in nearby Seoul and Incheon by deployment has lagged behind its materialise until the end of the
2030. The project is being G20 peers – wind and solar energy decade at least.
developed by a consortium of 33 comprise less than 4% of the power
public and private entities, including mix as of 2020.4 Most electricity is Political support for offshore wind
the utility Korea Electric Power Corp
1. https://energytracker.asia/the-future-of-energy-transition-under-s-koreas-new-president-yoon-suk-yeol/; https://
(KEPCO) and local OEMs like climateactiontracker.org/countries/south-korea/
Doosan Heavy Industries & 2. https://www.offshorewind.biz/2021/02/05/south-korea-launches-eur-36-billion-offshore-wind-project/
3. https://www.offshorewind.biz/2022/01/27/koreas-largest-offshore-wind-turbine-stands-complete/#:~:text=The%208%20
Construction.2 In May 2021, the MW%20offshore%20wind%20turbine%2C%20which%20has%20been%20developed,largest%20wind%20turbine%20
government also announced a 6 GW to%20date.
4. https://ember-climate.org/app/uploads/2022/02/Global-Electricity-Review-2021-South-Korea.pdf
floating offshore wind complex off 5. http://www.koreaherald.com/view.php?ud=20220203000944

76 GWEC.NET
Markets to Watch

technology and foreign investment foreign renewables companies.


remains strong, though the changing These include Ørsted, Corio Planned offshore wind and grid reinforcement in Korea, 2020
dynamics around nuclear policy Generation, Total Energies, Shell,
could constrain government budgets Equinor, EDP, Aker Solutions,
for the procurement and grid/port Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners
development needed to enable and others, many of which have
large-scale offshore wind growth. entered into MOUs or joint
Industrial benefits and job creation agreements with local partners.
linked to the offshore wind industry Similarly, offshore wind has also
may also carry more political sparked the interest of domestic
currency under the new industrial conglomerates such as
administration, compared to the Samsung, Hyundai, Doosan and STX KOREA
benefits for decarbonisation and in renewable energy project
displacement of fossil fuels. development and equipment supply.

Can the market catch up to Meeting the 12 GW by 2030 target


Offshore
national ambitions? would require a speedy clip of 2.4GW
The 12 GW offshore wind target by buildout of around 1.3 GW on an
2030 is a large leap from the 188 annual basis through the remainder
MW of offshore wind currently of the decade. But the offshore wind
installed (as of the end of 2021). sector has been slow to take off, due
Floating offshore
Most projects under development to several factors discussed below. Phase 1: 1.4GW
are located off the provinces of South Phase 2: 4.6GW

Jeolla, North Jeolla, Ulsan and Resolving current barriers on the


Incheon, with some ambition in Jeju ground
Islands and other regions. Altogether A degree of investment risk is
around 25 GW of potential capacity inherent in the extensive permitting Offshore
8.2GW
which could come online by 2035 process for offshore wind. After an
has been identified, according to occupancy permit for public waters
Aegir Analytics. is granted for a LIDAR device
(covering a 5-km radius of the
JEJU ISLAND Connection line (345 kV) 154 V line (replacing)
The ambitious national target and device) and a roughly one-year data 765 kV line (existing) Offshore wind sites
strong conditions for fixed-bottom collection period, developers may 345 kV line (new) Collector bus
345 kV line (existing) 345 kV substation
sites (especially off South Jeolla) and secure an Electricity Business 345 kV line (replacing) 154 kV substation
floating wind (especially off Ulsan), License (EBL). They then have a
close to large demand centres, has 4-year preparation period to obtain
drawn heavy interest from local and all the necessary permits and Source: MOTIE, Offshore wind power generation plan, 2020; IEA, Korea Electricity Security Review.

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 77


Markets to Watch

complete construction or request a The RPS scheme, which mandates volumes of offshore wind in this while still encouraging technology
permission extension. The permits large state-owned and private power decade. Reinforcement needs have learning and transfer between
are numerous and include an EIA, companies to procure a portion of been highlighted around North and foreign and local companies.
occupancy implementation plan, power from renewables, makes South Jeolla and Ulsan, where
marine traffic safety examination, Renewable Energy Certificates large-scale offshore wind capacity is Looking ahead to 2030
cultural heritage survey, onshore (RECs) a common form of in development. The prospect of grid The 2030 ambitions and mega
permits for onshore facilities, remuneration for generation. RECs constraints, as well as the current projects off Shinan and Ulsan have
construction plan approval and are based on a calculation of power lack of priority for grid connections put South Korea on the map for
more. produced and straight-line distance for offshore wind, presents some global offshore wind development.
to shore, which can multiply the REC development risk. This is especially By the end of the decade, the
The Offshore Wind Collaboration value. The calculation does not the case as an EBL is not granted to country is set to emerge as the top
Plan (OWCP) issued by government consider water depth, which can be projects until KEPCO has confirmed floating offshore wind market in East
in 2020 aims to establish a “one-stop a significant factor for the economics that the project can access sufficient Asia. GWEC Market Intelligence
shop” permitting regime to shorten of projects. grid capacity. Proactive grid forecasts a total of 6.5 GW of
timelines. A Special Act to establish planning and grid operation fixed-bottom offshore wind and 3.6
this regime has not yet been passed, Although the REC weighting system innovations, including an approach GW of floating wind will be
partly due to opposition from was recently updated to reflect the using “promotional zones” for commissioned in South Korea by
commercial fishing interests. higher development costs for renewable energy to customise 2030.
offshore wind, the trading market still transmission planning, could ease
The first generation of offshore wind presents uncertainty, and a final REC the grid challenge.7 With less than eight years to go to
projects in South Korea saw long weighting is not available until meet a 12 GW target, it is critical that
lead times from 8-11 years from first construction is completed. That said, In terms of supply chain, South Korea the new administration works with
permit to COD, largely due to recent trading prices have been does have significant industrial local governments, industry and
opposition from local residents and buoyed by the increasing number of experience in steel, ship building other stakeholders to resolve the
members of the fishing industry. local companies which are and logistics, which can translate to challenges around remuneration,
Stakeholder complaints have committing to the RE100 campaign offshore engineering and supply permitting, local opposition and grid
previously led to cancellations of to procure 100% renewable energy chain competencies. But its domestic investment. This can ease the
projects, such as the 105 MW for power consumption by 2050. For wind turbine supply chain is still at barriers for offshore wind
Handong-Pyeongdae project on Jeju instance, spot prices for RECs an early stage. While advancements development in Korea and pave the
Island. New models for enhanced jumped 45% from July 2021 to in turbine technology have been way for industry to deliver on
stakeholder participation and January 2022.T As well, the RPS made, it will be important to lower national ambitions for industrial
profit-sharing are under standard has recently raised to local content and trade barriers to growth and decarbonisation.
consideration by local government, 12.5% for 2022 and will increase to allow developers to access best-in-
while demonstration projects for 25% by 2026. class technology with cost efficiency,
community socioeconomic benefit
6. https://www.mayerbrown.com/-/media/files/perspectives-events/publications/2022/03/offshore-wind-in-south-korea--
will be important to allay livelihood Grid investment is a major challenge the-path-ahead.pdf
concerns. on the horizon for enabling large 7. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/a8539b34-fb1b-42cc-ba09-e08637a59bc1/KoreaElectricitySecurityReview.pdf

78 GWEC.NET
Markets to Watch

China China’s 14th Five-Year Renewable Development Plan

China installed its first offshore


turbine, a 1.5 MW direct drive
machine, in the Bohai Sea in 2007.
China’s first commercial offshore
project, Donghai Bridge offshore
wind farm, was commissioned in
2010. The market, however, was not
ready to take off until the first
offshore Feed-in-Tariff (FiT) scheme Gansu
Neii Menggu
gg

was released by the National Energy


Administration (NEA) in 2014 and the
Management Measures for Offshore Qinghai

Wind Power Development and


Construction was jointly released by Giant onshore wind/solar
NEA and the State Oceanic energy bases
Administration (SOA) in 2016, which
Hunan Giant integrated enrgy bases
resolved challenges between (hydropower/wind/solar)
various government bodies and
stakeholders. Offshore wind bases

Offshore wind enjoyed fast


development during the 13th
Five-Year Period (2016-2020). China
passed the 1 GW milestone for Source: NDRC, NEA, 2021
offshore wind installations at the end
of 2015 and became the world’s was grid-connected in China, of investments dedicated to building Commission (NRDC), presenting a
largest offshore wind market in which 16.9 GW is offshore wind. This the local supply chain, balance of clear roadmap towards a phase-out
terms of new installations in 2018. By made China the leading offshore plant, infrastructure and efficiency in in subsidies for both onshore and
2020, total offshore installations wind market globally and set a new offshore turbine installations. offshore wind. For offshore wind,
reached a milestone of 10 GW. record in global offshore wind projects already approved before
installations in a single year. The The huge spike in installations was 2019 would not receive the FiT if
Explosive offshore growth driven Chinese offshore wind industry had driven by a new policy released in they are not fully grid-connected
by policy change prepared for this moment for two May 2019 by the National before the end of 2021. Starting from
In 2021, 47.5 GW of wind capacity and a half years, with enormous Development and Reform 1 January 2022, the subsidy for

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 79


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Offshore wind development in China, 2007-2021 (GW)

18 30
16
25
14
12 30
10
15
8
6 10
4
5
2
0 0
2007 2008 20092010 2011 2012 20132014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Annual Installations Total Installations

Source: GWEC, CWEA, NEA, March 2022

offshore wind from the central turbine manufacturing hub, themselves into bases for offshore
government will be completely accounting for 60-65% of global wind farm manufacturing with
terminated. outputs of turbine nacelle and key tailor-made offshore wind ports
components including gearboxes, available. With recently invested
At GWEC’s Global Offshore Wind generators and blades. There are offshore wind turbine assembly
Summit – China 2019, large local eight established offshore wind facilities located in Zhejiang,
developers and turbine OEMs were turbine manufacturers in China as of Shandong, Liaoning and Hainan
already discussing how to address 2020, with another two OEMs Provinces coming online in the next
the bottlenecks throughout the announced to enter the offshore two years, the annual offshore wind
offshore wind supply chain, such as sector in 2021. Assembly factories turbine manufacturing capacity in
large blades, main bearings and for offshore turbines have been built China is likely to reach 20 GW from
offshore wind installation vessels, to in coastal provinces throughout the today’s 16 GW.
meet the 2021 deadline. past years.
The last two years also witnessed
A strong local supply chain to Cities such as Yangjiang how quickly Chinese local
back up growth (Guangdong Province) or Yancheng developers and offshore EPC
China is the world’s largest wind (Jiangsu Province) have made contractors mobilised installation

80 GWEC.NET
Markets to Watch

vessels to meet the 2021 grid- selected offshore bases are authorities is still available in
connection deadline. According to Shandong Peninsula, Yangtze River provinces like Guangdong,
GWEC Market Intelligence’s Global Delta, Southern Fujian, Eastern Shandong and Zhejiang for the next
Offshore Wind Turbine Installation Guangdong and Beibu Gulf . 3-4 years to support the local
Vessel Database 2020, China had 24 Summing up the targets released by offshore wind industry to reach
jack-up vessels/barges and 10+ all coastal provinces in their 14th grid-parity by 2025.
heavy lift vessels for offshore wind Five-Year Plans, China will add a
turbine installation purpose. One total of 40-50 GW of offshore Although annual offshore wind
year later, 40 jack-up vessels/barges, capacity during the 2021 to 2025 installations are expected to slow
of which more than 10 were newly period. down in 2022 and 2023 after a
constructed and delivered, and 30 record year, with further technology
heavy lift vessels were identified in innovation and cost reductions, the
China. In addition, at least 10 jack-up market is likely to bounce back from
installation vessels are under
construction, of which 7 will be
China will add a total of 2024 with new installations
potentially to reach 10 GW the year
capable of installing 10MW+ 40-50 GW of offshore after. GWEC Market Intelligence
offshore wind turbines. predicts 98 GW of new offshore wind
capacity during the capacity will be built in China in
Aside from these newly built turbine 2021 to 2025 period. 2022-2031, contributing to 31% of
installation vessels, some drilling the global offshore wind additions in
platforms and semi-submersible this period.
vessels were upgraded and
converted for offshore wind
construction purposes. A handful of In addition, during this period, the
foreign vessels from Europe, Middle Chinese government plans to
East and Singapore have also been provide support on emerging
transported and leased to China to technologies and demonstration
support the final offshore wind projects, such as deep-water wind
installation rush in 2021. farms and flexible DC transmission,
digitalised O&M for offshore wind,
China in pole position for global renewable hydrogen, energy islands
offshore wind power growth and integrated energy solutions.
Looking ahead, during the current
(14th) Five-Year Period (2021-2025), From 2022, the central government
China will construct large-scale will cease subsidies for offshore
offshore bases (10 GW-level) in the wind, but a small portion of
eastern coastal areas. The five financial support from provincial

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 81


Markets to Watch

Exploring Ireland
Development stage
Colombia
Development stage
Australia
Development stage
The Philippines
Development stage

new markets Awarding the first batch of Maritime Area


Consent (MAC) applications from a set of
seven qualified offshore renewable energy
projects would enable the first Offshore
An MoU has been signed to build the first
farm of 350 MW capacity in Barranquilla by
developer Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners
and Public Lighting of Barranquilla to power
The Bass Strait off Gippsland in Victoria has
been identified as the first priority area to be
assessed for offshore wind suitability. Progress
An Offshore Wind Roadmap by the Department
of Energy (DOE) and World Bank Group shows
potential to install 21 GW by 2040. The DOE
continues on the 2.2 GW Star of the South has issued a clearance to undertake a system
GWEC Market Intelligence is Renewable Energy Support Scheme (ORESS green ammonia production. Another project, offshore wind farm as the work on impact study with the National Grid Corporation
monitoring activities in 46 countries 1) auction to open in Q4 2022. Vientos Alisios, is being developed by Environmental Impact Statement and the for more than 15 projects and awarded
Consultation for the auction opened in BlueFloat Energy for which pre-feasibility Environment Effects Statement has started. exclusive rights to develop the first offshore wind
on a regular basis to document the October 2021. In September 2021 a tender status is granted and grid connection secured. There are 20+ projects at different stages of projects to Triconti Windkraft Group. The DOE
opportunities and progress of taking was launched to create a Strategic According to the Offshore Wind Roadmap for early development, including two floating also has an agreement with Iberdrola to plan
Environmental Assessment for the new Colombia, there is potential for installing
wind global as well as supporting Offshore Renewable Energy Development almost 50 GW of capacity with ~27 GW for
projects8 by Spain-based BlueFloat Energy five projects of 3.5 GW total capacity. An
and Australia’s Energy Estate. Also, Oceanex exclusivity right has been secured for the
governments in developing Plan (OREDP II). At least 15 floating offshore fixed-bottom and 21 GW for floating
Energy has shared a plan for four floating Bulalacao site development for 1.2 GW by Blue
wind projects of more than 7 GW capacity foundations.
appropriate policy frameworks. are at different stages of early development.
offshore wind projects. Circle and CleanTech Global Renewables, Inc.
PetroGreen Energy Corporation, a subsidiary of
The Rosslare Europort will be upgraded as Political support
Political support oil and gas company PetroEnergy, is planning
The four selected countries – Ireland, an Offshore Renewable Energy Hub with The President of Colombia has officially
The newly elected prime minister has a strong three GW-scale farms.
EUR 200 million in investment. launched the offshore wind roadmap and
Colombia, Australia and the published a proposal of regulations for the position on renewables for responding to the
allocation of seabed for public consultation. climate emergency and supports a new target Political support
Philippines – represent markets with Political support
to reduce carbon emissions by 43% by 2030 The country has a target of a 35% share of
A 5 GW target by 2030 has been set under The first allocation round will be called once
high offshore wind potential but the ‘Programme for Government,’ which the proposal is enacted. There is an ambitious and achieve net zero by 2035, rather than renewable energy in the power generation mix
2050. The Victorian government set a 9 GW by 2030 and a 50% share by 2040, translating
varying political support and targets also plans to tap ~30 GW floating offshore plan to increase the share of non-conventional
wind in Atlantic waters in the long term. The renewable energy to 17% by 2030. The target by 2040, with first installation in 2028. to 92 GW of renewable energy capacity, as per
to date. Still, in all four countries there Maritime Area Planning Bill 2021 simplified Colombian government has also pledged to The Offshore Electricity Infrastructure Bill the Philippine Energy Plan (PEP) 2020-2040.
is an increasing awareness that permitting processes for offshore wind halve GHG emissions by 2030 as part of the introduced in 2021 is set to allow seabed
development, followed by the Department long-term strategy to reach net zero by 2050. leasing by mid-2022. There is a public Challenge
offshore wind can provide a scalable, of Transport setting out the strategy for consultation on draft regulations for the A drawn-out permitting and leasing process,
cost-competitive and efficient commercial ports development. A Maritime Challenge Offshore Electricity Infrastructure Framework. which is now being addressed by a virtual
Area Regulatory Authority (MARA)9 will be Medium-term challenges hinder offshore wind one-stop shop scheme. Transmission bottlenecks
solution for renewable energy. project development such as onshore grid Challenge also require planning and investment.
established in 2023 for assessment and
consents for offshore wind projects. connection timelines, logistical issues, need for There has been a patchy track record on policy
port upgrades and operation planning. measures to back renewable energy Next milestone
Challenge generation, especially with respect to There is huge untapped potential of 170 GW.
Lack of availability of indigenous and Next milestone long-term certainty for measures such as a Setting strong policy commitments with targets,
economically sustainable local supply chain There is a need to speed up the process of Feed-in-Tariff scheme and grid infrastructure improved permitting and leasing process and
including suitable port infrastructure. Need issuing relevant executive regulations as availability. transmission system upgrades can make the
to speed up the lease and licensing process, deliberated under the roadmap. The country an offshore wind frontrunner in
establish clear regulations around grid government should start with establishing Next milestone Southeast Asia.
connection and streamline planning and short-term to long-term targets, which can With vast offshore wind potential of >2 TW10
consenting. strategically support the National Hydrogen and ambitious targets, formation of the policy
8 Hunter Coast floating wind farm (1.4 GW) and Strategy and Roadmap. and regulatory framework is now required. A
Wollongong Offshore Wind Project (1.6 GW) for Next Milestone combined national offshore wind target could
aluminium smelter and produce green hydrogen Investment planning is required to grow the
9 Currently, Maritime Area Consent (MAC) to grant the
firm up political commitment.
local supply chain and enhance grid
consents for the first phase of offshore wind projects. capacity. Setting a policy framework which
10 https://www.afr.com/companies/energy/australia-s- can address the anticipated impacts of
offshore-wind-sector-primed-for-lift-off-20220114-
current supply chain challenges on LCOE
p59o9v#:~:text=Australia’s%20offshore%20wind%20
and supply chain development
resources%20could,the%20country’s%20entire%20
electricity%20generation.

82 GWEC.NET
MARKET OUTLOOK 2022-2031

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 83


Market Outlook 2022-2031

Global Offshore Market Outlook to 2031


2021 saw commitments to net zero oil and gas - and fossil fuel volatility extremely promising. beginning of next decade, new
gather global momentum at in general - triggered by Russia’s installations are expected to sail
COP26. Coupled with renewed invasion of Ukraine, the global With an expected compound past the milestones of 30 GW in
policy urgency for achieving offshore wind market outlook in the average annual growth rate of 6.3% 2027 and 50 GW by the end of this
energy independence from Russian medium and long-term looks until 2026 and 13.9% up to the decade.

New offshore installations, global (MW)

Europe
China 54850
Asia ex China CAGR*
50920 2000

North America +13.9% 46076 2000 4400


Other 1576 6420
7100
38708 4000 4000
33948 400
5250
4670 12000
CAGR* 12000
28589 4000 4000
+6.3% 25362 12000
3900
4350
21105 12000
4718 2750
888
3264 11000
13436 14072
26500 29350
11
9055 945 1524 10000 11000 23250
1538.8 1562
16900
1881 6000 8000 15048 17638
4000 10489
7380
3317 3174 4952 2975
2021 2022e 2023e 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e 2030e 2031e

*Compound Annual Growth Rate.


Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, June 2022

84 GWEC.NET
Market Outlook 2022-2031

This outlook reflects current milestones of 10 GW in 2026 and 25


declared national and regional GW in 2030. North America will
targets. It is highly likely that these remain the third largest offshore
targets will increase further. On the wind market by 2031, followed by
other hand, there is currently an the Pacific region and Latin America.
implementation gap between
declared targets and the rate of In the near term (2021-2024), the
annual installations. majority of growth outside Europe
will come from Asia, primarily China
GWEC Market Intelligence expects and Taiwan. The contribution from
that over 315 GW of new offshore North America (mainly the US) will
wind capacity will be added over the grow in importance from 2025
next decade (2022-2031), bringing onwards while a sizeable volume is
the total offshore wind capacity to unlikely to emerge from Latin
370 GW by the end of 2031. 29% of America (Brazil) and Pacific region
this new volume will be installed in (Australia) until the end of this
the first half of the decade (2022- decade.
2026) with the remaining to be
connected in the latter half (2027- Our near-term offshore wind market
2031). The volume of annual offshore outlook was built using a bottom-up
wind installations is expected to approach and is based on GWEC
more than double from 21.1 GW in Market Intelligence’s global offshore
2021 to 54.9 GW in 2031, bringing wind project database, which covers
offshore’s share of global new projects currently under
installations from 23% in 2021 to 32% construction, global auction results
by 2031. and announced offshore wind
tenders worldwide. For the medium-
Although Asia will replace Europe as term market outlook, aside from
the world’s largest regional offshore existing project pipelines, a top-
wind market by cumulative down approach has also been used,
installations by the end of 2022, which takes into account existing
Europe is expected to recapture this policy, support schemes, offshore
title from 2031. To ensure energy wind auction plans and medium/
security, while achieving climate long-term national and regional
change targets, Europe is likely to offshore wind targets.
continue increasing annual offshore
wind installations, surpassing the

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 85


Market Outlook 2022-2031

Europe wind has become one of the most


cost-competitive energy sources in
Europe with a mature offshore wind
technology hub for floating wind
turbines and foundations.
Looking at potential growth, GWEC
Market Intelligence has already
predicted that Europe will maintain
The world’s first offshore wind supply chain established in countries Europe remains the world’s largest its double digital growth rate in this
project was installed in Denmark in neighbouring the North Sea and the regional market in terms of total decade, as: 1) fixed-bottom offshore
1991, making Europe the birthplace Baltic Sea. In 2009, Norway offshore wind installations as of the wind has become the most
of the offshore wind industry. commissioned the world’s first end of 2021, although the region competitive electricity generation
Through three decades of floating offshore wind turbine. As of already lost its leading position to technology after onshore wind and
development, fixed-bottom offshore today, the continent remains the Asia in new installations in 2020. solar PV – but with considerable

New offshore installations, Europe (MW)

The UK Belgium
Germany Poland 29350
Denmark Ireland CAGR*
26500
Netherlands Norway +22.8% 5600
France Rest of Europe 23250 4800
1000
2850 1250
1000
500 1000 2000
17638 1200 1500
1500 700 2000
15048 1240 500 700
1500
1500 3000
300 1200
1200 3000
1498 3000
700 3000
CAGR*
10489 2368
700
1000
3000
+25.9% 850 1000 3000 3000
375
7380 1320 700 2000 5000
445 270 2000 4500
350 700
4952 992 720
2000
980
4000
7 2000
3317 3174 17 2975 1400 250 958
3.6 32.2 10 6 6500
392 88 1529 1028 11 1800 5000 5500
605 480 345 534 4596 4500
2317 1462 770 1750 267 1661 45 2143 4500
342 718

2021 2022e 2023e 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e 2030e 2031e
*Compound Annual Growth Rate.
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, June 2022

86 GWEC.NET
Market Outlook 2022-2031

advantages in terms of being able to


be deployed at scale, 2) progress
The latest offshore wind targets in Europe
continues in the commercialisation of Unit: GW 2027 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
floating wind that will unlock EU  ≥60 ≥300
potential in deep water, 3.) The
UK 50
European Commission presented its
Germany 30 40  ≥70
offshore renewable energy strategy
as part of EU Green Deal in Netherlands 22.2

November 2020, setting a target of Denmark 12.9


300 GW of offshore wind by 2050 for Belgium 5.7
the EU, which makes offshore wind a France 18  40
strategic energy source for Poland 10.9*
achieving its 2050 net zero target, 4)
Norway  30
Europe’s Power-to-X ambitions offer
Ireland 5  30 
further market growth opportunities
for offshore wind. Spain 3 

Esbjerg Declaration** ≥65 ≥150


Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, * Either in operation or under development by 2027. ** Countries set joint target through Esbjerg Declaration include Germany, Denmark, Belgium and the Netherlands
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, June 202
the European Commission released
the REPowerEU plan to make Europe expected to be relatively slow, with region are likely to double in 2027 a leasing opportunity for early
independent from Russian fossil fuels average annual installations staying and potentially quadruple in 2031 commercial-scale floating wind
well before 2030, which GWEC around 3.7 GW. This is mainly due to compared with 2025. Looking at the projects in the Celtic Sea. The
believes will accelerate the offshore the lower level of activities in total capacity to be added in the next eligibility window for the Round 4
wind and renewable hydrogen established markets such as ten years, 79% will be built in the CfD auction, aiming to support up to
deployment across the entire Germany, Denmark and Belgium. second half of the decade (2027- 12 GW of renewable energy
convenient. The Esbjerg Declaration However, the European offshore 2031). projects, opened on 13 December
signed by Germany, Denmark, market is likely to accelerate from 2021 with results expected to be
Belgium and the Netherlands in May 2025 onwards when projects from The UK announced this summer. In February
2022 to jointly develop the North Sea the German Round 1 Auction will The UK has been the offshore wind 2022, the UK government announced
as a Green Power Plant of Europe, come online and utility scale projects market leader in Europe since 2009. it would hold yearly CfD auctions
provided a further milestone for are likely to become material in new Although it lost its pole position to from 2023 onwards to scale up the
offshore wind acceleration. markets such as France and Poland. China by end of 2021, progress country’s supply of renewable
made in the past 12 months shows energy. In the same quarter, Crown
However, according to GWEC With more projects being released that offshore wind growth is likely to Estate Scotland announced the
Market Intelligence’s latest market from the announced auction plans in regain strong traction. In July 2021, outcome of the Scotwind seabed
outlook, market growth in Europe in both mature and emerging markets Crown Estate selected three floating leasing round launched last summer:
the near-term (2022-2024) is in Europe, new installations in the wind demonstration projects through 17 projects, totalling 25 GW

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 87


Market Outlook 2022-2031

including 15 GW of floating wind, 2040. The German government then


were awarded leases. In addition, the changed its offshore wind legislation
Total added between 2022 and 2031
Crown Estate has completed the in April 2022 through the “Easter
second phase of its ongoing Package”, and set a target that Rest of Europe 12%
engagement with the market and requires 30 GW of operational Norway 2%
stakeholders on plans for up to 4 offshore wind by 2030, 40 GW by United Kingdom 27% Ireland 4%
GW of floating wind leasing in the 2035, and at least 70 GW by 2045.
Celtic Sea. To boost the UK’s energy Additionally, to replace fossil fuels
security, Prime Minister Boris from Russia, Germany signed a
Johnson presented a plan in April cooperation agreement on offshore Poland 8%
2022 to increase the UK’s 2030 wind development and green
offshore wind target from 40 GW to hydrogen with three other North Sea 140.8GW
50 GW, 5 GW of which is targeted for countries (Denmark, Belgium and the Belgium 3%
floating wind. This is the second time Netherlands) through the Esbjerg
the UK increased the offshore wind Declaration. The key for its offshore France 7%
Germany 15%
target in the last two years. wind success is clear but it relies on
the Germany’s Federal Maritime and Netherlands 13%
Germany Hydrographic Agency (Bundesamt Denmark 10%
Germany used to be the world’s für Seeschifffahrt und Hydrography-
second largest offshore wind market BSH) speeding up the permitting and Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, June 2022

in total installations, but was quickly opening up additional


overtaken by China in 2020 after offshore wind tenders, and ensuring the government agreed to add up Netherlands
unfavourable market conditions and attractive market conditions. to 3 GW of new offshore wind The Netherlands is the fourth largest
a lack of mid-term visibility slowed capacity to be developed before offshore wind market in the world.
development. The country only Denmark 2030 as part of the Finance Act Last November, the Dutch
awarded three small “zero-subsidy” In June 2020 the Danish 2022. To ensure energy government increased its 2030
offshore wind projects, totalling 958 government approved two “energy independence from Russian oil and offshore wind target from 11.5 GW to
MW after the Round 2 offshore wind islands,” one in the North Sea and gas, Denmark hosted three other 22.2 GW, aiming to meet the EU’s
auctions were launched in 2018. one in the Baltic Sea. The full North Sea countries in May at the current goal of reducing CO2
However, more favourable offshore potential for the North Sea energy Esbjerg Offshore Wind Summit, emissions by 55% by 2030
wind legislation has been adopted in island is 10 GW. In December 2021, from where a joint 150 GW by 2050 compared to the 1990 levels. In
the past two years. The 2020 the winner of the 1 GW Thor offshore wind target was signed March 2022, the government
amendment of the Offshore Wind Act project was decided by a lottery through the so-called Esbjerg designated three new areas and
(WindSeeG) increased the country’s draw, as more than one bidder declaration. In June 2022, the confirmed two previously
offshore wind target from 15 GW to offered to build the Thor offshore government released the proposal designated areas in the North Sea,
20 GW by 2030 and set a target of 40 wind farm for the minimum price of to raise its 2030 offshore wind enabling further 10.7 GW of offshore
GW of installed offshore capacity by DKK 0.01/kWh. In the same month target by 45% to 12.9 GW. wind to be built by the end of this

88 GWEC.NET
Market Outlook 2022-2031

decade. Following the recent procedure. According to the


geopolitical challenge, the country Multiannual Energy Programme
signed the Esbjerg Declaration with (Programmation pluriannuelle de
three other North Sea countries. l’énergie - PPE) released by French
government in 2020, up to 8.75 GW
Belgium of offshore wind capacity will be
Belgium is the world’s sixth largest tendered between 2020 and 2028.
offshore wind market in total offshore The latest plan shows that the
wind capacity. According to the government aims to allocate around
Marine Spatial Plan 2020-2026, 2 GW of offshore wind capacity per
released in 2020, the country plans to year from 2025 to reach 20 GW of
grow its operational offshore wind auctioned offshore capacity by 2030
capacity from the current 2.2 GW to and 18 GW of operational offshore
4.4 GW by 2030 through the wind capacity by 2035. To reach its
development of the Princess 2050 net zero target, President
Elisabeth Zone, which is Belgium’s Emmanuel Macron announced in
second offshore wind area. The February 2022 that France will have
government is now working on an around 40 GW of offshore wind
amendment to legislative framework capacity in operation by 2050.
for having up to 3.5 GW of additional
offshore wind capacity at this zone. Poland
Once grid connected by 2030, Poland’s Council of Ministers adopted
Belgium’s total offshore wind capacity a draft bill supporting the
will reach 5.76 GW. Following the development of offshore wind energy
REPowerEU plan, the Minister of in the Baltic Sea in late 2020. The draft
Energy called for Belgium to raise its bill, which was signed into law by the
2030 offshore wind target to 8 GW. president in January 2021, allows for
The country also jointly signed the 10.9 GW of offshore wind capacity to
Esbjerg Declaration in May. be either operational or under
development by 2027. As the end of
France June 2021, The Polish Energy
There is only 2 MW of offshore wind Regulatory Office (ERO) has awarded
power installed in France as of 2021, a CfD to seven offshore wind projects,
but around 5.5 GW of offshore wind totalling 5.9 GW, the same volume as
capacity, including 0.9 GW floating was planned in the Offshore Act. The
wind, is either under construction or second phase of development will
subject to an ongoing tendering include two auctions, the first in 2025

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 89


Market Outlook 2022-2031

and the second in 2027, each with 2.5 offshore wind by 2030 with a
GW of capacity. To support further long-term plan to tap into its floating
growth, the Ministry of Infrastructure wind potential of at least 30 GW in
launched a procedure for granting deeper waters. Last December,
concessions for eleven offshore wind Ireland awarded contracts for the
areas in Q4 of 2021. creation of a Strategic Environmental
Assessment (SEA) and an
Norway Appropriate Assessment (AA) for
In June 2020, Norway opened up for Ireland’s new Offshore Renewable
full-scale floating and bottom fixed Energy Development Plan (OREDP
offshore wind development, totalling II). The OREDP II, accommodated by
up to 4.5 GW, and allowed developers the new Marine Planning Bill that was
to apply for project licenses from passed last July, establishes a
January 2021. According to the framework for the sustainable
Ministry of Petroleum and Energy, the development of Ireland’s offshore
3 GW of fixed-bottom capacity at the renewable energy projects. Seven
Sørlige Nordsjø II zone will be offshore wind projects, totalling more
auctioned in two 1.5 GW phases. The than 3 GW, have been invited to
auction for the first 1.5 GW of capacity apply for Maritime Area Consents
is expected to take place during (MACs) with the first of which
2022. Due to higher risk, the expected to be issued in the second
government has proposed the sites in half in 2022.
the Utsira Nord lease area for floating
wind to be selected based on Spain
qualitative criteria, rather than auction. Spain only has 10 MW of offshore
In May 2022, the newly elected wind capacity installed as of today,
government launched a large-scale but last December Spain’s Council of
green investment plan aimed at Ministers approved the Roadmap for
allocating sea areas for developing 30 the Development of Offshore Wind
GW of offshore wind capacity by and Marine Energy that will see the
2040. The next round of awarding country to reach up to 3 GW of
licenses for offshore wind in new offshore wind by 2030. With more
areas is expected to launch in 2025. than 5 GW of floating wind projects
at different stages of development at
Ireland present, the country is expected to
According to Ireland’s Climate Action become one of the top five floating
Plan, the country aims to have 5 GW wind markets by 2030.

90 GWEC.NET
Market Outlook 2022-2031

Asia replacing Europe as the leading


regional offshore wind market in
new installations for the first time.
wind market in cumulative
installations with its global market
share 0.9% lower than Europe.
Although the first offshore wind wind development until 2018 when Despite new installations in this
project built in Asia has been China overtook the UK as the region last year being five times Our latest market outlook shows that
spinning for nearly two decades, world’s top market in new greater than that in Europe, Asia is China will continue to play the
this region was quiet on offshore installations. 2020 saw Asia still only the second largest offshore predominate role in this region in the

New offshore installations, Asia (MW)


China Japan South Korea Taiwan Vietnam India Rest of Asia
CAGR*
+6.8% 19100
CAGR* 18420
17788 600
-5% 17250 600
1000
779
16670 500
109 500 1200
500 1000
14900 1000
800 1500 1500
13750 500
1500
1500
13264 500
600 1500 1500
1000 1250
500
1500 1320
1500 870 1000 1300
1964 400 1000 300
350
500
9562 300
450
16900 7539 642 300
170 12000 12000 12000 12000
430
5881 1092
430 17 11000 11000
1373 10000
148 8000
6000

4000

2021 2022e 2023e 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e 2030e 2031e
95% 68% 80% 84% 75% 80% 74% 72% 70% 65% 63%
Share of Chinese offshore market

*Compound Annual Growth Rate.


Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, June 2022

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 91


Market Outlook 2022-2031

Total installations offshore offshore wind projects are expected the challenge of developing a local of subsidies from central
to come online. These will be based supply chain and building the government from 2022. Before
Europe in Japan, South Korea and Vietnam necessary competencies and Chinese offshore wind reaches grid
China from 2027 onwards and the first workforces. Based on the investment parity in 2024/2025, the pace of
Other Asia
batches of offshore wind projects are plans and partnerships recently offshore wind growth in China will to
Other
also likely to take place in new announced by European players in some extent be driven by financial
56 GW 146 GW 370 GW
markets such as India and the South Korea and Japan, similar support provided by provincial
0.1%
2%
8% 11%
Philippines. As a result, China’s success is likely to be duplicated in governments, like Guangdong,
8%
market share in this region will these two markets. To unlock the Zhejiang and Shandong.
11% decline from 80% in 2026 to 63% in potential of offshore wind and further Considering the total of offshore
47% 2031. lower cost in the region, regional wind targets announced by coastal
cooperation in supply chain provinces, – either by 2025 or 2030
45% 34% In total, 63% of the predicted development is a key objective. – has already passed 150 GW,
offshore wind for this region is to be GWEC Market Intelligence predicts
built in 2027-2031. Although stable GWEC Market Intelligence predicts that average annual offshore wind
growth is expected in this period, that Asia will replace Europe as the installations in China between 2025
annual installations in the region are largest regional offshore wind and 2031 will surpass 10 GW, which
50% 39% 46%
unlikely to exceed the 2021 record market in total installations from 2022 will help the country to further
until 2030. The top five markets in and then retain that position through consolidate its position as global
total new additions in this region in to the end of 2030. However, with leader.
the next ten years will be China, strong growth expected to take
2021 2026 2031e Taiwan, South Korea, Vietnam and place in Europe from 2029 onwards, Taiwan
Japan. Europe is likely to recapture this title Although only one small-scale
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, June 2022
by the end of 2031, though the gap offshore wind demonstration project
China is, to date, the most mature between the two regions will be was commissioned in 2021 due to
next five years (2022-2026), although offshore wind market outside marginal. COVID-19 related disruptions,
its market share in 2022 is expected Europe. Driven by the installation GWEC Market Intelligence believes
to drop to 68% after an outstanding rush that started in the second half of China that Taiwan is well positioned to
year in 2021. Taiwan is predicted to 2019, the domestic offshore wind China grid connected nearly 17 GW become the Number Two offshore
be the largest offshore market in supply chain and infrastructure have of new offshore wind in 2021, wind market in this region.
Asia after China in new installations built up quickly along China’s east overtaking the UK as the world’s According to the Bureau of Energy’s
in the same period. and southeast coast. While progress Number One offshore market in latest renewable energy
and supply chain capacity building cumulative installation. However, development status update, 2 GW of
GWEC Market Intelligence believes activities have continued in Taiwan in following last year’s astonishing level offshore wind capacity is likely to be
that the market will become more the past two years, the rest of the of growth, a sharp drop in new added in Taiwan by the end of this
diversified in the second half of this markets are still at the early stage of offshore installations in China in 2022 year, putting it on track to reach the
forecast period as more utility-scale development and most of them face is expected, primarily due to the end 5.6 GW offshore wind by 2025

92 GWEC.NET
Market Outlook 2022-2031

Total added between 2022 and 2031 such as permitting and grid Vietnam
transmission still need to be Despite COVID-19 disruptions
addressed before the market is bringing challenges to the local
Others 0.9% India 2.2% ready to take off. industry, Vietnam had a record year
Vietnam 5% in commissioning nearly GW-level
Japan 4.2% Japan intertidal projects in 2021, making it
As in the case with South Korea, the second largest market in this
South Korea 5.5% Japan has made headlines in region. Following the installation
offshore wind in the past two years. rush driven by the cut-off of Feed-in-
Firstly, following a major cost Tariffs, GWEC Market Intelligence
China 71.9% reduction study commissioned by predicts that new installations in
Taiwan 10.3%
136.3GW GWEC and JWPA and a series of Vietnam will fall off in 2022 and most
industry-government dialogues, the likely stay at a low level until a clear
Japanese government also offshore wind regulatory framework
approved the “Offshore Wind (the procurement mechanism in
Industry Vision” targeting 10 GW particular) is in place. However,
offshore wind by 2030 and 30-45 taking into account the net zero
GW by 2040. Secondly, the commitment made at COP26 as well
country’s first ever auctions for as the 7-8 GW by 2030 offshore wind
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, June 2022
floating and fixed bottom offshore target included in the most recent
wind were launched in 2020 draft Power Development Plan VIII
target. Last August, the government announced in 2020 and net zero following the designation of the first (PDP8), Vietnam is poised to usher in
officially announced its offshore wind commitment passed in 2021, offshore wind development zones an era of accelerated renewable
allocation plan between 2026 and offshore wind and especially floating by the government. energy growth and become the
2035. With projects expected to be wind has drawn heavy interest from offshore wind market leader in
allocated from the upcoming Round local and foreign renewables Despite the progress made in past Southeast Asia by end of this
3 offshore wind auction coming companies. However, GWEC has 12 months and the growing traction decade.
online, Taiwan is likely to exceed the downgraded our 2030 offshore wind that offshore wind continues to gain,
2030 offshore wind targets set by outlook for Korea by nearly one third there have been setbacks, such as
South Korea and Japan. (from 8.7 GW to 6 GW) compared the delay of its third offshore wind
with our outlook released last auction as well as concerns
South Korea September, primarily because the generated by the outcomes of its first
South Korea is the fourth largest recent elected President Yoon fixed-bottom auction. GWEC is
offshore wind market in the region Suk-yeol is seeking to change the therefore downgrading its 2030
with a target of bringing 12 GW of pre-existing dynamics and goals in offshore wind outlook for Japan by
offshore wind online by 2030. national energy policy. At the same around 25% relative to our previous
Following its Green New Deal time, previously identified barriers year’s outlook.

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 93


Market Outlook 2022-2031

North America 31.9 GW of offshore wind is


predicted to be built in this region in
the next ten years (2022-2031), of
offshore wind market continued to
gain strong momentum in the past
12 months. After the 800 MW
North America has only two small- projects outside of Europe and Asia which 99% is expected to come from Vineyard Wind 1 project received
scale offshore projects in operation as of today. the United States and only 400 MW is the final major federal approval
as of the end of 2021, consisting of projected from Canada. from BOEM in May 2021,
the 30 MW Block Island project in Based on the latest offshore wind construction work started in
Rhode Island and the 12 MW project development timeline, the United States Massachusetts in November. In the
Dominion Virginia demonstration next utility-scale offshore wind Only 42 MW of offshore wind same month, the 132 MW South
project, making it the only region project is unlikely to come online in capacity is in operation in the US as Fork wind project also received
with operational offshore wind North America until 2023. In total, of today, but development of federal approval from BOEM

New offshore installations, North America (MW)

North America Canada


CAGR*
+71%
4,718
4,350 4,400
4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000

1,524

945

2021 2022e 2023e 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e 2030e 2031e

*Compound Annual Growth Rate.


Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, June 2022

94 GWEC.NET
Market Outlook 2022-2031

US State-level offshore wind development targets


Maryland 1.2GW (2030) Connecticut
2GW (2030)
New York 9GW (2035) Oregon
3GW* (2030)
California
3GW* (2030)

North Carolina 49.5 GW Louisiana


8GW (2040) 5GW (2030)

Virginia
5.2GW (2034)

Massachusetts
New Jersey 7.5GW (2035) 5.6GW (2027)
*Announced plan, not yet signed by law

making it the second US offshore first-ever offshore wind lease sale


wind project ready to enter the on West Coast in the fourth quarter
construction phase. of 2022.

To support the Biden At the state level, a 5 GW offshore


Administration’s ambitious 30 GW target was announced in Louisiana
by 2030 offshore wind target, in Q1 2022, followed by a 3 GW
BOEM has issued 25 commercial floating wind plan announced in
and 10 competitive offshore wind both California and Oregon,
energy leases in the Atlantic bringing the total of state-level
Ocean, ranging from Massachusetts offshore wind development targets
to North Carolina with a combined up to nearly 50 GW.
capacity of 6.9 GW most recently
allocated from the New York Bight GWEC Market Intelligence predicts
and Carolina Long Bay auctions. a total of 27.5 GW of offshore wind
Following the two leasing rounds could be built in the US by the end of
completed on the East coast, 2030, the same level as we predicted
BOEM is now ready to hold the for this market a year ago.

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 95


Market Outlook 2022-2031

Floating Offshore Market Outlook to 2031


80% of the world’s offshore wind developers, especially oil and gas into account national floating wind
resource potential lies in waters companies, have a strong appetite targets and development plans
deeper than 60m, but as of the end for floating wind, new floating wind announced by major offshore wind
of 2021 only 121.4 MW of net floating targets have been announced on investors.
wind capacity is in operation both sides of the Atlantic Ocean in
worldwide, accounting for 0.2% of the past 12 months. Taking into Considering floating wind will
the total installed offshore wind account the positive political become fully commercialised
capacity. momentum behind floating wind, the towards the end of this decade,
increased floating wind target in the GWEC Market Intelligence forecasts
Nevertheless, significant progress UK and the accelerated floating that 28.7 GW of new floating wind
has been made since the first project development activities in capacity will be added in 2022-2031,
MW-scale floating offshore wind Europe, Asia and North America, of which less than 10% (or 2.7 GW)
turbine was grid-connected in GWEC Market Intelligence has will be built in the first half of the
Norway in 2009. Following a decade upgraded its global floating wind decade and the majority (90%) of
of testing first in Europe and then in forecast and predicts that 18.9 GW is new volume will come online in
Asia, floating wind has now passed likely to be built globally by 2030, 2027-2031.
the demonstration stage and entered compared with 16.5 GW that we
the pre-commercial phase. predicted a year ago. As regards to regional distribution,
we expect Europe to contribute
Since the release of our Global As of today, the UK, Portugal, Japan, 59.2% of total installations added in
Offshore Wind Report 2021, further Norway and China are the top five 2022-2031, followed by Asia (29.4%)
KhZ]fZih_ÜhZmbg`h__lahk^pbg]
commercialisation breakthroughs have been recorded markets in total (gross) floating wind and North America (11.4%). As of
in this sector. As of today, the global installations. By the end of this the end of 2031, a total of 28.8 GW of
floating offshore wind pipeline decade, the UK, South Korea, United floating wind is likely to be installed
Demo and trial phase already tops 120 GW. In the UK, for States, Spain and Ireland are likely to worldwide, bringing its contribution
(2009-2020) example, 15 GW of floating wind be the top five floating markets. to total offshore wind installations
projects won the ScotWind leasing from today’s 0.2% to 7.8%.
round with another 4 GW of floating As with last year, our near-term
Pre-commercial phase wind capacity expected to be (2022-2026) outlook is primarily To help unlock the global floating
(2021-2025) unlocked from the proposed seabed based on the existing global floating wind potential, GWEC launched its
leasing in the Celtic Sea. This offshore project pipeline. However, a Floating Offshore Wind Task Force in
Commercial phase development, without any doubt, has top-down approach has been July 2020.
(from 2026 onward) paved the, much needed, way for applied for the medium-term
commercialising floating wind. As (2027-2030) outlook, which takes

96 GWEC.NET
Market Outlook 2022-2031

New floating wind installations, Global (MW)**

9900
United Kingdom France Japan
Italy Greece China
1000
Spain Portugal Taiwan
Ireland Sweden United States 600
Norway South Korea 500
CAGR* 6900
800
+53%
1000
1000

500 500
4900
500
700 1000 500
500 200
500 750
500
500
2838 500 500
CAGR* 500
800 750
+83% 500 500
500 500
1400 700 600
10 1048 1166 250 500
10 300 300 300
11 100
7 200 150 250 300 500
100 400
17 330 84 100 100 288 350
101 35 11 270
57.1 5.5
96 6 17 500 95 350
300 300
1000 1500
4.6 88 10 6 250 296 500 500 700
48 2 4 9 103

2021 2022e 2023e 2024e 2025e 2026e 2027e 2028e 2029e 2030e 2031e

*Compound Annual Growth Rate., **Note: this floating wind outlook is already included in GWEC’s global offshore wind forecast.
Source: GWEC Market Intelligence, June 2022

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 97


APPENDIX

98
Appendix

Global Offshore Wind Report 2022 - Methodology and Terminology


Data definitions and adjustments to both new and cumulative installations Latin America: South, Central America Used terminology
GWEC reports installed and fully over the course of time. and Mexico GWEC uses terminology to the best of
commissioned capacity additions and our knowledge. With the wind industry
total installations. New installations are All currency figures in $ are given in Europe: Geographic Europe including evolving certain terminology is not yet
gross figures not deducting US Dollars. Norway, Russia, Switzerland, Turkey, fixed or can have several connotations.
decommissioned capacity. Total Ukraine GWEC is continuously adapting and
installations are net figures, adjusted for Definition of regions adjusting to these developments.
decommissioned capacity. GWEC adjusted its definition of regions Sources for the report
for the 2018 Global Wind Report and GWEC collects installation data from
Historic installation data has been maintains these in the 2022 edition, regional or country wind associations.
adjusted based on the input GWEC specifically for Latin America and For the supply side data, GWEC collects
received. GWEC made the adjustments Europe. directly from wind turbine OEMs.

Acronyms
AEP Annual Energy Production Commission Environment of Vietnam RECs Renewable Energy Certificates
BOEM Bureau of Ocean Management FiT Feed-in-Tariff MSP Marine Spatial Planning REEs Rare Earth Elements
C&I Commercial and Industrialc FY Financial Year NABTU North America Building Trade Union RODA Responsible Offshore Development
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate GHG Greenhouse Gas Emissions NDC Nationally Determined Contribution Alliance
CCS Carbon Capture and Storage H&S Health and Safety NDRC National Development and Reform RPS Renewable Portfolio Standard
CEC California Energy Commission IEA International Energy Agency Commission of China RVO Netherlands Enterprise Agency
CfD Contracts for Difference IRENA International Renewable Energy NEA National Energy Administration of SDGs UN Sustainable Development Goals
COD Commercial Operation Date Agency China SEA Strategic Environmental Assessment
CSIRO Commonwealth Scientific and JWPA Japan Wind Power Association OEM Original Equipment Manufacturer SNG Synthetic Natural Gas
Industrial Research Organisation KEPCO Korea Electric Power Corp OREDP Offshore Renewable Energy SOV Service Operation Vessel
DEA Danish Energy Agency LCOE Levelised Cost of Energy Development Plan TCE The Crown Estate
DNSH Do No Significant Harm LIDAR Light Detection and Ranging ORESS Offshore Renewable Energy Support WTIV Wind Turbine Installation Vessel
DOE Department of Energy MAC Maritime Area Consent Scheme
DOI Department of Interior METI Ministry of Economy, Trade, and PDP8 Power Development Plan VIII of
EBL Electricity Business License Industry of Japan Vietnam
EIA Environmental Impact Assessment MLIT Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, PEP Philippine Energy Plan
EPC Engineering, Procurement and Transport and Tourism of Japan PMSG Permanent Magnet Synchronous
Construction MNRE Ministry of New and Renewable Generator
EVN Vietnam Electricity Energy of India PQQ Prequalification Questionnaire
FERC Federal Energy Regulatory MONRE Ministry of Natural Resources and PSU Public Sector Undertaking

99
Appendix

About GWEC GWEC Market Intelligence Areas

Market Intelligence
GWEC Market Intelligence provides a series Market Insights
Policy and Regulations Asset Owners
of insights and data-based analysis on the Market statistics,
Country profiles, policy Database of asset owners
development of the global wind industry. This market outlook,
updates, offshore updates in key markets
includes a market outlook, country profiles, auction/tender updates
policy updates, deep-dives on the offshore
market among many other exclusive insights.

GWEC Market Intelligence derives its


insights from its own comprehensive
databases, local knowledge and leading Technology/ Supply Chain Energy Transition O&M
industry experts. Wind turbine data, technology Shift to value-focused, new ISP - OEM - Self Perform
trends, component assessment wind-based solutions database for key markets
The market intelligence team consists of
several strong experts with long-standing
industry experience across the world.

GWEC Market Intelligence collaborates with


regional and national wind associations as
well as its corporate members.

How to access GWEC Market Intelligence


G
GWEC Market Intelligence created
Corporate GWEC Members
a Member-only area to provide more
O Wind energy associations
in
in-depth market intelligence to
O Market Intelligence subscription
G
GWEC’s members and their
Contact employees.
em
Contact Feng Zhao feng.zhao@gwec.net Click here to get your login
C

100 GWEC.NET
Appendix

GWEC Market Intelligence Products in 2022


Product Frequency
1. Wind Energy Stats/Market Data
Wind Stats 2021 (historic annual, accumulative, decommision data) Annual
Global Wind Report 2022 Annual
Wind Energy Statistics (wind energy penetration rate, jobs) Annual

2. Country Profiles/Policy Updates


Country Profiles Onshores/Country Profiles Offshore Quarterly/Ad-hoc
Ad-hoc Policy Updates Ad-hoc

3. Market Outlook
Global Wind Market Outlook 2022-2026 (Q1 and Q3) Database + Report Semi-Annual
India Market Outlook Report 2022-2026 Annual
Global Wind Workforce Outlook 2022-2026 Annual

4. Supply Side Data


Global Wind Turbine Supply Side Data Report 2021 (by OEM, by technology, by turbine ratings, models and drive train, etc) Annual

5. Auctions/Tenders
Global Wind Auction Database Annual/Quarterly Auction Trends and Learnings Quarterly

6. Offshore Wind Market


Global Offshore Wind Report 2022 Annual Market Entry Opportunities Database Annual/Quarterly
Global Offshore Project Pipeline (database, in operation and under construction) Annual/Quarterly
Global Offshore Turbine Installation Vessel Database and Report Annual/Quarterly

7. Components Assessment
Gearbox (2019), Blade (2020), Generator (2021), Gearbox (Q4 2022), followed by other components Special Report

8. Wind Asset Owners/Operators


Asset Owners and Operators Database (Onshore & Offshore Ranking) Annual
Asset Owners and Operators Status Report (including strategical trends) Annual

9. O&M
O&M Service Provider Database (ISP - OEM - Self-perform) Annual
O&M Service Provider Status Report (including regional trends) Annual

10. Energy transition, Digitalisation, New Technologies


Position papers/ studies - permitting, Corporate PPAs Special Report New solutions, GWEC policy recommendations Special Report

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 101


Global Leaders

GWEC Global Leaders


The Global Wind Energy Council’s Global Leaders are an exclusive leadership group of decision-makers and top-tier members who form the basis
of the Association’s Executive Committee, which drives the work programme and plays a major role in shaping GWEC’s priorities for its efforts in the
short and long-term strategy.

Siemens Gamesa Shell Ørsted Mainstream Renewable Power


Siemens Gamesa unlocks the power of Shell is building a global integrated power The Ørsted vision is a world that runs Mainstream Renewable Power is a leading
wind. For more than 40 years, we have been business spanning electricity generation, entirely on green energy. Ørsted develops, pure-play renewable energy company, with
a pioneer and leader of the wind industry, trading and supply. Shell entered the constructs, and operates offshore and wind and solar assets across global
and today our team of more than 26,000 offshore wind business in 2000 as part of a onshore wind farms, solar farms, energy markets, including in Latin America, Africa,
colleagues work at the center of the global consortium that installed the first offshore storage facilities, renewable hydrogen and and Asia-Pacific. Mainstream is one of the
energy revolution to tackle the most wind turbine in UK waters. Today, we have green fuels facilities, and bioenergy plants. most successful developers of gigawatt-
significant challenge of our generation – the deployed, or are developing, over eight Moreover, Ørsted provides energy products scale renewables platforms, across onshore
climate crisis. With a leading position in gigawatts (GW) of wind across North to its customers. Ørsted is the only energy wind, offshore wind, and solar power
onshore, offshore, and service, we engineer, America, Europe, the UK, and Asia. We see company in the world with a science-based generation. It has successfully delivered 6.5
build and deliver powerful and reliable offshore wind as a critical way of generating net-zero emissions target as validated by GW of wind and solar generation assets to
wind energy solutions in strong partnership renewable electricity for our customers and the Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi). financial close-ready. In May 2021, Aker
with our customers. A global business with moving Shell towards its target of being a Ørsted ranks as the world’s most Horizons acquired a 75% equity stake in the
local impact, we have installed more than net-zero emissions energy business by sustainable energy company in Corporate company, accelerating its plans to deliver its
120 GW and provide access to clean, 2050 or sooner, in step with society. Knights’ 2022 index of the Global 100 most high-quality pipeline of over 16 gigawatts of
affordable and sustainable energy that sustainable corporations in the world and is clean energy. Mainstream has raised more
keeps the lights on across the world, while recognised on the CDP Climate Change A than EUR3.0bn in project finance to date
supporting the communities where we List as a global leader on climate action. and employs more than 420 people across
operate. five continents.

102 GWEC.NET
GE Renewable Energy Iberdrola Vestas Equinor
GE Renewable Energy harnesses the With over 170 years of history behind us, Vestas is the energy industry’s global We are looking for new ways to utilise our
earth’s most abundant resources – the Iberdrola is now a global energy leader, the partner on sustainable energy solutions. We expertise in the energy industry, exploring
strength of the wind, the heat of the sun and number one producer of wind power, and design, manufacture, install, and service opportunities in new energy and driving
the force of water; delivering green one of the world’s biggest electricity utilities wind turbines across the globe, and with innovation in oil and gas around the world.
electrons to power the world’s biggest in terms of market capitalisation. We have +151 GW of wind turbines in 86 countries, We know that the future has to be low
economies and the most remote brought the energy transition forward two we have installed more wind power than carbon. Our ambition is to be the world’s
communities. With an innovative spirit and decades to combat climate change and anyone else. most carbon-efficient oil and gas producer,
an entrepreneurial mindset, we engineer provide a clean, reliable and smart as well as driving innovation in offshore
Through our industry-leading smart data
energy products, grid solutions and digital business model, to continue building wind and renewables. We plan to reach an
capabilities and +129 GW of wind turbines
services that create industry-leading value together each day a healthier, more installed net capacity of 12-16 GW from
under service, we use data to interpret,
for our customers around the world. accessible energy model, based on renewables by 2030, two-thirds of this will
forecast, and exploit wind resources and
electricity. be from offshore wind. With five decades of
deliver best-in-class wind power solutions.
ocean engineering and project
Together with our customers, Vestas’ more
management expertise, focus on safe and
than 29,000 employees are bringing the
efficient operations, in depth knowledge of
world sustainable energy solutions to power
the energy markets, skilled personnel and a
a bright future.
network of competent partners and
suppliers, Equinor is uniquely positioned to
take a leading role in the offshore wind
industry. From building the world’s first
floating wind farm to building the world’s
biggest offshore wind farm we are well
underway to deliver profitable growth in
renewables be a leading company in the
energy transition.

GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 103


Leading Sponsor

Supporting Sponsor

Associate Sponsors

Ørsted Andrew Ho, (ANDMH@orsted.com) SSE Richard Holligan (Richard.Holligan@sse.com)


Harting Electric Guanghai Jin (Guanghai.Jin@harting.com) CRU Harry Walford (harry.walford@crugroup.com)
Lincoln Electric Bryan O’Neil (Bryan_ONeil@lincolnelectric.com) Bonfiglioli Roberto Pasqualini (roberto.pasqualini@bonfiglioli.com)

104 GWEC.NET
GWEC | GLOBAL OFFSHORE WIND REPORT 2022 105
Global Wind Energy Council

Rue de Commerce 31
1000 Brussels, Belgium
T. +32 490 56 81 39
info@gwec.net

@GWECGlobalWind
@Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC)
@Global Wind Energy Council

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