refill_booking

To predict the no of refill bookings for a given date or a week in an year.

https://github.com/SwethaRavi30/refill_booking.git

{
"cells": [
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 1,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"import numpy as np\n",
"from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression\n",
"import matplotlib.pyplot as plt\n",
"from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error, r2_score\n",
"from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 2,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"['august-20.csv', 'july-20.csv', 'Nov-20.csv', 'oct-20.csv', 'sep-
20.csv']\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"import os\n",
"import glob\n",
"import pandas as pd\n",
"os.chdir(\"D:/ml project/refill_booking\")\n",
"extension = 'csv'\n",
"all_filenames = [i for i in glob.glob('*.{}'.format(extension))]\n",
"print(all_filenames)\n",
"#combine all files in the list\n",
"final_csv = pd.concat([pd.read_csv(f) for f in all_filenames ])\n",
"#export to csv\n",
"final_csv.to_csv( \"final_csv.csv\", index=False, encoding='utf-8-
sig')\n",
"\n"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 3,
 "metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# print(final_csv.columns)\n",
"# print(final_csv.shape)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 4,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"(106171, 32)\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"final_csv.dropna(subset = [\"Book Date\"], inplace=True)\n",
"print(final_csv.shape)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 5,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
" Book Date freq\n",
"0 7/27/2020 759\n",
"1 7/31/2020 572\n",
"2 7/31/2020 572\n",
"3 7/29/2020 682\n",
"4 7/31/2020 572\n",
"... ... ...\n",
"21196 9/29/2020 709\n",
"21197 9/29/2020 709\n",
"21198 9/29/2020 709\n",
"21199 9/30/2020 704\n",
"21200 9/30/2020 704\n",
"\n",
"[106171 rows x 2 columns]\n",
" Book Date freq\n",
"0 7/27/2020 759\n",
"1 7/31/2020 572\n",
"3 7/29/2020 682\n",
"10 7/30/2020 603\n",
"21 8/1/2020 678\n",
"... ... ...\n",
"12253 9/18/2020 733\n",
"13048 9/19/2020 662\n",
 "13785 9/20/2020 454\n",
"16294 9/24/2020 671\n",
"17024 9/25/2020 611\n",
"\n",
"[164 rows x 2 columns]\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"final_csv['freq'] = final_csv.groupby('Book Date')['Book
Date'].transform('count')\n",
"# final_csv['Book Date'] = pd.to_datetime(final_csv['Book Date'])\n",
"print(final_csv[['Book Date','freq']])\n",
"\n",
"data = [final_csv[\"Book Date\"], final_csv[\"freq\"]]\n",
"headers = [\"Book Date\", \"freq\"]\n",
"reg_df = pd.concat(data, axis=1, keys=headers)\n",
"reg_df=reg_df.drop_duplicates()\n",
"print(reg_df)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 6,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"jan=pd.read_csv('D:/jan-20.csv')\n",
"# print(type(jan['Book Date']))\n",
"# print(type(jan['freq']))\n",
"# jan['Book Date'] = pd.to_datetime(jan['Book Date'])\n",
"# print(jan.loc[jan['Book Date']=='01-02-2020'])\n",
"reg_df=pd.concat([reg_df, jan], ignore_index=True, sort=True)\n",
"# print(reg_df.loc[reg_df['Book Date']=='01-02-2020'])"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 7,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
" Book Date freq\n",
"0 737633 759\n",
"1 737637 572\n",
"2 737635 682\n",
"3 737636 603\n",
"4 737638 678\n",
".. ... ...\n",
"328 737601 723\n",
"329 737602 720\n",
"330 737603 634\n",
"331 737605 702\n",
"332 737606 845\n",
 "\n",
"[333 rows x 2 columns]\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"daily_df=reg_df.copy()\n",
"\n",
"import datetime as dt\n",
"daily_df['Book Date'] = pd.to_datetime(daily_df['Book Date'])\n",
"# print(\"oooooooooooo\")\n",
"# print(reg_df)\n",
"daily_df['Book Date']=daily_df['Book
Date'].map(dt.datetime.toordinal)\n",
"# print(\"iiiiiiiiiiii\")\n",
"print(daily_df)\n",
"\n"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 8,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"x=np.array(daily_df['Book Date']).reshape(-1,1)\n",
"y=np.array(daily_df['freq']).reshape(-1,1)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 9,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"<matplotlib.collections.PathCollection at 0x21917e1cd30>"
]
},
"execution_count": 9,
"metadata": {},
"output_type": "execute_result"
},
{
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,
"text/plain": [
 "<Figure size 432x288 with 1 Axes>"
]
},
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},
"output_type": "display_data"
}
],
"source": [
"plt.scatter(x,y)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 10,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"(333, 1) (333, 1)\n",
"(266, 1) (266, 1)\n"
]
},
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"<matplotlib.collections.PathCollection at 0x2191825ee50>"
]
},
"execution_count": 10,
"metadata": {},
"output_type": "execute_result"
},
{
"data": {
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"text/plain": [
"<Figure size 432x288 with 1 Axes>"
]
},
"metadata": {
"needs_background": "light"
},
"output_type": "display_data"
}
],
"source": [
"from sklearn.metrics import mean_absolute_error\n",
"from sklearn.neighbors import LocalOutlierFactor\n",
"# print(x_train.shape, y_train.shape)\n",
"# identify outliers in the training dataset\n",
"print(x.shape,y.shape)\n",
"lof = LocalOutlierFactor(n_neighbors=7,contamination=0.5)\n",
"yhat = lof.fit_predict(x)\n",
"# select all rows that are not outliers\n",
"mask = yhat != -1\n",
"x,y=x[mask],y[mask]\n",
"print(x.shape,y.shape)\n",
"plt.scatter(x,y)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 11,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"(178, 1)\n"
 ]
}
],
"source": [

"x_train,x_test,y_train,y_test=train_test_split(x,y,test_size=0.33,random_sta
te=1)\n",
"print(x_train.shape)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 12,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"MAE: 126.642\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"# fit the model\n",
"model1 = LinearRegression()\n",
"model1.fit(x_train, y_train)\n",
"# evaluate the model\n",
"ypred= model1.predict(x_test)\n",
"# evaluate predictions\n",
"mae1 = mean_absolute_error(y_test, ypred)\n",
"print('MAE: %.3f' % mae1)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 13,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
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L5/zAeF2qiaNR/AAAAAElFTkSuQmCC\n",
"text/plain": [
"<Figure size 432x288 with 1 Axes>"
]
},
"metadata": {
"needs_background": "light"
},
"output_type": "display_data"
},
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"0.026636810376199582\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"y_pred=model1.predict(x_test)\n",
"plt.scatter(x_test,y_test)\n",
"plt.plot(x_test,ypred,color='red')\n",
"plt.show()\n",
"print(model1.score(x_test,y_test))"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 14,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# d=np.array(737603).reshape(-1,1)\n",
"# print(model1.predict(d))"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 15,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"# pd.set_option(\"display.max_rows\", None, \"display.max_columns\",
None)\n",
"# print(daily_df.sort_values(by=['Book Date']))\n"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 16,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"import pickle\n",
"filename='refill_booking_prediction_model.sav'\n",
 "pickle.dump(model1,open(filename,'wb'))"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 17,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"[[767.42371588]]\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"loaded_model = pickle.load(open(filename, 'rb'))\n",
"d=np.array(737900).reshape(-1,1)\n",
"print(loaded_model.predict(d)+119)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 18,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
" Book Date freq\n",
"0 7/27/2020 759\n",
"1 7/31/2020 572\n",
"2 7/29/2020 682\n",
"3 7/30/2020 603\n",
"4 8/1/2020 678\n",
".. ... ...\n",
"328 6/25/2020 723\n",
"329 6/26/2020 720\n",
"330 6/27/2020 634\n",
"331 6/29/2020 702\n",
"332 6/30/2020 845\n",
"\n",
"[333 rows x 2 columns]\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"print(reg_df)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 19,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
 "source": [
"week_df=reg_df.copy()\n",
"week_df['Book Date'] = pd.to_datetime(week_df['Book Date'])\n",
"# print(week_df)\n",
"# week_df=reg_df.groupby('Book Date').resample('W-Mon',on='Book
Date').sum().reset_index().sort_values(by='Book Date)')\n",
"# print(week_df)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 20,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"week_df['WeekDate'] = week_df.apply(lambda row: row['Book Date'] -
dt.timedelta(days=row['Book Date'].weekday()), axis=1)\n",
"\n",
"perweek = week_df['WeekDate'].groupby(week_df['WeekDate']).count()\n"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 21,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
" WeekDate freq\n",
"0 737423 3322\n",
"1 737430 4513\n",
"2 737437 2838\n",
"3 737444 5154\n",
"4 737451 4812\n",
"5 737458 6178\n",
"6 737465 5801\n",
"7 737472 6705\n",
"8 737479 5556\n",
"9 737486 5389\n",
"10 737493 5124\n",
"11 737500 5323\n",
"12 737507 4169\n",
"13 737514 6339\n",
"14 737521 5776\n",
"15 737528 5302\n",
"16 737535 4124\n",
"17 737542 4272\n",
"18 737549 6540\n",
"19 737556 4096\n",
"20 737563 3840\n",
"21 737570 4080\n",
"22 737577 4516\n",
"23 737584 4557\n",
"24 737591 3967\n",
"25 737598 4520\n",
 "26 737605 5737\n",
"27 737612 4395\n",
"28 737619 4423\n",
"29 737626 4291\n",
"30 737633 4519\n",
"31 737640 5367\n",
"32 737647 4727\n",
"33 737654 4489\n",
"34 737661 4459\n",
"35 737668 5245\n",
"36 737675 4997\n",
"37 737682 4610\n",
"38 737689 4416\n",
"39 737696 5281\n",
"40 737703 5549\n",
"41 737710 4946\n",
"42 737717 4820\n",
"43 737724 4730\n",
"44 737731 5443\n",
"45 737738 4428\n",
"46 737745 5780\n",
"47 737752 4837\n",
"48 737759 29\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"#
print(week_df.loc[week_df['WeekDate']==pd.to_datetime('1/27/2020')])\n",
"week_df1=week_df.groupby(['WeekDate'])['freq'].sum().reset_index()\n",
"\n",
"week_df1['WeekDate']=week_df1['WeekDate'].map(dt.datetime.toordinal)\n",
"# print(week_df1)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 22,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
"text/plain": [
"<matplotlib.collections.PathCollection at 0x2191854ebb0>"
]
},
"execution_count": 22,
"metadata": {},
"output_type": "execute_result"
},
{
"data": {
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\n",
"text/plain": [
"<Figure size 432x288 with 1 Axes>"
]
},
"metadata": {
"needs_background": "light"
},
"output_type": "display_data"
}
],
"source": [
"week_x=np.array(week_df1['WeekDate']).reshape(-1,1)\n",
"week_y=np.array(week_df1['freq']).reshape(-1,1)\n",
"\n",
"plt.scatter(week_x,week_y)\n"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 24,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"MAE: 708.111\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"# fit the model\n",
"model2 = LinearRegression()\n",
"model2.fit(week_x, week_y)\n",
"# evaluate the model\n",
"ypred= model2.predict(week_x)\n",
"# evaluate predictions\n",
"mae = mean_absolute_error(week_y, ypred)\n",
"print('MAE: %.3f' % mae)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 25,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [
{
"data": {
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"text/plain": [
"<Figure size 432x288 with 1 Axes>"
]
},
"metadata": {
"needs_background": "light"
},
"output_type": "display_data"
},
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"0.02862886680747012\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"y_pred=model2.predict(week_x)\n",
"plt.scatter(week_x,week_y)\n",
"plt.plot(week_x,ypred,color='red')\n",
"plt.show()\n",
"print(model2.score(week_x,week_y))"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 26,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"import pickle\n",
"filename2='refill_booking_prediction_model_week.sav'\n",
"pickle.dump(model2,open(filename2,'wb'))"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 27,
"metadata": {},
 "outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"[[5767.55106414]]\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"# loaded_model = pickle.load(open(filename2, 'rb'))\n",
"# d=np.array(737100).reshape(-1,1)\n",
"# print(loaded_model.predict(d)+119)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": null,
"metadata": {},
"outputs": [],
"source": []
}
],
"metadata": {
"kernelspec": {
"display_name": "Python 3",
"language": "python",
"name": "python3"
},
"language_info": {
"codemirror_mode": {
"name": "ipython",
"version": 3
},
"file_extension": ".py",
"mimetype": "text/x-python",
"name": "python",
"nbconvert_exporter": "python",
"pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
"version": "3.8.5"
}
},
"nbformat": 4,
"nbformat_minor": 4
}