Professional Documents
Culture Documents
!""#$%&"#38#'()#%*%+,-.#/").0'0/%.0(*#%*1#02$().%*.#10-/+(-3)"-4
!"#"$%&'()*$+&,-$)*+$-,,.-$/&$+&$01-2*,--$32/4$5&67)*2,-$5&8,',+$2*$2/-$',-,)'54$',7&'/-"$9-$)$',-1:/;$2*8,-/&'-$-4&1:+$0,$)3)',$/4)/$/4,$<2'6$6)=$4)8,$)$5&*<:25/$&<$2*/,',-/
$/4)/$5&1:+$)<<,5/$/4,$&0>,5/282/=$&<$/42-$',7&'/"$?*8,-/&'-$-4&1:+$5&*-2+,'$/42-$',7&'/$)-$&*:=$)$-2*(:,$<)5/&'$2*$6).2*($/4,2'$2*8,-/6,*/$+,52-2&*"
TRADE RECOMMENDATIONS & OBSERVATIONS
!"#$%&$'&$$'()*'+,-)&.*/',(.$'01%.+,'23$*+4%'5(*6(*%.$'7$$8#/9':*%-$';$4(33$,-%.+(,&'<'=>&$*?%.+(,&@A'6)>#+&B$-'+,'4(,C),4.+(,'D+.B'.B+&'*$6(*.@'E(*'+36(*.%,.'-+&4#(&)*$&F
• Among Investment Grade credits, we continue to recommend investors add risk through new issues (most of which are large enough to be
eligible for the index), rotate out of out of some of the higher dollar priced credits (such as the ODBR '14s offered at 119, PETBRA '19s offered
at 118, TLMP '19s offered at 120, VALEBZ '34s offered at 118, ELEBRA '15s offered at 116 and the CDEL '19s offered at 118), and buy some of
following credits in the secondary market, such as the Embraer '17s (z+227bp, Baa3/BBB-/NR), Embraer '20s (z+224bp, Baa3/BBB-/NR), Gerdau
'17s (z+253bp, NR/BBB-/BBB-), Gerdau '20s (z+243bp, NR/BBB-/BBB-), Celara '19s (z+219bp, Baa2/BBB/BBB+), CMPC '19s (z+206bp,
Baa2/BBB+/BBB+), Mexichem '19s (z+371bp, Ba1/NR/BBB-), and Televisa '25s (z+191bp, Baa1/BBB+/BBB+).
• Among High Yield credits, we continue to see value in the off index higher yielding credits, such as the CAC utilities ITABO '13s (z+658bp,
NR/B/B-), AESDOM '15s (z+665bp, NR/B-/B-), HAINA '17s (z+656bp, NR/B-/B-), AES EL SALVADOR '16s (z+432bp, Ba2/NR/BB+) as well as
the DLLTD '14s (z+58bp, B1/NR/B), DLLTD 8.875% '15s (z+648bp, Caa1/NR/CCC+), DLLTD 9.125% '15s (z+653bp, Caa1/NR/CCC+), NIHD '16s
(z+483bp, B1/BB-/NR) and NIHD '19s (z+460bp, B1/BB-/NR) in the telecommunications space. We also continue to see some value in the top-tier
regulated utilities in Argentina, such as the TRANAR '16s (z+997bp, NR/B-/B-), TRAGAS '17s (z+593bp, B2/B-/B), and EDNAR '17s (z+667bp,
B2/B-/NR). We recommend investors take profits in some of the best performing sectors, such as in the Mexican
homebuilders (GEO ‘14s, HOMEX '15s and '19s and URBI '16s and '20s) and the Brazilian meatpacker MARFRIG’16s (z+522bp, B1/B+/B+), all of
which we view as being fully valued at current levels.
• The CEMBI Broad Latam returned 3.9% in 1Q10, the weakest performance among EM regions as the aggregate CEMBI Broad was up
5.0% during the period. The performance in Latam was driven by a return of 5.0% in HY and 3.5% in IG. On a total return basis, Latin American
corporates underperformed Latin American Sovereigns (as measured by the EMBIG Latam), which returned 4.8% in 1Q10, partly driven by strong
performances in the higher-beta sovereign credits that have minimal representation in the corporate index. The best performing countries in the CEMBI
Broad Latam during the period were Argentina (+6.7%, but only 1.51% of the Latam index) and Brazil (+4.15%, but 62.4% of index). Mexico, which
represents 18.3% of the index, was only up 3.57%. While we remain bullish on EM corporate credit, and to a lesser extent on Latam corporates, we
expect Latam credit will outperform the US and continue to underperform the Latin EMBIG, which has a higher composition of HY credits.
• There have been 43 new issues in Latin America year-to-date totaling $20,565 million, up over 300% from the $4,850 million issued by this
time last year. Strong investor demand for new issues on the back of higher inflows has been met by issuers trying to take advantage of relatively low
rates and attractive secondary market spreads. Brazil and Mexico have been the largest corporate issuers in Emerging Markets with total issuances of
$10,595 million (52% of Latam issuance) and $8,295 million (40% of Latam issuance), respectively. HY issuance has represented 31% of the amount
issued year-to-date. Banks have also increased their participation in the market, accounting for 18 new issues this year, totaling $7,775 year-to-date
(38% of the amount issued and 42% in number of issues). There have only been three HY issues larger than $500 million versus 15 in IG, highlighted
by a three tranche $4 billion issuance from America Movil, the largest pure corporate deal in history in Latin America. While we currently estimate
$42.5 billion of new issuance for Latin American corporates in 2010, we see risk to the upside as issuance in Latin America has already reached 48%
of our forecast after only 1Q. We continue to expect higher bank issuance as banks seek to add Tier I and Tier II capital and lengthen their funding
sources to strengthen liquidity and better align the duration of their assets and liabilities. We continue to see the new issue market as the most
interesting opportunity to add risk in size, but recommend investors be selective and sensitive to pricing.
:)&"*.0*%
@AB9@A 9'5&-$@&')+&- C&&+$7'&+15/- DB E)F EEEG HI%$JKLM F;JNF FJO PLQ NJ ORR JNJ F"LS P"RS *6
@THUAH 91/&72-/)-$+,:$U&: I&::G'&)+ @ DB DB HI%$JKLM VM OJ WOQ PO PR JFF JLN N"LS V"RS P"VS
T@D9B T+,*&'$FO X/2:2/2,- EG EF DB CY$FLLM WVP PRO FMQ RL FF FLN PON P"NS P"FS W"LS
%9UZTB %)-/,::&*,$FP @)2'=$7'&+ DB DB DB HI%$JKLM NVJ RV NQ FW FO FJV FPF J"WS J"FS O"WS
%TIBA[ %,/'&()- X/2:2/2,- \\ \))J DB CY$FLLM FNV OO PWQ JO FF FWW FFP W"NS W"LS F"OS
I9UCI I,:,5&6$#,'-&*): I%I EG DB E HI%$JKLM F;PJR WWL FRQ NM JO FOF PWJ L"OS L"JS M"NS
I9UCI I,:,5&6$9'(,*/2*)$]5&*-^ I%I DB DB E HI%$JKLM J;FOL P;LFL JPQ WWW JNV WMV OP L"RS L"LS FL"VS
I[DA9B I[D X/2:2/2,- DB DB DB HI%$JKLM PWJ NR WRQ VN JVF JVF FMO O"JS J"OS D9
IB9[9U I[U X/2:2/2,- EG EF E CY$FLLM OFN FLO ONQ FVL O JMM PJL F"LS L"RS W"LS
IB9D9B I')*-,*,' X/2:2/2,- EG DB EG HI%$JKLM PWV OM JPQ FF PO PVL PON J"WS J"LS F"WS
6%)=%1(-
\AHX?C \&:1601-$?*/,'*)/2&*): I%I E EF DB HI%$FKLM FOF PPO OVQ VF RRJ WMP W"NS W"FS P"VS
6)%G0+
9E?EE 9%ET_ \&*-16,' EEE` E))P EEE CY$FLLN PP;JNR O;NJM OFQ P;OFW P;VPP O;VRO J;JJN P"LS L"VS W"LS
ETBI?D E,'/2*$FR %,)/7)5.2*( EG$ab` EP DB HI%$JKLM V;JWV NFV PPQ P;WFN F;RJV R;JJL O;NLF V"VS W"NS P"OS
EB9Uc% E')-.,6 #,/'&54,625):- EE` DB EE` HI%$JKLM V;PPR P;PMR PVQ P;VVR MOR W;WVP J;VMW O"VS J"FS J"RS
EB%HEd E'$%)::- B,/)2: EEG DB EEG HI%$JKLM PNO PJN VWQ RWP L VVP PFL O"VS L"VS P"WS
EBCUEd E')-2:$C&&+- %2*2*( EE` E)P DB HI%$JKLM FO;FJJ M;OWN JMQ PJ;LFL P;MWP FP;LRP N;LOP F"FS L"MS V"JS
\AU9D \&-)*$P U1()' EEG$ab` E)J$ab` DB HI%$FKPL R;LMF ONF NQ WPV WPV F;NRW F;JON W"OS O"WS J"OS
\UD9Ed \UD$PJ U/,,: EE` E)P EEEG CY$FLLM W;RPP P;NRN JJQ O;RJR RNJ N;FJO J;WMN O"LS P"VS J"PS
_9HTEd _9HT %2*2*( EEE` E))F EEE CY$FLLM FJ;JPP M;PRW JMQ PP;LOL F;MRJ FF;NRP PP;NFP F"WS P"JS R"PS
@?9% @9U9$PJ Z,):/45)', EEG DB EE HI%$JKLM RJV PJO FPQ FLW MF OVP FRW J"LS P"VS J"VS
T%EB9 T%EB9TB 92'5')</$6)*1< EEEG E))J DB HI%$JKLM W;RVW RFN PPQ F;LNP MWJ F;LJP GWL J"FS GL"PS O"VS
TDTB[? T*,'(2-) X/2:2/2,- DB E)J EEG CY$FLLM NMP FNL JPQ JMV POL P;LWO RWV J"NS F"JS J"OS
C?EB?9 C20'2) #1:7$e$#)7,' EE E)P EE HI%$JKLM F;WNV NOL JFQ P;ORN P;FJF V;OOJ W;MVW V"JS W"MS P"VS
CB?EA? C'20&2$ %,)/7)5.2*( E`$ab` EP E`$ab` CY$FLLM JL;RVM P;RMM RQ F;NOW J;LFF N;FVF W;OFV O"MS J"FS *6
[[EBEd [,'+)1$PJ U/,,: EEEG DB EEEG CY$FLLM PJ;JMW F;LWL PWQ F;VLP VVN N;JFO W;RFJ J"VS F"WS J"PS
[HA#9B [:&0&$#)'/2527)5&,- %,+2) EEEG E))J EEE HI%$PKLM O;LRJ MRN FOQ P;LLF PN RJR GJRV L"VS GL"OS PL"NS
[AH [&:$J 92':2*, DB EP E` CY$FLLM J;LWN RLR FLQ NFR JJM J;RFO F;JJV W"FS J"OS P"MS
?U9EB ?-)$\)72/):$+&$E')-2:$O$ X/2:2/2,- EE DB EE HI%$JKLM P;RWO P;JNL NJQ JOR JJM P;JVM P;PNO P"NS P"WS F"JS
%9BCB? %)'<'2($FL %,)/7)5.2*( E` EP E` HI%$JKLM O;WFW OPP MQ VFJ RVF F;NJR F;PPJ W"NS O"JS P"JS
%?DTB_ %2*,'8) %,)/7)5.2*( EG EJ E$abG CY$FLLM P;JFW MO VQ FJL FJR RMJ ORJ R"VS O"OS P"VS
DTIEd D,/$U,'825&- %,+2) EE`, E)P DB CY$FLLM F;JPF RFF FVQ WNF OM P;FRL RVN F"LS P"PS R"MS
A@E A+,0',54/ \&*-/'15/2&* EE DB EE` HI%$JKLM M;LFN P;PJL PJQ P;FVM ORJ F;LJP VWF P"WS L"RS V"WS
#TIEB9 #,/'&0')- A2:$e$[)- EEEG E))P EEE HI%$JKLM MJ;FFR FW;WPW FVQ PV;PFN R;LFP WP;LRF JJ;MJO F"LS P"JS N"LS
BT@T% ['17&$B,+,$W X/2:2/2,- DB \) EG HI%$JKLM F;FMR WVM FWQ FOO VNR J;WVV J;JJJ O"NS O"WS L"JS
U9@?9 E')-2:$C&&+-$R #&1:/'= EE` E)P DB HI%$JKLM PL;FMM NVN MQ F;WFV P;RJJ W;LMN F;WVP O"NS F"OS F"FS
U9ETU# U9ETU# X/2:2/2,- EE DB EE CY$FLLN J;WLJ P;WML OWQ FVL RFR F;MRR F;RMR P"MS P"VS W"NS
I9% I)6$H2*4)-$9,')-$$V 92':2*, E` DB EEG HI%$JKLM W;PPM VPW POQ RMN WFM W;MPO O;NMW R"MS W"VS O"VS
IH%# I,:,6)' I%I DB E))J DB HI%$JKLM PO;LVV O;RWW JJQ O;PMJ W;WVN PR;PWN PP;MRW F"MS F"PS R"NS
XU?% X-262*)-$$PJ U/,,: EEEG E))J EEEG CY$FLLM W;WRL VNR POQ P;VRV OVR J;OPJ P;ROW O"LS P"MS J"PS
HX#9 H17)/,54 ?*+1-/'2):- EG EJ DB HI%$JKLM JLR RP FLQ NP MW RPO WJJ N"JS V"FS L"WS
@;0+"
\TH9B9 \,:1:&-)$9')15& #1:7$e$#)7,' EEE E))F EEE` HI%$JKLM F;MVV RWO FFQ RWV WLN J;PWM F;WLF O"NS J"NS J"NS
?D_TBU \%#\ #1:7$e$#)7,' EEE` E))F 9G$abG HI%$JKLM F;MRW WML FLQ NOR JWW F;FLR P;JRL J"VS F"JS W"NS
\@TH \&+,:5& %2*2*( 9 9P 9 HI%$JKLM PL;FPM J;VNN JVQ MRF JNW W;JMO O;OJF P"OS P"FS PW"WS
\AHEXD \&:01* X/2:2/2,- EEEG DB EEE HI%$JKLM P;PVF JOP FMQ OLL WW P;PVM VVN J"WS F"JS W"MS
TD9#\H TD9# X/2:2/2,- EEE 9J 9 HI%$JKLM R;MLL GOFJ GRQ D9 D9 J;WOJ D9 D% D% D%
TD@TU9 T*+,-)$\42:, X/2:2/2,- EEE` E))J DB CY$FLLM O;JFW F;FOM WFQ NNJ RNP O;FPF J;JFM P"MS P"WS R"VS
TDBU?U T*,'-2- X/2:2/2,- EEE` E))J EEE` CY$FLLM PP;WMP O;JMP JNQ F;FJM P;OFF V;MVF W;VJJ P"NS P"JS W"LS
[TDTB [,*,' X/2:2/2,- EEEG E))J EEEG HI%$JKLM P;OJM WWF JNQ WWO WW P;WVM P;LFW F"MS P"MS R"FS
@(+(2=0%
TTE\A T67',-)$+,$T*,'(2)$+,$E&(&/) X/2:2/2,- EE DB EE HI%$JKLM JNL OOM WJQ JNR VN P;WOO P;PWN J"OS F"RS O"VS
I[?\A I[?$?*/,'*)/2&*): X/2:2/2,- EE DB EE HI%$JKLM FOJ PMO NLQ PPO L VWL RJR J"MS J"JS P"NS
IBDITH I')*-/,:$M I%I DB DB \\ HI%$JKLM JF FL RLQ F FPN FPN FPR PP"FS PP"PS D9
Source: Company reports, Capital IQ, and J.P.Morgan. 2 of 39
LATIN AMERICA CREDIT FUNDAMENTALS
56789: !;().#8")2 8(.%+ <". 9"=.#> <".#9"=.#> 7*.")"-.
80/?") @(2$%*, !"/.() !AB C((1,D- E0./; B")0(1 !%+"- 56789: C%)&0* @%-; 9"=. 9"=. 9"=. 56789: 56789: @(F")%&"
T\A#TI T5&7,/'&:$PO A2:$e$()- EE` E))F EE` CY$FLLM PO;WOO W;OVF JNQ P;MRM FPO J;LPL P;LOP L"RS L"FS
TT##%T T67',-)-$#10:25)-$+,$%,+,::2*$PW A2:$e$()- DB E))J EEEG HI%$FKLMbb J;PNF P;PFW JWQ FFV PPN P;WOF P;JPO P"JS P"FS PF"RS
9(20*0/%*#H"$3=+0/
T[TZ9? T[T$Z)2*)$PM X/2:2/2,- EG DB EG HI%$JKLM JLW JJ PPQ JF V FLO PVF R"FS W"FS F"NS
?I9EA 9TU$?/)0&$$PM X/2:2/2,- E DB EG HI%$JKLM FJO NF JWQ OR L PFW VM P"WS P"LS J"NS
9TU@A% 9TU$@&62*25)*)$PM X/2:2/2,- EG DB EG HI%$JKLM FJV RM FMQ VF PW PVP MM F"WS P"OS PJ"PS
\9#\9D \)7$\)*) B,):$,-/)/, DB fB f@ HI%$JKLM POR GRJ D9 J OF JFN JFR D9 D9 D9
5+#!%+F%1()
9TUTHU 9TU$T:$U):8)+&' X/:2/2,- DB E)F EE` HI%$JKLM WMR WM PLQ OJ L FMM FWV W"PS O"OS F"RS
I%2%0/%
@HHI@ @2(25,:$['&17$H262/,+$PL I%I DB \))P \\\` HI%$JKPL P;VPV VFR OFQ ORW JMW J;FRJ F;VMV O"WS J"MS F"NS
@HHI@ @2(25,:$H262/,+ I%I DB EP EG HI%$JKPL P;VPV VFR OFQ OWO JMW P;NON P;JMO F"WS P"MS W"JS
C"J0/(
9%gH%% 96,'25)$%&82: I%I EEE`$ab` 9J 9G CY$FLLM FM;JLO PP;VNM OLQ F;LMR VLL N;OVF R;JVW L"VS L"WS FV"MS
9gITH 9S/,: I%I EEG E)J DB CY$FLLM NPJ FNO JWQ PLV NM VVF RRW F"VS F"JS O"JS
\E%9U \)0:,6)- I%I EE` E)J EEG HI%$JKLM FRP NN JOQ FP L FFW FLO F"RS F"JS J"RS
\A%%Tg \\%$]\&66,S^$FW B,/)2: DB fB \\ HI%$JKLM O;LOO FNJ VQ PPO P;WOV P;WWJ P;OJM W"WS W"PS D9
\AB[TA \&'7&')52&*$[,& B,):$,-/)/, EEG E)J EEG CY$FLLM P;OJF JFM FJQ FWM FLJ RJL JVP P"MS P"PS R"RS
!9_TB \&'7&')52&*$!)8,' B,):$,-/)/, EEG, E)J EEG HI%$JKLM JMP NW FFQ JM FW FLR PRV F"OS F"LS J"JS
\T%Tg \,6,S \,6,*/ EG DB E` HI%$JKLM PR;WJP J;PJV PMQ VLJ WVVW FL;RON PM;MOW R"RS R"OS J"WS
[?@XU9 @1')*(&$PN #1:7$e$#)7,' DB DB \\\ HI%$JKLM VWP WR VQ RM F FWF PNO O"WS J"JS J"VS
[BX%9 ['16)$PR \&*-16,' E` DB EEG CY$FLLM J;VJF JMV PPQ PWJ PRN P;MMM P;NOR W"LS O"RS J"VS
@TU\9 ['17&$c1&$$ ?*+1-/'2): EEG DB EEG CY$FLLM P;OMJ POP MQ VL J JVR JLR F"VS F"FS O"MS
UTD@9 ['17&$U,*+) I')*-7&'/)/2&* EG DB EG$abG CY$FLLM FJO JM PVQ PW FM FFP FLV W"RS W"FS P"OS
ZA%Tg Z&6,S Z&6,012:+,' EEG E)J DB CY$FLLM P;OOV JJM FJQ FON MR VVP WFJ F"JS P"WS PP"WS
XD?@9U ?*+"$X*2+)-$][1)')*/&'^ ?*+1-/'2): @ \) DB HI%$FKLM P;ORP PR PQ PO PRP JMM JNW FW"LS FO"PS L"OS
\TH%% ?1-)5,:: I%I DB DB DB HI%$JKLM NOJ PWW PNQ FO FLN NMF NRN W"NS W"RS *6
%9gITH %)S5&6 I%I E EJ DB CY$FLLM PML OV FWQ VW P FLP PFW O"JS F"VS F"PS
%g\ZC %,S254,6 #,/'&54,625):- DB E)P EEEG HI%$JKLM F;JWM OMW FPQ JMM PVN MFF WFJ P"MS P"PS R"FS
#T%Tg #,6,S A2:$e$[)- EEE E))P EEE HI%$JKLM VN;JMV OV;LLM RLQ PJ;OVO PL;JNP WP;OVW JN;LLP P"PS L"NS V"RS
#TI%Tg #,/'&/,6,S$FJ #,/'&54,625):- EE DB EE` HI%$JKLM F;WLM FVL PPQ PVF PVO RPJ RPW F"MS F"JS W"MS
#AU9@9 #&-)+)- B,):$,-/)/, E` EF E` CY$FLLM WFW MF PNQ WL VF JMM JOM O"JS J"NS J"JS
U9I%Tg U)/6,S I%I DB DB DB HI%$JKLM PFJ MR VNQ MW L OPV JFF O"OS J"OS F"PS
ITH_?U I,:,82-) I%I EEE` E))P EEE` CY$FLLM J;NMO P;OMR JNQ F;MRV PFV J;OFJ OWR F"JS L"JS R"OS
ICADY I,:6,S I%I EEE`$ab` 9J 9G CY$FLLM N;NFM J;NVP OOQ P;LMN P;WPL V;NWN R;VRL F"LS P"VS M"VS
XBE?%% X'02$PV Z&6,012:+,' E` E)J EE CY$FLLM MVF FML JLQ JJR PNP WNM FWJ F"LS L"MS PW"NS
_?IBA9 _2/'& [:)-- DB fB \\ HI%$JKLM P;NVN FJR PJQ PPF P;WNR P;RMN P;WNR V"FS R"VS D%
D?Z@ D??$Z&:+2*(- I%I EEG EP DB HI%$JKLM O;PWF P;LRJ FRQ F;LJN PPR J;LOJ P;LLW F"MS L"MS W"NS
B%*%2%
9TU#9D 9TU$#)*)6)$PM X/2:2/2,- EE`$abG DB EEEG$abG HI%$JKLM PRM PFP VPQ NJ L JLP FPN F"WS P"NS R"FS
IA\HXE I'167$A5,)*$\:10$N B,):$,-/)/, DB EP E` HI%$JKLM D9 D9 D9 MJ L FFL PFV D9 D9 D9
#9D\9D #)*)6)$\)*):$B)2:3)= I')*-7&'/)/2&* E` E)F DB HI%$JKLM JO FP P PN J PPP MJ W W J
B")3
#\X U&1/4,'*$\&77,'$#,'1 %2*2*( EEEG E))J EEE HI%$JKLM J;LON P;POJ JNQ OJM PL P;FNW NOR P"PS L"VS PL"VS
8)0*01%1#A#8(=%&(
#TIBII #,/'&/'2* A2:$e$[)- EEE, E))J DB HI%$%)'54$LM W;PRJ WJV L JJJ PVJ P;LPP RVN F P PJ
K"*"G3"+%
CTBI? C,'/2*2/'&$ \4,625):- DB \))F \\\$abG HI%$JKLN VPO JOF ONQ FJF OV OJP PMM P"JS L"RS R"PS
#@_U9 #@_U9 A2:$e$[)- E` DB E` HI%$FKLM
U&1'5,j$%&&+=h-;$Ue#;$)*+$C2/54$')/2*(-k$b$HI$?--1,'$')/2*(-$1*:,--$&/4,'32-,$*&/,+k$+,0/$')/2*(-$)',$(,*,')::=$',82-,+$2*$:2*,$32/4$2--1,'$')/2*(-
%&&+=h-j$H&*(G/,'6$\&'7&')/,$C)62:=$&'$?--1,'$')/2*(-k$Ue#j$H&*(G/,'6$C&',2(*$\1'',*5=$?--1,'$B)/2*(-k$C2/54j$H&*(G/,'6$?--1,'$@,<)1:/$')/2*(-
]`^$7&-2/28,$\',+2/f)/54aB,82,3k$]G^$7&-2/28,$\',+2/f)/54aB,82,3k$fB$')/2*($32/4+')3*k$%&&+=h-$')/2*(-$)',$l1):2<2,+$0=$A1/:&&.-$)*+$B,82,3-k$Ue#$)*+$C2/54$')/2*(-$)',$l1):2<2,+$0=$A1/:&&.-$)*+$\',+2/f)/54,-"
4 of 39
CREDITWATCH / REVIEW LIST *
7--3") @(3*.), @3))"*.#H%.0*& :/.0(* :/.0(*#1%." :&"*/,
9TU$[,*,' \42:, EEEG \',+2/f)/54$]G^ !1*GFRGLM C2/54
9TU$#)*)6) #)*)6) EE` \',+2/f)/54$]G^ U,7GOGLM Ue#
9TU$#)*)6) #)*)6) EEEG \',+2/f)/54$]G^ 91(GFVGLM C2/54
9:/&$#)')*) 9'(,*/2*) EEG \',+2/f)/54$]G^ C,0GPLGPL Ue#
92'$!)6)25) !)6)25) \\\ \',+2/f)/54$@,8,:&72*( C,0GFOGPL Ue#
9%ET_ E')i2: E))P B,82,3$]`^ %)'GPNGPL %&&+=h-
E)*5&$?E?$U"9"$G$E)*5&$%1:/27:& E')i2: E` \',+2/f)/54$]`^ !1*GWGLM Ue#
E)*5&$A552+,*/):$+,$@,-51,*/&$ _,*,i1,:) EG \',+2/f)/54$]G^ C,0GRGLM C2/54
E)*5&$U)*/)*+,'$\42:,$]+,0/$')/2*(-^ \42:, 9)F B,82,3$]G^ %)=GFLGLM %&&+=h-
E')5&:$Z&:+2*(-$]E,'/2*$5&*/'&::2*($-4)',4&:+,'^ E')i2: EP B,82,3$]G^ !1*GFJGLM %&&+=h-
E')5&:$Z&:+2*(-$]E,'/2*$5&*/'&::2*($-4)',4&:+,'^ E')i2: EG \',+2/f)/54$]`^ U,7GPVGLM Ue#
E')-2:$I,:,5&6 E')i2: EEEG \',+2/f)/54$]`^ @,5GPOGLM C2/54
\)6)'(&$\&'',) E')i2: EE \',+2/f)/54$]G^ !)*GPOGPL Ue#
\)6)'(&$\&'',)$\26,*/&-$U9$ E')i2: EE \',+2/f)/54$]`^ !)*GPOGPL Ue#
\9#$U"9 \42:, EEEG \',+2/f)/54$]G^ !1:GPVGLM Ue#
\T%?[ E')i2: E))J B,82,3$]G^ 91(GPFGLM %&&+=h-
\&67)*42)$+,$U)*,)6,*/&$+&$#)')*)$G$U9DT#9B E')i2: E)J B,82,3$]G^ @,5GPFGLN %&&+=h-
\&67)*2)$[,*,'):$+,$T:,5/'252+)+ \42:, EEE` B,82,3$]G^ !1*GJLGLM C2/54
\&-)* E')i2: E)J B,82,3$]`^ %)'GPGPL %&&+=h-
\&-)* E')i2: EEG \',+2/f)/54$]`^ C,0GPGPL Ue#
T67',-)$E')-2:,2')$+,$I,:,5&61*25)5&,- E')i2: E))J B,82,3$]`^ !)*GPWGPL %&&+=h-
T67',-)$T:,5/'25)$+,:$D&'/,$[')*+,$G$T+,:*&' \42:, EEG \',+2/f)/54$]`^ !1*GFGLM Ue#
T67',-)-$\%#\ \42:, 9G \',+2/f)/54$]G^ U,7GFJGLM C2/54
T67',-)-$?9DU9$ \42:, E` \',+2/f)/54$]G^ %)'GMGLM C2/54
T*,:$C&'/1*)$U9 #)*)6) EEEG \',+2/f)/54$]G^ 91(GFVGLM C2/54
T-72'2/&$U)*/&$\,*/')2-$T:,/'25)-$U"9"$ E')i2: EEG \',+2/f)/54$]`^ U,7GJLGLM Ue#
C,'/2*2/'& _,*,i1,:) \\\ \',+2/f)/54$]G^ 91(GOGLM C2/54
C2'-/$\2/2i,*-$E)*.$H/+" I'2*2+)+$e$I&0)(& 9P B,82,3$]G^ !1*GFGLM %&&+=h-
!EU$U"9" E')i2: E` \',+2/f)/54$]`^ U,7GPRGLM C2/54
!EU$U"9" E')i2: E` \',+2/f)/54$]`^ U,7GPRGLM Ue#
%2*,'8) E')i2: E \',+2/f)/54$]G^ %)=GOGLM C2/54
D)/2&*):$\&66,'52):$E)*.$!)6)25) !)6)25) \\\ \',+2/f)/54$@,8,:&72*( C,0GFOGPL Ue#
D)/2&*):$[)-$\&67)*=$&<$I'2*2+)+$e$I&0)(& I'2*2+)+$e$I&0)(& EEE` \',+2/f)/54$]G^ C,0GJGLM Ue#
D,3:)*+$?*/,'*)/2&*):$]IA\HXE^ #)*)6) EP B,82,3$]G^ 97'GWGPL %&&+=h-
A5,)*&(')<2) %,S25& \\ \',+2/f)/54$]G^ !1:GPLGLM C2/54
#,'+2()& E')i2: EE` \',+2/f)/54$]G^ %)=GPMGLM Ue#
#,'+2()& E')i2: E)P B,82,3$]G^ %)=GFPGLM %&&+=h-
#,/'&:,16$\&"$&<$I'2*2+)+$e$I&0)(&$H/+" I'2*2+)+$e$I&0)(& EEE` \',+2/f)/54$]G^ C,0GJGLM Ue#
U9DHX?U$\&'7&')52&* %,S25& \\ \',+2/f)/54$]G^ U,7GFJGLN C2/54
U9DHX?U$B)--2*2$91/&7)'/,- %,S25& \\ \',+2/f)/54$]G^ U,7GFJGLN C2/54
I,:,6)'$D&'/,$H,-/,$U"9 E')i2: EEEG \',+2/f)/54$]`^ @,5GPOGLM C2/54
U&1'5,j$%&&+=h-;$Ue#$)*+$C2/54$')/2*(-k$bI42-$:2-/$',<:,5/-$HI$?--1,'$B)/2*(-$51'',*/:=$&*$\',+2/f)/54$&'$B,82,3
%&&+=h-$&1/:&&.-$)',$l1):2<2,+$0=$B,82,3-$<&'$7&--20:,$+&3*(')+,a17(')+,k$Ue#$)*+$C2/54$&1/:&&.-$)',$l1):2<2,+$0=$\',+2/f)/54,-$32/4$7&-2/28,a*,()/28,$267:25)/2&*-
5 of 39
LATIN AMERICA CORPORATE BOND ISSUANCE: 2009-2010 YEAR-TO-DATE
BI[m%&&+= BI[mU#
7--3"#9%." 7--3") H%.0*&#MC((1,D->!ABN 7--3"#.,$" O!P#:2.#0--3"1 @(3$(* C%.3)0., B)0/" @(3*.), 5*.0.,
!1*GJGLM ED@TU E))JaEEEG *,3$2--1, P;LLL R"WLLQ !1*GPLGPM MM"RV E')i2: E)*.$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
!1*GPFGLM E)*5&$\'1i,2'&$+&$U1: DBaDB *,3$2--1, RL M"LLLQ !1*GPVGPP MN"RV E')i2: E)*.
!1*GJLGLM TD9# 9JaEEE *,3$2--1, JLL R"FWLQ 91(GVGPM PLP"OR \42:, \&'7&')/,
!1*GJLGLM @2(25,: EPaDB 2*5',)-, PRL PF"LLLQ !)*GOGPO MM"WL !)6)25) \&'7&')/,
!1:GPGLM #,/'&0')- E))PaEEEG 2*5',)-, P;FWL V"NVWQ %)'GPWGPM PLR"MR E')i2: \&'7&')/,$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
!1:GPRGLM T5&7,/'&: E))FaEE` *,3$2--1, P;WLL V"RFWQ !1:GFJGPM MM"RO \&:&602) \&'7&')/,$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
!1:GFFGLM \,:1:&-)$9')15& E))FaEEE *,3$2--1, WLL V"FWLQ !1:GFMGPM MN"MP \42:, \&'7&')/,
!1:GFFGLM T67',-)-$#10:25)-$+,$%,+,::2* E))JaEEE *,3$2--1, WLL V"RFWQ !1:GFMGPM MN"FM \&:&602) \&'7&')/,$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
!1:GFJGLM T:,/'&0')- DBaEEEG *,3$2--1, P;LLL R"NVWQ !1:GJLGPM MM"PP E')i2: \&'7&')/,$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
!1:GJLGLM !)8,' E)JaEEG *,3$2--1, PNL PJ"LLLQ 91(GOGPO PLL"LL %,S25& \&'7&')/,
91(GOGLM \&-)* DBaEEG *,3$2--1, JWL M"WLLQ 91(GPWGPO MM"WP E')i2: \&'7&')/,
91(GWGLM 9:,-/') EPaE` *,3$2--1, FLL PP"VWLQ 91(GPPGPO PLL"LL %,S25& \&'7&')/,
91(GPPGLM #,/'&/'2* E))JaEEE *,3$2--1, NWL M"VWLQ 91(GPOGPM MM"FF I'2*2+)+$e$I&0)(& \&'7&')/,$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
91(GPFGLM #,/'&/,6,S DBaEE *,3$2--1, FLL M"WLLQ 91(GPMGPO MM"LJ %,S25& \&'7&')/,
91(GPJGLM D??$Z&:+2*(- EPaEEG *,3$2--1, NLL PL"LLLQ 91(GPWGPR MV"WV U17')*)/2&*): \&'7&')/,
U,7GNGLM _):,$U"9" E))FaEEE` *,3$2--1, P;LLL W"RFWQ U,7GPWGPM MM"FJ E')i2: \&'7&')/,
U,7GPLGLM #T%Tg E))P,aEEE` *,3$2--1, P;WLL O"NVWQ %)'GPWGPW MM"FW %,S25& \&'7&')/,$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
U,7GPPGLM E)*5&$\'1i,2'&$+&$U1: E)F,aDB *,3$2--1, PVW N"LLLQ U,7GPVGPF MN"VL E')i2: E)*.
U,7GPOGLM \UD E)PaEE` *,3$2--1, VWL R"NVWQ U,7GFPGPM PLL"LL E')i2: \&'7&')/,
U,7GPWGLM #T%Tg E))P,aEEE` *,3$2--1, JJN J"WLLQ A5/GPJGPO PLL"FO %,S25& \&'7&')/,$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
U,7GPRGLM \9ET? 9Fa9G *,3$2--1, WLL W"JVWQ U,7GFOGPO PLL"LL U17')*)/2&*): U17')*)/2&*):$E)*.
U,7GPVGLM 9S/,: E)FaEEG *,3$2--1, JLL M"LLLQ U,7GFFGPM PLL"LL %,S25& \&'7&')/,
U,7GPNGLM _&/&')*/26 DBaEEE *,3$2--1, P;LLL R"RFWQ U,7GFWGPM MM"PL E')i2: \&'7&')/,
U,7GPNGLM \&'7&')52&*$[,& E)J,aEEG *,3$2--1, FWL N"NVWQ U,7GFWGPO MM"WP %,S25& \&'7&')/,
U,7GFFGLM E)*5&$E')+,-5& E))JaDB *,3$2--1, VWL R"VWLQ U,7GFMGPM PLL"LL E')i2: E)*.
U,7GFOGLM 9'5&-$@&')+&- E)FaEEEG *,3$2--1, OWL V"WLLQ A5/GPGPM MM"PO U17')*)/2&*): \&'7&')/,
U,7GJLGLM \)'200,)*$@,8,:&76,*/$E)*. 9))aDB *,3$2--1, PFL L"MJOQ A5/GPWGPF PLL"LL U17')*)/2&*): U17')*)/2&*):$E)*.
U,7GJLGLM #T%Tg E))PaEEE` *,3$2--1, P;ORO W"WLLQ !)*GMGPV MM"JP %,S25& \&'7&')/,$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
A5/GPGLM T60'),' E))JaEEEG *,3$2--1, WLL R"JVWQ !)*GPWGFL MM"LN E')i2: \&'7&')/,
A5/GNGLM 96,'25)$%&82: 9JaEEE` *,3$2--1, VWL W"LLLQ A5/GPRGPM MM"PM %,S25& \&'7&')/,
A5/GPJGLM E)*5&$+&$E')-2: E))FaDB *,3$2--1, P;WLL N"WLLQ #,'7,/1): PLL"LL E')i2: E)*.$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
A5/GPOGLM A+,0',54/ DBaEE *,3$2--1, WLL V"LLLQ 97'GFPGFL MN"PN E')i2: \&'7&')/,
A5/GPRGLM ?CZ$#,'1 E)JaE` *,3$2--1, PWL N"RFWQ !1*GJLGPM MM"FN #,'1 E)*.
A5/GPRGLM #@_U9 DBaDB *,3$2--1, P;OPJ O"MLLQ A5/GFNGPO *")" _,*,i1,:) \&'7&')/,$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
A5/GPRGLM #@_U9 DBaDB *,3$2--1, P;OPJ W"LLLQ A5/GFNGPW *")" _,*,i1,:) \&'7&')/,$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
A5/GPRGLM #@_U9 DBaDB *,3$2--1, OJW W"PFWQ A5/GFNGPR *")" _,*,i1,:) \&'7&')/,$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
A5/GPMGLM E)*5&$#)*)6,'25)*& E)Fa$DB *,3$2--1, FLL V"LLLQ A5/GFRGPF MM"JO E')i2: E)*.
A5/GFPGLM \&*/'&:)+&')$%)0, DBaEEEG *,3$2--1, JWL V"NVWQ A5/GFNGPM PLL"LL %,S25& \&'7&')/,
A5/GFFGLM I9% DBaE` *,3$2--1, JLL M"WLLQ !)*GFMGFL MN"OJ E')i2: \&'7&')/,
A5/GFJGLM #,/'&0')- E))PaEEEG *,3$2--1, P;WLL R"NVWQ !)*GFLGOL MN"OW E')i2: \&'7&')/,$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
A5/GFJGLM #,/'&0')- E))PaEEEG *,3$2--1, F;WLL W"VWLQ !)*GFLGFL MM"LR E')i2: \&'7&')/,$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
7--3"#9%." 7--3") H%.0*&#MC((1,D->!ABN 7--3"#.,$" O!P#:2.#0--3"1 @(3$(* C%.3)0., B)0/" @(3*.), 5*.0.,
A5/GFRGLM C?EB?9 E)PaEE *,3$2--1, P;LLL M"FWLQ A5/GJLGPM MM"FL E')i2: \&'7&')/,
A5/GFNGLM DTI$U,'825&- E)PaEE` *,3$2--1, JWL V"WLLQ !)*GFVGFL MM"PO E')i2: \&'7&')/,
A5/GFMGLM E)*5&$E%[ E)JaDB *,3$2--1, JLL M"MWLQ D&8GWGPM MN"PW E')i2: E)*.
A5/GFMGLM \%#\ E))FaEEE` *,3$2--1, WLL R"PFWQ D&8GWGPM MM"PF \42:, \&'7&')/,
A5/GJLGLM E)*5&$C20') E)JaDB *,3$2--1, PPL N"WLLQ D&8GRGPR PLL"LL E')i2: E)*.
A5/GJLGLM E)*5&$\',+2/&$+,:$#,'1 DBaEE *,3$2--1, FWL M"VWLQ D&8GRGRM PLL"LL #,'1 E)*.
A5/GJLGLM %,S254,6 E)PaDB *,3$2--1, JWL N"VWLQ D&8GRGPM PLL"LL %,S25& \&'7&')/,
D&8GJGLM _):,$U"9" E))FaEEE` *,3$2--1, P;LLL R"NVWQ D&8GPLGJM MN"WR E')i2: \&'7&')/,
D&8GVGLM I,:6,S 9JaEEE` *,3$2--1, WLL W"WLLQ D&8GPWGPM MM"VJ %,S25& \&'7&')/,
D&8GPLGLM #)52<25$B102):,- DBaE` *,3$2--1, OWL N"VWLQ D&8GPLGPR MM"LM \&:&602) \&'7&')/,
D&8GPPGLM E)*5&$U)*/)*+,'$\42:,$ 9)Ja9` *,3$2--1, WLL F"NVWQ PPaPJaFLPF MM"NR \42:, E)*.
D&8GPJGLM \&:1601-$?*/,'*)/2&*): EFaE, *,3$2--1, OWL PP"WLLQ D&8GFLGPO PLL"LL E)'0)+&- \&'7&')/,
D&8GPNGLM [,'+)1 DBaEEEG *,3$2--1, P;FWL V"LLLQ !)*GFLGFL MN"FL E')i2: \&'7&')/,
D&8GFJGLM @2(25,: EPaDB *,3$2--1, WLL N"FWLQ U,7GPGPV MN"RJ !)6)25) \&'7&')/,
D&8GFJGLM ['17&$I,:,82-) E))PaEEE` *,3$2--1, RLL R"RFWQ !)*GPWGOL MN"JF %,S25& \&'7&')/,
@,5GPGLM H)*$92'2*,- DBaDB *,3$2--1, VJ J"WLJQ D&8GPMGFP PLL"LL \42:, \&'7&')/,
@,5GJGLM #,/'&/,6,S DBaEE I9# VW M"WLLQ 91(GPMGPO MM"LJ %,S25& \&'7&')/,
@,5GNGLM Z&6,S E)JaEEG *,3$2--1, FWL M"WLLQ @,5GPPGPM MN"OJ %,S25& \&'7&')/,
@,5GMGLM U2(6)$9:26,*/&- DBaEEEG *,3$2--1, FWL R"NVWQ @,5GPRGPM MN"LR %,S25& \&'7&')/,
@,5GMGLM D??$Z&:+2*(- EPaEEG *,3$2--1, WLL N"NVWQ @,5GPWGPM MM"PM U17')*)/2&*): \&'7&')/,
@,5GMGLM \,6,S DBaE *,3$2--1, P;FWL M"WLLQ @,5GPOGPR PLL"LL %,S25& \&'7&')/,
@,5GMGLM \,6,S DBaE *,3$2--1, WPW M"RFWQ @,5GPOGPV PLL"LL %,S25& \&'7&')/,
@,5GPVGLM E)*5&$U)*/)*+,'$\42:,$ 9)Ja9` *,3$2--1, JLL F"NVWQ D&8GPJGPF PLL"RL \42:, E)*.
@,5GPNGLM #)')*)$E)*5& DBaE` *,3$2--1, PLL V"JVWQ @,5GFPGPF MM"LF E')i2: E)*.
!)*GWGPL ED@TU E))FaEEEG *,3$2--1, P;LLL W"WLLQ !1:GPFGFL MN"MW E')i2: E)*.$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
!)*GVGPL c)*-)-$\2/=$U&1/4,'*$%,S" EFaE` *,3$2--1, JLL N"LLLQ C,0GPGPN MN"WW %,S25& \&'7&')/,
!)*GNGPL ['17&$#&-)+)- EFaE` *,3$2--1, FLL M"FWLQ !)*GPWGPW MM"LF %,S25& \&'7&')/,
!)*GPJGPL XBE?$G$@,-)''&::&-$X'0)*&- E)JaDB *,3$2--1, JLL M"WLLQ !)*GFPGFL MN"OF %,S25& \&'7&')/,
!)*GPJGPL \,6,S DBaE I9# WLL M"WLLQ @,5GPOGPR PLW"FW %,S25& \&'7&')/,
!)*GPFGPL E25E)*5& E)PaDB *,3$2--1, FVW R"FWLQ !)*GFLGPJ PLL"LL E')i2: E)*.
!)*GPFGPL E)*5&$_&/&')*/26 E))FaDB *,3$2--1, VWL V"JVWQ !)*GFPGFL PLL"LL E')i2: E)*.
!)*GPOGPL \&:01* DBaEEEG *,3$2--1, WLL R"LLLQ !)*GFPGFL MN"MV \42:, \&'7&')/,
!)*GPFGPL E)*5&$+&$E')-2: E))FaDB *,3$2--1, WLL O"WLLQ !)*GFFGPW MM"JJ E')i2: E)*.$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
!)*GPFGPL E)*5&$+&$E')-2: E))FaDB *,3$2--1, WLL R"LLLQ !)*GFFGFL MM"OW E')i2: E)*.$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
!)*GPMGPL !)8,' E)JaEEG I9# JL PJ"LLLQ 91(GOGPO PLM"WL %,S25& \&'7&')/,
!)*GFPGPL E')-2:$C&&+- E)PaEE` *,3$2--1, VWL V"FWLQ !)*GFNGFL MM"PJ E')i2: \&'7&')/,
!)*GFFGPL %2*,'8) EJaEG *,3$2--1, FWL PL"NVWQ D&8GPWGPM MN"PJ E')i2: \&'7&')/,
!)*GFNGPL #T%Tg E))PaEEE *,3$2--1, P;LLL R"LLLQ %)'GWGFL MN"VM %,S25& \&'7&')/,$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
C,0GPGPL E)*5&$#2*, E)JaDB *,3$2--1, PFW N"VWLQ !)*GRGPV MN"VW E')i2: E)*.
C,0GFGPL \&5)G5&:)$CT%U9 9Ja9G *,3$2--1, WLL O"RFWQ C,0GPWGFL MM"OM %,S25& \&'7&')/,
C,0GFGPL \&7,2*5) EFaDB *,3$2--1, PVW M"LLLQ C,0GPLGPV MM"JR #,'1 \&'7&')/,
C,0GWGPL E)*5&$_&/&')*/26 E))FaDB *,3$2--1, WLL O"FWLQ C,0GNGPJ MM"RW E')i2: E)*.
7--3"#9%." 7--3") H%.0*&#MC((1,D->!ABN 7--3"#.,$" O!P#:2.#0--3"1 @(3$(* C%.3)0., B)0/" @(3*.), 5*.0.,
C,0GPPGPL #T%Tg E))PaEEE *,3$2--1, POL J"WLLQ A5/GPJGPO PLF"PW %,S25& \&'7&')/,$l1)-2G-&8,',2(*
C,0GPFGPL E)*5&$\'1i,2'&$+&$U1: E)FaDB *,3$2--1, FWL N"WLLQ C,0GFLGPW MM"LP E')i2: E)*.
C,0GPVGPL U5&/2)0)*.$#,'1 DBa9G *,3$2--1, WL W"FWLQ %)'GPWGPV PLL"LL #,'1 E)*.
C,0GPNGPL U5&/2)0)*.$#,'1 DBa9G *,3$2--1, PFW J"LLFQ %)'GPWGPV PLL"LL #,'1 E)*.
C,0GFOGPL B@U$X:/')$@,,73)/,' EJaEG *,3$2--1, FVL PP"NVWQ %)'GPWGPV MV"PJ %,S25& \&'7&')/,
%)'GNGPL \9C DBaDB *,3$2--1, WL _)'2)0:, %)'GPFGPV PLL"LL U17')*)/2&*): U17')*)/2&*):$E)*.
%)'GMGPL E)*5&$@)=5&8): DBaEE *,3$2--1, JLL R"WLLQ %)'GPRGPW MN"MW E')i2: E)*.
%)'GPLGPL 96,'25)$%&82: 9JaEEE` *,3$2--1, FPW F"FWLQ 97'GVGPW PLL"WW %,S25& \&'7&')/,
%)'GPPGPL 9S/,:$U9 E)JaEEG I9# PML M"LLLQ U,7GFFGPM PLF"WL %,S25& \&'7&')/,
%)'GPRGPL @2(25,: \))PaDB *,3$2--1, VVW PL"WLLQ 97'GPWGPN PLL"LL !)6)25) \&'7&')/,
%)'GPRGPL E)*5&$E')+,-5& E))FaEEE *,3$2--1, VWL O"PLLQ %)'GFJGPW PLL"LL E')i2: E)*.
%)'GPVGPL _):,$U"9" E))FaEEE` *,3$2--1, P;LJL O"JVWQ %)'GFOGPN MM"WR E')i2: \&'7&')/,
%)'GPNGPL ETU?$E')-2: E))FaEEEG *,3$2--1, WLL W"RFWQ %)'GFWGPW MN"MJ E')i2: E)*.
%)'GFFGPL ?*+,7,*+,*52) ]#^\))PaDB *,3$2--1, PWL PW"LLLQ %)'GJPGPW MP"VN E')i2: \&'7&')/,
%)'GFJGPL 96,'25)$%&82: 9Fa9G *,3$2--1, VWL J"RFWQ %)'GJLGPW MM"VM %,S25& \&'7&')/,
%)'GFJGPL 96,'25)$%&82: 9Fa9G *,3$2--1, F;LLL W"LLLQ %)'GJLGFL MM"JR %,S25& \&'7&')/,
%)'GFJGPL 96,'25)$%&82: 9Fa9G *,3$2--1, P;FWL R"PFWQ %)'GJLGOL MN"RM %,S25& \&'7&')/,
%)'GFJGPL C2*)*52,')$?*+,7,*+,*52) DBaEEG *,3$2--1, FLL PL"LLLQ %)'GJLGPW PLL"LL %,S25& E)*.
%)'GFWGPL %)(*,-2/) EPaEEG *,3$2--1, OLL V"NVWQ %)'GJLGFL MM"PW E')i2: \&'7&')/,
%)'GFRGPL _&/&')*/26 E))JaEEE *,3$2--1, VWL R"VWLQ 97'GWGFP MM"LW E')i2: \&'7&')/,
%)'GJLGPL ['17&$#)7,:,'&$U5'20, E)JaEEG *,3$2--1, JLL N"NVWQ 97'GVGFL PLL"LL %,S25& \&'7&')/,
%)'GJPGPL E)*5&$9E\$E')-2: E)PaDB *,3$2--1, JLL V"NVWQ 97'GNGFL MN"JP E')i2: E)*.
%)'GJPGPL E)*5&$U)*/)*+,'$E')-: E))FaEEEG *,3$2--1, WLL O"WLLQ 97'GRGPW MM"VV E')i2: E)*.
97'GNGPL ?/)1$X*20)*5& E))FDB *,3$2--1, P;LLL R"FLLQ 97'GPWGFL MM"WW E')i2: E)*.
97'GNGPL \',+2/&$B,): DBaEEG *,3$2--1, PWL PL"FWLQ 97'GPOGPW PLL"LL %,S25& E)*.
Q%.0*#:2")0/%#/()$()%."#=(*1#0--3%*/"R#STTUVSTWT
n$2*$62::2&*- n$2*$62::2&*-
JW;LLL
OL;LLL JR;OOV
JL;LLL VLQ
JOQ
JL;LLL FV;WPR FW;LLL
FL;LLL WVQ
FL;WRW
FL;LLL
PW;LLL
VLQ
RRQ
M;WRR PL;LLL
PL;LLL JLQ
OJQ WOQ
W;LLL
ORQ JLQ
L L
FLLR FLLV FLLN FLLM FLPL FLLR FLLV FLLN FLLM FLPL
* Issue not included in the totals.
Source: Bond Radar and J.P. Morgan. 8 of 39
EMERGING MARKETS CORPORATE BOND ISSUANCE: 2010 YEAR-TO-DATE
H%.0*&#
7--3"#9%." 7--3") MC((1,D->!ABN O!P#:2.#0--3"1 @(3$(* C%.3)0., @(3*.), 5*.0., H"&0(*
!)*GWGPL ED@TU E))FaEEEG P;LLL W"WLLQ !1:GPFGFL E')i2: E)*.$l1)-2G-&8,',2(* H)/2*$96,'25)
!)*GVGPL c)*-)-$\2/=$U&1/4,'*$%,S" EFaE` JLL N"LLLQ C,0GPGPN %,S25& \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
!)*GNGPL ['17&$#&-)+)- EFaE` FLL M"FWLQ !)*GPWGPW %,S25& \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
!)*GPJGPL XBE?$G$@,-)''&::&-$X'0)*&- E)JaDB JLL M"WLLQ !)*GFPGFL %,S25& \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
!)*GPJGPL \,6,S DBaE WLL M"WLLQ @,5GPOGPR %,S25& \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
!)*GPFGPL E25E)*5& E)PaDB FVW R"FWLQ !)*GFLGPJ E')i2: E)*. H)/2*$96,'25)
!)*GPFGPL E)*5&$_&/&')*/26 E))FaDB VWL V"JVWQ !)*GFPGFL E')i2: E)*. H)/2*$96,'25)
!)*GPOGPL \&:01* DBaEEEG WLL R"LLLQ !)*GFPGFL \42:, \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
!)*GPFGPL E)*5&$+&$E')-2: E))FaDB WLL O"WLLQ !)*GFFGPW E')i2: E)*.$l1)-2G-&8,',2(* H)/2*$96,'25)
!)*GPFGPL E)*5&$+&$E')-2: E))FaDB WLL R"LLLQ !)*GFFGFL E')i2: E)*.$l1)-2G-&8,',2(* H)/2*$96,'25)
!)*GPJGPL ?*+2)*$A2:$\&'7 E))JaDB WLL O"VWLQ !)*GFFGPW ?*+2) \&'7&')/, 9-2)
!)*GPMGPL !)8,' E)JaEEG JL PJ"LLLQ 91(GOGPO %,S25& \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
!)*GFPGPL E')-2:$C&&+- E)PaEE` VWL V"FWLQ !)*GFNGFL E')i2: \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
!)*GFPGPL T8,'(')*+,$B,):$,-/)/, DBaDB VWL PJ"LLLQ !)*GFVGPW Z&*($c&*( \&'7&')/, 9-2)
!)*GFFGPL AI#$E)*. E))PaDB MR O"LLLQ C,0GFOGPF Z1*()'= E)*. T6,'(2*($T1'&7,
!)*GFFGPL %2*,'8) EJaEG FWL PL"NVWQ D&8GPWGPM E')i2: \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
!)*GFFGPL \2.)')*($H2-/'2*+&$#I fBaEEG JLL M"FWLQ !)*GFMGPW ?*+&*,-2) \&'7&')/, 9-2)
!)*GFRGPL TS7&'/G?67&'/$E)*.$&<$?*+2) E))JaEEEG JLL O"JVWQ C,0GFGPW ?*+2) E)*.$l1)-2G-&8,',2(* 9-2)
!)*GFVGPL I9ICAD@E9Dc DBaDB FFW PF"LLLQ C,0GFGPF B1--2) E)*. T6,'(2*($T1'&7,
!)*GFVGPL IDcGE#$C2*)*5, E))FaEEEG WLL R"FWLQ C,0GFGPW B1--2) \&'7&')/, T6,'(2*($T1'&7,
!)*GFVGPL IDcGE#$C2*)*5, E))FaEEEG WLL V"FWLQ C,0GFGFL B1--2) \&'7&')/, T6,'(2*($T1'&7,
!)*GFNGPL #T%Tg E))PaEEE P;LLL R"LLLQ %)'GWGFL %,S25& \&'7&')/,$l1)-2G-&8,',2(* H)/2*$96,'25)
C,0GPGPL E)*5&$#2*, E)JaDB PFW N"VWLQ !)*GRGPV E')i2: E)*. H)/2*$96,'25)
C,0GPGPL ?*+1-/'2):$E)*.$&<$c&',) 9Fa9 JWL O"JVWQ 91(GOGPW c&',) E)*.$l1)-2G-&8,',2(* 9-2)
C,0GPGPL B2i):$\&66,'52):$E)*.2*( E)FaDB FWL R"FWLQ C,0GMGPW #42:2772*,- E)*. 9-2)
C,0GPGPL ?*/,'*)/2&*):$?*+1-/'2):$E)*. EPaEEG FLL PP"LLLQ C,0GPMGPJ B1--2) E)*. T6,'(2*($T1'&7,
C,0GFGPL \&5)G5&:)$CT%U9 9Ja9G WLL O"RFWQ C,0GPWGFL %,S25& \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
C,0GFGPL \&7,2*5) EFaDB PVW M"LLLQ C,0GPLGPV #,'1 \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
C,0GJGPL c&',)$@,8,:&76,*/$E)*. 9Fa9 VWL O"JVWQ 91(GPLGPW c&',) E)*.$l1)-2G-&8,',2(* 9-2)
C,0GJGPL \4)*+')$9-'2 EFaE` FJL PF"NVWQ C,0GPLGPW ?*+&*,-2) \&'7&')/, 9-2)
C,0GJGPL D,3$f&':+$@,8,:&76,*/ DBaDB WLL V"LLLQ C,0GPLGFL Z&*($c&*( \&'7&')/, 9-2)
C,0GOGPL DAEHT$ E))JaEEEG OLL R"VWLQ !)*GFMGFL Z&*($c&*( \&'7&')/, 9-2)
C,0GOGPL @)4$U2*($E)*.$ E))PaDB FFW R"RFWQ C,0GPPGFL Z&*($c&*( E)*. 9-2)
C,0GOGPL E)*.$&<$\42*) 9PaEEE` P;RLL W"WWLQ C,0GPPGFL Z&*($c&*( E)*. 9-2)
C,0GWGPL U/)'$T*,'(= EFaDB JWL PP"WLLQ C,0GPFGPW ?*+&*,-2) \&'7&')/, 9-2)
C,0GWGPL E)*5&$_&/&')*/26 E))FaDB WLL O"FWLQ C,0GNGPJ E')i2: E)*. H)/2*$96,'25)
C,0GPPGPL @)'$9:G9'.)* E)FaEEG OWL PL"VWLQ C,0GPNGPW U)1+2$9')02) \&'7&')/, 9<'25)$e$%2++:,$T)-/
C,0GPPGPL #T%Tg E))PaEEE POL J"WLLQ A5/GPJGPO %,S25& \&'7&')/,$l1)-2G-&8,',2(* H)/2*$96,'25)
C,0GPFGPL E)*5&$\'1i,2'&$+&$U1: E)FaDB FWL N"WLLQ C,0GFLGPW E')i2: E)*. H)/2*$96,'25)
C,0GPVGPL U5&/2)0)*.$#,'1 DBa9G WL W"FWLQ %)'GPWGPV #,'1 E)*. H)/2*$96,'25)
C,0GPNGPL U5&/2)0)*.$#,'1 DBa9G PFW J"LLFQ %)'GPWGPV #,'1 E)*. H)/2*$96,'25)
C,0GFWGPL _IE$\)72/):$ E))PaEEE P;FWL R"ORWQ %)'GOGPW B1--2) E)*.$l1)-2G-&8,',2(* T6,'(2*($T1'&7,
C,0GFOGPL B@U$X:/')$@,,73)/,' EJaEG FVL PP"NVWQ %)'GPWGPV %,S25& \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
%)'GFGPL TS7&'/G?67&'/$E)*.$&<$c&',) 9Fa9 P;LLL O"PFWQ U,7GMGPW c&',) E)*.$l1)-2G-&8,',2(* 9-2)
%)'GOGPL E)*.$&<$%&-5&3 E))PaDB VWL R"RMMQ %)'GPPGPW B1--2) E)*.$l1)-2G-&8,',2(* T6,'(2*($T1'&7,
%)'GOGPL 9::2)*5,$A2:$\&" DBaE` JWL M"NVWQ %)'GPPGPW B1--2) \&'7&')/, T6,'(2*($T1'&7,
%)'GNGPL \9C DBaDB WL _)'2)0:, %)'GPFGPV U17')*)/2&*): U17')*)/2&*):$E)*. H)/2*$96,'25)
%)'GNGPL U42*4)*$E)*. 9Fa9G VLL O"JVWQ U,7GPWGPW c&',) E)*. 9-2)
Souce: Bond Radar and J.P. Morgan. 9 of 39
EMERGING MARKETS CORPORATE BOND ISSUANCE: 2010 YEAR-TO-DATE
H%.0*&#
7--3"#9%." 7--3") MC((1,D->!ABN O!P#:2.#0--3"1 @(3$(* C%.3)0., @(3*.), 5*.0., H"&0(*
%)'GMGPL 9:<)$E)*. E)PaE` RLL N"LLLQ %)'GPNGPW B1--2) E)*. T6,'(2*($T1'&7,
%)'GMGPL E)*5&$@)=5&8): DBaEE JLL R"WLLQ %)'GPRGPW E')i2: E)*. H)/2*$96,'25)
%)'GPLGPL 96,'25)$%&82: 9JaEEE` FPW F"FWLQ 97'GVGPW %,S25& \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
%)'GPLGPL ?*/,'*)/2&*):$\&*/)2*,'$I,'62*):$U,'825,- DBaDB FWL V"JVWQ %)'GPVGFL #42:2772*,- \&'7&')/, 9-2)
%)'GPPGPL 9S/,:$U9 E)JaEEG PML M"LLLQ U,7GFFGPM %,S25& \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
%)'GPFGPL \H#$#&3,'$Zc 9Pa9 WLL O"VWLQ %)'GPMGFL Z&*($c&*( \&'7&')/, 9-2)
%)'GPRGPL @2(25,: \))PaDB VVW PL"WLLQ 97'GPWGPN !)6)25) \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
%)'GPRGPL E)*5&$E')+,-5& E))FaEEE VWL O"PLLQ %)'GFJGPW E')i2: E)*. H)/2*$96,'25)
%)'GPVGPL _):,$U"9" E))FaEEE` P;LJL O"JVWQ %)'GFOGPN E')i2: \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
%)'GPNGPL ETU?$E')-2: E))FaEEEG WLL W"RFWQ %)'GFWGPW E')i2: E)*. H)/2*$96,'25)
%)'GPNGPL D)/2&*):$E)*.$&<$901$@4)02 9)Ja9` VWL O"FWLQ %)'GFWGPW X9T E)*.$l1)-2G-&8,',2(* 9<'25)$e$%2++:,$T)-/
%)'GFFGPL ?*+,7,*+,*52) ]#^\))PaDB PWL PW"LLLQ %)'GJPGPW E')i2: \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
%)'GFJGPL 96,'25)$%&82: 9Fa9G VWL J"RFWQ %)'GJLGPW %,S25& \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
%)'GFJGPL 96,'25)$%&82: 9Fa9G F;LLL W"LLLQ %)'GJLGFL %,S25& \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
%)'GFJGPL 96,'25)$%&82: 9Fa9G P;FWL R"PFWQ %)'GJLGOL %,S25& \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
%)'GFJGPL C2*)*52,')$?*+,7,*+,*52) DBaEEG FLL PL"LLLQ %)'GJLGPW %,S25& \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
%)'GFJGPL AI#$E)*. DBaDB OLW O"PFWQ @,5GWGPP Z1*()'= E)*. T6,'(2*($T1'&7,
%)'GFJGPL E)*l1,$U)1+2$C')*-2 9)Ja9 RWL O"FWLQ %)'GJLGPW U)1+2$9')02) E)*. 9<'25)$e$%2++:,$T)-/
%)'GFOGPL E)*.$&<$?*+2) E))FaEEEG WLL O"VWLQ U,7GJLGPW ?*+2) E)*.$l1)-2G-&8,',2(* 9-2)
%)'GFWGPL %)(*,-2/) EPaEEG OLL V"NVWQ %)'GJLGFL E')i2: \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
%)'GFWGPL B,*)2--)*5,$U,51'2/2,- EJaEG FFW PJ"LLLQ 97'GPGPJ B1--2) E)*. T6,'(2*($T1'&7,
%)'GFWGPL 9S2-$E)*. E))FaEEEG JWL W"FWLQ U,7GJLGPW ?*+2) E)*. 9-2)
%)'GFRGPL B1--2)*$B)2:3)=- E))PaEEE P;WLL W"VJMQ 97'GJGPV B1--2) \&'7&')/, T6,'(2*($T1'&7,
%)'GFRGPL %&*+2 E))JaEE` RVP W"VWLQ 97'GJGPV U&1/4$9<'25) \&'7&')/, 9<'25)$e$%2++:,$T)-/
%)'GFRGPL _&/&')*/26 E))JaEEE VWL R"VWLQ 97'GWGFP E')i2: \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
%)'GFMGPL f&&'2$E)*. 9Fa9G WLL O"WLLQ A5/GVGPW c&',) E)*. 9-2)
%)'GFMGPL E)*.$&<$E)'&+) E))FaDB JWL O"VWLQ A5/GVGPW ?*+2) E)*. 9-2)
%)'GJLGPL ['17&$#)7,:,'&$U5'20, E)JaEEG JLL N"NVWQ 97'GVGFL %,S25& \&'7&')/, H)/2*$96,'25)
%)'GJLGPL D,3$f&':+$@,8,:&76,*/ DBaDB FWL V"LLLQ C,0GPLGFL Z&*($c&*( \&'7&')/, 9-2)
%)'GJLGPL \%I$%ID 9JaDB WLL O"JFPQ 97'GNGPW U2*()7&', \&'7&')/, 9-2)
%)'GJPGPL \i,54$TS7&'/$E)*. DBaDB FLJ P"WNJQ 97'GPWGPW \i,54$B,710:25 E)*.$l1)-2G-&8,',2(* T6,'(2*($T1'&7,
%)'GJPGPL E)*5&$9E\$E')-2: E)PaDB JLL V"NVWQ 97'GNGFL E')i2: E)*. H)/2*$96,'25)
%)'GJPGPL E)*5&$U)*/)*+,'$E')-: E))FaEEEG WLL O"WLLQ 97'GRGPW E')i2: E)*. H)/2*$96,'25)
97'GRGPL %)(*)5427$U,625&*+15/&' EFaE` FWL PL"WLLQ 97'GPWGPN c&',) \&'7&')/, 9-2)
97'GNGPL ?/)1$X*20)*5& E))FDB P;LLL R"FLLQ 97'GPWGFL E')i2: E)*. H)/2*$96,'25)
97'GNGPL \',+2/&$B,): DBaEEG PWL PL"FWLQ 97'GPOGPW %,S25& E)*. H)/2*$96,'25)
97'GNGPL \Td$9U 9Fa9G P;LLF O"NVWQ 97'GPRGFW \i,54$B,710:25 \&'7&')/,$l1)-2G-&8,',2(* T6,'(2*($T1'&7,
@HHI@$hPN
EB9@TU$hPW
9%gH%%$hPW
E9D_AB$hPJ
MN"LL
E9DEB9$hFL
\A#T?D$hPV
9%gH%%$hFL
E9DEB9$hPW
%9[DTU$hFL
EBCUEd$hFL
#AU9@9$hPW
\AHEXD$hFL
#T%Tg$hFL
9%gH%%$hOL
XBE?%%$hFL
ZA%Tg$hPM
%?DTB_$hPM
ED@TU$hFL
MR"LL
cAC$hFL
MO"LL
MF"LL
?D@T#$hPW
ML"LL
JW"W OL"W OW"W WL"W WW"W
Source: BondRadar and J.P. Morgan; current prices and spreads as of April 09, 2010.
11 of 39
INDICES SPREAD PERFORMANCE *
1,200 CEMBI Broad & EMBIG Spreads 350 1,200 CEMBI Broad & CEMBI Broad Latin Spreads 50 CEMBI Broad Latin - CEMBI Broad Spread Differential
800 CEMBI Broad IG vs CEMBI Broad Latin IG 1,400 800 CEMBI Broad Latin IG vs. JULI 150 800 CEMBI Broad Latin IG vs. JULI BBB 100
2,500 CEMBI Broad Latin HY vs. CEMBI Broad HY 150 P;MWL $\T%E?$E'&)+$$H)/2*$ZY$$8-"$[:&0):$ZY$e$XU$ZY$EE P;LLL \T%E?$E'&)+$$H)/2*$ZY$G[:&0):$ZY$)*+$XU$ZY$EE$U7',)+$@2<<
0 P;VLL NLL
2,000
-150 P;OWL RLL
1,500 -300
P;FLL OLL
1,000 CEMBI Broad Latin vs. CACI 200 1,050 CEMBI Broad Latin vs. CEMBI Broad Asia 250 1,500 CEMBI Broad Latin vs. CEMBI Broad CEEMEA WL
900 225
150 900
1,250 GWL
800 200
700 750 175 GPWL
100 1,000
600 150
600 GFWL
500 50 125 750
400 450 100 GJWL
0 500
300 300 75 GOWL
200 50
-50 150 250
100 GWWL
25
0 -100 0 0 0 GRWL
Apr-08 Jul-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-08 Jul-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 97'GLN !1:GLN A5/GLN !)*GLM 97'GLM !1:GLM A5/GLM !)*GPL
Spread diff (rhs) CEMBI Broad Latin CACI Spread diff (rhs) CEMBI Broad Latin CEMBI Broad Asia U7',)+$+2<<$]'4-^ \T%E?$E'&)+$H)/2* \T%E?$E'&)+$\TT%T9
Source: J.P. Morgan; Spreads as of NY close April 09, 2010. See Appendix II for indices' inclusion criteria.
12 of 39
YEAR TO DATE TOTAL RETURN (%)
@5C67#6)(%1#Q%.0*#:2")0/%#7*10/"- @5C67#6)(%1#H"&0(*%+#7*10/"-
N"L
N"L
V"P
V"L R"N R"N
V"L
R"L W"N
R"L
W"J
J"L J"L
F"L F"L
P"L
P"L
L"L
L"L
\T%E?$E'&)+$H)/2*
\T%E?$E'&)+$9-2)
\T%E?$E'&)+
\T%E?$E'&)+$\TT%T9
\9\?
T%E?[
\T%E?$E'&)+$H)/2*
\T%E?$E'&)+$H)/2*$ZY
\T%E?$E'&)+$H)/2*$?[
\9\?
@5C67#6)(%1#Y0&;#Z)%1"#F-4#O!#Y0&;#Z)%1" @5C67#6)(%1#Y0&;#[0"+1#F-4#Z+(=%+#Y0&;#[0"+1
PL"L
W"L
J"W V"L
F"M W"N
J"L R"L
W"J W"F
F"O W"L
F"W
J"M
F"L O"L
P"W J"L
P"L F"L
L"W P"L
L"L L"L
\T%E?$E'&)+$H)/2*$ZY
[:&0):$ZY
\T%E?$E'&)+$ZY
T1'&$ZY
XU$ZY
XU$ZY$EE
\T%E?$E'&)+$H)/2*$?[
\T%E?$E'&)+$?[
!XH?$EEE
!XH?
Source: J.P. Morgan; Spreads as of NY close April 09, 2010. See final page for indices' inclusion criteria.
13 of 39
INDICES SPREADS AND TOTAL RETURNS
Source: J.P. Morgan; Spreads as of NY close April 09, 2010. See Appendix II for indices' inclusion criteria.
14 of 39
Top and bottom movers: Weekly spread change (bp)* Top and bottom movers: Year-to-date spread change (bp)
iG-7',)+$2*$07 iG-7',)+$2*$07
UK%$hPR J \TH9B9$hPW OP
#T%Tg$hPM W TD9#\H$hPF OF
_9HTEd$hJO W IB9D9B$hPR OJ
_9HTEd$hJM V TDBU?U$hPR OR
U9DEEd$#,'7 V TD@TU9$hFV OV
#T%Tg$hFJ V \E%9U$hPW WJ
[HA#9B$#,'7 N cUX$hPF RP
\TH9B9$hPL N \TH9B9$hPL RF
_9HTEd$hJR N \@TH$hPF RO
%9BCB?$hPR N \TH9B9$hPJ RN
#T%Tg$hFF PL TD@TU9$hPJ VJ
#T%Tg$hFV PP \@TH$hPJ VJ
#T%Tg$hJW PP I9UCI$hPL VR
XD?@9U$hPR PW \@TH$hPO VV
#@_U9$hFV PN \TH9B9$hPP NJ
ED@TU$hPP FL U9DI$hPF NR
9E?EE$hPP FR #T%Tg$hPL MV
%9UZTB$hPF JP %9UZTB$hPF FLO
#@_U9$hJV JW XD?@9U$hPR FJR
IA\HXE$hPO OP \?TE%%$hPW ORJ
Source: J.P. Morgan; April 01, 2010 to April 09, 2010 weekly period.
15 of 39
Top and bottom price movers: Weekly price change* Top and bottom movers: Year-to-date price change
2*$XUn 2*$XUn
Source: J.P. Morgan; April 01, 2010 to April 09, 2010 weekly period.
16 of 39
Top and bottom movers: 30-Day Total return Top and bottom movers: Year-to-date Total return
_ _
Source: J.P. Morgan; April 01, 2010 to April 09, 2010 weekly period.
17 of 39
SPREAD VERSUS DURATION BY SECTOR
iG-7',)+$]07^ iG-7',)+$]07^
O;LLL P;LLL
MLL BT@T%$#,'7
J;WLL @THUAH$U/,7G17$hPO
NLL
%TIBA[$hPO
J;LLL
VLL
F;WLL
RLL
F;LLL WLL
OLL
P;WLL ?U9EB$hPV
TDTB[?$hPJ
9'(,*/2*)$U&8,',2(*$51'8, IB9D9B$hPR JLL
P;LLL U9ETU#$hPR
FLL \TU#Ed$hPJ
T@D9B$hPV THTEB9$hPM E')i2:$U&8,',2(*$51'8,
IB9[9U$hPV Z#@9$hPV THTEB9$hPW
WLL
PLL
L L
P"WL F"LL F"WL J"LL J"WL O"LL O"WL W"LL W"WL L"LL P"LL F"LL J"LL O"LL W"LL R"LL V"LL N"LL M"LL PL"LL
@1')/2&* @1')/2&*
iG-7',)+$]07^ iG-7',)+$]07^
WLL VLL
OLL
WLL
JWL
9TUTHU$hPR
I[?\A$hPV
JLL OLL
PLL PLL
L"LL F"LL O"LL R"LL N"LL PL"LL PF"LL F"LL J"LL O"LL W"LL R"LL V"LL N"LL
@1')/2&* @1')/2&*
18 of 39
SPREAD VERSUS DURATION BY SECTOR
iG-7',)+$]07^ iG-7',)+$]07^
P;FLL NLL
VWL \T%Tg$R"PMRQ$#,'7
RWL
NLL
RLL
cUX$hPF
I9%$hFL
RLL I9%$hPV [AH$#,'7 WWL \T%Tg$hPR
!9%9?B$hPW
!9%9?B$hFV WLL @TU\9$hPV
[AH$hPV \T%Tg$R"VFFQ$#,'7
OLL
OWL
#TI%Tg$hPO
T%EB9$hPV T%EB9$hFL OLL
FLL
%g\ZC$hPM
JWL
%9ET%g$hPM
L JLL
L"LL P"LL F"LL J"LL O"LL W"LL R"LL V"LL N"LL M"LL PL"LL F"LL J"LL O"LL W"LL R"LL V"LL N"LL M"LL PL"LL
@1')/2&* @1')/2&*
iG-7',)+$]07^ iG-7',)+$]07^
OLL
?%#U9$hPO
P;JLL
JWL
C?EB?9$hPM
P;PLL
JLL
MLL
\TH9B9$R"NVWQ$hPV
FWL
VLL \TH9B9$hPM
\TH9B9$hPV
EB9Uc%$M"VWQ$#,'7 FLL
WLL ?D_TBU$hPM
%9[DTU$hFL EB9Uc%$MQ$#,'7 \TH9B9$hPP \TH9B9$hPW
\TH9B9$hPJ
EB9Uc%$hPV ?D_TBU$hPJ
JLL HA%DT[$hPJ _AIAB9$hFL _AIAB9$hFP PWL
\\\AD$hPW _AIAB9$hPM
EB9Uc%$hPW
EB9Uc%$hPO A@E$hPO \\\AD$hPR
_AIAB9$hPO A@E$hPV A@EB$hFL
PLL PLL
P"LL F"LL J"LL O"LL W"LL R"LL V"LL N"LL M"LL PL"LL P"LL F"LL J"LL O"LL W"LL R"LL V"LL N"LL
@1')/2&* @1')/2&*
19 of 39
SPREAD VERSUS DURATION BY SECTOR
iG-7',)+$]07^ iG-7',)+$]07^
WWL WLL
_U?@$#,'7 \UD9Ed$#,'7
WLL OWL
\9#!9%$hFP
[[EBEd$#,'7 OLL
OWL
JWL
OLL
JLL
JWL #\X$hJW
FWL
_9HTEd$hJO
JLL UK%$hPR _9HTEd$hJR
FLL
[[EBEd$hFL _9HTEd$hJM
[[EBEd$hPV _9HTEd$hPJ _9HTEd$hPR
FWL
\UD9Ed$hPM PWL #\X$hPW _9HTEd$hPV
\UD9Ed$hPW XU?%$hPR \@TH$hPM
FLL \UD9Ed$hPJ XU?%$hPN
PLL
\@TH$hPJ \@TH$hPO
PWL WL
\@TH$hPF
PLL L
F"LL J"LL O"LL W"LL R"LL V"LL N"LL M"LL PL"LL PP"LL F"LL J"LL O"LL W"LL R"LL V"LL N"LL M"LL PL"LL PP"LL PF"LL
@1')/2&* @1')/2&*
iG-7',)+$]07^ iG-7',)+$]07^
P;OWL
#@_U9$hPV
P;LLL
P;FWL \9#\9D$hPR
NLL #@_U9$hFV
IA\HXE$hPO
P;LWL
XHIB$hPO
?BU99B$hPV
RLL \9U?I9$hPR 9#U99B$hPV
NWL
#TIBII$hPM
OLL #BT\D$hPR
#TIBII$hFF RWL
!9_TB$hPO
20 of 39
SPREAD VERSUS DURATION BY SECTOR
iG-7',)+$]07^ iG-7',)+$]07^
J;WLL P;RLL
F;WLL P;FLL
F;LLL P;LLL
P;WLL NLL
%?DTB_$hPV
P;LLL RLL %?DTB_$hPM
%9BCB?$hPR
\A#T?D$hPV CB?EA?$hPR ETBI?D$hPR
[BX%9$#,'7
WLL @?9%$hPN OLL
@AB9@A$hPM
\AU9D$hPO \AU9D$hPV EBCUEd$hFL U9@?9$hPV
\AU9D$#,'7 CB?EA?$hPP
9E?EE$hPP 9E?EE$hPJ cAC$hFL
L FLL
P"LL F"LL J"LL O"LL W"LL R"LL V"LL N"LL M"LL PL"LL PP"LL L"WL P"WL F"WL J"WL O"WL W"WL R"WL
@1')/2&* @1')/2&*
iG-7',)+$]07^ iG-7',)+$]07^
WWL P;PWL
21 of 39
SPREAD VERSUS DURATION BY SECTOR
iG-7',)+$]07^ iG-7',)+$]07^
P;FLL WLL
EB9@TU$#,'7
OWL \BXd$hPW
?I9X$#,'7 U9DEEd$#,'7
P;PLL E\AE%[$hPR
OLL
ED\[9H$hPM JWL
P;LLL E9DEB9$#,'7
E%99B$hJR JLL
MLL FWL
9'(,*/2*)$U&8,',2(*$51'8,
FLL
ED@TU$hPN
NLL ED@TU$hFL
PWL E9D_AB$hPJ EB9@TU$hPW
EZ?#$hPJ EZ?#$hPR E')i2:$U&8,',2(*$51'8,
E9DEB9$hPO
PLL
VLL
WL
ED@TU$hPP
E%99B$hPV
RLL L
P"LL F"LL J"LL O"LL W"LL R"LL V"LL L"LL F"LL O"LL R"LL N"LL PL"LL PF"LL
@1')/2&* @1')/2&*
@;%).#W]R L.;")#6%*?-#%*1#E0*%*/0%+-
iG-7',)+$]07^
JNL
JRL
\9H?\Z$hFF
JOL
JFL
EE_9U%$hFF
JLL
FNL E9DABI$hPR
FRL
FOL
E9D\AH$hPV
FFL
EE_9U%$hPW
C\EII$hPF
FLL
L"LL P"LL F"LL J"LL O"LL W"LL R"LL V"LL N"LL M"LL
@1')/2&*
22 of 39
SPREAD VERSUS NET LEVERAGE BY SECTOR
iG-7',)+$]07^ iG-7',)+$]07^
J;MWL
P;PLL
@THUAH$U/,7G17$hPO
J;OWL
%TIBA[$hPO
F;OWL
VLL
P;MWL
WLL
P;OWL ?U9EB$hPV
TDTB[?$hPJ
JLL
MWL IB9D9B$hPR
U9ETU#$hPR
T@D9B$hPV \TU#Ed$hPJ
IB9[9U$hPV THTEB9$hPM
Z#@9$hPV THTEB9$hPW
OWL PLL
L"LS P"LS F"LS J"LS O"LS W"LS R"LS V"LS N"LS M"LS L"LS L"WS P"LS P"WS F"LS F"WS J"LS J"WS O"LS O"WS W"LS
D,/$:,8,')(, D,/$:,8,')(,
iG-7',)+$]07^ iG-7',)+$]07^
WLL VLL
?I9EA$hPJ 9TU@A%$hPW
\Z?HK$hPP RWL T[TZ9?$hPV
OWL
$$$$$$$$95/28,U4,,/"\4)'/A0>,5/-]2^"H,</$o$OLL$b$?*/]2$G$P^$`$OLL$b$?*/]2$a$W^
RLL
OLL
WWL
JWL
WLL
JLL
OWL
TD@TU9$hFV 9TUTHU$hPR
FWL TD@TU9$hJV
[TDTB$hPO OLL I[?\A$hPV
FLL TDBU?U$hPR \AHEXD$hFL
TDBU?U$hPO TD@TU9$hPW JWL
TD@TU9$hPJ
PWL \Z?_AB$hPO
JLL TTE\A$hPO
D,/$:,8,')(, D,/$:,8,')(,
iG-7',)+$]07^ iG-7',)+$]07^
P;PLL NLL
RWL
NLL
RLL
VLL
cUX$hPF
WWL \T%Tg$hPR
I9%$hFL
RLL
WLL @TU\9$hPV
I9%$hPV
[AH$#,'7
WLL \T%Tg$R"VFFQ$#,'7
OWL
[AH$hPV #TI%Tg$hPO
OLL
OLL
%g\ZC$hPM
JLL JWL
T%EB9$hPV
T%EB9$hFL
FLL JLL
GP"LS L"LS P"LS F"LS J"LS O"LS W"LS R"LS V"LS L"LS P"LS F"LS J"LS O"LS W"LS R"LS V"LS
D,/$:,8,')(, D,/$:,8,')(,
iG-7',)+$]07^ iG-7',)+$]07^
P;OLL OLL
?%#U9$hPO
JWL C?EB?9$hPM
P;FLL
JLL
P;LLL
\TH9B9$R"NVWQ$hPV
FWL
NLL
\TH9B9$hPV \TH9B9$hPM
FLL ?D_TBU$hPM
\TH9B9$hPW
RLL \TH9B9$hPJ
?D_TBU$hPJ \TH9B9$hPP
EB9Uc%$M"VWQ$#,'7 PWL
EB9Uc%$MQ$#,'7
OLL
_AIAB9$hFL PLL \TH9B9$hPL
EB9Uc%$hPV
_AIAB9$hFP
A@E$hPV A@EB$hFL EB9Uc%$hPW _AIAB9$hPM
FLL A@E$hPO
_AIAB9$hPO WL
EB9Uc%$hPO
L L
L"LS P"LS F"LS J"LS O"LS W"LS R"LS L"LS P"LS F"LS J"LS O"LS W"LS R"LS V"LS
D,/$:,8,')(, D,/$:,8,')(,
iG-7',)+$]07^ iG-7',)+$]07^
WWL JLL
\UD9Ed$#,'7
WLL
JLL #\X$hPW
\@TH$hJW
PWL
UK%$hPR \@TH$hJR _9HTEd$hJR #\X$hJW
FWL \UD9Ed$hPM [[EBEd$hPV
XU?%$hPR [[EBEd$hFL \@TH$hPM
\UD9Ed$hPW
FLL \UD9Ed$hPJ XU?%$hPN
PLL
\@TH$hPO
PWL
\@TH$hPJ \@TH$hPF
PLL WL
P"WS P"VS P"MS F"PS F"JS F"WS F"VS L"WS L"RS L"VS L"NS L"MS P"LS P"PS P"FS P"JS P"OS
D,/$:,8,')(, D,/$:,8,')(,
iG-7',)+$]07^ iG-7',)+$]07^
WLL P;LLL
OWL
MLL ?BU99B$hPV
9#U99B$hPV
OLL
#TIBII$hPM
#TIBII$hFF NLL
JWL
JLL VLL
FWL
#TU99B$hPV !9_TB$hPO
T\A#TI$hPM RLL
#9D9%T$hPF EB%HEd$#,'7
FLL #TIEB9$N"JVWQ$hPN #TU99B$hPJ #AU9@9$hPW
#T%Tg$hFL #T%Tg$hPM
WLL
#TIEB9$hPM
#T%Tg$hPN ZA%Tg$hPM
PWL #TIEB9$W"NVWQ$hPN XBE?%%$hFL \AB[TA$hPO
#TIEB9$hPW #TU99B$hPL ZA%Tg$hPW
#T%Tg$hPO OLL XBE?%%$hPR
PLL #TIEB9$hPO
WL JLL
L"LS L"WS P"LS P"WS F"LS F"WS J"LS L"LS L"WS P"LS P"WS F"LS F"WS J"LS J"WS O"LS
D,/$:,8,')(, D,/$:,8,')(,
iG-7',)+$]07^ iG-7',)+$]07^
J;WLL RWL
RLL
J;LLL %?DTB_$hPM
%9UZTB$hPF
WWL %?DTB_$hPV
F;WLL
WLL %9BCB?$hPR
CB?EA?$hPR ETBI?D$hPR
F;LLL OWL
P;WLL OLL
JWL
P;LLL
JLL U9@?9$hPV
CB?EA?$hPP
@?9%$hPN [BX%9$#,'7
WLL
\AU9D$#,'7 FWL
EBCUEd$hFL @AB9@A$hPM \AU9D$hPO
9E?EE$hPJ
\AU9D$hPV
L 9E?EE$hPP FLL
L"WS P"LS P"WS F"LS F"WS J"LS J"WS O"LS O"WS W"LS P"LS F"LS J"LS O"LS W"LS R"LS V"LS
D,/$:,8,')(, D,/$:,8,')(,
IH%#$hPJ MWL
OWL
OLL NWL
%9gITH$hPO
JWL VWL
JLL IH%#$hPM
RWL
@HHI@$hPN
[HA#9B$hFF \AHX?C$hPO
FWL
WWL [HAEXU$#,'7
ITH_?U$hJF
FLL 9%gH%%$hJV
ITH_?U$hFW 9%gH%%$hJW D?Z@$hPR 9gITH$hPM
@HHI@$hPV \E%9U$hPW
9%gH%%$hOL OWL
ITH_?U$hPN
PWL 9gITH$hPV
9%gH%%$hPM ICADY$hPM
ITH_?U$hPP
9%gH%%$hFL 9%gH%%$hPV JWL
PLL ICADY$hPW
I9UCI$hPL
9%gH%%$hPW 9%gH%%$hPO DTIEd$hFL
WL FWL
GL"WS L"LS L"WS P"LS P"WS F"LS F"WS L"LS P"LS F"LS J"LS O"LS W"LS R"LS
D,/$:,8,')(, D,/$:,8,')(,
UAI$]07^ UAI$]07^
FJL JLL
D[\II$hJR
FPL
FWL
PML
JULI A Curve
ITH_?U$hJF
PVL FLL #TIEB9$hPW ITH_?U$hFW
9%gH%%$hJW JULI BBB Curve
E9DEB9$hPO 9%gH%%$hJV ITH_?U$hPN
PWL
9%gH%%$hOL ITH_?U$hPP
PWL
ICADY$hPM
PJL \@TH$hPM \@TH$hJW
9%gH%%$hPV \@TH$hJR
ICADY$hPW 9%gH%%$hPM
PPL 9%gH%%$hFL PLL
cAC$hFL
9%gH%%$hPO
\@TH$hPO
ML 9%gH%%$hPW
\@TH$hPJ 9%gH%%$hPW WL
\@TH$hPF
VL
WL L
L"WL F"WL O"WL R"WL N"WL PL"WL PF"WL PO"WL P"LL J"LL W"LL V"LL M"LL PP"LL PJ"LL
@1')/2&* @1')/2&*
UAI$]07^ UAI$]07^
JLL JLL
ABIBB '11
PFL
PEMEX '11
WL PLL
L"LL F"LL O"LL R"LL N"LL PL"LL PF"LL F"LL J"LL O"LL W"LL R"LL V"LL N"LL M"LL PL"LL PP"LL PF"LL
@1')/2&* @1')/2&*
U&1'5,j$!"#"$%&'()*k$U7',)+-$)-$&<$DY$5:&-,$97'2:$LM;$FLPL"$$B)/2*(-$)',$0)-,+$&*$%&&+=h-;$Ue#;$)*+$C2/54$')/2*(-"
27 of 39
SPREAD VERSUS DURATION BY RATING
UAI$]07^ UAI$]07^
WWL RWL
!9_TB$hPO
US HY BB Curve RLL
WLL
WWL
OWL 9TUTHU$hPR
#TI%Tg$hPO \UD9Ed$#,'7
EB9Uc%$M"VWQ$#,'7 @TU\9$hPV
WLL Y#C@9B$hFN
OLL I[?\A$hPV [HAEXU$#,'7 US HY BB Curve 9gITH$hPM
\E%9U$hPW
?U9EB$hPV
OWL ZA%Tg$hPM EB%HEd$#,'7
EB9Uc%$MQ$#,'7
[[EBEd$#,'7 \AB[TA$hPOZA%Tg$hPW 9gITH$hPV XBE?%%$hFL
%g\ZC$hPM
JWL
C?EB?9$hPM OLL
U9@?9$hPV @?9%$hPN
TTE\A$hPO EBCUEd$hFL
@AB9@A$hPM TDTB[?$hPJ
JLL \Z?_AB$hPO
EB9Uc%$hPV JWL
DTIEd$hFL
U9ETU#$hPR \AU9D$hPV
A@E$hPV
9TU#9D$hPR
FWL EB9Uc%$hPW
A@EB$hFL JLL \AU9D$hPO
\TU#Ed$hPJ
EB9Uc%$hPO
\UD9Ed$hPW
A@E$hPO \UD9Ed$hPM
\UD9Ed$hPJ
T\A#TI$hPM
FLL FWL
P"LL F"LL J"LL O"LL W"LL R"LL V"LL N"LL M"LL PL"LL P"LL F"LL J"LL O"LL W"LL R"LL V"LL N"LL M"LL PL"LL
@1')/2&* @1')/2&*
UAI$]07^ UAI$]07^
P;JWL P;WWL
P;JWL ?%#U9$hPO
P;PWL
IA\HXE$hPO
\E_U$hPW
P;PWL
MWL
UTD@9$hPW
IB9D9B$hPR
MWL
?BU99B$hPV
9#U99B$hPV
VWL
%9gITH$hPO
cUX$hPF XHIB$hPO
VWL
\AHX?C$hPO ?I9EA$hPJ 9TU@A%$hPW T@D9B$hPV
T[TZ9?$hPV \T%Tg$R"PMRQ$#,'7
WWL I9%$hPV I9%$hFL
\T%Tg$hPR Z#@9$hPV \T%Tg$R"ROQ$#,'7
#AU9@9$hPW%9BCB?$hPR IB9[9U$hPV
D?Z@$hPR
CB?EA?$hPR
ETBI?D$hPR WWL %?DTB_$hPV %?DTB_$hPM
HX#9$#,'7
[AH$hPV [AH$#,'7 @HHI@$hPV
XBE?%%$hPR
JWL I9UCI$hPL
CB?EA?$hPP [BX%9$#,'7 \T%Tg$R"VFFQ$#,'7
JWL
#9D9%T$hPF
#TU99B$hPJ ITHTCA$hPP
PWL #TU99B$hPL PWL
L"LL F"LL O"LL R"LL N"LL PL"LL L"LL F"LL O"LL R"LL N"LL PL"LL
@1')/2&* @1')/2&*
U&1'5,j$!"#"$%&'()*k$U7',)+-$)-$&<$DY$5:&-,$97'2:$LM;$FLPL"$$B)/2*(-$)',$0)-,+$&*$%&&+=h-;$Ue#;$)*+$C2/54$')/2*(-"
28 of 39
SPREAD VERSUS DURATION BY RATING
UAI$]07^ 7'25,$]n^
O;FLL VL
J;VLL
@THUAH$U/,7G17$hPO RL
\A%%Tg$hPW
%TIBA[$hPO
J;FLL I[DA9B$hPF XD?@9U$hPR
WL
F;VLL @THUAH$hPV
_?IBA9$hPF _?IBA9$hPJ _?IBA9$hPV
F;FLL OL
\?TE%%$hPW \TH%%$hPJ
P;VLL
JL
?D@T#$hPW ?D@T#$hPV
P;FLL
BT@T%$#,'7 FL
VLL
@HHI@$hPN
FLL
PL
L"LL P"LL F"LL J"LL O"LL W"LL R"LL V"LL N"LL M"LL
L"WL P"LL P"WL F"LL F"WL J"LL J"WL O"LL
@1')/2&* @1')/2&*
U&1'5,j$!"#"$%&'()*k$U7',)+-$)-$&<$DY$5:&-,$97'2:$LM;$FLPL"$$B)/2*(-$)',$0)-,+$&*$%&&+=h-;$Ue#;$)*+$C2/54$')/2*(-"
29 of 39
SPREAD VERSUS DURATION: QUASI-SOVEREIGNS
FLL
#T%Tg$hPM #T%Tg$hFL
JLL
#T%Tg$hPW ML
#T%Tg$hPN
PWL
#T%Tg$hPO
Mexico Sovereign curve
FLL
PLL
OL
PLL
WL
#T%Tg$hPP
L L GPL
P"LL J"LL W"LL V"LL M"LL PP"LL PJ"LL PW"LL @,5GLN C,0GLM 97'GLM !1*GLM 91(GLM A5/GLM @,5GLM C,0GPL
@1')/2&* U7',)+$+2<<$]'4-^ %,S25&$WY #T%Tg$W"VWQ$hPN-
PNL
FWL WLL
PRL
POL
FLL OLL
#TIEB9$N"JVWQ$hPN
PFL
#TIEB9$hPM
E')i2:$U&8,',2(*$51'8, FLL
PLL #TIEB9$hPO RL
#TIEB9$hPJ
OL
PLL
WL
#,/'&0')-$51'8, FL
L L
L
@,5GLN C,0GLM 97'GLM !1*GLM 91(GLM A5/GLM @,5GLM C,0GPL
L"LL F"LL O"LL R"LL N"LL PL"LL PF"LL
@1')/2&* U7',)+$+2<<$]'4-^ E')i2:$WY #TIEB9$W"NVWQ$hPN-
E3*1%2"*.%+-#$%&"#'((.*(."-
P"$C2-5):$=,)'$<&'$\&-)*$,*+-$&*$%)'54
F"$B,8,*1,-$)*+$TE?I@9$0)-,+$&*$)8,')(,$,S54)*(,$')/,-$342:,$@,0/$)*+$\)-4$0)-,+$&*$7,'2&+G,*+$Cg$')/,-k$H,8,')(,$)*+$\&8,')(,$')/2&-$0)-,+$&*$<2(1',-$2*$:&5):$51'',*5="$
J"$TE?I@9Bk$H,8,')(,$')/2&-$)+>1-/,+$/&$2*5:1+,$&7,')/2*($:,)-2*(-$]5)72/):2i,+$)/$VS^$)*+$)',$-4&3*$2*$EBHG/,'6-
O"$\&*-&:2+)/,+$]&75&$`$4&:+5&^k$2*/,',-/$5&8,')(,$)/$/4,$4&:+5&$:,8,:$]+282+,*+-a2*/,',-/-^
W"$#'&G<&'6)$<&'$/,*+,'$&<<,'"$C2(1',-$5&*-&:2+)/,+$]PLLQ$&<$-10-2+2)'2,-^
R"$#'&G<&'6)$<&'$6,'(,'$32/4$#,'+2()&$)*+$BnO$02::2&*$5)72/):$2*5',)-,
V"$TE?I@9BkH,8,')(,$')/2&-$)+>1-/,+$/&$2*5:1+,$&7,')/2*($:,)-2*(-$]5)72/):2i,+$)/$VS^k$\',+2/$6,/'25-$5):51:)/,+$2*$EBHG/,'6-"
N"$I&/):$5)-4$2-$/4,$-16$&<$5)-4$)*+$',-/'25/,+$5)-4$
M"$@,0/$2*5:1+,-$/4,$@?9D$+,0/k$9::$+,0/$5&1*/,+$)-$UI$+1,$/&$62--,+$2*/,',-/$7)=6,*/$2*$@,5,60,'$FLPL"
PL"$#'&$<&'6)$&<$XUnPRL$62::2&*$+,0/$2--1)*5,$2*$!1:=$FLLM"
PP"$HI%$TE?I@9$<<'&6$\&67)*=$#',--$B,:,)-,$2-$nOWF"R;$34254$2-$0)-,+$&*$7,'2&+G,*+$,S54)*(,$')/,$)*+$2*5:1+,-$+282+,*+-$<'&6$*&*G5&*-&:2+)/,+$-10-2+2)'2,-k$?*/,',-/$\&8,',)(,$<'&6$#',--$B,:,)-,
PF"$$@,0/$)*+$:,8,')(,$-4&3$&*:=$U'"@,0/;$01/$?*/,',-/$TS7,*-,$2*5:1+,-$?*/,'5&67)*=$?*/,',-/
PJ"$\',+2/$6,/'25-$5):51:)/,+$2*$EBH$/,'6-
PO"$#'&$<&'6)$<&'$*,3$XUnP"W0*$2--1)*5,k$5)-4$,S5:1+,-$2*8,-/,6,*/-$)*+$2-$)+>1-/,+$<&'$+282+,*5-"
PW"$#'&$<&'6)$<&'$*,3$XUnWLL$66$)*+$XUnFLL$66$,l128):,*/$2*$:&5):$0&*+-$2--1,+$)</,'$%)'54$FLLMk$5)-4$2-$,-/26)/,+$0)-,+$&*$/4,$7'&G<&'6)$+,0/"
PR"$@,0/$2*5:1+,-$XUnJLL$62::2&*$7,'7,/1):$0&*+-
PV"$I&/):$+,0/$2*5:1+,-$H2)02:2/=$#'&82-2&*-"
PN"$C2*)*52):-$0)-,+$&*$5&67)*=$l1)'/,':=$7',--$',:,)-,-k$2*/,',-/$5&8,')(,$2*5:1+,-$#?c$2*/,',-/"
PM"$I&/):$5)-4$)*+$*,/$+,0/$)+>1-/,+$<&'$)6&1*/-$2*$/4,$@,0/$U,'825,$B,-,'8,$955&1*/"
FL"$9+>1-/,+$/&/):$+,0/$8):1,-$)*+$6,/'25-k$5',+2/$6,/'25-$5):51:)/,+$2*$EBHG/,'6-"
FP"$$TE?I@9$2*5:1+,-$[&8,'*6,*/$-10-2+2,-k$5',+2/$6,/'25-$2*$9BUG/,'6-"
FF"$#'&G<&'6)$<&'$/,*+,'$&<<,'"$C2(1',-$5&*-&:2+)/,+$]PLLQ$&<$-10-2+2)'2,-^k$$I&/):$+,0/$2*5:1+,-$/4,$<1::$)6&1*/$&<$7,'7,/1):-k$\',+2/$6,/'25-$2*$EBHG/,'6-
FJ"$@,0/$2-$)+>1-/,+$<&'$%I%$+,'28)/28,-k$\',+2/$6,/'25-$2*$%gDG/,'6-"
FO"$I&/):$-):,-$)*+$TE?I@9$)+>1-/,+$<&'$7&'/2&*$&<$',/'&)5/28,$/)'2<<$2*5',)-,$)5/1)::=$2*8&25,+"
FW"$?*5:1+,-$D,/$@,'28)/28,$#'&82-2&*$&<$nROV$62::2&*$)-$UI$+,0/$])-$7,'$/4,$5&67)*=h-$l1)'/,':=$,)'*2*($',:,)-,-^k$$I4,-,$<2*)*52):$2*-/2/1/2&*-$4)8,$<2:,+$)$*,/$5:)26$&<$nF;FFW$62::2&*;$(',)/,'$/4)*$/4,$5&67)*=h-$51'',*/$:2)02:2/=$7'&82-2&*"
FR"$@,0/$2-$)+>1-/,+$<&'$)5l12-2/2&*-$-/2::$/&$0,$7)2+"
7*1"J#9"-/)0$.0(*-
XU;$*&*GXU;$XU$+&6,-/25;$6,+216$/,'6$*&/,;$(:&0):$)*+$Y)*.,,$6)'.,/-k$ XUnJLL$62::2&*$62*$7,'$2--1,$)*+$
6,)-1',-$/4,$7,'<&'6)*5,$&<$/4,$?*8,-/6,*/$[')+,$XU@G+,*&62*)/,+$5&'7&')/,$0&*+$ PJG6&*/4$62*$)*+$JP$=,)'$6)S$/&$6)/1'2/=$<'&6$
!XH? 2*5:1+,-$01::,/$0&*+-$&*:=$)*+$,S5:1+,-$5&*8,'/20:,-;$',<1*+)0:,-;$,S/,*+)0:,-$ XUnP$02::2&*$&1/-/)*+2*($<2S,+$')/,$
6)'.,/;$)*+$2-$+,-2(*,+$/&$5)7/1',$&*:=$/4,$6&-/$:2l12+$0&*+- 2*+,S$-/)'/$+)/,$2*$FLLO
)*+$7,'7,/1):- 01::,/$0&*+-$62*$7,'$2--1,'
U&1'5,j$!"#"$%&'()*"
36 of 39
APPENDIX III: SOVEREIGN RATINGS
Q%.0*#:2")0/%
C((1,D- !#A#B E0./; Q:!8#CLL9[D!#:@87L< Q:!8#!AB#:@87L< Q:!8#E78@Y#:@87L<
H%.0*& K0"e H%.0*& K0"e H%.0*& K0"e :/.0(* 9%." :/.0(* 9%." :/.0(* 9%."
H:87<Z#!@:Q5 !8:<9:H9#85HC7<LQLZ[#:<9#BHL@59OH5!
C((1,D- !AB E0./; C((1,D- !AB E0./;
O$$")#7*F"-.2"*.#Z)%1" 9)) 999 999
9)P 99` 99` D&/$51'',*/:=$-10>,5/$ UI9EHT UI9EHT UI9EHT
9)F 99 99 /&$54)*(,
9)J 99G 99G
9P 9` 9`
9F 9 9 #&--20:,$:&*(G/,'6$54)*(, AXIHAAc$]`&'G^ AXIHAAc$]`&'G^ AXIHAAc$]`&'G^
9J 9G 9G H2.,:=$/&$0,$71/$&*$',82,3
Q(e")#7*F"-.2"*.#Z)%1" E))P EEE` EEE`
E))F EEE EEE
E))J EEEG EEEG H2.,:=$54)*(,$2*$-4&'/$/,'6 BT_?Tf$]`&'G^ \BT@?If9I\Z$]`&'G^ B9I?D[$f9I\Z$]`&'G^
<(*V7*F"-.2"*.#Z)%1" E)P EE` EE`
E)F EE EE
E)J EEG EEG
Q(e")#<(*V7*F"-.2"*.#Z)%1" EP E` E` X#[B9@T$a$@AfD[B9@T X#[B9@T$a$@AfD[B9@T X#[B9@T$a$@AfD[B9@T
EF E E 9CC?B%T@$a$UI9EHT 9CC?B%T@$a$UI9EHT 9CC?B%T@$a$UI9EHT
EJ EG EG
\))P \\\` \\\` %&&+=h-$')/2*(-$)',$l1):2<2,+$0=$&1/:&&.-$)*+$',82,3-$342:,$Ue#$)*+$C2/54$')/2*(-$)',$l1):2<2,+$0=$&1/:&&.-$)*+$3)/54,-"
\))F \\\ \\\ 9$',82,3a3)/54$2-$2*+25)/28,$&<$)$:2.,:=$-4&'/G/,'6$6&8,6,*/"
\))J \\\G \\\G 9*$&1/:&&.$-1((,-/-$/4)/$)$',82,3a3)/54$&'$)$:&*(a2*/,'6,+2)/,G/,'6$6&8,6,*/$2-$:2.,:="
\) \\ \\
\ \ \ ]`^$7&-2/28,$&1/:&&. $`$7&-2/28,$',82,3a3)/54
9"'%3+. U@ B@ ]G^$*,()/28,$&1/:&&. $G$*,()/28,$',82,3a3)/54
@ @ fB$B)/2*($f2/4+')3*
U&1'5,j$%&&+=h-;$Ue#;$)*+$C2/54"
37 of 39
Disclosures
Analyst Certification:
The research analyst(s) denoted by an “AC” on the cover of this report certifies (or, where multiple research analysts are primarily responsible for this
report, the research analyst denoted by an “AC” on the cover or within the document individually certifies, with respect to each security or issuer that the
research analyst covers in this research) that: (1) all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all
of the subject securities or issuers; and (2) no part of any of the research analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the
specific recommendations or views expressed by the research analyst(s) in this report.
5
Disclosures
Conflict of Interest:
This research contains the views, opinions and recommendations of J.P. Morgan credit research analysts. Research analysts routinely
consult with J.P. Morgan trading desk personnel in formulating views, opinions and recommendations in preparing research. Trading desks
may trade, or have traded, as principal on the basis of the research analyst(s) views and report(s). Therefore, this research may not be
independent from the proprietary interests of J.P. Morgan trading desks which may conflict with your interests. In addition, research analysts
receive compensation based, in part, on the quality and accuracy of their analysis, client feedback, trading desk and firm revenues and
competitive factors. As a general matter, J.P. Morgan and/or its affiliates normally make a market and trade as principal in fixed income
securities discussed in research reports.
Other Disclosures
J.P. Morgan is the global brand name for J.P. Morgan Securities Inc. (JPMSI) and its non-US affiliates worldwide.
J.P. Morgan Cazenove is a brand name for equity research produced by J.P. Morgan Securities Ltd.; J.P. Morgan Equities Limited; JPMorgan Chase
Bank, N.A., Dubai Branch; and J.P. Morgan Bank International LLC. QIB ONLY