Professional Documents
Culture Documents
March 2002
Published by the Department of Natural Resources and Environment.
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http://www.nre.vic.gov.au/fires
Note: This publication may be of assistance to you but the State of Victoria and
its employees do not guarantee that the publication is without flaw of any kind or
is appropriate for your particular purposes and therefore disclaims all liability for
any error, loss or other consequence which may arise from you relying on any
information in this publication.
II
FOREWORD
In 1998 those responsible for the management of Victoria’s parks and forests embarked on a program that
was designed to improve the understanding, by key land management agency personnel, of the role fire
plays in the maintenance of biodiversity.
That program, which was largely without precedent in Australia, involved a range of related initiatives.
Included among them was the need to develop relevant, meaningful and accessible databases that could
be used by park and forest managers to better inform their day to day land management activities.
The general approach being adopted in Victoria has been set out in several publications including the May
1999 Management of Fire for the Conservation for Biodiversity – Workshop Proceedings and in the
September 1999 Interim Guidelines for Ecological Burning on Public Land in Victoria. Presentations have
also been made at several national and international conferences. Feedback from individuals and agencies
outside Victoria continues to be welcomed in relation to the approach being adopted.
Last year, as part of a related project that was aimed at assisting with the setting of Statewide priorities for
the use of prescribed fire for ecological purposes, an analysis of disturbance by fire on public land in
Victoria was undertaken.
The study, which used the ‘fire history’ database developed over recent years in Victoria (and which was
enhanced considerably during the ‘Regional Forest Agreement’ process) analysed fire disturbance across
the public land estate at two scales:
• The Statewide scale using ‘Ecological Vegetation Classes’ (EVCs) which were subdivided according to
public land tenure; and
• The bioregional scale using Victorian Bioregions, as described in the Victorian Biodiversity Strategy
(NRE 1997a and b).
The study also compiles spatial information on time since fire from EVC and fire history data, lists critical
information on 'vital attributes' of 'key fire response' plant species across EVCs, and develops spreadsheets
for calculating actual and ‘ideal’ age class distribution graphs. Finally, the study examines priorities for the
use of prescribed fire at the EVC Group and bioregional levels across the State.
The study contains a wealth of detail that will require careful consideration by the managers of the State’s
parks and forests, and by the ‘Fire Ecology’ Working Group and the associated Regional Reference
Groups.
Clearly, the quality of the data that informed the study is of critical importance and we recommend that the
data be re-evaluated in two years time, in conjunction with a review of the situation in individual parks and
forests following subsequent wildfires and the continued use by managers of prescribed fire.
Finally we would like to thank Mike Wouters (now with Parks Victoria at Mildura), the principal author of this
most valuable study, and Drs Kevin Tolhurst (from Melbourne University/NRE’s ‘Forest Science Centre’),
Sally Troy (Parks Victoria) and Gordon Friend (NRE, Parks Flora and Fauna Division) who assisted with
project design and with later versions of the report.
III
CONTENTS
FOREWORD .................................................................................................................................................III
Executive Summary...................................................................................................................................... VI
INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................................1
Management Context..................................................................................................................................1
New Approaches.........................................................................................................................................1
Vital Attributes and Key Fire Response Species ............................................................................................1
Age-class Distribution Analysis ...............................................................................................................2
The ‘Interim Guidelines’ Approach..............................................................................................................3
Objectives of this Report.............................................................................................................................3
METHODS......................................................................................................................................................4
Scale ...........................................................................................................................................................4
Statewide ................................................................................................................................................4
Bioregions ...............................................................................................................................................4
Data Sources and Analysis Methods ..........................................................................................................5
Vital Attributes .........................................................................................................................................5
Vegetation ...............................................................................................................................................5
Disturbance .............................................................................................................................................7
Benchmarks ............................................................................................................................................7
RESULTS .......................................................................................................................................................9
Fire Cycles ..................................................................................................................................................9
Statewide Scale ..........................................................................................................................................9
Bioregions .................................................................................................................................................13
Little Desert ...........................................................................................................................................13
DISCUSSION ...............................................................................................................................................14
Data and Analysis Limitations...................................................................................................................14
EVC-species data .................................................................................................................................14
Vital Attributes .......................................................................................................................................14
Data Analysis ........................................................................................................................................14
Disturbance types .................................................................................................................................15
Data Durability and Access.......................................................................................................................15
Fire and Biodiversity .................................................................................................................................15
Setting Priorities........................................................................................................................................16
Departure from the ‘Ideal’......................................................................................................................16
More Effective Planning ........................................................................................................................16
Priorities ....................................................................................................................................................17
Further Research ......................................................................................................................................19
CONCLUSIONS ...........................................................................................................................................20
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS.............................................................................................................................21
REFERENCES .............................................................................................................................................22
APPENDICES...............................................................................................................................................24
IV
Tables and Figures
Table 1 State Priorities for Addressing Fire Regime – All Public Land.................................................. VII
Table 2 State Priorities for Addressing Fire Regime – By tenure ......................................................... VIII
Figure 1 Example of Benchmark ...............................................................................................................8
Table 3 Fire Cycles by EVCGroup ...........................................................................................................9
Table 4 Conformity with ‘Ideal’ Age Class Distribution for Bioregion by EVCGroup ..............................10
Table 5 Conformity with ‘Ideal’ Age Class Distribution for State by Land Tenure ..................................12
Table 6 Conformity with ‘Ideal’ Age Class Distribution for Little Desert..................................................13
Table 7 Priority Bioregions and EVCGroups for vital attribute data collection .......................................14
Table 8 EVCGroup ‘Urgency’ (based on Fire Cycle)..............................................................................17
Table 9 State Priority for Addressing Fire Regime – All Public Land .....................................................18
Table 10 State Priority for Addressing Fire Regime – Protected Area .....................................................18
Table 11 State Priority for Addressing Fire Regime – State forest ...........................................................19
V
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
In Victoria, the State Government agencies responsible for the management of fire - both wildfire and the
use of prescribed fire - on all public land (the Department of Natural Resources and Environment1 and
Parks Victoria) have long recognised the need for a holistic and scientifically-based approach to the
management of fire. Such an approach needs to embrace using fire both for the protection of human life
and property through reduction of wildfire hazard, and as a tool for managing ecosystems to maintain
biodiversity. The past decade has seen significant advances in our understanding of the role of fire in the
Australian environment. It has also seen the development of processes and data to enable fire to be used
for the ecologically sustainable management of ecosystems. A key outcome has been the recognition that
fire is inextricably linked to the structure, function and sustainability of Victoria’s (and Australia’s)
ecosystems and if used inappropriately, will lead to their irreversible change or collapse.
In 1998 this realisation led to the formation of a series of cross-business/ cross-tenure committees across
NRE and Parks Victoria to address the management of fire for the conservation of biodiversity. A major
outcome has been the development of a sound scientific basis on which to set clear and relatively simple
ecological objectives and to develop ecologically sound fire regimes which could be monitored for their
achievements of the desired outcomes. The process has been documented in the Interim Guidelines and
Procedures for Ecological Burning on Public Land in Victoria (Fire Ecology Working Group 1999).
The key principle of the Interim Guidelines approach is that of using the life history characteristics (vital
attributes) of constituent flora and fauna species to determine appropriate, ecologically-based fire regimes
for an area. The approach is based upon the use of fire history records to determine the known age-class
distribution of a particular vegetation type in an area. This distribution is then compared to an ‘idealised’
age-class distribution, developed from a synthesis of the vital attributes information of the key fire response
species in the area together with determination of ecologically tolerable fire intervals (the upper and lower
limits) and a fire cycle. Age classes which are over or under-represented compared with the ideal are thus
highlighted for management (prescribed burning or fire exclusion, as appropriate). Through this process
recommended ecologically-based fire regimes can be developed for key vegetation types. This approach
can be used for any area of land, at any scale, for which it is possible or meaningful to determine fire
requirements and thereby set priorities for management.
The setting of strategic priorities for ecological burning across public land in Victoria was soon recognised
as a key issue to address in furthering this approach. The project reported here aims to identify and
prioritise areas across the state where fire needs to be either introduced or excluded in order to achieve
ecological sustainability or desired ecological outcomes. It achieves this through the use of the above
Interim Guidelines approach to compare ‘idealised’ age class distributions with known age class
distributions (derived from fire history data) for major vegetation types throughout Victoria and thus
determine those areas which are most at variance and in need of active management.
The study analyses the pattern of fire disturbance across the landscape at two scales:
• the Statewide scale (i.e. Victoria-wide) using Ecological Vegetation Class (EVC) or groups of like EVCs
(EVCGroup) data which was subdivided according to public land tenure as either Protected Area
Estate, State forest or Other Public Land;
• the bioregional scale using Victorian Bioregions described in the Victorian Biodiversity Strategy (NRE
1997a and b).
1
Hereafter refered to as NRE
VI
The study also compiles critical information on vital attributes of plant species across EVCs, lists of key fire
response species, spatial information on time-since-fire from EVC and fire history data and develops
spreadsheets for calculating actual and “ideal” age class distribution graphs. In order to examine priorities
the study set a benchmark for the degree of acceptable variance from the idealised age class distribution
for vegetation types across EVCs and bioregions as: at least half of the existing age classes are within
50% of the ‘ideal’ for that EVC/EVCGroup in the area or bioregion of interest. This benchmark is a
relatively coarse one, which is designed to identify those vegetation types that are most divergent from their
‘ideal’ state.
Results from this analysis indicate that at a Statewide scale, there is one EVCGroup which satisfies the
benchmark. Analysis by land tenure shows that there is also only one EVCGroup which satisfies the
benchmark across Protected Areas, and none across State forest and other public land. There are
however, a number of EVCGroups which have 40% of their age classes within 50% of their ‘ideal’: viz. Dry
Foothill Forests, Dry Heathy Woodlands and Forest, Herb-rich Woodlands, and Lowland Forests for State
forest; Heathlands and Wet/Damp Heathy Woodland and Forest for Protected Areas (i.e. these vegetation
types are least divergent from their ‘ideal’ state). These same EVCGroups also generally have the highest
and most consistent proportions of their age classes within 50% of the ideal across all categories of land
tenure.
At a bioregional scale, no bioregion satisfied the benchmark for all vegetation types and only four
bioregions (East Gippsland Lowlands, Glenelg Plain and Greater Grampians and Northern Inland Slopes)
out of the total of 22 analysed contain individual EVCGroups which satisfy the benchmark. The EVCGroups
meeting this benchmark are Heathlands in the Glenelg Plain and Grampians, Riparian Scrubs, Forests and
Rainforests in the East Gippsland Lowlands, Dry Heathy Woodlands and Forest in the Northern Inland
Slopes, and Wetlands in the Grampians.
From this analysis, the following priorities have been developed for ecological burning at the EVCGroup
and bioregional levels across the State (Tables 1 and 2). These priorities are based on broad criteria and
need to be overlayed with rarity/significance and other disturbance histories (principally logging) to allow
priorities to be determined with more confidence.
Table 1 State Priorities for Addressing Fire Regime – All Public Land (EVCGroups in Cat 1)
Mallee
Moist Foothill Forests
Heathlands
Box Ironbark Forest & Woodland
Moist Montane Forests
Herb-rich Woodlands
Coastal Grassy Woodlands
Wet/Damp Heathy Woodland & Forest
Less Urgent
Dry Heathy Woodland & Forest
VII
Table 2 State Priorities for Addressing Fire Regime – By tenure (EVCGroups in Cat 1)
Inappropriate fire regimes (and in particular too-frequent fire) is commonly regarded as a significant threat
to biodiversity in Victoria and indeed, high frequency fire has recently been nominated as a threatening
process under the Flora and Flora Guarantee Act (1988). The results from this analysis indicate, however,
that over-burning is not occurring at either a Statewide or at any bioregional scale. These results suggest
that the threat which fire frequency poses to species composition and community conservation in Victoria is
in fact from under-exposure to fire; i.e. fire frequency is too low across the landscape.
Neither frequent fire nor the absence of fire are desirable; rather a diversity of fire regimes (of varying
intensities, scales, seasons and fire intervals) is needed to maintain the biodiversity of these communities.
The continued survival of these vegetation communities on a broad scale will rely on the active
management of fire across the landscape. While at a single location fire may occur in a vegetation type too
frequently, the overwhelming proportion of EVC Groups with age class distributions far from their 'ideal’
clearly indicates that there is a need to promote and target the active use of fire as a tool for ecological
management on public land in Victoria.
Research
Further research and monitoring needs have also been identified as part of this analysis. The implementation
of improved ecological management of fire will be greatly enhanced by attention to the following areas:
• collection of additional vital attribute data.
• incorporation of EVC significance/rating with the priorities determined here.
• creation of a more comprehensive ‘disturbance’ layer, that includes timber harvesting.
• development of comprehensive and character species lists for all EVCs.
• further consideration of the stochastic nature of wildfire spread on the theoretical age-class distribution
curves.
VIII
Analysis of Disturbance by Fire on Public Land in Victoria 1
INTRODUCTION
Management Context
It is now widely recognised that fire is an integral part of the Australian environment and has operated over
geological time scales to profoundly influence the richness, composition and distribution of Australian
ecosystems. A substantial proportion of Australia’s unique biota has evolved in this fire-prone environment
and is therefore adapted to and largely dependent on fire and the attendant variety of fire regimes for its
continued existence and development. Indeed, fire is one of the oldest and most accessible tools in land
management, but is also one of the most complex. It presents ongoing management challenges to humans
to protect life and property from the threat of wildfire yet at the same time maintain ecosystem function and
biodiversity.
This management complexity is reflected in two main ways. Firstly, if fire is to be controlled on the one hand
and used to meet natural resource management objectives on the other, it needs to be approached and
understood within both an asset protection and an ecological framework. These frameworks are based on
different objectives, but are not mutually exclusive since all fires have an ecological dimension, while many
“ecological burns” may also contribute to asset protection. Both frameworks also rely on prescribed burning,
where fire is applied under specified environmental conditions to a predetermined area and at the time,
intensity of heat and rate of spread required to attain planned resource management objectives.
The second element of complexity is reflected in the serious dichotomy in our knowledge base: we have
quite reasonable levels of understanding of the principles of fire physics, wildfire suppression and
prescribed burning technology on the one hand, but relatively poor comprehension of the impacts of fire and
its role in ecosystem management on the other. In particular, until recently, we had no scientific basis on
which to set clear and relatively simple ecological objectives and to develop ecologically sound fire regimes
which could be monitored for their achievements of the desired outcomes. This conundrum, combined with
most people’s perceptions of fire as a threat, led to a marked imbalance in the use of fire as a management
tool, whereby it was used primarily to control fuel levels and protect life and property from wildfire. Little, if
any burning was therefore carried out specifically to achieve ecological benefits.
New Approaches
These serious shortcomings in the development, planning and application of fire for ecological purposes
have been largely overcome through the development of a new scientific framework to underpin this work.
This new approach combines the use of (a) the life history characteristics (or vital attributes, Noble and
Slatyer, 1980) of the key fire response species of plants to determine the maximum and minimum time
between fires (the fire interval or interfire period) needed to maintain all species in one or more vegetation
community(s), and (b) the analysis of the age-class and spatial distribution of these communities (Van
Wagner, 1978) in the landscape to identify areas which need to either be protected from fire or exposed to
fire. The underlying premise of this approach is that all species within a community should be maintained in
viable populations and this can only be achieved through the prescribed use of fire (including fire exclusion)
for ecological purposes. A more detailed discussion of the rationale behind this approach can be found in
Tolhurst and Friend (2001).
Key fire response species are those whose vital attributes indicate that they are most likely to be affected
(eliminated) by very frequent and very infrequent fires and will determine the maximum and minimum
tolerable fire intervals (TFI) and the fire cycle for a community. The shortest tolerable fire interval is set by
the species which takes the longest time to reach maturity. The longest tolerable fire interval is set by the
species with the shortest time to local extinction. The key fire response species form the basis for
developing management strategies and for on-going monitoring.
The fire cycle is the period of time over which an area equivalent to the total area of a community is burnt
and is calculated as the point approximately mid-way between the maximum and minimum tolerable fire
interval. It is not the period of time each segment of the community will be burnt. This concept allows some
communities (or segments of communities) to remain unburnt for very long periods of time, while others
may be burnt several times in the same period, but the community composition overall will be maintained
and structural diversity will be maximised.
Thus armed with the vital attributes of the key fire response plant species present in a plant community and
the determination of the tolerable fire intervals, the approach can then be used to predict the succession of
floristic changes in that community when subject to recurrent disturbance (Noble and Slatyer 1980, 1981)
and determine the historical disturbance regimes that would have occurred at a site to allow the range of
species currently present to persist. The vital attributes method thus has both descriptive and quantitative
(temporal) elements about the plants themselves which provide information about the community and site.
The classification of vital attributes is given in Appendix A.
The pilot study completed for Mallee-Heaths in western Victoria (Wouters 2000, 2001) gives an example
2
of the approach. Banksia ornata (Desert Banksia) is a dominant and keystone shrub in the semi-arid
heathlands of western Victoria. B. ornata only regenerates on recently disturbed sites, with fire (and
possibly frost) being the most widespread disturbance in its environment. B. ornata regenerates only by
seed held in the serotinous cones on the shrub and those cones only open following death of the branch
or plant and with heating from fire (Gill and McMahon 1986). It takes about 4-5 years for a shrub to first
flower and produce seed and 8 years has been recommended as a minimum fire free period for plants to
produced significant seed quantities (Gill and McMahon 1986). Shrubs have a maximum longevity of
about 50 to 60 years and seed does not persist in the soil (Cheal et al 1979; Specht 1981; Gill and
McMahon 1986). Hence for these heathlands to exist, fires should not be any more frequent than every
8 years and should be no less frequent than every 60 years. In this simple example, we have deduced
that for B. ornata to be present in this heathland, fire intervals must have been between 8 and 60 years
in the past and so we have a guide as to how frequent fires need to be in the future.
The approach considers the landscape as being divided into a large number of small patches. The
probability of a patch burning in any one year may be uniform or may be dependent on the time since the
last fire, but if fires are allowed to occur randomly across the landscape, then all of the mathematical
models indicate that the resultant age-class distribution over a long period of time will approximately follow
a negative exponential distribution (Johnson and Van Wagner 1985). This distribution occurs irrespective of
variance in flammability (or hazard of ignition) with time and characteristically trends from relatively high
proportions of young age-classes to relatively small areas of very old age-classes over time. Given the
2
A ‘keystone’ species is a species which has impacts on other species or upon which other species are dependent (often to a
degree far beyond what might have been expected considering their biomass or abundance) (Simberloff 1997).
Analysis of Disturbance by Fire on Public Land in Victoria 3
urgent need to progress the use of fire for ecological management in Victoria, the negative exponential age-
class model has been adopted as a model for vegetation community management in Victoria, until further
research offers a more sound and practical alternative model (Fire Ecology Working Group 1999).
The combined approach advocated in the ‘Interim Guidelines’, works by using fire history records to
determine the known age-class distribution of a particular vegetation type in an area, generally using
Geographical Information Systems (GIS). This distribution is then compared to an ‘idealised’ age class
distribution, developed from a determination of tolerable fire intervals and a fire cycle using the vital
attributes information of the key fire response species in the communities occurring in the area of concern.
Through this process recommended ecologically-based fire regimes can be developed for key vegetation
types. Age classes which are over-represented compared with the ideal are thus highlighted and may be
targeted for prescribed burning and considered when developing fire suppression strategies. Similarly, age
classes which are under-represented compared with the ideal are highlighted and may be considered for
exclusion from prescribed burning and consideration given to protection when developing fire suppression
strategies. This approach can be used for any area of land, at any scale, for which it is possible or
meaningful to determine fire requirements.
3
referred to in this Report as the ‘Interim Guidelines’
4 Analysis of Disturbance by Fire on Public Land in Victoria
METHODS
Scale
This study analyses the pattern of fire disturbance across the landscape at two scales: 1) the Statewide
scale (i.e. Victoria-wide) and 2) the Bioregional scale.
Statewide
At the Statewide scale, as well as analysis for the whole public land complex for the State, analysis
separated the vegetation – fire age distributions into land tenure to provide more specific information for
priority setting to the public land managers in Victoria (principally NRE Forest Management and Parks
4
Victoria). Land tenures were derived from the PLMMT100 layer and have been grouped into three classes:
• Protected Area Estate (National and State Parks, Wilderness areas, Other Conservation Reserves and
Reference Areas). These areas are in general managed by Parks Victoria (although some Reference
Areas in State forest are managed by NRE Forest Management).
• State forest (Reserved Forest, Uncommitted Crown Land) which are generally managed by NRE Forest
Management.
• Other Public Land (Regional Parks, Coastal Reserves, Historic Areas, Education Areas and Water
Production areas). These areas generally do not have biodiversity conservation as their primary
management objective and some are managed by agencies other than NRE Forest Management or
Parks Victoria.
Lands in the ‘Other Public Land’ category have been included in this analysis because they do contribute
significantly to biodiversity conservation, despite their lack of reservation/management objectives for this
purpose.
Bioregions
Patterns of fire disturbance were also investigated for each of the bioregions across Victoria.
Biogeographical regions (or bioregions) capture the patterns of ecological characteristics in the landscape,
providing a natural framework for recognising and managing biodiversity values. The bioregions used in this
analysis are the Victorian Bioregions described in the Victorian Biodiversity Strategy (NRE 1997a and b).
The Victorian Bioregions are based on the Commonwealth Interim Biogeographic Regionalisation for
Australia (IBRA; Thackway and Cresswell, 1995). The eleven IBRA Bioregions which occur in Victoria have
5
been further refined to delineate 21 bioregions better suited to working at a Victorian State scale.
For each Victorian Bioregion (defined spatially in the VBIOREG250 layer), the fire disturbance patterns
have been analysed for each of the same vegetation types as in the Statewide analysis. Land tenure data
have been included in the spreadsheet built to conduct the bioregional analysis, but are not presented in
this report due to their complexity.
4
All geospatial data used in this report were sourced from the NRE Corporate Geographic Data Library (CGDL).
5
In this study 22 Bioregions are used; the Strezlecki Ranges in south Gippsland are separated from the Highlands Southern
Fall Bioregion because their disturbance history appeared to be different to that of the main Victorian Highlands.
Analysis of Disturbance by Fire on Public Land in Victoria 5
Much of this information has been collected using the methods outlined in NRE (1997c). The vital attribute
data from all of these sources have been combined into a draft ‘Victorian Vital Attributes Dataset’ in MS
Excel and Access. This dataset currently holds data for some 1645 species of the approximately 50006
Victorian flora species. Many species have only rudimentary data (e.g. data classified using the Gill
classification) and there is a particular paucity in maturity and extinction times.
Vegetation
The standard vegetation mapping classification now being used in Victoria for land and biodiversity
management is the Ecological Vegetation Class (EVC) and this formed the basis for analysis in this study.
An ecological vegetation class consists of one or a number of floristic communities that appear to be
associated with a recognisable environmental niche and which can be characterised by a number of their
adaptive responses to ecological processes that operate at the landscape scale. Each ecological vegetation
class is described through a combination of its floristic, life-form and reproductive strategy profiles and
through an inferred fidelity to particular environmental attributes (Moorrees et al 1999). As of September
2001, all of the Public Land in Victoria has been mapped for EVCs at either 1:100 000 or 1:25 000 scale,
with the exception of the Little Desert and parts of the northern Wimmera in western Victoria
(EVC_CMP100, see Map 1). To enable inclusion of the Little Desert, a structural vegetation classification
was used to separately analyse this area (i.e. the Little Desert is treated as a separate ‘Bioregion’).
At the time of this study, complete species lists for each EVC across the State were still being finalised (D.
Parkes, pers. comm., NRE Parks, Flora and Fauna Division). For this study, species lists for each EVC
have been derived from NRE’s Flora Information System quadrat records and EVC GIS mapping. Only
quadrat data collected by the NRE Flora Survey Group (staff and contractors) were used for this analysis
since these records generally comprise the original floristic data used to derive the EVC mapping (i.e.
individual species records, Herbarium records and non-Flora Survey Group quadrats were excluded).
Quadrats falling spatially within an EVC polygon were deemed to belong to that EVC (this assumption may
be incorrect for some quadrats established before locations were recorded using GPS).
Species were combined with the vital attribute data using MS Access to produce a table of species and vital
attribute data for each EVC. Key Fire Response Species were then derived for each EVC using the
following rules (NRE 1997c):
• The species most likely to be adversely affected by two fires in quick succession are those with methods
of persistence G and C (viz. regeneration is by seed and all seed in the pool is used after a single fire).
• The species most likely to be lost if fire is excluded for an extended period of time are those species with
conditions for establishment I and R (viz. need a disturbed site with no competition or require some pre-
condition to be met before establishment; only one age class is present and may die out without periodic
disturbance such as fire).
6
Does not include taxa below species level.
6
Map 1 Extent of EVC mapping on Public Land in Victoria (as at September 2001)
Analysis of Disturbance by Fire on Public Land in Victoria
Analysis of Disturbance by Fire on Public Land in Victoria 7
Maximum and minimum tolerable fire intervals and fire cycles were determined for each EVC where there
were sufficient key fire response species identified. In cases where there were insufficient maturity period
records, an estimate of twice the juvenile period was used to approximate this figure. The output from this
analysis was used to determine minimum and maximum tolerable fire intervals and fire cycles for 157 EVCs
for the State. Insufficient key fire response species or vital attribute data were available to determine
tolerable fire intervals and fire cycles for another 123 EVCs. EVC Mosaics and Complexes (groups of EVCs
which were unable to be separated in the aerial photography used in mapping) were treated as part of their
primary EVC.
Given that only 56% of EVCs were able to have fire cycles determined, a second analysis was conducted
using EVCGroups (i.e. groups of like EVCs). EVCs were grouped using both floristic and spatial similarities
into 19 EVCGroups (refer to Appendix B). Minimum and maximum tolerable fire intervals and fire cycles
were able to be determined for all 19 EVCGroups for the State (Table 3).
Disturbance
Ideally for this type of study, all forms of disturbance across the State should be included in the analysis to
determine the age class distribution for each vegetation type. Disturbances which impact on the vegetation
on public land in Victoria include fire, timber harvesting, severe frost, storm damage, grazing, salinity,
dieback (various causes) and the effects of encroaching urbanisation and increased public activity. Fire and
timber harvesting (in forested communities) are seen as two of the most significant forms of disturbance
currently impacting on the structure of the vegetation communities on public land in Victoria. Of these, fire is
the most widespread in its effect, with some 100 000ha being burnt annually by wildfire and up to an
additional 150 000ha by prescribed fire (Tolhurst 1999). Fire history records for public land in Victoria are
available for about the past 60 years (i.e. from 1939 onwards). All available mapped fire records have
recently been digitised as part of NRE’s Integrated Fire Information System (IFIS) project and processes
are now in place that will capture digital mapping for all fires and prescribed burning greater than 5ha on an
annual basis (A. Griffiths, NRE Fire Management pers. comm.). Logging history records in digital form (i.e.
able to be analysed using GIS) do not go back in time sufficiently to have been able to be incorporated into
this analysis. Hence only fire disturbance has been used in this study.
The spatial/time-since-fire distribution of vegetation was analysed by using GIS (ArcInfo) to intersect
vegetation (EVC_CMP100) and fire history (LASTBURNT100) data. Land tenure (PLMMT100) and
Victorian Bioregion (VBIOREG250) attributes were also attached to the dataset. Only data for Victorian
public land (i.e. land managed by NRE and Parks Victoria) were used for this analysis. Two tables of areas
for vegetation/time-since-fire (for both EVCs and EVCGroups) were produced and these tables were
imported into MS Excel to produce pivot tables. Given the large number of possible combinations (157
EVCs x 22 bioregions x 3 land tenure categories), two spreadsheets which calculate the actual and ‘ideal’
age-class distributions for any combination of EVC/EVCGroups, bioregion/State and land tenure selected
were built using the pivot table functions in MS Excel 2000. Thus graphs of the summarised data for each
vegetation type (EVCs and EVCGroups), bioregion and land tenure can now be produced on request.
Benchmarks
Clearly any single age class within any one vegetation type can (and will) vary from its theoretical ‘ideal’
depending on the fire history of the site. Hence it is the overall state of the distribution of all age classes of a
vegetation type for a particular area of interest (in this case either Statewide or bioregion) that needs to be
tested. Furthermore, given that the goal of long term management under the ‘Interim Guidelines’ approach
is to return actual age class distributions to a state (distribution) closer to their ‘ideal’ distribution and not to
exactly match it, a reasonable band of acceptability was sought.
8 Analysis of Disturbance by Fire on Public Land in Victoria
Accordingly, the benchmark set for the degree of acceptable variance from the idealised age class
distribution (and thus for assessing priorities) for vegetation types was at least half of the existing age
classes are within 50% of the ‘ideal’ for that EVC/EVCGroup in the area of interest (this is illustrated in
Figure 1). This benchmark was considered to allow for sufficient natural variation (from both risk
minimisation and achievability points of view), while still shifting actual age class distributions closer towards
the ‘ideal’. Again, because of the exploratory nature of this analysis, the benchmark for assessing
bioregions was set similarly as a mean of at least half of the existing age classes is within 50% of the
‘ideal’ for each EVCGroup occurring in that bioregion. This average figure is used to give an indication
of the degree of conformity to the ‘ideal’ for the bioregion as a whole (i.e. for all vegetation types in the
bioregion).
Age classes of six year widths were chosen to best fit and compare distributions of vegetation types with
short and longer fire cycles. Conveniently, six years is also twice the time period covered by NRE’s Fire
Operations Plans. While more complex ‘goodness of fit’ techniques were considered, the simple measure of
percent of actual values compared to ’ideal’ values for the age class distributions fitted to ten age classes
was used.
RESULTS
Fire Cycles
Appendix B and Table 3 set out the minimum tolerable fire intervals, maximum tolerable fire intervals and
fire cycles calculated for EVCs and EVCGroups using the available vital attribute data and the methods
discussed. The number of records underpinning these calculations are also shown to give some idea of the
reliability of these results.
Statewide Scale
The results from this analysis indicate that at a Statewide scale, there is only one EVCGroup which has at
least half of its age classes within 50% of its ‘ideal’ age class distributions and thereby satisfy the
benchmark. Analysis by land tenure shows that there is also only one EVCGroup which satisfies the
benchmark across Protected Areas, and none across State forest and 'other public land’. There are
however, a number of EVCGroups which have 40% of their age classes within 50% of their ‘ideal’: viz. Dry
Foothill Forests, Dry Heathy Woodlands and Forest, Herb-rich Woodlands, Lowland Forests for State
forests; Heathlands and Wet/Damp Heathy Woodland and Forest for Protected Areas (i.e. these vegetation
types are least divergent from their ‘ideal’ state). These same EVCGroups also generally have the highest
and most consistent proportions of their age classes within 50% of the ideal across all categories of land
tenure. These results are presented in Tables 4 and 5.
7
Maximum Tolerable Fire Intervals have been derived using vital attributes and known fire history; as fire history records do not
go back further than about 60 years, the Maximum Tolerable Fire Intervals and Fire Cycles of EVCGroups such as Montane
Forests and Rainforests are likely to have been under-estimated.
10
Table 4 Conformity with ‘Ideal’ Age Class Distribution for Bioregion by EVCGroup
EVCGROUP
BOX IRONBARK
FOREST &
INLAND SLOPES
WOODLAND
COASTAL
GRASSY
WOODLANDS
COASTAL
SCRUBS &
GRASSLANDS
DRY FOOTHILL
FORESTS
DRY HEATHY
WOODLAND &
FOREST
HEATHLANDS
HERB-RICH
WOODLANDS
LOWLAND
FORESTS
MALLEE
MOIST
FOOTHILL
FORESTS
BIOREGION/TENURE % Area (ha) % Area (ha) % Area (ha) % Area (ha) % Area (ha) % Area (ha) % Area (ha) % Area (ha) % Area (ha) % Area (ha)
Central Victoria Uplands 0% 2739 n/a n/a 10% 108103 30% 56640 0% 29 10% 2660 30% 1598 n/a 10% 39271
Dundas Tablelands 0% 1642 n/a 0 0% 0 10% 140 0% 9746 20% 365 0% 2607 n/a n/a n/a
East Gippsland Lowlands n/a 30% 4633 20% 4633 40% 45521 10% 382 30% 11368 0% 307 40% 285571 n/a 40% 67168
East Gippsland Uplands 10% 603 n/a n/a 30% 247725 0% 5412 30% 695 n/a 30% 46546 n/a 20% 281938
Gippsland Plain 20% 143 0% 15727 0% 15727 0% 655 40% 25484 10% 8347 10% 7965 20% 22381 n/a 10% 3230
Glenelg Plain 0% 154 n/a 8315 0% 8315 40% 2612 40% 74806 50% 16466 30% 21480 40% 6445 n/a 0% 10
Goldfields 10% 143316 n/a n/a 0% 18767 0% 34498 0% 2 0% 8940 n/a 0% 17614 n/a
Analysis of Disturbance by Fire on Public Land in Victoria
Greater Grampians 20% 7146 n/a n/a 20% 34007 40% 81475 70% 14462 30% 14614 30% 10674 n/a 0% 4868
Highlands Northern Fall 20% 3310 n/a n/a 40% 723061 30% 85421 n/a 0% 48 10% 615 n/a 10% 137771
Highlands Southern Fall 0% 1528 n/a n/a 30% 372552 30% 54675 20% 2629 0% 8 20% 45912 n/a 10% 446203
Lowan Mallee n/a n/a n/a n/a 20% 1438 0% 134450 n/a n/a 0% 857691 n/a
Murray Mallee 10% 51 n/a n/a n/a n/a 10% 117 n/a n/a 10% 515318 n/a
Northern Inland Slopes 10% 24240 n/a n/a 30% 38944 50% 17573 0% 16 10% 241 n/a n/a 0% 74
Otway Plain n/a n/a 3795 0% 3795 20% 1959 30% 18157 40% 1597 10% 100 0% 18381 n/a 20% 3373
Otway Ranges n/a n/a 1081 30% 1081 10% 5154 20% 406 0% 197 10% 291 20% 1986 n/a 30% 76106
Strezlecki Ranges n/a 0% 2 0% 2 0% 900 0% 3 10% 258 n/a 10% 2183 n/a 0% 22107
Victorian Alps n/a n/a n/a 30% 3601 10% 1744 n/a n/a n/a n/a 0% 12919
Victorian Riverina 0% 2349 n/a n/a 0% 8 0% 144 n/a 0% 437 n/a 0% 904 n/a
Victorian Volcanic Plain 10% 11 n/a 392 0% 392 40% 7373 30% 1972 10% 2564 20% 11183 30% 31152 n/a 0% 3
Warrnambool Plain n/a n/a 2867 10% 2867 10% 5272 0% 197 10% 1304 10% 614 20% 4113 n/a 20% 717
Wilsons Promontory 0% 3923 0% 1758 0% 1758 0% 224 10% 3273 10% 10019 0% 110 0% 3841 n/a 0% 12017
Wimmera 0% 1828 n/a n/a 0% 155 40% 42717 10% 1404 30% 2950 n/a 0% 187 n/a
% = percent of age classes within 50% of ‘ideal’ distribution
Table 4 Conformity with ‘Ideal’ Age Class Distribution for Bioregion by EVCGroup (continued)
EVCGROUP
MONTANE
MOIST FORESTS
MONTANE
WOODLANDS
PLAINS
GRASSLANDS
PLAINS GRASSY
WOODLANDS &
FORESTS
RIPARIAN
SCRUBS,
FORESTS &
RAINFORESTS
RIVERINE
GRASSY
WOODLANDS &
VALLEY
SUB-ALPINE
WOODLANDS &
SHRUBLANDS
WET/DAMP
HEATHY
WOODLAND &
FOREST
WETLANDS
Bioregion Mean
BIOREGION/TENURE % Area (ha) % Area (ha) % Area (ha) % Area (ha) % Area (ha) % Area (ha) % Area (ha) % Area (ha) % Area (ha) %
Central Victoria Uplands n/a 0% 17 0% 1 10% 1993 10% 5137 20% 8683 n/a 0% 11 0% 1 9%
Dundas Tablelands n/a n/a 0% 18 0% 16701 0% 921 0% 643 n/a 10% 1663 10% 421 4%
East Gippsland Lowlands n/a 0% 3 n/a 10% 11 60% 29996 30% 3289 n/a n/a 0% 618 22%
East Gippsland Uplands 10% 7812 10% 20478 n/a 0% 22940 10% 18076 20% 7573 20% 922 n/a 0% 0 14%
Gippsland Plain n/a n/a 0% 287 20% 15553 0% 4217 0% 630 n/a n/a 0% 10101 9%
Glenelg Plain n/a n/a 0% 87 20% 1806 30% 3163 10% 406 n/a 10% 1017 20% 2736 19%
Goldfields n/a n/a 0% 0 10% 18360 0% 200 20% 2097 n/a 0% 0 0% 216 3%
Greater Grampians n/a 20% 1896 0% 0 10% 1811 40% 5419 20% 6849 n/a 30% 2479 50% 1004 25%
Highlands Northern Fall 10% 64490 40% 139750 n/a 20% 3426 10% 27808 20% 1594 20% 3771 n/a n/a 18%
Highlands Southern Fall 10% 61358 10% 98538 n/a 10% 3787 10% 43028 0% 2215 20% 5536 n/a n/a 12%
Lowan Mallee n/a n/a 20% 2351 n/a n/a 0% 9193 n/a n/a 0% 6644 6%
Murray Mallee n/a n/a 0% 5494 0% 35128 n/a 0% 31064 n/a n/a 0% 6809 4%
Northern Inland Slopes n/a 0% 56 n/a 0% 2605 30% 371 10% 3543 n/a n/a 0% 78 12%
Otway Plain n/a n/a 0% 28 10% 292 10% 4163 10% 1049 n/a n/a 0% 718 12%
Otway Ranges n/a n/a n/a n/a 10% 9525 0% 178 n/a n/a 0% 51 12%
Strezlecki Ranges n/a n/a n/a n/a 0% 650 n/a n/a n/a 0% 1 2%
Victorian Alps 10% 58075 10% 113492 n/a 10% 13 0% 2656 n/a 0% 115276 n/a n/a 8%
Victorian Riverina n/a n/a 0% 45 0% 12053 0% 0 0% 47565 n/a n/a 0% 6062 0%
Victorian Volcanic Plain n/a n/a 10% 308 0% 2399 10% 1045 10% 498 n/a 10% 86 10% 584 13%
Warrnambool Plain n/a n/a n/a 0% 0 20% 509 0% 229 n/a 0% 16 0% 81 8%
Wilsons Promontory n/a 0% 115 n/a n/a 0% 3395 n/a n/a n/a 0% 251 2%
Wimmera n/a n/a 0% 0 10% 11363 0% 602 0% 184 n/a 20% 1296 0% 836 8%
% = percent of age classes within 50% of ‘ideal’ distribution
Analysis of Disturbance by Fire on Public Land in Victoria
11
12 Analysis of Disturbance by Fire on Public Land in Victoria
Table 5 Conformity with ‘Ideal’ Age Class Distribution for State by Land Tenure
LAND TENURE
EVCGROUP Other Protected State forest Total
Public Land Areas
BOX IRONBARK FOREST & INLAND % 0% 20% 10% 10%
SLOPES WOODLAND Area (ha) 14952 48773 132290 196015
COASTAL GRASSY WOODLANDS % 0% 30% 10% 30%
Area (ha) 163 4082 21 4265
COASTAL SCRUBS & GRASSLANDS % 0% 0% 0% 0%
Area (ha) 3440 40730 290 44460
DRY FOOTHILL FORESTS % 10% 30% 40% 40%
Area (ha) 65852 634304 1185383 1885539
DRY HEATHY WOODLAND & FOREST % 30% 50% 40% 50%
Area (ha) 2579 14472 18808 35860
HEATHLANDS % 40% 0% 20% 10%
Area (ha) 1727 158152 38433 198313
HERB-RICH WOODLANDS % 40% 40% 40% 30%
Area (ha) 7217 52247 14421 73886
LOWLAND FORESTS % 40% 10% 40% 40%
Area (ha) 22739 133496 324861 481095
MALLEE % 0% 0% 0% 0%
Area (ha) 16567 984301 230247 1231115
MOIST FOOTHILL FORESTS % 10% 10% 10% 10%
Area (ha) 24183 292772 797589 1114543
MONTANE MOIST FORESTS % 20% 10% 10% 10%
Area (ha) 2316 69971 119491 191778
MONTANE WOODLANDS % 20% 20% 20% 20%
Area (ha) 6092 163933 204295 374321
PLAINS GRASSLANDS % 0% 10% 0% 10%
Area (ha) 305 8301 88 8694
PLAINS GRASSY WOODLANDS & % 0% 10% 0% 0%
FORESTS Area (ha) 7832 77864 67057 152754
RIPARIAN SCRUBS, FORESTS & % 10% 20% 10% 10%
RAINFORESTS Area (ha) 5866 65650 88866 160382
RIVERINE GRASSY WOODLANDS & % 0% 10% 0% 0%
VALLEY GRASSY FOREST Area (ha) 10278 64257 54527 129062
SUB-ALPINE WOODLANDS & % 10% 0% 10% 0%
SHRUBLANDS Area (ha) 837 105716 19021 125574
WET/DAMP HEATHY WOODLAND & % 40% 40% 20% 40%
FOREST Area (ha) 879 6108 13795 20783
WETLANDS % 0% 0% 20% 0%
Area (ha) 6245 28499 3415 38159
% = percent of age classes within 50% of ‘ideal’ distribution
Analysis of Disturbance by Fire on Public Land in Victoria 13
Bioregions
At a Bioregional scale, only four (East Gippsland Lowlands, Glenelg Plain, Greater Grampians and Northern
Inland Slopes) out of the total of 22 analysed contain EVCGroups in which at least half of the existing age
classes are within 50% of their ‘ideal’ distributions. The EVCGroups meeting this benchmark are
Heathlands in the Glenelg Plain and Greater Grampians, Riparian Scrubs, Forests and Rainforests in the
East Gippsland Lowlands, Dry Heathy Woodlands and Forest in the Northern Inland Slopes and Wetlands
in the Grampians (see Table 4).
Little Desert
Results for the Little Desert area (part of the Lowan Mallee Bioregion) which was analysed separately are
set out in Table 6. No structural vegetation community in the Little Desert meets the established benchmark
for age class distributions.
Table 6 Conformity with ‘Ideal’ Age Class Distribution for Little Desert
DISCUSSION
Vital Attributes
The number of species with vital attribute data used to determine fire cycles is at the lower end of what
would be desirable. Many EVC/EVCGroups are based on less than 10 records (see Appendix B & Table 3).
Even those EVC/EVCGroups where greater than 20 records are used have produced low fire cycles (lower
than would have been expected, particularly for the wetter forest groups). This highlights the need for
increased vital attribute data collection, particularly with respect to maturity and extinction times. The current
8
dataset holds data for some 1645 species of the approximately 5000 Victorian flora species. Most of these
data are drawn from work in only a few areas: Wombat Forest, the Grampians, East Gippsland, the Alps
and the Mallee (particularly the Big Desert). Improving this dataset will increase the confidence in the
results of any future analyses. Additional vital attribute data need to be collected in all areas and vegetation
types. Highest priority areas (for Bioregions and vegetation types) for this data collection include:
Table 7 Priority Bioregions and EVCGroups for vital attribute data collection (in descending order)
Bioregion EVCGroup
Clearly the vital attribute component of this approach should be re-calculated for any vegetation type or
area of interest when additional vital attribute data relevant to that vegetation type/area become available.
Data Analysis
Confidence in any data analysis can only be as great as the confidence in the input data – the data of least
confidence/reliability defining the limitations of the resultant output. In this study spatial data from several
datasets in the NRE Corporate Geographic Data Library (CGDL) were used to create the fire disturbance
layer from which the area statements which form the basis of this analysis were derived.
The Land Tenure data in the Public Land Management data layer (PLMMT100) is not perfect. At the broad
scale of this analysis (i.e. Statewide and Bioregional scales), this is not believed to be significant (1 - 5%
error). If the fire disturbance layer created for this project is to be used at a local scale (as is
suggested/desired), a careful check of the land tenure data and mapping should be conducted to ensure
that these errors do not become significant in area and unduly influence the results.
8
Does not includes taxa below species level.
Analysis of Disturbance by Fire on Public Land in Victoria 15
The vegetation layer (EVC_CMP100) used in this analysis was completed in September 2001. This data
layer is a compilation of all previous EVC mapping projects with some minor corrections made for
overlapping areas. The underlying data are the product of a number of different projects over fifteen years.
The completion of this layer is a very significant step forward for both GIS analysis and conservation
planning in Victoria (this analysis would not have been possible without it).
The derivation of EVCs is complex (Moorees et al. 1999) and their applicability to conservation planning is
still subject to some debate. However from a spatial analysis point of view, the dataset is extremely useful
and powerful. Even (as was the case with this study) if the detail of mapping and number of classes
appears too great, grouping can occur based on this layer to produce a useable map and classification.
This grouping from below is spatially far easier to manage (and repeat) than attempting to split groups from
above. This derived layer has the additional advantages over using BVTs of being spatially more accurate
(mapped at 1:100 00 or better versus 1:250 000) and able to be directly related to EVCs. It would be a
relatively simple task to re-calculate the priorities from this analysis should any modification to the grouping
of EVCs into EVCGroups be suggested. Indeed, the development and formalisation of a EVC grouping
concept, based on a more considered and consistent set of criteria than used here, would have been of
great use to this project and would greatly benefit similar Statewide vegetation analyses in the future.
Disturbance types
This study has only examined fire as a disturbance factor. There is a need to compile a more complete
(digital) disturbance layer that includes other disturbance types (particularly timber harvesting). The
digitisation of logging history records need to be completed before this can occur.
The data analyses conducted for this study are not complex, but were difficult due to the exploratory nature
of these methods and the extremely large datasets involved (e.g. Statewide EVC spatial data alone is over
500Mb). Because of this it is suggested that the fire disturbance layer created should be acceptable to use
for local planning for at least three years and possibly up to five years (depending on significant changes in
land tenure and fire history). If this approach is to be continued, the fire disturbance layer will need to be
refreshed every three to five years, or when significant changes to the PLMMT100, EVC_CMP100 or
LASTBURNT100 data layers occur. The relevant areas of the layer need to be made readily available to
Forest and Park managers who have GIS access and are planning ecological burning using the ‘Interim
Guidelines’ approach. This will give field managers access to the necessary spatial data. The layer can be
queried for EVC/EVCGroup-time since fire areas with a basic GIS knowledge and without the need for high-
powered computers.
While overly-frequent fire may occur at a single location in any vegetation type, the continued survival of
these vegetation communities on a broad scale will rely on the active management of fire across the
landscape. Neither frequent fire nor the absence of fire are desirable; rather a diversity of fire regimes (of
varying intensities, scales, seasons and fire intervals) is needed to maintain the biodiversity of these
communities. The overwhelming proportion of EVCGroups with age class distributions far from their 'ideal’
clearly indicates that there is a need to promote and target the active use of fire as a tool for ecological
management on public land in Victoria.
Setting Priorities
This overwhelming imbalance of actual versus 'ideal’ age class distributions cannot be addressed in the
short term, even with increased resource allocation. Clearly priorities are needed to assist NRE and PV to
direct resources to have best effect. Priorities based on threat and value are among the key tools
recommended for use in conservation planning in Victoria (NRE 1997a and 1997b, and PV 1998).
The following interpretations have been used to assign vegetation types to the above categories (with this
ecological triage approach in mind):
• EVCGroups with less than 20% of their age classes within acceptable (benchmark) limits and of
relatively small area across the State are not likely to be able to brought within acceptable limits without
a very large input of resources and a significant amount of burning effort (given the small and scattered
nature of the areas to be burnt). In addition, there would be insufficient windows of opportunity (i.e.
appropriate weather and adequate personnel availability) for the additional prescribed burning of the
areas required to be achieved. Hence such combinations would be likely to fall into the third category
above.
• EVCGroups with greater than 20% of their age classes within acceptable (benchmark) limits and of
relatively large area across the State are likely to be able to remain within acceptable limits without a
significant input of resources. These areas still need to be monitored for future departures from their
‘ideal’ state. Hence such combinations would be likely to fall into the second category above.
Analysis of Disturbance by Fire on Public Land in Victoria 17
• EVCGroups with less than 20% of their age classes within acceptable (benchmark) limits and of
relatively large areas across the State are likely to be able to brought within acceptable limits. This will
require a larger input of resources and a significantly higher amount of burning than the previous
category. Such combinations would be likely to fall into the first category above.
• EVCGroups with greater than 20% of their age classes within acceptable (benchmark) limits and of
relatively small area across the State are likely to be able to brought within acceptable limits, but will not
need a very large input of resources or a significant amount of burning. Hence such combinations would
be likely to fall into the first category above.
• Those vegetation types with longer fire cycles have a less urgent need because of the longer time frame
available for action to address any imbalance. While this proposition may appear obvious, it means that
EVCGroups with fire cycles of 30 years or greater would be likely to fall into the second class above (or
at least have less urgency). Table 8 lists the EVCGroups with high and low urgency.
Priorities
The following Tables (9–11) set out the EVCGroups which have the greatest departure from their 'ideal' age
class distributions (less than or equal to 20% of age classes are within 50% of their 'ideal' age class
distributions), and therefore should be the focus for development and application of more appropriate
ecologically based fire regimes (see also maps 2–5 located at the back of this report).
Measures of irreplacability and significance need to be combined with departure from the ‘ideal’ to develop
a better measure of priority in relation to ecological burning. The priorities presented in this report have not
included these aspects. An initial attempt to include these factors has been made during this study, using
9
methods similar to that used by the Victorian Bioregional Network in its priority/risk assessments for
threatened species. The development of agreed weightings and methods to progress this approach are
strongly recommended. NRE Parks, Flora and Fauna are currently completing a significance/depletion
analysis and rating for EVCs along these lines. The incorporation of this system with the priorities
developed here should be the next step to refine the priorities presented in this report.
9
The Victorian Bioregional Network has developed a ‘priority/risk’ concept for threatened species across each Bioregion. The
approach assesses each species based on its significance (i.e. rarity) and risk from threats.
18 Analysis of Disturbance by Fire on Public Land in Victoria
Table 9 State Priority for Addressing Fire Regime – All Public Land
Further Research
Further research and monitoring needs to be directed to the following areas:
• collecting additional vital attribute data, particularly focussing on maturity and extinction ages and with
an emphasis on those Bioregions/EVCGroups listed in Table 7.
• incorporation of the EVC significance/rating with the priorities developed so far to develop a Statewide
strategy (i.e. formal priorities and targets) for ecological burning.
• creation of a more comprehensive ‘disturbance’ layer that includes timber harvesting.
• development of comprehensive and character species lists for all EVCs.
• further consideration of the stochastic nature of wildfire spread on the theoretical age-class distribution
curves.
20 Analysis of Disturbance by Fire on Public Land in Victoria
CONCLUSIONS
This analysis has demonstrated that there is sufficient data and knowledge to perform the type of analysis
required by the ‘Interim Guidelines’ approach. While there are assumptions and gaps in the datasets used,
information about the state of the different vegetation types analysed in comparison to an ‘ideal’ state can
be obtained and this information used to make more informed decisions about the need for active
management of fire (i.e. planned fire suppression, prescribed burning and protection from fire) within the
broad biodiversity objective that all species within each community should be maintained in viable
populations.
Even using extremely wide benchmarks, there is an obvious and urgent need for prescribed burning outside
of the areas currently burnt for fuel reduction burning to address the large imbalance in age-class
distribution of most vegetation types analysed.
The clear finding from this study is that across the majority of public land area in Victoria, the main fire-
related threat to biodiversity conservation is from the absence of fire rather than too frequent fire. This is in
stark contrast to common perceptions as illustrated by Morrison et al (1996), DEST (1996) and the recent
nomination of 'high frequency fire’ (Item 565) as a threatening process under the Victorian Flora and Flora
Guarantee Act (1988). A significant shift in the use of fire as an ecological management tool is needed in
our public land management. The current often ad-hoc and sporadic ecological burning programs
implemented by the Department of Natural Resources and Environment and Parks Victoria need to be
significantly upgraded to address the large imbalance in age distribution of most vegetation types across
the State.
Analysis of Disturbance by Fire on Public Land in Victoria 21
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The Fire Ecology Working Group of the Department of Natural Resources & Environment and Parks
Victoria commissioned this project. The research and analysis for this report was carried out by Mike
Wouters, while on secondment to the Forest Science Centre (Natural Resources & Environment / University
of Melbourne). Gordon Friend, Kevin Tolhurst, and Sally Troy played a major role in the project's design,
and Gordon Friend provided significant assistance in the preparation of the final report. The preliminary
merging of Statewide spatial data for this analysis was performed by NRE’s Land Information Group
(Melbourne). All geospatial data used in this study was sourced from the NRE Corporate Geographic Data
Library (CGDL); Flora quadrat data used in this study were sourced from the NRE Flora Information System
(FIS) (September 2001 version).
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24 Appendices
APPENDICES
Seedling establishment
D seed: dispersed long distances
S seed: stored, maintains viability for long period, partial germination per disturbance
G seed: stored, maintains viability for long period, single germination per disturbance
C seed: short-lived, exhausted after single germination
Vegetative mechanisms
V sprouters: all ages survive, all become juvenile
U sprouters: mature remain mature, juveniles remain juvenile
W sprouters: mature remain mature, juveniles die
Dual mechanisms
∆ (delta) dispersed seed + mature remain mature + juvenile may or may not resprout (D+ U or W)
Σ (sigma) seed store + mature remain mature + juvenile may or may not resprout (S+U or W)
Γ (gamma) seed store with one germination + mature remain mature + juveniles die (G+W)