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Electronic Commerce Research and Applications 6 (2007) 433–442


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Predicting consumer intentions to shop online: An empirical test


of competing theories
Hsiu-Fen Lin
Department of Shipping and Transportation Management, National Taiwan Ocean University, No. 2, Beining Road, Keelung 202-24, Taiwan, ROC

Received 5 July 2005; received in revised form 2 February 2007; accepted 8 February 2007
Available online 14 February 2007

Abstract

The proliferation of commercial Web sites providing consumers with a new medium to purchase products and services has increased
the importance of understanding the determinants of consumer intentions to shop online. This study compared the technology accep-
tance model and two variations of the theory of planned behavior to examine which model best helps to predict consumer intentions
to shop online. Data were gathered from 297 Taiwanese customers of online bookstores, and structural equation modeling was used
to compare the three models in terms of overall model fit, explanatory power and path significance. Decomposing the belief structures
in the theory of planned behavior moderately increased explanatory power for behavioral intention. The results also indicate that the
decomposed theory of planned behavior provides an improved method of predicting consumer intentions to shop online. Finally, the
implications of this study are discussed.
Ó 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Keywords: Consumer intentions; Online shopping; Technology acceptance model; Theory of planned behavior; Decomposed theory of planned behavior

1. Introduction issues can be identified, online retailers can consider them


during Web site implementation.
Business-to-consumer electronic commerce (B2C e-com- Recent research has provided more insight into user
merce) provides an effective method for online retailers and acceptance of Internet services [4]. For example, inten-
their consumers to perform online transactions through tion-based models, including the technology acceptance
commercial Web sites [1]. Although consumers have real- model (TAM) [5,6], the theory of planned behavior (TPB)
ized the benefits of online shopping, such as saving time [7,8], and the decomposed TPB model [9], have used to
and energy, convenience, competitive pricing, broader understand the determinants of consumer intentions to
selection, and greater access to information [2], consumers use Internet services [10–15]. Three intention-based models
are sometimes unwilling to shop online because the limited are compared in two respects. First, the TAM is based on
Web interface hampers their judgment of retailer honesty the Fishbein and Ajzen’s [16] theory of reasoned action
compared to face-to-face interaction [3]. Moreover, in (TRA), which indicates that social behaviors are motivated
order to develop an effective Web site to facilitate online by individual attitudes, and are specifically designed to pre-
transactions and services, it is important to understand dict information system (IS) use [5,6]. TPB extended the
consumer decisions regarding the use of online shopping. TRA to explain behavioral conditions not entirely under
The issues that influence this decision are likely to vary volitional control [7,8]. The decomposed TPB model decon-
with the Web sites, the individual, and the context. If these structs belief structure of TPB into several factors [9]. Sec-
ond, the antecedents of user acceptance, perceived
usefulness and perceived ease of use are presented by funda-
E-mail address: hflin@mail.ntou.edu.tw mental salient beliefs comprising the TAM [5]. TPB stresses

1567-4223/$ - see front matter Ó 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.elerap.2007.02.002
434 H.-F. Lin / Electronic Commerce Research and Applications 6 (2007) 433–442

the influence of attitude, subjective norms, and perceived TRA [16], which specifies two beliefs, perceived usefulness
behavioral control beliefs on behavioral intention and (PU) and perceived ease of use (PEU), as determinants of
actual usage [7,8]. The decomposed TPB model focuses on attitude towards behavioral intentions and IT usage [6]. In
identifying various belief factors that influence three deter- the TAM, behavioral intention (BI) to use leads to actual
minants of intention (such as attitude, subjective norms, IT usage (AU). Behavioral intention is determined jointly
and perceived behavioral control). Taylor and Todd [9] con- by attitude (A) and perceived usefulness, where the latter
tended that decomposition of beliefs sets more completely also influences attitude directly. Meanwhile, perceived ease
identify understanding and managerially relevant factors. of use directly affects both attitude and perceived usefulness.
The theory of comparison approach provides a helpful Perceived usefulness is defined as the extent to which a
method of predicting information technology (IT) usage person believes that using a particular system would
behavior and intention, while the individual theoretical enhance his or her job performance [5]. Consumers prefer
models have their own distinct advantages. For example, to evaluate their online shopping performance in terms of
Chau and Hu [17] found that TAM to be superior to TPB the associated benefits and costs, including maximizing
in its ability to examine physician acceptance of telemedicine convenience and minimizing transaction time [24]. Thus,
technology. Analysis of buyer behavioral intentions in the in the context of online shopping, this study measured
context of electronic procurement provides another exam- the revised perceived usefulness in terms of three key items:
ple. Moreover, Gentry and Calantone [18] recommended facilitating comparison-shopping, providing access to use-
TAM as superior to the TRA and TPB models in its ability ful information, and reducing shopping time. Perceived
to predict buyer behavioral intentions. Another example ease of use represents the degree to which a Web site is per-
has demonstrated that the three models (TAM, TPB, and ceived to be easy to understand, learn or operate. As a Web
decomposed TPB model) are roughly equivalent in terms site has a well-designed user interface, consumers are likely
of their ability to explain and predict user acceptance of to believe that online shopping is free of effort.
new technology [19,20]. Furthermore, online shopping is
similar to general Internet-based IS that have a significant 2.2. Theory of planned behavior
impact on individual decision-making behaviors and Inter-
net marketing strategies [21,22]. Hence, this study suggests The TPB [7,8] extends the TRA [16], to account for con-
that simultaneously testing the three competing models ditions where individuals do not have complete control
(TAM, TPB, and decomposed TPB model) can help under- over their behavior. The TPB postulates that actual usage
stand consumer intentions to shop online. However, very (AU) is determined by behavioral intention (BI) and per-
limited empirical research has been performed to examine ceived behavioral control (PBC). Behavioral intention is
and compare the validity and explanatory utility of prevalent determined by three factors: attitude (A), subjective norms
intention-based theories in the context of online shopping. (SN) and perceived behavioral control (PBC). Each factor
The main purpose of this study is to examine and com- is in turn generated by a number of beliefs and evaluations.
pare which intention-based model is best for predicting con- In the context of online shopping, attitude refers to gen-
sumer intentions to shop online. Specially, this study eral consumer feelings of favorableness or unfavorableness
examines two variations of the TPB, namely pure TPB towards the use of online shopping. Moreover, subjective
and decomposed TPB, and compares them to the TAM. norms refer to consumer perceptions regarding the use of
The decomposed TPB model draws on constructs from online shopping by the opinions of the referent group (such
the literature on innovation characteristics [23], and further as friends or colleagues). Perceived behavioral control
explores the dimensions of subjective norms (such as inter- describes consumer perceptions of the availability of
personal and external influence) and perceived behavioral knowledge, resources, and opportunities necessary for
control by decomposing them into specific dimensions. Data using online shopping.
were gathered from 297 Taiwanese customers of online
bookstores, and structural equation modeling (SEM) was 2.3. Decomposed theory of planned behavior
used to compare the three models (TAM, TPB, and decom-
posed TPB model) in terms of overall model fit, explanatory To understand the relationship between belief structures
power and path significance. Moreover, the three models are and antecedents of intention, several studies have examined
compared in terms of the extent to which each can predict approaches to decomposing attitudinal beliefs [9,17,23,
consumer intentions to shop online. The theoretical and 25,26]. Moreover, Shimp and Kavas [27] suggested that
managerial relevance of the models is then discussed. the cognitive components of belief would not be organized
into a single conceptual or cognitive unit. According to
2. Theoretical models Taylor and Todd [9], in the decomposed TPB model, atti-
tudinal, normative and control beliefs are decomposed into
2.1. Technology acceptance model multidimensional belief constructs. The decomposed TPB
model specified that, based on the diffusion of innovation
The TAM was conceived to explain and predict individ- theory [23], the attitudinal belief has three innovation
ual acceptance of IT [5,6]. TAM is an adaptation of the characteristics that influence behavioral intentions are rela-
H.-F. Lin / Electronic Commerce Research and Applications 6 (2007) 433–442 435

tive advantage, complexity and compatibility. Online including three important resources: Internet equipment,
shopping is a new form of home shopping that can be con- time, and money.
sidered a service innovation [2]. This study thus hypothe-
sizes that the decomposed TPB model provides a more
3. Research methodology
satisfactory explanation of behavioral intentions to shop
online.
3.1. Subjects and procedure
Relative advantage refers to the degree to which an
innovation providers benefits which supersede those of its
A total of 305 questionnaires were distributed to senior
precursor and may incorporate factors such as economic
year undergraduate students taking the course on Elec-
benefits, image enhancement, convenience and satisfaction
tronic Commerce at a large university located in the north
[21]. The relative advantage is often considered to be the
Taiwan. The student subjects were selected in this study for
‘‘perceived usefulness’’ in TAM [5]. The complexity con-
three reasons. First, according to the 2004 Taiwan Internet
struct is extremely similar (although in an opposite direc-
users’ survey report (http://survey.yam.com/survey/2004/
tion) to ‘‘perceived ease of use’’ concept in TAM [5].
index.htm), about 40% of Internet users in Taiwan are col-
Compatibility is the degree to which the innovation fits
lege students. Moreover, college students are greatest pro-
with the potential adopter’s existing values, previous expe-
portion of Internet users. Second, online consumers
riences and current needs [23]. Since Verhoef and Langerak
generally are younger and better educated than conven-
[2] indicated that consumers who consider online shopping
tional consumers, meaning that the student subjects closely
to be compatible with their value, needs and lifestyle,
resemble the online consumer population [32]. Finally, the
express high willingness to shop online. Accordingly, in
use of students as subjects in this study can decrease the
the context of online shopping, this study proposes decom-
effect of variance in web-based literacy.
posing attitude into three components: perceived useful-
The study was conducted in the following stages. First,
ness, perceived ease of use, and compatibility.
the subjects were instructed to navigate online bookstores
Previous studies generally took personal influence
(such as www.amazon.com, www.books.com.tw, and
(normative influence) and external environmental influ-
www.silkbook.com.tw) and search for books related to
ence (informational influence) as determinants of subjec-
Electronic Commerce course they were taking. Next, the
tive norms [9,28]. For example, Bhattacherjee [28]
subjects were asked to select a textbook or reference book
viewed subjective norms as including two influences:
related for the course that they would like to buy from an
interpersonal influence and external influence. Interper-
online bookstore, and fulfillment time cannot be over 30
sonal influence indicates word-of-mouth influence by
days. The subjects were given two tasks representing the
friends, colleagues, and superiors, while external influence
online transaction process. The first task was to register
indicates mass media reports, expert opinions, and other
with an online bookstore, search for the book selected by
non-personal information considered by individuals when
the participants and place it in the shopping cart. The sec-
performing a behavior. In the context of B2C e-com-
ond task involved filling out certain payment and delivery
merce, individual intentions regarding service acceptance
data. After completing these two tasks, all the 305 students
for e-commerce are shaped not only by interpersonal
completed the task successfully and the questionnaires were
influence (from friends, family, and colleagues/peers),
distributed in class. The response rate was 100%, but since
but also by the opinions of industry experts, as dissemi-
eight questionnaires later were discarded because of miss-
nated by the popular press [28]. Accordingly, in online
ing data, the effective response rate was approximately
shopping acceptance contexts, measures of subjective
97%. Table 1 lists descriptive statistics about the sample.
norms should consider both interpersonal as well as
external influences.
Ajzen [8] extended TPB using the decomposition PBC 3.2. Measurement
component into two dimensions: self-efficacy and facilitat-
ing conditions. The first dimension, self-efficacy (SE), is This study adapted the measures used to operationalize
defined as individual judgment of individual capabilities the constructs included in the investigated model from rel-
to use IT [29,30]. In the context of online shopping, self- evant previous studies, making minor wording changes to
efficacy refers to consumer self-assessments of his/her capa- tailor these measures to the context of online sopping.
bilities to shop online. Meanwhile, the second dimension is The measures of actual usage, behavioral intention, per-
facilitating conditions (FC), which reflects the availability ceived usefulness and perceived ease of use adapted from
of resources needed to perform particular behaviors Davis [5]. The belief items for measuring compatibility,
[9,31]. In fact, with the growing availability of supporting attitude, subjective norms, and perceived behavioral con-
Internet equipments (technology facilitating conditions) trol were revised from Taylor and Todd [9]. Items for inter-
and resource factors such as time and money (resource personal influence and external influence were adapted
facilitating conditions), online shopping will also become from Bhattacherjee [28], while items for measuring self-effi-
increasingly accessible. Accordingly, this study focused cacy and facilitating conditions were adapted from Taylor
on assessing the facilitating conditions for online shopping, and Todd [9]. All items were measured using a seven-point
436 H.-F. Lin / Electronic Commerce Research and Applications 6 (2007) 433–442

Table 1 Table 2
Sample characteristics (n = 297) Results of CFA for measurement model
Demographic characteristics Frequency Percent (%) Cumulative (%) Construct Item Internal Convergent validity
reliability
Gender
Cronbach Factor Composite Average
Male 159 53.5 53.5
alpha loading reliabilitya variance
Female 138 46.5 100
extractedb
Age
Actual usage AU1 0.85 0.78 0.78 0.64
<25 203 68.4 68.4
AU2 0.82
25–35 80 26.9 95.3
Behavioral BI1 0.88 0.86 0.82 0.60
>35 14 4.7 100
intention BI2 0.77
Computer skills BI3 0.69
Poor 28 9.4 9.4 Perceived PU1 0.87 0.70 0.81 0.60
Fair 72 24.3 33.7 usefulness PU2 0.79
Good 111 37.4 71.1 PU3 0.82
Very good 86 28.9 100 Perceived PEU1 0.90 0.86 0.83 0.71
ease of use PEU2 0.83
Internet experience (years)
Compatibility C1 0.86 0.88 0.82 0.70
<1 year 7 2.4 2.4
C2 0.79
1–3 38 12.8 15.2
Attitude A1 0.83 0.81 0.85 0.65
4–7 175 58.9 74.1
A2 0.84
>6 year 77 25.9 100
A3 0.76
Frequency of online buying Subjective SN1 0.78 0.71 0.70 0.53
1–5 195 65.7 65.7 norm SN2 0.75
6–9 68 22.9 88.6 Perceived PBC1 0.82 0.80 0.79 0.65
10–20 29 9.8 98.4 behavioral PBC2 0.81
More than 20 5 1.6 100 control
Interpersonal II1 0.86 0.87 0.86 0.67
influence II2 0.79
Likert-type scale (ranging from 1 = strongly disagree to II3 0.80
External EI1 0.79 0.82 0.85 0.66
7 = strongly agree). influence EI2 0.84
With the establishment of content validity, the question- EI3 0.77
naire was refined through rigorous pre-testing. The pre- Self-efficacy SE1 0.83 0.71 0.75 0.60
testing focused on instrument clarity, question wording SE2 0.83
and validity. During the pre-testing, 15 experienced online Facilitating FC1 0.80 0.85 0.82 0.65
conditions FC2 0.82
shoppers were taken as subjects and invited to comment on FC3 0.74
the questions and wordings. The comments of these 15
Notes. All t-value are significant at p < 0.001.
individuals then provided a basis for revisions to the con- a
Composite reliability = (square of the summation of the factor load-
struct measures. Several items were removed from the ings)/{(square of the summation of the factor loadings) + (summation of
instrument based on the feedback from the pre-testing sub- error variances)}.
b
jects. The appendix lists all of the survey items. Average variance extracted = (summation of the square of the factor
loadings)/{summation of the square of the factor loadings} + (summation
of error variances)}.
3.3. Statistical analysis

The hypothesized models are empirically tested using summarized the results of internal reliability and conver-
the structural equation modeling (SEM) approach, sup- gent validity for constructs. Internal consistency reliability
ported by LISREL 8.3 software with maximum likelihood to test unidimensionality was assessed by Cronbach’s
estimation [33]. Following the two-stage model-building alpha. The resulting alpha values ranged from 0.78 to
process for applying SEM [33,34]. The measurement model 0.90, which were above the acceptable threshold 0.70 sug-
was estimated using confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) to gested by Nunnally and Bernstein [35].
test reliability and validity of the measurement model, and Convergent validity is the degree to which multiple
the structural model also was analyzed to examine the attempts to measure the same concept in agreement. Con-
model fit results of the proposed theoretical models vergent validity was assed based on factor loading, com-
(TAM, TPB, and the decomposed TPB model). posite reliabilities, and variances extracted [34]. The
results of the convergent validity are shown in Table 2.
4. Results The factor loading for all items exceeds the recommended
level of 0.6 [36]. Composite reliability values, which depict
4.1. Measure reliability and validity the degree to which the construct indicators indicate the
latent construct, range from 0.70 to 0.86. The composite
The research instrument used confirmatory factor anal- reliability of all latent constructs exceeded recommended
ysis (CFA) to examine the reliability and validity. Table 2 level of 0.7 [34]. The average variances extracted, which
H.-F. Lin / Electronic Commerce Research and Applications 6 (2007) 433–442 437

Table 3
Discriminant validity of constructs
Constructs (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12)
(1) Actual usage 0.64
(2) Behavioral intention 0.33 0.60
(3) Perceived usefulness 0.18 0.41 0.60
(4) Perceived ease of use 0.16 0.32 0.22 0.71
(5) Compatibility 0.22 0.21 0.31 0.25 0.70
(6) Attitude 0.27 0.17 0.14 0.26 0.30 0.65
(7) Subjective norms 0.36 0.21 0.23 0.33 0.25 0.18 0.53
(8) Perceived behavioral control 0.09 0.15 0.11 0.08 0.22 0.20 0.24 0.65
(9) Interpersonal influence 0.25 0.11 0.27 0.14 0.12 0.21 0.18 0.15 0.67
(10) External influence 0.20 0.12 0.21 0.24 0.13 0.17 0.16 0.23 0.13 0.66
(11) Self-efficacy 0.12 0.26 0.18 0.15 0.27 0.26 0.22 0.16 0.31 0.24 0.60
(12) Facilitation conditions 0.19 0.16 0.20 0.13 0.21 0.19 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.19 0.13 0.65
Notes. Diagonals represent the average variance extracted, while the other matrix entries represent the square correlations.

that the square correlations for each construct is less than


Table 4
Fit indices and explanatory power of the structural models
the average variance extracted by the indicators measuring
that construct, as shown in Table 3, indicating the measure
TAM TPB Decomposed Recommended
TPB criteria
has adequately discriminant validity. In summary, the mea-
surement model demonstrated adequate reliability, conver-
Fit index
df 152 203 248
gent validity, and discriminant validity.
v2 303.92 436.44 551.13 The following measured indices was assessed the overall
v2/df 1.99 2.15 2.22 63.00 model fit. The observed normed v2 for measurement model
AGFI 0.87 0.86 0.83 P0.80 was 2.08 (v2 = 457.62, df = 219) which is smaller than 3
CFI 0.95 0.93 0.91 P0.90 recommended by Bagozzi and Yi [38]. Other fit indexes
NNFI 0.94 0.91 0.90 P0.90
RMSEA 0.041 0.054 0.062 60.10
also show good fit for the measurement model. The
adjusted goodness-of-fit index (AGFI) is 0.82, which
Explanatory power (R2)
exceeds the recommended cut-off level of 0.8 [39]. The
R2AU 0.30 0.31 0.33
R2BI 0.41 0.46 0.57 non-normed fit index (NNFI) is 0.91 and comparative fit
R2A 0.58 – 0.63 index (CFI) is 0.94, greater than the 0.9 recommended
R2SN – – 0.43 [38]. The root mean square error of approximation
R2PBC – – 0.52 (RMSEA) is 0.059, exceeding the recommended cut-off
level of 0.08 recommended by Browne and Cudeck [40].
reflect the overall amount of variance in the indicators The combination of these results suggests that the demon-
accounted for by the latent construct, were in the range strated measurement model fits the data well.
between 0.53 and 0.71. The average variances extracted
of all latent constructs exceeded recommended level of 4.2. Structural model results
0.5 [34]. Moreover, discriminant validity is the degree to
which the measures of different concepts are distinct. Dis- Table 4 showed the fit statistics for each structural
criminant validity can be examined by comparing the model. Overall, the three structural models displayed a
squared correlations between constructs and variance good fit with the data, compared with the suggested fit
extracted for a construct [37]. The analysis results showed criteria [38–40]. Additionally, Table 4 summarizes the

0.33*
Perceived
Usefulness

0.44*
Behavioral Actual
Attitude 0.42* 0.36* Usage
0.36* Intention
R A2 =0.58 2
2
R AU =0.30
R BI =0.41
0.32*
Perceived
Ease of
Use

Note * p<0.01

Fig. 1. Results of TAM model.


438 H.-F. Lin / Electronic Commerce Research and Applications 6 (2007) 433–442

Attitude
0.34*

Behavioral Actual
Subjective 0.35*
Intention Usage
Norms 0.13 2 2
R BI =0.46 R AU =0.31

0.23* 0.21*
Perceived
Behavioral
Control

Note * p<0.01

Fig. 2. Results of TPB model.

variance explained (R2 value) of each dependent construct 4.2.1. Technology acceptance model
to demonstrate its explanatory power. As indicated in Fig. 1, the paths from perceived ease of
Fig. 1 displayed all of the structural relationships among use to perceived usefulness and attitude are significant, as
the studied constructs in TAM. Path coefficients and their are the paths from perceived usefulness to attitude and
significance, R2 for each dependent construct are also pre- behavioral intention. The path from attitude to intention
sented in this figure. While Fig. 2 showed information for is also significant. A further significant determinant of
TPB. Fig. 3 displayed information for the decomposed actual usage is behavioral intention. Additionally, in terms
TPB model. of predictive power, the model accounts for 30% of the

Perceived
Usefulness

Perceived 0.46*
Ease of
Use 0.21*

Attitude
Compat-
R A2 =0.63
ibility 0.35*

0.33*

Interpersonal
influence 0.33*

Subjective Behavioral Actual


0.11 0.35*
norms Intention Usage
0.25* 2 2
R BI =0.57 2
R AU =0.33
External RSN =0.43
influence

0.27*
Self- 0.31* 0.22*
Perceived
Efficacy
Behavioral
Control
2
0.09 RPBC =0.52
Facilitating
Conditions

Note * p<0.01

Fig. 3. Results of decomposed TPB model.


H.-F. Lin / Electronic Commerce Research and Applications 6 (2007) 433–442 439

variance in actual usage, 41% of the variance in behavioral 2. Regarding the explanatory power of behavioral inten-
intention and 58% of the variance in attitude. tion among three models, TAM explains 41% of the var-
iance in behavioral intention, TPB explains 46% and
4.2.2. Theory of planned behavior decomposed TPB 57% of the variance in behavioral
As noted in Fig. 2, attitude and PBC are significantly intention. This result indicates that the decomposition
related to behavioral intention, but subjective norms are of beliefs provide some additional insight into behav-
not. Further significant determinants of actual usage are ioral intention.
PBC and behavioral intention. 3. Regarding ability to explain attitude, the decomposed
In addition, the predictive power of the TPB model is TPB model predicted attitude towards online shopping
comparable to the TAM. Attitude, subjective norms and better than TAM (R2A ¼ 0:63 for decomposed TPB
perceived behavioral control added only slightly to the model and R2A ¼ 0:58 for TAM). There is good evidence
explanatory power of behavioral intention and actual that innovation characteristics (such as consumer per-
usage ðR2BI ¼ 0:46 and R2AU ¼ 0:31 for TPB, compared with ceptions of usefulness, ease of use and compatibility of
0.41 and 0.30 for TAM). online shopping) provide a more efficient approach for
assessing consumer attitudes towards online shopping
4.2.3. Decomposed theory of planned behavior [25].
Fig. 3 showed that the paths from perceived usefulness, 4. The findings of this study showed that consumer inten-
perceived ease of use and compatibility to attitude are sig- tions to shop online could be explained by attitude in
nificant. Although self-efficacy is a significant determinant all three models. Meanwhile, the decomposed TPB
of the PBC, facilitating conditions is not. Attitude and model identified perceived usefulness, ease of use and
PBC are significantly related to behavioral intention. compatibility as significant predictors of attitude
Moreover, interpersonal and external influences were sig- towards online shopping. The results reveal that con-
nificant predictors of subjective norms. However, like the sumers who perceived online shopping to be superior
pure TPB models, subjective norms are not significantly to traditional shopping, compatible with shopping needs
related to behavioral intention. Finally, PBC and behav- and easy to operate, express high willingness to shop
ioral intention are significant determinants of actual usage. online. Hence, this study suggests that to attract and
Additionally, the decomposed TPB provides somewhat keep consumers, it is not enough to make a Web site
better predictive power relative to the TAM and TPB mod- easy to use. Instead, it is crucial to develop a Web site
els ðR2AU ¼ 0:33, R2BI ¼ 0:57, R2A ¼ 0:63, R2SN ¼ 0:43, with valuable functions, such as designing simple order-
R2PBC ¼ 0:52Þ. In particular, note that there is a slight ing and fulfillment procedures and providing customiz-
increase in R2 for behavioral intention relative to both able personal websites, convenience consumers,
TAM and pure TPB models. improve consumer perceptions of Web site usefulness
and match their shopping needs.
5. Discussion and conclusions 5. Regarding the subjective norms associated with online
shopping, two TPB models found the influence of sub-
5.1. Discussion of findings jective norms on behavioral intentions to be insignifi-
cant. This result might be caused by the fact that all
This study compares three competing theoretical models sample respondents had online shopping experience,
(TAM, TPB, and decomposed TPB model) to explain con- thus reducing the reliance of potential customers on
sumer online shopping intentions. Based on the theory of their friends, family, or colleagues for information
comparison approach [9,17–20], this study adopted reason- regarding online shopping. This result might also be
able fit and explanatory power to evaluate three competing explained by the fact that consumers perceived shopping
models and identify the best. As shown in Table 4, all three at both bricks-and-motor and online retailers as a pri-
models achieve comparable fit to the data. Consequently, it vate behavior [13]. Consequently, this study may not
is reasonable to examine the models in terms of their path infer that those who are important to consumers can
significance and explanatory power. Moreover, comparison influence their online shopping intentions.
of the models reveals some important findings as following: 6. Compared to the two TPB models, the PBC significantly
influences consumer online shopping intentions. More-
1. In all three models, behavioral intention is the primary over, self-efficacy and facilitating conditions compo-
direct determinant of actual usage. The TPB and decom- nents are encompassed in the decomposed TPB model.
posed TPB model add perceived behavioral control as The results showed that only self-efficacy is positively
an additional direct determinant of behavior. Addition- associated with perceived behavioral control. This result
ally, regarding the ability of the three models to explain is consistent with previous research on B2C e-commerce
actual usage, the TAM model and two TPB models are [11,41], which reported that consumers who are confi-
roughly equivalent (TAM explains 30%, explains 31% dent about engaging in online purchasing are more will-
and decomposed TPB 33% of the variance in actual ing to shop online. Additionally, in this study, more
usage). than 80% of sample respondents had at least three years
440 H.-F. Lin / Electronic Commerce Research and Applications 6 (2007) 433–442

of experience of using the Internet. These respondents tions of consumer intentions to shop online provided by
were familiar with the Internet and thus had easy access each model. In conclusion, the findings of this study pro-
to network resources. Consequently, the facilitating con- vide some guidelines for model selection. Each model has
ditions for online shopping did not significantly influ- clear strengths. If the sole objective is predicting actual
ence perceptions of behavioral control. online shopping use, then TAM may be preferable. How-
ever, the decomposed TPB model more fully explains
behavioral intention. Hence, the results generally indicated
5.2. Comparison and selection of models that the decomposed TPB model provides an improved
method of predicting consumer intentions to shop online.
In a setting in which all three models exhibit a reason- Additionally, from a managerial perspective, this study
able fit to the data and explain similar amounts of the tar- indicates that using innovation characteristics (such as con-
get behavior, other criteria must be examined to identify sumer perceptions of usefulness, ease of use and compati-
the best model [9]. Bagozzi [42] argued that given equiva- bility of online shopping) for decomposition provides
lent fit statistics and explanatory power, the best model is useful, actionable information which online retailer manag-
the most parsimonious. However, other studies suggested ers can use to plan appropriate online shopping services.
that some parsimony might need to be sacrificed to obtain
the most complete understanding of a phenomenon. In this 5.4. Limitations and further research
study, while all three models are relatively parsimonious,
the 5-variable TAM is more parsimonious than the 12-var- There are several limitations to this study, requiring fur-
iable decomposed TPB. Indeed, the decomposed TPB with ther examination and additional research. First, this study
10 determinants of behavioral intention and actual usage has focused on respondents with experience of online shop-
can be considered an order of magnitude more complex ping. The IS literature (e.g. Karahanna et al. [43]) suggests
than TAM, which has only three determinants of behav- that determinants of intended behavioral change are based
ioral intention and actual usage. on user level of experience. Therefore, further research is
By comparing the two TPB models, this study examines needed to verify the research model using multiple respon-
the trade-off between parsimony and understanding associ- dents that include both high- and low-experience consum-
ated with decomposition. The decomposed TPB is more ers. Second, since this study only considered online
complex than the pure TPB owing to including additional bookstores, it is unclear whether the analytical results can
constructs. However, decomposing the belief structures of be generalized to other online marketplaces. Further
TPB increases the explanatory power of the model for research can apply the three models (TAM, TPB, and
behavioral intention. More importantly, owing to its unidi- decomposed TPB models) to examine other types of online
mensional belief constructs, the decomposed TPB provides retailers, because consumer attitudes, subjective norms, and
better understanding of behavioral antecedents. The perceived behavioral control to shop online are context-
decomposed TPB thus is preferable to the pure form model. dependent and may be related to specific products and ser-
Both TAM and the decomposed TPB models include vices. Finally, since the sample was collected in Taiwan,
specific constructs, which enable detailed understanding generalizability to other countries might be limited due to
of behavioral intention and actual usage. The decomposed cultural differences in online consumer behaviors. Hence,
TPB model has a good fit to data and moderate predictive the three competing models should be tested further using
power, particularly in relation to behavioral intention, and samples from other countries, and further testing would
it is not clear whether this offsets the increased complexity provide a more robust test of the three competing models.
of the model relative to TAM. Seven more constructs must
be included in the decomposed TPB model to increase the
predictive power of actual usage by 3% relative to TAM. Appendix A. Questionnaire items
Additionally, the decomposed TPB model helps improve
understanding of perceived behavioral control as a determi- Actual usage
nant of behavioral intention. That is, if the key objective is AU1: I prefer online shopping for buying books.
to predict actual usage, TAM can be considered preferable. AU2: I frequently use online shopping.
However, the decomposed TPB model provides a fuller
Behavioral intention
understanding of the determinants of behavioral intentions.
BI1: I plan to use online shopping again.
BI2: I intend to shop online within the next 30 days.
5.3. Implication for research and practice
BI3: I will strongly recommend online shopping to others.
The decomposed TPB model has seldom been applied in Perceived usefulness
the literature to discuss consumer intentions to shop online PU1: Using online shopping would facilitate comparison
and provide a comparison with the well-known TAM shopping.
model. This study examined the TAM and two versions PU2: Using online shopping would provide access to use-
of the TPB models, and assessed the quality of explana- ful shopping information.
H.-F. Lin / Electronic Commerce Research and Applications 6 (2007) 433–442 441

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