Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Key words: Cost and Benefit Analysis, Initial Construction, Flexible and Rigid Pavement, Life Cycle
Cost, Roads, Maintenance and Rehabilitation, Pavement Alternative
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ABBREVIATIONS/ACRONYMS
KM Kilometer
IC Initial Cost
MC Maintenance Cost
RC Rehabilitation Cost
UC User Cost
SV Salvage Value
Dr Discount rate
Fc Future cost
PV Present Value
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LIST OF FIGURES
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LIST OF TABLE
Table 5 Materials required for the Execution of 1kmfor Flexible and Rigid Pavement respectively........9
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TABLE OF CONTENT
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY..........................................................................................................................i
LIST OF FIGURES....................................................................................................................................iii
LIST OF TABLE........................................................................................................................................iv
TABLE OF CONTENT............................................................................................................................v
1 INTRODUCTION................................................................................................................................1
1.1 Background...................................................................................................................................1
1.5 Significance(Outcome).................................................................................................................3
2 METHODOLOGY...............................................................................................................................4
4.1 Conclusion..................................................................................................................................10
4.2 Recommendation........................................................................................................................10
REFERENCE............................................................................................................................................11
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1 INTRODUCTION
In many countries with developed road networks, new road construction typically accounts of more or
less 50% of the road budget. While the remainder of national road budgets is spent on maintenance and
rehabilitation of existing roads. Long-life Pavements (LLP) project is approved if the costs of future
maintenance, rehabilitation and the resulting road user delay costs are economically justified [1]. There
has been historically difference of opinion as to whether Hot Mix Asphalt (flexible) pavements are more
economical or less economical over time, than Portland Cement Concrete (rigid) pavements. Even
experienced state highway agencies and highway engineers disagree on the subject [2]. Aware of the
road infrastructure development as the backbone and the blood artery for all economic, social progress,
due emphasis has been given to the implementation of the Road Sector Development program (RSDP)
since 1997. To execute such a very crucial project, large amount of budget will be allocated for the
surfacing of pavements. Hence, it is important to go for careful evaluation of the alternatives in order to
make the right choice before implementation of such projects.
In Ethiopia very few and short kilometer lengths of road projects are constructed with rigid pavement
were in Oromia (Chancho-Derba-Bocho and Beseka road), Addis Ababa (Rehabilitation projects) and
Tigray (Michew –Adigudem), of which Beseka and Addis Ababa rehabilitation projects were completed
[3], if it is accepted and started this dire dawa to lega oda will be also. Even though there are, newly
emerging cement and reinforcement production factories in Ethiopia that can avoid foreign currency to
buy materials for flexible pavement, only few and small-scale concrete pavement projects have been
undertaken in the country. Among these projects, Beseka Road, a one-kilometer long that was
considered the first cement concrete pavement in the history of the Ethiopian road construction project.
Over the past 17 years, 41.2% of the total Ethiopian Road, Sector Development Program (RSDP)
expenditures was allocated for the rehabilitation and upgrading roads, 28.8% for construction of link
roads, 5.7% for maintenance of Federal roads, 8% of Regional road and 11.7% of Woreda roads, 2.8%
of Institutional support projects, and other activities at the Federal level [4].
1.1 Background
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located around 38km far from dire dawa city administration and 515km far away from capital city of
Ethiopia, Addis Ababa. The road is an existing gravel road which starts from dire dawa to harar road and
terminates at national cement factory area with an additional 2.5 km drive road from Dire dawa passing
through mercury village, kenchera, hulul, wahel village (Wahel cluster is located at about 18km
southwest of the City Administration which will increasing to small town. Due to rapid economic
growth of the country, there is a high demand for cement and the existing on the gravel road from the
Dire Dawa to Wahel, to Laga Oda road is a potential corridor for cement production, agricultural
production. There are existing cement factories which are under operation. Among this, the national
cement is the biggest cement factory in Ethiopia, which will produce 4500 Tons of cement per day (from
company profile). In order to satisfy the demand of the emerging economy for huge transport of cement
and other productions, it is therefore required to upgrade the existing road to a higher standard.
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1.3 General Objective
To implement a ten year Road Sector Development Program (RSDP) with the objective of
improving the efficiency and capacity of the road transport system to support its Agricultural
Development Led Industrialization Strategy and social economic development in general.
1.5 Significance(Outcome)
The proportion of farms in the four small town weredas that are more than half a day’s walk
from nearest all-weather/earth, mountain, gravel road would be reduced.
There is high potential mining in laga Oda cave, and construction of these road create a great
opportunity for mining industry to transport it easily.
Increasing trends of sustainable rock art tourism development
Savings in journey time and this create a great opportunity for dire dawa people to get high fresh
agricultural goods.
The project is expected to contribute to improved access, reduction in transport costs, increased
agricultural production; give rise to other socio-economic benefits, and have a significant impact
on poverty reduction in the adminstration of Ethiopia.
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2 METHODOLOGY
Literature review
A case study on dire dawa to lega Oda road project through site investigation, field observation,
data collection and review of drawing and design documents
Evaluating initial construction cost for one kilometer of both flexible and rigid pavement,
Estimating of future maintenance, rehabilitation, fuel cost and time saving costs of secondary
data,
Life cycle cost analysis (LCCA) for both pavements by present worth method for 40-year
analysis period.
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2.2 Data source and collection
During data collection, data were collected from the following sources
Road maintenance & rehabilitation data from Ethiopian Road Authority (ERA), Ethiopian Road
Construction Corporation (ERCC) and ERA manuals.
Field inspection of another and for the case road project design and specifications.
Informal Interviews to road project consultants and contractors(by calling phone)
Primary and secondary data were also collected from literatures, pre road feasibility studies,
internets and websites
Discount Rate (%) 10%
Inflation Rate (percentage) (35%), January 2022 data(Source Ethiopian Inflation Statics Agency)
Interest rate (percentage) (5%),Commercial Bank Of Ethiopia
Number of Alternatives (2),Concrete(JRCP) and Asphalt (HMA)
The Net Present Worth formula, which was used, is shown below:
[ ][ ] [ ][ ] [∑ ][ ] [ ]
N N N
1
NPW =Ic+ ∑ Mc n
+ ∑ Rc 1 n + Pc
1
n
−Sv
1
n
n ( 1+dr ) n ( 1+ dr ) n ( 1+ dr ) ( 1+dr )
Pc = User cost (professional and overhead cost, TS), Sv = salvage value, n = number of years.
Since all the costs other than initial construction will occur in the future analysis years, future value of
money should be determined by considering the inflation rate.
n
Fc=PV ( 1+if )
Where: Fc=Future cost at time of n years, PV= Present Value of Money in Birr, if= inflation adjusted
interest rate.
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3 ANALYSIS, RESULTS AND DISCUSION
As per the above recommendation period of 40 years, it was considered for the analysis to include one
rehabilitation time for the rigid pavement (JRCPCCP). The design periods, 40 years and 15 years for the
respective pavements were taken from the design documents of dire dawa -Lega Oda road project and
other projects.
The cost was calculated after determining the quantity and cost breakdown for 1km and 7meter road
width based on the typical road section of both pavement types particularly to dire dawa - Lega Oda
Road project.
No Description for Flexible Total Cost (ETB) No Description of Rigid pavement Total Cost (ETB)
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3.3 Maintenance Cost of Pavements
3.3.1 Routine Maintenance of Flexible
Flexible Pavement Routine Maintenance Schedule must be according to ERA code. The Periodic
Maintenance is to be conducted once a year before the rain comes as per the experience of the Ethiopian
Road Construction Corporation (ERCC) and Ethiopian Road Authority (ERA)
Rehabilitation of Flexible Pavement Considering two (2) times rehabilitation of the flexible pavement in
40 years of the analysis period, the cost was calculated for full replacement asphalt bitumen after
scarifying the pavement [6] Since routine Maintenance was scheduled two times and periodic once a
year, Hot Mix Asphalt (HMA) Overlay is enough and feasible without scarifying the layers below the
base course. For one (1) kilometer road stretch, rehabilitation activity is scheduled in table 3.5. On the
other hand, the total cost of rehabilitation for 15 and 30 years would become 2,558,500.84 ETB per
kilometer of the road. This cost is about 35% of the initial construction cost in the respective year.
No Description for Flexible Cost (ETB) Remarks Description for Rigid Cost in ETB
1 Construction Cost 6,301,638.47 Initial construction 13,398,607.72
2 Routine Maintenance Cost 673,176.26 every 2 year Routine Maintenance 300,000.00
3 Periodic Maintenance Cost 681,856.38 three year Periodic
cost Maintenance 119,000.00
4 Rehabilitation Cost 2,558,500.84 At 15th & 30th Rehabilitation
cost cost 1,191,000.00
5 Salvage Value 1,705,667.23 After
yr. 40th years Salvage value 794,000.00
The major routine maintenance activities were scheduled to be conducted at every 8 years and periodic
activities at 12 years. At 40 years after construction, rehabilitation has to be scheduled for the particular
project has to be done as per standard of ERA code.
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3.5 Present worth Calculations
Table 3 Present Worth (PW) of Pavements (ETB/Km)
[ ][ ][ ][ ][ ][
40 40 40
1 1 1
NPWfor rigid=13,398,607.72+ ∑ 319538.26 40
+ ∑ 30505.96 40
+ ∑ 803916.4632
1 ( 1+0.1 ) 1 ( 1+0.1 ) 1 ( 1+ 0.
N=40
[ ][ ][ ][ ][ ][
N N N
1 1 1
NPWflexible=6159851.60+ ∑ 6846091.71 40
+ ∑ 806517.58 40
+ ∑ 369591.096 4
n ( 1+0.1 ) n ( 1+0.1 ) n ( 1+0.1 )
In financial theory, if there is a choice between two mutually exclusive alternatives, the one yielding the
higher NPV should be selected(Dr. Worku k. lecture material) so we have select the rigid pavement that
have higher net present worth.
To execute one (1) kilometer pavement stretch, the major time required for critical activities was
determined based on the performance output of Standard Crew and the actual output for Dire dawa –
Lega Oda road project.
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Type Unit Quantity of Required Calendar
work day
Flexibl Dense Bitumen Macadam Cu.M 1,015 3 345m3/day
Asphalt surfacing Cu.M 350 2 173m3/day
e
Total calendar days for Flexible 5
Placing of Rebar Kg 6,677.44 7 1179kg /day
Casting of C-35 Concrete Cu.M 2,400 21 119m3/day
Curing of concrete(14min curing days)SQ.M 7,000 14 700m2/day
Total calendar days 42
To execute one (1) kilometer pavement stretch, major material required for critical activities was
determined based on the performance output of standard crew and actual output for DD to Lega Oda
road project. The aggregate requirement for flexible pavement is more than twice that of rigid pavement.
In addition, it requires more material for sub base and base course than rigid pavement.
Table 5 Materials required for the Execution of 1kmfor Flexible and Rigid Pavement respectively
no Description for Flexible Unit Qty Remark
number Description Rigid Unit Qty Remark
1 Bitumen 80/100 (for Asphalt and Kg 175,490 156kg/m3
1 Portland Cement Ton 9,596 4qnt/m3
Macadam)
2 Aggregate(gravel) for Asphalt Cu.M 805 2.3/m3 Aggregate (gravel) Cu.M
2 360 0.15/m3
3 Aggregate for Base course Cu.M 1,750 3 River sand Cu.M 960 0.40/m3
4 Sub base Material Cu.M 1,400 4 Sub base Material Cu.M 3,045
4.1 Conclusion
Based on the results of the case study, it was found out that the rigid pavement has longer service life
(more than twice) than the flexible pavement. For one (1km) kilometer road length, the life cycle cost of
the rigid pavement is lower by a value of 7.9 Million ETB than the flexible pavement in forty (40) year
analysis period. A routine and periodic maintenance cost for the period of 40 years are 1.1 times greater
than the initial construction cost of the same one-kilometer stretch for flexible pavement and requires 7.3
million Birr higher for maintenance and rehabilitation as compared to rigid pavement. In addition, it
showed that the rigid pavement has lower maintenance and rehabilitation cost when compared with the
flexible pavement. On the other hand, the rigid pavement, which is wholly, constructed with local
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materials, such as cement and aggregates without the requirements of importing construction materials
from abroad.
4.2 Recommendation
The most important aspect of ensuring effective rural road project is to develop sense of ownership
among the road users by involving them in all aspects such as planning, designing, upgrading,
rehabilitation and maintenance. A close and continuous follow up Among the issues that should be given
maximum attention are:
It is recommended that the proposed plan should be strictly and properly implemented by the
contractor and all parties.
The study reveals that seasonal possibility of labor based road maintenance should be
encouraged.
ERA should appoint senior environmentalist to supervise environmental monitoring and
management activities of the road, and to ensure that contractors utilize methods that protect the
environment, increase productivity of rural program, since the place have, high productivity in
terms of it is nature.
Implementation of erosion control measures by designing and constructing appropriate
physical/engineering structures, and by implementing biological (re-vegetation) measures, as
well as by instituting follow up procedures to repair defects.
Application of good practices during the road construction and collection and hauling of water
and selected materials to minimize unwanted impacts on the environment.
Maximum care must be taken for sections protected forest and steep slopes that involve cut-and-
fill, Effective storm water management systems.
The Highway Development and Management model (HDM) have are used during design and
after.
All in all the case study result that propose the best alternative of rigid pavement should have to be
implemented.
REFERENCE
[1] Development, O.F .E. C. (2005) Economic Evaluation of Long -Life pavements-Phase I.
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[2] Pavement Life-Cycle Cost Studies Using Actual Cost Data. 2005. p. four.
[4] Authority, E.R., 17 Years Performance Assessment 2014, Ethiopian Road Authority, Road sector
Development, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. p. 3-32.
[6] Anne Holt, Applied Research Associates, and Life Cycle Cost Analysis of Municipal
Pavement.
(World Bank, 2015 report , Pavement Design Manual Volume II Rigid Pavements – 2013 and our
instructor reading material of Dr. Worku K. (as a cross reference)
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