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New Roll Programme
No. Specialization Sr.No
Name
2141001 TEM 1
ABHAY GUPTA
2141002 TEM 2
ADHIP BANIK
2141003 TEM 3
ADITYA DEVGIRKAR
2141004 TEM 4
ALARIC N. SANGMA
2141005 TEM 5
AMAN VERMA
2141006 TEM 6
ANIKET ABHAY WASNIK
2141007 TEM 7
ANKUR
2141008 TEM 8
ANUKRITI KRISHNA
2141009 TEM 9
ARCHISMAN BHATTACHARYYA
2141010 TEM 10
ASHLEENA SHARLEY AIVEN
2141011 TEM 11
BHANU PRATAP SINGH
2141012 TEM 12
DEVASHREE ASHOK KAPSE
2141013 TEM 13
DHANANJAY KUMAR MAHATO
2141014 TEM 14
DUBEY ANURAG AJAYKUMAR
2141015 TEM 15
GOUTAM R SHET
2141016 TEM 16
GYANDA SHARMA
2141017 TEM 17
HANSHUL DAYMA
2141018 TEM 18
HARISH KESARI
2141019 TEM 19
HEMANT SANVRIYA
2141020 TEM 20
JAYRAJ TRIVEDI
2141021 TEM 21
KHOBRAGADE VAIBHAV JAYDEO
2141022 TEM 22
PIYUSH CHOUDHARY
2141023 TEM 23
POONAM SHENDE
2141024 TEM 24
PRADYUM KUMAR
2141025 TEM 25
PRAVEEN KUMAR
2141026 TEM 26
RAJ NIRALIBEN RASIKBHAI
2141027 TEM 27
RAVI MADHESHIYA
2141028 TEM 28
SARKAR HARNISHA RAJUBHAI
2141029 TEM 29
SHAGUN GARG
2141030 TEM 30
SHIVAM SINHA
2141031 TEM 31
SHUBHAM SHARMA
2141032 TEM 32
SOMESH KUMAR MOHANTY
2141033 TEM 33
SWATI AMRIT
2141034 TEM 34
UDIT CHAUHAN
2141035 TEM 35
VAIBHAV PARMAR
2141036 TEM 36
VINEET JAIN
2141037 TEM 37
VISHAL JAINI
SCM 38
2140001 ABHISHEK KAGRA
SCM 39
2140002 AFRAZ KHAN
ACC Ltd.
Adani Green Energy Ltd.
Ambuja Cements Ltd.
Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd.
Ashok Leyland Ltd.
Asian Paints Ltd.
Aurobindo Pharma Ltd.
Bajaj Auto Ltd.
Berger Paints India Ltd.
Bharat Forge Ltd.
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd.
Bharti Airtel Ltd. 0.24
Biocon Ltd.
Bosch Ltd.
Britannia Industries Ltd.
Cipla Ltd.
Coal India Ltd.
Colgate-Palmolive (India) Ltd.
Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Ltd.
Dabur India Ltd.
Divis Laboratories Ltd.
Dr. Reddys Laboratories Ltd.
Eicher Motors Ltd.
Historical trend of M&M data shows when the business risk is increasing (ROTA has
declined), the company added additional finanical risk (D/E increased over the years).
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mr0An4_EwcWK9jFR0FzYUWJypwSzyKPYbb7A1q-IiIk/edit?usp=sharing
High Low
Business Risk
Financial Risk
A B C D E
Equity 100 80 60 40 20
Loan @ 10% 0 20 40 60 80
Total Cap 100 100 100 100 100
PBIT 20 20 20 20 20
Interst 0 2 4 6 8
PBT 20 18 16 14 12
ROTA 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% Reward for business risk
ROE 20% 23% 27% 35% 60%
Division X Expansion
Opportunity
Total Capital (Total Assets) 100 60 160
PBIT 40 20 60
ROTA 40% 37.50%
PBIT 40 20 60
Less: Capital Charge (15% on Cap 15 24
Economic Value Added (EVA) 25 36
Stren Stwart
Jun-20 Sep-20 Dec-20 Mar-21 Jun-21 Sep-21 Average Std Dev
11,969 19,227 21,626 21,456 19,172 21,470 21,165.50 4,388.00
2,060 3,505 2,523 3,399 987 4,892 3,000.92 1,089.49
it?usp=sharing
nancial Risk
eward for Financial Risk
(ROTA-Interst Rate)*(D/E)
Co-efficient of Variation
0.2073
0.3631
What is the compound value (future Value) of Rs. 100000 invested today at the end of 5 years at 12% interest rate?
FV = PV * (1+r)^n 176234.17
=FV(%,N,0,PV,1) 176234.17
Millionaire Bond
PV 10400 10400
Interest 16.50% 3.88% 15.50%
Period 30 120
FV 1015807 996226
What is the compound value (future Value) of recurring deposit of Rs. 10000 invested per month at the end of 5 years at 12%
₹824,863.67
What is the compound value (future Value) of recurring deposit of Rs. 10000 invested per month at the end of 20 years at 12%
₹9,991,479.19
Pension company offers either 1000000 today or 80000 per year pension for 30 years starting at the end of year
Lump sum 1000000
or
Pension per year 80000 for 30 years
PV of 30 pension (₹644,414.72)
Suppose you plan to send your daughter for higher education 20 years from now and you expect it would cost
Rs. 40 lakhs. How much to save today if the interest rate is 8%?
Suppose you plan to send your daughter for higher education 20 years from now and you expect it would cost
Rs. 40 lakhs. How much to save per year if the interest rate is 8%?
=4000000/((1.08^20)/8%) 87408.84
Perpetuity
If SBI issues a perpetual bond with a face of value Rs. 10000 and interest rate is 8%, what is the fair value of
the bond if the current interest rate is 6%?
Fair value of the bond is equal to Present Value of Rs. 800 that we get interest for perpetual
PV of perpetuity = C/r 13333.33
Growing perpetuity
If Yes bank issues a growing perpetual bond with face of Rs. 10000 and interest rate is 4% and interest
amount is increasing at 2%, what is the fair value if the current interest rate is 5%
Interest 1 400.00
Interest 2 408.00
Interest 3 416.16
Financial Planning
Current Age 25
Investment period 35
Life after retirement 40
including spouse
Interest rate 8%
Inflation rate (long-term) 4%
IFCI Issued a Millionaire bond collected Rs. 10400 for 30 years and agree to pay Rs. 10 lakhs at
the end of 30 years. What is interest Rate?
e end of year
What is the future value of Rs. 1000 invested at 12% per annum 9646.2931
invested for 20 years (interest compounded annually)?
What is the future value of Rs. 1000 invested at 12% per annum 10640.8906
invested for 20 years (interest compounded quarterly)?
What is the future value of Rs. 1000 invested at 12% per annum
invested for 20 years (interest compounded continuously)? 11023.1764 11023.1764
For the target amount of Rs. 10 lakhs at the end of 10 years, how
much one has to invest today if the interest rate is 8% and 463193.49
compounded annually?
For the target amount of Rs. 10 lakhs at the end of 10 years, how -63916.19
much one has to invest every year starting from today if the
interest rate is 8% and compounded annually?
A bank offers annual interest rate of 8%. How long does it take to
double the invested amount? Interest is compounded annually.
(Hint: Use trial and error to find the years to double the 8% 9.0000
investment).
What is the fair value of a bond that offers an interest amount of
Rs. 100 at the end of the first year and then interest increases at 5000.0000
the rate of 4% per year forever. The current market interest rate is
6%.
You have won a lottery that offers either Rs. 10 lakhs today or Rs. 3 -1250959.63 It is better take the lottery amount at the
lakhs per year starting from today for five years. Your opportunity
interest rate is 10%. Which one will you choose?
300000.0000 300000.0000
0.0000 1.0000
300000.0000 272727.2727
1250959.63
Suppose you bought bond today at Rs. 1084.25 and within few
minutes the RBI changes interest rate and the current interest rate
in the market is 5%. Suppose you decide the sell the bond. How
much you will get?
Yield to Maturity
If I hold the bond till its maturuity, what is the effective interest
rate that I will earn from this investment 5.9999%
0 -1084.25
1 80.00 75.4717418
2 80.00 71.1997976
3 80.00 67.1696592
4 80.00 63.3676397
5 1080.00 807.0411616
YTM is equal to the rate at which the PVCIF=PVCOF 5.9999% 1084.2500000
Therefore, YTM is equal to IRR of the Cash Flows =IRR(B46:B51)
Bond A Bond B
Time to Maturity (years) 5 5.25
Face Value 1000 5000
Coupon 6% 9%
Maturity Value At Par At premium of 200
Current Market Price 1100 5400
Which bond you will select?
Ans: The one which gives higher YTM
0 -1100 -5400
1 60 450
2 60 450
3 60 450
4 60 450
5 1060 450
5.25 5312.5
Duration 4.4902
Exercise
Face Value :1000; Coupon 7%; Maturity 10 years; Redeemed at
Par; Current Interest Rate is 10%
Find the duration of the bond
Time CF PV of CF @ 10%
1 70 63.6364
2 70 57.8512
3 70 52.5920
4 70 47.8109
5 70 43.4645
6 70 39.5132
7 70 35.9211
8 70 32.6555
9 70 29.6868
10 1070 412.5313
815.6630
Duration of the Bond 7.2186
Bond A: Face Value Rs. 10000, Coupon 10%; Period 10 years; 6.36
repayment 3000 at the end of 8th year, 3000 at the end of 9th
year and 4000 at the end of 10th year
Bond B: Face Value Rs. 10000, Coupon 10%; Period 10 years; 6.76
repayment 10000 at the end of 10th year
CF PV CF @ 10%
1 1000 909.090909090909
2 1000 826.446280991735
3 1000 751.314800901578
4 1000 683.013455365071
5 1000 620.921323059155
6 1000 564.473930053777
7 1000 513.158118230706
8 4000 1866.02952083893
9 3700 1569.16118797819
10 4400 1696.39047348994
10000
Duration 6.36461303119
CF PV CF @ 10%
1 1000 909.090909090909
2 1000 826.446280991735
3 1000 751.314800901578
4 1000 683.013455365071
5 1000 620.921323059155
6 1000 564.473930053777
7 1000 513.158118230706
8 1000 466.507380209733
9 1000 424.097618372485
10 11000 4240.97618372485
10000
Duration 6.75902381628
Find the market price of the two bonds if the interest rate changes
from 10% to 12%? Bond A Bond B
Current Price 10000 10000
Price when the interest rate changes from 10% to 12%
2.7183 e^rt
1.9990 9.0000
take the lottery amount at the rate of Rs. 3 lakhs per year for 5 years starting from today
417.6722
387.6668
359.8169
333.9678
309.9757
3591.8637
5400.9631
PV CF * Time
57.692307692
110.94674556
160.01934456
205.15300585
4356.2136658
4890.0250695
years
PVCF * Time
432.6923
832.1006
1200.1451
1538.6475
1849.3360
22700.3846
28553.3061
PVCF * Time
63.6364
115.7025
157.7761
191.2438
217.3225
237.0791
251.4475
261.2441
267.1815
4125.3132
5887.9465
909.09090909
1652.892562
2253.9444027
2732.0538215
3104.6066153
3386.8435803
3592.1068276
14928.236167
14122.450692
16963.904735
63646.130312
909.09090909
1652.892562
2253.9444027
2732.0538215
3104.6066153
3386.8435803
3592.1068276
3732.0590417
3816.8785654
42409.761837
67590.238163
Bond A Bond B Bond A Bond B
Face Value 1000 1000 0 -950 -1150
Coupon 8% 12% 1 80 120
Period 5 7 2 80 120
Market Price 950 1150 3 80 120
Maturity Value 1000 1050 4 80 120
5 1080 120
Yield 8.42% 10.43% 6 120
Yield to Maturity 7 1170
DURATION YTM 9.30% 9.50%
Assuming you are investing in two year bond, your cash flows -1000
1 90 97.2 0 100
2 1090 1090 1187.2 100
1187.2 8.96% 1100
IRR of Zero Coupon Bond
Spot Rate for 1 year 8.00%
Spot Rate for 2 year 8.96%
Spot Rate for 3 year 9.88%
Spot rate is computed by converting interest paying bond into zero coupon bond and then computing IRR of the ZCB.
Assumptions
Company is in matured industry
No major growth rate or expansion
No Major cost saving
Only source of growth is retained profit
Growth rate is lower than cost of equity
M&M 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
EPS in Rs 21.43 25.08 25.46 33.38 37.89 25.26
Dividend Payout % 22% 22% 24% 19% 18% 23%
Dividend per share A 4.7146 5.52 6.11 6.34 6.82 5.81
Retained Profit Ratio 78% 78% 76% 81% 82% 77%
ROE
Powergrid Corporation
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
EPS in Rs 4.33 5.35 6.99 6.52 7.23 8.54
Dividend Payout % 30% 30% 31% 30% 21% 20%
Dividend per share A 1.30 1.61 2.17 1.96 1.52 1.71
Retained Profit Ratio 70% 70% 69% 70% 79% 80%
ROE
DDM CMP
HUL 470 2291
Havellis 446 1198
Torrent 1414 2618
Corromandel Not Applicable 798
Coal India 228 162
Castrol
Utratech 965 7431
J B Chemicals
Devis Lab 2657 4238
BPCL 76 372
PVCF*Time Maturity value of Interest -1150
109.5849 206.902049 0
200.1474 188.944477 0
274.1642 172.545489 0
333.8250 157.569813 0
381.0643 143.893915 0
417.5889 131.404984 0
4337.8024 1170 2171.26073
6054.1772 2171.26073 9.50%
ecreasing rate
-1000
118.81 0
108 0
1100 1326.81
1326.81 9.88%
assumed value
of last five year)
M&M For Assignment 1 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13
Growth Rate of Sales 26.58% 61.13% 15.65%
Sales + 29,124 36,864 59,399 68,693
Expenses + 26,210 30,762 52,140 59,578
Operating Profit 2,914 6,102 7,259 9,116
OPM % 10% 17% 12% 13%
Other Income 3,113 521 526 841
Interest 1,121 1,135 1,800 2,297
Depreciation 874 972 1,802 2,080
Profit before tax 4,033 4,515 4,184 5,580
Tax % 29% 29% 34% 35%
Net Profit 2,479 3,080 3,127 4,099
EPS in Rs. (PAT/No of shares) 21.43 25.08 25.46 33.38
Growth Rate of EPS 17.03% 1.52% 31.11%
Dividend Payout % 22% 22% 24% 19%
Dividend per share 4.7146 5.5176 6.1104 6.3422
Dividend Growth Rate 17.03% 10.74% 3.79%
1+Dividend Growth Rate 117.03% 110.74% 103.79%
If the new business ROE is equal to cost of equity, then the value of the equity is equal to the present Dividend Discount Mode
If the new business ROE is greater than cost of equity, then the value of the equity is more than present Dividend Discount M
If the new business ROE is less than cost of equity, then the value of the equity is less than present Dividend Discount Model v
Fair value of the firm.= Existing business value + or - new business value
EPS 1 10
Dividend Amount 8 80%
Retained Profit 2 20%
Cost of Equity 10%
Normal Growth Rate 2% Cost of Equity * RE Ratio
Value of Existing Business 100 100
Capital Budgeting
A business is investing 100 million today and expected to get 15 million in year 1, 20 million in year 2 and 25 million in Year 3,
Is this investment financially justified if the cost of capital is equal to 15%?
Time CF PV CF @ 15%
0 -100 -100.00
1 15 13.04
2 20 15.12
3 25 16.44
4 25 14.29
5 25 12.43
Net Present Value (NPV) -28.67 Conclusion: Since NPV is less than zero, the
PV of Cash Inflows 71.33
PV of Cash Outflow 100.00
Net Present Value -28.67
Time CF PV CF @ 15%
0 -70 -70.00
1 15 13.04
2 20 15.12
3 25 16.44
4 25 14.29
5 25 12.43
Net Present Value (NPV) 1.33 Conclusion: Since NPV is greater than zero,
Internal Rate of Return
IRR is the rate which NPV is Zero or PVCIF=PVCOF 15.73% Conclusion: If IRR >= Discount Rate or Cost
IRR has more communication value
Conclusion: Given the sales growth rate and EPS growth rat
P = D1/(k-g) k = (D1/P)+g
Cost of Equity
133.33
88.89
95.24
97.56
100.00
NPV is less than zero, the investment in the project is not financially viable; reject the project
NPV is greater than zero, the investment in the project is financially viable; Accept the project
Chart Title
growth rate and EPS growth rate, it is unlikely that the company to show a long-term sustainable growth rate of 14% to justify the price
ost of Equity 4.42% Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate +[ Equity Beta (Avg Market Return-Average
Project A Project B
0 -400 -200
1 250 140
2 300 179
IRR 23% 36%
NPV @ 9% 81.86 79.10
2.76
The incremental investment gives required rate of return of 9% plus 2.79 in addition
The incremental project may not be as profitable as project B but it is profitable enough to ac
Payback Period
Time CF PV CF @ 15% cum CF
0 -40 -40.00 -40
1 15 13.04 -25
2 20 15.12 -5
3 25 16.44 20
4 25 14.29
5 25 12.43
Net Present Value (NPV) 31.33 Decision: Accept since NPV is positive
IRR 41.58% Decision: Accept since IRR>15%
Payback period (how long it takes to get back investmen 2.20 Years
Discounted Payback Period 2.72 Years
Payback period gives a sense risk associated with the project; Longer the payback period, higher the risk
Payback period can be used for grouping the projects on the basis of risk
Problem 1
Time Cash Flow
0 -11 Old Equipment Curren BV
1 2.39 Sale Value
2 2.39 Loss of sale of old machine
3 2.39 Tax Saved
4 2.39
5 2.69 Depreciation for new machine
6 8.69 Depreciation for old machine
7 Incremental Depreciation
IRR 17.49% Decision: Replace the Tax saved on incremental Dep
NPV 3.15 old equipment
Adjustment
Tax gain on capital loss when old equipment was sold 1.32
Tax gain on incremental depreciation 0.09
Cash inflow of selling the new equipment at the end 7 y 4.50
Problem 2
Time Profit after tax Add: Depreciation
0 -1200
1 210.00 180.00 390.00
2 231.00 144.00 375.00
3 254.10 115.20 369.30
4 279.51 92.16 371.67
5 307.46 73.73 381.19
6 307.46 58.98 366.44
7 307.46 47.19 354.65
8 307.46 37.75 345.21
9 307.46 30.20 337.66
10 307.46 24.16 331.62
11 307.46 19.33 326.79
12 307.46 15.46 322.92
13 307.46 12.37 319.83
14 307.46 9.90 317.36
15 307.46 39.58 437.04
IRR 30.35%
Decision: Accept since IRR > 15%
5000
5100
Project A Project B
-400 -200
229.36 128.44
252.50 150.66
PV CIF 481.86 279.10
PV COF 400.00 200.00
NPV 81.86 79.10
us 2.79 in addition
t is profitable enough to accept
Cum PVCF
-40.00
-26.96
-11.83
4.60
IRR (%) PI
17.2 0.2640
18.00 0.1800
16.6 0.1433
12.1 0.1400
13.5 0.1200
11.8 0.0700
11.2 0.0600
10.7 -0.0400
29.25%
403.15
4 years
5.62
0.8063
8.40
4.00
-4.40
0
1.5 1.5
1 0
0.5 1.5
0.15 0.45
₹5.46
₹4.75
₹4.13
₹3.59
₹3.12
₹2.71
₹2.36
₹2.05
₹28.18
1 2 3 4 5
Revenue 1000 1100 1210 1331 1464.1
Cost of Sales 700 770 847 931.7 1024.87
Cash Flow 300 330 363 399.3 439.23
After Tax CF 210 231 254.1 279.51 307.461
20%
BV (opening) Dep BV (closing)
1 900.00 180.00 720.00
2 720.00 144.00 576.00
3 576.00 115.20 460.80
4 460.80 92.16 368.64
5 368.64 73.73 294.91
6 294.91 58.98 235.93
7 235.93 47.19 188.74
8 188.74 37.75 150.99
9 150.99 30.20 120.80
10 120.80 24.16 96.64
11 96.64 19.33 77.31
12 77.31 15.46 61.85
13 61.85 12.37 49.48
14 49.48 9.90 39.58
15 39.58 39.58 0.00
Existing project
Yes
120
6 7 8
0 0 0
100 100 0
100 100 0
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5
Capacity 300 300 300 300 300
Estimated Capacity Utilization 50% 65% 85% 85% 85%
Production Volume (units in lakhs) 150 195 255 255 255
Selling Price Per unit 1.20 1.26 1.32 1.39 1.46
Initial Project Cost -330
Sales Revenue (Rs in Lakhs) 180.00 245.70 337.365 354.233 371.945
Expenses (Excluding Dep and interest)
Raw Material 126.00 171.99 236.156 247.963 260.361
Utilities 5.00 6.00 8.00 8.40 8.82
Employee Cost 10.00 10.50 11.03 11.58 12.16
Factory Overhead 4.00 4.40 4.84 5.32 5.86
Admin Overhead 8.00 8.48 8.99 9.53 10.10
Selling Expenses 11.00 14.29 18.87 19.71 20.60
Other Cost or Miscellaneous Exp 15.00 15.75 16.54 17.36 18.23
Depreciation (always zero) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Interest (always zero) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Total Expenses 179.00 231.41 304.42 319.87 336.12
Profit Before Depreciation and Interest 1.00 14.30 32.95 34.37 35.82
Less Tax on PBIT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Add: Salvage value of assets
Add: Working capital released
Cash flows -330 1.00 14.30 32.95 34.37 35.82
PV of Cash Inflow @ 10.65% discount rate -330.00 0.90 11.68 24.32 22.93 21.60
Beta 1.4
RF 7%
Risk premium 6.38%
Cost of equity 15.93%
6 7 8 9 10
300 300 300 300 300
85% 85% 85% 85% 85%
255 255 255 255 255
1.53 1.61 1.69 1.77 1.86
6 7 8 9 10
65.54 52.43 41.94 33.55 26.84
13.11 10.49 8.39 6.71 5.37
52.43 41.94 33.55 26.84 21.47
6 7 8 9 10
23.62 21.26 19.13 17.22 15.50
2.36 2.13 1.91 1.72 1.55
21.26 19.13 17.22 15.50 13.95
6 7 8 9 10
37.32 38.86 40.43 42.04 43.69
13.11 10.49 8.39 6.71 5.37
2.36 2.13 1.91 1.72 1.55
New Machine
Employee Cost 34680 34680 34680
Power and steam 28188 28188 28188
Total Cost 62868 62868 62868
0 1 2 3
Cum Cash Flow -165000 -108740 -79045 -50158
Cum Discounted Cash Flow -165000 -115212 -91957 -71937
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976
Second shifThird shift Third shift Third shift Third shift Third shift Third shift
93430 139820 139820 139820 139820 139820 139820
41472 41472 41472 41472 41472 41472 41472
134902 181292 181292 181292 181292 181292 181292
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
-21999 22369
-54666 -30585 -9911 1326
4.495825
6.881972
Additional Investments
Machine Cost 120000
Installation 45000
165000
Operator
Inspector
Utility Man
Technical Assis
Technician
Second shift
Third Shift
Power
Steam
Power&Steam
Capacity Production Estimates b
First Shift 132000 per month Year
Second Shift 96000 per monthAdditional Equipment 20000 1965
Third Shift 96000 per month 1966
1967
New Machine 1968
First shift 240000 per month 1969
Second shift 180000 1970
1971
Existing Machine New Machine
Pay scale # employeCost # employeCost
200 8 19200 7 16800
46390 34680
46390 NA
330 5.5
270 4.5
10
Exhibit 4: Traffic Details for the Naini-Manikpur-Itarsi Route
2010-11
Northern Central Western Central
Railway Railway
Passenger, Mail, and Express Trains per Day 22 48
Goods Trains per Day 8 31
Route Length in Route Kilometers (RKM) 83 522
Load in Tonnes for Passenger, Mail, and Express Trains 1,750 1,750
Load in Tonnes for Goods Trains 1,900 1,900
Estimation of Annual Gross Tonne Kilometer (GTKM) Annual GTKM = No. of Trains * Route KM * Load * 365 days
Year Passenger (North) Passenger (Western)
1 1,883,137,200 27140998500
2 1,883,137,200 27,140,998,500
3 1,883,137,200 27,140,998,500
4 1,883,137,200 27,140,998,500
5 1,883,137,200 27,140,998,500
6 2,109,113,664 30,397,918,320
7 2,109,113,664 30,397,918,320
8 2,109,113,664 30,397,918,320
9 2,109,113,664 30,397,918,320
10 2,109,113,664 30,397,918,320
From year 11 onwards 2,362,207,304 34,045,668,518
9057890 134,619,353
Fuel and Energy Cost Estimation 36909489 548,248,170
Year Disel Electricity
1 7,452,403,000 3,708,156,213
2 7,452,403,000 3,708,156,213
3 7,452,403,000 3,708,156,213
4 7,452,403,000 3,708,156,213
5 7,452,403,000 3,708,156,213
6 8,561,046,961 4,238,194,446
7 8,561,046,961 4,238,194,446
8 8,561,046,961 4,238,194,446
9 8,561,046,961 4,238,194,446
10 8,561,046,961 4,238,194,446
From year 11 onwards 9,845,599,317 4,848,849,165
Decision: Accept the project since IRR of the project is > Required rate of return.
tarsi Route
2017-18 (Estimate)
Northern Central Western Central Growth Rate
Year
Railway Railway (passenger)
24 55 First 5-years 0%
17 43 Year 6 (upto year 10) 12%
83 522 Year 11 (beyond) 12%
2,590 2,590 Project Life 30 years after completion
3,250 3,250 Project Construction Time 5 years
Norms
Diesel
Northern Central Western Central
Railway Railway
25.75 19.93
Year 6 to 10
From Year 11
Saving
180,584,808
180,584,808
180,584,808
180,584,808
180,584,808
208,558,417
208,558,417
208,558,417
208,558,417
208,558,417
241,149,545
Saving
466,522,224 83714455
466,522,224
466,522,224
466,522,224
466,522,224
554,216,630
554,216,630
554,216,630
554,216,630
554,216,630
656,767,567
Year 0 5% 300.27
Year 1 10% 600.54
Year 2 25% 1501.35
Year 3 35% 2101.89
Year 4 25% 1499.85 Spare scrap value of 1.5 adjusted
Life of Project Once 30 years
Completed 6003.90
Growth Rate
(goods)
0%
20%
20%
years after completion
5 years
Cost of Electricity
166830891 2478081727 66728330.5 996515265 3708156213
186850598 2775451534.29 80073996.6 1195818318 4238194446
209272669 3108505718.4 96088795.9 1434981981 4848849165
Cost of Disel
300903104 4472054892 167366819 2512078185 7452403000
337011476 5008701479 200840183 3014493823 8561046961
377452853 5609745657 241008220 3617392587 9845599317
ost of Lubricant
Lubricant Requirement-Disel
129088065 88348592.8 36851849.8 217436658 180584808
144578633 106018311 42038527.4 250596944 208558417
Real Cash Flows are to be discounted at Real Discount Rate and that will be equal to Nominal Cash Flows discounted at Nomin
Nominal CF PV @ 12%(nominal) Real CF PV @ 7.69%(Real)
0 -100.00 -100.00 -100.00 -100.00
1 31.20 27.86 30.00 27.86
2 32.45 25.87 30.00 25.87
3 33.75 24.02 30.00 24.02
4 35.10 22.30 30.00 22.30
5 36.50 20.71 30.00 20.71
NPV 20.7590 20.7590
What is the NPV of the above project if real cash flows are discounted at nominal rate
0 -100.00 -100.00
1 30.00 26.79
2 30.00 23.92
3 30.00 21.35
4 30.00 19.07
5 30.00 17.02
8.14
Covariance Matrix
M&M
M&M 0.02496%
AP 0.01078%
HDFC Bank 0.01459%
RIL
Avg Return 1.00%
Weights 20%
Weights M&M
20% M&M 0.00100%
42% AP 0.00091%
38% HDFC Bank 0.00111%
RIL
s(p)2 = å å Cov i j Wi Wj Portfolio Variance
Portfolio SD (port risk)
Portfolio Return
Annualized Port Risk
Sec 1 Return 18.00% Portfolio Weight Sec 1 Weight Sec 2Port Return
Sec 2 Return 13.80% 1 100% 0 18.00%
Cov of 1, 1 0.196% 2 99% 1.00% 17.96%
Cov of 1, 2 -0.1580% 3 98% 2.00% 17.92%
Cov of 2, 2 0.130% 4 97% 3.00% 17.87%
Cov of 2, 1 -0.1580% 5 96% 4.00% 17.83%
6 95% 5.00% 17.79%
7 94% 6.00% 17.75%
8 93% 7.00% 17.71%
9 92% 8.00% 17.66%
10 91% 9.00% 17.62%
11 90% 10.00% 17.58%
12 89% 11.00% 17.54%
13 88% 12.00% 17.50%
14 87% 13.00% 17.45%
15 86% 14.00% 17.41%
16 85% 15.00% 17.37%
17 84% 16.00% 17.33%
18 83% 17.00% 17.29%
19 82% 18.00% 17.24%
20 81% 19.00% 17.20%
21 80% 20.00% 17.16%
22 79% 21.00% 17.12%
23 78% 22.00% 17.08%
24 77% 23.00% 17.03%
25 76% 24.00% 16.99%
26 75% 25.00% 16.95%
27 74% 26.00% 16.91%
28 73% 27.00% 16.87%
29 72% 28.00% 16.82%
30 71% 29.00% 16.78%
31 70% 30.00% 16.74%
32 69% 31.00% 16.70%
33 68% 32.00% 16.66%
34 67% 33.00% 16.61%
35 66% 34.00% 16.57%
36 65% 35.00% 16.53%
37 64% 36.00% 16.49%
38 63% 37.00% 16.45%
39 62% 38.00% 16.40%
40 61% 39.00% 16.36%
41 60% 40.00% 16.32%
42 59% 41.00% 16.28%
43 58% 42.00% 16.24%
44 57% 43.00% 16.19%
45 56% 44.00% 16.15%
46 55% 45.00% 16.11%
47 54% 46.00% 16.07%
48 53% 47.00% 16.03%
49 52% 48.00% 15.98%
50 51% 49.00% 15.94%
51 50% 50.00% 15.90%
52 49% 51.00% 15.86%
53 48% 52.00% 15.82%
54 47% 53.00% 15.77%
55 46% 54.00% 15.73%
56 45% 55.00% 15.69%
57 44% 56.00% 15.65%
58 43% 57.00% 15.61%
59 42% 58.00% 15.56%
60 41% 59.00% 15.52%
61 40% 60.00% 15.48%
62 39% 61.00% 15.44%
63 38% 62.00% 15.40%
64 37% 63.00% 15.35%
65 36% 64.00% 15.31%
66 35% 65.00% 15.27%
67 34% 66.00% 15.23%
68 33% 67.00% 15.19%
69 32% 68.00% 15.14%
70 31% 69.00% 15.10%
71 30% 70.00% 15.06%
72 29% 71.00% 15.02%
73 28% 72.00% 14.98%
74 27% 73.00% 14.93%
75 26% 74.00% 14.89%
76 25% 75.00% 14.85%
77 24% 76.00% 14.81%
78 23% 77.00% 14.77%
79 22% 78.00% 14.72%
80 21% 79.00% 14.68%
81 20% 80.00% 14.64%
82 19% 81.00% 14.60%
83 18% 82.00% 14.56%
84 17% 83.00% 14.51%
85 16% 84.00% 14.47%
86 15% 85.00% 14.43%
87 14% 86.00% 14.39%
88 13% 87.00% 14.35%
89 12% 88.00% 14.30%
90 11% 89.00% 14.26%
91 10% 90.00% 14.22%
92 9% 91.00% 14.18%
93 8% 92.00% 14.14%
94 7% 93.00% 14.09%
95 6% 94.00% 14.05%
96 5% 95.00% 14.01%
97 4% 96.00% 13.97%
98 3% 97.00% 13.93%
99 2% 98.00% 13.88%
100 1% 99.00% 13.84%
101 0% 100.00% 13.80%
Instead of buying sugar today, you have invested Rs. 100 @ 12% for one year
ash Flows discounted at Nominal Discount Rate At the end of 1 year 112
@ 7.69%(Real) 1 kg of sugar 41.6
Sugar quty that you can buy 2.69 kg at the end of 1 year
-0.26% 0.09%
-0.96% -0.88%
-0.20% -0.79%
1.33% 1.53%
1.40% 0.76%
0.05% 2.28%
0.17% -1.04%
1.05% 0.57%
-1.91% -3.66%
1.31% -0.43%
0.37% 2.45%
0.32% 1.84%
-0.69% -0.41%
-2.27% -2.97%
3.85% 2.99%
-0.36% -0.14%
0.40% -0.61%
-0.23% 0.39%
-0.21% 0.64%
-0.75% -0.75%
0.1210% 0.0936%
1.28% 1.63%
0.0163% 0.0266%
30.24% 23.41%
42% 38%
AP HDFC Bank RIL
0.00091% 0.00111%
0.00288% 0.00248%
0.00248% 0.00384%
When the correlation is equal to 1, the portfolio risk is equal to weighted average risk of the stocks
in the portfolio. That is the reason I said “Portfolio risk is not always equal to weighted average
risk of the individual stocks in the portfolio”.
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.36300822
R Square 0.13177497
Adjusted R S 0.1282456
Standard Erro 0.022447
Observations 248
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.01881275 0.01881275 37.3366821 3.8639E-09
Residual 246 0.12395148 0.00050387
Total 247 0.14276423
CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0%
Intercept -3.3448E-05 0.00142652 -0.0234472 0.98131257 -0.0028432 0.0027763 -0.0028432
X Variable 1 0.35975925 0.05887679 6.11037496 3.8639E-09 0.24379234 0.47572616 0.24379234
Beta
Upper 95.0%
0.0027763
0.47572616
Date NIFTY M&M DLF Reliance NIFTY M&M
Apr 01, 2021 14,867.35 798.61 289.91 2,015.37
Apr 05, 2021 14,637.80 765.83 274.96 1,986.21 -1.54% -4.10%
Apr 06, 2021 14,683.50 772.41 277.00 1,977.94 0.31% 0.86%
Apr 07, 2021 14,819.05 787.44 281.27 1,996.43 0.92% 1.95%
Apr 08, 2021 14,873.80 786.30 278.63 1,998.92 0.37% -0.14%
Apr 09, 2021 14,834.85 782.34 277.74 1,975.69 -0.26% -0.50%
Apr 12, 2021 14,310.80 743.14 245.00 1,905.02 -3.53% -5.01%
Apr 13, 2021 14,504.80 802.22 254.04 1,925.61 1.36% 7.95%
Apr 15, 2021 14,581.45 796.14 246.39 1,938.07 0.53% -0.76%
Apr 16, 2021 14,617.85 812.50 250.82 1,925.90 0.25% 2.05%
Apr 19, 2021 14,359.45 786.10 235.27 1,895.60 -1.77% -3.25%
Apr 20, 2021 14,296.40 802.12 232.88 1,895.05 -0.44% 2.04%
Apr 22, 2021 14,406.15 790.80 245.40 1,900.29 0.77% -1.41%
Apr 23, 2021 14,341.35 769.24 240.38 1,898.24 -0.45% -2.73%
Apr 26, 2021 14,485.00 771.81 245.20 1,931.64 1.00% 0.33%
Apr 27, 2021 14,653.05 769.74 252.06 1,982.27 1.16% -0.27%
Apr 28, 2021 14,864.55 773.40 249.28 1,990.90 1.44% 0.48%
Apr 29, 2021 14,894.90 765.98 247.69 2,017.56 0.20% -0.96%
Apr 30, 2021 14,631.10 744.17 245.70 1,988.10 -1.77% -2.85%
a -0.00335%
b 0.3597592502
0.0314070%
+rn)^(1/n)]-1
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (Discounting Rate for project evaluation)
Interest 6102
Debt 80087
Avg Rate 7.62%
A Japanese company wants to invest in Korean automobile industry. How do you compute Equity Beta of the investments?
A Japanese company wants to invest in Japan automobile industry. How do you compute Equity Beta of the investments?
1.63 = (.3*65%)+(B(E)*35%)
Market capWeighted
weight Avg asset beta
0.77551947 0.39
0.22448053 0.20
1 0.59
WACC
Equity 100% 80% 20%
Debt 0% 20% 80%
WACC 15.00% 13.60% 9.40%
Value of Firm
Value of Equity 266.67 256.00 224.00
Value of Debt 0.00 20.00 80.00
266.67 276.00 304.00
PBIT 40 40 40
Interest 0 1.6 6.4
PBT 40 38.4 33.6
Taxes 0 0 0
PAT 40 38.4 33.6
Cost
Cost of Equity 15% 16.75% 43.00%
Cost of debt 8% 8% 8%
WACC 15.00% 15.00% 15.00%
Value of Firm
Value of Equity 266.67 246.67 186.67
Value of Debt 0.00 20.00 80.00
Value of Firm 266.67 266.67 266.67
Traditional Theory
Assumption: Debt holders will demand no increase in
Equity 100 80 20 70 Assumption: Equity holders will demand no increase
Debt @ 8% 0 20 80 30 Conclusion: Optimal capital structure is at a place wh
100 100 100 100
At lower debt level, Net Income theory holds good an
PBIT 40 40 40 40
Interest 0 1.6 6.4 2.4
PBT 40 38.4 33.6 37.6
Taxes 0 0 0 0
PAT 40 38.4 33.6 37.6
Cost
Cost of Equity 15% 15.00% 20.00% 15.00%
Cost of debt 8% 8% 13% 8%
WACC 15.00% 13.60% 14.40% 12.90%
Value of Firm
Value of Equity 266.67 274.12 197.78 280.08
Value of Debt 0.00 20.00 80.00 30.00
Value of Firm 266.67 294.12 277.78 310.08
o demand 8% interest whether the firm borrowed 20% of the capital or 80% of the capital
more equity cost when the firm increases the debt from 20% to 80%
mental cost of equity is equal to the benefit of the debt
n borrow any amount; capital structure decision is irrelevant
will demand no increase in interest rate initially when the debt levels are low but will start demanding higher interest rate at higher debt le
will demand no increase in cost of equity initially when the debt levels are low but will start demanding higher cost of equity at higher de
structure is at a place where WACC is the lowest
ome theory holds good and at higher debt level NOI theory holds good