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The Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on

Small and Medium Enterprises


in Bangladesh

Asadul Islam
Director, Centre for Development Economics and Sustainability (CDES)
Professor, Department of Economics, Monash University

Atiya Rahman
Senior Research Associate, BRAC Institute of Governance and
Development (BIGD), BRAC University

Rafia Nisat
Research Associate, BRAC Institute of Governance and
Development (BIGD), BRAC University

December 2020
Development Economics Series 01

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Abstract
Like other economic players, the female labour-intensive work (i.e.
novel pandemic severely hit small beauty parlour, tailoring) was affected
businesses—the larger source of harder. Other findings of concern
growth and employment but also the include the emerging vulnerabilities for
most vulnerable sector—by disrupting the enterprises with lower endowment
national and international business and poor access to government
networks, supply chain, and demand. stimulus packages, and other financial
To understand the evolving state of support. The study emphasises on
small enterprises during pre, par, the importance of concrete targeting
and post-lockdown periods, BIGD in criteria and support delivery platforms
collaboration with Monash University, to assist more vulnerable enterprises.
Australia conducted a survey on small Finally, it highlights that the enterprises
enterprises, mostly light-engineering that received BRAC’s intensive training
firms, and young workers across 18 on occupational health and safety
districts in Bangladesh. The study (OHS), along with business training
finds that lockdown measures caused and financial linkages, made double
the majority of small enterprises shut profit compared to their counterparts.
down, and during the early period However, the absolute amount of profit
of relaxing the lockdown, one-third was substantially lower for both groups,
of the enterprises were operating at compared to their pre-COVID profit,
limited capacity. Demand drop and indicating the importance of scaling up
the burden of fixed costs to run the such intensive training to create more
businesses were the prominent reasons resilient enterprises in such crises.
behind the drastic fall in profit. As a
result, workers were losing jobs and
the gender gap was widening, because

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Contents
Abstract

Acknowledgment

1. Introduction and Background 1

2. The Survey 3

3 Results from the Enterprise Owners’ Survey 4


3.1 Respondents’ profile 4
3.2 Business operations, sales and expenses 4
3.3 Consequences for hired workers 9
3.4 Challenges faced during the lockdown 9
3.5 Coping 10
3.6 Access to stimulus package by government 11
3.7 The time required for business recovery 12
3.8 Health guidelines and COVID-19 symptoms 13
3.9 How the BRAC intervention recipients are performing
compared to their counterparts during this pandemic 13

4. Results from the Workers’ Survey 16

4.1 Workers’ employment status and income relative to


the pre-COVID level 16
4.2 How the intervention recipient and non-recipient
workers are doing during this pandemic 18

5. Conclusion 19

References 20

Annexe 21

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Acknowledgment
We would like to express our deepest gratitude to Dr. Narayan Das, Senior Research
Fellow, BRAC Institute of Governance and Development (BIGD); Imran Matin,
Executive Director, BIGD; Margaret Triyana, and Xing Xia for their continued support,
encouragement and valuable suggestions at different stages of the study. We are
also indebted to the survey respondents for sharing their time and useful information
for the study during this unprecedented time, without which this report could not be
generated. The field and data management team of BIGD also deserve special thanks
for their strenuous work. We thank Nusrat Jahan, Head of Business Development
and Knowledge Management for helping to prepare the report. We acknowledge the
generous financial support of GLM|LIC program supported by UK Aid.

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1. Introduction and Background
The COVID-19 pandemic has had working with hazardous substances,
dramatic ramifications around the world. which can result in frequent work-related
To limit the spread of the disease, many injuries and fatalities. The sector acts
countries adopted lockdown and social as a support industry to other industries
distancing measures. Although vital in at various stages of the supply chain.
containing the virus, these measures The LE sector is one of the largest sub-
have also precipitated an unprecedented sectors of SMEs with two million workers,
economic crisis. At present, many contributing to 2% of GDP.
countries have started relaxing the In our initial project, we analyse the
lockdown to restart economic activities, impact of intensive decent-work-
which is expected to remain subdued for environment training on 2248 light
some time. Bangladesh started easing engineering (LE) firms. The RCT consists
lockdown measures in early June, of the following treatment arms: T1:
but the movement of people across Managers/owners of firms receiving
the country and economic activity is intensive training on OHS; T2: OHS +
expected to remain restricted, as the business training and financial linkages;
number of COVID-19 cases have not and C: firms in the control group with
yet decreased. Lockdown and social no training. For the evaluation, we
distancing measures have hit Small conducted a firm survey in November-
and Micro Enterprises (SMEs) especially December, 2019.
hard. These SMEs account for a large
portion of production and employment In this study, we seek to understand the
in developing countries. current situation of these SMEs and their
workers, and compare it with the pre-
This study examines the impact of the COVID period. We examine whether
pandemic on SMEs and their workers the effects of the lockdown measures
in Bangladesh. It takes advantage of vary by firms’ decent-work-environment
an ongoing project, implemented by training status. We examine whether
BRAC, with funding support from the and how decent-work-environment
European Commission. The research training helped to maintain a healthy
team previously collaborated with BRAC work environment for workers during
to design and evaluate an intervention the pandemic. We hypothesise that
in light engineering (LE) firms, using a the treated firms are more likely to
large scale randomised controlled trial adopt safety measures to minimise the
(RCT) that started in 2017. Most firms transmission of COVID-19. The first
in the LE sector are small and informal, round of the survey has been completed.
with high dependence on low-skilled In the follow-up surveys, we will
labour and little occupational health and examine the longer-term impact of the
safety (OHS) measures. Most of their COVID-19 pandemic on firm survival,
production process involves welding or growth, investment, and profitability.

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We will also examine the longer-term (Fields 2003). The interaction between
effects of the pandemic on workers’ our intervention and the pandemic will
wellbeing and labour market outcomes. allow us to examine the role of OHS
We will compare these outcomes with and business training on firms’ ability to
information already collected in 2019, survive and protect their workers.
before the pandemic. In addition to these light engineering
firms, our sample also includes a
The rich literature on microenterprise small sample of other enterprises such
development in LMICs has largely as hotels, beauty parlours, clothing/
focused on either credit or formal tailoring, and general stores. This report
business training, while we incorporate documents the condition of the surveyed
OHS to promote worker wellbeing. Our small and medium enterprises (hence
findings will contribute to the literature after SMEs) at three stages—pre, par,
on the broader effects of training for and post lockdown. We also aim to
firms and workers in the informal sector, explore the condition of the firms that
(Valdivia 2011, DeMel et al. 2014, received BRAC intervention, (hence after
Karlan et al 2015, Fiala 2013, McKenzie treatment) compared to those which did
and Woodruff 2014, Brooks et al not receive any intervention (hence after
2016) and the importance of providing control).
a decent work environment in LMICs

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2. The Survey

We (re)surveyed all 2238 LE firms in In addition to measuring these


our RCT and 126 other enterprises1 important outcomes, we also aim to
provided by BRAC Bank. The survey study how each of these differ by the
was conducted by BRAC Institute of initial treatment status. We compare
Governance and Development (BIGD), LE firms that received decent-work-
Brac University. Despite the withdrawal environment training to those that did
of the lockdown, there is still limited not, and answer questions such as: Do
mobility in Bangladesh. Hence, we treated firms fare better economically
contacted survey respondents over the during and after the pandemic? Are
phone. The length of each interview in treated firms more likely to adopt safety
both rounds was kept to a minimum measures that minimise the transmission
to ensure data quality and reliability. of COVID-19? Do workers in treated
Each interview took 20-25 minutes. We firms experience better physical
plan to conduct more waves of surveys wellbeing during the pandemic?
to understand the situation at different
intervals. Besides this survey, we also interviewed
the apprentices who received training
The survey covers four broad areas: (1) from BRAC on the LE services and their
enterprises’ economic behaviour and non-recipient/control counterparts. As a
economic outcome during and after part of the RCT mentioned earlier, these
the lockdown (e.g. enterprise revenue, apprentices were previously surveyed
output, number of days in production, twice. We treat them as workers in this
number of days shut down, and the report.
number of workers retained during);
(2) physical wellbeing, particularly
COVID-19 symptoms carried by the
workers and their family members; (3)
health and safety measures taken by the
enterprise or enterprise manager that
aims at minimising the risk of COVID-19
transmission, and (4) accessibility to
government initiatives.

1
There are few characteristics of these firms before the
pandemic. About 12% of these enterprises are run by
women. The average age of these owners is about
38 years. These enterprises were comprised of six
workers and on average their profit was 56 thousand
before the pandemic.

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3. Results from the Enterprise
Owners’ Survey

3.1 Respondents’ Profile Finally, the remaining samples represent


hotels (1%), beauty parlours (1%),
We successfully interviewed 19602 clothing and tailoring stores (2%), and
out of 2364 SMEs from 14th to 23rd July, general or variety stores (1%).
2020. Almost all respondents were male
(99.13%) with an average age of 42
years. Only 4% of them moved to their Figure 1. Distribution of samples by
current residences after lockdown. Our enterprise type
surveyed enterprises are widely spread
out across 18 districts of Bangladesh,
mostly Bogra (13%), Gazipur (8.4%),
Jessore (7.9%), Mymensingh (6.2%), and
Cumilla (6.1%).

Different SME owners were the


respondents of this survey. As mentioned
earlier, most of our surveyed samples
(95%) belong to the LE sector, and
we have three-round panel survey
information for the pre-COVID (2017,
2018, and 2019) period for these firms.
About one-third of the respondents
(32%) run automobile spares businesses, 3.2 Business Operations, Sales
while 25% and 16% were grills and and Expenses
agriculture machines, accessories, and
spares firms, respectively. 22% of LE Sixty-nine percent of the surveyed
enterprises were jute and textile machine enterprises were closed during two
and spares; engineering and metal months of lockdown (March 26-May 31,
industry machines and spares; lathe 2020). Only 2% were fully operational
firms; etc. and 29% were partially open. After
the economy reopened, the scenario
reversed. 61% of the enterprises were
2
In total, 1990 respondents gave consent to
fully open and 37% were partially open.
participate in the survey, of which, 30 respondents Only 2% were closed after the lockdown
did not run any enterprise. Thus, the survey did not lifted.
record any information on their business before,
during and after lockdown period.

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Figure 2. Business Operation Status

Before lockdown, these firms used working day increased to 22 and the
to operate 26 days a month, with an working hours increased to eight. These
average of 11 working hours a day. figures are still lower than pre-lockdown,
During lockdown, these enterprises because slightly more than one-third
operated only 14 days a month, with (37%) of the enterprises were not fully
an average of four working hours a operational after the lockdown was
day. After the end of the lockdown, the lifted.

Figure 3. Working days and hours

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Looking into the operation status by the to February, (before the lockdown
types of enterprises, we find that the period) sales dropped by 76% during
distinctive service sector enterprises i.e. lockdown and 52% in July (after the end
beauty parlours, tailoring, etc., where of lockdown). The drop in expenses are
maintaining social distance is quite lower than that in sales, both during and
difficult, were almost completely shut after lockdown. As a consequence, we
down during the lockdown and were less find that the enterprises are running at
likely to reopen afterwards. break-even point even after the economy
opened up.
Now, the question is what the sales
status and expenses are. Compared

Figure 4. Business Operation Status by Enterprise Type

Figure 5. Sales, Operating Cost and Total Profit

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Looking into the drop in sales by remain there even after the economy
the enterprise type, we find that the reopened.
distinctive services sectors such as
clothing/tailoring shops, and beauty After the lockdown was lifted, we find
parlours are facing a severe decline in that the owners are reopening their
their sales, indicating a lower demand enterprises. They are, however, facing
for non-essential services. Moreover, difficulties paying rent and utility bills.
there might be two-fold drivers. First, 22% and 13% of the owners were
people are aware that it would be unable to pay rent and utility bills,
difficult to maintain physical distance respectively. This may be due to two
while receiving these services. Second, reasons. First, the owners are now
another BIGD study (Rahman et al. paying for variable costs to run their
2020) shows that a significant number businesses. Second, they may be able
of vulnerable non-poor households— to negotiate with their landlords and
who represent a large body of customers pay rent later, since they are back in
of the service sectors—fell below the business.
poverty line during the lockdown and

Figure 6. Drop in Sales by Enterprise Type relative to pre-COVID

Figure 7. Rent and Utility Bill Payment Status

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Exploring which enterprises are more compared to their pre-COVID levels.
likely to reopen after the end of While the poor enterprises experienced
lockdown, we find that those which had a 49% drop, the rate is 25% among the
higher initial capital in 2017 are more richest enterprises. Such figures point
likely to operate fully at present. out that the poorer entrepreneurs are at
higher risk.
Moreover, the relatively rich enterprise
owners faced a lower drop in sales,

Figure 8. Operating Status by initial capital categories

Figure 9. Drop in sales relative to pre-COVID by initial capital categories

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3.3 Consequences for hired 3.4 Challenges faced during
workers the lockdown

About 24% of business owners laid off Three-quarters of the owners reported
their workers during the lockdown, while that they faced disruption or extreme
the rate has reduced to 11% after the disruption in terms of receiving orders.
end of lockdown. Interestingly, almost all 39% of the surveyed owners said that
enterprises (98%) had their employees they had to shut down operations
work and get paid for fewer hours due to temporary lockdown. Similarly,
during lockdown, and the current rate 40% noted that they were unable to
(81%) is also quite high in this regard. pay employees and maintain business
This is similar to the finding we showed operations.
earlier, that a significant portion of the
firms are partially reopening. They are
operating for fewer hours, resulting in
workers facing a loss of income.

Figure 10. Consequences for hired workers

Figure 11. Disruption during the lockdown

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Correspondingly, 76% reported having of raw materials. Subsequently, 25%
no income, due to receiving no orders, of the owners reported that they are
as one of the main problems they faced reducing production to cope with the
during the lockdown period, and 50% shortage. Other prominent strategies are
reported paying salaries to employees as increasing product prices (17%), seeking
one of the main issues. new procurement channels (14%), and
delaying goods delivery (13%).
3.5 Coping

Sixty-one percent of the surveyed


owners reported having a shortage

Figure 12. Major problems faced during the lockdown

Figure 13. Coping mechanisms for the shortage of raw materials

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Slightly less than half of the owners packages to support SMEs. Three
(47%) have access to business loans or months after this declaration, only 63%
grants to support business recovery and of the surveyed workers knew about the
66% of the surveyed owners are taking stimulus package.
measures or planning to respond to
business disruption due to the pandemic. Eighty-one percent of those who know
about this package reported that it is
Looking into loan access by the quite or very difficult to get the support
enterprise type, we find that the and 17% reported that they know how
distinctive service sectors are at greater to get the support. Interestingly, 31%
risk with the lowest access to a loan for of those who know, noted that they
business recovery (23%). have already applied for the package.
Unfortunately, only one owner received
We look into the combination of access it. There arises the question of efficiency.
to loans and recovery plans and
find that one-fourth of our surveyed Data shows that only 65 out of 1960
enterprises do not have access to loans enterprises have applied for support.
and do not have any plan to recover Exploring the differences between the
their businesses (Figure A1 in Annexe). firms which have and have not applied,
This is alarming and highlights the we find that resilient ones are more
importance of introducing business likely to do so. More than a third of the
training for enterprises. enterprises that have applied for this
package were open during lockdown,
while 30% were not. Moreover, the
3.6 Access to stimulus amount of current sales of those who
package by Government have applied is about 4% higher than
that of those who have not.
On 13th April, the Bangladesh
Government announced stimulus

Figure 14. Access to loans/grants to support business recovery by


enterprise type

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During the pandemic, government 3.7 The time required for
support is of utmost importance. business recovery
Like other formal financial institutes,
microfinance institutes are also About three-fourths of the owners are
experiencing a distressing period. Thus, extremely worried about the future of
the Government should reach out to their business. Moreover, 45% of the
these small and micro-entrepreneurs owners are uncertain about when they
in a more efficient manner. Fewer will be able to operate their business at
formalities to receive the Government full capacity.
support package might make the path
easier for entrepreneurs.

63% know about


the Govt. Initiative

81% reported that it is


17% know how to
quite/very difficult to
get the support
get the support

31% applied for 1 owner received


the support the support

Figure 15. Government Support

Figure 16. Time required to fully recover

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3.8 Health guidelines and the characteristics of the attrited firms
COVID-19 symptoms during the current phone interview. We
could not reach 395 out of 2238 LE
Owners’ reported data reveals that firms to interview over the phone. Of the
the workers of the distinctive service attrited firms, 43% could not be reached,
sectors, where it is difficult to maintain as their provided contact numbers were
social distance, are more likely to have switched off, while 24% did not provide
COVID-19 symptoms i.e. fever, cough, their consent to be interviewed (Figure
shortness of breath, or muscle pain. A3). Moreover, 41% of these firms
Furthermore, we explore whether belonged to the treatment group and
businesses are being closed because the rest were in the control group. As
their workers are running a higher risk mentioned earlier, we surveyed these LE
of getting infected. We find that there is firms in December 2019-January 2020
no correlation between the businesses as a part of the evaluation design using
opening and the workers showing any an RCT. Utilising that dataset, we intend
COVID-19 symptoms. to understand what type of firms were
attrited during the current survey. Out
of these 395 attrited firms, 252 were
successfully interviewed in December
3.9 How the BRAC
2019-January 2020. While analysing
intervention recipients are their characteristics at that time, we find
performing compared to that 64% of them were engineering
their counterparts during and metal industry machine, a1919nd
this pandemic spares workshops (Figure A4).
Furthermore, their initial capital was BDT
Before comparing the pre, par, and post- 245 thousand and the amount of sales
lockdown situations of treatment and was BDT 103 thousand at the end of
control groups, we aim to understand 2019/early 2020.

Figure 17. COVID-19 symptoms

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Table 1 delineates the differences logical that they are more capable of
between treatment and control groups hiring workers. Consequently, Figure A5
during pre, par, and post-lockdown. suggests that the number of employees
While comparing the treatment firms working in the treatment firms is indeed
with their control counterparts, we did higher, even during lockdown. We also
not find significant differences between find that compared to the treatment
these groups, in terms of the relevant firms, control firms are working more
indicator (Table 1). The difference days and longer hours (Figure A6 and
between treatment and control firms, A7).
in terms of the pre-COVID profit level
is 14.7% of the control group’s mean, Although the percentage of control firms
with a higher level for the treatment who know about the Government’s
group. In addition, the profit level of recently declared stimulus package is
treatment firms is higher during and slightly higher, more treatment firms
after the lockdown period (Figure 18). have applied for support (Figure A8).
However, the absolute amount of profit Furthermore, as reported by the owners,
for the treatment firms was lower post- the workers of the treatment firms are
lockdown, compared to during pre- less likely to carry COVID-19 symptoms.
lockdown. Given the higher profit levels The training on OHS might play a role to
of the treatment firms compared to their enhance their awareness (Figure A9).
counterparts across all periods, it is also

Table 1. Intervention recipient vs. non-recipient enterprises

Indicators Treatment Control Difference

Profit before lockdown (BDT) 30003.29 26150.69 3852.6 (2216.32)

Profit during lockdown (BDT) 1333.5 -163.403 1496.90 (1351.49)

Profit after lockdown (BDT) 2456.37 1916.23 540.13 (4089.5)

Know about government initiative (%) 62.24 63.66 0.0142 (0.0225)

At least one worker has COVID-19 symptoms 23.67 26.92 0.0233 (1.447)
(% of Workshops)

Note: Standard errors in parentheses. We have used t-test to test the differences.

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40000
Average value of profit in the past one month
0 10000 20000 30000

Before lockdown During lockdown After lockdown


Time period
treatment control

Figure18 . Average value of profit

To assess whether BRAC’s intervention coefficient for the intervention parameter


program has any significant effects is positive for profit, both during and
on the profit levels during and after after lockdown, but significant only for
lockdown, we run an ordinary least profit during the lockdown period. This
squares regression controlling for basic suggests that the intervention aided the
firm characteristics and profit, during participants in coping better during such
the follow-up survey conducted in the a difficult time.
December-January period. We also
cluster the errors at the market level.
The results are given in Table A1. The

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4. Results
from the Workers’ Survey

Out of 1652 samples, we 4.1 Workers’ employment status and


successfully interviewed 1014 income relative to the pre-COVID level
youths. Out of 1014, 798
(79%) were employed before Fifty-eight percent of the employed males
the pandemic. This report were hired during the lockdown, while the rate
focuses on these 798 workers. increased to 85% post-lockdown. As shown in
figure 19, female workers were more likely to lose
their jobs during the lockdown and less likely to
be rehired afterwards. As shown earlier, female
labour intensive enterprises, i.e. clothing, tailoring,
Female, 21.80% and beauty parlours experienced a larger drop
in their sales, even after the economy opened
up (figure 6). As a result, female labour force
participation is also being hampered.

Male, 78.20%

Figure 19. Distribution


of workers employed in
February

Twenty-two percent of the Figure 20. Workers’ employment status at par


employed workers in February and post-lockdown
were female. The average age
of these surveyed workers is 23
years. Compared to the pre-COVID level, income
dropped 60% and 65% for male and female
workers, respectively. Income recovery for male
workers is higher, compared to their female
counterparts. Female workers are facing a 52%
drop in income after the end of the lockdown and
their income recovery rate is very poor.

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There is always a gap between the male and female workers in terms of
wages of male and female workers. these compliances.
Male workers get higher pay compared
to females. During this pandemic, the Interestingly, about 24% of the workers
gap is widening. Female workers were noted that no one at their workplaces
working more hours during and after had COVID-19 symptoms in the last
lockdown to survive, but, the earning per three months. This rate is quite close
day gap was higher, compared to the to the percentage reported by the
pre-COVID status (Figure 21). enterprise owners (26%).

Slightly more than 80% of current Almost 40% of the workers reported that
workers reported that they regularly they might get infected by COVID-19,
wear masks on the job, and 70% but they cannot stop working for a living
maintain social distance. However, there (Figure A2 in annexe).
are no significant differences between

Figure 21. Drop in workers’ income

Figure 22. Per day earning gap between male and female workers

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Figure 23. Maintaining health guidelines at the workplace

4.2 How the intervention recipient and non-recipient workers are doing
during this pandemic

As mentioned earlier, these workers lockdown higher among the intervention


received intensive decent-work- recipients. In terms of compliance with
environment training from BRAC. Due to COVID-19 related health guidelines, i.e.
this training, the intervention recipients wearing masks, gloves, and maintaining
(i.e. treatment) might be less likely to social distance, both intervention
work during the lockdown. However, recipients and non-recipients reported
after the lockdown lifted, about 80% similar rates.
of them returned to work, making
the employment recovery rate after

Table 2. Intervention recipient vs. non-recipient workers

Indicator Treatment Control Difference


Employed in April (% of employed workers in Feb) -9.549***
52.49 62.03
(3.629)
Employed in July (% of employed workers in Feb) 80.32 78.64 1.674 (2.953)
Monthly income in April (BDT) 2827.58 3392.10 -564.5 (352.9)
Monthly income in July (BDT) 5404.58 4986.43 418.1 (456.4)
Regularly wear a mask during work (% of current workers) 84.55 81.22 3.335 (3.287)
Regularly wear gloves during work (% of current workers) 14.52***
36.86 22.34
(4.071)
Regularly maintain 1.5 meters distance from co-workers -0.159
during work (% of current workers) 71.75 71.91
(4.142)

Note: Standard errors in parentheses. * p < 0.10, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01. We have used t-test to test the
differences.

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5. Conclusion
Our study attempts to assess the to remain closed or operate partially
conditions of SMEs in Bangladesh in during lockdown. COVID-19 symptoms
the context of the ongoing COVID-19 of workers in treatment enterprises
pandemic. As our sample is from an are also lower. This insight from our
ongoing project implemented by BRAC, descriptive analysis indicates that
where we collaborated to analyse the enterprises who received training are
impact of their decent-work-environment better able to cope with the lockdown
training on light engineering (LE) firms, and the pandemic as a whole.
we can make further comparisons Moreover, from analysing our data on
between enterprises who received the the workers, we see that the female
intervention and those who did not. workers are at a higher risk.
Results suggest that these small and Our study has some methodological
informal enterprises are encountering limitations including reporting biases
massive drops in their sales, which is during these unprecedented times,
about 55% relative to the pre-COVID seasonality, and lack of heterogeneity
level. Given the relatively lower drop in our sample. As our data puts more
in expenses, the findings imply that the focus on the light engineering sector, we
firms are operating at their break-even cannot concretely say that our results are
point despite the economy being open. representative of the entire SME sector.
Quite alarmingly, we find that relatively We plan to conduct two more rounds
poorer enterprises, i.e. those with lower of surveys to explore the coping and
initial capital, are less likely to operate recovery dynamics of these firms.
at full capacity after the reopening of The informal sector is one of the
the economy and more likely to face major drivers of our economy and
a severe drop in sales. Furthermore, small and medium enterprises are of
information on government stimulus immense significance, in the long run,
package does not reach the SMEs to sustain our growth momentum and
adequately. In this case, enterprises with reduce inequality. Thus, we require
a higher profit before the pandemic are comprehensive and inclusive strategies
more likely to apply for such support. to aid such firms in post-pandemic
Such figures raise the risk of relatively business recovery and ensure that none
smaller firms being left behind. of firms fall behind.
Finally, by comparing enterprises who
received the intervention from BRAC
to their non-recipient counterparts, we
find that the profit level of the treatment
enterprises is higher than that of the
control enterprises, par and post-
lockdown, despite being more likely

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from a loans, grants and training
experiment in Uganda. Working
Paper.

Hasle, P., & Antonsson, A.-B. (2009).


Informal Sector and Small
Enterprises. In K. Elgstrand, &
N. Petersson (Eds.), OSH for
Development (pp. 587-604).
Stockholm, Sweden: Royal Istitute of
Technology.

Karlan, D., Knight, R., and Udry, C.,


2015. Consulting and capital
experiments with microenterprise

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Annexe

Figure A1. Access to loan and recovery plan

Figure A2. Workers’ perception of being infected by COVID-19

WORKING PAPER | 2021 | 21


Figure A3. Reasons Behind Attrition

Figure A4. Business type of attrited firms according to follow up survey


(% of firms)

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Average no. of workers in the past one month
1.5 2 2.5 3

Before lockdown During lockdown After lockdown


Time period
treatment control

Figure A5. Average no. of workers (Treatment vs. control)


Average no. of days worked in the past one month
10 15 20 25

Before lockdown During lockdown After lockdown


Time period
treatment control

Figure A6. Average no. days worked in a month (Treatment vs. control)

WORKING PAPER | 2021 | 23


12
Average no. of hours worked in a day in the past one month
10
8
6
4

Before lockdown During lockdown After lockdown


Time period
treatment control

Figure A7. Average no. of hours worked in a day (Treatment vs. control)
Percentage of firms who received government support
2 3 4 5

treatment control
Whether received intervention
95% confidence intervals

Figure A8. Percentage of firms applying for government support


(Treatment vs. control)

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Percentage of firms with at least one person showing COVID-19 symptoms
20 22 24 26 28 30

treatment control
Whether progress beneficiary
95% confidence intervals

Figure A9. Percentage of firms with at least one worker showing COVID-19
symptoms (Treatment vs. control)

WORKING PAPER | 2021 | 25


Table A1. OLS regression results to assess BRAC intervention
impact on profit

OLS coefficients
Profit after lockdown Profit during lockdown
Whether PROGRESS beneficiary 0.19 (0.17) 0.23* (0.10)
Gender -0.02 (0.64) 3.62*** (0.22)
No. of workers in the last one month -0.00 (0.00) -0.11** (0.03)
Profit during December-January 0.09 (0.01)
***
-0.02 (0.05)
Initial capital according to follow up survey -0.01 (0.00)
*
-0.00 (0.00)
Agriculture, machines, accessories and spares 0.04 (0.11) 0.15* (0.06)
Grill business -0.03 (0.19) 0.52** (0.14)
Service sectors 2.09*** (0.39) 0.00 (.)
Other enterprises 0.16 (0.12) 0.06 (0.25)
Feni -1.03 (0.20)
***
-1.00** (0.34)
Brahmanbaria -0.39 (0.74) -0.26* (0.11)
Noakhali -1.70** (0.47) -0.76** (0.21)
Bogra -0.91** (0.21) -0.97** (0.28)
Jessore -1.36* (0.53) -0.94* (0.40)
Shatkhira -1.74** (0.45) -1.69** (0.41)
Barisal -0.18 (0.24) -0.82 (0.64)
Moulavibazar -0.66** (0.18) -0.35* (0.16)
Habiganj -1.82** (0.61) 0.80** (0.20)
Gazipur -2.66*** (0.51) -1.23*** (0.22)
Narayanganj 0.02 (0.26) -0.94 (0.46)
Kishoreganj -2.77** (0.88) -1.70*** (0.26)
Faridpur -0.82*** (0.15) -1.61*** (0.06)
Nilphamari -0.81 (0.38) -0.91*** (0.13)
Gaibandha -0.65 (0.59) -1.14* (0.46)
Rangpur -0.65* (0.27) -0.9 (0.55)
Mymensingh -0.32** (0.11) -0.36 (0.30)
Village/local shops -0.14 (0.10) -0.43** (0.11)
Sub district market -0.28 (0.18) -0.21 (0.11)
District level market -0.56*** (0.12) -0.34 (0.18)
Divisional market -0.66** (0.16) -0.45 (0.40)
Constant 1.65* (0.70) -2.34*** (0.15)
Observations 1665 532
Adjusted R 2
0.074 0.090

26 | WORKING PAPER | 2021

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