1. Compute for the (A.) Moving Average and (B.

) Weighted Moving Average of the following data (40pts)

Weighted Moving
Months Actual Demand Moving Average
Average
January 1100
February 1300
March 1400
April 1500 1267 1317
May 2000 1400 1433
June 2400 1633 1733
July 2500 1967 2117
August 3100 2300 2383
September 2900 2667 2783
October 1900 2833 2900
November 1700 2633 2433
December 1500 2167 1967

2. Exponential Smoothing for a Trend Model (45pts)

Initial Forecast Average=1000
Trend=100
α=0.3 β =0.4

Months Actual Demand Smoothed Forecast Smoothed Trend

Average
January 1100 1000 100
February 1200 1100 100
March 1400 1200 100
April 1500 1330 112
May 1700 1451 116
June 1800 1596 127
July 1900 1727 129
August 2100 1849 126
September 2200 1994 134
October 2300 2126 133
November 2400 2248 129
December 2500 2364 123
ng data (40pts)

Forecast Including
Trend
1100
1200
1300
1442
1567
1723
1856
1975
2128
2259
2377
2487