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02 From the editor
L
ically modified pigs, a cauliflower field farmed by
robots—if that’s the kind of science-fiction-y stuff
you expect to read about in a special issue on tech-
nology and food, you won’t be disappointed—see
pages 26, 32, 44, and 50. (And if you like actual
science fiction, turn to page 80.)
What makes these technologies so fasci-
nating? Sure, it’s claimed that they’ll make
food production better—more humane,
more reliable, more efficient. But beyond
that, I think we’re at once intrigued and
repulsed by the idea that something as
familiar, essential, and “natural” as food
can be deconstructed and rebuilt from
its component cells, tweaked like a piece
of software, or grown without ever being
touched by a human hand.
This reflects an evolution in Western
food culture. If mid-20th-century adver-
tisements extolled synthetic foods in gar-
ish colors, and television shows told us
we’d soon have all our nutritional needs
met by three pills a day, today we fanta-
size about ancient grains and heirloom
tomatoes in limitless abundance. But that
also means we prefer not to acknowledge
the truth: there’s already precious little
that’s “natural” about how we get most
of our food. Gideon The obvious answer is that the food
Lichfield
Today’s food system bears little resem- system is not actually designed to feed
is editor
blance to the one of just a couple of gen- in chief of people. It’s designed to turn a profit, and
erations ago. It is far more industrial and MIT Technology typically it achieves that by maximizing
Review.
globalized, and in much of the world it yields and efficiencies. This might lead to
yields many times more crops per acre the production of a lot of food, but often
of land, thanks to new fertilizers, pesticides, and seed vari- in the wrong places, at the wrong times.
eties. The most mundane processes, from walnut picking to So what would happen if we made adequate nourishment a
potato breeding, are technologically mediated from top to bot- basic human right and rewrote the usual rules of capitalism to
tom (page 15) and are only becoming more so. We can make achieve it (page 10)? What if, instead of making maximal pro-
a piece of food take on any color in the spectrum, where once ductivity the ultimate goal and using technology to boost it, we
we were restricted to naturally occurring pigments (page 38). aimed for universal balanced nutrition and sustainable agricul-
Industrial-scale fermentation, long-distance transportation, ture, and sought out both new technological solutions and tradi-
packaging, and refrigeration completely changed what foods tional farming practices as a way to get there (page 66)? We’ve
are available when and where; newer advances like e-com- already added minerals and vitamins to various foods to combat
merce, CRISPR, and precision agriculture are expected to have nutrient deficiencies that sicken billions of people every year;
similarly far-reaching effects in the coming years (page 24). In what if we kept on going (page 58)?
our kitchens, yesterday’s gadgets for gourmets are becoming The message in all this is one that MIT Technology Review
today’s essential appliances, raising the bar for home cooking delivers time after time: technology can yield great benefits to
ever higher (page 72). humanity, but only if we choose to deploy it in pursuit of those
And yet, for all its abundance and reach, the food system fails benefits. It may be a tired old nostrum, but it’s never more self-
IAN ALLEN
to feed hundreds of millions of people each year—and this fig- evidently true than with food—a technological product that every
ure, shockingly, is rising (page 74). Why? human being relies on almost every single day.
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Introduction 15 32 58
your diet Gene editing is being recruited It’s the kitchen of the future,
Fiction The last meal you ate probably in the fight against outbreaks on and always will be
looked and tasted different from farms. Could the same kinds of The editor in chief of Cook’s
80 meals served in the same place methods help humans? Illustrated traces the history of
Dark spaces 50 years ago. By Amy Nordrum By Antonio Regalado kitchen gadgets and suggests
on the map where they’re going next.
By Anjali Sachdeva 26 50 By Dan Souza
Flesh forward Code season
Growing meat in a lab is still After decades of false starts, the 74
The back page way too expensive. But mixing true automation of agriculture In an age of abundance,
it with plants could help finally might finally be on the horizon. why do people starve?
88 get it onto our plates. By Rowan Moore Gerety Our wonderful global
Food fight By Niall Firth supply chain not only can’t
prevent hunger—it’s partly
responsible for it.
By Bobbie Johnson
Cover illustration
by Michael DeForge
THE AGE
6XEVFULEHUVVDYHZLWKFRGH3ņ,17-)ŭŬ at EmTechDigital.com/ņHJLVWHU1RZ
10 The food issue
Technology has completely transformed the By As it turns out, these failures derived
global food supply system, yet still hasn’t brought FABIO PARASECOLI from built-in features of our food system. It
an end to hunger. For that to happen, the choices was cheaper to destroy crops than harvest
we need to make are political, not technological. and process them when bulk buyers like
schools and catering businesses all but sus-
pended purchases. Dairies set up for selling
big volume weren’t equipped to shift their
packaging machines to consumer-sized
containers. Meatpacking plants revved up
to meet demand—a situation that required
as many workers as possible to crowd in
along processing lines. Predictably, many
fell ill, and plants across the country were
forced to shutter.
The shock of the virus’s first wave
exposed the inner workings of our
interconnected system of food creation
and delivery—and its weak spots—to
Super-
many of us who’d never given it a sec-
ond thought. That system is, of course, a
result of decades’ worth of technological
advances, from globe-spanning shipping
market
and refrigeration networks to commodity
markets (running on high-speed internet
and massive cloud-computing infrastruc-
ture) that provide the capital to make it all
run. There may yet be more unpleasant
forces
surprises in store for millions of people
around the world as the pandemic plays
out. But this moment offers us an oppor-
tunity to examine how we got to this point,
and how to change things for the better.
W
in the first days of the pandemic: empty shelves, market capitalism. Decisions on where to
scarce products, and widespread hoarding became invest in technological research and where
an alarming reality around the world. While to apply its fruits have been guided by the
being reassured that the disruptions were “tem- drive for ever greater efficiency, produc-
porary,” Americans also heard troubling news tivity, and profit.
about farmers plowing crops back into their The result has been a long, steady trend
toward greater abundance. Take wheat
fields, dairy farmers pouring milk into the sewers,
production as an example: thanks to the
meatpacking plants shutting down. Meanwhile,
railways, the introduction of better equip-
lines at soup kitchens and food banks grew.
ment, and the adoption of higher-yield
varieties, output in the US tripled between
the 1870s and the 1920s. Similarly, rice
production in Indonesia tripled in 30 years
PABLO DELCAN
property is a central issue here; patent Food production and food security are so con-
owners have used their patents almost
exclusively to maximize profit, rather than nected with food as a human right that technology
to improve food security and food quality. and intellectual-property rights in this sector
Genetic modification is a great exam-
ple. For the most part, its techniques have
should work according to different principles from
been applied to commercial crops such as those in the rest of the tech world.
wheat, soybeans, and corn, grown in huge
quantities and traded internationally. The Banks, initiated in India by activist Vandana on genetic material from plants found in
goal is single-minded: increase yields, Shiva, trains local practitioners (mostly specific communities to train members
even when that requires heavier use of women) to become seed keepers, making from those same communities to become
pesticides and fertilizers—which are often endangered varieties available to farmers biologists and technicians, while also shar-
patented by the same companies that own who can then grow and cross-breed them. ing royalties with them.
the patents to the GMOs. These low-cost conservation technologies There is already an international
That investment in genetic modification help maintain agrobiodiversity by identify- agreement mandating access to genetic
and agrotechnology is lacking, however, ing, selecting, and protecting disappearing resources and fair sharing of the ben-
for many crops that function as staples genetic material. efits: 128 countries have ratified the
for millions of smallholders around the The question of ownership and control UN-brokered Nagoya Protocol since it was
world—from taro in the Pacific Islands, also touches other aspects of the entan- adopted in 2010 (though the US, Russia,
South Asia, and West Africa to cassava in glement between technology and the food Brazil, and Australia notably have not).
Latin America and large areas of Africa. system. There’s a list a mile long of sleek The aforementioned free-trade policies at
If applied to those crops in the pursuit of gadgetry that promises to revolutionize the core of the WTO agreements, which
food security instead of profits, genetic the gritty work of conjuring food from have for decades hamstrung low-income
technologies could be used to create stron- the land (see page 50). Farmers can wire countries, could be revised so that those
ger, more resilient local agriculture and a their fields with internet-enabled sensors, countries can manage their food stocks
healthier food system—but they aren’t, monitor their crops and livestock with and their import-export policies with an
because that wouldn’t generate profits agricultural drones, or manage inventory eye toward investing in local research and
large enough to interest the private bio- using a blockchain. They can use their cell technology.
tech sector. To make matters worse, many phones to access data on weather, pests, These are profoundly political choices.
low-income countries have also historically and the cost of inputs and crops. But the They should not be left to supposedly
been forced to accept trade and financ- incentives of the companies behind such self-regulating economic mechanisms
ing deals from the IMF, World Bank, and innovations are to sell as many apps and or to the quest for ever greater efficiency
World Trade Organization that open their devices and data streams as possible, not and productivity. Such priorities need
markets to those heavily globalized com- to feed and nourish as many people as to be balanced with others to ensure the
mercial crops, regardless of farmers’ or possible. If the companies change their greatest possible human benefit, rather
consumers’ customs and needs. business model, discontinue a product than merely the greatest possible profit.
And yet, most debates about GMOs or service, or simply fold, farmers are at That will require active participation from
focus on their supposed danger to human their mercy. governments, activists, international orga-
health—for which there is little scientific Food production and food security nizations, research institutions, nongovern-
evidence—rather than on the way they are so connected with food as a human mental organizations, and representatives
tilt the playing field against small farmers right—and so crucial for the survival of of local communities … the kind of authen-
and the communities they feed. In short, whole communities—that technology and tic, democratic coalition that would please
by focusing on spurious technological intellectual-property rights in this sector even the most demanding “food move-
problems, we are ignoring very real legal should work according to different prin- ment” devotee.
and social ones. ciples and priorities from those followed In the process, such cooperation could
The way forward, then, is in making elsewhere in the tech world. For example, redefine how we assess new technologies
choices that align technological advances we could require tech companies to make and their use and impact. It may even leave
with the causes of sustainability, resilience their patents available in the public domain us better prepared for the next crisis, what-
to shock, and people’s well-being, instead after a few years, or to share their roy- ever that may be.
of purely with the bottom line of large cor- alty profits in exchange for access to new
Fabio Parasecoli is a professor in
porations. There are plenty of examples markets. Or we could require agricultural the Department of Nutrition and Food
already. The Navdanya Community Seed companies that develop new crops based Studies at New York University.
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15
Reports from the front lines of food tech. AS TOLD TO Krithika Varagur
DISPATCHES
The notion of “food technology” may bring to mind fancy fake
meats or hydroponic crops. However, to understand just how
deeply technology permeates the food system, you have to
see the many hidden innovations that produce the foods we
eat at the prices we pay. In late 2020, Krithika Varagur spoke
to people in the US, Mexico, and Kenya who help bring foods
to market about the technologies they use daily.
Responses have been edited for length and clarity.
BEEF
IN SEARCH
OF BOVINE
PERFECTION
JIM McADAMS
Partner, McAdams Cattle Com-
pany, and owner, 12 Bar Ranch
Seguin, Texas
vigor to get up and nurse. I lost some our breeds. There is a cost to gene
calves from heatstroke, I think, last year. mapping because you have to test your WALNUTS & ALMONDS
It’s difficult for us to change our animals, get them into a database, pay
breeding program rapidly, but that’s all these fees, pay for animal IDs, all of SHAKEN AND STIRRED
where we’re benefiting from a lot of those things. But it lets us see which
advances in technology and in research. bulls have, for example, specific genes Tree shakers, mechanical sweep-
“Seedstock” producers raise breeding for growth. So it makes genetic progress ers, sorters, scanners, packers,
animals, using techniques like artifi- for whatever our target is much faster. and processors—along with water
cial insemination and embryo transfer. The average cow’s weight 50 years stress sensors—have changed how
These technologies are expensive, and ago was probably 900 pounds. In the nuts get from trees to your mouth.
it is not unusual for seedstock produc- ’70s, it was probably 1,000 pounds.
ers to sell their bulls to other ranchers Today, it’s about 1,300 pounds. It takes
for $30,000 or more. You’d be lucky to more acres to maintain cows of that HAL CRAIN
Owner, Crain Ranch nut farm
raise a hundred calves from a bull in his size. And they produce much bigger
and processing facility
lifetime if you just turn him out natu- calves, and require more feed in the Los Molinos, California
rally with the cows, but using advanced winter. In the ’50s, in the early ’60s,
reproductive technologies enables that we got cattle too fat and too small, and
bull to sire several thousand calves. their productive life was too short. I woke up at 4:30 today. Right now, the
Heterosis refers to the tendency for a Then in the ’70s—I graduated col- end of September, this is right in the
cross-bred hybrid animal to often have lege in 1972—there was this war on middle of walnut harvest season. I’m
better traits (like weight or longevity) fat in the industry because the med- still wearing my work clothes every
than its parents. And it’s a great tool for ical field had determined that eat- day, going out into the field every day.
getting the breeds right. Basically, you ing too much fat was bad for people’s So the shaking operation comes
have genetic differences in different hearts. We really focused on getting first. You shake the trees, drop the nuts
breeds of an animal, and if you cross cattle that would be more efficient, onto the ground. Then you have these
them, those genetic differences give bigger, leaner. That took us about 20 mechanical sweepers that basically
you a bounce. The more distant the years. And we overdid it. We realized sweep all the nuts off the ground and
bloodlines, the more heterosis you’re that we were losing the eating expe- into windrows, about three feet wide,
going to get. An example of how I use rience, because the meat was getting all in a big, long line on both sides of
this in practice is crossing Bos indicus too tough. There’s a fair amount of trial each tree. Behind that goes a pickup
cattle, which evolved in the southern and error. Today, we’re somewhere in machine, or a harvester, that picks them
parts of the world, with our native Bos the middle. I think we’ve hit the sweet up off the ground, separates the dirt,
taurus cattle, in order to increase their spot. You won’t really find yourself in sticks, and leaves, and puts them into
heat tolerance and longevity. a restaurant anymore saying, “I broke trailers, leaving them much cleaner
Technology has spread like weeds in my tooth on that steak.” than what got picked up off the ground.
the ranching world. In the 1970s, artifi- Breeding the right kind of cow has Then from there, they get trucked to the
cial insemination became a widespread been one of the main interests of my huller, which removes the green husk
tool. In the 1990s, we also started to see career. It’s a challenge, because the life off of the nuts that still have it on—30
modern techniques like gene mapping cycle of a bovine is pretty long, com- or 40% of them—and cleans them and
and DNA testing that help us balance pared to any other meat protein. washes them. And the last phase is a
dryer, where they go on these huge stor-
age containers with forced air, heated
air, being pushed through the storage
“THE AVERAGE COW’S WEIGHT 50 YEARS AGO WAS containers to get the nuts down below
8% moisture.
PROBABLY 900 POUNDS. IN THE ‘70S, IT WAS PROBABLY Once that’s done, then they’re sta-
ABOUT 1,000 POUNDS. TODAY IT’S ABOUT 1,300 POUNDS … ble enough to be sent to the process-
ing warehouse to be further processed,
BREEDING THE RIGHT KIND OF COW HAS BEEN ONE OF THE
COURTESY PHOTO
MAIZE
WAITING FOR
THE RAIN
even ways to detect if a kernel is not full tell me how thirsty it is. This is a big good. And they don’t get so affected
inside the shell. There are all kinds of step in trying to actually get a direct by the sun. The new variety has fewer
other shell defects, like a partial husk measurement of plant stress and then diseases, including northern corn leaf
or dark spots from sunburn that discol- identifying the parameters of what’s blight, gray leaf spot, maize streak virus,
ors the shell, which in turn means the ideal at certain times of the year. and maize lethal necrosis, a viral disease
18 The food issue
that was a big problem for us when it US; it’s a way to continuously monitor come up with the yield. It’s the same
broke out in 2011. the food supply chain so that there with soybeans, except we pick the
It’s early October and I am clear- aren’t huge price fluctuations like, for beans from a three-foot section and
ing the farm right now, and putting in instance, with gasoline. send those samples directly to the lab.
manure from the cows. I am standing So here’s what we did today—and Those are the two major crops that I
by, buying more seeds, and waiting for it’s not something we do every day. work with in the field.
the rain. The selling price the govern- In Illinois they once had coal mines, Objective yield is one of a number
ment sets for maize is still not very good, which have since had to restore the of different indicators that help us set
unfortunately. But I still have more land to its original status. So they have estimates for yield and production like
crops than some of my neighbors, who to plant corn, beans, or hay in those that. For that, we are measuring the
sometimes recycle seeds and don’t have acres, and the yields have to come up grain weight, the moisture content,
very much at all. With ordinary seeds, to the county averages. And today I was the length and width of an ear of corn,
you have to take much more care of out in some of those cornfields and I and just a whole number of metrics
them for much less product. And none just walked throughout the field and like that surrounding a crop. And then
of us can really afford other inputs like picked samples. Today we tested two that’s plugged into a statistical model,
fertilizer, so any other ways to make our fields and there were 10 samples per which then spits out an indication as to
land more productive is good. field. For corn, we take samples from what the yield is per acre. For another
a 15-foot row, at different designated survey we do, we will just flat-out ask
spots in each field, and weigh them. farmers, “What do you think your crop
CORN & SOYBEANS Then we take the third and fourth ears is going to yield this year, if you get
from that sample and send them to normal weather conditions from now
CENSUS the lab in St. Louis and they work to until harvest?”
SENSIBILITIES
JOYCE HELLE
Enumerator, National
Association of State
Departments of Agriculture
West Central Illinois
THE SIZE AND SCOPE OF AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION IN lot of other major crops, such as tomatoes
and corn, are diploid, with two sets of
THE COUNTRY. BASICALLY, WE TELL THE WHOLE WORLD chromosomes.) The reason this matters
WHAT THE FOOD PRODUCTION CAPACITY IS IN THE US.” is that when you cross any two tetra-
ploid potatoes, there is so much genetic
variance in the offspring that unhelpful
mutations can kind of hide. So traditional
The biggest change that technology Coast and Florida restaurant markets. potato breeding programs, which work
brought to my job was when we were The number one thing that sells a red through trial and error, discard a huge
issued iPads, starting around 2013. potato is a nice bright red skin color, amount, about 90%, of their offspring.
We now have two or three extra days without any blemishes. It’s not a really efficient process.
in every survey period, because we’re We’re a seed potato farm, meaning Fifty years ago, when just about every
not depending on the mail or UPS to we don’t buy material from outside land-grant university in the country had
physically get our data to headquar- our farm. We start out with very small a potato breeding program, people were
ters on time; they are sent digitally. sprouts, which we grow in test tubes making significantly more crosses and
One other great thing I will say about before we transfer them to a green- evaluating significantly more material.
the iPad is that a lot of times if an house, where they’ll develop Now that you’re down to just a
enumerator enters the data wrong, it into plants that will create small About handful of potato breeders left in
will send up a little red flag and tell tubers. Because that whole the country, not enough crosses
them, “Hey, you made a mistake.” So
that has helped us a lot too.
system is sealed, the potato
tubers don’t carry any soil- or
90%
of novel
are being made and not enough
material is being evaluated for
insect-vectored diseases. This potatoes in that method to be successful, in
traditional
also gives us the opportunity breeding my opinion. The Department of
POTATOES to collect new experimental programs are Agriculture recently funded a
varieties through that same discarded. big grant for several breeders to
THIS SPUD’S system, side by side with our come together and try to move
FOR YOU traditional stuff, so we’re evaluating commercial potato breeding from tetra-
new material every year. We do our ploid to diploid. (I’m one of the advisors
Potato breeding hasn’t changed own variety trials and experiment on that grant.)
much for decades, but a change with new varieties in-house. There are several kinds of naturally
from asexual to sexual reproduction I’m an optimist by nature, and I’m occurring diploid potatoes. But it just
could open the way to many more always thinking that the next thing that so happens that over time, the most
new varieties with useful traits. we bring in is going to take the place productive lines in North America were
of some of our long-term varieties. But tetraploid ones, and those are most of
in the 15 years I’ve been doing this, I what we still consume today. But the
PETER IMLE haven’t found one yet. diploid lines that exist in nature are the
Farmer of potatoes,
Personally, I’m always evaluating for starting point for this research. Moving
soybeans, and wild rice at
Pine Lake Wild Rice Farms
that even redder potato. I really thought potato breeding to diploid specimens
Gonvick, Minnesota we were very close with two experimen- would drastically decrease the time
GREG SMITH, GSMITHIMAGES PHOTOGRAPHY
tal lines that we were working with the needed to create new potato varieties.
last three or four years, but last spring Crossing diploids means that defective
The vast majority of the potato vari- we went to plant them and the material genes would have less room to hide,
eties grown today date back 50 to 100 had acquired a fair amount of seed rot so to speak. Their offspring are much
years, which says a lot about the potato over the course of the winter. Our end more predictable, so we could really
industry and the difficulty of breed- users were really complimentary of the select for desirable traits. And we could
ing new varieties. Here, we strictly variety, but unfortunately, it looks as also plant them as true seeds, rather
grow red potatoes, mostly for the East though I can’t store it. than as tissue cultures. Tetraploids are
20 The food issue
“WE’RE STUCK IN THE PAST BECAUSE OF OUR RELIANCE started producing certain products, like
chocolate-covered marshmallows and
ON COMPLICATED TETRAPLOID LINES AND THE DECLINE OF almonds, in-house, which was a really
OUR AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH PROGRAMS.” big change. We sell to many different
customers here in Mexico like Hershey,
Mars, and so on, and we have to be com-
petitive. It’s very important to produce
reproduced asexually, with replanted agricultural research programs. We’re not efficiently, because cacao products are
tubers, whereas diploids can be repro- trying to change the basic flavor or tex- commodities and the cost of produc-
duced sexually, with pollinated seeds, ture of potatoes. But these new genomic tion is the most important thing. If
and seeds are much easier to scale up techniques, which would change you’re not competitive, you’re
for a new breed. the basic nature of potato breed- The Mexico out. Globally, ECOM handles
Many major crops such as corn ing, will be necessary to meet the plant alone about 10% of the world’s cacao;
already use hybrid diploid breeding, rising demand for varieties that processes the Mexico plant alone proces-
and we know a lot about the “parent”
crops involved in any given cross. Using
are more efficient at water use,
use less fertilizer, are more dis- 1%
of the global
ses about 1% of the global total.
There are many different
specific parents can produce a more ease resistant, need fewer pesti- processes happening in our
total of
targeted outcome, which can be any cides, and can be stored at cooler cacao.
facility, all of which are mostly
given characteristic that the breeder temperatures. automated now: roasting the
would like: yield, appearance, better beans, grinding sugar, melting
shelf life, and so forth. cocoa butter, powdering cocoa, tem-
This is all on a long time horizon; I’m CHOCOLATE pering, molding, packaging. We work
hoping to see this happen at some point with European machines, mainly. All
in my career. It would have a big impact BEAN THERE, the programmable logic controller sys-
on seed potatoes, which currently take DONE THAT tems [basically, the computers that tell
about five or six years until they become the larger machine what to do] come
commercial lines. If it is successful, it In Mexico, where chocolate was from Siemens in Germany, and we also
would make available a lot of the genomic invented, automation has trans- invested about $3 million five years ago
tools that other crops have been using for formed the way multinational con- in machines from Royal Duyvis Wiener
a long time to try and do more targeted glomerates process cocoa beans. in the Netherlands. That’s the biggest
breeding. I’m not talking about transgen- difference.
ics or CRISPR or anything like that, but This plant started about 20 years
the basic molecular tools used by most ROGELIO RODRÍGUEZ ago with many old machines that
SOBERANES
other crops today, like marker-assisted ECOM bought from Nestlé, when
Plant manager, ECOM Cocoa
selection, which involves using genetic Veracruz, Mexico
Nestlé closed their outfit in Mexico,
markers to identify particular locations in and their machines were almost 100%
the potato genome that may be correlated manual. Today, we basically have two
to specific traits, and then using those to We get our beans from the Ivory Coast, operators in one control room watching
quickly identify parents and/or progeny Cameroon, Ecuador, the Dominican all the windows and screens, and about
that have these traits. (This is much faster Republic, Peru, Colombia, and right 95% of our work at the plant is done
than growing out multiple generations here in Mexico. Since we are between with computers. So the cost of staff
of material just to identify whether the harvests, we are in the middle of buy- is lower now too. We have about 100
traits are present or not.) Basically, we’re ing all the beans for next year. When people in the whole facility. The size
trying to move potato breeding into the we plan production for next year, we of the equipment has also changed;
COURTESY PHOTO
21st century. We’re stuck in the past know exactly how many tons we need. a big roaster 20 years ago may have
because of our reliance on complicated I started working here in 2003. Our had a capacity of half a ton, and now
tetraploid lines and the decline of our capacity then was 7,000 metric tons it’s five tons.
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22
SOURCE FOR ALL CHARTS ON THIS PAGE: FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION FAOSTAT. TIME SERIES DATA ENDS AT 2013 BECAUSE OF A CHANGE IN METHODOLOGY.
creates nearly 20% of global
greenhouse-gas emissions.
But people aren’t nec-
essarily fated to become
carnivores as they rise
from poverty. The United HOW MUCH DIFFERENT COUNTRIES RELY ON ANIMAL-BASED AND PLANT-BASED PROTEIN
States and Europe have
120 grams per day
been stubbornly addicted
to meat for decades, and 100
never enough
THE ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT OF DIFFERENT KINDS OF PROTEIN COST PER KG OF PROTEIN
Producing meat is hungry work: it chews up crops and land, and generates huge amounts of emissions. Innovation ain’t cheap
Cattle, sheep, and goats make up the lion’s share of the problem, which all comes down to a numbers
game. Only 4% of the plant protein a cow consumes ends up as something a person can eat.
200 3,000
SOY $2
SOURCE FOR CHART: WORLD RESOURCES INSTITUTE (WRI) WORKING PAPER, “SHIFTING DIETS FOR A SUSTAINABLE FOOD FUTURE.” SOURCES FOR COST PER KG OF PROTEIN: MCKINSEY AND WRI
2,500
CHICKEN $3
100 1,500
2012
The first year
more fish are
farmed than
caught
in the wild. FISH $4
1,000
50
500 BEEF $5
Wheat Corn Pulses Rice Fish Soy Eggs Poultry Pork Dairy Beef Sheep +
PEAS $5
goats
2/5
OF THE LAND ON EARTH (EXCLUDING
1/5
OF GLOBAL GREENHOUSE-GAS
INSECTS $41
TECHNOLOGY
rural Ethiopia. Lately, though, ers there plant more eucalyp-
new transportation options tus to sell the timber to other
have prompted people I know communities. That has brought
to try different foods and aban- more money to Telecho, but
don others their ancestors also reduced the total number
had eaten for centuries. About of crops produced there.
REWRITES
Residents began drinking
YOUR DIET
beer made at commercial
breweries instead of from the
barley they grew.
W
Per capita global food produc-
tion has increased for decades.
PERSONALIZED NUTRITION But having more food doesn’t
Christine Gould mean people are better nour-
Founder and CEO, ished. Diseases caused by
Thought for Food (Switzerland) unhealthy diets—such as obe-
ish a growing and increas- and online payment services in 2018. CRISPR, a gene-editing and corn to protect our food
like Shopify helped many tool, can help us increase food supply against the adverse
ingly urban world. I think
restaurants and retail food production, decrease food impacts of climate change—
precision agriculture will
businesses stay open and gave waste, and enhance the nutri- a need that will become more
be a big part of the solution.
customers a way to enjoy their tional value of the foods we eat. urgent with time.
With this approach, con-
favorite meals even while iso-
ventional farming practices
such as watering and fertil-
lated at home. But the growth
of e-commerce has revealed
Already, scientists have used
izing crops are performed how governments struggle CRISPR to increase omega-3
at the right place and time,
and with the appropriate
to ensure that the benefits of levels in plants and reduce
technological development fall
intensity. For example, irri- to everyone. Our institutions gluten levels in wheat.
gation systems that deliver have not created policies reg-
water through slow drips ulating online commerce in a
cut water use by up to 60% way that protects the public
compared with sprinklers. interest. E-commerce has wid-
Finding more improve- ened divides between smaller
ments like this will require a and larger companies, and New packaging materi-
new technology “stack” for between rural and urban als will allow many food
agriculture. consumers.
PACKAGING WITH LESS PLASTIC producers to gradually
Jocelyn Eason move away from plastics,
General manager of science for good. During my life-
and food innovation, Plant & time, I’ve watched plastic
Food Research (New Zealand) become one of the big-
Fermentation is a power- gest environmental haz-
ful, natural process, and one ards that we face as a society. Consumers want less of it in
FERMENTING AT SCALE
of the oldest food preser- their lives, and regulators are beginning to ban or impose
Jaime Romero
vation methods. However, taxes on plastics used to package or serve food. Sooner
Associate professor in the
it’s only in the past 50 years or later, most producers will need to switch to more sus-
Food Biotechnology Lab,
that scientists have come tainable materials. Some alternatives are already avail-
University of Chile (Chile)
CATHERINE MAH: GW SCHNITZLER; COURTESY PHOTOS
to understand fermentation able: Earthpac, a New Zealand company I’ve worked with,
well enough to sustain it at is using starch recovered from the wastewater of potato
scale. Fermentation can take many forms, but they all involve processing factories to make biodegradable trays, plates,
enlisting some kind of bacteria, yeast, or other microbes to and punnets (the small green baskets in which berries are
chemically alter another ingredient (typically sugar). The acids often sold). Another client, Meadow Mushrooms, is mak-
produced during this process naturally preserve the resulting ing packaging from the stalks removed from mushrooms
food. Fermentation can create thousands of different foods during processing.
and drinks, including sake, kombucha, beer, wine, cheese,
yogurt, pickles, sauerkraut, and sourdough bread. I think
industrial-scale fermentation has expanded our options at the
grocery store more than most of us likely realize.
26
K8P0V4L
27
GROWING
MEAT
IN A
By
NIALL FIRTH
Illustration by
Kate Dehler
28 The food issue
Krieger threw herself into what at Regardless of who gets there first, tier of companies have sprung up to
the time was a fringe area of biotech blended meat is coming, and it might specialize in certain aspects of the pro-
research: growing and harvesting not be long before you get a chance cess: developing better-quality growth
edible animal cells without killing any to taste it. media or novel bioreactor designs, for
sentient creatures. There had been example, or just collecting and bank-
a lot of talk—and some interesting TASTES LIKE CHICKEN? ing useful stem-cell lines from differ-
results, including a lab-grown ham- ent animals. From the hype, the press
burger that cost as much as a house In terms of industry buzz, cultured releases, and the promotional videos—
to create—but making a dent in the meat has never been hotter. At the in which actors delightedly sample
commodity meat industry was not end of 2016 there were just four firms minuscule strips of flesh in fashionably
remotely on the menu. working on it, according to a report by lit restaurants and homes—it might
Today, though, things look a bit the Good Food Institute, the nonprofit seem as if the first cultured product
different. Cultured meat (or, if you that produced the documentary Krieger is just months away.
prefer your high-tech foodstuffs sea- found so unsettling. By early 2020, But there’s a problem. The medium
soned with a bit more marketing savvy, that number had jumped to at least that nurtures the cells is expensive.
“cultivated meat”—the industry now 55 startups around the world trying to The cost is dropping from the early
eschews phrases like “lab-grown” re-create at least 15 different types of days, when startups in the R&D stage
or “in vitro”) is already a nascent animal flesh, including pork, shrimp, relied on repurposed cell culture media
industry. The product is still exorbi- chicken, duck, lamb, even foie gras. taken from biomedical research. But
tantly expensive compared with old- The process for making these growth media still make up the bulk
fashioned meat, you can’t yet buy it products has come a long way since of production expenses—estimates
at the supermarket, and for the most Mark Post, a researcher at Maastricht range from 55% to 95% of the total—
part it doesn’t look or taste much University, had his $320,000 lab- and a kilogram of cultured meat still
like the real thing. At least not on its grown burger cooked on television costs hundreds of dollars. Even allow-
own. That’s where the startup Krieger in 2013—but it essentially follows ing for eventual economies of scale as
cofounded, Artemys Foods, comes in. the same principles. A small sample factories get up and running, it’s no
While lab-grown meat was busy of cells is taken from an animal, usu- recipe for success. No wonder, then,
trying to find its way out of the petri ally via biopsy, and then fed a broth that cultured-meat firms have started
dish, plant-based meat substitutes of nutrients. When millions of new thinking about how to get a piece of
were undergoing a revolution. Firms cells have grown, they are encouraged the huge market that plant-meat com-
such as Impossible and Beyond Meat to differentiate into muscle cells and panies have opened up.
broke through to the mainstream by eventually strands of muscle fiber. “When I was looking at the costs
cleverly mimicking the flavor and The technology’s promise is to associated with 100% cell-based prod-
texture of ground beef, pork, and reproduce the flavor and texture of ucts, they were astronomical,” says
chicken using vegetable proteins and meat without harming animals, and Krieger. “And I also was becoming
fats. These days you can pick up an without the huge environmental costs more and more impressed with the
Impossible Whopper at Burger King of rearing them. Proponents also point burgers that Beyond and Impossible
and Beyond Meat sausages in super- out that cultured meat won’t carry
markets in dozens of countries. diseases or need antibiotics, which
That kind of competition could be breed drug-resistant bacteria.
seen as bad news for cultured-meat Investors are biting. Memphis Meat,
startups. But Krieger and a number one of the biggest players, announced
of other entrepreneurs think it’s the an infusion of $161 million in January
opening they need to finally bring their 2020. It plans to open its first pilot
creations to market—in the form of factory in 2021 to produce its wares at
“blended meat,” melding the best of scale (it has already created versions
the plant-based and cultured-meat of beef meatballs, chicken, and duck).
substitutes. Even the world’s biggest Many others, such as BlueNalu (fish)
fast-food firms are interested: KFC and Meatable (pork and beef), have
has announced it will be working to also raked in substantial sums.
produce blended chicken nuggets that Another sign of the industry’s
could be available this year. growing maturity is that a second
Flesh forward 29
had come out with. It seemed like a nuggets, the company said, it is pair-
What’s cooking? natural fit.”
Artemys, which has recently come
ing with 3D Bioprinting Solutions,
a Russian firm that in 2019 helped
Cultured- and blended-meat startups out of stealth, expects to announce 3D-print a cultured-meat sample on
now come in many flavors.
taste tests of the Artemys Burger any the International Space Station.
day now: a hybrid burger made from The nuggets will be created by first
Aleph Farms cultured beef cells mixed with plant- putting down a layer of extruded plant
Where ...... Rehovot, Israel
based proteins. Earlier this year the protein engineered to produce a more
What ....... Beef steaks grown team ran an experiment, combining realistic meat-like texture instead of
on plant scaffolds its cell-based beef with a store-bought a kind of slurry. A layer of cultured
Funding ..... $14.4 million
plant-based burger. “It was really chicken will follow, then another plant
Future Meat incredible,” says Krieger. “It was like layer, and so on. Then this mixture
Where ...... Tel Aviv, Israel
the missing link when it comes to meat will be shipped off to KFC’s kitchens,
What ....... Cultured fat alternatives.” For her, the cells added where the nuggets will take shape
Funding ..... $16.2 million “umami flavor” to the plant burger and and be coated in the Colonel’s secret
increased its juiciness—all for a much seasoning.
SuperMeat lower price than a pure cultured burger. The first taste tests for the KFC
Where ...... Tel Aviv, Israel
That cost saving is also appeal- blended nuggets are due to take place
What ....... Chicken cells mixed
with plants ing for Benjamina Bollag, founder early in 2021. “The market is ready,”
Funding ..... $4.2 million and CEO of Higher Steaks, a startup says Yusef Khesuani, 3D Bioprinting
based in Cambridge, UK, that has been Solutions’ CEO.
Cubiq focusing on cultured pork. She says
Where ...... Barcelona, Spain
What ....... Chicken fat for blending
she’s still deciding whether the firm MUSCLE MEMORY
Funding ..... $17.8 million will launch with blended products, but
so far her team has experimented with If you think about it, there’s nothing
Just making pork belly and bacon from a new about blended meat. Ground-
Where ...... San Francisco mixture of cultured pork cells and meat products like sausages, nug-
What ....... Cultured chicken plant products. The pork belly was gets, and burgers have always been a
Funding ..... $300 million
around 50% cultured cells, while the mashup (McDonald’s has said one of
bacon was 70% cultured, says Bollag. its burgers can contain beef from over
Artemys
The rest was mostly plant proteins. 100 cows), often mixed with bread-
Where ...... San Francisco
What ....... Plant & beef burger Bollag and Krieger are unusual in crumbs and other ingredients. That’s
Funding ..... $125,000 the cultured-meat world in openly because even conventionally pro-
treating a hybrid or blended product duced meat is expensive. Bulking it
Higher Steaks as a welcome first step—desirable, out makes for a cheaper product that’s
Where ...... Cambridge, UK even. For many, the mission to create still full of meaty flavor.
What ....... Pork products
Funding ..... $20,000 (seed) 100% meat analogues from scratch is, For big, traditional meat firms, that
ostensibly anyway, still paramount. can be good for business and attrac-
Mission Barns Behind closed doors, it’s likely a dif- tive to the growing number of people
Where ...... San Francisco ferent story, however. “Even if they who want to eat less meat but aren’t
What ....... Plant & pork bacon don’t say it publicly, the vast major- ready to give it up entirely. Tyson’s
Funding ..... $3.5 million
ity of the cultivated-meat prototypes “Raised and Rooted” line of sausages
you may have seen in the news are in and nuggets blends real meat with pea
Memphis Meats
fact hybrid products,” says Liz Specht, proteins to appeal to such flexitarians
Where ...... San Francisco
What ....... Beef meatballs, associate director of science and tech- in the US. And Perdue Farms has its
chicken, and duck nology at the Good Food Institute. own line of blended products that
Funding ..... $181 million
Fast-food chains have no such ide- include “Chicken Plus” nuggets, voted
alistic notions about purity. In July, the best nuggets in the US by the Food
Peace of Meat
KFC announced that it was planning Network in 2020. The “plus” is plant
Where ...... Berlin
What ....... Duck and chicken fats to start selling hybrid chicken nug- material supplied by the Better Meat
Funding ..... $6.5 million gets: 20% cultured chicken cells, with Company. “Think about it: the number
the rest from plants. To make the one best-tasting frozen chicken nugget
30
says Nate Park, the firm’s director of obstacles that remain, a big ques-
product development and a former tion looms: Will consumers like these
gourmet chef. In the meantime, Park foods? The image of meat grown in
and his team are working with edible, giant vats, monitored by scientists
plant-based scaffolds that can act as in lab coats, has a distinct sci-fi ick
connective tissue. “We have these factor that doesn’t compete well with
beautiful systems we already under- the cachet of organic, farm-to-table
stand,” he says. “We can take our cul- meat from animals that have spent
tured mass and apply the two things their lives dancing in pastoral bliss.
together. It’s like a chocolate-and- Blended meat might, then, do one
peanut-butter situation.” final job for the cultured-meat indus-
This is also the vision of Israeli firm try: help it gain acceptance. People
Aleph Farms. Its proof-of-concept who are already pretty comfortable
steaks, first shown at the end of 2018, with the idea if not the flavor of plant
don’t look quite ready to take on my burgers will soon get to try them
Hawksmoor T-bone—but they’re with a sprinkling of cultured cells to
recognizably meat, at least. Aleph, add some extra meaty oomph—an
which partnered with 3D Bioprinting Impossible Plus, perhaps. Many of
Solutions on the stunt aboard the the people I spoke to suggested that
International Space Station, expects this might win the average customer
to open its first production plant by over more easily than an entire lab-
the end of 2021, according to CEO grown meat product.
Didier Toubia. That’s the hunch Krieger’s been
Toubia says the trend toward working from ever since her run that
the consistency of ground meat. But blended products is here to stay. “I night. And it’s one more and more
if and when something approximat- believe in convergence,” he says. people in the industry share.
ing a real steak hits your plate, there’s “There will not be competition “Facts alone don’t change people’s
every chance that it will be a hybrid. between plant and cultured meat; behavior,” says Shapiro. “We didn’t
In November, Krieger left Artemys there will be collaboration and integra- stop exploiting horses because we
to found a new blended-meat startup, tion between the different solutions.” cared about horses; we stopped using
Ohayo Valley. Instead of a burger, them because new tech came along
Ohayo Valley will be working on mak- FINGER-LICKIN’ GOOD that rendered their exploitation obso-
ing a full steak, complete with mar- lete. We’re not going to stop causing
bled fat, out of a combination of plants The Good Food Institute’s report esti- the enormity of harms we do to ani-
and beef cells. She says she hopes to mates that cultured products will com- mals because we care about chickens
have the first taste tests of the steak pete with certain premium meats, like and pigs—it’s going to be because we
later this year. bluefin tuna or foie gras, within the create a new technology that renders
Just, a firm based in San Francisco, next three years. By the 2030s, hybrid the current system obsolete.”
is working on chicken nuggets that products might be able to undercut That system of raising and then
were granted regulatory approval to the cost of conventional meat, espe- slaughtering animals has stood for
be sold to consumers in Singapore cially as the plant-based-meat indus- millennia and won’t be easily upended.
in November. Eventually, it plans to try grows in parallel, according to Cultured meat—first blended, and
create a full chicken breast made of Specht. An analysis by management then in pure form—will only stand a
nothing but cultured meat. Like my consultancy Kearney estimates that chance if it tastes at least as good as
steak, a chicken breast gains its shape cultured meat, in some form, could traditional meat. Krieger, for one, is
and texture from a complex mix of take as much as 35% of the global gung-ho. “I think there’s going to be
elements, including collagen, elastin, meat market by 2040. The dream of a huge shift in consumer perception
and tendons. Re-creating all of this in animal-free meat is, it would seem, once people actually get to try cell-
a bioreactor is no simple task. getting closer to reality. based products,” she says, “and realize
“A 100% product would be an It’s clear that blended products they taste amazing.”
amazing thing, and I believe we will will have to pave the way. But even Niall Firth is the news editor of
get there—it’s just a lot more difficult,” ignoring the substantial technical MIT Technology Review.
32 The food issue
MOTHER’S
GUTTER CREDIT HERE
33
MILK
MANY PARENTS RELY ON
INFANT FORMULA
TO FEED THEIR NEWBORNS.
COULD CELL CULTURE
TECHNOLOGY PRODUCE
SOMETHING CLOSER TO
HUMAN BREAST MILK?
O
Biomilq, a company she had founded, got
$3.5 million from a group of investors led
by Bill Gates. Biomilq is now in a race with
competitors in Singapore and New York to
shake up the world of infant nutrition in
a way not seen since the birth of the now
$42 billion formula industry.
For three years, Strickland brought her require ample water to manufacture and then recombine them into a nutritious
laptop to her tiny rented lab space so she prepare. Palm oil is another common ingre- liquid. Since similar processes have already
could run experiments with her cow udder dient. One study in 2015 suggested that won approval from the US Food and Drug
cells between writing and editing assign- producing one kilogram of milk formula Administration for products like Impossible
ments. Her biggest triumph was persuad- generates the equivalent of four kilograms Burgers, which are made from fermented
ing the luminal epithelial cells to form a of carbon dioxide emissions. Strickland’s soy protein, she hopes to face fewer regu-
continuous layer that could maintain the approach had the potential to be much latory hurdles than her competitors. Like
compartments critical for synthesizing more efficient. Strickland and Egger, she is motivated by
milk. She figured out which surfaces pro- Things were hard at first. The change indignation at the lack of options for new
moted the healthiest cell division and how to the team caused Biomilq to lose its spot parents.
the density of cells affected their growth at IndieBio. It applied for, but failed to “I think the best thing we can do is
rate. None of these findings were novel, secure, several research grants. Worried support women to breastfeed,” Katz says.
but she was pleased to be learning the that Biomilq would run out of money, But if that’s impossible, mothers “deserve
techniques needed to ultimately move on Strickland started speaking to her old boss something better than current infant for-
to human cells. about returning to the job she’d left. Egger mula.” She adds, “I see all this innovation
By 2016, Strickland had run out of also quietly began to look for jobs. happening in cell-based meat production
money and had to put the endeavor on Biomilq was on the brink of shuttering for people who just want to eat a burger,
hold. But the idea never left her. Eventually, when Strickland and Egger were prom- but the products that we feed babies have
in 2019, as more and more cultured-food ised $3.5 million in funding from a group stayed static over the past 20, 30 years.”
businesses began trying to make every- of investors led by Breakthrough Energy None of these propositions will be sci-
thing from meat to fish to chicken nuggets Ventures, which Bill Gates had established entifically simple, in part because relatively
in a lab, several friends convinced her to to back technologies that could reduce little is known about breast milk. Most
revive her plan. carbon emissions. Upending the formula studies of human mammary epithelial cells
Strickland recruited two other scien- industry held the promise of doing just tend to focus on their role in breast cancer
tists to work with her. In August 2019, they that. As the spring of 2020 gave way to rather than milk production.
were accepted to IndieBio, a prestigious summer, the money arrived in Biomilq’s As for the milk itself, it’s a rich and
biotech accelerator in San Francisco that bank account. bewildering stew of thousands of chemicals.
gives startups $250,000 of seed funding “We know nutritionally about the proteins,
and other support. She quit her day job the carbohydrates, and the fat in there.
and began to work on the project full time. iomilq is not the only company aim- We know about some particular bioactive
There was a problem, however.
Strickland and her two partners all came
B ing to make a new kind of baby for-
mula. Using a broadly similar approach,
molecules in there, like oligosaccharides
[complex sugars that feed healthy bacteria
from similar backgrounds, with extensive TurtleTree Labs in Singapore eventually in a baby’s gut], IgA [the main antibody
scientific experience but limited business hopes to “replace all milk currently on found in breast milk], bile-salt-stimulated
bona fides. As the team prepared to move the market,” according to cofounder Max lipase [an enzyme that aids in the digestion
to California for four months, it became Rye. In addition to other projects, the com- of fats]—these things that people always
clear they were not a good fit. pany is working to create “fortifiers” that bring up as being good in breast milk,”
Around the same time, a friend intro- can be added to formula to duplicate the says Tarah Colaizy, the research director
duced Strickland to Michelle Egger, a food properties of breast milk. Some formulas of the Human Milk Banking Association
scientist in her late 20s. Egger had been are already fortified with proteins and car- of North America, who also teaches at the
fascinated with milk since she was a child bohydrates derived synthetically or from University of Iowa. But, she notes, breast
growing up in Minneapolis, where she once cow’s milk. Another cofounder, Fengru milk also contains short strands of RNA,
placed second in a youth butter carving com- Lin, explains that, in contrast to Biomilq, whose presence was only discovered in
petition at the Minnesota state fair. After TurtleTree plans to work with the formula 2010, and whose role in infant develop-
college at Purdue, Egger got a job in the industry and hopes to get its products to ment is not yet well understood.
dairy department of General Mills, where market in 2021. That’s why Strickland and Egger plan
she worked for three years before enrolling Meanwhile, Helaina, a company based in to use mass spectrometry, a technique that
in business school at Duke. She was in her New York, will emulate breast milk through measures the mass of different molecules
second year when she first met Strickland. fermentation. Laura Katz, the company’s within a sample, to study how the proteins,
Egger was excited by Strickland’s propo- founder, plans to use microbes to synthe- oligosaccharides, and fats contained in their
sition. Most infant formulas consist of envi- size the milk’s constituent compounds— product compare with the constituents of
ronmentally intensive dairy products that proteins, carbohydrates, and fats—and human milk pumped from a breast. But
Mother’s milk 37
TRUE COLORS
PHOTOGRAPHS BY Christopher Payne
40
3-6-1-6-6-7-5-1-3
41
LESSONS
FROM W
THE PIG hen covid-19 began to race
around the world, countries
closed businesses and told
people to stay home. Many
thought that would be enough
EPIDEMIC
to stop the coronavirus. If we
had paid more attention to
pigs, we might have known
better. When it comes to con-
trolling airborne viruses, says
Bill Christianson, “I think we
fool ourselves on how effective
we can be.”
Gene editing
Christianson is an epidemi-
is being recruited in the fight
against outbreaks on farms. ologist and veterinarian who
heads the Pig Improvement
Company, in Hendersonville,
Tennessee. The company
By ANTONIO REGALADO
sells elite breeding swine to
the pork industry, which for
Illustrations
by SELMAN DESIGN the last 34 years has been
fighting a viral disease called
porcine reproductive and
respiratory syndrome (PRRS).
46 The food issue
The pathogen causes an ill- being genetically edited using types of pigs and against all descendants—likely the larg-
ness known as blue ear, for CRISPR, the revolutionary the strains of the virus.” est number anywhere.
one of its more visible symp- gene scissors. Notoriously, a similar To Raymond Rowland, a
toms; when it first emerged, During a virtual tour, a method has been tried in researcher at the University
in the 1980s, it was simply worker carried a smartphone humans. In a disastrously reck- of Illinois who was involved in
called “mystery swine disease.” through the editing lab into less 2018 outing, Chinese sci- creating the first PRRS-proof
Once infected with PRRS (pro- the gestation area, where sows entists edited human embryos animals, gene editing is “in its
nounced “purrs”), a sow is lia-
ble to miscarry or give birth to
dead, shriveled piglets.
“And I’m going to say yes,
it’s worse for pigs than covid “I NEVER THOUGHT IT WOULD BE A LIGHT SWITCH.
is for us,” says Christianson.
To stop PRRS, as well as BUT IT SEEMS TO WORK ON ALL TYPES OF PIGS AND AGAINST
other diseases, pig farmers
employ measures familiar to ALL THE STRAINS OF THE VIRUS.”
anyone who has been avoid-
ing covid-19. Before you enter
a secure pig barn, you get your
temperature taken, shower, and spend nine months until giv- in hopes of conferring resis- largest sense, a way to create a
change clothes. Lunch boxes ing birth—“farrowing” is the tance to HIV, the cause of more perfect life” for pigs and
get bathed in UV light, and farmer’s term. Then he led the AIDS. Those researchers like- their keepers. “The pig never
supplies are fogged with disin- way to a concrete room where wise dreamed of halting a dis- gets the virus. You don’t need
fectant. Then there’s the ques- gene-edited piglets grunted ease by removing a receptor. vaccines; you don’t need a diag-
tionnaire about your “last pig and peered at the camera. The problem was the tech- nostic test. It takes everything
contact”—seen any swine on According to the company, nology wasn’t ready to do off the table,” he says.
your day off? Been to a coun- these young pigs are immune such an ambitious job safely.
try fair? (Answering yes means to PRRS because their bodies Although the CRISPR tool is Elite pigs
a two-week quarantine away no longer contain the molecular immensely versatile, it lacks Aldous Huxley’s novel Brave
from work.) receptor the virus docks with. precision, and the DNA sur- New World begins with a
Despite the precautions, the Every virus attacks cells by gery created something akin to tour of the “Central London
virus can slip in. Once inside, fusing with them and injecting genetic scars in the twins born Hatchery,” where children in
it quickly spreads in the close its genetic cargo. With covid-19, from the experiment. a future society are being pro-
quarters. Swift “depopula- the virus attaches to a receptor In September a high-level duced through a test-tube pro-
tion”—i.e., culling—of the ani- called ACE-2, which is com- international panel said no one cess under a sign that reads
mals is the most effective way mon on airway and lung cells— should try modifying babies “COMMUNITY, IDENTITY,
to get rid of it. In bad years, the reason the disease causes again “until it has been clearly STABILITY.” The signs at
American pig farmers lose problems with breathing. With established that it is possi- Genus’s facilities are mostly
$600 million to PRRS. PRRS, it’s CD163, a receptor on ble to efficiently and reliably about temperature checks and
Now Christianson’s com- white blood cells. These exper- make precise genomic changes hand-washing, but the con-
pany, which is a division of the imental pigs don’t have a com- without undesired changes in cept is not so different. Every
British animal genetics firm plete CD163 gene because part human embryos.” pig is numbered, monitored,
Genus, is trying something dif- of it was snipped away with But with pigs, the era of and DNA-tested for its genetic
ferent. Instead of trying to seal gene editing. No receptor, no genetic modification is now, qualities.
animals off from the environ- infection. and its benefits might be vis- The firm manages animals
ment, it’s changing the pigs According to the company’s ible soon. Genus hopes to selected to be the healthiest and
themselves. At an experimen- unpublished research, attempts win approval to sell its pigs fastest growing, and to have
tal facility in the central US to infect the gene-edited pigs in the US and China as early the largest litters. These ani-
(the location kept secret for with PRRS have not succeeded. as 2025. Already, its exper- mals—what Genus calls “elite
security reasons), the com- “I never thought it would be a imental stations are home germplasm”—are then propa-
pany has a swine IVF center light switch,” says Christianson. to hundreds of gene-edited gated via breeding on “multi-
and a lab where pig eggs are “But it seems to work on all pigs and thousands of their plier farms” and purchased by
Lessons from the pig epidemic 47
producers everywhere from never emotional to me,” says Unplanned changes, or “off tar- Mark Cigan, a molecular biol-
Iowa to Beijing, who breed Rice. “The little pig or little gets,” can appear far away in the ogist with a senior role in the
them still further. cow—it’s very emotional. You genome, too. program. “We need to be rig-
The company has been want to hug them; you want In plants, this random- orous, because we want a pre-
using DNA sequencing for them to be healthy. It’s like hav- ness isn’t such a problem. A dictable change in all the pigs.
several years to identify pigs ing a kid. You don’t want them successful genetic change to It has to be the same change
with preferred traits and to to be sick.” a single seed (an “event,” as every time.”
steer its breeding programs. The Genus research station plant engineers call it) can
In 2015, it signed an exclusive is set up to carry out the edit- be multiplied into a million Eradicating influenza
license to gene-edit pigs and ing process quickly, on many more fairly quickly. In pigs, While PRRS is the big problem
cattle using technology from pigs. Sows are anesthetized it’s necessary to create iden- in the US, Genus and other
Caribou Biosciences, a com- and then rolled into a surgi- tical edits in many animals in companies think they can make
pany started by Jennifer Doudna cal suite, where veterinarians order to establish a population pigs immune to other viruses
of the University of California, remove eggs from their ova- of founder pigs for breeding. too. They are exploring whether
Berkeley, who last October ries. The eggs are moved to In experiments on pig cells, gene editing could create pigs
shared a Nobel Prize for the the lab, where they are fertil- the Genus researchers have that don’t catch African swine
development of CRISPR. ized and the CRISPR molecules tried many possible edits to fever, a disease that’s rampant
Because the pig company are introduced. Two days after the CD163 gene, looking for in China and since 2018 has led
had no experience in genetic editing, the embryos—by then those that occur most predict- to the loss of half that country’s
pigs. Researchers like Rowland
say edited pigs could also have
the indirect benefit of lower-
ing the chance that certain
viruses will spill over from pigs
to humans.
The origins of covid-19 are
still undetermined, but the pre-
vailing theory is that the disease
is zoonotic, meaning it jumped
from animals to people. Since
pigs don’t catch the new coro-
navirus, they probably played
no part in covid-19’s emergence.
But pig farms are notorious for
starting flu pandemics. Pigs
can catch both bird and human
influenza, in addition to swine
flu. That makes them a danger-
ous mixing vessel in which flu
viruses can swap stretches of
DNA with each other.
Such a reassortment of
genetic parts can suddenly
engineering, it began to hire a few cells big—are implanted ably. Even with such efforts, the produce a new flu virus that
plant biologists. One of them into surrogate sows. pigs being born have the right spreads among people, who
is its chief scientific officer, CRISPR is renowned for its edit only about 20 to 30% of will not have immunity. The
Elena Rice, a Russian-born ability to cut DNA at predeter- the time. Those piglets whose 2009 H1N1 swine flu carried
geneticist who spent 18 years mined locations, but in practice, genomes have errors end up in viral elements from birds, pigs,
at Monsanto, mostly develop- the technology has a random a compost heap. “I want to con- and humans. In the US there
ing genetically modified corn element. Aim it at one spot in vey that this technology is not were about 61 million cases:
plants to grow bigger and resist a genome and you’ll change it simple. You can be good at this almost 300,000 people ended
drought. “The plants were in one of several possible ways. technology or bad at it,” says up in the hospital, and around
48 The food issue
“wildly important” signal to others working anyone’s. Still, as Bobo says, “it’s best to
on genetically engineered animals, says be transparent and hope that people don’t
Jack Bobo, a former board member at the really care.”
Lessons from the pig epidemic 49
12,500 died. The deadly 1918 flu “I don’t know the limit to to humans someday—what will inherited conditions like sickle-
pandemic was accompanied in taking out genes. That is why be the implications for peo- cell disease to their children.
the US by a “hog flu,” though we do trial and error,” says ple? The debate about human Yet others think it’s import-
the connection between them Richt. “But what we want is to genetic modification has often ant to master the technology as
remains unproven. make them resistant to all influ- been reduced to asking whether a possible guard against future
Starting last year, Genus enzas, from all walks of life.” it would be moral to change a pandemics. Removing a recep-
has been paying a Kansas It’s not clear yet whether child’s eye color or intelligence, tor from the next generations
State University scientist, the PRRS-resistant pigs, with for instance. But the pig hatch- of humans could be civiliza-
tion’s fallback if society is hit
with a super-disease that can’t
be controlled by vaccines or
drugs, and for which we don’t
IF GENE EDITING IS PERFECTED IN PIGS— develop immunity.
“We as a species need to
A SPECIES ANATOMICALLY SIMILAR TO HUMANS— maintain the flexibility, in the
WHAT WILL BE THE IMPLICATIONS FOR PEOPLE? face of future threats, to take
control over our own hered-
ity,” George Daley, the dean of
Harvard Medical School, told
an audience in Hong Kong in
Jürgen Richt, to help design only one receptor removed, are ery shows that CRISPR might 2018. He listed “resistance to
pigs resistant to influenza. healthy and otherwise normal. be able to give people inborn global pandemics” as one rea-
Richt isn’t sure he can render Cigan says the company thinks “genetic vaccines” against the son to develop techniques to
pigs entirely immune to the they are; researchers can’t see worst infectious diseases they modify human beings.
fast-evolving flu viruses, but other differences in their tests, might encounter. Covid-19 shows how a
he’s hopeful he can slow the which measure things like how The scientists in China who novel germ can explode out of
pathogens down, maybe even much the pigs eat and gain edited human embryos to resist nowhere and spread globally.
enough to lower the odds of weight. But unplanned changes HIV were pursuing just such The overall death rate from an
another pandemic. “If you get could be subtle. a revolutionary development. infection with the new coro-
less replication, you get less Richt says a decade ago he And the problems they ran into navirus, perhaps 0.5%, doesn’t
mutation, less reassortment,” was involved in making cattle were similar to those Genus threaten humanity’s existence.
he says. The end result is less resistant to mad cow disease. faces: they couldn’t control But what if the next pandemic
evolution of the virus. After removing one gene, he the exact edits they made and is more like the Black Plague,
Because the receptors influ- sensed they were changed. couldn’t be sure that disrupt- which killed one-third or more
enza attaches to are so com- “The way they stood up was ing one gene (called CCR5) of the population of Europe in
mon in the body, no animal funny—it was hard to get them wouldn’t have unanticipated the Middle Ages? It’s a remote
could survive their removal, back up,” he says. “The care- consequences. In that exper- possibility, like an asteroid
Richt says. So the project aims taker told me they are stupid, iment, though, there were no strike. But being able to engi-
instead to remove other genes, so maybe intelligence was second tries. In addition, many neer humans to resist specific
for proteins called proteases affected.” With only a dozen questioned whether the risky germs might be a back-pocket
that the flu—and covid-19— cows, he never was sure, but attempt was medically neces- technology worth having.
require as helper molecules to he suspects the cattle lost a sary, since drugs can keep HIV From what they know of ani-
effectively enter cells. Because “luxury function”—one that under control for decades. mals, scientists at Genus think
there are many types of flu, it wasn’t vital to survival but Since the Chinese fiasco, the editing humans is futuristic but
will be necessary to remove whose removal led to a degra- American and British science not impossible. Twenty years
more than one protease, lead- dation of the sensory system. academies have said that gene ago, Rice would have said it
ing to the question of whether editing, when it’s safe enough was pure fiction. “But now we
pigs with too many deleted Black Plague to use in human reproduction, can actually do it for animals,”
genes can thrive. If a pig is a If gene editing is perfected in should avoid “enhancement” she says. “We have the tools.”
Jenga tower, just how many pigs—a species anatomically so of any kind and instead take
Antonio Regalado is MIT
blocks can be removed before similar to humans that doctors on narrower goals, such as pre- Technology Review’s senior
the animal falls apart? hope to transplant pig kidneys venting people from passing editor for biomedicine.
50
C SEASON
DE
Mark Mason
is a manager
with Steinbeck
Country Produce,
which uses a flux
tower to measure
how much water is
evaporating from
plants’ leaves.
I
As a machine operator for the robotics startup FarmWise,
transplanted by a machine, and the pesticides and
fertilizers applied by a machine. Irrigation crews still
laid sprinkler pipe manually, and farmworkers would
harvest this cauliflower crop when the time came, but
Diego Alcántar spends each day walking behind a hulk- it isn’t a stretch to think that one day, no person will
ing robot that resembles a driverless Zamboni, helping ever lay a hand to the ground around these seedlings.
it learn to do the work of a 30-person weeding crew. Technology’s race to disrupt one of the planet’s
On a Tuesday morning in September, I met Alcántar oldest and largest occupations centers on the effort to
in a gigantic cauliflower field in the hills outside Santa imitate, and ultimately outdo, the extraordinary powers
Maria, at the southern end of the vast checkerboard of two human body parts: the hand, able to use twee-
of vegetable farms that line California’s central coast, zers or hold a baby, catch or throw a football, cut lettuce
running from Oxnard north to Salinas and Watsonville. or pluck a ripe strawberry with its calyx intact; and
Cooled by coastal mists rolling off the Pacific, the
Salinas valley is sometimes called America’s Salad
Bowl. Together with two adjacent counties to the south,
AG TECH BOOSTERS HAVE
the area around Salinas produces the vast majority of
BEEN PROMISING A SURGE
lettuce grown in the US during the summer months,
OF GADGETS AND SOFTWARE
along with most of the cauliflower, celery, and broccoli,
THAT WOULD REMAKE
and a good share of the berries.
FARMING FOR AT LEAST 15
It was the kind of Goldilocks weather that the cen-
YEARS. THEY MAY FINALLY
tral coast is known for—warm but not hot, dry but
BE ON TO SOMETHING.
not parched, with a gentle breeze gliding in from the
coast. Nearby, a harvest crew in straw hats and long the eye, which is increas-
sleeves was making quick work of an inconceivable ingly being challenged
quantity of iceberg lettuce, stacking boxes 10 high on by a potent combina-
the backs of tractor-trailers lining a dirt road. tion of cloud comput-
In another three months, the same scene would ing, digital imagery, and
unfold in the cauliflower field where Alcántar now machine learning.
stood, surrounded by tens of thousands of two- and The term “ag tech”
three-leaf seedlings. First, though, it had to be weeded. was coined at a confer-
The robot straddled a planted bed three rows wide ence in Salinas almost 15
with its wheels in adjacent furrows. Alcántar followed years ago; boosters have
a few paces back, holding an iPad with touch-screen been promising a surge
controls like a joystick’s. Under the hood, the robot’s of gadgets and software
cameras flashed constantly. Bursts of air, like the pis- that would remake the
tons in a whack-a-mole arcade game, guided sets of farming industry for
L-shaped blades in precise, short strokes between the at least that long. And
cauliflower seedlings, scraping the soil to uproot tiny although ag tech startups
weeds and then parting every 12 inches so that only have tended to have an
the cauliflower remained, unscathed. easier time finding inves-
Periodically, Alcántar stopped the machine and tors than customers, the
kneeled in the furrow, bending to examine a “kill”— boosters may finally be
spots where the robot’s array of cameras and blades had on to something.
gone ever so slightly out of alignment and uprooted Silicon Valley is just over the hill from Salinas. But
the seedling itself. Alcántar was averaging about an by the standards of the Grain Belt, the Salad Bowl is
acre an hour, and only one kill out of every thousand a relative backwater—worth about $10 billion a year,
plants. The kills often came in sets of twos and threes, versus nearly $100 billion for commodity crops in the
marking spots where one wheel had crept out of the Midwest. Nobody trades lettuce futures like soybean
furrow and onto the bed itself, or where the blades futures; behemoths like Cargill and Conagra mostly
had parted a fraction of a second too late. stay away. But that’s why the “specialty crop” industry
Taking an iPhone out of his pocket, Alcántar pulled seemed to me like the best place to chart the evolution
up a Slack channel called #field-de-bugging and sent of precision farming: if tech’s tools can work along
a note to a colleague 150 miles away about five kills California’s central coast, on small plots with short
in a row, with a hypothesis about the cause (latency growing cycles, then perhaps they really are ready to
between camera and blade) and a time stamp so he stage a broader takeover.
could find the images and see what had gone wrong. Alcántar, who is 28, was born in Mexico and came
In this field, and many others like it, the ground to the US as a five-year-old in 1997, walking across
had been prepared by a machine, the seedlings the Sonoran Desert into Arizona with his uncle and
Code season 53
his younger sister. His parents, who are from the cen-
tral Mexican state of Michoacán, were busily setting
up the ingredients for a new life as farmworkers in
Salinas, sleeping in a relative’s walk-in closet before
II
Even up close, all kinds of things can foul the “vision”
renting a converted garage apartment. Alcántar spent of the computers that power automated systems like
the first year at home, watching TV and looking after the ones FarmWise uses. It’s hard for a computer to
his sister while his parents worked: there was a woman tell, for instance, whether a contiguous splotch of green
living in the main house who checked on them and lettuce leaves represents a single healthy seedling or
kept them fed during the day, but no one who could a “double,” where two seeds germinated next to one
drive them to elementary school. another and will therefore stunt each other’s growth.
In high school, Alcántar often worked as a field hand Agricultural fields are bright, hot, and dusty: hardly ideal
on the farm where his father had become a foreman. He conditions for keeping computers running smoothly.
A wheel gets stuck in the mud and temporarily
upends the algorithm’s sense of distance: the
left tires have now spun a quarter-turn more
than the right tires.
Other ways of digital seeing have their own
challenges. For satellites, there’s cloud cover to
contend with; for drones and planes, wind and
vibration from the engines that keep them aloft.
For all three, image-recognition software must
take into account the shifting appearance of the
same fields at different times of day as the sun
moves across the sky. And there’s always a trade-
off between resolution and price. Farmers have
to pay for drones, planes, or any field machinery.
Satellite imagery, which has historically been
produced, paid for, and shared freely by public
space agencies, has been limited to infrequent
images with coarse resolution.
NASA launched the first satellite for agricul-
tural imagery, known as Landsat, in 1972. Clouds
and slow download speeds conspired to limit
coverage of most of the world’s farmland to a
handful of images a year of any given site, with
pixels from 30 to 120 meters per side.
A half-dozen more iterations of Landsat fol-
lowed through the 1980s and ’90s, but it was only
in 1999, with the Moderate Resolution Imaging
Spectroradiometer, or MODIS, that a satellite
could send farmers daily observations over most
of the world’s land surface, albeit with a 250-
cut and weeded lettuce, stacked strawberry boxes after meter pixel. As cameras and computing have improved
the harvest, drove a forklift in the warehouse. But when side by side over the past 20 years, a parade of tech
Workers harvest
he turned 22 and saw friends he’d grown up with get- broccoli as companies have become convinced there’s money to be
ting their first jobs after college, he decided he needed a part of a joint made in providing insights derived from satellite and
project between
plan to move on from manual labor. He got a commercial NASA and the aircraft imagery, says Andy French, an expert in water
driver’s license and went to work for a robotics startup. University of conservation at the USDA’s Arid-Land Agricultural
California.
During this first stint, Alcántar recalls, relatives Research Center in Arizona. “They haven’t been suc-
sometimes chided him for helping to accelerate a cessful,” he says. But as the frequency and resolution
machine takeover in the fields, where stooped, sweaty of satellite images both continue to increase, that
work had cleared a path for his family’s upward mobil- could now change very quickly, he believes: “We’ve
ity. “You’re taking our jobs away!” they’d say. gone from Landsat going over our head every 16 days
Five years later, Alcántar says, the conversation has to having near-daily, one- to four-meter resolution.”
shifted completely. Even FarmWise has struggled to In 2014, Monsanto acquired a startup called the
find people willing to “walk behind the machine,” he Climate Corporation, which billed itself as a “digital
says. “People would rather work at a fast food restau- farming” company, for a billion dollars. “It was a bunch
rant. In-N-Out is paying $17.50 an hour.” of Google guys who were experts in satellite imagery,
54 The food issue
saying ‘Can we make this useful to farmers?’” says commodities from the financial impact of pests and
Thad Simons, a longtime commodities executive who bad weather by offering subsidies to offset the cost
cofounded a venture capital firm called the Yield Lab. of crop insurance and, in times of bountiful harvests,
“That got everybody’s attention.” setting an artificial “floor” price at which the gov-
In the years since, Silicon Valley has sent forth a ernment steps in as a buyer of last resort. Fruits and
burst of venture-funded startups whose analytic and vegetables do not enjoy the same protection: they
forecasting services rely on tools that can gather and account for less than 1% of the $25 billion the federal
process information autonomously or at a distance: government spends on farm subsidies. As a result, the
not only imagery, but also things like soil sensors and vegetable market is subject to wild variations based
moisture probes. “Once you see the conferences mak- on weather and other only vaguely predictable factors.
ing more money than people actually doing work,” When I visited Salinas, in September, the lettuce
Simons says with a chuckle, “‘you know it’s a hot area.’’ industry was in the midst of a banner week price-wise,
A subset of these companies, like FarmWise,
are working on something akin to hand-eye
coordination, chasing the perennial goal of auto-
mating the most labor-intensive stages of fruit
and vegetable farming—weeding and, above all,
harvesting—against a backdrop of chronic farm
labor shortages. But many others are focused
exclusively on giving farmers better information.
One way to understand farming is as a never-
ending hedge against the uncertainties that affect
the bottom line: weather, disease, the optimal
dose and timing of fertilizer, pesticides, and
irrigation, and huge fluctuations in price. Each
one of these factors drives thousands of incre-
mental decisions over the course of a season—
decisions based on long years of trial and error,
intuition, and hard-won expertise. So the tech
question on farmers’ lips everywhere, as Andy
French told me, is: “What are you telling us that
we didn’t already know?”
III
Josh Ruiz, the vice president of ag operations
for Church Brothers, which grows greens for
the food service industry, manages more than
a thousand separate blocks of farmland cover-
ing more than 20,000 acres. Affable, heavy-set,
and easy to talk to, Ruiz is known across the industry with whole heads of iceberg and romaine earning
as an early adopter who’s not afraid to experiment shippers as much as $30 a box, or roughly $30,000
Josh Ruiz,
with new technology. Over the last few years, he the vice an acre. “Right now, you have the chance to lose a
has become a regular stop on the circuit that brings president of fortune and make it back,” Ruiz said as we stood at
ag operations at
curious tech executives in Teslas down from San Church Brothers, the edge of a field. The swings can be dramatic: a few
Francisco and Mountain View to stand in a lettuce a greens-growing weeks earlier, he explained, iceberg was selling for
concern, with
field and ask questions about the farming business. “Big Red,”
a fraction of that amount—$5 a box, about half what
“Trimble, Bosch, Amazon, Microsoft, Google—you an automated it costs to produce and harvest.
name it, they’re all calling me,” Ruiz says. “You can broccoli In the next field over, rows of young iceberg let-
harvester of
get my attention real fast if you solve a problem for his design. tuce seedlings were ribbed with streaks of tawny
me, but what happens nine times out of 10 is the tech brown—the mark of the impatiens necrotic spot
companies come to me and they solve a problem that virus, or INSV, which has been wreaking havoc on
wasn’t a problem.” Salinas lettuce since the mid-aughts. These were the
What everyone wants, in a word, is foresight. For early signs. Come back after a couple more weeks,
more than a generation, the federal government has Ruiz said, and half the plants will be dead: it won’t be
sheltered growers of corn, wheat, soybeans, and other worthwhile to harvest at all. As it was, that outcome
Code season 55
would represent a $5,000 loss, based on the costs of 5%. They’re also part of a farming operation’s base-
land, plowing, planting, and inputs. If they decided line expenses: if the same employee spots a broken
to weed and harvest, that loss could easily double. irrigation valve or an empty fertilizer tank and makes
Ruiz said he wouldn’t have known he was wasting sure the weeding crew starts on time, then asking him
$5,000 if he hadn’t decided to take me on a drive to deliver a decent harvest forecast isn’t necessarily
that day. Multiply that across more than 20,000 acres. an extra cost. By contrast, the pricing of tech-driven
Assuming a firm could reliably deliver that kind of forecasts tends to be uneven. Tech salespeople low-
advance knowledge about INSV, how much would ball the cost of service in order to get new customers
it be worth to him? and then, eventually, have to figure out how to make
One firm trying to find out is an imagery and ana- money on what they sell.
lytics startup called GeoVisual Analytics, based in “At 10 bucks an acre, I’ll tell [GeoVisual] to fly the
Colorado, which is working to refine algorithms that whole thing, but at $50 an acre, I have to worry about it,”
can project likely yields Ruiz told me. “If it costs me a hundred thousand dollars
a few weeks ahead of a year for two years, and then I have that aha! moment,
time. It’s a hard thing to am I gonna get my two hundred thousand dollars back?”
model well. A head of let-
tuce typically sees more
than half its growth in the
last three weeks before
harvest; if it stays in the
field just a couple of days
IV
All digital sensing for agriculture is a form of mea-
longer, it could be too surement by proxy: a way to translate slices of the
tough or spindly to sell. electromagnetic spectrum into understanding of bio-
Any model the company logical processes that affect plants. Thermal infrared
builds has to account for reflectance correlates with land surface temperature,
factors like that and more. which correlates with soil moisture and, therefore, the
A ball of iceberg watered amount of water available to plants’ roots. Measuring
at the wrong time swells reflected waves of green, red, and near-infrared light
to a loose bouquet. is one way to estimate canopy cover, which helps
Supermarket carrots are researchers track evapotranspiration—that is, how
starved of water to make much water evaporates through a plant’s leaves, a
them longer. process with clear links to plant health.
Improving these chains of extrapolation is a call
and response between data generated by new gener-
“WHAT HAPPENS ations of sensors and the software models that help
NINE TIMES OUT OF 10 us understand them. Before the launch of the EU’s
IS THE TECH COMPANIES first Sentinel satellite in 2014, for instance, research-
COME TO ME AND THEY ers had some understanding of what synthetic aper-
SOLVE A PROBLEM ture radar, which builds high-resolution images by
THAT WASN’T A PROBLEM.” simulating large antennas, could reveal about plant
biomass, but they lacked enough real-world data to
validate their models. In the American West, there’s
When GeoVisual first got to Salinas, in 2017, “we abundant imagery to track the movement of water
came in promising the future, and then we didn’t over irrigated fields, but no crop model sufficiently
deliver,” says Charles McGregor, its 27-year-old gen- advanced to reliably help farmers decide when to
eral manager. Ruiz, less charitably, calls their first sea- “order” irrigation water from the Colorado River,
son an “epic fail.” But he gives McGregor credit for which is usually done days ahead of time.
sticking around. “They listened and they fixed it,” he As with any Big Data frontier, part of what’s driv-
says. He’s just not sure what he’s willing to pay for it. ing the explosion of interest in ag tech is simply the
As it stands, the way field men arrive at yield fore- availability of unprecedented quantities of data. For
casts is decidedly analog. Some count out heads of the first time, technology can deliver snapshots of
lettuce pace by pace and then extrapolate by mea- every individual broccoli crown on a 1,000-acre
suring their boots. Others use a 30-foot section of parcel and show which fields are most likely to see
sprinkler pipe. There’s no way methods like these can incursions from the deer and wild boars that live in
match the scale of what a drone or an airplane might the hills above the Salinas Valley.
capture, but the results have the virtue of a format The problem is that turning such a firehose of 1s
growers can easily process, and they’re usually off by and 0s into any kind of useful insight—producing,
no more than 25 to 50 boxes an acre, or about 3% to say, a text alert about the top five fields with signs
56 The food issue
of drought stress—requires a more sophisticated When I asked the growers I met how they handled
understanding of the farming business than many this part of the business, the reply, to a person, was:
startups seem to have. As Paul Fleming, a longtime “Oh, we use Paul.”
farming consultant in Salinas, put it, “We only want to Mariottini’s clients include some of the largest
know about the things that didn’t go the way they’re produce companies in the world, but only one uses
supposed to.” tablets so that field supervisors can record the acre-
And that’s just the beginning. Retail shippers get age and variety of each planting, the type and date
paid for each head of cauliflower or bundle of kale of fertilizer and pesticide applications, and other
they produce; processors, who sell pre-cut broccoli basic facts about the work they supervise while it’s
crowns or bags of salad mix, are typically paid by taking place. The rest take notes on paper, or enter
weight. Contract farmers, hired to grow a crop for the information from memory at the end of the day.
someone else for a per-acre fee, might never learn When I asked Mariottini whether anyone used
whether a given harvest was a “good” or a “bad” one,
representing a profit or a loss for the shipper that
hired them. It’s often in a shipper’s interest to keep
“EVERYONE THINKS
individual farmers in the dark about where they stand
FARMERS KNOW HOW THEY
relative to their nearby competitors.
GROW, BUT THE
In Salinas, the challenge of making big data rel-
REALITY IS THEY’RE
evant to farm managers is also about consolidating
PULLING IT OUT OF
the universe of information farms already collect—or,
THE AIR.”
perhaps, don’t. Aaron Magenheim, who grew up in
his family’s irrigation business and now runs a con-
sultancy focused on farm technology, says the par- software to link paper
ticulars of irrigation, fertilizer, crop rotations, or any maps to the spread-
number of variables that can influence harvest tend sheets showing what
to get lost in the hubbub of the season, if they’re ever got planted where, he
captured at all. “Everyone thinks farmers know how chuckled and said, “I’ve
they grow, but the reality is they’re pulling it out of been doing this for 20
the air. They don’t track that down to the lot level,” years trying to make that
he told me, using an industry term for an individual happen.” He once pro-
tract of farmland. As many as 40 or 50 lots might share grammed a PalmPilot;
the same well and fertilizer tank, with no precise way he calls one of his plug-
of accounting for the details. “When you’re applying ins “Close-Enough GPS.”
fertilizer, the reality is it’s a guy opening a valve on a “The tech industry would
tank and running it for 10 minutes, and saying, ‘Well probably laugh at it, but
that looks okay.’ Did Juan block number 6 or number the thing that the tech
2 because of a broken pipe? Did they write it down?” industry doesn’t under-
Magenheim says. “No! Because they have too many stand is the people you’re
things to do.” working with,” he said.
Then there are the maps. Compared with corn and
soybean operations, where the same crops get planted
year after year, or vineyards and orchards, where
plantings may not change for more than a generation,
growers of specialty crops deal with a never-ending
jigsaw puzzle of romaine following celery following
V
The goal of automation in farming is best understood
broccoli, with plantings that change size and shape as all encompassing. The brief weeks of harvest con-
according to the market, and cycles as short as 30 sume a disproportionate share of the overall budget—
days from seed to harvest. as much as half the cost of growing some crops. But
For many companies in Salinas, the man standing there are also efforts to optimize and minimize labor
astride the gap between what happens in the field and throughout the growing cycle. Strawberries are being
the record-keeping needs of a modern farming busi- grown with spray-on, biodegradable weed barriers that
ness is a 50-year-old technology consultant named could eliminate the need to spread plastic sheeting
Paul Mariottini. Mariottini—who planned to become over every bed. Automated tractors will soon be able
a general contractor until he got a computer at age 18 to plow vegetable fields to a smoother surface than
and, as he puts it, “immediately stopped sleeping”— a human driver could, improving germination rates.
runs a one-man operation out of his home in Hollister, Even as analytics companies race to deliver platforms
with a flip phone and a suite of bespoke templates that can track the health of an individual head of lettuce
and plug-ins he writes for Microsoft Access and Excel. from seed to supermarket and optimize the order in
Code season 57
which fields get harvested, other startups are devel- Historically, water in Salinas has always been cheap
oping new “tapered” varieties of lettuce—similar to and abundant: the downside of under-irrigating, or
romaine—with a compact silhouette and leaves that of using too little fertilizer, has always been far larger
rest higher off the ground, in order that they might than the potential savings. “Growers want to sell
be more easily “seen” and cut by a robot. product; efficient use is secondary. They won’t cut
Overall, though, the problems with the American it close and risk quality,” Cahn said. The risk might
food system aren’t about technology so much as law even extend to losing a crop.
and politics. We’ve known for a long time that the her- Of late, though, nitrate contamination of drink-
bicide Roundup is tied to increased cancer rates, yet it ing water, caused by heavy fertilizer use and linked
remains widely used. We’ve known for more than 100 to thyroid disease and some types of cancer, has
years that the West is short on water, yet we continue to become a major political issue in Salinas. The local
grow alfalfa in the desert, and use increasingly sophis- water quality control board is currently developing
a new standard that will limit the amount of
nitrogen fertilizer growers can apply to their
fields, and it’s expected to be finalized in 2021.
As Cahn explained, “You can’t control nitrogen
without controlling your irrigation water.” In
the meantime, Mason and a handful of other
growers are working with UCANR on a soft-
ware platform called Crop Manage, designed
to ingest weather and soil data and deliver
customized recommendations on irrigation
and fertilizer use for each crop.
Cahn says he expects technological advances
in water management to follow a course similar
to the one being set by the threat of tighter reg-
ulations on nitrogen fertilizer. In both cases, the
business argument for a fix and the technology
required to get there lie somewhere downstream
of politics. Outrage over lack of access to clean
groundwater brought forth a new regulatory
mechanism, which unlocked the funding to figure
out how to measure it, and which will, in turn,
inform the management approaches farmers use.
In the end, then, it’s political pressure that
has created the conditions for science and tech-
nology to advance. For now, venture capital and
federal research grants continue to provide an
artificial boost for ag tech while its potential
buyers—such as lettuce growers—continue
to treat it with a degree of caution.
But just as new regulations can reshape the
ticated drilling techniques in a kind of water arms race. cost-benefit analysis around nitrogen or water use from
These are not problems caused by a lack of technology. Michael Cahn,
one day to the next, so too can a product that brings
On my last day in Salinas, I met a grower named a researcher at clear returns on investment. All the growers I spoke to
the University
Mark Mason just off Highway 101, which cuts the spend precious time keeping tabs on the startup world:
of California
valley in two, and followed him to a nine-acre block who’s developing taking phone calls, buying and testing tech-powered
of celery featuring a tidy tower of meteorological software to services on a sliver of their farms, making suggestions
optimize water
equipment in the center. The equipment is owned and fertilizer on how to target analytics or tweak a farm-facing app.
by NASA, part of a joint project with the University use,at a water Why? To have a say in how the future unfolds, or at
trial for
of California’s Agriculture and Natural Resources artichokes.
least to get close enough to see it coming. One day
cooperative extension office, or UCANR. soon, someone will make a lot of money following a
Eight years ago, amid news of droughts and forest computer’s advice about how high to price lettuce, or
fires across the West, Mason felt a gnawing sense that when to spray for a novel pest, or which fields to har-
he ought to be a more careful steward of the ground- vest and which ones to abandon. When that happens,
water he uses to irrigate, even if the economics sug- these farmers want to be the first to know.
gested otherwise. That led him to contact Michael Rowan Moore Gerety, the author of Go Tell the
Cahn, a researcher at UCANR. Crocodiles, is a writer in Phoenix, Arizona.
58
“unsuspected dietetic factors” in an organism’s health. His first and other nutrient deficiencies, the most common is a lack of
paper on “accessory factors” was published in 1912; it would take iron, which is responsible for about half of worldwide anemia
several decades for scientists to come to an understanding of the cases. Anemia results in weakness and reduced cognition. For
chemical structures of what we now call vitamins. pregnant women it can, along with folic acid deficiency, increase
Meanwhile, during the First World War, US Army officials the odds of birth defects like anencephaly, which is usually fatal.
noticed a pattern among young men called up for the draft. Economists believe high rates of iron-deficiency anemia also
Goiter, identifiable by the prominent swelling of the thyroid in have a macroeconomic effect, reducing individual productivity by
the front of the neck, was more common among men from the as much as 40% and reducing GDP by over 1%. According to the
center of the country, and less so among draftees from the coasts. Copenhagen Consensus Center, which does cost-benefit analyses
One medical history of salt iodization records that “according of large-scale social interventions, salt iodization costs around
to US Selective Service reg- five cents per person per
ulations, more men were year, and one dollar spent on
disqualified for military ser- it generates as much as $30
vice in Northern Michigan in saved health-care costs
for large and toxic goiters and higher economic pro-
than for any other medical ductivity. Iron fortification,
disorder”; surveillance stud- it’s estimated, would gener-
ies ultimately found a prev- ate almost $9 for each dollar
alence above 64% in some spent—not as dramatic as
parts of the state. iodization, but still a sub-
Why did their coastal stantial impact.
peers fare better? Seawater Part of the reason ane-
contains iodine, some of mia is so prevalent in India
which evaporates into the is that almost 200 million
air and then returns to earth Indians live in extreme
in rain. Coastal soil, there- poverty, and many rarely
fore, is far richer in iodine or never eat meat, either for
than soil inland, and plants religious reasons or because
grown near the coasts have it is simply unaffordable.
higher iodine levels. Seaweed Grains and pulses, the sta-
and seafood, which are more ples of most Indian diets, are
common in coastal diets, also rich in phytates, compounds
contain enough iodine to that inhibit the absorption of
make a nutritional difference. iron, exacerbating the prob-
Authorities in three French provinces had begun distrib- lem. Anemia was common even in Mannar’s relatively well-off
uting iodine tablets as early as the 1860s. In 1922, landlocked social circle. Though more severe in India than elsewhere, it
Switzerland became the first country to systematically iodize isn’t a problem confined to the poor world. Some 3.5 million
salt. By 1924, the Morton salt company, based in Chicago, began people are diagnosed with anemia each year in the United States,
selling iodized salt across the United States, and eventually 90% according to the Centers for Disease Control, and over 5,000
of American households came to use it. die from it annually.
Not until 1990 did the UN World Summit for Children set But, as Mannar notes, richer people can visit a doctor and buy
the goal of eliminating iodine deficiency disorders worldwide, iron supplements, while poorer Indians, especially in rural areas,
but the effort has been a resounding success: the number of likely can’t. Government interventions in India, such as a program
countries classified as iodine deficient fell from 110 in 1990 to to give pregnant women iron tablets, had also made little sustained
25 by 2015. Meanwhile, fortifying milk with vitamin D has led impact. Distributing pills to hundreds of millions of people and
to the near eradication of rickets, and enriching flour with niacin persuading them to take them regularly was hard. Iodized salt,
and other minerals eliminated pellagra, a condition marked by however, was already in shops and kitchens, and used in every
diarrhea, dermatitis, and dementia that killed as many as 7,000 meal. Why not, Mannar thought, just add iron to it as well?
Americans annually at its peak in the late 1920s but was virtu- The idea had been around since 1969. But as Mannar and
ally nonexistent by 1950. competing groups in India and Switzerland (among others)
The striking exception to this litany of successes is anemia. would discover, both the chemistry of iron and the complexities
Though the disease has many causes, including parasitic infections of nutrition made things considerably harder.
62 The food issue
odizing salt is a relatively simple matter: a solution con- centralized, salt became more consistent in appearance and taste.
I taining 2% to 4% potassium iodate is dripped or sprayed “We were chasing a moving target—the quality of salt over the
on salt that has already been dried and refined. last 20 years has improved steadily,” Diosady says.
Alternatively, the potassium iodate can be mixed with a filler, Unable to get the iodine capsules to work the way they wanted,
sprinkled over dry salt, and mixed again. Diosady and his team decided to change tack and focus on
Adding iron to iodized salt—making double-fortified salt, encapsulating the iron instead. That way whatever they came up
or DFS—turns out to be an entirely different class of problem. with could, in principle, be mixed in with existing iodized salt.
When iron comes into contact with potassium iodate, they That left the question of what kind of iron to use. “We went
react. The iodine evaporates, and the iron forms compounds and tried a whole slew of iron compounds,” says Diosady. Most
that are less easily absorbed resulted in an off-color salt
by the body. The salt dark- that would never fly with
ens and takes on a metallic consumers. He’s reminded
taste—hardly something of these failed attempts
someone would want to every year, when winter
sprinkle on food. arrives in Toronto. “I still use
Mannar learned all of salt in my driveway which is
this the hard way. In 1993,
he walked into the office of
hey said, yellow, green—all the differ-
ent colors that these things
Levente Diosady, a professor ‘Well, you know, we’ve been came up with,” he says.
of food engineering at the Mannar suggested fer-
University of Toronto who
spending the last 10 years rous fumarate, a compound
specialized in processing
edible oilseeds, and told him
telling people that salt widely used in iron tablets
because the body absorbs it
about the idea for DFS. “He should be white and clear and easily. One of the cheapest
said, ‘This should be pretty forms, it also has the advan-
easy—can we do a couple of
clean with nothing in it. tage of being flavorless—
tests?’” Diosady recalls. “I
said, ‘Yeah, we can do a cou-
And here you are doing this, other iron compounds can
taste like a rusty pipe.
ple of tests, but it probably and it looks like there’s mouse Ferrous fumarate comes
won’t be that easy.’” The two in powder form. Diosady and
received a small grant from
droppings in it.’” his graduate students would
a recently created group suspend the powder in a pre-
called the Micronutrient cisely controlled stream of
Initiative to explore the technical side of creating DFS. air that flows up into a cone-shaped container, while simultane-
Diosady knew the key was to keep the iron and iodine from ously injecting an adhesive that allows the particles to coagulate
coming into contact with one another, but he didn’t have a clear in salt-grain-size clumps. These clumps could then be sprayed
idea of how to do it. He and one of his lab technicians tried to with a waterproof coating, so that if they encountered any humid-
create iodine microcapsules with a thin, water-resistant coating ity they wouldn’t dissolve, thereby preventing the iron within
around each particle, to form a barrier between the iodine and from reacting with the iodine. These little particles now formed
the iron. They tried several encapsulant formulas, but they found an iron “premix” that could be added to iodized salt.
that to mix evenly with salt, the spray-dried microcapsules had There was just one problem. Ferrous fumarate ranges in color
to be ground up very fine. In a test in Ghana, consumers com- from a cocoa brown to the bright red of paprika or cayenne.
plained that the results were clumpy. Diosady recalls bringing the iron-enriched salt to a meeting of
“At that point, we went back and said, Okay, well, what can specialists led by Mannar. “They said, ‘Well, you know, we’ve
we do to make it bigger? So we started looking at agglomerating been spending the last 10 years telling people that salt should
these iodine particles to make them more or less match salt in be white and clear and clean with nothing in it. And here you
size,” says Diosady. “That was the goal: to make stuff that matches are doing this, and it looks like there’s mouse droppings in it.’”
salt grains in size to prevent separation.” To get the right color, they eventually settled on a formula based
In the early years of the project, salt in most countries was nei- on stearin (a tasteless vegetable fat used in everything from candles
ther as uniform nor as sparkling white as it is today, which worked to confectionery), which provides the waterproof layer, mixed with
to Diosady’s advantage. “Color was not a big deal. Particle size enough titanium dioxide (an inert food additive, and the same min-
was not a big deal. It was variable,” he recalls. But as production eral that makes some sunscreens chalky) to tint the particles white.
Slug here 63
64 The food issue
But these techniques relied on a sophisticated piece of equip- Côte d’Ivoire, the results were mixed. One study showed levels
ment known as a fluidized-bed agglomerator, used in pharmaceu- of iron-deficiency anemia decreasing from 35% to 8% among
tical manufacturing. The machines can cost a couple of million Moroccan schoolchildren after 40 weeks, but another concluded
dollars each. Diosady’s team gradually ramped up to making the that the encapsulation techniques still needed work.
premix in 600-kilogram batches, enough for 120,000 kilograms In 2006, with funding from the Canadian government, the
of double-fortified salt, but there was no way developing coun- Indian state of Tamil Nadu began using Diosady’s salt formula-
tries would be able to afford the technology. tion in lunches provided to 5 million schoolchildren. In 2008, a
The team needed a cheaper, simpler method. They eventually consortium of Swiss and Indian researchers began testing both
hit upon extrusion—squeezing a “dough” made of ferrous fumarate Diosady’s formula and an alternative Swiss compound in 18 villages
mixed with semolina, water, and a tiny bit of shortening through a near Bangalore, some 200 miles west of where Mannar had grown
restaurant pasta machine, to up, to compare how well dif-
create strands the diameter ferent forms of iron worked.
of angel-hair pasta. These are Iodine tends to react with
cut into pellets of equal length impurities in salt, causing it
and diameter, which are then to evaporate, so iodized salt
sieved to ensure evenly sized becomes less effective over
pieces of no more than 800 time. The Swiss salt, which
micrometers, or a 30th of an contained iron in the form of
inch: around the size of a ground-up ferric pyrophos-
single grain of salt. The pel- phate, lost 44% of its iodine
lets are, as before, coated in content in the first month
titanium dioxide and stearin, of storage, and 86% after six
making them resemble tiny, months. But Diosady’s ver-
irregular Tic-Tacs, which can sion performed just as well
then be mixed with salt. as regular iodized salt, losing
To understand how their just a fifth of its iodine con-
product would hold up in tent after six months. And in
the real world, Diosady and both kinds, the iron did its
his team used data gathered job: the Swiss formula cut the
by a kind of salt tracking rate of anemia in the school-
device—a small metal box children in half, and the
slightly bigger than a pack of Toronto version performed
cards that could be packaged even better. The stearin coat-
in salt shipments bound for ing, just a few microns thick,
shops in Kenya and Nigeria. The device captured snapshots of had proved to be up to the task. (Ferric pyrophosphate, used in
atmospheric conditions every 30 minutes over the course of the the Swiss salt, is already white, eliminating the need for a coating,
three-month journey from factory to shop. Using this data, they though the iron in it is less easily absorbed by the body.)
set large ovens to approximate various environments—from the In 2014, results came back from another evaluation, conducted
tropical coast of Mombasa to the hot, dry atmosphere in Kano, by research groups at Cornell and McGill universities. Diosady
Nigeria, to the temperate weather of Nairobi—and left Ziploc bags and Mannar’s DFS was given to 212 female tea pickers on an
full of salt in them for months, finally testing them for stability. estate in Darjeeling, a lush green region in West Bengal, in the
Satisfied they’d created an adequately fortified, shelf-stable foothills of the Himalaya mountains. Of the 93 women who had
product, the researchers next had to find out if it would actually too little iron in their blood at the outset of the study, 80% had
do the job they had designed it for: overcoming iron deficiency normal levels by the end, about eight months later. Even better,
and preventing anemia. That process has taken even longer than their cognition and memory improved. A trial at 54 schools in
developing the technology itself. the Indian state of Bihar in 2018, by a group from the University
of Göttingen, found that DFS reduced anemia by 20%.
Diosady and Mannar were getting their efforts under All the same, at least one major study has cast some doubts on
A S way, a group at India’s National Institute of Nutrition the case for adding iron to salt. In a 2017 paper, Abhijit Banerjee,
in Hyderabad developed a competing double-fortified Sharon Barnhardt, and Esther Duflo reported that a trial they
salt, as did a research group at the Swiss Federal Institute of conducted across 400 villages in Bihar found “no evidence that
Technology. When the Swiss salt was tested in Morocco and either selling DFS or providing it for free has an economically
Iron man 65
meaningful or statistically significant impact on hemoglobin, of premix a year was enough to supply over 40 million people.
anemia, physical health, cognition or mental health.” Diosady estimates that India now has capacity to produce DFS
That result carries some weight, since Banerjee and Duflo for 100 million people per year.
won the 2019 Nobel in economics for their work on evaluat- The state government of Uttar Pradesh, in India’s north, was
ing the impact of development programs. In their paper, the the first to scale up distribution, beginning in late 2016. The salt
researchers speculated that to avoid the risk of iron poisoning, was rolled out to 25 million consumers there through a network of
the dose in the salt they were using might have been too small 15,000 “fair price shops,” which sell government-subsidized staples.
to overcome the iron deficiency. Other states followed: Madhya Pradesh in 2017 and Jharkhand in
Their study was one of 14 covered in a 2018 meta-analysis in the 2018. In September of that year, Prime Minister Narendra Modi
journal Advances in Nutrition, coauthored by Mannar. Overall, it plugged the salt in his weekly address to the nation.
found DFS effective at deliv- Diosady estimates that it
ering iron and reducing ane- took $35 million, invested over
mia. More research may be 20 years, to develop the micro-
needed. (Mannar says his salt encapsulation technology, test
tastes better than the formula- it in the field, and provide tech-
tion that Banerjee, Barnhardt, nical assistance to JVS to jump-
and Duflo studied.) But even start production. Funding
if the benefits of iron-fortified
salt aren’t yet certain, a lot of
annar came from various sources,
including the Micronutrient
investment is going into mak- has overseen Initiative, the Canadian gov-
ing it more widely available. ernment, the Bill and Melinda
hundreds of fortification Gates Foundation, and the Tata
T
he president of the
Micronutrient Initia-
programs. He is Trusts, one of India’s largest
philanthropies. Ratan Tata,
tive was so pleased partial to salt because the industrialist who heads the
with Diosady and Mannar’s trusts, is a fortified-salt enthu-
early work (and so keen to
it is cheap, and because siast, as is Bill Gates.
return to medical practice) that
in 1994 he offered Mannar the
rich and poor people eat Still, whether DFS fol-
lows the path first trodden
presidency of the organization, similar amounts. by iodized salt, from targeted
which changed its name to intervention to universal con-
Nutrition International in 2017. diment, depends in large
Mannar has overseen hun- part on whether commercial
dreds of fortification programs. saltmakers can be enticed to
He is partial to salt because it is cheap, and because rich and poor begin manufacturing it at scale. That, argues Rajan Sankar, a
people eat similar amounts. program director for nutrition at the Tata Trusts and a former
But Diosady wonders if even iodizing salt would be politically advisor to the Micronutrient Initiative, requires government
feasible today, despite its benefits, if it hadn’t already been done intervention. India’s iodization push of the 1980s and 1990s suc-
decades ago. Educated consumers have grown wary of tinkering ceeded because the government helped saltmakers buy modern
with food and increasingly seek out the “natural.” Many tons of equipment and provided free potassium iodate and technical sup-
pink salt, which has a virginal, untouched aura, are mined in the port. If the public health authorities are serious about combating
Himalayas and exported. Diosady notes that even his own wife anemia, he asks, “What is the support [they] are ready to give?”
“is very leery of anything I bring from the lab.” Mannar’s nephews now own and operate the family saltworks—
By 2016, the Food Safety and Standards Authority of India had he sold his own share decades ago. In the summer drying season,
finalized regulatory language governing the production of DFS. the flats still teem with laborers harvesting salt manually, but there
A manufacturing plant run by JVS Foods in Jaipur, in northwest- is now a large, airy plant where salt is washed, ground, and iodized
ern India, began to manufacture the premix at scale, in a process in huge metal vats. Sacks of salt, stacked a dozen high, await dis-
based on the one designed by Diosady and his team: JVS bought patch. But despite Mannar’s encouragement, the business doesn’t
a few pieces of equipment and manufactured the rest, includ- yet sell a double-fortified salt. “They would like to,” he says. But
ing extruders and coating machines. Mannar and researchers they are waiting for the market leaders to make the first move.
from the University of Toronto then persuaded salt processors Anna Louie Sussman is working on a book about the rela-
to incorporate the premix. The plant’s initial output of 600 tons tionship between capitalism and reproduction.
66 The food issue
“HE PUT
that weaves in experimental
recipes, family history, and
the surrealist details that
link a Zhejiang pearl farm
with multilevel marketing
QR-CODED
schemes in the American
South. How did you capture
such a complex narrative?
A: So much tech report-
ing focuses on technologi-
WRISTBANDS
cal “solutions” in a way that
too often becomes a form
of marketing, and I really
didn’t want to do that. It was
important for me to examine
ON EACH OF
the underlying social fabric
of these issues surround-
ing food—so, everything
from food safety to this idea
of hunger and food scar-
THE CHICKENS”
city, especially in a place like
China, where that is actually
in recent memory.
B
changing, but I wanted to
Oakland-based writer, designer, and scholar understand how this pretty
Xiaowei Wang, explores technology in rural traditional scene was meet-
China and the surprising ripple effects of the ing high tech. I think peo-
ple don’t realize how there
country’s food supply chain on people all around the
are just so many people in
world. The book connects, for example, an AI-driven China and also not as much
pig-farming operation in Guangdong to Silicon Valley land as in the US, so the
surveillance culture, while avoiding the easy binaries of Chinese agricultural system
tech solutionism and paranoia. It also includes a selec- faces unique pressures. A
tion of speculative “Sinofuturist recipes,” an ongoing lot of elderly folks in China
lived under the Great Leap
art project that uses food to address anxieties about
Forward, which was this
technology, the ecosystem, and the body. We discussed time of enormous starvation
Wang’s research, the effects of the coronavirus pan- throughout China because
demic, and what China’s food system means for us all. Mao Zedong was trying not
CHRISTIE HEMM KLOK
68 The food issue
vation in the countryside. supported a lot of initiatives became a tool for combating that shifts each season, so
It’s an attempt to balance a by small privatized com- African swine fever (ASF) in that farmers have a greater
lot of what the government panies that employ those pigs during a disastrous out- incentive to follow these
views as shaky forces. A lot technologies. break that began in 2018. organic rules.
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Q: The coronavirus pandemic example of people thinking art of beekeeping. It makes frame that reality as a weird
emerged when your book was that Chinese food is some- sense: the urban 20-some- form of fiction. To question
in production. Do you feel it how “dirty.” It infuriates me things who have only known “Why do we eat what we
underscores your themes? so much, because all the the city their entire lives, eat?” and understand how
A: I had been looking at a science says it [the corona- they’re under so much pres- that relates to technological
lot of the research of Rob virus] probably came from sure, and so of course they’re change. I was really inspired
Wallace, an epidemiologist outside [the market], and it going to romanticize the by a cookbook by Mary Sia,
who studies factory farm- probably came from a bat. countryside. who talks about how in China
ing and zoonotic diseases— you don’t get a lot of baked
which is not to say that all Q: What are the trends you Q: The term “Sinofuturism” goods; you get a lot of boiled
these are coming out of fac- are seeing in the countryside? refers to concepts and things, and that’s due to the
tory farms, but just these Has the pandemic contributed aesthetics of a “Chinese fact that China simply didn’t
profit-driven practices that to new ones? future.” It’s been explored by have enough trees to cut
push humans into previously A: I would say the general artists, designers, and think- down to generate as much
wild habitats. There’s obvi- trend is that there’s lots of ers in critical or celebratory heat as is needed in baking.
ously been a huge accelera- optimism. Because of the ways. How do you personally For me that was a reminder
tion of zoonotic disease. pandemic, a lot of migrant interpret it? of how what we cook is
In the pandemic we’ve workers in cities had to go A: For me, Sinofuturism now totally shaped by what is
all realized that decoupling back to their rural homes, contains a certain imperial available, as a result of the
with China would be hard— and maybe they’ll stay there logic, given how China has technology that we use.
we rely on China for so many and pursue other kinds of operated more and more as
things. Just the process of opportunities. Even before an imperial power over the Q: What were some of the
setting up a factory; the the pandemic, I observed a past few years, domestically inspirations behind the reci-
material supplies, training, lot of young people thinking and internationally. That pes you include in the book?
machinery; the knowledge and talking about “Oh, maybe said, I think there are a lot A: I was seeing my Chinese
of costs and shipping and I can move back to my home- of interesting and produc- herbalist, who loves to rant
freight and routes. It’s never town” and start some kind tive parts of Sinofuturism about Western medicine and
been more clear that China is of business that would be that make us question these how it doesn’t fully under-
so interwoven with the global cheaper than in the city. innate Western beliefs stand the body, and she was
supply chain. I think, too, the live- about the value of individu- telling me about how the
streaming economy is a alism, the role of work, the brain is not one of the 11 vital
Q: What do you wish weird microcosm of this— disconnection from natu- organs in Chinese medicine.
Americans understood about people have a notion of ral cycles, the separation It’s not essential to the sys-
Chinese wet markets? farming in the countryside, between mind and body, tem of qi. I thought it was
A: So, I love wet markets. live-streaming it, and get- that are worth investigating. fascinating because when I
They are a place where fresh ting patrons. I think for urban Sinofuturism is also a way to was interviewing computa-
food is readily available to youth, that trend is increas- consider what exactly is this tional neuroscientists, you
all, and it’s an important ing. Back in 2009, when I imperial force that China’s know, the brain is the cen-
livelihood for many peo- was living in Beijing and becoming, and to provoke ter of everything in Western
ple who aren’t these large trying to do urban garden- questions around that. clinical medicine. It controls
supermarket chains. You’ve ing, no one was interested. your heartbeat, your lungs;
got the garlic lady who sells Everybody was like, “Ugh, Q: Even if they don’t cook it’s the center of thinking:
her homegrown crop at wet this is what my parents had them, what do you want you wouldn’t be a person
markets. They’re a crucial to do. I’m not doing this, it’s readers to get from the without it.
connection for local and gross.” But today, there’s a Sinofuturist recipes in the My herbalist gave me
regional farmers. They’re so huge demand for organic book? some ideas on what nour-
common not just in China, farmers’ markets, and influ- A: I’d love for people to say, ishes qi, so I decided to use
but around the world—in encers getting into farming. “Hmm, I don’t have access her sage advice in a recipe
Latin America and so on. I I just heard about a popular to moon-grown cornmeal,” for AI porridge.
think it’s sad [that people beekeeping influencer, who but to have a sense of wonder
Samantha Culp is a writer
blame covid-19 on wet mar- has a whole brand and blog about the ingredients that and filmmaker based in
kets]—and a xenophobic talking about the ancient are available to them, and to Los Angeles.
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72
OF THE FUTURE!
slab of frozen lasagna and taken
alternating bites of magma-hot
cheese and ice-cold meat sauce
knows this all too well. The
AND IT ALWAYS
microwave is fast, convenient,
and imprecise.
In her 2005 New York
Times Magazine story “Under
WILL BE.
Pressure,” Amanda Hesser pos-
ited that sous vide—at the time
a technique used almost exclu-
sively by top and experimental
chefs—would “probably trickle
Kitchen gadgets routinely promise a
down to the home kitchen
better way to cook. Once in a while,
someday.” How right she was.
they even deliver, says the editor in chief
Today you can buy an affordable
of Cook’s Illustrated magazine.
sous vide circulator, the shape
and size of a Maglite flashlight,
that can hold a container of
By Dan Souza water at a temperature accu-
rate to a tenth of a degree. Let a
here’s a long-running column in Cook’s Illustrated called “What ribeye steak, sealed in a plastic
T
is it?” where we track down the origins of kitchen gadgets that bag, swim in a 130 °F bath and
our readers find in their attics or on dusty antique-store shelves. it’ll emerge medium-rare from
A recent favorite: the Acme Rotary Mincer, vintage 1935, a edge to edge. Sous vide trades
handheld device featuring 10 stainless-steel rotary blades, on qualities nearly antithetical
which promised to mince herbs and vegetables with “lightning to the microwave: it is slow (an
rapidity.” (Spoiler: it didn’t.) hour and a half to two hours for
This section of the magazine is essentially an obituary column that perfectly cooked ribeye),
for kitchen technology. And we never seem to run out of tools to relatively inconvenient (you
pay tribute to. It makes sense: for as long as humans have toiled need to plan ahead and often
over dinner, we’ve worked nearly as hard at finding ways to make finish the job with a final sear),
that cooking easier, faster, safer, better. Many of the forgotten and highly precise. The fact that
gadgets that end up in the column were in fact perfectly good sous vide found a real following
at the task they were designed for, but what we’ve asked of our suggests that for many home
home kitchen technology—and what ultimately ends up in our cooks today, precision is at least
homes—has changed over time. as important as convenience.
In the second half of the 20th century, the poster child of Do cooks in 2021 really have
kitchen innovation was the microwave oven. Borrowing tech to make that binary choice? A
designed for use in radar in World War II, it offered a truly clutch of sleek tech-forward
novel way to cook food. A magnetron creates an electromag- appliances would have us
netic field that reverses polarity billions of times a second, believe the answer is no. Many
showering food with waves that cause its water and fat mole- promise precision on par with
cules to constantly reorient themselves. That vibration heats sous vide cooking, but with
neighboring molecules, resulting in speedy cooking … sort of. more robust capabilities—such
as the ability to brown food—
while providing convenience
73
RF technology is starting to
show up; it features in Miele’s
Dialogue oven, among others.
One of the most exciting
cooking appliance technolo-
gies isn’t new at all—or sexy.
It’s steam: or more specifically,
the ability to control humid-
ity within a convection oven.
Professional cooks know that
the key to precise cooking has
to do with the relationship
between heat and humidity,
and having relied on combi
(combination) ovens for
decades, they know what is
possible when these devices
hand them fine control over
both. A combi oven can mimic
sous vide one minute, dehy-
drate beef jerky the next, and
handle tasks as disparate as
proofing bread and roasting
meats. Home wall combi ovens
are available from many big-
brand appliance manufacturers,
through copious smart features solid-state, or RF, cooking may but it’s the countertop models,
like apps and pre-programmed be more interesting. Michael like the new app-connected
recipes. Like their predeces- Wolf, who publishes The Anova Precision Oven, that
sors, a number of them rely on
impressive-sounding technol-
IT’S EASY TO Spoon, a website that reports
on trends in food technology,
just might bring combination
cooking to the masses.
ogy to do the cooking. BE WOWED BY describes solid-state cooking It’s of course easy to be
Take the Brava Oven, which
cooks using visible and infra- BRIGHT LIGHTS as “taking the high-precision
radio frequency technology
wowed by bright lights and
the promise of effortless beef
red light. According to the
manufacturers, inside the toaster- AND THE PROMISE from your phone and essen-
tially putting it in a microwave.”
jerky. Whether any one of these
appliances succeeds will have
oven-size, windowless box are
“six high powered lamps that OF EFFORTLESS Comparisons to the microwave
are apt in that both technol-
a lot to do with the “smart”
side of the equation—things
get hotter than a wood fire pizza
oven.” But brute-force heat isn’t BEEF JERKY. ogies use electromagnetic
radiation with wavelengths
like app usability and how well
the pre-programmed recipes
the intention here. Instead, the longer than infrared light. But turn out—as well as with price.
oven targets those lights in dif- whereas a microwave’s magne- Still, with so many options con-
ferent areas of the oven, such tron emits just one frequency, verging at the intersection of
as the underside of the tray a solid-state module can vary precision and convenience,
your food sits on, or at the food the frequency and amplitude some could very well find a
directly, to concurrently cook of radio waves it emits, which permanent home in many of
two different foods—say, a steak makes for far more even heat our kitchens. And for the ones
and some asparagus—on the distribution. These waves also that don’t? We’ll be more than
same tray and produce an ideal provide feedback to the oven, happy to write the obit.
JULIA DUFOSSÉ
I N A N AG E O F A B U N DA N C E ,
W H Y
Our wonderful global
supply chain is not just failing to
prevent hunger—it’s causing it.
D O
By BOBBIE JOHNSON
Illustration by Nico Ortega
P E O P L E
S T A R V E
?
76 The food issue
H
face of the pandemic, the World this abominable torture. Some are
Food Program has demonstrated unger around the globe is get- HAS BEEN theaters of conflict—including
an impressive ability to intensify its
efforts.” Who could argue with that?
ting worse, not better. It’s true
that the proportion of people
RISING. Afghanistan, home to the longest
war America has been involved in,
Plenty of people, it turns out. who regularly fail to get enough and Yemen, where a civil war fueled
When UN bodies win the peace calories to live has been declining, by neighboring Saudi Arabia has
prize, “we are right at the edge of dropping from 15% in 2000 to 8.6% left 80% of the country’s 24 million
giving it to ‘the idea of org charts,’” in 2014. Nevertheless, that propor- citizens in need of humanitarian
quipped the Atlantic’s Robinson tion has since held fairly steady, and assistance. But there are other cir-
Meyer. “It’s a bizarre choice, and the absolute number of undernour- cumstances that can bring starvation
it’s a complete waste of the prize,” ished people has been rising. Last too: Venezuela’s cratering economy;
said Mukesh Kapila, a professor year, according to the UN, 688 mil- South Africa’s high unemployment
of global health at the University lion people went hungry on a regu- rates; Brazil’s years of austerity.
of Manchester. They have a point. lar basis, up from 628.9 million in And even in high-functioning
The WFP, which provides food 2014. The curve is not sharp, but if industrialized countries, the threat
assistance to people in need, is the current trends continue, more than of hunger—not just poor nutrition,
largest agency in the UN and has 840 million people may be under- but actual hunger—has been rising
14,500 employees worldwide. It nourished by 2030. as a result of economic inequality.
won the prize for simply doing its The statistics seem abstract, but In the UK, the use of food banks has
job, argued Kapila. each one of these millions is an more than doubled since 2013. In the
And an extremely narrow inter- actual mouth to feed, and the hard- US, food insecurity is widespread,
pretation of its job, at that. After all, ships they undergo are very real. and the hardest hit are children,
the UN didn’t create the WFP to In his 2019 book Food or War, the elders, and the poor. In Mississippi,
tackle immediate threats during an Australian journalist and author the country’s hungriest state, one
Why do people starve? 77
HUNGER IS INCREASING
If current trends continue, more than 840 million people may be supply chains even proved some-
undernourished by 2030. what resistant to the chaos caused
by the pandemic: while covid-19
O Prevalence of undernourishment (left axis)
lockdowns did lead to food shortages
O Number of undernourished (right axis)
in some places, most of the empty
15 960
shelves were the ones meant to hold
825.6 m toilet paper and cleaning products.
678.1 m
Food supplies were more resilient
12.5 720
12.6%
628.9 m than many expected.
millions
percent
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2030
I
Middle East, and the US were waterways, and the easy availability
t’s hard to comprehend, in part transformed by huge water proj- of water has led some dry parts of
because the food system has been ects, dams, and irrigation systems. the world to use up their resources.
one of the greatest technologi- Then, in the 1960s, the American In Perilous Bounty, the journalist
cal success stories of the modern agronomist Norman Borlaug bred Tom Philpott explores California’s
world. What we eat, how it is pro- new strains of wheat that were more agricultural future. The massive
duced, and where it comes from— resistant to disease, ushering in the water projects drawing supplies into
all have changed dramatically in “Green Revolution” in countries like the Central Valley, for example, have
the industrial age. We have found India and Brazil—a development helped it become one of the world’s
a way to apply almost every kind that led Borlaug himself to win the most productive farming regions
of technology to food, from mech- Nobel Peace Prize in 1970. over the past 90 years, providing
anization and computerization to All of this means that indus- around a quarter of America’s food.
biochemistry and genetic modifica- trialized farmers now operate at But those natural aquifers are now
tion. These technological leaps have almost superhuman levels of out- under acute pressure, overused and
SOURCE: FOOD AND AGRICULTURE ORGANIZATION OF THE UNITED NATIONS
dramatically increased productivity put compared with their predeces- running dry in the face of drought
and made food more reliably and sors. In 1920, more than 31 million and climate change. Philpott, a
widely available to billions of people. Americans worked in agriculture, reporter for Mother Jones, points
Farming itself has become many and the average farm was just under to the nearby Imperial Valley in
times more efficient and more pro- 150 acres. A century later, the total Southern California as an example
ductive. In the early 1900s, the acreage of farmland in the US has of this folly. This “bone-dry chunk
Haber-Bosch process was harnessed fallen by 9%, but just one-tenth of of the Sonoran desert” is respon-
to capture nitrogen from the air and that workforce, 3.2 million people, sible for producing more than half
turn it into fertilizer at an unprece- is employed to tend it. (There are of America’s winter vegetables,
dented scale. Mechanization came also far fewer farms now, but they and yet “in terms of native aquatic
quickly: in the 1930s, around one in are three times larger on average.) resources, the Imperial Valley
seven farms in the US had a trac- The supply chain, too, is a futuris- makes the Central Valley look like
tor; within 20 years, they were used tic marvel. You can walk into a store Waterworld.” The valley is home to
by the majority of farms. This was in most countries and buy fresh California’s largest lake, the 15-mile-
matched by an increasing ability goods from all over the world. These long Salton Sea—famously so loaded
78 The food issue
I
global markets even as the WTO has tools to modernize—such as better
n September 2003, a South forced weaker countries to drop pro- equipment, seed, or stock—but also
Korean farmer named Lee Kyung tections. In 2020, the US spent $37 reducing the tariffs and subsidies
Hae attended protests against the billion on such subsidies, a number that make their hard work so unsus-
World Trade Organization, which that has ballooned under the last two tainable (the WTO has attempted to
was meeting in Mexico. Lee was years of the Trump administration. THIS IS make progress on this front). The
a former union leader whose own
experimental farm had been fore-
Europe, meanwhile, spends $65
billion each year.
HARD TO DO, World Food Program, for all its plau-
dits, needs to be part of that kind of
closed in the late 1990s. In an essay Patel and Montenegro point out BUT CLIMATE answer—not just an org chart plug-
in the collection Bite Back (2020),
Raj Patel and Maywa Montenegro
that much of the populist political
chaos of recent years has been a
CHANGE ging hungry mouths with emergency
rations, but a force that helps rebal-
de Wit recount what happened next. result of the trade turmoil—indus- MAY FORCE ance this off-kilter system.
As demonstrators clashed with
police, they explain, Lee climbed
trial jobs lost to outsourcing, and
rural protests in the US and Europe
US TO DO IT And food itself needs to be more
environmentally sound, employing
the barricades with a sign reading by people angry at the prospect of REGARDLESS. fewer tricks that increase yields at
“WTO! Kills. FARMERS” hanging rebalancing a deck that has been the expense of the wider ecology.
around his neck. On top of the fence, stacked in their favor for decades. No more farming oases set up in
“he flipped open a rusty Swiss Army Donald Trump, they write, “was bone-dry deserts; no more Salton
knife, stabbed himself in the heart, never honest about ditching free Seas. This is difficult, but climate
and died minutes later.” trade,” but “the social power he change may force us to do some of
Lee was protesting the effects of stirred up in the Heartland was real. it regardless.
free trade, which has been a disaster Invoking the abominations of out- All of this means recognizing that
for many farmers worldwide. The sourced jobs, rural depression, and the golden age of farming wasn’t a
reason farmers in less industrialized lost wages, he tapped in to neoliberal golden age for everybody, and that
nations can’t make much money dysfunction and hitched the outrage our future may look different from
isn’t just that they have low crop to authoritarian rule.” what we have become used to. If
yields. It’s also that their markets All this leaves us with a bleak so, that future might be better for
are flooded with cheaper competi- picture of what’s next. We have built those who go hungry today, and
tion from overseas. systems that don’t just widen the maybe for the planet as a whole. It
Take sugar. After the Second gap between rich and poor but make may be hard to reckon with, but our
World War, Europe’s sugar-beet the distance unassailable. Climate spectacular global food system isn’t
growers were subsidized by their change, competition for resources, what will stop people from starv-
national governments to help rav- and urbanization will produce more ing—it’s exactly why they starve in
aged countries get back on their conflict. And economic inequality, the first place.
feet. That worked, but once indus- both at home and abroad, means
Bobbie Johnson is a commission-
trialization kicked in and production the numbers of hungry people are ing editor at MIT Technology
levels reached the stratosphere, they more likely to rise than fall. Review.
YWZZQQSF
BY ANJALI SACHDEVA
ILLUSTRATIONS BY JOAN WONG
81
Fiction
Dark spaces
on the map
“To portray meaningful relationships for a complex, three-
dimensional world on a flat sheet of paper or a video screen,
a map must distort reality ... [A] single map is but one of an
indefinitely large number of maps that might be produced for
the same situation or from the same data ...”
I
n the future, the young tell your “What was my birthday like?” They type it in,
memories back to you, and you and within seconds they have a report: When
listen. If you try to tell them about you were six your mother invited your two best
a sunny day in spring when you friends for a little party in the kitchen. There was
were 15 they immediately look sabzi and roti and raspberry cake. You got a doll.
it up and say no, it was raining Here is a picture of you holding it; here is a video
that day, not sunny. Remember? of you opening the box. They are not conscious
After a while you learn to be quiet of the things they can’t see, or why those things
and let them tell it. You can say, matter. You remember that doll’s dress as green
82 Fiction
instead of blue, because when you were that age everyone seems like a child. You never had chil-
your mother had a green dress with the same kind dren, but now you’ve got her.
of lace collar as the doll’s. She loved that dress You don’t entirely agree with the project
and wore it often, and consequently you loved she’s working on. It smacks too much of self-
it as well. No, no, the doll’s dress was blue, they satisfaction: a fact-finding mission to prop up the
will tell you, and they are right, but they can’t feel status quo, to prove in a brand-new, scientifically
what you feel, that little echo of your mother’s advanced way that men were intolerable, though
dress, that little echo of your love for your mother, of course the investigators tell themselves they
attached to your doll. The way you carried that are unbiased. But that same project brings her
doll everywhere until it was gray, and the dress back to talk to you, again and again. Though you
was rags—that, they can tell you about, but they know Fatima thinks of you primarily as a case
never really understand why. study, it’s no small thing to spend months shar-
It’s the same when they look back at men, ing your life with someone, especially someone
which they do all the time, endlessly fascinated: who listens as carefully as she does.
men in the wild! They can watch your father When the two of you talk she smooths her
hold you on his lap; they can even catch a whiff headscarf back over her hair, presses her lips
of his roast-beef-and-cigarettes smell, though together for a brief moment, and then launches
they have never seen a real cigarette and the into an endless string of inquiries. She rarely
smell confuses them. But they can’t feel him, dwells on the present for any longer than it takes
the incredible tenderness and patience of the to say how are you today? because what she really
way he taught you to make a proper cup of tea wants to know about is your past. She’s taken
or drive a car, the strength of his body and the that whole “living history” thing very much to
exhaustion of it after a long day of work. They heart. You want to tell her that history dies as
say he seems like a good father, but to them it’s all well as lives, that parts of it fade away every day,
academic. How many minutes per day he spent through the deaths of its makers, through forget-
with you. How many books he read to you. How fulness and intentional obsolescence. That she
many decibels his voice rose when he was angry. can gather data like wildflowers, fill her skirts,
None of the important stuff. and it will not change the fragility of history.
There is so much information. Photographs, Today she asks about Uncle Paxton, your
videos, receipts, social media posts, medi- father’s brother. About a time you and your
cal records, school transcripts, search histo- mother and siblings went swimming with him
ries. Quizzes to find out which character you at the public pool. Your father was supposed to
most resemble from television shows that come too, but he’d had to stop at the office first
ended decades before any of them were born. and had gotten stuck behind a traffic accident
Conversations stealthily recorded by smart speak- leaving downtown.
ers or electronic toys. And that’s before you add “Yes,” says Fatima. “An overturned semi trans-
in the information that has nothing to do with you porting chickens. I saw the news footage.”
in particular: air quality reports, news articles, “My mother was angry when he called to say
traffic camera footage, the Billboard Hot 100. he wouldn’t make it.”
All of it accumulated, filed, cross-referenced, “Did she say why she was angry?”
interwoven. And when they’re really desperate, You work hard not to smile. Fatima thinks
when there are too many holes in the data, they her questions are subtle, but you always know
go for recovered memories, though the difficulty right away when she’s sniffing around for some-
and expense means they have to justify the need. thing specific. She’s obviously been perusing the
But they justify as much as they can. They love information she’s gathered about this particular
to see how it all matches up, how your reported day. The videos of you and your uncle, the trace
memories fit the data streams fit the neural of fear on your face when he stands near you. In
harvest—or don’t. So often they don’t, and it’s emails and social media, the greater frequency
always your brain that’s lacking, that’s incorrect. of negatively connoted words when you wrote
The girl who comes to talk with you is bright. about him, the lack of likes and hearts on his
Observant. Fatima is her name. You know she’d posts. Now she’s trying to gently prod you to
hate being called a “girl,” but at your age almost put whatever she’s assembled into context.
Dark spaces 83
You shrug. You know what she’s looking for. a huge park a few blocks from your house, built
She thinks if she asks you just the right ques- around a series of wooded ravines and gullies
tion you’ll say My uncle touched me once or My that flattened themselves into picnic grounds
dad told her Paxton was a little sick in the head. in the lower elevations, the grass full of fireflies They love
She can see, in the data, the little signs pointing at dusk. You left your phone at home, in part
that direction. because you didn’t want to risk it getting wet
to see
But you won’t say anything negative about if it did rain, but more because you didn’t want how it all
him, because there’s nothing concrete to say. to be reachable. You didn’t want your boyfriend matches
He never did anything bad to anyone, that you calling you in the middle of your rumination;
can verify. It wouldn’t be fair to say what you you didn’t want to talk to your parents or sib- up, how
do remember: That there was a chill that came lings or even your friends. You just wanted to your
off him. You looked at him and just knew there think. And as it turned out, you’d have plenty to
was something wrong somewhere, like a broken think about.
reported
bone beneath unbroken skin. Your mother knew memories
F
it; your father too. They never left you or your atima is a graduate student. At first fit the data
siblings alone with him. There’s nothing in the you wished you’d been assigned some-
record to condemn him, but there’s a lot that was one with a little more cachet. But you streams fit
never said where Uncle Paxton was concerned. quickly realized the logic behind it. No the neural
“My mother bought us all ice cream,” you one but a student could devote the amount of
say now. “She always said the ice cream at the time to you that she does. Or the interest. Even
harvest—
pool was too expensive, but that day we all got you don’t find yourself as interesting as she seems or don't.
our own and she didn’t complain once.” to, but you know it’s not really about you at all.
Fatima nods, makes a note in your file. She When the men were sent away, their sto-
smiles her tight little smile of longing—never ries went with them—their poems and movies,
enough information to sate this one—and moves their symphonies, their paintings. Then came a
on to another line of questioning. half-century where the bookstores and theaters
had nothing but l’art de la femme, and old-timers
I
n spite of all the hours spent talking, there like you swapped drives full of contraband hip-
are some things you don’t tell Fatima hop and novels with the corners worn off. But
about. The night that changed your life, then, eventually, the restrictions eased. And this
for instance, which started out with some- new generation, Fatima’s generation, is savvy
thing painfully mundane: you wanted to break enough to realize that the last women who actu-
up with your boyfriend. You were 22, and in six ally remember the Common Era are almost gone,
years you’d be living in a whole different world, that if she and her colleagues want to know what
a world without boyfriends, but of course you it was really like, separate from all the propa-
didn’t know that then. If Fatima were to sift ganda, they’d better act quickly.
through your data channels leading up to that Practically, this means you never know when
night, she’d understand that the breakup was a she’ll show up at your care home. It’s going on 10
long time coming. January’s data: two tickets for p.m. when you see her reflection appear behind
a trip to the skating rink; a cabin at a state park you in the sitting-room mirror. She looks sad,
and an accompanying grocery bill for salmon and lacking her usual vivacious edge. Her headscarf
chocolate and six bottles of red wine; a photo of is rumpled. You turn and call a hello.
a giant cat made out of snow, wearing his gloves “Everything all right?” you ask.
and your scarf. March: dinner at a perfectly nice She nods, says it’s just stress, pressure from
chain restaurant; grocery store roses; a copy of her senior researcher to get better results so they
a book he thought you’d like, though you didn’t. don’t lose their grant. She sits down beside you
June: nothing but a record of a video queue and swipes her thumb across her communica-
crammed with action flicks, and a case of light tion cuff, shoots you a little taste of what she’s
beer. By late August, you were done. You just feeling in that casual way young people do, as
hadn’t told him yet. though it’s never crossed their minds that you
The night was humid, hot, rich with the threat might not want to experience their emotions,
of storms, but you went out anyway. There was even for a moment. Your feel a faint twinge as
84 Fiction
your own cuff, synched with hers, releases neu- imagined. But there are plenty who still think
rochemicals into the artery at your wrist, and a it’s a waste of time, even heretical. Why should
momentary wave of Fatima’s anxiety and exhaus- we care about back then? We already know how
tion passes through you. You look at your comm bad it was; what value can there be in asking
cuff with annoyance but say, “Is there anything more questions?
I can do to help?” “The technology’s developing so quickly,
Fatima smiles. When it comes to you, she is but we don’t have the funding to keep up.
hampered by a mix of fondness and condescen- We’re finding that we can access things the
sion. She finds your old-fashioned affectations Memory Holder doesn’t remember consciously
sweet, but more than that she craves what you at all. Conversations from when you were a
have, the information you have carried in your baby, that you’d never have understood at the
body for so many decades. She is grateful to you time. Action in the background while you were
for preserving it, but she doesn’t really believe engaged in something else. The quality’s not
you understand its worth in any important way. great, but the amount of data is much more than
Better to give her that data, let her handle it. we’d anticipated.”
Well, you’d have been no better in your own “Why would you want to do that?”
youth, wouldn’t have believed a 107-year-old She looks up, bewildered. “Think of the pos-
woman had anything useful to say. Wouldn’t sibilities! It’s a whole other generation back.
have thought of yourself as anything other than Information about your parents, maybe even
impossibly old. your grandparents.”
You ask her to walk with you, and she nods, You take another bite of your sandwich. “Is
gives you her hand as you rise to your feet. Once that what you call me, in your reports? ‘The
you reach the kitchen you ask her to make you a Memory Holder’?” You picture yourself cradling
sandwich, tell her to make one for herself while your memories against your chest like soft, gray
she’s at it, and then you sit back and wait while balls of yarn.
she pokes through cupboards, gathering bread “It’s what we call all the subjects.”
and mayonnaise and mushroom patties, stacking You nod your head, thinking of them, all these
Those and slicing it all. She hands you a plate. other old women scattered across the country.
“My dad used to make sandwiches for me in You were 28 when the Common Era ended. An
who the middle of the night,” you say. “He’d sneak adult, to be sure, but those who spent the most
spent the downstairs to make one for himself, but I’d time in that period, who belonged more to that
most time always find him. He said everything tastes bet- world than this one, are already dead. So Fatima
ter after midnight.” and the rest will work with what they’ve got: you,
in that Whenever you say “dad” she silently repeats and others like you. They’ll try to extrapolate
period, the word to herself, trying to get the feel of it and glue back together the history the previous
in her mouth. You’re not sure she even knows generation so gleefully smashed. They are like
who she does it. “Did he cook?” says Fatima. You can archaeologists, whisking away the dust from
belonged already imagine the bulleted lists forming in her pottery fragments with their soft little brushes.
more to mind: C.E. division of domestic labor. Kinship Pieces will be missing. The seams will show. But
structure. Popular recipes of the Common Era. they’ll have something, some museum idea of
that world “He did. He was a good cook. My mother what it was like, and they’ll pretend it’s defini-
than this cooked too, but she didn’t really enjoy it.” tive. As if history could ever be that clear.
She files this information away, and you can
one, are
T
see her relax, just a little. She feels her time here he what-ifs of that night used to haunt
already has been useful, warranted. you. What if you’d taken your phone?
“So, what is going on with your research?” What if you’d stuck to the sidewalks
dead. you ask. around your building, stayed within
Fatima sighs. Her field is very new, this com- range of the shining blue light of technology—
bination of biochemistry and cultural anthro- what then? But now you see it differently. Now
pology. Neural harvesting has come around at that night is something they cannot wrest from
just the right time to make all kinds of leaps you. It pleases you to have even one important
possible, filling in gaps in ways they hadn’t memory that they don’t know about. They could
Dark spaces 85
dark space on the map, thinking of the woman “Tough day?” you ask.
and her terrified eyes. She sighs. “I think I might need to break up
You knew the fastest way home was up, the with my girlfriend.”
way the men and the woman had gone, but you It is the most personal thing she has ever
went downhill, turning onto one branch of the shared with you, and you place a hand on her
path and then another, always seeking the steep- shoulder. “Maybe she just needs a little space.
est route downward until at last you emerged Have you ever tried talking without the cuffs?”
from the trees, and there was the soccer field. Immediately, she’s retreated again, her mouth
From there you knew the way, could exit the wry, her eyes clinical. “Oh, that’s a thought,” she
park and go by lighted streets instead of up the says, but you hear what she means: your way of
main trail, the extra hour it would cost you worth thinking about the world is outmoded. This is
every minute. You walked home on concrete, your advice from another century, laughable in its
body shuddering at every sound in the night. obsolescence. The way you’d have responded if
When you got to your apartment, your house- your grandmother had suggested you make up
mate was asleep. You went straight to your room, with your boyfriend by baking him a pie. How
unplugged your phone from the charger. You could you ever want less information? Surely
planned to dial 911. But what would you say? inadequate information is the cause of all the
I saw a woman and two men, none of whom I world’s ills? Well, maybe she’s right. And since
could identify, in a place I couldn’t find again. I when are you such a fan of talking, anyway?
don’t know where they went. It was hours ago.
Y
She was injured. No, I don’t know how she got ou never told your housemate about
injured. No, I didn’t witness any crime. She just the woman in the woods. You didn’t
looked scared. You thought that if you really tell anyone. You read the local paper
wanted to try to help you would have had to every day, looking for reports of
do it in the moment, back in the woods, when missing persons, murders, assaults. It seemed
the light flashed across her face—though that, that what you’d witnessed must have left a mark
too, seemed impossible, because what could somewhere. But if it did, in the world outside
you have done? And so you put the phone back your head, you couldn’t find it.
down, and brushed your teeth, and went to Inside, well, that was different. You thought
bed. In the morning you made a cup of coffee about her every day. But the external data is
and called your boyfriend and said, “I think we deceptive. The data shows that you ate less for
should break up.” the next two months. That you didn’t leave the
house as much as you usually did. That you lis-
Y
ou sit in an armchair, pretending tened to your music a bit louder, played the same
to play with your comm cuff while sad songs again and again. But the data also
actually you are watching Fatima shows, of course, that you’d just broken up with
and her girlfriend talking outside your boyfriend. If you hadn’t seemed too enam-
the sliding glass doors to the home. Or perhaps ored of him before the breakup, well, perhaps
“talking” is the wrong word. They say very little, you’d just miscalculated your feelings. The data
mostly shooting each other bursts of emotion floats around a blacked-out space in the shape
from their cuffs, which you can then see play of a woman with a split mouth dripping blood.
across their faces. They are both flushed, angry, If it happened now, of course, the comm cuff
leaning toward tears. You think about how much would be onto you. Even if by some miracle you
it used to mean for someone to understand you, were not recorded, even if no one had spoken
to know your feelings from the way your eyes a word through the whole encounter, Fatima
crinkled or your smiled turned down at the cor- would still be looking at your records and saying,
ner. How the desirability of some things lies in “Something went wrong here. Why so much cor-
their elusiveness. tisol and adrenaline? Why the climb in heart rate?
Eventually the girlfriend leaves and Fatima Something must have happened—tell me what.”
comes inside to start today’s interview session, She’d hack it out of you like an unpolished diamond.
wiping the sweat from her face and rubbing But back then no one did. You didn’t offer up
her eyes. the information. You wanted to sit with your
Dark spaces 87
grief and shame. In the silence, your guilt at inherently suspicious. “I want to tell you some-
having done nothing grew into a determination thing. Something I’ve wanted to talk about.
to do something. You quit retail and got a job at In private.”
a women’s shelter, even though it meant work- Her condescending side slips in. You see her Old people
ing night shifts and giving up your weekends relax a little. You are just guarding your secrets.
spent drinking in clubs. A few years later you’d You are just being a little dramatic about it. Old
and their
be the manager, but at first you worked intake people and their obsession with secrecy, vesti- secrecy,
and sat at a desk at the entrance. Every day, gial limb of a world where secrets still existed. vestigial
women walked through the door who looked as She can indulge you, this once.
though they were ready to disappear. Who did She unlocks the comm, slides it from her arm, limb of
not expect anyone to care about what happened sets it on the table with clear reluctance. The two a world
to them. cuffs look oddly intimate, sitting side by side.
If you’d learned the name of that woman in You take her hand and lead her down the
where
the park, if you’d talked about her, maybe you’d hallway. You’ve given a great deal of thought to secrets still
have gotten over it. Maybe, when the Common where this conversation could take place. The existed.
Era was ending, you’d have tried harder to find a conservatory is just off the east wing, or will be,
way to leave, have headed for some other coun- when it’s completed. For the moment it’s just a She can
try where things were going to remain more or big glass room filled with wicker furniture cov- indulge
less the same, a country full of boyfriends and ered in drop cloths, empty stone planters, and
brothers and fathers and men in the dark with flagstone pathways. Not a plant in sight. Or a cam-
you, this
flashlights. But you didn’t. Instead, the weight era. Those things will be added in a few weeks. once.
of that patch of darkness shaped your life in a You sit on a shrouded sofa and gesture grandly
way light and truth never could. for Fatima to sit beside you. She does, trying to
hide her amusement. You lean toward her.
T
hree weeks later, Fatima sits across “There’s a story I’ve been wanting to tell you.
the table from you, hunched over a About, you know. Back then.”
mug of coffee. She has broken up She’s instantly alert, the indulgent smile
with her girlfriend, but aside from still on her face but barely covering her desire
this decline in posture she seems to be handling to know.
it just fine. She has been interviewing you for “I haven’t told it to anyone. Not even when
an hour, focusing on your time in high school, it happened. But I don’t want it included in the
your interactions with male teachers. You’re literature or your official reports. It would have
bored with the line of questioning, bored with to be off the record.”
this strange dance the two of you do. You’ve Fatima frowns. If she agrees to this, she’s
been thinking a lot about what you’d like to say, ethically bound to follow through; she can’t use
independent of her questions. any data, any stories, without your permission,
You interrupt her latest inquiry to ask, “Can which until now you’ve granted easily.
we talk somewhere else?” You know you’re using her youth to her dis-
Fatima blinks. You never interrupt her. You advantage here. She can see the immediate
are, for the most part, a very polite old lady. drawbacks, but you’re baiting her, dangling a
“Is that chair not comfortable?” bit of knowledge like a lure. This girl who has
“Come with me. And leave your comm here.” devoted her life to uncovering secrets but has
“What now?” she says, laughing. You fumble never had one of her own—she can’t help her-
with the clasp on your own comm cuff, slide the self. Of course she can’t. Even as she promises
cuff loose and set it on the table. You tap the not to tell, she assures herself that the knowing
space beside it. will be enough.
“I’m not supposed to,” she says. “I need it to And you hope it will be. Knowing without
record our conversation.” telling, and everything that can come from it.
“I insist.” You can see her doing the calcula- You hope to teach her that.
tions. Hers is a face that calculates nakedly. She
Anjali Sachdeva is the author of the short
feels as though you’ve asked her to walk with story collection All the Names They Used
her eyes closed; the request is strange but not for God.
88 The back page
From “Getting Off the Pesticide Treadmill”: From “Food Irradiation: Will It Keep the From “Why We Need Genetically Modified
While DDT initiated the new age of pest Doctor Away?”: Nearly 200 people in the Foods”: Plant scientists are careful to
control, it also spawned a new environmen- US, most of them children or elderly, die note that no magical gene can be inserted
tal consciousness. DDT became the prin- each week from illnesses they contract into a crop to make it drought tolerant or
cipal villain in the problems that emerged from food. This spring, President Clinton to increase its yield—even resistance to
as our society began to rely on chemicals called for “new steps using cutting-edge a disease typically requires multiple
for pest control. Soon after the chemicals technology to keep our food safe.” One of genetic changes. But many of them say
were developed, questions about their the technologies that Clinton singles out genetic engineering is a versatile and
effects on human health and the environ- is food irradiation. essential technique. “It’s an overwhelm-
ment began to surface. “It will probably take some truly trau- ingly logical thing to do,” says Jonathan
These concerns have proven to be well matic E. coli outbreak before the food Jones, a scientist at the Sainsbury
founded. Many species of insects no longer industry gets serious about irradiation,” Laboratory in the U.K. The upcoming
respond to the effects of pesticides. World says James Tillotson, director of the Food pressures on agricultural production, he
pesticide use has increased dramatically, Policy Institute at Tufts University. Without says, “… will affect millions of people in
but the percentage of crops lost to pests has such a crisis, consumers wouldn’t think of poor countries.” At the current level of
not declined. Insects consume as much as demanding irradiated food and companies agricultural production, there’s enough
one-third of the Asian rice crop annually, that explore irradiation [would be] open food to feed the world, says Eduardo
and in the United States losses of fruit and to attacks by activist groups. “No one is Blumwald, a plant scientist at the
vegetable crops from plant diseases may willing to get that kind of attention,” he University of California, Davis. But “when
exceed 20 percent. Clearly, just pouring says, “even when they might be doing the the population reaches nine billion?” he
on more chemicals is no answer. best thing for consumers.” says. “No way, José.”
MIT Technology Review (ISSN 1099-274X), January/February 2021 issue, Reg. US Patent Office, is published bimonthly by MIT Technology Review, 1 Main St. Suite 13, Cambridge, MA 02142-1517. Entire contents ©2021. The ed-
itors seek diverse views, and authors’ opinions do not represent the official policies of their institutions or those of MIT. Periodicals postage paid at Boston, MA, and additional mailing offices. Postmaster: Send address changes
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