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Although there are thousands of different plastics, there are approximately seven broader types of plastic that are
produced and consumed in large quantities: polyethylene terephthalate (PET), high-density polyethylene (HDPE),
polyvinyl chloride (PVC), low-density polyethylene (LDPE), polypropylene (PP), polystyrene/styrofoam (PS), and
miscellaneous plastics. Polyethylene (PE) is the most widely produced plastic worldwide and is used to produce
many products, such as packaging. The second-most produced plastic is polypropylene (PP).
https://www.statista.com/topics/5266/plastics-industry/#dossierKeyfigures
https://www.grandviewresearch.com/industry-analysis/plastic-resins-market
Asia Pacific (especially China) is a key producer and consumer of polystyrene accounting for over 50% of total
capacity and demand for PS. While developed markets have rationalised PS capacities through consolidation and
closures by nearly 40%, China has been steadily expanding their PS capacities such that it accounts for more than
25% of global capacity in 2020 and over 90% of PS imports within Asia.
Key players globally are; SABIC, Total, LG Chem, BASF SE, Ineos Styrolution Group GmbH
Polystyrene market globally in 2020, is equally divided amongst GPPS, HIPS and EPS
HIPS will dominate the market as is more high impact resistant. Packaging is the largest segment for HIPS – food
packaging, industrial packaging and consumer packaging. Also used in electronic and appliances applications, such
as in computer housings, TV housings, and freezer and refrigerator liners appliances housing.
EU and US have banned polystyrene in some applications; eg US has banned PS in being used for packaging such
as boxes, containers, and carry bags.
Covid Impact – Supply disruptions from US, Europe, Singapore and Saudi Arabia plant closures of
4,00,000 tonnes, partly driven by styrene shortages, hurricane Ida damages (August 2021, US) while OEM
demand remained robust. This drove up PS prices and profitability: In 2020, there were supply disruptions
(predominantly in styrene plants) in US and Europe which in turn impacted the RM supply while demand from
OEMs were very strong. This pushed margins of PS players upwards. Further, two plants globally stopped PS
manufacturing (Denka -Singapore and Saudi Polymers - Saudi Arabia) and certain N. E. Asian producers have
converted their GPPS capacity to HIPS.
Oct 2021: Supply yet fluctuating in US post hurricane Ida damages in August 2021: USA has been witnessing a
subdued supply of styrene and benzene feedstocks owing to the heavy damages incurred by hurricane Ida at the
Louisiana petrochemical base in late August that led to the shutdown of several production facilities in the region
Mar 2022: Domestic Polystyrene prices surged with strong product futures and geopolitical tension between
Russia and Ukraine which accelerated the prices of crude and Natural Gas. Prices of Polystyrene will gradually
slow down with sufficient product availability and bearish feedstock Benzene and Ethylene market.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G30o91Kj4Iw
II) What is Polystyrene? By Product/End-Use Sector and Application
Polystyrene (PS) is one of the most widely used kinds of plastic. It is a polymer made from the monomer
styrene (derived from benzene and ethylene), a hydrocarbon compound. It is a thermoplastic polymer ie
melts if heated and becomes solid again when cooled, known for its versatility in high heat resistance, solid
chemical strength, and notable rigidity that can be molded into objects or made into a foam and used as thermal
insulation. More than one-third of PS is used as a packaging material, so the heat resistance characteristic of PS
is essential for hot-filled methods of food packaging.
B) By End-Use Industry
Packaging Industry, Appliances and Consumer Electronics (EPS), Cold Chain Development (EPS), Construction
Industry (EPS and XPS are effective thermal insulators in buildings), Toys, Gardening accessories, and Medical
Equipment.
Consumer Electronics
After crude, electronics is the second largest item imported in India. Govt’ Make in India initiative for this sector
has resulted in Production-Linked Incentives (https://www.meity.gov.in/esdm/pli). This will create growth
opportunities in the sector - Indian ACE market is expected to double to Rs 1.48 lakh crore ($21.18 billion) by
2025 (from Rs 76,400 crore or $10.93 billion in 2019). China unequivocally dominates the Indian ACE sector, with
yearly imports of 40-50% entirely built units and 70% components.
Building Insulation: Globally EPS and XPS are the material of choice for insulating both commercial and
residential buildings for energy conservation to reduce Co2 emissions.
International Energy Alliance (IEA) in their India Energy Outlook 2021 has predicted that more than half the
increase in demand for energy in India will come from cooling load of dwellings in the period from 2019 to 2040
and have urged Government of India to give greater emphasis on building insulation to combat the same. The
Company is well poised to participate in this segment as and when mandates are created by various state
governments for building insulation.
https://ihsmarkit.com/products/polystyrene-chemical-economics-handbook.html
Capacity: PS capacity (name plate capacity on standard grades) in India is 472,000 tonnes (pre LG Polymer
incident). Effective capacity is lower at 75-80% given that non-standard grades are manufactured. Three key
players, of which LG Polymers is no longer operational. Hence, operational capacity currently is 3,62,000 tonnes;
effective capacity is 75-80% or 2,71,500 tonnes.
LG Polymer: The company is owned by LG Chem Ltd. of South Korea, an affiliate of LG Corp. - the
electronics-to-services giant. LG Polymers India, earlier known as Hindustan Polymers, was established in 1961
and manufactured polystyrene and its co-polymers
Some of the international players operating in India- BASF, SABIC, Dow Inc.; NOVA Chemicals Corporation;
Styrochem; Formosa Chemical & Fibre Corp, and Kumho Petrochemical etc.
Demand and Imports: Domestic demand in FY20 was 2,55,000 tonnes. Hence, demand-supply is balanced
post the closure of LG Polymers. Imports are indicatively 30-40,000 tonnes to take care of peak demand
requirements (25,000 tonnes per month). Imports increased in FY21 to 40,000 tonnes after the LG Polymers
incident. Imports are from Far East/South East Asia (Malaysia, Singapore, Chinese Taipei), Iran, UAE and USA.
Current import duty on PS import is 29.8%
Exports: Supreme Petrochem used to export 50,000 to 60,000 tonnes annually; however, this has reduced
significantly in FY21, post the LG incident
Margins: This is determined by the delta between global PS and Styrene prices. Historically pre covid (average
of last 5 years), delta for GPPS was USD 180-200/tonne and for HIPS was an additional USD 80-120/tonne.
Currently, price delta for GPPS is USD 300/tonne, with incremental spread for HIPS at USD 250/tonne
Source: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1167506/india-styrenics-production-capacity-by-company/
ABOUT
Founded in 1995, Supreme Petrochem Ltd (SPL) is a petrochemical company engaged in the business of
manufacturing polystyrene (PS), compounds of styrenics and other polymers.
SPL is the India’s largest producer and exporter of polystyrene polymer (PS). In India, in PS, it has share of
more than 50% and the largest exporter, exporting to over 100 countries globally. It is the only domestic
manufacturer of extruded PS foam board and styrene methyl methacrylate.
Geographical Split
Domestic - 93% in FY21 vs 84% in FY18
Export - 7% in FY21 vs 16% in FY18
Value added/Special grade PS currently accounts for 1/3rd of SPL’s total revenues. Focus is on increasing the
share of Value added PS – towards EPS, compounds and ABS: This is because a) margins of EPS are higher
than PS and b) Compounds business supplies to the fast growing electrical, electronic and appliance businesses c)
ABS - engineering plastic, finds many applications and also enjoys better margins.
Revenue breakup: PS and EPS accounts for 68% of total revenues, 24% is styrene imports/trading on behalf of
large consumers including paint companies, and remaining 8-10% is masterbatch compounds and Extruded
Polystyrene.
Raw materials: Styrene, key RM, mainly imported from Gulf, Singapore and U.S.
Styrene Monomer (SM) prices were largely stable during the H1FY21. China’s new SM capacity additions helped in moderating the
price range in Asia. Two large world scale SM plants were commissioned in China in early 2020. A third SM plant with
6,30,000 MT capacity has been commissioned early this year in China. Self-sufficiency for SM in China also will mean more
stable pricing regime due to removal of volatility associated with China’s SM imports.
2.0 Sector/Subsector
Petrochemicals.
India: Polystyrene market size is 0.34 million tonnes (MT) in FY21 and forecast to reach 0.52 MT by FY30,
growing at 4.73% CAGR.
Global: Polystyrene market size is USD 30 bn in 2020 and projected to grow by 4% (mordorintelligence.com).
Expanded Polystyrene market is estimated at USD 9.12 bn in 2020 and is expected to reach USD 13.10 bn by
2028 (4.6% CAGR - Verified Market Research).
Consumer Electronics – a driver: In the short to medium term, consumer electronics can be a major driver of
PS. Indian electronics market is expected to reach USD 400 billion by 2025, with India expected to become the
fifth-largest globally.
4.0 Action-Price Action/Buying Activity
From 3rd March’22 it shows PV action. From Rs 730 level it went upto Rs 1000. From April 2020, till date, the stock
has risen nearly 8-9x as covid correction coincided with the structural change witnessed in the sector with closure of
LG Polymers
ABS market size in India is ~ 2,70,000 tonnes of which nearly 1,00,000 tonnes or upto 50% is imported. Some
of the major players operating in the India ABS market are Bhansali Engineering Polymers, INEOS Styrolution,
LG Chemical, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (SABIC), Lotte Chemical Corporation, Toray Industries
Incorporation, Chi Mei Corporation, Samsung SDI Chemical, Formosa Plastic Group, China National Petroleum
Corporation, The Dow Chemical Company, JSR Corporation
Growth drivers are appliance segment, Automobiles as well as Electrical & Electronic segments.
OPMs (dependent on delta between FG prices and RM prices): OPMs have also sharply improved to over 20% in
FY21 from 5% levels in FY20. OPMs have slightly moderated to 17% in Q3FY22. Future margins will depend on the
margin spread between PS and Styrene prices. This will be a function of global demand-supply, especially China,
which is expanding both their styrene and polystyrene facilities
ROCE: Healthy ROCE of over 18% historically, which sharply increased to over 70% in FY21
Continues to be cyclical.
14.0 % Float
Public float is 32%
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/nov/11/scotland-to-ban-plastic-straws-and-polystyrene-food-
boxes-from-june
https://www.indiatoday.in/india/story/govt-bans-manufacture-sale-and-use-of-identified-single-use-plastic-items-
from-jul-1-2022-1840562-2021-08-13
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ANNEXURE: IGNORE
GLOBAL DEMAND-SUPPLY
(https://www.chemanalyst.com/industry-report/india-polystyrene-market-68#:~:text=%5BOnline%20Quarterly
%20Update%5D%20India%20Polystyrene,CAGR%20of%204.73%25%20until%20FY2030
Source: IHSMarkit.com
https://www.differencebetween.com/difference-between-expanded-and-extruded-polystyrene/
https://www.pwc.in/assets/pdfs/publications/2018/future-of-consumer-durables-and-electronics-in-
india.pdf
Source: https://mcgroup.co.uk/researches/polystyrene-ps
Almost 40% of capacity has been removed over the years to improve operating rates and, consequently, support
margin positions. In contrast, developing markets for polystyrene, such as the Middle East, Africa, and mainland
China, are focusing on increasing market share; mainland China has been steadily expanding its PS capacity
and now accounts for more than 25% of the global total in 2020.
Northeast Asia is the largest and most influential player in the global polystyrene market. In 2020, the region
accounted for 45–50% of global polystyrene capacity and consumption. Mainland China dominates the
polystyrene market in Northeast Asia, contributing over three-quarters of regional demand and nearly
90% of regional imports. Most Northeast Asian producers operate swing plants that provide the flexibility to
switch between GPPS and HIPS production, allowing the producer to select the product with better demand or
returns. However, standalone GPPS or HIPS plants have better cost efficiency owing to the production of fewer
grades and, in turn, less downtime.
Source: https://ihsmarkit.com/products/polystyrene-chemical-economics-handbook.html
China adding styrene and polystyrene capacities
In 2021-2022, China plans to add a new production capacity for styrene and polystyrenes. In 2020, imports of
polystyrene in primary forms into China expanded to 1.4M tonnes, increasing by +3.8%. This could turn China
from the world's largest importer of those products into an exporter.
Completion may be delayed due to electricity disruptions caused by increasing energy prices and regulations to
reduce CO2 emissions. Despite the ban on single-use packaging, consumption of polystyrene in China will
steadfastly grow, driven by a high demand for plastics in the construction, automotive and other industries.
China is the largest consumer and importer of polystyrene in the world. In 2020, the country imported 1,36M
tonnes of primary polystyrene (nearly 20% of overall global imports) worth $1,43B.
According to industry publications, in 2021-2022 new factories for polystyrene and ABS plastics are expected to
launch with a combined capacity of over 3.5M tonnes, including new facilities for the companies Sinopec Gulei,
Zhejiang Petrochemical и Shandong Lihuaya. If these projects are completed, China may turn from a styrene
importer into an exporter as the new capacity would surpass 2.8M tonnes or the current level imports
The energy crisis in China could delay the completion of these projects. Beijing’s environmental protection
policies have led the provinces to limit energy consumption to stay within yearly quotas. They are also diminishing
manufacturing operations, including at chemical factories that use coal for power generation. To decrease
greenhouse gas emissions, China must limit coal usage, but this will cause costs to increase for energy-
intensive production methods.
Despite the ban on single-use polystyrene tableware and packaging in China, demand for this polymer will
consistently rise. The majority of the product is used for producing Styrene-butadiene, ABS and other forms of
plastics for the construction, electronics and automobile industries. Rapid developments in these sectors will drive
demand for polystyrene.
https://ihsmarkit.com/products/expandable-polystyrene-chemical-economics-handbook.html
https://www.mordorintelligence.com/industry-reports/polystyrene-market
NOTE:
ABS: Acrylonitrile-Butadiene-Styrene Terpolymer. ABS resins have a well-balanced set of properties for
molding tight dimensional control articles with outstanding surface finishing, good impact resistance,
and metal plating characteristics. ABS resins belong to a versatile family of thermoplastic polymers. ABS
is produced by combining three monomers: acrylonitrile, butadiene, and styrene.
Mass ABS: ABS made with a process called mass polymerization results in what’s sometimes considered a
higher grade of engineering resin. That difference can result in substantial advantages in injection molded,
extruded or thermoformed component properties in addition to oftentimes a lower cost to manufacture those
parts. The enhanced properties offered by this material include:
Excellent color stability
Whiter base color
Purer with less residual monomers, gels and VOCs
Excellent lot-to-lot consistency
Wider processing window
Because of these enhanced properties, mass polymerization ABS is widely used in automotive, medical
devices, consumer electronics, and high-end extrusion and thermoforming applications, such as with housings
and enclosures that require advanced performance and aesthetics.
Batch ABS:- Traditionally, ABS has been made with a multi-step emulsion batch reaction process. The result
is that there can be significant variability in the material from batch to batch. Perhaps more consequential, the
emulsion process requires the use of several processing additives such as emulsifiers and salts. Impurities
from the additives typically remain in the finished material in detectable levels, which contributes to the resin’s
yellowish tint.
MTA Million Metric Tons Annually
TPA Tonnes per annum
https://mgxdigital.com/all-about-polystyrene/
https://www.spglobal.com/commodity-insights/en/market-insights/latest-news/petrochemicals/121420-
commodities-2021-chinas-styrene-oversupply-promises-to-weigh-on-2021-prices