Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Orusova O.V.
PhD in Economics,
Associate Professor
Economic Theory
Department
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Contents
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
The Keynesian model can be viewed as showing what
causes the aggregate demand curve to shift.
In the short run, when the price level is fixed, shifts in
the aggregate demand curve lead to changes in
national income, Y.
The model of aggregate demand developed in this chapter called
the IS-LM is the leading interpretation of Keynes’ work. The IS-LM
model takes the price level as given and shows what causes income to
change. It shows what causes AD to shift.
Price level, P
SRAS
AD''
AD'
AD
Y* Y*' Y*'' Income, Output, Y
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
IS (investment and saving)
model of the LM (liquidity and money)
‘goods market’ model of the ‘money market
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
The IS curve (which stands for investment saving) plots the
relationship between the interest rate and the level of income that
arises in the market for goods and services.
The LM curve (which stands for liquidity and money) plots the relationship
between the interest rate and the level of income that arises in the money
market.
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
1 The Goods Market and the IS Relation
Y = C(Y − T ) + I + G
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Income-Expenditure model
AEpl=Y
AЕplanned
А
Positive Iunpl
e AEpl= C+Ipl + G
B
Negative Iunpl
0 Y2 Ye Y1 Y
7
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
The 45-degree line (Y=E) plots the points where this condition holds.
With the addition of the planned-expenditure function, this diagram
becomes the Keynesian cross.
Y2 Y* Y1 Income, output, Y
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Investment, Sales and the Interest Rate
I = I (Y , i )
( + ,− )
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Determining Output
Y = C(Y − T ) + I (Y , i ) + G
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Closed economy equilibrium
•AD = AS
•AD = C (Y) + I (r) + G
•AS = C (Y) + S (Y) + T
•C (Y) + I (r) + G = C (Y) + S (Y) + T
•I(r) + G = S(Y) + T
•I = Sp + (T-G) = Sp + Sg
•I = S All points on IS curve
11
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
The IS curve summarizes this relationship between the interest rate
and the level of income. In essence, the IS curve combines the
interaction between I and Y demonstrated by the Keynesian cross.
Because an increase in the interest rate causes planned investment to
fall, which in turn causes income to fall, the IS curve slopes downward.
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
(b)
E
Y=E
Planned expenditure,
An increase in the interest rate (in
E=C+I+G
graph a), lowers planned
investment, which shifts planned
expenditure downward (in
graph b) and lowers income (in
graph c).
Income, output, Y
(a) (c)
r r
I(r) IS
Investment, I Income, output, Y
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
The Goods Market non-equilibrium
r Excess
supply of
goods
Excess YS > YD
demand for
goods IS
Y <Y
S D
Y
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Shifts of the IS Curve
Changes in either Tx, Tr or G (fiscal policy) will shift the IS curve.
To summarize:
• Equilibrium in the goods market implies that an increase in the
interest rate leads to a decrease in output. This relation is
represented by the downward-sloping IS curve.
• Changes in factors that decrease the demand for goods, given
the interest rate, shift the IS curve to the left. Changes in
factors that increase the demand for goods, given the interest
rate, shift the IS curve to the right.
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Shifts of the IS Curve
Demand, L (r)
M/P M/P
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
L(r) = M/P
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
(M/P)d = L (r,Y)
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
r Supply r LM
r2
r1
L (r,Y)'
L (r,Y)
M/P M/P Y
An increase in income raises money demand, which increases the
interest rate; this is called an increase in transactions demand
for money. The LM curve summarizes these changes in the money
market equilibrium.
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Financial Markets non-equilibrium
r
LM
M d < Ms
Md > Ms
Y
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
LM'
r Supply' Supply r LM
r2 r2
r1 r1
L (r,Y)
M´/P M/P M/P Y
A contraction in the money supply raises the interest rate that equilibrates
the money market. Why? Because a higher interest rate is needed to
convince people to hold a smaller quantity of real balances.
As a result of the decrease in the money supply, LM shifts upward.
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
r IS LM(P0)
r0
Y0 Y
The intersection of the IS curve/equation, Y= C (Y-T) + I(r) + G and the LM curve/equation
M/P = L(r, Y) determines the level of aggregate demand. The intersection of the IS and LM
curves represents simultaneous equilibrium in the market for goods and services and in the
market for real money balances for given values of government spending, taxes, the money
supply, and the price level.
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
The Goods Market non-equilibrium
YD < YS
Y >
D YS
IS
Y
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Financial markets non-equilibrium
r
LM
M d < Ms
Md > Ms
Y
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Putting the IS and the LM Relations
Together
r Md < Ms
1 LM
YD < YS
Md < Ms YD < YS
E 4 Md > Ms
r0
YD >YS 2
Md > Ms IS
3 YD >YS
Y0 Y
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Equilibrium adjustment process
Area on Goods market Money market
the
graph Non- Output Non- Interest rate
equilibrium adjustment equilibrium adjustment
(slow) (fast)
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
4. Fiscal Policy, Activity and the Interest Rate
Y = C(Y − T ) + I (Y , i ) + G
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
+G Consider an increase in government purchases.
This will raise the level of income by G/(1- MPC).
r IS IS´ LM
B
A
The IS curve shifts to the right by G/(1- MPC) which raises income
and the interest rate.
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
-T Consider a decrease in taxes of T.
This will raise the level of income by
T × - MPC/(1- MPC).
r IS IS´ LM
B
A
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Monetary Policy, Activity and the Interest Rate
• Monetary contraction, or monetary tightening, refers to
a decrease in the money supply.
(M/P)d = L (r,Y)
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
+M Consider an increase in the money supply.
r IS LM
LM
A
B
Y
The LM curve shifts downward and lowers the interest rate which raises
income. The lower interest rate, in turn, stimulates planned investment,
which increases planned expenditure, production, and income Y.
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
The IS-LM model shows that monetary policy influences income by
changing the interest rate. In the short run, when prices are sticky, an
expansion in the money supply raises income. We have discussed
how a monetary expansion induces greater spending on goods and
services—a process called the monetary transmission mechanism.
The IS-LM model shows that an increase in the money supply lowers
the interest rate, which stimulates investment and thereby expands
the demand for goods and services.
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Using a Policy Mix
Table 5.1 The Effects of Fiscal and Monetary Policy
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Using a Policy Mix (Continued)
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
An increase in P lowers the value of real money
balances, and Y, shifting LM leftward to point B.
Notice that r increased. Since r increased, we
r IS LM(P2) know that investment will decrease, as it just
LM(P1) got more costly to take on various investment
B projects.
As Investment is part of AD, AD decreases –
A downward sloping AD curve.
P Y
P2 B
P1 A
AD
Y
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Monetary policy and AD
41
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Fiscal Policy and AD
42
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
Short-Run Versus Long-Run Effects of a Positive Demand
Shock
3. …until an eventual rise in nominal
Aggregate wages in the long run reduces short-
price level run aggregate supply and moves the
1.An initial positive economy back to potential output.
demand shock… LRAS
SRAS
2
SRAS
1
E
3
P
3
P E 2. …increases the
2 E1 2
aggregate price level
P and aggregate output
1
AD
2 and reduces
AD unemployment
1 in the short run…
Potential Y Y Real GDP
1 2
output
Inflationary gap
Blanchard, Amighini and Giavazzi, Macroeconomics: A European Perspective, 1st Edition, © Pearson Education Limited 2010
+G Y = C (Y-T) + I(r) + G
Suppose there is a +G.
Now it’s time to determine the effects on the variables in the economy.
For the variables Y, P, and r, you can read the effects right off the diagrams.
LM(P2)
r IS IS´ LM(P0)
Y +, because Y moved from Y* to Y´ C
P 0, because prices are sticky in the SR. A B
r +, because a +Y leads to a rise in r
as IS slides along the LM curve.
C +, because a +Y increases the level of Y
LRAS
consumption (C=C(Y-T)). P
I – , since r increased, the level of C
Investment can decrease or +, since Y P2 SRAS'
B
increased, Investment can increase. P0 SRAS
A
AD´
AD
Chapter Eleven Y* Y´ Y 45
For the variables Y, P, and r, you can read the effects right off the diagrams.
For the variables Y, P, and r, you can read the effects right off the diagrams.
Y 0, because rising P shifts LM to left, returning
r IS LM (P0)
Y to Y* as required by LRAS.
P +, in order to eliminate the excess demand at P .
0
LM
r 0, reflecting the leftward shift in LM due
A= C
to +P, restoring r to its original level. B
C 0, since both Y and T are back to their initial
levels (C=C(Y-T)).
I 0, since Y or r has not changed. LRAS Y
P
P2 C SRAS'
Notice that the only LR impact of an P0 B SRAS
increase in the money supply was an A AD´
increase in the price level. AD
Chapter Eleven
Y* Y´ Y 49
Chapter Eleven 50
IS' LM(P2) 1) +C causes the IS curve to shift
r IS LM(P0) right to IS‘.
C
•
B• Y = C (Y-T) + I(r) + G
A•
2) This leads to a rightward shift in AD
to AD’.
Short Run:
Move from A to B.
LRAS Y Long Run:
P
Market clears at P0 to P2
P2 C SRAS'
• from B to C.
3) +P causes LM(P0) to shift leftward
A
P0 • B • SRAS to LM(P2) due to the lowering of the
real value of the money supply.
AD AD' M/ P = L (r, Y)
Chapter Eleven Y 51
IS' LM(P2)
r IS LM(P0)
C •
Short Long
B• Run: Run:
A•
Y + 0
Y
P 0 +
P LRAS r + ++
P2 C • SRAS' C + +
I -,+? --
P0 A• B• SRAS
AD AD'
Chapter Eleven Y 52
6. Liquidity trap and LM curve
Chapter Eleven 53
Liquidity trap and monetary policy
Chapter Eleven 54
Liquidity trap and monetary policy
Chapter Eleven 55
55
Liquidity trap and fiscal policy
i IS1
IS
I min
LM
Y0 Y1 Y
Chapter Eleven 56
56