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A Study On Comparative Analysis of HDFC Bank and Icici Bank On The Basis of Capital Market Performance
A Study On Comparative Analysis of HDFC Bank and Icici Bank On The Basis of Capital Market Performance
Sujoy Kumar Dhar is the Faculty Member and Examination Coordinator of IBS Business School,
Kolkata. He is M.Sc in Economics with specialization in Econometrics & Statistics and his
optional field is Operation Research form Calcutta University. He has done his MBA from
Resource Person and his core area of expertise is Finance, Economics and Control. He has more
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1. INTRODUCTION
Capital market is a mechanism through which funds can be borrowed and lent for long period of
time and stock price is determined though free interaction of market forces such as demand and
supply. Since share price is market determined, often it does not reflect the true intrinsic value.
There are different conceptual frameworks, tools and techniques to analyze the performance of
capital market instruments which includes Markowitz model, Sharpe Single Index Model,
Capital Asset Pricing Model, Technical analysis, Fundamental analysis, Efficient Market
Hypothesis and different valuation approaches. All the models are based on some critical
assumptions as well as on strong analytical foundations. It has been experienced that often these
established empirical models are unable to forecast the movement of stock prices. Almost in all
the cases, models are formed on the basis of simplistic assumption that investors are rational in
nature where in reality; market is driven by emotion, sentiment, greed and fear of the investors.
Thus the assumption of rationality of investors does not hold in real life. Hence company’s
capital market performance should be used as an integral part to analyze the perception of
investors about the company instead of using the same to judge the fundamental strength of the
company.
Banking sector is chosen as it is highly regulated sector in India. Reserve Bank of India is the
banking regulatory apex body in India. All the banking players are required to conform to the
rules and regulations of RBI which includes CRR, SLR, Repo rate, Reverse Repo rate, Base rate,
Marginal standing facility, Bank rate and fixed deposit rate. All listed public sector undertaking
banks as well as Private Banks have to conform to listing criteria as per the SEBI clause 49.
Apart from that, banks have to conform to the rules and regulations of Basel Committee on
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measure, monitor, manage and mitigate the risk becomes critical success factor for any banking
player. Apart from that, structure of banking sector in India is unique by nature. Banks can be
broadly categorized into two groups – scheduled banks and nonscheduled banks. Scheduled
banks are of two types- Scheduled Commercial banks and Scheduled Cooperative Banks.
Scheduled commercial banks are classified into four major heads- the Public Sector Undertaking
banks, the Private sector banks, the foreign banks and the Regional Rural Banks. The PSU banks
are mainly divided into two groups such as SBI and its Associates and other PSU banks. The
private sector banks are classified into old generation private sector banks and new generation
private sector banks. Scheduled Cooperative Banks are mainly categorized into Scheduled Urban
HDFC bank1 has largest market capitalization among the banking players which is immediately
followed by State bank of India2 (SBI) and ICICI bank3. Since SBI is largest PSU bank in India,
ICICI bank and HDFC banks are considered for comparative analysis in order to create a level
playing field.
‘India becomes an interesting case study because since the early 1990s, some very fundamental
changes have taken place at the Indian capital market. These include the birth of the Securities
and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) as a regulator of the Indian capital market, the birth of the
National Stock Exchange (NSE) as a competitor of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE),
introductions of computerized screen based trading at both the exchanges and dematerialization of
shares. These changes have led to substantial improvement in market capitalization, liquidity and
1
As on 6th February, 2015, HDFC bank has market capitalization of Rs 255556.32 crores.
2
As on 6th February, 2015, SBI has market capitalization of Rs 216767.50 crores.
3
As on 6th February, 2015, ICICI bank has market capitalization of Rs 191139.39 crores.
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efficiency of the Indian capital market, especially during the second half of the 1990s’
Majority of the models, tools and techniques of valuation are based on the assumption that the
capital market is perfect. But emerging markets are not characterized by a well developed
information disbursement mechanism. Hence, any news, after its release, may reach different
groups of investors at different points in time. This lead–lag relationship between the news and
its reception may temporarily make some investors better informed than others, creating
possibilities for one group of investors to make above normal profit (Mishra and Mishra,
2011:467).
‘Volatility is fundamental in the trade-off between risk and expected return. A rise in volatility
can have a potentially destabilizing effect especially if financial markets are thin; this is very
Several intellectual outputs are available on performance of Indian capital market (Bhattacharya,
Within the broad ambit of the financial sector, the banking sector constitutes a crucial component
of any economy. It acts as the most important intermediary for channeling resources from
ultimate lenders to final borrowers. The banking industry has its distinct characteristics in
a) To identify the different methods which are used to judge the capital market performance of a
stock.
b) To examine the Economy –Industry – Company (EIC) analysis for ICICI bank and HDFC
bank.
c) To make a comparative study on the share performance analysis of ICICI bank and HDFC
bank.
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4. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
The proposed research work will be explanatory and empirical research. It incorporates different
The proposed dissertation is expected to take into consideration the secondary data available in
several research articles prevalent in the different reputed national and international journals
downloaded from EBSCO host and Emerald. It also incorporates the necessary information
inputs from the statutory and non statutory disclosure provided by the banks in the public domain
in the form of their quarterly, half early and annual reports. Apart from that, data base from
The time frame for the proposed study will be considered from 1st January 2014 to 31st October,
2014. The general election took place in India during the month of April and May 2014 to
constitute the sixteenth Lok Sabha. Thus the ten months time frame is considered to even out the
Data analysis will proceed by using relevant statistical and financial techniques as well as
coefficient and regression coefficient. Daily return, daily risk and risk per unit of return are
computed for Sensex, Bank Index and ICICI bank as well as HDFC bank. Financial technique
includes alpha value, beta value, total return, total risk, systematic risk, unsystematic risk of both
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the banks. Portfolio return, portfolio risk, Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio, Jensen alpha are
calculated to analyze the performance of portfolio. Apart from that characteristic line for both
banking stocks as well as Security Market Line are derived. Data analysis is done through excel
5. KEY FINDINGS
Fundamental analysis or EIC analysis or top down approach is used to compute the intrinsic
value of a stock.
At first different macro economic variables such as GDP growth rate, volume of saving and
investment, inflation rate, interest rate, budget, balance of payment, monsoon, infrastructure and
index of industrial production are analyzed. Performance of the particular company is judged on
the basis of financial ratios, SWOT analysis and different valuation techniques which are
composed of discounted cash flow method and relative valuation method. GDP Growth rate for
the financial year 2012-13 and 2013-14 were 4.5% and 4.9% respectively. The growth rates
were far below with respect to double-digit growth rate of 9.3% in 2010-11 and 8.6% in 2009-
10. GDP growth rate for the first and second quarter of the financial year 2014-15 were 5.7%
and 5.3% respectively. Hence average GDP growth rate for the first half of the financial year
2014-15 was 5.5%.According to Planning Commission of India, saving to GDP ratio for the
financial year 2013-14 was 30.5% which was 1.3% less with respect to the previous financial
year. According to Planning Commission of India, the Investment to GDP ratio for the financial
year 2013-14 was 31.4% 2013 which was 3.3% less with respect to the previous financial year.
The growth rate of Index of Industrial Production for the financial year 2013-14 was 0.1%. The
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IIP has been revised since the financial year 2005-06 on base (2004- 05=100). The average
(Wholesale Price Index) WPI inflation for the financial year 2013-14 was 6%.The average
(Consumer Price Index) CPI inflation for the financial year 2013-14 was 9.7%. WPI inflation
rate for the month of October 2014 was 1.7%. CPI Inflation rate for the month of November
2014 was 4.38%. When Developed nations like USA and Japan are offering rate of interest
which is abysmally low almost close to zero percent , RBI as on date is offering 8-9.05%
interest rate on term deposit. Fiscal deficit for the year 2013-14 was 4.5% of India’s GDP. The
average annual exchange rate between dollar and rupee for the financial year 2013-14 was 60.5.
The Sensex reached 21000 points for the first time in January, 2008. After that Sensex
experienced a steep fall due to subprime crisis. The Sensitivity Index climbed to 21000 points
for the second time in 2010 Diwali. After that Sensex had undergone through a volatile phase
due to the adverse impact of Euro zone crisis. Sensex again reached the 21000 points in
October, 2013. After the general election of 2014, market has followed strong bullish trend.
Sensex crossed 26000 points before the honourable Finance minister Mr. Arun Jaitley placed
the Union Budget on 10th July, 2014. The Sensitivity Index of Mumbai Stock Exchange has
crossed 28000 points in November 2014 which was its lifetime high.
Michael Porter’s five forces analysis can be done to judge the strength of banking sector. The
entry barrier is high in banking sector as any player cannot participate in banking business
unless and until the same is receiving banking license from Reserve Bank of India. The mode of
operation of RBI was bit conservative as it did not allow any non banking player to participate
in banking business and any banking player was prohibited to enter into any non banking
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business. The scenario changed when both the houses of the Parliament in India passed the
much awaited banking amendment bill on December, 2012. According to this bill, nonbanking
business players are also entitled to apply for the banking license from the RBI. It also
recommended for raising the cap on voting rights in public sector banks from 1% to 10%. It has
restricted foreign shareholding in any form to 49%. Private Banks in India can have up to 74%
foreign shareholding. It enabled the nationalized banks to raise capital by issuing of preference
shares or rights issue. It would also enable them to increase or decrease the authorized capital
with approval from the Government and RBI without being limited by the ceiling of a
maximum of Rs. 3000 crores. The bill allowed any person to acquire 5% or more shares or
voting rights in a banking company subject to RBI’s approval. For private banks, the cap on
voting right has been increased to 26%. This Bill has strengthened the regulatory powers of
Reserve Bank of India (RBI). The bill empowered RBI to supersede the board of directors of a
banking company for a period of six months if its modus operandi is detrimental to the interest
of the depositors. The apex body of the money market of India has received several applications
from different Government as well as private business houses which includes the L&T Finance,
the Tata Group, Reliance Capital, Aditya Birla Nuvo, Bajaj Finserv, Videocon, IDFC, Muthoot
Finance, India Bulls, Bandhan, Bangalore based Janalakshmi Microfinance, Noida based little
known Smart Global Ventures, Gurgaon based advisory services firm INMACS Management,
UAE Exchange of India: a remittance and foreign exchange service firm, India Infoline, LIC
Corporation of India, Suryamani Financing(part of Kolkata based Pawan Kumar Ruia Group),
JM Financial, Shriram Finance. The new banking bill, 2012 can be viewed as a masterstroke by
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the Central Government to eradicate the curse of the financial exclusion. Ultimately IDFC and
Bandhan got in principle approval of banking from RBI. Hence threats from new entrants have
Rivalry among the exiting firms is quite high. As all the banks irrespective of their nature( PSU
banks, Old generation private banks, new generation private banks, foreign banks) are offering
almost same core and para- banking products to their customers , one bank can enjoy higher
Threat from substitute has also become high for Indian banking sector when RBI kicked off the
differentiated banking license regime to set up banks that will carry the Government’s financial
inclusion agenda. RBI has proposed for two types of banks such as small and payment banks.
The two types of banks will have uniform capital requirement of Rs100 crore but will differ in
their activities. A payment bank will be able to take deposits but could not lend. It has to invest
all funds in Government securities. Small bank is allowed to lend but with the restriction on the
areas in which they could operate and the banking services should be offered mainly to the
farmers and small entrepreneurs. These banks will have to mandatorily have half their loans
with ticket size less than Rs 25 lakh. The primary objective of setting up a payment bank is to
promote further financial inclusion by providing small saving account, payment, remittance
services to migrant labour workforce, low income household and small business.
Bargaining power of buyers (mainly borrowers) is significantly high when corporate giant with
sound brand equity are willing to borrow huge amount of fund. Often loan syndication is
formed to meet the demand of corporate borrowers. Since several banks are willing to get the
profile of lead banker, bidding takes place among the investment bankers and letter of mandate
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is offered to highest bidder. In few cases allegation has been raised against PSU banks that they
had offered loan to some corporate players at a huge discount to the market rate.
Bargaining power of supplier is also high in the sector where mainly the corporate and
household depositors are taken into considerations as supplier of fund. Depositors will deposit
their money in a particular bank provided they can generate a good amount of return which is
5.3 Capital Market Performance Analysis of ICICI bank and HDFC bank
The focus of the study is capital market performance analysis of ICICI bank and HDFC bank.
index, banking index and the particular banking stock price. Sensex generated average daily
return of 0.139 % over a period of ten months from 1st January, 2014 to 31st October, 2014.
Banking index generated average daily return of 0.209 % during that time period. In order to get
actual status, average daily standard deviation of Sensex as well as Banking Index should be
taken into account. Average daily standard deviation of Sensex was 0.811% and average daily
standard deviation of banking sector was 1.362% during that time period. The coefficient of
variation of Sensex and banking index during that time was 5.82 and 6.52 respectively. Hence it
can be concluded that banking sector under performed with respect to Sensex during that period.
The average daily return of HDFC bank and ICICI bank were 0.164% and 0.208% respectively.
Simultaneously the average daily standard deviation of HDFC bank and ICICI bank were
The coefficient of variation of HDFC bank and ICICI bank were 7.80 and 8.29 respectively. On
the basis of above-mentioned information input, it can be said that Sensex has outperformed with
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respect to banking index and both HDFC bank and ICICI bank have underperformed with
The risk of stock is measured by standard deviation or root mean square deviation. The formula
of standard deviation is
бX = Risk of security X
E(X)2 = X 2 j Pj
E(X) = X j Pj
The total risk of stock can be decomposed into two broad categories which are known as
systematic and unsystematic risk. Systemic risk is the risk which is beyond the control of any
particular company or industry. Unsystematic risk is the sector specific or company specific risk.
The unsystematic risk can be reduced by pursuing a balanced (within as well between the
sectors) diversification strategy and systemic risk can be reduced by hedging. Stock with higher
unsystematic risk should be avoided as it implies the company or the sector is facing some
problem. Total risk is measured by the variance of the stock. The systematic risk is nothing but
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the product of market variance and square of the beta value of the stock. Beta value shows the
stock’s responsiveness to the market index. The beta value of stock can be defined as covariance
between the stock return and market rate of return divided by market variance.
Total risk of HDFC bank and ICICI bank were 0.016% and 0.030% respectively which were
nothing but daily variances of the respective stocks. Beta value of HDFC bank and ICICI bank
were 1.033457 and 1.571059. The decomposition of systemic and unsystematic risk of HDFC
bank were 0.007% and 0.009% where for ICICI bank the same were 0.016% and 0.014%
respectively. Therefore ICICI bank stock is riskier than HDFC bank stock in terms of total risk,
market risk, unsystematic risk as well beta value. Alpha value implies risk free rate of return
generated by a risky asset. If alpha value of stock is positive, the stock is considered to
underpriced and vice versa. The alpha value of HDFC bank was + 0.000198 but the same was
negative for ICICI bank (0 .000106). Hence HDFC bank is considered under priced and ICICI
5.4 Derivation of Characteristic line for ICICI bank and HDFC bank
Characteristic line, the diagrammatic representation of Sharpe Single Index model shows the
relationship between the stock return and the market rate of return. According to Sharpe Single
Index model, return from a stock is dependent on a particular index which is known as market
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eit = an “error term” representing the difference between an individual data point and the
regression line
α = the Y-intercept of the regression line or the risk free rate of return from a risky asset
i) The error term has an expected value of zero and a finite variance.
ii) The error term is not related with return of market portfolio.
iii) The error term of ith security and jth security are not related with each other.
Security Market Line, the diagrammatic representation of CAPM Model shows the relationship
between the beta values and expected returns of the stocks. Characteristic line can be derived for
each stock provided the market rate of return is given. Security Market Line can be deduced
available.
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ii) Individuals are rational in nature. They are risk averse.
iii) Individuals seek to maximize the expected utility of their portfolio over a single
iv) Individuals have homogenous expectations- they have identical subjective estimates
vi) Any amount of fund can be borrowed or lent at risk free rate of return
Rf= The risk free rate of return or return earned from Government securities (In Indian context,
return from 182 days treasury bill is considered as risk free rate of return)
βJ= Beta value of the Jth security which shows sensitivity of the Jth stock with respect to market
index
If the assumption of no tax is relaxed, International CAPM model is becomes more authentic.
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T= (Td - Tg )/ (1- Tg )
RR(Ri) =Required rate of return of the i th stock DM = Dividend Yield of the market index
In Western Economy, investors who are in the high income tax bracket, they usually invest in
high capital gain stock. On the other hand, individuals who are in the lower income tax bracket,
they usually invest in high dividend yielding stocks. In India, dividend in the hand of the
individual is tax free. Long term capital gain from share is tax free. So the term T is equal to
E(Ri)= Rf + β {E(RM ) - Rf }
CAPM model is used to compute required rate of return earned by an asset. The Security Market
return from an asset is greater than the required rate of return, asset is considered to be
underpriced. Investor is advised to take long position on the asset. On the contrary, if expected
rate of return from an asset is less than the required rate of return, asset is considered to be over
priced. Investors cannot predict security returns with certainty. They can list the potential
outcomes and have a sense for the likelihood that each of these outcomes will occur.
Probabilities represent the relative likelihood each outcome will occur. The probabilities for the
full range of outcomes must sum to one. Individual probabilities cannot be negative. Expected
return is the return that an investor expects to earn on an asset, given its price, growth potential,
etc. The required rate of return is the return that investor requires on an asset given it’s and
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market interest rates. Ex post data where analysis is mainly done on the basis of historical data,
return is calculated with the help of simple arithmetic mean. Ex ante data where speculation is
E(X) = X j Pj
The Security Market Line derived on the basis of ICICI bank and HDFC bank stock is
Return -0.0008*beta=0.00077
6. PRINCIPAL CONCLUSION
Two portfolios are constructed by taking two different combinations of ICICI bank’s and HDFC
bank’s stocks. Portfolio 1 contains 75% of HDFC bank and 25% of ICICI bank. Portfolio 2
contains 25% of HDFC bank and 75% of ICICI bank. Portfolio 1 is offering 0.175% return and
portfolio 2 is offering 0.197% return. Beta value of the portfolio 1 and portfolio 2 are 1.168 and
1.437 respectively. In order to judge the performance of the portfolio, different measures are
used such as Sharpe ratio4 , Treynor ratio5 and Jensen alpha6 . All these follow the principle
‘More is good’. Higher the Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio and Jensen alpha, portfolio is considered
4
Sharpe ratio measures risk premium earned by a portfolio per unit of total risk.
5
Treynor ratio measures risk premium earned by a portfolio per unit of market risk.
6
Jensen Alpha measures excess of expected return generated by a portfolio over and above its
CAPM return
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to be the good performer and vice versa. Sharpe ratio for portfolio 1 and portfolio 2 are 0.101805
and 0.100088 respectively. Treynor ratio for portfolio 1 and portfolio 2 are 0.001097 and
0.001047 respectively. Jensen alpha for portfolio 1 and portfolio 2 are 0.000200 and 0.000174
respectively. Portfolio 1 is outperforming with respect to portfolio 2 on the basis of total risk,
beta value, Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio and Jensen alpha. The simple logic is portfolio I is heavily
skewed toward HDFC bank’s share where portfolio II is heavily skewed toward ICICI bank’s
share.
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7. REFERENCES
[1] Bhaduri, N. Saumitra. (2008). ‘Investment and Capital Market Imperfections: Some Evidence
from a Developing Economy, India’. Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies , 11
(3), 411–428.
[3] Bhattacharya, Kaushik and Samarjit Das. (2002). ‘Price Discovery at the Beginning of a
Trading Day: an Error Correction Model for the Indian Capital Market’. Applied Economics
Letters , 529-535.
[4] Dhankar, Raj. S. (2005). ‘Arbitrage Pricing Theory and the Capital Asset Pricing Model
Evidence Erom The Indian Stock Market’. Journal of Financial Management and Analysis , 14-
27.
[5] Ghosh, Saurabh. (2005). ‘The Post-offering Performance of IPOs in the Indian Banking
Industry’. Applied Economics Letters , 89–94.
[6] Kadapakkam, Palani.-Rajan, Lalatendu Mishra and Yiuman TSE. (2003). ‘International
Price Discovery for Emerging Market Stocks: Evidence from Indian GDRs’. Review of
Quantitative Finance and Accounting , 179–199.
[7] Lakshmi, P. (2012). ‘FII Trading Volume and Symmetric Volatility:Analysis from Indian Spot
Market’. Vilakshan, XIMB Journal of Management , 57-72.
[8] Mishra, Ankia and Vinod Mishra (2011). ‘Is the Indian Stock Market Efficient?Evidence
from a TAR Model with an Autoregressive Unit Root’. Applied Economics Letters , 18, 467–472.
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ANNEXURE-I
Daily return of Sensex, Banking Index, HDFC bank and ICICI bank from 1 st Janaury,
2014 to 31st October, 2014
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19-Feb-14 20722.97 0.430% 12109.39 0.291% 669.35 1.332% 1030.65 -0.684%
20-Feb-14 20536.64 -0.899% 11911.62 -1.633% 662.75 -0.986% 1008.45 -2.154%
21-Feb-14 20700.75 0.799% 12049.4 1.157% 664.8 0.309% 1024.75 1.616%
24-Feb-14 20811.44 0.535% 12192.66 1.189% 670.2 0.812% 1036.2 1.117%
25-Feb-14 20852.47 0.197% 12182.38 -0.084% 670.8 0.090% 1030.7 -0.531%
26-Feb-14 20986.99 0.645% 12250.53 0.559% 676.4 0.835% 1036.4 0.553%
28-Feb-14 21120.12 0.634% 12284.27 0.275% 667.5 -1.316% 1043.7 0.704%
3-Mar-14 20946.65 -0.821% 12180.67 -0.843% 666.15 -0.202% 1029.65 -1.346%
4-Mar-14 21209.73 1.256% 12481.85 2.473% 670.45 0.646% 1068.3 3.754%
5-Mar-14 21276.86 0.317% 12664.94 1.467% 669.1 -0.201% 1097.15 2.701%
6-Mar-14 21513.87 1.114% 12878.13 1.683% 675.5 0.957% 1133.65 3.327%
7-Mar-14 21919.79 1.887% 13567.23 5.351% 711.35 5.307% 1201.3 5.967%
10-Mar-14 21934.83 0.069% 13826.73 1.913% 734.35 3.233% 1193.8 -0.624%
11-Mar-14 21826.42 -0.494% 13755.65 -0.514% 725.35 -1.226% 1198.45 0.390%
12-Mar-14 21856.22 0.137% 13723.53 -0.234% 725.55 0.028% 1210.75 1.026%
13-Mar-14 21774.61 -0.373% 13849.85 0.920% 742.25 2.302% 1218.25 0.619%
14-Mar-14 21809.8 0.162% 13756.15 -0.677% 731.7 -1.421% 1213.75 -0.369%
18-Mar-14 21832.61 0.105% 13830.81 0.543% 733.75 0.280% 1204.8 -0.737%
19-Mar-14 21832.86 0.001% 13914.61 0.606% 737.8 0.552% 1210.25 0.452%
20-Mar-14 21740.09 -0.425% 13725.87 -1.356% 730.8 -0.949% 1200.9 -0.773%
21-Mar-14 21753.75 0.063% 13810.25 0.615% 733.85 0.417% 1199 -0.158%
22-Mar-14 21755.32 0.007% 13803.04 -0.052% 731.95 -0.259% 1197.95 -0.088%
24-Mar-14 22055.48 1.380% 14179.83 2.730% 750.45 2.527% 1242.4 3.711%
25-Mar-14 22055.21 -0.001% 14220.05 0.284% 749.6 -0.113% 1252.55 0.817%
26-Mar-14 22095.3 0.182% 14308 0.618% 746 -0.480% 1256.9 0.347%
27-Mar-14 22214.37 0.539% 14414.15 0.742% 746.95 0.127% 1259.5 0.207%
28-Mar-14 22339.97 0.565% 14585.16 1.186% 744.95 -0.268% 1258.75 -0.060%
31-Mar-14 22386.27 0.207% 14572.46 -0.087% 748.85 0.524% 1245.45 -1.057%
1-Apr-14 22446.44 0.269% 14400.7 -1.179% 738.1 -1.436% 1223.8 -1.738%
2-Apr-14 22551.49 0.468% 14534.86 0.932% 730.55 -1.023% 1242.55 1.532%
3-Apr-14 22509.07 -0.188% 14375.92 -1.094% 728.4 -0.294% 1235.2 -0.592%
4-Apr-14 22359.5 -0.664% 14362.26 -0.095% 725.8 -0.357% 1230.35 -0.393%
7-Apr-14 22343.45 -0.072% 14305.35 -0.396% 725.35 -0.062% 1209.05 -1.731%
9-Apr-14 22702.34 1.606% 14798.8 3.449% 742.1 2.309% 1259.55 4.177%
10-Apr-14 22715.33 0.057% 14805.97 0.048% 738.85 -0.438% 1246.15 -1.064%
11-Apr-14 22628.96 -0.380% 14689.89 -0.784% 737.85 -0.135% 1235.5 -0.855%
15-Apr-14 22484.93 -0.636% 14386.45 -2.066% 723.4 -1.958% 1218.05 -1.412%
16-Apr-14 22277.23 -0.924% 14370.22 -0.113% 725.25 0.256% 1222.3 0.349%
17-Apr-14 22628.84 1.578% 14625.65 1.777% 718.55 -0.924% 1262 3.248%
21-Apr-14 22764.83 0.601% 14822.16 1.344% 716.6 -0.271% 1281.55 1.549%
22-Apr-14 22758.37 -0.028% 14846.18 0.162% 726.35 1.361% 1287.9 0.495%
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23-Apr-14 22876.54 0.519% 15012.05 1.117% 734.25 1.088% 1299.05 0.866%
25-Apr-14 22688.07 -0.824% 14910.3 -0.678% 726.25 -1.090% 1269.3 -2.290%
28-Apr-14 22631.61 -0.249% 14964.24 0.362% 725.3 -0.131% 1273.85 0.358%
29-Apr-14 22466.19 -0.731% 14773.76 -1.273% 715.9 -1.296% 1262.05 -0.926%
30-Apr-14 22417.8 -0.215% 14706.66 -0.454% 718.25 0.328% 1244.8 -1.367%
2-May-14 22403.89 -0.062% 14690.5 -0.110% 716.85 -0.195% 1251.8 0.562%
5-May-14 22445.12 0.184% 14749.12 0.399% 716.9 0.007% 1254.15 0.188%
6-May-14 22508.42 0.282% 14829.5 0.545% 719.7 0.391% 1274.55 1.627%
7-May-14 22323.9 -0.820% 14814.71 -0.100% 716.05 -0.507% 1272.5 -0.161%
8-May-14 22344.04 0.090% 14924.81 0.743% 719.05 0.419% 1289.4 1.328%
9-May-14 22994.23 2.910% 15721.36 5.337% 757.2 5.306% 1374.85 6.627%
12-May-14 23551 2.421% 16113.65 2.495% 791.95 4.589% 1399.25 1.775%
13-May-14 23871.23 1.360% 16206.48 0.576% 787.2 -0.600% 1402.65 0.243%
14-May-14 23815.12 -0.235% 16256.42 0.308% 775.25 -1.518% 1409.65 0.499%
15-May-14 23905.6 0.380% 16279.74 0.143% 788.1 1.658% 1393.1 -1.174%
16-May-14 24121.74 0.904% 16994.36 4.390% 804.7 2.106% 1464.8 5.147%
19-May-14 24363.05 1.000% 17438.08 2.611% 811.8 0.882% 1471.1 0.430%
20-May-14 24376.88 0.057% 17304.26 -0.767% 815.65 0.474% 1449.4 -1.475%
21-May-14 24298.02 -0.324% 17119.75 -1.066% 809.85 -0.711% 1439.35 -0.693%
22-May-14 24374.4 0.314% 17239.64 0.700% 802.6 -0.895% 1451.35 0.834%
23-May-14 24693.35 1.309% 17523.13 1.644% 789.5 -1.632% 1460.75 0.648%
26-May-14 24716.88 0.095% 17393.11 -0.742% 798.3 1.115% 1452.55 -0.561%
27-May-14 24549.51 -0.677% 17286.15 -0.615% 804.85 0.820% 1447.5 -0.348%
28-May-14 24556.09 0.027% 17383.42 0.563% 823.4 2.305% 1456.15 0.598%
29-May-14 24234.15 -1.311% 17227.63 -0.896% 810.55 -1.561% 1437.85 -1.257%
30-May-14 24217.34 -0.069% 16953.86 -1.589% 794.1 -2.029% 1418.4 -1.353%
2-Jun-14 24684.85 1.930% 17510.44 3.283% 819.95 3.255% 1462.4 3.102%
3-Jun-14 24858.59 0.704% 17478.99 -0.180% 824.55 0.561% 1458.25 -0.284%
4-Jun-14 24805.83 -0.212% 17569.68 0.519% 816.55 -0.970% 1469.2 0.751%
5-Jun-14 25019.51 0.861% 17500.64 -0.393% 804.9 -1.427% 1460.95 -0.562%
6-Jun-14 25396.46 1.507% 17788.59 1.645% 814.95 1.249% 1481.75 1.424%
9-Jun-14 25580.21 0.724% 17817.36 0.162% 820.05 0.626% 1486.6 0.327%
10-Jun-14 25583.69 0.014% 17681.67 -0.762% 817.45 -0.317% 1481.25 -0.360%
11-Jun-14 25473.89 -0.429% 17692.35 0.060% 820.45 0.367% 1468.2 -0.881%
12-Jun-14 25576.21 0.402% 17718.78 0.149% 839.9 2.371% 1459.9 -0.565%
13-Jun-14 25228.17 -1.361% 17309.87 -2.308% 835.55 -0.518% 1429.55 -2.079%
16-Jun-14 25190.48 -0.149% 17220.59 -0.516% 839.1 0.425% 1415.65 -0.972%
17-Jun-14 25521.19 1.313% 17612.82 2.278% 846.45 0.876% 1449.1 2.363%
18-Jun-14 25246.25 -1.077% 17424.01 -1.072% 834 -1.471% 1420.4 -1.981%
19-Jun-14 25201.8 -0.176% 17264.97 -0.913% 825.65 -1.001% 1411.5 -0.627%
20-Jun-14 25105.51 -0.382% 17196.78 -0.395% 823.5 -0.260% 1398.8 -0.900%
21
23-Jun-14 25031.32 -0.296% 17273.05 0.444% 821.4 -0.255% 1413.25 1.033%
24-Jun-14 25368.9 1.349% 17534.65 1.514% 828.8 0.901% 1438.6 1.794%
25-Jun-14 25313.74 -0.217% 17459.71 -0.427% 824.05 -0.573% 1419.85 -1.303%
26-Jun-14 25062.67 -0.992% 17261.72 -1.134% 812.65 -1.383% 1403.3 -1.166%
27-Jun-14 25099.92 0.149% 17181.74 -0.463% 815.4 0.338% 1384.8 -1.318%
30-Jun-14 25413.78 1.250% 17475.08 1.707% 821.35 0.730% 1418.45 2.430%
1-Jul-14 25516.35 0.404% 17558.71 0.479% 823.1 0.213% 1437.7 1.357%
2-Jul-14 25841.21 1.273% 17744.63 1.059% 839.3 1.968% 1452.25 1.012%
3-Jul-14 25823.75 -0.068% 17695.24 -0.278% 837.2 -0.250% 1451.7 -0.038%
4-Jul-14 25962.06 0.536% 17824.53 0.731% 856.35 2.287% 1462.45 0.741%
7-Jul-14 26100.08 0.532% 17608.8 -1.210% 840.05 -1.903% 1450.95 -0.786%
8-Jul-14 25582.11 -1.985% 17195.13 -2.349% 830.15 -1.179% 1412.5 -2.650%
9-Jul-14 25444.81 -0.537% 17108.97 -0.501% 830.35 0.024% 1403.2 -0.658%
10-Jul-14 25372.75 -0.283% 17001.76 -0.627% 824.95 -0.650% 1390.85 -0.880%
11-Jul-14 25024.35 -1.373% 16546.21 -2.679% 812.15 -1.552% 1355.6 -2.534%
14-Jul-14 25006.98 -0.069% 16595.64 0.299% 816.45 0.529% 1344.3 -0.834%
15-Jul-14 25228.65 0.886% 17053.82 2.761% 826.75 1.262% 1393.55 3.664%
16-Jul-14 25549.72 1.273% 17479.92 2.499% 835.6 1.070% 1459.05 4.700%
17-Jul-14 25561.16 0.045% 17477.5 -0.014% 831.35 -0.509% 1448.7 -0.709%
18-Jul-14 25641.56 0.315% 17611.71 0.768% 832.45 0.132% 1477.2 1.967%
21-Jul-14 25715.17 0.287% 17617.29 0.032% 828.05 -0.529% 1482.6 0.366%
22-Jul-14 26025.8 1.208% 17663.47 0.262% 839.9 1.431% 1483.2 0.040%
23-Jul-14 26147.33 0.467% 17705.07 0.236% 835.9 -0.476% 1505.8 1.524%
24-Jul-14 26271.85 0.476% 17782.36 0.437% 842.2 0.754% 1505.25 -0.037%
25-Jul-14 26126.75 -0.552% 17542.99 -1.346% 835.5 -0.796% 1475.9 -1.950%
28-Jul-14 25991.23 -0.519% 17421.39 -0.693% 829.75 -0.688% 1451.5 -1.653%
30-Jul-14 26087.42 0.370% 17694.51 1.568% 838.75 1.085% 1489.55 2.621%
31-Jul-14 25894.97 -0.738% 17485.61 -1.181% 833.65 -0.608% 1473 -1.111%
1-Aug-14 25480.84 -1.599% 17328.98 -0.896% 815.25 -2.207% 1476.4 0.231%
4-Aug-14 25723.16 0.951% 17449.97 0.698% 813.15 -0.258% 1491.35 1.013%
5-Aug-14 25908.01 0.719% 17498.49 0.278% 819.95 0.836% 1485.5 -0.392%
6-Aug-14 25665.27 -0.937% 17179.85 -1.821% 809.55 -1.268% 1446.85 -2.602%
7-Aug-14 25589.01 -0.297% 17162.42 -0.101% 811.8 0.278% 1445.2 -0.114%
8-Aug-14 25329.14 -1.016% 16903.81 -1.507% 796.3 -1.909% 1437.35 -0.543%
11-Aug-14 25519.24 0.751% 16997.2 0.552% 793.6 -0.339% 1440 0.184%
12-Aug-14 25880.77 1.417% 17237.63 1.415% 807.15 1.707% 1463.8 1.653%
13-Aug-14 25918.95 0.148% 17066.96 -0.990% 812.35 0.644% 1452 -0.806%
14-Aug-14 26103.23 0.711% 17251.19 1.079% 825.75 1.650% 1477.6 1.763%
18-Aug-14 26390.96 1.102% 17657.9 2.358% 832.25 0.787% 1529.85 3.536%
19-Aug-14 26420.67 0.113% 17759.36 0.575% 824.1 -0.979% 1543.05 0.863%
20-Aug-14 26314.29 -0.403% 17707.42 -0.292% 820.55 -0.431% 1542.5 -0.036%
22
21-Aug-14 26360.11 0.174% 17915.5 1.175% 831.65 1.353% 1544.3 0.117%
22-Aug-14 26419.55 0.225% 18100.19 1.031% 846.6 1.798% 1537.7 -0.427%
25-Aug-14 26437.02 0.066% 17938.39 -0.894% 843.4 -0.378% 1514.35 -1.519%
26-Aug-14 26442.81 0.022% 17895.77 -0.238% 842.5 -0.107% 1510.05 -0.284%
27-Aug-14 26560.15 0.444% 17990.04 0.527% 836.6 -0.700% 1540.95 2.046%
28-Aug-14 26638.11 0.294% 18003.68 0.076% 842.95 0.759% 1556.55 1.012%
1-Sep-14 26867.55 0.861% 18326.48 1.793% 841.55 -0.166% 1598.85 2.718%
2-Sep-14 27019.39 0.565% 18453.3 0.692% 858.5 2.014% 1590.9 -0.497%
3-Sep-14 27139.94 0.446% 18430.37 -0.124% 856.65 -0.215% 1579.25 -0.732%
4-Sep-14 27085.93 -0.199% 18353.75 -0.416% 851.9 -0.554% 1571.25 -0.507%
5-Sep-14 27026.7 -0.219% 18298 -0.304% 848.75 -0.370% 1548.35 -1.457%
8-Sep-14 27319.85 1.085% 18550.29 1.379% 864 1.797% 1568.2 1.282%
9-Sep-14 27265.32 -0.200% 18511.09 -0.211% 865.4 0.162% 1547.7 -1.307%
10-Sep-14 27057.41 -0.763% 18499.69 -0.062% 857.05 -0.965% 1571.4 1.531%
11-Sep-14 26995.87 -0.227% 18552.57 0.286% 854.9 -0.251% 1565.9 -0.350%
12-Sep-14 27061.04 0.241% 18607.01 0.293% 855.35 0.053% 1564.95 -0.061%
15-Sep-14 26816.56 -0.903% 18507.77 -0.533% 859.75 0.514% 1551.9 -0.834%
16-Sep-14 26492.51 -1.208% 18138.3 -1.996% 850.15 -1.117% 1526.3 -1.650%
17-Sep-14 26631.29 0.524% 18130.57 -0.043% 846.4 -0.441% 1529.1 0.183%
18-Sep-14 27112.21 1.806% 18488.77 1.976% 856.85 1.235% 1565.35 2.371%
19-Sep-14 27090.42 -0.080% 18479.21 -0.052% 859.95 0.362% 1570.45 0.326%
22-Sep-14 27206.74 0.429% 18532.2 0.287% 856.75 -0.372% 1577.3 0.436%
23-Sep-14 26775.69 -1.584% 18206.62 -1.757% 848.65 -0.945% 1538.45 -2.463%
24-Sep-14 26744.69 -0.116% 18009.23 -1.084% 853.9 0.619% 1516.6 -1.420%
25-Sep-14 26468.36 -1.033% 17525.09 -2.688% 851.25 -0.310% 1466.85 -3.280%
26-Sep-14 26626.32 0.597% 17859.88 1.910% 871.25 2.349% 1478.05 0.764%
29-Sep-14 26597.11 -0.110% 17697.97 -0.907% 864.2 -0.809% 1457.45 -1.394%
30-Sep-14 26630.51 0.126% 17615.46 -0.466% 871.5 0.845% 1435.25 -1.523%
1-Oct-14 26567.99 -0.235% 17538.57 -0.436% 868.15 -0.384% 1428.45 -0.474%
7-Oct-14 26271.97 -1.114% 17386.3 -0.868% 862.35 -0.668% 1430.1 0.116%
8-Oct-14 26246.79 -0.096% 17576.06 1.091% 868.6 0.725% 1449.65 1.367%
9-Oct-14 26637.28 1.488% 18017.86 2.514% 888.15 2.251% 1487.9 2.639%
10-Oct-14 26297.38 -1.276% 17694.23 -1.796% 866.95 -2.387% 1460 -1.875%
13-Oct-14 26384.07 0.330% 17932.85 1.349% 876.3 1.078% 1476.55 1.134%
14-Oct-14 26349.33 -0.132% 18026.6 0.523% 868.75 -0.862% 1476.7 0.010%
16-Oct-14 25999.34 -1.328% 17802.75 -1.242% 859.15 -1.105% 1463.7 -0.880%
17-Oct-14 26108.53 0.420% 18240.22 2.457% 885.3 3.044% 1505.6 2.863%
20-Oct-14 26429.85 1.231% 18564.39 1.777% 894.8 1.073% 1537 2.086%
21-Oct-14 26575.65 0.552% 18787.43 1.201% 895.9 0.123% 1577.6 2.642%
22-Oct-14 26787.23 0.796% 18822.74 0.188% 893.75 -0.240% 1570.85 -0.428%
23-Oct-14 26851.05 0.238% 18857.52 0.185% 896.5 0.308% 1576.25 0.344%
23
27-Oct-14 26752.9 -0.366% 18948.89 0.485% 897.15 0.073% 1572.4 -0.244%
28-Oct-14 26880.82 0.478% 19073.55 0.658% 895.2 -0.217% 1601.2 1.832%
29-Oct-14 27098.17 0.809% 19030.6 -0.225% 891.45 -0.419% 1603.9 0.169%
30-Oct-14 27346.33 0.916% 19167.15 0.718% 895.4 0.443% 1611.5 0.474%
31-Oct-14 27865.83 1.900% 19505.16 1.763% 912.2 1.876% 1625.45 0.866%
Return 0.139% 0.209% 0.164% 0.208%
Risk 0.811% 1.362% 1.278% 1.727%
Coefficient 5.82 6.52 7.80 8.29
of variation
ANNEXURE – II
Total risk, Systematic risk, Unsystematic risk, Alpha value and Beta value of HDFC bank
and ICICI bank
Risk free
Market return 0.139% return 0.047%
Market
Market risk 0.811% variance 0.007%
HDFC Bank ICICI bank
Risk 1.278% 1.727%
Correlation with market 0.655795 0.737877 Corr (stock Ret Range, Market Ret Range)
Beta of stock 1.033457 1.571059
Variance 0.016% 0.030%
Beta Square 1.068034 2.468227
Total Risk 0.016% 0.030%
Market risk 0.007% 0.016%
Unsystematic risk 0.009% 0.014%
Return 0.164% 0.208%
Alpha value 0.000198 -0.000106
Correlation between HDFC
bank and ICICI bank 0.577787
Characteristic Line equation of (Return of HDFC bank = 0.0002+ 1.0334*
HDFC bank Return of Market)
Characteristic Line equation of (Return of ICICI bank = -0.000106 + 1.571*
ICICI bank Return of Market)
Slope of SML 0.000828902 0.000828902
Equation of Security Market (Return - 0.0016= 0.0008(Beta - 1.0334)
Line Or Return -0.0008*beta=0.00077 )
24
ANNEXURE – III
Sharpe Ratio, Treynor Ratio and Jensen Alpha for Portfolio 1 and Portfolio 2
Portfolio 1 Portfolio 2
(75%HDFC, 25% ICICI ) (25% HDFC, 75% ICICI )
Return 0.175% 0.197%
Variance 0.016% 0.023%
SD 1.258% 1.503%
Coefficient of variation 7.192 7.617
Beta 1.168 1.437
Sharpe ratio 0.101805 0.100088
Treynor ratio 0.001097 0.001047
Required rate of return (CAPM) 0.001550 0.001798
Jensen Alpha 0.000200 0.000174
25