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Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence 24 (2011) 813–821

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Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/engappai

Modelling load–settlement behaviour of piles using high-order neural


network (HON-PILE model)
A. Ismail b, D-S. Jeng a,b,n
a
Center for Marine Geotechnical Engineering, Department of Civil Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 210040, China
b
Division of Civil Engineering, University of Dundee, DD1 4HN, UK

a r t i c l e i n f o abstract

Article history: An accurate estimation of pile response to loading is a challenging task due to the complexity of the
Received 30 August 2010 soil–pile interactions and uncertainties in the soil properties. Conventional methods of predicting pile
Received in revised form load–settlement relationship either oversimplify the problem or require the parameters that are
5 February 2011
difficult to determine in the laboratory. In this study, a high-order neural network (HON) is developed
Accepted 8 February 2011
to simulate the pile load–settlement curve using properties of the pile and SPT data along the depth of
Available online 7 April 2011
pile embedment as inputs. The results indicated a significant improvement in the quality of HON
Keywords: predictions over that of BPN, RBF and GRNN models. Based on the comparisons with the predictions of
Artificial neural network elastic and hyperbolic models, the proposed HON model provides better predictions than existing
High-order neural network
theoretical models.
Soil–pile interaction
& 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
SPT
Load–settlement behaviour

1. Introduction analysis. However, the assumption of linear deformation beha-


viour of soil in the case of elastic method is overly simplistic
Piles have been widely used as foundation for various impor- (Desai, 1977) and is limited to very low strain levels where the
tant infrastructures such as tall buildings, bridges, wind farms, soil can be safely regarded as such (Tomlinson, 1995). In the case
etc. One of major functions of pile foundation is to transmit of hyperbolic models, though in agreement with general con-
loading from the superstructure to the subsurface through shaft sensus that soil is a non-linear geo-material, the constants of a
friction and end bearing. As a serviceability requirement, the pile single hyperbolic equation are too few to adequately represent
head settlement shall not exceed the design level. Therefore, a the complex behaviour of load transfer along the pile shaft for
reliable estimation of pile head settlement is essential for the various types of soil (Poskitt, 1993).
design of pile foundations. The problems posing a considerable Pile loading tests have been the most reliable means of
challenge to accurate prediction of load–settlement behaviour of assessing not only the serviceability but also the stability of pile
piles are the complicated nature of load transfer mechanism, foundations. However, the cost makes it infeasible to be carried
involving the inter-related displacement of pile and surrounding out at every design stage apart from very important construc-
soil, the uncertainty with regard to soil properties due to sample tions. Development of a reliable correlation between pile loading
disturbance during material testing and the inevitable modifica- test and in-situ soil tests such as SPT will be of utmost benefit to
tion of soil properties around the pile as a result of installation. practicing engineers, because it will provide them with a model
This constitutes a serious handicap particularly to more rigorous based on simple tests and serving dual purpose of stability and
computational models like non-linear finite element analysis. serviceability analysis.
Poulos (1977) observed that the suitably accurate information Unlike the conventional methods such as elastic approxima-
about the soil and soil–pile interface for FEM analysis may be tion (Vesic, 1977; Vijayvergiya, 1977; Poulos and Davis, 1980;
difficult to determine due to sampling and pile installation related Randolph and Wroth, 1978; Fleming et al., 1992), hyperbolic
problems. Relatively simple methods such as elastic solutions and models (Chin, 1970; Fleming, 1992) and FE analysis (Desai, 1974),
hyperbolic models can rely on correlations with in-situ tests for neural networks (NN) are non-mechanistic models (Jaksa et al.,
estimating the relevant soil parameters used in settlement 2008) which are solely based on the observed experimental data.
Their ability to acquire knowledge through interaction (learning),
n
makes them quite suitable for exploring correlations from such a
Corresponding author at: Division of Civil Engineering, University of Dundee,
DD1 4HN, UK.
very noisy and imprecise information as in-situ soil test and pile
E-mail address: d.jeng@dundee.ac.uk (DS. Jeng). loading test data. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have been

0952-1976/$ - see front matter & 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.engappai.2011.02.008
814 A. Ismail, D.-S. Jeng / Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence 24 (2011) 813–821

successfully applied to a wide variety of geotechnical problems correction factor for pile compressibility; Rh the depth correction
such as geo-material modelling (Ellis et al., 1995; Penumadu and factor; Rv the correction for Poisson’s ratio; Rb the correction for
Jean-Lou, 1997; Basheer and Najjar, 1998), soil liquefaction end bearing; s is the immediate settlement; Es the elastic modulus
problems (Agrawal et al., 1997; Ural and Saka, 1998), prediction of soil along the pile shaft and Db stands for the diameter of the
of pile capacity (Goh, 1995, 1996; Chan et al., 1995; Teh et al., pile base.
1997; Lee and Lee, 1996; Nawari et al., 1999; Das and Basudhar, Other methods based on elastic solution were developed
2006). Shahin et al. (2002) developed a BPN model for predicting by Vesic (1977), Randolph and Wroth (1978) and Fleming et al.
shallow foundation settlement using SPT blow counts as repre- (1992). Elastic solutions are severely limited to circumstances
sentative of soil property in the input space. Recently, Nejad et al. where the simple linear soil behaviour can be considered
(2009) used a BPN network to correlate between pile head adequate.
settlement and SPT blow counts of soil around the pile.
The successes of the aforementioned investigations strengthen 2.2. Hyperbolic models
the position of neural networks as alternative numerical methods of
solving intrinsically non-linear geotechnical problems such as soil– In this approach, the pile head settlement is related to the pile
pile interaction. Among the various types of neural networks, back- head load using a hyperbolic model. It is an attempt to represent
propagation network (BPN) is the most widely used model for the non-linear behaviour of soil-shaft and soil-base interaction
geotechnical engineering problems. This is due to the simplicity of using relatively simple model. The method was first described
learning rule used in training the network and the stability of by Chin (1970) and later improved by Fleming (1992) to treat the
sigmoid transfer function, which is used as activation function. components of shaft and base resistances separately. According
Despite their popularity, BPN networks are not devoid of problems; to Fleming (1992), the pile load and the pile head settlement are
the sigmoid transfer function is a bi-asymptotic one and becomes related as follows:
insensitive to the variation of inputs as it approaches either 1 or 0.
This severely limits the ability of the network to make reasonable aDt bDt
Pt ¼ þ ð2Þ
extrapolations. One of the solutions to the said problem is to use c þ Dt d þ eDt
non-asymptotic processing elements such as high-order neurons. in which Pt and Dt represent the pile load and pile head settle-
High-order neural networks use polynomial functions to map inputs ments, respectively, while a ¼Us, b¼DBEBUB, c¼MsDB, d ¼0.6UB
into output and can be trained through error back-propagation and e¼ DBEB. Us, UB, DB, EB and Ms, are the ultimate shaft
algorithm. They have successfully been applied in pattern recogni- resistance, ultimate base resistance, pile base diameter, soil
tion (Foresti and Dolso, 2004; Artyomov and Yadid-Pecht, 2005) and deformation soil modulus at the pile base and flexibility factor,
function approximation (Rovithakis et al., 2004), but have not yet respectively. The method tends to yield better results than elastic
been applied in geotechnical modelling. methods. However, the assumption of hyperbolic stress–strain
In this study, HON-PILE, a high-order neural network model relationship is not applicable to all circumstances. Furthermore,
for the simulation of load–settlement behaviour is developed. The there is no established correlation between the hyperbolic para-
model predicts the relationship between the pile head settlement meters and in-situ (SPT) tests, and one has to rely on correlations
and the magnitude of axial loading exerted on the pile given the between SPT and soil parameters, which are unreliable.
geometric parameters and elastic modulus of pile and the proper-
ties of foundation soil, represented by the standard penetration
2.3. Step integration methods
test blow counts (SPT-N). A comprehensive comparison between
the proposed HON model, BPN and the elastic approximation and
hyperbolic model will be performed. The relative performance of Step integration approach was developed by Coyle and Reese
HON will also be determined in comparison with other poly- (1966). In this approach, shear-deformation relation for the soil–
nomial regression, RBF and GRNN networks. pile interface is modelled using series of independent non-linear
curves known as t–z curves. The base pressure versus deformation
is represented by another non-linear model known as q–y curve.
2. Existing pile load–settlement models The soil–pile system is simulated in this method as series of
incompressible weights connected by weightless springs to
In this section, the currently used methods of predicting pile represent the pile and side springs attached to the weights to
settlement, including elastic hyperbolic, step integration and FEM represent soil resistance described by t–z curves. At the bottom of
methods will be outlined. the bottom most weight, another spring is attached to represent
base resistance described by q–y curve. The problem is then
solved either using finite difference or one-dimensional finite
2.1. Elastic models
element method. The major challenge in step integration method
is the determination of parameters defining t–z and q–y curves.
Elastic models are based on Mindlin equations for the dis-
Various attempts have been made to develop an empirical
placement due a point load on a linearly elastic, semi-infinite soil
correlation between the curve parameters and in-situ tests
layer. They are also based on the assumption that the pile is acted
(Chang and Broms, 1991, Tan et al., 1998; Balakrishnan et al,
upon by a system of uniform shear stress around its shaft, while
1999). However, high scatter undermines the reliability of the
the base is acted upon by a uniform pressure. Elastic solutions are
correlations. Their inability to develop a good correlation is not
severely limited to circumstances where the simple linear soil
unconnected to the data size, the noise associated with the data
behaviour can be considered adequate. The most popular elastic
and, possibly due to limitations of the regression models used.
solution was developed by Poulos and Davis (1980) and can be
expressed as follows:
2.4. Finite element method
P
s¼ I ð1Þ
Es Db
Finite element method is the most rigorous technique used in
where I¼IoRkRhRvRb: Io is the displacement influence factor for a the prediction of pile head settlement. Although more computa-
rigid pile in a deep layer, for a Poisson’s ratio of 0.5; Rk the tionally intensive, than other methods discussed earlier, it is more
A. Ismail, D.-S. Jeng / Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence 24 (2011) 813–821 815

versatile as it can handle complex geometries such as spatial x1


variation of soil continuum. It also can conveniently handle non- p1,j
linear material behaviour. The analysis involves discrediting both
the pile and the supporting soil into finite elements. In compli- x2 p2,j
ance with equilibrium, compatibility and boundary conditions,
Oj
displacements can be determined by solving a system of equa-
tions derived from the geometry and material behaviour of finite
elements. The accuracy and reliability of FEM model depends on pn,j
the selection of material constitutive model to describe the Node j
behaviour of the soil elements and the soil–pile interface. Simple xn
models such linearly elastic or elastic–plastic models, which
Fig. 1. High-order neuron.
require little detail, could lead to a gross prediction error, while
complicated more accurate models such as require many para-
meters that are difficult to determine (Scott, 1988). Table 1
Even more difficult to predict is the behaviour of the soil–pile Sources of database.
interface. Lee and Salgado (1999), in the absence of simple and
Source Location of the test Number of tests
reliable means of measuring the properties of the soil–pile inter-
face, used linear model to represent pre-failure regime and Federal highway administration, USA 78
coulomb failure model to account for slip at the interface and US Department of transportation
assumed the friction and adhesion factors of unity. The uncer- Trevi foundation nig. Ltd. Nigeria 2
Federal Ministry of works Nigeria Nigeria 4
tainty with regards to parameter estimation and the effects of pile
Julius Berger Nigeria limited Nigeria 9
installation, which are difficult to take into consideration in FE Balakrishnan et al. (1999) Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia 5
analysis, tend to undermine performance of the powerful method
in comparison with less rigorous methods.

Unlike summation units where the net input signal is a weighted


3. Neural network model (HON-PILE model)
sum of the inputs fed into that unit, high-order units process the
products of the inputs they receive. HON provides an alternative
Neural networks are computational models capable of carrying
to conventional networks, with the advantages of increased
out complex input–output mapping. They are based on the
information capacity and reduced number of processing elements
information processing infrastructure of the biological brain.
ability to form higher-order combinations of inputs (Durbin and
The structure of ANN is a highly simplified model of biological
Rumelhart, 1989). The type of high-order neuron used here is
neural architecture. The computational simplicity of the proces-
based on the HONEST model proposed by Abdelbar and Tagliarini
sing elements makes the network much easier to handle than
(1996) with slight modification.
rigorous mechanistic computational methods. The ability of
The mathematical model of the neuron is:
neural networks to perform accurate modelling of complex
systems lies in the interconnection between various neurons in iY
¼n
the network. The model of artificial neuron was first proposed p
Oj ¼ wj xi i,j ð3Þ
by McCulloch and Pitts (1943). However, artificial neural net- i¼1
works did not attract lots of attention until the development of
back-propagation algorithm for artificial neurons (Rumelhart where Oj, wj and pi,j are the output and nodal weight of neuron j
et al., 1986). Since then, a significant amount of research has (Fig. 1), and the synaptic weight of i–j link, respectively. xi is the
been done on their improvement and their application to various input from node i.
aspects across many disciplines. The most widely used neural The advantage of high-order neurons over sigmoid neurons is
network is the back-propagation neural network (BPN), which that the input and output parameters do not have to be normal-
uses sigmoid function in processing input signals and back- ized within certain range. This is due to the fact that HON models
propagation algorithm in prediction error correction. BPN has a are not asymptotic and do not have a limited dynamic range.
superior function approximation capability than radial basis Another advantage of HON is transparency. While other types of
function network (RBN), which has a superior capability in network are criticized of operating on the principles of black box,
pattern classification (Haykin, 1999). The performance of BPN the strength of relationship between various inputs and the
was found to be comparable to more complicated neuro-fuzzy output in HON is easier to appreciate. Due to its polynomial
network (ANFIS) as reported in the literature (Shahin et al., 2003; nature, HON bears some similarities with group method of data
Bateni et al., 2007). However, the downside of BPN is the limited handling (GMDH) models, which, in theory, can approximate any
dynamic range of sigmoid function, which, at times, makes it continuous function (Ivakhnenko, 1971). GMDH algorithm
necessary to use large number of neurons to achieve the desired involves determining the coefficients of the Kolmogorov–Gabor
accuracy. High-order networks are alternative neural network polynomial expressed by
types with a trainable activation function and a capability of
achieving desired accuracy with a smaller network size (Ismail X
n XX XXX
yn ¼ ao þ ai x i þ aij xi xj þ aijk xi xj xk þ    ð4Þ
and Engelbrecht, 2000). In this study, the capability of high-order i¼1
neural networks in simulating the load–settlement behaviour of
pile is investigated. where {xi, xj, xk, y} is the vector of inputs variables and {ao, ai, aij,
aijk, y} is the vector of coefficients. The advantage of HON
3.1. High-order networks network over GMDH models is that HON can assume real valued
exponents and is capable of undergoing a gradual training like
High-order neural network uses high-order neurons instead of BPN and RBF networks. In this study, the HON network is trained
summation units like sigmoid neurons as processing elements. using gradient decent algorithm.
816 A. Ismail, D.-S. Jeng / Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence 24 (2011) 813–821

Table 2 and that of the pile. The second and third hidden layers consist of
Input and output parameters for various models. high-order networks with three neurons in each layer, while the
output layer consists of single linear neuron. Alongside the type I
Model Input parameters Output
HON model, a BPN with 4-8-3-1 configuration was developed for
BPN Ep Ab Pile head settlement the sake of comparison. Type II HON model consists of 14 input
P, ,N s Ai ,Nb Ab
L nodes, six hidden nodes in the first hidden layer and one output
HON (Type I) Ep Ab Pile head settlement
P, ,N s Ai ,Nb Ab layer (14-6-1) at the initial stage. Second hidden layer is then
L
HON (Type II) Ep Ab h  i Pile load introduced in the course of training and the number of nodes
s, , N s ,Nb Ab , % sand,
L thereof is gradually increased from 0 to 5 the final configuration
% silt, % clay, pile Type
at the end of training session is 14-6-5-1. RBF (with 15 Gaussian
nodes) and GRNN networks are trained together with HON type II
model for assessment of relative performance.
Table 3 The database used for training and testing the models consists
Summary of training and testing results (BPN and HON (Type I) models). of results of static load tests carried out on 60 driven piles and 38
bored piles with over 900 data points. The pile data is drawn from
Network type R2-value RMSE (mm)
the sources given in Table 1. The detailed information of database
HON Type I (training) 0.91 6.7 are provided in a spread sheet that is available from the authors
HON Type I (testing) 0.88 7.1 and journal, upon request. All piles in the database are concrete
BPN (training) 0.87 6.5 cylindrical piles. The methods of installation include impact
BPN (testing) 0.78 8.9
driving in the case of driven piles and wet and dry excavations
in the case of bored piles. The range of pile diameters and lengths
are from 0.3 to 0.8 and 6 to 30 m, respectively. The elastic moduli
Table 4 of the piles range from 2.19  107 to 3.44  107 kN/m2. The soil
Summary of training and testing results (polynomial regression, RBF, GRNN and test results in the database consist of soil classification and
HON (Type II) models).
uncorrected SPT-N values determined at 1.5–3 m intervals and
Model R2-value RMSE (kN) soil classification. The rationale behind the use of uncorrected
values in this study is that they reflect the variation of over-
HON Type II (training) 0.91 554.4 burden stress, which in turn affects shaft and base resistance in
HON type II (testing) 0.89 607.6 coarse soils. The soil classification serves as additional informa-
Non-linear regression (training) 0.756 896.05
Non-linear regression (testing) 0.659 1090.04
tion for a better characterisation of the foundation soil. The soil
RBF network (training) 0.769 753.41 types in the database range from coarse soils (sand) to fine soils
RBF network (testing) 0.828 738.2 (silt and clay), with coarse soil being predominant. BPN and HON
GRNN model (training) 0.851 712.15 type I model were developed based on driven piles only, while
GRNN model (testing) 0.676 1124.28
type II HON was trained to predict the behaviour of both driven
Hyperbolic 0.562 1614.14
and bored piles.

3.2.1. Input variables


3.2. Development of HON-PILE The ability of ANN to make a reasonable prediction depends
largely on the choice of input parameters. A good understanding
Development of neural networks involves not only optimizing of the factors that affect the prediction of pile head settlement is
the training but also the architecture. The most challenging aspect therefore crucial to development of a reliable network. Based on
of topology development is the control of the size of the network. traditional methods of predicting pile settlement such as Poulos
Too many neurons will lead to redundancy of some connections and Davis (1980) and Vesic (1977), the parameters the controlling
slow training process and lack of generalization. On the other load–settlement behaviour of piles are the stiffness of the pile and
hand, using insufficient neurons will lead to inability of the its geometry, and the stiffness of the soil of the of the soil around
network to extract the necessary information from the network. the shaft and at the pile base. The pile stiffness is a function of
There are various methods of developing best architecture pile geometry and material property of the pile, while the soil
(Haykin, 1999). In this study, bottom-to-top approach is used, resistance is a function of soil deformation modulus, which is
based on incremental learning algorithm proposed by Bahi et al. estimated from in-situ or laboratory tests. In this study, SPT-N is
(2009). Starting with a small network, the size is gradually chosen to represent the soil stiffness. SPT is the most widely used
increased as the training progresses. When a hidden layer is in-situ test due to its lack of sophistication and low cost. Although
added it starts with a single linear node. High-order nodes are less accurate compared to other in-situ tests, it gives a good idea
then monotonically added to the layer as the training progresses about strength ad deformability of geo-materials (Prevost and
until the convergence is obtained. Popescu, 1996). A number of empirical correlations between
Based on the number of inputs and predicted parameters, two deformation modulus of soil and SPT-N values are reported in
types of high-order networks were developed. Type I model the literature (i.e. Poulos and Davis, 1980). The pile head settle-
predicts the pile head settlement, while type II model predicts ment as a non-linear function of related variables can be written
the pile head load. The initial topology of type I model was as
initialized with four input nodes, one hidden layer with four
s ¼ f ðP,ks ,Ep ,D,LÞ ð5Þ
nodes and an output layer with one node (4-4-1). In the course of
training, the two hidden layers, with three neurons in each, are where P, ks Ep, D and L are pile load, soil stiffness, pile modulus,
added into the network and the resulting configuration becomes pile diameter and pile length, respectively. The unknown function
4-4-3-3-1. At each increment, the network is trained until no f( ) relates the pile and pre-installation soil parameters to the post
further improvement in error reduction. The first hidden layer of installation response of the soil–pile system to loading. The load–
the optimized network consists of linear neurons for the purpose settlement curve can also be modelled with pile load as the
of summing up the stifnessses of soil along the shaft and the base, dependant parameter. Eq. (12) below expresses pile head load as
A. Ismail, D.-S. Jeng / Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence 24 (2011) 813–821 817

180 120

160 R2 = 0.780
R2 = 0.870 100
140

Predicted settlement (mm)


Predicted settlemet (mm)

120 80

100
60
80

60 40

40
20
20

0 0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Measured settlement (mm) Measured settlement (mm)

180 120

160
R2 = 0.87
100
R2 = 0.910
140
Predicted settlement (mm)
Predicted settlement (mm)

120 80

100
60
80

60 40

40
20
20

0 0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Measured settlement (mm) Measured settlement (mm)

Fig. 2. Comparison of measured versus predicted settlements: (a) BPN versus training data; (b) BPN versus testing data; (c) HON type I versus training data; and (d) HON
type I versus testing data.

a function of settlement, and soil and pile properties: Other factors considered are the soil type and method of
installation. The settlement function in Eq. (11) is approximated
P ¼ f 0 ðs,ks ,Ep ,D,LÞ ð6Þ
using BPN and HON type I as
0
The function f ( ) is the inverse of the settlement function. The  
Ep Ab
soil stiffness (ks) in Eqs. (11) and (12) is a function of the soil sNN ¼ NN P,Ns As ,Nb Ab , ð9Þ
L
resistance around the pile, which can be expressed in terms of SPT
as follows: The NN approximated load function by HON type II is
expressed by
k ¼ f ðNs ,Nb Þ ð7Þ
 h i 
 Ep Ab
in which Ns and Nb are the SPT-N along the shaft and at the base, PNN ¼ NN s, Ns ,Nb Ab , ,styp,ptyp ð10Þ
L
respectively.
To account for variation of N-value along the shaft, the pile is where Ns is the average value of N over the shaft length, denoted
divided into five segments. The weighted average value of N over by
the length of each segment is determined by
Pn Pi ¼ 5
Nj l j Ns,i i¼1
Ns,i ¼ 1 ð8Þ Ns ¼ ð11Þ
li 5

The term EpAb/L stands for the pile stiffness. ½Ns  is the vector
where n is the number of sub-layers along the shaft of pile segment. of the product of average N-values along the shaft segments and
lj is the thickness of sub-layer j. li is the thickness of pile segment. the corresponding shaft area, respectively. It is expressed as
818 A. Ismail, D.-S. Jeng / Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence 24 (2011) 813–821

12000 10000

10000 R2 = 0.910
8000

Predicted pile load (kN)


Predicted load (kN)

8000
6000
6000

4000
4000

2000
2000

0 0
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000
Actual pile load (kN) Actual pile load (kN)
Fig. 3. Comparison of actual versus predicted loads: (a) HON type II versus training data and (b) HON type II versus testing data.

15000 follows:
  T h i
R2 = 0.562 Ns ¼ N s,1 As,1 N s,2 As,2 N s,3 As,3 Ns,4 As,4 Ns,5 As,5 ð12Þ

where As,1 to As,1 are the areas of shaft segments. The parameters
Predicted pile load (kN)

styp and ptyp stand for soil type and method of pile installation.
10000
Soil type is represented by the percentage particle size, which are
approximately deduced from soil classification. The approximate
values so generated will then serve as inputs to the network four
nodes are dedicated for the approximate values of sand, silt and
clay percentages. The fourth node is assigned to plasticity index.
5000
Method of installation is represented by two nodes. For a
particular type of pile the appropriate node (or nodes) will fire a
value of unity. For example if a pile type is driven then both nodes
are disabled, when it is bored then one node is switched on. The
second node is activated to fire a value of 1.0 when the bored
0
pile is installed by dry excavation. The input parameters to the
0 5000 10000 15000
network include the pile head settlement; s, pile stiffness; EpAb/L.
Actual pile load (kN) 
Others include six parameters to represent soil resistance; ½Ns 
Fig. 4. Comparison of measured versus settlements predicted by hyperbolic model. and NbAb, percentage of sand, silt and clay and three input
parameters to represent method of pile installation (driving,
wet excavation and dry excavation). The input parameters used
in different models (BPN and HON) is summarized in Table 2.
10000

9000 3.2.2. Networks training and validation


The pile load test data was partitioned into training and
8000 validation data, with the former being used to develop the
network. The latter was used to verify the predictive quality of
7000
the trained model. 79% of the database was used for training,
Load (kN)

while the remaining 21% of the data was used for testing the
6000
network prediction. The training data is, as much as possible,
5000 made to capture the widest variations in input and output
patterns in the database. This is to avoid having extreme data in
4000 the testing set, which could make it impossible to assess the true
Measured data
HON type II simulation
generalization capability of the model within the domain of the
3000 training data as in the case of completely randomized selection
(Shahin et al., 2004).
2000
The synaptic weights were initialized uniformly distributed
random numbers in both networks, while learning parameters of
1000
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 0.01 and 0.1 were used in the training of HON and BPN,
respectively. Offline training was used in the case of HON while
Settlement (mm)
the BPN was trained using online method. The exponents of HON
Fig. 5. Comparison of HON type II simulations and training data. model are restricted to a range of  3.0 to 3.0. This is to prevent
A. Ismail, D.-S. Jeng / Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence 24 (2011) 813–821 819

1000 3.3. Comparisons

900 The ability of ANN to adapt to learning is measured by the


level of agreement between the training data and the network
800
output, while the quality of the network’s prediction is gauged by
700 the comparing the testing data and the network predictions. In
Fig. 2(a) and (b), the BPN network outputs are compared with
600 training and testing data, respectively. The HON simulations are
Load (kN)

compared with the training and testing data in Fig. 2(c) and (d),
500 respectively. The high-order network, compared to the BPN,
correlate better with the training data (R2 ¼0.91 for HON and
400 0.88 for BPN). This implies the level of learning in the case of HON
type I model exceeds that of BPN. The R2 values of 0.87 and 0.78
300
Measured data for type I HON and BPN, respectively, point to the better predic-
HON type II simulation tion of HON compared to BPN. It is however noted that at
200
settlement levels of 40 mm or less, the correlation is rather poor
100 in both HON type I and BPN.
The predictions of type II HON model are compared with
0 training and testing data in Fig. 3(a) and (b), respectively. The
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 strong correlation between HON predictions and duo of training
Settlement (mm) and testing data is indicative of the high level of learning achieved
by the network and the high quality of prediction the network is
Fig. 6. Comparison of HON type II simulations and testing data.
capable of doing. Also, by comparing the scattergrams of HON
type II (Fig. 3(b)) and Fleming’s hyperbolic model (Fig. 4), it could
be rightly said that the former remarkably out performs the
latter. Results of HON type II model (R2 and RMSE) are compared
Table 5
with four different models in Table 4. The models used in the
Summary of sensitivity analysis.
comparison include Fleming’s hyperbolic model, multivariate
Parameter Network input RMSE (kN) polynomial regression model, RBF network and GRNN model.
From the summary of results, the HON type II has the best
All Ep Ab h  i 554.40 performance (R2 ¼ 0.890), followed by RBF network (R2 ¼0.828).
s, , N s ,Nb Ab , % sand, % silt, % clay, pile Type
L
Settlement Ep Ab h  i 2961.09 The polynomial regression model and hyperbolic model are at the
, N s ,Nb Ab , % sand, % silt, % clay, pile Type
hL  i
bottom of the performance list with the later having the least
Ep Ab s, N s ,Nb Ab , % sand, % silt, % clay, pile Type 717.00 prediction quality among the other models based on the testing
h L i data (R2 ¼0.562). To assess the quality of load–settlement curves
Ns Ep Ab 1275.91
s, ,Nb Ab , % sand, % silt, % clay, pile Type
L predicted by HON type II, the simulations are compared with a
NbAb Ep Ab h  i 767.47 selected pile loading test from training data in Fig. 5 and with a
s, , N s ,Nb Ab , % sand, % silt, % clay, pile type
L
Pile type Ep Ab h  i 684.73 loading test from testing data in Fig. 6. Both Figs. 5 and 6
s, , N s ,Nb Ab , % sand, % silt, % clay, pile Type
L indicated that HON simulations correlate well with field mea-
Soil type Ep Ab h  i 778.30 surements. A further comparison of type II HON, elastic and
s, , N s ,Nb Ab , pile Type
L
hyperbolic models were also made against the measured values
(Fig. 7). It is clearly observed from the figure that HON gives the
the network from diverging during training. The training was closest estimate of settlement and therefore most accurate.
terminated when no further improvement in the quality of
prediction in comparison with the test data is observed. Termina-
tion of training at this juncture is necessary in order to prevent 10000
over-learning and loss of generalization. After termination of the
training, the network simulations were compared with the test 9000
data, which is not part of the training. The assessment parameters 8000
in both training and testing are the roots mean square error
(RMSE) and the coefficient of determination (R2). 7000
The root mean square error is defined as follows:
6000
Load (kN)

sffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
Pn 2
i ðyp ym Þ 5000
RMSE ¼ ð13Þ
n
4000
The coefficient of determination R is a measure of scatter or
lack of it between two sets of data. It is given by 3000
Measured data
 P P P 2 2000 HON type II prediction
n ym yp ð ym Þð yp Þ
R2 ¼ P P
P P
ð14Þ Elastic solution (Poulos and Davis, 1980)
nð y2m Þð ym Þ2 nð y2p Þð yp Þ2 1000 Hyperbolic model (Fleming, 1992)

0
in which ym and yp are measured and predicted parameters, 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
respectively.
Settlement (mm)
Tables 3 and 4 summarize the training and testing results for
settlement and load functions, respectively. Fig. 7. Performance comparison of various settlement prediction methods.
820
Settlement per unit load (mm/kN) A. Ismail, D.-S. Jeng / Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence 24 (2011) 813–821

1.2 0.6

Settlement per unit load (kN)


1 0.58
0.8
0.56
0.6
0.54
0.4

0.2 0.52

0 0.5
0 7 14 21 28 35 10 20 30 40 50
Pile length (m) Slenderness ratio, L/D ( mm)

Settlement per unit load (mm/kN)


Settlement per unit load (mm/kN)

0.5 1.2

0.45 1

0.8
0.4
0.6
0.35
0.4
0.3 0.2

0.25 0
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0 20 40 60 80
Pile stiffness (GN/m) SPT Number of blows (shaft)

0.7
Settlement per unit load (mm/kN)

0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0 30 60 90 120 150
SPT Number of blows (base)

Fig. 8. Sensitivity of HON type II model to: (a) pile embedded length, (b) pile stiffness, (c) average SPT blow counts along the pile shaft, and (d) SPT blow counts at the
pile base.

3.4. Parametric study and sensitivity analysis indicative of the good agreement between the HON model and
actual pile behaviour, where the capacity of pile increases with the
The results of parametric study carried out to assess the shaft area (a function of length and perimeter) and the resistance
generalization ability of HON type II model are presented in to compression is proportional to stiffness. The settlement is
Fig. 8(a)–(e). The approach used in the analysis is similar to the observed (in Fig. 8(c)) to vary proportionally with slenderness
one used by Shahin et al. (2004), where all input variables, except ratio (with diameter varied while length is kept constant). This is in
the subject of the analysis are re-fixed to the mean of training agreement with the study carried out by Poulos (1977). With
values while the subject parameter is allowed to vary between regard to the behaviour of foundation soil, the average number of
the minimum and maximum values used for model training. The blows along the shaft varies inversely with settlement; although
response of the model to the variation of the single parameter is the curve is not very smooth (Fig. 8(d)). Inverse relationship is also
examined in the light of the current knowledge about the observed in the case SPT-N for the pile base (Fig. 8(e)).
phenomenon. The analysis is then repeated with different con- Sensitivity analysis has also been carried out to see how
trolling parameters. strongly various input parameters affect the HON output. To test
Based on the results obtained, it is noticeable that there is a a particular parameter, its values are taken away from the input
good agreement with the HON type II response and expected vector and the performance of the model is evaluated. The results
behaviour of piles when subjected to axial loading. The consistent of the analysis are summarized in Table 5. It can be seen that all
decrease in the predicted pile head settlement (per unit load) with input parameters considered in this model significantly affect the
increment in pile length and stiffness in Fig. 8(a) and (b) is quality of HON prediction.
A. Ismail, D.-S. Jeng / Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence 24 (2011) 813–821 821

4. Conclusions Fleming, W., 1992. A new method of single pile settlement and analysis.
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