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The Social Science Journal


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Global liberalization on homosexuality: Explaining the


African gap
Nicholas O. Alozie ∗ , Kathy Thomas, Patience Akpan-Obong
Faculty of Social Science, College of Integrative Sciences and Arts, Arizona State University-Poly Campus,
7271 E. Sonoran Arroyo Mall – MC 2780, Mesa, AZ 85212-6415, USA

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: We are trapped in two divergent worlds when it comes to global views on homosexuality.
Received 28 February 2016 There is the liberal world epitomized by Spain and other nations, where homosexuality
Received in revised form 26 August 2016 is increasingly accepted; gays and lesbians are claiming their human rights; and laws
Accepted 2 September 2016
are changing to codify that transformation. The second is the extremely anti-gay world
Available online xxx
symbolized by Africa, the Middle East and parts of Asia, where attitudes are favorable to
criminalization. This research explains the “African Gap” in attitudes toward homosexuality
Keywords:
in a comparative analysis of six African nations and Argentina and Canada, South and North
Africa
America’s most liberal nations on gay rights. Using Pew’s 2015 Spring Global Attitudes Sur-
Argentina
Canada vey data, we find that the major variables have essentially similar effects on opinion in any
Homosexuality context. Africa’s distinction is explained by its comparatively higher levels of factors such
Gay rights as religion, morality dogma, and low socioeconomic status that generally retard support
Support homosexuality for homosexuality, at the same time of lower levels of factors such as education, urban-
LGBTI Africa ization, and personal liberty that increase gay support. Africa’s extreme anti-gay outlook
Anti-gay is mutable. Two social forces will facilitate this softening: expansion of liberalizing agents
such as education and urbanization, and repositioning away from “traditionalism” toward
modernism emphasizing individualism, civil rights, and personal liberties.
© 2016 Western Social Science Association. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction regions (see also Štulhofer & Rimac, 2009), that global
gulf is largely tracking two worlds. One is the most lib-
Following its 39-nation, 2013 Spring Global Attitudes eral epitomized by Spain, Germany, Australia, Philippines,
Survey (SGAS), Pew reported that there is a global divide Canada, Argentina, and Russia, where homosexuality is rel-
on homosexuality (Pew, 2013a). While Pew’s account was atively highly accepted; gays and lesbians are emerging
not surprising given anti-gay disputation often carried in from the “closet” and claiming their human rights, par-
the global media (e.g., BBC, 2011; Michaelson, 2014) and taking in public life; and laws are evolving to codify those
decades of public opinion tracking intimating a gulf (Smith, shifting realities. One of these budding laws was the U.S.
Son, & Kim, 2014; Yang, 1997), it crystallized both the facts Supreme Court’s historic ruling on June 26, 2015 legal-
and extent of the global split by incorporating nations not izing same-sex marriage nationwide (Obergefell et al. v.
previously surveyed. As data from the survey mapped in Hodges, 2015). While not analogous to policymaking by
Fig. 1 evidence, while levels of liberalization vary within Congress directly accountable to the people, and in fact
producing a backlash of internal demand protests where
several states have recently passed laws that restrict gay
∗ Corresponding author. rights, it is federal law. Earlier, Canada, 2005; Spain, 2005;

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.soscij.2016.09.001
0362-3319/© 2016 Western Social Science Association. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Please cite this article in press as: Alozie, N. O., et al. Global liberalization on homosexuality: Explaining the African gap.
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Fig. 1. Should homosexuality be accepted by society?


Source: Calculated from Pew’s 2013 SGAS data.

Belgium, 2003; and the Netherlands, 2001, had all legal- majoritarian dogma, as if conscience is subject to majority
ized same-sex marriage (Hogg, 2006). In all, “nearly two rule (Abah, 2016).
dozen countries currently have national laws allowing gays Homosexuality may well be highly contested across
and lesbians to marry, mostly in Europe and the Americas” the world, but Africa is particularly deeply uncomfortable
(Pew, 2015). with it (e.g., Dunton & Palmberg, 1996, p. 5; Epia, 2014;
The second is the extremely anti-gay world epito- Pew, 2013a; Smith et al., 2014; Ward, 2002). The per-
mized more vividly by Sub-Saharan Africa, Middle East, vasive legalization of homophobia in the region and the
and some Asian nations. Of course, there are also what can rising tide of anti-gay sentiment have become so violent
be considered middle-ground nations such as Italy, Greece, that the International Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, Trans and
Poland, Israel, Japan, South Korea, Venezuela, and Bolivia. Intersex Association (ILGA)2 and the broader civil rights
In much of Sub-Saharan Africa, opposition to homosexual- community have raised alarm (BBC, 2013; Kutsch, 2013;
ity is to all basic civil rights (including the right to life) and NYT, 2014), even if these laws are not enforced system-
public debates take the decidedly violent and politicized atically across countries (Pflanz, 2014). Homosexuality is
bent of executing and imprisoning homosexuals (Cheney, one of those “hush–hush” taboos that Africans would rather
2012; Epia, 2014; M’Baye, 2013; Smith, 2014; Tamale, avoid, although it is not a new phenomenon in the region
2014). Nigeria, Uganda, Kenya, Gambia, Liberia, Burundi, (Epprecht, 2008, 2013; McNamara, 2014; Murray & Roscoe,
South Sudan, Tanzania, Mauritania, and Zimbabwe have 2001). While the American or Western European might
all enacted statutes criminalizing homosexuality. Not only avoid the subject of homosexuality over the negative con-
are gay rights more limited in Africa than in any other sequences and censure of being “politically incorrect” given
region (Smith, 2014), but homosexuality is actually pro- the legal and social legitimacy it has attained (e.g., Button,
scribed in at least 38 African nations (Jolly, 2008), although Wald, & Rienzo, 1999; Kane, 2007; Pan, Meng, & Zhou,
“state homophobia” in Africa is diverse (Ireland, 2013, p. 2010; Tushnet, 1992; Wald, Button, & Rienzo, 1996), the
59).1 Here is how Epia (2014) justifies Nigeria’s sensa- African would steer clear mostly as a social, cultural, and
tional anti-gay law: “the massive public approval of the religious taboo (Epia, 2014).3 Even in South Africa, sup-
bill by Nigerians is highly disproportionate to the minor- posedly at the frontier of the battle for gay rights, mass
ity who disapprove. No doubt, this is a demonstration of approval of the lifestyle is minimal (Dunton & Palmberg,
democracy where the majority has its way and the minor- 1996; Human Rights Watch, 2011).
ity had its say.” Whenever rebuke of their anti-gay posture
starts gaining traction, most Africans seek refuge under this

2
Founded in 1978 and headquartered in Brussels, Belgium, ILGA is a
worldwide federation of 1100 member organizations from 110 countries
campaigning for lesbian, gay, bisexual, trans, and intersex rights (see,
1
These countries include: Algeria, Angola, Botswana, Burundi, ilga.org).
3
Cameroon, Comoros, Egypt, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, This hazard of potential sanctions is not limited to individuals. It has
Kenya, Liberia, Libya, Malawi, Mauritania, Mauritius, Morocco, Namibia, been extended to what some Western countries have labeled as “anti-gay
Nigeria, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Seychelles, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, countries” including, Nigeria and Uganda (BBC News, 2011; see also Epia,
Swaziland, Tanzania, Tunisia, Togo, Uganda, Zambia, and Zimbabwe. 2014).

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Africa may be the “most homophobic continent on non-Western nations”. Two research streams can be dis-
earth” (Smith, 2014), but it is not the only region with cerned from this extant, largely Western literature. The first
extreme anti-gay posture: Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Yemen in strand is the literature that traces mass attitudes toward
the Middle East have the death penalty for homosexuality homosexuality. From the tracking, we surmise that both
(BBC, 2014). Africa attracts attention because of recent state opinions and attitudes on all aspects of the homosexuality
anti-gay activism that has manifested in harsh anti-gay question have continued to soften over time, as more and
laws and enabled environments where violence is routinely more people report willingness to extend rights (Andersen
perpetrated against gays with impunity (Human Rights & Fetner, 2008; Avery et al., 2007; Brewer, 2003; Lax &
Watch, 2011). With the long list of embedded interests Phillips, 2009; Linneman, 2003; Loftus, 2001; Pew, 2013a;
vying for supremacy (defiant LGBTI groups with Western Scott, 1998; Smith et al., 2014; Yang, 1997). Notably, the
governments and international civil rights organizations same tracking is discovering that most of the developing
protecting and urging them forward on one side, and world, especially the countries of Africa and parts of Asia
local politicians and media, conservative U.S. evangelicals, have not been too enthusiastic about jumping on the liber-
and ordinary fanatics poised to impose street-level justice, alization bandwagon (Pew, 2013a; Smith et al., 2014), not
standing on the opposite side and ensuring they do not even with threats from donor countries to tie foreign aid to
succeed), the battle lines are drawn. Africa has become the liberalization (BBC, 2011; Gunkel, 2013; Smith, 2014).
“symbolic ground-zero”, the last stand for the battle on gay The second research genre interrogates factors asso-
rights that none of the gladiators is willing, or can afford, ciated with mass attitudes toward homosexuality. While
to lose (Smith, 2014). robust, the narrow focus of much of this research, almost
This research focuses on a question of profound schol- exclusively on advanced countries, as Adamczyk and
arly interest, one that has been a subject of considerable Pitt (2009) noted, limits its utility to understanding the
debate and speculation: what accounts for the extreme dynamics of mass attitudes toward homosexuality in non-
prevalence of anti-gay attitudes in Africa compared to the Western contexts. Adamczyk and Pitt make the additional
more liberal regions? The study addresses this question crucial observation in particular, that in examining the
for North and South America. We develop hypotheses on relevance of religion in the formation of attitudes on
the correlates of micro-level position on homosexuality homosexuality, the lack of sizeable Muslim populations
and then undertake comparative analyses of those factors has angled much of this Western literature toward overly
in Africa, Argentina, and Canada, the latter two countries emphasizing the supposed overwhelming effect of con-
being the most liberal on homosexuality in South and North servative Christian principles and values, to the virtual
America respectfully. Homosexuality is not well-studied in exclusion of the weight of other religions and faiths. In real-
Africa, especially as it pertains to establishing the causal ity, as Adamczyk and Pitt demonstrate, there are strong
factors associated with position (Ireland, 2013, p. 57). This reasons to expect Muslims to have more conservative
may be due, perhaps, to the dearth of support in the region social values than some Christian denominations gener-
(Pew, 2013a). It could also emanate from the inherent risk ally (Yuchtman-Yaar & Alkalay, 2007) and about sexual
in engaging such a forbidden subject (Amory, 1997). What- morality in particular (Finke & Adamczyk, 2008). Thus, the
ever the explanation, this is a significant void at a time of breadth of this literature, while serving as an important
budding interest on the interaction of public opinion and roadmap, is only tangential until more concrete research
development of laws on the subject in the region (Epia, emerges on non-Western, especially developing, contexts.
2014) and elsewhere (Witt & McCorkle, 1997). The SGAS Altogether, two broad themes can be deciphered to guide
data which we analyze is the most extensive inter-country our comparative investigation: (1) religious conservatism;
micro-level probability data collected in Africa so far con- and (2) social liberalization attached to such agents as
cerning society’s acceptance of homosexuality. Even then, education, ideology, socioeconomic status, urbanism, and
our study still suffers from data limitations as paucity of disposition to civil rights and individual freedoms.
support precludes maximization of design features tar-
geting position within countries. Moreover, Pew’s survey 2.1. Religious conservatism
covers only the six Sub-Saharan countries we examine,
inviting caution with generalization of our findings. How- Religion has a long tradition as a determinant of both
ever, we are still able to pool the data estimating causal secular human behavior and group solidarity (Driskell,
effects. Embry, & Lyon, 2008, p. 295; Durkheim, 1912; Weber,
1958). Perhaps more than any singular factor, religion has
2. The literature: mass attitudes toward been linked to opposition to homosexuality (Adamczyk
homosexuality & Pitt, 2009; Burdette, Ellison, & Hill, 2005; Gaines &
Garand, 2010; Merino, 2013; Olson, Cadge, & Harrison,
Although significant strides are being made to extend 2006; Sherkat, Powell-Williams, Maddox, & de Veries,
the research (e.g., Adamczyk & Pitt, 2009; Smith et al., 2011; Štulhofer & Rimac, 2009; Wilcox & Jelen, 1990; Witt
2014), much of what we know about factors that shape atti- & McCorkle, 1997). In the USA, “conservative Protestants
tudes toward homosexuality derives from the avalanche are typically seen as having the least accepting attitudes”
of research that has amassed on Western industrial- (see literature covered in Adamczyk and Pitt, 2009, p.
ized countries. As Adamczyk and Pitt (2009, p. 338) 339). Although conservative Judeo-Christian denomina-
have observed, “very little research has been done to tions have long been the cornerstone of opposition in
explain variation in attitudes toward homosexuality in the West (both organized and unorganized), the resilient

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negative effect of religion is not the exclusive domain gender interactions. Gender interaction seems likely given
of Christendom (Adamczyk & Pitt, 2009; Pew, 2013a, the disparities in education, employment, and marital sta-
and citations). The fact is that no major world religion tus for Africa.
endorses homosexuality or codifies it as a measure of
“orthodox” human behavior. Instead, as Adamczyk and Pitt 2.3. Explaining the African gap
(2009, p. 339) have noted citing Yip (2005), most reli-
gions “categorize behaviors associated with homosexuality Public opinion data reveal that the nations “softening”
as ‘unnatural’, ‘ungodly’, ‘impure’ and subject to ‘eter- on homosexuality, even in Europe and the Americas, have
nal damnation’. Ultimately, this notion of an anathema not always been that receptive. As of 1789, the farthest
becomes the foundation of conservative faith opposi- date for which data are available, homosexuality was illegal
tion. While particular faiths may differ in the intensity in 126 countries (BBC, 2014). Evidently, the softening has
of their opposition (Reimer & Park, 2001), many inter- occurred over time (Andersen & Fetner, 2008; Yang, 1997),
pret their opposition as a routine practice of their religion. nudged by a complex mixture of changing social condi-
Accordingly, religion should impact attitude formation tions (Avery et al., 2007; Brewer, 2003). Nations do not
on homosexuality in Africa given the centrality of reli- begin with the acceptance or inheritance of homosexuality
gious beliefs in people’s lives on the continent (Pew, as part of popular culture. Within Africa, the explanation
2010). of the origins of homophobia and handling of homosexu-
ality varies markedly (Ireland, 2013; M’Baye, 2013), with
2.2. Social liberalization nations having contradictory laws (BBC, 2014), and oth-
ers not legislating on it all (Ireland, 2013). Therefore, the
The second major locus of explanation is what can claim by some Africans that homosexuality is antithetical
be grouped into the common sticker of “social liberaliza- to their cultures and indigenous traditions and that that
tion and progressivism”. Socially liberal individuals tend alone explains the extreme hostility manifest in the region
to be more tolerant than conservatives (Pew, 2014) as (Epia, 2014) is not persuasive. If that were the singular
well as think more progressively (Freeman, 2011). While explanation, no major nation would tolerate it.
the factors associated with social liberalization such as Some, contrary to evidence that homosexuality is not
education and urbanism are often presented as disparate un-African (Epprecht, 2008; M’Baye, 2013; Murray &
variables in research, perhaps because their liberalizing Roscoe, 2001; Smith, 2014), have even floated the narra-
effects derive from different theoretical foundations, they tive that phantom colonialists “imported” homosexuality
actually speak to an underlying factor: disposition to into Africa as part of some conspiracy to “poison”, even
accepting the new and unfamiliar. Education is said to destroy, the African way of life (Evaristo, 2014; Smith,
advance liberalism through provision of information, bet- 2014). Yet, as Smith (2014) notes, buttressed by data pub-
ter information, and enlightenment (Weil, 1985), what in lished by the BBC (2014) showing dates of criminalization
the decision-making literature is called “bounded ratio- of homosexuality, “in many cases, the very laws being
nality” (Williamson, 1981). Urbanism is said to expose imposed so zealously were introduced by the European
the individual to heterogeneity, higher and more com- empires that carved up and plundered Africa . . . (and were)
plex levels of division of labor, and more contact with and enforced legally by colonial administrators and ideolog-
reliance on strangers (Claude, 1995, 1975; Wirth, 1938), ically by Christian missionaries” (see also M’Baye, 2013;
thus advancing liberalism. Age has been linked to liberal- Mama, 2007). Smith further notes that “Africans have not
ism in three separate ways (Schwadel, 2011). The first is only internalized homophobia that came as part of colo-
an “age effect” that posits that people get more conserva- nial oppression and now proclaim it as their own authentic
tive as they age (Goerres, 2008; New American Foundation, African tradition,” but Western evangelicals are actually
2008). The second is the “cohort effect” that holds that peo- being blamed for “whipping up homophobia”, the same
ple raised in different generations exhibit different liberal “imported evil” many Africans now proclaim as part of
dispositions (Inglehart, 1977; Pampel, 2011; Schatz, 2002). indigenous political platforms that must be eradicated.
The third is the “periodic effect”, which describes how eras There must be a more plausible explanation
of socialization such as the Great Depression instills differ- than Africa’s ethnocentric, dismissive, anti-culture/
ent behavioral traits (Andersen & Fetner, 2008; Braungart & indigenousness rendering. Part of that explanation is polit-
Braungart, 1986; Treas, 2002). Also, higher socioeconomic ical expediency, as homosexuals “have been constructed
status is likely to increase social density and provide access as scapegoats” (M’Baye, 2013, p. 109). Gay rights have
to more group memberships (Himmelstein & McRae, 1988; been woven into Africa’s contemporary narrative and
Jetten, Haslam, & Barlow, 2013). social construction of neo-colonialism (Gunkel, 2013) and
Overall, literature suggests a profile of agents of liber- exploited by desperate politicians in search of a populist
alization enhancing support for homosexuality as follows: distraction from poorly performing and failing govern-
more education, younger age, female gender, and urban- ments (Coly, 2013; Ireland, 2013; Tamale, 2013). A more
ism (Adamczyk & Pitt, 2009; Pew, 2013a; Smith et al., compelling explanation is found in classical sociology.
2014, p. 13). The gender effect comes from the differing Durkheim’s (1893) treatise on the development of societies
socialization of the sexes. It could also emanate from the is central. Most African societies are still bastions of what
disparate effects of the relevant factors on men and women Durkheim describes as “mechanical solidarity.” That is,
(Manganaro & Alozie, 2015). The later possibility justifies they are largely traditional enclaves held together by tribal,
disaggregation of the analyses by gender to probe potential kinship, cultural, and religious dictates that have little

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room for complex division of labor and social complexity Argentina, and 701 in Canada.4 Pooling the survey data
found in Western societies. These societies are rigid, con- for these African countries is appropriate since the same
servative, and are not predisposed to change. According multi-stage cluster sampling and stratification techniques
to Durkheim, all societies tend toward heterogeneity and were employed throughout to generate the country sam-
“organic solidarity,” characterized by emphasis on division ples. Moreover, while Pew used the random digit dialing
of labor, human rights, human dignity, social justice, technique in some countries, face-to-face interviews were
secularity, and personal freedom. These societies are more utilized in these six countries. Our research design com-
progressive and amenable to uncertainty and risk-taking pares factors associated with support for homosexuality
in embracing the unfamiliar. Thus, as African societies in these six African countries (8.7%) to the two most lib-
move toward organic solidarity, where gay rights are seen eral countries in North (Canada, 79.5%) and South America
in light of human rights, secularity, and social justice (as (Argentina, 73.0%), with a goal of explaining the African
opposed to culture and religion), opinions will soften. gap. The questions related to the variables of interest were
A contemporary rendition of Durkheim’s treatise as asked in both countries.
it applies to personal “emancipation” and liberalism
on homosexuality was offered by Adamczyk and Pitt 3.1. Dependent variable
(2009), envisaging something of a double whammy for
Africa. Drawing from Inglehart, Norris, and Welzel (2002), 3.1.1. Measuring support for homosexuality
Inglehart and Baker (2000), Inglehart (1977) and Adamczyk As Yang (1997) has noted (see also Smith et al., 2014,
and Pitt (2009, pp. 339–340) distinguish between two kinds p. 2; Takács & Szalma, 2013), the concept of support for
of societal contexts. The first are societies undergoing a homosexuality is porous. To ask whether homosexuality is
process of industrialization and modernization where, moral is not analogous to asking whether it should be legal-
attitudes and values shift away from concerns about ized. Yang’s (1997) tracking of public responses to opinion
physical and economic security to world-views that polls over time clearly suggests that the public does not
are increasingly rational, tolerant, and trusting. . .. With think about them unidimensionally. The item we use for
this new orientation, people can more easily afford to measuring support was chosen for two reasons. The first is
tolerate new ideas and non-normative behaviors like its simplicity in lacking the normative ambiguity endemic
homosexuality. [The second context are nations] reg- in many questions that measure position on homosexual-
ularly faced with political and economic uncertainty ity. The second is its relevance to securing civil rights to the
and insecurity, [where] people are more likely to sup- gay community which, after all, is at the core of gays’ quest
port values and norms that emphasize the familiar. As for “complete and total acceptance”. Question #27 in Pew’s
a result people in nations that are characterized by a survey asked: “And which one of these comes closer to your
strong survivalist orientation may be less tolerant of opinion, number 1 or number 2? Number 1: Homosexuality
nontraditional ideas and lifestyles. should be accepted by society. Number 2: Homosexuality
should not be accepted by society.” We coded option 1 as
Most African states are still beset by economic, social, “1” for support, and 2 as “0” for lack of support.
and political crises that preclude industrialization and
modernization, fostering environments of uncertainty and 3.2. Independent variables
insecurity. Predictably, African peoples are relegated to
“survival” as opposed to “self-expressive” orientation, 3.2.1. Religion
although movement to the latter may not necessar- Since none of the major world religions endorses
ily obviate religion’s negative effect (Adamczyk & Pitt, homosexuality, we did not sort respondents into reli-
2009). Comparing African nations to Argentina and Canada, gious groupings. Indeed, Christians and Muslims have
this model suggests that citizens of the latter nations acted together in Nigeria and Kenya to oppose homosex-
have reached higher levels of self-expressive orientation, uality (Epia, 2014). Like Adamczyk and Pitt (2009), we
while Africans lack industrialization/modernization and relied on question #178 that taps the importance of reli-
face political and economic uncertainly. It predicts less lib- gion: “How important is religion in your life?” We coded
eralism by Africans than either Argentines or Canadians. It very and somewhat important as “1”, while not too and
further predicts more liberalism for Canadians than Argen- not at all important were coded as “0”.5 Education. Edu-
tines. cation is listed incrementally according to country. We
coded it progressively from 1 to 10, 10 being the high-
3. Data and methodology est level of attainment. Ideology. Question #84 presents a
list of seven items (using contraceptives; getting a divorce;
Our comparative inquiry is based on the SGAS data gen-
erated from survey conducted between March and April,
2013 (Pew, 2013b). The surveys relied on national proba- 4
The country samples are as follows: Ghana 799, men 408, women
bility samples of adults 18 years or older. Six Sub-Saharan 391; Kenya 798, men 458, 340; Nigeria 1031, men 517, women 514; Sene-
African countries (Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria, Senegal, South gal 800, men 358, women 442; South Africa 815, men 408, women 407;
Africa, and Uganda) were included. These six countries Uganda 800, men 388, women 412; Argentina, 819, men 403, women,
416; Canada, 701, men 349, women, 352.
do not represent all of Sub-Saharan Africa, but they are 5
We considered a measure of how often one prayed as a surrogate
some of the most significant countries of the region. In for religiosity, but our diagnoses indicated it was largely dormant in our
all, 5043 respondents were interviewed in Africa, 819 in models. Consequently, we dropped the variable.

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having an abortion; drinking alcohol; married people hav- macro-level specification for the entire country/regional
ing an affair; gambling; sex between unmarried adults) and samples. The second are disaggregated models exploring
asked the respondent to say whether the item is morally gender interactions. The models estimated are of the gen-
acceptable, morally unacceptable, or whether the item is eral form: Ŷ = a + bxn + e, where Ŷ is the probability that
not a moral issue. We coded morally unacceptable as “1”, the respondent supports homosexuality, and x is the vec-
indicating conservatism and the other categories as “0” rep- tor of independent variables explaining that probability.
resenting liberalism. Addition of scores across the seven Our robust sample sizes generated moderate inter-item
items produces a variable with a count ranging from 0 correlations that allowed for efficient estimation of the
to 7, where respondents scoring 7 will represent extreme models.
conservatism and those scoring 0 and 1 will represent lib-
eralism. 4. Empirical findings

3.2.2. Socioeconomic status The profiles of the 5043 respondents across the six
We measure socioeconomic status using employment Sub-Saharan African nations, 819 in Argentina, and 701
and poverty status. Employment status is coded as “1” in Canada are displayed in Table 1. The profile captures
for the unemployed, and “0” for employed. Although the what can be expected of a stratified random sample in Sub-
income variable was included in the survey, we had two Saharan Africa: Older adults of middle age (mean age = 35)
concerns regarding its ability to capture level of consump- by the region’s life expectancy standard of 56 at birth.
tion. The first is that it was denominated according to each African men are far more likely to be employed, while
country’s local currency. We could standardize by trans- women are both poorer and slightly more likely to be mar-
lating to some international value using a currency such ried. Moreover, there is evidence and clarification of the
as the dollar, but we might not capture real consumption gender gap in education. African women are less likely to
positions with the translation. Moreover, personal income have formal education—where they do at all, men hold an
data are highly unreliable in many developing countries. advantage in higher education. A very high proportion of
Accordingly, we do not use the income variable. We use a Africans reported that religion is important in their lives.
measure of poverty status as follows: Question 182a asked: The mean scores on the morality quotient for Africa are
Have there been times during the last year when you did moderate (4.5 out of 7, or 64%), with no noticeable gen-
not have enough money to buy food for your family? We der gap. Finally, African men are far more enthusiastic
preferred the cleanliness of this question as a measure of about liberalism than the women. The average Argentine
affordability and proceeded with the “poverty” variable (approximately 43 years old) and Canadian (49 years old)
instead of income. The variable is coded “1” for yes, and in their country samples are much older than the African in
“0” for no. the African sample, tended to be more educated, employed,
and married. The African is poorer, more religious, and less
3.2.3. Urbanism liberal. There are gender gaps on religion between both the
Urbanism is coded “1” for urban resident; and “0” oth- Argentine and Canadian samples with women being more
erwise. Orientation toward Personal Freedoms (Instrumental religious.
Variable). Question 71 asked: “How important is it to
you that people have access to the internet without gov- 4.1. Descriptive findings: support for homosexuality
ernment censorship?” Responses of very and somewhat (establishing the African gap)
important are coded as “1”, while not too and not impor-
tant at all are coded as “0”. The other variables added to the Table 2 and Fig. 2 indicate that support for homosex-
analysis are age, gender, and marital status. Age is the actual uality in Africa is rather sparse. Only 423 (8.7%) of the
age of the respondent. Some literature suggests that the final sample of 4906 of African respondents used in the
age effect may be non-linear, in the sense that older adults analysis say homosexuality should be accepted by society.
raised in more conservative times may be more reluctant to Among the 2472 men, 223 (9.1%) say homosexuality should
support homosexuality. This links to the broader theoreti- be accepted, while the comparable figure for women is
cal question of whether the effect of age is a matter of the 200 (8.3%) of 2434. Across the six countries, only in South
life-course or of cohort replacement (Smith et al., 2014). Africa with a 32% approval level did there emerge what
Accordingly, we added the quadratic term, age.2 Gender is can be considered a meaningful variation in position. The
coded as “1” for women; and “0” for men. Marital status is approval levels in the other five countries are as fol-
coded as “1” if married/cohabiting; and “0” otherwise. lows: Kenya, 8.0%; Uganda, 4.0%; Ghana, 3.0%; Senegal,
3.0%; and Nigeria, 1.0%.6 These statistics are instructive.
3.3. Analytical methods First, they reinforce the notion that homosexuality has
very little popular support in Africa, and explain the
We conduct two levels of analyses. The first addresses
the level of support for homosexuality, using descriptive
6
statistics to establish the African gap. Then, we apply mul- These distributions made it difficult to implement our original
tivariate analyses to identify correlates of position across research design which called for both country fixed-effects and country-
specific analyses at the level of multivariate specifications. The limitation
the regions. Since the dependent variable is binary, we use allows for the kind of exploratory analysis reported here only by pooling
binary logistic regression to estimate the models. Two lev- the available data. With 423 respondents approving, sufficient deviation
els of multivariate analyses are conducted. The first is a emerges for analysis.

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Table 1
Descriptive statistics for variables (weighted means).

Variable Africa Argentina Canada

All Men Women All Men Women All Men Women

Gender – – 49.7% – – 50.8% – – 50.2%


Age 35.4 36.1 34.7 42.9 41.9 44.0 49.2 47.6 50.8
(14.6) (15.2) (14.0) (17.5) (17.8) (17.1) (17.4) (17.6) (17.1)
Unemployed 59.7% 53.2% 66.2% 46.1% 33.5% 58.2% 37.2% 30.4% 44.1%
Married 50.3% 56.7% 57.3% 52.5% 50.4% 54.6% 60.1% 61.9% 58.2%
Educationa 2.7 2.8 2.5 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.58 5.68 5.48
(0.89) (0.86) (0.90) (1.8) (1.8) (1.8) (2.05) (2.1) (1.9)
None 11.8% 8.9% 14.6% – – – – – –
Primary 23.5% 20.3% 26.8% – – – – – –
Secondary 47.1% 49.7% 44.5% – – – – – –
University 17.6% 21.1% 14.1% – – – – – –
Poor 58.2% 56.4% 59.9% 21.1% 19.1% 23.1% 8.7% 6.0% 11.4%
Urban 41.9% 40.8% 43.0% 96.5% 96.5% 96.6% 81.0% 83.4% 78.7%
Religion important 97.0% 96.1% 97.9% 64.5% 56.3% 72.4% 54.1% 46.9% 61.1%
Internet liberalization 65.4% 70.1% 60.7% 81.2% 82.1% 80.3% –b –b –b
Morality Quotient (7) 4.5 4.4 4.5 4.9 4.9 5.0 3.6 3.6 3.6
(2.2) (2.2) (2.2) (2.1) (2.1) (2.1) (2.2) (2.2) (2.2)
N 5043 2537 2506 819 403 416 701 349 352

Note: Figures in parentheses are standard deviations.


a
Education for Africa came in different measurements. We categorized these into four major groups, and coded 1–4, with 4 being the highest level of
attainment.
b
Question not asked in Canada.

Table 2
Should homosexuality be accepted by society?

Response Africa Argentina Canada

All Men Women All Men Women All Men Women

Yes 8.7% 9.1% 8.3% 73.0% 71.2% 74.0% 79.5% 77.9% 80.9%
N = 423 N = 223 N = 200 N = 598 N = 287 N = 308 N = 557 N = 272 N = 285

No 91.3% 90.9% 91.7% 27.0% 28.8% 26.0% 20.5% 22.1% 19.1%


N = 4483 N = 2249 N = 2234 N = 221 N = 116 N = 108 N = 144 N = 77 N = 69
Total (N) 4906 2472 2434 819 403 416 701 349 352

Fig. 2. Should homosexuality be accepted by society?


Source: Calculated from Pew’s 2013 SGAS data.

proliferation of anti-gay legislations in the region. Sec- from the complete absence (or is it silencing?) of voices
ondly, rejection of homosexuality in Africa is not gendered. of dissent to opposition to homosexuality. The persis-
Of course, the question has never been about mass sup- tent puzzle has been on how to explain position on the
port because the paucity of support has been evident issue.

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We now turn to support for homosexuality in Argentina 4.2. Multivariate findings: predicting support for
and Canada, levels of which establish evidence of the homosexuality (explaining the African gap)
African gap and support Adamczyk and Pitt’s (2009)
self-expressive formulation. Overall, 73.0% (N = 598) of The results of the multivariate analyses are presented
Argentines say society should accept homosexuality. This in Tables 3 and 4. The results displayed in Table 3 are
establishes a response gap of 64.3% with Africa. The per- for entire samples. The gender interaction models are
centage loadings for Argentine men (71.2%) and women presented in Table 4. The Model Chi-Squares and per-
(74.0%) also establish firm gender gaps with African men centage of cases correctly classified are robust, indicating
(gap = 62.1%) and women (gap = 65.7%). As would be pre- that the independent variables are successful in predict-
dicted by Adamczyk and Pitt’s (2009) self-expressive ing position on homosexuality across all models. Most
orientation formulation, the macro-support figure for of the results presented in Table 3 are consistent with
Canada (79.5%) is higher than Argentina’s 73.0%, but con- the theorized effects of the independent variables and
siderably higher than Africa’s 8.7%. Also, the figures for hypotheses. Respondents who reported that religion is
Canadian men (77.9%) and women (80.9%) display gaps important in their lives are less likely to support homosexu-
with Argentine men (gap = 6.7%) and women (gap = 6.9%), ality. This result is robust across all three regions, for Africa
respectively, but, again, the size of those gaps pale in (MLE = −1.324, p < .001), Argentina (MLE = −0.788, p < .001),
comparison to African men (gap = 68.8%) and women and Canada (MLE = −0.806, p < .001). The literature sug-
(gap = 72.6%). These figures not only speak to what Pew gests that religion is perhaps the singular most consistent
(2013a) calls “The Global Divide on Homosexuality”, but they negative source of global disapproval of homosexuality.
support the notion of an African gap. The results reported in Table 3 are consistent with that

Table 3
Binary logit analysis of predictors of support for homosexuality (full samples).

Variable Africa Argentina Canada

MLE Odds ratio MLE Odds ratio MLE Odds ratio

Religion
Religion −1.324*** 0.27 −0.788*** 0.46 −0.806*** 0.45
(6.43) (3.96) (3.72)
Enlightenment
Education 0.137* 1.13 0.172*** 1.19 0.078 1.08
(2.01) (3.25) (1.50)
Ideology
Morality −0.209*** 0.81 −0.062 0.94 −0.126** 0.88
(9.09) (1.41) (2.68)
Socioeconomic status
Unemployed 0.086 – 0.354+ 0.72 −0.249 0.78
(0.74) (1.84) (0.50)
Poverty status −0.303** 1.09 −0.050 0.095 −0.240 0.78
(2.83) (0.24) (0.69)
Exposure to outsiders
Urbanism 0.548*** 1.73 0.184 1.20 0.028 0.91
(4.98) (0.42) (0.12)
Personal freedoms
Internet 0.422*** 1.53 0.588** 1.80 –a –a
(3.27) (2.89)
Demographics
Age 0.037+ 1.04 0.020 1.00 −0.029 0.97
(1.85) (0.72) (0.88)
Age2 0.000 0.000 1.02 0.000 1.0
(1.24) (0.00) (0.00)
Gender 0.022 – 0.182 1.20 0.403* 0.68
(0.20) (1.03) (2.01)
Married −0.007 – 0.068 1.07 −0.385+ 0.68
(0.06) (0.39) (1.81)

Intercept −1.899*** 0.508 2.874***


(3.67) (0.63) (3.20)
Nagelkerke R2 10.0 14.4 11.6
% Predicted 91.4 75.0 79.0
Model 2 223.73*** 85.28*** 53.79***
N 4906 819 701

Figures in parentheses are t-statistics.


a
Question not asked in Canada.
+
p < .10
*
p < .05
**
p < .01*** p < .001 (two-tailed).

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Table 4
Binary logit analysis of predictors of support for homosexuality (by gender).

Variable Africa Argentina Canada

Men Women Men Women Men Women

Religion
Religion −1.276*** −1.487*** −0.724** −0.839** −0.548+ −1.130**
(4.89) (4.37) (2.79) (2.59) (1.95) (3.05)
Enlightenment
Education 0.109 0.170+ 0.209** 0.131+ 0.137* −0.018
(1.11) (1.75) (2.68) (1.70) (2.02) (0.22)
Ideology
Morality −0.216*** −0.198*** −0.067 −0.064 −0.130* −0150*
(7.20) (6.00) (1.09) (1.00) (2.06) (2.08)
Socioeconomic Status
Unemployed 0.324* −0.119 0.166 0.591* −0.037 −0.505
(1.98) (0.71) (0.56) (2.11) (0.11) (1.48)
Poverty status −0.357* −0.275+ −0.086 0.045 −0.600 −0.141
(2.38) (1.76) (0.29) (0.15) (1.14) (0.29)
Exposure to outsiders
Urbanism 0.610*** 0.507*** −0781 1.187+ −0.220 0.191
(3.96) (3.19) (1.09) (1.95) (0.60) (0.55)
Personal freedoms
Internet 0.452* 0.408* 0.860** 0.290 –a –a
(2.40) (2.28) (2.93) (0.99)
Demographics
Age 0.006 0.060+ 0.015 0.024 −0.077 0.009
(0.21) (1.94) (0.39) (0.59) (1.64) (0.19)
Age2 0.000 −0.001 0.000 −0.001 0.001 0.000
(0.12) (0.11) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)
Married 0.378* −0.239 0.040 −0.107 −0.253 −0.619+
(2.00) (1.48) (0.15) (0.42) (0.86) (1.88)

Intercept −1.481* −2.072** 0.878 0.582 3.637** 3.364*


(2.11) (2.66) (0.74) (0.49) (2.95) (2.41)
Nagelkerke R2 10.7 10.03 15.8 16.2 10.3 17.0
% Predicted 91.0 91.8 73.4 76.0 77.4 82.1
Model 2 123.32*** 110.66*** 46.79*** 48.67*** 24.25** 39.44***
N 2472 2434 403 416 349 352

Figures in parentheses are t-statistics.


a
Question not asked in Canada.
+
p < .10.
*
p < .05.
**
p < .01.
***
p < .001 (two-tailed).

trajectory and, in combination with the data reported for gap, which is not surprising given the strong effect of reli-
religion in Table 1, present what appears to be one under- gion in the region, the latter being a derivative. Its negative
lying explanation for the African gap. Overall, it is clear that effect can be seen in Canada (MLE = −0.126, p < .01), but not
the negative effect of religion holds across the board. At the in Argentina (MLE = −0.062, n.s.). While morality levels in
same time, the data in Table 1 indicate that while the per- Argentina and Africa appear similar (Table 1), its lack of
centage of Africans reporting that religion is important in significance in the multivariate model means that it does
their lives is as high as 97%, and 96.1% and 97.9%, respec- not discount in Argentina. Taken together, the results for
tively for African men and women, only 64.5% of Argentines Africa, Argentina, and Canada suggest that morality is more
(56.3% for men and 72.4% for women) and 54.1% of Canadi- of an impediment in Africa than it is in either Argentina or
ans (46.91% for men and 61.1% for women) make that claim. Canada.
Thus, the higher levels of religion in Africa is a significant Poverty (socioeconomic status) is another notice-
distinguishing factor. This means religion’s discount effect able explanation for the African gap. While its negative
weighs more on Africa. coefficients are not statistically significant in Argentina
Education improves support in Africa and Argentina, but and Canada, it is salient in Africa (MLE = −0.303, p < .01).
not in Canada. Looking at the education data presented This result, alone, is sufficient to conclude that poverty’s
in Table 1, it is apparent why education in the surveyed negative effect weighs more on Africa than either on
African countries will not do as much as Argentina’s in Argentina or Canada. However, that conclusion would not
liberalization as Argentina’s educational levels are practi- be sufficient without again calling attention to the poverty
cally double what they are in Africa. Thus, education is a statistics shown in Table 1 that reveal something of a dou-
positive factor, but its low supply in Africa diminishes its ble jeopardy on the effect of the factor in Africa. While
potency. Orthodox morality is another source of the African 58.2% of Africans (56.4% for men and 59.9% for women) are

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classified as poor, only 21.1% of Argentines (19.1% for men punish sexual behaviors like homosexuality”. Our study
and 23.1% for women) and 8.7% of Canadians (6.0% for men does not tackle the matter of the incidence or appropriate-
and 11.4% for women) are so classified. Thus, the discount ness of homosexuality, neither does it burden itself with
effect of poverty is greatest in Africa also because far more the many unsettled issues surrounding the subject matter,
Africans are in poverty than either Argentines or Canadians. such as origin and differential political responses within
Urbanization produces a strong positive effect for Africa, jurisdictions. Rather, we address the compelling question
but not for Argentina or Canada. However, perusal of the of what accounts for the extreme prevalence of anti-gay
urbanization data in Table 1, 41.9% for Africa, 96.5% for attitudes in Africa compared to other nations: what we
Argentina, and 81.0% for Canada reveals why the positive call the African Gap. Our strategy was to identify factors
urban effect will not be sufficient to close the African gap that shape position and by comparing those factors across
vis-à-vis the comparative countries. Simply put, the urban- regions, at least account for the African gap across these
ization level in Africa is comparatively low. Finally, the divides. We use the word “Africa” throughout this report
personal freedom question was not asked in Canada, but to designate the six African nations studied. While there is
it produced strong positive effects in Africa (MLE = 0.422, no reason to suppose that our results, as inclusive as they
p < .001) and Argentina (MLE = 0.588, p < .01). Still, the lib- appear, are outliers, basic cannons still urge caution with
eralism data in Table 1 suggest that Africa will not benefit generalization.
as much from this factor, not with its 60.7–70.1% range and We summarize the results of our study as follows: Reli-
Argentina’s 80.3–82.1%. gion contributes to explaining the African gap because
The results show both gender and marital effects in of its higher incidence in Africa vis-à-vis Argentina and
Canada that are not operative in Africa or Argentina, where Canada. Orthodox morality, partly a derivative of religion,
Canadian women are more supportive of homosexuality also contributes to explaining the African gap because of its
(MLE = 0.403, p < .05), and their married or cohabiting coun- higher occurrence in Africa vis-à-vis Argentina and Canada.
terparts are less supportive (MLE = −0.385, p < .10). This Poverty is more prevalent in Africa explaining its lopsided
Canadian result is in accord with the research which sug- negative effect. Education, urbanism, and personal freedom
gests that women are more supportive of homosexuality, are relevant, but their effects are not maximized because of
while married couples are less supportive (Pew, 2013a; their comparatively low levels. Ultimately, our data explain
Smith et al., 2014). Finally, except for a weak African effect, the African gap with Argentina and Canada as a double-
age is not a factor. The results suggest that the major vari- edged dynamic, where factors that increase support are in
ables have similar baseline effects across the countries, but shorter supply, while those that decrease it are in larger
that contextual differences that produce something of a supply.
double-edged sword largely explain the African gap. Essen- Admittedly, the insights we provide, no matter how
tially, factors such as religion, morality, and poverty that incisive, is not the whole story as they cannot explain away
retard support exist at higher levels, at the same time that the entire African gap. There is an important dimension
education, urbanism, and personal freedom that increase about context that this kind of research cannot tap, and the
liberalization occur at lower levels. main implication of the research makes it apparent. The
Table 4 displays the results of the gender interaction obvious consequence of our findings is that, like elsewhere,
specifications. There are nuances in the effects of some Africa’s conservative outlook is not immutable. Positions
of the variables, although the overall results largely repli- most likely will soften over time. Two contextual factors
cate the general patterns noted in Table 3. For religion, will champion this softening. One is expansion of education
the results show no gendered effects, as men and women and urbanism. Another will be disposition toward personal
reporting that religion is important in their lives are as liberties. All are linked to Adamczyk and Pitt’s (2009) self-
likely to reject homosexuality. Education is a particu- expressive formulation emanating from industrialization,
larly relevant factor for Argentine and Canadian men, but modernization and political and economic security. While,
produces weak effects for African and Argentine women. as they caution, such changes may not necessarily obviate
The results for morality are replicated with the nuance the strong negative religious effect, its potential to liberal-
that they are not gendered. Finally, the results for poverty ize the African mind generally and moderate positions on
status, urbanism, and liberalism are replicated without homosexuality in particular, cannot be underestimated.
gendered effects, except for the weak effect of urbanism
noted for Argentine women. A nuance observable in Table 4 Acknowledgements
is the positive effect of unemployment for African men and
Argentine women, which produces a wash when consid- This paper uses data from the 2013 Spring Pew Global
ered in light of the percentages in Table 1. Attitudes Survey. The views expressed in the paper are
those of the authors only and have no connection to Pew,
5. Summary and implications its agents, or institutions. Earlier versions were presented
at the 58th Annual Meeting of Western Social Science
As Adamczyk and Pitt (2009, p. 338) observe, buttressed Association, April 13–16, 2016, Reno, Nevada; the 19th
by both Epia (2014) in Nigeria and Witt and McCorkle Annual Meeting of the American Association of Behav-
(1997) for the USA, “since public opinion is an impor- ioral and Social Sciences, February 1–2, 2016, Las Vegas,
tant factor in developing laws and policies, understanding Nevada; the 96th Annual Meeting of the Southwestern
the source of these attitudes can shed light on why some Social Science Association, March 23–26, 2016, Las Vegas,
nations have such liberal policies, and others continue to Nevada; and the 57th Annual Meeting of Western Social

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