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J Altern Med Res 2011;3(2): 159-167 ISSN: 1939-5868

Nova Science Publishers, Inc.

A review of cost-effectiveness of non-drug medicine


(complementary and alternative medicine) and drug medicine
(biomedicine) for all clinical conditions

Søren Ventegodt, MD, MMedSci, EU-MSc- Abstract


CAM1,2,3,4,5, Niels Jørgen Andersen, MSc4,
Isack Kandel, MA, PhD6 and Joav Merrick, To estimate the cost of quality-of-life-year (QALY) with
biomedical drugs and with non-drug medicine (non-drug
MD, MMedSci, DMSc5,6,7 CAM) immediately after initiating the treatment and over
1
Quality of Life Research Center, Copenhagen, time with increased cost from patients continuously treated
Denmark; 2Research Clinic for Holistic Medicine and and not cured (one to fifty years).
3
Nordic School of Holistic Medicine, Copenhagen, Method: The cost of QALY was calculated using the
simplified formula ∑(ΔTime x ΔQOL) x F x Cost of
Denmark; 4Scandinavian Foundation for Holistic
treatment for one year, where ΔTime is the time the
Medicine, Sandvika, Norway; 5Interuniversity College, patients enjoys a better QOL, ΔQOL is the size of the
Graz, Austria; 6National Institute of Child Health and improvement in global quality of life, and F is the fraction
Human Development, Office of the Medical Director, of patients cured (F=1/NNT for outcome ―cured‖).
Division for Mental Retardation, Ministry of Social Accumulated cost per QALY though time (year 1,2,10 and
Affairs, Jerusalem, Israel and 7Kentucky Children’s 50) was then calculated.
Hospital, University of Kentucky, Lexington, United Results for year 1,2,10 and 50 respectively: Class 0-
Biomedicine (NNT=10): 80,000€, 140,000€, 700,000€,
States 5,000,000€. Class 1-CAM (Chemical CAM): >40,000€,
>80,000€, >400,000€,>2,000,000€. Class 2-CAM (Physical
therapy): 12,000€, 36,000€, 180,000€, 900,000€. Class 3-
CAM (Psychotherapy): 12,000€, 36,000€, 180,000€,
900,000€. Class 4-CAM (Spiritual therapy): 80,000€,
100,000€, 500,000€, 2,500,000€. Class 5-CAM (Mind-
Body medicine): 8,000€, 20,000€, 60,000€, 100,000€.
Class 6-CAM (Holistic mind-body medicine): 8,000€,
20,000€, 50,000€, 70,000€. Class 7-CAM (Shamanism with
drugs): 5,000€, 6,000€, 10,000€, 16,000€.
Interpretation: Non-drug medicine seems efficient, safe and
50-300 times cheaper than biomedicine. Most physical and
mental disorders, existential problems and sexual
dysfunctions can be successfully treated. We recommend
that physicians shift from using biomedicine to using CAM
(mind body medicine and holistic mind body
medicine/clinical holistic medicine), and we suggest that
socialised medicine change from using drugs to using non-
drug medicine as the basic service.

Keywords: Complementary and alternative medicine,


integrative medicine, cost-benefit, drugs.


Correspondence: Søren Ventegodt, MD, MMedSci, EU-
MSc-CAM, Director, Quality of Life Research Center,
Frederiksberg Alle 13A, 2tv, DK-1661 Copenhagen V,
Denmark. E-mail: ventegodt@livskvalitet.org
160 Søren Ventegodt, Niels Jørgen Andersen, Isack Kandel et al.

Introduction almost exclusively use biomedicine as their basic


medical care.
Holistic non-drug medicine (often called CAM or The authorities of these countries believe that
complementary and alternative medicine) is the biomedicine is cheaper, more efficient and more
classical medicine of Europe that today has become a scientific. The theories of CAM are abstract and
primary type of health care around the world. In the strange, focusing on states of consciousness, sense of
USA this has been a fact since 1993 with more coherence, and existential healing (also called
patients turning away from biomedicine and choosing salutegenesis).
CAM instead (1,2). The reason for this is without Such ―soft‖ concepts are felt quite ―unscientific‖
doubt an increasing awareness of the many severe by many scientists compared to ―hard‖ concepts like
side (adverse) effects and adverse events of most enzymes and bioactive molecules, which sounds
biomedicine, and the relative inefficacy of the drugs really scientific. What sounds scientific is in the end a
often only helping one in 10, 20 or 50 (3). It has been question of personal liking. We do not believe
difficult to establish the representative NNT-number humanistic science to be less scientific than
(number need to treat) for drugs in general, but there biochemistry. But in the end we agree that it is a
seems to be a general agreement that ―NNTs under 5 question of money: How much health can I buy for a
are unusual, whereas NNTs over 20 are common.‖ It dollar or a EURO?
is safe to say that normal NNTs for drugs are between Sadly there are very few high-quality
5 and 100 with a fair representative NNT-number comparative analyses of cost-effectiveness of CAM
around 20. In this analysis we use the numbers 10, 20 and biomedicine, but some reviews of cost-
and 50 for drug NNT. On the other hand we know effectiveness for CAM indicates a favorable prize per
that CAM for sexological problems are around 1 and quality-of-life-year (QALY) of less than 10,000£
for curing experienced physical and mental health (20). It is well known that some kinds of CAM are
problems and disorders with mind-body medicine in much more efficient than others, i.e. massage
general around 2. therapies are known to be much more efficient than
CAM thus seems to be 10 times as efficient as acupuncture and chiropractic manipulation (14,21).
biomedicine. Furthermore practically all clinical Recently we have analyzed the different kinds of
conditions and every patient can be treated with CAM with regard to their therapeutic efficacy and
CAM, while many diseases and clinical conditions are found that the number of patients needed to be treated
untreatable or at least not curable with drugs. (NNT) for one to be cured varied greatly with the
Finally, drugs are known to have severe adverse CAM method, the mind-body and holistic mind-body
effects, and most patients suffer one or more adverse medicines being the most effective (see Table 1) (14).
effect with most drugs (NNHtotal is the sum of All in all the most efficient CAM method, mind-
likelihoods of all adverse effects (number needed to body medicine, is surprisingly efficient compared to
harm); NNHtotal is often 0.5-3). biomedical drugs, while the inefficient CAM types
On the other hand some scientific studies and are surprisingly inefficient (4-8,10-19,22-39),
reviews have concluded that non-drug medicine (non- probably not working at all.
pharmaceutical CAM) is completely without Based on these simple facts we have been able to
significant side effects (NNHtotal = 64.000 for CAM in estimate the fraction of patients being cured through
general) (4-19). time with biomedicine and the different kinds of
So CAM is 10 times as efficient, 100,000 as safe CAM (Table 2) and the cost of one patient cured with
and many clinical conditions can only be treated with biomedicine and the different types of CAM (Table 3)
CAM. The question coming to mind is why CAM is (40).
not the most prevalent kind of medicine everywhere In this paper we want to take this one step further
in the world? The answer is that most European to estimate the cost of one quality-of-life-year
countries, because of socialized medicine, often (QALY).
A review of cost-effectiveness of non-drug medicine (complementary and alternative medicine)... 161

Table 1. NNT and NNH numbers of the seven CAM classes estimated from clinical studies (with chronic patients, see
text) (NNT: Number Needed to Treat; NNH: Number Needed to Harm) [14]

Short term effect Long term effect SSide effects and


(0-6 month) (6-24 month adverse Events
Class 0-Biomedicine NNT=5-50 NNT=5-100 NNH=1-5
Class 1-CAM (Chemical CAM)
(allergy) NNT≥10 NNT≥20 NNH=25
Class 2-CAM (Physical therapy) NNT=2-4 NNT=6 NNH>64,000
Class 3-CAM (Psychotherapy) NNT=3 NNT=6 NNH>64,000
Class 4-CAM (Spiritual therapy) NNT=10 NNT=20 NNH>64,000
Class 5-CAM (Mind-Body medicine) NNT=2 NNT=4 NNH>64,000
Class 6-CAM (Holistic medicine) NNT=2 NNT=1-2 NNH>64,000
Class 7-CAM (Shamanism w. drugs) NNT=1 NNT=1 NNH≥1000

Table 2. Accumulated number of patients cured (total fraction of patients cured) through time under continued
treatment (year one, two, ten and fifty) if not cured with biomedicine (NNT 10, 20 and 50) and the seven CAM classes
(estimated from clinical studies with chronic patients) [14]

First year Second year Year 10 Year 50


Class 0-Biomedicine
(NNT=10) 10% 15% 20% 20%
Class 0-Biomedicine (NNT=20) 5% 7.5% 10% 10%
Class 0-Biomedicine (NNT=50) 2% 3% 4% 4%
Class 1-CAM (Chemical CAM) <10% <10% <10% <10%
Class 2-CAM (Physical therapy) 33% 50% 60% 60%
Class 3-CAM (Psychotherapy) 33 % 50% 60% 60%
Class 4-CAM (Spiritual therapy) 10% 15% 20% 20%
Class 5-CAM
(Mind-Body medicine) 50% 75% 80% 80%
Class 6-CAM
(Holistic medicine) 50% 85% 90% 90%
Class 7-CAM
(Shamanism w. drugs) 90% 90% 90% 90%

Methods As we need to include the possibility of


prolongation of life from healing and shortening it
We estimated the quality of life improvement with the from adverse effects and events, we need to add an
different kind of drug- and non-drug medicine and the extra corrective element in the equations:
QALY outcome of treatments from the simple
formula: QALY outcome/treatment = ∑(ΔTime x ΔQOL) x
F+ ∑(ΔSurvival-Time(mean) x ΔQOLa(mean))
QALY outcome/treatment = ∑(ΔTime x ΔQOL) x F
where ΔTime is the time the patients enjoys a better
where ΔTime is the time the patients enjoys a better QOL, ΔQOL is the size of the improvement in global
QOL, ΔQOL is the size of the improvement in global quality of life and F is the fraction of patients cured,
quality of life and F is the fraction of patients cured ΔSurvival-Time(mean) is the difference in mean
(1/NNT). survival time with or without treatment per treated
patient and ΔQOLa(mean) is the mean of absolute QOL
162 Søren Ventegodt, Niels Jørgen Andersen, Isack Kandel et al.

during the difference of survival time whether


positive or negative.

Table 3. Accumulated cost for one patient cured through time under continued treatment (year one, two, ten and
fifty) if not cured - for biomedicine (NNT=10, 20 and 50) and for the seven CAM classes (based on clinical studies
with chronic patients) [40]

First year Second year Year 10 Year 50


Accumulated cost pr. patient constantly 2,000€ 4,000€ 20,000€ 100,000€
treated w. biomedicine
Accumulated cost pr. patient constantly
2,000€ 4,000€ 20,000€ 100,000€
treated with CAM
Class 0-Biomedicine (NNT=10) 20,000€ 37,000€ 170,000€
1,000,000€
Class 0-Biomedicine (NNT=20) 40,000€ 74,000€ 340,000€
2,000,000€
Class 0-Biomedicine (NNT=50) 100,000€ 170,000€ 850,000€
5,000,000€
Class 1-CAM
(Chemical CAM) >20,000€ >40,000€ >200,000€ >1,000,000€
Class 2-CAM
(Physical therapy) 4,000€ 6,000€ 24,000€ 100,000€
Class 3-CAM
(Psychotherapy) 6,000€ 10,000€ 46,000€ 200,000€
Class 4-CAM
(Spiritual therapy) 20,000€ 38,000€ 180,000€ 800,000€
Class 5-CAM
(Mind-Body medicine) 4,000€ 6,000€ 16,000€ 100,000€
Class 6-CAM
(Holistic medicine) 4,000€ 5,000€ 10,000€ 30,000€
Class 7-CAM
(Shamanism with drugs) 500€ 600€ 800€ 2,000€

As this extra element of the equation (II) is unknown QOL two steps up on a five point Likert scale, or 50
for most CAM treatments and also for most absolute % (52). For each cured patients this means
biomedical treatments we are not able to calculate it, half a QALY per year. If NNT=2 this means that the
but as we know that non-drug CAM has practically no cost of 1 QALY is similar to the cost of 4 patients
side effect and adverse events, and we must expect treated, or 8,000€, if the cost per year is 2,000€,
cured patients rating their subjective health higher which pays 20 sessions, and which we have found to
also to live longer and happier (41-51), we expect the be the most correct amount for treating most chronic
contribution from this part of the equation to be patients with CAM one year. As 50% of patients not
positive for CAM. On the other hand we know that cured first years normally will be cured next year, and
there are severe adverse effects and event with most so forth, the accumulated cost of a QALY is not very
biomedical drugs, suggesting that the opposite is the different from the first years cost.
case for treatment with drugs. If NNT is 10-50 as with most biomedicine, and
Results the patient’s QOL after being treated with drugs are
found still to be low in QOL, often 25 absolute %
We estimate from studies of mind-body medicine, below mean of population corresponding to these
where QOL is measured before and after treatment, patients only improved 25%, the cost of one QALY
that the cured patients on average improved their corresponds to the cost of 40 treatments with drugs
Cost-effectiveness 163

(see discussion of this calculation below). As most The cost of QALY increases though time (Table
patients treated with biomedicine turns into chronic 5). With biomedical drugs the cost is quite high
patients, this amount is growing every year of the already the first year, 80,000€, but goes up to a
patients’ life. From Table 2 and the above mentioned dramatic 5,000,000€ after 50 years.
formula (I) we get the results listed in Table 4.

Table 4. Cost per QALY accumulated through time under continued treatment (year one, two, ten and fifty) if not
cured - for biomedicine (NNT=10, 20 and 50) and the seven CAM classes estimated from clinical studies with chronic
patients (units are yearly treatment cost (YTC)) [14]

First year Second year Year 10 Year 50


Class 0-Biomedicine (NNT=10) 40 70 350 2,500
Class 0-Biomedicine (NNT=10) 80 140 700 5,000
Class 0-Biomedicine (NNT=50) 200 350 1,500 12,500
Class 1-CAM (Chemical CAM) >20 >40 >200 >1,000
Class 2-CAM (Physical therapy) 6 18 90 450
Class 3-CAM (Psychotherapy) 6 18 90 450
Class 4-CAM (Spiritual therapy) 20 50 250 1,250
Class 5-CAM
(Mind-Body medicine) 4 10 30 50
Class 6-CAM
(Holistic medicine) 4 10 25 35
Class 7-CAM
(Shamanism with drugs) 2.5 3 5 8

Table 5. Cost per QALY in EURO accumulated through time under continued treatment (year one, two, ten and
fifty) with biomedicine and the seven CAM classes estimated from clinical studies with chronic patients [14]

Class 0-Biomedicine First year Second year Year 10 Year 50


(NNT=10) 80,000€ 140,000€ 700,000€ 5,000,000€
Class 0-Biomedicine
(NNT=10) 160,000€ 280,000€ 1,400,000€ 10,000,000€
Class 0-Biomedicine
(NNT=50) 400,000€ 700,000€ 3,500,000€ 25,000,000€
Class 1-CAM
(Chemical CAM) >40,000€ >80,000€ >400,000€ 2,000,000€
Class 2-CAM
(Physical therapy) 12,000€ 36,000€ 180,000€ 900,000€
Class 3-CAM
(Psychotherapy) 12,000€ 36,000€ 180,000€ 900,000€
Class 4-CAM
(Spiritual therapy) 80,000€ 100,000€ 500,000€ 2,500,000€
Class 5-CAM
(Mind-Body medicine) 8,000€ 20,000€ 60,000€ 100,000€
Class 6-CAM
(Holistic mind-body medicine) 8,000€ 20,000€ 50,000€ 70,000€
Class 7-CAM
(Shamanism with drugs) 5,000€ 6,000€ 10,000€ 16,000€
The most efficient types of CAM, mind-body shamanistic healing is 5,000€ the first year, much the
medicine and holistic costs 8,000€ for one QALY the same as mind-body medicine, but as it is more
first year, but raises only to 100,000€ and 70,000€ efficient the cost of a QALY only rises to 16,000€
respectively. Quite remarkably the figures for after 50 years. The extreme cost-effectiveness of
164 Søren Ventegodt, Niels Jørgen Andersen, Isack Kandel et al.

shamanism is presumably the reason, why this kind of treated with biomedicine (drugs), this is a guess.
medicine has been prevalent in practically all While it is difficult to imagine that these patients were
premodern cultures. The peculiar death-rebirth rituals lower in QOL than 50% below population mean, it is
and use of hallucinogenic drugs of these magic events a most likely alternative hypothesis that they were
makes them so strange and far fetch that they are not better. If that is the case, the cost per QALY with
likely to be a part of our materialistic western culture, biomedicine is much more expensive. If patients have
but from an academic point of view they should be. the same QOL before and after treatment, which is
There is no other kind of medicine that offers this often found in drug studies including QOL, i.e. with
much health for the money treatment of antipsychotic drugs, the cost per QALY
is infinite.

Discussion
Conclusions
The calculations above are built on the reduced
formula, but since this is in favour of the drugs, we Many disorders and dysfunctions can be treated with
find this reduction not to invalid the results. The CAM, but the efficacy is highly dependent on the type
estimated cost of CAM and biomedicine here is of CAM used. The most effective types of CAM cures
2,000€ and from this we found a cost per QALY every second patient for physical and mental
(mind-body medicine, year one) that is identical to the disorders, existential problems, and sexual
―less than 10,000£ per QALY‖ that another researcher dysfunctions. Biomedical drugs are much less
found (20). We therefore believe that our figures are efficient in curing the diseases as NNT normally is
correct. about 20 for a cure (NNT=5-50) (3). This leads to
The extreme 50-300 fold difference in cost per remarkable costs for one QALY, as times goes by, 50-
QALY when we compare drugs to non-drug mind- 300 times that of biomedicine in the present estimate.
body medicine (which becomes a 300-fold difference Biomedicine also has lots of adverse effects and
if we go to shamanism using one-session healing) is adverse events, while non-drug CAM has practically
worth thinking about. If we can buy 50 times as much none. In conclusion CAM must be considered as cure
health with CAM, then biomedicine should only be of choice unless the disorder is not treatable with
used, when CAM cannot solve the problems. Recent CAM or unless there is an exceptionally cheap and
analysis has shown that there are CAM-treatments for efficient cure with drugs (like penicillin for syphilis).
almost everything. This does not mean that every In countries with socialised medicine CAM
patient will get cured with CAM, as there always will should be the first kind of medicine offered, and only
be incurable patients also after 2,3,5,10 and 50 years when a CAM-cure fails, the physician should try
of treatment. using drugs. As only 10% of patients are cured with
We have made the estimates and calculations as drugs this treatment will inevitably lead to 90% of
simple as possible. It is fair to admit that this degree patients becoming chronically ill patients. Denmark
of simplicity takes away the precision of the and other countries with socialised medicine and no
calculations. On the other hand, these estimates are CAM offers to the patients have about 50% of their
identical to the estimates that researchers using much population chronically ill with physical and mental
more exact methods have found. We therefore believe disorders (57). Biomedicine has as an experiment on a
that the results in general are correct within a factor national scale failed miserably, and only CAM will
two. make us able to bring health back into these
We have used the results from the Danish Quality populations.
of Life Survey (53-56) to estimate the global QOL of In spite of shamanistic one-session healing with
patients treated with biomedicine. We know that hallucinogenic drugs seems to be extremely efficient
patients with chronic disorders have a QOL about we do not find it possible to integrate these in modern
25% below mean of population, but we do not know culture and use these classical rituals in contemporary
if the QOL was 50% below mean before they were medicine, but research in shamanistic healing rituals
Cost-effectiveness 165

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Submitted: October 05, 2010.
Revised: December 30, 2010.
Accepted: January 14, 2011.
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without
permission.

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