a= 0.6 0.

4
Bulan Penjualan ft e e^2 PE (PE)
1 1000 -152.532
2 600 1000 -400.000 160000.000 -66.67% 66.67%
3 800 760 40.000 1600.000 5.00% 5.00%
4 1100 784 316.000 99856.000 28.73% 28.73%
5 1200 973.6 226.400 51256.960 18.87% 18.87%
6 1500 1109.44 390.560 152537.114 26.04% 26.04%
7 1200 1343.776 -143.776 20671.538 -11.98% 11.98%
8 1000 1257.51 -257.510 66311.606 -25.75% 25.75%
9 800 1103.004 -303.004 91811.521 -37.88% 37.88%
10 900 921.2017 -21.202 449.511 -2.36% 2.36%
11 908.48
total 644494.249 -66% 223.26%
n 9 9 9
MSE 71610.4722 -0.073332 24.81%
MAPE
SDE 283.834
1.5

Bulan Penjualan s't s"t (s't - s"t) at bt ft+1 e e2

1 1000 1000 1000 0 1000 0 -179.392
2 600 760 856 -96 664 -144 1000 -400.000 160000.000
3 800 784 813 -29 755 -43 520 280.000 78400.000
4 1100 974 909 64 1038 96 712 388.000 150544.000
5 1200 1109 1029 80 1190 120 1134 65.600 4303.360
6 1500 1344 1218 126 1470 189 1310 190.400 36252.160
7 1200 1258 1242 16 1273 24 1658 -458.176 209925.247
8 1000 1103 1158 -55 1048 -83 1297 -297.005 88211.851
9 800 921 1016 -95 826 -142 964 -164.296 26993.070
10 900 908 952 -43 865 -65 684 216.084 46692.392
11 801
total 801322.081
n 9
89035.7867
ME -16.94802
MPE -7.33%

latihan soal SES dan DES

PE ( PE )

-66.67% 66.67%
35.00% 35.00% me -19.932
35.27% 35.27% MPE -4.74%
5.47% 5.47%
12.69% 12.69%
-38.18% 38.18%
-29.70% 29.70%
-20.54% 20.54%
24.01% 24.01%

-43% 268%
9 9
-0.047382 29.73%