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1.7. Organizational Planning Tools (HL Only) : Decision-Making
1.7. Organizational Planning Tools (HL Only) : Decision-Making
Decision tree
Quantitative decision making tool representing available options to a
business and showing probable outcomes
By comparing likely financial results from each option, the manager can
minimize risk and maximize returns
Constructing a Decision Tree
Decisions nodes (squares) and chance nodes (circles), representing the
outcomes of a decision
Probabilities are shown with each possible outcome
Economic returns are expected financial gains or losses of a particular
outcome
Expected Value
Likely financial result of an outcome.
(Economic return – costs) * probability
Net EV is calculated from right to left
Limitations
Limited by the accuracy of the data used – estimate or guesstimate
date and outdated probabilities
Merely aid the decision making process, but they cannot replace the
consideration of risk or the impact of qualitative factors
Force field analysis
Decision-making tool that looks at helping or hindering forces towards a plan
Analyzes factors that support and oppose the plan to decide whether or not
to push through with it
Constructing a force field analysis
Draw a large rectangle in the middle, write the proposed plan in it
List down the supporting factors on the left side
List down the opposing factors on the right side
Rate each factor based on influence (usually on 1-to-5 scale, with 1
being least significant/influential, 5 being most significant/influential)
Using force field analysis
Decide whether or not to push through with proposed plan given both
supporting and opposing factors and their respective importance
Plan changes that may be implemented to strengthen supporting
factors, weaken opposing factors, and make the proposed plan more
successful/effective
Limitations
Factors and their ratings are subjective and may be biased
May cause a division among decision-making parties on whether or
not to push through with plan
Gantt chart
A type of bar chart that illustrates a project schedule
Outlines the start and finish dates of important elements of a project
Also shows relationship of these elements (i.e. Task B starts only when Task
A finishes)
Constructing a Gantt chart
Rows are the elements/tasks
Columns are the dates (left to right)
Fill in boxes corresponding to duration of each task
Draw vertical line to represent current date
Limitations
Relies on completed and accurate project breakdown structure
(breakdown of elements and tasks of project)
Depicts time of tasks, but not scope or cos