1st slide: "Probability of Independent Events, Conditional Probability, Probability of Dependent Events" Group 3 (Dawis, Baal, Olarte, Baguio, Mautante, Cagabcabon)
2nd slide: Probability of Independent Events o The probability of two independent events A and B is equals to the product of their individual probabilities P(A) and P(B).
P (A ∩ B) = P(A) ∙ P(B)
3rd slide: Example: o A coin is tossed and a die is rolled. Find the probability of landing on the head side of the coin and rolling a 6 on the die. 4th slide: Solution: o Let C1 = event of landing on the head side of the coin D1 = event of rolling a 6 on the die
o C = {H, T}, n(C) = 2 o C1 = {H}, n(C1) = 1 o D = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}, n(D) = 6 o D1 = {6}, n(D1) = 1
P (C1 ∩ D1) = P(C1 ) ∙ P(D1) = (C1 / C) ∙ (D1 / D) = (1/2) ∙ (1/6) = 1/12 <--- Answer 5th slide: Conditional Probability o The conditional probability of event B occurring given that event A has occurred is P(B | A) = P(A∩B) / P(A), wherein P(A) ≠ 0
6th slide: Example: o In a group of 100 sports car buyers, 40 bought alarm systems, 30 purchased bucket seats, and 20 purchased an alarm system and bucket seats. If a car buyer is chosen at random bought an alarm system, what is the probability they also bought bucket seats?
7th slide: Solution: o Event A = sports car buyers who bought alarm systems o Event B = sports car buyers who purchased bucket seats o P(A∩B) = probability of joint occurrence of both A and B
P(A) = 40/100 = 2/5 or 0.4 P(A∩B) = 20/100 = 1/5 or 0.2
P(B | A) = P(A∩B) / P(A) = 0.2 / 0.4 = 0.5 or 50% <--- Answer
8th slide: Probability of Dependent Events o The probability of two dependent events A and B, with P(A) > 0 and P(B) > 0 is P(A∩B) = P(A) ∙ P(B | A)
9th slide: Example: o If we randomly select two marbles from a box that has 3 blue marbles and 7 green marbles, what is the probability of drawing a green marble and then a blue marble, without replacement?
10th slide: Solution: o P(A) = 7/10 o P(B | A) = 3/9
P(A∩B) = P(A) ∙ P(B | A) = (7/10) ∙ (3/9) = 21/90 or 7/30 <--- Answer