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1 Introduction
2 1 Introduction
Module 2: Planning for Results
1 Introduction 3
Module 2: Planning for Results
2 Identification of New
Project Ideas
Reasons to start planning new projects can be manifold. Occasionally higher
budget allocations for a specific country or domain of intervention offer the
chance for new projects. Sometimes a change in the country’s strategy offers
new opportunities. In other cases, successful experiences call for a scaling up
in the partner country or a replication in another country. Often, calls for
proposals are grounds for developing new project ideas.
Ideas for new projects can come from different sides: from inside the
cooperation agency, from current or future implementing partners, from the
partner government, or from other donors. Sometimes communities turn to
government agencies or non-governmental organisations with particular
concerns. In other cases, NGOs identify problems and take the initiative in
launching new project ideas. It is not unusual for donor agencies or
implementing organisations to field specific missions for project
identification.
At this early stage of project development, the form of presentation and the
quantity of details says little about the quality of the project idea. A clear
vision hastily sketched on a board, can have more substance than a neatly
presented project folder full of details and supporting statements and
recommendations.
The starting point and “playing field” for developing project ideas is always
the livelihood of the target group. Poverty can be defined as the lack or loss
of a sustainable livelihood. If we do not understand the various strategies the
poor have to cope with or recover from crisis situations, as well as how they
maintain or enhance their capabilities and assets then we won’t be capable of
designing projects which they understand, accept and will ultimately benefit
from. Understanding the livelihood system and strategies of the poor means
interpreting their situation from at least two different perspectives: from
without and from within. A football game looks very different for a fan sitting
in the stands than it does for the players on the field. No less diverse are the
perspectives of a European project planner and a family living in rural
Mozambique. Understanding a problem includes at least three considerations:
WHAT is the problem about, HOW do people handle it and WHY do they
handle it in this way?
1. Since the adoption of the Paris Declaration with its principles of alignment
and harmonisation, projects explicitly have to match the priorities of the
partner country under the principle of results-orientation. Most countries
define their priorities in a national development plan, often called Poverty
Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP).
2. The project idea should be in line with the country strategy and programme
of the donor organisation.
Usually, the process starts at the desk with a review of relevant information
about the context and of the related policies and strategies. When this
“homework” is done, the fieldwork begins. Project identification is an
iterative process in which we involve various stakeholders and actors. The
sequencing of the analysis and planning tasks as well as the choice of
methods and tools must be defined for each individual case.
facilitation, observation, notes). A focus group can be the first step towards
open dialogue and joint work on a new project.
Toolkit
Beneficiary assessment
Key criteria for evaluating new project ideas are the relevance for the
beneficiaries, local ownership and alignment with relevant national
development goals, as well as coherence with strategic priorities of donors
and implementing agencies.
Criticisms of the rigid and dogmatic use of ZOPP led to a more flexible and
pragmatic application of the method in the planning practice of international
development agencies. Particularly interesting were efforts to integrate
approaches like Participatory Rural Appraisal (PRA) and Participatory
Learning and Action (PLA) into project planning.
Today, we find the Logical Framework Approach and its adaptations in the
PCM handbooks of most bilateral and multilateral development agencies (e.g.
DANIDA, SIDA, DFID, EuropeAid/EU, World Bank, UNDP and many others),
as well as many international NGOs. When Management for Development
Results became one of the five principles of the current international aid-
effectiveness agenda, the Logical Framework Approach received a strong
boost and a consequent result orientation.
A person who does not think and plan long ahead will
find trouble right at his door.
Confucius
Planning with the Logical Framework Approach is done in five stages. The
first three stages help to analyse the initial situation and agree on the
desirable outcomes of the project; the last two serve to design the project
strategy and organisation. The following table presents the five planning
stages, the tasks in each stage and a selection of suitable instruments.
This module describes the planning process and some of the key planning
instruments. All of them are suitable for participatory planning processes
involving different types of stakeholders. In order to assure a high degree of
participation, many of the instruments are best used in a workshop setting
with up to 12 participants. Such a workshop normally lasts four or five days
and requires professional facilitation and continuous visualisation.
Stakeholder Analysis
The first part of the situation analysis is the stakeholder analysis, which
provides an overview of:
According to the specific necessities of the case, the categories might have to
be further divided into subcategories.
A wide range of other possible approaches and practical tools for stakeholder
analysis are found in the literature. Regardless of the methods used, it is
important to take into account the different perspectives of the same social
reality. A mountain will look different from the other side. Likewise,
depending on their position, people in the same social environment experience
their lives differently: For instance a farmer and a shopkeeper, a woman and
a man, a child and an adult. They might have very different and maybe even
conflicting interests, obligations and ways of life. In a stakeholder analysis we
have to organise the people’s voice and participation appropriately (e.g.
representation of underprivileged groups).
Problem Analysis
A problem is a matter or situation regarded as unwelcome or harmful and
needing to be dealt with and overcome. Problems are neutral descriptions of
concrete negative situations and should not be confounded with an absence of
Steps
1. Identify or reconfirm the so-called core problem. This generally emerges
during the project identification process.
2. Identify the direct causes of the core problem. Arrange them below the
core problem on the pin board. Step by step, participants look for the causes
of these causes, and the analysis is thus continually refined.
3. Identify the effects of the core problem. Place them above the core
problem.
Hint
The problem-tree analysis focuses on problems related to and felt by
people. Sometimes it is helpful to write the names of the
stakeholders that are affected by a specific problem on the card.
generate ideas, structure ideas and finally assess ideas. As the rules are very
simple, people without prior experience in workshop settings can also
contribute. During step 1 the following rules apply:
Steps:
Left: A project with two components: safe drinking water supply and hygiene
awareness.
Right: A project with nutrition as the only component. This certainly would
need a more detailed analysis of the causes, as the reasons for
undernourishment of children can be very diverse. Thus, possible intervention
strategies might range from something as simple as regular deworming, to
something more elaborate like the delivery of school meals, to something as
complex as a fully-fledged agricultural development project.
Visioning
Companies and organizations use vision statements to communicate
externally and internally what they stand for and they work towards. By
definition, development projects intend to bring about change. Why should
they not use this tool for the same purpose?
The result chain is a tool for depicting graphically how change should come
about and consists of a logical sequence of cause-effect hypotheses for a
specific socio-economic context. Thus, creating a result chain is primarily a
matter of formulating cause-effect hypotheses: IF we do this AND the
To develop the result chain, we build upon whatever we have done so far:
problem tree, brainstorming of opportunities, result tree and visioning. We
also can make use of sector-specific literature (impact evaluations, studies,
etc.) about proven cause-effect relations. They all serve as the quarry from
which we source our “raw materials”.
Procedure
A result chain is developed step-by-step or level-by-level. In the sense of
results-based management we start at the top (or depending on the format at
the right side) with the effects we intend to bring about, and we end with the
outputs and their related activities.
In step two we selected the branch of the problem tree to follow: drinking
water and hygiene.
2. What must happen to ensure that people will use the safe water properly?
To achieve this result people need access to the water, the water needs to be
safe and the well and stored water cannot be contaminated through
unhygienic transport and storage.
3. For each of the outcomes of step 2 we ask the same question again: What
has to happen so that …? For instance, to make sure that people increasingly
access the well with safe water, the pump must be well maintained, the well
must not be overexploited and run dry, the water must be affordable for the
people and the well must be within easy reach of the households so that they
stop fetching water from other sources.
4. And again for each outcome of step 3 we ask the very same question: What
has to happen so that ….? The maintenance of the wells and pumps is
something that has to be organised and supervised. In most cases this is done
by a water committee. An important activity of the project is to establish
these committees and train the members so that a strong committee, that
manages the infrastructure on behalf of the community based on approved
procedures, is in place once the project has ended.
5. When all outcome and outputs are in place, we check the intervention logic
regarding “missing links”. In our example we consider it meaningful to add
the outcome “general hygiene habits improved”, because cleanliness at home,
especially in the kitchen and in the storage and handling of foodstuffs, are
important for staying healthy. Moreover it is not difficult to complement and
combine the information campaign on hygienic handling of water with
concrete advice on other hygiene issues.
6. The result chain is not finished until we have spelt out our assumptions. For
instance the safe storage of water depends largely on people’s capacity to buy
containers with a lid, their discipline to keep them clean and if necessary
their disinfection. Or what if, for instance in the case of a drought, the water
committee does not have the power to regulate the quantity of the water per
family, the well might run dry. Or the unfair distribution of water might cause
conflicts.
The LogFrame consists of four columns and four rows. The columns A and D
depict the cause-effect hypotheses and the columns B and C describe the
measurement of the project results. The rows 1 and 2 describe the intended
effects, the rows 3 and 4 the planned services and products. In the two
columns B and C of row 4, we describe roughly the inputs and resources
needed for implementing the activities.
A. Hierarchy of Results
The backbone of the LogFrame matrix is column A with the hierarchy of
results, which basically is the same as a result chain. This column describes
in a very condensed way, what the project is about in terms of effects and
services/products.
The outcome statements describe the direct and often immediate effects as
well as the intermediate effects, which the project’s outputs are expected to
have on the beneficiaries and target system. Again, the outcomes should be
stated as concretely as possible so that they can be verified by means of
measurable indicators. Most projects aim at strengthening the capacity of
people and/or organisations. Therefore the intended changes at outcome level
often refer to changes and improvements in the skills and behaviour of target
groups, i.e. the performance of organisations as a result of putting into
practice the new knowledge or methods provided by the project.
The left bottom box lists the activities, which are needed to produce the
outputs. The implementing organisation must be able to take on full
responsibility for this ‘production process’. It is helpful to group the services
in categories. This way it is easier to establish a structured plan for
implementation of the project.
D. External Factors
Project planning always implies reducing the complexity of reality. The
discussion of the implicit assumptions is an opportunity for bringing back and
reflecting on at least some of this complexity. The careful analysis of the
context and in particular the recognition of possible risks is a major task in
project design. Risks are external factors that could have a negative influence
on the project. Some agencies also include internal risks in their LogFrames.
Risks converted into positive statements are called assumptions.
Example:
the intended effects can be created or how the expected change could be
made to happen. The LogFrame tells us what the concrete role of the project
in this change process will be. This means that we analyse the result chain
against the background of a specific context and the potential contributions
of the interested and potential stakeholders. Based on this analysis we define
which effects require which kind of intervention.
Outcome(s) > Impact: The higher the goals at impact level are set, the
more difficult it will be to establish a plausible causal link between the effects
at the outcome level and changes observed at the impact level. If we are
overambitious, it will be difficult or impossible to attribute these changes to
the project activities. Usually these changes are partially caused by other
influences, too. This phenomenon is known as the ‘attribution gap’. Therefore
it is advisable to set modest impact goals and not to promise more than the
project will be able to deliver.
In our case, it is quite easy to identify the impact hypothesis: By having access
to and safely using safe water in combination with improved general hygiene
habits the incidence of diarrhoea in children will decrease. When we compare
the LogFrame with the Result Chain, you see that the top-level card of the
result chain has become the impact statement of the LogFrame. At the
outcome level we have two statements; one related to general hygiene and the
other to access and use of water, which is a combination of the three cards on
the upper left side of the result chain.
There is always the question as to which level of detail we should plan the
activities. On one hand we need to know, as precisely as possible, what is
going to be done in the next three or four years, because we have to draw up
the budget based on these activities. On the other hand we lose the flexibility
to react sensibly to changes during project implementation.
In the LogFrame, we only depict the main activity lines. The activities
themselves are listed on an extra sheet, where we have enough space for the
quantitative data and calculations.
Cautions:
Chains of cause-effect relationships often have a chronological
order, but not always!
Output and outcome statements are written at the same level of
abstraction – hopefully as concrete as possible. This is different to
the old fashioned LogFrame, in which the terms specific objectives,
general objectives and goal/purpose mislead inexperienced planners
into writing the same thing three times, each time at a higher level
of abstraction.
In the result chain we try to depict the complete “picture” of causes
and effects. In the LogFrame we include only those outcomes and
outputs that the project itself will be responsible for. As a rule of
thumb we define about three outcomes with three outputs each.
Again we start with the assumptions written in the result chain. As not all
assumptions are equally important, we include only those in the LogFrame
that are critical for success and those that the project management must keep
an eye on. A simple question that helps to ascertain missing assumptions is:
What good excuses would I use if the project failed?
In some cases the assessment of the assumptions might lead to rethinking and
reformulating result statements, in other cases the assessment of the
assumptions might lead to the decision to stop planning and to forego on the
project. These so-called “killer assumptions” might reveal that in a given
context the intended project is not feasible.
Another way of assessing and then dealing with assumptions is depicted in the
matrix pictured below. We ignore assumptions that most probably will come
true and are uncritical. The opposite case – high importance for project
success and high probability of failing – calls for rethinking the project,
because of the small chance of success.
All other cases oblige us to have, to a greater or lesser extent, a closer look
at the assumptions. A high probability of failing and a medium importance (or
the other way round) demands the design of mitigating activities, which need
to be monitored permanently, and a contingency plan.
It is quite common for planners to handle the LogFrame matrix like any
administrative form, filling in the boxes from left to right. When they finally
reach the far right column, they are short of time and in a hurry. This bad
The last task in developing a LogFrame is its critical review. You might use
the checklist below:
project intervention.
Impact Hypotheses
At the time of planning it may be possible to foresee with some clarity the
activities and required resources for the first year, but it is difficult or even
impossible to make such detailed forecasts for three or four years time. Those
who call for a detailed planning of activities and a “precise” budgeting, run
the risk that the implementers will carry out the project unaware of changes
in the context and in so doing miss opportunities. Results-based management
calls for a consequent orientation on outcomes and not on activities.
The design of the project organisation is the point where planning and
implementation meet. How we organise a project varies according to the
institutional context. When we design the organisational structure, we usually
distinguish between at least two important levels:
The strategic and political responsibility is shared between the donors and
the governmental and non-governmental partner organisations in developing
countries.
sense at this point to discuss the mechanisms for monitoring and evaluation,
and to develop the Monitoring and Evaluation Concept (see module 4).
Contrary to the LFA there is neither a universally valid methodology for these
further planning steps nor a generally accepted format for project
documents. Therefore we describe the current, recommended practice of
SDC.
The ProDoc is the final product of the planning process. It contains written
evidence of all planning steps and describes in detail all aspects of the future
project.
Project Description
This chapter contains the detailed description of the project. Main topics are:
5.2 Agreements
5.2 Agreements 51
Module 2: Planning for Results
Decision-making mechanisms for all PCM steps and tasks (e.g. terms
of reference for the steering committee)
Key documents (including guidelines on format) for planning and
reporting
Financial management (disbursements, statements, audits, etc.)
Steering: monitoring, evaluation.
52 5.2 Agreements
Module 2: Planning for Results
5.2 Agreements 53