Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Case 4
Sarah Hu
Detailed
Analysis
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Sensitivity Analysis
In order to test the solvency of these properties under differ-
ent scenarios, we can change the inputs of the parameters
such as the growth rate and the vacancy.
Executive
beneficial to consider the IRR partitioning of income tax and able to provide a tax deduction, the flip side of the coin is
futures. In regards to future value, Stony Walk and Fowler that the leasehold agreement is also a fixed financing cost
Building have the highest future value IRR partitions. Re- for the investor. This would be an attractive feature for Judy
garding income tax IRR partitions, Ivy Terrace and Allison in particular due to the fact that it satisfies her idea of tax
Green seem to be the most attractive as they have the low- sheltering.
est returns which means they have the lowest taxable in-
Summary
come with respect to the equity invested. For the pre-tax Next, we discuss qualitative factors that can be applied to
investment multiple and the increase in capital value, Ivy all properties in consideration, which is the property type.
Terrace is the best option. Generally speaking, office buildings have a longer lease
Overall return wise, Ivy Terrace does not have the highest term than multifamily. This is because multifamily leases
IRR. However, the properties’ IRRs are all very close in val- will typically last only one year while office leases are usu-
ue to each other and thus, the ranking of Ivy Terrace in re- ally for 3 to 5 years. Therefore, residential properties like Al-
gards to this return factor is not as important. lison Green and Ivy Terrace will have higher turnover rates
and be slightly more risky than the office properties over the
course of the 10 year investment period.
Qualitative risk and return factors:
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The older investor (John) is better suited to cash flows from Next, we will discuss the area in which the property is lo-
The investment problem: Angus Cartwright IV is a financial For John, the quantitative risk factors that would be most operations because he does not have as much time as Judy cated and the projected supply/demand for the type of
advisor who is tasked with helping John and Judy DeRight relevant include added margin and the break-even occu- to wait for the appreciation in property value. Additionally, property within Montgomery County, MD and Arlington
make an investment decision regarding potential real estate pancy rate because he is looking to invest in a property that he is retired so the cash flow from operations would be more County, VA. In Montgomery County, the backbone of the
properties. There are 4 properties that Angus Cartwright is can generate him profit/CF during the investment period. beneficial as it can be used for his day-to-day expenses. economy are biotech firms. The county as a whole is one
considering recommending, with those being Alison Green, Thus, it is important that the occupancy rates, added mar- There are a number of other qualitative risks that should be of the wealthiest in the country and many of the school dis-
900 Stony Walk, Ivy Terrace, and The Fowler Building. He gins, and break-even occupancy rates are most relevant. considered as well including the building moratorium, build- tricts are therefore, very highly rated. As a result, I believe
is tasked with completing detailed financial analyses in or- For John, Ivy Terrace and Allison Green seem to initially ing construction, land leases, property types, location, and that demand for residential/multifamily properties would be
der to support his recommendation on which property John be good choices in regards to mitigating risk due to the recession proof investments. higher than office buildings, making Allison Green a more
should invest in and which property Judy should invest in. fact that they have the highest added margins and lowest attractive choice than Stony Walk. In Arlington County, VA,
break-even occupancy rates. For Judy, the quantitative risk For Ivy Terrace, we should consider the qualitative factor the area is very urban and the backbone of the economy is
The investment alternatives: The four properties that are factors that are most relevant should be the LTVR, DCR, of the building moratorium, building construction, and land the federal government’s presence. Therefore, demand for
examined include Alison Green, which is a 100 unit multi- added margin, and break-even occupancy rate. Ivy Terrace leases. Moratoriums occur when supply is constrained in office properties would probably be higher than residential,
family apartment complex located in Montgomery County, has the highest DCR and the lowest LTVR, indicating that the short term within these areas of the country. There- making The Fowler Building a more attractive choice than
MD. 900 Stony Walk is an office building in the same area the property seems to have the lowest risk out of the 4 we fore, if demand increases, we can create a monopoly for Ivy Terrace.
with 5 stories and 67,000 square feet of rentable space. Ivy are considering. a moment in time by raising apartment rents and prices.
Terrace is a 75 unit apartment complex in Arlington County, This means that for Ivy Terrace, we can expect to achieve Another qualitative factor that can be taken into consider-
VA and The Fowler Building is a 110,000 square foot office For John, the quantitative return factors that are particular- the projected occupancy or even better. Additionally, this ation is how recession proof a tenant/type of commercial
building. ly relevant for him are the cash-on-cash returns and cash means that we can potentially also expect higher gross real estate may be. During a recession, individuals and
flow before tax IRR partitions. Since Allison Green and Ivy rents, depending on how much of the investor chooses to businesses are both likely to be impacted in a negative
Quantitative risk and return factors: Terrace have the highest cash-on-cash returns as well as capitalize on the monopoly. Additionally, we need to consid- manner. Individuals are at a higher risk of losing their jobs
and therefore, their spending power goes down. They are highest COC return as well as the highest BTCF IRR par-
no longer interested in buying homes during recessions and tition.
oftentimes, they are unable to pay their mortgages or rent.
The housing market follows the economy very closely, and For Judy, Ivy Terrace had the tax sheltering and apprecia-
therefore, home values and the residential real estate mar- tion in value that would be most relevant to her needs. The
ket will drop during recessions. property had the highest value appreciation and highest
Businesses, likewise, experience negative effects from the pre-tax investment multiple. Additionally, the IRR partition-
recession. For instance, during COVID there was a steep ing of the futures and income tax are the best out of the four
drop off in demand for office properties in particular. Many properties.
businesses failed to make their rental payments and office
properties experienced a large sell-off as well as a steep Risk-wise, Ivy Terrace is still under construction. However,
decline in prices. we must also factor in the fact that there is a moratorium in
this area of the country which will decrease the risk of be-
Lastly, the number of tenants is a factor of risk. Within the ing unable to pre-lease and actually enable the investors to
multifamily apartments, Ivy Terrace is riskier simply be- create a monopoly for a moment in time. The property also
cause the property has fewer units than Allison Green. provides a tax shelter for the leasehold portion of the land.
Within the office buildings, Stony Walk is riskier than The
Fowler Building. This is because the properties have less
rentable square feet and less units, which means that per-
centage wise, tenants are taking up more space within their
lease. Therefore, if a tenant were to leave, proportionally,
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the investor is losing more of their gross rent.