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Decision Analysis
Decision Analysis
Slide 1
Computer Solutions
• LP problems involving 1000s of variables and 1000s of
constraints are now routinely solved with computer
packages.
• Linear programming solvers are now part of many
spreadsheet packages, such as Microsoft Excel.
• Leading commercial packages include CPLEX, LINGO,
MOSEK, Xpress-MP, and Premium Solver for Excel.
• The Management Scientist, a package developed by the
authors of your textbook, has an LP module.
• we will discuss the following output:
• objective function value
• values of the decision variables
• reduced costs
• slack and surplus 2
Constraints: Standard Vs Inequality Form
Inequality form:
Actual ≤ RHS e.g.
Standard Form
Par Inc’s
Maxi-
misation
of profit
M&D
Chemical’
s
Mini-
misation
of cost 4
Computer Solutions of Par Inc’s Problem
Slide 7
Objective Function Coefficients
• Let us consider how changes in the objective function
coefficients might affect the optimal solution.
• The range of optimality for each coefficient provides
the range of values of the O.F coefficient over which
the current (optimal) solution will remain optimal.
• Managers should focus on those objective
coefficients that have a narrow range of optimality
and coefficients near the endpoints of the range.
Slide 8
Range of Optimality (Ref: Sect 3.2)
Line B: coincides with the finishing constraint
line 1S + 2/3D = 708) Slope=?
Slide 9
Range of Optimality
Slide 10
Range of Optimality
Slide 11
Vertical slope => one side limit
Line B: coincides with the
finishing constraint line
1S + 2/3D = 708) Slope=?
Slide 12
Simultaneous Change
The ranges of optimality found
6.3 ≤ CS≤ 13.5, while CD = ________
and 6.67 ≤ CD≤ 14.29 while CS = ________
which kept the optimal solution at S=_______ and D= ________.
The ranges are applicable when one parameter changes at a time.
Slide 14
Dual Price
Dual Price: The change (+ve means increase, -ve means decreast)
in the value of the objective function per unit increase in the RHS of
the constraint.
Slide 15
Range of Feasibility
The range of feasibility is the range over which the dual price is applicable.
• As the RHS increases, other constraints will become binding and limit the
change in the value of the objective function.
Slide 16
Relevant Cost and Sunk Cost
• A resource cost is a relevant cost if the amount paid for it
is dependent upon the amount of the resource used by
the decision variables.
• Relevant costs are reflected in the objective function
coefficients (i.e. considered in the derivation of the
coefficients) .
• A resource cost is a sunk cost if it must be paid
regardless of the amount of the resource actually used
by the decision variables.
• Sunk resource costs are not reflected in the objective
function coefficients (Hence, the sunk costs are not
affected by the outcome of the LP. Whatever is the
optimal solution, the cost would have been incurred).
Slide 17
Cautionary Note on the Interpretation of Dual Prices
• If the Resource cost is sunk
The dual price is the maximum amount you should be
willing to pay for one additional unit of the resource.
• If the Resource cost is relevant
The dual price is the maximum premium over the
normal cost that you should be willing to pay for one
unit of the resource (since the basic cost is already
considered when you derive the O.F, any additional
amount are in excess of the basic cost).
Slide 18
Sensitivity Analysis: Dual Price
The dual price for Sewing (C2) and Inspecting& packaging (C4)
=0 because these are ___________________.
Cutting &Dyeing (C1) and Finishing (C3) has dual price because
these are ___________________.
The dual price for Cutting & dyeing is $4.37 => One additional hr
to C&D increases profit by $4.37
The dual price for Finshing is $6.94 => One additional hr to
Finishing increases profit by $6.94
If Par has hire one additional staff, where shall this person be
deployed? Ans:____________
Slide 19
Sensitivity Analysis: Sunk Vs Relevant Cost
If labor cost is sunk cost, what is the maximum rate you are
willing to pay the additional staff?
Ans:
If labor cost is relevant cost, what is the maximum rate you are
willing to pay the additional staff?
Ans:
Slide 20
Range of Optimality
Slide 21
<5% mean very sensitive; <10% mean sensitive
Range of Optimality
Does the profit change even if the optimal solution is unchanged? (Y/N)
Slide 22
Range of Feasibility
Range of Optimality:
Range of Feasibility:
Slide 24
LP Model with more than 2 variables
Example: If Par Inc decides to add a lightweight model bag and
derived the following LP model for maximising the profit:
Slide 25
Question:
What is the maximum profit
achievable?
- Ans: $
Slide 29