AÑO TPDs %A %B %C A B1

1999 4279 56.6% 19.2% 24.2% 2420 822

2000 5630 67.3% 12.5% 20.2% 3789 702
2001 3385 55.5% 10.3% 34.3% 1877 348
2002 3300 50.1% 14.4% 35.5% 1653 475
2003 5449 64.7% 18.7% 16.7% 3524 1017
2004 3538 50.6% 12.4% 37.1% 1789 438
2005 4787 58.6% 10.4% 31.0% 2805 500
2006 5856 63.5% 16.3% 20.2% 3721 954
2007 5139 59.2% 18.0% 22.8% 3041 925
2008 5820 68.4% 12.9% 18.7% 3978 752
2009 4606 58.1% 12.3% 29.7% 2675 565
2010 7754 68.8% 18.5% 12.6% 5337 1438
2011 4802 52.9% 13.8% 33.2% 2541 665
2012 8848 69.6% 15.2% 15.2% 6161 1342
2013 8780 69.2% 18.7% 12.2% 6072 1640
2014 8542 69.1% 19.4% 11.5% 5902 1659
2015 6291 62.5% 17.9% 19.6% 3932 1124

Valores porcentuales
AÑO A B1
1999 100.0% 56.6% 19.2%
2000 100.0% 67.3% 12.5%
2001 100.0% 55.5% 10.3%
2002 100.0% 50.1% 14.4%
2003 100.0% 64.7% 18.7%
2004 100.0% 50.6% 12.4%
2005 100.0% 58.6% 10.4%
2006 100.0% 63.5% 16.3%
2007 100.0% 59.2% 18.0%
2008 100.0% 68.4% 12.9%
2009 100.0% 58.1% 12.3%
2010 100.0% 68.8% 18.5%
2011 100.0% 52.9% 13.8%
2012 100.0% 69.6% 15.2%
2013 100.0% 69.2% 18.7%
2014 100.0% 69.1% 19.4%
2015 100.0% 62.5% 17.9%
 2 2 3 2 S1 3 S1 4 2 S2 3 S2
166 163 152 107 123 167 38 48
7 261 226 85 81 7 212 6
8 118 200 26 255 212 117 105
63 73 212 142 254 205 80 137
172 5 328 27 60 87 33 9
40 302 37 278 29 110 99 170
161 207 154 327 42 165 88 27
231 150 225 149 121 211 31 54
228 116 138 112 161 67 211 80
140 77 109 186 36 8 201 243
203 92 7 185 214 102 157 186
89 160 158 83 120 144 108 73
205 198 292 34 206 293 87 78
168 190 281 7 105 259 67 170
194 219 203 126 33 5 173 33
141 46 105 104 144 119 98 105
96 45 220 21 108 228 94 248

2 2 3 2 S1 3 S1 4 2 S2 3 S2
3.9% 3.8% 3.6% 2.5% 2.9% 3.9% 0.9% 1.1%
0.1% 4.6% 4.0% 1.5% 1.4% 0.1% 3.8% 0.1%
0.2% 3.5% 5.9% 0.8% 7.5% 6.3% 3.5% 3.1%
1.9% 2.2% 6.4% 4.3% 7.7% 6.2% 2.4% 4.2%
3.2% 0.1% 6.0% 0.5% 1.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1.1% 8.5% 1.0% 7.9% 0.8% 3.1% 2.8% 4.8%
3.4% 4.3% 3.2% 6.8% 0.9% 3.4% 1.8% 0.6%
3.9% 2.6% 3.8% 2.5% 2.1% 3.6% 0.5% 0.9%
4.4% 2.3% 2.7% 2.2% 3.1% 1.3% 4.1% 1.6%
2.4% 1.3% 1.9% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 3.5% 4.2%
4.4% 2.0% 0.2% 4.0% 4.6% 2.2% 3.4% 4.0%
1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.1% 1.5% 1.9% 1.4% 0.9%
4.3% 4.1% 6.1% 0.7% 4.3% 6.1% 1.8% 1.6%
1.9% 2.1% 3.2% 0.1% 1.2% 2.9% 0.8% 1.9%
2.2% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 2.0% 0.4%
1.7% 0.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 1.4% 1.1% 1.2%
1.5% 0.7% 3.5% 0.3% 1.7% 3.6% 1.5% 3.9%
3 S3
73
254
119
6
187
246
311
9
60
90
220
44
203
98
82
119
175

3 S3
1.7%
4.5%
3.5%
0.2%
3.4%
7.0%
6.5%
0.2%
1.2%
1.5%
4.8%
0.6%
4.2%
1.1%
0.9%
1.4%
2.8%
Ta 3.0%
Tg 2.0%
Ti 5.0%

FD 60.0%
FDC 83.0%

AÑO TPDs B1 2 2 3 2 S1 3 S1
EALF 3.4367 3.2846 3.4367 4.6206 6.4370 7.7729
1999 4279 19.21% 3.88% 3.81% 3.55% 2.50% 2.87%
2000 5630 12.47% 0.12% 4.64% 4.01% 1.51% 1.44%
2001 3385 10.28% 0.24% 3.49% 5.91% 0.77% 7.53%
2002 3300 14.39% 1.91% 2.21% 6.42% 4.30% 7.70%
2003 5449 18.66% 3.16% 0.09% 6.02% 0.50% 1.10%
2004 3538 12.38% 1.13% 8.54% 1.05% 7.86% 0.82%
2005 4787 10.44% 3.36% 4.32% 3.22% 6.83% 0.88%
2006 5856 16.29% 3.94% 2.56% 3.84% 2.54% 2.07%
2007 5139 18.00% 4.44% 2.26% 2.69% 2.18% 3.13%
2008 5820 12.92% 2.41% 1.32% 1.87% 3.20% 0.62%
2009 4606 12.27% 4.41% 2.00% 0.15% 4.02% 4.65%
2010 7754 18.55% 1.15% 2.06% 2.04% 1.07% 1.55%
2011 4802 13.85% 4.27% 4.12% 6.08% 0.71% 4.29%
2012 8848 15.17% 1.90% 2.15% 3.18% 0.08% 1.19%
2013 8780 18.68% 2.21% 2.49% 2.31% 1.44% 0.38%
2014 8542 19.42% 1.65% 0.54% 1.23% 1.22% 1.69%
2015 6291 17.87% 1.53% 0.72% 3.50% 0.33% 1.72%
 4 2 S2 3 S2 3 S3
NE
4.7273 7.7729 8.9568 6.1490
3.90% 0.89% 1.12% 1.71% 1,572,902
0.12% 3.77% 0.11% 4.51% 1,689,113
6.26% 3.46% 3.10% 3.52% 1,581,295
6.21% 2.42% 4.15% 0.18% 1,682,052
1.60% 0.61% 0.17% 3.43% 1,551,919
3.11% 2.80% 4.80% 6.95% 1,753,082
3.45% 1.84% 0.56% 6.50% 1,855,089
3.60% 0.53% 0.92% 0.15% 1,769,176
1.30% 4.11% 1.56% 1.17% 1,904,544
0.14% 3.45% 4.18% 1.55% 1,836,002
2.21% 3.41% 4.04% 4.78% 2,010,230
1.86% 1.39% 0.94% 0.57% 1,989,866
6.10% 1.81% 1.62% 4.23% 2,064,467
2.93% 0.76% 1.92% 1.11% 2,261,075
0.06% 1.97% 0.38% 0.93% 2,137,566
1.39% 1.15% 1.23% 1.39% 2,212,645
3.62% 1.49% 3.94% 2.78% 2,181,485
L18 18.00 kips
L2s 1

Pt 2.5
SN 5

G -0.2009
b18 0.5001

Eje 1 Eje 2 Eje 3 Eje 1

Tipo Vehículo 
P (ton) Lx L2x bx
Buses Bus 1
6 11 13.23 kips 1 0.43931053
2 5 11 11.02 kips 1 0.42282101
2 6 11 13.23 kips 1 0.43931053
3 6 22 13.23 kips 1 0.43931053
2 S1 5 11 11 11.02 kips 1 0.42282101
Camiones 3 S1 6 22 11 13.23 kips 1 0.43931053
4 12 22 26.46 kips 2 0.43931053
2 S2 6 11 22 13.23 kips 1 0.43931053
3 S2 6 22 22 13.23 kips 1 0.43931053
3 S3 6 22 24 13.23 kips 1 0.43931053
1 Eje 2 Eje 3
EALF Lx L2 bx EALF Lx L2 bx
0.2843 24.25 kips 1 0.6507447 3.1524
0.1323 24.25 kips 1 0.6507447 3.1524
0.2843 24.25 kips 1 0.6507447 3.1524
0.2843 48.50 kips 2 0.6507447 4.3362
0.1323 24.25 kips 1 0.6507447 3.1524 24.25 kips 1 0.65
0.2843 48.50 kips 2 0.6507447 4.3362 24.25 kips 1 0.65
0.3911 48.50 kips 2 0.6507447 4.3362
0.2843 24.25 kips 1 0.6507447 3.1524 48.50 kips 2 0.65
0.2843 48.50 kips 2 0.6507447 4.3362 48.50 kips 2 0.65
0.2843 48.50 kips 2 0.6507447 4.3362 52.91 kips 3 0.49
3
EALF 
EALF
3.437
3.285
3.437
4.621
3.1524 6.437
3.1524 7.773
4.727
4.3362 7.773
4.3362 8.957
1.5285 6.149
METODO SIMPLIFICADO
Pavimento Flexible

k 1
a 4

Eje 1 Eje 2 Eje 3 Eje 1 Eje 2 Eje 3

Tipo Vehículo 
P (ton) Pref
Buses Bus 1
6 11 6.6 8.2
2 5 11 6.6 8.2
2 6 11 6.6 8.2
3 6 22 6.6 15
2 S1 5 11 11 6.6 8.2 8.2
Camiones 3 S1 6 22 11 6.6 15 8.2
4 12 22 15 15
2 S2 6 11 22 6.6 8.2 15
3 S2 6 22 22 6.6 15 15
3 S3 6 22 24 6.6 15 23
Eje 1 Eje 2 Eje 3
FC
FC
0.6830 3.2383 3.9213
0.3294 3.2383 3.5677
0.6830 3.2383 3.9213
0.6830 4.6273 5.3103
0.3294 3.2383 3.2383 6.8060
0.6830 4.6273 3.2383 8.5486
0.4096 4.6273 5.0369
0.6830 3.2383 4.6273 8.5486
0.6830 4.6273 4.6273 9.9376
0.6830 4.6273 1.1856 6.4959
Estructura Rígido

k 1

Eje 1 Eje 2 Eje 3 Eje 1 Eje 2 Eje 3

Tipo Vehículo 
P (ton) Pref
Buses Bus1 6 11 6 8.2
2 5 11 6 8.2
2 6 11 6 8.2
3 6 22 6 13.2
2 S1 5 11 11 6 8.2 8.2
Camiones 3 S1 6 22 11 6 13.2 8.2
4 12 22 13.2 13.2
2 S2 6 11 22 6 8.2 13.2
3 S2 6 22 22 6 13.2 13.2
3 S3 6 22 24 6 13.2 18.4
Eje 1 Eje 2 Eje 3 Eje 1 Eje 2 Eje 3
FC
a FC
4 4.5 1.0000 3.7506 4.7506
4 4.5 0.4823 3.7506 4.2329
4 4.5 1.0000 3.7506 4.7506
4 4.2 1.0000 8.5460 9.5460
4 4.5 4.5 0.4823 3.7506 3.7506 7.9835
4 4.2 4.5 1.0000 8.5460 3.7506 13.2967
4.2 4.2 0.6701 8.5460 9.2162
4 4.5 1.0000 3.7506 1.0000 5.7506
4 4.2 1.0000 8.5460 1.0000 10.5460
4 4.2 1.0000 8.5460 1.0000 10.5460
Estructura Flexible

a 5
Pref 13.00 ton

Eje 1 Eje 2 Eje 3 Eje 1 Eje 2 Eje 3

Tipo Vehículo 
P (ton) k
Buses Bus1 6 11 1 1
2 5 11 1 1
2 6 11 1 1
3 6 22 1 0.75
2 S1 5 11 11 1 1 1
Camiones 3 S1 6 22 11 1 0.75 1
4 12 22 0.75 0.75
2 S2 6 11 22 1 1 0.75
3 S2 6 22 22 1 0.75 0.75
3 S3 6 22 24 1 0.75 1.1
Eje 1 Eje 2 Eje 3 Eje 1 Eje 2 Eje 3
A
i A
1 1 0.0209 0.4338 0.4547
1 1 0.0084 0.4338 0.4422
1 1 0.0209 0.4338 0.4547
1 2 0.0209 0.3253 0.3463
1 1 1 0.0084 0.4338 0.4338 0.8759
1 2 1 0.0209 0.3253 0.4338 0.7800
2 2 0.0157 0.3253 0.3410
1 1 2 0.0209 0.4338 0.3253 0.7800
1 2 2 0.0209 0.3253 0.3253 0.6716
1 2 3 0.0209 0.3253 0.0971 0.4433
 Dato AÑO a NE8.2 a²
1 1999 0 1,572,902 0
2 2000 1 1,689,113 1
3 2001 2 1,581,296 4
4 2002 3 1,682,052 9
5 2003 4 1,551,918 16
6 2004 5 1,753,082 25
7 2005 6 1,855,089 36
8 2006 7 1,769,175 49
9 2007 8 1,904,544 64
10 2008 9 1,836,002 81
11 2009 10 2,010,230 100
12 2010 11 1,989,866 121
13 2011 12 2,064,467 144
14 2012 13 2,261,075 169
15 2013 14 2,137,566 196
16 2014 15 2,212,645 225
17 2015 16 2,181,484 256

Lineal

N 17
Sa 136
SNE 32052506
Sa² 1496
SaNE 274323820
SNE² 61,307,126,189,834

Proyección Lineal
2,500,000

f(x) = 43881.7941176471 x + 1534387.17647059

2,000,000 R² = 0.898912364952638

1,500,000
NE

1,000,000

500,000

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18

Años

MANUAL EXCEL
NEo 1,534,387.18 1,534,387.18
m 43,881.79 43,881.79
r 2.86% 2.86%
R² 0.898912 0.898912
a año

Años (periodo
Dato AÑO a NE8.2
de diseño)

1 2021 22 0 2,499,786.65
2 2022 23 1 2,543,668.44
3 2023 24 2 2,587,550.24
4 2024 25 3 2,631,432.03
5 2025 26 4 2,675,313.82
6 2026 27 5 2,719,195.62
7 2027 28 6 2,763,077.41
8 2028 29 7 2,806,959.21
9 2029 30 8 2,850,841.00
10 2030 31 9 2,894,722.79
11 2031 32 10 2,938,604.59
12 2032 33 11 2,982,486.38
13 2033 34 12 3,026,368.18
14 2034 35 13 3,070,249.97
15 2035 36 14 3,114,131.76
16 2036 37 15 3,158,013.56

Ajuste por Confiabilidad

Cálculos con la serie histórica:

Nh 17

NE8.2 NE8.2
AÑO a (NE8.2_r-NE8.2_m)² (a-a^)²
(real) (modelado)
1999 0 1,572,902 1,534,387 1,483,391,631.50 64.0
2000 1 1,689,113 1,578,269 12,286,398,856.24 49.0
2001 2 1,581,296 1,622,151 1,669,111,799.17 36.0
2002 3 1,682,052 1,666,033 256,622,495.61 25.0
2003 4 1,551,918 1,709,914 24,962,847,542.71 16.0
2004 5 1,753,082 1,753,796 510,006.02 9.0
2005 6 1,855,089 1,797,678 3,296,029,675.24 4.0
2006 7 1,769,175 1,841,560 5,239,549,903.60 1.0
2007 8 1,904,544 1,885,442 364,904,382.57 0.0
2008 9 1,836,002 1,929,323 8,708,869,425.28 1.0
2009 10 2,010,230 1,973,205 1,370,841,913.25 4.0
 2010 11 1,989,866 2,017,087 740,978,037.30 9.0
2011 12 2,064,467 2,060,969 12,238,061.73 16.0
2012 13 2,261,075 2,104,851 24,406,094,400.25 25.0
2013 14 2,137,566 2,148,732 124,686,124.32 36.0
2014 15 2,212,645 2,192,614 401,237,426.13 49.0
2015 16 2,181,484 2,236,496 3,026,307,200.01 64.0
136 88,350,618,880.94 408.0

s 76746.60
a 8.0
a 408.0

Cálculos con datos proyección del periodo de diseño:

Nproy 16 Número de años analizados en la proyección

R 75% Confiabilidad
ZR 0.6745 Desviación estandar de confiabilidad

Años (periodo
Dato AÑO a NE8.2_mod (a-a^)²
de diseño)

1 2021 22 0 2,499,786.65 196.0

2 2022 23 1 2,543,668.44 225.0
3 2023 24 2 2,587,550.24 256.0
4 2024 25 3 2,631,432.03 289.0
5 2025 26 4 2,675,313.82 324.0
6 2026 27 5 2,719,195.62 361.0
7 2027 28 6 2,763,077.41 400.0
8 2028 29 7 2,806,959.21 441.0
9 2029 30 8 2,850,841.00 484.0
10 2030 31 9 2,894,722.79 529.0
11 2031 32 10 2,938,604.59 576.0
12 2032 33 11 2,982,486.38 625.0
13 2033 34 12 3,026,368.18 676.0
14 2034 35 13 3,070,249.97 729.0
15 2035 36 14 3,114,131.76 784.0
16 2036 37 15 3,158,013.56 841.0

NEo 1,517,620.82
m 46,371.09
r 3.06%

a 22
NEa 2,537,784.77
n 15
FP 18.44

NE 46,790,282.84
 aNE NE² logNE alogNE
0 2,474,020,701,604 6.196702 0
1689113 2,853,102,726,769 6.227659 6.22765870442
3162592 2,500,497,039,616 6.199013 12.3980263447
5046156 2,829,298,930,704 6.225839 18.6775182532
6207672 2,408,449,478,724 6.190869 24.7634750814
8765410 3,073,296,498,724 6.243802 31.219011153
11130534 3,441,355,197,921 6.268365 37.6101885013
12384225 3,129,980,180,625 6.247771 43.7343955564
15236352 3,627,287,847,936 6.279791 50.2383280837
16524018 3,370,903,344,004 6.263873 56.3748583496
20102300 4,041,024,652,900 6.303246 63.0324574997
21888526 3,959,566,697,956 6.298824 69.2870621462
24773604 4,262,023,994,089 6.314808 75.7776953421
29393975 5,112,460,155,625 6.354315 82.6060945861
29925924 4,569,188,404,356 6.329920 88.6188734618
33189675 4,895,797,896,025 6.344912 95.1736761101
34903744 4,758,872,442,256 6.338752 101.420032512

Exponencial

N 17
Sa 136
SlogNE 106.628459
Sa² 1496
SalogNE 857.159351686
SlogNE² 669

Proyección Exp
2,500,000

f(x) = 1553277.55689006 exp( 0.02331

2,000,000 R² = 0.897319783716414

1,500,000
NE

1,000,000

500,000

0
0 2 4 6 8

Año

MANUAL
NEo 1,553,277.56
m 1.023591
r 2.359147%
R² 0.897320
sproy C NE8.2_corr

56,547.83 38,140.93 2,537,927.58

60,135.78 40,560.97 2,584,229.41
63,748.25 42,997.54 2,630,547.78
67,381.30 45,448.00 2,676,880.03
71,031.78 47,910.21 2,723,224.03
74,697.12 50,382.44 2,769,578.06
78,375.24 52,863.29 2,815,940.71
82,064.42 55,351.61 2,862,310.82
85,763.24 57,846.43 2,908,687.43
89,470.50 60,346.93 2,955,069.73
93,185.19 62,852.46 3,001,457.04
96,906.46 65,362.42 3,047,848.80
100,633.58 67,876.32 3,094,244.49
104,365.92 70,393.74 3,140,643.71
108,102.94 72,914.33 3,187,046.09
111,844.18 75,437.75 3,233,451.31
 logNE²
38.40
38.78
38.43
38.76
38.33
38.99
39.29
39.03
39.44
39.24
39.73
39.68
39.88
40.38
40.07
40.26
40.18

Proyección Exponencial

(x) = 1553277.55689006 exp( 0.0233174889441325 x )

² = 0.897319783716414

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18

Años

EXCEL
1,553,277.56
1.023591 0.023317
2.359147% 2.359147%
0.897320 Nota: el valor del gráfico no coincide!.