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https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-017-3330-4
ORIGINAL PAPER
Abstract
Qatar is an arid country with limited water resources due to the low amount of rainfall it receives. With no surface water and an
average annual rainfall of 80 mm per year, Qatar relies upon desalination to meet the increasing domestic water demand. The
average annual rainfall recharge is around 60 million m3, whereas the total groundwater abstraction is 250 million m3 per year. As
a result, groundwater level drops dramatically, thereby inducing brackish water upconing and saline water intrusion. Desalination
provides 99% of domestic water demand, which increases continuously as a result of the influx of migrants into the country. The
current capacity of desalination plants in Qatar is around 540 million m3 per year. Around 30% of this volume is being lost as a
result of leakage in the water system network, and the rest is used for domestic purposes. This paper discusses three different
scenarios of water demand until the year 2040. The results of these scenarios show water demand will vary between 516 and
2718 million m3 in the year 2040, depending upon the various trends in population growth, and assuming the current per capita of
500 l/day. The results of this study highlight the need for water rationing and conservation and may help the planners of future
water demand.
Keywords Qatar . Water management . Forecast scenarios . Domestic water demand . Groundwater . Desalination
groundwater recharge to increase water security. Qatar and demand situation to understand the complexity of these
Electricity and Water Corporation (Kahramaa) is planning to challenges and to put a roadmap to overcome them.
build mega reservoir (on-land tanks) for domestic water sup- This paper reviews the status of water resources and de-
ply, which may increase water security to 7 days, from current mands in Qatar and considers three forecast scenarios: opti-
2 days. This is not comparable to aquifer storage and recovery, mistic, moderate, and pessimistic. The study also suggests
where the storage capacity is much higher. initiatives and measures to improve the sustainability of water
Treated wastewater can be used to meet a substantial por- resources development.
tion of the non-domestic water demand, if probably utilized
and managed (Ouda 2015). Currently, treated wastewater pro-
duced in Qatar is not fully utilized, as most of it is being Water resources status in Qatar
discharged to open fields. A small proportion (14%) of the
treated wastewater is being used for landscaping purposes Qatar is located in an extreme desert environment with an
and for fodder crops (Qatar General Secretariat for average annual rainfall of about 80 mm. The rainfall is low,
Development Planning 2011). variable, unpredictable, and highly erratic in time and space
The scarcity of renewable water resources and the ever- while the annual rate of evaporation is more than 2000 mm
increasing water demand for various economic sectors are (Al-Kaabi 1987). Accordingly, rainfall recharge is far below
the major challenges Qatar sustainable development is facing. the country’s domestic and agricultural demand. The country
It is essential to investigate and to analyze the water supply does not have any natural surface watercourses such as rivers
Arab J Geosci (2017) 10:537 Page 3 of 12 537
or lakes (Abu Sukar et al. 2007; Ali et al. 2014). Qatar utilizes Table 1 Groundwater balance as per 2014
one conventional and two non-conventional water resources Component Inflow (million m3) Outflow (million m3)
to satisfy the expanding domestic, industrial, and agricultural
water demands. Groundwater is the conventional source, Net rainfall recharge 60 –
while non-conventional sources include desalinated seawater Lateral inflow into aquifer 2 –
and treated wastewater (Ali et al. 2014). Irrigation return flow 55 –
Abstraction (for agriculture) 250
Total 117 250
Groundwater Discrepancy −133
Fig. 2 Total dissolved solids (TDS) in groundwater [mg/l] in 1971 and 2009 (Schlumberger Water Services 2009)
located in the outskirt of Doha City, and one at the western Treated wastewater
coast of the country (Dukhan). The total produced water
from desalination plants is 1.48 million m3, which is equiv- Treated wastewater provides about 14% of Qatari total water
alent to 540 million m3 per year. demand. Wastewater treatment started in Qatar in the early
1970s, but the usage of treated wastewater is limited while (excluding oil and gas). Oil and gas industries have developed
farmers and public are suspicious about its quality. Treated their own desalination plants for water supply purposes. To
wastewater can be a good source of water, especially in a meet the growing demand for various sectors and given the
country like Qatar with scarce water resources. The treated country limited water resources, the country strategy in water
wastewater is around 330 million m3 per year. Currently, consumption is to use groundwater for agriculture, desalinated
50% of treated wastewater is used for landscaping (Ali et al. water for domestic water, and the reclaimed treated wastewa-
2014) and to produce forage crops (Almuhanadi 2006). If the ter for the irrigation of forage crops and landscaping (Darwish
whole volume of the treated wastewater is used, it can cover and Mohtar 2012). A similar strategy has been adopted in the
all the irrigation demand without any need for groundwater neighboring country such as Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
abstraction. Figure 4 shows the treated and reused amounts of (KSA), which considered desalinated water as the country
wastewater in Qatar over the period from 2004 to 2011 (Ali strategic supply source for domestic water demand (Ouda
et al. 2014). 2015).
While the focus of this paper is on domestic water demand,
it is important to present a quick overview of the agricultural
water demand for several reasons. The agriculture water de-
Water demand overview mand consumes a significant part of the water budget in the
country, which would otherwise be used for domestic supply.
High-water demand by the wealthy has become a common The environmental problems associated with over-pumping,
phenomenon in the developed world (Al-Mohannadi et al. in addition to other reasons related to water security, prompted
2003) and is emerging in the Gulf Collaborations Council an artificial recharge project, which will rely on desalinated
Countries (GCC) in unprecedented level (Ouda 2014a, b). water to artificially recharge the aquifer. As a consequence,
Qatar has witnessed massive socioeconomic development this will put more pressure on desalination plants in the
over the last five decades coupled with a sharp increase in country.
population and urbanization growth rate resulted from high Prior to the discovery of the fossil fuel, Qatar’s economy
fossil-fuel revenue. The water demand per sector in 2012 relied on fishing and pearl industry. In 1956, there were only
was 59% agriculture, 39% domestic, and 2% industry 119 farms over 86 ha of land, which increased to more than
12,935 ha in 2006 (Almuhanadi 2006). This increase in farm-
ing is due to economic development from fossil-fuel revenue.
As the country is dry, agriculture is completely dependent on
irrigation. Given the almost cost-free access to groundwater,
farmers have used mainly open channels and flooding irriga-
tion system. Currently, 75% of agriculture land is irrigated
with this system. The open canal and flooding irrigation sys-
tem is the least financial intense system and characterized by
low water application efficiency where a substantial portion of
irrigation water is lost for evaporation. Farmers pay a small
pumping charge but otherwise, have free use of groundwater
(Qatar General Secretariat for Development Planning 2011).
Fig. 4 Treated and reused wastewater amounts (Al Mansouri 2014) As a result of this policy, groundwater abstraction has
537 Page 6 of 12 Arab J Geosci (2017) 10:537
increased from 44 million m 3 in 1974 (Kimrey 1985; locals) fill their swimming pools, wash their cars, and water
Baalousha 2016c) to about 250 million m3 per year in 2013 their backyards using the freely available desalinated water.
(Ali et al. 2014). Figure 5 shows the trend in groundwater Other factors affecting water demand is the high leakage
abstraction for the period between 1976 and 2009. Around through the network, which also includes illegal connections.
70% of abstraction takes place in the northern part of the This loss amounts to approximately one third of the total de-
country, where the groundwater quality is better than else- salinated water supply (Qatar General Secretariat for
where. The total number of different purpose wells is more Development Planning 2011).
than 8500 (Schlumberger Water Services 2009). The total vol-
ume of abstracted groundwater over the last few years is
around 250 million m3 per year. Domestic water demand
To manage the depletion of the groundwater resources,
Qatar’s government has issued the ministerial decree no. 20 The high population, urbanization, and standards of leaving
on BRationalizing the use of groundwater and preventing its growth coupled with the development of water supply infra-
deterioration^; the decree banned the digging of new produc- structure have resulted in a substantial increase in domestic
tion wells to prevent this over-extraction. Furthermore, the water demand. The population of Qatar has increased from
Qatari government set its goals to protect and sustain its nat- about 50,000 in 1955 to about 2.5 million in 2016 (Al-
ural environment, and the decree was amended and a pro- Mohannadi et al. 2003; Ministry of Development Planning
posed banning of the existing wells in the specific areas under and Statistics 2016; Trading Economics 2016). The develop-
a groundwater salinity < 2000 ppm for irrigating fodder crops ment of water supply infrastructure, including desalination
in 2008. (Ali et al. 2014). plants and the relatively low water tariff, has resulted in a
significant increase in per capita water consumption. The per
capita consumption has increased from about 29 m3 per year
Water demand key factors (80 l per capita per day) in the 1960 (Al-Mohannadi et al.
2003) to about 182 m3 per year (500 l per capita per day) in
Domestic water demand is the biggest challenge facing the 2012 (Gulf times 2013), with a total consumption of about
country of Qatar, as the agricultural demand is almost steady 500 million m3 in 2013.
over the last few years. No expansion of irrigation land took Table 3 below summarizes the sustainable water resources’
place due to depletion and increases in the salinity of ground- yields from both conventional and non-conventional sources
water and absent of fertile soil and agricultural land in 2014 and the water demand for the various economic sec-
(Baalousha 2016b). tors. The table shows that Qatar cannot meet its present de-
The main factor affecting domestic water demand is the mand based on conventional water resource (groundwater)
population increase, which has seen a sharp jump in the last and needs to utilize the non-conventional source. The present
few years. Several large projects such as underground train supply capacity of the non-conventional and conventional wa-
network and stadiums building for the anticipated World ter resources can satisfy the current demand from all sectors.
Cup in 2022 have created a large influx of expats into the
country. This put high stresses on the limited water resources
of the country. The other key factor is related to the socioeco- Water demand strategies
nomic development of the country and the full subsidy of
water and energy for locals. As a result, the water consump- The Qatar General Electricity and Water Corporation
tion per capita is the highest in the world. People (mainly (Kahramaa), which is responsible for water resources in the
Table 3 Qatar sustainable water resources yields vs. water demand country is highly needed to understand the long-term implica-
Water resources sustainable yields 3
Quantity (million m /year) tion of this approach on desalinated water industry and the
country water budget. Domestic water demand depends on
Groundwater 62 several variables, variables, including population, urbaniza-
Surface water 0 tion, standard of livings, climate conditions, and climate
Total conventional sources 62 changes.
Treated wastewater 330 The population of Qatar has increased from about 50,000
Desalinated water 540 in 1955 to about 2.5 million in 2016 with an average annual
Total non-conventional sources 870 growth rate of about 7.4% as shown in Fig. 6 (Al-Mohannadi
Total water resource yields 932 et al. 2003; Ministry of Development Planning and Statistics
Water demand 2016; Trading Economics 2016). The population growth dur-
Domestic 500 ing this period can be referred to two main sources: the natural
Agricultural 250 growth and the flux of economic migrants to satisfy the eco-
Total 750 nomic development needs for workers. The Qatari citizen
forms only 12% of the 2014 population while the rest are
*No information is available on industrial water demand. Fossil-fuel in- expatriate workers (Snoje 2014). During the 50-year period,
dustry, the main industry in Qatar, has its own water sources
(desalination) while small-scale industry demand is mixed within domes-
the population growth rate fluctuated heavily; the peak annual
tic water demand growth reported in the period from 2006 to 2010 and reach
about 14.5% while the growth went down up to 0.8% during
country has initiated several projects to increase water security the period from 1991 to 1995 as shown in Fig. 7. It is worth to
in the country. The main is building mega reservoirs (i.e., notice that the state of population growth can be highly related
tanks) that can accommodate 5-day domestic water demand to the state of the economy in the country which is historically
(7.5 million m3). Once completed, these reservoirs will in- dependent on fossil-fuel prices. Figure 7 shows a strong cor-
crease the domestic water security from the currently 2 to relation between changes in crude oil prices and the popula-
7 days. tion growth where periods associated with high crude oil price
In addition, Kahramaa is working on reducing water losses growth typically followed by high population growth period.
in the distribution network through rehabilitation of the net- This fact makes the forecast of Qatari population, and domes-
work regularly. On the consumption side, Kahramaa has ini- tic water demands a challenging task.
tiated a conservation program called (Tarsheed) to reduce con-
sumption through public awareness. Some studies are being
done to explore the possibility of using solar and nuclear en-
ergy for water production. Forecast methodology
Some other projects initiated by Kahramaa in cooperation
with stakeholders and international partners include looking To forecast the future domestic demand, three scenarios of
into unconventional water resources such as domestic water demand were developed: optimistic, moder-
paleogroundwater at the coastal areas. ate, and pessimistic. These scenarios are based on projection
of population growth. The optimistic scenario was developed
to stimulate the Qatar government plan to increase the effi-
ciency of water use and reduce the per capita water consump-
Domestic water demand forecast tion level to 300 l per capita per day (LCD) coupled with a
Fig. 7 Population growth rate and percentage changes in crude oil price from the year 1961 to 2015 (Analysis after Statista 2016 and Trading Economics
2016)
population growth of 2.5%. The moderate scenario was based consumer water demand for the forecast period. The re-
on a comprehensive historical review of the population, stan- duction of consumer water demand requires the imple-
dards of living, and socioeconomic development growth mentation of intensive demand management measures
trends. The scenario presents a midway between the optimistic such as public awareness campaigns for water conserva-
scenario of water demand development and the historical tion, restructuring the current water tariffs system, and
trend of water demands growth. The pessimistic scenario re- increasing the performance of the water distribution sys-
flects the historical water demand trends over the last five tem. It has been assumed all domestic water demand will
decades to the future. Simply, the history repeats itself. The be supplied from desalination. The following formula was
key assumptions for the three scenarios are presented in utilized to calculate the annual desalination water demand
Table 4. for the three scenarios.
The year 2015 was considered the start year for scenar-
ios’ developments. The year 2040 was selected as the P0 ð1 þ GD ÞN i LCD0 ð1 þ Gw ÞN i 365
scenario’s end year. The optimistic scenario assumes an WDi ¼
1000
annual decrease of consumer water demand of 2% to
reach about 300 LCD by the end of the forecast period. where WDi is the desalinated water demand in the ith year
The moderate scenario assumes 0.5% diminishing rate, in million m3/year, P0 is the 2015 population (start year)
while the pessimistic scenario assumes no change on in million, Ni is the number of year in future from the
start year, GD is the population growth rate %, LCD0 is desalination production capacity. The forecast results pose a
the consumer water demand at the start year (500 LCD), huge challenge to Qatari water officials towards maintaining
and Gw is the consumer water demand growth rate %. the growth in domestic water demand with the optimistic sce-
nario level otherwise substantial investment will be needed to
expand the desalination and water supply infrastructure. This
Forecast results will be again a key challenge to the country in the long run due
to furcation in fossil-fuel international prices. The following
The population forecast results for the three scenarios are pre- section will discuss the various measures available to Qatar to
sented in Fig. 8. The population is projected to increase by enhance the sustainability of the water resource’s development
almost twofold based on the optimistic scenario, and about in the country.
sixfold based on the pessimistic scenario. This substantial in-
crease in population requires careful consideration in the
country strategic planning. Maintaining the historical trend Ways towards sustainability
level of population growth (pessimistic scenario) resulted in
tremendous pressure on the country natural resources. Worth The review of water resource’s status and the forecast of do-
to notice, the substantial historical growth of Qatar’s popula- mestic water demand show that the sustainability of water in
tion was mainly resulted from the influx of expatriate workers Qatar is at a great risk. The abstraction of groundwater water is
to cover the socioeconomic development needs during the many folds higher than its replenishment rate. Groundwater
previous period. use is economically and technically inefficient, as it is mainly
The results of domestic water demand forecast for the three being used for the agriculture sector through the open basin
scenarios are presented in Fig. 8. The optimistic scenario, if irrigation system. The per capita water demand is the highest
realized, shows a total domestic water demand of about in the world. The country depends solely on the costly desali-
516 million m3/year, in year 2040. Given the current desali- nated water for domestic water supply, which is a major security
nation capacity of about 540 million m3/year, no further ex- concern for a country located in a politically unstable region.
pansion in desalination is required and the government needs Desalination has substantial environmental impacts such as
only to invest on maintaining the current capacity assuming greenhouse gases’ emissions and thermal pollution of the ma-
elimination of losses in the water system. The moderate sce- rine environment, which diminished the sustainability of the
nario, if realized, shows a total domestic water demand of system. Furthermore, the country’s ability to cover the cost of
about 1200 million m3/year in 2040, which is about twofold desalinated water demand, in the long run, is questionable given
higher than the 2015 domestic water demand and the existing the fluctuated fossil-fuel prices. The use of treated wastewater is
desalination production capacity (Fig. 9). The pessimistic sce- limited to fodder agriculture and landscape irrigation, in spite
nario, if realized, shows a total domestic water demand of the great value of treated wastewater as a non-conventional
about 2700 million m3/year in 2040 which is fivefold higher water supply source for all economic sectors. Currently, less
than the 2015 domestic water demand and existing than 50% of treated wastewater is used and the rest is being
discharged to open sea. Many initiatives and measures are high- iii). The promotion and encouragement of the use of treated
ly needed towards improving the sustainability of water re- wastewater for all sectors, including industrial applica-
sources’ development in the country including the following: tions for cooling and processing, landscape, non-potable
domestic use, and different types of crops’ irrigation.
i). The development of water management strategy aims at There is a need to enhance the treated wastewater quality
the sustainable development of the country water re- to match the quality need for the various sectors. The
sources with clear objectives, implementation plan, and country needs to develop treated wastewater reuse
key performance indicators. The strategy shall evaluate guidelines and standards for each economic sector.
the water resources’ sustainable supply capacities and iv). The promotion and encouragement of using injection
plans to optimize the utilization of the water resources wells to recharge the aquifer by treated wastewater and
in a sustainable manner. Furthermore, the strategy shall collecting from the occasional storm and treated waste-
coordinate and integrate the work of water agencies, elim- water. In this direction and towards improving the coun-
inate wasteful practices, adopt an advanced and appropri- try water security, Qatar Environment and Energy
ate technology, and constrain extravagant or unnecessary Research Institute (QEERI) initiated a project on aquifer
consumption. storage and recovery. The project aims at mitigating the
ii). The development and implementation of water conser- adverse effects of overexploitation of groundwater,
vation program for all water sectors. This might include countering the seawater intrusion and increasing the na-
raising public awareness and education, using water con- tional water security. At present, the country relies solely
servation measures, restructuring water tariff to be used on desalination to meet the increasing demand for water.
as a demand management measure for water conserva- The produced water from desalination plant meets 2 days
tion, install water meter for each consumer, prohibition of demand (Qatar General Electricity and Water
of the inefficient irrigation system, abandon of illegal Corporation (Kahramaa) 2015) as no large storage facil-
groundwater wells, and significantly reduce the unac- ity exists. In case of emergency or failure of a plant,
counted for water in the water distribution network. there will be no enough water supplies. Therefore,
Qatar National Vision 2030 highlights the need for effec- Aquifer Storage and Recovery (ASR) are necessary as
tive water pricing system in the country and stated, BIn it can store huge amounts of water that meets the country
general, underpricing or zero-pricing practices sustain needs for months. It is important to consider all
overuse and do not reflect the scarcity value of water. hydrogeological and environmental factors to establish
They potentially compromise intergenerational equity. a successful artificial recharge scheme. The most chal-
Water pricing needs to reflect the true value of water so lenging issue is to find the appropriate location for re-
that governments do not end up subsidizing the depletion charge to maximize recovery and maintain a good
of an essential natural resource^. quality.
Arab J Geosci (2017) 10:537 Page 11 of 12 537
v). Increasing water security by importing water from other wastewater use in addition to evaluating importing water
countries (i.e., Turkey and Iran) through pipes was con- option would help resolve water demand problem.
sidered in the early 1990s. However, this option was
disregarded due to political and economic reasons. It
was estimated the cost of importing water nears the cost
of desalination (Almuhanadi 2006). The political insta- References
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