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As of 2018, the world’s main primary energy sources consisted of petroleum (34%), coal (27%),
and natural gas (24%), amounting to an 85% share for fossil fuels in primary energy
consumption in the world. A large-scale transition away from fossil energy poses a great
challenge for society. The current consumption of energy is tremendous. It is hard to imagine
that we can rely on one source of energy.
Global direct primary energy consumption in 2020 was about 160,000 TWh (576 exajoules or
545 quadrillions BTU). Assuming that the calorific value of hard coal is 24 GJ / t, then we are
talking about the equivalent of 24 billion metric tons of coal. That’s about 20 billion cubic
meters. This is equivalent to three hundred million wagons of coal or to a mountain of coal 4
times larger than Mount Kilimanjaro.
Global direct primary energy consumption in 2020 was about 160,000 TWh (576 exajoules or
545 quadrillions BTU).
This is equivalent to three hundred million wagons of coal or to a mountain of coal 4 times
larger than Mount Kilimanjaro.
The world’s main primary energy sources consisted of petroleum (34%), coal (27%), and natural
gas (24%), amounting to an 85% share for fossil fuels in primary energy consumption in the
world.
To achieve a low-carbon economy, electricity generation has to triple and it must be based on
low-carbon sources.
Hydrogen and electricity are produced from primary energy, we cannot say that they have the
potential to offset fossil fuels.
All energy transformations are associated with energy losses.
It is desirable to minimize the number of energy conversions and to use highly efficient
conversions.
Daily energy storage does not pose a problem. The problem is energy storage to cover the whole
year and seasons.
Variable renewable energy sources are not dispatchable due to their fluctuating nature, such as
wind power and solar power. When it’s cloudy or the wind isn’t blowing, the grid needs more
energy from other sources.
The MIT analysis shows a big share of nuclear, a big share of renewables, and some storage is
the best mix that is low-carbon, reliable, and at the lowest cost.
Taking out existing nuclear power plants completely destroys gains with renewables such as
wind, biomass, and solar power.
We have to make a final decision on the phase-out of the current nuclear. Indecision can cost us
a lot. At present, nuclear energy has been declining for thirty years, and educational capacities
and supply chains are in line with this.
to phase-out or to continue?
Future of Nuclear Energy
A big share of nuclear, a big share of renewables, and some storage is the best mix that is low-
carbon, reliable, and at the lowest cost. Without nuclear, demands on the overcapacity of
renewables, transmission system, and energy storage systems, would result in excessive use of
land and resources.
Future Costs: Opportunities exist to significantly reduce the capital cost and shorten the
construction schedule for new nuclear power plants.
Safety: Based on the entire life-cycle, fossil fuels are most dangerous, while nuclear and modern
renewable energy sources are vastly safer and cleaner.
Sustainability: Nuclear energy is one of the few sustainable primary sources. It is the only
controllable large-scale source that could complement variable renewable sources (wind and
solar power), and that could ensure reliable 24/7 energy.