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ISSN No:-2456-2165
Abstract:- This research was conducted due to the lack of were 162,884 cases, with 118,575 patients recovered and
research on the impact of Covid-19 on stock prices and 7,064 dead. The government takes policies in economic
stock trading volume activities in each sector in the recovery in the midst of the epidemic by increasing fiscal,
sectoral industry of the Indonesian Stock Exchange. The monetary and banking policies. In order to prevent and
benchmarks used in this study are abnormal returns and suppress the rate of transmission of the corona virus, a number
trading volume activity. Research related to event study of countries in the world have implemented lockdown
which still has research gaps is also the reason why this policies, regional quarantines, and large-scale social
research was conducted. The research period was chosen restrictions (PSBB). The reason is, with the implementation of
for 161 days which was divided into two periods, namely lockdown in almost all countries, the world economy has a big
the estimation period of 140 days and a 21 day window impact in all sectors. The impact of Covid-19 has had a major
period including 10 days before the event and 10 days impact not only on health but also on various aspects of life
after the event, and 1 day was chosen as the event date on and has a major impact on world economic traffic.
March 2, 2020 when the government announced the first
case. The results of the statistical tests carried out show Several studies present how the stock markets around
that there is no difference in the average abnormal return the world have responded to the COVID-19 pandemic. The
of the entire sector before and after Covid-19, while the Covid-19 has brought extreme uncertainty about how deadly
different results are found in the variables of average the disease really is, whether and when we can get a vaccine,
trading volume activity of the whole sector, average what are the effects of government policies, how people will
abnormal return and average trading volume activity respond and the negative reactions of capital market investors
which are significant in each sector. shows that the three which have an impact on stock prices and transaction volumes
variables have differences before and after the in the capital market.
announcement of Covid-19. The results of the analysis in
measuring abnormal returns and trading volume activity In economic and financial theory states that stock prices
using the event study method, that the findings based on are mainly influenced by factors based on market and
each sector are better because they describe the results of company characteristics. The rise and fall of a stock price will
each sector in the IDX sectoral index. be closely related to the rise and fall of the company's value in
the eyes of the market in general, both in macro and micro
Keywords:- Abnormal Return; Event Study; Trading Volume businesses. The spread of the corona virus (Covid-19) that
Activity. occurred at the end of December 2019 also suppressed a
number of stock exchanges from various countries in the
I. INTRODUCTION world. The deepest stock market declines occurred in March
2020 in several countries such as the United States, Britain,
Corona Virus Disease or Covid-19 was first discovered China, and South Korea. The Indonesian stock market also
in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China in December 2019 and has experienced a considerable emphasis on stock prices in March
spread rapidly throughout the world, including Indonesia. 2020. The decline in stock prices occurred in all sectors listed
According to the World Health Organization (WHO) the on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX).
coronavirus (Covid-19) outbreak has spread to 216 countries,
regions or territories and has resulted in more than 8.3 million In this study, the theoretical contribution used is the
confirmed cases and 450,000 deaths worldwide as of 19 June Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) theory which is the basis
2020. Outbreaks and disease spread The widespread Covid- for the variables to be studied. According to Fama 1990 in the
19 and had a major impact on the world made the World concept of an efficient market, changes in the price of stock
Health Organization (WHO) stipulate that the corona virus securities in the past cannot be used to predict future price
that hit the world was a pandemic on March 11, 2020 (Ahmar changes. The market is said to be efficient if the value of
and Val, 2020). securities at any time reflects all available information, which
results in the price of a security being at its equilibrium level.
The Covid-19 pandemic has had a major impact on all The equilibrium price of a security means that there will be no
aspects of life. Covid-19 cases in Indonesia were first opportunity for investors to get an abnormal return from the
announced on March 2, 2020, until August 27, 2020 there
The relationship between the concept of market According to Peterson (1989) event study is one method
efficiency with this research that the research on the impact of that can be used to observe and analyze the impact of an event
the announcement of Covid-19 is the current information on the volume and price of shares in the capital market. The
available to the public. Abnormal return is an indicator to share price of a company in the vicinity of the incident
measure the presence of market reactions, so if there is an becomes the object of observation. The relationship between
abnormal return around the announcement indicating the the rate of return (return) with an event can be measured using
existence of a rapid market reaction to an announced the event study method. Meanwhile, according to MacKinlay
information. In addition to abnormal returns, trading volume (1997) financial market data can be used as a measure to
activity (TVA) can also be used as an indicator to measure the analyze the impact of a specific event in the event study
presence of market reactions. method, usually reflected in volume and stock prices.
b
Good
ATVA_Ses Positive Ranks 247 291,51 72003,50 Total 47
- Negative 33d 39,94 1318,00
Ties 14c Ranks
ATVA_Seb
508 Post_Finance - Positive Ranks 42e 36,48 1532,00
Total Pre_Finance
Ties 0f
a. ATVA_Ses < ATVA_Seb
Total 75
b. ATVA_Ses > ATVA_Seb
Table 10:- Results of the Wilcoxon Signed Rank AAR of the
c. ATVA_Ses = ATVA_Seb Consumers Good Sector and the Finance Sector
Table 7:- Wilcoxon Signed Rank ATVA Overall Sector
Test Statisticsa
Test Statisticsa Post_Consumer Post_Finance -
ATVA_Ses - G- Pre_Finance
ATVA_Seb Pre_Consumer
Z -3,425b Z -2,550b -,565b
Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed) ,001 Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed) ,011 ,572
a. Wilcoxon Signed Ranks Test a. Wilcoxon Signed Ranks Test
b. Based on negative ranks. b. Based on negative ranks.
Table 8:- Test Statistics ATVA Overall Sector Results
Table 11:- Results of Test Statistics AAR of the Consumer
Hypothesis 3 significant differences in average Good Sector and the Finance Sector
abnormal returns in sectors in industrial sectors before and
after the announcement of Covid-19. Hypothesis 4 there is a significant difference in average
trading volume activity in sectors in the industrial sector
Paired Differences before and after the announcement of Covid-19.
Mean t
df Sig. (2-
Ranks
tailed)
N Mean Rank Sum of
Pre_Agriculture - -,24537438 -1,399 16 ,181 Ranks
Pair 1
Post_Agriculture Negative 6a 6,25 37,50
-,05677887 -,531 33 ,599 Ranks
Pre_Mining - AGRI_SES b
Pair 2
Post_Mining - Positive Ranks 11 10,50 115,50
AGRI_SEB Ties 0c
Pre_Basic Industry -,22870165 -2,782 60 ,007
Pair 3 - Post_Basic Total 17
Industry Negative 11d 12,32 135,50
Pre_Misc Industry - ,08492007 ,771 37 ,446 Ranks
Pair 4 MIN_SES - Positive Ranks 22e
Post_Misc Industry 19,34 425,50
MIN_SEB 1f
Pre_Prperty - ,08281459 ,907 54 ,368 Ties
Pair 5 Total 34
Post_Property
BAS_SES - Negative 40g 27,03 1081,00
BAS_SEB Ranks