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Definition of Terms:
Percentile - Is the allocation in which a population is being divided into 100 equal groups.
Point Estimate - It is a specific numerical value of a population parameter. The sample mean
point estimate best describes the population mean.
Confidence Level - is the probability that the interval estimate contains the parameter. It
describes what percentage of intervals from many different samples contain the unknown
population parameter.
Normal Distribution – is a kind of distribution whose mean is 0 and has a standard deviation of
1.
Margin of Error - denoted by E, which is defined as the maximum likely difference between the
observed sample means and the true value of the population mean.
Steps:
If the probability exceeds 0.5, Split the probability into 0.5000 and the remaining value and if it
does not exceed 0.5, subtract the value of the z scores into 0.5
0.90 = 05 + 0.4
Since 0.4 is not available at the z table (located in between two z values) , proceed to the next step
If the remaining percentage is not available in the z table, estimate its value.
*And 0.4 is nearer to 0.3997 then we take the z score of 0.3997 which is 1.28
Draw a conclusion.
There are lots of ways to Point estimate and some of those are estimating the Mean, Standard Deviation,
and Variance of a Population Mean. In Estimating those Parameters, we should group the given set of
data which they should have the same number of scores.
Example:
There are 60 bottles of coconut juice that are grouped consisting of 10 columns and 6 rows. Determine the
parameters of the data being shown in the table.
Sample 1 Sample 2 Sample 3 Sample 4 Sample 5 Sample 6 Sample Sample 8 Sample Sample
7 9 10
500 498 497 503 499 497 497 497 497 495
500 500 495 494 498 500 500 500 500 497
497 497 502 496 497 497 497 497 497 496
501 495 500 497 497 500 500 495 497 497
502 497 497 499 496 497 497 499 500 500
496 497 495 495 497 497 500 500 496 497
All you have to do is to get the mean of each column of the given set of data and get their average.
Sample (X) Mean
1 499.33
2 497.33
3 497.67
4 497.33
5 497.33
6 498
7 498.5
8 498
9 497.83
10 497
Mean (M) 497.83
X X–M (X – M)^2
499.33 499.33 – 497.83 = 1.5 2.25
497.33 497.33 – 497.83 = - 0.5 0.25
497.67 497.67 – 497.83 = - 1.6 0.0256
497.33 497.33 – 497.83 = - 0.5 0.25
497.33 497.33 – 497.83 = - 0.5 0.25
498 498 – 497.83 = 0.17 0.0289
498.5 498.5 – 497.83 = 0.67 0.4489
498 498 – 497.83 = 0.17 0.0289
497.83 497.83 – 497.83 = 0 0
497 497 – 497.83 = - 0.83 0.6889
Σ (X – 0.42212
M)^2
Σ ( X −M )2
σ 2=
n−1
thus,
0.42212
σ 2=
10−1
σ 2=¿0.4690
And lastly compute the Standard Deviation by means of getting the square root of the Variance.
σ =√ 0.4690
σ =0.6848
90% = 1.65
95% = 1.96
99% = 2.56
If the given confidence level is not in the three commonly used confidence level, all we have to
do is to estimate their z scores by following the steps in How to locate Percentiles under Normal
Curve? To be able to find their z scores which is vital in finding the confidence intervals of a population
mean.
In Understanding the Confidence Interval for the Population Mean, we need to find first the Margin of
Error that was indicated by the given Confidence interval. We compute the Margin of error by using the
formula:
E=z a ( σ / √ n )
2
za
2
= equivalent z score of the given confidence interval
x−E< µ< x + E
E = Margin of Error
µ = Actual Mean
Example:
A researcher wants to estimate the number of hours that 5-year old children spend
watching television. A sample of 50 five-year old children was observed to have a mean
viewing time of 3 hours. The population is normally distributed with a population
standard deviation 0.5 hours,
1. Given: n = 50 x=3
σ = 0.5 C.L. = 95%
E=1.96 ( 0.5 / √ 50 )
E=0.1386
x−E< µ< x + E
3−0.1386< µ<3+0.1386
Confidence Interval
2.8614< µ<3.1386