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Razin, Rosentraub / RESEARCH
URBAN
NOTE
AFFAIRS REVIEW / July 2000
RESEARCH NOTES
The association between municipal fragmentation and suburban sprawl is examined, based on a
cross-sectional analysis of all U.S. and Canadian metropolitan areas with more than 500,000 res-
idents in the 1990s. Results reveal that this association is rather weak but significant and is sus-
tained even when the less fragmented and more compact Canadian metropolitan areas are
excluded from the analysis. The impact of residential sprawl on fragmentation is significant, but
fragmentation does not predict sprawl. Low levels of fragmentation do not guarantee compact
development, but lack of excessive fragmentation might be a precondition for compact develop-
ment in North America.
821
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822 URBAN AFFAIRS REVIEW / July 2000
Others are less critical of sprawl, noting that low-scale development has
not emerged as a drag on the U.S. economy (Gordon and Richardson 1997).
In addition, some areas with numerous governments have attempted to retard
sprawl (e.g., Oregon and New Jersey). The level of intergovernmental service
delivery arrangements that exist today (Thompson 1997) also suggests that
fragmented governments are neither necessarily wasteful nor unable to coop-
erate (Parks and Oakerson 1989).
It is somewhat surprising that little evidence exists indicating whether a
“Tiebout-style” framework for urban governance produces sprawl-like con-
ditions. Some accept ending fragmentation as axiomatic to ensure an envi-
ronmentally responsible future. If governmental fragmentation is unrelated
to sprawl—people may simply prefer smaller governing units or they may
prefer low-density developments independent of governing structures—then
those addressing any perceived negative consequences from sprawl will have
to look at policy responses other than reducing the number of governmental
units. If fragmentation does indeed lead to sprawl, and if it can be determined
that sprawl is indeed negative, changing governance systems may be the right
step to change land-use patterns.
There seems to be acceptance of the idea that the existence of numerous
local governments encourages sprawl by discouraging uncoordinated plan-
ning (Downs 1994; Norris 1998) and encouraging competition over taxable
property (Razin 1998). The acceptance of the association between sprawl
and fragmentation of powers was probably made most clear when Downs
(1998) defined suburban sprawl as including a fragmentation of land-use
powers and large disparities in fiscal capacity between cities. Our study
examines whether fragmentation and sprawl are indeed associated in North
America and whether arguments for a causal relationship in a particular
direction can be supported.
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Razin, Rosentraub / RESEARCH NOTE 823
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824 URBAN AFFAIRS REVIEW / July 2000
1. Country: Canada or the United States. Metropolitan areas in Canada are ex-
pected to be less fragmented and more compact (Goldberg and Mercer 1986).
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Razin, Rosentraub / RESEARCH NOTE 825
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826
TABLE 1: Least and Most Fragmented Metropolitan Areas in North America by Selected Measures of Municipal Fragmentation,
1992 (United States) and 1996 (Canada)
Fragmentation
Measure Total Local General-Purpose Proportion of Proportion of
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SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of the Census (1994); County and City Extra (1998); Statistics Canada (1997).
NOTE: The rankings include all metropolitan areas of 500,000 residents or more: metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) in the United States and census metro-
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politan areas (CMAs) in Canada. In the case of consolidated MSAs divided into primary MSAs (PSMAs) in the United States, PMSAs were grouped in a man-
ner that resembles most closely the urbanized area definitions. NA = not available.
a. Based on two variables: general-purpose governments per 10,000 residents and proportion of population in cities of 100,000+. Each variable was trans-
formed into a 0 to 100 range, 100 being the value for the least fragmented metropolitan area. The composite measure is an average of these two transformed
variables. Ten extra points (up to a maximal value of 100.0 for the measure) were given to metropolitan areas that have multipurpose metropolitan government.
b. A similar fragmentation measure that does not include the 10 extra points for metropolitan government.
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828 URBAN AFFAIRS REVIEW / July 2000
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Razin, Rosentraub / RESEARCH NOTE 829
Age of the metropolitan area was found to be the most prominent variable
predicting fragmentation (see Table 3). Older metropolitan areas were more
fragmented than younger ones. As expected, the Canada-U.S. distinction was
another major explanatory variable: Canadian metropolitan areas were less
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830
TABLE 2: Metropolitan Areas in North America with Lowest and Highest Residential Sprawl by Measures of Residential Sprawl,
1990s
SOURCE: U.S. Bureau of the Census (1993a, 1993b); Statistics Canada (1993, 1997).
a. Each of the three sprawl variables was transformed into a 0 to 100 range, 100 being the value for least residential sprawl. The composite measure is an aver-
age of these three transformed variables.
b. Data refer to metropolitan statistical areas or the combination of primary metropolitan statistical areas (PMSAs) that conform most closely to the urbanized
areas in the United States and to census metropolitan areas (CMAs) in Canada.
c. Calculated for urbanized areas in the United States and for urbanized cores of CMAs in Canada (in the case of CMAs that are consolidated with secondary
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CAs, only the primary CMA [PCMA] was included in the calculation).
831
832 URBAN AFFAIRS REVIEW / July 2000
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TABLE 3: Factors Influencing Municipal Fragmentation and Residential Sprawl Among North American Metropolitan Areas: Ordi-
nary Least Squares Regression Analyses, 1990s
Dependent Variables
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Fragmentation
Fragmentation Measure (Metropolitan Residential Sprawl
Measure (Metropolitan Government), Residential Sprawl Measure,
a
Government) United States Onlya Measureb United States Onlyb
Independent Variables B Significance B Significance B Significance B Significance
areas, metropolitan areas with high land values, and large metropolitan areas
were less sprawling (see Table 3). Metropolitan areas that were practically
the central parts of broader metropolitan regions were also more compact.
Poverty and age were also positively associated with more compact metro-
politan areas.
Fragmentation did not have any significant impact on the composite mea-
sure of residential sprawl (see Table 3) or on any specific measure of sprawl.
The number of general-purpose governments per capita, which was the frag-
mentation variable most closely correlated with residential sprawl, was not
significant in the models. Regression models of aggregate variables on a sam-
ple of less than 100 might be sensitive to the exact definition of the model.
However, no combination of independent variables on any of the dependent
residential sprawl variables could produce a significant impact of fragmenta-
tion on residential sprawl.
A strong explanatory power of the proportion of population in cities of
100,000 or more residents on the concentration ratio of employment in cen-
tral cities is largely definitional. Nevertheless, a regression model (not
shown) revealed that high employment concentrations in central cities char-
acterized younger metropolitan areas, small metropolitan areas, and Cana-
dian metropolitan areas.
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Razin, Rosentraub / RESEARCH NOTE 835
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