Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Assumptions
Conversion Rates
Workshop 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
Online Meeting 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Marketplace 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Websites 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
Total Monthly Visits 2.7% 2.6% 2.6% 2.5% 2.5% 2.4% 2.4%
Orders Placed
Workshop 60 60 90 90 120 120 120
Online Meeting 270 360 360 540 540 540 630
Marketplace 144 216 324 486 729 1,094 1,640
Websites 240 360 540 810 1,215 1,823 2,734
Total Orders Placed 714 996 1,314 1,926 2,604 3,576 5,124
Order Details
Average item value (gross) 202 202 202 202 202 202 202
# of items per order 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7
Average markdown 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Average promotion/discount 65% 40% 25% 10% 0% 0% 0%
Cost of Goods Sold (Gross Product Margin) 66% 66% 66% 66% 66% 66% 66%
Average Gross order value 222 242 263 283 303 323 343
Average Net order value 78 121 158 212 227 242 275
Customers
Churn Rate 40% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%
Opening active customer base 0 491 1,070 1,720 2,667 3,863 5,490
Plus new customers 654 936 1,224 1,836 2,484 3,456 5,004
Subtotal 654 1,427 2,294 3,556 5,151 7,319 10,494
Less churned customers 164 357 573 889 1,288 1,830 2,623
Closing customer base 491 1,070 1,720 2,667 3,863 5,490 7,870
Marketing Expenses
Variable
Workshop 9.33 9.33 9.33 9.33 9.33 9.33 9.33
Online Meeting 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00
Marketplace (cost per click) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Websites (cost per click) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Average 0.89 0.78 0.64 0.59 0.45 0.32 0.25
Order Fulfilment
Variable
Freight/shipping per order 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Labor/handling per order 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00
Total 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00
Fixed
Marketplace Fee 400 400 400 400 400 400 400
Current Liabilities
Accounts Payable Days 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Capital Expenditures
Research & Development 667 667 667 667 667 667 667
Office Equipment 334 334 334 334 334 334 334
Acquisitions 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Depreciation
Technology - Straight-line Years 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Office Equipment - Straight-line Years 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Financing
Interest Rate 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00% 3.00%
Debt Issued (Repaid) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Equity Raised (Repurchased) 35,000 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dividends Paid 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Valuation
Tax Rate 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15%
Cost of Capital / Discount Rate 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%
Terminal Value Exit Multiple 6.0x
Income Statement
Cost of Goods Sold 104,710 159,344 227,737 359,484 520,748 762,804 1,161,324
Gross Profit (49,182) (38,629) (20,703) 49,021 71,011 104,019 246,341
Gross Margin -88.6% -32.0% -10.0% 12.0% 12.0% 12.0% 17.5%
Dividends Paid 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Balance Sheet
ASSETS
Current
Cash (52,455) (135,866) (206,026) (227,150) (231,036) (218,612) (109,188)
Accounts Receivable 1,633 3,638 6,239 12,311 17,834 26,123 42,423
Inventory 2,869 4,366 6,239 9,849 14,267 20,899 31,817
Total (47,953) (127,863) (193,547) (204,990) (198,935) (171,589) (34,948)
Technology 534 934 1,201 1,334 1,334 1,334 1,334
Property & Equipment 267 468 601 668 668 668 668
Total Assets (47,152) (126,461) (191,745) (202,988) (196,933) (169,587) (32,946)
LIABILITIES & SHAREHOLDER EQUITY
Liabilities
Current
Revolver
Accounts Payable 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Debt 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total Liabilities 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Shareholder Equity
Share Capital 35,000 35,000 35,000 35,000 35,000 35,000 35,000
Retained Earnings (82,152) (161,461) (226,745) (237,988) (231,933) (204,587) (67,946)
Total Shareholder Equity (47,152) (126,461) (191,745) (202,988) (196,933) (169,587) (32,946)
Total Liabilities & Shareholder Equity (47,152) (126,461) (191,745) (202,988) (196,933) (169,587) (32,946)
Cash Invested
Capital Expenditures 1,001 1,001 1,001 1,001 1,001 1,001 1,001
Acquisitions 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total 1,001 1,001 1,001 1,001 1,001 1,001 1,001
Supporting Schedules
Capital Assets
Opening Balance
Technology 0 534 934 1,201 1,334 1,334 1,334
Property & Equipment 0 267 468 601 668 668 668
Total 0 801 1,401 1,802 2,002 2,002 2,002
Additions
Technology 667 667 667 667 667 667 667
Property & Equipment 334 334 334 334 334 334 334
Total 1,001 1,001 1,001 1,001 1,001 1,001 1,001
Subtotal
Technology 667 1,201 1,601 1,868 2,001 2,001 2,001
Property & Equipment 334 601 802 935 1,002 1,002 1,002
Total 1,001 1,802 2,402 2,803 3,003 3,003 3,003
Depreciation
Technology
2022 133 133 133 133 133 0 0
2023 133 133 133 133 133 0
2024 133 133 133 133 133
2025 133 133 133 133
2026 133 133 133
2027 133 133
2028 133
Subtotal 133 267 400 534 667 667 667
Closing Balance
Technology 534 934 1,201 1,334 1,334 1,334 1,334
Property & Equipment 267 468 601 668 668 668 668
Total 801 1,401 1,802 2,002 2,002 2,002 2,002
Debt Schedule
Opening Balance 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Debt Issued (Repaid) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Closing Balance 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Interest on Debt 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Customer Metrics
Valuation
DCF Valuation
NPV of Forecast 20% (139,680)
Terminal Value (EBITDA multiple) 6.0x 970,531
NPV of Terminal Value 270,857
Total Enterprise Value $ 131,177.37
N o o f O n lin e M eetin g s
No of Online Meetings / Month 15 20 20
No of Online Meetings / Year 180 240 240
No of People in each session 50 50 50
No of People / month 750 1000 1000
No of Communities 12 12 18
No of Family / Month - 1 community 50 50 50
No of Family / Year 350 400 450
cost per visit 466.67 466.67 466.67
Variable expense 9.33 9.33 9.33
30 30 30 35
360 360 360 420
50 50 50 50
1500 1500 1500 1750
18 24 24 24
50 50 50 50
500 500 500 501
466.67 466.67 466.67 466.67
9.33 9.33 9.33 9.33
30 30 30 35
360 360 360 420
50 50 50 50
100 100 100 100
2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00
2022 2023 2024
Revenue 55,528 120,715 207,034
Fixed Capital Investment $ 5,600 $ 5,700 $ 5,010
Working Capital Investment $ 104,710 $ 159,344 $ 227,737
Capex 2022 $ 1,001 $ 1,802 $ 2,402
Fund Deficit $ -
Required Capital Invested $ 111,310.53
In Rupiah $ 1,669,657,920.00