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Decisions related to demand and pricing are usually called marketing decisions. Marketing is an established profession and
an applied academic discipline with a large body of literature. However, economic reasoning and concepts provide much of
the theoretical foundation for marketing practice. In this chapter, we will address these elements from the perspective of
economics.
Consumer theory is the study of how people decide to spend their money based on their individual preferences and budget
constraints. A branch of microeconomics, consumer theory shows how individuals make choices, subject to how much
income they have available to spend and the prices of goods and services. Trying to understand what goes on in a
consumer’s head and exactly what makes them buy is a goal of every business. The only way to do this is by closely
studying the buying patterns and building theories and models.
● Psychological - Psychological factors include a person’s attitude, perceptions about a situation, their ability to
understand information, what motivates them, their personality and beliefs. For example, a person who is actively
reducing his plastic consumption will avoid buying from someone who doesn’t believe in climate change.
● Personal - Personal characteristics include age, gender, financial situation, occupation, background, culture and
location. An older person will probably shop in a different way compared to a younger person. The older person may
have a preference for bricks-and-mortar stores (physical store) rather than online shopping.
● Social - Social influences can include a person’s friends, family, community, work or school community, or groups they
associate with such as a local church or hobby group. It can also include social class, living conditions and education.
A shopper might shop for items which are in fashion similar to those worn by his peers.
Consumer behavior theory allows businesses to understand more about their target consumers and so be able to craft
products and services that influence buying habits. Consumer behavior theory is the study of how people make decisions
when they purchase, helping businesses and marketers capitalize on these behaviors by predicting how and when a
consumer will make a purchase. It helps to identify what influences these decisions, as well as highlight strategies to
proactively manipulate behavior. It allows a business to understand:
● What consumers think about your brand versus your competitors
● How they choose between different alternatives
● Their behavior while shopping
● How the environment around them influences their behavior
● What marketing messages or pricing strategies they best respond to
● Their preferred methods of paying
● What products or services they are searching for to fill a need
By paying attention to your customers’ buying patterns, you can launch products and services that are likely to influence
more consumers to buy. It will also allow you to make necessary changes to your store environment or online shopping
processes to make it seamless. For example, if you have a large physical store and you notice that shoppers pick up
products to buy, look around for a while, seem to get frustrated and then put them down and walk out without buying, it
might be because you need better ‘Pay Here’ signage directing them to the nearest till.
Types of Buyer Behavior
It’s important to understand that everyone is different and makes different buying decisions. However, these can generally
be categorized into these four types:
1. Routine response
Brand recognition and repetition plays a large part in this type of buying behavior. People will purchase a brand they
recognize, have tried before, or like the best. For example, when choosing a loaf of sliced bread, you’ll probably have a
favorite that you reach for most often. This type of buying doesn’t require much thought.
2. Limited decision-making
Often mid-level, occasional buying decisions fall into this category. They require some research and little amount of thought
before making a choice. For example, you might be going out to the cinema and want to eat dinner beforehand so look at
the restaurants nearby. You pick one that’s within your budget, that offers the food you like, that’s within a short walking
distance and that has a table for the time you’d like.
3. Extensive decision-making
Buying decisions that involve a big financial investment or personal impact fall into this category. Most buyers will spend an
extensive amount of time researching before making a decision. Buying a house is one example. Many in the market for a
new home will research thoroughly, view numerous properties, weigh up different options, visit local areas, check the nearby
schools and facilities etc. before a purchase is made.
4. Impulse buying
An impulse buy has no prior planning. It is a purchase made on a whim and with little thought. It’s often irrational and in the
moment. For example, if you’re waiting in a line to buy your lunch and see a magazine within easy reach with an
eye-catching front cover, then you might pick it up and buy it with no in-depth consideration. These ‘types’ will change
depending on the situation and person. For example, a consumer who has just started a low-fat diet might take longer
choosing a food item by checking the ingredients online and looking at reviews than someone who isn’t. An affluent person
might impulse-buy a car, whereas another might spend an extensive amount of time researching different options and going
for test drives.
And many will spend months researching where they want to spend their two-week holiday, whereas others decide on a
whim where to go and book a holiday at the last minute. And some situations will force a consumer who is usually an
extensive decision maker into making an impulse buy – for example if their laptop breaks down and they need to buy
another quickly without doing their usual due diligence because they can’t operate without one. This is why buyer behavior
is described as being both predictable and irrational.
Types of Buyers
Over the years, psychologists, sociologists and researchers have come up with different models and theories about different
kinds of buyers. One research theory proposes eight characteristic buyers:
● Perfectionist: the customer looks for the best quality of product.
● Brand-aware: the customer prefers brands and designer labels.
● Hedonist: the customer treats shopping as a form of enjoyment.
● Price-aware: the customer seeks low prices, sales discounts.
● Fashion-aware: the customer likes to be up-to-date and seeks variety.
● Impulsive: the customer is prone to spontaneous purchases.
● Confused: the customer experiences too much information or choice.
● Habitual: the customer is loyal to brands and follows a routine.
Analyzing Buyer Behavior
There are various ways to analyze buyer behavior, however these questions from the London School of Business and
Finance are a great place to start:
● Who purchases your products and services? Get a clear idea of your target audience with market research.
● Who makes the decision to purchase your products and services? The purchaser might be different to the actual
person making the decision, e.g., a painter and decorator will buy paint chosen by their customer.
● Who influences the decision to purchase the products? Parents might be the shoppers but they are influenced by
their children.
● How is the purchase decision made? A person employing a gardener for the first time might be told what specific
products to buy by the gardener.
● Why does the consumer buy a product? The rationale behind the purchase. For example, a person on a long
commute might buy a thick milkshake because it lasts a long time and will keep them occupied during the drive.
● Why does a consumer prefer one brand over another? Factors include cost, quality, customer service, previous
experience, brand reputation and packaging etc.
● Where do customers purchase the product? Physical shops, online, face-to-face, via a third party etc.
● When do consumers buy a product? Specific occasions, for example Valentine’s Day or looking for a new gas and
electric provider at new premises.
● What is the consumer’s opinion of the product? Do they view it as value for money, cheap or expensive; is it cool or
functional; is it a throwaway item or do they expect it to be around for years etc.
● What is the role of consumers’ lifestyle in their buying behavior? Fitness fans will be more interested in purchasing
technical clothes for exercise, whereas those who love movies might be inclined to purchase a movie streaming
subscription.
Consumer buying habits are continually evolving, and the ways that businesses think about them have changed too. Initially,
it was believed that consumers were rational and behaved in consistent ways. However, as time progressed and more
sophisticated studies were conducted, it became apparent that consumers often behave irrationally with numerous factors
determining decisions and buying habits. Consumers were then segmented, and user experiences were analyzed to
understand how they shaped buying habits. The post-purchase activity and habits were also studied so a customer journey
could be mapped out from first decision, through to consideration, purchase and post-purchase satisfaction.
It’s important to look at trends, for example eating habits have changed dramatically from meat to vegetables, to an appetite
for cuisines from around the world. More people are becoming vegan, and there’s been an increase in demand for
plant-based foods. Payment methods and buying preferences have also evolved. Most people are happy to buy online,
however this was risky back in 1995 when the internet was new and Amazon first launched. Consumers are now purchasing
SaaS (software as a service) services and subscription boxes, streaming movies rather than going to a shop to rent a DVD.
And buying their groceries online without ever having to step foot inside a grocery store.
Understanding the different types of buying decision and mapping these against your target audience and buyer personas
will help you to craft compelling marketing messages, eye-catching packaging, the right pricing models, deals and discounts
and other benefits to hook in your consumer.
Assessing trends and watching the changes in consumer buying patterns will also ensure you not only to sell a product or
service that people want, but that you can keep up with demand. You’ll be able to make predictions and plan the best times
for launches and special offers.
It’s important to understand that there are numerous variables and that not every consumer is the same. Map out different
scenarios, and attempt to put yourself in the mind of your shopper. For example, a person who is usually an extensive
researcher and is forced to make an impulse decision might appreciate a 30-day cooling off period, allowing them to return
the purchase if it turns out not to be suitable. Spending time getting this right will see you experience a rush from consumers
to buy your new product or service, an increase in customer loyalty and retention and be able to create the right
environments to encourage a purchase.
Determinants of Demand
1. Levels of income
The demand for goods also depends upon incomes of the people. The greater the incomes of the people the greater will be
their demand for goods. In drawing a demand schedule or a demand curve for a good we take incomes of the people as
given and constant. When as a result of the rise in incomes of the people, the demand increases, the whole of the demand
curve shifts upward and vice versa. The greater income means the greater purchasing power. Therefore, when incomes of
the people increase, they can afford to buy more. It is because of this reason that the increase in income has a positive
effect on the demand for a good. When the incomes of the people fall they would demand less of the goods and as a result
the demand curve will shift below. For instance, during the planning period in India the incomes of the people have greatly
increased owing to the large investment expenditure on the development schemes by the Government and the private
sector. As a result of this increase in incomes, demand for food-grains has greatly increased which has resulted in rightward
shift in the demand curve for them. Likewise, when because of drought in a year the agricultural production greatly falls,
incomes of the farmers decline. As a result of the decline in incomes of the farmers, they demand less of cotton cloth and
other manufactured products. A key determinant of demand is the level of income evident in the appropriate country or
region under analysis. As a generality, the higher the level of aggregate and/or personal income the higher the demand for a
typical commodity, including forest products. More of a good or service will be chosen at a given price where income is
higher. Thus, determinants of demand normally utilize some form of income measure, including Gross Domestic Product
(GDP).
7. Income Distribution:
Distribution of income in a society also affects the demand for goods. In places where there is equal distribution of income,
the propensity of people to consume is high and leads to greater demand. On the other hand, in places where there is
unequal distribution of income, the peoples propensity to consume is low. Since the propensity of rich people is to consume
less than poor people, the demand for consumer goods will be comparatively less. This is the effect of the income
distribution on the propensity to consume and demand for goods. If progressive taxes are levied on the goods consumed by
the rich and the money is spent to provide employment for the poor people, the income distribution would become more
equal. With the increased purchasing power of the poor, there will be a corresponding increase in demand for basic goods
consumed by the poor. On the other hand, there would be less demand for those goods consumed by the rich which are
subjected to progressive taxes.
One way to think of the difference between conventional approaches and the Optimove approach is that the former is like a
customer snapshot whereas the latter is a customer animation. The animated view of the customer is far more revealing,
allowing much more accurate customer behavior predictions.
Forecasting Demand
Demand forecasting is the process of making estimations about future customer demand over a defined period, using
historical data and other information. Proper demand forecasting gives businesses valuable information about their potential
in their current market and other markets, so that managers can make informed decisions about pricing, business growth
strategies, and market potential. Without demand forecasting, businesses risk making poor decisions about their products
and target markets – and ill-informed decisions can have far-reaching negative effects on inventory holding costs, customer
satisfaction, supply chain management, and profitability.
There are a number of reasons why demand forecasting is an important process for businesses:
● Sales forecasting helps with business planning, budgeting, and goal setting. Once you have a good understanding
of what your future sales could look like, you can begin to develop an informed procurement strategy to make sure
your supply matches customer demand.
● It allows businesses to more effectively optimize inventory, increase inventory turnover rates and reduce holding
costs.
● It provides an insight into upcoming cash flow, meaning businesses can more accurately budget to pay suppliers
and other operational costs, and invest in the growth of the business.
● Through sales forecasting, you can also identify and rectify any kinks in the sales pipeline ahead of time to ensure
your business performance remains robust throughout the entire period. When it comes to inventory management,
most eCommerce business owners know all too well that too little or too much inventory can be detrimental to
operations.
● Anticipating demand means knowing when to increase staff and other resources to keep operations running
smoothly during peak periods.
Most traditional demand forecasting techniques fall into one of these basic categories:
● Qualitative Forecasting - Qualitative forecasting techniques are used when there isn’t a lot of data available to work
with, such as for a relatively new business or when a product is introduced to the market. In this instance, other
information such as expert opinions, market research, and comparative analyses are used to form quantitative
estimates about demand.
● Trade Gecko Demand Forecasting - This approach is often used in areas like technology, where new products may
be unprecedented, and customer interest is difficult to gauge ahead of time.
● Time Series Analysis - When historical data is available for a product or product line and trends are clear,
businesses tend to use the time series analysis approach to demand forecasting. A time series analysis is useful for
identifying seasonal fluctuations in demand, cyclical patterns, and key sales trends. The time series analysis
approach is most effectively used by well-established businesses who have several years’ worth of data to work
from and relatively stable trend patterns.
● Causal Models - The causal model is the most sophisticated and complex forecasting tool for businesses because it
uses specific information about relationships between variables affecting demand in the market, such as
competitors, economic forces, and other socioeconomic factors. As with time series analyses, historical data is key
to creating a causal model forecast. For example, an ice cream business could create a causal model forecast by
looking at factors such as their historical sales data, marketing budget, promotional activities, any new ice cream
stores in their area, their competitors’ prices, the weather, overall demand for ice cream in their area, and even their
local unemployment rate.
A) Elastic Demand - Elastic demand happens when the demand changes for goods is sensitive to price changes.
Common goods typically have elastic demand Elastic demand is used to describe the scenario where the change in
demand is sensitive to a small change in price. For example, if the price of a Lays chips increases, consumers are
more likely to shift to a different brand, driving the demand down and vice versa. This means that chips have elastic
demand due to the availability of close substitutes.
B) Inelastic Demand.. Inelastic demand is when the demand for goods is not affected much by price changes.
Necessary commodities have inelastic demand. Inelastic demand describes the scenario where fluctuations in price
do not change the demand for a good. For example, gas is required for cars to run and there are no substitutes for
the availability of gas. This means that anyone who has a car will have to pay for gas regardless of how high the
prices are, making demand inelastic
Price elasticity of demand (PED) shows the relationship between price and quantity demanded and provides a precise
calculation of the effect of a change in price on quantity demanded. The price elasticity of demand (which is often shortened
to demand elasticity) is defined to be the percentage change in quantity demanded, divided by the percentage change in
price. The Formula: PED = (% Change in QD) / (% Change in P)
Problem 1
Assuming the price of compact disc increased from $20 to $22, the quantity of compact disc demanded decreased from 100
to 87. What is the price elasticity of demand for CDs?
Solution:
Percentage increase in price (22-20)/20 = 10%
Percentage decrease in demand (87-100)/100 = -13%
PED (-13%/10%) = -1.3
In this case the demand is price elastic. Elastic demand occurs when % change in quantity demanded is greater than %
change in price; when PED >1
Note: Since quantity demanded usually decreases with increases in price, the price elasticity coefficient is almost always
negative. Economists, being a lazy bunch, usually express the coefficient as a positive number even when its meaning is
the opposite. We're a pretty difficult people. It’s important to note, however, a decrease in quantity demanded does not
automatically mean that revenue decreases. The additional profit margin could make up for the slight decrease in purchases
Problem 2
Assuming the price rises from $15 to $30 (100% rise in price) and the quantity demanded falls from 100 to 80 (20% fall).
What is the price elasticity of Demand?
Solution:
PED (-20%/100%) = -0.2
Note: In this case the demand is price inelastic since the % change in quantity demanded is lesser than the % change in
price. When the price elasticity of a good is less than 1, it’s considered inelastic. That means a one unit increase in price
resulted in a less than one unit decrease in demand. On the other hand, if the coefficient (the absolute value) is more than
1, the good is elastic. That means a unit increase in price will cause an even greater drop in demand. Theoretically, revenue
will be maximized when the price elasticity of a good equals 1, or in other words, when demand is unit elastic.
This is the other concept of elasticity of demand which explains the sensitivity of quantity demanded of any commodity when
the price of the other substitute products changes. The cross elasticity of demand is always positive as the demand for one
commodity will definitely be increased when the price of substitute products increases. For example, if the price of coffee
increases, the demand for tea in the market will increase. Cross Elasticity of demand can be calculated as % changes in the
demanded quantity of product A divided by % change in the price of product B,
Cross Elasticity of Demand (EA.B) = (% Change in Demanded Quantity of Product A) / (% Change in Price of Product B)
Solution: Cross Elasticity of Demand is calculated using the formula given below
Cross Elasticity of Demand (EA.B) = (% Change in Demanded Quantity of Product A) / (% Change in Price of Product B)
● Cross Elasticity of Demand (EA.B) = (12%) / (15%)
● Cross Elasticity of Demand (EA.B) = 0.8
So when we see that the cross elasticity of demand is positive for Coke A and Coke B, it means these 2 are substitute
products, and the changes in the price of one product would affect the demanded quantity of another product.
Income is another variable that affects the demand for any commodity. Income Elasticity of demand refers to the sensitivity
of the quantity demanded to a change in the income of the consumer for a commodity. It is measured as a % change in the
demanded quantity divided by the % change in the income of consumers for a particular commodity.
Income Elasticity of Demand (EI) = (Change in Quantity/Original Quantity) * (Original Income/Change in Income)
The income elasticity of demand could be seen with luxurious commodities. When a person’s income increases, that person
would most likely be spending more on branded and luxurious commodities. Higher income elasticity for a commodity also
means higher sales for that commodity. The income elasticity of demand is also positive since an increase in income also
increases demand. The following are some examples of luxurious commodities: wines, high-quality chocolates, branded
clothes, expensive smartphones, clubs and gym membership, sports cars, private taxis instead of buses or any other public
transport.
Solution:
% Change in Demanded Quantity is calculated as
● % Change in Demanded Quantity = (20 – 10) / 10
● % Change in Demanded Quantity = 1
Income Elasticity of Demand (EI) is calculated using the formula given below.
Conclusion
The elasticity of demand is a useful concept in making pricing decisions and determination of output levels. It helps in fixing
the prices of products for businesses and specifically for monopolists. We can come to know the proportion by which
demand will fall in response to the rise in prices if we know the elasticity of demand. If the demand for a product is relatively
inelastic, the seller of a product can charge a high price for it. If the demand is relatively elastic, he can charge a low price.
The elasticity of demand also helps in framing government policies while imposing statutory price control on a product and
levying taxes. The government can levy more taxes on products that have relatively inelastic demand. Knowledge of income
elasticity of demand is useful for forecasting the future demand for a product. For instance, since the general income levels
of people in India are expected to rise, the demand for goods purchased with disposable income will rise by leaps and
bounds. The concept of elasticity of demand is also useful in international trade. There is said to be gained from
international trade for a country if it exports goods that have less elasticity of demand and imports goods that have more
demand elasticity.
The ultimate goal of doing business is to capture as much cash on the table as possible. As such, you need to make your
product as inelastic as possible, increasing demand, regardless of how expensive you make the product. Essentially, you
want your customers, to not be able to live without your business. The inputs necessary for this phenomenon to occur will
adjust with different customer segments, but the thought process for each segment remains the same. So, how do you
determine your product's elasticity for each segment, and use this knowledge to your advantage? Here are a few things to
think about:
Overall, price elasticity should be an important consideration when developing your product and marketing strategies, in
addition to being a basic building block behind your pricing. A huge factor that I'll repeat is that the price elasticity for
different customer segments will vary. Thus, your marketing, pricing, and bundling must vary. At the end of the day
remember, pricing is a process that you must integrate into your company's trajectory.
Economists distinguish short-run decisions from long-run decisions. Demand functions and demand curves can be
developed for short-run or long-run time horizons. Elasticities of demand in the short run can differ substantially from
elasticities in the long run.
Price Discrimination
Price discrimination is a selling strategy that charges customers different prices for the same product or service based on
what the seller thinks they can get the customer to agree to. Price discrimination is practiced based on the seller's belief that
customers in certain groups can be asked to pay more or less based on certain demographics or on how they value the
product or service in question. Price discrimination is most valuable when the profit that is earned as a result of separating
the markets is greater than the profit that is earned as a result of keeping the markets combined. Whether price
discrimination works and for how long the various groups are willing to pay different prices for the same product depends on
the relative elasticities of demand in the sub-markets. Consumers in a relatively inelastic submarket pay a higher price,
while those in a relatively elastic sub-market pay a lower price.
How Price Discrimination Works
With price discrimination, the company looking to make the sales identifies different market segments, such as domestic
and industrial users, with different price elasticities. Markets must be kept separate by time, physical distance, and nature of
use. For example, Microsoft Office Schools edition is available for a lower price to educational institutions than to other
users. The markets cannot overlap so that consumers who purchase at a lower price in the elastic sub-market could resell
at a higher price in the inelastic sub-market. The company must also have monopoly power to make price discrimination
more effective
There are three types of price discrimination: first-degree or perfect price discrimination, second-degree, and third-degree.
These degrees of price discrimination are also known as personalized pricing (1st-degree pricing), product versioning or
menu pricing (2nd-degree pricing), and group pricing (3rd-degree pricing).
Many industries, such as the airline industry, the arts and entertainment industry, and the pharmaceutical industry, use price
discrimination strategies. Examples of price discrimination include issuing coupons, applying specific discounts (e.g., age
discounts), and creating loyalty programs. One example of price discrimination can be seen in the airline industry.
Consumers buying airline tickets several months in advance typically pay less than consumers purchasing at the last
minute. When demand for a particular flight is high, airlines raise ticket prices in response.
By contrast, when tickets for a flight are not selling well, the airline reduces the cost of available tickets to try to generate
sales. Because many passengers prefer flying home late on Sunday, those flights tend to be more expensive than flights
leaving early Sunday morning. Airline passengers typically pay more for additional legroom too.