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THE EMERGENCE OF CHINA’S HOUSING FINANCE

SYSTEM: CHALLENGE AND CHANGE.

Yonghua Zou
Abstract
Over the past three decade, China has established a housing finance system that borrows from the collective experi-
ences of advanced economies. After examining the evolution of China’s housing finance system, the paper focuses on
analyzing its challenges and recent changes. The paper argues that China’s highly-centralized financial system prefers
financial stability but neglects financial liberalization, and then resulted in severe financial repression, which hurts the
efficiency and equality of the housing finance service. After recovering from the 2008 financial crisis via high-cost finan-
open house international Vol.41 No.1, March 2016. The Emergence of China’s Housing Finance System: Challenge and Change.

cial intervention, China took some policy innovations to promote a decentralized finance mechanism, expand finance
resources, and support affordable housing financing, through which China hopes to provide a more stable, affordable,
and equal housing finance service to help more households own homes.

Keywords: Housing Finance, Housing Studies, Housing Policy, Finance System, China.

1 . INTR ODU CTION Securitization (MBS) scheme based on the experi-


ence of the United States.
Purchasing housing is the largest investment made However, China’s housing finance system
in a lifetime for the majority of people in the world faces many challenges due to the inherent admin-
(United Nations 2005), and access to housing istrative, legal, and institutional constraints in the
finance is critical to allowing more people to finance sector. The finance system in China is a
become homeowners. This is especially true in the highly centralized one, which has faced a chronic
urban areas of China. The price-to-income ratios in dilemma: whether to emphasize liberalization or
many Chinese cities are relatively high in recent stability. Though the government realized that liber-
years. For instance, Beijing’s housing price-to- alization and market-oriented reform are important
income ratios hovered between fourteen and fif- for the finance sector, it gave priority to financial
teen-to-one from 2006 through 2007, and stability, which it deemed an important political
climbed to eighteen-to-one in early 2010 (Wu et al. goal. This kind of bias resulted in severe “financial
2012). Comparatively, price-to-income ratios in oppression,” defined as granting privilege to the
western countries are typically between four and state-owned sector in accessing financial resources,
eight-to-one (Warnock & Warnock 2008). High which hampers the non-state-owned sector (Yao &
price-to-income ratios mean that homebuyers have Wu 2011). The result has negatively impacted the
to rely on borrowing. efficiency and equality of the finance sector.
Market-oriented housing finance was prac- Fortunately, in recent years, the government has
tically non-existent until China began to reform its adopted some policy innovations in the housing
socialist welfare housing system in the 1980s to finance system, such as encouraging market-orient-
encourage private ownership. To support that hous- ed reform, expanding finance channels, and
ing reform, China has established a housing enhancing equality through financing affordable
finance system that borrows from the collective housing.
experiences of advanced economies. The housing There is a growing literature that examines
finance system includes these major components: China’s housing issues. The studies of China’s
the Housing Provident Fund (HPF) scheme based housing issue have been overwhelmingly con-
on the experience of Singapore, the commercial cerned with changes in housing supply from the
bank mortgage scheme based on the experience of 1980s to the present, the unequal access to hous-
many western countries, along with two supple- ing for different groups, the market dynamics of
mentary housing finance schemes: the Contractual housing shortages, bubbles and other market con-
Housing Savings (CHS) scheme based on the expe- ditions (Wang & Murie 1999, 2000; Wu 2001;
rience of Germany and the Mortgage-Backed Deng & Fei 2008; Deng et al. 2011; Logan et al.
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2010; Huang & Jiang 2009; Chen et al. 2011; market and a GDP growth rate of 8.7% in 2008

Yonghua Zou
Wu et al. 2012). In comparison, the quantity of lit- (Yao & Wu 2011).
erature examining housing finance is smaller. The government’s intervention, employing its
Zhang (2000) introduces the framework for restruc- massive financial resources, however, imposed
turing the housing finance system in its early stages. high costs. For instance, most loans and funds in
Chen (2010), Yeung & Howes (2006), Burell the 4 trillion stimulus package went to local gov-
(2006), and Deng et al. (2011) focus on the eval- ernments and state-owned enterprises, which used
uation of the HPF scheme. Li (2010), Li & Yi (2007), some loans to invest in government-backed infra-
and Wang (2001) describe case studies on housing structure projects, but others to engage in specula-
finance performance in Beijing, Shanghai, and tive investments (such as the real estate market) and
Guangzhou. Deng et al. (2005) and Chen & wasteful projects (Liang 2010). The massive flow of
Stephens (2011) report on empirical studies of the funding into the real estate market acted as a cat-
mortgage market. However, few researchers have alyst for skyrocketing housing prices. The average
comprehensively assessed the long-term evolution, housing price nationwide rose from 3576 Yuan in
challenges, and recent changes in China’s housing 2008 to 4725 Yuan in 2010, increasing 32.13% in
finance system, especially after China began to two years (NBSC 2011). Affordability of housing
recover from the 2008 financial crisis via a costly declined sharply, which resulted in widespread dis-
financial intervention. This paper tries to fill this content among people who could not afford to buy.

open house international Vol.41 No.1, March 2016. The Emergence of China’s Housing Finance System: Challenge and Change.
gap. Furthermore, massive funds flowing into the real
The remainder of this paper proceeds as estate sector worsened the disconnection between
follows. The second section analyzes China’s finan- the financial system and economy, because wide-
cial dilemma between liberalization and financial spread real estate speculation drained off financial
stability. The third section introduces the evolution resources from the real economy. Though China’s
of China’s housing finance system. The forth sec- highly centralized financial system could alleviate
tion focuses on the challenges of the housing the short-term risk, it generated accumulating risks
finance system faced. The fifth section introduces for the long term, and aggravated a long-standing
recent changes aimed at a more efficient and equi- problem in the economic structure (Liang 2010).
table housing finance mechanism. The last section The financial crisis also uncovered a long-
concludes. standing problem of China’s financial system –
financial repression. The financial system gives pri-
2 . C HI NA ’ S F I NA NC I A L DI L E M MA : ority to loans for local governments and state-
L IB E R A L I ZA T IO N VS. F I NA N C I A L owned enterprises. For instance, local governments
STAB ILITY in China cannot issue debt themselves, so instead
they borrow from state-owned banks, using land as
China’s finance system is a highly centralized one, collateral. That borrowing has produced a surge in
under which the central government controls the local-government debt in many cities – in 2012, the
majority of financial resources. This highly central- government of Kunming borrowed 46.4 billion
ized finance system has certain advantages, which Yuan, when its revenue was only 37.8 billion Yuan,
have been proven by China’s capacity to deal with suggesting its debt ratio reached 122.9% (Xinhua
two serious financial crises in the past two decades. Net 2013a). The central government also encour-
To combat the Asian financial crisis in 1997, the ages state-owned banks to extend loans to local
central government launched a large-scale afford- governments to stimulate economic growth. For
able housing program to boost the domestic instance, in August 2013, China Agriculture Bank
demand in 1998. That measure worked well – extended a loan of 250 billion Yuan to the
China passed the crisis smoothly and reached a Shanghai Government, which is approximately
GDP growth rate of 8% in 1998. Compared to the 12.5% of Shanghai’s GDP in 2012 (Daily
1997 crisis, China suffered much more heavily Economic News 2013). Usually, local governments
from the global financial crisis of 2008. To pull the repay the loans through the revenue they gain from
economy out of that recession, the Chinese gov- leasing land. However, that land revenue depends
ernment implemented a set of monetary and fiscal on the future performance of the local economy
policies. The monetary policies included cutting and land market. If land revenues decrease due to
interests and lavishly originating loans for infra- a sluggish land market, local governments have to
structure investment (Liang 2010). The highlight of default. From this perspective, the privileged access
the fiscal policies was a 4 trillion Yuan ($586 mil- to debt granted to local governments creates sig-
lion, or about 2% of the GDP) stimulus package nificant risk to the financial system.
launched in October 2008. These measures On the other hand, financial oppression has
helped China maintain the stability of the financial resulted from severe discrimination against private
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sector borrowers. As most loans have gone to local cial stability and financial liberalization. This chal-
Yonghua Zou

governments or state-owned enterprises, private lenge is embedded in four components of the


enterprises have had difficulty obtaining credit from financial system. After briefly examining the evolu-
state-owned banks. They have had to borrow from tion of China’s housing finance system, this paper
private individual lenders, illegal private banks, or will provide an in-depth and critical look at the
usury. High-cost financing has heavily hurt local challenges faced by it.
economies. The City of Wenzhou is an example.
During the housing boom in Wenzhou, the real 3 . T HE E V O L U T IO N O F C H IN A ’ S
estate sector absorbed huge funds with high inter- HOUSING FINANCE SYSTE M
est rate, while private enterprises could not obtain
sufficient funds and had to declare bankruptcy 3.1 The Housing Finance System under
(Xinhua Net 2013b). In addition, due to the huge the Centralized Planned Eco no my (Prio r
demand for private credit, small loan companies to 1988 )
mushroomed in recent years. There were 6,555
small loan companies by the first quarter of 2013, Starting in 1949, China employed a socialist wel-
with a loan balance of 635.7 billion Yuan (China fare housing allocation system in urban areas. By
Times 2013). As the majority of small loan compa- the 1980s, approximately 82% of urban residents
nies in China are not regulated financial institutions lived in publicly-owned housing (Wang et al 2012).
open house international Vol.41 No.1, March 2016. The Emergence of China’s Housing Finance System: Challenge and Change.

and highly vulnerable to risk, their proliferation Tenants paid low rent as the compensation for
resulted in widespread corruption and illegal activ- accepting low wages. The housing finance market
ities. barely existed. State or work units allocated funds to
Financial repression heavily decreases the develop publicly-owned housing. Under those con-
financial system’s efficiency in allocating resources. ditions, residents had no need for mortgage credit
By 2013, China had $3.4 trillion in foreign curren- to purchase housing.
cy reserves, topping other countries in the world The welfare housing system, however, put a
(China Money Network 2013). The surplus liquid- heavy financial burden on the government and
ity, however, could not be fully used. For instance, work units. In the early 1980s, the central govern-
China is known for buying huge government debt ment decided to convert the welfare allocation
of the United States; in 2013, it held $1.2 trillion housing system to a monetized housing provision
U.S. government debt (China Money Network system. In 1982, the central government enacted a
2013). Yet China is a capital scarce country – in housing reform pilot program in Zhengzhou,
the housing sector, non-state-owned housing Shashi, Changzhou, and Shiping. Under that pro-
developers find it very difficult to obtain bank loans gram, city governments and work units would sub-
and have to rely on high-cost financing. sidize two-thirds of housing construction cost.
The solution to the problem of financial Residents could purchase the housing at one third
repression lies in reforming the financial system, of the building cost. The pilot program, however,
especially resolving the long-standing contradiction failed because too few residents took advantage of
between liberalization and financial stability. The the option to purchase houses for three reasons.
government acknowledges that market-oriented First, they were accustomed to living in welfare
liberalization can increase the competitive strength housing with low rents. Second, they had accumu-
of the financial system (Yao & Wu 2011). However, lated little savings to purchase housing due to low
the financial crisis in 2008 increased the govern- wages. Third, they had no access to mortgages at
ment’s reluctance to pursue financial liberalization. that time. Learning from that failure, the central
While many of America’s insolvent financial institu- government realized that establishing a well-func-
tion were transferred to new owners during the tioning housing finance system was necessary to
financial crisis, the Chinese government maintained accomplish housing reform.
stability in its financial markets (Yao & Wu 2011). Under the highly centralized planned econ-
Yet by neglecting financial liberalization and glob- omy framework, China’s financial system took the
alization, China’s government may make the finan- form of “great unity.” Prior to the 1980s, China had
cial repression worse (Yao & Wu 2011). only one bank – the People’s Bank of China (PBC),
The financial repression resulted in negative which was the center of the nation’s credit and cur-
impact on the housing financial system, including rency, controlling all credit and fund transactions in
the low ratio of the outstanding mortgage to GDP, China. Under this monopolistic banking system,
low efficiency of PHF, and the obstacles to expand financial institutions played a role in accounting
MBS program to link the financial market and the and auditing, rather than a role in allocating
housing market. In all, the primary challenge of the resources (Bardhan & Edelstein 2007). At the end
financial system in China is how to balance finan- of the 1970s, China decided to break the “great
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unity” into a multi-level structure with diverse finan- and insurance companies. Following Yantai and Bangbu,

Yonghua Zou
cial institutions. In 1984, China transformed PBC to more than ten cities established housing savings banks.
a state central bank, which played roles in credit However, urban residents lacked enthusiasm because
management, currency issuance, and commercial they were reluctant to use voluntary savings to purchase
bank supervision. On the secondary level, China homes in a rapidly transitioning housing market. The
established “big four” state-owned commercial housing savings bank scheme is the rudiment of the
banks, namely, China Industry and Business Bank Contractual Housing Savings (CHS) program in China.
(CIBB), Bank of China (BOC), China Agricultural (2) In 1988, PBC approved commercial banks to estab-
Bank (CAB), and China Construction Bank (CCB). lish real estate credit departments, usually in collabora-
Different commercial banks were assigned to serve tion with local governments, to provide financial services
different economic sectors. The last of these four for developers and housing consumers. Commercial
(CCB) took responsibility for financial services relat- banks issued the first large-scale batch of mortgages in
ed to construction, investment, and housing sec- 1992.
tors. In 1986, CCB originated the first housing (3) In 1991, Shanghai initiated the HPF scheme modeled
mortgage loan in China (Deng et al, 2005). This on the Central Provident Fund scheme in Singapore. The
reform kept the banking system firmly under the government mandated work units and employees to con-
control of the state. tribute a proportion of wages to the employee’s person-
al account. Participants could withdraw those HPF funds

open house international Vol.41 No.1, March 2016. The Emergence of China’s Housing Finance System: Challenge and Change.
3.2 The E mbryo of the Housing Finance to purchase, build, or rent housing. Due to the severe
System (19 88-1994 ) deficiency of funds, local governments also used HPF to
fund housing construction by developers.
After the reform of the banking system, housing (4) In 1992, the central government encouraged urban
funding sources shifted from government fiscal allo- residents to solve housing problems through housing
cation to bank loans, but bank loans only focused cooperatives. A housing cooperative is a kind of non-
on the supply side – the majority of loans flowed to profit organization voluntarily formed by urban residents,
housing developers. Demand for individual hous- using self-raised funds to develop housing for them-
ing mortgages remained extremely small due to the selves. It had previously played a role in housing provi-
widely available welfare housing and the ambigui- sion during times when housing capital was very limited,
ty of housing ownership rights. In 1988, the central but had faded out as housing investment increased later
government started the process of privatizing on.
China’s housing stock by converting its welfare
housing allocation system to a commercial system, 3.3 The Growth of the Housing Finance System
and clarifying housing ownership rights (Wang & (1994-1998)
Murie 1999). Work units sold state-owned public
housing to sitting tenants at a discount (Wang & In 1994, the central government divided housing
Murie 1999, 2000). The government also encour- credit services into two sets of institutions: (1) the
aged residents to purchase housing in the market. policy-oriented credit institutions to serve govern-
These changes created a growing demand for ment or work-units’ housing funds, including the
housing credit. HPF scheme, and (2) market-oriented commercial
To support housing privatization, the gov- banks that would use their own capital to provide
ernment created diverse financial institutions and loans for housing developers and consumers. This
schemes, many of which were new in China, division helped the government supervise the poli-
including the real estate credit departments in com- cy-oriented funds, while enhancing the banks’ abil-
mercial banks, housing saving banks, housing ity to use their proprietary capital to expand owner-
cooperatives, and the HPF scheme. These housing ship.
finance institutions and schemes began providing In 1994, based on the experiments in
capital streams for housing development and con- Shanghai, the government expanded the HPF
sumption. scheme nationwide (Chen 2010). PBC demonstrat-
(1) In 1987 and 1988, China established housing sav- ed that the HPF could provide a long-term, steady
ings banks in two cities, Yantai and Bangbu. Those hous- stream of funds for consumers’ home purchases.
ing savings banks offered customers the opportunity to Since then, the HPF scheme has been extended to
accumulate voluntary savings to fund housing develop- most cities.
ments and consumption. The central government called The government also used the housing
for local governments to take advantage of local finance finance system to support affordable housing pro-
to support housing savings banks. As a result, the hous- grams. In 1995, China launched its first affordable
ing savings bank scheme was locally government-orient- ownership program – the Peaceful Living Project
ed, formed by local finance bureaus, state-owned banks, (PLP, Anju Gongcheng). The central government
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provided 40% of the total investment, through Chongqing, having learned from the experiences of
Yonghua Zou

loans from the state-owned banks. Local govern- Yantai and Bangbu. In the secondary mortgage
ments drew on diverse capital sources, including market, China initiated a Mortgage-Backed
HPF, to provide the remaining 60% (Wang 2001). Securitization (MBS) program in 2005 to expand
In 1997, the central government decided that more alternative housing finance channels. So far,
housing mortgage loans would only be available in China’s housing finance system has become
cities that had launched the PLP program. In addi- mature, with a framework of the HPF and commer-
tion, the government gave priority for mortgages to cial bank mortgages as the principal, while the
homebuyers who were purchasing PLP units. CHS and the MBS schemes as the supplement.
However, the mortgage underwriting standard was
quite strict – the down payment had to exceed 40% 4. CHALLE NGES OF FOUR
of the housing value, and the maturity term could CO MPONENTS OF CHINA’S HO USING
not exceed 10 years, limiting buyers’ ability to take FINANCE SYSTEM
advantage of the program. Since the PLP program
left intact the link between work units and housing 4.1 Challenges of the HPF Scheme
provision, many work units purchased the PLP units
as collective consumers, and then allocated them Starting in 1991, the compulsive HPF scheme
to employees. As a result, individual consumer became the core component of the policy-oriented
open house international Vol.41 No.1, March 2016. The Emergence of China’s Housing Finance System: Challenge and Change.

demand for mortgages remained weak. By the end housing finance system. Compared to the voluntary
of 1997, the housing mortgage balance was housing saving scheme, the compulsory HPF sav-
around 22 billion Yuan, which is only 0.28% of ings scheme was easier to implement, because
GDP in 1997 (Deng et al 2005; NBSC 2011). employees saw the contribution by work units as a
kind of benefit.
3 .4 The Ho using Finance System Takes During the 1990s, the HPF scheme sup-
Shape (19 98 to Present) ported relatively few mortgage loans. Between
1993 and June 1998, only 0.2% of HPF contribu-
In 1998, the central government announced its tors obtained HPF loans in Beijing; the total mort-
decision to terminate the welfare housing allocation gage amount was 368.1 million Yuan, which was
system and initiate a monetary provision system only 8% of available deposited funds over the peri-
(The State Council, 1998). As this policy cut the link od (Wang, 2001). To enhance its efficiency, local
between work units and housing provision, resi- governments established HPF management cen-
dents could no longer rely on work units and had a ters, which are the decision bodies of the HPF
greater incentive to purchase housing on the open scheme at the local level. The management centers
market. To support this reform, China launched are responsible for collecting and depositing funds,
another large-scale affordable housing program – as well as reviewing loan applications (Wang
the Economic and Comfortable Housing (ECH, 2001). The central government also established an
Jingji Shiyongfang) program. The central govern- agency to supervise the operation of the HPF
ment planned to establish a multi-layered housing scheme. In April 2002, the State Council issued a
system, in which the ECH program could cover law regarding the HPF scheme – The Provisions of
approximately 70% of urban households. The poli- Housing Provident Fund Management, which pro-
cy expanded the demand for housing loans as local vided a solid national foundation to the HPF
governments needed to borrow funds to develop scheme.
large-scale ECH projects, and as residents needed Despite that national foundation, the imple-
more mortgages to finance home purchases. mentation of the PHF scheme is localized. Local
In response to increased demand for hous- governments set rules for PHF mortgage applica-
ing loans, the central government took the follow- tion. In most cities, households need to maintain
ing measures to improve the housing finance sys- local population registration status (Hukou) to
tem: (1) expanding housing mortgage originations, apply for HPF mortgages. Shanghai has also stipu-
(2) improving the registration system to enable bor- lated that only first time homebuyers are eligible to
rowers to use property as collateral, (3) developing obtain HPF mortgages. The amount available to
mortgage insurance to decrease mortgage default consumers for mortgages is decided by certain
risk, and (4) developing a hybrid individual mort- multiples of savings in applicants’ HPF account. In
gage scheme, which includes commercial mort- Shanghai, the multiple is 20 (Chen 2010); in
gage loans and the HPF mortgage loans (The State Beijing, the multiple is between 10 and 15 (Wang
Council 1998). 2001). In addition, local governments set caps on
In addition, the government introduced the the total size of HPF mortgages. For instance, in
experiment with the CHS scheme to Tianjin and Shanghai, the cap was 600,000 to 800,000 Yuan
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in 2009 (Chen & Stephens 2011). Local govern- households that obtained HPF mortgages was less

Yonghua Zou
ments can adjust the caps to stimulate local hous- than 20% of all contributing households. One of
ing markets. For example, over the period of 2008 explanations for the low usage rate is the imbal-
global economic recession, many local govern- ance between HPF loan demand and HPF savings
ments raised the cap on HPF mortgages to boost supply. First, the HPF is a closed-end system based
housing consumption. on jurisdictions. A serious geographic disparity of
Though the HPF scheme played a critical supply and demand exists – the regions with
role in expanding capital sources for housing devel- expanding housing markets need more funds than
opment and consumption, an official report by regions with stagnant markets. However, the HPF is
China’s central bank shows the HPF scheme is not not allowed to transfer across jurisdictions. This
effective in supporting low- and moderate-income fragmentation has not only decreased the efficien-
households to become homeowners (PBC 2005). cy of capital allocation, but also increased liquidity
Many researchers have criticized two faults of the risks (Chen 2010; Burell 2006). For instance, in
HPF scheme – inequality and inefficiency (Chen 2013, the housing boom dramatically expanded
2010; PBC 2005; Li 2010; the World Bank 2006). the demand for HPF mortgages in many cities with
First, the HPF can be faulted for inequality spiraling housing markets. Some cities announced
across regions and across work units. The coverage that their HPF liquidity was used up and stopped
rate in some eastern cities exceeds 90% of employ- accepting applications (China News 2013). Those

open house international Vol.41 No.1, March 2016. The Emergence of China’s Housing Finance System: Challenge and Change.
ees, while the figure is less than 50% in some west- suspensions hurt households who held deposits in
ern cities. In some coastal cities of migrants, the HPF. Second, HPF management centers have little
coverage rate is especially low – In Donguan, 340 incentive to expand mortgage origination. By the
million of total 424 million employees, namely end of 2011, HPF deposits across China had
80.2% of all employees, remain uncovered by HPF reached 2.1 trillion Yuan, about 4.4% of the GDP
in 2012 (Information Times 2013). of 2011 (People Net 2013). However, so far there
Employees in different work units also face have been only two channels for investing HPF bal-
severe inequalities in employer contributions. ances – buying government bonds or depositing in
Nationally, the average HPF contribution rate is banks. As the purpose of HPF management centers
approximately 7% of employees’ wages. Affluent is to keep the funds safe, they are inclined to
work units, such as central state-owned enterprises, deposit the funds in banks, rather than originate
are inclined to contribute more, for the sake of loans to applicants and bear the risk of mortgage
increasing employees’ incomes and evading taxes. default. Unfortunately, high inflation erodes the
Poor work units, however, contribute at very low value of HPF. Third, the absence of effective public
rates. Research shows that the average employer supervision jeopardizes the funds’ efficiency.
contribution going to workers in the top 10th per- Employees and work units cannot hold HPF man-
centile is approximately 30 times the average agement accountable, making it difficult to correct
employer contribution to the bottom 10th percentile misuse and corruption when they appear in HPF
(Chen 2010). management centers.
The inequality of the HPF scheme is also
reflected in the reality that poor households subsi- 4 .2 C hallenges o f the Commercial Bank
dize affluent households to become homeowners. Mortgage Scheme
According to the HPF program rules, savings must
be used in housing-related consumption or for pen- Commercial banks provide a primary channel for
sions after retirement. Middle and high-income financing housing consumption. In 1999, PBC
households find it easier to purchase housing, and established a framework for commercial bank
therefore have a higher possibility to withdraw HPF mortgage lending, including mortgage underwrit-
savings and obtain HPF mortgages. In contrast, ing standards: (1) the maximum ratio of loan to
low- and moderate-income households have diffi- housing value (LTV) is 80% of appraised value; (2)
culty purchasing housing, and thus have little the longest amortization term is 30 years; (3) the
chance to use HPF. Under this situation, low- and mortgage interest rate is adjusted periodically by
moderate-income households contribute HPF sav- China’s central bank; (4) the majority of commer-
ings every month but capture little benefit from the cial mortgages are self-amortizing; and (5) appli-
HPF scheme. cants must provide a commercial guarantee or use
The second challenge faced by the HPF the purchased property as collateral (Deng et al.
scheme is its low efficiency. Many households hope 2005; Chen & Stephens 2011). However, the gov-
to apply for HPF mortgages for the low interest rate. ernment or banks were permitted to adjust under-
However, actual usage of the HPF is fairly low. writing standards in response to variations in hous-
According to Chen (2010), in 2008 the number of ing market conditions. Since the end of the 1990s,
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China has witnessed a rapid expansion of com-
Yonghua Zou

mercial mortgages despite some challenges due to


institutional defects and cultural factors.
The first challenge is that the ratio of hous-
ing mortgage balance to GDP is relatively low.
Since 2006, China has become the largest mort-
gage market in Asia (Zhu 2006). Nevertheless, the
ratio of housing mortgage balance to GDP was
only 11.7% of GDP by 2004 (PBC 2005). By
2012, the ratio had reached 15.61% (PBC 2013),
which still lagged behind the U.S. and many
European countries. Figure 1 shows the outstand-
ing mortgage-to-GDP ratios in China and some
selected OECD countries. One of the explanations
for China’s low ratio is that housing finance services
lag badly behind mortgage demand. If a nation’s
credit institutions generate too large a debt load,
that may cause financial instability; if they generate Figure 1. The outstanding mortgage to GDP ratios among
open house international Vol.41 No.1, March 2016. The Emergence of China’s Housing Finance System: Challenge and Change.

insufficient credit, that may constrain housing China (2012), U.S. (2012) and other selected counties
demand (Warnock & Warnock, 2012). In China, (2010) Data source: Center for Economic Studies (2010);
the government is most concerned about financial The Federal Reserve (2013), and PBC (2013)
stability and thus constrains the scale of mortgage mortgage default risk (Chiquier 2006). Another
debt. In 2013, because huge loans have flowed reason why banks lack experience with default is
into local governments and state-owned enterpris- the high prepayment rates. Influenced by Chinese
es at the same time that the housing boom has culture, households are not used to carrying debt.
boosted credit demand dramatically, banks have According to Liu & Sun (2007), among a sample of
experienced a severe liquidity problem – “money 4,000 mortgages originated in 1999, 427 were
shortage”. In addition, state-owned banks set quo- prepaid by October 2002, which means the ratio
tas on mortgage credit origination – if mortgage of prepayment was 13.7% (Liu & Sun 2007).
originations exceed the quota, they stop extending China’s relatively brief experience with mort-
new mortgages. In August 2013, due to “money gage financing explains the immaturity of the hous-
shortages” and mortgage quotas, banks in many ing finance legal system. Though China has passed
cities including Guangzhou and Zhengzhou some laws related to housing finance, its legal sys-
announced they would not extend new housing tem needs to strengthen property rights, contractu-
mortgages (Daily Economic News, 2013). In this al freedom, and the ability to secure collateral
situation, some homebuyers who have been unable (United Nations 2005; Warnock & Warnock
to obtain mortgages from banks have had to rely 2008). For instance, during the housing boom over
on unregulated private lending outside the formal the last decade, the incidence of foreclosure was
banking system. According to a report on “Banking very low. The scarcity of foreclosure cases has actu-
and family financing behavior”, 33.5% of Chinese ally discouraged legislation on foreclosures.
families have participated in private lending, with According to the Supreme People’s Court of China,
the total amount of 8.6 trillion Yuan, approximate- in 2005, if a borrower defaulting on his mortgage
ly 50% of which was used to purchase housing payment possesses only that property as collateral,
(People Net, 2013). then banks have no authority to foreclose on the
Commercial banks also face the challenge house. That law is still much debated, as it restricts
that they lack experience in dealing with default the lender’s right to seize collateral.
risk. Up to now, commercial banks mortgages have
experienced very low default rates – in 2011, the 4 . 3 C h al l e ng e s o f t h e C o n t r ac t u al
rate of Non-performing loans (NPL) was only 1.1% Housing Saving (C HS) Scheme
(The World Bank 2012). One explanation is that
households have benefited greatly from housing Individual savings accounts dedicated to financing
price appreciation over the last decade. Due to home purchases originated in the UK approximate-
house price appreciation, households rarely default ly 300 years ago and have become popular in
on mortgage payments. From this perspective, Germany and Austria (United Nations 2005).
China’s mortgage finance system has not been test- China conducted experiments with such a scheme
ed by a period of decreasing housing prices since in 1987 and 1988, establishing housing savings
1998. It needs more time to assess the potential banks in two cities, Yantai and Bangbu. However,
20
urban residents were reluctant to use voluntary sav- with higher interest rates instead of waiting to accu-

Yonghua Zou
ings to purchase homes in a rapidly transitioning mulate savings in the CHS. Furthermore, China
housing market. The housing savings bank lacked an institutional and legal environment to
scheme, while no immediately popular, was the apply CHS in the transition economy, and also
rudiment of the Contractual Housing Savings lacked trained professionals to adjust the CHS
(CHS). scheme to the Chinese context. In the case of
Despite the failure of early attempts to estab- TSGB, foreign executives were unfamiliar with the
lish individual deposit accounts in the absence of administrative, cultural, and institutional environ-
employer contributions, the government attempted ment in China. For instance, Chinese consumer
to revive the Contractual Housing Savings (CHS) behavior differed from that in Germany, where the
scheme in 2004. China Construction Bank and CHS operated through sales agents. In China,
the Germany Bausparkasse Schwabisch Hall (BSH) however, customers are inclined to trust banks
Housing Savings Bank jointly established Tianjin rather than sales agents. That suggests that the
Sino-German Bausparkasse (TSGB). The govern- CHS scheme needs further improvement to adjust
ment expected TSGB to introduce German CHS to the cultural shift.
experiences into China. TSGB copied the
Germans’ operational and management rules, as 4 .4 Challenges of the Mo rtgage-Backed
well as taking advantage of the technical and Securitization (MBS) Scheme

open house international Vol.41 No.1, March 2016. The Emergence of China’s Housing Finance System: Challenge and Change.
human resource of BSH, including some German
executives dispatched to TSGB. In advanced economies, the security market is an
The CHS scheme has numerous advantages effective instrument to enhance the banks’ liquidity
for both borrowers and lenders. First, it establishes and spread the risk widely. A good example is the
a closed-end system, which can avoid the impact of U.S., where securitization revolutionized the hous-
fluctuations in the capital market. Second, com- ing finance system in the 1970s, successfully
pared with the HPF scheme, the CHS scheme enhanced liquidity, and expanded capital sources
maintains more social equality. Recall that the HPF for the housing mortgage market (United Nations,
scheme operates through participants’ work units, 2005; Green & Wachter, 2005). Through securiti-
so people who are not formally affiliated with work zation, commercial banks can recycle the capital
units are excluded from the HPF scheme. However, they have invested in mortgages, and then obtain
those people can voluntarily participate in the CHS more capital to issue new mortgages. Inspired by
scheme. Third, the CHS scheme is more flexible the achievements of the securitization scheme of
than the commercial mortgages. Self-employees, the U.S. in raising homeownership rates and
temporary employees, and households with unre- expanding capital sources, many scholars, policy
ported incomes have difficulty obtaining income makers, and experts suggested that China needed
certification to apply for commercial mortgages. to initiate its own securitization scheme and pro-
Unreported income is common in China – the mote the secondary mortgage market. In 2003, for
amount of unreported income is estimated to be the first time, the central bank encouraged com-
30% of China’s GDP (Wu et al., 2012). People with mercial banks to develop housing mortgage secu-
such income can take advantage of the CHS ritization. In March 2005, the State Council
scheme. Finally, because CHS applies the rule of approved the State Development Bank (SDB) and
“deposit before loans,” a customer’s credit record China Construction Bank (CCB) to initiate securiti-
depends on his/her previous accumulation of zation pilot programs. In December 2005, SDB
deposit. That decreases the possibility of loan issued asset-backed securities with a value of
default. 4.177 billion Yuan, and CCB issued securities with
Nevertheless, the CHS scheme has not been a value of 3.017 billion Yuan, respectively.
widely accepted by the public. The first challenge Unfortunately, the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis
was that the target customers of the CHS over- in the U.S. gave a warning to China’s incipient
lapped with the HPF scheme. Many potential savers securitization scheme. As a result, the process of
were attracted by the mandatory HPF schemes promoting securitization was temporarily terminat-
because their employers would contribute a part of ed.
savings. Second, the long-last housing market China faces many obstacles to implement-
boom dampened households’ enthusiasm in ing securitization. First, government-owned com-
choosing the CHS scheme. During the housing mercial banks lack motivation to promote it
boom, increasing household incomes did not keep because they would have to share the revenue gen-
pace with housing price appreciation. In order to erated by mortgage lending with other institutions
get into the rapidly-appreciating market, people such as rating agencies, insurance corporations,
were inclined to borrow from commercial banks and securities investors (Zhu, 2006). For the banks
21
currently, China’s housing mortgage loan business There is a huge demand for private housing finance
Yonghua Zou

is a high-yield enterprise due to the low default rate. to supplement the state-owned banks. Housing
Commercial bankers would like to maintain their mortgages represent an attractive investment vehi-
comfortable position. cle for private capital – as the housing mortgage
Second, the pressure on commercial banks scale is still small and has a lot of room for growth,
to increase capital liquidity and spread risk is not private capital can fill the gaps in the mortgage
very heavy. Due to the limited alternative investment market. In addition, China has abundant private
channels and the weak welfare system, households capital seeking investment channels. Many
are inclined to deposit their money in banks. provinces welcome the initiative of private banks. In
According to China Securities Regulatory 2013, three cities in Guangdong province –
Commission (CSRC), the saving rate of China in Guangzhou, Shenzhen, and Jieyang – applied to
2011 reached 52% of disposable personal establish private banks within their jurisdictions
income, far outstripping the world’s average saving (Shanghai Securities Daily 2013). Private banks can
rate, which was only 19.7% in 2005 (Xinhua Net serve as a bridge between private enterprises’ cap-
2012). Those savings have become a dependable ital demands and abundant private capital sup-
capital source for state-owned banks. plies.
Third, the infrastructure of the secondary China also has taken measures to encour-
mortgage market is still weak. China needs to age foreign banks to finance housing consumption
open house international Vol.41 No.1, March 2016. The Emergence of China’s Housing Finance System: Challenge and Change.

establish more professional intermediary organs, and investment. In 2001, China entered the World
including guarantee agencies, credit rating agen- Trade Organization (WTO) and must fulfill the com-
cies, accounting firms, law firms, and mortgage mitment to open up its banking sector. In addition,
corporations, to link the traditional housing mort- as foreign direct investment burgeons, foreign
gage market and the broader capital market. In investors need more diverse financial products and
addition, China needs to improve some techniques service. By the end of 2012, foreign banks had
such as automated underwriting and risk manage- established 412 branches across China, many of
ment, as well as needing to recruit more experi- them participating in the housing finance business
enced professional talent. (Sohu 2013).
In addition, PBC announced that China
5 . CHA NG E S IN C HINA ’S HOU S ING would deregulate the interest rates offered by finan-
FINANCE SYSTE M cial institutions as of July 20, 2013 (PBC 2013).
That was a milestone of market-oriented finance
5 .1 Pr o mo ti ng De ce ntr al iz ed Ho u si ng reform, suggesting that financial institutions can
Finance System adjust the level of interest rate based on the market
performance. Market-oriented interest rate can
Redefining the role of the government is needed to help banks enhance independence and scientific
expand the housing mortgage market (Gallardo, pricing, and expand financial support to housing
1998). Recently, China has taken some measures developers and households.
to promote a more decentralized housing finance
mechanism through encouraging private banks, 5 . 2 E x p an d i ng Ho u si n g F i n an c i n g
foreign banks, and market-oriented interest rates. Channels
The government realizes that the monopoly of
state-owned banks in the housing finance market Due to the real estate boom, the demand for mort-
can lead to the risk of “too big to fail”. According gage credit has increased dramatically. In addition,
to a report by the central bank, four state-owned many housing developers that have spent funds to
banks have issued approximately 80% of all hous- purchase land and expand their investment have
ing mortgages nationwide (PBC 2005; Chen & encountered severe cash flow difficulties. The gov-
Stephens 2011). In a massive country with uneven ernment has taken several measures to expand
local housing markets, decentralization would financing to solve the problem of liquidity.
enhance the efficiency of the housing finance sys- In August 2013, the central government
tem, because local governments would have an announced that China would put the credit asset
information advantage over the central govern- securitization scheme back on the agenda (The
ment. In addition, decentralization would help Government Net of China 2013). As previously
banks take more flexible swift actions to avoid the mentioned, China temporary terminated the asset
risk of default. securitization scheme after the 2008 financial crisis.
In July 2013, the State Council announced The government now acknowledges that asset
that the government would encourage the estab- securitization is a beneficial instrument to attract
lishment of private banks (The State Council 2013). more stable funding from the rest of the financial
22
market. Unlike the deregulation of the U.S. housing promised to use the funds for two redevelopment

Yonghua Zou
mortgage market before the Great Recession, the projects in shanty areas in Shanghai (Xinhua Net
Chinese approach includes very stringent regula- 2013b). The government has also encouraged pri-
tions to control the potential risk related to securiti- vate capital to develop affordable housing through
zation. issuing corporate bonds, short-term financing bills,
The government has also encouraged banks mid-term note, etc.
to increase the capital turnover to increase the Some local governments have introduced
available stock credit and decrease financing costs. changes to enhance the efficiency of Housing
The amount of the stock credit in China is huge – Provident Funds (HPF) in supporting affordable
by July 2013, the savings balance reached 68.78 housing. For cities with surplus deposits in HPF,
trillion Yuan, which can be utilized to expand liq- local governments can borrow from HPF reserves
uidity through increase the capital turnover (The to fund affordable housing development (Xinhua
Government Net of China 2013). Housing devel- Net 2009). Local governments use land as collat-
opers also expand financing channels through eral for those loans. This measure provides a capi-
financial innovations, such as direct financing, tal source for local governments while generating
overseas financing, and seeking funds by issuing some interest on the surplus HPF. A different option
shares of stock on the stock market. For instance, has been tried in several cities experiencing short-
the percentage of direct financing of real estate ages in HPF funds during the housing boom peri-

open house international Vol.41 No.1, March 2016. The Emergence of China’s Housing Finance System: Challenge and Change.
developers increased from 30% in 2008 to 40% in od. They have launched a policy innovation – “HPF
2012 (Xinhua Net 2013b). These innovations alle- mortgage to commercial mortgage” (HTC, Gong
viate some real estate developers’ pressure of liq- Zhuan Shang) – to support affordable housing con-
uidity. sumption (China News 2013). This allows HPF
applicants to apply for mortgages from commercial
5 . 3 S u p po rt i n g A f f o rd ab l e H o u s i ng banks in advance, and subsidizes the mortgage
Financing interest rate gap between HPF and commercial
mortgages. The HTC policy guarantees house-
Promoting affordable housing financing is a specif- holds that participated in the HPF program can
ic embodiment of maintaining housing finance enjoy the affordable housing finance with equality.
equality. Over the last two decades, China have In addition, the Contractual Housing
launched several large-scale affordable housing Savings (CHS) scheme has also adjusted its focus to
programs, which not only played critical roles in target affordable housing consumption. Many low-
promoting housing privatization reform, but also and moderate-income households have no HPF
helped millions of people become homeowners. accounts or have made only small HPF contribu-
However, between 2004 and 2010, the share of tions, but they can deposit savings in advance to
affordable housing provision in China continued to obtain qualification to borrow money through the
decline, partly due to the severe constraint of fund- CHS scheme. In 2006, the Tianjin municipal gov-
ing. In 2010, China launched the Social Housing ernment initiated a combination of the HPF and the
program, targeting at developing 36 million afford- CHS loans, which help low- and moderate-income
able housing units in the five years after 2011. households to take advantage of both the HPF and
Accordingly, the government emphasized support the CHS schemes. In 2011, TSGB established its
for affordable housing financing. For instance, in first branch in Chongqing. The Chongqing munici-
August 2013 the central government requested that pal government also works with TSGB to use the
financial institutions extend 100 billion Yuan loan CHS scheme to fund local affordable housing con-
with below-market interest rates. They will continue sumption. Overall, the CHS scheme has become
to invest a trillion Yuan over five years, to help rede- an experiment to explore an effective housing
velop affordable housing in shanty areas. finance channel for affordable housing consump-
As a response to “money shortages”, many tion.
real estate developers have hoped to raise funds by
selling shares in their companies on the stock mar- 6. CONCLUSION
ket, which means developers must seek profitable
returns to satisfy shareholders. But the government Since the 1980s, based on the experience of
has given priority to those developers willing to advanced economies, China has established a
build affordable housing, which is not the most basic framework for housing finance, which has
profitable option for developers. For the first time played a critical role in support housing investment
since 2009, the government allowed Xinhu and consumption. The housing finance system,
Zhongbao Co. Ltd to issue stock to seek 5.5 billion however, is still plagued by the challenges of ineffi-
Yuan in August 2013, because this company ciency and inequality. These challenges are embed-
23
ded in the financial oppression under China’s high- over-issued of HPF. http://www.chinanews. com/house/2013/
Yonghua Zou

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Author(s):

Yonghua Zou
School of Public Administration and
Institute of Urban Development Studies,
Nanjing University of Finance and Economics,
Nanjing, Jiangsu, 210046, China

26

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