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Abstract
Post-fire debris flows and tailing impoundment failures destroy lives and property. These geologic
hazards—and other similar processes—fall on a continuum between classic Newtonian flood analyses
and geotechnical stability analyses. The US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) is developing a
Non-Newtonian library (DebrisLib) that includes a suite of rheological and clastic approaches to
hyper-concentrated, mudflow, and debris flow dynamics. The Hydrologic Engineering Center (HEC)
has implemented these non-Newtonian methods into the widely used, public domain open-channel
hydraulics and morphodynamic software, HEC-RAS (River Analysis System). This work presents
part of the verification and validation of these non-Newtonian approaches, applying several
This article has been accepted for publication and undergone full peer review but has not been
through the copyediting, typesetting, pagination and proofreading process which may lead to
differences between this version and the Version of Record. Please cite this article as doi:
10.1002/esp.5044
the O’Brien equation. HEC-RAS also includes the non-linear Herschel-Bulkley (HB) approach,
which quantifies shear-thickening or shear-thinning processes. The study used these non-Newtonian
models in HEC-RAS to simulate ten of Parsons et al. (2001) flume experiments, which measured the
snout and plug velocity of fluids with high solid concentrations (Cv = 68–74%) and a broad range of
material gradations (d50 = 0.05–1mm, d15 = 0.006–0.1 mm). The experiments also measured and back-
calculated Bingham and HB parameters of the materials, finding HB powers between 0.45 and 1.25
The rheological models incorporated into DebrisLib and implemented in HEC-RAS reproduce
experimental data well for most experiments. The Bingham model generated a plug velocity Root
Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 0.21 m/s using standard flow parameters and Parsons et al.’s
calibrated parameters, a substantial improvement over the unmodified shallow water flow equations
(RMSE 0.77 m/s). Experiments with strong snout effects tended to generate higher residuals,
especially in the snout velocity. The RMSE associated with the O’Brien equation was larger with the
Parsons et al. fit parameters, but similar (0.23 m/s) with measured parameters. The turbulent
parameter was the largest (often the dominant) parameter in most O’Brien simulations, with the
dispersive stress only proving significant for the coarsest material. DebrisLib had to use a modified
version of the dispersive term to simulate these concentrations. Both the 2D depth-averaged Shallow
Water Equation (SWE) and Diffusion Wave Equation were used to simulate the experiments. The
best results were obtained with the SWE with horizontal mixing.
Introduction
Santa Barbara, California. Under normal conditions, the runoff from this event would have
caused moderate flooding and minor damage. But the Thomas fire had just burned 1,140 km2
of the watershed, exposing hydrophobic sediment on high gradient slopes (Kean et al., 2018).
Wildfire frequency and intensity are rising in the Western United States and around the
world, making mud and debris flows more common. In 2020 alone, more than 100 wildfires
have burned over six million acres across twelve state in the US. These wildfires can
At the same time, mining activities over the last century scattered mine tailing impoundments
across many modern landscapes. Since 2014, two mine-tailings dam failures have killed 219
people in Minas Gerais, Brazil (Silva Rotta et al., 2020) and major tailings dams have failed
in British Colombia, Canada and Australia (Cornwall, 2020). As these structures fill and age
around the world, the risk and hazard associated with them grows.
Post-wildfire mud and debris flows and mine-tailing failures share two risk management
challenges. First, the risks associated with these events are non-stationary increasing with
climate change and aging dams respectively. Second, these events carry so much sediment
load that they change the physics of the flows, making make the common flood warning and
mapping approaches inappropriate. The mud and debris flows from these events require
specialized computational approaches that are not available or widely used in most
production-level flood studies. This work introduced single phase, mud and debris
assumptions into one of the most widely used flood risk and mapping models and tested these
Most alluvial sediment loads do not significantly affect the physics of the transporting fluid.
Standard river concentrations do not increase water viscosity or energy loss significantly.
Therefore, most flood risk models assume clear water and credibly simulate hydrodynamics
change the fluid-particle mixture properties. When sediment concentrations are high enough
that the particles start to interact with each other (directly or indirectly), the classic SWEs do
not perform well. Accounting for these departures from the SWEs is critical to predict the
impact and manage the risk associated with these events, which pose serious hazards to life
and property.
The USACE has developed a library of existing rheological and geotechnical approaches to
simulate mud and debris flows (Floyd et al., 2019). This library has been incorporated into
several USACE models, including the Hydrologic Engineering Canter’s River Analysis
Before release, the study team tested these non-Newtonian algorithms against a selection of
laboratory experiments. This work documents numerical simulations of the Parsons et al.
(2001) flume experiments with HEC-RAS and DebrisLib. The Parsons et al. (2001)
experiments include a wide range of sediment mixtures (including runs with much higher
concentrations than most laboratory studies) and span the process boundary between mud and
debris flows, making them particularly useful for evaluating model performance how the
3. Evaluate the sensitivity and the relative importance of the individual, internal-shear
Bulkley).
4. Explore the role of lateral mixing and turbulence parameters on the lateral velocity
Methods
This study compared a suite of rheological models that account for inter-particle dynamics
(incorporated in DebrisLib and implemented in HEC-RAS) to the results of the Parsons et al.
(2001) flume experiments. Therefore, the methods document the models applied (Non-
Newtonian Modeling Section) and the experiments used to evaluate them (Parsons et al.,
Non-Newtonian Modelling
Most hydraulic and sediment transport models simulate fluid flow with the shallow-water
flow equations, which pair the continuity and momentum equations to solve for two
variables: velocity and water surface elevation. While, HEC-RAS has incorporated non-
hydrodynamic models this paper only presents the 2D model theory and results. HEC-RAS
2D solves either the depth-averaged Shallow Water Equations (SWE) or the Diffusion Wave
Equation (DWE). The SWE model solves volume and momentum conservation equations
model ignores acceleration and mixing processes, making it less accurate and more
computationally efficient. Users can select SWE or DWE equations and usually chose based
on a trade-off between accuracy (which favors SWE) or run time and stability (which favor
DWE). In many prototype-scale, clear water applications, the DWE results are very close to
the SWE result and substantially faster. However, that was not the case in these simulations
𝜕𝜂
+ ∇ ∙ (ℎ𝑉) = 𝑞
𝜕𝑡
where 𝜂 is the mixture surface elevation, t is time, ℎ is the water depth, 𝑉 is the velocity
vector, and q is a source or sink term, to account for external and internal fluxes. The depth-
𝜕𝑉 1 𝜏 𝑉
+ (𝑉 ∙ ∇)𝑉 = −𝑔∇𝜂 + ∇ ∙ (𝑣𝑡 ℎ∇𝑉 ) − 𝑐𝑓 𝑉 −
𝜕𝑡 ℎ 𝜌𝑚 ℎ |𝑉 |
friction coefficient, 𝜏 is the non-Newtonian internal stress, 𝜌𝑚 is the density of the water-
solid mixture, and |𝑉 | is the magnitude of the velocity vector. he second term on the right-
hand side or the momentum equation represents the horizontal mixing due to turbulence. For
debris flows, this term also includes horizontal mixing due to particle collisions. The
conservative form of the mixing terms is essential for accurate momentum conservation.
HEC-RAS includes momentum loss from bottom friction with the Manning’s roughness
coefficient:
𝑔𝑛2
𝑐𝑓 = 4/3 |𝑉 |
𝑅
Non-Newtonian processes add an additional loss term to the momentum equation, expressed
as an internal fluid stress 𝜏 in the far right hand term the equation.
𝜕𝜂
+ ∇ ∙ (𝛽∇𝜂) = 𝑞
𝜕𝑡
where 𝛽 is a non-linear coefficient which is a function of the bottom friction and non-
𝐾 𝑅
𝛽=
𝐴 |∇𝜂|1/2
𝐾
The 𝐴 term (𝐾 is the conveyance, 𝐴 is the vertical area) accounts for losses, including classic
−1/2
𝐾 𝑛2 𝜏
= ( 4/3 + )
𝐴 𝑅 𝛾𝑚 𝑅|𝑉 |2
Both equations incorporate non-Newtonian processes as an internal, fluid, shear stress. Both
equations also divide the internal stress by the density of the fluid and depth/hydraulic radius,
for a term analogous to the friction slope from the boundary friction.
can be quantified as a shear stress, they can be incorporated into the flow equations. When
the non-Newtonian stress is equal to zero, the above modified SWE and DWE equations
Taxonomy
concentration and the gradation of the solid phase, so the taxonomy generally unfolds along
two axes (that can be, but are not necessarily, correlated). Most taxonomies (Coussot and
Meunier, 1996; Philips and Davis, 1991) classify these flows based on some relationship of
the total solid fraction and the percentage of those solids that are fine (i.e. silt and clay, or less
than 63 microns).
Philips and Davis (1991) quantified this multi-axis classification with the ternary taxonomy
in Error! Reference source not found.. They classified mud and debris flows (grey zone in
Error! Reference source not found.) as the events where water and solids in the fluid
Because these flows behave differently based on the relative solid and fine content, different
rheological and geotechnical models are appropriate to estimate the internal shear (and
processes associated with each, and the rheological model DebrisLib and HEC-RAS use to
rheological models usually express these responses as relationships between stress and strain.
geophysical flow regimes can quantify the shear stress associated with the internal losses, and
Standard alluvial flows, with volumetric solid content (Cv) less than 5%, are modelled as
Newtonian flows, which have a linear stress-strain relationship and a zero intercept (i.e. any
𝑑𝑣𝑥
𝜏 = 𝜏𝑦 + 𝜇 ( )
𝑑𝑧
where 𝜏 is the computed, internal shear stress, 𝜏𝑦 is the yield strength, is the sediment-laden
𝑑𝑣
viscosity, and ( 𝑑𝑧𝑥 ) is the material strain. Modelling hyper-concentrated flows with a
Bingham model has a long tradition (Jin and Fread, 1997; Coussot, 1997; O’Brien et al.,
1993; Huang and Garcia, 1997). The stress-strain relationship in a Bingham plastic is still
linear (like the Newtonian assumptions of shallow-water flow), but the slope of the
relationship increases to reflect the higher viscosity of the fluid. The Bingham model also
has a non-zero yield strength. This yield strength incorporates a range of stresses over which
the fluid does not move and allows the fluid to “run out,” or come to rest when the internal
particle strength is greater than the applied stress. Prototype debris flows do, in fact, run out,
collisions also affect the fluid physics (Julien, 2010). As inter-particle turbulence and
collisions become important, DebrisLib applies non-linear rheological models (Table 1).
This transition to mudflows and grain flows is not strictly a function of concentration and
grain size. Hydrodynamics also determines when these processes emerge or dominate.
DebrisLib includes two main approaches to simulate these non-linear rheologies associated
with inter-particle turbulence and collisions. First, the O’Brien equation method (O’Brien et
al., 1993) adds two quadratic terms to the Bingham model to account for these processes,
adding viscous forces for mudflow and/or a Bagnold dispersive term for grain flows (which
1⁄ −2
𝑑𝑣𝑥 2
𝑑𝑣𝑥 2 0.615 3 𝑑𝑣𝑥 2
𝜏 = 𝜏𝑦 + 𝜇𝑚 ( ) + 𝜌𝑚 𝑙𝑚 ( ) + 0.01𝜌𝑠 (( ) − 1) 𝑑𝑠2 ( )
𝑑𝑧 𝑑𝑧 𝐶𝑣 𝑑𝑧
where is the computed, internal shear stress, y is the yield strength, is the sediment-laden
viscosity, m is the mixture density s is the solid density, ds is the representative grain size,
and lm is the Prandtl mixing length. Strain is often computed as some ratio of velocity and
𝑑𝑣
( 𝑑𝑧𝑥 ) as 3𝑢/ℎ, three times the ratio of velocity to depth. DebrisLib follows this convention,
By simulating mud and grain flows with quadratic terms, the O’Brien approach assumes
less deformational in response to stress, or each increment of additional stress causes less
strain.
stress-strain processes:
𝑑𝑣𝑥 𝑛
𝜏 = 𝜏𝑦 + 𝐾 ( )
𝑑𝑧
The Herschel-Bulkley approach is more empirical. By diverging from a linear model, the
coefficient (K) in the non-linear term no longer has units of viscosity and cannot be directly
measured. This model also does not try to build processes-based terms from similitude like
O’Brien et al. (1993). HB is more flexible, allowing non-quadratic, non-linear terms (n ≠ 2),
collapses to the Bingham model (and K) if n = 1. DebrisLib also includes geotechnical
approaches (Coulomb and Vollemy) that account for friction forces as the concentrations
begin to diverge from fluid or plastic models and become more clastic, but these were not
one of the first widely-used mud and debris flows models, Flo-2D. The current version of
HEC-RAS (6.0) is a fixed bed model, so this analysis should be applicable to other single-
phase, fixed-bed, non-Newtonian models used for flood risk management (like Flo-2D) but
may be less applicable to smooth particle Lagrangian models (e.g. Dan3D) or models with
The development team validated DebrisLib within HEC-RAS by comparing computed and
measured plug velocities and lateral velocity distributions. Some of the experiments (Parsons
Newtonian capabilities in HEC-RAS are plotted on the Phillips and Davies (1991) ternary
taxonomy of geophysical flows Error! Reference source not found.. For comparison, two
reservoir flushing events are also included in Error! Reference source not found..
Reservoir flushing events have artificially high concentrations for fluvial flows, concentrating
at least a year of sediment load into a short release window. Both the Spencer Dam flush
(Gibson and Boyd, 2016a,b) on the Niobrara River and the Fall Creek flush (Schenk and
Bragg, 2014; Gibson and Crain, 2019) generated high concentrations (by fluvial transport
standards) and significant deposition in downstream reaches. However, they do not even
The Parsons et al., (2001) experiments had much higher concentrations than most of the
laboratory experiments available and included a broad range of cohesive and cohesionless
particle mixes, including simulations that were classified as both mud flows and grain/debris
flows (Figure 1). The high concentrations (Cv = 68–74%) and wide range of gradations (d50 =
0.2–0.6 mm with fine components between 15.5% and 43%) make these experiments
Additionally, the Parsons et al. (2001) experiments provide a good context to test the limits
of the rheological approach. The range of concentrations and gradations used in these
experiments generated a variety of “snout effects,” which can complicate modelling of multi-
phase debris flows with a single-phase, rheological approach. Parsons et al. (2001) also
measured yield strength and viscosity of each material (with a tilt table) and back-calculated
flume) with four different slopes, two different flume widths, and seven different material
types. This study simulated ten of those experiments (1a, 2a, 3a, 4a, 5a, 5i, 6a, 7a, 8a, 8b),
selecting all of the experiments conducted with their largest flume (10-m length and 14.6-cm
diameter) at two slopes, 18.6% (10.7o or 0.1857) and 21.3% (12.2o or 0.2113). Parsons et al.
Table 2 lists the experimental parameters and the back-calculated (fit) Bingham parameters
Parsons et al. computed for the ten experiments modelled. Table 2 is ordered from top to
bottom by the observed plug velocity (0.24 m/s to 1.02 m/s). An expanded table of
experiments includes the full range of material types (Figure 1). The velocities measured in
the ten modelled experiments span most of the observed range and are well-distributed across
that range.
Fit viscosities were mostly in the 1.5-2.0 Pa-s range, except for experiments 8a and b, which
were nearly twice that (4.1 Pa-s) due to high fine content, and experiment 4, which had
almost no fine material and therefore, almost no measured viscosity (0.06 Pa-s). The HB
parameters computed for these experiments almost all indicate shear-thinning (n < 1), except
for the higher viscosity, higher fine content experiments (8a and 8b).
Parsons et al., (2001) recorded both the “plug velocity” and “snout velocity”, which they
measured by sprinkling black beads across the surface of the fluid and tracking the rate and
deformation of the tracer. They also used these measurements to record a lateral, surficial
velocity distribution (discrete velocities across the flume) for several experiments. The
experiments had relatively distinct “plug flow” and “deformation” zones. The plug flow
of the 14.6-flume width), had nearly constant velocity. Velocities across the transitional
zones dropped from the plug flow velocity to zero at the flume boundary, approximately
linearly. The near-linear velocity distribution across these lateral transition zones led the
authors to compute strain rates from the velocity distributions in these near-wall zones.
Parsons et al., (2001) also provided qualitative descriptions of the “snout effects” classifying
the snout effects as “none,” “some,” “strong,” and “stopped.” The ten simulated experiments
were distributed between the first three classifications, including three with no snout effects,
Model Setup
The modelling domain include 3,996 cells. Cells were 3-cm long and 1.183-cm wide. The
cell width was selected to fit 12 equal-width cells symmetrically across the 14.7 cm flume.
The Courant limited adaptive time step was used with a user-specified range for the Courant
number of 0.2 to 1. This resulted in time steps between 0.002 and 0.1 s. All simulations used
a Manning’s roughness coefficient of 0.16, which was selected before the study based on the
sand flume lining and was not calibrated. The model also used horizontal turbulent mixing
using relatively standard, clear-water, mixing parameters and did not calibrate these. These
of 0.1, and a Smagorinski coefficient of 0.05. These simulations used the SWEs solved the
below). The study team reduced most of the convergence and computational tolerances in
HEC-RAS, which is standard practice when simulating a flume. Most of the default
tolerances are set for prototype, reach-scale analyses (O(102-104 m)) and should be reduced
and videos that demonstrate the step-by-step process used to create these flumes and simulate
Calculating Results
Parsons et al., (2001) reported two observed results: plug velocity and snout velocity. It is
important to compare those observations to the appropriate simulated results. Because this
study required many simulations and analysed non-typical results for each (not easily
accessible through the interface), the study team developed R scripts to cycle through the
HEC-RAS result from all of the simulations to develop the corresponding “computed”
velocities. HEC-RAS result files are in the Hierarchical Data Format - version 5 (HDF5) and
the Supplemental Materials include sample R code that access these data and compute this
result.
Measured plug velocities represented a relatively consistent velocity measured across the
middle half to two-thirds of the flume. HEC-RAS represented the numerical flume with
twelve cells across its diameter. Therefore, this analysis compared the observed plug velocity
to a computed equilibrium average velocity of the middle six cell faces (excluding three cells
on either side with boundary effects; See Lateral Velocity Results Section for justification of
this assumption). The analysis computed this average velocity at the longitudinal center of
the flume (5 m from upstream boundary), 59 seconds into the simulation (after the model
The analysis compared the measured snout velocity to a computed “front velocity,”
determined by recording the elapsed time at the first occurrence of a non-zero depth at the
time.
The modelling team also compared the measured lateral velocity distributions to those
computed by HEC-RAS (with both SWE and DWE) in two low-residual simulations (2a and
7a) - without strong snout effects - to evaluate the model’s lateral velocity performance and
These models were not calibrated. The study team used the non-Newtonian parameters from
the Parsons et al. (2001), and selected other sensitive parameters (flume roughness and
mixing parameters described in the Model Setup Section) based on qualitative experiment
descriptions and previous experience. The results reported use those a priori, best-estimate
parameters. However, the results are sensitive to these parameters, and if the modeling team
had started with different estimates (which would have been possible within the reasonable
range of variation of these parameters) the results could have included systemic error and
Results
The ten experiments in Table 2 were simulated in HEC-RAS with standard Newtonian
Herschel-Bulkley). Figure 2Figure 2 includes simulation results from Experiment 1a, with
the Newtonian, clear-water, shallow water flow equations (top) and the Bingham simulation
(bottom). Both simulations used SWE and the same, pre-selected, mixing coefficients
included a linear internal stress term based on Parson et al.’s (2000) ‘fit’ parameters from
and slower (in terms of both front and average velocity), and have a similar snout shape as
Observed plug velocities and snout velocities are plotted against their comparable, computed
described in the Model Setup Section, and the Parsons et al. (2001) back-calculated Bingham
parameters from Table 2. Results include standard Newtonian clear-water flow (SWE) and
the Bingham simulations. The standard hydrodynamic equations overestimate the average
velocity substantially (average error 0.98 m/s, RMSE = 0.99 m/s). The Bingham simulations,
fall along the line of unity, with an average error of 0.047 m/s and a RMSE of 0.21 m/s.
Newtonian snout-velocity errors were lower than average water velocity results (average
error = 0.74 m/s, RMSE = 0.77 m/s), and higher Newtonian snout velocities were closer to
the observed results than lower velocities. The Bingham snout-velocity results were, again,
much closer to the observed values (average error = 0.10 m/s, RMSE = 0.29 m/s) than the
Newtonian results. Non-Newtonian snout velocity residuals were higher than average
velocity residuals. However, stratifying these results by snout effects (Figure 3-Left)
accounts for some of the variation in the Bingham snout results (See Discussion). The four
Bingham simulations that over predicted snout-velocity the most were also the four
In addition to over-estimating velocity the Newtonian results also underestimate the depth of
the flow. By continuity principles, the slower, mud and debris flows run deeper, which is
critical to forecasting the actual flood risk of these events. Parsons et al. (2000) did not
flows consistent with depths back-calculated from their results. For example, the Bingham
simulation pictured in Figure 2 was more than twice as deep (6.2 cm) as the Clear water
HEC-RAS replicates the lateral velocity distribution of the experiments well, with the
Bingham non-Newtonian closure and the default turbulence and mixing parameters. The
observed lateral velocities from experiments 1a and 7a are plotted with computed lateral
Bingham velocities in Figure 4. An R script extracted computed velocities from each of the
twelve cell faces across the middle of the numerical flume in HEC-RAS, 59 s into the
simulation, to capture the equilibrium velocity transect. Experiments 1a and 7a were selected
to evaluate lateral velocity performance because they had low average residuals (Figure 3)
without strong snout effects and bounded most of the velocity variation of the results.
The simulated velocities, with default turbulence and mixing coefficients, are a little more
parabolic than the observed data. They do not have a constant plug-flow zone, but the
variation across the middle half of the flume is low. The simulated wall-velocity transitions
were slightly more gradual in Experiment 1a, but less gradual (higher velocities in marginal
cells) in Experiment 7a. However, most of these residuals are small. On the whole, the
parabolic simulation results with the default mixing parameters and the Bingham plastic
The left-hand plug velocity panel of Figure 3 is replicated in Figure 5, with results from the
non-linear rheological models (O’Brien and HB). Because the O’Brien equation adds two
model and therefore over-predicts losses while under-predicting velocities when the fit
Bingham parameters are used (average error = –2.4 m/s, RMSE = 0.31 m/s; see Discussion).
HB, on the other hand, generated velocities very close to Bingham, since the HB parameters
were fit to the same conditions as the Bingham parameters for most experiments.
The O’Brien equation generally over predicted internal losses (under predicted velocities)
with the fit Bingham parameters. However, the fit Bingham parameters were generally
higher than the measured parameters, so it may be more appropriate to evaluate the O’Brian
approach with measured parameters (see Section on Corrective Components of the O’Brian
Discussion
Error Analysis
simulations. However, they still diverged from observed velocities in some cases. The
Bingham and HB simulations tended to over-predict the lower velocities and under-predict
the higher velocities. Parsons et al. (2011) computed the Bingham and HB parameters from
the plug velocities, which accounts for the some of the residuals associated with the snout
velocities (Figure 3). The plug-flow errors are smaller, but probably emerge due to the strain
HEC-RAS and DebrisLib used a different strain definition than the experimental team used to
calculate the non-Newtonian parameters. Parsons et al. (2011) measured strain based on
tracer deformation between the flume wall and the plug flow region. HEC-RAS and
DebrisLib compute strain from the ratio of the velocity and depth in each computational cell.
in the cell (3𝑢/ℎ). This is a common computational approach to computing strain (Julien,
2011) but yields different results than the direct measurement used to fit the experimental
despite using “fit” parameters. It also explains why the Bingham and HB results often have
similar residuals.
The two experiments with the highest residuals used unique materials. Experiment 3a stands
out with the highest positive residual (i.e. computed velocity > observed velocity).
Experiment 3a was one of the special-case experiments, which used the coarsest material,
with low yield strength and almost no viscosity, but strong snout effects. Experiment 6a has
the largest negative residual (computed velocity < observed velocity). The material in
This increased the Bingham parameters by 20%, which slowed the simulation significantly.
However, the effect on the numerical flume was bigger than the observed impact.
Experiment 6a is also the only experiment with an HB power significantly higher than 1
(indicating shear-thickening). Finally, despite strong snout effects, Experiment 6a was one of
the only experiments where the measured snout velocity exceeded the plug velocity (the other
was 7a, making the two Usnout > Uplug experiments the highest snout velocity experiments).
So, despite strong snout effects, the model under-predicted plug velocity and over-predicted
snout velocity.
Snout Effects
Two interesting observations emerge from stratifying results by snout effects in the left panel
of Figure 3. First, the higher snout velocity residuals support Iverson’s (2003) assertion that
arrival times when fluid concentration and gradation are longitudinally heterogeneous. This
single-phase, rheological approach will introduce arrival time errors with strong snout effects,
but from an emergency management perspective, these are conservative errors. Second,
while the experiments with strong snout effects also had higher average velocity residuals,
these average velocity errors were much smaller than the snout velocity errors (Table 3).
Rheological models are single-phase heuristics for multi-phase flows. They do not capture
the inter-particle effects explicitly and cannot account for discrete solid phase processes—
particularly localized processes like snout formation (Iverson, 1997, 2003) where the solid
phase becomes periodically dominant. However, they can still provide a helpful framework
to transfer flow properties from similar events to improve mud- and debris risk estimates.
Single phase models are approximate but they are easier to use and parametrize and scale to
HEC-RAS and DebrisLib replicated the lateral velocity distribution relatively well (Figure 4)
mixing, the lateral velocity distribution diverged significantly from the measured data. Figure
6 replicates the observed and computed lateral velocities from Figure 4, but also includes
Bingham simulations without horizontal mixing and with the DWE (which does not include
Both the DWE and SWE simulations without turbulent mixing concentrate flow in the center
of the flume, diverging much more from the observed plug-flow condition than the SWE
Parsons et al., (2011) reported two sets of Bingham parameters: those which they measured
directly with tilt tests, and others which they fit to the observed velocities. In most cases, the
fit parameters combined for a higher internal shear value than the measured values (see the
analysis of measured vs. fit parameter results in Supplemental Materials). The measured
Bingham and HB parameters did not account for all the internal losses.
The results in Figure 5 use the fit parameters. The O’Brien quadratic consistently over-
predicted internal losses (systematically under-predicted velocities) with the fit parameters
(Figure 5). However, the O’Brien model includes quadratic (dispersive and turbulent) terms
to quantify additional processes. Re-running the O’Brien simulations with the (mostly lower)
measured parameters improved the RMSE from 0.31 m/s (fit) to 0.23 m/s (measured), which
By fitting parameters to Bingham and HB that compute more internal loss than the measured
parameters, Parsons et al. (2000) may be accounting for additional internal loss processes that
these models do not include. O’Brien’s additional, quadratic terms were not measured and
cannot be evaluated empirically, but they move the results in the right direction when paired
However, the O’Brien quadratic still consistently over-predicted losses (i.e. under-predicted
velocities) for experimental flows faster than 0.7 m/s. Larger losses at higher velocities are
likely a function the squared strain terms ((3𝑢̅/ℎ)2 ) in the O’Brien equation (assuming
substantial shear-thickening), while Parsons et al. (2001) found that most of these materials
high Bagnold and Friction numbers, which will drive these materials out of a simple linear,
plastic model (Iverson, 1997; Julien, 2010). At lower velocities, it does appear that adding
these theoretical terms to the measured Bingham parameters accounts for the adjustments
required to fit the Bingham equation to the observed experiment results. However, at higher
Figure 8 plots the internal shear stress computed by DebrisLib for each simulated experiment
with the three main approaches: Bingham (top), O’Brien (middle), and HB (bottom). The
figure also separates the relative contributions of the components of each shear approach.
Bingham and O’Brien use the same yield and viscosity parameters, so the yield components
are identical between the simulations. However, the viscous component is a function of the
fluid velocity. The O’Brien simulations have lower velocities because of the additional
internal loss components, so their viscous components are smaller despite identical
viscosities. The Yield component was larger than the viscous component in all of the
experiments except 5 (where the fit yield strength of 14 Pa was much lower than the
measured yield strength of 67 Pa, as well as the fit yield strengths from all other experiments)
and 8 (which used the fine material with the highest measured and fit viscosity).
Turbulent stress was the largest term in most of the O’Brien simulations. The dispersive term
was only significant in the coarsest experiment (see Section 0). The HB simulations had
higher non-linear (quasi-viscous) terms and smaller yield components. Therefore, K was
O’Brien et al.’s (1993) Bagnold (1954) approach the dispersive term (which accounts for
particle collisions) only substantially contributed to internal losses for the coarsest
experiment (4a). However, the study team encountered an obstacle applying this term for
This term returns counter-intuitive results (and can become unstable) for high-concentrations
of natural, well-graded (poorly sorted) materials. The Bagnold term computes the ratio
between the volumetric concentration and the maximum possible volumetric concentration
3𝑢̅ 2
0.01𝜌𝑠 𝑑𝑠2 ( ℎ )
𝜏𝐷𝑖𝑠𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑠𝑖𝑣𝑒 = 2
1⁄
0.615 3
(( 𝐶 ) − 1)
𝑣
This term becomes indeterminate at Cv = 61.5% and is inversely related to grain size at
higher concentrations, including all concentrations used in this experiment. The blue lines in
Figure 9 plot this term for the smallest and largest d50 measurements and the range of
Rickenmann, 2001; Ancey, 2007). Changing the maximum concentration to 84% shifts the
equation so that the collision losses increase monotonically over the observed range in these
equation intact (particularly the 0.01 coefficient), without compensating for this change, is
speculative.
The quadratic sensitivity of the Bagnold term to grain size (d) also introduces some
representative grain size. Selecting a representative grain size for these experiments is
speculative, but it becomes more difficult in a natural debris flow, which can have high clay
content and carry a significant component of particles larger than one meter. Second, as a
dimensional parameter, the grain size term does not scale to flow depth. Therefore, it may
However, in the world of risk management, modellers have to simulate these events without
measured, only fit), and must compute losses explicitly. In these scenarios, making use of a
theoretical model and an easily measured parameter (grain size) has significant advantages.
Conclusion
experimental mud and debris flow, common in post-wildfire flooding and impoundment/dam
breach failures. All non-Newtonian approaches had substantially lower RSME than the
Newtonian SWE. Simulated snout velocities were closer to measured velocities for the
experiments with less pronounced snout effects. The model also simulated the lateral
velocity distribution well (despite a more parabolic solution through the plug flow zone) with
standard hydraulic and mixing coefficients. However, the computed results diverged from
the observed lateral velocity distribution without the mixing models (or with the DWE). The
equation, but also recognized the value of a theoretical model that reduces requirements for
parameters that are difficult (or impossible) to quantify in real-time risk management
scenarios.
Post-wildfire and dam breach disasters are becoming more common. A validated, widely
applied software with mud and debris flow capabilities will help the flood risk community
manage these risks. These non-Newtonian algorithms are now available in HEC-RAS, and
DebrisLib can be connected to other research and production-level software. However, wider
application of these algorithms highlights the need to interrogate the assumptions in each
Acknowledgements
This work was funded by the Post Wildfire Flood Risk Management Research Unit in the US
Army Corps of Engineers Flood and Coastal Storm Damage Reduction Research and
Development Program (F&C). The authors would like to thank Dr. Parsons for providing
experimental files and the lateral velocity data plotted in Figure 4 and Figure 6.
Data Availability
The data sets used in this study will be released with HEC-RAS version 6.0 and are available
Supplemental Materials
of the measured vs. fit Bingham parameters, and detailed, replicable, step-by-step methods
also include three videos that demonstrate how to create and simulate one of these semi-
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Observed Snout
Slope (degree)
Observed Plug
Yield Strength
Velocity (m/s)
Velocity (m/s)
Viscosity ()
Snout Effect
Experiment
Fit (Pa-s)
Flow (L/s)
Fit - (Pa)
d50 (mm)
Parsons
Cv (%)
Important Feature
1a 0.24 0.22 1.89 69.2 10.7 None 0.2 98 1.92 ↑ Yield/Finest Material
8a 0.40 0.32 2.0 68.2 10.7 Some 0.2 77 4.1 Highest Viscosity
Coarsest material, Very low
4a 0.41 0.3 2.75 73.1 12.2 Strong 1.3 67 0.06
8b 0.42 0.29 2.27 68.2 12.2 None 0.2 77 4.1 Highest Viscosity
3a 0.65 0.45 4.48 73.2 12.2 Strong 0.6 90 1.75
2a 0.83 0.57 3.91 71.8 10.7 None 0.43 80 1.48
7a 0.91 0.99 6.0 68.9 10.7 Some 0.58 68 1.5
5a 0.94 0.61 5.54 72.7 12.2 Strong 0.53 14 0.99 ↑ Flow, ↓Yield, ↑ d
5i 1.02 0.77 6.49 72.7 12.2 Strong 0.53 14 0.99 Highest Flow, ↓Yield, ↑ d
↑ Flow, Highest Yield
6a 1.02 1.1 5.73 71.4 12.2 Some 0.56 124 0.71
Strength
*5i corresponds to 5a2 in the paper
Bold values are “special case” coarse or fine experiments.
Table 3: Bingham simulation residuals for Average Velocity (left panel of Figure 3) and Front
All 10 Velocity
0.21(m/s) Velocity
0.29(m/s)
None 3 0.13 0.06
Some 3 0.21 0.31
Strong 4 0.26 0.37
n=# of experiments associated with this snout effect