PRACTICA NRO.

1 RELACION= INVERSION PUBLICA

ESTUDIANTE: EVER FIDEL CAHUAYA CONDORI TURNO: NOCHE MATERIA: SISTEMAS ECONOMETRICOS

N AÑOS Y X Y^2 XY X^2 y

INVERSION PUBLICA PIB LNINV-PUB
1 1990 315.38 4871.65 99464.54 1536420.977 23732973.72 5.753771919
2 1991 357.29 4540.91 127656.14 1622421.7339 20619863.63 5.878560617
3 1992 399.02 4226.12 159216.96 1686306.4024 17860090.25 5.989023874
4 1993 338.52 4035.03 114595.79 1365938.3556 16281467.10 5.824593596
5 1994 334.94 3894.97 112184.80 1304581.2518 15170791.30 5.813938651
6 1995 304.36 3924.61 92635.01 1194494.2996 15402563.65 5.718226342
7 1996 308.98 3878.09 95468.64 1198252.2482 15039582.05 5.733265349
8 1997 272.23 3930.93 74109.17 1070117.0739 15452210.66 5.606663311
9 1998 234.07 3934.17 54788.76 920871.1719 15477693.59 5.455641364
10 1999 240.31 3747.31 57748.90 900516.0661 14042332.24 5.481928794
11 2000 251.2 3611.67 63101.44 907251.504 13044160.19 5.526262528
12 2001 269.98 3433.94 72889.20 927095.1212 11791943.92 5.598340562
13 2002 240.33 3244.81 57758.51 779825.1873 10528791.94 5.482033689
14 2003 193.2 3119.87 37326.24 602758.884 9733588.82 5.263705114
15 2004 215.39 3135.61 46392.85 675379.0379 9832050.07 5.37245398
16 2005 212.63 3217.58 45211.52 684154.0354 10352821.06 5.359570779
17 2006 261.49 3384.48 68377.02 885007.6752 11454704.87 5.566395681
18 2007 278.41 3610.64 77512.13 1005238.2824 13036721.21 5.629083874
19 2008 338.97 4153.34 114900.66 1407857.6598 17250233.16 5.825924771
20 2009 370.05 4426.34 136937.00 1637967.117 19592485.80 5.913650995
21 2010 359.5 4609.01 129240.25 1656939.095 21242973.18 5.884716544
22 2011 449.81 4904.36 202329.04 2206030.1716 24052747.01 6.108831451
23 2012 557.87 5177.8 311218.94 2888539.286 26809612.84 6.324116998
24 2013 686.82 5529.68 471721.71 3797894.8176 30577360.90 6.532069854
25 2014 802.34 5831.63 643749.48 4678950.0142 34007908.46 6.687526226
26 2015 913.1 6114.88 833751.61 5583496.928 37391757.41 6.816848689
27 2016 962.17 6375.62 925771.11 6134430.2954 40648530.38 6.869188032
28 2017 883.54 6643.09 780642.93 5869435.7386 44130644.75 6.783936565
TOTAL 11351.92 121508.15 164.8002701
Y X Y^2 XY X^2
SUMA 11351.9 121508.14 6006700.36 55128170.431 554558604.16
PROMEDIO 405.43 4339.58 214525.01279286 1968863.22967857 19805664.4342143

CALCULAMOS LOS PARAMETROS:

APLICAMOS LA FORMULA: PARA ENCONTRAR B

PARTE DE ARRIBA 209490.456125

PARTE DE ABAJO 973740.85480154
B= 0.2151398445408
APLICAMOS LA FORMULA PARA ENCONTRAR A

A= -528.1907982156
CALCULAR EL COEFICIENTE DE DETERMINACION r Y EL COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACION R^2

r= coeficiente de correlaccion de pearson

Y= valor observado de la variable dependiente
Y'= valor estimado de la variable dependiente ( se estima el empleado la ecuacion de la recta) La formula es: Y'=a+bx
y^- = media de las observaciones de la variable dependiente.

N AÑOS Y X Y'

INVERSION PUBLICA PIB PROMEDIO Y VALOR ESTIMADO

1 1990 315.38 4871.65 405.425 519.90 13103.43 8108.10
2 1991 357.29 4540.91 405.425 448.74 1876.18 2316.98
3 1992 399.02 4226.12 405.425 381.02 595.80 41.02
4 1993 338.52 4035.03 405.425 339.90 4292.88 4476.28
5 1994 334.94 3894.97 405.425 309.77 9149.41 4968.14
6 1995 304.36 3924.61 405.425 316.15 7970.17 10214.13
7 1996 308.98 3878.09 405.425 306.14 9857.34 9301.64
8 1997 272.23 3930.93 405.425 317.51 7729.25 17740.91
9 1998 234.07 3934.17 405.425 318.21 7607.17 29362.54
10 1999 240.31 3747.31 405.425 278.00 16235.88 27262.96
11 2000 251.2 3611.67 405.425 248.82 24524.08 23785.35
12 2001 269.98 3433.94 405.425 210.59 37962.03 18345.35
13 2002 240.33 3244.81 405.425 169.90 55473.38 27256.36
14 2003 193.2 3119.87 405.425 143.02 68857.67 45039.45
15 2004 215.39 3135.61 405.425 146.40 67091.96 36113.30
16 2005 212.63 3217.58 405.425 164.04 58267.27 37169.91
17 2006 261.49 3384.48 405.425 199.95 42221.74 20717.28
18 2007 278.41 3610.64 405.425 248.60 24593.54 16132.81
19 2008 338.97 4153.34 405.425 365.36 1605.35 4416.27
20 2009 370.05 4426.34 405.425 424.09 348.43 1251.39
21 2010 359.5 4609.01 405.425 463.39 3360.05 2109.11
22 2011 449.81 4904.36 405.425 526.93 14764.06 1970.03
23 2012 557.87 5177.8 405.425 585.76 32520.82 23239.48
24 2013 686.82 5529.68 405.425 661.46 65555.82 79183.15
25 2014 802.34 5831.63 405.425 726.43 103041.11 157541.52
26 2015 913.1 6114.88 405.425 787.36 145877.05 257733.91
27 2016 962.17 6375.62 405.425 843.46 191873.87 309965.00
28 2017 883.54 6643.09 405.425 901.00 245597.11 228593.95
TOTAL 11351.92 121508.15

PROMEDIO 405.425
SUMA 1261952.84 1404356.30
SOLUCION : SEGUN LA FORMULA :
r= 0.9479445
R^2 = 0.8985988
si sale = 0 indica que no existe correlacion
VERIFICANDO CON LAS FORMULAS DE EXCEL EL RESULTADO = 0.9479445

POR LO TANTO EL COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACION ES 0.94 NO HAY NINGUNA RELACION LINEAL

 PRACTICA NRO.1 RELACION= LNINV-PUB

ESTUDIANTE: EVER FIDEL CAHUAYA CONDORI TURNO: NOCHE MATERIA: SISTEMAS ECONOMETRICOS

N AÑOS Y X y x Y^2
INVERSION PUBLICA PIB LNINV-PUB LNPIB
1 1990 315.38 4871.65 5.753771919 8.491188324 33.11
2 1991 357.29 4540.91 5.878560617 8.420882416 34.56
3 1992 399.02 4226.12 5.989023874 8.349038734 35.87
4 1993 338.52 4035.03 5.824593596 8.30276901 33.93
5 1994 334.94 3894.97 5.813938651 8.267442249 33.80
6 1995 304.36 3924.61 5.718226342 8.275023422 32.70
7 1996 308.98 3878.09 5.733265349 8.263098389 32.87
8 1997 272.23 3930.93 5.606663311 8.276632585 31.43
9 1998 234.07 3934.17 5.455641364 8.277455423 29.76
10 1999 240.31 3747.31 5.481928794 8.228792831 30.05
11 2000 251.2 3611.67 5.526262528 8.191926787 30.54
12 2001 269.98 3433.94 5.598340562 8.141464326 31.34
13 2002 240.33 3244.81 5.482033689 8.084812084 30.05
14 2003 193.2 3119.87 5.263705114 8.045547203 27.71
15 2004 215.39 3135.61 5.37245398 8.050577507 28.86
16 2005 212.63 3217.58 5.359570779 8.076385487 28.72
17 2006 261.49 3384.48 5.566395681 8.126955709 30.98
18 2007 278.41 3610.64 5.629083874 8.191639304 31.69
19 2008 338.97 4153.34 5.825924771 8.331667362 33.94
20 2009 370.05 4426.34 5.913650995 8.39532927 34.97
21 2010 359.5 4609.01 5.884716544 8.435767727 34.63
22 2011 449.81 4904.36 6.108831451 8.497879669 37.32
23 2012 557.87 5177.8 6.324116998 8.552134758 39.99
24 2013 686.82 5529.68 6.532069854 8.617885154 42.67
25 2014 802.34 5831.63 6.687526226 8.671052105 44.72
26 2015 913.1 6114.88 6.816848689 8.718481228 46.47
27 2016 962.17 6375.62 6.869188032 8.760236413 47.19
28 2017 883.54 6643.09 6.783936565 8.801332357 46.02
TOTAL 11351.92 121508.15 164.8002701 233.8433978
y x Y^2
SUMA 164.800270149 233.843397833 975.90
PROMEDIO 5.88572393389286 8.35154992260714 34.85

CALCULAMOS LOS PARAMETROS:

APLICAMOS LA FORMULA: PARA ENCONTRAR B

PARTE DE ARRIBA 0.09446756913481

PARTE DE ABAJO 0.04637030868423
B= 2.03724261958452
APLICAMOS LA FORMULA PARA ENCONTRAR A

A= -11.12840950803
CALCULAR EL COEFICIENTE DE DETERMINACION r Y EL COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACION R^2

r= coeficiente de correlaccion de pearson

Y= valor observado de la variable dependiente
Y'= valor estimado de la variable dependiente ( se estima el empleado la ecuacion de la recta) La formula es: Y'=a+bx
y^- = media de las observaciones de la variable dependiente.

N AÑOS Y'
y x
LNINV-PUB LNPIB PROMEDIO Y VALOR ESTIMADO
1 1990 5.753771919 8.491188324 5.886 6.17 0.08
2 1991 5.878560617 8.420882416 5.886 6.03 0.02
3 1992 5.989023874 8.349038734 5.886 5.88 0.00
4 1993 5.824593596 8.30276901 5.886 5.79 0.01
5 1994 5.813938651 8.267442249 5.886 5.71 0.03
6 1995 5.718226342 8.275023422 5.886 5.73 0.02
7 1996 5.733265349 8.263098389 5.886 5.71 0.03
8 1997 5.606663311 8.276632585 5.886 5.73 0.02
9 1998 5.455641364 8.277455423 5.886 5.73 0.02
10 1999 5.481928794 8.228792831 5.886 5.64 0.06
11 2000 5.526262528 8.191926787 5.886 5.56 0.11
12 2001 5.598340562 8.141464326 5.886 5.46 0.18
13 2002 5.482033689 8.084812084 5.886 5.34 0.30
14 2003 5.263705114 8.045547203 5.886 5.26 0.39
15 2004 5.37245398 8.050577507 5.886 5.27 0.38
16 2005 5.359570779 8.076385487 5.886 5.33 0.31
17 2006 5.566395681 8.126955709 5.886 5.43 0.21
18 2007 5.629083874 8.191639304 5.886 5.56 0.11
19 2008 5.825924771 8.331667362 5.886 5.85 0.00
20 2009 5.913650995 8.39532927 5.886 5.97 0.01
21 2010 5.884716544 8.435767727 5.886 6.06 0.03
22 2011 6.108831451 8.497879669 5.886 6.18 0.09
23 2012 6.324116998 8.552134758 5.886 6.29 0.17
24 2013 6.532069854 8.617885154 5.886 6.43 0.29
25 2014 6.687526226 8.671052105 5.886 6.54 0.42
26 2015 6.816848689 8.718481228 5.886 6.63 0.56
27 2016 6.869188032 8.760236413 5.886 6.72 0.69
28 2017 6.783936565 8.801332357 5.886 6.80 0.84
TOTAL
SUMA 164.800270149 233.843397833
PROMEDIO 5.88572393389 8.3515499226072
SUMA 5.39
SOLUCION : SEGUN LA FORMULA :
r= 0.9531088
R^2 = 0.9084164
si sale = 0 indica que no existe correlacion
VERIFICANDO CON LAS FORMULAS DE EXCEL EL RESULTADO = 0.9531088

POR LO TANTO EL COEFICIENTE DE CORRELACION ES 0.94 NO HAY NINGUNA RELACION LINEAL

SION PUBLICA PIB

x
LNPIB
8.49118832
8.42088242
8.34903873
8.30276901
8.26744225
8.27502342
8.26309839
8.27663259
8.27745542
8.22879283
8.19192679
8.14146433
8.08481208
8.0455472
8.05057751
8.07638549
8.12695571
8.1916393
8.33166736
8.39532927
8.43576773
8.49787967
8.55213476
8.61788515
8.67105211
8.71848123
8.76023641
8.80133236
233.843398
NINV-PUB LNPIB

XY X^2

48.8564 72.100279153634
49.5027 70.911260664098
50.0026 69.706447781832
48.3603 68.935973233416
48.0664 68.35060134055
47.3185 68.476012634649
47.3745 68.278794986294
46.4043 68.502646947084
45.1588 68.516268279752
45.1097 67.713031455517
45.2707 67.107664483568
45.5787 66.283441371531
44.3212 65.364186433592
42.3494 64.730829795701
43.2514 64.811798196214
43.2860 65.228002534624
45.2379 66.047409096048
46.1114 67.102954486838
48.5397 69.416681031016
49.6470 70.481553551719
49.6421 71.162177143895
51.9121 72.213958868804
54.0847 73.139008918992
56.2926 74.267944527534
57.9879 75.187144607625
59.4326 76.011914922988
60.1757 76.741742011651
59.7077 77.463451258375

XY X^2
1378.98 1954.2531797175
49.2494 69.794756418484
es: Y'=a+bx

0.02
0.00
0.01
0.00
0.01
0.03
0.02
0.08
0.18
0.16
0.13
0.08
0.16
0.39
0.26
0.28
0.10
0.07
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.05
0.19
0.42
0.64
0.87
0.97
0.81

5.93