Nama : Jordan Putra Cahyono

Kelas : Forecasting B
Id : 133446
Tahun Penjualan Log Y X X^2 X Log Y Ln Y X Ln Y
2000 801 2.9036325 -5 25 -14.51816 6.6858609 -33.4293
2001 820 2.9138139 -4 16 -11.65526 6.7093043 -26.83722
2002 862 2.9355073 -3 9 -8.806522 6.7592553 -20.27777
2003 923 2.9652017 -2 4 -5.930403 6.8276292 -13.65526
2004 1005 3.0021661 -1 1 -3.002166 6.9127428 -6.912743
2005 1103 3.0425755 0 0 0 7.005789 0
2006 1222 3.0870712 1 1 3.0870712 7.1082441 7.1082441
2007 1360 3.1335389 2 4 6.2670778 7.21524 14.43048
2008 1521 3.1821292 3 9 9.5463876 7.3271233 21.98137
2009 1702 3.2309596 4 16 12.923838 7.4395593 29.758237
2010 1900 3.2787536 5 25 16.393768 7.5496092 37.748046
13219 33.675349 0 110 4.3056336 77.540358 9.9140878
Kuadratik Eksponensial
Forcasting Log y y y
2011 3.2962481435765 1978.0995 1978.09954758286
2012 3.3353902675886 2164.6629 2164.66286892212
2013 3.3745323916007 2368.8218 2368.82180263168
2014 3.4136745156127 2592.2359 2592.23586877402
2015 3.4528166396248 2836.7211 2836.72110409203
2016 3.4919587636368 3104.2648 3104.26482378969
Rumus 1 Kuadratik Rumus 2 Eksponensial
Log a 3.0613953995042 Log a 1151.8486020092
Log b 0.0391421240121 Log b 0.0943144249576462
Eksponensial
At Ft At - Ft At-Ft^2 AP
801 733.98094 67.019065 4491.5550447 8.3669244
820 803.20593 16.794075 282.04095346 2.0480579
862 878.95983 -16.95983 287.63583338 1.9674977
923 961.85842 -38.85842 1509.9768763 4.2100131
1005 1052.5755 -47.57554 2263.432461 4.7338851
1103 1151.8486 -48.8486 2386.1859183 4.4287037
1222 1260.4845 -38.48454 1481.059861 3.1493077
1360 1379.3664 -19.36642 375.05803598 1.4240011
1521 1509.4606 11.539435 133.15855073 0.7586742
1702 1651.8245 50.175529 2517.5837476 2.9480335
1900 1807.6153 92.384654 8534.9243487 4.8623502
38.897449

MSE 2205.6919665
MAPE 3.536131695
Kuadratik
At Ft Log y Ft At-Ft At-Ft^2 AP
801 2.8656848 733.98094 67.01906485 4491.5551 8.3669245
820 2.9048269 803.20592 16.794075022 282.04096 2.0480579
862 2.943969 878.95983 -16.95982991 287.63583 1.9674977
923 2.9831112 961.85842 -38.85842083 1509.9769 4.2100131
1005 3.0222533 1052.5755 -47.57554468 2263.4325 4.733885
1103 3.0613954 1151.8486 -48.8486019 2386.1859 4.4287037
1222 3.1005375 1260.4845 -38.48454043 1481.0599 3.1493077
1360 3.1396796 1379.3664 -19.36641502 375.05803 1.4240011
1521 3.1788218 1509.4606 11.539434739 133.15855 0.7586742
1702 3.2179639 1651.8245 50.175529532 2517.5838 2.9480335
1900 3.257106 1807.6153 92.384654471 8534.9244 4.8623502
38.897449
MSE 24262.611651
MAPE 3.5361316939