BSA 3 – A1

Assessment 3:

Answer the following:

1. A normally distributed population has mean 57 800 and standard deviation 750.
a) Find the probability that a single randomly selected element of the
population is between 57,000 and 58,000.

P(57,000< X <58,000)=P( X <58,000) − P(X <57,000)

X − μ 58000 −57800
P( X < 58,000)=P ( < )=P(Z< 0.27)=0.60642
σ 750
X − μ 57000 −57800
P( X < 57,000)=P ( < )=P(Z<− 1.07)=1 − P( Z<1.07)=1− 0.85769=0.14231
σ 750

P(31< X < 40)=0.60642 −0.14231=0.46411

b) Find the mean and standard deviation of for samples of size 100.
σ 750
σ x= = =75
√ n √100

c) Find the probability that the mean of a sample of size 100 drawn from this
population is between 57,000 and 58,000.
P(57,000< X <58,000)=P( X <58,000) − P(X <57,000)
X − μ 58000 −57800
P( X < 58,000)=P ( < )=P(Z<2.67)=0.99621
σ 75
x − μ 57000 − 57800
P( X < 57,000)=P ( < )=P(Z <−10.67)=P ¿
σ 75
P¿

2. Suppose the mean length of time between submission of a state tax return
requesting a refund and the issuance of the refund is 47 days, with standard
deviation 6 days. Find the probability that in a sample 50 of returns requesting a
refund, the mean such time will be more than 50 days.
μ x=μ=47
 σ 6 6
σ x= = = =0.85
√ n √50 7.071
P= (50< x ) =P ( 50−σ xμ x )< Z
¿ P(
.85 )
50 −47
<Z

¿ P(
.85 )
3
<Z

¿ P ( 3.53 )< Z
¿ .99979

3. Suppose the mean weight of school children’s book bags is 17.4 pounds, with
standard deviation 2.2 pounds. Find the probability that the mean weight of a
sample of book bags will exceed 17 pounds.
μ x=μ=17.4
σ 2.2 2.2
σ x= = = =0.40
√ n √30 √ 5.477

P ( 17< x )=P( 17σ−xμ x )< Z

¿ P(
.40 )
17 −17.4
<Z

¿ P(
.85 )
−0.4
<Z

¿ P ( −.99 ) < Z
¿ .16109

4. Borachio eats at the same fast food restaurant every day. Suppose the time
between the moment Borachio enters the restaurant and the moment he is served
his food is normally distributed with mean 4.2 minutes and standard deviation 1.3
minutes.
a) Find the probability that when he enters the restaurant today it will be at least
5 minutes until he is served.

P ( 5< x )=P ( 5 −σ μx x )< Z

 ¿P ( )
5 −4.2
1.3
<Z

¿ P(
1.3 )
0.8
<Z

¿ P ( 0.62 )< Z
¿ .74857
b) Find the probability that average time until he is served in eight randomly
selected visits to the restaurant will be at least 5 minutes.
μ x=μ=4.2
σ 1.3 1.3
σ x= = = =0.46
√ n √ 8 √2.828

P ( 5< x )=P ( 5 −σ μx x )< Z

¿ P(
0.46 )
5 −4.2
<Z

¿ P(
0.46 )
0.8
<Z

¿ P ( 1.74 ) < Z
¿ .95907