Y (vd) X (vi)

Fecha Importaciones Tipo de

(millones de cambio
dólares) (pesos por XY X2 e=Y-Yest e2
dólar)
Ene 2017 30788434 21.3853 658,419,897.62 457.33
Feb 2017 30586757 20.2905 620,620,592.91 411.70
Mar 2017 36110316 19.3010 696,965,209.12 372.53
Abr 2017 30869680 18.7875 579,964,113.00 352.97
May 2017 36546951 18.7557 685,463,648.87 351.78
Jun 2017 35548917 18.1326 644,594,292.39 328.79
Jul 2017 33687183 17.8283 600,585,204.68 317.85
Ago 2017 38513130 17.8070 685,803,305.91 317.09
Sep 2017 35706801 17.8357 636,855,790.60 318.11
Oct 2017 38969493 18.8161 733,253,877.24 354.05
Nov 2017 37082913 18.9158 701,452,965.73 357.81
Dic 2017 35984012 19.1812 690,216,530.97 367.92
Ene 2018 35140478 18.9074 664,415,073.74 357.49
Feb 2018 34149860 18.6449 636,720,724.71 347.63
Mar 2018 37734615 18.6308 703,026,065.14 347.11
Abr 2018 37471965 18.3872 689,004,514.85 338.09
May 2018 40766241 19.5910 798,651,427.43 383.81
Jun 2018 38383337 20.3032 779,304,567.78 412.22
Jul 2018 39612118 19.0095 753,006,557.12 361.36
Ago 2018 42129496 18.8575 794,456,970.82 355.61
Sep 2018 38001683 19.0154 722,617,202.92 361.59
Oct 2018 44290891 19.1859 849,760,605.64 368.10
Nov 2018 40928716 20.2612 829,264,900.62 410.52
Dic 2018 35692967 20.1112 717,828,397.93 404.46
Ene 2019 37262788 19.1651 714,145,058.30 367.30
Feb 2019 35073897 19.2049 673,590,684.50 368.83
Mar 2019 37530886 19.2477 722,383,234.46 370.47
Abr 2019 38076401 18.9864 722,933,779.95 360.48
May 2019 40792860 19.1197 779,947,245.34 365.56
Jun 2019 35382744 19.2745 681,984,699.23 371.51
Jul 2019 40406335 19.0534 769,878,063.29 363.03
Ago 2019 39648433 19.6850 780,479,403.61 387.50
Sep 2019 37332184 19.5865 731,206,821.92 383.63
Oct 2019 41449532 19.3242 800,979,046.27 373.42
Nov 2019 36697660 19.3325 709,457,511.95 373.75
Dic 2019 35587869 19.1071 679,980,971.77 365.08
Ene 2020 36062000 18.8040 678,109,848.00 353.59
Feb 2020 33715379 18.8443 635,342,716.49 355.11
Mar 2020 34995932 22.3784 783,152,964.67 500.79
Abr 2020 26457052 24.2658 642,001,532.42 588.83
May 2020 21578337 23.4230 505,429,387.55 548.64
 Jun 2020 27512168 22.2990 613,493,834.23 497.25
Jul 2020 29844448 22.4033 668,614,121.88 501.91
Ago 2020 30845723 22.2072 684,997,139.81 493.16
Sep 2020 34142602 21.6810 740,245,753.96 470.07
Oct 2020 35694810 21.2705 759,246,456.11 452.43
Nov 2020 35257525 20.3819 718,615,348.80 415.42
Dic 2020 36879948 19.9651 736,311,849.81 398.61
Ene 2021 33910702 19.9215 675,552,049.89 396.87
Feb 2021 33486199 20.3097 680,094,655.83 412.48
Mar 2021 45974454 20.7555 954,222,780.00 430.79
Abr 2021 39259650 20.0153 785,793,672.65 400.61
May 2021 40458684 19.9631 807,680,754.56 398.53
Jun 2021 41909429 20.0301 839,450,053.81 401.20
Jul 2021 44950628 19.9701 897,668,536.22 398.80
Ago 2021 44215640 20.0761 887,677,610.20 403.05
Sep 2021 44078456 20.0487 883,715,740.81 401.95
Oct 2021 44658126 20.4626 913,821,369.09 418.72
Nov 2021 45698670 20.9004 955,120,482.47 436.83
Dic 2021 47102458 20.8918 984,055,132.04 436.47
Ene 2022 40185365 20.4978 823,711,574.70 420.16
Feb 2022 44953077 20.4495 919,267,948.11 418.18
Mar 2022 51801683 20.5562 1,064,845,756.08 422.56
Abr 2022 49363532 20.1088 992,641,392.28 404.36
May 2022 52220452 20.0305 1,046,001,763.79 401.22
Jun 2022 55191302 20.0237 1,105,134,073.86 400.95
Jul 2022 52463962 20.5467 1,077,961,288.03 422.17
SUMA 2,574,806,936.00 1,332.51 51,099,196,546.45 26,608.16
PROMEDIO 38,429,954.27 19.89
N= 67.00 R2 Sigma cuadrada
BETA CERO 58,730,556.19 R Beta cero Beta uno
BETA UNO -1,020,735.17 Var
Y estimada 58,730,556.19-1,020,735.17 ee
t
t tablas
Interpretar la recta de regresión:
Beta cero

Beta cero es el punto de partida de las importaciones, es decir, partimos de unas importaciones
de poco mas de 58,000 millones de dolares. Beta uno es la pendiente, debido a que toma el
valor de -1,020,735.17, lo interpretamos como una recta con pendiente negativa;
economicamente, significa que para los 67 meses analizados, existe una relación inversa entre
el tipo de cambio y las exportaciones,esto es, si el tipo de cambio aumenta en 1 peso por dolar, Beta uno
caen las exportaciones disminuyen en 1,020,735.17 millones de dolares.

Interpretar R cuadrado:
 Significancia conjunta:
Interpretar R
 (Yest-Y
(Y-Ymedia) (X-Xmedia)
media)
cudrado cuadrado
cuadrado
 F
F tablas

Significancia individual:
gnificancia conjunta:

Gráfica de dispersión de Importaciones (m vs. Tipo de cam

60000000
Importaciones (millones de USD)

50000000

40000000

30000000

20000000
17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Tipo de cambio (pesos por dólar
nes (m vs. Tipo de cambio (

22 23 24 25
pesos por dólar
 Exportaciones (millones de Importaciones (miles dTC (pesos por dólar)
Ene 2017 27316.175 30788434 21.3853
Feb 2017 31345.973 30586757 20.2905
Mar 2017 36048.426 36110316 19.3010
Abr 2017 31768.954 30869680 18.7875
May 2017 35342.342 36546951 18.7557
Jun 2017 35547.887 35548917 18.1326
Jul 2017 32155.156 33687183 17.8283
Ago 2017 35926.907 38513130 17.8070
Sep 2017 33771.318 35706801 17.8357
Oct 2017 36715.63 38969493 18.8161
Nov 2017 37507.573 37082913 18.9158
Dic 2017 35986.234 35984012 19.1812
Ene 2018 30718.527 35140478 18.9074
Feb 2018 35093.793 34149860 18.6449
Mar 2018 39484.266 37734615 18.6308
Abr 2018 37181.694 37471965 18.3872
May 2018 39213.912 40766241 19.5910
Jun 2018 37483.508 38383337 20.3032
Jul 2018 36742.212 39612118 19.0095
Ago 2018 39545.208 42129496 18.8575
Sep 2018 37700.602 38001683 19.0154
Oct 2018 41356.07 44290891 19.1859
Nov 2018 38595.389 40928716 20.2612
Dic 2018 37597.547 35692967 20.1112
Ene 2019 32637.22 37262788 19.1651
Feb 2019 36437.807 35073897 19.2049
Mar 2019 39018.828 37530886 19.2477
Abr 2019 39586.47 38076401 18.9864
May 2019 41749.996 40792860 19.1197
Jun 2019 37924.986 35382744 19.2745
Jul 2019 39115.793 40406335 19.0534
Ago 2019 40051.141 39648433 19.6850
Sep 2019 37180.583 37332184 19.5865
Oct 2019 40762.123 41449532 19.3242
Nov 2019 37484.491 36697660 19.3325
Dic 2019 38654.441 35587869 19.1071
Ene 2020 33580.843 36062000 18.8040
Feb 2020 36433.717 33715379 18.8443
Mar 2020 38310.269 34995932 22.3784
Abr 2020 23222.658 26457052 24.2658
May 2020 18116.042 21578337 23.4230
Jun 2020 33047.725 27512168 22.2990
Jul 2020 35499.49 29844448 22.4033
Ago 2020 37001.121 30845723 22.2072
Sep 2020 38539.74 34142602 21.6810
Oct 2020 41950.815 35694810 21.2705
Nov 2020 38313.68 35257525 20.3819
Dic 2020 43154.635 36879948 19.9651
Ene 2021 32716.018 33910702 19.9215
Feb 2021 36213.207 33486199 20.3097
Mar 2021 43029.98 45974454 20.7555
Abr 2021 40944.531 39259650 20.0153
May 2021 40845.6 40458684 19.9631
Jun 2021 42619.373 41909429 20.0301
Jul 2021 40952.956 44950628 19.9701
Ago 2021 40471.381 44215640 20.0761
Sep 2021 41754.65 44078456 20.0487
Oct 2021 41859.338 44658126 20.4626
Nov 2021 45651.796 45698670 20.9004
Dic 2021 47705.675 47102458 20.8918
Ene 2022 33907.246 40185365 20.4978
Feb 2022 46239.262 44953077 20.4495
Mar 2022 51906.144 51801683 20.5562
Abr 2022 47479.465 49363532 20.1088
May 2022 50005.133 52220452 20.0305
Jun 2022 51234.083 55191302 20.0237
Jul 2022 46504.496 52463962 20.5467