Professional Documents
Culture Documents
October,2022
Finfine, Ethiopia
Table of Contents
1.Executive Summary....................................................................................................3
2.Product Description and Application.......................................................................3
3.Market Study, Plant Capacity and Production Program.......................................3
3.1Market Study..................................................................................................................................3
3.1.1Present Demand and Supply...................................................................................................3
3.1.2Projected Demand...................................................................................................................6
3.2Plant Capacity................................................................................................................................7
3.3Production Program.......................................................................................................................7
4.Raw Materials and Utilities.......................................................................................8
4.1Availability and Source of Raw Materials.....................................................................................8
4.2Annual Requirement and Cost of Raw Materials and Utilities......................................................8
5.Location and Site........................................................................................................9
6.Technology and Engineering.....................................................................................9
6.1Production Process.........................................................................................................................9
6.2Machinery and Equipment...........................................................................................................11
6.3Civil Engineering Cost.................................................................................................................12
7.Human Resource and Training Requirement........................................................12
7.1Human Resource..........................................................................................................................12
7.2Training Requirement..................................................................................................................14
7.3Underlying Assumption...............................................................................................................14
7.4Investment....................................................................................................................................16
7.5Production Costs..........................................................................................................................17
7.6Financial Evaluation....................................................................................................................19
8.Economic and Social Benefit and Justification......................................................20
ANNEXES....................................................................................................................23
1. Executive Summary
The project envisages assembling of 5000 Bajaj per annum. The total investment requirement of
the project including the working capital is estimated at about Birr 5.5 million; of which Birr 3
million is for machinery and equipment and around Birr 718 thousand is the cost of the working
capital and. Based on the cash flow statement, the calculated internal rate of return (IRR) and
simple rate of return (SRS) of the project are 23.5 % and 22.6 %, respectively. The net present
value (NPV) at 18 % discounting rate is about Birr 1131 thousand. The plant is expected to
A Bajaj is a three wheeled vehicle that is used for human transport. Bajaj s are widely used in
Bajaj s because it is mountainous. But the experience of other countries shows that Bajaj s can
be as popular in mountainous countries as they are in plane countries. The main difference is
that Bajaj s used in mountainous countries can be with different gears. Even in Ethiopia there are
many places where Bajaj s can be used without any difficulty. The ever increasing price of
petroleum is a warning sign that using petroleum consuming vehicle is going to be very
expensive in the future. This requires substituting cheaper means of transport that are least cost
in terms of acquisition and operation. Such type of transport is provided by Bajaj s which are
relatively cheaper to buy and does not require expensive running costs.
3
Bajaj manufacturing would have two basic advantages for the development of an economy. First it
facilitates transport of people cheaply as it does not involve high running and acquisition costs.
Second, it facilitates the process of industrial development through the creation of backward
Until now the demand for Bajaj in Ethiopia was met through imports. The import of Bajaj has been so
little in the first half of 1990’s while it has shown significant growth in the second half of the past
decade. The import of Bajaj s between 1989 E.C and 1999 E.C is provided in Table 3.1.
IMPORT OF BAJAJ
Table 3.1
Year E.C Imports of Bajaj
2002 18247
2003 9169
2004 21748
2005 10285
2006 13906
2007 19841
2008 30314
2009 74261
2010 52466
2011 536
2012 76522
Total 327,295
Average Import per
29,754
Year
As can be observed from the above table, the total import of Bajaj between 2002 E.C and 2012
E.C was 327,295; implies, nearly 30,000 Bajaj s per annum have been imported in the past 11
years. Though this figure is small as compared to the population size of the country, it is an
indication for the existence of some demand for Bajaj that justifies the establishment of Bajaj
4
assembly plant in the country. The ANRS has many places where it is convenient to use Bajaj s.
In fact, compared to other regions of the country, more Bajaj s are used in the ANRS. Bahir- Dar
has more Bajaj s per capita than any urban center in the country. Considering these factors,
Basically, the demand for Bajaj is a function of population growth, topography and economic
growth. Of the three factors, economic growth is the most important variable influencing the
demand for Bajaj . Consequently, the rate of economic growth of the country forecasted for the
coming 5 years has been taken to determine the rate of growth of demand for Bajaj . Also, the
average volume of import for the last five years is assumed to be the current effective demand
for Bajaj .
The economy of the country is anticipated to grow by 8 % in real terms for the coming 5 years.
5
As it is given in the above demand projection table, the demand for Bajaj is expected to reach
68,794 in the 2015 E.C and 101,080 in 2025. And, this figure is reasonable to establish
This profile envisages the production of roadster model Bajaj s in various adult sizes. The
capacity of the plant in one shift operation and 275 working days per annum basis would be 5000
Bajaj s. The working days are set by deducting all Sundays and public holidays in a year and 25
The production program follows gradual capacity utilization due to market and technological
reasons. Market reasons refer to the competition that the firm faces from Bajaj importers while
the technology refers to the speed with which the operators assimilate the process know how.
Accordingly, 50 %, 75% and 100 % capacity utilization are assumed for the first and the second
years of the operation, respectively. The third year onwards, 100 % capacity utilization is
assumed.
The raw material requirement of the project has to be met from imports until local ancillary
industries are developed and large scale Bajaj and tricycle production starts in the country.
6
The raw material requirement is provided in Table 4.1
Cost Birr
Item
F.C L.C Total
The total cost of raw material would be Birr 1.3 million of which the foreign currency component
is 70 %.The annual cost of utilities amounts Birr 74,600. The annual electrical energy requirement
is estimated to be 126,000 KWH and the annual water requirement is estimated to be 2000 cubic
meters. The corresponding annual costs will be Birr 69,300 and Birr 5,300, respectively.
For its convenience for distribution to different parts of the country Ethiopia, Modjo is an
7
6. Technology and Engineering
➢ Painting
➢ Baking
➢ Strength testing
➢ Assembly of wheels
➢ Bajaj Assembly
A recent development, has been a legless design using MIG welding techniques and suitable jigs
and futures allowing semi-skilled workers to produce high quality frames efficiently. This design
would eliminate import of lugs and also allow the bottom bracket to be made from a simple
threaded tube. This technique has been adopted for the project under consideration.
Alternatively, instead of using a legless design using MIG welding techniques, the traditional
Bajaj frames have been built using lugs at brazed joints. In this case, the lugs and complex
8
6.2 Machinery and Equipment
The list of machinery and equipment that are required to assemble Bajaj is given below:
Shearing Machine 1”
Drilling Machine 1”
Baking Oven 1”
Grinder 3”
The cost of machinery and equipment would be Birr 3 million including erection and
9
Machinery Suppliers Address:
USA
The building area required by the plant is estimated to be 2700m 2, and it costs Birr 1,500,000.
This would include cost of land preparation and associated civil works. The total land area of the
plant, including the open space, is 2000 m2 and its lease cost equals Birr 109,000. The cost of the
land lease is as per ANRS land lease rate for Modjo which is equal to Birr 84.50 per sq m for
industrial purpose. Of the total cost of the lease 5% is paid in the beginning while the rest will be
paid in 40years.
10
7. Human Resource and Training Requirement
7.1 Human Resource
Details of the manpower requirement of the plant is shown in Table 7.1
Table 7.1
MANPOWER REQUIREMENT
A. Administration
Sub-total 12 153,6000
B. Production
30 391,6800
The total annual wages and salary, including 20 % benefits, amount to Birr 391,680.
11
7.2 Training Requirement
One month on job training is required for the technical personnel. And this can be managed by
hiring one expert in the area from the technology suppliers. Financial Analysis
The financial analysis of Bajaj Assembling plant is based on the data provided in the preceding
B. Depreciation
12
Building 5%
Vehicles 20%
13
7.4 Investment
The total investment cost of the project including working capital is estimated at Birr 5.5 million
as shown in Table 8.1 below. The Owner shall contribute 40 % of the finance in the form of
TABLE 8.1
Land
5,450 5,450
Office Equipment
50,000 50,000
Vehicles
0 0
14
*Pre-production capital expenditure includes - all expenses for pre-investment studies,
consultancy fee during construction and expenses for company‘s establishment, project
during construction.
The foreign component of the project accounts for Birr 2.8 million or 51.1 % of the
The total production cost at full capacity operation is estimated at Birr 2.7 (see
15
Table 8.2
Raw Material
Requirement Cost
Items Cost
2. Utilities 74,600
5. Depreciation 425,555
6. Financial costs
330,099
16
7.6 Financial Evaluation
I. Profitability
According to the projected income statement (see Annex 4) the project will generate profit
beginning from the second year of operation and increases on wards. The income statement and
Investment cost and income statement projection are used in estimating the project payback
period. The project will payback fully the initial investment less working capital in four years.
SRR= (Net Profit + Interest)/ (Total Investment Outlay) at full capacity utilization.
Based on cash flow statement (See Annex 2) the calculated internal rate of return (IRR) of the
project is 23.5 % and the net present value (NPV) at 18 % discount is Birr 1131 thousands.
17
VI. Sensitivity Analysis
The sensitivity test result which undertaken by increasing the cost of production by 10 % still
Based on the foregoing presentation and analysis, we can learn that the proposed project
possesses wide range of benefits that complement the financial feasibility obtained earlier. In
general, the envisaged project promotes the socio-economic goals and objectives stated in the
strategic plan of the Amhara National Regional State. These benefits are listed as follows:
A. Profit Generation
The project is found to be financially viable and earns on average a profit of Birr 941 thousand
per year and Birr 9.4 million within the project life. Such result induces the project promoters to
18
erefore, increases the investment magnitude in the region.
Tax Revenue
In the project life under consideration, the region will collect about Birr 3.8 million from
corporate tax payment alone (i.e. excluding income tax, sales tax and VAT). Such result create
additional fund for the regional government that will be used in expanding social and other basic
As there is Bajaj Assembling Plant in the country, the commencement of this project relieves a
portion of the import burden. That is, based on the projected figure we learn that in the project
life an estimated amount of US Dollar 3.7 million will be saved as a result of the proposed
project. This will create room for the saved hard currency to be allocated on other vital and
strategic sectors
The proposed project is expected to create employment opportunity to several citizens of the
country. That is, it will provide permanent employment to 30 professionals as well as support
stuffs. Consequently the project creates income of Birr 392 thousands per year. This would be
19
ANNEXES
CONSTRUCTION PRODUCTION
Year 1 Year 2 1 2 3 4
Raw Materials in Stock- Total 0.00 0.00 227831.40 341747.10 455662.80 455662.80
Spare Parts in Stock and Maintenance 0.00 0.00 7454.37 11181.56 14908.75 14908.75
TOTAL NET WORKING CAPITAL 0.00 0.00 359210.58 538815.88 718421.17 718421.17
REQUIRMENTS
INCREASE IN NET WORKING CAPITAL 0.00 0.00 359210.58 179605.29 179605.29 0.00
PRODUCTION
5 6 7 8 9 10
Spare Parts in Stock and Maintenance 14908.75 14908.75 14908.75 14908.75 14908.75 14908.75
INCREASE IN NET WORKING CAPITAL 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
CONSTRUCTION PRODUCTION
Year 1 Year 2 1 2 3 4
Total Long Term Loan 1434966.75 1866019.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Total Short Term Finances 0.00 0.00 218181.82 109090.91 109090.91 0.00
Pre-production Expenditures
PRODUCTION
5 6 7 8 9 10
Total Long Term Loan 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Total Short Term Finances 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
25
5. Increase in Current Assets 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
26
Annex 3: DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW-TOTAL CAPITAL INVESTED
27
CONSTRUCTION PRODUCTION
Year 1 Year 2 1 2 3 4
4. Increase in Net Working Capital 0.00 0.00 359210.58 179605.29 179605.29 0.00
CUMMULATIVE NET CASH FLOW -2391611.25 -4783222.50 -4109290.77 -2715110.98 -780288.40 906701.13
Net Present Value (at 18%) -2391611.25 -2026789.19 484007.27 848540.87 997959.96 737398.67
Cumulative Net present Value -2391611.25 -4418400.44 -3934393.17 -3085852.31 -2087892.34 -1350493.67 28
29
PRODUCTION
5 6 7 8 9 10
4. Increase in Net Working Capital 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
30
CUMMULATIVE NET CASH FLOW 2573884.74 4207596.08 5821501.51 7415601.02 9009700.53 10603800.04
Net Present Value (at 18%) 617577.39 512862.89 429360.44 359399.41 304575.77 258115.06
Cumulative Net present Value -732916.28 -220053.40 209307.04 568706.45 873282.23 1131397.29
31
Annex 4: NET INCOME STATEMENT ( in Birr)
PRODUCTION
1 2 3 4 5
32
5. GROSS PROFIT -270463.27 752112.25 1358774.75 1424794.47 1490814.20
RATIOS (%)
33
Annex 4: NET INCOME STATEMENT (in Birr):Continued
PRODUCTION
6 7 8 9 10
34
5. GROSS PROFIT 1602388.42 1668408.15 1734427.87 1734427.87 1734427.87
RATIOS (%)
35
36
Annex 5: Projected Balance Sheet (in Birr)
CONSTRUCTION PRODUCTION
Year 1 Year 2 1 2 3
2. Total Fixed Assets, Net of Depreciation 2391611.25 4783222.50 4357668.00 3932113.50 3506559.00
37
Fixed Investment 0.00 2277725.00 4555450.00 4555450.00 4555450.00
38
9.Net Profit After Tax 0.00 0.00 0.00 752112.25 951142.32
39
4
6717661.64
3636657.14
473163.42
64796.95
129593.89
436363.64
50866.91
2481872.33
0.00
3081004.50
4555450.00
0.00
227772.50
1702218.00
0.00
40
0.00
6717661.64
436363.64
436363.64
0.00
1650493.10
1650493.10
0.00
2200657.47
2200657.47
0.00
0.00
1432791.30
997356.13
0.00
997356.13
41
Annex 5: Projected Balance Sheet (in Birr): Continued
PRODUCTION
5 6 7 8 9 10
Inventory on Materials and Supplies 473163.42 473163.42 473163.42 473163.42 473163.42 473163.42
Cash Surplus, Finance Available 3400832.41 4352339.93 5350061.27 6944160.78 8538260.29 10132359.80
2. Total Fixed Assets, Net of Depreciation 2655450.00 2275450.00 1895450.00 1515450.00 1135450.00 755450.00
42
Pre-Production Expenditure 227772.50 227772.50 227772.50 227772.50 227772.50 227772.50
3. Accumulated Losses Brought Forward 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
43
9. Net Profit After Tax 1043569.94 1121671.90 1167885.70 1214099.51 1214099.51 1214099.51
44