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Project Profile on the Establishment of

Bajaj Assembling Plant At Modjo

Submitted to: - Oromia Investment Office

Promoter ;- Izamudin Abrar

October,2022

Finfine, Ethiopia
Table of Contents
1.Executive Summary....................................................................................................3
2.Product Description and Application.......................................................................3
3.Market Study, Plant Capacity and Production Program.......................................3
3.1Market Study..................................................................................................................................3
3.1.1Present Demand and Supply...................................................................................................3
3.1.2Projected Demand...................................................................................................................6
3.2Plant Capacity................................................................................................................................7
3.3Production Program.......................................................................................................................7
4.Raw Materials and Utilities.......................................................................................8
4.1Availability and Source of Raw Materials.....................................................................................8
4.2Annual Requirement and Cost of Raw Materials and Utilities......................................................8
5.Location and Site........................................................................................................9
6.Technology and Engineering.....................................................................................9
6.1Production Process.........................................................................................................................9
6.2Machinery and Equipment...........................................................................................................11
6.3Civil Engineering Cost.................................................................................................................12
7.Human Resource and Training Requirement........................................................12
7.1Human Resource..........................................................................................................................12
7.2Training Requirement..................................................................................................................14
7.3Underlying Assumption...............................................................................................................14
7.4Investment....................................................................................................................................16
7.5Production Costs..........................................................................................................................17
7.6Financial Evaluation....................................................................................................................19
8.Economic and Social Benefit and Justification......................................................20
ANNEXES....................................................................................................................23
1. Executive Summary

The project envisages assembling of 5000 Bajaj per annum. The total investment requirement of

the project including the working capital is estimated at about Birr 5.5 million; of which Birr 3

million is for machinery and equipment and around Birr 718 thousand is the cost of the working

capital and. Based on the cash flow statement, the calculated internal rate of return (IRR) and

simple rate of return (SRS) of the project are 23.5 % and 22.6 %, respectively. The net present

value (NPV) at 18 % discounting rate is about Birr 1131 thousand. The plant is expected to

create employment opportunities for about 30 persons.

2. Product Description and Application

A Bajaj is a three wheeled vehicle that is used for human transport. Bajaj s are widely used in

developing countries in both urban and rural areas.

3. Market Study, Plant Capacity and Production Program


3.1 Market Study

3.1.1 Present Demand and Supply


A Bajaj is a very efficient form of personal transport. Some say Ethiopia is not suitable for using

Bajaj s because it is mountainous. But the experience of other countries shows that Bajaj s can

be as popular in mountainous countries as they are in plane countries. The main difference is

that Bajaj s used in mountainous countries can be with different gears. Even in Ethiopia there are

many places where Bajaj s can be used without any difficulty. The ever increasing price of

petroleum is a warning sign that using petroleum consuming vehicle is going to be very

expensive in the future. This requires substituting cheaper means of transport that are least cost

in terms of acquisition and operation. Such type of transport is provided by Bajaj s which are

relatively cheaper to buy and does not require expensive running costs.

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Bajaj manufacturing would have two basic advantages for the development of an economy. First it

facilitates transport of people cheaply as it does not involve high running and acquisition costs.

Second, it facilitates the process of industrial development through the creation of backward

linkages for the manufacture of parts and components.

Until now the demand for Bajaj in Ethiopia was met through imports. The import of Bajaj has been so
little in the first half of 1990’s while it has shown significant growth in the second half of the past
decade. The import of Bajaj s between 1989 E.C and 1999 E.C is provided in Table 3.1.

IMPORT OF BAJAJ
Table 3.1
Year E.C Imports of Bajaj
2002 18247
2003 9169
2004 21748
2005 10285
2006 13906
2007 19841
2008 30314
2009 74261
2010 52466
2011 536
2012 76522
Total 327,295
Average Import per
29,754
Year

Source: Compiled From CSA’s Import Data of Different Years

As can be observed from the above table, the total import of Bajaj between 2002 E.C and 2012

E.C was 327,295; implies, nearly 30,000 Bajaj s per annum have been imported in the past 11

years. Though this figure is small as compared to the population size of the country, it is an

indication for the existence of some demand for Bajaj that justifies the establishment of Bajaj

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assembly plant in the country. The ANRS has many places where it is convenient to use Bajaj s.

In fact, compared to other regions of the country, more Bajaj s are used in the ANRS. Bahir- Dar

has more Bajaj s per capita than any urban center in the country. Considering these factors,

establishing a Bajaj assembly plant in ANRS will be viable.

3.1.2 Projected Demand

Basically, the demand for Bajaj is a function of population growth, topography and economic

growth. Of the three factors, economic growth is the most important variable influencing the

demand for Bajaj . Consequently, the rate of economic growth of the country forecasted for the

coming 5 years has been taken to determine the rate of growth of demand for Bajaj . Also, the

average volume of import for the last five years is assumed to be the current effective demand

for Bajaj .

The economy of the country is anticipated to grow by 8 % in real terms for the coming 5 years.

Accordingly the projected demanded in given in table 3.2.

Table 3.2 DEMAND PROJECTION

Year Projected Demand


2015 46820
2016 50565
2017 54611
2018 58979
2019 63698
2020 68794
2021 74297
2022 80241
2023 86660
2024 93593
2025 101080

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As it is given in the above demand projection table, the demand for Bajaj is expected to reach

68,794 in the 2015 E.C and 101,080 in 2025. And, this figure is reasonable to establish

financially viable Bajaj assembly plant in the country.

3.2 Plant Capacity

This profile envisages the production of roadster model Bajaj s in various adult sizes. The

capacity of the plant in one shift operation and 275 working days per annum basis would be 5000

Bajaj s. The working days are set by deducting all Sundays and public holidays in a year and 25

days for annual maintenance and unexpected interruption of work.

3.3 Production Program

The production program follows gradual capacity utilization due to market and technological

reasons. Market reasons refer to the competition that the firm faces from Bajaj importers while

the technology refers to the speed with which the operators assimilate the process know how.

Accordingly, 50 %, 75% and 100 % capacity utilization are assumed for the first and the second

years of the operation, respectively. The third year onwards, 100 % capacity utilization is

assumed.

4. Raw Materials and Utilities

4.1 Availability and Source of Raw Materials

The raw material requirement of the project has to be met from imports until local ancillary

industries are developed and large scale Bajaj and tricycle production starts in the country.

4.2 Annual Requirement and Cost of Raw Materials and Utilities

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The raw material requirement is provided in Table 4.1

Table 4.1 RAW MATERIAL REQUREMENT

Cost Birr
Item
F.C L.C Total

1. Bajaj Frame Tubing 115038 49302 164340

2. Rubbing for Bottom 121275 51975 173250

3. Flat Strip and Sheet Steel 103950 44550 148500

4. Lugs and Bottom Bract 180180 77220 257400

5. Components 194040 83160 277200

6. Lugs and Bottom Bract 228690 98010 326700

Total 943,173 404,217 1,347,390

The total cost of raw material would be Birr 1.3 million of which the foreign currency component

is 70 %.The annual cost of utilities amounts Birr 74,600. The annual electrical energy requirement

is estimated to be 126,000 KWH and the annual water requirement is estimated to be 2000 cubic

meters. The corresponding annual costs will be Birr 69,300 and Birr 5,300, respectively.

5. Location and Site

For its convenience for distribution to different parts of the country Ethiopia, Modjo is an

appropriate choice for the Bajaj assembling plant in Ethiopia.

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6. Technology and Engineering

6.1 Production Process

In general, to assemble Bajaj the following process would be required:

➢ Cutting, forming and bending of steel tubing and sheet

➢ Joining of frame component and forks by welding in jigs

➢ Painting

➢ Baking

➢ Strength testing

➢ Assembly of wheels

➢ Bajaj Assembly

A recent development, has been a legless design using MIG welding techniques and suitable jigs

and futures allowing semi-skilled workers to produce high quality frames efficiently. This design

would eliminate import of lugs and also allow the bottom bracket to be made from a simple

threaded tube. This technique has been adopted for the project under consideration.

Alternatively, instead of using a legless design using MIG welding techniques, the traditional

Bajaj frames have been built using lugs at brazed joints. In this case, the lugs and complex

button bracket (which houses the pedai-axle) should be imported.

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6.2 Machinery and Equipment

The list of machinery and equipment that are required to assemble Bajaj is given below:

 Power Press and Diers 2sets

 Tube Threading Machine 1”

 Shearing Machine 1”

 Drilling Machine 1”

 MIG Welding Equipment 2”

 Frame and Fork Assembly Jigs 3”

 Phosphatizing and Rinse Tank 3”

 Painting Both With Dipping Tanks 3”

 Baking Oven 1”

 Load Testing Jig 2”

 Grinder 3”

The cost of machinery and equipment would be Birr 3 million including erection and

commissioning fees as well as 20 % local costs.

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Machinery Suppliers Address:

Diversified Machine, Inc.

307-31st Avenue South,

Waite Park, MN 56387

USA

6.3 Civil Engineering Cost

The building area required by the plant is estimated to be 2700m 2, and it costs Birr 1,500,000.

This would include cost of land preparation and associated civil works. The total land area of the

plant, including the open space, is 2000 m2 and its lease cost equals Birr 109,000. The cost of the

land lease is as per ANRS land lease rate for Modjo which is equal to Birr 84.50 per sq m for

industrial purpose. Of the total cost of the lease 5% is paid in the beginning while the rest will be

paid in 40years.

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7. Human Resource and Training Requirement
7.1 Human Resource
Details of the manpower requirement of the plant is shown in Table 7.1
Table 7.1
MANPOWER REQUIREMENT

Description No Monthly Salary Annual

(Birr) Salary (Birr)

A. Administration

1. Manager 1 3,0000 360,000

2.Engineers 2 20,000 480,000

3. Supervisors 1 10,000 12,0000

4.Seretary 1 8,000 96,000

5.Slaesman 2 8,000 192,000

6. Cashier 1 6,000 72,000

7. Storekeeper 1 6,000 72,000

8.Guards 3 4,000 144,000

Sub-total 12 153,6000

B. Production

1. Skilled Workers 6 12,000 72,000

2. Semi-skilled Workers 12 6,000


72,000

Benefits (20%) 652,800

30 391,6800

The total annual wages and salary, including 20 % benefits, amount to Birr 391,680.

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7.2 Training Requirement

One month on job training is required for the technical personnel. And this can be managed by

hiring one expert in the area from the technology suppliers. Financial Analysis

7.3 Underlying Assumption

The financial analysis of Bajaj Assembling plant is based on the data provided in the preceding

chapters and the following assumptions.

A. Construction and Finance

Construction Period 2 Years

Source Of Finance 40% Equity and 60% Loan

Tax Holidays 2Years

Bank Interest Rate 12%

Discount For Cash Flow 18%

Value Of Land Based on Lease Rate of ANRS

Spare Parts, Repair & Maintenance 3% of the Fixed Investment

B. Depreciation
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Building 5%

Machinery And Equipment 10%

Office Furniture 10%

Vehicles 20%

Pre-Production (Amortization) 20%

C. Working Capital (Minimum Days of Coverage)

Raw Material-Local 30 Days

Raw Material-Foreign 120 Days

Factory Supplies In Stock 30 Days

Spare Parts In Stock And Maintenance 30 Days

Work In Progress 10 Days

Finished Products 15 Days

Accounts Receivable 30 Days

Cash In Hand 30 Days

Accounts Payable 30 Days

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7.4 Investment

The total investment cost of the project including working capital is estimated at Birr 5.5 million

as shown in Table 8.1 below. The Owner shall contribute 40 % of the finance in the form of

equity while the remaining 60 % is to be financed by bank loan.

TABLE 8.1

Total Initial Investment

Items L.C F.C Total

Land
5,450 5,450

Building and Civil Works


1,500,000 1,500,000

Office Equipment
50,000 50,000

Vehicles
0 0

Plant Machinery & Equipment


600,000 2,400,000 3,000,000

Total Fixed Investment Cost


2,155,450 2,400,000 4,555,450

Pre Production Capital

Expenditure* 107,773 227,773

Total Initial Investment


2,263,223 2,400,000 4,783,223

Working Capital at Full Capacity


306,855 411,566 718,421

Total 2,570,077 2,811,566 5,501,644

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*Pre-production capital expenditure includes - all expenses for pre-investment studies,

consultancy fee during construction and expenses for company‘s establishment, project

administration expenses, commission expenses, preproduction marketing and interest expenses

during construction.

The foreign component of the project accounts for Birr 2.8 million or 51.1 % of the

total investment cost.

7.5 Production Costs

The total production cost at full capacity operation is estimated at Birr 2.7 (see

Table 8.2). Raw materials and utilities account for 52.5 %

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Table 8.2

PRODUCTION COST AT FULL CAPACITY

Raw Material

Requirement Cost

1.Local Raw Materials 404,217

2.Foreign Raw Materials 943,173

Total Production Cost at full Capacity

Items Cost

1. Raw materials 1,347,390

2. Utilities 74,600

3. Wages and Salaries 391,680

4. Spares and Maintenance 136,664

Factory costs 1,950,334

5. Depreciation 425,555

6. Financial costs
330,099

Total Production Cost 2,705,987

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7.6 Financial Evaluation

I. Profitability

According to the projected income statement (see Annex 4) the project will generate profit

beginning from the second year of operation and increases on wards. The income statement and

other profitability indicators also show that the project is viable.

II. Breakeven Analysis

The breakeven point of the projects is given by the formula:

BEP = Fixed Cost

Sale –Variable Cost at full capacity.

The project will break even at 27.2 % of capacity utilization


III. Payback Period

Investment cost and income statement projection are used in estimating the project payback

period. The project will payback fully the initial investment less working capital in four years.

IV. Simple Rate of Return

The project’s simple rate of return (SRR) is given by the formula:

SRR= (Net Profit + Interest)/ (Total Investment Outlay) at full capacity utilization.

The SRR would be 22.6 % at full capacity utilization.

V. Internal Rate of Return and Net Present Value

Based on cash flow statement (See Annex 2) the calculated internal rate of return (IRR) of the

project is 23.5 % and the net present value (NPV) at 18 % discount is Birr 1131 thousands.

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VI. Sensitivity Analysis

The sensitivity test result which undertaken by increasing the cost of production by 10 % still

indicates that the project would be viable.

8. Economic and Social Benefit and Justification

Based on the foregoing presentation and analysis, we can learn that the proposed project

possesses wide range of benefits that complement the financial feasibility obtained earlier. In

general, the envisaged project promotes the socio-economic goals and objectives stated in the

strategic plan of the Amhara National Regional State. These benefits are listed as follows:

A. Profit Generation

The project is found to be financially viable and earns on average a profit of Birr 941 thousand

per year and Birr 9.4 million within the project life. Such result induces the project promoters to

reinvest the profit which, th

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erefore, increases the investment magnitude in the region.

Tax Revenue

In the project life under consideration, the region will collect about Birr 3.8 million from

corporate tax payment alone (i.e. excluding income tax, sales tax and VAT). Such result create

additional fund for the regional government that will be used in expanding social and other basic

services in the region

B. Import Substitution and Foreign Exchange Saving

As there is Bajaj Assembling Plant in the country, the commencement of this project relieves a

portion of the import burden. That is, based on the projected figure we learn that in the project

life an estimated amount of US Dollar 3.7 million will be saved as a result of the proposed

project. This will create room for the saved hard currency to be allocated on other vital and

strategic sectors

C. Employment and Income Generation

The proposed project is expected to create employment opportunity to several citizens of the

country. That is, it will provide permanent employment to 30 professionals as well as support

stuffs. Consequently the project creates income of Birr 392 thousands per year. This would be

one of the commendable accomplishments of the project.

D. Pro Environment Project

The proposed production process is environment friendly.

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ANNEXES

Annex 1: Total Net Working Capital Requirements (in Birr)

CONSTRUCTION PRODUCTION

Year 1 Year 2 1 2 3 4

Capacity Utilization (%) 0 0 50% 75% 100% 100%

1. Total Inventory 0.00 0.00 561608.53 842412.79 1123217.06 1123217.06

Raw Materials in Stock- Total 0.00 0.00 227831.40 341747.10 455662.80 455662.80

Raw Material-Local 0.00 0.00 22048.20 33072.30 44096.40 44096.40

Raw Material-Foreign 0.00 0.00 205783.20 308674.80 411566.40 411566.40

Factory Supplies in Stock 0.00 0.00 1295.94 1943.91 2591.88 2591.88

Spare Parts in Stock and Maintenance 0.00 0.00 7454.37 11181.56 14908.75 14908.75

Work in Progress 0.00 0.00 32398.47 48597.71 64796.95 64796.95


Finished Products 0.00 0.00 64796.95 97195.42 129593.89 129593.89

2. Accounts Receivable 0.00 0.00 218181.82 327272.73 436363.64 436363.64

3. Cash in Hand 0.00 0.00 25433.45 38150.18 50866.91 50866.91

CURRENT ASSETS 0.00 0.00 577392.40 866088.60 1154784.81 1154784.81

4. Current Liabilities 0.00 0.00 218181.82 327272.73 436363.64 436363.64

Accounts Payable 0.00 0.00 218181.82 327272.73 436363.64 436363.64

TOTAL NET WORKING CAPITAL 0.00 0.00 359210.58 538815.88 718421.17 718421.17

REQUIRMENTS

INCREASE IN NET WORKING CAPITAL 0.00 0.00 359210.58 179605.29 179605.29 0.00
PRODUCTION

5 6 7 8 9 10

Capacity Utilization (%) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

1. Total Inventory 1123217.06 1123217.06 1123217.06 1123217.06 1123217.06 1123217.06

Raw Materials in Stock-Total 455662.80 455662.80 455662.80 455662.80 455662.80 455662.80

Raw Material-Local 44096.40 44096.40 44096.40 44096.40 44096.40 44096.40

Raw Material-Foreign 411566.40 411566.40 411566.40 411566.40 411566.40 411566.40

Factory Supplies in Stock 2591.88 2591.88 2591.88 2591.88 2591.88 2591.88

Spare Parts in Stock and Maintenance 14908.75 14908.75 14908.75 14908.75 14908.75 14908.75

Work in Progress 64796.95 64796.95 64796.95 64796.95 64796.95 64796.95

Finished Products 129593.89 129593.89 129593.89 129593.89 129593.89 129593.89

2. Accounts Receivable 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64

3. Cash in Hand 50866.91 50866.91 50866.91 50866.91 50866.91 50866.91

CURRENT ASSETS 1154784.81 1154784.81 1154784.81 1154784.81 1154784.81 1154784.81

4. Current Liabilities 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64

Accounts Payable 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64


TOTAL NET WORKING CAPITAL REQUIRMENTS 718421.17 718421.17 718421.17 718421.17 718421.17 718421.17

INCREASE IN NET WORKING CAPITAL 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Annex 1: Total Net Working Capital Requirements (in Birr) (continued)

Annex 2: Cash Flow Statement (in Birr)

CONSTRUCTION PRODUCTION

Year 1 Year 2 1 2 3 4

TOTAL CASH INFLOW 2391611.25 3110032.42 2218181.82 3109090.91 4109090.91 4000000.00

1. Inflow Funds 2391611.25 3110032.42 218181.82 109090.91 109090.91 0.00

Total Equity 956644.50 1244012.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Total Long Term Loan 1434966.75 1866019.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Total Short Term Finances 0.00 0.00 218181.82 109090.91 109090.91 0.00

2. Inflow Operation 0.00 0.00 2000000.00 3000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00

Sales Revenue 0.00 0.00 2000000.00 3000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00


Interest on Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

3. Other Income 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

TOTAL CASH OUTFLOW 2391611.25 2391611.25 2422301.17 2661193.82 3462163.74 3127253.74

4. Increase In Fixed Assets 2391611.25 2391611.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Fixed Investments 2277725.00 2277725.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Pre-production Expenditures

113886.25 113886.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

5. Increase in Current Assets 0.00 0.00 577392.40 288696.20 288696.20 0.00

6. Operating Costs 0.00 0.00 966857.69 1426214.91 1885572.13 1885572.13

7. Corporate Tax Paid 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 407632.42 427438.34

8. Interest Paid 0.00 0.00 878051.08 396118.34 330098.62 264078.90

9.Loan Repayments 0.00 0.00 0.00 550164.37 550164.37 550164.37

10.Dividends Paid 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Surplus(Deficit) 0.00 718421.17 -204119.35 447897.09 646927.17 872746.26

Cumulative Cash Balance 0.00 718421.17 514301.82 962198.90 1609126.07 2481872.33


Annex 2: Cash Flow Statement (in Birr): Continued

PRODUCTION

5 6 7 8 9 10

TOTAL CASH INFLOW 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00

1. Inflow Funds 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Total Equity 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Total Long Term Loan 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Total Short Term Finances 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

2. Inflow Operation 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00

Sales Revenue 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00

Interest on Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

3. Other Income 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

TOTAL CASH OUTFLOW 3081039.93 3048492.47 3002278.66 2405900.49 2405900.49 2405900.49

4. Increase In Fixed Assets 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Fixed Investments 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Pre-production Expenditures 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

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5. Increase in Current Assets 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

6. Operating Costs 1885572.13 1885572.13 1885572.13 1885572.13 1885572.13 1885572.13

7. Corporate Tax Paid 447244.26 480716.53 500522.44 520328.36 520328.36 520328.36

8. Interest Paid 198059.17 132039.45 66019.72 0.00 0.00 0.00

9. Loan Repayments 550164.37 550164.37 550164.37 0.00 0.00 0.00

10.Dividends Paid 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Surplus(Deficit) 918960.07 951507.53 997721.34 1594099.51 1594099.51 1594099.51

Cumulative Cash Balance 3400832.41 4352339.93 5350061.27 6944160.78 8538260.29 10132359.80

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Annex 3: DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW-TOTAL CAPITAL INVESTED

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CONSTRUCTION PRODUCTION

Year 1 Year 2 1 2 3 4

TOTAL CASH INFLOW 0.00 0.00 2000000.00 3000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00

1. Inflow Operation 0.00 0.00 2000000.00 3000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00

Sales Revenue 0.00 0.00 2000000.00 3000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00

Interest on Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

2. Other Income 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

TOTAL CASH OUTFLOW 2391611.25 2391611.25 1326068.27 1605820.20 2065177.42 2313010.47

3. Increase in Fixed Assets 2391611.25 2391611.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Fixed Investments 2277725.00 2277725.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Pre-production Expenditures 113886.25 113886.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

4. Increase in Net Working Capital 0.00 0.00 359210.58 179605.29 179605.29 0.00

5. Operating Costs 0.00 0.00 966857.69 1426214.91 1885572.13 1885572.13

6. Corporate Tax Paid 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 427438.34

NET CASH FLOW -2391611.25 -2391611.25 673931.73 1394179.80 1934822.58 1686989.53

CUMMULATIVE NET CASH FLOW -2391611.25 -4783222.50 -4109290.77 -2715110.98 -780288.40 906701.13

Net Present Value (at 18%) -2391611.25 -2026789.19 484007.27 848540.87 997959.96 737398.67

Cumulative Net present Value -2391611.25 -4418400.44 -3934393.17 -3085852.31 -2087892.34 -1350493.67 28
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PRODUCTION

5 6 7 8 9 10

TOTAL CASH INFLOW 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00

1. Inflow Operation 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00

Sales Revenue 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00

Interest on Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

2. Other Income 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

TOTAL CASH OUTFLOW 2332816.39 2366288.66 2386094.57 2405900.49 2405900.49 2405900.49

3. Increase in Fixed Assets 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Fixed Investments 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Pre-production Expenditures 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

4. Increase in Net Working Capital 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

5. Operating Costs 1885572.13 1885572.13 1885572.13 1885572.13 1885572.13 1885572.13

6. Corporate Tax Paid 447244.26 480716.53 500522.44 520328.36 520328.36 520328.36

NET CASH FLOW 1667183.61 1633711.34 1613905.43 1594099.51 1594099.51 1594099.51

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CUMMULATIVE NET CASH FLOW 2573884.74 4207596.08 5821501.51 7415601.02 9009700.53 10603800.04

Net Present Value (at 18%) 617577.39 512862.89 429360.44 359399.41 304575.77 258115.06

Cumulative Net present Value -732916.28 -220053.40 209307.04 568706.45 873282.23 1131397.29

Net Present Value (at 18%) 1,131,397.29

Internal Rate of Return 23.5%

31
Annex 4: NET INCOME STATEMENT ( in Birr)

PRODUCTION

1 2 3 4 5

Capacity Utilization (%) 50% 75% 100% 100% 100%

1. Total Income 2000000.00 3000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00

Sales Revenue 2000000.00 3000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00

Other Income 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

2. Less Variable Cost 840378.44 1260567.66 1680756.88 1680756.88 1680756.88

VARIABLE MARGIN 1159621.56 1739432.34 2319243.12 2319243.12 2319243.12

(In % of Total Income) 57.98 57.98 57.98 57.98 57.98

3. Less Fixed Costs 552033.75 591201.75 630369.75 630369.75 630369.75

OPERATIONAL MARGIN 607587.81 1148230.59 1688873.37 1688873.37 1688873.37

(In % of Total Income) 30.38 38.27 42.22 42.22 42.22

4. Less Cost of Finance 878051.08 396118.34 330098.62 264078.90 198059.17

32
5. GROSS PROFIT -270463.27 752112.25 1358774.75 1424794.47 1490814.20

6. Income (Corporate) Tax 0.00 0.00 407632.42 427438.34 447244.26

7. NET PROFIT -270463.27 752112.25 951142.32 997356.13 1043569.94

RATIOS (%)

Gross Profit/Sales -13.52% 25.07% 33.97% 35.62% 37.27%

Net Profit After Tax/Sales -13.52% 25.07% 23.78% 24.93% 26.09%

Return on Investment 11.82% 21.58% 23.29% 22.93% 22.57%

Return on Equity -12.29% 34.18% 43.22% 45.32% 47.42%

33
Annex 4: NET INCOME STATEMENT (in Birr):Continued

PRODUCTION

6 7 8 9 10

Capacity Utilization (%) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

1. Total Income 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00

Sales Revenue 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00 4000000.00

Other Income 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

2. Less Variable Cost 1680756.88 1680756.88 1680756.88 1680756.88 1680756.88

VARIABLE MARGIN 2319243.12 2319243.12 2319243.12 2319243.12 2319243.12

(In % of Total Income) 57.98 57.98 57.98 57.98 57.98

3. Less Fixed Costs 584815.25 584815.25 584815.25 584815.25 584815.25

OPERATIONAL MARGIN 1734427.87 1734427.87 1734427.87 1734427.87 1734427.87

(In % of Total Income) 43.36 43.36 43.36 43.36 43.36

4. Less Cost of Finance 132039.45 66019.72 0.00 0.00 0.00

34
5. GROSS PROFIT 1602388.42 1668408.15 1734427.87 1734427.87 1734427.87

6. Income (Corporate) Tax 480716.53 500522.44 520328.36 520328.36 520328.36

7. NET PROFIT 1121671.90 1167885.70 1214099.51 1214099.51 1214099.51

RATIOS (%)

Gross Profit/Sales 40.06% 41.71% 43.36% 43.36% 43.36%

Net Profit After Tax/Sales 28.04% 29.20% 30.35% 30.35% 30.35%

Return on Investment 22.79% 22.43% 22.07% 22.07% 22.07%

Return on Equity 50.97% 53.07% 55.17% 55.17% 55.17%

35
36
Annex 5: Projected Balance Sheet (in Birr)

CONSTRUCTION PRODUCTION

Year 1 Year 2 1 2 3

TOTAL ASSETS 2391611.25 5501643.67 5719825.49 5760401.01 6270469.87

1. Total Current Assets 0.00 718421.17 1091694.22 1828287.51 2763910.87

Inventory on Materials and Supplies 0.00 0.00 236581.71 354872.57 473163.42

Work in Progress 0.00 0.00 32398.47 48597.71 64796.95

Finished Products in Stock 0.00 0.00 64796.95 97195.42 129593.89

Accounts Receivable 0.00 0.00 218181.82 327272.73 436363.64

Cash in Hand 0.00 0.00 25433.45 38150.18 50866.91

Cash Surplus, Finance Available 0.00 718421.17 514301.82 962198.90 1609126.07

Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

2. Total Fixed Assets, Net of Depreciation 2391611.25 4783222.50 4357668.00 3932113.50 3506559.00

37
Fixed Investment 0.00 2277725.00 4555450.00 4555450.00 4555450.00

Construction in Progress 2277725.00 2277725.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Pre-Production Expenditure 113886.25 227772.50 227772.50 227772.50 227772.50

Less Accumulated Depreciation 0.00 0.00 425554.50 851109.00 1276663.50

3. Accumulated Losses Brought Forward 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

4. Loss in Current Year 0.00 0.00 270463.27 0.00 0.00

TOTAL LIABILITIES 2391611.25 5501643.67 5719825.49 5760401.01 6270469.87

5. Total Current Liabilities 0.00 0.00 218181.82 327272.73 436363.64

Accounts Payable 0.00 0.00 218181.82 327272.73 436363.64

Bank Overdraft 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

6. Total Long-term Debt 1434966.75 3300986.20 3300986.20 2750821.83 2200657.47

Loan A 1434966.75 3300986.20 3300986.20 2750821.83 2200657.47

Loan B 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

7. Total Equity Capital 956644.50 2200657.47 2200657.47 2200657.47 2200657.47

Ordinary Capital 956644.50 2200657.47 2200657.47 2200657.47 2200657.47

Preference Capital 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Subsidies 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

8. Reserves, Retained Profits Brought Forward

0.00 0.00 0.00 -270463.27 481648.98

38
9.Net Profit After Tax 0.00 0.00 0.00 752112.25 951142.32

Dividends Payable 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Retained Profits 0.00 0.00 0.00 752112.25 951142.32

39
4

6717661.64

3636657.14

473163.42

64796.95

129593.89

436363.64

50866.91

2481872.33

0.00

3081004.50

4555450.00

0.00

227772.50

1702218.00

0.00

40
0.00

6717661.64

436363.64

436363.64

0.00

1650493.10

1650493.10

0.00

2200657.47

2200657.47

0.00

0.00

1432791.30

997356.13

0.00

997356.13

41
Annex 5: Projected Balance Sheet (in Birr): Continued

PRODUCTION

5 6 7 8 9 10

TOTAL ASSETS 7211067.21 7782574.74 8400296.08 9614395.58 10828495.09 12042594.60

1. Total Current Assets 4555617.21 5507124.74 6504846.08 8098945.58 9693045.09 11287144.60

Inventory on Materials and Supplies 473163.42 473163.42 473163.42 473163.42 473163.42 473163.42

Work in Progress 64796.95 64796.95 64796.95 64796.95 64796.95 64796.95

Finished Products in Stock 129593.89 129593.89 129593.89 129593.89 129593.89 129593.89

Accounts Receivable 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64

Cash in Hand 50866.91 50866.91 50866.91 50866.91 50866.91 50866.91

Cash Surplus, Finance Available 3400832.41 4352339.93 5350061.27 6944160.78 8538260.29 10132359.80

Securities 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

2. Total Fixed Assets, Net of Depreciation 2655450.00 2275450.00 1895450.00 1515450.00 1135450.00 755450.00

Fixed Investment 4555450.00 4555450.00 4555450.00 4555450.00 4555450.00 4555450.00

Construction in Progress 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

42
Pre-Production Expenditure 227772.50 227772.50 227772.50 227772.50 227772.50 227772.50

Less Accumulated Depreciation 2127772.50 2507772.50 2887772.50 3267772.50 3647772.50 4027772.50

3. Accumulated Losses Brought Forward 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

4. Loss in Current Year 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

TOTAL LIABILITIES 7211067.21 7782574.74 8400296.08 9614395.58 10828495.09 12042594.60

5. Total Current Liabilities 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64

Accounts Payable 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64 436363.64

Bank Overdraft 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

6. Total Long-term Debt 1100328.73 550164.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Loan A 1100328.73 550164.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Loan B 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

7. Total Equity Capital 2200657.47 2200657.47 2200657.47 2200657.47 2200657.47 2200657.47

Ordinary Capital 2200657.47 2200657.47 2200657.47 2200657.47 2200657.47 2200657.47

Preference Capital 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Subsidies 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

8. Reserves, Retained Profits Brought Forward

2430147.44 3473717.37 4595389.27 5763274.97 6977374.48 8191473.99

43
9. Net Profit After Tax 1043569.94 1121671.90 1167885.70 1214099.51 1214099.51 1214099.51

Dividends Payable 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Retained Profits 1043569.94 1121671.90 1167885.70 1214099.51 1214099.51 1214099.51

44

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